Episode 858 Scott Adams： Come Relax With Me. You Need it.
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Summary
Good news from the past two days and some of the good things that have been happening in the past 48 hours. There are some really good things happening and some things that are going to be good in a week.
Transcript
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hey everybody come on in let's talk so you've probably gotten a lot of time on your hands
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i don't know about you but i've picked my uh my skills my challenges you know i've told
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everybody that they should come out of this with an extra skill because you have all this
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opportunity to learn something you know online or some hobby you wanted to get together and
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somebody's yelling at me because tucker's on you've got a dvr working out um
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so i forgot what i was talking about i'm sure it was fascinating
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you know you could watch this on replay or you could watch him on replay it's a
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thing you know i'm having a harder time watching tucker because he's been right about everything
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which normally would be a good reason to watch something but he's right about how terrible
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things are and uh i find it a little overwhelming so i get i'm giving myself a a major diet from tv
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news at the moment and and pundits i still love the five you know still like you know some of the
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some of the shows i i think i'm gonna gonna get a smaller scare so i'll watch the ones i don't think
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are gonna scare me basically as long as i can get the the news in any way that i want but i thought i'd
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give you some good news now good news should not be mistaken for hey everything's going to be good
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in a week i think we got a couple of tough weeks out of us but there are some really good things
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sort of shaping up and bubbling up some of them i know about and i thought i would share them with you
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so though i was going to mention the two skills that i decided to uh to enhance so i'm going to
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still work on my studio setup i've got yet another path to go on that i think i've finally figured
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out something that would give me a stable stable way to have call in uh guests and then you can't
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stop me because that really is what you need in order to uh have a you know have something that a lot
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of people want to watch is you have to have guests every now and then and since i live stream
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i would like to live stream and have a guest and there's apparently no hardware and software in
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the world that does that reliably there are lots of them that do it and you know lots of people are
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using them but if you talk to them privately it's like okay privately does this work every time oh no
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that's a big problem you know some it's there's always some little thing that changes and you got
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to update the software anyway enough about me so i'm working on my biceps and my uh studio and by the
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end of this crisis i expect a really big arms and a kick-ass studio because i can i i have the time
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there's absolutely nothing would stop me from having those two things and if you haven't picked
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down something that you're going to be better at well maybe it's time all right so here's some good
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news um in the past two days just just think about human ingenuity so that's the context how good are
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people and how good are they in an emergency and how good are they when everybody's on the same team
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looking at the same problem at the same time my hypothesis has been that you ain't seen nothing
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that you know there's there's going to be a long delay while we're making weapons but man are you
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going to see some stuff that'll be mind-boggling and and it's starting now the mind-boggling part
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is starting now here in 48 hours this is what human beings did just with ingenuity we tripled the
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capacity of doctors today just today do you know how we did that mike pence announced
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that the um i think it's uh health and human services is going to announce a regulation i'm not
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sure what the the word is that let's say it's a regulation but it or an advisory it doesn't matter
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what it is but they're going to allow doctors to practice across state lines now if you want to feel
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confident about your government consider that you know that's an idea that i put up through the
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pipeline you know ordinary guy sitting in in pleasanton and next thing you know it's the law
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of the land and effectively it triples the capacity because there there would for every city that's
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impacted there are plenty of doctors who are not yet impacted who are happy to help retired doctors
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etc so in 48 hours we tripled the number of physicians who are available at least remotely
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you know we still need hands-on people um in last 40 hour 48 hours humans figured out how to
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quadruple the number of available ventilators without buying ventilators you know i told you about this
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they there's a there's a quick little hack you can do just using stuff that's already in the in a
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regular hospital so they don't have to you know go to go to orchard supply or home depot and buy
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anything it's just some medical stuff that they just repurpose turn a ventilator into a four-person
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ventilator now i think they they may end up staying with two but that would be a doubling
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so in 48 hours and this is not counting adding doctors not counting buying new ventilators or making
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them we quadruple the ventilator capacity potentially and tripled probably at least tripled this is just my
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own numbers off the top of my head but something like that tripled our medical advice capacity
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um our food supply coming back online we have the most robust mature you know experienced food supply
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line probably in the world i would think i don't know maybe somebody maybe somebody has a better one
