Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 04, 2020


Episode 839 Scott Adams： Black Voters Saved the Country, Coronavirus Expectations, Facemask Loserthink


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

150.6207

Word Count

7,292

Sentence Count

528

Misogynist Sentences

5

Hate Speech Sentences

7


Summary

Scott Adams talks Super Tuesday, the coronavirus, and why he thinks the Democratic primary system is rigged. Plus, he says thank you to the Black Voters of the United States for saving the country from Bernie Sanders and his disastrous social policies.


Transcript

00:00:00.400 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum
00:00:07.400 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. That would be me.
00:00:16.260 And you already know who you are, and you know why you're here. And I'll bet you're prepared.
00:00:21.700 If you're not prepared, if it's your first time, welcome. You just made it to the best place in the world.
00:00:29.120 Congratulations on that. Good day for you.
00:00:31.660 Those of you who come here every day already know it's the best place in the world.
00:00:35.260 Best time to be in the best place in the world, doing the best thing.
00:00:38.060 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:45.020 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:46.060 I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:55.800 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:59.340 Ah, I feel my immunity building.
00:01:07.460 Coronavirus.
00:01:08.900 I would like to take a page from Jesse Waters, who was absolutely hilarious yesterday on The Five on Fox News,
00:01:17.240 in which he said, and I'm paraphrasing, if the coronavirus, if the coronavirus attacks me, I will beat it.
00:01:27.420 I will beat it.
00:01:29.520 He's right. He probably will.
00:01:30.660 I was looking at my odds of dying from the coronavirus, because it's that kind of a day.
00:01:38.460 And my odds of dying from the coronavirus at my age, so it's age-adjusted, about 4%.
00:01:45.160 Not bad.
00:01:47.760 But that's 4% if I get it.
00:01:52.280 And it probably also is people who have, you know, more health problems than I have.
00:01:56.760 So, well, there's probably a 50% chance I'll get it.
00:02:01.060 So that cuts it in half, down to 2%.
00:02:03.360 Probably the people dying are sicker and older.
00:02:09.200 You know, I'm on the early end of the 60s.
00:02:13.040 So I'd say my chances are 1%, something like that.
00:02:18.320 You know, 1% of a problem.
00:02:19.780 And I've probably got a greater chance of dying from, well, just about everything else.
00:02:25.380 So if you break it down, my personal odds are pretty, pretty good.
00:02:30.160 All right.
00:02:30.860 Let's talk about the big news from last night.
00:02:33.620 Super Tuesday.
00:02:34.800 Yay!
00:02:36.660 I would like to take this opportunity, with no irony whatsoever.
00:02:41.640 I know you're going to suspect that I'm saying this for humorous purposes.
00:02:46.300 I'm not.
00:02:46.980 It is kind of interesting in a light and amusing way, but that's not why I'm going to say it.
00:02:55.780 Thank you to the black voters of the United States for saving the country from Bernie Sanders and disastrous social policies.
00:03:09.460 And I don't think that's too much of an overstatement.
00:03:13.180 But the black voters of this country, the ones who voted on Super Tuesday, I believe did a really solid service to the United States.
00:03:22.620 Because keep in mind that because of differences in socioeconomic situations, a lot of black voters were voting against transferring money from other people to themselves.
00:03:37.460 Because you have to think that a lot of people who voted against Bernie were voting against a direct transfer of money from other people to themselves.
00:03:51.960 Now, if that's not good work, I don't know what is.
00:03:56.840 All right, so thank you, teammates, black citizens who saved the country.
00:04:03.180 That's literally true, right?
00:04:06.180 Is there any hyperbole in what I just said?
00:04:08.500 I don't think so.
00:04:09.600 I think black voters just saved the country, literally.
00:04:13.580 So thank you.
00:04:15.360 And I mean that.
00:04:16.060 So let's see what else happened.
00:04:21.620 There's a question about whether the results have so far been rigged by the democratic machine.
00:04:28.100 And it's kind of an interesting question because what is the difference between, let's say, the important Democrats all met in a room and they made phone calls and they all talked to each other behind the scenes and decided,
00:04:41.860 hey, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg and Beto, if we all, you know, if you all drop out, the ones who haven't dropped out and endorse Biden, you know, we'll get Biden over the finish line and we'll get to keep power and all that.
00:04:58.900 Now, that would be rigging it.
00:05:01.960 I mean, people would, it's all legal.
00:05:04.300 I mean, anybody can talk to anybody and make any kind of a legal deal.
00:05:08.100 But it would feel rigged.
00:05:09.540 But what if it didn't go down like that?
00:05:14.060 What if everybody just knew what to do?
00:05:18.120 Is that different?
00:05:20.300 I mean, do you process that differently?
00:05:22.540 Did anybody need to tell Amy Klobuchar that this was exactly the best time to quit and endorse Biden because she wasn't going to win and because, you know, he was the closest to what she wanted for the country?
00:05:36.140 I don't think anybody had to tell her.
00:05:38.640 Right.
00:05:39.540 And after Buttigieg made his move, it was pretty obvious.
00:05:45.640 It was pretty obvious what the move was.
00:05:47.640 So is it rigged?
00:05:48.620 If everybody simply does what they know is good for their team, if they don't have an actual conversation and somebody didn't call them and say, do this or I'll give you this.
00:05:58.240 I think it's kind of all the same.
00:06:03.780 Bloomberg is reportedly considering what he's going to do.
00:06:09.220 This is a more interesting question than you think, because we'll talk about this in a moment.
00:06:16.860 But Biden's speech did not suggest he could necessarily make it all the way to the election.
00:06:25.240 Or even really all the way to the convention.
00:06:30.120 There is something so wobbly about Biden that you actually have to ask yourself.
00:06:38.540 Can he make it all the way to the convention without having either a health issue or the public turning on him because he seems wobbly?
00:06:47.340 And Bloomberg actually still has a path, doesn't he?
00:06:52.940 If Bloomberg limped into the convention with his one delegate or whatever he's going to have, and he was simply just hanging out as a person who's in full control of his faculties
00:07:08.260 and has a conservative, let's say, a moderate Biden-like position, what would happen if we got there?
