Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 879 Scott Adams： Sip and Relax With me While I Tell You What the Future Holds

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum 1.00

00:00:08.660 Hey everybody, come on in here. It's time for another edition of Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:15.880 Aren't you happy that you get to drink a simultaneous sip every day, every morning?

00:00:22.320 I never miss unless something bad is happening.

00:00:25.000 But all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or a chalice or stand, a canteen, jagged or flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee.

00:00:35.320 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the coronavirus.

00:00:44.460 It's called the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:00:47.060 Every time I use that little Trump phrase, I always smile to myself because it's so effective.

00:01:00.140 You know, when Trump brands something or puts a nickname on it, he uses this phrase.

00:01:05.900 He goes, it's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:09.220 As if he's not the one who named it, he'll say, Jeb Bush, he's called Low Energy Jeb, without reference to the fact that he's the one who started it.

00:01:24.320 I always laugh when he does that.

00:01:26.700 All right.

00:01:27.300 Well, it looks like in a new poll, the voters who are, quote, enthusiastic, enthusiastic, not just supporting, but enthusiastic, supporters of Joe Biden, 24 percent, 24 percent of Joe Biden's supporters are enthusiastic about it.

00:01:53.540 To which I said to myself, really, really, really, if I were to dig into these numbers a little bit, maybe get the name of one of these enthusiastic voters, drove over to that enthusiastic voters house and said, you recently answered a poll question.

00:02:13.680 And you're in the 24 percent of people who say you're enthusiastic.

00:02:18.120 You're enthusiastic about Joe Biden.

00:02:21.040 Did you really say that?

00:02:22.720 Now, do you think that if you were in person with one of the people who said that they were enthusiastic about supporting Joe Biden, do you believe that you would detect said enthusiasm?

00:02:37.340 Now, I do believe the polling was accurate in the sense that, you know, a question was asked, an answer was given.

00:02:43.780 It was recorded correctly and tabulated.

00:02:45.540 So I'm sure the polling is, yeah, I think it was Rasp, who was it?

00:02:49.860 I don't forget who it was, but whoever it was, I'm sure they did the polling correctly.

00:02:54.680 But do you really think you would find that person?

00:02:58.680 Really?

00:03:00.500 Like, is it a coincidence that I've never met anybody who supports him, who's excited about it?

00:03:07.480 Ever?

00:03:09.020 Have you ever seen one of his biggest supporters, Alyssa, what's her name?

00:03:17.640 Alyssa, the actress whose name I'm forgetting at the moment.

00:03:22.140 You know, she tweets about him and supports him and stuff.

00:03:24.140 And even her tweets and her support for him, looks like she's working at it.

00:03:30.700 It looks like she had to swallow hard and say, well, vote for Joe Biden.

00:03:38.980 I mean, it just, everything about his supporters screams, I wish I didn't have to be doing this, but it's this or Bernie or Trump, and what am I going to do?

00:03:49.920 So, that's the most ridiculous poll number I've ever seen, that 24% of people are enthusiastic about Biden.

00:03:59.880 There are none.

00:04:01.860 Oh yeah, Alyssa Milano, I'm sorry, forgot her name.

00:04:05.880 How could I forget Alyssa Milano's name?

00:04:07.980 I must be really tired.

00:04:09.740 It's not like we don't hear her name enough.

00:04:13.120 I'll say again, by the way.

00:04:15.100 Yeah, I say this because it makes you mad.

00:04:17.440 I think I enjoy bothering you with this.

00:04:21.640 I have a lot of respect for Alyssa Milano. 0.55

00:04:24.960 While I would not agree with many of her positions, politically or otherwise, she's the real deal.

00:04:33.620 She's not just a celebrity drive-by.

00:04:37.300 She's invested.

00:04:39.140 She's got a skin in the game. 1.00

00:04:41.200 She's trying to make the country better in the way that she thinks would work. 0.99

00:04:46.040 So, while I don't think she should get all of the things she wants, I'm very happy about her being a high-level player with good intentions, and she's part of the process, and she's effective.

00:04:59.220 I have a lot of respect for that, the same as I do for anybody on the other side who just does a good job, whether it's AOC or Van Jones or David Axelrod.

00:05:14.060 I mean, you can find a lot of people who you may not agree with their opinions all the time, but you say, well, okay, that's a reasonable person who's actually trying to do what's good for the country in their own way.

00:05:25.120 Okay. All right.

00:05:28.500 There was a poll.

00:05:29.420 I guess this one was Rasmussen, I believe.

00:05:32.900 And it showed that only Democratic voters believe by majority, anyway.

00:05:37.000 Only Democratic voters believe by majority that, quote,

00:05:41.380 it's so funny, it's hard even to read the sentence.

00:05:46.360 You know, I've told you before that the news and humor have completely merged.

00:05:53.960 There's no real difference between comedy and the news.

00:05:58.260 But what you see as funny will be different than what I see as funny based on, you know, what team you're on, what direction you're looking at things.

00:06:05.260 But there's almost no such thing as just comedies anymore.

00:06:10.280 You know, nobody, almost nobody makes a comedy movie, you know, because people will be offended and nobody's going to go anyway.

00:06:17.700 But politics is still funny.

00:06:20.100 And it's funny without even trying.

00:06:22.220 And you tell me if this isn't funny.

00:06:25.200 All right.

00:06:25.440 I'm just going to read, I'm going to read the sentence, the way it was tweeted, I believe in Rasmussen's Twitter feed about the study, their own study.

00:06:35.260 I'll just read it straight.

00:06:37.860 And you tell me that this straight fact is not funny.

00:06:43.200 All right.

00:06:43.860 Here it is.

