Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 838 Scott Adams： Biden's Brain, How to Stop Coronavirus, Bernie's Math

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for a coffee with Scott Adams and you came to the right place.

00:00:15.600 Especially if you have your coffee. DJ Dr. Funk Juice, good to see you. Good to see the rest of you.

00:00:22.680 Is it my imagination? Or are all of you more attractive than yesterday? I think it's true.

00:00:31.520 Smarter, wiser, more attractive? Excuse me. Not coronavirus, I swear.

00:00:41.360 Well, if you'd like to enjoy this simultaneous sip, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:00:48.000 You can fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:52.100 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:58.240 It's called the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:01:05.460 Ah.

00:01:09.380 I can feel it protecting me from the coronavirus.

00:01:14.120 I believe it did.

00:01:15.120 All right, let's talk about the news.

00:01:17.760 Some of it's fun, some of it's not.

00:01:21.460 Chris Matthews of MSNBC went on air yesterday, apologized for his past comments about the appearance of women, and then he quit.

00:01:32.700 And they left, I guess.

00:01:34.060 And so there's a, I don't want to, I guess I'd call it a rumor, but there's, there are people on the internet, shall we say, who believe that there are other NDAs out there, multiple NDAs and, you know, stuff was going to come out.

00:01:50.760 Now, I don't know if that's true, but I always have this question when one of these situations comes up.

00:01:58.560 And it goes like this.

00:02:02.040 How many NDAs would it take for you to stop your bad behavior?

00:02:06.580 So imagine you're the host of some national TV show, not like this hasn't happened before, or you're a big movie producer, and you get called up by your management, and they say, hey, we've got this complaint.

00:02:25.920 And you work it out, and there's an NDA, the company pays some money, you settle.

00:02:32.180 How in the world do you do that again?

00:02:36.460 How in the world do you do it three times?

00:02:38.920 How in the world do you do it four times?

00:02:42.120 How in the world do you do it five times?

00:02:44.300 You know, which is the sort of thing that's being alleged.

00:02:47.080 So there's something about the personality type that just doesn't stop pushing, apparently.

00:02:56.300 So I don't know what that's about, but I feel as though it would only take me one warning before I said, oh, I get it now.

00:03:05.180 I'm doing stuff that's bad.

00:03:08.160 You know, the first time, I honestly think that the first time, you know, a guy like Chris Matthews or, you know, could have been Matt Lauer.

00:03:17.640 I always feel like the first time this sort of thing comes up, that they're actually surprised.

00:03:23.020 And they say something along the lines of, oh, I was just kidding around.

00:03:29.180 I didn't realize you were taking it that way.

00:03:31.040 I'm so sorry.

00:03:32.360 I had no idea that it was having that effect.

00:03:35.400 In fact, that's the first time.

00:03:38.340 But after that, how many warnings does it take?

00:03:42.740 All right, enough of that.

00:03:43.420 The funniest line from your funniest president is this one.

00:03:49.780 And I've been laughing about it for two days.

00:03:51.600 He's used it a few times.

00:03:53.300 He says, essentially, Trump does.

00:03:56.280 He says they'll put Biden in a home and someone else will be running the country.

00:04:01.320 Now, there are a million ways to express this thought that Biden's losing a step.

00:04:10.540 You've heard that one before, right?

00:04:11.720 People say, well, he's losing a step.

00:04:13.980 You know, he's aging.

00:04:15.180 Maybe he's got some dementia going on.

00:04:17.000 There are a million ways to say the same thing.

00:04:20.820 And out of those million ways, Trump picked the best one.

00:04:26.160 Out of a million.

00:04:27.040 He reached in and said, oh, I think I'll say this, that he's going to be put in a home

00:04:33.120 and somebody else will be running the country.

00:04:35.360 Now, remember what I told you about Trump does visual persuasion?

00:04:39.980 As soon as you say he's going to be put in a home, don't you see it?

00:04:45.400 You can see it, right?

00:04:46.700 You can see the people with suits and clipboards and stuff and their cell phones,

00:04:51.800 you know, wheeling them into the old folks' home. 0.87

00:04:54.140 And then you can see, you almost, it's like a movie.

00:04:57.420 You can almost see the people behind the curtain who are running the show,

00:05:02.140 you know, through his vice president, who may or may not be Kamala Harris.

00:05:06.680 Kamala Harris.

00:05:08.860 So I could not be more impressed with just the way he picks,

00:05:15.380 out of a million ways you could say something, he picks the best one.

00:05:18.420 It's visual, it's unforgettable, it's a movie in one sentence.

00:05:24.900 Because you can almost see the whole movie about the people behind the curtain.

00:05:29.600 Anyway, it's just beautiful.

00:05:34.020 President Trump also suggested,

00:05:36.820 God, he's having fun.

00:05:39.640 It must be a great time to be Trump right now.

00:05:42.580 Because he's sort of beat back all of the big hoaxes.

00:05:46.600 It looks like he's a favorite to win re-election.

00:05:49.240 And all he's doing is dropping bombs on his critics.

00:05:53.620 And it could not be more amusing.

00:05:55.360 So yesterday he said,

00:05:57.260 he suggested that Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg,

00:06:01.000 that they may have dropped out to endorse Biden

00:06:04.900 because they were promised jobs in his administration.

00:06:08.760 And then Trump says,

00:06:11.340 that's called a quid pro quo, right?

00:06:14.020 Quid pro quo.

00:06:18.240 And I have to admit,

00:06:21.180 I don't know if that's illegal.

00:06:25.500 Do you?

00:06:27.280 Because my first instinct is,

00:06:29.880 well, of course it's legal

00:06:31.720 to promise somebody a job.

00:06:35.460 And in the world of politics,

00:06:37.800 everything's, you know,

00:06:38.940 you do this, I'll do that.

00:06:40.960 But is it legal

00:06:42.160 in the context of politics

00:06:44.700 to get somebody to drop out of a race

00:06:46.580 and endorse you

00:06:47.360 with the promise of an administration job?

00:06:51.420 I'm looking at your comments

00:06:52.800 because I actually don't know.

00:06:54.260 Somebody says it's not illegal.

00:06:56.500 Somebody says it's legal, legal.

00:06:58.920 Yeah, I believe it's legal.

00:07:00.780 But it's hilarious.

00:07:03.140 Right?

00:07:03.620 Because even though it's legal,

00:07:06.780 we, the public, look at it

00:07:08.400 and we say,

00:07:10.080 well, okay, it's legal,

00:07:12.740 but should it be?

00:07:15.080 You know,

00:07:15.540 am I happy that that's legal?

00:07:18.100 Because sometimes things are legal

00:07:19.660 just because you can't prove them

00:07:21.200 or it would cause some other problem.

00:07:23.740 Things are not always legal

00:07:25.940 because they're right and good and moral.

00:07:28.740 Sometimes it's just hard

00:07:29.960 to make things illegal.

00:07:30.940 I think this is one of those cases

00:07:33.120 where you wouldn't want,

00:07:35.460 you wouldn't want to know

00:07:37.180 this is happening,

00:07:38.380 but if I had to guess,

00:07:40.020 I'm sure it's completely illegal.

00:07:42.260 But I love the fact that

00:07:43.280 Trump just dropped

00:07:45.040 that little troll bomb in there

00:07:46.520 to make you think about it.

00:07:49.840 I tweeted yesterday

00:07:51.200 a little cryptic tweet

00:07:52.900 that I'm not sure

00:07:53.600 if everybody understood

00:07:54.640 the full meaning,

00:07:55.980 so let me unpack it.

00:07:58.160 I tweeted that,

00:07:59.160 I pray to the simulation,

00:08:01.000 you know, just joking,

00:08:02.740 that we see a Biden-Harris ticket,

00:08:05.160 Kamala Harris as the vice president,

00:08:07.080 in which Joe,

00:08:09.200 in which Joe Biden

00:08:11.620 attracts the black vote

00:08:13.180 and Kamala Harris

00:08:15.840 attracts the white vote.

00:08:18.200 Think about it.

00:08:19.740 What's really interesting

00:08:21.020 about Joe Biden,

00:08:22.420 he is kind of the

00:08:23.660 Bill Clinton thing about him,

00:08:26.140 which is that he's an old white guy

00:08:27.900 who's very popular

00:08:29.860 with black voters.

00:08:31.700 So Biden actually

00:08:32.660 doesn't need anybody

00:08:33.660 to help him

00:08:34.160 with the black vote,

00:08:35.520 right?

00:08:36.460 There's a fun point coming up.

00:08:38.480 It's not as obvious

00:08:39.240 as you think.

00:08:41.100 So I think Joe Biden

00:08:42.400 doesn't really need

00:08:43.220 to pick a vice president

00:08:44.260 to help him

00:08:45.060 with the black vote.

00:08:46.520 So why do I think

00:08:47.600 that he would pick

00:08:48.260 Kamala Harris

00:08:49.120 to help him

00:08:50.780 with the white vote?

00:08:51.500 And here's the thinking.

00:08:54.120 The thinking is

00:08:54.920 that black voters

00:08:56.780 are more,

00:08:57.700 let's say,

00:08:59.280 let's say black voters

00:09:00.420 are more flexible

00:09:01.420 and independent

00:09:04.140 than the white voters

00:09:06.240 in the Democratic side.

00:09:07.440 So this is my

00:09:08.380 starting assumption.

00:09:10.160 Could be wrong.

00:09:11.260 Could be wrong.

00:09:12.140 But I'm just telling you

00:09:13.900 why I'm thinking

00:09:14.660 of it this way.

00:09:16.080 It seems to me

00:09:17.340 that we're at a point

00:09:19.260 where black voters

00:09:20.300 are going to vote

00:09:21.060 for whoever they think.

00:09:23.280 They think the Democrats

00:09:24.220 will do best.

00:09:24.980 They'll vote for them.

00:09:25.780 I think a lot of them

00:09:26.740 are going to vote for Trump

00:09:27.700 because they think

00:09:28.560 he now is doing

00:09:30.140 a little better job.

00:09:31.740 But the white Democratic voters,

00:09:35.280 they're going to need

00:09:37.040 somebody on the ticket

00:09:37.940 who's not an old white guy.

00:09:39.820 Because I think

00:09:40.580 it's the white Democratic voters

00:09:43.240 who care the most

00:09:44.360 about having a diverse ticket.

00:09:47.480 Think about it.

00:09:48.620 I'll bet they care the most.

00:09:50.300 And it would actually

00:09:51.660 make it safe

00:09:52.600 for your generic

00:09:55.520 white Democrat

00:09:56.680 to vote for a ticket

00:09:58.100 that at least had

00:09:59.040 a woman and a person

00:10:00.780 of color on the ticket.

00:10:02.340 It just makes it safe.

00:10:04.220 So here's the weird

00:10:06.100 simulation reversal

00:10:07.560 that Biden,

00:10:09.680 the white guy,

00:10:11.180 would be really good

00:10:12.260 at forgetting the black vote.

00:10:14.820 Kamala Harris,

00:10:16.200 female person of color,

00:10:18.280 would be really good

00:10:19.300 at getting the white

00:10:20.500 male Democrat vote.

00:10:23.100 Am I wrong about that?

00:10:25.520 And people have said

00:10:26.820 that Kamala will not help

00:10:29.100 with the black vote.

00:10:30.480 I don't think it matters

00:10:31.280 because Biden's

00:10:32.120 probably got that.

00:10:35.240 So here's the good news.

00:10:37.260 what a wonderful time

00:10:40.640 to be alive

00:10:41.500 that everything you just

00:10:43.900 thought about

00:10:44.760 people in the world

00:10:46.260 just turned inside out.

00:10:48.320 Which is

00:10:49.060 black voters,

00:10:51.840 far more flexible

00:10:53.660 and open-minded

00:10:54.600 than maybe most of you

00:10:56.400 assume,

00:10:57.600 are going to look at

00:10:58.500 Joe Biden and say,

00:10:59.340 I don't care what color he is. 0.67

00:11:00.920 Can he do the job?

00:11:01.800 And then they vote for him.

00:11:04.720 Apparently that's

00:11:05.360 what they're thinking

00:11:05.980 because why would they

00:11:07.160 vote for him

00:11:07.640 if they didn't think

00:11:08.940 he could do the job?

00:11:10.660 And at the same time

00:11:11.740 you've got white voters

00:11:12.600 who are probably

00:11:14.140 more interested

00:11:15.180 in having a diverse ticket

00:11:16.680 than even the black voters 0.92

00:11:18.940 who apparently seem

00:11:20.200 to be comfortable

00:11:20.880 with Joe Biden.

00:11:22.500 So,

00:11:23.780 honestly,

00:11:24.880 could that be better?

00:11:27.220 Could it, really?

00:11:28.160 I mean, seriously.

00:11:28.760 Could you live

00:11:30.180 in a better world

00:11:31.200 where the black voters

00:11:32.900 are supporting the white guy

00:11:34.100 and the white voters

00:11:34.980 are supporting

00:11:35.560 the person of color?

00:11:37.360 It's kind of

00:11:38.540 a perfect situation.

00:11:39.980 Honestly, it is.

00:11:41.540 I don't want them to win,

00:11:42.860 but it would be great

00:11:43.540 if they could run.

00:11:45.160 All right.

00:11:47.900 How's my prediction

00:11:48.880 looking that Kamala

00:11:49.880 would be the

00:11:50.880 chosen as the candidate

00:11:54.180 to actually run

00:11:56.380 against Trump?

00:11:57.500 Well, of course,

00:11:58.100 she suspended her campaign

00:11:59.360 and she won't be

00:12:00.120 the top of the ticket.