00:07:16.380 Biden had the most votes except for Bernie, but Biden didn't look viable anymore because we just watched him a little too closely since today.
00:07:26.220 And maybe people say, you know, I wasn't seeing it before, but I'm not as comfortable as I was even a few weeks ago.
00:07:34.360 It looks like things are going bad quickly.
00:07:37.000 So Bloomberg actually has a play, which is just hang around and not be crazy and not be Bernie and not be Elizabeth Warren, I suppose.
00:07:46.280 Now, that would probably make the candidates who backed Biden angry.
00:07:53.420 But so Bloomberg has a play.
00:07:55.800 If I had to guess, I would guess he's going to drop out maybe today, but soon.
00:08:02.640 So my prediction will be Bloomberg drops out.
00:08:05.060 But the reason he hasn't done it already is he's probably mulling the fact that there's actually still this tiny little channel for him to get through.
00:08:15.520 It's hard to imagine, though.
00:08:17.740 All right.
00:08:19.500 The youth vote did not show up for Bernie.
00:08:22.480 So NBC was reporting that the turnout among young voters, the ones Bernie attracts the best, they didn't really turn out.
00:08:36.100 Somebody says Bloomberg just dropped out.
00:08:39.180 Oh, so while I was talking about it.
00:08:41.960 Did that happen while I was talking about it?
00:08:43.700 Let me just call up CNN here and take a look.
00:08:51.040 Should be in the top story.
00:08:55.380 But it's not there yet.
00:08:56.560 So it might be so new that it's not even online yet.
00:08:59.260 All right.
00:08:59.520 We'll look for that.
00:09:01.640 So anyway, Bernie has this strategy of attracting young voters.
00:09:04.720 And I remember from the very first that I realized that Bernie's strategy was to attract young voters.
00:09:14.240 I said to myself, who would have a strategy of attracting the people least likely to vote?
00:09:22.800 Now, I suppose if you did something miraculous, you could get them to vote.
00:09:26.700 But it would require changing their basic nature or changing something about the way you're doing things that's so different that you could motivate them.
00:09:34.920 But just being a good candidate and having policies that young people like, I think we know doesn't make them go to the polls in large numbers like the elderly.
00:09:45.160 So, would you want Bernie to come in and re-engineer the entire economy if the one thing you knew about him for sure is that his plan to get elected was to appeal to the people least likely to show up?
00:10:02.740 Doesn't that tell you there's something wrong with his system thinking right there?
00:10:08.520 He's not a system thinker.
00:10:10.020 He's a goal thinker, a goal being, you know, we'd like everybody to have health care.
00:10:15.560 We'd like everybody to show up to vote.
00:10:17.780 But what's your system to get there?
00:10:19.400 It's the system that's the broken part.
00:10:23.300 Well, we got to talk about Biden's victory speech.
00:10:28.980 So he has his victory speech because he won most of the states and took the lead from Bernie in delegates.
00:10:36.460 Although the race is still very much on, but he's got the lead at the moment.
00:10:41.360 And he gets up there, and you probably all saw the clip by now.
00:10:44.560 So his wife and his sister are standing slightly behind him on either side.
00:10:48.520 And he confuses which one is on which side.
00:10:51.380 And he goes, this is my wife.
00:10:52.880 And he starts to hold her.
00:10:54.260 Or no, this is my sister.
00:10:55.400 And he starts to hold his wife's hand.
00:10:57.340 And then the wife is like, no, I'm not the sister.
00:11:00.900 And then Biden realizes it.
00:11:03.580 And he goes, this is my wife.
00:11:05.060 No, this is my sister.
00:11:06.200 No, they switched on me.
00:11:07.800 And then he's trying to explain why the very first thing he says in his victory speech is old man nonsense.
00:11:15.760 Confused old man nonsense is how he started his victory speech.
00:11:19.740 Then he used the word which he's been busted for before.
00:11:22.880 Instead of saying exponentially, he says exponentially.
00:11:26.620 And he says it so clearly, you know he doesn't know what the word is.
00:11:31.820 Yeah, it's because he's said it in the past lots of times.
00:11:34.460 He says exponentially.
00:11:36.840 He actually says that word very clearly.
00:11:39.640 Then he was talking about Amy Klobuchar, who he called Amy Globuchar.
00:11:46.560 Yeah, Amy Globuchar.
00:11:48.880 And, of course, he was slurring words and stopping in the middle of sentences and confused and shouting.
00:11:55.540 And Glenn Greenwald is hilarious on this topic.
00:12:01.360 I retweet him a lot.
00:12:03.620 And I'm not a big fan of Glenn Greenwald's personality, or at least the public version of it that we see.
00:12:11.880 He's pretty unforgiving and unpleasant.
00:12:15.760 But he's really good at what he does.
00:12:18.640 Can't take that away from him.
00:12:19.900 And you should follow him on Twitter because his tweets are spectacular.
00:12:22.900 But even Glenn Greenwald is saying, you know, what are you Democrats seeing in Biden that makes you think this is okay?
00:12:36.860 I mean, I'm paraphrasing.
00:12:38.360 He didn't say it with those words.
00:12:39.520 But he's kind of, he put up a poll on Twitter to literally ask Democrats, what the hell are you seeing here?
00:12:48.100 What is your, so his curiosity, which I share, is what are Democrats thinking when they vote for Biden?
00:12:57.960 Now, of course, they think he can win.
00:13:00.500 So that's obvious.
00:13:01.380 They think his policies or whatever.
00:13:03.340 And that's obvious.
00:13:04.120 But what do they think about his mental acuity?
00:13:09.140 I'm actually curious.
00:13:11.200 Do Democrats not see what's going on?
00:13:16.240 And part of the curiosity is, do they look at Trump and it looks the same?
00:13:23.180 I don't know.
00:13:24.300 That's an actual question.
00:13:25.480 I'm not saying, I'm not saying that to make a point.
00:13:28.020 I don't know.
00:13:28.660 Do Democrats look at Trump and see him as mentally incompetent, even though the experts who are both left and right facing have unanimously finally come to the same conclusion that Trump's style of communication is super good?
00:13:48.360 Super good.
00:13:49.340 But are the Democratic voters not seeing what the experts see?
00:13:55.040 And they say, well, he uses simple sentences and he doesn't complete his sentences.
00:13:59.640 He'll start something and then he'll turn left and he'll turn right.
00:14:02.820 And the experts have all agreed at this point it totally works.
00:14:07.460 So there's no, there's no confusion anymore among experts on the left or the right.
00:14:13.440 The president Trump really, really is good at this.
00:14:16.500 This meaning communicating and persuading.
