Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 853 Scott Adams： Simultaneous Sipping, #Coronavirus, The Nursing Home Pillow Fight

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in.

00:00:12.440 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, and I hope that although your normal schedule is probably altered a little bit,

00:00:21.560 I hope that you have made time for this most important, important, critical really, almost emergency, Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:34.580 And it's going to happen now, because I think you need it. I think we all need it.

00:00:39.860 There's nothing we need but a little bit of normal behavior, amid all the craziness.

00:00:46.340 And all you need to enjoy the Simultaneous Sip is a cupper, a mug, or a glass of tanker, chalice, or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:54.480 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:58.520 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:02.960 the thing that will make everything better, including the coronavirus.

00:01:07.220 We're going to get this thing. Oh yeah, we're going to get it.

00:01:10.940 And when I say get it, I mean beat it, not necessarily get it.

00:01:15.400 Although you might get it, and then you'll beat it too.

00:01:18.600 Because if you've enjoyed the Simultaneous Sip, you're stronger than most people.

00:01:22.940 You know it. Sip, now!

00:01:28.920 Ah.

00:01:31.080 Well, I continue on my system.

00:01:34.200 You know, I talk about systems being better than goals.

00:01:37.200 My goal is to stay alive.

00:01:39.940 My goal is not just to stay alive for myself, but to not be a burden on the healthcare system.

00:01:47.620 And if I can take myself out of that, well, there's one more ventilator for somebody else.

00:01:53.480 So my system is a nice long walk every day.

00:01:58.020 Mild exercise, light weights, eat right, really clean.

00:02:01.980 I just took sugar completely out of my diet.

00:02:06.240 I'm eating clean, clean, clean.

00:02:08.240 I'm sleeping right.

00:02:09.860 And I'm taking time off from social media.

00:02:13.900 Now, because it's important to stay connected, I'm not taking an entire day off any time.

00:02:19.540 But I find, and you might find this too, that there are periods in the day where I just have to not look at anything for an hour.

00:02:26.680 I just have to exist in my space without the outside world intruding on my thoughts, just for an hour, a few times a day.

00:02:37.980 Keep your stress down.

00:02:42.100 I'm helping.

00:02:43.480 Doing it right now.

00:02:45.020 Don't you feel more relaxed listening to me?

00:02:47.800 You know you do.

00:02:49.540 Do you think it's intentional?

00:02:51.640 Of course it is.

00:02:53.460 I do this intentionally to make you more relaxed.

00:02:57.540 And I guarantee that most of you are a little bit more relaxed when you listen to me.

00:03:02.300 It's not an accident.

00:03:04.180 There is technique everywhere in the world, and sometimes you don't recognize it.

00:03:08.960 All right, the stock market is doing its stock market thing of trying to scare us, because it always does that.

00:03:14.440 I'm not worried whatsoever about a generally falling stock market.

00:03:21.980 Do you know what really, really bothers me?

00:03:25.140 When the stock market is going up and I'm not in it, that really bothers me.

00:03:30.280 When the entire stock market goes down, my share of the world, if you will, stays about the same.

00:03:37.320 And when it goes back, my share of the world will go up with the share of the world, because I'm broadly diversified.

00:03:44.540 The world has to do well for me to do well.

00:03:47.740 There's no exception to that.

00:03:48.960 So I'm not worried at all about the stock market.

00:03:54.220 And if you're in the stock market and you think you'll be alive for more than two years, I think most of you will.

00:04:00.180 You should not be too afraid either, because the big companies are not going to go out of business,

00:04:04.620 and that's mostly where your money should be in the top 500 companies, or at least widely distributed.

00:04:12.280 So don't worry about the stock market.

00:04:14.800 The stock market will do its thing, and it will be back.

00:04:19.840 I've got lots more good news coming.

00:04:22.020 And my good news is sort of the good news that's coming, as opposed to the good news that's here.

00:04:29.260 Because this will be a tough day.

00:04:31.500 Tomorrow will be tough.

00:04:33.920 Somebody says, I'm starting to lose it.

00:04:35.920 I even woke up angry.

00:04:38.540 Exercise.

00:04:40.020 If you're physically angry and you know that it's something you need to get into control,

00:04:44.800 go wear yourself out.

00:04:46.980 And get outside.

00:04:48.140 Ideally outside.

00:04:49.820 Being in the house when you're stressed is not helping.

00:04:52.520 Get out.

00:04:53.740 Take a long walk.

00:04:55.060 That's what I say to you.

00:04:56.720 All right.

00:04:57.300 Let's talk about the food supply.

00:05:00.960 I tweeted an article from Joel Pollack, who looked into the food supply pipeline.

00:05:06.760 Because if you see empty shelves on your grocery store, how do you feel?

00:05:11.660 Ah, you know, society is collapsing.

00:05:15.180 Exactly the opposite.

00:05:17.440 Exactly the opposite.

00:05:19.400 Society is doing anything but collapsing.

00:05:22.860 It's evolving.

00:05:25.300 It hurts, but, you know, sometimes the growth does, right?

00:05:31.060 Sometimes it's hard to do the thing you need to do.

00:05:34.960 But society is not collapsing.

00:05:37.480 Society is evolving.

00:05:39.520 And it's hardening.

00:05:41.080 And it's getting smarter.

00:05:42.800 And it's getting more connected.

00:05:44.940 What you don't notice is that.

00:05:47.280 You don't notice that.

00:05:48.540 But I'll talk about that.

00:05:50.160 So, first of all, your food supply is the last thing you should worry about.

00:05:53.220 And here's why.

00:05:54.240 There's no risk to it.

00:05:56.320 The hoarding is a super short-term thing because it had no effect on the supply.

00:06:02.180 The total supply of farms and farm goods and products, exactly the same.

00:06:09.340 Well, no, that's a lie.

00:06:10.520 It's not exactly the same.

00:06:11.520 It's way more.

00:06:13.080 Right now, our pipeline, according to all information we have, you know, we're not hearing any stories of a farm closed or, you know, a trucking company.

00:06:25.640 Can't ship the goods.

00:06:27.820 We're not hearing any stories like that.

00:06:30.160 Which, by the way, if we can't cross state lines, I don't know how that's going to work.

00:06:33.560 But probably there will be exceptions for food.

00:06:35.420 And so the point is, when you look at the scary shelves, just understand that the entire weight of civilization's, you know, successes, that the entire capability of the United States is still just as strong for producing and delivering it to you.

00:06:57.900 The harder part will be if people can keep their incomes up.

00:07:01.960 And I think you'll probably see something like a universal basic income, something like that.

00:07:06.560 Now, restaurants, poor little restaurants, are going to get whacked.

00:07:12.240 But I think this might be another situation where we're evolving more than collapsing.

00:07:18.460 Because for every server, you know, every hostess, every server at a restaurant, surely we need another delivery person, right?

00:07:31.440 So here's what I'm doing for my local restaurants.

00:07:34.500 So I'm door dashing.

00:07:37.000 Now, yes, yes, yes, yes, I get it.

00:07:38.900 It's a rich person thing.

00:07:41.280 You can't all afford to door dash.

00:07:43.720 I get that.

00:07:44.420 It adds a cost on top of a cost on top of a cost.

00:07:47.940 But I can.

00:07:50.320 And, you know, even though my income will get whacked as, you know, percentage-wise as much as the rest of you, maybe more, I'll still have enough to door dash.

00:07:59.660 So during these times when it makes more sense to try to think of all of your actions in terms of how they affect other people, you know, this is a time to think about that.

00:08:09.740 I'm going to door dash the hell out of my area so that my local restaurants are getting at least that much business.

00:08:16.200 And here's the other advantage.

00:08:19.480 Let's say you, and again, this is only for people who have the wherewithal to do it.

00:08:23.860 I'm not recommending, you know, if money's tight, I don't recommend this at all.

00:08:28.480 But one way that I can protect your food supply is by door dashing.

00:08:34.260 So, you know, if you've got some extra food and you're saying, oh, I hope this is enough.

00:08:39.380 Well, one of the ways I can help make it be enough is I'll get my food directly from the restaurant, who apparently have plenty of supply.

00:08:46.200 That's partly what Joel Pollack found out in his article in Breitbart.

00:08:50.620 You can find that at Breitbart or you can find it at my Twitter feed.

00:08:56.600 So food, don't worry about it.

00:08:58.440 And I would say the same with paper goods and stuff.

00:09:01.360 There's just some temporary craziness.

00:09:03.580 But the pipeline has plenty of paper.

00:09:05.840 You know, nobody stopped cutting down trees, as far as I know.

00:09:10.480 You should be aware that in this time of, you know, great uncertainty, et cetera, and when the news is, you know, we're in this continuous fog of war situation, you should expect a lot of disinformation.

00:09:25.600 Some of it will be just dumb people saying dumb stuff.

00:09:29.020 That's bad enough.

00:09:29.920 But you should expect that countries which do not love us are going to be spreading some disinformation.

00:09:37.880 And there's reason to believe we've already seen it.

00:09:41.780 So there's a rumor going around that the government has already talked about or decided to do some kind of martial law situation with a total lockdown where you can't leave your house.

00:09:52.580 That's not true.

00:09:56.360 But apparently people are getting texts, you know, strings of text messages about it.

00:10:02.380 So here's my suggestion.

00:10:04.680 Don't believe anything you hear from an anonymous source during this situation.

00:10:10.700 It's true all the time.

00:10:12.260 You should never believe in an anonymous source.

00:10:14.380 But just know that we're in a situation where we're perceived to be vulnerable by our enemies.

00:10:20.580 And if they're on their game, they should be seeding us with bad terror stories so that our civilization will be destroyed.

00:10:30.420 So just don't believe anything on its face value that looks like it's coming from some unknown source about somebody who talked to somebody.

00:10:38.520 So that's a caution, which is really important.

00:10:43.720 I saw some photos that Disneyland was packed this weekend.

00:10:46.680 Is that real?

00:10:47.200 Because, again, fake news is going to be so prevalent now that you just have to distrust every photograph, every tweet.

00:10:56.180 I'm also seeing tweets from what appear to be individuals or doctors at hospitals talking about how bad things are at their hospital.

00:11:07.100 I've seen at least one from Italy.

00:11:09.320 I've seen one from Seattle.

00:11:10.400 There's reason to believe those are not real.

00:11:14.360 Now, we do think that Italy's in bad shape.

00:11:17.940 But if you see anything that looks like, I'm a doctor.

00:11:21.480 Here's my thread of how bad things are in my specific hospital.

00:11:25.640 We're piling bodies in the street.

00:11:27.740 It might not be true.

00:11:29.940 And indeed, that happened recently.

00:11:32.720 There was a Seattle doctor who had one of those threads about how bad it was.

00:11:37.040 And when people checked in on the hospital, they said, it's bad, but not like that.

00:11:43.580 So we know that those can be either misleading or outright false.

00:11:48.540 So watch out for those.

00:11:50.060 So any individual that doesn't have a second source, such as a news source that says,

00:11:55.080 Oh my God, yes, we're seeing the same thing.

00:11:58.840 Just don't believe it yet.

00:12:01.260 Or at all.

00:12:05.520 Here's a question for you.

00:12:09.280 What are you doing about playdates?

00:12:12.160 So I talked to Dr. Drew yesterday online on the Ask Dr. Drew livestream.

00:12:19.700 And kids are going to be a real problem.

00:12:22.760 But here's a potential way to go if you're wondering what to do about it.

00:12:29.880 It's almost cruel and unusual to lock up a kid in a house for three months.

00:12:34.660 Adults, maybe we can handle it.

00:12:36.400 It's going to be tough.

00:12:37.860 For a kid, it's going to be really tough.

00:12:41.260 And what I suggest is that maybe they find one special friend

00:12:44.320 with a family that you know is doing good virus protection stuff as well.

00:12:51.380 Well, talk parent to parent.

00:12:53.700 Make sure you've got a similarly strict situation in both households.

00:12:57.660 You know, wash your hands when you come in, that sort of thing.

00:13:00.100 Parents staying home from work, whatever.

00:13:02.260 And then say, all right, you can play with your friend Timmy as much as you want.