00:12:01.480 But what if Joe Biden

00:12:02.920 is the top of the ticket

00:12:03.880 and picks Kamala? 1.00

00:12:05.820 Don't you think

00:12:06.600 at least half of the world,

00:12:09.880 you know,

00:12:10.100 the conservative half,

00:12:12.360 that half of the world

00:12:13.460 is going to say

00:12:14.620 more figuratively

00:12:18.100 than technically,

00:12:20.380 they're going to say

00:12:21.480 that she is the candidate.

00:12:23.460 Because people are going to say

00:12:24.680 that Joe is so weak

00:12:26.000 and mentally unstable 0.77

00:12:27.700 that you're really voting

00:12:29.460 for the vice president.

00:12:31.380 You know the Republicans

00:12:32.980 are going to say it.

00:12:34.680 So,

00:12:35.280 how is my prediction

00:12:36.680 that Kamala,

00:12:38.100 let's say she becomes

00:12:39.400 the vice president pick

00:12:40.500 for Biden,

00:12:42.060 it's going to look a lot

00:12:43.040 like she's the top

00:12:43.860 of the ticket.

00:12:45.120 And it will be

00:12:46.200 the greatest prediction

00:12:48.240 I've ever made.

00:12:49.920 You're welcome.

00:12:50.440 Of course,

00:12:52.060 he could pick

00:12:52.620 Stacey Abrams

00:12:54.040 and the whole thing

00:12:54.600 goes to hell. 0.97

00:12:56.220 That could happen too.

00:12:57.960 Michael Malice,

00:12:58.940 if you don't follow

00:12:59.660 Michael Malice

00:13:00.380 on Twitter,

00:13:01.780 you really should.

00:13:03.060 Because he's one of the

00:13:04.100 funniest people there.

00:13:06.840 And he had a tweet

00:13:07.640 yesterday,

00:13:08.560 I think.

00:13:09.500 He said,

00:13:10.060 it's a pretty glaring

00:13:11.120 red pill

00:13:11.780 to realize

00:13:12.920 that someone

00:13:13.620 sat down,

00:13:14.540 someone with a capital S,

00:13:16.160 someone sat down

00:13:17.440 with both Klobuchar

00:13:18.320 and Buttigieg

00:13:18.920 and told them

00:13:19.600 to fall in line.

00:13:22.220 And I'm thinking,

00:13:23.220 well,

00:13:23.340 who is someone?

00:13:24.420 Well,

00:13:24.700 we did hear

00:13:25.100 that Obama

00:13:25.760 called and

00:13:26.860 kind of

00:13:28.660 talked to Buttigieg

00:13:29.740 right after

00:13:30.320 Buttigieg dropped out,

00:13:31.600 I think after.

00:13:33.560 So there's speculation,

00:13:35.060 you know,

00:13:35.360 Obama is the hand

00:13:36.480 behind the curtain

00:13:37.660 and he's

00:13:38.760 engineered

00:13:40.180 this current situation.

00:13:42.880 Maybe.

00:13:44.120 Could be.

00:13:45.160 But here's my question.

00:13:47.740 And I think

00:13:48.280 it's everybody's question.

00:13:49.900 What's in it

00:13:50.540 for Elizabeth Warren?

00:13:52.680 Because if Elizabeth Warren

00:13:54.200 dropped down today

00:13:55.140 and threw all of her support,

00:13:56.360 well,

00:13:56.560 not today,

00:13:57.080 it's Super Tuesday,

00:13:58.260 but if she dropped

00:13:59.720 her race 0.99

00:14:01.020 and threw her support 0.79

00:14:02.200 behind Bernie,

00:14:04.220 wouldn't he,

00:14:05.300 wouldn't he get over

00:14:06.840 the finish line?

00:14:08.280 Or he'd be close.

00:14:10.400 And

00:14:10.840 why would she do that? 1.00

00:14:13.980 So here's the mystery part.

00:14:15.500 Bernie,

00:14:16.340 by far,

00:14:16.900 has the closest

00:14:18.360 policies

00:14:19.060 to Warren.

00:14:21.120 And in fact,

00:14:22.040 Warren borrowed

00:14:23.140 Bernie's

00:14:23.840 health care plan.

00:14:25.640 I mean,

00:14:25.900 it's that close.

00:14:27.080 So,

00:14:27.780 if you knew

00:14:28.520 you couldn't win,

00:14:29.520 but you really cared

00:14:30.600 about your policies,

00:14:32.200 if you're

00:14:32.640 Elizabeth Warren,

00:14:33.900 how could you

00:14:34.860 morally,

00:14:36.180 logically justify

00:14:37.460 staying in the race

00:14:39.140 and almost

00:14:40.360 guaranteeing

00:14:41.180 that the policies

00:14:41.900 you care so much

00:14:42.960 about will not

00:14:43.840 be implemented?

00:14:44.440 because Bernie

00:14:46.160 will lose

00:14:46.640 if she stays

00:14:47.180 in the race.

00:14:48.580 So what's in it

00:14:49.480 for her?

00:14:51.900 Well,

00:14:52.880 of course,

00:14:53.780 the speculators

00:14:54.820 will say,

00:14:55.640 oh,

00:14:55.900 she's getting

00:14:56.480 bribed

00:14:57.220 somehow.

00:14:58.580 It could be

00:14:59.260 that she's

00:14:59.980 holding out

00:15:00.820 for a sweet job, 0.77

00:15:02.960 Secretary of State.

00:15:04.580 Could be.

00:15:05.960 What about

00:15:06.580 Supreme Court?

00:15:09.360 I think

00:15:10.000 Supreme Court

00:15:10.640 is ruled out

00:15:11.760 as somebody

00:15:12.320 responded to me

00:15:14.800 on Twitter yesterday,

00:15:15.800 and I think

00:15:16.120 that was a good

00:15:16.580 point,

00:15:17.340 that she's too

00:15:18.060 old

00:15:18.600 to get as

00:15:21.200 many years

00:15:21.820 out of a

00:15:22.460 Supreme Court

00:15:22.980 justice as

00:15:23.660 you'd like.

00:15:24.640 Ideally,

00:15:25.240 you want somebody

00:15:25.820 who's seasoned

00:15:26.480 but young enough

00:15:27.900 to be there

00:15:28.360 for 50 years.

00:15:29.780 So she's

00:15:31.040 sort of

00:15:31.400 aged out

00:15:32.180 of that window.

00:15:32.880 So I don't

00:15:33.160 think it's

00:15:33.560 the Supreme

00:15:34.040 Court.

00:15:35.680 But there

00:15:36.000 must be

00:15:36.420 something.

00:15:37.420 Must be

00:15:38.000 something she

00:15:38.460 wants.

00:15:38.800 We'll find

00:15:39.160 out.

00:15:41.240 Joe Biden,

00:15:42.280 in his

00:15:42.900 continuing

00:15:44.320 quest to

00:15:45.100 lose the

00:15:45.560 election,

00:15:46.980 promised

00:15:47.460 Beto O'Rourke

00:15:49.560 that O'Rourke

00:15:50.720 could be

00:15:51.580 kind of

00:15:51.980 his guy

00:15:53.380 to

00:15:53.780 control

00:15:55.380 guns.

00:15:56.800 And of

00:15:57.000 course,

00:15:57.260 Beto is

00:15:57.660 famous for

00:15:58.180 wanting to

00:15:58.600 take away

00:15:59.080 your assault

00:16:00.560 rifles.

00:16:01.900 I shouldn't

00:16:02.480 call him

00:16:02.780 that.

00:16:03.560 But he

00:16:04.120 wants to

00:16:04.420 take away

00:16:04.800 your guns.

00:16:06.540 And I'm

00:16:07.400 thinking to

00:16:07.800 myself,

00:16:08.780 that doesn't

00:16:10.600 even feel

00:16:11.040 like trying.

00:16:12.820 If you're

00:16:13.480 Joe Biden,

00:16:14.500 isn't the

00:16:14.940 whole point

00:16:15.380 you're trying

00:16:15.720 to win

00:16:16.040 this thing?

00:16:17.200 I thought

00:16:17.720 that's the

00:16:18.060 whole point

00:16:18.620 of being

00:16:19.220 the moderate

00:16:19.960 is that

00:16:21.140 a moderate

00:16:21.840 can attract

00:16:22.460 enough people

00:16:23.060 to win.

00:16:24.120 But as

00:16:24.580 soon as he

00:16:25.020 throws in

00:16:25.540 this Beto

00:16:26.080 O'Rourke

00:16:26.500 thing,

00:16:27.460 that doesn't

00:16:28.200 even look

00:16:28.540 like trying

00:16:29.020 to win.

00:16:30.160 That looks

00:16:30.600 like trying

00:16:31.040 to lose.

00:16:31.520 does he

00:16:34.080 need

00:16:34.300 taxes?

00:16:35.300 What's

00:16:35.740 up with

00:16:36.060 this?

00:16:36.720 It doesn't

00:16:37.060 make any

00:16:37.400 sense that

00:16:37.860 he would

00:16:38.100 do that.

00:16:40.620 President

00:16:41.140 Trump's

00:16:41.480 getting some

00:16:42.000 heat for

00:16:44.400 continually

00:16:45.020 saying that

00:16:45.800 a coronavirus

00:16:46.520 vaccine might

00:16:47.640 be available

00:16:48.260 in a few

00:16:49.280 months.

00:16:49.680 months.

00:16:50.960 But then

00:16:51.640 the expert

00:16:52.100 goes up

00:16:52.740 six seconds

00:16:54.780 later and

00:16:55.500 says,

00:16:56.560 no, we

00:16:57.540 won't have

00:16:58.200 a vaccine

00:16:59.100 that can

00:16:59.480 go through

00:16:59.860 the tests

00:17:00.340 and the

00:17:00.620 trials for

00:17:01.900 a year to

00:17:02.460 18 months.

00:17:04.040 And then

00:17:04.660 the president

00:17:05.140 gets up

00:17:05.860 and says,

00:17:06.960 yep, we'll

00:17:07.340 have a vaccine

00:17:07.940 available in a

00:17:08.540 few months.

00:17:09.540 And then the

00:17:10.320 experts say,

00:17:11.840 well, more

00:17:12.280 like a year

00:17:12.720 to 18 months.

00:17:14.340 Now, is

00:17:15.580 the president

00:17:16.120 wrong?

00:17:18.920 Is the

00:17:19.600 president lying?

00:17:22.080 What's

00:17:22.600 happening?

00:17:24.020 So how can

00:17:25.180 you explain

00:17:25.700 that the

00:17:26.040 president, it's

00:17:27.240 been more

00:17:27.580 than once,

00:17:28.260 right?

00:17:28.640 He's obviously

00:17:29.560 heard the

00:17:30.280 experts because

00:17:31.260 it happened

00:17:31.600 right in front

00:17:32.140 of him the

00:17:32.500 other day.

00:17:33.120 So he knows

00:17:34.000 what the

00:17:34.240 experts are

00:17:34.680 saying.

00:17:35.220 There's no

00:17:35.700 mystery there.

00:17:36.840 And yet he

00:17:37.580 says, we'll

00:17:38.800 have it in

00:17:39.160 months.

00:17:40.460 How do you

00:17:41.120 explain it?

00:17:42.340 Well, here's

00:17:42.840 my hypothesis.

00:17:46.080 And it goes

00:17:46.520 like this.

00:17:47.300 Because the

00:17:48.000 coronavirus is

00:17:49.020 an emergency

00:17:49.880 global situation

00:17:51.440 ish, you

00:17:54.060 know, we're

00:17:54.720 not calling it

00:17:55.400 a pandemic

00:17:55.840 yet, I

00:17:56.360 guess, but

00:17:57.260 it's certainly

00:17:57.620 a global

00:17:58.180 emergency.

00:18:00.120 Under a

00:18:00.920 global emergency,

00:18:01.680 the rules and

00:18:03.520 the risk

00:18:04.040 management are

00:18:05.000 different.

00:18:06.220 So we're

00:18:07.440 all so

00:18:07.980 conditioned that

00:18:09.040 you can't

00:18:09.540 have a

00:18:10.240 drug, you 0.60

00:18:12.240 know, unleashed

00:18:13.360 on the

00:18:13.680 public without

00:18:14.280 going through

00:18:14.900 all of the

00:18:15.380 rigorous testing.

00:18:17.120 But that's

00:18:18.020 in a non-emergency

00:18:19.160 situation.

00:18:20.920 In an emergency

00:18:22.240 situation, and

00:18:24.120 you already see

00:18:24.680 it happening, you

00:18:26.000 see regulations

00:18:26.820 immediately being

00:18:27.960 dispensed with

00:18:28.700 because it's an

00:18:29.900 emergency.

00:18:31.080 We saw that

00:18:31.900 with, apparently

00:18:32.700 there were some

00:18:33.260 regulations around

00:18:34.200 what type of

00:18:35.680 profession could

00:18:36.520 test somebody for

00:18:37.440 coronavirus.

00:18:37.820 coronavirus, and

00:18:38.980 that was

00:18:39.300 limiting the

00:18:39.980 number of

00:18:40.300 people who

00:18:40.740 could go out

00:18:41.200 and test.

00:18:42.920 Normally, that

00:18:43.520 would be okay.

00:18:44.520 You'd want your

00:18:45.120 most qualified

00:18:45.740 people to be

00:18:46.440 doing the

00:18:46.800 tests.

00:18:47.700 But it's an

00:18:49.280 emergency.

00:18:50.380 So the first

00:18:51.120 thing the

00:18:51.420 administration did

00:18:52.260 is say, oh,

00:18:53.080 that rule is in

00:18:53.980 the way.

00:18:55.120 Let's just get

00:18:55.780 rid of it.

00:18:56.860 So they just

00:18:57.280 got rid of the

00:18:57.820 rule.

