Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 846 Scott Adams： Which Presidential Candidate Might Survive to Election Day, Social Distancing

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. That's why you're here. Best

00:00:17.540 part of the day. Yeah, it is. It really is. You think those parts of the day where you're

00:00:23.340 off having all kinds of adult fun are the best parts, but no, no, it's right here. This is the

00:00:29.620 best part. And all you need to participate is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice

00:00:37.080 or a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like

00:00:43.180 coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the

00:00:48.280 thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:00:54.120 Hmm. Now that's how to do some social distancing. Right? Am I right? There's some social distancing

00:01:08.060 right there. Let's talk about all the stuff in the news. So over in Italy, I saw a thread

00:01:18.200 from, I guess it was a doctor in a hospital over in Italy where they're being hit hard with

00:01:23.340 the coronavirus. And apparently it's night of the living dead. Bodies piling up. Whatever's

00:01:33.540 the worst you could imagine. That's happening in the Italian hospitals right now because

00:01:39.120 of the coronavirus. Meanwhile, some as yet publicly unnamed individual was shaking hands

00:01:46.720 at CPAC, including with all kinds of senators and politicians. And we have a president who's

00:01:54.620 been shaking hands and apparently is still going to have his rallies. Here's my opinion.

00:02:02.700 As of around today, this is sort of a tipping point for me. I think it's irresponsible to have

00:02:10.120 political rallies. Because if you're looking at what's happening in the other countries and you

00:02:16.160 really ought to, because it's not good. But if you look at Italy, for example, they're in a world of

00:02:24.180 hurt. And it's because the medical resources were overrun. Now there are people saying to me,

00:02:31.760 Scott, Scott, Scott, don't be so panicky because, you know, it just affects old people and, you know, 1.00

00:02:40.280 most people will just get a cold. Well, yes, except that in Italy, there's no health care services

00:02:48.860 anymore. It's just for one purpose. Their entire health care system, at least the high-end stuff,

00:02:55.120 you know, where you've got a hospital, just doesn't exist anymore. So if you break your leg,

00:03:01.480 in three weeks, do you know what your health care plan is in the United States? Limp.

00:03:12.540 Right. If you break your leg in three weeks in the United States, there's a good chance that your

00:03:18.520 health care solution will be the limp. Because there won't be any health care. And it might last

00:03:24.960 for a couple months. Now that's the situation in Italy. And that's the situation if we don't keep

00:03:31.460 it under control. But will we keep it under control? It turns out that South Korea is actually 0.93

00:03:37.420 getting a handle on theirs. And they're not doing extreme social distancing. They must be doing a lot

00:03:43.480 of it. But it's less extreme than some other places. So we do see some progress in South Korea.

00:03:50.580 China allegedly is getting a handle on it. But we don't know what that really means.

00:03:55.420 Japan is doing better than Italy because they have a lot more hospital resources. So Japan is not 0.93

00:04:05.360 overrun yet. They're doing better. But they're having some issues there. Apparently, and I'm hearing

00:04:12.760 also from people in Japan, social media is great because you can hear individuals telling you what

00:04:18.580 their actual life is like. And there was one person in Japan who says that there's plenty of goods in

00:04:25.080 the stores. And people are just just immediately went into extreme social isolation. And it seems to

00:04:32.980 have worked. So here's what we know. We know that extreme social isolation is absolutely effective.

00:04:41.440 And we know we're not doing it. And we know that the President of the United States is modeling not

00:04:51.700 doing it. And the people he's competing against to be the next President are not doing it.

00:05:01.780 I don't know how much longer we can put up with that. Do you? Because let's put it this way.

00:05:07.760 You know, on one level, you know, it's up to the President, whether he has a rally,

00:05:13.360 you know, it's up to Biden, it's up to Bernie. You know, it's not up to us. Is it?

00:05:20.380 No, it's up to us. It's not up to them. It's not up to them. Don't let it be up to them.