00:13:08.180 But that's it.

00:13:11.160 Or maybe a few houses like that.

00:13:13.580 But one at a time.

00:13:16.340 Because if you can get a kid to agree to one friend,

00:13:20.900 but getting them to agree to not seeing a friend for three months

00:13:25.240 is going to be nothing but a terror in your own household.

00:13:28.320 So you've got enough of an external threat.

00:13:31.580 You don't want to turn your own children into an internal threat

00:13:34.200 because, you know, they're going to get on your nerves too

00:13:38.400 and you don't want your nerves to be broken in this situation.

00:13:41.780 So stay strong.

00:13:43.640 All right.

00:13:46.200 Here's the situation on ventilators.

00:13:48.460 There's still a little bit of lack of clarity here.

00:13:51.480 And here's the situation.

00:13:52.820 And again, Joel Pollack reported on this,

00:13:56.160 that U.S. ventilator manufacturers, at least one of them,

00:14:00.780 had received a lot of inquiries, but not a lot of orders.

00:14:06.340 And I wasn't sure what was going on with that.

00:14:09.260 Like, why would it make sense that there are not a lot of orders for new ventilators,

00:14:13.280 especially since all the parts apparently are available in the United States?

00:14:18.480 And one of the answers, but I think it's an incomplete answer,

00:14:22.060 is that, as Dr. Drew explained yesterday on his show,

00:14:28.700 the hospitals actually, in the United States,

00:14:31.200 we can flex better than other places.

00:14:34.700 And in particular, apparently every operating room has a ventilator

00:14:38.180 that they use for the operations.

00:14:40.460 And if, you know, given that we'll probably be postponing

00:14:43.520 a lot of elective surgery, we can repurpose them.

00:14:47.300 So first of all, there's a bunch of unused ones

00:14:49.880 that will just be sitting there that we can put into production pretty quickly.

00:14:53.800 Secondly, apparently the military has a lot of them,

00:14:58.200 and they could temporarily be used for this purpose,

00:15:00.800 because we're not at a major war,

00:15:03.300 except against the virus.

00:15:07.020 So that would give us, you know,

00:15:08.500 a little flexibility that other countries clearly don't have.

00:15:11.560 I mean, there's no other country, I would imagine,

00:15:13.400 who has any kind of military health care gear

00:15:17.380 that's anything close to what the United States would have.

00:15:20.360 But I also hear, and I don't have a confirmation on that,

00:15:24.660 that the United States might be looking to put some orders in for ventilators.

00:15:30.820 Now, I don't know who does the math on this stuff

00:15:34.760 and says, well, how much is enough

00:15:36.720 and how much is not enough of ventilators,

00:15:38.980 but I think we're in a do-everything-and-do-it-hard situation.

00:15:44.720 I don't think we're in a situation where we should be saying,

00:15:47.980 you know, we might have enough ventilators,

00:15:50.540 or we probably have enough,

00:15:52.780 or we're almost certain we have enough ventilators.

00:15:55.720 That's not the place we're in.

00:15:57.880 We're in the place if there's any chance

00:16:00.800 we need ventilators, any at all.

00:16:03.960 Get some ventilators.

00:16:04.920 So I hope the government is looking to do that.

00:16:09.620 I have a question I'm going to put out here publicly.

00:16:13.260 I think I can find the right person in the government,

00:16:16.540 but I've been asked,

00:16:18.060 and it's weird how this world works,

00:16:19.860 you know, every citizen is sort of entering the fight if they can,

00:16:23.840 you know.

00:16:25.100 So I'm in the fight with all of you,

00:16:28.160 and people have asked me,

00:16:31.000 one person in particular,

00:16:32.620 who shall be temporarily not named,

00:16:36.320 but probably later,

00:16:38.040 asked who in the government can make the decision

00:16:40.300 to buy more masks, more gloves, more equipment,

00:16:45.500 because an individual is actually just spontaneously organized with others

00:16:51.240 to look at some factories to convert them like a wartime footing

00:16:56.000 to emergency produce masks and gloves and other,

00:17:01.060 you know, I don't know, sanitizers,

00:17:02.760 other things that one might need.

00:17:05.160 So here we have, you know,

00:17:07.020 American individuals who are starting to build factories 0.95

00:17:10.600 without the government's help.

00:17:12.980 Oh my God.

00:17:14.880 The capability in this country is just incredible.

00:17:19.640 But here's my question to you.

00:17:22.460 So you can join in if you know how to help.

00:17:25.180 Who in our government can say yes to writing a check

00:17:28.980 for more masks, more equipment, more anything?

00:17:32.680 Is there anybody in the government

00:17:33.700 who's the emergency budget person

00:17:37.060 who gets to say,

00:17:38.080 okay, that's in the budget,

00:17:39.080 that's not in the budget,

00:17:40.520 we got eight or nine billion dollars,

00:17:42.800 that's in, that's out.

00:17:44.880 So, well, somebody says Congress,

00:17:46.280 but I need a name.

00:17:46.900 I need a name and phone number, basically.

00:17:51.720 So if you can DM that to me,

00:17:53.600 if somebody has some contacts,

00:17:55.260 just send them my way.

00:17:56.320 Most of you know how to contact me.

00:17:57.920 I'm pretty easy to contact.

00:17:59.300 Go to LinkedIn if all else fails.

00:18:01.880 All right.

00:18:04.240 So in Italy, here's an inspirational story.

00:18:08.920 Italy was running short on ventilators,

00:18:10.820 but they had three ventilators

00:18:12.140 that were missing a part.

00:18:13.900 I think it was the same part.

00:18:15.480 It might not have been,

00:18:16.600 but it was missing a part.

00:18:18.200 It's pretty hard to get a part these days

00:18:21.560 for a ventilator, I would guess.

00:18:23.400 So they brought in a local company

00:18:24.920 with a 3D printer,

00:18:26.500 and the local company looked at the part,

00:18:29.680 engineered it, and 3D printed it.

00:18:31.780 Right there.

00:18:33.800 Oh my God.

00:18:36.080 Humans.

00:18:36.440 You know, it's like watching,

00:18:40.180 you know, I hate to say it

00:18:41.780 because there's, you know,

00:18:42.740 so much death and misery,

00:18:44.880 but it's like watching a sporting event

00:18:47.300 where individual players

00:18:49.120 are making great plays.

00:18:51.300 And, you know,

00:18:52.280 bringing in the 3D printer people

00:18:54.100 to make you an emergency part

00:18:56.340 for your ventilator,

00:18:57.960 that's like Curry passing behind the back,

00:19:01.720 you know, under the legs of the opponent

00:19:03.640 for the layup.

00:19:04.960 These are serious people

00:19:07.320 doing serious things,

00:19:08.740 and I'm amazed and impressed.

00:19:11.660 So, and of course,

00:19:13.240 Google has stepped up

00:19:14.180 to do the coronavirus website.

00:19:16.580 You know, we can complain about

00:19:17.900 whether it is or is not on time

00:19:19.540 or what the president said,

00:19:21.360 but it's people doing the things

00:19:22.760 they need to do.

00:19:27.080 At least 35 companies

00:19:28.960 and academic institutions

00:19:30.540 are rushing to create a vaccine.

00:19:32.380 At least four have tested it

00:19:35.500 on animals already.

00:19:37.600 This is amazing.

00:19:39.360 We've never seen anything like this.

00:19:42.980 And, let's see,

00:19:44.200 Moderna,

00:19:45.540 Moderna, a biotech company

00:19:47.420 in Massachusetts,

00:19:48.880 has already shipped

00:19:49.760 the first batches

00:19:51.380 for testing, I guess.

00:19:54.740 And, you know,

00:19:59.260 here's my take.

00:20:01.760 Human ingenuity,

00:20:03.720 I'll say this a thousand times

00:20:06.240 until you all have this picture

00:20:08.820 in your head.

00:20:10.320 We all know the virus

00:20:11.640 has this, you know,

00:20:13.240 this curve

00:20:13.920 where it's going to start slow

00:20:15.880 and like we're not worried

00:20:16.900 and then, oh my God,

00:20:17.660 it's a panic.

00:20:18.580 And that's, you know,

00:20:19.220 we're sort of in that

00:20:20.060 dangerous part of the curve.

00:20:22.300 But human ingenuity

00:20:24.140 looks just like that.

00:20:26.260 Just like that.

00:20:27.660 And our curve

00:20:28.620 will be faster

00:20:30.660 than the virus

00:20:31.580 because of the things

00:20:33.100 we're doing.

00:20:34.020 And I heard somebody smart say,

00:20:36.380 we're not self-quarantining

00:20:38.640 and shutting everything down

00:20:39.900 because it's a crisis.

00:20:43.040 It is a crisis.

00:20:44.260 It's not because of the virus.

00:20:46.300 It's because we want

00:20:47.320 to avoid the virus.

00:20:48.540 It's sort of the positive way

00:20:49.580 to look at it.

00:20:50.140 The reason we're doing

00:20:51.320 the shutdowns

00:20:51.960 is because we're going

00:20:52.760 to avoid the problem,

00:20:53.600 not because we have the problem.

00:20:56.640 You know,

00:20:56.900 it's a small change,

00:20:58.380 but I like it better that way.

00:21:00.180 And you're seeing

00:21:02.040 human ingenuity

00:21:02.920 at the,

00:21:04.760 maybe I'd call it

00:21:06.240 the elbow.

00:21:07.500 You know,

00:21:07.760 our curve is going

00:21:08.540 like this too.

00:21:09.240 We're gathering

00:21:09.780 and gathering information.

00:21:10.980 We're A-B testing.

00:21:11.800 We're testing.

00:21:12.320 We're testing.

00:21:13.040 We're building labs.

00:21:14.080 We're building factories.

00:21:15.060 We're testing.

00:21:15.640 We're building factories.

00:21:16.560 We're trying stuff.

00:21:17.700 We're right in the elbow.

00:21:18.580 We're right in that

00:21:21.300 little U-shaped part

00:21:22.440 where we've been flat

00:21:23.820 for three months

00:21:25.960 because, you know,

00:21:27.540 we've known about the virus

00:21:28.540 three months,

00:21:29.680 four months,

00:21:30.120 however long.

00:21:31.780 We've known about it,

00:21:32.940 but so little information

00:21:34.200 and it's wrong information

00:21:35.520 and you're not sure

00:21:36.320 and China's not telling us stuff.

00:21:38.920 But now the information

00:21:40.100 is coming in.

00:21:41.240 The fog is starting to clear.

00:21:42.760 Human capability

00:21:44.580 is being put on this thing

00:21:47.260 like nobody's business.

00:21:49.720 Somebody passed around

00:21:51.400 a quote attributed to me,

00:21:53.580 but it's not really my quote.

00:21:54.820 I quote somebody else,

00:21:56.160 but I don't know

00:21:56.700 who said it first.

00:21:57.980 So I am mistakenly credited

00:21:59.820 for this quote,

00:22:00.780 but I'm only a fan of it.

00:22:02.500 And it goes like this.

00:22:04.900 If you want something,

00:22:07.020 find out the price

00:22:08.540 and then pay it.

00:22:10.140 Now, as basic as that sounds,

00:22:13.940 we so often don't do that

00:22:15.520 that it sounds startling

00:22:17.200 to hear that that's a way

00:22:18.200 to success.

00:22:19.680 This coronavirus

00:22:20.620 is presenting people

00:22:24.800 all over the world

00:22:25.660 with this proposition.

00:22:27.560 What do you want?

00:22:29.020 I want to be,

00:22:30.180 I want to get rid of this

00:22:31.080 coronavirus for the world.

00:22:33.060 Really?

00:22:33.960 Is that what you want?

00:22:35.540 Do you really want it?

00:22:37.360 Yeah.

00:22:38.180 Yeah.

00:22:38.520 Before I was a little ambiguous.

00:22:40.740 A little ambivalent,

00:22:42.060 let's say.

00:22:44.120 But right now,

00:22:45.820 100%.

00:22:47.580 That's what I want.