00:06:45.100 Only Democratic voters believe most reporters are simply trying to report the news in an unbiased fashion.

00:06:53.880 Isn't that funny?

00:06:56.060 That there's somebody in this country and they can be easily identified with one side of the political divide.

00:07:05.260 They believe that the news is actually the news.

00:07:09.120 That actually more than half of Democrats think the news is both legitimate and that the news people are trying to do it legitimately.

00:07:19.980 How can you possibly see that?

00:07:23.640 No matter what news you're watching, I don't care which outlet you're looking at, how can you possibly think that?

00:07:29.900 Aren't we way beyond that?

00:07:32.640 Aren't we?

00:07:33.680 Now, I still think there are, you know, individual news people who are, you know, just trying to report the news straight.

00:07:38.900 That's true.

00:07:39.340 But in general, I think it's fair to say that in general, the news is no longer the old-fashioned news.

00:07:48.820 It's really just different interests, you know, moving their interests.

00:07:53.500 All right.

00:07:53.780 Question for you, because I don't know.

00:07:59.020 You're seeing everybody on, it seems like everybody on social media is blowing up over the World Health Organization

00:08:04.700 and their statement that masks don't work when, obviously.

00:08:10.880 By the way, my nose isn't running, it's itching, and I'm trying not to touch my face in front of you.

00:08:16.060 It's just psychosomatic.

00:08:23.740 Let's see.

00:08:24.820 So, what was I saying?

00:08:28.480 Oh, who told you this first?

00:08:30.740 Where is the first place you ever heard this?

00:08:35.260 So, when all of our professionals were telling us that wearing masks, oh, God, the edge, wouldn't help,

00:08:41.820 who's the first person you heard say in public, well, that's just a lie.

00:08:49.600 Like, it's just an obvious lie that wearing masks won't help you in any way.

00:08:57.200 And the reason I'm asking is because I think I'm the first person who said it publicly.

00:09:03.640 Because, you know, there are a lot of people saying it now,

00:09:07.740 but it's harder to say it when you're the first person.

00:09:11.820 Because I said it just looking at the news from the most qualified, professional, authoritative medical sources, right?

00:09:22.740 I mean, I looked at complete agreement across all the spectrum of medical sources,

00:09:28.420 and 100% of them said, no joke, these masks won't help, don't wear them.

00:09:34.580 And alone among, I felt, I felt like alone among observers, and I doubt I was alone.

00:09:44.220 One has to assume that in other places people were saying the same thing,

00:09:47.360 but I didn't see it when I said it.

00:09:50.080 And I said, well, that's just clearly a lie.

00:09:53.080 Here's why I thought it was a lie.

00:09:54.500 Here's why it's a little book called LoserThink.

00:09:59.160 It's my book. I'm sure you've all read it.

00:10:01.660 If you haven't, what's wrong? You've got all this time.

00:10:05.460 And on page 153 of my future forward book, there's a chapter called Friction.

00:10:14.320 Allow me to read a small sample from my book.

00:10:17.400 It says, in political discussions, you often see partisans talking in binary terms.

00:10:23.680 For example, that a particular plan will completely stop some bad thing,

00:10:28.680 or otherwise it will do nothing.

00:10:31.220 But in the real world, often the best you can do is to create some friction,

00:10:36.560 to slow down the things you wish would stop completely.

00:10:40.700 Now, I go on and talk about the wall and border security,

00:10:44.380 and saying that, yeah, no, a wall is not meant to stop every person.

00:10:49.960 It's meant to be friction, so it slows things down to a manageable level.

00:10:55.920 Likewise, when somebody, the first time the expert said

00:10:59.440 that the virus is spread through the air coming out of your mouth,

00:11:04.440 and then the very next sentence is,

00:11:06.700 but wearing a barrier over that air won't make anything better.

00:11:10.360 That was sort of the end of the credibility, right?

00:11:15.580 At that point, there was no point in even listening to the professionals anymore,

00:11:21.320 or at least believing them.

00:11:22.920 Because if they would tell you something that's so obviously not true,

00:11:26.780 I mean, something that your own eyes and ears and brain can say,

00:11:31.080 no, no.

00:11:32.500 So, a barrier stops air at least a little bit.

00:11:39.260 You know, is the air coming out of your mouth going to go as far as it has to go through a mask?

00:11:43.200 Of course not.

00:11:44.900 Of course not.

00:11:46.320 So, it's a clear case where the mask created friction,

00:11:50.340 in this case friction for the air and the virus.

00:11:53.540 So, of course it made a difference.

00:11:55.420 Not 100%, but whoever said it would.

00:11:58.980 But, so, here's my problem with that.

00:12:03.740 We watched our, I'll just pick, you know, one person from the experts.

00:12:09.460 Our Surgeon General.

00:12:12.460 So, our Surgeon General has said this right to our faces in public multiple times.

00:12:18.160 Do you think he knows it's a lie?

00:12:21.400 Because there are one or two possibilities.

00:12:23.180 Either the Surgeon General lied to the public, in public, you know, multiple times

00:12:29.180 about the effectiveness of face masks during a health crisis.

00:12:35.000 Remember, this is a world pandemic.

00:12:39.580 What is more important than the most important credible health professionals telling you the truth?

00:12:45.580 There's nothing more important than that.

00:12:49.000 That's the most important thing, is that your most credible health professionals need to tell you the truth.

00:12:55.160 Now, the weird exception might be if they're trying to prevent a run on critical supplies,

00:13:00.800 which would not be in the interest of the greater good.

00:13:04.320 But here's what I, I'm going to put this, I'm going to put a stake down right here.

00:13:09.280 Okay, you ready?

00:13:10.740 Here's my stake.

