Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 839 Scott Adams： Black Voters Saved the Country, Coronavirus Expectations, Facemask Loserthink

00:00:00.400 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum 1.00

00:00:07.400 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. That would be me.

00:00:16.260 And you already know who you are, and you know why you're here. And I'll bet you're prepared.

00:00:21.700 If you're not prepared, if it's your first time, welcome. You just made it to the best place in the world.

00:00:29.120 Congratulations on that. Good day for you.

00:00:31.660 Those of you who come here every day already know it's the best place in the world.

00:00:35.260 Best time to be in the best place in the world, doing the best thing.

00:00:38.060 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:45.020 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:46.060 I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:55.800 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:59.340 Ah, I feel my immunity building.

00:01:07.460 Coronavirus.

00:01:08.900 I would like to take a page from Jesse Waters, who was absolutely hilarious yesterday on The Five on Fox News,

00:01:17.240 in which he said, and I'm paraphrasing, if the coronavirus, if the coronavirus attacks me, I will beat it.

00:01:27.420 I will beat it.

00:01:29.520 He's right. He probably will.

00:01:30.660 I was looking at my odds of dying from the coronavirus, because it's that kind of a day.

00:01:38.460 And my odds of dying from the coronavirus at my age, so it's age-adjusted, about 4%.

00:01:45.160 Not bad.

00:01:47.760 But that's 4% if I get it.

00:01:52.280 And it probably also is people who have, you know, more health problems than I have.

00:01:56.760 So, well, there's probably a 50% chance I'll get it.

00:02:01.060 So that cuts it in half, down to 2%.

00:02:03.360 Probably the people dying are sicker and older.

00:02:09.200 You know, I'm on the early end of the 60s.

00:02:13.040 So I'd say my chances are 1%, something like that.

00:02:18.320 You know, 1% of a problem.

00:02:19.780 And I've probably got a greater chance of dying from, well, just about everything else.

00:02:25.380 So if you break it down, my personal odds are pretty, pretty good.

00:02:30.160 All right.

00:02:30.860 Let's talk about the big news from last night.

00:02:33.620 Super Tuesday.

00:02:34.800 Yay! 0.99

00:02:36.660 I would like to take this opportunity, with no irony whatsoever.

00:02:41.640 I know you're going to suspect that I'm saying this for humorous purposes.

00:02:46.300 I'm not.

00:02:46.980 It is kind of interesting in a light and amusing way, but that's not why I'm going to say it.

00:02:55.780 Thank you to the black voters of the United States for saving the country from Bernie Sanders and disastrous social policies.

00:03:09.460 And I don't think that's too much of an overstatement.

00:03:13.180 But the black voters of this country, the ones who voted on Super Tuesday, I believe did a really solid service to the United States.

00:03:22.620 Because keep in mind that because of differences in socioeconomic situations, a lot of black voters were voting against transferring money from other people to themselves.

00:03:37.460 Because you have to think that a lot of people who voted against Bernie were voting against a direct transfer of money from other people to themselves.

00:03:51.960 Now, if that's not good work, I don't know what is.

00:03:56.840 All right, so thank you, teammates, black citizens who saved the country.

00:04:03.180 That's literally true, right?

00:04:06.180 Is there any hyperbole in what I just said?

00:04:08.500 I don't think so.

00:04:09.600 I think black voters just saved the country, literally.

00:04:13.580 So thank you.

00:04:15.360 And I mean that.

00:04:16.060 So let's see what else happened.

00:04:21.620 There's a question about whether the results have so far been rigged by the democratic machine.

00:04:28.100 And it's kind of an interesting question because what is the difference between, let's say, the important Democrats all met in a room and they made phone calls and they all talked to each other behind the scenes and decided,

00:04:41.860 hey, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg and Beto, if we all, you know, if you all drop out, the ones who haven't dropped out and endorse Biden, you know, we'll get Biden over the finish line and we'll get to keep power and all that.

00:04:58.900 Now, that would be rigging it.

00:05:01.960 I mean, people would, it's all legal.

00:05:04.300 I mean, anybody can talk to anybody and make any kind of a legal deal.

00:05:08.100 But it would feel rigged.

00:05:09.540 But what if it didn't go down like that?

00:05:14.060 What if everybody just knew what to do?

00:05:18.120 Is that different?

00:05:20.300 I mean, do you process that differently?

00:05:22.540 Did anybody need to tell Amy Klobuchar that this was exactly the best time to quit and endorse Biden because she wasn't going to win and because, you know, he was the closest to what she wanted for the country?

00:05:36.140 I don't think anybody had to tell her.

00:05:38.640 Right.

00:05:39.540 And after Buttigieg made his move, it was pretty obvious.

00:05:45.640 It was pretty obvious what the move was.

00:05:47.640 So is it rigged?

00:05:48.620 If everybody simply does what they know is good for their team, if they don't have an actual conversation and somebody didn't call them and say, do this or I'll give you this.

00:05:58.240 I think it's kind of all the same.

00:06:03.780 Bloomberg is reportedly considering what he's going to do.

00:06:09.220 This is a more interesting question than you think, because we'll talk about this in a moment.

00:06:16.860 But Biden's speech did not suggest he could necessarily make it all the way to the election.

00:06:25.240 Or even really all the way to the convention.

00:06:30.120 There is something so wobbly about Biden that you actually have to ask yourself.

00:06:38.540 Can he make it all the way to the convention without having either a health issue or the public turning on him because he seems wobbly?

00:06:47.340 And Bloomberg actually still has a path, doesn't he?

00:06:52.940 If Bloomberg limped into the convention with his one delegate or whatever he's going to have, and he was simply just hanging out as a person who's in full control of his faculties

00:07:08.260 and has a conservative, let's say, a moderate Biden-like position, what would happen if we got there?

00:07:16.380 Biden had the most votes except for Bernie, but Biden didn't look viable anymore because we just watched him a little too closely since today.

00:07:26.220 And maybe people say, you know, I wasn't seeing it before, but I'm not as comfortable as I was even a few weeks ago.

00:07:34.360 It looks like things are going bad quickly.

00:07:37.000 So Bloomberg actually has a play, which is just hang around and not be crazy and not be Bernie and not be Elizabeth Warren, I suppose.

00:07:46.280 Now, that would probably make the candidates who backed Biden angry.

00:07:53.420 But so Bloomberg has a play.

00:07:55.800 If I had to guess, I would guess he's going to drop out maybe today, but soon.

00:08:02.640 So my prediction will be Bloomberg drops out.

00:08:05.060 But the reason he hasn't done it already is he's probably mulling the fact that there's actually still this tiny little channel for him to get through.

00:08:15.520 It's hard to imagine, though.

00:08:17.740 All right.

00:08:19.500 The youth vote did not show up for Bernie.

00:08:22.480 So NBC was reporting that the turnout among young voters, the ones Bernie attracts the best, they didn't really turn out.

00:08:36.100 Somebody says Bloomberg just dropped out.

00:08:39.180 Oh, so while I was talking about it.

00:08:41.960 Did that happen while I was talking about it?

00:08:43.700 Let me just call up CNN here and take a look.

00:08:51.040 Should be in the top story.

00:08:55.380 But it's not there yet.