00:18:58.780 And now other

00:18:59.420 people can do

00:19:00.560 testing, and

00:19:01.440 that'll be good.

00:19:02.340 So we know that

00:19:03.180 in an emergency,

00:19:03.940 rules are

00:19:05.540 dispensed with.

00:19:07.160 Now, could you

00:19:08.860 imagine that we

00:19:10.880 would ever

00:19:11.400 dispense with

00:19:12.320 testing a

00:19:13.820 vaccine?

00:19:15.060 I mean, that

00:19:15.400 seems crazy,

00:19:16.100 right?

00:19:16.720 I mean, just on

00:19:17.260 the surface, we're

00:19:19.020 not going to

00:19:19.680 inject 300

00:19:21.080 million citizens

00:19:22.260 or whatever with

00:19:24.020 a vaccine that

00:19:24.760 didn't go through

00:19:25.480 testing, are we?

00:19:28.300 Maybe.

00:19:30.040 Maybe.

00:19:31.600 And so here's

00:19:32.660 some questions

00:19:33.360 slash comments

00:19:34.800 on that.

00:19:35.960 Number one,

00:19:37.160 suppose another

00:19:38.320 country, let's

00:19:39.840 call it Israel, 0.89

00:19:41.240 developed and

00:19:42.420 fast-tracked the

00:19:43.660 approval of a

00:19:44.440 drug so it was

00:19:45.160 legal in Israel.

00:19:46.800 But we knew that

00:19:47.800 it would never be

00:19:48.500 legal in the

00:19:49.000 United States

00:19:49.640 unless it went

00:19:50.240 through our

00:19:50.820 testing system,

00:19:52.080 and that could

00:19:52.440 be 18 months.

00:19:54.540 Can you imagine

00:19:55.360 a situation in

00:19:57.840 which the

00:19:58.380 president, the

00:19:59.900 leadership of the

00:20:00.500 country says,

00:20:01.640 okay, I know

00:20:02.320 this is a risk,

00:20:03.360 nobody's going to

00:20:05.600 kid you, this is

00:20:07.320 a risk.

00:20:08.680 Israel believes 0.76

00:20:10.020 that they have

00:20:10.460 tested it, this

00:20:11.520 is just hypothetical,

00:20:12.460 right?

00:20:13.160 Israel believes 0.76

00:20:13.920 they've tested it

00:20:14.660 sufficiently.

00:20:16.220 We would test it

00:20:17.360 way more than that,

00:20:18.580 but we don't have

00:20:19.680 time, and it's

00:20:20.740 an emergency.

00:20:21.740 So we're going to

00:20:22.440 make this available.

00:20:23.740 You don't have to

00:20:24.860 take it.

00:20:26.640 It's optional.

00:20:28.240 Nobody's going to

00:20:28.960 force you, but

00:20:30.700 here's the deal.

00:20:32.180 It's not tested up

00:20:33.260 to American

00:20:33.760 standards.

00:20:34.820 It has been

00:20:35.780 tested to X

00:20:37.420 other country

00:20:38.060 standard that's

00:20:39.020 a modern country,

00:20:40.340 and we trust them.

00:20:41.260 They have real

00:20:41.620 scientists.

00:20:44.040 Can the

00:20:44.680 president say,

00:20:45.520 it's an emergency,

00:20:46.800 we're just going to

00:20:47.740 allow people to

00:20:48.400 take this?

00:20:48.860 I think he can.

00:20:52.220 I think he can.

00:20:53.580 So could it be

00:20:54.640 simultaneously true,

00:20:56.240 because apparently

00:20:57.000 Israel is claiming

00:20:58.100 that they will have

00:20:59.420 some kind of a

00:21:00.020 vaccine in 90

00:21:00.860 days.

00:21:01.660 So is the

00:21:02.540 president correct

00:21:03.340 when saying that

00:21:04.140 in a few months

00:21:05.000 we'll have a

00:21:05.780 vaccine?

00:21:07.980 Sort of yes.

00:21:10.140 Sort of yes.

00:21:11.120 I think what

00:21:12.140 we'll have is a

00:21:13.760 vaccine option,

00:21:15.820 meaning that we

00:21:17.620 can take on more

00:21:18.580 risk than we've

00:21:19.780 perhaps ever taken

00:21:20.840 on, but we'll

00:21:22.600 have the option.

00:21:24.260 Now, you would

00:21:24.980 never have that

00:21:25.660 option if it were

00:21:26.560 not an emergency,

00:21:27.620 but it's an

00:21:28.300 emergency.

00:21:29.980 So, and then

00:21:30.980 here's an open

00:21:32.120 question.

00:21:32.780 So my question

00:21:34.420 to you is this.

00:21:35.920 All of our

00:21:36.760 normal flu vaccines

00:21:38.560 go through a

00:21:39.300 testing process.

00:21:41.200 Can somebody

00:21:41.840 tell me how

00:21:43.060 many of those

00:21:43.780 vaccines, just

00:21:45.280 the normal

00:21:45.880 vaccines for

00:21:46.680 regular flu,

00:21:47.620 for years that

00:21:48.360 we test, how

00:21:49.640 many of those

00:21:50.320 vaccines were

00:21:52.580 found in human

00:21:53.680 tests to cause

00:21:55.060 harm to

00:21:56.820 humans?

00:21:58.220 Can anybody in

00:21:59.140 the comments tell

00:22:00.120 me that off the

00:22:00.780 top of their

00:22:01.180 head?

00:22:02.180 What percentage

00:22:03.160 of all the

00:22:04.400 vaccines we've

00:22:05.320 tested for flu

00:22:06.580 virus, and

00:22:07.220 again, I'm

00:22:07.640 going to limit

00:22:08.780 it to flu

00:22:09.700 virus.

00:22:10.360 That's the

00:22:10.700 important part.

00:22:11.800 Just flu

00:22:12.560 virus.

00:22:13.720 Those tests,

00:22:15.000 how often do

00:22:15.740 we do a test

00:22:16.440 and we

00:22:16.860 say, oh,

00:22:17.320 stop the

00:22:17.920 test, people

00:22:19.100 are getting

00:22:19.400 cancer, that

00:22:20.360 sort of thing.

00:22:21.560 Somebody says

00:22:22.080 45%, but I

00:22:23.300 think you're

00:22:23.780 wrong.

00:22:24.800 I think, and

00:22:26.260 again, fact

00:22:27.060 check me

00:22:27.440 please, I

00:22:29.260 think that when

00:22:29.840 a vaccine

00:22:30.320 doesn't work,

00:22:31.580 it's because it's

00:22:32.880 just not stopping

00:22:33.700 the virus.

00:22:36.080 Somebody says

00:22:36.920 all of them,

00:22:37.580 100%.

00:22:38.300 my guess is

00:22:40.260 that every

00:22:41.280 flu vaccine

00:22:43.760 we test

00:22:44.580 comes back

00:22:46.040 safe enough,

00:22:47.840 but some

00:22:48.280 of them

00:22:49.220 probably are

00:22:54.820 not effective.

00:22:56.060 In fact, the

00:22:57.360 best flu

00:22:57.940 vaccines are

00:22:58.620 sort of like

00:22:59.080 50% effective

00:23:00.680 sometimes.

00:23:02.260 So, could

00:23:03.980 it be, and

00:23:05.060 I'm just going

00:23:05.460 to put the

00:23:05.760 question out

00:23:06.320 there, could

00:23:07.240 it be that

00:23:07.780 the nature

00:23:08.500 of the way

00:23:09.300 scientists do

00:23:10.240 flu vaccines

00:23:11.120 is that it's

00:23:12.440 always a small

00:23:13.160 tweak from the

00:23:14.360 last one, and

00:23:15.700 the thing they're

00:23:16.280 tweaking is not

00:23:17.100 the thing that's

00:23:17.660 dangerous.

00:23:19.080 Suppose

00:23:19.520 scientists came

00:23:20.560 to you and

00:23:21.020 said, look, we

00:23:22.200 haven't tested

00:23:22.820 this one, but

00:23:24.280 we've tested

00:23:24.940 25 of these

00:23:26.240 that are just

00:23:26.780 like it, and

00:23:27.540 out of 25,

00:23:28.960 not one of

00:23:29.580 them hurt

00:23:29.960 anybody.

00:23:30.840 Oh, okay,

00:23:31.420 well, we did

00:23:32.000 have this one

00:23:32.840 case where people

00:23:33.560 were hurt, but

00:23:34.740 we knew it was

00:23:35.280 because of this

00:23:35.800 one element, and

00:23:36.800 we took that

00:23:37.280 out 10 years

00:23:37.920 ago.

00:23:39.440 Suppose that's

00:23:40.120 the story you

00:23:40.700 hear.

00:23:41.580 We didn't

00:23:42.060 test it, but

00:23:42.700 it's so close to

00:23:43.880 the things we

00:23:44.320 have tested, we

00:23:45.940 think it's worth

00:23:46.540 the risk.

00:23:48.060 I think that's

00:23:48.860 what's happening.

00:23:49.700 I think the

00:23:50.120 president is

00:23:50.700 simply keeping

00:23:51.240 the options

00:23:51.740 open, and I

00:23:53.720 heard people say

00:23:54.340 that his usual

00:23:55.240 hyperbole is

00:23:56.840 misplaced because

00:23:58.100 in a medical

00:23:58.740 situation, you

00:23:59.940 really, really

00:24:00.600 need to play it

00:24:01.340 straight.

00:24:01.660 I don't

00:24:03.440 know, because

00:24:04.740 the president

00:24:05.240 is dealing

00:24:05.960 with the

00:24:07.180 psychology of

00:24:07.960 the country, and

00:24:08.580 that's very

00:24:08.980 important.

00:24:10.420 And when the

00:24:10.860 president says

00:24:11.520 we might have

00:24:12.100 a vaccine in

00:24:13.220 a few months, I

00:24:16.100 feel better than

00:24:18.180 when the expert

00:24:18.900 says now it's

00:24:19.640 18 months.

00:24:21.240 But does the

00:24:22.620 way I feel

00:24:23.280 about it change

00:24:25.020 whether or not

00:24:25.620 it will be

00:24:26.140 available in a

00:24:27.140 few months or

00:24:27.720 18?

00:24:27.980 It doesn't.

00:24:28.380 But my

00:24:29.180 feelings are

00:24:29.960 disconnected from

00:24:31.100 the stuff that

00:24:32.360 matters.

00:24:33.400 So if the

00:24:33.800 president is

00:24:34.540 making me feel

00:24:35.820 more comfortable

00:24:36.500 by giving me a

00:24:38.100 little over

00:24:38.580 optimistic view

00:24:40.340 of the vaccine,

00:24:41.540 but there's

00:24:42.180 nothing I can

00:24:42.780 do about it

00:24:43.340 either way, I

00:24:44.320 mean, what

00:24:45.400 can I do?

00:24:46.420 I kind of

00:24:47.400 prefer it.

00:24:48.840 I think I'd

00:24:49.500 prefer a little

00:24:50.200 happy talk as

00:24:51.580 long as they're

00:24:52.060 doing the right

00:24:52.760 stuff.

00:24:53.960 I don't want a 1.00

00:24:54.880 happy talk that

00:24:56.260 leads me to do

00:24:57.000 the wrong stuff,

00:24:57.780 but if it

00:24:58.260 leads me to do

00:24:58.780 the right

00:24:59.040 stuff, eh.

00:25:02.040 What the hell

00:25:02.760 is up with a

00:25:04.500 one-term president

00:25:05.520 for the

00:25:06.040 Democrats?

00:25:07.140 Correct me if

00:25:07.840 I'm wrong, but

00:25:08.400 the Democrats

00:25:08.920 are intentionally

00:25:10.080 running, if

00:25:11.620 you're looking at

00:25:12.100 Bernie or

00:25:12.780 Biden or even

00:25:13.880 Bloomberg, are

00:25:15.980 they not one-term

00:25:17.180 presidents by

00:25:17.920 definition, just

00:25:18.900 because of age?

00:25:20.620 I'm not being

00:25:21.220 ageist, right?

00:25:22.560 Don't you think

00:25:23.400 that none of

00:25:23.980 them believe

00:25:24.460 they're two-term

00:25:25.100 presidents?

00:25:26.420 Now here's the

00:25:27.220 thing.

00:25:28.760 That's a big

00:25:29.600 deal, because if

00:25:32.120 you have a one-term

00:25:33.280 president that

00:25:34.040 everyone knows is a

00:25:35.120 one-term president,

00:25:36.100 that's the real

00:25:37.200 trick.

00:25:37.720 Everybody knows

00:25:38.360 it.

00:25:39.280 How much work is

00:25:40.220 that president

00:25:40.720 going to get

00:25:41.260 done in the

00:25:42.600 fourth year of

00:25:44.100 his one-term

00:25:44.820 presidency?

00:25:45.820 And the answer

00:25:46.500 is nothing,

00:25:47.680 because that's

00:25:48.320 the lame-duck

00:25:49.060 year.

00:25:50.660 You could argue

00:25:51.400 that the whole

00:25:51.840 four years is

00:25:52.540 lame-duck, but

00:25:53.240 certainly the

00:25:54.380 last year,

00:25:55.060 Congress is

00:25:56.340 going to say,

00:25:56.740 we'll wait for

00:25:57.800 the election.

00:25:58.540 Maybe we get a

00:25:59.180 different president,

00:25:59.920 get another

00:26:00.300 result.

00:26:01.640 So you lose

00:26:02.840 that one year,

00:26:03.580 and that's 25%

00:26:04.560 of the

00:26:05.120 administration.

00:26:06.480 But what about

00:26:06.940 the first year?

00:26:09.160 You saw what

00:26:09.940 happened with

00:26:10.340 Trump, right?