00:22:50.500 Once you know what you want

00:22:52.100 and you're not wondering anymore,

00:22:54.100 and that's where we're all at

00:22:55.120 at this point,

00:22:56.120 that's a decision.

00:22:58.640 It's one thing to want

00:22:59.900 the virus to go away.

00:23:01.780 We have passed

00:23:02.900 wanting it to go away.

00:23:04.540 We are in

00:23:06.460 deciding to make it go away.

00:23:09.140 And that's different.

00:23:10.820 Because once you decide,

00:23:12.780 you'll do anything.

00:23:14.760 And you see that happening.

00:23:16.200 People will do anything.

00:23:17.320 We're watching our

00:23:17.960 healthcare professionals,

00:23:20.280 some of them getting infected.

00:23:22.140 I guess there were two

00:23:24.040 emergency doctors

00:23:25.280 just reported

00:23:26.080 were badly infected

00:23:27.660 and having some problems,

00:23:30.760 pretty bad ones.

00:23:32.020 And when you see

00:23:33.240 our medical professionals

00:23:34.820 run toward danger,

00:23:37.800 these people are better than us.

00:23:40.220 They are your standard.

00:23:42.280 You should look at the doctors

00:23:43.680 who are doing this stuff,

00:23:44.960 the nurses too,

00:23:45.700 and they know

00:23:47.820 they're not completely protected.

00:23:49.580 They know their risk

00:23:50.600 and they're doing it anyway.

00:23:52.860 They are our best heroes

00:23:54.880 right now by far.

00:23:56.500 So use that as your standard

00:23:57.720 for what to do as a citizen.

00:24:02.060 Because you might be asked

00:24:03.360 to do something that hard.

00:24:05.640 Maybe you already are,

00:24:06.780 but not that hard.

00:24:09.160 You will be asked

00:24:10.260 to make that kind of

00:24:11.280 a tough decision.

00:24:12.860 Just remember,

00:24:13.520 we're not at wanting.

00:24:15.980 Wanting was before.

00:24:18.280 We're at deciding.

00:24:20.660 Get yourself out of wanting

00:24:22.140 and get into deciding.

00:24:24.480 Because it's easier.

00:24:25.920 It's more effective.

00:24:27.380 Let's decide to kill it.

00:24:29.360 The virus, that is.

00:24:31.320 One way or another.

00:24:34.480 All right.

00:24:36.440 Here's an ugly truth

00:24:37.920 that I tweeted.

00:24:40.260 And this gets to,

00:24:42.040 this is related

00:24:44.080 to human ingenuity.

00:24:46.240 But it's also related

00:24:47.840 to deciding versus wanting.

00:24:50.660 What I'm going to describe

00:24:52.140 is possible.

00:24:53.940 In any other world,

00:24:55.760 you would never even

00:24:56.680 consider this.

00:24:58.280 All right.

00:24:58.840 So what I'm going to suggest

00:25:00.280 right now

00:25:00.880 is ugly

00:25:02.320 and you don't

00:25:04.380 want it.

00:25:05.420 but we're past

00:25:08.660 the wanting phase.

00:25:10.380 We're now

00:25:10.880 at decision phase.

00:25:13.000 Imagine if you could,

00:25:14.440 imagine if the government

00:25:15.600 demanded

00:25:16.160 that anyone

00:25:17.440 who sold a ticket

00:25:18.960 to any large event

00:25:20.240 for this weekend

00:25:21.100 had to give the government

00:25:22.880 their data.

00:25:24.100 We want to know

00:25:25.060 the names

00:25:25.620 of anybody

00:25:26.520 who was,

00:25:27.700 let's say,

00:25:28.320 unwise enough

00:25:29.060 to take themselves

00:25:30.800 into a crowded situation.

00:25:32.180 Now,

00:25:33.160 some places

00:25:33.720 don't have tickets.

00:25:34.460 Let's say a crowded bar.

00:25:36.140 But there probably are

00:25:37.860 credit card receipts

00:25:39.180 because we're a

00:25:40.540 credit card

00:25:41.180 kind of a world.

00:25:43.140 It wouldn't get everybody.

00:25:44.320 Some people are cash.

00:25:45.260 Some people don't buy drinks.

00:25:46.400 But the credit cards

00:25:48.220 would get a lot.

00:25:49.680 Now,

00:25:49.860 let's say

00:25:50.280 you compare

00:25:52.240 those lists

00:25:53.160 of names

00:25:53.640 of people

00:25:54.200 who clearly

00:25:55.880 were in large groups

00:25:57.080 recently.

00:25:58.040 If you add to that

00:25:59.660 facial recognition,

00:26:03.200 something like

00:26:03.800 the Clearview app,

00:26:06.260 somebody says,

00:26:07.580 absolutely not.

00:26:09.180 We're just talking here.

00:26:10.500 So,

00:26:11.100 you know,

00:26:11.460 I don't have a decision

00:26:12.700 on any of this.

00:26:13.860 So you don't need

00:26:14.620 to complain to me.

00:26:15.520 I'm just telling you

00:26:16.520 what we could do.

00:26:18.520 All right?

00:26:19.000 What we could do

00:26:20.280 is have an app

00:26:23.000 in every citizen's hand

00:26:24.480 by the end of the week.

00:26:26.640 It's possible.

00:26:28.200 In which you could

00:26:29.120 just take a picture

00:26:29.960 of your kid's

00:26:30.980 friend

00:26:32.660 before they come

00:26:33.500 over to the house.

00:26:34.220 You say to your kid,

00:26:36.100 who's the friend

00:26:36.800 that you want to

00:26:37.960 hang out with today

00:26:38.680 just one-on-one?

00:26:40.260 And they say,

00:26:40.620 that's my friend Timmy.

00:26:41.940 Show me a picture

00:26:42.900 of Timmy.

00:26:44.240 Boop.

00:26:44.600 Timmy's family

00:26:46.360 just came back

00:26:48.780 from Disneyland.

00:26:50.960 Nope.

00:26:52.260 Sorry.

00:26:53.280 Timmy should have

00:26:53.980 told you that,

00:26:54.640 but Timmy did not.

00:26:55.960 Timmy's a kid.

00:26:57.120 He didn't know

00:26:57.600 to tell you that.

00:26:59.300 So,

00:27:01.100 you know,

00:27:02.160 I don't even have

00:27:02.740 to look at the comments

00:27:03.880 to hear you say,

00:27:05.200 no,

00:27:06.300 no,

00:27:07.600 big brother.

00:27:09.520 We're past that.

00:27:10.580 You want privacy.

00:27:14.520 We're past that.

00:27:16.340 We're past wanting.

00:27:18.200 We're into deciding.

00:27:19.860 If we decide

00:27:20.820 to get rid of the virus,

00:27:22.460 we have tools.

00:27:24.280 They're grotesque tools.

00:27:25.480 They're expensive tools.

00:27:26.540 They're tools we may

00:27:27.560 have trouble

00:27:28.580 getting back in the,

00:27:29.560 you know,

00:27:29.820 the toothpaste back

00:27:30.580 in the thing.

00:27:33.220 The tube,

00:27:34.000 I guess.

00:27:34.940 It's a tube,

00:27:35.820 a toothpaste.

00:27:36.080 But we have tools,

00:27:38.620 so just know that.

00:27:39.940 All right.

00:27:42.160 So a poll that said,

00:27:43.500 who do you think

00:27:43.940 would be the best pick

00:27:44.720 for vice president?

00:27:46.620 It was an Emerson poll.

00:27:48.760 And Harris

00:27:49.300 got the most votes,

00:27:51.580 20%.

00:27:52.280 Second most votes

00:27:54.240 was Yang.

00:27:56.340 Aw.

00:27:58.260 So,

00:27:59.180 Andrew Yang,

00:27:59.840 of course,

00:28:00.260 very capable person,

00:28:02.280 did,

00:28:02.760 exceeded expectations

00:28:03.800 in the race,

00:28:05.040 but dropped out.

00:28:06.080 But he was learning

00:28:07.560 apparently with the rest of us

00:28:09.020 that his penis 0.99

00:28:10.360 disqualifies him

00:28:11.500 for public office.

00:28:13.960 And how would you like

00:28:15.220 to be Andrew Yang?

00:28:17.120 You joined a team,

00:28:19.380 Team Democrat.

00:28:21.240 You fought for

00:28:22.220 months and months.

00:28:23.580 You lost sleep.

00:28:24.440 You worked hard.

00:28:26.120 You fought and fought

00:28:27.040 for your team.

00:28:28.600 And then,

00:28:30.120 your team said,

00:28:31.500 thank you very much,

00:28:32.600 Andrew Yang.

00:28:33.240 Thanks for being part

00:28:34.040 of the process.

00:28:34.680 Now we're going to pick

00:28:35.980 a vice president,

00:28:37.740 but we're only going to

00:28:39.420 choose from among people

00:28:40.640 who do not have a penis 0.95

00:28:41.780 like you do,

00:28:43.200 Andrew Yang.

00:28:44.380 So the Yang Wang, 0.97

00:28:46.080 I call it,

00:28:46.840 hashtag Yang Wang,

00:28:48.660 has disqualified him

00:28:49.840 for a potential.

00:28:53.040 But, you know,

00:28:53.840 thank goodness,

00:28:55.440 if he can't be

00:28:56.040 vice president

00:28:56.680 because he has a penis, 0.99

00:28:57.640 at least he can,

00:28:59.800 you know,

00:29:00.540 be nominated

00:29:01.500 for the Supreme Court.

00:29:03.300 Okay,

00:29:03.840 he can't be nominated

00:29:04.720 for the Supreme Court

00:29:06.040 because he has a penis 0.99

00:29:07.980 and he's not black

00:29:09.660 because that's what

00:29:11.640 Joe Biden said.

00:29:12.880 He said,

00:29:13.340 it's going to be a woman, 1.00

00:29:14.640 it's going to be

00:29:15.380 a black woman. 1.00

00:29:16.740 Now,

00:29:17.880 I applaud

00:29:19.040 the,

00:29:19.780 you know,

00:29:20.260 the attitude.

00:29:21.860 I applaud the attitude

00:29:23.100 that,

00:29:24.120 you know,

00:29:24.300 we should have

00:29:24.780 a Supreme Court

00:29:25.580 that looks like the country.

00:29:26.980 That's not a bad,

00:29:28.060 that's not a bad thing.

00:29:30.340 In fact,

00:29:31.020 it's a good thing.

00:29:32.420 But,

00:29:33.860 how does Andrew Yang

00:29:34.840 feel about that?

00:29:36.700 You know,

00:29:37.940 the thing about

00:29:39.420 being liberal

00:29:40.860 is that it's a great idea

00:29:42.380 until somebody comes

00:29:43.280 for your stuff.

00:29:46.280 Until somebody comes

00:29:47.420 for your stuff,

00:29:48.940 it's easy to be liberal

00:29:50.220 because you're giving away

00:29:51.740 other people's stuff.

00:29:53.200 But Andrew Yang,

00:29:54.380 they just came

00:29:55.480 for your stuff.

00:29:57.160 How does it feel?

00:29:59.060 And,

00:30:00.100 while I don't think

00:30:01.360 you're ready

00:30:02.120 to be a Republican,

00:30:04.560 the Democrats

00:30:06.080 did throw you

00:30:07.300 under a bus,

00:30:09.040 ran over you,

00:30:10.680 and then

00:30:11.120 backed up over you

00:30:12.340 to make sure

00:30:12.760 the job was done.

00:30:14.240 Because it's not enough

00:30:15.460 that you have a penis, 1.00

00:30:16.520 you also have

00:30:17.420 the wrong ethnicity 1.00

00:30:18.240 for your own party.

00:30:21.420 Sorry.

00:30:21.860 Sorry.

00:30:24.380 Let's see.

00:30:27.660 Now,

00:30:28.060 what else

00:30:29.000 we got going on here?

00:30:32.100 I watched

00:30:33.820 much of the debate

00:30:35.820 last night.

00:30:37.160 And I'm wondering

00:30:38.100 if you had

00:30:38.620 the same response

00:30:39.640 that I did.

00:30:41.540 Which is,

00:30:42.900 I don't care.