00:08:56.560 So it might be so new that it's not even online yet.

00:08:59.260 All right.

00:08:59.520 We'll look for that.

00:09:01.640 So anyway, Bernie has this strategy of attracting young voters.

00:09:04.720 And I remember from the very first that I realized that Bernie's strategy was to attract young voters.

00:09:14.240 I said to myself, who would have a strategy of attracting the people least likely to vote?

00:09:22.800 Now, I suppose if you did something miraculous, you could get them to vote.

00:09:26.700 But it would require changing their basic nature or changing something about the way you're doing things that's so different that you could motivate them.

00:09:34.920 But just being a good candidate and having policies that young people like, I think we know doesn't make them go to the polls in large numbers like the elderly.

00:09:45.160 So, would you want Bernie to come in and re-engineer the entire economy if the one thing you knew about him for sure is that his plan to get elected was to appeal to the people least likely to show up?

00:10:02.740 Doesn't that tell you there's something wrong with his system thinking right there?

00:10:08.520 He's not a system thinker.

00:10:10.020 He's a goal thinker, a goal being, you know, we'd like everybody to have health care.

00:10:15.560 We'd like everybody to show up to vote.

00:10:17.780 But what's your system to get there?

00:10:19.400 It's the system that's the broken part.

00:10:23.300 Well, we got to talk about Biden's victory speech.

00:10:28.980 So he has his victory speech because he won most of the states and took the lead from Bernie in delegates.

00:10:36.460 Although the race is still very much on, but he's got the lead at the moment.

00:10:41.360 And he gets up there, and you probably all saw the clip by now.

00:10:44.560 So his wife and his sister are standing slightly behind him on either side.

00:10:48.520 And he confuses which one is on which side.

00:10:51.380 And he goes, this is my wife.

00:10:52.880 And he starts to hold her.

00:10:54.260 Or no, this is my sister.

00:10:55.400 And he starts to hold his wife's hand.

00:10:57.340 And then the wife is like, no, I'm not the sister.

00:11:00.900 And then Biden realizes it.

00:11:03.580 And he goes, this is my wife.

00:11:05.060 No, this is my sister.

00:11:06.200 No, they switched on me.

00:11:07.800 And then he's trying to explain why the very first thing he says in his victory speech is old man nonsense.

00:11:15.760 Confused old man nonsense is how he started his victory speech.

00:11:19.740 Then he used the word which he's been busted for before.

00:11:22.880 Instead of saying exponentially, he says exponentially.

00:11:26.620 And he says it so clearly, you know he doesn't know what the word is.

00:11:31.820 Yeah, it's because he's said it in the past lots of times.

00:11:34.460 He says exponentially.

00:11:36.840 He actually says that word very clearly.

00:11:39.640 Then he was talking about Amy Klobuchar, who he called Amy Globuchar.

00:11:46.560 Yeah, Amy Globuchar.

00:11:48.880 And, of course, he was slurring words and stopping in the middle of sentences and confused and shouting.

00:11:55.540 And Glenn Greenwald is hilarious on this topic.

00:12:01.360 I retweet him a lot.

00:12:03.620 And I'm not a big fan of Glenn Greenwald's personality, or at least the public version of it that we see.

00:12:11.880 He's pretty unforgiving and unpleasant.

00:12:15.760 But he's really good at what he does.

00:12:18.640 Can't take that away from him.

00:12:19.900 And you should follow him on Twitter because his tweets are spectacular.

00:12:22.900 But even Glenn Greenwald is saying, you know, what are you Democrats seeing in Biden that makes you think this is okay?

00:12:36.860 I mean, I'm paraphrasing.

00:12:38.360 He didn't say it with those words.

00:12:39.520 But he's kind of, he put up a poll on Twitter to literally ask Democrats, what the hell are you seeing here?

00:12:48.100 What is your, so his curiosity, which I share, is what are Democrats thinking when they vote for Biden?

00:12:57.960 Now, of course, they think he can win.

00:13:00.500 So that's obvious.

00:13:01.380 They think his policies or whatever.

00:13:03.340 And that's obvious.

00:13:04.120 But what do they think about his mental acuity?

00:13:09.140 I'm actually curious.

00:13:11.200 Do Democrats not see what's going on?

00:13:16.240 And part of the curiosity is, do they look at Trump and it looks the same?

00:13:23.180 I don't know.

00:13:24.300 That's an actual question.

00:13:25.480 I'm not saying, I'm not saying that to make a point.

00:13:28.020 I don't know.

00:13:28.660 Do Democrats look at Trump and see him as mentally incompetent, even though the experts who are both left and right facing have unanimously finally come to the same conclusion that Trump's style of communication is super good?

00:13:48.360 Super good.

00:13:49.340 But are the Democratic voters not seeing what the experts see?

00:13:55.040 And they say, well, he uses simple sentences and he doesn't complete his sentences.

00:13:59.640 He'll start something and then he'll turn left and he'll turn right.

00:14:02.820 And the experts have all agreed at this point it totally works.

00:14:07.460 So there's no, there's no confusion anymore among experts on the left or the right.

00:14:13.440 The president Trump really, really is good at this.

00:14:16.500 This meaning communicating and persuading.

00:14:19.340 But nobody's saying that about Biden.

00:14:22.980 Are there any communication experts who are saying, oh, you public, I know you're laughing at his gaffes, but look at his technique.

00:14:32.360 If you would look at his technique, you would see that he's really good at this.

00:14:36.440 But maybe you don't understand because you don't you don't understand the right technique.

00:14:41.600 Nobody's saying that.

00:14:43.300 A hundred percent of people are saying it about Trump.

00:14:46.520 Everyone.

00:14:46.820 Every every good communication expert left and right says Trump is great.

00:14:53.060 Zero people have said that about Biden.

00:14:56.740 What are they thinking about his mental ability?

00:14:59.540 I don't know.

00:15:00.180 It's a great question.

00:15:00.920 Trey Gowdy, apparently I didn't hear this live, but I think it was was it Martha McCallum who quoted him?

00:15:08.480 He was on her show, I think, and said that Trey Gowdy had the greatest line about watching Joe Biden give a speech.

00:15:15.540 And just listen to just feel how visual this is.

00:15:20.200 I always tell you that good persuasion is visual.

00:15:22.920 Trey Gowdy on Joe Biden, he says it's like watching a chain smoker fill a gas tank.

00:15:27.760 Now, could that be any better?

00:15:32.080 That is so visual.

00:15:34.400 And it tells it's not only visual, but I make this point often, too.

00:15:38.380 It's one sentence, but it's a movie.

00:15:41.720 You can see the movie.

00:15:42.780 It's got a beginning.

00:15:43.700 It's got a middle.

00:15:44.480 It's got an end, which doesn't end well.

00:15:46.000 And it's just spectacular.

00:15:50.780 Now, I don't think, I don't believe Trey Gowdy invented that folksy saying.

00:15:57.180 I think that was an existing saying.

00:15:59.000 But boy, does that fit, because it does feel exactly like that.

00:16:04.200 I have, let me ask you if you've had this experience yet.

00:16:08.100 Prior to a few months ago, the only politicians that I would watch were ones who were really interesting.