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but i would guess we have the best one and sure enough snapping back it's snapping back
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um i would say if you could put a number on this i would bet that the average person has reduced their
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number of contacts you know and this is just for sizing this is not any kind of real data but from
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something like 25 people a day to maybe five and most of the five are the people in your family or your
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the people you're going to see anyway let me think about that putting numbers on this
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you know we reduced it from probably 25 to five you know that's just numbers i'm making up but it feels
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like that number of test kits we we've scaled up so that already anybody who a doctor says should get a
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test can get a test pretty good now we're way short of being able to
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uh massively test everybody who doesn't have symptoms so you really know what you're doing
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but there's all kinds of stuff happening you know companies are going into wartime footing
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the the smartest best most capable people are just spinning up factories you know i know i know more
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than you do i'll be telling you more as the days go on but there's some things that i've heard that
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are still still you know a little early in the incubation stage but there are some heroic
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stuff happening out there you know people are stepping up like crazy so here's my guess is that
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the number of test kits will you know got off to a slow start but when we start cranking these out
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you know america is still pretty capable and we're going to crank in a lot of tests
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and apparently there's some kind of breakthrough i don't know how hard it would be to develop it
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but just i'll mention it for a something you would test at home and get a result at home i guess
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um or maybe you mail it probably mail it i would guess but still you could do the test at home without
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having to go somewhere now i don't know if that'll catch on or it could be scaled up as quickly as it
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needs to be but you know don't count anything out at this point you can't count anything out that we
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might be able to scale this up like you've never seen same with all the other supplies from from
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masks to gloves to everything else i i can guarantee you that there's a lot of manufacturing muscle going
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that right now a lot um the number of potential um meds that could be used to treat this that now
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different countries are reporting are effective um
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they report it's effective and i think they're i was trying to keep track of how many there are
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and i think there are something like 10 of them now there's something like uh 10 different meds
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that various countries have tried and have written up reports that say you know without the benefit of
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a clinical trial they're saying basically everybody we gave this to got better and the people that
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didn't get it you know not even close so i've seen at least three of the 10 that the evidence you
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know just again anecdotally looks really promising and i don't know what it would take to make more of
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these pills but it can't be you know it's not like the manhattan project it's it's a pill machine
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operate it faster and more build another one we can make pills um
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then uh what about the record we set for getting a vaccine into a trial 65 days is that did i get that
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right um i may have that wrong but fact check me this but didn't we break records you you couldn't
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even imagine could be broken 65 days to get a vaccine into trial and there's a whole bunch of
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others that are right behind it that's amazing um
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now here's a uh an interesting thing that's happening uh and we'll and i'm going to tweet around
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as soon as i as soon as this is written up um i'll give you more information about it but
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there does seem to be some suggestion that blood serum from recovered people gives you some immunity
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and you know the other countries have experimented with that and they they thought it worked so here's
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the question you know uh could you could you scale that up and i'm going to have uh at least a
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a well thought out answer to that um pretty soon so people are stepping up and you'll know where
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it came from when it when it happens um the new york times did a despicable hit piece on dr drew
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i don't know if you saw that i don't recommend you go look for it but uh they're they're lumping him
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in him in with uh you know the so-called flu deniers now here's the problem as far as i know
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and you'd have to fact check me on this but i believe that dr drew has always been a hundred
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percent compatible with dr fauci who are you listening to i mean if if dr drew listens to
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the top expert in the country who's running the thing and his opinion you know he's changed his
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opinion but also so as fauci in terms of what we should do and when right am i wrong i'm pretty sure
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that fauci's opinion of what we should do and when has evolved as as the situation has evolved
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my impression is that drew matched him in lockstep as evidence came out as more facts came out i think
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he was perfectly compatible and am i wrong about that i feel like i've been watching them both
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and i've seen i've seen no i've seen no distance between their opinion and in fact dr drew stops and
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says almost every five minutes when he's talking about it you know that his north star is dr fauci's
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he's known him from long before he's the best and and he just conforms to his expert opinion as soon
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as it happens so i i really have a bad feeling about the new york times deciding to make political