00:30:45.460 Because the coronavirus

00:30:46.540 is so big

00:30:48.320 in terms of

00:30:49.740 the mental

00:30:50.520 load

00:30:51.860 that it puts on me,

00:30:52.700 that my normal

00:30:54.700 high level

00:30:55.260 of interest

00:30:55.820 in presidential

00:30:56.960 politics

00:30:57.640 was maybe,

00:31:00.620 I don't know,

00:31:01.260 25%

00:31:02.300 of normal.

00:31:03.920 I couldn't

00:31:04.840 get interested.

00:31:06.000 Now,

00:31:06.180 part of it is

00:31:06.780 I don't think

00:31:08.560 either of them

00:31:09.160 can beat Trump,

00:31:10.040 so I'm not sure

00:31:10.640 that it matters.

00:31:11.720 I don't know

00:31:12.380 if it matters

00:31:12.900 what they say.

00:31:13.540 but did you

00:31:17.420 also have

00:31:17.840 the same

00:31:18.280 experience

00:31:19.320 that it

00:31:20.560 didn't

00:31:21.520 draw you in,

00:31:23.520 didn't feel like

00:31:24.380 it was

00:31:26.620 important

00:31:27.940 anymore,

00:31:29.060 which is weird.

00:31:31.600 Now,

00:31:32.140 I hope that we get

00:31:32.740 back to a point

00:31:33.260 where that feels

00:31:33.960 like it's important,

00:31:34.920 but here are some

00:31:35.700 of the comments

00:31:36.180 I saw online.

00:31:38.100 And I plan

00:31:39.400 to keep

00:31:39.800 my gallows

00:31:41.320 humor

00:31:41.700 through the

00:31:43.260 coronavirus.

00:31:44.680 So I'm just

00:31:45.140 telling you right now,

00:31:46.440 sooner or later,

00:31:48.460 you know,

00:31:48.960 somebody's going

00:31:49.620 to try to

00:31:50.060 come at me 1.00

00:31:50.780 with the pitchforks

00:31:51.740 and torches

00:31:52.320 because I made

00:31:53.480 a joke,

00:31:54.060 and,

00:31:54.300 oh,

00:31:54.580 it's an emergency

00:31:55.480 and you made

00:31:56.140 a joke,

00:31:56.660 but I'm telling

00:31:58.040 you right now,

00:31:58.900 I'm not going

00:31:59.380 to lose my

00:31:59.820 sense of humor

00:32:00.420 during the

00:32:01.880 coronavirus.

00:32:02.860 So,

00:32:03.540 if you don't

00:32:04.060 like it,

00:32:04.840 this would be

00:32:05.420 not the place

00:32:05.940 to be.

00:32:06.280 But here are

00:32:07.700 some things

00:32:08.120 that people

00:32:08.460 said about

00:32:08.960 the debate

00:32:10.780 last night.

00:32:12.040 This one

00:32:12.400 made me laugh

00:32:13.240 out loud.

00:32:14.400 Somebody just

00:32:14.980 said dentures

00:32:15.580 were flying.

00:32:19.120 Dentures

00:32:19.720 were flying.

00:32:20.900 That's such

00:32:21.280 a clean

00:32:23.420 and crisp

00:32:24.240 visual

00:32:24.960 that captures

00:32:27.160 so much

00:32:27.740 of the situation.

00:32:29.140 Yep,

00:32:29.660 dentures

00:32:29.980 were flying.

00:32:31.440 Somebody else

00:32:32.000 said,

00:32:33.480 I think

00:32:33.760 Don Eller,

00:32:34.980 I forgot

00:32:35.980 who said

00:32:36.340 the first

00:32:36.680 one,

00:32:37.000 but Don

00:32:37.320 Eller on

00:32:37.920 Twitter said,

00:32:40.320 final score,

00:32:42.140 aneurysms

00:32:42.820 and dementia

00:32:43.380 nine,

00:32:43.980 heart attack

00:32:44.440 eight.

00:32:47.020 Which is

00:32:47.660 funny because

00:32:48.440 the candidates

00:32:50.480 were starting

00:32:51.340 to see them

00:32:52.040 by their

00:32:52.480 medical conditions.

00:32:54.320 Right?

00:32:54.880 If you look

00:32:55.620 at Trump,

00:32:56.240 what do you

00:32:56.460 think of?

00:32:57.440 Well,

00:32:57.680 his haircut,

00:32:59.240 billionaire,

00:33:00.780 think of his

00:33:01.360 personality or

00:33:02.500 whatever.

00:33:02.740 But when

00:33:04.820 you see

00:33:05.140 Bernie and

00:33:06.060 Biden

00:33:06.440 together

00:33:07.060 debating,

00:33:08.960 don't you

00:33:09.480 kind of

00:33:09.800 think about

00:33:10.220 their health,

00:33:10.880 especially

00:33:11.300 during the

00:33:11.780 coronavirus?

00:33:13.020 So we've

00:33:13.880 got two

00:33:14.220 candidates who

00:33:14.900 are being

00:33:15.180 defined by

00:33:15.880 their health

00:33:16.340 problems,

00:33:17.300 running against

00:33:18.460 the most

00:33:19.080 capable

00:33:19.520 politician

00:33:20.220 in our

00:33:22.740 time.

00:33:23.100 with that

00:33:25.240 said,

00:33:27.020 I have to

00:33:27.760 be honest

00:33:28.180 about this

00:33:28.640 because we're

00:33:29.200 in an

00:33:29.560 emergency

00:33:29.900 situation.

00:33:31.900 I've

00:33:32.460 criticized the

00:33:33.100 president's

00:33:33.680 messaging on

00:33:34.560 this,

00:33:34.940 you know,

00:33:35.100 being muddled

00:33:35.820 and getting

00:33:36.860 some facts

00:33:37.380 wrong and

00:33:37.840 stuff so it

00:33:38.480 wasn't building

00:33:39.020 confidence.

00:33:40.040 He has the

00:33:40.440 wrong personality

00:33:41.360 for this

00:33:42.740 situation.

00:33:44.020 He's just a

00:33:45.720 natural salesperson

00:33:46.920 and politician

00:33:48.240 and all that,

00:33:49.620 but just doesn't

00:33:50.260 fit the

00:33:50.700 problem.

00:33:51.060 And I'd

00:33:53.740 been hoping

00:33:54.180 to see him

00:33:54.900 adjust because

00:33:56.500 everybody's

00:33:56.980 adjusting,

00:33:57.600 right?

00:33:58.180 You know,

00:33:58.600 that's what we

00:33:59.500 do well as a

00:34:00.660 species.

00:34:01.360 We adjust.

00:34:02.460 We're really

00:34:03.000 good adjusters.

00:34:04.260 And the

00:34:04.660 president

00:34:04.960 apparently has

00:34:06.060 adjusted.

00:34:08.800 Apparently he

00:34:09.680 has adjusted.

00:34:12.780 And I

00:34:14.580 didn't see it,

00:34:15.460 but I

00:34:15.640 understood the

00:34:16.240 president at

00:34:18.140 yesterday's event

00:34:19.060 where they were

00:34:19.620 just updating

00:34:20.460 the public.

00:34:21.060 I think he

00:34:21.540 just sort of

00:34:22.400 made some

00:34:23.440 introductory

00:34:23.840 comments and

00:34:24.740 then let the

00:34:25.540 experts talk.

00:34:27.500 Exactly what I

00:34:28.360 wanted to see.

00:34:29.560 It's exactly

00:34:30.080 what I wanted

00:34:30.600 to see.

00:34:31.300 So the

00:34:31.600 country needs

00:34:33.220 to know that

00:34:33.780 the government

00:34:34.280 is hearing it

00:34:35.880 and that it's

00:34:37.040 responding in

00:34:37.920 real time.

00:34:39.360 I think the

00:34:39.920 country spoke

00:34:41.460 as one.

00:34:42.480 You know,

00:34:42.700 of course,

00:34:43.060 there were some

00:34:43.380 hardcore

00:34:43.740 Republicans who

00:34:45.040 were just in

00:34:46.240 the president's

00:34:46.840 camp.

00:34:47.760 But those of

00:34:48.500 us who were

00:34:48.780 just trying to

00:34:49.300 be helpful,

00:34:49.740 I think we

00:34:50.400 spoke as

00:34:51.140 one and

00:34:51.680 said,

00:34:52.140 all right,

00:34:52.620 Mr.

00:34:53.500 President,

00:34:53.960 with all

00:34:54.300 due respect,

00:34:56.180 your messaging

00:34:57.240 on this is

00:34:58.180 just not a

00:34:58.640 good fit.

00:34:59.920 Maybe you

00:35:00.820 could let

00:35:01.240 the people

00:35:02.420 who are the

00:35:04.120 experts on

00:35:04.880 this be more

00:35:05.620 of the

00:35:05.900 messaging.

00:35:06.740 And it

00:35:07.160 appears he's

00:35:07.640 done that.

00:35:08.960 It appears he

00:35:09.620 has done that.

00:35:10.800 So,

00:35:11.480 do you feel

00:35:12.300 more confident

00:35:12.980 when your

00:35:14.160 public has a

00:35:15.000 concern,

00:35:15.580 your government

00:35:16.040 hears it,

00:35:16.600 you can see

00:35:17.540 a response

00:35:18.120 in real

00:35:18.480 time that

00:35:18.940 seems to

00:35:19.300 be the

00:35:19.500 right response.

00:35:20.580 You should

00:35:21.040 feel good

00:35:21.420 about that.

00:35:22.840 And I'm

00:35:23.400 going to

00:35:23.540 remind you

00:35:24.120 over and

00:35:24.840 over and

00:35:25.340 over again

00:35:25.880 that the

00:35:27.060 normal way

00:35:27.820 civilization

00:35:28.600 creeps

00:35:29.700 forward is

00:35:31.020 by making

00:35:31.520 mistakes and

00:35:32.360 quickly correcting

00:35:33.260 them.

00:35:34.040 In an

00:35:34.660 emergency,

00:35:35.480 you should

00:35:36.020 see more

00:35:36.580 mistakes,

00:35:37.740 for all the

00:35:39.080 right reasons.

00:35:40.440 Timing is

00:35:41.200 compressed,

00:35:41.800 etc.

00:35:42.260 You should

00:35:43.060 see an

00:35:43.640 enormous amount

00:35:44.440 of mistakes

00:35:44.940 in the

00:35:45.280 beginning.

00:35:45.620 But you

00:35:47.180 need to

00:35:47.640 see fast

00:35:48.580 correction.

00:35:49.940 Are we

00:35:50.380 seeing fast

00:35:51.220 correction from

00:35:52.160 our government?

00:35:52.740 Yeah, we

00:35:53.360 are.

00:35:53.760 We're seeing

00:35:54.280 it really

00:35:54.600 well, I

00:35:55.660 would say.

00:35:56.580 So, you

00:35:57.200 know, you

00:35:57.400 can always

00:35:57.980 argue something

00:35:58.840 should have

00:35:59.240 been faster,

00:36:00.420 and I wrote

00:36:01.080 about that in

00:36:01.620 my book,

00:36:02.000 Loser Think,

00:36:03.080 that you

00:36:03.500 just always

00:36:04.660 can say that.

00:36:05.520 There's nothing

00:36:06.200 that's good

00:36:06.920 that you can't

00:36:08.200 say should have

00:36:08.680 happened faster.

00:36:09.540 So if you

00:36:09.900 hear the people

00:36:10.440 saying,

00:36:11.540 here's my

00:36:11.900 criticism,

00:36:13.260 something should

00:36:13.760 have happened

00:36:14.140 faster,

00:36:14.640 they're not

00:36:15.840 legitimate

00:36:16.240 players.

00:36:17.740 That's not a

00:36:18.680 legitimate comment.

00:36:19.920 Could be

00:36:20.220 true, could

00:36:21.420 be true,

00:36:22.340 because everything

00:36:22.840 could be done

00:36:23.300 faster.

00:36:24.000 But it's not a

00:36:24.660 legitimate criticism

00:36:25.700 because it's a

00:36:26.780 universal truth

00:36:27.700 that everything

00:36:28.220 could be done

00:36:28.760 sooner.