00:16:18.360 So if Trump was giving a rally, I would actually watch that for a while, just because he holds my attention.

00:16:24.240 He's just so interesting all the time.

00:16:26.240 Same with AOC.

00:16:27.840 I might be disagreeing with her, but boy, can she hold attention. 0.97

00:16:31.480 Same with Matt Gaetz, just to use another example.

00:16:35.360 He can hold your attention like nobody.

00:16:38.840 I mean, these are really good people at holding attention.

00:16:43.240 But I've recently started really enjoying watching Joe Biden speak.

00:16:49.820 Are you with me?

00:16:52.100 But I'm not looking at him because he holds my attention in the classical way that the others do.

00:16:57.880 He holds my attention because I'm waiting for the chain smoker who's filling his gas tank to blow up.

00:17:04.120 And I'm very aware of it while I'm watching it.

00:17:08.220 The whole time I'm watching, I go, come on.

00:17:10.980 He starts a sentence.

00:17:12.280 Every time Biden starts a sentence, I have the same feeling.

00:17:16.620 I'm like, okay, this is a good one.

00:17:18.180 It's a complex sentence.

00:17:20.260 Let's see where this is going.

00:17:22.140 Oh, okay, he landed that one.

00:17:24.700 Here's another one.

00:17:25.640 Another complex sentence.

00:17:27.060 And, okay, he took a left turn and just missed going all over the cliff.

00:17:33.580 Here's another sentence.

00:17:35.860 I'm fascinated by Biden now.

00:17:38.000 I can't stop watching him.

00:17:39.500 I watched that whole speech last night.

00:17:42.020 All right.

00:17:42.300 Some people are saying that Bloomberg wasted his half a billion dollars or whatever it was because his money, he proved that money doesn't make the difference because Biden won, you know, with practically no spending in a few states where Bloomberg spent a lot.

00:18:00.940 But is that really what we found out?

00:18:05.020 I'm not so sure that's what we learned.

00:18:09.000 Didn't we learn that money plus no personality whatsoever doesn't work?

00:18:16.020 I think that's what we learned.

00:18:18.580 Was there anybody in the world who was saying, you know, if Charles Manson were still alive and he had enough funding, he could become president of the United States?

00:18:29.580 Was anybody thinking that?

00:18:32.700 Because I would say no.

00:18:35.180 There was nobody in the entire planet who was thinking, you know, if you had enough money, it doesn't matter who you are.

00:18:43.160 Nobody was thinking that.

00:18:45.040 No, folks, the lesson that we got from Bloomberg is not that money doesn't help.

00:18:53.400 It was the opposite.

00:18:55.000 The lesson we got from Bloomberg is that you could look like a desiccated turd with no charisma whatsoever, no game plan and no policies that people can even remember.

00:19:07.320 And you can still get 18 percent of the vote without even running in most of the primaries.

00:19:14.040 Bloomberg proved money works unambiguously. 1.00

00:19:18.500 So everybody you see who's saying that Bloomberg proved money doesn't work is an idiot. 1.00

00:19:26.000 Thank you. 1.00

00:19:28.960 Usually I don't like to say somebody's an idiot if they disagree with me. 0.95

00:19:33.240 But sometimes there's not really room for opinion. 0.98

00:19:37.100 You know, sometimes it really is subjective.

00:19:39.980 This isn't subjective.

00:19:41.360 This isn't subjective because there's nobody who disagrees with me on my characterization of Bloomberg as low charisma with nothing exciting to say.

00:19:52.580 I believe even the people who voted for him would say that.

00:19:56.280 I mean, that's not too subjective.

00:19:58.040 That's kind of describing him.

00:20:00.720 And it's also true.

00:20:01.780 He got 18, yeah, whatever, some percentage in the teens of votes with no skill at all, no skill.

00:20:10.580 And he got that, no political skill, at least a presidential type.

00:20:16.740 Bloomberg does have considerable management skill, which is more appropriate to a mayoral job.

00:20:25.480 I think Bloomberg is probably a perfect personality to be mayor of New York City.

00:20:31.380 So it's no accident that worked out.

00:20:34.560 All right.

00:20:34.840 Bloomberg also said yesterday that he's not upset with many Trump policies.

00:20:41.580 It's just his style.

00:20:43.580 Now, I didn't want to crow about it.

00:20:47.500 But thankfully, a number of people who have been following me for a while crowed on my behalf.

00:20:52.900 Because long ago, I predicted, and I'm going to say that I got the prediction wrong because there was a time window on it, and the time window was completely wrong.

00:21:02.780 And I said that by the first year, the end of the first year of the Trump administration, I said that the dominant opinion would be that he was effective, but we don't like him.

00:21:13.560 Bloomberg just said, now three and a half years in, Bloomberg said, I'm not upset with many Trump policies.

00:21:21.320 I don't like his style.

00:21:23.860 That doesn't sound too far off from his effect of, but we don't like him, does it?

00:21:29.980 It's not exactly the same, but it's pretty close.

00:21:32.420 A lot of people noticed that.

00:21:33.560 And he didn't get a lot of pushback, which is the other interesting thing.

00:21:39.600 So Bloomberg got pushback for not being different from Trump.

00:21:44.360 He got pushback for maybe not being as critical as Trump or not being as novel as you should be if you're going to run against him.

00:21:54.180 So he got pushback for that.

00:21:55.720 But I don't think he got pushback for the fact that he didn't disagree with Trump's policies.

00:22:01.080 Think about that.

00:22:04.580 A major candidate, a major Democratic candidate, just came out and said he didn't have a problem with his opponent's policies.

00:22:13.020 And the Democrats, yeah, Bloomberg's out.

00:22:16.740 It happened while I was on here, I guess.

00:22:18.940 But nobody pushed back on the fact that Bloomberg said Trump's policies are okay.

00:22:23.880 Nobody pushed back.

00:22:25.640 What's that tell you?

00:22:26.640 All right.

00:22:31.080 Apparently, Tulsi Gabbard qualifies for the next debate because she got one delegate from America's Samoa, which is where, I guess, Bloomberg got his delegate. 0.96

00:22:46.480 And I guess she was born there.

00:22:48.160 I didn't know she was born in America's Samoa.

00:22:49.940 But I wonder if she'll be in the debate.

00:22:56.600 Because you probably have been wondering, why is Tulsi still in the campaign at all?

00:23:02.800 You know, you're probably wondering.

00:23:04.500 And I think that's a good question.

00:23:06.360 She doesn't seem to be playing for vice president, does she?

00:23:10.240 It doesn't look like it.

00:23:11.760 I don't know who would be the best fit with her as a vice president. 0.87

00:23:15.300 But I don't really see that as the motivation.

00:23:18.200 It doesn't seem like it.

00:23:21.600 So I'm not sure exactly what her motivation is.

00:23:24.360 So it's hard to predict whether she'll stay in or get out when you don't know why she's there in the first place at this point.

00:23:30.860 If I had to guess, it's because she thinks her message is important, which would be a good reason,

00:23:35.920 and wants to take the opportunity to keep that message out there.

00:23:41.640 That'd be good.

00:23:43.180 All right.

00:23:44.260 Let's talk about coronavirus, because I know you want to.