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hay into this especially a medical professional who's completely compatible with the top expert
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in the field and that's kind of despicable i think i think they have some explaining to do
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when this is over now again we'll do our autopsy when it's all over you know a lot of people have
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some explaining but let's focus forward you know that happened can't take it back can't go back in the
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past it happened so let's let's focus forward um how are you guys feeling i have to say i'll give you a
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little uh roadmap of how my sort of attitude and worry has um migrated um i think i was most worried
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when i wasn't sure that the president was on his game and i think we all have that feeling right
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uh you know it felt like he got you know did a great job of stopping the airport travel can't take
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that away from him that that just will always be one of the greatest presidential decisions of all time
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probably in my opinion that will that will rank as one of the great presidential decisions no matter
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what else you like or don't like about what he does here um so you can't take that away from him
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but his communication was a little spotty and uh i want to correct myself and apologize to the
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president for a criticism that i didn't realize i didn't understand the full context and now i do
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and the criticism was that when the president tweeted in the middle of the emergency that it was a
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you know blah blah it's a chinese flu or chinese virus i winced along with much of the country
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because i thought okay i said you know he's doing his thing where he's being provocative and draws
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attention it's productive for him he uses it you know maybe it makes the base happy etc but despite all
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that it just seemed tone deaf to me it's like now now now you're gonna do that yeah i love it when
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you do it in normal times i mean nobody likes it more than i do you see you see me laugh until i cry
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at his tweets i mean you've seen it yourself but now now really this is the time to do that but here's
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where i was dead wrong because i think some of you had the same feeling maybe dead wrong completely
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wrong here's what the president did he saw the reports and by the way this is from the president
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i'm not reading his mind i'm telling you what he said directly today that you know he was asked at
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the press conference why did you call it the chinese flu because we're so dumb we can't do real
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investigative journalism but maybe if we can trap you into saying something provocative we'll take it
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out of context so why'd you call it chinese flu i believe that was exactly what they asked them
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uh i think i nailed it exact wording um and the president he so who i forget who the reporter
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was it's forgettable it doesn't matter it says why'd you why are you calling it the chinese flu
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and the president dead serious just looks at her and he goes because it came from china now if he'd stop
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there you know i might have said well you know i still this is still in the weeds i don't want to care
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and then he said and then he said that a chinese diplomat and i saw this tweet myself is claiming that
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the virus was spread by an american service person maybe intentionally in wuhan and the president said
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that when that rumor is out there that america started the virus from that point on it's a chinese flu
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i don't know if he was calling it chinese flu or chinese virus i forget but with all due respect
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to the people of china let's not make this personal but if you're going to try to brand us with this
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with this don't try to brand do you have children at home everybody has children at home
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will turn off the sound or or ask them to leave the room there will be cursing are you ready for
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that there will be cursing it's coming i gave you a warning so you only have yourself to blame
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in the context of the chinese government obviously the chinese government had to approve of this
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diplomat um and he was a minor diplomat but still you know he was a ambassador to some country it
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doesn't matter and so he says he blames the united states for it now if you're going to try to brand
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that on the united states a good time to do it would be if the president of the united states was
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maybe obama president obama you know a good time to try branding us um with this would be
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i don't know bill clinton president george bush george bush either george bush you know that might
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have been a good play china might have been a good play to try to brand us for that but you know when
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it doesn't work when the president of the united states is the best fucking brander in the whole
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universe sorry china you're not gonna out brand our fucking president you're not gonna do it he branded
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them like they were cattle and if he didn't catch it let me explain it when the president said it's a
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chinese virus he knew fucking well that it would cause a shit storm and what do you remember about
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it don't don't think what he said don't think what the question was what are you going to remember
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about it it's a fucking chinese virus is what you can remember my president did that i'm proud of him
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good job and what are we talking about chinese virus chinese virus chinese virus do all of you now know
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that china made the dumbest move they've ever made they tried to out brand donald fucking trump
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like bitches and it didn't work he just branded their ass right back to wuhan i loved it and so let me
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say i apologize for criticizing my president for doing that i didn't know the context didn't know
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why he did it but good move nice play and china don't fuck with us like that you know try something