00:13:11.980 Our Surgeon General got in front of our country and lied to our faces in an obvious lie,

00:13:16.820 not even a little bit, slightly not a lie.

00:13:20.220 And he did it multiple times in a crisis.

00:13:24.220 Should he keep his job?

00:13:27.540 Should the Surgeon General keep his job lying so grotesquely in a crisis to the American people repeated times?

00:13:36.020 Now, here's my answer to that.

00:13:39.340 It's complicated.

00:13:41.240 If after the crisis is over, or at least after, let's say, the shortages are over,

00:13:46.560 let's say we get to the point where, you know, the press and the public and the politicians and the hospitals

00:13:51.780 generally agree that finally we caught up and we have enough supplies.

00:13:56.460 Once the shortage is over, and everybody agrees it's over,

00:14:01.020 if the Surgeon General says to the American people,

00:14:04.440 I would like to apologize to you.

00:14:06.740 I lied to you, but I did it intentionally.

00:14:10.380 Here was my purpose.

00:14:11.780 My purpose was to stop a run on these supplies, the masks,

00:14:15.940 so that they could be used in the most, you know, the place where we could leverage them the best,

00:14:20.440 which was with healthcare professionals and people who really needed them.

00:14:23.120 If he tells us that after the fact,

00:14:27.280 I might be okay with him keeping his job.

00:14:33.680 Especially if he was ordered to do it, right?

00:14:36.440 If he said, look, I work for the administration,

00:14:39.920 the administration said, I need you to go out there and shade the truth a little bit,

00:14:44.340 it's for the greater good,

00:14:45.760 and so I went out like a good soldier and I did it,

00:14:48.180 I would say, okay, I would say, okay.

00:14:52.780 I would say, you can keep your job, you know, as my opinion, as a citizen,

00:14:57.840 because you've explained it, you've apologized, and you had a reason.

00:15:02.840 I'll take that.

00:15:04.360 But don't ask us to believe you again.

00:15:07.420 You know, the next time you tell us something, can we believe you?

00:15:11.200 I mean, that's a big problem, right?

00:15:13.760 So I would say if he does not later say, you know, okay, here's the deal,

00:15:17.880 I intentionally was shading the truth because it was good for the country.

00:15:22.240 If he doesn't say that, well, I think he needs to be fired.

00:15:26.680 Right?

00:15:27.400 Wouldn't you agree?

00:15:29.240 That's definitely firing offense.

00:15:31.500 I mean, I can't even think of anything that would be more grotesquely obviously a firing offense

00:15:38.100 than lying about the value of face masks to a country where people are dying because of bad advice.

00:15:46.820 You know, don't you think there were some people who had face masks?

00:15:50.040 Could have worn them.

00:15:51.220 They weren't going to, you know, donate their one mask to the hospital or anything.

00:15:55.400 Don't you think he killed some people?

00:15:57.620 I think he did.

00:15:58.680 I mean, statistically speaking, probably somebody died who didn't need to

00:16:03.980 because they didn't wear a mask and they had one in the closet because they had bad advice.

00:16:09.360 So that's a pretty big deal.

00:16:11.420 But let's hold off, and I'm going to say this a few more times,

00:16:15.880 let's hold off on, you know, shooting the people on our own team.

00:16:19.620 Let's wait.

00:16:20.760 Because if he has a good explanation, I'm open to it.

00:16:25.040 But otherwise he has to be fired, of course.

00:16:28.680 Well, there's some tweets going around today.

00:16:32.520 I guess on February 7th, Secretary Pompeo was tweeting a photo of American planes being loaded up

00:16:39.960 or unloaded, I guess.

00:16:43.000 Apparently on February 7th, the United States sent many pallets of PPE,

00:16:50.160 the protective stuff that we need in this country and we have a shortage of.

00:16:54.740 We sent a plane load to Wuhan to help them with their shortage.

00:17:00.420 Now, people are saying,

00:17:02.880 my God, you incompetent monsters,

00:17:05.980 you President Trump and Secretary Pompeo,

00:17:08.860 how could you possibly be sending our limited supplies,

00:17:12.140 which we're basically, you know,

00:17:14.520 right at the ragged edge of running out of in our crisis,

00:17:17.580 how could you send our critical national resources

00:17:21.800 to a strategic frenemy, enemy, whatever you want to call China?

00:17:28.860 How does that make sense?

00:17:31.520 Well, let me tell you.

00:17:34.800 Everybody's a genius in hindsight.

00:17:36.480 How many people in the United States,

00:17:40.540 be they political or scientific,

00:17:43.360 knew on February 7th

00:17:45.100 that the United States would run out of protective equipment?

00:17:50.920 Raise your hand.

00:17:52.280 Raise your hand if on February 7th

00:17:54.300 you knew that the United States

00:17:56.360 didn't have enough of this stuff

00:17:58.280 and couldn't make it fast enough

00:17:59.580 or couldn't get a supply.

00:18:01.660 Raise your hand if you knew that on February 7th.

00:18:04.260 You frickin' liars, if you got your hands up.

00:18:07.900 You didn't know.

00:18:10.000 Pompeo didn't know.

00:18:11.200 Trump didn't know.

00:18:13.000 Of course there were scientists

00:18:14.480 and of course there were probably individuals

00:18:16.820 who were saying,

00:18:17.440 oh no, maybe you shouldn't do that.

00:18:20.220 But nobody knew on February 7th.

00:18:23.600 Here's why I know we didn't know.

00:18:25.920 Because we still don't know.

00:18:28.320 Do you know if we have enough,

00:18:30.440 let's say, N95 masks,

00:18:32.520 not only available,

00:18:35.440 but do we have enough in the pipeline

00:18:37.000 so we'll be okay?

00:18:39.180 Do you know?