00:14:19.340 But nobody's saying that about Biden.
00:14:22.980 Are there any communication experts who are saying, oh, you public, I know you're laughing at his gaffes, but look at his technique.
00:14:32.360 If you would look at his technique, you would see that he's really good at this.
00:14:36.440 But maybe you don't understand because you don't you don't understand the right technique.
00:14:41.600 Nobody's saying that.
00:14:43.300 A hundred percent of people are saying it about Trump.
00:14:46.520 Everyone.
00:14:46.820 Every every good communication expert left and right says Trump is great.
00:14:53.060 Zero people have said that about Biden.
00:14:56.740 What are they thinking about his mental ability?
00:14:59.540 I don't know.
00:15:00.180 It's a great question.
00:15:00.920 Trey Gowdy, apparently I didn't hear this live, but I think it was was it Martha McCallum who quoted him?
00:15:08.480 He was on her show, I think, and said that Trey Gowdy had the greatest line about watching Joe Biden give a speech.
00:15:15.540 And just listen to just feel how visual this is.
00:15:20.200 I always tell you that good persuasion is visual.
00:15:22.920 Trey Gowdy on Joe Biden, he says it's like watching a chain smoker fill a gas tank.
00:15:27.760 Now, could that be any better?
00:15:32.080 That is so visual.
00:15:34.400 And it tells it's not only visual, but I make this point often, too.
00:15:38.380 It's one sentence, but it's a movie.
00:15:41.720 You can see the movie.
00:15:42.780 It's got a beginning.
00:15:43.700 It's got a middle.
00:15:44.480 It's got an end, which doesn't end well.
00:15:46.000 And it's just spectacular.
00:15:50.780 Now, I don't think, I don't believe Trey Gowdy invented that folksy saying.
00:15:57.180 I think that was an existing saying.
00:15:59.000 But boy, does that fit, because it does feel exactly like that.
00:16:04.200 I have, let me ask you if you've had this experience yet.
00:16:08.100 Prior to a few months ago, the only politicians that I would watch were ones who were really interesting.
00:16:18.360 So if Trump was giving a rally, I would actually watch that for a while, just because he holds my attention.
00:16:24.240 He's just so interesting all the time.
00:16:26.240 Same with AOC.
00:16:27.840 I might be disagreeing with her, but boy, can she hold attention.
00:16:31.480 Same with Matt Gaetz, just to use another example.
00:16:35.360 He can hold your attention like nobody.
00:16:38.840 I mean, these are really good people at holding attention.
00:16:43.240 But I've recently started really enjoying watching Joe Biden speak.
00:16:49.820 Are you with me?
00:16:52.100 But I'm not looking at him because he holds my attention in the classical way that the others do.
00:16:57.880 He holds my attention because I'm waiting for the chain smoker who's filling his gas tank to blow up.
00:17:04.120 And I'm very aware of it while I'm watching it.
00:17:08.220 The whole time I'm watching, I go, come on.
00:17:10.980 He starts a sentence.
00:17:12.280 Every time Biden starts a sentence, I have the same feeling.
00:17:16.620 I'm like, okay, this is a good one.
00:17:18.180 It's a complex sentence.
00:17:20.260 Let's see where this is going.
00:17:22.140 Oh, okay, he landed that one.
00:17:24.700 Here's another one.
00:17:25.640 Another complex sentence.
00:17:27.060 And, okay, he took a left turn and just missed going all over the cliff.
00:17:33.580 Here's another sentence.
00:17:35.860 I'm fascinated by Biden now.
00:17:38.000 I can't stop watching him.
00:17:39.500 I watched that whole speech last night.
00:17:42.020 All right.
00:17:42.300 Some people are saying that Bloomberg wasted his half a billion dollars or whatever it was because his money, he proved that money doesn't make the difference because Biden won, you know, with practically no spending in a few states where Bloomberg spent a lot.
00:18:00.940 But is that really what we found out?
00:18:05.020 I'm not so sure that's what we learned.
00:18:09.000 Didn't we learn that money plus no personality whatsoever doesn't work?
00:18:16.020 I think that's what we learned.
00:18:18.580 Was there anybody in the world who was saying, you know, if Charles Manson were still alive and he had enough funding, he could become president of the United States?
00:18:29.580 Was anybody thinking that?
00:18:32.700 Because I would say no.
00:18:35.180 There was nobody in the entire planet who was thinking, you know, if you had enough money, it doesn't matter who you are.
00:18:43.160 Nobody was thinking that.
00:18:45.040 No, folks, the lesson that we got from Bloomberg is not that money doesn't help.
00:18:53.400 It was the opposite.
00:18:55.000 The lesson we got from Bloomberg is that you could look like a desiccated turd with no charisma whatsoever, no game plan and no policies that people can even remember.
00:19:07.320 And you can still get 18 percent of the vote without even running in most of the primaries.
00:19:14.040 Bloomberg proved money works unambiguously.
00:19:18.500 So everybody you see who's saying that Bloomberg proved money doesn't work is an idiot.
00:19:26.000 Thank you.
00:19:28.960 Usually I don't like to say somebody's an idiot if they disagree with me.
00:19:33.240 But sometimes there's not really room for opinion.
00:19:37.100 You know, sometimes it really is subjective.
00:19:39.980 This isn't subjective.
00:19:41.360 This isn't subjective because there's nobody who disagrees with me on my characterization of Bloomberg as low charisma with nothing exciting to say.
00:19:52.580 I believe even the people who voted for him would say that.
00:19:56.280 I mean, that's not too subjective.
00:19:58.040 That's kind of describing him.
00:20:00.720 And it's also true.
00:20:01.780 He got 18, yeah, whatever, some percentage in the teens of votes with no skill at all, no skill.
00:20:10.580 And he got that, no political skill, at least a presidential type.
00:20:16.740 Bloomberg does have considerable management skill, which is more appropriate to a mayoral job.
00:20:25.480 I think Bloomberg is probably a perfect personality to be mayor of New York City.
00:20:31.380 So it's no accident that worked out.
00:20:34.560 All right.
00:20:34.840 Bloomberg also said yesterday that he's not upset with many Trump policies.
00:20:41.580 It's just his style.
00:20:43.580 Now, I didn't want to crow about it.
00:20:47.500 But thankfully, a number of people who have been following me for a while crowed on my behalf.
00:20:52.900 Because long ago, I predicted, and I'm going to say that I got the prediction wrong because there was a time window on it, and the time window was completely wrong.
00:21:02.780 And I said that by the first year, the end of the first year of the Trump administration, I said that the dominant opinion would be that he was effective, but we don't like him.