00:23:49.260 I know you want to.

00:23:50.140 And I'm going to give you my predictions for things.

00:23:53.960 But we're also going to be amateur investigators.

00:23:59.700 All right.

00:23:59.880 So before I start this next segment talking about coronavirus, let me say what you're all going to be thinking.

00:24:10.460 Scott, Scott, Scott.

00:24:13.040 Let me do this in Dale's voice.

00:24:16.820 This is just to save you time in your comments later, because you're all going to make the same comment.

00:24:23.040 And it's going to go like this.

00:24:24.220 Well, you're not all going to make this comment, but many of you would.

00:24:27.080 It goes like this.

00:24:28.860 Scott, Scott, Scott.

00:24:30.720 Leave it to the experts to talk about expert things.

00:24:34.980 You're just making things worse.

00:24:36.900 You're a cartoonist.

00:24:38.600 Stick to cartoonings, cartoon boy.

00:24:41.800 Don't confuse things with the experts.

00:24:45.300 See.

00:24:47.900 With that said,

00:24:54.680 let us talk about the coronavirus with our complete lack of expertise.

00:24:59.880 But let's talk about what we know.

00:25:01.660 I'll try to call out the things that I think are true, but I don't know.

00:25:06.600 You can keep me honest with your fact checking in real time.

00:25:10.200 Let's talk about the face masks.

00:25:11.900 As you know, the CDC has not recommended that citizens use medical face masks to protect themselves.

00:25:20.320 That was misinterpreted as face masks don't work.

00:25:26.420 That misinterpretation was accentuated by medical professionals coming in and saying,

00:25:33.100 no, the reason that face masks are worn by doctors is to protect the patient from the doctor's own germs.

00:25:43.660 Now, so that's what all the officials and professionals have been telling us.

00:25:50.120 And a lot of people adopted that view.

00:25:53.040 And online, people are reminding me of that.

00:25:56.580 So, but I have some questions.

00:26:00.000 I have some questions.

00:26:01.840 And it goes like this.

00:26:03.180 A lot of smart people are telling me that the reason the doctors wear the mask is to protect the patient.

00:26:12.160 So, how does that work?

00:26:15.240 Is this one of those masks that only works in one direction?

00:26:18.480 Is it the sort of mask that will stop a virus or whatever bad bacteria or germs or whatever else we're talking about

00:26:26.020 from getting out of the mask, but it would not stop anything from coming in the other direction?

00:26:33.820 Is it a magic mask that only works in one direction?

00:26:37.180 Now, it turns out that the actual high-end medical masks actually are,

00:26:42.320 they actually do work differently in and out.

00:26:44.700 So, they've got a little filter on them and they're closely fitted by professionals and stuff.

00:26:50.040 And those are allegedly 95% good at stopping a virus from getting in.

00:27:01.560 And so, should you get a face mask if the professional masks, the ones you probably can't buy anyway,

00:27:08.980 that the medical professionals use and they fit carefully,

00:27:12.300 that protects them 95% from virus, should you get one?

00:27:16.300 Well, suppose you couldn't fit it as well as the professionals.

00:27:24.280 Would that be a reason not to get one?

00:27:27.040 No! No!

00:27:29.420 We're talking about air.

00:27:31.180 If you can reduce the amount of air that's coming in from the outside,

00:27:35.640 and it's the air that's got the virus,

00:27:38.620 of course it would help, even if it's not perfectly fitted.

00:27:43.140 Of course!

00:27:43.940 If, you know, if 10 or 20% of the air is sort of coming around,

00:27:50.040 are you still more protected by having, you know,

00:27:54.300 if 95% protection is good enough,

00:27:58.440 I think I would still settle for 75%.

00:28:02.360 What if it's just 50% because I didn't put it on right?

00:28:06.600 Don't I want 50%?

00:28:07.920 So, I think what's happening here is a case of loser think,

00:28:14.720 in which people are conflating different things,

00:28:18.460 and they've taken the suggestion that they don't work all the time,

00:28:24.580 or they're not 100% effective,

00:28:26.740 that's turned into don't get one,

00:28:29.140 and those are not the same thing.

00:28:30.980 Not 100% effective does not say don't get one.

00:28:37.680 Because you know what else is not 100% effective?

00:28:41.000 Washing your hands.

00:28:42.100 But we don't tell people,

00:28:44.960 oh, don't bother washing your hands.

00:28:48.580 That's not even 100% effective.

00:28:51.080 At best, 25%.

00:28:54.100 But we don't do that.

00:28:56.280 We say it's 25%.

00:28:57.840 Go ahead and do it.

00:28:59.280 What about people coughing into their elbow?

00:29:02.520 We tell people to cover their cough.

00:29:07.400 But why?

00:29:08.940 Because people are still going to get it.

00:29:11.140 So shouldn't we tell people,

00:29:12.260 oh, don't bother covering your cough.

00:29:14.060 People are still going to get it.

00:29:15.540 No, but we don't.

00:29:17.040 We say, well, it might help a little.

00:29:19.240 It might help 10%.

00:29:20.180 Go ahead and cover it.

00:29:22.020 So, anybody who's arguing about these face masks,

00:29:25.180 don't get one if you're an individual because it doesn't work.

00:29:28.980 That is not smart.

00:29:30.520 Let me tell you what I think is true based on everything we know.

00:29:36.620 I do think that the non-professional medical masks are way less effective.

00:29:42.880 I think we all agree on that.

00:29:44.920 I think that if the virus is airborne

00:29:47.120 and you can trap a little bit more of it close to your face

00:29:51.860 because at least the air itself is not going out past your face mask

00:29:56.640 and you have it,

00:29:57.780 certainly makes sense that if you have a cough,

00:30:00.160 you should wear a face mask,

00:30:01.720 whatever kind you can get.

00:30:03.340 Because at the very least,

00:30:04.400 it's going to stop most of the air

00:30:06.280 from expressing itself in the furthest possible way.

00:30:10.820 And the other thing is,

00:30:15.200 so I did a little Googling and found out that

00:30:17.760 there have never been tests

00:30:19.520 to find out if non-medical people,

00:30:23.020 there have been tests about medical people,

00:30:24.940 so we know masks work in the medical environment,

00:30:28.600 but there's never been tested to see if a citizen wearing a face mask

00:30:32.440 can avoid a virus.

00:30:34.060 Never been tested.

00:30:35.160 Now what would you think is the common sense likelihood

00:30:40.040 that having some kind of a barrier

00:30:43.380 that's not 100% over your mouth

00:30:46.220 would make some difference?

00:30:49.220 1%, 10%, 50%?

00:30:52.780 We don't know why.

00:30:54.040 We don't know how much difference.

00:30:55.600 But I would say that it is absolutely,

00:30:58.120 it's just dumb to imagine it doesn't work at all

00:31:02.180 or that it isn't worth a shot given the size of the risk.

00:31:07.060 Now, some have suggested

00:31:08.400 that what the CDC and the government are really telling you

00:31:11.940 is not exactly what they're saying.

00:31:14.400 In other words, what they really mean

00:31:16.940 is that if the citizens start hoarding face masks,

00:31:22.300 the professionals won't have them

00:31:23.700 and the country as a whole is definitely better off

00:31:26.800 if our medical professionals are healthy.