00:18:40.440 No, you don't know.

00:18:41.840 You don't know.

00:18:43.300 I don't know.

00:18:44.540 Is there anybody in the world who knows?

00:18:46.700 No.

00:18:47.560 The reason I know we don't know

00:18:49.400 is because Pence said yesterday,

00:18:51.960 we don't know.

00:18:53.580 That was yesterday.

00:18:55.160 How could he have known on February 7th

00:18:57.740 we wouldn't have enough?

00:18:58.740 Do you think on February 7th

00:19:01.220 Mike Pence knew we didn't have enough masks?

00:19:03.620 He doesn't know today.

00:19:06.000 He doesn't know.

00:19:07.720 Nobody knows.

00:19:08.760 Nobody's even collected the frickin' information.

00:19:12.040 Did you know on February 7th

00:19:14.120 that we had no mechanism

00:19:16.000 for all of the hospitals in the country

00:19:18.380 to report what critical supplies

00:19:21.680 they might run out of in a crisis?

00:19:23.260 That system didn't exist.

00:19:26.840 So, flying completely blind,

00:19:30.780 the president, presumably,

00:19:32.380 and the secretary of state,

00:19:33.520 probably, and others,

00:19:35.120 made a decision to give some supplies

00:19:37.800 that they had access to,

00:19:39.620 to Wuhan.

00:19:40.620 I don't know if those supplies

00:19:41.840 made any difference at all.

00:19:43.640 I don't even know if it's enough.

00:19:45.440 Because even when they talk about

00:19:46.520 millions and millions of anything,

00:19:48.960 when it comes to medical supplies,

00:19:50.660 you actually go through millions of stuff

00:19:52.580 really, really quickly.

00:19:54.660 So you can see really big numbers

00:19:56.220 of what we shipped.

00:19:58.360 And, you know,

00:19:58.740 it might have been one hospital

00:20:00.280 rips through them in, you know,

00:20:01.660 five days or something.

00:20:03.480 So it's not as much as you think.

00:20:05.320 That's the first thing.

00:20:06.860 And as a percentage of the United States

00:20:09.480 total supply of that equipment,

00:20:12.460 what do you think it was?

00:20:13.800 If you had to guess,

00:20:15.520 of our total United States supply

00:20:17.660 of whatever that medical equipment was,

00:20:21.640 how much of it do you think we gave

00:20:23.260 to China on that one airplane?

00:20:26.320 Well, less than 1%, don't you think?

00:20:29.140 Less than 1%.

00:20:30.200 And at the time,

00:20:32.740 I don't think that our officials

00:20:35.360 knew who made this stuff,

00:20:37.560 knew we had a shortage.

00:20:39.060 I don't think anybody knew.

00:20:40.000 So if they made a decision back then

00:20:42.720 to do something that would have

00:20:45.040 obviously great, you know,

00:20:46.860 diplomatic potential

00:20:48.400 in establishing us

00:20:51.140 as a, you know,

00:20:52.240 credible world player

00:20:53.660 and being helpful

00:20:55.240 even to people

00:20:56.000 who were maybe not as helpful to us

00:20:57.620 while we're still negotiating,

00:20:59.540 you know, part two of the trade deal,

00:21:01.380 I think this probably made sense

00:21:03.320 on February 7th.

00:21:04.840 In retrospect,

00:21:06.000 you could say it was wrong,

00:21:07.460 but we're still in the battle.

00:21:08.920 And if you're bayonetting people

00:21:10.980 while the battle is still raging,

00:21:13.540 you're not on our side.

00:21:16.920 And I would like you to be.

00:21:18.400 Be on our side for a while.

00:21:22.200 Here's a reason you will get blocked

00:21:24.120 by me on Twitter or Periscope.

00:21:28.380 So I just want to put that out there.

00:21:30.940 So in a comment on Twitter today,

00:21:34.120 you know, I responded to somebody,

00:21:35.900 they responded back,

00:21:36.820 and then some third person comes in

00:21:38.620 and says of me,

00:21:40.620 he won't respond anymore.

00:21:43.100 You're blocked.

00:21:45.060 So I will block people

00:21:46.340 for telling me what I will do

00:21:47.960 and what I am thinking.

00:21:51.220 Those are the two things

00:21:52.380 you can't comment on

00:21:53.660 without getting blocked.

00:21:56.620 Because you don't know

00:21:57.480 what I'm going to do

00:21:58.240 and you don't know

00:21:59.440 what I'm thinking.

00:22:00.600 And if you're out in public

00:22:02.060 telling people

00:22:02.820 what I'm going to do

00:22:03.580 or what I'm thinking,

00:22:04.400 I don't want to have anything

00:22:05.800 to do with you

00:22:06.520 because you're not a useful person.

00:22:09.680 You're just being in trouble.

00:22:11.920 So that's an immediate block,

00:22:13.200 just so you know.

00:22:17.580 Apparently,

00:22:18.320 here's a weird outcome

00:22:19.620 of this coronavirus

00:22:22.520 is that the illegal drug business

00:22:25.700 is struggling

00:22:27.140 because they're not getting

00:22:28.620 the necessary chemical components

00:22:31.740 from China.

00:22:34.360 To which I said,

00:22:36.040 wait, what?

00:22:37.920 Now, I knew that fentanyl

00:22:39.360 was coming,

00:22:40.940 you know,

00:22:41.180 the precursors

00:22:41.940 were coming in from China

00:22:43.020 and then the cartels

00:22:44.460 were mixing them up

00:22:45.400 and sending them north.

00:22:47.120 So I knew that China 0.65

00:22:48.740 was the source of things

00:22:49.980 through Mexico

00:22:50.800 and in terms of fentanyl,

00:22:53.080 but I didn't know

00:22:54.000 that that was also true

00:22:54.900 for heroin and meth.