00:05:27.760 We're sort of in this together, right? The President doesn't get this to decide to have a rally,

00:05:32.940 and then there's a rally. We have to decide too. All right? Everybody has to decide or else

00:05:39.240 there's no rally. If only one person decides there's a rally, then there's a rally of one

00:05:44.720 person. So I'm not sure we should continue to allow, and allow is the right word, because we

00:05:51.880 can stop it. We can stop it today. I don't think we should allow our politicians to continue to do

00:05:58.660 rallies, given that we know exactly what works, social isolation, and we know exactly what doesn't,

00:06:08.540 continuing business as usual. It's not a mystery anymore. We know. And we know that if we don't

00:06:14.180 get it early, it's going to get us. So I think it's completely irresponsible, and I would go so far

00:06:24.440 as to say, if we have another week of rallies, you know, maybe this week's sort of an edge case,

00:06:30.420 but if next week we're still doing rallies, we don't have anybody running for president who's

00:06:35.260 qualified to lead us, at least in this situation. Let me say that as directly as I can. If President

00:06:42.780 Trump next week, you know, this week again, it's on the edge, but by next week, if they're still doing

00:06:48.980 rallies, and things are still worsening in the coronavirus global situation, none of them,

00:06:55.340 none of them are qualified to be president, unfortunately. That's my opinion. So let's talk

00:07:05.540 about some other stuff. The dumbest thing that I hear in politics lately is coming from Bernie Sanders

00:07:14.800 and people who say the same thing. And they say that President Trump doesn't believe in science.

00:07:21.860 Now, I don't think there's anybody who doesn't believe in science. What does that even mean?

00:07:28.460 There's nobody who doesn't believe in science. Now, of course, they'll point to climate change,

00:07:34.020 but that's because the critics can't tell the difference between economics and science.

00:07:39.980 What President Trump called a hoax, he wasn't saying, I'm a scientist, I've looked at the science,

00:07:47.440 blah, blah, blah. He was talking about the Paris Agreement and the economic implications, which

00:07:53.080 clearly were pretty sketchy. Now, was it hyperbole? Who knows? But, you know, we can't read his mind.

00:08:01.940 But the point is, there's no point at which the president didn't believe in science.

00:08:07.880 That's different than not believing scientists, and it's different from believing that scientists

00:08:14.300 might have a control of the science, but no control of the economic implications, which are

00:08:20.380 the part you actually do something about, you know, beyond inventing stuff.

00:08:24.860 So, it is so dishonest to call anybody anti-science. It just bugs me more than other stuff.

00:08:36.860 You know, it's different than other lies, because you could say, this person did X, maybe it's a lie.

00:08:43.300 Maybe they did not do X. That's just a plain lie. That's bad enough.

00:08:47.500 But, to blame somebody for doing something that isn't a thing is sort of like a double lie.

00:08:56.300 It's a lie on a stupid. It's something like blaming your opponent for dematerializing and

00:09:04.260 traveling to another planet by his thoughts and throwing a revolution on the other planet

00:09:09.060 and returning by beaming himself back to the planet. Okay, that was a terrible example.

00:09:14.980 But the point is, it didn't happen. And it couldn't happen. So, blaming something for

00:09:22.000 something that doesn't even exist is just the height of political stupidity, and people

00:09:26.860 are buying it. All right. Let's talk about Joe Biden, because I think we have to.

00:09:37.020 As the New York Times put it, I read this somewhere, I think on Fox News site, quote,

00:09:44.780 prominent Democrats began publicly insisting that the ticket, the Joe Biden ticket, include

00:09:51.940 a woman, preferably a black woman. All right. So, now it's being widely reported that the important

00:10:00.460 Democrat people want a black woman on the ticket with Joe Biden. Well, who's that going to be? 1.00

00:10:06.360 Now, some people say, no, it can never be Kamala Harris because she attacked him at the debate. 0.99

00:10:12.640 Well, it turns out there's a backstory. Turns out, and I was just learning this in its depth today,

00:10:20.340 I was aware of the story that I'm going to tell you, but I didn't know the depth of it. It's the

00:10:25.240 depth of it that makes the difference. Turns out that Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's now deceased son,

00:10:33.600 Beau Biden, were really close, and not just professionally. They were close. They talked

00:10:41.080 to each other all the time. They were both attorney generals at different places, and so she was sort

00:10:48.180 of close to Joe Biden because of that, and apparently they've rekindled whatever that was,