00:26:11.040 And I don't know,

00:26:12.040 maybe it was the

00:26:12.540 same with Clinton

00:26:13.760 and Obama and

00:26:14.720 others.

00:26:15.400 It takes about a

00:26:16.340 year to get up

00:26:16.860 to speed.

00:26:18.260 You know, get

00:26:19.000 new people in

00:26:19.880 there, they're

00:26:20.380 getting up to speed.

00:26:20.960 So the first

00:26:21.960 year is just

00:26:22.540 getting up to

00:26:23.120 speed.

00:26:24.000 The fourth

00:26:24.920 year is

00:26:26.260 lame-duck.

00:26:27.760 You're only

00:26:28.480 getting half a

00:26:29.300 president.

00:26:30.480 There's two

00:26:31.180 years in the

00:26:31.660 middle, and

00:26:32.460 I'm not even

00:26:33.020 sure that that's

00:26:33.980 not a little

00:26:34.720 bit lame-ducky,

00:26:35.700 if you know

00:26:36.080 what I mean.

00:26:37.400 So Democrats

00:26:38.880 are proposing

00:26:39.740 a potential

00:26:41.020 one-term

00:26:42.400 president, no

00:26:43.220 matter who it

00:26:43.720 is, the top

00:26:44.340 three vote

00:26:45.600 getters right

00:26:46.020 now.

00:26:47.760 How do we

00:26:48.480 accept that?

00:26:49.600 How do we

00:26:50.440 ignore that?

00:26:52.100 To me, the

00:26:53.480 math of that

00:26:54.240 is unavoidable.

00:26:57.580 Whether it's a

00:26:58.560 Democrat or a

00:26:59.380 Republican, if

00:27:00.060 you can get

00:27:00.700 an eight-year

00:27:02.240 president, then

00:27:04.020 the percentage

00:27:04.560 of set-up

00:27:06.180 and down

00:27:07.060 time is

00:27:08.280 small.

00:27:09.320 I want the

00:27:10.760 least amount

00:27:11.380 of time that

00:27:12.700 I have a

00:27:13.060 president who

00:27:13.600 is ineffective

00:27:14.280 on the job.

00:27:15.440 And a one-term

00:27:16.060 president is just

00:27:16.720 a bad deal.

00:27:18.500 All right.

00:27:18.740 What else

00:27:22.420 have we got

00:27:22.700 going on

00:27:23.120 here?

00:27:25.140 I asked this

00:27:26.020 question on

00:27:26.600 Twitter, and

00:27:27.640 of course it

00:27:28.260 seems trollish

00:27:29.340 that I asked,

00:27:30.100 but it's

00:27:30.800 actually a

00:27:31.680 real question.

00:27:33.160 Which of the

00:27:33.960 remaining top

00:27:35.340 candidates for

00:27:36.480 president could

00:27:37.380 survive a

00:27:38.480 coronavirus

00:27:39.000 infection?

00:27:42.080 In other

00:27:42.760 words, if

00:27:43.320 Mike Bloomberg,

00:27:44.440 Bernie Sanders,

00:27:45.760 Joe Biden,

00:27:46.340 and President

00:27:48.180 Trump, all

00:27:49.600 got the

00:27:50.020 coronavirus on

00:27:50.880 the same

00:27:51.220 day, what

00:27:52.660 would you

00:27:52.980 expect of

00:27:53.560 the outcomes?

00:27:55.300 Well, of

00:27:56.040 course, my

00:27:56.840 non-scientific

00:27:58.180 poll, as I

00:27:59.840 imagine, Bernie

00:28:00.840 got the most

00:28:01.560 votes for most

00:28:02.620 likely to not

00:28:03.500 survive

00:28:04.060 coronavirus.

00:28:06.180 And that's

00:28:07.500 not funny.

00:28:08.980 So I guess

00:28:09.540 it's so.

00:28:10.140 I was laughing

00:28:10.660 at something

00:28:11.060 else.

00:28:11.480 I thought of

00:28:12.080 a joke.

00:28:12.480 That's why I

00:28:12.900 laughed.

00:28:13.760 Not funny at

00:28:14.540 all.

00:28:15.500 But the

00:28:17.380 point is,

00:28:18.340 anybody who

00:28:19.000 says that's

00:28:19.640 not a

00:28:20.580 legitimate

00:28:21.020 variable to

00:28:22.000 consider, I

00:28:22.980 don't think

00:28:23.320 they're serious.

00:28:24.980 I don't think

00:28:25.920 they're serious.

00:28:26.680 At their

00:28:27.160 ages, and

00:28:28.680 given that

00:28:29.220 this coronavirus

00:28:29.940 does look

00:28:30.960 like it's

00:28:31.440 going to

00:28:31.680 get at

00:28:32.960 least everybody

00:28:33.620 who's in

00:28:34.160 public, and

00:28:35.720 they're out

00:28:36.080 there shaking

00:28:36.620 hands and

00:28:37.560 meeting lots

00:28:38.280 of supporters

00:28:38.840 and stuff

00:28:39.260 like that,

00:28:40.280 I think

00:28:41.240 they're all

00:28:41.700 going to get

00:28:42.140 it.

00:28:42.360 I think

00:28:43.520 all the

00:28:43.840 Democrats

00:28:44.200 are going

00:28:44.540 to get

00:28:44.760 coronavirus.

00:28:45.900 I do

00:28:46.540 think that

00:28:47.140 President

00:28:47.500 Trump has

00:28:48.080 a good

00:28:49.060 chance of

00:28:49.620 avoiding it

00:28:50.300 because the

00:28:51.420 president can

00:28:52.020 be protected.

00:28:53.900 Don't you

00:28:54.560 know that

00:28:54.880 there's somebody

00:28:55.400 who goes

00:28:55.860 in and

00:28:56.900 bleaches

00:28:57.520 off the

00:28:57.980 Oval

00:28:58.240 Office

00:28:58.620 about every

00:28:59.160 10 minutes?

00:29:00.200 Don't you

00:29:00.600 know that

00:29:01.000 the president

00:29:01.500 has probably

00:29:02.580 stopped shaking

00:29:03.500 hands?

00:29:04.200 I don't know.

00:29:05.160 Or maybe

00:29:05.640 he's got some

00:29:06.220 Purell in there

00:29:07.040 every time he

00:29:07.660 does.

00:29:08.520 But the

00:29:09.100 point is that

00:29:09.900 the president

00:29:10.380 at least has

00:29:11.040 the option

00:29:11.740 of doing

00:29:14.420 a far better

00:29:15.280 job of

00:29:15.740 staying away

00:29:16.240 from the

00:29:16.660 infected

00:29:17.100 public.

00:29:18.400 And he'd

00:29:18.660 have a lot

00:29:19.040 of help

00:29:19.320 doing that.

00:29:19.900 He'd be

00:29:20.160 surrounded by

00:29:20.700 a cocoon

00:29:21.400 of people

00:29:21.780 trying to

00:29:22.180 keep him

00:29:22.560 away.

00:29:23.400 But not

00:29:23.800 the candidates.

00:29:25.100 The ones

00:29:25.460 who are

00:29:25.680 running for

00:29:26.160 office,

00:29:26.580 they kind

00:29:27.060 of have

00:29:27.360 to get

00:29:27.620 out there.

00:29:28.540 And I

00:29:28.840 think they

00:29:29.160 will.

00:29:29.580 I don't

00:29:29.900 think they'll

00:29:30.320 stay home

00:29:30.820 because of

00:29:31.200 this.

00:29:32.100 So I

00:29:32.480 think they're

00:29:32.780 all going

00:29:33.020 to have

00:29:33.180 the

00:29:33.280 coronavirus.

00:29:34.660 So if

00:29:35.200 you tell

00:29:35.540 me that

00:29:36.000 a 78-year-old

00:29:37.580 candidate for

00:29:38.460 president who

00:29:39.280 has the

00:29:39.780 coronavirus,

00:29:40.380 you tell

00:29:41.140 me that

00:29:41.400 doesn't

00:29:41.700 matter?

00:29:43.200 I'm sorry,

00:29:43.840 that matters

00:29:44.260 a lot.

00:29:45.420 That's one

00:29:45.820 of the top

00:29:46.220 variables in

00:29:46.920 this thing.

00:29:48.780 So I

00:29:50.380 wonder how

00:29:50.780 long the

00:29:51.520 traditional

00:29:52.600 mainstream

00:29:53.220 media will

00:29:54.440 not talk

00:29:55.900 about that.

00:29:56.880 Because I

00:29:57.220 think it's

00:29:57.520 just so,

00:29:59.100 it's sort

00:30:00.120 of a

00:30:00.360 grotesque

00:30:01.060 topic to

00:30:02.480 talk about

00:30:02.980 somebody's

00:30:03.480 potential future

00:30:04.500 health problems.

00:30:05.460 We got into

00:30:06.100 this with

00:30:06.480 Hillary.

00:30:07.680 So I

00:30:08.320 don't know

00:30:08.860 if respectable

00:30:09.720 people will

00:30:10.440 ever even

00:30:10.900 take this

00:30:11.340 on as

00:30:11.660 a topic,

00:30:12.040 but it

00:30:12.780 would be

00:30:13.040 a disservice

00:30:13.620 to voters

00:30:14.740 because it's

00:30:16.140 a big

00:30:16.380 variable.

00:30:17.740 And when I

00:30:18.360 say it's a

00:30:18.720 big variable,

00:30:19.560 I would say

00:30:20.040 if you're

00:30:20.880 looking at

00:30:21.220 all the

00:30:21.560 things that

00:30:22.020 would make

00:30:22.380 you decide

00:30:22.860 to vote

00:30:23.220 for one

00:30:23.580 candidate

00:30:23.940 or another,

00:30:25.540 coronavirus

00:30:26.120 risk is,

00:30:27.960 that's a

00:30:28.520 solid 5%.

00:30:29.820 Wouldn't you

00:30:31.340 say?

00:30:32.220 Is that too

00:30:32.960 high?

00:30:33.480 Too low?

00:30:34.000 I think

00:30:34.920 it's a

00:30:35.200 5%

00:30:35.720 factor

00:30:37.360 of who

00:30:38.220 you should

00:30:38.500 vote for

00:30:38.860 president

00:30:39.180 this time.

00:30:43.000 Here's a

00:30:43.740 counterintuitive

00:30:44.720 thought about

00:30:45.920 coronavirus.

00:30:47.080 This comes

00:30:47.520 from Peter

00:30:48.280 Stimes,

00:30:49.660 sent me this

00:30:50.320 thought on

00:30:50.760 LinkedIn.

00:30:52.200 So Peter,

00:30:52.840 I'll credit

00:30:53.320 you on this,

00:30:54.020 and it goes

00:30:54.600 like this.

00:30:55.700 So we're

00:30:56.080 doing a

00:30:56.400 whole bunch

00:30:56.780 of stuff

00:30:57.280 to protect

00:30:58.580 us from

00:30:59.380 the coronavirus.

00:31:00.140 almost all

00:31:01.760 this stuff

00:31:02.340 we're doing

00:31:02.760 to protect

00:31:03.260 ourselves

00:31:03.820 also has

00:31:05.500 this weird

00:31:06.180 unintentional

00:31:07.760 impact,

00:31:09.460 which is

00:31:10.460 that it

00:31:10.780 makes us

00:31:11.160 safer from

00:31:12.020 other things.

00:31:14.000 So you

00:31:14.320 saw the

00:31:14.860 satellite

00:31:16.520 photos of

00:31:17.480 how China's

00:31:18.400 pollution just

00:31:19.320 dropped to

00:31:20.020 practically nothing

00:31:20.940 because everything

00:31:21.640 shut down

00:31:22.200 for a while.

00:31:23.660 Well, that's

00:31:24.420 one factor.

00:31:25.280 If pollution

00:31:25.760 is less,

00:31:26.880 fewer people

00:31:27.540 will die

00:31:27.920 from pollution.

00:31:29.220 So there

00:31:29.520 are some

00:31:29.900 people who

00:31:31.280 may have

00:31:31.620 actually had

00:31:32.040 a better

00:31:32.320 day that

00:31:32.720 day.

00:31:33.620 But that's

00:31:34.700 not the

00:31:34.980 big factor,

00:31:35.600 not the

00:31:35.980 pollution.

00:31:37.020 The big

00:31:37.540 factor is

00:31:37.980 just staying

00:31:38.440 home.

00:31:39.920 Suppose,

00:31:41.200 let's just

00:31:41.840 pick a

00:31:42.180 number.

00:31:42.780 Suppose 30%

00:31:44.000 of office

00:31:44.640 workers find

00:31:46.300 a way to

00:31:46.760 work from

00:31:47.140 home.

00:31:47.800 That's probably

00:31:48.300 high, but

00:31:48.820 let's just

00:31:49.180 go with that

00:31:49.640 number.

00:31:50.540 Let's say

00:31:50.800 30%.

00:31:51.580 So they

00:31:52.360 stop commuting

00:31:53.280 and they

00:31:54.720 just work

00:31:55.120 from home.

00:31:56.340 How much

00:31:57.120 traffic does

00:31:58.180 that reduce?

00:31:58.840 A lot.

00:32:00.560 Tens and

00:32:01.220 millions and

00:32:02.100 millions and

00:32:02.680 millions of

00:32:03.140 miles of

00:32:03.680 traffic.

00:32:04.780 How many

00:32:05.260 of that

00:32:05.640 people who

00:32:06.560 stayed home

00:32:07.140 would have

00:32:07.480 died in a

00:32:08.060 traffic accident?

00:32:09.740 Probably quite

00:32:10.580 a few.

00:32:11.480 Quite a few.

00:32:13.100 So you

00:32:13.860 have this,

00:32:14.400 and you also

00:32:15.160 have people who

00:32:15.740 are washing

00:32:16.140 their hands

00:32:16.660 more.