00:22:56.160 So whatever chemicals,

00:22:59.400 I don't know if it's the poppies

00:23:00.500 or something else,

00:23:01.760 but apparently China

00:23:02.600 is also the source

00:23:04.120 for other major drugs

00:23:07.240 going through Mexico

00:23:08.500 into the United States.

00:23:10.360 I didn't fully understand that.

00:23:13.480 I did not fully understand that.

00:23:15.240 I thought it might be limited

00:23:16.700 to maybe, you know,

00:23:18.080 one bad laboratory or two

00:23:19.880 doing the fentanyl stuff.

00:23:21.400 I didn't know

00:23:22.620 that apparently the majority,

00:23:25.540 if you don't count marijuana,

00:23:26.860 which is grown in this country now,

00:23:28.980 it looks like the majority

00:23:30.060 of the hard drug stuff,

00:23:32.160 not counting cocaine, I guess,

00:23:34.160 is coming from China,

00:23:35.960 or at least the ability to make it.

00:23:38.220 So this has completely revised

00:23:41.020 my opinion of what's going on.

00:23:43.180 Because before,

00:23:44.100 I would have said to myself,

00:23:45.180 yeah, yeah, China,

00:23:46.140 you need to try harder

00:23:47.160 to clamp down

00:23:48.600 on those one or two laboratories

00:23:50.160 that are sending fentanyl products.

00:23:52.020 But it felt like

00:23:52.600 an individual problem, didn't it?

00:23:58.720 You get blocked for that, too.

00:24:02.120 The person who got blocked

00:24:03.400 knows what they did.

00:24:04.920 All right.

00:24:07.300 So now that I know

00:24:09.260 that there's a more robust,

00:24:11.580 robust highway of,

00:24:15.380 you know, illegal drug stuff

00:24:17.420 coming from China

00:24:18.360 through Mexico

00:24:19.020 into the United States,

00:24:20.160 now I think you could just say

00:24:21.720 that's just war.

00:24:24.280 I would say that's war now.

00:24:26.940 So before I thought,

00:24:28.600 darn it, China, 1.00

00:24:29.360 you should try harder

00:24:30.360 to stop your individuals

00:24:32.040 who are sending bad things

00:24:33.380 into Mexico

00:24:34.340 and then into our country.

00:24:36.020 But now it doesn't look

00:24:37.080 like that at all to me.

00:24:38.840 It doesn't look like that at all.

00:24:41.460 Now it just looks like a war

00:24:42.940 we didn't know we were fighting,

00:24:44.100 or I didn't know.

00:24:44.900 I guess our government knew,

00:24:46.640 but maybe wanted to interpret it

00:24:48.220 in a different way.

00:24:49.000 But to me,

00:24:49.980 this is just war.

00:24:51.640 We're at war with China.

00:24:53.620 They're sending weapons

00:24:54.880 of mass destruction

00:24:55.800 through Mexico

00:24:56.900 into the United States

00:24:57.980 and killing Americans 0.89

00:24:58.920 by tens of thousands.

00:25:00.060 I'm trying not to swear.

00:25:07.900 Those of you who have been with me

00:25:09.220 for a while,

00:25:10.540 you know that I lost my stepson

00:25:12.220 in 2018 to a fentanyl overdose.

00:25:15.520 And you know that my opinion

00:25:16.720 about China

00:25:17.480 is largely influenced by that.

00:25:21.720 So I'm not a biased,

00:25:24.360 I'm not an unbiased observer

00:25:26.020 when it comes to China,

00:25:27.060 but I don't think people

00:25:29.600 quite understand

00:25:30.460 that we're in a hot war.

00:25:32.760 It just doesn't happen

00:25:33.820 to involve bullets and bombs.

00:25:35.860 But if China is willingly, 0.76

00:25:37.860 and obviously the crisis

00:25:39.960 caused them to have

00:25:40.880 a production stop

00:25:42.240 that was enough

00:25:42.820 to rattle the cartels

00:25:44.960 on the other side

00:25:45.680 of the world,

00:25:46.640 it's pretty obvious,

00:25:48.960 not pretty obvious,

00:25:50.020 it's completely obvious

00:25:51.140 that the Chinese government

00:25:53.640 is supporting the drug trade

00:25:55.260 through China

00:25:55.880 and killing tens of thousands

00:25:57.120 of Americans a year.

00:25:59.280 And that's war.

00:26:02.600 You know, I thought,

00:26:04.340 you know, I felt like

00:26:05.660 it was a little bit war

00:26:06.940 when it was just fentanyl

00:26:09.260 and maybe it was individuals.

00:26:11.120 But now that I know

00:26:12.140 it's really a whole,

00:26:13.280 you know, a system,

00:26:14.460 well, that's just a war.

00:26:18.220 So at this point,

00:26:19.120 I would say to myself,

00:26:20.640 oh, man,

00:26:21.360 I'm trying so hard

00:26:22.940 not to curse.

00:26:24.460 I'm going to try

00:26:25.120 to get through Sunday

00:26:25.960 without cursing in public,

00:26:28.140 see if I can do that.

00:26:31.320 I can't tell you

00:26:32.320 how much I hate China

00:26:33.360 if that hasn't

00:26:35.460 come through to you.

00:26:36.640 And again,

00:26:37.040 I want to be clear,

00:26:37.700 not the Chinese people. 0.69

00:26:40.240 I don't think I've ever met

00:26:41.460 any Chinese people

00:26:42.420 I didn't like.

00:26:43.060 You know,

00:26:44.300 but the government

00:26:45.960 is pure evil

00:26:46.980 and we can't do business

00:26:49.420 with them anymore.