00:21:13.560 Bloomberg just said, now three and a half years in, Bloomberg said, I'm not upset with many Trump policies.
00:21:21.320 I don't like his style.
00:21:23.860 That doesn't sound too far off from his effect of, but we don't like him, does it?
00:21:29.980 It's not exactly the same, but it's pretty close.
00:21:32.420 A lot of people noticed that.
00:21:33.560 And he didn't get a lot of pushback, which is the other interesting thing.
00:21:39.600 So Bloomberg got pushback for not being different from Trump.
00:21:44.360 He got pushback for maybe not being as critical as Trump or not being as novel as you should be if you're going to run against him.
00:21:54.180 So he got pushback for that.
00:21:55.720 But I don't think he got pushback for the fact that he didn't disagree with Trump's policies.
00:22:01.080 Think about that.
00:22:04.580 A major candidate, a major Democratic candidate, just came out and said he didn't have a problem with his opponent's policies.
00:22:13.020 And the Democrats, yeah, Bloomberg's out.
00:22:16.740 It happened while I was on here, I guess.
00:22:18.940 But nobody pushed back on the fact that Bloomberg said Trump's policies are okay.
00:22:23.880 Nobody pushed back.
00:22:25.640 What's that tell you?
00:22:26.640 All right.
00:22:31.080 Apparently, Tulsi Gabbard qualifies for the next debate because she got one delegate from America's Samoa, which is where, I guess, Bloomberg got his delegate.
00:22:46.480 And I guess she was born there.
00:22:48.160 I didn't know she was born in America's Samoa.
00:22:49.940 But I wonder if she'll be in the debate.
00:22:56.600 Because you probably have been wondering, why is Tulsi still in the campaign at all?
00:23:02.800 You know, you're probably wondering.
00:23:04.500 And I think that's a good question.
00:23:06.360 She doesn't seem to be playing for vice president, does she?
00:23:10.240 It doesn't look like it.
00:23:11.760 I don't know who would be the best fit with her as a vice president.
00:23:15.300 But I don't really see that as the motivation.
00:23:18.200 It doesn't seem like it.
00:23:21.600 So I'm not sure exactly what her motivation is.
00:23:24.360 So it's hard to predict whether she'll stay in or get out when you don't know why she's there in the first place at this point.
00:23:30.860 If I had to guess, it's because she thinks her message is important, which would be a good reason,
00:23:35.920 and wants to take the opportunity to keep that message out there.
00:23:41.640 That'd be good.
00:23:43.180 All right.
00:23:44.260 Let's talk about coronavirus, because I know you want to.
00:23:49.260 I know you want to.
00:23:50.140 And I'm going to give you my predictions for things.
00:23:53.960 But we're also going to be amateur investigators.
00:23:59.700 All right.
00:23:59.880 So before I start this next segment talking about coronavirus, let me say what you're all going to be thinking.
00:24:10.460 Scott, Scott, Scott.
00:24:13.040 Let me do this in Dale's voice.
00:24:16.820 This is just to save you time in your comments later, because you're all going to make the same comment.
00:24:23.040 And it's going to go like this.
00:24:24.220 Well, you're not all going to make this comment, but many of you would.
00:24:27.080 It goes like this.
00:24:28.860 Scott, Scott, Scott.
00:24:30.720 Leave it to the experts to talk about expert things.
00:24:34.980 You're just making things worse.
00:24:36.900 You're a cartoonist.
00:24:38.600 Stick to cartoonings, cartoon boy.
00:24:41.800 Don't confuse things with the experts.
00:24:45.300 See.
00:24:47.900 With that said,
00:24:54.680 let us talk about the coronavirus with our complete lack of expertise.
00:24:59.880 But let's talk about what we know.
00:25:01.660 I'll try to call out the things that I think are true, but I don't know.
00:25:06.600 You can keep me honest with your fact checking in real time.
00:25:10.200 Let's talk about the face masks.
00:25:11.900 As you know, the CDC has not recommended that citizens use medical face masks to protect themselves.
00:25:20.320 That was misinterpreted as face masks don't work.
00:25:26.420 That misinterpretation was accentuated by medical professionals coming in and saying,
00:25:33.100 no, the reason that face masks are worn by doctors is to protect the patient from the doctor's own germs.
00:25:43.660 Now, so that's what all the officials and professionals have been telling us.
00:25:50.120 And a lot of people adopted that view.
00:25:53.040 And online, people are reminding me of that.
00:25:56.580 So, but I have some questions.
00:26:00.000 I have some questions.
00:26:01.840 And it goes like this.
00:26:03.180 A lot of smart people are telling me that the reason the doctors wear the mask is to protect the patient.
00:26:12.160 So, how does that work?
00:26:15.240 Is this one of those masks that only works in one direction?
00:26:18.480 Is it the sort of mask that will stop a virus or whatever bad bacteria or germs or whatever else we're talking about
00:26:26.020 from getting out of the mask, but it would not stop anything from coming in the other direction?
00:26:33.820 Is it a magic mask that only works in one direction?
00:26:37.180 Now, it turns out that the actual high-end medical masks actually are,
00:26:42.320 they actually do work differently in and out.
00:26:44.700 So, they've got a little filter on them and they're closely fitted by professionals and stuff.
00:26:50.040 And those are allegedly 95% good at stopping a virus from getting in.
00:27:01.560 And so, should you get a face mask if the professional masks, the ones you probably can't buy anyway,
00:27:08.980 that the medical professionals use and they fit carefully,
00:27:12.300 that protects them 95% from virus, should you get one?
00:27:16.300 Well, suppose you couldn't fit it as well as the professionals.
00:27:24.280 Would that be a reason not to get one?
00:27:27.040 No! No!
00:27:29.420 We're talking about air.
00:27:31.180 If you can reduce the amount of air that's coming in from the outside,
00:27:35.640 and it's the air that's got the virus,
00:27:38.620 of course it would help, even if it's not perfectly fitted.
00:27:43.140 Of course!
00:27:43.940 If, you know, if 10 or 20% of the air is sort of coming around,
00:27:50.040 are you still more protected by having, you know,
00:27:54.300 if 95% protection is good enough,
00:27:58.440 I think I would still settle for 75%.
00:28:02.360 What if it's just 50% because I didn't put it on right?
00:28:06.600 Don't I want 50%?
00:28:07.920 So, I think what's happening here is a case of loser think,
00:28:14.720 in which people are conflating different things,
00:28:18.460 and they've taken the suggestion that they don't work all the time,
00:28:24.580 or they're not 100% effective,
00:28:26.740 that's turned into don't get one,
00:28:29.140 and those are not the same thing.
00:28:30.980 Not 100% effective does not say don't get one.
00:28:37.680 Because you know what else is not 100% effective?