00:32:17.640 They're probably

00:32:18.540 people will

00:32:19.240 exercise more,

00:32:20.440 eat better.

00:32:21.640 There's a whole

00:32:22.300 bunch of stuff

00:32:22.980 that people are

00:32:23.560 going to be

00:32:23.860 doing that

00:32:24.920 could have the

00:32:25.420 weird unintended

00:32:26.220 effect of

00:32:27.160 protecting them

00:32:27.880 from unrelated

00:32:28.720 risks.

00:32:30.140 So you

00:32:30.760 might actually

00:32:31.480 have this

00:32:31.960 weird situation

00:32:32.760 where the

00:32:33.180 coronavirus kills

00:32:35.380 X number of

00:32:36.240 people with

00:32:37.660 the coronavirus,

00:32:38.940 but simultaneously

00:32:40.260 protects X number

00:32:42.620 of people who

00:32:43.200 didn't know that

00:32:43.820 they had any

00:32:44.280 risk, but they

00:32:45.500 would have been

00:32:45.860 in a car

00:32:46.300 accident that

00:32:46.920 day.

00:32:48.400 It's just a

00:32:49.320 food for thought

00:32:50.440 that we're really

00:32:51.480 bad at counting

00:32:52.600 counting up

00:32:53.380 this stuff.

00:32:55.200 So yesterday

00:32:57.200 I asked this

00:32:57.800 provocative question

00:32:58.720 and I thought

00:32:59.160 I'd have an

00:32:59.520 answer by now

00:33:00.160 and I'll tell

00:33:00.600 you what I

00:33:00.900 know.

00:33:01.860 It's really

00:33:02.300 interesting.

00:33:03.620 And I asked

00:33:04.320 this question,

00:33:04.900 why does any

00:33:05.600 virus ever

00:33:06.580 stop before

00:33:08.260 it infects

00:33:09.080 basically everybody?

00:33:10.860 In other words,

00:33:11.700 why would the

00:33:12.540 normal annual

00:33:13.400 virus, just an

00:33:14.700 ordinary one,

00:33:16.200 why does it

00:33:16.820 stop in the

00:33:17.360 summer?

00:33:18.260 And the reason

00:33:18.860 I asked is

00:33:19.440 because if I

00:33:20.420 knew the answer

00:33:20.980 to that, wouldn't

00:33:22.400 that tell me

00:33:23.000 how to prevent

00:33:23.880 the coronavirus?

00:33:26.700 Assuming that

00:33:27.440 a virus is a

00:33:29.700 virus for the

00:33:31.520 most part.

00:33:32.800 And I thought

00:33:34.240 that was some

00:33:34.820 well-known

00:33:35.500 thing.

00:33:37.160 And let me

00:33:37.840 tell you all

00:33:38.400 of the confident

00:33:40.020 answers I got

00:33:41.220 that are

00:33:42.120 different.

00:33:43.160 So when I

00:33:43.900 tell you these

00:33:44.400 are confident

00:33:45.080 answers and

00:33:45.880 they're different,

00:33:46.500 what I'm telling

00:33:47.080 you is that

00:33:47.640 apparently we

00:33:48.800 don't know.

00:33:49.960 Or let me

00:33:50.700 say this more

00:33:51.220 clearly, I

00:33:52.480 don't know.

00:33:53.780 So I don't

00:33:55.040 believe, and

00:33:55.920 Dr. Drew kind

00:33:57.460 of backed me

00:33:57.960 up on this,

00:33:58.520 we talked

00:33:59.260 offline, that

00:34:01.160 there are

00:34:01.600 studies that

00:34:02.240 suggest different

00:34:03.460 factors or the

00:34:04.460 reason that a

00:34:05.080 flu dies off,

00:34:06.780 but we don't

00:34:07.800 know.

00:34:09.320 Can you believe

00:34:10.080 that?

00:34:11.020 Now I know

00:34:11.460 some of you

00:34:12.080 are going

00:34:12.940 crazy right

00:34:13.660 now because

00:34:14.560 you're saying

00:34:14.940 to yourself,

00:34:15.500 Scott, we

00:34:16.580 do know,

00:34:17.920 we do know,

00:34:18.680 and you see

00:34:20.400 it's coming

00:34:20.740 out in the

00:34:21.500 answers.

00:34:23.100 People say,

00:34:23.660 Scott, we

00:34:23.960 know it's

00:34:24.260 humidity.

00:34:25.700 Humidity.

00:34:26.920 Because we

00:34:27.560 know that

00:34:27.920 there's something

00:34:28.360 about the

00:34:28.820 droplets in

00:34:29.520 the air that

00:34:30.480 suppresses the

00:34:32.380 transmission of

00:34:33.540 the virus.

00:34:35.100 So we do

00:34:35.500 know.

00:34:36.820 Nope.

00:34:37.900 No, we

00:34:38.280 don't.

00:34:39.060 All of you

00:34:39.680 who said

00:34:40.060 humidity is the

00:34:40.980 answer, you're

00:34:43.040 wrong.

00:34:43.900 Well, let me

00:34:45.120 not say you're

00:34:46.380 wrong.

00:34:46.600 Let me just

00:34:47.180 say science

00:34:47.900 does not

00:34:48.360 agree with

00:34:48.820 you.

00:34:50.060 In other

00:34:50.360 words, science

00:34:50.860 has not

00:34:51.300 confirmed that

00:34:52.660 that's the

00:34:53.140 reason a

00:34:53.680 virus stops.

00:34:55.020 Now wait,

00:34:55.600 you're saying,

00:34:56.220 yes, it

00:34:56.580 has.

00:34:57.500 Oh, yes, it

00:34:58.120 has.

00:34:58.440 We've seen

00:34:58.880 the studies.

00:35:00.420 The humidity

00:35:01.320 absolutely suppresses

00:35:03.160 the transmission

00:35:04.700 of viruses.

00:35:06.140 You're right.

00:35:09.300 Somebody says,

00:35:10.120 did anyone

00:35:10.440 check the

00:35:10.980 sun?

00:35:11.980 Clever

00:35:12.420 bastard.

00:35:13.100 Yes, I'm

00:35:13.460 going to talk

00:35:13.780 about the

00:35:14.120 sun.

00:35:14.320 But I

00:35:16.160 understand that

00:35:16.800 joke.

00:35:18.600 So here's

00:35:19.460 what we do

00:35:20.020 know.

00:35:21.000 Apparently,

00:35:21.760 humidity does

00:35:22.620 suppress the

00:35:23.860 virus, but it

00:35:24.540 doesn't eliminate

00:35:25.300 it.

00:35:26.420 It doesn't

00:35:27.120 eliminate it.

00:35:28.900 And here's

00:35:29.360 the thing.

00:35:30.560 Half of the

00:35:31.220 planet has

00:35:33.100 different

00:35:33.740 humidity.

00:35:36.280 So if one

00:35:37.500 place goes

00:35:38.440 from a good

00:35:39.300 place for a

00:35:39.920 virus to a

00:35:40.600 bad place for

00:35:41.220 a virus because

00:35:42.280 the humidity

00:35:42.800 changed seasonally,

00:35:44.320 someplace else

00:35:45.860 on the

00:35:46.160 earth, it

00:35:47.120 just went

00:35:47.600 the opposite

00:35:48.120 from a bad

00:35:49.100 place for a

00:35:49.900 virus to a

00:35:50.480 really good

00:35:50.940 place for a

00:35:51.480 virus, and

00:35:52.500 we're traveling

00:35:53.080 all the time.

00:35:54.540 There should

00:35:55.380 be no effect

00:35:56.680 whatsoever of

00:35:58.480 your town

00:35:59.320 suddenly having

00:36:00.680 the right kind

00:36:01.260 of humidity to

00:36:02.100 suppress the

00:36:02.720 virus because

00:36:04.260 the people with

00:36:05.480 the virus have

00:36:06.220 already traveled

00:36:06.860 to the other

00:36:07.440 town where it's

00:36:08.900 a perfect place

00:36:09.600 for a virus.

00:36:10.240 So the

00:36:12.860 humidity question

00:36:14.180 does answer

00:36:15.080 the question

00:36:15.700 of maybe why

00:36:17.200 there's less

00:36:17.740 of it.

00:36:19.000 It does not

00:36:19.900 answer the

00:36:20.380 question why

00:36:21.700 it just

00:36:22.060 stops.

00:36:23.860 Did that

00:36:24.800 make sense?

00:36:25.860 That the

00:36:26.220 humidity is

00:36:27.020 absolutely a

00:36:28.040 factor, science

00:36:29.360 agrees, but it's

00:36:30.680 not anywhere near

00:36:31.740 enough of a

00:36:32.300 factor that it

00:36:33.660 would explain why

00:36:34.360 the virus just

00:36:34.980 stops.

00:36:35.380 All right,

00:36:36.360 here's some

00:36:36.680 other suggestions

00:36:37.740 people have

00:36:38.320 given me that

00:36:38.900 are equally

00:36:39.360 confident, but

00:36:41.200 it doesn't mean

00:36:41.740 they're right.

00:36:42.780 One is that

00:36:43.420 I heard some

00:36:44.820 people say the

00:36:45.540 sun, the rays

00:36:47.200 of the sun

00:36:47.700 kill the virus,

00:36:49.140 to which I

00:36:50.040 say, how much

00:36:51.780 of the virus is

00:36:52.700 spread outdoors?

00:36:55.060 I'm no

00:36:55.580 scientist, but I

00:36:57.040 have to think

00:36:57.720 that the virus is

00:36:58.640 not spreading in

00:36:59.440 the woods.

00:37:00.580 If you take a

00:37:01.320 walk in the

00:37:02.600 park, are you

00:37:03.800 going to catch

00:37:04.240 the virus?

00:37:05.380 I don't think

00:37:05.960 so.

00:37:06.240 I think it's

00:37:06.640 using the

00:37:07.200 bathroom and

00:37:08.000 interacting with

00:37:09.200 your co-workers

00:37:09.840 and being

00:37:10.280 indoors.

00:37:11.320 So even if

00:37:12.020 the sun's

00:37:14.080 rays, we'll

00:37:15.420 talk about

00:37:15.860 vitamin D in

00:37:16.440 a minute, but

00:37:16.860 even if the

00:37:17.360 sun's rays are

00:37:18.380 killing virus,

00:37:20.160 in my mind,

00:37:20.820 that shouldn't

00:37:21.100 make any

00:37:21.480 difference at

00:37:21.900 all, because

00:37:23.240 it's mostly

00:37:23.760 transmitted

00:37:24.300 indoors.

00:37:26.840 Other people

00:37:27.560 said that

00:37:28.240 vitamin D is

00:37:30.060 a big factor

00:37:30.840 in protecting

00:37:32.320 yourself.

00:37:33.620 So if it's

00:37:34.760 a sunnier

00:37:35.460 season, we're

00:37:36.340 getting more

00:37:36.780 vitamin D, we're

00:37:37.600 in the sun, and

00:37:38.960 it's not that the

00:37:39.720 virus is

00:37:41.520 different, it's

00:37:42.300 just that we're

00:37:42.800 more immune to

00:37:43.520 it because we

00:37:43.980 have all that

00:37:44.460 vitamin D.

00:37:45.840 Do you think

00:37:46.320 that makes

00:37:46.740 sense?

00:37:47.860 I don't.

00:37:49.080 Because here's

00:37:49.600 what's missing.

00:37:50.940 Wouldn't the

00:37:51.420 CDC be telling

00:37:52.480 us to get out

00:37:53.180 in the sun?

00:37:54.660 I mean, really?

00:37:55.940 If that

00:37:56.600 worked, wouldn't

00:37:58.280 the CDC know

00:37:59.280 it?

00:38:01.040 Wouldn't the

00:38:01.680 CDC be telling

00:38:02.640 you to do more

00:38:03.380 than wash 0.63

00:38:03.840 your hands?

00:38:05.240 Wouldn't they

00:38:05.760 be telling

00:38:06.120 you to get

00:38:06.660 a humidifier?

00:38:08.320 Wouldn't they

00:38:08.760 be telling

00:38:09.180 you to get

00:38:10.860 more sun, take

00:38:11.780 vitamin D?

00:38:13.120 Wouldn't they

00:38:13.520 be telling

00:38:13.840 you that?

00:38:14.900 So I don't

00:38:15.860 believe that

00:38:16.740 the vitamin D

00:38:17.420 explanation gets

00:38:19.380 it right.

00:38:20.720 Here's another

00:38:21.500 theory, that

00:38:22.660 the virus

00:38:23.220 mutates.

00:38:25.000 So whatever

00:38:25.580 got it into

00:38:26.320 humans in the

00:38:27.000 first place was

00:38:27.780 some kind of

00:38:28.340 a mutation

00:38:29.220 that went

00:38:29.700 through animals,

00:38:30.800 presumably.

00:38:31.140 And the

00:38:33.680 thought is

00:38:34.080 every time

00:38:34.500 somebody passes

00:38:35.220 it to someone

00:38:35.800 else, it

00:38:36.240 gets a little

00:38:36.660 bit mutated

00:38:37.380 until eventually

00:38:38.860 it mutates to

00:38:40.120 the point where

00:38:40.600 it's not

00:38:40.920 dangerous.

00:38:43.200 Is that

00:38:43.860 real?

00:38:44.640 I have no

00:38:45.380 idea.

00:38:46.340 Again, let

00:38:47.000 me say for

00:38:48.460 if anybody's

00:38:49.160 tuning in late,

00:38:50.220 everything I

00:38:50.880 mention as a

00:38:51.660 reason that

00:38:52.220 viruses, any

00:38:53.580 kind of virus

00:38:54.280 eventually stops

00:38:55.380 infecting people,

00:38:57.500 none of them

00:38:58.300 seem solid.