00:10:53.120 and they got past whatever happened at the debate. So, does anybody doubt that she's the first choice

00:10:58.960 now? Are we at the point where, you know, Stacey, it's not going to be Stacey Abrams. If it's Stacey

00:11:05.180 Abrams, I don't know anything about anything. Because I've watched her act, and it's so weak,

00:11:13.940 I can't believe that the people in charge, you know, the Democratic leadership would allow that,

00:11:21.080 and I don't think that's the winning formula anyway. Somebody says, okay, you were right in the

00:11:27.940 comments. That's all I wanted to hear. I would like to remind you that I made the most ridiculous

00:11:35.780 prediction you've ever heard. The first ridiculous prediction was that I could pick the candidate

00:11:44.560 back in 2018, when there were lots and lots of people running, and I peered into the crowd,

00:11:51.300 and I said, I think it's going to be Kamala Harris. And then, when she suspended her campaign,

00:11:59.740 this is the fun part, I said, I still predict it will be Kamala Harris. What would be a weirder

00:12:08.220 prediction than predicting the person who dropped out of the race

00:12:12.280 was going to get the nomination? Was that the most unpredictable prediction you've ever heard

00:12:19.780 in your life? Well, let's see if it happens. I think everybody would agree at this point if

00:12:27.460 whoever the vice president pick is, is going to be the shadow president. So, I'm technically wrong,

00:12:34.100 and, you know, my predictive bet, I lost money. Because they're very specific what it means to be the,

00:12:40.160 you know, the presidential candidate, obviously. But in effect, I kind of got this right, I think.

00:12:46.340 It's looking that way. Now, if she doesn't get nominated, I'm wrong. Just flat out wrong. But if

00:12:51.680 she does, it would be my best prediction of all time. I'm pretty sure. Here are some things that

00:12:58.880 people are saying about Joe Biden. Dr. Jill Stein, you know her for ruining Hillary's chances, 1.00

00:13:07.060 because she was working with the Russians. No, not really. But that's what people are saying.

00:13:11.940 And so she ran in 2016, and got some votes, and people say it's siphoned them away from Hillary. 1.00

00:13:17.380 Probably did. And so Jill Stein is out saying directly that Joe Biden has, you know, mental decline.

00:13:25.960 Jill Stein, in public. Did I mention it's Dr. Jill Stein? Medical Dr. Jill Stein? Harvard-trained

00:13:37.160 medical doctor Jill Stein is saying in public, okay, now it's just obvious. I'm paraphrasing. But

00:13:45.620 basically, she's saying, she's kind of implying that you don't need to be a medical doctor to see this.

00:13:51.220 I tweeted another medical doctor, and I've been reading some other folks weighing in, who are

00:13:59.320 actual experts at working with dementia patients and Alzheimer's people, or at least they say they

00:14:05.440 are. On Twitter, you can never be 100% sure if anybody is who they say they are. But people who are

00:14:11.140 professionals are saying in public, unabashedly, that it's obvious there's a problem. Now, do you

00:14:20.120 remember when people were saying this about Trump? And do you remember there was just a tremendous

00:14:26.240 blowback from medical professionals, as they should, to say, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, you know,

00:14:33.940 medical ethics, medical ethics. We do not diagnose people who are not our patients. You don't diagnose

00:14:41.600 from a distance. Well, do you? Let me give you an example. Suppose you were a doctor, and somebody

00:15:03.460 showed you a picture of an automobile accident, and there was a headless body over here, and then a very

00:15:10.840 clear picture, no doubt of what you're seeing, the actual head, which has been severed, 10 feet from

00:15:17.660 the body. The doctor sees this picture, and the person on the scene says, what should we do, doctor?

00:15:26.800 Should we give them CPR? And the doctor looks at the picture and says, no, I'm not there, but I think it

00:15:36.120 would be unnecessary to give CPR, because you see the head is not actually attached to the body.