00:28:41.000 Washing your hands.
00:28:42.100 But we don't tell people,
00:28:44.960 oh, don't bother washing your hands.
00:28:48.580 That's not even 100% effective.
00:28:51.080 At best, 25%.
00:28:54.100 But we don't do that.
00:28:56.280 We say it's 25%.
00:28:57.840 Go ahead and do it.
00:28:59.280 What about people coughing into their elbow?
00:29:02.520 We tell people to cover their cough.
00:29:07.400 But why?
00:29:08.940 Because people are still going to get it.
00:29:11.140 So shouldn't we tell people,
00:29:12.260 oh, don't bother covering your cough.
00:29:14.060 People are still going to get it.
00:29:15.540 No, but we don't.
00:29:17.040 We say, well, it might help a little.
00:29:19.240 It might help 10%.
00:29:20.180 Go ahead and cover it.
00:29:22.020 So, anybody who's arguing about these face masks,
00:29:25.180 don't get one if you're an individual because it doesn't work.
00:29:28.980 That is not smart.
00:29:30.520 Let me tell you what I think is true based on everything we know.
00:29:36.620 I do think that the non-professional medical masks are way less effective.
00:29:42.880 I think we all agree on that.
00:29:44.920 I think that if the virus is airborne
00:29:47.120 and you can trap a little bit more of it close to your face
00:29:51.860 because at least the air itself is not going out past your face mask
00:29:56.640 and you have it,
00:29:57.780 certainly makes sense that if you have a cough,
00:30:00.160 you should wear a face mask,
00:30:01.720 whatever kind you can get.
00:30:03.340 Because at the very least,
00:30:04.400 it's going to stop most of the air
00:30:06.280 from expressing itself in the furthest possible way.
00:30:10.820 And the other thing is,
00:30:15.200 so I did a little Googling and found out that
00:30:17.760 there have never been tests
00:30:19.520 to find out if non-medical people,
00:30:23.020 there have been tests about medical people,
00:30:24.940 so we know masks work in the medical environment,
00:30:28.600 but there's never been tested to see if a citizen wearing a face mask
00:30:32.440 can avoid a virus.
00:30:34.060 Never been tested.
00:30:35.160 Now what would you think is the common sense likelihood
00:30:40.040 that having some kind of a barrier
00:30:43.380 that's not 100% over your mouth
00:30:46.220 would make some difference?
00:30:49.220 1%, 10%, 50%?
00:30:52.780 We don't know why.
00:30:54.040 We don't know how much difference.
00:30:55.600 But I would say that it is absolutely,
00:30:58.120 it's just dumb to imagine it doesn't work at all
00:31:02.180 or that it isn't worth a shot given the size of the risk.
00:31:07.060 Now, some have suggested
00:31:08.400 that what the CDC and the government are really telling you
00:31:11.940 is not exactly what they're saying.
00:31:14.400 In other words, what they really mean
00:31:16.940 is that if the citizens start hoarding face masks,
00:31:22.300 the professionals won't have them
00:31:23.700 and the country as a whole is definitely better off
00:31:26.800 if our medical professionals are healthy.
00:31:28.580 It is way better for a common citizen to get the virus
00:31:33.180 than for a doctor to get it
00:31:34.760 because the doctor is helping multiple people, obviously.
00:31:38.720 So certainly it does make sense not to hoard the good ones
00:31:42.480 that the doctors would use.
00:31:44.380 I agree with that.
00:31:45.500 It makes sense.
00:31:46.240 It's better for the whole.
00:31:47.660 But that doesn't mean it wouldn't be protective
00:31:50.220 for one individual who happened to have a mask.
00:31:53.420 So don't lie to us.
00:31:54.640 Don't lie to me and tell me that a citizen with that mask,
00:31:59.400 even if they don't know the right way to fit it on their face,
00:32:01.900 don't tell me that's not going to make a difference
00:32:03.760 because you don't know
00:32:04.980 and all logic and sense tells you it would make some difference.
00:32:12.300 But I also think that it might be wise for the government
00:32:15.560 not to say that the masks do work
00:32:18.920 because it could cause a panic
00:32:20.900 and there aren't enough masks.
00:32:22.360 I would not, don't be surprised
00:32:24.920 if sometime in the near future
00:32:26.980 we find out that, let's say,
00:32:29.400 production of the good kind of masks ramps up.
00:32:33.620 You could get to the point
00:32:34.820 where we have enough of them for everybody.
00:32:37.060 Do you think that the government of the United States
00:32:39.460 would tell us not citizens
00:32:42.280 not to wear the good N95 masks
00:32:45.460 that the medical professionals wear?
00:32:47.920 Do you think that the government would say
00:32:49.360 don't try those if we had enough?
00:32:52.080 You know the answer to that.
00:32:55.300 You know the answer.
00:32:56.560 If we had enough for everyone,
00:32:59.940 it wouldn't matter that we're not really good
00:33:02.300 at fitting them to our faces.
00:33:04.360 The government would say
00:33:05.860 it's better than nothing.
00:33:08.140 You know that, right?
00:33:09.920 So when you hear them say
00:33:12.020 the masks don't work
00:33:13.340 or that they're not recommended,
00:33:15.540 put that in context.
00:33:17.060 You don't want to take them away
00:33:18.200 from the medical professionals.
00:33:19.500 That's real.
00:33:20.880 And that's probably really important.
00:33:22.560 And you don't want to start a panic
00:33:23.900 of people killing you for your face mask
00:33:26.320 because you have one and I don't.
00:33:28.800 All right?
00:33:29.660 You don't want that.
00:33:30.660 So I think the government is lying to you
00:33:32.480 and I'm not sure I appreciate it in this case.
00:33:35.900 I mean, I can see the utility of it.
00:33:37.880 I can see the utility of the lie.
00:33:40.240 And I do think that sometimes
00:33:42.300 you need to lie to the public.
00:33:44.660 I don't reject lying to the public
00:33:47.620 if you have a legitimate,
00:33:49.500 greater, good purpose for it.
00:33:51.500 I just don't know if this is it.
00:33:52.840 It's an edge case.
00:33:55.060 All right.
00:33:55.280 I've noticed something
00:33:59.880 that could be just a coincidence,
00:34:02.720 but it might be a correlation
00:34:03.560 and I want to run it by you.
00:34:05.120 Now, here's the part where
00:34:06.280 Dale warned you that I'm not an expert
00:34:08.880 and anything I say from now on
00:34:10.840 or anything I've ever said really
00:34:12.420 should be subject to expert
00:34:14.840 fact-checking and correction.
00:34:17.500 But this is kind of interesting
00:34:18.800 and kind of fun.
00:34:20.100 Now, watch this.
00:34:20.920 So here's a correlation.
00:34:22.460 What do these places have in common
00:34:24.920 Iran, China, Italy, South Korea
00:34:27.540 and a cruise ship?
00:34:31.320 All right.
00:34:31.860 If you watch me on Twitter,
00:34:33.020 you know the answer to this.