00:26:50.600 So we have to decouple

00:26:51.900 and we're going to have

00:26:53.000 to take them down

00:26:53.640 in the process.

00:26:54.720 So I don't think

00:26:55.560 there's any way

00:26:56.500 that the future

00:26:57.460 looks anything but this.

00:26:59.600 China

00:27:00.040 has some bad years

00:27:01.940 ahead of it.

00:27:03.280 I'm going to do

00:27:04.000 everything I can

00:27:04.740 to make sure

00:27:05.220 that's true.

00:27:06.640 I'm going to make sure

00:27:07.460 that the country of China,

00:27:08.880 as long as they keep

00:27:09.600 their current form

00:27:10.400 of government,

00:27:11.120 which is a cancer,

00:27:13.060 as long as they keep

00:27:14.240 their current form

00:27:14.840 of government,

00:27:15.660 their future is worse.

00:27:18.600 I'm going to work

00:27:19.440 every day of my life,

00:27:21.060 at least a little bit,

00:27:22.780 at least persuasion-wise,

00:27:24.280 to take China

00:27:25.800 off of the top shelf

00:27:27.620 and make sure

00:27:28.600 that they fall

00:27:29.640 and get worse

00:27:30.720 every year

00:27:31.220 from that point on,

00:27:32.940 economically,

00:27:34.020 militarily,

00:27:34.840 influence-wise,

00:27:35.640 and reputation-wise.

00:27:37.580 And I'm sure

00:27:39.840 a lot of people

00:27:40.420 will be joining me

00:27:41.500 in that fight.

00:27:42.860 But I think

00:27:43.620 at this point,

00:27:44.340 if the United States

00:27:45.460 just does business

00:27:46.780 as usual with China 0.99

00:27:47.920 when this is all done

00:27:49.000 and we just start

00:27:49.900 trading with them

00:27:51.360 like normal,

00:27:52.700 then I would say

00:27:53.380 the government

00:27:53.900 of the United States

00:27:54.680 is then my enemy,

00:27:56.340 at least in terms of

00:27:58.020 whatever the administration

00:27:59.040 is that's doing that.

00:28:00.140 And if an administration

00:28:02.280 came along

00:28:03.340 that was promising

00:28:04.100 to stop doing that,

00:28:05.720 I would support them

00:28:07.140 over the Trump administration.

00:28:11.280 So it's war.

00:28:13.740 And I don't play

00:28:15.800 a war to lose.

00:28:17.180 Do you?

00:28:18.080 If you're in a war,

00:28:19.240 do you play to lose?

00:28:21.280 Do you play for a draw?

00:28:23.220 This is war now.

00:28:24.740 We're at war with China.

00:28:26.020 It's obvious.

00:28:27.040 We have been.

00:28:27.760 We just didn't want

00:28:28.540 to call it that.

00:28:29.180 But now it's kind of obvious.

00:28:30.940 And I'm not even talking

00:28:31.700 about the Chinese Wuhan virus.

00:28:35.060 I don't know

00:28:35.580 what the origin of that is.

00:28:37.020 That feels more like

00:28:37.820 a mistake than intentional.

00:28:39.580 But they certainly

00:28:40.340 didn't help us.

00:28:41.960 They didn't help us

00:28:42.860 the way we would have

00:28:44.040 expected a reasonable

00:28:45.740 country to help us.

00:28:48.080 So at this point,

00:28:50.700 I would say that

00:28:51.440 closing the border

00:28:52.280 of Mexico

00:28:52.920 is how you win

00:28:54.260 the war with China.

00:28:56.700 And that anybody

00:28:58.440 at this point,

00:29:00.620 now that we understand

00:29:01.500 that we're at a war

00:29:02.300 with China,

00:29:03.360 they're sending drugs

00:29:04.220 through the cartels

00:29:05.080 into the United States,

00:29:06.220 if you still don't want

00:29:07.620 to close the border

00:29:08.460 with China,

00:29:10.060 you're a lost cause.

00:29:14.080 Maybe you just don't

00:29:15.080 understand the situation.

00:29:16.840 But I would say

00:29:17.480 for anybody who now

00:29:18.380 understands the situation

00:29:19.820 and that it really is

00:29:22.200 China at war

00:29:23.200 with the United States,

00:29:24.280 sending their weapons

00:29:25.280 some mass destruction

00:29:26.140 through the border

00:29:26.900 with Mexico,

00:29:28.620 if you're not ready

00:29:30.520 to close the border

00:29:31.320 now,

00:29:32.300 in whatever that takes,

00:29:34.400 drones and military

00:29:36.140 and walls in some places,

00:29:38.020 whatever it takes,

00:29:39.240 if you're not willing

00:29:40.220 to do that now,

00:29:42.200 whose side are you on?

00:29:44.420 I mean,

00:29:44.780 at this point,

00:29:45.280 you've just got

00:29:45.640 to take sides.

00:29:46.400 It's not even

00:29:46.860 an opinion piece anymore.

00:29:48.560 You just have to

00:29:49.280 take sides.

00:29:50.580 I'm on Team America.

00:29:51.800 I would like to see

00:29:53.760 China's fate 0.99

00:29:55.120 turn very,

00:29:56.480 very bad

00:29:56.980 in the next few years

00:29:57.980 and I'm going to work

00:29:59.360 to make sure

00:29:59.900 that happens

00:30:00.560 unless they reform

00:30:01.740 their government,

00:30:02.400 which would be fine.

00:30:03.460 That's first choice.

00:30:05.180 All right.

00:30:07.240 There's an article

00:30:08.400 speaking of this

00:30:09.580 in the New York Times

00:30:10.520 about maybe sending home

00:30:12.700 the Chinese spies

00:30:13.740 at media companies.