00:15:44.240 Probably dead. No, certainly dead, because head is not attached to the body. Now, would that be an ethical

00:15:53.720 failure? Because the doctor's not there. The doctor has not examined the patient. The doctor is simply just

00:15:59.660 looking at a picture. Would that be unethical? No, because the head is missing. It's obvious. You

00:16:08.800 don't have to be a doctor. A person within a head is dead. And we haven't reached that point with Joe

00:16:16.940 Biden, where he's a headless corpse. But we have reached the point where medical professionals are

00:16:26.080 willing to say in public, okay, just look. Am I right? We've crossed that line where it's no longer

00:16:35.320 medically unethical for a working professional, a medical professional, to say in public, yeah,

00:16:42.100 just look at that. That's obvious. That's a big deal. Because the medical profession did not cross

00:16:49.520 that line with Trump. Am I right? And when somebody did, the other medical professionals

00:16:54.720 poured in and said, whoa, too far. And people walked it back a little bit and tried to tap dance.

00:17:03.320 Well, you know, I'm not saying for sure, that sort of thing. But we're not seeing that this time.

00:17:08.380 It's different. All right. Did you see the video of the Biden rally, in which there were some

00:17:14.820 protesters, I forget what they were protesting, but they held a big sign up. And Joe got a little

00:17:21.360 flustered. Did you see how he handled it? If you want to see who's not going to be your next president,

00:17:28.860 you have to watch that video. Watch Joe Biden try to not be Trump, because Trump would have said,

00:17:35.860 get those bums out of here. And the security would take him out. And Trump would tell jokes, 0.98

00:17:42.380 and the crowd would love it, and it would be part of the show. That's the way Trump handles it.

00:17:48.680 How did Joe Biden handle it? Well, he needed to be different. So he had to handle it in some way

00:17:53.380 that's not Trump-like. So he starts saying, that's all right, let him go, leave him there. And as he's

00:18:00.240 saying that, the security guards are coming in and grabbing the guy. And then Joe Biden taking control,

00:18:05.860 of the room is like, okay, just let him go. He says, this isn't the Trump rally. We don't need

00:18:11.020 to do that. Just let him stay, let him stay. And here's the funny part. The security guards

00:18:17.100 absolutely ignored him. It was like he wasn't there. And these big, beefy security guards just

00:18:24.160 grab these guys and lock them up and just start dragging them out of the room, you know, on their

00:18:28.700 feet, but they're pulling them out. And you watch him, and Joe is, even as they're being taken out,

00:18:35.340 Biden is, it's all right, just leave him there. And I thought I was seeing in my mind, like

00:18:44.000 one of those expired, what do you call it, a dandelion, when it's just the little white

00:18:50.080 stuff that blows away in the wind, an old dandelion. It looked like an old dandelion up

00:18:54.900 there on the dais. Just, there was nothing there. There was no leadership. There was no power.

00:19:03.100 There was no control. It didn't look like he was in control of himself, much less the

00:19:10.080 room. He did not control the room. And wow, is it obvious. It is so obvious that there's

00:19:17.920 no leadership skill there whatsoever that you could, I don't know how you could watch that

00:19:22.640 and then vote for him. That'd be hard. All right. Let's see what else we got here.

00:19:31.820 Well, looks like Russia is trying to attack the United States with oil prices. So I'm learning a

00:19:38.420 little bit more about this situation. So if you're not up on it, it goes like this. So every country

00:19:43.660 that produces oil produces it at a different cost, partly because of the technology they use,

00:19:49.340 and partly because of how they're getting the oil. So it's expensive to get it in a shale.

00:19:54.600 It's less expensive in some other ways. Russia, as it turns out, both through investment and luck

00:20:02.140 about the type of oil they have, has maybe the lowest, possibly the lowest production costs,

00:20:09.600 or it's right in that category somewhere. And they've decided to start a price war because the U.S.

00:20:18.280 shale business in particular had been so good that it was taking market share from Russia and

00:20:24.400 everybody else. And we replaced Russia as the biggest producer. So Russia wants to find out how

00:20:31.880 to get his money back when oil prices are low. We're already low. So Russia was already in trouble

00:20:38.860 because prices were low-ish, but they decided to go right at OPEC and Saudi Arabia by lowering them

00:20:45.380 and starting a price war, which Saudi Arabia immediately matched. So we're in a price war.