00:34:34.020 So I'll say it again.
00:34:34.720 What do these have in common?
00:34:35.920 Iran, China, Italy, South Korea
00:34:39.980 and a cruise ship.
00:34:42.300 Now, of course, you immediately know
00:34:44.680 that's where the worst outbreaks
00:34:46.480 of the coronavirus are.
00:34:48.160 But what are the other coincidences?
00:34:51.460 Are there any?
00:34:52.680 Well, it turns out there's one very big one.
00:34:54.920 You've got an airborne lung-related
00:34:58.740 respiratory virus.
00:35:01.340 And the places where it's worse
00:35:02.700 are the places where air pollution
00:35:05.480 is the worst.
00:35:06.980 Did you know,
00:35:08.540 and I just tweeted around a source for this,
00:35:11.340 that the air pollution on the deck,
00:35:13.700 even if you're outdoors,
00:35:15.200 on the deck of a cruise ship,
00:35:17.740 I just read an article from USA Today,
00:35:19.800 that the air quality on the deck
00:35:22.220 of a cruise ship in the ocean
00:35:24.460 is worse than the air quality in Tehran.
00:35:29.620 And believe it or not,
00:35:31.000 this story was a few years old,
00:35:32.580 and the story actually compared it to Iran.
00:35:36.680 Coincidentally,
00:35:37.380 that was the exact comparison they made.
00:35:40.180 So there's something about
00:35:41.680 whatever is bubbling around,
00:35:43.540 you know,
00:35:43.960 in the bowels of the ship
00:35:45.320 that is causing the air quality
00:35:47.280 on a cruise ship
00:35:48.160 to be worse than Tehran.
00:35:50.340 So,
00:35:51.140 all of these places,
00:35:52.780 and by the way,
00:35:53.300 if you didn't know,
00:35:54.100 Italy,
00:35:55.120 and I didn't know this,
00:35:56.060 Italy is the most polluted air
00:35:57.860 in Europe.
00:35:58.680 Did you know that?
00:36:00.320 I bet you didn't know that.
00:36:02.080 South Korea
00:36:02.800 has terrible air quality.
00:36:06.120 Did you know that?
00:36:07.440 Some of you did.
00:36:08.300 I didn't know that.
00:36:09.040 I didn't know it until yesterday.
00:36:10.180 I looked this stuff up.
00:36:11.760 So,
00:36:12.980 Iran,
00:36:13.460 China,
00:36:13.760 Italy,
00:36:14.100 South Korea,
00:36:14.620 and cruise ships
00:36:15.320 have the worst air quality
00:36:16.720 and the worst problems
00:36:17.760 with the coronavirus.
00:36:20.640 Is that a coincidence?
00:36:22.620 Well,
00:36:23.040 there are other correlations
00:36:24.400 that might be the coincidence.
00:36:25.860 For example,
00:36:27.180 as other people mentioned,
00:36:29.160 it could be
00:36:30.560 that many of these countries
00:36:31.760 have different standards
00:36:33.220 for social behavior.
00:36:35.380 Maybe there's more
00:36:36.440 hugging and kissing
00:36:37.380 when you greet people.
00:36:39.520 Maybe there's just more
00:36:40.280 touching or sharing.
00:36:42.000 Could be.
00:36:43.040 I mean,
00:36:43.300 that could be the correlation.
00:36:44.620 As people are saying
00:36:45.520 in the comments,
00:36:46.680 there's a high level
00:36:47.920 of smoking
00:36:48.540 in all of these countries.
00:36:50.820 And that should
00:36:51.800 mean something,
00:36:52.960 right?
00:36:53.200 That's a high correlation.
00:36:54.060 It has something to do
00:36:54.860 with the lungs.
00:36:55.480 It would make sense
00:36:56.100 that that would have
00:36:56.600 a correlation.
00:36:58.100 Here's another correlation.
00:36:59.660 they're all
00:37:00.860 dense places.
00:37:03.280 So maybe it has
00:37:04.220 nothing to do
00:37:04.740 with the air.
00:37:05.760 They're just
00:37:06.320 very populated places.
00:37:08.180 And we'll see
00:37:09.040 other populated places
00:37:10.240 having exactly
00:37:11.160 the same reaction.
00:37:12.420 That's possible.
00:37:13.200 We'll have to wait
00:37:13.800 and see.
00:37:15.320 And another correlation
00:37:17.360 is that those
00:37:18.560 are the only places
00:37:19.240 that are being tested.
00:37:20.800 So it could be
00:37:21.840 that we only think
00:37:23.540 those are the worst places
00:37:24.860 because once discovered,
00:37:27.440 there was a lot
00:37:27.860 of testing there.
00:37:28.980 It could be,
00:37:30.640 you know,
00:37:31.120 just hypothetically,
00:37:32.240 it could be that
00:37:32.900 there's some clean air
00:37:34.140 place in Aspen
00:37:35.440 where there's a ton of it
00:37:37.260 and we just haven't
00:37:37.980 tested it yet.
00:37:39.340 Could be.
00:37:40.940 So here are the reasons,
00:37:43.060 potential reasons,
00:37:43.960 and we'll just speculate now.
00:37:45.280 So there's no scientific backing.
00:37:46.840 Well, a little bit,
00:37:48.040 but not enough.
00:37:49.580 So one of the reasons
00:37:50.940 that air pollution
00:37:51.600 might be hurting people
00:37:52.720 is the obvious.
00:37:53.480 It degrades people's lungs.
00:37:55.360 So if your lungs
00:37:56.040 are already degraded
00:37:57.300 and you get a virus
00:37:58.120 that hurts your lungs,
00:37:59.240 could that more likely
00:38:00.820 hurt you?
00:38:01.320 The answer is yes,
00:38:02.400 of course.
00:38:03.840 If you add the air pollution
00:38:05.080 to the fact that
00:38:05.940 there are heavy smokers,
00:38:08.180 well, now it's twice as bad.
00:38:10.020 You've got air pollution
00:38:10.880 and you're smoking.
00:38:12.080 So of course you get
00:38:13.040 a virus in your lungs
00:38:14.520 that's going to be bad.
00:38:15.320 But there's some other
00:38:15.980 more interesting things.
00:38:18.840 Apparently vitamin D
00:38:20.140 is,
00:38:21.500 I think this is not
00:38:22.860 100% confirmed,
00:38:24.520 but there's a lot of science
00:38:26.420 that would suggest
00:38:27.480 vitamin D is protective.
00:38:31.000 And vitamin D
00:38:31.560 you get from sun.
00:38:33.340 And something you don't get
00:38:34.640 when you're in a polluted place
00:38:36.060 is enough sun.
00:38:38.100 So could it be
00:38:38.900 that high levels of pollution
00:38:40.660 are making it more difficult
00:38:42.660 for people to get
00:38:43.500 their vitamin D
00:38:44.360 and you have entire populations
00:38:46.400 that are more susceptible
00:38:47.700 because of the pollution
00:38:49.780 and the vitamin D connection?
00:38:51.060 Maybe.
00:38:52.880 There's also a little bit
00:38:54.540 of science,
00:38:55.220 but not enough,
00:38:56.720 to suggest that
00:38:57.760 one of the ways
00:38:58.420 that viruses travel
00:38:59.560 is on dust.
00:39:01.800 Now,
00:39:02.520 does pollution
00:39:03.340 operate the way
00:39:05.080 dust does?
00:39:07.200 Can a virus
00:39:08.160 hitch a ride
00:39:09.360 on some pollution
00:39:10.160 and then travel further?
00:39:12.540 Did you notice
00:39:13.280 that the Chinese
00:39:14.520 got things under control?
00:39:16.660 They say,
00:39:18.120 I don't know,
00:39:19.060 do you believe it?
00:39:19.880 It's hard to know.
00:39:22.120 But China says
00:39:22.800 that they're at least