00:31:28.580 It is way better for a common citizen to get the virus

00:31:33.180 than for a doctor to get it

00:31:34.760 because the doctor is helping multiple people, obviously.

00:31:38.720 So certainly it does make sense not to hoard the good ones

00:31:42.480 that the doctors would use.

00:31:44.380 I agree with that.

00:31:45.500 It makes sense.

00:31:46.240 It's better for the whole.

00:31:47.660 But that doesn't mean it wouldn't be protective

00:31:50.220 for one individual who happened to have a mask.

00:31:53.420 So don't lie to us.

00:31:54.640 Don't lie to me and tell me that a citizen with that mask,

00:31:59.400 even if they don't know the right way to fit it on their face,

00:32:01.900 don't tell me that's not going to make a difference

00:32:03.760 because you don't know

00:32:04.980 and all logic and sense tells you it would make some difference.

00:32:12.300 But I also think that it might be wise for the government

00:32:15.560 not to say that the masks do work

00:32:18.920 because it could cause a panic

00:32:20.900 and there aren't enough masks.

00:32:22.360 I would not, don't be surprised

00:32:24.920 if sometime in the near future

00:32:26.980 we find out that, let's say,

00:32:29.400 production of the good kind of masks ramps up.

00:32:33.620 You could get to the point

00:32:34.820 where we have enough of them for everybody.

00:32:37.060 Do you think that the government of the United States

00:32:39.460 would tell us not citizens

00:32:42.280 not to wear the good N95 masks

00:32:45.460 that the medical professionals wear?

00:32:47.920 Do you think that the government would say

00:32:49.360 don't try those if we had enough?

00:32:52.080 You know the answer to that.

00:32:55.300 You know the answer.

00:32:56.560 If we had enough for everyone,

00:32:59.940 it wouldn't matter that we're not really good

00:33:02.300 at fitting them to our faces.

00:33:04.360 The government would say

00:33:05.860 it's better than nothing.

00:33:08.140 You know that, right?

00:33:09.920 So when you hear them say

00:33:12.020 the masks don't work

00:33:13.340 or that they're not recommended,

00:33:15.540 put that in context.

00:33:17.060 You don't want to take them away

00:33:18.200 from the medical professionals.

00:33:19.500 That's real.

00:33:20.880 And that's probably really important.

00:33:22.560 And you don't want to start a panic

00:33:23.900 of people killing you for your face mask

00:33:26.320 because you have one and I don't.

00:33:28.800 All right?

00:33:29.660 You don't want that.

00:33:30.660 So I think the government is lying to you

00:33:32.480 and I'm not sure I appreciate it in this case.

00:33:35.900 I mean, I can see the utility of it.

00:33:37.880 I can see the utility of the lie.

00:33:40.240 And I do think that sometimes

00:33:42.300 you need to lie to the public.

00:33:44.660 I don't reject lying to the public

00:33:47.620 if you have a legitimate,

00:33:49.500 greater, good purpose for it.

00:33:51.500 I just don't know if this is it.

00:33:52.840 It's an edge case.

00:33:55.060 All right.

00:33:55.280 I've noticed something

00:33:59.880 that could be just a coincidence,

00:34:02.720 but it might be a correlation

00:34:03.560 and I want to run it by you.

00:34:05.120 Now, here's the part where

00:34:06.280 Dale warned you that I'm not an expert

00:34:08.880 and anything I say from now on

00:34:10.840 or anything I've ever said really

00:34:12.420 should be subject to expert

00:34:14.840 fact-checking and correction.

00:34:17.500 But this is kind of interesting

00:34:18.800 and kind of fun.

00:34:20.100 Now, watch this.

00:34:20.920 So here's a correlation.

00:34:22.460 What do these places have in common

00:34:24.920 Iran, China, Italy, South Korea

00:34:27.540 and a cruise ship?

00:34:31.320 All right.

00:34:31.860 If you watch me on Twitter,

00:34:33.020 you know the answer to this.

00:34:34.020 So I'll say it again.

00:34:34.720 What do these have in common?

00:34:35.920 Iran, China, Italy, South Korea

00:34:39.980 and a cruise ship.

00:34:42.300 Now, of course, you immediately know

00:34:44.680 that's where the worst outbreaks

00:34:46.480 of the coronavirus are.

00:34:48.160 But what are the other coincidences?

00:34:51.460 Are there any?

00:34:52.680 Well, it turns out there's one very big one.

00:34:54.920 You've got an airborne lung-related

00:34:58.740 respiratory virus.

00:35:01.340 And the places where it's worse

00:35:02.700 are the places where air pollution

00:35:05.480 is the worst.

00:35:06.980 Did you know,

00:35:08.540 and I just tweeted around a source for this,

00:35:11.340 that the air pollution on the deck,

00:35:13.700 even if you're outdoors,

00:35:15.200 on the deck of a cruise ship,

00:35:17.740 I just read an article from USA Today,

00:35:19.800 that the air quality on the deck

00:35:22.220 of a cruise ship in the ocean

00:35:24.460 is worse than the air quality in Tehran.

00:35:29.620 And believe it or not,

00:35:31.000 this story was a few years old,

00:35:32.580 and the story actually compared it to Iran.

00:35:36.680 Coincidentally,

00:35:37.380 that was the exact comparison they made.

00:35:40.180 So there's something about

00:35:41.680 whatever is bubbling around,

00:35:43.540 you know,

00:35:43.960 in the bowels of the ship

00:35:45.320 that is causing the air quality

00:35:47.280 on a cruise ship

00:35:48.160 to be worse than Tehran. 0.94

00:35:50.340 So,

00:35:51.140 all of these places,

00:35:52.780 and by the way,

00:35:53.300 if you didn't know,

00:35:54.100 Italy,

00:35:55.120 and I didn't know this, 0.96

00:35:56.060 Italy is the most polluted air

00:35:57.860 in Europe.

00:35:58.680 Did you know that?

00:36:00.320 I bet you didn't know that.

00:36:02.080 South Korea

00:36:02.800 has terrible air quality.

00:36:06.120 Did you know that?

00:36:07.440 Some of you did.

00:36:08.300 I didn't know that.

00:36:09.040 I didn't know it until yesterday.

00:36:10.180 I looked this stuff up.

00:36:11.760 So,

00:36:12.980 Iran,

00:36:13.460 China,

00:36:13.760 Italy,

00:36:14.100 South Korea,

00:36:14.620 and cruise ships

00:36:15.320 have the worst air quality

00:36:16.720 and the worst problems

00:36:17.760 with the coronavirus.

00:36:20.640 Is that a coincidence?

00:36:22.620 Well,

00:36:23.040 there are other correlations

00:36:24.400 that might be the coincidence.

00:36:25.860 For example,

00:36:27.180 as other people mentioned,

00:36:29.160 it could be

00:36:30.560 that many of these countries

00:36:31.760 have different standards

00:36:33.220 for social behavior.

00:36:35.380 Maybe there's more

00:36:36.440 hugging and kissing

00:36:37.380 when you greet people.

00:36:39.520 Maybe there's just more

00:36:40.280 touching or sharing.