00:30:15.820 What?

00:30:17.100 Wait, what?

00:30:17.920 Am I understanding

00:30:21.080 the story right

00:30:21.860 in the New York Times

00:30:22.740 that the U.S. government

00:30:24.660 is considering

00:30:25.700 maybe sending home

00:30:28.040 the Chinese spies

00:30:29.160 that work

00:30:30.740 for media companies

00:30:32.000 in the United States?

00:30:34.900 What?

00:30:36.420 What?

00:30:37.740 Are you telling me

00:30:38.840 that we know

00:30:39.360 they're spies

00:30:39.940 and they're working

00:30:41.880 in the United States

00:30:42.940 writing stories

00:30:43.800 that you and I

00:30:44.360 are reading?

00:30:45.720 What?

00:30:46.880 Of course.

00:30:48.260 You should send

00:30:48.800 them all home.

00:30:50.540 Should we care

00:30:51.640 that China 0.93

00:30:52.680 is expelling

00:30:53.560 our journalists?

00:30:55.200 Probably not

00:30:56.000 because I can't imagine

00:30:57.180 journalists can actually

00:30:58.160 operate in China anyway.

00:31:00.420 Do you think it matters

00:31:01.240 if we have journalists

00:31:02.060 in China?

00:31:03.400 Probably not

00:31:04.080 because they're probably

00:31:04.620 just spies

00:31:05.260 or at least some of them,

00:31:06.480 not all of them.

00:31:07.660 But do we care

00:31:09.440 if we have spies

00:31:10.140 or if we,

00:31:11.380 do we care

00:31:12.360 if we have journalists,

00:31:13.720 U.S. journalists

00:31:14.400 in China?

00:31:15.380 Why would we care?

00:31:16.420 They're not getting

00:31:16.860 any stories.

00:31:18.420 Right?

00:31:18.940 Because if they ever

00:31:19.840 reported anything

00:31:20.720 negative about China

00:31:21.640 they'd be kicked

00:31:22.240 down anyway.

00:31:23.360 So what is the point

00:31:24.460 of having U.S. journalists,

00:31:26.800 any of them,

00:31:27.220 even one?

00:31:28.180 Why would you even

00:31:28.800 need one?

00:31:29.800 They're not getting

00:31:30.540 any stories.

00:31:32.180 They're not breaking

00:31:32.900 any news.

00:31:34.060 That's not going

00:31:34.640 to happen.

00:31:35.060 What's the point?

00:31:36.120 So they're kicking

00:31:36.920 down our journalists,

00:31:37.800 big deal.

00:31:39.440 And then it's reported

00:31:40.280 almost nonchalantly

00:31:41.600 that we somehow

00:31:43.540 know about all

00:31:44.360 these Chinese spies

00:31:45.400 in our media

00:31:46.400 structure.

00:31:47.660 To which I say,

00:31:49.200 why aren't they

00:31:50.080 gone now?

00:31:51.540 Like, why are we

00:31:52.480 waiting for the

00:31:53.080 end of today?

00:31:54.620 Is it because we

00:31:55.400 don't know exactly

00:31:56.200 which ones are

00:31:56.920 spies and which

00:31:57.680 ones are just,

00:31:58.680 you know,

00:31:58.980 people born in

00:31:59.680 China who are 0.97

00:32:00.340 working over here?

00:32:01.180 Is it because we

00:32:01.740 can't tell?

00:32:03.460 Maybe that's why.

00:32:04.260 Now, let me say

00:32:07.160 something else

00:32:07.860 which I cannot

00:32:09.500 source, but I'll

00:32:10.880 tell you it's

00:32:11.340 obvious.

00:32:13.060 You want to know

00:32:13.960 something that's

00:32:14.580 true and obvious

00:32:15.640 at this point?

00:32:17.760 That some amount

00:32:19.440 of the, let's

00:32:21.700 say, the

00:32:22.320 unexplained

00:32:23.260 behavior of your

00:32:25.500 social media

00:32:26.140 platforms is

00:32:28.620 foreign spies.

00:32:31.140 So, can I

00:32:32.500 prove this?

00:32:33.020 No.

00:32:33.220 But I'm going

00:32:34.300 to make a

00:32:34.720 statement of

00:32:36.240 fact, and I'm

00:32:37.500 going to do it

00:32:37.900 with high

00:32:38.240 confidence.

00:32:39.480 But I don't

00:32:40.080 have a source.

00:32:40.940 I'm just saying

00:32:41.840 that common

00:32:43.140 sense and

00:32:45.020 everything you

00:32:45.600 know about the

00:32:46.120 world will tell

00:32:46.780 you this is

00:32:47.260 true.

00:32:49.160 And this is one

00:32:50.140 of the benefits

00:32:50.560 of studying

00:32:51.120 economics, by

00:32:52.000 the way.

00:32:53.800 You know, there's

00:32:54.300 some things that

00:32:54.940 you can predict

00:32:55.740 to be true

00:32:56.920 every time just

00:32:58.660 because you know

00:32:59.240 economics.

00:33:00.500 You know,

00:33:00.720 economics will

00:33:01.360 have an influence

00:33:01.960 on people that's

00:33:02.660 fairly predictable

00:33:03.620 on average

00:33:04.980 over time.

00:33:06.260 So, for

00:33:06.480 example, in

00:33:07.120 economics, if

00:33:07.940 somebody, if

00:33:08.660 the same

00:33:09.520 product were

00:33:10.700 being sold

00:33:11.400 for, you

00:33:11.860 know, $100

00:33:12.280 here and $10

00:33:13.420 here, you

00:33:14.980 don't have to

00:33:15.460 be psychic to

00:33:17.120 know that as

00:33:17.900 long as people

00:33:18.400 know that it's

00:33:19.080 the same

00:33:19.360 product, that

00:33:20.020 people will

00:33:20.460 buy more of

00:33:21.020 the cheap

00:33:21.340 one, right?