00:36:30.980 So let's

00:36:31.840 focus on the

00:36:33.560 future and

00:36:34.140 fast correcting

00:36:35.480 our problems.

00:36:37.600 Shout out to

00:36:38.540 Representative

00:36:39.280 Gillum, who

00:36:41.700 went into

00:36:42.100 alcohol rehab.

00:36:43.060 I have a

00:36:43.780 little rule.

00:36:45.200 It goes like

00:36:45.720 this, roughly

00:36:47.080 speaking.

00:36:48.140 If somebody

00:36:48.800 does bad or

00:36:50.340 embarrassing

00:36:50.780 behavior in

00:36:51.500 public, I'm

00:36:52.500 not above

00:36:53.020 having a good

00:36:53.720 time with it

00:36:54.380 and thinking,

00:36:57.100 well, it's

00:36:57.800 their own

00:36:58.040 damn fault.

00:36:59.940 And in a

00:37:00.720 political world,

00:37:01.480 of course, we're

00:37:02.720 more likely to

00:37:03.400 make fun of

00:37:04.180 the side that

00:37:04.880 you're not

00:37:05.720 supporting.

00:37:06.880 But when

00:37:07.520 somebody goes

00:37:08.040 into alcohol

00:37:08.660 rehab, and I

00:37:09.880 think this is

00:37:10.400 legitimate, I'd be

00:37:11.960 surprised, very

00:37:13.240 surprised if

00:37:14.020 this is some

00:37:14.500 kind of an

00:37:14.940 act in which

00:37:15.640 he's pretending

00:37:16.260 to be an

00:37:16.680 alcoholic or

00:37:17.220 something.

00:37:18.100 But when I

00:37:18.580 see somebody

00:37:18.980 make that

00:37:19.420 move, he

00:37:20.320 did it

00:37:20.600 publicly.

00:37:22.500 And by

00:37:23.560 the way, I

00:37:23.840 don't believe

00:37:24.260 any of his

00:37:24.940 story about

00:37:26.240 what happened.

00:37:27.840 I don't believe

00:37:28.300 any of that, but

00:37:28.760 I also don't

00:37:29.200 care.

00:37:30.220 Do I care?

00:37:31.340 I mean, that's

00:37:31.780 between him and

00:37:32.420 his family.

00:37:33.920 I care about

00:37:34.740 his family, but

00:37:36.360 I don't care about

00:37:36.960 it personally.

00:37:37.480 It doesn't

00:37:37.700 affect me.

00:37:38.200 But he

00:37:40.840 went into

00:37:41.160 alcohol rehab,

00:37:42.720 and here's

00:37:43.000 my rule.

00:37:44.320 I always

00:37:45.120 praise people

00:37:45.920 who make

00:37:46.320 that step.

00:37:47.480 No

00:37:47.760 exceptions.

00:37:48.740 It doesn't

00:37:49.080 matter what

00:37:49.480 you did

00:37:49.740 before that.

00:37:51.220 If you

00:37:51.580 can make

00:37:51.940 that step,

00:37:53.680 and you're

00:37:54.420 willing to

00:37:55.060 take the

00:37:56.040 heed of

00:37:58.120 admitting it

00:37:58.620 in public

00:37:59.020 especially,

00:37:59.720 although in

00:38:00.040 this case it

00:38:00.460 probably helps

00:38:00.880 them, I

00:38:02.580 just say

00:38:02.900 congratulations

00:38:03.560 and thank

00:38:05.740 you.

00:38:05.920 good work.

00:38:10.180 Now, that's

00:38:11.680 all I want

00:38:12.060 to say about

00:38:12.580 Andrew Gillum,

00:38:13.280 and now he

00:38:13.640 needs to go

00:38:14.280 work on

00:38:14.640 himself, but

00:38:15.820 I want him

00:38:16.440 to know, at

00:38:17.000 least for one

00:38:17.500 person, that

00:38:18.900 at this

00:38:20.560 moment, on

00:38:21.240 that decision,

00:38:22.140 I'm completely

00:38:22.800 supportive, and

00:38:23.860 I appreciate it,

00:38:24.660 and I have

00:38:25.000 full respect for

00:38:25.660 that.

00:38:28.360 How many

00:38:29.020 people have

00:38:29.560 died, how

00:38:30.280 many doctors

00:38:30.900 have died

00:38:31.420 from past

00:38:32.160 flus?

00:38:32.780 Now, as

00:38:35.720 we're trying

00:38:36.080 to figure

00:38:36.420 out how

00:38:36.860 much is

00:38:38.040 the right

00:38:38.340 amount of

00:38:38.940 being worried

00:38:39.580 and how

00:38:39.980 much we

00:38:40.580 should not

00:38:40.920 be worried,

00:38:41.920 one of the

00:38:42.360 questions I

00:38:42.860 have is, is

00:38:44.240 this typical?

00:38:46.320 That in

00:38:47.620 the past we

00:38:48.360 were having

00:38:48.780 doctors who

00:38:49.720 were dying

00:38:50.200 from treating

00:38:50.940 just regular

00:38:51.560 flu?

00:38:52.460 Because that

00:38:53.160 had to be

00:38:53.680 happening

00:38:54.000 somewhere,

00:38:54.520 right?

00:38:54.740 Because the

00:38:55.080 regular flu

00:38:55.780 can also

00:38:57.040 take people

00:38:57.640 out.

00:38:59.100 And some

00:38:59.820 doctors would

00:39:00.440 be older,

00:39:01.260 over 60,

00:39:02.240 et cetera.

00:39:02.780 is, but

00:39:04.280 I think

00:39:04.520 these were

00:39:05.040 actually younger

00:39:05.540 doctors, but

00:39:07.180 is this a

00:39:08.480 reporting

00:39:09.060 phenomenon?

00:39:11.220 In other

00:39:11.600 words, is

00:39:13.200 it true that

00:39:14.440 every year

00:39:15.080 we lose a

00:39:16.660 few doctors

00:39:17.380 actually dying

00:39:18.940 to the

00:39:19.980 flu?

00:39:21.300 Does that

00:39:21.980 happen every

00:39:22.440 year, and

00:39:22.840 we just

00:39:23.140 don't report

00:39:24.360 it because

00:39:24.880 it seems

00:39:25.420 more like

00:39:25.860 the baseline?

00:39:27.140 And are

00:39:28.020 we over

00:39:28.680 reporting

00:39:29.240 some specific

00:39:30.820 things that

00:39:32.200 are certainly

00:39:32.880 worrisome,

00:39:33.620 and it

00:39:34.580 doesn't mean

00:39:35.000 we should

00:39:35.340 treat the

00:39:36.760 situation any

00:39:38.100 less seriously,

00:39:40.020 but I'm just

00:39:41.080 wondering if

00:39:41.580 when we hear

00:39:42.300 about the

00:39:42.660 doctors who

00:39:43.640 are dying,

00:39:44.940 if any of

00:39:45.980 this is

00:39:46.360 because there's

00:39:48.220 more reporting

00:39:48.880 about it.

00:39:49.660 It's just a

00:39:50.180 question.

00:39:50.900 But the

00:39:51.360 seriousness, of

00:39:52.160 course, should

00:39:52.500 not be

00:39:52.980 underestimated.

00:39:55.020 And the

00:39:56.980 reason that

00:39:57.380 matters, the

00:39:59.160 reason it

00:39:59.460 matters to

00:40:00.020 us, is

00:40:01.840 that I

00:40:02.440 would like to

00:40:02.900 know the

00:40:03.260 odds of

00:40:04.500 dying if I

00:40:05.280 get it.

00:40:06.700 And the

00:40:07.380 only way I

00:40:07.860 would know

00:40:08.180 that is to

00:40:09.180 know how

00:40:09.600 many infected

00:40:11.180 people are

00:40:11.780 not having

00:40:12.300 problems.

00:40:13.660 So if you

00:40:14.460 tell me,

00:40:15.200 Scott, it

00:40:16.100 is very

00:40:16.440 normal for

00:40:17.820 doctors to

00:40:18.500 be dying

00:40:18.920 during the

00:40:19.340 flu season

00:40:19.840 from catching

00:40:20.800 the flu.

00:40:21.140 it's low

00:40:23.140 percentage, we

00:40:24.160 don't report

00:40:24.720 it, it's

00:40:25.780 just sort of

00:40:26.240 baseline badness.

00:40:28.360 If I knew

00:40:29.060 that, and I

00:40:30.820 knew that what

00:40:31.400 I was seeing

00:40:31.840 about these

00:40:32.400 doctors dying

00:40:33.460 was just

00:40:34.620 more of

00:40:35.060 that, then

00:40:36.760 that would

00:40:37.060 give me a

00:40:37.420 little more

00:40:37.780 comfort that

00:40:38.640 if I get

00:40:39.140 it, I'm

00:40:39.540 not going

00:40:39.820 to die.

00:40:40.820 So it

00:40:41.320 has to do

00:40:41.780 with our

00:40:42.080 national state

00:40:44.160 of mind,

00:40:44.700 which is

00:40:45.060 important.

00:40:45.700 Because this

00:40:46.120 is, in a

00:40:46.940 way, what

00:40:47.540 we're having

00:40:47.960 is an

00:40:48.300 information and

00:40:49.100 psychology

00:40:49.660 problem.

00:40:51.140 And, you

00:40:52.000 know, you

00:40:52.180 have to

00:40:52.440 treat it

00:40:52.740 that way

00:40:53.080 as well

00:40:53.500 as a

00:40:53.760 health and

00:40:54.120 physical

00:40:54.480 problem.

00:40:56.680 But I'd

00:40:57.360 like to

00:40:57.620 know if

00:40:58.220 more doctors,

00:40:59.660 more young

00:41:00.280 doctors especially,

00:41:01.480 are dying

00:41:02.100 from this

00:41:02.600 flu than

00:41:03.180 from last

00:41:03.820 flus.

00:41:04.940 Because that

00:41:05.620 would give

00:41:06.940 me some

00:41:07.240 information,

00:41:08.160 you know,

00:41:08.440 should I

00:41:08.900 contract it

00:41:09.640 from that

00:41:10.500 point on,

00:41:11.060 what are my

00:41:11.420 odds?

00:41:12.140 That would

00:41:12.500 give me some

00:41:13.400 information.

00:41:14.680 All right,

00:41:15.080 what about

00:41:15.620 maybe, I've

00:41:23.900 already talked

00:41:24.340 about this

00:41:24.740 one.

00:41:24.980 Let's talk

00:41:25.480 about Bernie

00:41:26.040 and Biden.

00:41:27.160 You know,

00:41:27.380 again, you

00:41:28.140 just watched

00:41:28.820 it happen in

00:41:29.380 real time.

00:41:30.600 I'm so

00:41:31.120 uninterested in

00:41:32.920 Biden and

00:41:34.340 Bernie Sanders

00:41:35.340 that I just

00:41:37.220 forgot to talk

00:41:37.960 about it.

00:41:38.300 It was like

00:41:38.600 the big news

00:41:39.780 that wasn't

00:41:40.340 the virus last

00:41:41.140 night, the

00:41:41.720 biggest news.

00:41:43.160 And I

00:41:43.660 literally just

00:41:44.340 forgot to talk

00:41:45.100 about it

00:41:45.420 here, but

00:41:46.060 I'll go

00:41:46.360 back to

00:41:46.680 it.

00:41:47.580 What I

00:41:48.140 saw, you

00:41:51.960 know, I

00:41:52.260 refer to it

00:41:52.820 as a pillow

00:41:53.440 fight in a

00:41:53.960 nursing home.

00:41:55.500 And the

00:41:55.780 reason I

00:41:56.080 called it

00:41:56.380 that is

00:41:56.740 that there

00:41:57.000 was a lot

00:41:57.380 of activity.