00:38:59.300 there's

00:39:00.960 something wrong

00:39:01.960 with all of

00:39:02.520 these explanations.

00:39:03.860 And I'm

00:39:04.040 going to go

00:39:04.320 with Dr.

00:39:05.380 Drew's

00:39:05.940 overall summary,

00:39:08.100 which is, it's

00:39:08.820 a little unclear.

00:39:10.280 We just don't

00:39:11.140 know why they

00:39:11.680 stop.

00:39:12.380 We know what

00:39:13.080 can influence

00:39:13.620 them, but we

00:39:14.320 don't know why

00:39:14.680 it stops.

00:39:15.560 That's a whole

00:39:15.920 different question.

00:39:17.780 But here's the

00:39:18.560 most provocative

00:39:19.360 thing I saw, and

00:39:21.140 I want to say as

00:39:21.760 clearly as

00:39:22.400 possible.

00:39:23.840 What I'm

00:39:24.480 going to say

00:39:24.820 next is unlikely

00:39:26.100 to be true.

00:39:28.200 Please hear

00:39:28.880 that, because

00:39:30.160 I'm going to

00:39:30.480 give you a

00:39:30.920 little conspiracy

00:39:31.800 theory-ish thing

00:39:33.480 that is

00:39:35.060 interesting.

00:39:36.060 I think it's

00:39:36.460 worth putting

00:39:37.420 out there, but

00:39:38.640 don't assume

00:39:39.360 that this is

00:39:39.920 true.

00:39:40.360 It's in the

00:39:40.940 category of

00:39:41.620 things that if

00:39:42.800 you had to

00:39:43.200 bet on it, you

00:39:44.660 should bet

00:39:45.020 against it.

00:39:46.100 But it's

00:39:46.480 interesting.

00:39:47.340 It goes like

00:39:47.920 this.

00:39:50.580 Apparently, and

00:39:51.360 again, you'd

00:39:51.760 have to fact

00:39:52.300 check me on

00:39:52.800 this.

00:39:53.120 This is just

00:39:53.620 maybe this is

00:39:54.880 true, I don't

00:39:55.360 know, that the

00:39:57.100 antivirals are 0.99

00:39:58.220 not having

00:39:58.700 much effect

00:39:59.420 on this

00:40:00.160 coronavirus.

00:40:01.340 So I'm just

00:40:01.840 going to give

00:40:02.140 you some

00:40:02.420 data points.

00:40:03.800 So why

00:40:04.140 would it be

00:40:04.620 a virus?

00:40:06.120 The antivirals

00:40:07.160 are not

00:40:07.480 working.

00:40:08.100 Well, maybe

00:40:08.660 they're just

00:40:09.100 not targeted

00:40:10.240 for that

00:40:10.720 virus.

00:40:11.240 That makes

00:40:11.560 sense.

00:40:12.260 But here's

00:40:12.680 the part

00:40:13.040 that's

00:40:13.280 confusing.

00:40:14.780 Apparently,

00:40:15.500 there has

00:40:15.980 been some

00:40:16.800 success with

00:40:18.220 antibiotics.

00:40:20.400 Why would

00:40:21.140 an antibiotic

00:40:22.020 help you

00:40:23.840 with a

00:40:24.180 virus?

00:40:26.180 It

00:40:26.700 wouldn't.

00:40:27.940 But it

00:40:28.580 is.

00:40:30.220 See where

00:40:30.920 I'm going

00:40:31.220 here?

00:40:32.220 All right.

00:40:32.560 So there's

00:40:33.540 some suggestion

00:40:34.200 that it's

00:40:34.940 not a

00:40:35.300 virus.

00:40:37.320 And the

00:40:37.940 specific,

00:40:38.800 let's say,

00:40:41.200 hypothesis,

00:40:42.280 is that it's

00:40:43.320 a form of

00:40:43.940 tuberculosis.

00:40:46.100 And here's

00:40:47.420 the interesting

00:40:47.900 part.

00:40:49.100 And so

00:40:49.640 was the

00:40:50.080 Spanish flu.

00:40:50.780 So, you

00:40:52.480 know, we

00:40:52.680 keep comparing

00:40:53.220 this to the

00:40:53.720 Spanish flu

00:40:54.300 because it

00:40:54.660 seems to

00:40:54.960 have some

00:40:55.260 qualities like

00:40:55.980 that.

00:40:56.700 But apparently

00:40:57.260 there is

00:40:58.100 some scientific

00:40:59.920 question about

00:41:01.460 whether the

00:41:01.980 Spanish flu

00:41:02.820 was a

00:41:04.500 flu.

00:41:05.980 Because

00:41:06.520 apparently

00:41:06.880 there's a

00:41:07.460 form of

00:41:08.040 tuberculosis

00:41:08.880 that can

00:41:09.740 mimic the

00:41:10.340 flu and

00:41:11.540 then give

00:41:11.920 you the

00:41:12.320 lung

00:41:12.740 infections.

00:41:13.900 And here's

00:41:14.240 the other

00:41:14.520 interesting

00:41:14.920 part.

00:41:16.000 Apparently,

00:41:16.780 and again,

00:41:18.700 if you

00:41:19.340 had to

00:41:19.700 bet,

00:41:20.780 you should

00:41:21.240 bet that

00:41:21.820 nothing I'm

00:41:22.480 saying right

00:41:22.980 now is

00:41:23.760 true.

00:41:24.660 I'm just

00:41:25.000 telling you

00:41:25.560 it's

00:41:26.020 interesting and

00:41:26.760 I'm reading

00:41:27.120 it on the

00:41:27.540 internet.

00:41:27.960 It's really

00:41:28.760 interesting.

00:41:30.380 There's a

00:41:31.040 weird aspect

00:41:31.880 of this

00:41:32.760 weird

00:41:33.140 tuberculosis

00:41:34.000 which is

00:41:34.620 that kids

00:41:35.220 don't tend

00:41:36.240 to get

00:41:36.660 it.

00:41:38.320 Do kids

00:41:39.380 tend to

00:41:39.980 get the

00:41:40.460 regular

00:41:40.840 flu?

00:41:42.520 They do.

00:41:44.400 But kids

00:41:45.000 do not seem

00:41:45.620 to get

00:41:45.960 coronavirus.

00:41:47.420 Do you

00:41:47.740 know what

00:41:48.020 else kids

00:41:49.180 did not

00:41:49.880 get?

00:41:51.600 Spanish flu.

00:41:53.680 Again, I

00:41:54.300 don't know if

00:41:54.600 that's true.

00:41:55.160 It's just

00:41:55.380 something I

00:41:55.680 read today.

00:41:58.480 And then

00:41:59.900 apparently

00:42:00.340 the

00:42:01.100 tuberculosis

00:42:03.380 can somehow

00:42:05.240 be paired

00:42:06.040 with a

00:42:06.620 virus such

00:42:08.940 that every

00:42:09.540 time you

00:42:09.900 look for

00:42:10.260 the virus

00:42:10.760 you would

00:42:11.140 find it

00:42:11.680 because it

00:42:12.820 came paired

00:42:13.420 with the

00:42:13.820 tuberculosis.

00:42:14.820 But it's

00:42:15.300 not the

00:42:15.660 virus that's

00:42:16.240 actually the

00:42:16.880 problem.

00:42:17.300 The

00:42:18.940 problem is

00:42:19.700 the underlying

00:42:20.340 tuberculosis

00:42:21.100 which in

00:42:21.840 this hypothesis

00:42:22.880 would not

00:42:23.580 be identified.

00:42:25.720 Here's

00:42:26.160 another thing.

00:42:27.560 Didn't you

00:42:28.000 always think

00:42:28.500 that if you

00:42:28.940 got the

00:42:29.320 flu you

00:42:31.040 had an

00:42:31.440 immunity and

00:42:32.660 then you

00:42:32.980 couldn't get

00:42:33.420 it again?

00:42:34.760 Right?

00:42:36.240 Isn't that

00:42:36.880 the whole

00:42:37.160 point of

00:42:37.660 vaccination?

00:42:39.540 The

00:42:39.760 vaccination is

00:42:40.620 sort of like

00:42:41.460 the flu and

00:42:43.180 so it's

00:42:43.480 enough to give

00:42:44.000 you antibodies

00:42:44.580 and then you

00:42:45.100 can't get

00:42:45.420 the flu

00:42:45.700 again?

00:42:46.380 Now nothing's

00:42:47.040 100% but

00:42:48.500 we're hearing

00:42:48.940 stuff about

00:42:49.660 this coronavirus

00:42:52.460 maybe you

00:42:54.100 could get

00:42:54.460 reinfected.

00:42:55.920 Like maybe

00:42:56.600 that's a

00:42:57.020 thing.

00:42:57.840 Not confirmed

00:42:58.560 yet but there

00:42:59.480 seem to be

00:42:59.940 some reports

00:43:00.640 that you can

00:43:01.620 get reinfected.

00:43:03.060 Do you know

00:43:03.420 what other

00:43:03.920 flu had that

00:43:05.760 quality?

00:43:06.800 Because it's

00:43:07.360 different than

00:43:07.900 the flus we

00:43:08.800 see every year.

00:43:09.880 There was one

00:43:10.480 other flu that

00:43:11.840 had that quality

00:43:12.620 that you could

00:43:13.140 get reinfected.

00:43:14.580 Spanish flu.

00:43:17.240 So Spanish 0.87

00:43:19.160 flu and

00:43:22.300 this coronavirus

00:43:23.360 have these

00:43:24.280 qualities.

00:43:25.900 Well this was

00:43:26.740 before the

00:43:27.300 antivirals so

00:43:28.140 this particular

00:43:29.240 one allegedly

00:43:30.400 responds to

00:43:31.240 antibiotics which

00:43:32.120 would make it

00:43:32.580 more of a

00:43:33.200 bacteria or

00:43:34.660 some other

00:43:35.120 tuberculosis-y

00:43:36.060 thing.

00:43:37.560 Kids don't 0.88

00:43:38.340 get it.

00:43:39.160 Doesn't make

00:43:39.680 sense for a

00:43:40.260 regular flu.

00:43:41.440 You can get

00:43:42.400 reinfected fairly

00:43:43.460 easily.

00:43:44.580 Maybe not

00:43:45.700 true but

00:43:46.740 there's some

00:43:47.140 suggestion to

00:43:47.800 that.

00:43:48.740 That would

00:43:49.300 say not a

00:43:49.820 flu.

00:43:52.820 So I

00:43:54.220 would say

00:43:54.560 that the

00:43:55.100 thing I'm

00:43:56.440 looking for

00:43:56.900 to find out

00:43:57.440 if this is

00:43:57.920 completely BS

00:43:59.020 I think it

00:43:59.960 is.

00:44:00.240 I think it's

00:44:00.660 completely BS.

00:44:01.920 The thing I'm

00:44:02.420 looking for is

00:44:02.880 to see if any

00:44:03.380 of the vaccines

00:44:03.920 work.

00:44:05.060 Because if

00:44:05.460 somebody comes

00:44:06.040 up with a

00:44:06.500 vaccine and

00:44:07.280 it works

00:44:07.800 well then

00:44:08.760 it's a flu.

00:44:09.680 it's a

00:44:10.840 virus because

00:44:11.920 you don't

00:44:12.200 make a

00:44:12.560 virus vaccine

00:44:14.020 that works

00:44:14.620 on a

00:44:15.440 bacteria.

00:44:16.560 So we'll

00:44:17.280 know but

00:44:18.620 it's an

00:44:18.840 interesting

00:44:19.160 thought.

00:44:23.800 China has 0.91

00:44:24.800 a coronavirus

00:44:25.440 app.

00:44:26.580 I don't

00:44:26.900 know how

00:44:27.200 it works

00:44:27.760 but

00:44:29.020 apparently

00:44:31.460 it'll tell

00:44:34.140 you what

00:44:34.480 you can

00:44:34.880 and cannot

00:44:35.300 do.

00:44:36.080 It'll tell

00:44:36.500 you whether

00:44:36.820 to quarantine

00:44:37.440 yourself.

00:44:39.400 Etc.

00:44:40.000 And I was

00:44:40.380 wondering how

00:44:41.700 long it would

00:44:42.120 take for an

00:44:42.880 app to pop

00:44:43.540 up.

00:44:45.400 Because if

00:44:46.140 an app can

00:44:46.740 let's say

00:44:47.360 identify people

00:44:48.640 you've heard of

00:44:50.520 the Clearview

00:44:51.140 app right?

00:44:51.820 You can take

00:44:52.200 a picture of

00:44:52.660 somebody's face

00:44:53.660 and it will

00:44:54.480 tell you who

00:44:54.940 they are.

00:44:55.980 Well if it

00:44:56.280 can tell you

00:44:56.640 who they are

00:44:57.300 it can also

00:44:58.080 tell you where

00:44:58.640 they've been

00:44:59.060 in theory.

00:45:00.540 Maybe not

00:45:01.000 today.

00:45:01.460 But in theory

00:45:02.480 there will be

00:45:03.480 enough information

00:45:04.200 about everybody

00:45:05.020 in China

00:45:05.640 certainly that

00:45:07.080 they'll know

00:45:07.780 where they've

00:45:08.140 been.

00:45:08.820 They might

00:45:09.220 even know

00:45:09.660 if they've

00:45:10.040 been near

00:45:10.580 somebody who

00:45:12.000 had it.

00:45:13.160 So it's a

00:45:14.180 great idea.

00:45:15.000 I think an

00:45:15.440 app to

00:45:16.620 keep you away

00:45:18.400 from people

00:45:18.800 who have the

00:45:19.440 virus might

00:45:20.640 be a great

00:45:21.040 idea.