00:20:53.340 And if the price war continues, it will bankrupt the shale-producing parts of our energy industry,

00:21:01.260 which is pretty big. It's going to bankrupt them. And this is really aggressive because the intention

00:21:08.900 of Putin, according to the people who know what they're talking about, his intention is to bankrupt

00:21:14.720 him. It's actually a direct, obvious, you know, nobody's hiding the plan, but it's all legal because

00:21:20.680 it's business, right? In business, you're allowed to do whatever you want. If it's legal, it's legal.

00:21:27.640 And lowering your prices is completely legal. If Russia can do it, they can do it. So they're going to 0.91

00:21:34.920 take out our shale business, which is a continuation of this theme which you've seen under Trump,

00:21:42.880 which is that all war is economic war. Let me say that again. I would say that the Trump doctrine,

00:21:51.800 which has never been named that, I'm just going to name it that myself. Let's call it the Trump

00:21:56.800 doctrine of war or the Trump war doctrine. Now, of course, I'm putting, I would be putting words

00:22:02.920 into his mouth. So this, this is not coming from the president or anything like it, but by observation,

00:22:08.780 I would say that Trump believes that all war is economic war and that if you simply treat the

00:22:16.480 economics as the war, well, it's still war. So, so Russia basically just declared war on the United

00:22:23.280 States, but I think we declared war on them first by taking over their primary business. Now, here's the

00:22:31.540 problem. A lot of smart people think the price of oil may never go up high again because there's

00:22:39.100 just so much of it and we're so good at getting it. And, you know, the economy is slowing down this

00:22:43.920 year anyway. And, you know, then there's green energy and we've got new developments in nuclear

00:22:49.780 power, et cetera, coming online all the time. But the problem is that Russia's income is selling

00:22:57.240 weapons and oil pretty much. You know, Russia is, is sort of like a, a criminal enterprise that sells 0.95

00:23:06.420 oil and weapons. And if they can't sell oil and weapons and make money, the whole country is in

00:23:14.080 trouble. And guess what they can't do right now? Sell weapons and oil and make money. So the only

00:23:21.900 two things that they can do, but because there's not a major war that most of the big wars seem to

00:23:28.020 be winding down. Now, I don't know this for sure, but it seems like that would be bad for the arms

00:23:33.560 business, the Russian arms business. Now it could be that they have a robust business, even in peace

00:23:39.400 time as people are, you know, arming up. I don't know the details there, but I have to think that a

00:23:45.100 peaceful world is bad for Russia because they sell arms. And obviously the oil situation would just put

00:23:52.580 them out of business if it stayed low. So this is a really, really big change coming. And it gets, it

00:24:02.800 kind of speaks to this question, which I've been asking for a long time, which is why are we enemies with

00:24:08.560 Russia? You know, I've been saying this forever. Why don't we just say, hey, Russia, you know, if we

00:24:14.340 get along, we're both, we're both better off. It's obvious. So let's just get along. You can see we do

00:24:20.360 it with our other allies. When we get along with them, we all get rich. When we don't get along, we

00:24:25.220 don't. So let's just get along. And I always wonder why wouldn't that work with Russia? And I think we 0.95

00:24:31.620 just got the answer. The answer is they can't sell their oil if we're selling our oil to the same

00:24:38.420 people. In other words, Russia can't really coexist with the United States being a gigantic oil 0.67

00:24:47.700 producer because they need all of that money to stay alive. So I'm not sure that they can be our

00:24:55.200 economic partner because they have to compete with us so directly. It's way more directly than other

00:25:01.940 countries compete with us and on that important industry, the energy. So maybe there's just nothing

00:25:06.960 we can do there with Russia. We'll just always be enemies until one of us gets out of the oil 0.98

00:25:11.880 business, I guess. I think it comes down to that. So I think Russia, well, let me say it 0.64

00:25:21.820 directly. Based on the current trajectory of things, the Russian state is doomed.

00:25:28.600 Right? Because they can't survive low gas oil prices, and it doesn't look like anything is

00:25:37.220 going to change to the low oil prices. So that doesn't mean that they're actually doomed because

00:25:44.080 people are pretty good at scrambling and surviving and doing what they need to do. But the trajectory

00:25:49.800 for Russia is doom, just if nothing big changes, and I don't see anything big that's going to change. 0.79

00:25:57.940 So that's a big problem. It might make them flexible, but it might make them the opposite.