00:41:59.940 You know,

00:42:00.160 they were

00:42:00.480 loudly,

00:42:02.820 passionately

00:42:03.420 talking about

00:42:04.540 his stuff,

00:42:05.500 but it felt

00:42:06.860 like two

00:42:07.240 old men 0.95

00:42:07.740 just going

00:42:08.180 ah,

00:42:09.520 ah,

00:42:10.480 and they

00:42:12.360 were punching

00:42:12.880 as hard as

00:42:13.520 they could,

00:42:14.560 but it

00:42:15.080 was sort

00:42:15.340 of like

00:42:15.560 a pillow

00:42:15.900 fight

00:42:16.240 punch.

00:42:17.620 It felt

00:42:18.320 to me

00:42:18.780 that there

00:42:19.900 were no

00:42:20.580 real blows

00:42:22.420 landed.

00:42:23.700 Now, if

00:42:24.380 you were a

00:42:24.900 partisan, you

00:42:25.660 would look

00:42:25.940 at it and

00:42:26.160 say, oh,

00:42:26.780 yeah, there

00:42:27.500 was that

00:42:27.800 time that

00:42:28.280 Bernie

00:42:29.220 cornered him

00:42:30.140 on that

00:42:30.540 lie.

00:42:32.660 Eh, nobody

00:42:33.920 cares.

00:42:35.160 Or that

00:42:35.420 was the

00:42:35.840 time Biden

00:42:36.620 did that

00:42:37.660 good thing

00:42:38.160 and he

00:42:38.400 really showed

00:42:39.620 his

00:42:39.840 presidential.

00:42:41.400 Yeah, maybe.

00:42:42.900 Nobody cares.

00:42:44.140 Here's my

00:42:44.900 summary of

00:42:46.220 it.

00:42:48.820 My summary

00:42:49.680 is that

00:42:50.400 because Biden

00:42:51.880 didn't lose,

00:42:52.820 he won.

00:42:54.280 Biden

00:42:54.680 looked better

00:42:55.260 than I've

00:42:55.660 seen him.

00:42:56.620 I have to

00:42:57.060 admit, Biden

00:42:57.680 looked healthier

00:42:58.520 than I've

00:42:58.960 seen him.

00:42:59.940 Wasn't there,

00:43:01.020 I missed the

00:43:01.860 first part, but

00:43:02.520 somebody said he

00:43:03.080 coughed.

00:43:04.540 Did that

00:43:04.900 happen?

00:43:05.620 Because he

00:43:06.080 didn't cough

00:43:06.660 for the rest

00:43:07.440 of the event,

00:43:09.560 but I was

00:43:11.540 waiting to see

00:43:12.080 if there was

00:43:12.440 a video of

00:43:13.140 it.

00:43:13.760 I saw that

00:43:14.320 hashtag

00:43:15.280 Biden cough

00:43:17.020 was trending

00:43:18.320 and then I

00:43:18.900 looked for it,

00:43:19.420 but I haven't

00:43:19.740 seen the video

00:43:20.380 yet.

00:43:20.880 So can

00:43:21.300 anybody tell

00:43:21.780 me in the

00:43:22.100 comments,

00:43:23.060 did that

00:43:23.400 cough look

00:43:24.260 like it

00:43:24.600 was a

00:43:25.080 problem

00:43:25.760 cough?

00:43:26.920 Or did

00:43:27.480 it look

00:43:27.740 like, you

00:43:28.540 know, just

00:43:28.840 a dry

00:43:30.020 throat, I've

00:43:30.560 been talking

00:43:30.960 all day kind

00:43:31.580 of cough,

00:43:32.300 which we

00:43:32.780 all have.

00:43:35.000 So I

00:43:35.500 don't know.

00:43:35.940 So I

00:43:36.260 would say

00:43:36.520 Biden won

00:43:37.240 because Bernie

00:43:37.980 probably wasn't

00:43:38.820 trying to

00:43:39.280 win, it

00:43:39.840 looked that

00:43:40.200 way.

00:43:41.000 Bernie was

00:43:41.420 pretty clear

00:43:41.920 that if he

00:43:42.440 didn't get

00:43:42.880 it, he

00:43:43.200 would help

00:43:44.340 Joe Biden

00:43:45.000 and that's

00:43:45.960 a lot easier

00:43:46.480 because Joe

00:43:46.980 Biden apparently

00:43:47.580 is stealing

00:43:48.520 Bernie's

00:43:49.140 platform,

00:43:50.040 which was

00:43:51.840 a good

00:43:52.100 play.

00:43:53.460 Apparently

00:43:54.020 Biden wants

00:43:55.440 to do some

00:43:55.880 kind of free

00:43:57.140 college for

00:43:57.800 some kinds

00:43:58.320 of people

00:43:59.120 situation and

00:44:01.120 he's basically

00:44:01.900 just stealing

00:44:02.780 one of

00:44:03.560 Bernie's

00:44:03.960 biggest things.

00:44:06.800 Now,

00:44:07.980 here's an

00:44:08.940 interesting

00:44:09.260 thought.

00:44:10.260 I just

00:44:10.440 want to put

00:44:12.100 this in

00:44:12.540 your, oh,

00:44:14.680 it was a

00:44:15.160 cleared throat

00:44:15.960 cough, or

00:44:18.880 he coughed

00:44:19.320 off camera.

00:44:20.420 I heard

00:44:21.200 some throat

00:44:22.160 clearing

00:44:22.540 coughing off

00:44:23.200 camera, but

00:44:23.680 I thought it

00:44:24.000 was Bernie

00:44:24.380 because I

00:44:25.720 think it

00:44:26.000 happened when

00:44:26.460 Biden was

00:44:26.920 talking.

00:44:28.220 So that's

00:44:28.780 just an open

00:44:29.200 question.

00:44:29.660 I don't

00:44:29.840 think there's

00:44:30.160 any reason

00:44:30.560 to think

00:44:31.980 there's a

00:44:32.440 specific risk

00:44:33.280 because of

00:44:33.720 that, but

00:44:34.180 we should

00:44:34.640 watch that.

00:44:35.120 So, does

00:44:39.560 it seem

00:44:39.940 interesting to

00:44:41.100 you that

00:44:42.000 Elizabeth

00:44:42.380 Warren is

00:44:43.960 out of the

00:44:44.280 race, she 1.00

00:44:44.760 has not

00:44:45.240 endorsed

00:44:45.560 anybody, and

00:44:47.340 Biden just

00:44:48.000 picked up

00:44:48.620 one of her

00:44:50.360 major signature

00:44:51.220 pieces, which

00:44:52.900 is the

00:44:53.440 student debt

00:44:54.340 forgiveness.

00:44:55.860 Is there any

00:44:56.760 possibility that

00:44:57.640 Elizabeth Warren

00:44:58.360 will be the

00:44:58.920 vice presidential

00:44:59.600 pick for

00:45:00.440 Biden?

00:45:00.800 because it

00:45:04.200 feels like

00:45:04.940 he's at

00:45:05.760 least

00:45:05.920 considering

00:45:06.480 it.

00:45:08.180 Because if

00:45:08.980 you were

00:45:09.260 going to

00:45:09.900 negotiate with

00:45:11.100 Elizabeth Warren

00:45:11.940 to be your

00:45:12.740 vice president,

00:45:13.880 could you

00:45:14.460 bring her on 1.00

00:45:15.000 the ticket if

00:45:16.020 you had done

00:45:16.580 nothing that

00:45:17.220 she wanted?

00:45:18.740 Probably not.

00:45:20.340 It could be

00:45:21.000 that Biden is

00:45:21.820 prepping the

00:45:23.000 nation for

00:45:23.660 bringing Warren

00:45:24.440 on as a

00:45:24.940 vice president.

00:45:26.260 That's possible.

00:45:27.720 Now, I

00:45:28.680 think it's a

00:45:29.120 losing ticket if

00:45:30.500 you ask me.

00:45:31.400 I think that

00:45:31.900 that would

00:45:32.220 cost him too

00:45:33.340 much of the

00:45:33.800 black vote.

00:45:34.660 I think she's

00:45:36.320 unlikable in a

00:45:37.740 number of ways.

00:45:38.380 She's too old to 0.99

00:45:39.100 be a vice

00:45:39.480 president, in my

00:45:40.260 opinion.

00:45:41.080 I don't think we

00:45:41.760 should be picking

00:45:42.580 vice presidents

00:45:43.360 that are going to

00:45:43.940 be in their

00:45:44.260 70s.

00:45:45.060 That makes no

00:45:45.720 sense at all.

00:45:47.160 And especially

00:45:49.000 in the middle of

00:45:51.740 a situation where

00:45:53.320 a virus is

00:45:54.020 killing older

00:45:54.680 people, can

00:45:55.900 you really have

00:45:56.380 a vice president

00:45:57.100 who's going to

00:45:57.620 be in their

00:45:57.960 70s?

00:45:59.420 Really?

00:46:00.500 Is that how

00:46:01.360 you protect

00:46:01.920 the country?

00:46:02.800 By having a 0.89

00:46:03.500 vice president

00:46:04.080 who's 70

00:46:05.340 years old.

00:46:05.940 I think she's

00:46:06.360 69 now.

00:46:07.980 And so I

00:46:09.580 don't see it.

00:46:11.380 You know, I

00:46:12.080 don't see it as a

00:46:12.740 good strategy.

00:46:13.820 But the fact that

00:46:14.840 Biden took

00:46:15.580 Warren's, you

00:46:17.040 know, one of

00:46:17.460 Warren's signature

00:46:18.360 things, it could

00:46:20.100 be he was just

00:46:20.840 trying to

00:46:21.240 kneecap the

00:46:21.860 Bernie supporters.

00:46:22.980 I'm sorry,

00:46:23.400 kneecap Bernie,

00:46:24.880 but give something

00:46:25.780 to Bernie supporters,

00:46:26.940 which would also

00:46:27.720 explain it.

00:46:31.180 But Elizabeth

00:46:32.040 Warren is

00:46:32.780 suspiciously

00:46:33.680 silent lately.

00:46:35.580 So, can't

00:46:36.800 rule it out.

00:46:37.840 I'm still going

00:46:38.340 to say Kamala

00:46:39.760 Harris.

00:46:40.580 Kamala Harris

00:46:41.180 has always been

00:46:41.980 my first

00:46:42.560 prediction.

00:46:44.940 And I'll

00:46:45.460 stay with it.

00:46:47.920 All right.

00:46:49.560 Anything else

00:46:50.260 happen?

00:46:50.480 For those of

00:46:53.260 you who stayed

00:46:53.780 to the end,

00:46:55.840 I'm going to

00:46:56.440 tell you a

00:46:57.740 story I've

00:46:58.160 never told

00:46:58.580 before.

00:47:00.120 And the

00:47:00.700 reason I've

00:47:01.080 never told

00:47:01.580 it is because

00:47:03.100 it couldn't

00:47:04.400 be told.

00:47:05.660 There's a

00:47:06.280 category of

00:47:06.980 stories that

00:47:08.700 can never be

00:47:09.400 told until

00:47:11.180 the situation

00:47:12.360 is just

00:47:13.140 right.

00:47:14.660 And this

00:47:16.420 is it.

00:47:17.540 And I

00:47:18.100 wouldn't tell

00:47:18.480 this story

00:47:19.060 unless I

00:47:20.160 thought it

00:47:20.520 would help

00:47:20.960 some people.

00:47:22.980 So, I'm

00:47:23.680 going to tell

00:47:24.000 this story

00:47:24.500 with the

00:47:25.220 advanced

00:47:26.400 knowledge

00:47:26.900 that maybe

00:47:29.420 80% of

00:47:30.300 you are

00:47:30.720 going to

00:47:30.920 say,

00:47:31.420 Scott, are

00:47:32.480 you losing

00:47:32.860 it a little

00:47:33.220 bit?

00:47:34.880 I'm not

00:47:35.480 buying any

00:47:35.980 of that.

00:47:36.860 I'm not

00:47:37.320 even sure

00:47:37.680 that's true.

00:47:38.980 Scott, did

00:47:39.760 you just

00:47:40.080 make up

00:47:40.600 that story?

00:47:41.920 So, 80%

00:47:42.660 of you are

00:47:43.160 not going

00:47:43.540 to have

00:47:43.860 the experience

00:47:45.600 that I'm

00:47:46.060 trying to

00:47:46.560 give the

00:47:46.940 20%.