00:45:23.260 Apple is

00:45:23.960 paying half

00:45:25.160 a billion

00:45:25.540 dollars to

00:45:26.180 settle a

00:45:26.640 lawsuit for

00:45:27.920 intentionally

00:45:28.480 slowing down

00:45:29.280 their old

00:45:29.740 iPhones so

00:45:30.480 you would

00:45:30.760 buy a new

00:45:31.200 one.

00:45:32.320 They did

00:45:32.940 software

00:45:33.440 updates that

00:45:34.180 would make

00:45:34.480 your iPhone

00:45:34.980 so slow

00:45:35.720 that you'd

00:45:36.680 say I

00:45:37.060 can't live

00:45:37.560 with this

00:45:37.840 I've got to

00:45:38.140 buy an

00:45:38.420 upgrade.

00:45:39.840 Now I

00:45:40.300 remember when

00:45:40.940 that happened

00:45:41.540 and my

00:45:42.760 iPhone slowed

00:45:43.500 down and I

00:45:44.220 thought damn

00:45:45.380 it I think

00:45:46.560 this is

00:45:46.960 intentional.

00:45:47.480 and I

00:45:48.900 was sort of

00:45:49.720 beating myself

00:45:50.380 up for it

00:45:51.640 because I

00:45:54.220 would beat

00:45:54.680 myself up

00:45:55.240 and say

00:45:55.600 no it's

00:45:56.660 not

00:45:56.860 intentional

00:45:57.420 you know

00:45:58.180 technology

00:45:58.780 just slows

00:45:59.380 down it's

00:46:00.080 got too

00:46:00.420 much software

00:46:01.020 in there

00:46:01.360 now but

00:46:02.360 it was

00:46:02.580 intentional.

00:46:04.460 The company

00:46:05.160 that you

00:46:05.600 respect the

00:46:06.340 most well

00:46:07.280 maybe you

00:46:07.860 don't but

00:46:08.880 if you think

00:46:09.260 about it

00:46:09.600 Apple is

00:46:10.540 probably one

00:46:11.100 of the most

00:46:11.560 respected

00:46:12.080 companies

00:46:13.400 in the

00:46:15.060 whole country

00:46:15.520 and

00:46:16.620 they

00:46:18.220 intentionally

00:46:18.860 slowed down

00:46:19.560 their product

00:46:20.080 to make you

00:46:20.960 think it was

00:46:21.840 dying so

00:46:22.620 you'd buy a

00:46:23.100 new one.

00:46:23.780 That's like

00:46:24.120 one of the

00:46:24.460 worst things.

00:46:25.980 That's just

00:46:26.620 horrible but

00:46:28.280 apparently they

00:46:28.940 got caught

00:46:29.380 doing that.

00:46:30.000 It's amazing

00:46:30.400 you really

00:46:30.780 can't trust

00:46:31.300 anybody.

00:46:33.360 Are you

00:46:33.980 following the

00:46:34.520 story about

00:46:35.040 Elliott

00:46:35.340 management

00:46:35.840 looking to

00:46:37.520 oust Jack

00:46:39.000 Dorsey from

00:46:39.860 Twitter and

00:46:41.980 install I

00:46:43.740 guess some

00:46:44.300 of their

00:46:44.560 own board

00:46:45.260 members and

00:46:45.980 maybe a

00:46:46.620 friendlier CEO

00:46:47.460 or a CEO

00:46:48.900 that they

00:46:49.380 prefer.

00:46:50.900 Now here's

00:46:51.620 what's interesting

00:46:52.120 about that.

00:46:52.760 So Elliott

00:46:53.080 management is

00:46:53.840 run by this

00:46:54.440 billionaire named

00:46:55.440 Paul Singer.

00:46:57.360 You should

00:46:58.120 Google him

00:46:58.760 to find out

00:47:01.720 how big a

00:47:02.260 story this is.

00:47:04.000 Now in my

00:47:05.200 opinion I've

00:47:05.760 called Twitter

00:47:06.360 the brain of

00:47:07.180 the planet.

00:47:09.220 You know

00:47:09.420 Facebook is

00:47:10.300 sort of like

00:47:10.700 the heart

00:47:11.360 you know

00:47:12.080 it's where

00:47:12.320 you see

00:47:12.600 your family

00:47:13.180 and you

00:47:13.720 know things

00:47:14.080 you feel

00:47:15.280 emotionally

00:47:15.720 about that

00:47:16.560 you care

00:47:16.840 about.

00:47:17.500 I would say

00:47:18.220 that Instagram

00:47:18.800 is sort of

00:47:19.400 like your

00:47:19.800 eyes and

00:47:21.100 maybe your

00:47:21.580 sex drive. 0.75

00:47:23.120 It's sort

00:47:23.440 about the

00:47:23.840 visual.

00:47:25.580 But Twitter

00:47:26.080 is your

00:47:26.440 brain.

00:47:27.720 And you

00:47:28.380 know collectively

00:47:29.140 we've become

00:47:30.160 this sort of

00:47:30.820 global brain

00:47:32.420 forming sort of

00:47:33.620 a godlike

00:47:34.320 entity which

00:47:35.940 in my opinion

00:47:36.620 runs the

00:47:37.360 government.

00:47:37.680 government.

00:47:38.960 So I've

00:47:40.220 said this

00:47:41.360 before that

00:47:41.900 we used to

00:47:42.300 be a

00:47:42.520 republic where

00:47:43.100 we elect

00:47:44.320 people and

00:47:44.820 they go off

00:47:45.260 and make

00:47:45.500 laws for

00:47:46.020 us.

00:47:46.700 But today

00:47:47.220 the system

00:47:47.960 is that

00:47:48.440 social media

00:47:49.120 says what

00:47:49.700 they can

00:47:50.120 and cannot

00:47:50.540 do and

00:47:51.820 then they

00:47:52.100 respond to

00:47:52.640 it.

00:47:53.180 Because if

00:47:53.680 everyone on

00:47:55.720 Twitter said

00:47:56.320 no no no

00:47:56.940 don't do

00:47:57.400 this policy

00:47:58.080 it probably

00:47:58.940 wouldn't

00:47:59.140 happen.

00:48:00.340 I think

00:48:00.600 social media

00:48:01.180 is now

00:48:01.680 the dog

00:48:03.420 that's wagging

00:48:03.940 the tail.

00:48:05.400 So this

00:48:06.120 is why

00:48:06.400 this is

00:48:06.740 important.

00:48:07.700 I would

00:48:07.920 say that

00:48:08.600 Jack Dorsey

00:48:10.640 gets a lot

00:48:11.160 of heat

00:48:11.640 for people

00:48:13.120 who say

00:48:13.480 he leans

00:48:14.400 left and

00:48:14.880 therefore

00:48:15.140 there's some

00:48:15.720 bias in

00:48:16.540 the company.

00:48:18.120 I think

00:48:18.540 he's admitted

00:48:19.080 that the

00:48:20.600 employees lean

00:48:21.360 left and

00:48:22.000 that bias

00:48:23.260 is sort

00:48:23.720 of part

00:48:24.480 of life.

00:48:25.620 So I

00:48:26.120 don't think

00:48:26.420 there's any

00:48:26.820 secret or

00:48:27.700 dispute that

00:48:29.240 Twitter has

00:48:30.020 a lot of

00:48:30.540 left-leaning

00:48:31.320 employees and

00:48:32.280 probably has

00:48:32.780 some impact

00:48:33.340 on how

00:48:34.240 they do

00:48:34.520 business.

00:48:35.080 But Paul

00:48:36.440 Singer,

00:48:37.680 famous for

00:48:38.980 being sort

00:48:39.960 of an

00:48:40.180 anti-Trumper

00:48:41.180 Republican,

00:48:43.140 his job,

00:48:44.880 if you think

00:48:45.960 of it that

00:48:46.300 way, is

00:48:47.000 interfering with

00:48:47.760 politics.

00:48:49.140 It's actually

00:48:49.780 what he does.

00:48:51.180 So the thing

00:48:51.700 that Paul

00:48:52.080 Singer is

00:48:52.480 most famous

00:48:53.240 for is

00:48:54.200 directly and

00:48:55.880 monetarily

00:48:56.600 interacting with

00:48:58.680 politicians and

00:49:00.020 the political

00:49:00.460 process to

00:49:01.300 get a result

00:49:02.180 that he

00:49:02.520 wants.

00:49:03.340 How in

00:49:04.320 the world

00:49:04.820 do you

00:49:05.820 let that

00:49:06.200 guy control

00:49:06.880 the board

00:49:07.300 of Twitter?

00:49:09.000 I mean,

00:49:09.860 can you

00:49:10.320 think of a

00:49:10.760 worst idea

00:49:11.360 for the

00:49:11.720 republic?

00:49:13.300 I can't.

00:49:14.700 I can't.

00:49:15.240 Because Twitter

00:49:15.860 is sort of

00:49:16.720 the, in a

00:49:18.200 way, I

00:49:19.820 think Twitter

00:49:20.360 protects the

00:49:21.420 republic.

00:49:23.060 Because it's

00:49:24.840 the freest

00:49:25.640 speech in

00:49:26.760 the purest,

00:49:28.400 most efficient

00:49:29.480 sense.

00:49:30.140 and I

00:49:31.100 think Twitter

00:49:31.560 drives

00:49:31.940 politics.

00:49:33.420 So if

00:49:33.780 somebody whose

00:49:34.520 intention is

00:49:36.240 to influence

00:49:36.960 politics,

00:49:38.880 somebody says

00:49:40.220 in the comments,

00:49:41.040 somebody says,

00:49:41.700 is it true he

00:49:42.340 hired Fusion

00:49:43.240 GPS?

00:49:43.620 yes, I

00:49:44.460 believe it's

00:49:45.040 been demonstrated

00:49:45.800 that he

00:49:46.740 paid for

00:49:47.280 it.

00:49:48.000 So the

00:49:48.340 guy who

00:49:48.680 paid for

00:49:49.300 the most

00:49:49.660 famous fake

00:49:51.460 news that's

00:49:53.140 ever been

00:49:53.540 produced wants

00:49:55.320 to have more

00:49:56.200 control over

00:49:57.120 Twitter, the

00:49:58.440 primary entity

00:50:00.220 that gives us

00:50:01.020 information and

00:50:01.940 opinion, etc.

00:50:03.540 Can you think of

00:50:04.680 a worse idea for

00:50:05.600 the republic?

00:50:07.100 It's hard to

00:50:07.860 imagine what would

00:50:08.520 be a worse

00:50:08.900 combination.

00:50:10.040 But anyway,

00:50:10.500 we'll watch that

00:50:11.440 story.

00:50:11.740 Who knows

00:50:12.340 if he'll have

00:50:12.820 any success?

00:50:15.520 Let me give you

00:50:16.520 an idea about

00:50:17.640 what Bernie's

00:50:18.240 doing wrong

00:50:18.720 selling his

00:50:19.280 plan.

00:50:20.820 I watched

00:50:21.860 him fall

00:50:22.260 into this

00:50:22.700 trap that

00:50:24.400 poor Bernie.

00:50:26.960 I've said

00:50:27.360 this before in

00:50:27.980 my book,

00:50:28.380 Loser Think,

00:50:28.960 is about this.

00:50:30.140 Bernie is

00:50:30.780 spectacular at

00:50:32.840 doing his

00:50:33.300 rallies and

00:50:33.980 getting people

00:50:34.800 to be excited

00:50:35.460 and all that.

00:50:36.880 So there's a

00:50:37.940 part of Bernie

00:50:38.560 that is just

00:50:39.140 spectacular.

00:50:39.900 He's really

00:50:40.340 talented and

00:50:41.540 he can't

00:50:41.880 take that

00:50:42.220 away from

00:50:42.620 him.

00:50:43.140 But one

00:50:43.660 thing he

00:50:44.000 doesn't know

00:50:44.540 is economics.

00:50:46.300 And he's

00:50:46.820 terrible at

00:50:47.720 explaining it,

00:50:48.900 which is a

00:50:49.460 problem, because

00:50:50.540 he's primarily

00:50:51.420 proposing economic

00:50:53.240 changes.

00:50:54.480 And if he

00:50:55.100 can't explain

00:50:55.700 them, I

00:50:57.000 don't know

00:50:57.240 how he can

00:50:57.620 beat Trump.

00:50:58.100 And here's

00:50:58.380 the problem.

00:50:59.180 Here's a trap

00:51:00.180 that Bernie

00:51:00.640 keeps falling

00:51:01.320 into and

00:51:01.940 can't climb

00:51:02.460 out of.

00:51:03.240 His critics

00:51:04.220 keep taking

00:51:05.520 the cost of

00:51:06.320 his proposals

00:51:07.000 and multiplying

00:51:08.400 them by ten.

00:51:09.360 And he

00:51:11.360 lets them

00:51:11.780 do it.

00:51:12.900 And I

00:51:13.220 mean that

00:51:13.520 literally.

00:51:14.480 So when I

00:51:15.780 was just

00:51:16.020 watching Tucker

00:51:16.900 Carlson talking

00:51:17.740 about Bernie's

00:51:18.780 plans and

00:51:20.700 using Bernie's

00:51:21.520 own numbers

00:51:22.200 from Bernie's

00:51:23.300 own website,

00:51:24.220 if you add up

00:51:25.320 all of his

00:51:25.820 proposals and

00:51:27.180 then you do

00:51:27.660 it for ten

00:51:28.160 years, that's

00:51:28.840 the multiplied

00:51:29.380 by ten part,

00:51:30.380 it comes to

00:51:31.000 a hundred

00:51:31.300 trillion dollars.

00:51:33.200 Now, do you

00:51:34.880 want to sign up

00:51:35.580 for something that

00:51:36.200 costs a hundred

00:51:36.780 trillion dollars?