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else try hacking us you know try try a negotiating a better trade deal you might have a chance don't
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try fucking out branding president donald trump that's just not gonna work dumbest thing you ever
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fucking did she all right swearing is done the the cursing is over now let me tie this story back to
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my original point when when the uh virus first started i felt like our president got off to a
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shaky start but as i've said often the one thing you can't take away from him even even his critics
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can't take this away from him he's a really fast learner i mean you've seen him jump from industry to
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industry and then dominate it and you know becoming president on the first try well it wasn't first try but
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became president without practice of being a president or a politician so
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so here's why i feel so much better i feel so much better because we're on war footing
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the president has fully embraced the war president model and boy is he good at it so he wasn't really
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good at the woe is us bad as bad stuff is coming our way but man you give him you give him an enemy
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let's say china he's really good at that so you don't want to be his enemy uh and so you know he's just
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one part of the part of a very large machine that's working on this and i would say that um and i've said
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this before but the more i say this the more this is going to be a filter you're going to want to look at
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long before the coronavirus i had told you that we were approaching the golden age doesn't feel
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like it today but we're approaching the golden age because we no longer had material shortages
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and that all of our problems that were remaining were information problems in disguise in other
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words if you had enough information you could solve it the virus is the perfect example it is purely an
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information problem that is disguised as a medical problem because that's the outcome of not having
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the right information but watch our information acquisition process seven billion human beings all
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on the same path in terms of the same objective at least those that are paying attention each of them
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have you know hands and eyes and ears and brains and they're all like little sensors and all of those
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sensors in the form of human beings all over the world are sensing their world and they're absorbing
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information at an incredible rate and filtering it and finding you know what's good so the information
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that it would take to to defeat the virus is moving very quickly but the nature of it is you don't see the
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impact until it reaches some critical mass so imagine if you will that our information went from
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nothing you know fog of war if we had information it was more likely wrong than right
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to something to something much bigger and we're sort of here right now we need to get here you know
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something like multiple of that but the rate at which we're going that's not going to take long
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so the in the testing kits for example are information gathering the the knowledge of what it worked and what
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didn't is information the knowledge of how to you know change a ventilator so it helps four people
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the information of how to operate it if we need more people is information the you know even even
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starting up these little wartime factories to rapidly build medical equipment i'll bet that's almost
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entirely an information problem in terms of how long it takes because in an emergency you get rid of
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you know the obstacles so you you got the money everybody's on the same page you're gonna you
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know skip some steps of approval and stuff like that but imagine you don't have that friction you're
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trying to build an emergency factory and there's no friction of complaints or policies or programs
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it's all been wiped away what's left what is the obstacle that's left it's pure information
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because if everybody who was involved in the project suddenly could magically know exactly what
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to do and here's the important part when in other words they they would only drive to the to the site
00:25:10.220
just as the the site was ready for that exact piece it that'd be an information solution so
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information ultimately is how we beat all these things it gets translated into into technique and
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strategy and and weapons against it and our information is increasing insanely there's a story out of israel
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that israel uh and i know what you're going to think about this before i say it but israel is
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apparently um tracking every resident's phone location and and knows a record of where it's been
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and they're they're crunching those numbers so they can find out if somebody is identified to have it
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they can actually reverse the history and find out all the people who had cell phones that were
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standing within infection distance and they send them a text message and say are you coughing because
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you stood next to somebody who's infected maybe you should stay away from people for a little while
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now do you think that other countries couldn't do that
00:26:23.700
no of course they could i mean the the more advanced countries would be better at it
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but yeah uh every part of that is is well within the quite doable range now if you're wondering
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how is that possible the phone companies already have a record all the time of where you're where you are
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with your phone they just don't share it but it's an emergency so apparently in israel they shared it
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i don't i don't know their situation with their phones over there so how do you feel now right
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because under normal circumstances the public would say no effing way you are not going to track me
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everywhere i go but in an emergency if it's the difference between you know crashing the economy