00:47:47.700 Know that

00:47:48.600 in advance.

00:47:49.420 But it

00:47:49.700 won't

00:47:49.820 hurt you. 0.82

00:47:50.660 You're not

00:47:51.340 going to

00:47:51.500 be worse

00:47:51.900 off for

00:47:52.320 it.

00:47:52.920 And you

00:47:53.260 will be

00:47:53.540 interested.

00:47:55.780 20% of

00:47:56.700 you don't

00:47:57.820 operate on

00:47:58.820 a strictly

00:47:59.480 rational,

00:48:01.460 logical

00:48:01.820 basis.

00:48:03.120 That's who

00:48:03.540 I'm going

00:48:03.800 to talk

00:48:04.160 to.

00:48:04.840 20% of

00:48:05.760 you live

00:48:06.440 in more

00:48:06.860 of a,

00:48:07.820 let's say,

00:48:08.460 if it were

00:48:08.940 your own

00:48:09.340 words,

00:48:10.320 you'd probably

00:48:10.740 say it was

00:48:11.200 a spiritual

00:48:12.020 world,

00:48:13.360 where all

00:48:14.240 things are

00:48:14.640 possible.

00:48:15.200 Maybe there's

00:48:15.620 a new age

00:48:16.260 part of you.

00:48:17.320 I'm going

00:48:17.580 to speak

00:48:17.880 to you.

00:48:19.380 The people

00:48:20.140 who still

00:48:21.040 allow some

00:48:21.760 mystery about

00:48:23.040 how things

00:48:23.580 work.

00:48:24.740 Those of

00:48:25.240 you who

00:48:25.520 think we

00:48:25.840 live in a

00:48:26.220 mechanical

00:48:26.700 cause and

00:48:28.280 effect world

00:48:28.880 and you've

00:48:29.560 got a good

00:48:30.040 grasp of

00:48:31.000 all of that,

00:48:32.140 this won't

00:48:32.920 be good

00:48:34.260 for you.

00:48:36.520 This is

00:48:37.140 for the

00:48:37.380 other 20%.

00:48:38.240 It goes

00:48:39.340 like this.

00:48:40.320 The only

00:48:40.860 thing I'll

00:48:41.260 promise you,

00:48:42.760 and I'm

00:48:43.380 going to look

00:48:43.660 right in

00:48:43.940 the camera

00:48:44.260 and promise

00:48:44.700 you this.

00:48:45.520 I'm not

00:48:46.180 making up

00:48:46.900 any of

00:48:47.860 this.

00:48:48.700 I could

00:48:49.280 be wrong.

00:48:50.520 I mean,

00:48:50.880 I could

00:48:51.160 have some

00:48:51.680 facts wrong,

00:48:52.420 I could

00:48:52.640 have some

00:48:52.960 false

00:48:53.220 memory,

00:48:53.960 but I

00:48:54.820 promise you

00:48:55.640 none of

00:48:56.780 this is

00:48:57.060 made up,

00:48:57.740 at least

00:48:58.180 consciously

00:48:59.040 made up.

00:49:01.700 For most

00:49:02.460 of my

00:49:02.820 life,

00:49:03.560 I've seen

00:49:05.120 my future

00:49:05.840 in advance.

00:49:09.360 Right?

00:49:10.060 80% of you

00:49:10.940 just said,

00:49:11.380 oh god,

00:49:12.260 I don't

00:49:12.460 like where

00:49:12.740 this is

00:49:13.040 going.

00:49:15.700 I don't

00:49:16.340 know why.

00:49:17.460 I don't

00:49:17.840 have a

00:49:18.180 theory on

00:49:18.720 it.

00:49:19.780 It's just

00:49:20.480 an experience.

00:49:21.740 I'll give

00:49:22.080 you an 0.64

00:49:22.240 example.

00:49:23.620 In my

00:49:24.260 early,

00:49:25.820 early youth,

00:49:26.840 I saw

00:49:27.720 myself as

00:49:29.200 a famous

00:49:29.800 cartoonist.

00:49:31.500 Now,

00:49:32.280 I became

00:49:32.780 one.

00:49:33.820 What are

00:49:34.160 the odds

00:49:34.660 of becoming

00:49:36.360 a famous

00:49:37.040 cartoonist?

00:49:37.940 Well,

00:49:38.120 the odds

00:49:38.340 of being

00:49:38.580 a successful

00:49:39.300 cartoonist

00:49:40.100 are pretty

00:49:40.800 low.

00:49:42.120 The odds

00:49:42.640 of being

00:49:42.860 a famous

00:49:43.340 one are

00:49:44.540 really low.

00:49:46.180 How many

00:49:46.580 famous

00:49:46.940 cartoonists

00:49:47.500 can you

00:49:47.800 name?

00:49:48.480 Maybe 20.

00:49:50.280 And the

00:49:51.400 other 19

00:49:52.360 of them

00:49:52.720 probably

00:49:53.060 started way

00:49:54.000 before I

00:49:54.500 did.

00:49:55.420 They're

00:49:55.940 already

00:49:56.240 famous

00:49:57.220 people from

00:49:57.780 the past

00:49:58.280 in many

00:49:58.640 cases.

00:50:00.020 So to

00:50:00.240 become a

00:50:00.700 famous

00:50:01.160 current

00:50:01.900 cartoonist,

00:50:02.840 what are

00:50:03.240 the odds?

00:50:04.340 Now,

00:50:04.900 if this

00:50:05.700 were the

00:50:06.000 only part

00:50:06.420 of my

00:50:06.660 story,

00:50:08.040 I would

00:50:08.400 say,

00:50:08.820 okay,

00:50:09.140 Scott,

00:50:09.440 Scott,

00:50:09.660 that's

00:50:09.860 easy to

00:50:10.300 explain.

00:50:11.380 It's the

00:50:11.720 thing you

00:50:12.060 wanted,

00:50:12.800 you had

00:50:13.180 the

00:50:13.320 capability,

00:50:13.920 you worked

00:50:14.220 for it,

00:50:14.480 you got

00:50:14.740 it.

00:50:15.860 And if

00:50:16.660 you had

00:50:16.960 not

00:50:17.240 succeeded,

00:50:17.860 we wouldn't

00:50:18.200 be listening

00:50:18.600 to you.

00:50:19.660 So there's

00:50:20.400 also a

00:50:21.040 survivor bias

00:50:22.040 thing built

00:50:22.840 into there.

00:50:23.580 But it's

00:50:24.080 not the

00:50:24.380 only part

00:50:24.720 of my

00:50:24.960 story.

00:50:25.280 I also

00:50:27.540 had a

00:50:29.020 vision of

00:50:31.020 a house

00:50:31.400 I would

00:50:31.680 live in

00:50:32.100 years in

00:50:32.700 the future.

00:50:34.220 And then

00:50:34.880 I did.

00:50:35.660 I lived

00:50:36.140 in the

00:50:36.400 house that

00:50:37.200 was,

00:50:38.360 for all

00:50:38.600 practical

00:50:39.000 purposes,

00:50:39.700 the exact

00:50:40.140 house I

00:50:40.600 imagined

00:50:41.100 for years.

00:50:44.120 And like

00:50:45.460 most of

00:50:46.420 my dreams,

00:50:47.160 I don't

00:50:47.380 remember,

00:50:47.880 I can't

00:50:48.460 tell you I

00:50:49.140 remember much

00:50:49.780 in terms of

00:50:50.380 any dream

00:50:50.900 I've ever

00:50:51.300 had.

00:50:52.020 I don't

00:50:52.380 think I

00:50:52.680 have.

00:50:52.920 But these

00:50:53.780 visions,

00:50:54.540 I call

00:50:54.840 them,

00:50:55.240 were not

00:50:55.700 dreams.

00:50:56.960 They were

00:50:57.380 a solid,

00:50:58.540 almost like

00:50:59.200 a memory

00:50:59.720 of the

00:51:00.160 future.

00:51:01.140 That's how

00:51:01.540 I experienced

00:51:02.340 them.

00:51:03.280 And of

00:51:04.020 course I

00:51:04.340 always thought

00:51:04.760 to myself,

00:51:05.320 that doesn't

00:51:05.680 mean they're

00:51:06.020 real.

00:51:06.780 I have this

00:51:07.380 thing that

00:51:08.500 feels like

00:51:08.960 a memory,

00:51:09.960 but of

00:51:10.540 the future.

00:51:11.840 That doesn't

00:51:12.500 mean it's

00:51:12.760 real.

00:51:14.000 And I

00:51:14.200 wouldn't

00:51:14.400 expect 80%

00:51:15.260 of you to

00:51:15.780 even,

00:51:16.640 most of you

00:51:17.220 are probably

00:51:17.480 checking out

00:51:18.020 before I get

00:51:18.540 to the good

00:51:18.920 part.

00:51:19.920 There's a

00:51:20.440 good part

00:51:20.760 coming.

00:51:21.040 In

00:51:23.080 college,

00:51:23.720 in my

00:51:23.980 freshman

00:51:24.300 year,

00:51:25.340 was it

00:51:25.700 freshman?

00:51:26.180 I don't

00:51:26.400 know what

00:51:26.620 year it

00:51:27.060 was,

00:51:27.360 but in

00:51:27.760 college,

00:51:28.620 one day I

00:51:29.500 was sound

00:51:30.080 asleep,

00:51:31.520 and I

00:51:32.000 woke up

00:51:32.800 in bed,

00:51:34.060 sat up in

00:51:35.060 bed wide

00:51:35.580 awake,

00:51:36.700 and I saw

00:51:37.400 myself living

00:51:38.140 in San

00:51:38.540 Francisco.

00:51:39.880 Now I

00:51:40.440 had no

00:51:40.800 connection to

00:51:41.420 San

00:51:41.620 Francisco.

00:51:42.240 I was in

00:51:42.820 college in

00:51:43.740 the East

00:51:43.960 Coast.

00:51:45.080 I'd never

00:51:45.640 traveled here,

00:51:46.400 never been to

00:51:46.900 California,

00:51:47.620 and didn't even

00:51:48.220 know any

00:51:48.640 people.

00:51:48.940 I didn't

00:51:49.940 know a

00:51:50.220 person who

00:51:50.620 lived in

00:51:50.960 San

00:51:51.120 Francisco.

00:51:51.880 And I

00:51:52.440 saw,

00:51:53.140 again,

00:51:54.380 like it

00:51:54.820 was a

00:51:55.140 future

00:51:55.420 memory,

00:51:56.960 a vivid

00:51:57.580 picture of

00:51:58.340 me in

00:51:58.620 San

00:51:58.800 Francisco.

00:52:01.220 A few

00:52:01.880 years later,

00:52:03.440 I landed

00:52:04.700 in San

00:52:05.140 Francisco,

00:52:06.360 having sold

00:52:06.960 my car for

00:52:07.700 a one-way

00:52:08.180 ticket to

00:52:09.820 San

00:52:10.020 Francisco,

00:52:11.880 and actually

00:52:12.860 to California,

00:52:13.680 and then I

00:52:13.980 drove up to

00:52:14.680 San

00:52:14.840 Francisco.

00:52:16.020 And I

00:52:18.220 lived there

00:52:18.620 for years

00:52:19.040 and built

00:52:19.760 my life

00:52:20.140 here.

00:52:22.280 I had

00:52:22.880 another

00:52:23.120 vision at

00:52:24.660 around the

00:52:25.060 same time.

00:52:26.200 Again,

00:52:26.780 it was a

00:52:27.380 future memory,

00:52:28.600 meaning not

00:52:29.340 like a dream,

00:52:30.540 because I

00:52:30.840 don't really

00:52:31.220 remember my

00:52:31.800 dreams and I

00:52:32.320 don't put any

00:52:32.780 importance in

00:52:33.420 them.

00:52:34.320 But the

00:52:34.640 other vision

00:52:35.060 was me

00:52:35.440 standing in

00:52:36.060 front of a

00:52:37.300 large audience,

00:52:39.420 a physical

00:52:40.020 audience,

00:52:41.560 and talking

00:52:44.660 to them,

00:52:45.520 and somehow

00:52:46.080 I was a

00:52:46.880 celebrity.