00:39:23.620 reducing the number
00:39:24.660 of new cases,
00:39:26.200 if you believe it,
00:39:28.060 recently.
00:39:29.400 But what else
00:39:30.360 happened recently?
00:39:32.440 All the traffic stopped
00:39:34.000 because everything
00:39:34.820 shut down in China,
00:39:36.380 enough so
00:39:37.180 that the pollution
00:39:37.840 went away.
00:39:38.920 So you've seen
00:39:39.460 the aerial photos,
00:39:41.580 the pollution cleared up.
00:39:43.320 So at the same time
00:39:44.720 the pollution cleared up,
00:39:46.780 the virus stopped spreading
00:39:48.540 at the same rate.
00:39:51.760 Coincidence?
00:39:53.120 I mean,
00:39:53.380 it could be.
00:39:54.120 Remember,
00:39:54.700 everything we're talking about
00:39:55.860 is probably a coincidence.
00:39:58.760 So we're peering
00:39:59.840 into lots of coincidences
00:40:01.220 to see if there's anything
00:40:03.020 that should be looked at
00:40:03.980 a little bit further.
00:40:05.120 Certainly we're not
00:40:05.940 going to know anything,
00:40:07.060 but we could know
00:40:08.220 what to look at.
00:40:10.420 There's also some indication
00:40:12.060 that pollution directly
00:40:13.380 lowers your immune response,
00:40:15.580 whether that's from vitamin D
00:40:17.580 or something else.
00:40:18.780 So you've got
00:40:19.300 several mechanisms
00:40:20.320 by which pollution
00:40:21.580 could be a big factor,
00:40:23.040 which is really important
00:40:24.380 to you.
00:40:26.300 It's important to you
00:40:27.620 because I'm going to
00:40:29.200 make a prediction.
00:40:31.240 And here's my prediction.
00:40:32.200 that if you're in some place
00:40:35.300 that is not that dense
00:40:37.700 or has cleaner air
00:40:40.240 and you're not a smoker,
00:40:43.260 you're going to be
00:40:44.060 in a lot better shape.
00:40:45.720 I think your odds
00:40:46.660 of getting it
00:40:47.280 if you live in a clean air environment
00:40:49.320 are probably going to be
00:40:50.560 a lot better.
00:40:51.920 Now,
00:40:52.220 this is speculation,
00:40:54.000 but it's my prediction as well.
00:40:56.220 It's my prediction
00:40:56.940 that this is not
00:40:57.900 an accidental correlation
00:41:01.220 that the air pollution
00:41:02.880 probably has some impact.
00:41:05.200 Now,
00:41:05.560 as some people said,
00:41:06.860 hey,
00:41:07.040 what about Seattle?
00:41:08.980 Well,
00:41:09.180 I think most of the people
00:41:10.300 in Seattle
00:41:10.680 are from the cruise ship,
00:41:11.800 right?
00:41:12.580 So the cruise ship
00:41:13.460 is bad air quality.
00:41:16.140 And also,
00:41:16.980 I imagine
00:41:17.380 there are more
00:41:18.260 elderly people.
00:41:20.520 Now,
00:41:20.820 I saw a video
00:41:22.680 by somebody
00:41:23.460 who is not credible,
00:41:24.680 so I won't say
00:41:25.280 that this is true,
00:41:26.080 but we are not yet
00:41:28.880 seeing full reporting
00:41:30.700 on the genetic
00:41:32.940 and or ethnic
00:41:34.460 background
00:41:35.440 of the people
00:41:36.140 who are suffering
00:41:36.860 the most.
00:41:38.280 As far as I know,
00:41:39.580 no African American
00:41:40.580 has died
00:41:41.340 from the coronavirus,
00:41:44.000 as far as I know.
00:41:46.600 There's at least
00:41:47.820 one person
00:41:48.360 who believes
00:41:49.020 that 98%
00:41:50.100 of the deaths
00:41:50.620 are ethnic Chinese.
00:41:52.920 Is that true?
00:41:53.880 Even the ones
00:41:56.020 in other countries
00:41:56.840 appear to be
00:41:57.740 ethnic Chinese
00:41:58.540 who are having
00:41:59.540 a bigger problem
00:42:00.180 with it.
00:42:01.380 Is that true?
00:42:02.600 I would say
00:42:03.200 that is an unknown
00:42:05.100 at this point.
00:42:06.040 It could be
00:42:06.520 that it just seemed
00:42:07.360 that way
00:42:07.820 because where
00:42:08.340 the source was
00:42:09.400 in Wuhan
00:42:10.540 and people
00:42:11.300 who were coming
00:42:11.880 back and forth
00:42:12.620 from there
00:42:13.000 were more likely
00:42:14.540 to be ethnic Chinese.
00:42:15.980 So it could be
00:42:16.740 a false correlation.
00:42:17.820 But here's my prediction.
00:42:23.100 You will not see
00:42:24.360 a major outbreak
00:42:26.320 unless there's
00:42:27.600 some kind of
00:42:28.040 a special case
00:42:28.980 such as a nursing home
00:42:30.460 or some kind of
00:42:32.080 weird cluster
00:42:32.940 of people
00:42:33.340 who are susceptible.
00:42:34.620 So not counting
00:42:35.260 special cases,
00:42:36.820 I don't think
00:42:37.580 you're going to see
00:42:38.040 a major outbreak
00:42:39.360 where there's
00:42:40.640 low pollution
00:42:41.300 and where the density
00:42:43.440 is less crowded.
00:42:46.020 I think those
00:42:47.660 two factors
00:42:48.220 may have something
00:42:48.780 to do with it.
00:42:49.780 All right.
00:42:52.940 And if it's true
00:42:53.980 that China
00:42:54.640 is getting a hold
00:42:55.440 on this
00:42:55.880 and the number
00:42:57.120 of new cases
00:42:57.680 is reducing,
00:42:59.200 if that's true,
00:43:01.120 I mean,
00:43:01.480 that is really good news
00:43:02.700 because that must be
00:43:03.780 the hardest situation
00:43:04.780 and if they can do it,
00:43:06.120 it means we're probably
00:43:06.800 in pretty good shape.
00:43:08.380 Here's more
00:43:09.040 of my prediction.
00:43:10.420 I believe
00:43:11.100 that the world economy
00:43:12.680 will figure
00:43:14.680 a way out.
00:43:16.020 So if you've looked
00:43:16.880 at the range
00:43:17.520 of predictions
00:43:18.080 about the coronavirus,
00:43:19.640 it goes from,
00:43:20.660 hey, people,
00:43:21.320 it's just a bad chest cold,
00:43:23.480 grandma was going
00:43:24.340 to die anyway,
00:43:25.460 you won't even notice.
00:43:26.960 So that's at the
00:43:27.860 lowest end of worry.
00:43:29.660 At the highest end
00:43:30.480 of worry,
00:43:31.480 the economy suffers
00:43:32.600 and civilization
00:43:33.640 falls apart.
00:43:35.760 I don't think
00:43:36.580 that's going to happen
00:43:37.260 and here's why.
00:43:39.520 At most,
00:43:40.660 in the United States,
00:43:41.940 I would expect
00:43:42.620 that no more
00:43:43.520 than,
00:43:44.740 this is just an average,
00:43:46.020 but just a prediction
00:43:47.720 and I wish
00:43:49.040 I could back this up
00:43:50.160 but this just feels right
00:43:51.920 so feel free
00:43:53.320 to disagree.
00:43:54.440 I don't think
00:43:55.080 we'll see a point
00:43:55.800 where any given company
00:43:58.200 will have more
00:43:59.620 than 20%
00:44:00.500 of their employees
00:44:01.560 sick at the same time.
00:44:03.760 Can business
00:44:04.840 go on
00:44:05.520 if 20%
00:44:06.460 of their employees
00:44:07.260 are now sick?
00:44:08.080 and the answer
00:44:09.580 is yeah,
00:44:10.760 easily
00:44:11.140 because
00:44:13.040 business can go on
00:44:16.400 with 20%
00:44:17.480 of the people
00:44:18.180 out of sick