00:27:12.720
and not would you allow the government to track you let's say for three months now of course you're
00:27:20.300
all cynics and you say scott scott scott if we let them do it temporarily they will build the
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capability and then they'll just do it permanently to which i say what reality are you living in
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they already have the capability do i know that no of course not it would be a state secret if
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if anything like that were happening but do you think there's any chance that the countries who can
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do it are not looking into it right because now that israel's announced it the cat's out of the bag
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people can react to that we can see how people react to that etc so i tweeted when i saw the story
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about the israel situation i said in public in the tweet that i give permission to the united states
00:28:04.440
government to track my phone for the duration of the crisis now of course they don't need my
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permission right that's what that's what an emergency is you know there's no point having an emergency if
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they have to get my permission to do something they just need to do what they need to do but it's got
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to make it easier you know it's got to make you know got to make at least it more possible if citizens
00:28:28.880
say you know under every other condition no way under this condition go for it but you know check in
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when check it again in three months because you know you need a hard stop on this in three months
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you know maybe you need a maybe you need a federal judge or something appointed just to make sure it
00:28:48.140
gets shut down at some point you know you could take care of it these these are the kinds of things
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that could be fixed um so i would say that our uh our leadership team is a plus you know i had a few
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things i was sort of waiting for to make a judgment on how competent the government was being one of them
00:29:08.620
was to see how long it would take for for an announcement that doctors could practice across state lines
00:29:15.460
for the duration of the emergency at least it turns out it didn't take that long um i don't know how
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long was it a week but that's that's pretty darn quick you know in governmental terms so you're welcome
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you know i don't have any way to know that that wouldn't have happened on its own
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i just know that i worked really hard on it and and i i do know that you know the the idea
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got to the right people at the right time so that's all i know but one has to one has to think
00:29:47.560
that you know for every time you have a brilliant idea of doing something probably somebody else had
00:29:54.200
that idea because it wasn't it wasn't so non-obvious uh certainly the telehealth people probably had to
00:30:00.260
have that at top of mind but um if the citizens helped brought it along a little bit you know maybe we
00:30:07.400
helped in some small way um so i was looking to that to see if it got done because if that simple
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thing couldn't get done what kind of confidence would you have in your government i mean really
00:30:19.820
so that that was like a real marker of confidence to me that that that a no-brainer thing indeed
00:30:26.860
was treated like a no-brainer nobody pushed back that was it no pushback i think it just sailed right
00:30:34.220
through um the other thing i looked for is uh whether politics is taking a side you know a side
00:30:45.140
seat and when you see the you know the republicans try harder to give money to you know the low-income
00:30:53.580
people to get through the crisis than even the democrats i don't know that that's true i'm just you
00:30:59.440
i'm just saying that for hyperbole both the democrats and the republicans are trying hard
00:31:04.680
sincerely to do something that looks pretty socialist at least in the short run you know
00:31:10.940
we'll we'll call it a different thing it'll be emergency but it's kind of socialist in the short
00:31:15.700
run so we're seeing people who get at least in some sense you know free health care for this
00:31:21.160
particular situation the ubi is almost certain to happen um and i don't think anybody's paying their
00:31:28.480
school debts at the moment so nobody on the republican side well maybe somebody probably
00:31:38.020
somebody is but i haven't seen it they don't seem to be pushing back against doing something that
00:31:43.720
andrew yang thought was a good idea a year ago i mean you would expect that right if we're just being
00:31:49.260
political um if you were just being political you'd expect that the republicans would say no
00:31:54.940
keep your socialism we'll work it out but they're not so watching the republicans become completely
00:32:03.240
flexible about what's on the table and what's not is encouraging it's very encouraging somebody says
00:32:11.620
somebody says nancy pelosi is being political well she's also you know other than approving some money
00:32:19.340
i'm not sure she has much of a role uh it looks like an executive branch thing once the once the congress
00:32:37.380
this isn't socialism this is stimulus and healing
00:32:43.540
yeah yeah you know you're also well trained that you don't want to use that word socialism
00:32:48.580
but you know anytime you're redistributing money from from the rich to the poor even if it's going
00:32:55.060
through the government um you can call it whatever you want the point is that the republicans are not
00:33:00.900
balking any idea that looks like it could be productive so that's what you want to see if you want to have
00:33:05.800
confidence that's exactly what you want to see um so we got that so if you ask me every part of this
00:33:15.640
looks like we're getting smarter and better and if we're focusing on the past it's a mistake
00:33:21.780
i think we can look at that stuff later to learn something
00:33:26.120
what about the election with the virus stuff going off
00:33:30.920
well um i think we're going to work it out my guess is that november is a long ways away
00:33:38.200
in emergency time i've said this before but in you know in normal time you wouldn't be able to
00:33:43.480
you know retrofit your your entire election process and do it quickly and get it done
00:33:48.860
but i have to think that you know i have to think that in the context
00:33:54.060
of an emergency we probably have 10 different ways we could you know retrofit the system
00:34:00.840
and you know make it work so people don't get infected so my guess is the primaries are probably
00:34:07.800
going to get canceled maybe the convention will get canceled but maybe both conventions will get
00:34:13.640
canceled if if if one of them does they'll both get but i don't know that we needed any of it
00:34:18.200
because nobody's doubting that biden is going to be the nominee right nobody's really doubting it
00:34:24.380
do you need a bunch of people to be in a room to figure that out there's got to be some way to work
00:34:28.640
that out so i think it'll just be an inconvenience in terms of the political process and people will
00:34:33.880
work it out that's my guess somebody says should i buy a gun well it's probably too late
00:34:46.400
all right somebody says flu season has to end sometime does it well regular flus do we'll see
00:35:00.280
all right i think i said everything i want to say um i think uh talker must be having a good day over
00:35:09.680
there because all my audience went over to watch him but i will talk to you in the morning so stay alive