00:52:48.160 Now this

00:52:48.780 was weird,

00:52:49.460 because at

00:52:50.180 the time I

00:52:50.740 was having

00:52:51.160 that vision

00:52:53.120 slash

00:52:53.800 hallucination,

00:52:55.180 whatever you

00:52:55.560 want to call

00:52:55.920 it.

00:52:56.440 It was my

00:52:56.920 experience.

00:52:57.900 I'm not

00:52:58.300 saying it's

00:52:58.680 true,

00:52:59.220 false,

00:52:59.540 I'm not

00:52:59.780 putting any

00:53:00.160 meaning on

00:53:00.600 it.

00:53:01.060 I'm just

00:53:01.440 describing it.

00:53:02.900 I saw

00:53:03.500 myself standing

00:53:04.160 in front of

00:53:04.520 large crowds,

00:53:05.860 and they were

00:53:06.740 listening just

00:53:07.760 to me.

00:53:08.720 And I

00:53:09.260 didn't know

00:53:09.560 what I was

00:53:10.040 saying,

00:53:10.520 or why I

00:53:11.120 was there.

00:53:13.160 Years later,

00:53:13.960 when the

00:53:14.900 Dilbert thing

00:53:15.360 happened,

00:53:15.760 I embarked

00:53:16.880 on a

00:53:17.200 speaking career.

00:53:18.680 And I

00:53:18.880 would find

00:53:19.240 myself quite

00:53:20.380 frequently

00:53:20.880 standing on

00:53:22.160 stage alone,

00:53:23.680 doing essentially

00:53:24.360 stand-up comedy,

00:53:26.080 to a group

00:53:28.040 of a thousand

00:53:28.640 or five

00:53:29.180 thousand.

00:53:29.740 I think

00:53:30.000 five thousand

00:53:30.500 was the

00:53:30.860 biggest.

00:53:31.900 Now,

00:53:32.480 there was

00:53:32.860 nothing,

00:53:33.760 absolutely

00:53:34.380 nothing,

00:53:35.100 in my

00:53:35.760 early life

00:53:36.680 that would

00:53:37.780 suggest that

00:53:38.960 my personality,

00:53:40.040 my ambitions,

00:53:41.460 anything,

00:53:41.880 would put

00:53:43.180 me on

00:53:43.520 stage as

00:53:45.380 a celebrity

00:53:46.080 in front of

00:53:47.440 a giant

00:53:47.780 crowd of

00:53:48.200 people.

00:53:49.080 And it

00:53:49.680 happened.

00:53:50.980 It happened.

00:53:54.720 I have

00:53:55.700 one other

00:53:58.200 premonition

00:53:59.820 that I've

00:54:01.140 had since I

00:54:01.840 was very

00:54:02.540 young.

00:54:03.360 It's my

00:54:04.100 strongest

00:54:04.660 one.

00:54:06.400 Now,

00:54:06.920 these other

00:54:07.300 ones were

00:54:08.140 all good

00:54:08.600 news.

00:54:09.960 Good news

00:54:10.600 that I

00:54:10.800 would

00:54:10.900 become

00:54:11.140 a

00:54:11.340 famous

00:54:11.620 cartoonist.

00:54:12.260 That's

00:54:12.380 great news.

00:54:13.240 Good news

00:54:13.840 that I

00:54:14.100 would be

00:54:14.500 able to

00:54:14.760 live in

00:54:15.080 this cool

00:54:16.000 house that

00:54:16.620 I imagined

00:54:17.120 and that

00:54:17.480 I did.

00:54:18.180 Not the

00:54:18.680 house I'm

00:54:18.980 in.

00:54:19.160 I built

00:54:19.400 this one.

00:54:20.560 And it

00:54:22.280 was cool

00:54:22.680 news that

00:54:23.400 I would

00:54:23.660 stand in

00:54:24.100 front of

00:54:24.380 big groups

00:54:24.960 and entertain

00:54:26.380 them or

00:54:26.960 something.

00:54:27.920 And it

00:54:28.320 was good

00:54:28.640 news that

00:54:29.060 I'd move

00:54:29.340 to San

00:54:29.680 Francisco

00:54:30.060 because it's

00:54:31.140 a nice

00:54:31.360 place,

00:54:32.000 or it

00:54:32.180 used to

00:54:32.420 be.

00:54:33.940 But there

00:54:34.500 was one

00:54:35.020 premonition,

00:54:36.240 really,

00:54:37.080 really strong,

00:54:37.980 and it

00:54:38.360 has weighed

00:54:39.220 on me like

00:54:40.980 one of the

00:54:41.360 worst parts

00:54:41.900 of my

00:54:42.160 life.

00:54:43.700 It was

00:54:44.580 my hardest

00:54:45.420 premonition,

00:54:46.780 my worst

00:54:47.440 one, and

00:54:49.440 it has

00:54:51.040 weighed on

00:54:51.460 me for

00:54:52.100 decades.

00:54:53.700 And it

00:54:54.180 went like

00:54:54.600 this.

00:54:56.120 In my

00:54:57.000 early 60s,

00:54:58.980 which is

00:54:59.760 now,

00:55:01.520 there would

00:55:02.780 be a

00:55:03.260 national

00:55:03.640 disaster that

00:55:05.820 people didn't

00:55:06.380 see coming.

00:55:06.860 in the

00:55:09.960 vision,

00:55:11.000 I never

00:55:11.980 knew the

00:55:12.380 nature of

00:55:12.840 it.

00:55:14.880 And in

00:55:15.480 that world,

00:55:16.800 I would

00:55:17.900 become

00:55:18.260 important in

00:55:20.060 a different

00:55:20.440 way,

00:55:21.280 different than

00:55:21.920 cartooning,

00:55:23.120 different than

00:55:23.560 that.

00:55:24.460 And that I

00:55:26.620 would know

00:55:27.000 my role when

00:55:28.460 it happened.

00:55:30.300 And I

00:55:30.940 think it's

00:55:31.320 this.

00:55:32.780 Because as

00:55:33.800 much as this

00:55:34.440 is a health

00:55:34.960 problem,

00:55:35.360 it's a

00:55:35.840 psychological

00:55:36.380 problem.

00:55:37.600 And somehow,

00:55:39.440 by complete

00:55:40.160 accident,

00:55:41.220 meaning I

00:55:42.020 didn't plan

00:55:42.500 it, I

00:55:44.580 have studied

00:55:45.080 my whole

00:55:45.560 life for

00:55:47.700 this, this

00:55:49.320 moment.

00:55:50.520 All of my

00:55:51.360 skills, all

00:55:52.380 of my talent,

00:55:53.720 all of my

00:55:54.920 celebrity,

00:55:56.280 you know,

00:55:56.940 let's say,

00:55:57.940 capital,

00:55:59.600 is sort of

00:56:00.920 coming together

00:56:01.500 at this

00:56:01.860 moment.

00:56:02.220 exactly,

00:56:04.900 exactly as

00:56:08.260 I have

00:56:08.600 expected for

00:56:10.200 decades.

00:56:11.320 It's my

00:56:12.240 clearest,

00:56:13.520 cleanest,

00:56:14.980 scariest

00:56:15.680 vision of

00:56:17.680 the future.

00:56:19.260 And it's

00:56:19.800 this.

00:56:21.360 But here's

00:56:21.920 the good

00:56:22.240 news.

00:56:23.560 It works

00:56:24.420 out.

00:56:25.580 Because in

00:56:26.380 this vision,

00:56:27.340 we get

00:56:28.480 through it.

00:56:28.980 and we

00:56:30.140 get through

00:56:30.560 it by

00:56:31.420 sticking

00:56:31.740 together.

00:56:32.820 And we

00:56:33.300 get through

00:56:33.720 it because

00:56:35.420 we can.

00:56:36.580 Because we're

00:56:37.220 Americans,

00:56:37.980 because we're

00:56:38.480 humans.

00:56:40.640 99% of the

00:56:43.020 species on

00:56:43.640 Earth have

00:56:45.240 gone extinct.

00:56:47.000 Not us.

00:56:48.940 Not us.

00:56:49.800 99% of the

00:56:52.520 species of

00:56:53.540 the planet

00:56:54.020 Earth have

00:56:55.160 already gone

00:56:56.080 extinct.

00:56:58.060 Not us.

00:56:59.920 That fucking

00:57:00.820 virus doesn't

00:57:01.640 know what's

00:57:01.980 coming for it.

00:57:03.320 Human ingenuity

00:57:04.300 is starting to

00:57:06.120 kick in.

00:57:07.420 Hold on.

00:57:09.100 Two weeks.

00:57:10.840 Two weeks.

00:57:12.460 In two weeks,

00:57:13.480 you're going to

00:57:13.860 see news

00:57:14.600 coming from

00:57:15.920 your fellow

00:57:16.460 citizens,

00:57:17.540 the best

00:57:18.040 among us,

00:57:18.560 that is

00:57:19.580 better than

00:57:20.080 anything you've

00:57:20.700 ever seen

00:57:21.140 in your

00:57:21.380 life.

00:57:22.080 It's going

00:57:22.700 to be

00:57:22.920 breathtaking.

00:57:24.040 It's going

00:57:24.420 to be

00:57:24.580 hard.

00:57:25.660 This next

00:57:26.160 year is

00:57:26.580 going to

00:57:26.760 be hard.

00:57:27.460 It's going

00:57:27.720 to be

00:57:27.860 very hard.

00:57:28.960 But for

00:57:30.160 the 20% 0.96

00:57:30.820 of you

00:57:31.220 who live

00:57:33.300 in a

00:57:33.520 world where

00:57:34.120 cause and

00:57:34.860 effect isn't

00:57:35.740 everything,

00:57:37.260 maybe we're

00:57:37.640 not a

00:57:39.460 mechanical

00:57:39.860 world.

00:57:41.000 Maybe there's

00:57:41.440 something

00:57:41.720 mysterious,

00:57:42.520 something

00:57:42.760 spiritual,

00:57:43.580 something

00:57:43.840 extra.

00:57:44.520 Maybe we're

00:57:44.920 a simulation.

00:57:46.460 Maybe God

00:57:47.040 has a plan.

00:57:48.560 Any of

00:57:49.040 those things.

00:57:50.260 But if

00:57:50.700 it helps

00:57:51.080 you,

00:57:51.680 if it

00:57:52.240 helps you

00:57:52.580 even a

00:57:52.980 little bit,

00:57:54.940 these visions

00:57:56.060 of mine

00:57:56.580 have not

00:57:57.180 been wrong

00:57:57.760 yet.

00:57:59.460 I'm not

00:58:00.100 making this

00:58:00.580 up.

00:58:01.920 We are

00:58:02.620 where we

00:58:03.160 were going

00:58:03.600 to be

00:58:04.160 if these

00:58:05.560 visions

00:58:05.880 mean anything.

00:58:07.340 But we're

00:58:08.620 in a good

00:58:08.920 place that

00:58:10.120 looks like a

00:58:10.640 bad place.

00:58:11.580 We're going

00:58:12.000 to beat

00:58:12.220 this,

00:58:12.880 and we're

00:58:13.140 going to

00:58:13.320 beat it

00:58:13.600 hard,

00:58:14.020 and we're

00:58:14.400 going to

00:58:14.520 be fine.

00:58:14.980 And I

00:58:16.300 hope I

00:58:17.080 can be

00:58:17.420 part of

00:58:17.860 that.

00:58:18.700 And I

00:58:18.880 will talk

00:58:19.240 to you

00:58:19.520 maybe

00:58:19.780 probably

00:58:20.720 this

00:58:20.940 afternoon,

00:58:21.700 give you

00:58:21.960 a little

00:58:22.220 extra free

00:58:23.720 entertainment,

00:58:24.300 because our

00:58:24.560 sports are

00:58:25.120 gone.

00:58:25.920 And that's

00:58:26.240 all for

00:58:26.520 today.

00:58:26.780 great.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 16, 2020

Episode 853 Scott Adams： Simultaneous Sipping, #Coronavirus, The Nursing Home Pillow Fight

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