00:36:42.000 Could be.

00:36:43.040 I mean,

00:36:43.300 that could be the correlation.

00:36:44.620 As people are saying

00:36:45.520 in the comments,

00:36:46.680 there's a high level

00:36:47.920 of smoking

00:36:48.540 in all of these countries.

00:36:50.820 And that should

00:36:51.800 mean something,

00:36:52.960 right?

00:36:53.200 That's a high correlation.

00:36:54.060 It has something to do

00:36:54.860 with the lungs.

00:36:55.480 It would make sense

00:36:56.100 that that would have

00:36:56.600 a correlation.

00:36:58.100 Here's another correlation.

00:36:59.660 they're all

00:37:00.860 dense places.

00:37:03.280 So maybe it has

00:37:04.220 nothing to do

00:37:04.740 with the air.

00:37:05.760 They're just

00:37:06.320 very populated places.

00:37:08.180 And we'll see

00:37:09.040 other populated places

00:37:10.240 having exactly

00:37:11.160 the same reaction.

00:37:12.420 That's possible.

00:37:13.200 We'll have to wait

00:37:13.800 and see.

00:37:15.320 And another correlation

00:37:17.360 is that those

00:37:18.560 are the only places

00:37:19.240 that are being tested.

00:37:20.800 So it could be

00:37:21.840 that we only think

00:37:23.540 those are the worst places

00:37:24.860 because once discovered,

00:37:27.440 there was a lot

00:37:27.860 of testing there.

00:37:28.980 It could be,

00:37:30.640 you know,

00:37:31.120 just hypothetically,

00:37:32.240 it could be that

00:37:32.900 there's some clean air

00:37:34.140 place in Aspen

00:37:35.440 where there's a ton of it

00:37:37.260 and we just haven't

00:37:37.980 tested it yet.

00:37:39.340 Could be.

00:37:40.940 So here are the reasons,

00:37:43.060 potential reasons,

00:37:43.960 and we'll just speculate now.

00:37:45.280 So there's no scientific backing.

00:37:46.840 Well, a little bit,

00:37:48.040 but not enough.

00:37:49.580 So one of the reasons

00:37:50.940 that air pollution

00:37:51.600 might be hurting people

00:37:52.720 is the obvious.

00:37:53.480 It degrades people's lungs.

00:37:55.360 So if your lungs

00:37:56.040 are already degraded

00:37:57.300 and you get a virus

00:37:58.120 that hurts your lungs,

00:37:59.240 could that more likely

00:38:00.820 hurt you?

00:38:01.320 The answer is yes,

00:38:02.400 of course.

00:38:03.840 If you add the air pollution

00:38:05.080 to the fact that

00:38:05.940 there are heavy smokers,

00:38:08.180 well, now it's twice as bad.

00:38:10.020 You've got air pollution

00:38:10.880 and you're smoking.

00:38:12.080 So of course you get

00:38:13.040 a virus in your lungs

00:38:14.520 that's going to be bad.

00:38:15.320 But there's some other

00:38:15.980 more interesting things.

00:38:18.840 Apparently vitamin D

00:38:20.140 is,

00:38:21.500 I think this is not

00:38:22.860 100% confirmed,

00:38:24.520 but there's a lot of science

00:38:26.420 that would suggest

00:38:27.480 vitamin D is protective.

00:38:31.000 And vitamin D

00:38:31.560 you get from sun.

00:38:33.340 And something you don't get

00:38:34.640 when you're in a polluted place

00:38:36.060 is enough sun.

00:38:38.100 So could it be

00:38:38.900 that high levels of pollution

00:38:40.660 are making it more difficult

00:38:42.660 for people to get

00:38:43.500 their vitamin D

00:38:44.360 and you have entire populations

00:38:46.400 that are more susceptible

00:38:47.700 because of the pollution

00:38:49.780 and the vitamin D connection?

00:38:51.060 Maybe.

00:38:52.880 There's also a little bit

00:38:54.540 of science,

00:38:55.220 but not enough,

00:38:56.720 to suggest that

00:38:57.760 one of the ways

00:38:58.420 that viruses travel

00:38:59.560 is on dust.

00:39:01.800 Now,

00:39:02.520 does pollution

00:39:03.340 operate the way

00:39:05.080 dust does?

00:39:07.200 Can a virus

00:39:08.160 hitch a ride

00:39:09.360 on some pollution

00:39:10.160 and then travel further?

00:39:12.540 Did you notice

00:39:13.280 that the Chinese

00:39:14.520 got things under control?

00:39:16.660 They say,

00:39:18.120 I don't know,

00:39:19.060 do you believe it?

00:39:19.880 It's hard to know.

00:39:22.120 But China says

00:39:22.800 that they're at least

00:39:23.620 reducing the number

00:39:24.660 of new cases,

00:39:26.200 if you believe it,

00:39:28.060 recently.

00:39:29.400 But what else

00:39:30.360 happened recently?

00:39:32.440 All the traffic stopped

00:39:34.000 because everything

00:39:34.820 shut down in China, 0.87

00:39:36.380 enough so

00:39:37.180 that the pollution

00:39:37.840 went away.

00:39:38.920 So you've seen

00:39:39.460 the aerial photos,

00:39:41.580 the pollution cleared up.

00:39:43.320 So at the same time

00:39:44.720 the pollution cleared up,

00:39:46.780 the virus stopped spreading

00:39:48.540 at the same rate.

00:39:51.760 Coincidence?

00:39:53.120 I mean,

00:39:53.380 it could be.

00:39:54.120 Remember,

00:39:54.700 everything we're talking about

00:39:55.860 is probably a coincidence.

00:39:58.760 So we're peering

00:39:59.840 into lots of coincidences

00:40:01.220 to see if there's anything

00:40:03.020 that should be looked at

00:40:03.980 a little bit further.

00:40:05.120 Certainly we're not

00:40:05.940 going to know anything,

00:40:07.060 but we could know

00:40:08.220 what to look at.

00:40:10.420 There's also some indication

00:40:12.060 that pollution directly

00:40:13.380 lowers your immune response,

00:40:15.580 whether that's from vitamin D

00:40:17.580 or something else.

00:40:18.780 So you've got

00:40:19.300 several mechanisms

00:40:20.320 by which pollution

00:40:21.580 could be a big factor,

00:40:23.040 which is really important

00:40:24.380 to you.

00:40:26.300 It's important to you

00:40:27.620 because I'm going to

00:40:29.200 make a prediction.

00:40:31.240 And here's my prediction.

00:40:32.200 that if you're in some place

00:40:35.300 that is not that dense

00:40:37.700 or has cleaner air

00:40:40.240 and you're not a smoker,

00:40:43.260 you're going to be

00:40:44.060 in a lot better shape.

00:40:45.720 I think your odds

00:40:46.660 of getting it

00:40:47.280 if you live in a clean air environment

00:40:49.320 are probably going to be

00:40:50.560 a lot better.

00:40:51.920 Now,

00:40:52.220 this is speculation,

00:40:54.000 but it's my prediction as well.

00:40:56.220 It's my prediction

00:40:56.940 that this is not

00:40:57.900 an accidental correlation

00:41:01.220 that the air pollution

00:41:02.880 probably has some impact.