00:51:37.540 And then

00:51:37.940 Tucker does

00:51:38.600 this.

00:51:39.300 He compares

00:51:39.880 it to the

00:51:40.360 GDP.

00:51:41.820 So the

00:51:42.180 GDP, like

00:51:43.360 one year of

00:51:44.200 the United

00:51:44.880 States GDP,

00:51:45.860 is somewhere

00:51:46.480 in the

00:51:47.060 $20 trillion

00:51:48.560 range.

00:51:49.980 So our

00:51:50.680 entire GDP

00:51:51.960 is $20 trillion.

00:51:54.040 But Bernie

00:51:54.920 wants to spend

00:51:55.660 $100 trillion.

00:51:57.460 Did you see

00:51:58.180 what I just

00:51:58.580 did there?

00:51:59.640 I compared

00:52:00.760 one year of

00:52:02.300 GDP,

00:52:03.440 $20 trillion,

00:52:04.720 to ten years

00:52:06.040 of Bernie's

00:52:06.980 plans.

00:52:08.400 And made

00:52:08.780 it $100

00:52:09.140 trillion.

00:52:09.780 What I

00:52:10.340 should have

00:52:10.620 compared is

00:52:11.540 $10 trillion

00:52:12.140 per year to

00:52:13.840 our current

00:52:14.320 GDP, which

00:52:15.080 is $20

00:52:15.840 trillion.

00:52:16.900 Now, you

00:52:17.360 say to

00:52:17.620 yourself, well,

00:52:18.180 that's still

00:52:19.200 way too

00:52:19.620 much.

00:52:20.420 We can't

00:52:20.800 take our

00:52:21.260 budget from

00:52:23.020 $20 trillion.

00:52:25.320 It's still

00:52:25.960 too much,

00:52:26.440 right?

00:52:26.700 The GDP and

00:52:27.820 the budget are

00:52:28.280 different things.

00:52:29.300 But it just

00:52:30.400 seems like it's

00:52:30.920 too much.

00:52:32.420 Here's what

00:52:33.060 Bernie should

00:52:33.840 be doing.

00:52:35.200 What he

00:52:35.840 should do is

00:52:37.020 they say,

00:52:37.700 are you going

00:52:37.920 to raise my

00:52:38.440 taxes to pay

00:52:40.020 for health

00:52:40.380 care?

00:52:40.800 He should

00:52:41.140 say, if

00:52:42.380 you're in the

00:52:43.260 working class,

00:52:44.900 I'm going to

00:52:45.960 give you five

00:52:47.060 times more

00:52:47.620 savings on

00:52:48.460 health care

00:52:48.860 costs than

00:52:49.580 you will pay.

00:52:51.400 That should be

00:52:52.180 his answer.

00:52:52.780 You're going to

00:52:53.140 save money because

00:52:54.360 I'll save you

00:52:54.920 five times more

00:52:55.700 on health care

00:52:56.240 than you will

00:52:56.760 pay extra in

00:52:57.400 taxes.

00:52:58.840 Done.

00:53:00.020 That should be

00:53:00.440 the whole

00:53:00.940 argument right

00:53:01.580 there.

00:53:02.160 He throws in

00:53:03.240 limits and

00:53:04.600 dollar amounts

00:53:05.220 and if you're

00:53:05.700 over $29,000

00:53:06.800 and he just

00:53:08.080 totally botches

00:53:09.060 it.

00:53:09.400 People's eyes

00:53:10.100 glaze over.

00:53:11.260 Just say this,

00:53:12.560 for every dollar

00:53:13.280 you spend in

00:53:13.900 extra taxes,

00:53:14.780 you'll save

00:53:15.300 five on

00:53:16.480 health care.

00:53:17.900 That's pretty

00:53:18.360 compelling,

00:53:18.880 isn't it?

00:53:19.560 If you can

00:53:20.100 afford it.

00:53:20.640 I don't know

00:53:20.960 if the plan

00:53:21.360 works.

00:53:23.540 So the first

00:53:24.300 thing Bernie

00:53:24.720 should do is

00:53:25.420 he should refuse

00:53:26.140 to deal with

00:53:26.880 10-year estimates.

00:53:28.180 He should say 0.90

00:53:29.420 let's do

00:53:30.060 apples to

00:53:30.560 apples,

00:53:31.040 one year

00:53:31.500 and one

00:53:31.760 year.

00:53:32.260 Then the

00:53:32.600 second thing

00:53:33.040 he should do

00:53:33.440 is express

00:53:34.100 it in a

00:53:34.540 percentage if

00:53:35.480 he can.

00:53:36.740 Now to do

00:53:37.300 that there's

00:53:37.760 one other

00:53:38.140 thing he has

00:53:38.620 to fix that

00:53:39.220 he never

00:53:39.680 gets right.

00:53:41.300 Here's how

00:53:41.900 it goes.

00:53:42.560 Right now

00:53:43.040 employers pay

00:53:44.260 gigantic amounts

00:53:45.100 of money to

00:53:45.700 insure their

00:53:46.300 employees.

00:53:47.200 If Bernie

00:53:47.640 gets his

00:53:48.060 way,

00:53:48.420 those employers

00:53:49.160 suddenly save

00:53:50.600 $100 million

00:53:51.240 a year because

00:53:52.680 they don't have

00:53:53.080 to pay.

00:53:53.880 Let's just say

00:53:54.640 it's a big

00:53:55.720 company.

00:53:56.940 So they

00:53:57.680 save $100

00:53:58.340 million a

00:53:59.220 year on

00:54:00.320 health care

00:54:00.800 because the

00:54:01.400 government's

00:54:01.860 going to pay

00:54:02.160 it all now.

00:54:03.340 So where's

00:54:03.860 that $100

00:54:04.240 million go?

00:54:05.820 The $100

00:54:06.620 million they

00:54:07.140 were spending

00:54:07.760 for health

00:54:08.220 care, what

00:54:10.420 happens?

00:54:11.460 Do they

00:54:12.100 bank it?

00:54:13.120 Does that

00:54:13.540 company just

00:54:14.080 say yes?

00:54:15.520 Profits just

00:54:16.200 went up $100

00:54:16.880 billion a year

00:54:17.460 because we

00:54:17.840 don't have to

00:54:18.260 pay for health

00:54:18.760 care?

00:54:19.720 Well they

00:54:20.100 could.

00:54:21.440 It would be

00:54:22.280 completely legal

00:54:23.100 to do that.

00:54:24.180 But what

00:54:24.640 would happen?

00:54:25.420 What would

00:54:26.680 actually happen?

00:54:28.660 Let me tell

00:54:29.200 you.

00:54:29.920 The employees

00:54:30.520 of that

00:54:30.840 company would

00:54:31.360 say,

00:54:32.140 excuse me,

00:54:34.460 didn't you

00:54:35.060 just take

00:54:35.940 away $100

00:54:36.520 million benefit

00:54:37.500 from the

00:54:38.020 employees?

00:54:39.040 And the

00:54:39.360 company would

00:54:39.860 say, well

00:54:40.240 it's not us,

00:54:41.000 that's Bernie,

00:54:41.560 talk to Bernie.

00:54:42.940 And the

00:54:43.460 employees would

00:54:43.940 say, excuse 0.84

00:54:44.560 me, excuse

00:54:45.120 me.

00:54:45.840 The company

00:54:46.500 down the

00:54:47.000 street took

00:54:48.620 all of those

00:54:49.240 savings and

00:54:50.960 put it into

00:54:51.560 raises for

00:54:52.300 their employees

00:54:52.920 because it

00:54:53.560 had been a

00:54:54.120 benefit, so

00:54:55.140 they just

00:54:55.400 changed it

00:54:55.800 to a

00:54:56.000 different kind

00:54:56.440 of benefit

00:54:56.820 and it

00:54:57.100 was still

00:54:57.380 the employee

00:54:57.820 benefit.

00:54:59.660 So why

00:55:01.220 don't you

00:55:01.500 do that?

00:55:02.500 Well, we're

00:55:03.000 not that

00:55:03.360 other company.

00:55:04.360 That other

00:55:04.800 company is

00:55:05.280 doing that.

00:55:05.760 We're not

00:55:06.120 going to do

00:55:06.380 that.

00:55:07.080 So you

00:55:07.580 leave. 0.99

00:55:08.320 As long

00:55:08.820 as there's

00:55:09.260 high employment,

00:55:12.080 like now,

00:55:12.780 people can

00:55:13.200 change jobs.

00:55:14.620 So companies

00:55:15.240 would not be

00:55:16.040 able to bank

00:55:17.000 it and keep

00:55:17.580 it all.

00:55:18.680 They'd kind

00:55:19.360 of be forced

00:55:19.980 to share it

00:55:20.480 with the

00:55:20.740 employees.

00:55:21.080 And so

00:55:22.160 what that

00:55:22.600 means is

00:55:23.160 when they

00:55:23.820 say Bernie's

00:55:24.460 plan costs

00:55:25.140 $30 trillion

00:55:26.160 extra, which

00:55:28.500 again I think

00:55:29.080 is a 10-year

00:55:30.160 number, it's

00:55:30.640 probably $3

00:55:31.120 trillion extra

00:55:31.760 a year, it's

00:55:33.840 really not

00:55:34.280 that because

00:55:35.540 those employees

00:55:36.280 probably would

00:55:37.200 get that back

00:55:37.980 from their

00:55:38.480 employer.

00:55:39.440 And if they

00:55:39.840 were paying it

00:55:40.320 themselves, they

00:55:40.920 would get it

00:55:41.260 back directly.

00:55:42.960 So Bernie is

00:55:43.660 doing a terrible

00:55:45.140 job of explaining

00:55:46.660 his plan, but it

00:55:47.560 doesn't look like

00:55:48.080 he's going to be

00:55:48.500 the nominee

00:55:48.900 anyway.

00:55:49.280 I do not

00:55:55.020 make financial

00:55:57.900 recommendations, but

00:55:59.360 I will tell you

00:56:00.120 because I think

00:56:01.420 it's useful, I

00:56:03.800 think it's

00:56:04.240 useful, I'm

00:56:05.340 thinking about

00:56:05.840 this as I'm

00:56:06.340 talking, I

00:56:07.540 think it's

00:56:07.940 useful for

00:56:08.620 people to

00:56:09.900 quell, let's

00:56:12.720 say, concerns

00:56:13.960 when possible.

00:56:14.960 so if you're

00:56:16.780 concerned about

00:56:17.420 the stock market

00:56:18.700 melting down, I

00:56:20.360 will tell you I

00:56:21.440 don't recommend

00:56:22.180 that you do

00:56:23.260 anything, I don't

00:56:24.540 recommend that you

00:56:25.180 get in or get

00:56:25.900 out or stay, no

00:56:27.420 recommendations from

00:56:29.240 me, but I'll tell

00:56:30.600 you I put all of my

00:56:31.580 cash into the

00:56:32.200 market Monday

00:56:34.080 morning.

00:56:35.380 So most of my

00:56:36.920 money was already

00:56:37.700 invested, but all

00:56:38.620 the cash that I had

00:56:39.500 that was available, I

00:56:41.140 just threw it in the

00:56:41.940 market and I put it

00:56:43.060 in Amazon, and the

00:56:45.100 reason I put it in

00:56:45.760 Amazon is that

00:56:47.800 although obviously

00:56:49.280 Amazon's business

00:56:50.140 would suffer from

00:56:51.940 any kind of global

00:56:53.420 slowdown, what are

00:56:55.620 you going to do if

00:56:57.300 you don't want to

00:56:57.900 leave home?

00:56:59.680 Suppose you don't

00:57:00.560 want to go to the

00:57:01.260 grocery store because

00:57:02.220 of all that

00:57:02.700 coronavirus, what

00:57:04.520 are you going to

00:57:04.900 do?

00:57:05.740 My guess is that

00:57:07.160 there will be an

00:57:09.180 enormous amount of

00:57:10.340 people who either

00:57:11.620 didn't use Amazon

00:57:12.740 before and are

00:57:14.260 starting because they

00:57:15.240 want to avoid crowds

00:57:16.440 and people and

00:57:17.140 shopping, and there

00:57:18.980 will be people who

00:57:19.800 were using them who

00:57:20.820 will double their

00:57:21.620 use for the same

00:57:22.860 reason, to avoid

00:57:23.900 going into public.

00:57:25.700 So I don't think

00:57:26.880 there's a cleaner

00:57:27.660 play than Amazon

00:57:30.340 in the long run.

00:57:32.000 And again, I don't

00:57:32.800 care what happens

00:57:33.640 this week or next

00:57:35.360 week or even this

00:57:36.320 year, it's a long

00:57:38.080 run play.

00:57:38.920 Anyway, that's not a

00:57:39.880 recommendation.

00:57:40.320 Amazon is like

00:57:42.460 every other

00:57:42.880 company.

00:57:43.300 If you buy

00:57:43.720 individual stocks,

00:57:44.900 you are a bad

00:57:45.580 investor.

00:57:46.800 You should be

00:57:47.380 diversifying, and

00:57:48.260 that is the one and

00:57:49.040 only advice I will

00:57:50.760 give you, diversify.

00:57:52.600 So if you went and

00:57:53.680 bought Amazon because

00:57:54.620 I just mentioned it,

00:57:55.520 you did the opposite

00:57:56.520 of what I recommended

00:57:57.560 because I recommend

00:57:58.900 diversifying.

00:57:59.880 All right, that's all

00:58:00.720 for now.

00:58:01.780 Talk to you later.

00:58:02.380 Look at the

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 03, 2020

Episode 838 Scott Adams： Biden's Brain, How to Stop Coronavirus, Bernie's Math

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