00:26:04.300 Gavin Newsom did something that shocked and amazed me yesterday. The governor of California,

00:26:11.100 a much maligned, much criticized governor. And for context, there are people like me who've been

00:26:18.740 saying critical things about the homeless situation and nuclear energy and some other things.

00:26:27.460 But with this coronavirus stuff, he was giving a press conference, Gavin Newsom was, and he was asked

00:26:32.360 whether President Trump and the administration are helping him. And he gave an unabashedly positive

00:26:40.080 response and essentially said, everything that we've asked them for, everything they promised they

00:26:45.600 did, which is a big thing to say in politics. It was very clearly supportive of the administration's

00:26:54.440 efforts on coronavirus. And it wasn't hedged. You know, it would be easy for a politician to say,

00:27:02.580 well, you know, for once they're doing something right, you know, to kind of hedge it. Or to say,

00:27:08.620 you know, well, we're not getting everything, you know, want to keep the pressure on, but we're

00:27:12.960 getting a lot. That would have been easy to say. But he didn't. He didn't. Gavin Newsom stood in front

00:27:19.760 of the world and he said that the federal government is absolutely doing everything he needs, everything

00:27:25.760 he's asked for. And I thought to myself, that's some good leadership there. I like to play a fair,

00:27:34.340 you know, because I've criticized this guy quite a bit. I'm not sure he needs to be our mayor. I'm sorry,

00:27:40.560 I'm not sure he needs to be our governor much longer. But this was really strong leadership.

00:27:47.440 That was exactly what I wanted to see him say to make me feel the way I needed to feel and do the

00:27:54.060 things I need to do. He made me feel that the government is effective. And I'm sure that there

00:28:01.360 must be tons of little hiccups and problems. And don't you think that the reality is that things

00:28:07.940 never move as smoothly as the politicians say when they say things are going well? But just for him

00:28:13.740 to come out and give this little bit of positive reinforcement that the governments and the state

00:28:18.920 is working well together was powerful. It was useful. It was right. It was good for the common good.

00:28:25.560 It was not political. It was pure leadership. And I appreciated it. So thank you, Gavin Newsom.

00:28:32.460 Great job. There's a bunch of free technology platforms for people who are going to work at

00:28:40.000 home. So you're seeing the, and again, this is beautiful and inspiring to watch that the country,

00:28:48.700 the United States, the citizens are just sort of jumping in and saying, what can I do? And you're

00:28:54.760 seeing the tech companies do this. And I tweeted around a list of technology platforms that are

00:29:01.040 good for working at home, like Dropbox and WebEx and those kinds. So if you're in a company and you've

00:29:08.620 just been told to work at home and you don't know what all the good tools are for doing that,

00:29:13.380 you know, how do you share files and how do you work remotely and stuff, look at my Twitter feed for

00:29:18.620 the list of Twitter platforms that are free. They're free during the crisis. So you got that

00:29:26.740 going on. All right. So let me give you an update on demonetization and YouTube. So I complained

00:29:39.680 yesterday that I'd learned from Google. So this, what I'm going to say now is not my opinion or

00:29:45.680 guessing. This is actually from my contact at Google, who, who is the right person for this,

00:29:51.780 not just an employee at Google, but the person who does this job, who is my contact. And I've been

00:29:58.380 assigned this contact because I was complaining about demonetization and they were demonetizing

00:30:06.260 any reference to coronavirus. And I believe they still are, but they have now, they've,

00:30:13.380 they've stated publicly now that they recognize that that's an issue because most of the coronavirus

00:30:19.220 coverage is people trying to be helpful. All right. I'm doing nothing talking about coronavirus

00:30:26.580 except trying to be helpful. So the demonetizing has two impacts, but one of them is a little,

00:30:35.080 I'm a little uncertain of. So my Google contact told me yesterday something that I believe I don't

00:30:42.760 understand correctly or I disagree with, or there's something going on that I need to figure

00:30:48.600 out. But anyway, she said that demonetizing doesn't change how many people see it, but I'm almost