00:41:05.200 Now,

00:41:05.560 as some people said,

00:41:06.860 hey,

00:41:07.040 what about Seattle?

00:41:08.980 Well,

00:41:09.180 I think most of the people

00:41:10.300 in Seattle

00:41:10.680 are from the cruise ship,

00:41:11.800 right?

00:41:12.580 So the cruise ship

00:41:13.460 is bad air quality.

00:41:16.140 And also,

00:41:16.980 I imagine

00:41:17.380 there are more

00:41:18.260 elderly people.

00:41:20.520 Now,

00:41:20.820 I saw a video

00:41:22.680 by somebody

00:41:23.460 who is not credible,

00:41:24.680 so I won't say

00:41:25.280 that this is true,

00:41:26.080 but we are not yet

00:41:28.880 seeing full reporting

00:41:30.700 on the genetic

00:41:32.940 and or ethnic

00:41:34.460 background

00:41:35.440 of the people

00:41:36.140 who are suffering

00:41:36.860 the most.

00:41:38.280 As far as I know,

00:41:39.580 no African American 0.99

00:41:40.580 has died

00:41:41.340 from the coronavirus,

00:41:44.000 as far as I know.

00:41:46.600 There's at least

00:41:47.820 one person

00:41:48.360 who believes

00:41:49.020 that 98%

00:41:50.100 of the deaths

00:41:50.620 are ethnic Chinese.

00:41:52.920 Is that true?

00:41:53.880 Even the ones

00:41:56.020 in other countries

00:41:56.840 appear to be

00:41:57.740 ethnic Chinese

00:41:58.540 who are having

00:41:59.540 a bigger problem

00:42:00.180 with it.

00:42:01.380 Is that true?

00:42:02.600 I would say

00:42:03.200 that is an unknown

00:42:05.100 at this point.

00:42:06.040 It could be

00:42:06.520 that it just seemed

00:42:07.360 that way

00:42:07.820 because where

00:42:08.340 the source was

00:42:09.400 in Wuhan

00:42:10.540 and people

00:42:11.300 who were coming

00:42:11.880 back and forth

00:42:12.620 from there

00:42:13.000 were more likely

00:42:14.540 to be ethnic Chinese.

00:42:15.980 So it could be

00:42:16.740 a false correlation.

00:42:17.820 But here's my prediction.

00:42:23.100 You will not see

00:42:24.360 a major outbreak

00:42:26.320 unless there's

00:42:27.600 some kind of

00:42:28.040 a special case

00:42:28.980 such as a nursing home

00:42:30.460 or some kind of

00:42:32.080 weird cluster

00:42:32.940 of people

00:42:33.340 who are susceptible.

00:42:34.620 So not counting

00:42:35.260 special cases,

00:42:36.820 I don't think

00:42:37.580 you're going to see

00:42:38.040 a major outbreak

00:42:39.360 where there's

00:42:40.640 low pollution

00:42:41.300 and where the density

00:42:43.440 is less crowded.

00:42:46.020 I think those

00:42:47.660 two factors

00:42:48.220 may have something

00:42:48.780 to do with it.

00:42:49.780 All right.

00:42:52.940 And if it's true

00:42:53.980 that China 0.93

00:42:54.640 is getting a hold

00:42:55.440 on this

00:42:55.880 and the number

00:42:57.120 of new cases

00:42:57.680 is reducing,

00:42:59.200 if that's true,

00:43:01.120 I mean,

00:43:01.480 that is really good news

00:43:02.700 because that must be

00:43:03.780 the hardest situation

00:43:04.780 and if they can do it,

00:43:06.120 it means we're probably

00:43:06.800 in pretty good shape.

00:43:08.380 Here's more

00:43:09.040 of my prediction.

00:43:10.420 I believe

00:43:11.100 that the world economy

00:43:12.680 will figure

00:43:14.680 a way out.

00:43:16.020 So if you've looked

00:43:16.880 at the range

00:43:17.520 of predictions

00:43:18.080 about the coronavirus,

00:43:19.640 it goes from,

00:43:20.660 hey, people,

00:43:21.320 it's just a bad chest cold,

00:43:23.480 grandma was going 0.67

00:43:24.340 to die anyway, 0.70

00:43:25.460 you won't even notice. 0.58

00:43:26.960 So that's at the

00:43:27.860 lowest end of worry.

00:43:29.660 At the highest end

00:43:30.480 of worry,

00:43:31.480 the economy suffers

00:43:32.600 and civilization

00:43:33.640 falls apart.

00:43:35.760 I don't think

00:43:36.580 that's going to happen

00:43:37.260 and here's why.

00:43:39.520 At most,

00:43:40.660 in the United States,

00:43:41.940 I would expect

00:43:42.620 that no more

00:43:43.520 than,

00:43:44.740 this is just an average,

00:43:46.020 but just a prediction

00:43:47.720 and I wish

00:43:49.040 I could back this up

00:43:50.160 but this just feels right

00:43:51.920 so feel free

00:43:53.320 to disagree.

00:43:54.440 I don't think

00:43:55.080 we'll see a point

00:43:55.800 where any given company

00:43:58.200 will have more

00:43:59.620 than 20%

00:44:00.500 of their employees

00:44:01.560 sick at the same time.

00:44:03.760 Can business

00:44:04.840 go on

00:44:05.520 if 20%

00:44:06.460 of their employees

00:44:07.260 are now sick?

00:44:08.080 and the answer

00:44:09.580 is yeah,

00:44:10.760 easily

00:44:11.140 because

00:44:13.040 business can go on

00:44:16.400 with 20%

00:44:17.480 of the people

00:44:18.180 out of sick

00:44:18.700 because we do it

00:44:19.720 every summer.

00:44:20.660 Every summer,

00:44:21.520 20% of the people

00:44:22.440 are on vacation

00:44:23.140 and business

00:44:24.260 just goes on.

00:44:25.600 So it's actually

00:44:26.820 fairly easy

00:44:28.280 to run a business

00:44:29.580 if 20%

00:44:30.360 of the people

00:44:31.060 are home sick.

00:44:31.600 So I think

00:44:32.860 you're going to see

00:44:33.320 a situation

00:44:33.860 where people

00:44:34.380 are going to realize

00:44:35.140 that it is more

00:44:36.080 important

00:44:36.480 to prevent

00:44:37.560 a depression

00:44:38.220 and it's more

00:44:39.440 important

00:44:39.800 to have an income

00:44:40.740 and to eat

00:44:41.660 and pay taxes

00:44:42.440 than it is

00:44:43.740 to protect

00:44:44.360 every single

00:44:45.300 young person,

00:44:47.300 emphasis on

00:44:48.080 young person,

00:44:49.360 from all exposure.

00:44:51.200 So I think

00:44:51.620 people are just

00:44:52.180 going to go back

00:44:52.740 to work

00:44:53.200 at some point,

00:44:54.380 take their chances.

00:44:55.120 I think we'll

00:44:56.240 probably find

00:44:57.040 better ways

00:44:58.440 to protect

00:44:59.100 our elderly.