00:44:18.700 because we do it
00:44:19.720 every summer.
00:44:20.660 Every summer,
00:44:21.520 20% of the people
00:44:22.440 are on vacation
00:44:23.140 and business
00:44:24.260 just goes on.
00:44:25.600 So it's actually
00:44:26.820 fairly easy
00:44:28.280 to run a business
00:44:29.580 if 20%
00:44:30.360 of the people
00:44:31.060 are home sick.
00:44:31.600 So I think
00:44:32.860 you're going to see
00:44:33.320 a situation
00:44:33.860 where people
00:44:34.380 are going to realize
00:44:35.140 that it is more
00:44:36.080 important
00:44:36.480 to prevent
00:44:37.560 a depression
00:44:38.220 and it's more
00:44:39.440 important
00:44:39.800 to have an income
00:44:40.740 and to eat
00:44:41.660 and pay taxes
00:44:42.440 than it is
00:44:43.740 to protect
00:44:44.360 every single
00:44:45.300 young person,
00:44:47.300 emphasis on
00:44:48.080 young person,
00:44:49.360 from all exposure.
00:44:51.200 So I think
00:44:51.620 people are just
00:44:52.180 going to go back
00:44:52.740 to work
00:44:53.200 at some point,
00:44:54.380 take their chances.
00:44:55.120 I think we'll
00:44:56.240 probably find
00:44:57.040 better ways
00:44:58.440 to protect
00:44:59.100 our elderly.
00:45:00.760 I think we'll
00:45:01.600 probably put more
00:45:02.560 resources into
00:45:03.460 protecting them.
00:45:04.860 But if you're 35,
00:45:06.940 I think in a few
00:45:07.700 weeks you're just
00:45:08.300 going to go back
00:45:08.820 to work and take
00:45:09.480 your chances
00:45:09.960 and get a little
00:45:11.880 chest cold
00:45:12.960 for a week.
00:45:14.080 Probably that's
00:45:14.820 your worst case.
00:45:16.460 So
00:45:16.620 I'm also going
00:45:20.380 to suggest
00:45:21.800 that there
00:45:23.140 might be some
00:45:23.820 kind of
00:45:24.360 genetic
00:45:25.020 marker.
00:45:26.100 It might not
00:45:26.540 have anything
00:45:27.000 to do with
00:45:27.460 your ethnicity.
00:45:28.240 It could be
00:45:28.520 independent of
00:45:29.260 ethnicity.
00:45:30.280 But it could be
00:45:31.180 that not everybody
00:45:32.400 is equally at risk.
00:45:33.780 I think we're
00:45:34.340 going to know
00:45:34.740 that pretty soon
00:45:35.580 because we're
00:45:36.600 certainly testing
00:45:37.340 enough people.
00:45:38.460 We could get
00:45:38.880 their DNA.
00:45:40.120 It won't be
00:45:40.860 long before we
00:45:42.680 know who is
00:45:43.140 the most susceptible.
00:45:44.740 And then you
00:45:45.200 can plan
00:45:46.220 accordingly.
00:45:47.160 You can say,
00:45:47.680 okay, if you're
00:45:48.200 most susceptible,
00:45:49.540 you do this stuff.
00:45:50.940 The rest of us
00:45:51.760 will keep the
00:45:52.440 economy running
00:45:53.180 because we're
00:45:53.700 less susceptible.
00:45:55.020 I think we're
00:45:55.840 going to work
00:45:56.140 that out.
00:45:57.200 I think we're
00:45:57.720 going to see
00:45:58.280 an end of
00:45:59.920 large outdoor
00:46:00.740 events, but I
00:46:02.340 predicted that a
00:46:03.800 long time ago
00:46:04.400 based on drones.
00:46:05.940 I thought
00:46:06.300 terrorism would
00:46:07.060 become so good
00:46:07.920 in terms of
00:46:09.060 effective that
00:46:10.400 outdoor events
00:46:11.320 with large
00:46:11.880 gatherings would
00:46:12.640 probably become
00:46:13.760 a thing of the
00:46:14.500 past.
00:46:15.180 And I think
00:46:15.540 we're getting
00:46:15.860 closer to that.
00:46:16.720 This is just
00:46:17.200 one more step.
00:46:19.040 I do think
00:46:22.720 the travel and
00:46:23.380 entertainment
00:46:23.820 industry is
00:46:24.820 just going to
00:46:25.300 get devastated,
00:46:26.860 of course.
00:46:28.320 But that will
00:46:29.180 be the worst
00:46:29.700 of it.
00:46:30.220 I don't think
00:46:30.820 the virus is
00:46:31.540 going to travel
00:46:32.080 on packages,
00:46:33.600 and that means
00:46:34.440 that most
00:46:34.860 companies can
00:46:35.660 make things
00:46:36.900 and mail them
00:46:38.660 to you,
00:46:39.100 and you're not
00:46:39.480 going to worry
00:46:39.840 about accepting
00:46:40.440 them.
00:46:41.360 So I guess
00:46:42.480 the virus can
00:46:43.060 live for up to
00:46:45.120 a day on a
00:46:45.680 package,
00:46:46.060 but if it's
00:46:46.800 been in the
00:46:47.160 mail for a
00:46:47.620 while,
00:46:47.840 you're pretty
00:46:48.160 safe.
00:46:49.980 And I think
00:46:50.560 we'll have a
00:46:51.080 vaccine in a
00:46:52.000 year or so.
00:46:53.000 So here's my
00:46:54.060 prediction.
00:46:55.620 We're going to
00:46:56.160 get through
00:46:56.500 this.
00:46:58.880 There will be
00:46:59.700 casualties.
00:47:01.080 The odds of
00:47:01.940 those casualties
00:47:02.640 being you
00:47:04.200 personally,
00:47:05.520 really,
00:47:06.260 really small,
00:47:07.300 in terms of
00:47:08.640 death.
00:47:10.020 The odds of
00:47:10.800 it affecting
00:47:11.240 you financially,
00:47:12.320 100%.
00:47:13.020 100%.
00:47:14.420 It will affect
00:47:15.700 you financially.
00:47:17.380 But it's
00:47:18.940 affecting us
00:47:19.540 all financially.
00:47:21.560 We're all in
00:47:22.340 it together.
00:47:23.640 And I would
00:47:25.040 like to make
00:47:25.400 this offer.
00:47:26.100 If civilization
00:47:26.940 breaks down,
00:47:28.740 don't think it
00:47:29.280 will.
00:47:30.160 But look for
00:47:31.480 me and I
00:47:32.020 will be your
00:47:32.740 benevolent
00:47:35.520 dictator just
00:47:36.360 to get us
00:47:36.760 through the
00:47:37.060 emergency,
00:47:37.900 and then we'll
00:47:38.440 set up a
00:47:40.320 constitution after
00:47:41.180 that.
00:47:42.640 Totally serious
00:47:43.560 offer, by the
00:47:44.140 way.
00:47:44.320 Totally serious
00:47:46.260 offer.
00:47:47.460 Almost no
00:47:48.240 chance you're
00:47:48.840 ever going to
00:47:49.200 need to take
00:47:49.660 me up on
00:47:50.120 it.
00:47:50.900 But if the
00:47:51.400 government
00:47:51.740 fails, if
00:47:53.360 civilization
00:47:54.100 crumbles,
00:47:55.000 you've watched
00:47:56.020 me long enough
00:47:56.740 to know that
00:47:57.400 I'm just going
00:47:57.880 to be helpful.
00:47:59.280 I'm not going
00:47:59.920 to become a
00:48:00.320 dictator.
00:48:01.120 Dictator is a
00:48:01.780 bad job.
00:48:02.320 Somebody always
00:48:02.780 kills you.
00:48:04.180 But if you
00:48:04.900 need a
00:48:05.160 benevolent
00:48:05.620 dictator just
00:48:06.220 to get you
00:48:06.680 through a
00:48:09.140 civilization
00:48:09.860 crumbling
00:48:10.340 event, which
00:48:11.180 I don't think
00:48:11.640 we're going
00:48:11.860 to have, look
00:48:14.520 for me and
00:48:15.320 I'll take you
00:48:16.120 through it.
00:48:18.860 You can find
00:48:19.640 me.
00:48:20.480 All right,
00:48:20.880 that's all for
00:48:21.360 now, and I
00:48:22.660 will talk to
00:48:23.140 you later.
00:48:24.580 Thank you.
00:48:24.700 Thank you.
00:48:24.740 Thank you.
00:48:24.760 Thank you.