00:30:57.260 positive. That's not true. So, so I'm going to verify that. And I think maybe we're talking about

00:31:03.380 different things because here's, here's what, what I believe to be true. I believe that the

00:31:10.460 recommendation engine favors monetized content because why wouldn't it, right? Why wouldn't

00:31:21.280 it favor its own monetized comments? You know, if it's going to suggest things for people to see

00:31:26.500 things, which are monetized are by definition things that are great for YouTube, right? Somebody says

00:31:36.340 they're thieves, but I don't, I don't think there's any evidence that ads are playing that people are

00:31:41.740 not getting paid for. I don't think that's going on. I've, I've not seen any evidence of that. I think

00:31:47.200 they either show ads or don't show ads. They don't show the ads and then keep the money. That's the

00:31:51.440 opposite of, it wouldn't make sense. The reason that Google demonetizes things is on behalf of their

00:31:59.680 advertisers. If Google made all the decisions with nobody else giving input, they would monetize

00:32:05.720 everything. Why the heck wouldn't they? If they're going to allow the content on their platform at

00:32:10.740 all, of course they would monetize it if they could. So be careful about who's, who's Google

00:32:17.540 making a decision and who's the advertisers making a decision. I have confirmed because the experience

00:32:23.140 I'm having is identical to what David Pakman is experiencing on YouTube. I just saw an update from

00:32:29.220 him and his experience. He's, he's a anti-Trump left-leaning guy and his demonetization experience

00:32:36.440 is identical to mine. So if you're thinking, Oh, Scott, Scott, Scott, they're blaming the advertisers,

00:32:42.580 but really it's Google that's doing it. There's no evidence of that. The evidence is that the liberals

00:32:50.400 and the conservatives are both being demonetized because of the content. If you mention politics or

00:32:57.400 the coronavirus is just automatic. So we're trying to work through that, but there appears

00:33:03.180 to be no solution to that. As far as I can tell. Somebody says it's both the advertisers

00:33:09.920 and the Google bias. That's a speculation that I don't see evidence of it, but neither can

00:33:18.360 I disprove it. Can't prove a negative. Somebody says Google has proven to be biased in search

00:33:25.240 engines. Yes, but this isn't search engines. So I'm not saying they're not biased. I'm just saying

00:33:31.120 I don't have any evidence that would lead me to say that given that liberals and conservatives are

00:33:37.300 both affected. Uh, what's going on with your show with Christina? We have, uh, AB tested that and rejected

00:33:46.260 it. So Christina and I were going to do, do a separate, you know, thing with the two of us.

00:33:52.460 And we, we filmed a few and played it back to see if we liked what we saw and we just didn't enjoy

00:33:58.940 doing it enough. So I think if it had been bad, but we loved doing it, we probably would have done

00:34:06.460 it until we could do it well, but it was bad and we didn't love doing it. Uh, a lot of it has to do

00:34:13.340 with just two people trying to schedule the same thing at the same time and agree on it.

00:34:18.000 And it, it just added the level of relationship complexity that we didn't need. So we tried it.

00:34:25.240 So that's always my strategy. My strategy is if you don't know, give it a try. Worst thing that

00:34:31.420 happens is you get embarrassed and you don't do it. Oh, but separately, um, Christina will be

00:34:37.460 producing more piano solos. So she's, she's working on her, uh, working on her repertoire,

00:34:46.000 building up her number of songs. So every day I go downstairs and she's practicing Chopin and

00:34:52.400 she's working up to list. I guess he's the hardest one to play. Um, so yeah, she's, she's super gifted

00:35:01.620 watching, uh, watching, uh, Christina play, uh, Chopin, which I've just learned is among

00:35:08.340 the hardest of all, uh, pieces to play. It's really remarkable. I just look at it. I go,

00:35:14.460 I don't know. I don't know how anybody could do that. It's just seems impossible. Somebody

00:35:20.860 says Corona meeting wedding. Well, here's the thing. We were, you know, we're engaged and

00:35:25.840 we're, uh, talking about our wedding plans. So we have not finalized anything, but of course

00:35:31.440 all of our plans were built around some kind of travel. And one of the main places that

00:35:36.840 we're planning to travel this year, or at least I was, I was going to tell her about that later,

00:35:41.680 but it was Italy and Italy of course is off the list as is travel basically. So, uh, here's

00:35:52.620 the good news. Here's the good news. Um, this coronavirus is bad for extroverts.