00:45:00.760 I think we'll

00:45:01.600 probably put more

00:45:02.560 resources into

00:45:03.460 protecting them.

00:45:04.860 But if you're 35,

00:45:06.940 I think in a few

00:45:07.700 weeks you're just

00:45:08.300 going to go back

00:45:08.820 to work and take

00:45:09.480 your chances

00:45:09.960 and get a little

00:45:11.880 chest cold

00:45:12.960 for a week.

00:45:14.080 Probably that's

00:45:14.820 your worst case.

00:45:16.460 So

00:45:16.620 I'm also going

00:45:20.380 to suggest

00:45:21.800 that there

00:45:23.140 might be some

00:45:23.820 kind of

00:45:24.360 genetic

00:45:25.020 marker.

00:45:26.100 It might not

00:45:26.540 have anything

00:45:27.000 to do with

00:45:27.460 your ethnicity.

00:45:28.240 It could be

00:45:28.520 independent of

00:45:29.260 ethnicity.

00:45:30.280 But it could be

00:45:31.180 that not everybody

00:45:32.400 is equally at risk.

00:45:33.780 I think we're

00:45:34.340 going to know

00:45:34.740 that pretty soon

00:45:35.580 because we're

00:45:36.600 certainly testing

00:45:37.340 enough people.

00:45:38.460 We could get

00:45:38.880 their DNA.

00:45:40.120 It won't be

00:45:40.860 long before we

00:45:42.680 know who is

00:45:43.140 the most susceptible.

00:45:44.740 And then you

00:45:45.200 can plan

00:45:46.220 accordingly.

00:45:47.160 You can say,

00:45:47.680 okay, if you're

00:45:48.200 most susceptible,

00:45:49.540 you do this stuff.

00:45:50.940 The rest of us

00:45:51.760 will keep the

00:45:52.440 economy running

00:45:53.180 because we're

00:45:53.700 less susceptible.

00:45:55.020 I think we're

00:45:55.840 going to work

00:45:56.140 that out.

00:45:57.200 I think we're

00:45:57.720 going to see

00:45:58.280 an end of

00:45:59.920 large outdoor

00:46:00.740 events, but I

00:46:02.340 predicted that a

00:46:03.800 long time ago

00:46:04.400 based on drones.

00:46:05.940 I thought

00:46:06.300 terrorism would

00:46:07.060 become so good

00:46:07.920 in terms of

00:46:09.060 effective that

00:46:10.400 outdoor events

00:46:11.320 with large

00:46:11.880 gatherings would

00:46:12.640 probably become

00:46:13.760 a thing of the

00:46:14.500 past.

00:46:15.180 And I think

00:46:15.540 we're getting

00:46:15.860 closer to that.

00:46:16.720 This is just

00:46:17.200 one more step.

00:46:19.040 I do think

00:46:22.720 the travel and

00:46:23.380 entertainment

00:46:23.820 industry is

00:46:24.820 just going to

00:46:25.300 get devastated,

00:46:26.860 of course.

00:46:28.320 But that will

00:46:29.180 be the worst

00:46:29.700 of it.

00:46:30.220 I don't think

00:46:30.820 the virus is

00:46:31.540 going to travel

00:46:32.080 on packages,

00:46:33.600 and that means

00:46:34.440 that most

00:46:34.860 companies can

00:46:35.660 make things

00:46:36.900 and mail them

00:46:38.660 to you,

00:46:39.100 and you're not

00:46:39.480 going to worry

00:46:39.840 about accepting

00:46:40.440 them.

00:46:41.360 So I guess

00:46:42.480 the virus can

00:46:43.060 live for up to

00:46:45.120 a day on a

00:46:45.680 package,

00:46:46.060 but if it's

00:46:46.800 been in the

00:46:47.160 mail for a

00:46:47.620 while,

00:46:47.840 you're pretty

00:46:48.160 safe.

00:46:49.980 And I think

00:46:50.560 we'll have a

00:46:51.080 vaccine in a

00:46:52.000 year or so.

00:46:53.000 So here's my

00:46:54.060 prediction.

00:46:55.620 We're going to

00:46:56.160 get through

00:46:56.500 this.

00:46:58.880 There will be

00:46:59.700 casualties.

00:47:01.080 The odds of

00:47:01.940 those casualties

00:47:02.640 being you

00:47:04.200 personally,

00:47:05.520 really,

00:47:06.260 really small,

00:47:07.300 in terms of

00:47:08.640 death.

00:47:10.020 The odds of

00:47:10.800 it affecting

00:47:11.240 you financially,

00:47:12.320 100%.

00:47:13.020 100%.

00:47:14.420 It will affect

00:47:15.700 you financially.

00:47:17.380 But it's

00:47:18.940 affecting us

00:47:19.540 all financially.

00:47:21.560 We're all in

00:47:22.340 it together.

00:47:23.640 And I would

00:47:25.040 like to make

00:47:25.400 this offer.

00:47:26.100 If civilization

00:47:26.940 breaks down,

00:47:28.740 don't think it

00:47:29.280 will.

00:47:30.160 But look for

00:47:31.480 me and I

00:47:32.020 will be your

00:47:32.740 benevolent

00:47:35.520 dictator just

00:47:36.360 to get us

00:47:36.760 through the

00:47:37.060 emergency,

00:47:37.900 and then we'll

00:47:38.440 set up a

00:47:40.320 constitution after

00:47:41.180 that.

00:47:42.640 Totally serious

00:47:43.560 offer, by the

00:47:44.140 way.

00:47:44.320 Totally serious

00:47:46.260 offer.

00:47:47.460 Almost no

00:47:48.240 chance you're

00:47:48.840 ever going to

00:47:49.200 need to take

00:47:49.660 me up on

00:47:50.120 it.

00:47:50.900 But if the

00:47:51.400 government

00:47:51.740 fails, if

00:47:53.360 civilization

00:47:54.100 crumbles,

00:47:55.000 you've watched

00:47:56.020 me long enough

00:47:56.740 to know that

00:47:57.400 I'm just going

00:47:57.880 to be helpful.

00:47:59.280 I'm not going

00:47:59.920 to become a

00:48:00.320 dictator.

00:48:01.120 Dictator is a

00:48:01.780 bad job.

00:48:02.320 Somebody always 1.00

00:48:02.780 kills you. 0.98

00:48:04.180 But if you

00:48:04.900 need a

00:48:05.160 benevolent

00:48:05.620 dictator just

00:48:06.220 to get you

00:48:06.680 through a

00:48:09.140 civilization

00:48:09.860 crumbling

00:48:10.340 event, which

00:48:11.180 I don't think

00:48:11.640 we're going

00:48:11.860 to have, look

00:48:14.520 for me and

00:48:15.320 I'll take you

00:48:16.120 through it.

00:48:18.860 You can find

00:48:19.640 me.

00:48:20.480 All right,

00:48:20.880 that's all for

00:48:21.360 now, and I

00:48:22.660 will talk to

00:48:23.140 you later.

00:48:24.580 Thank you.

00:48:24.700 Thank you.

00:48:24.740 Thank you.

00:48:24.760 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 04, 2020

Episode 839 Scott Adams： Black Voters Saved the Country, Coronavirus Expectations, Facemask Loserthink

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