00:36:01.440 But it's not bad for everybody. If you know what I mean, introverts and people who didn't

00:36:08.160 like crowds anyway, are just saying, are you serious? I just got an excuse for being exactly

00:36:13.900 the way I want to be anyway. And the answer is, yeah, you did. You just got an excuse for

00:36:20.180 being exactly the way you wanted to be anyway, which is stick to yourself. Keep your, keep your

00:36:25.300 numbers low. So, um, we don't have a plan yet, but you are right. It probably will be

00:36:32.840 a coronavirus wedding, which means, do you, do you know that awkward part where you don't

00:36:38.360 know who to invite? I think we might be able to avoid the awkward part where you don't know

00:36:44.720 who to invite because that's coronavirus. We'll invite, we'll invite nobody or just

00:36:51.020 a few people. Anyway, we'll work that out. Um, yeah, introverts are kind of winning in

00:37:01.520 this. I have to admit that I'm, I'm sort of a converted introvert. Um, I would say that

00:37:09.000 I'm genetically inclined to introversion, uh, and I like lots of, lots of alone time. I

00:37:16.140 need lots of alone time. I need hours every day where I don't see other people or else I

00:37:20.720 get a little squirrely. So I have the periscope wedding. Oh my God, that's a good idea.

00:37:31.300 Ah, that's a good idea. I don't think I could convince Christina, but I'd do it. If it were

00:37:37.480 up to me, I'd do it. I don't think there's any chance she would agree to it, but that is a damn

00:37:42.620 good idea. I'll bet you, I'll bet you're going to see a bunch of video weddings, right? Because

00:37:49.760 nobody wants to go infect all their own relatives. That's the worst thing in the world. Uh, so,

00:37:56.980 um, like I said, I'm, I'm going to be enjoying my alone time. I think I'm going to, after reading

00:38:03.360 the experience in Italy, which was, um, really scary, uh, I think I'm going to be doing a lot

00:38:09.240 of social distancing. I told you that it's helpful to have a project. So if you two are

00:38:15.280 going to be social distancing, and I hope that you do, um, you should have a project and

00:38:21.740 the project is not something you're working on all the time, but just something that you

00:38:25.620 have as a, you know, a fun thing that you want to improve, a system you're working on.

00:38:32.160 And in my case, I've decided to work on, uh, my arms. And again, it doesn't matter what

00:38:39.580 it is, just something you always wanted to do that you wouldn't have had time to do before

00:38:43.880 because of your busy life, but now you're going to be home a lot. So my, my, you know,

00:38:49.060 my, my goal is I'm going to try to work on my muscles. So you, you can look at it before

00:38:54.840 and after. So I'm telling you now that three months from now, since I'll have so much time

00:39:02.280 in my home gym, I hope to make a muscle and it's bigger. And then I'm going to say, ah,

00:39:08.260 well, I was locked up for three, three months, but look at these guns. Now, of course, that's

00:39:14.560 a vain and not very important objective. You might want to learn a language. You might

00:39:20.780 want to pick up a skill, take, take an online class, but take advantage of it because I'm

00:39:26.940 not entirely sure we're worse off by, by pulling back and maybe, you know, having a little alone

00:39:33.440 time, maybe learn to meditate. I hear that's good for your, uh, your body. All right. Um,

00:39:40.000 uh, you could periscope and what? So the, the AJAC program. Um, yeah, I think I would just

00:39:57.780 be doing my own thing here. Uh, working on yoga, writing, math, and quilting. Very good.

00:40:07.980 Very good. So I think we'll, uh, you know, I'm inch size. I don't know. Um, I'm just looking

00:40:20.460 at, uh, I'm just looking at your comments. All right. Thanks for the comments and, um, I

00:40:29.000 will talk to you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 10, 2020

Episode 846 Scott Adams： Which Presidential Candidate Might Survive to Election Day, Social Distancing

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