00:33:21.840 So, there's

00:33:22.300 just some

00:33:22.600 things in

00:33:23.020 economics that

00:33:24.440 guarantee you're

00:33:25.320 seeing the

00:33:25.660 future as

00:33:26.960 close as that

00:33:27.640 can be

00:33:27.940 guaranteed,

00:33:28.620 right?

00:33:28.760 nothing's

00:33:29.180 100%.

00:33:29.800 And the

00:33:31.900 world is

00:33:32.260 just very

00:33:32.620 clear once

00:33:33.920 you understand

00:33:34.620 economics and

00:33:35.860 psychology.

00:33:37.040 Here's one of

00:33:37.780 those cases.

00:33:39.140 If you were

00:33:40.160 Russia, or

00:33:42.000 you were

00:33:42.600 China, or

00:33:44.320 you were even

00:33:45.220 one of our

00:33:45.740 allies, name

00:33:47.220 an ally, I

00:33:47.960 won't pick

00:33:48.420 favorites, and

00:33:50.860 you could,

00:33:52.340 let's say it

00:33:52.840 was possible,

00:33:54.100 and you could

00:33:54.900 put people who

00:33:56.140 were loyal to

00:33:56.940 your country,

00:33:57.580 but not the

00:33:58.060 United States,

00:33:59.060 if you could

00:33:59.780 place them

00:34:00.320 into jobs at

00:34:01.240 the major

00:34:01.720 social media

00:34:03.160 platforms, you

00:34:04.100 know, let's

00:34:04.360 say your

00:34:04.660 Googles, and

00:34:05.500 your YouTubes,

00:34:06.480 and your

00:34:06.760 Facebooks, and

00:34:08.140 your Twitter,

00:34:08.740 and your

00:34:08.980 Instagram, if

00:34:10.520 you could do

00:34:11.240 it, would

00:34:12.740 you do it?

00:34:15.220 Right?

00:34:16.000 Is there any

00:34:16.700 question about

00:34:17.540 that?

00:34:18.660 If they could

00:34:19.480 do it, wouldn't

00:34:21.260 you all agree

00:34:21.960 that they would?

00:34:24.280 You know, if

00:34:24.700 we could put a

00:34:25.400 spy in a

00:34:26.880 major social

00:34:27.760 media platform

00:34:28.520 company in

00:34:29.340 China, would 0.96

00:34:30.840 we do it?

00:34:32.340 Well, obviously.

00:34:33.760 Of course we

00:34:34.360 would.

00:34:34.840 If we could

00:34:35.420 put an

00:34:36.420 American spy

00:34:37.340 into some

00:34:38.940 important social

00:34:41.580 entity or

00:34:43.280 company or

00:34:43.920 business in

00:34:44.660 Russia, would 0.95

00:34:46.140 we do it?

00:34:47.320 Obviously we

00:34:48.120 would.

00:34:49.140 That's what we

00:34:49.680 do.

00:34:51.260 If China 0.97

00:34:52.260 could influence

00:34:55.560 somebody who's

00:34:56.120 already working

00:34:56.820 at one of

00:34:57.200 the platforms

00:34:57.780 or longer

00:34:59.320 term, like

00:35:00.120 promote

00:35:00.700 somebody, you

00:35:01.980 know, help

00:35:02.280 somebody's

00:35:02.720 career until

00:35:03.460 they get a

00:35:03.940 job there,

00:35:04.900 if China

00:35:06.020 could put

00:35:06.500 their own

00:35:06.920 agents into

00:35:08.780 the social

00:35:09.240 media platform

00:35:10.020 companies, would

00:35:11.740 they do it?

00:35:13.700 Do you have

00:35:14.420 any question

00:35:14.960 that they

00:35:15.320 would do

00:35:15.600 it?

00:35:16.900 Well, no.

00:35:17.920 No.

00:35:18.560 No, you

00:35:19.120 don't have any

00:35:19.560 question.

00:35:20.500 Yeah, I see

00:35:21.160 people mentioning

00:35:22.040 different countries.

00:35:23.800 Yeah.

00:35:24.320 So some

00:35:24.820 countries are

00:35:25.560 more active

00:35:26.520 and more

00:35:26.900 successful

00:35:27.520 spying.

00:35:29.920 So nobody

00:35:30.780 would be

00:35:31.200 surprised if

00:35:32.260 Great Britain

00:35:32.840 or Israel

00:35:33.760 or even

00:35:35.120 France or

00:35:35.940 Germany or

00:35:36.680 any of the

00:35:37.120 big countries.

00:35:38.380 So nobody

00:35:38.900 should be

00:35:39.400 surprised if

00:35:41.180 any of the

00:35:41.940 major countries

00:35:42.680 are putting

00:35:44.220 spies into

00:35:44.940 any of the

00:35:45.560 other major

00:35:46.040 countries.

00:35:46.540 So none of

00:35:46.900 that should be

00:35:47.280 a surprise.

00:35:48.420 So here's the

00:35:48.860 thing.

00:35:50.100 You know, I've

00:35:50.460 been saying

00:35:50.740 from the

00:35:51.160 beginning that

00:35:51.580 I doubted

00:35:53.420 that whatever

00:35:53.900 was happening

00:35:54.440 on Twitter

00:35:54.940 that was

00:35:55.280 hard to

00:35:55.620 explain,

00:35:56.420 that was

00:35:56.740 either the

00:35:58.320 most coincidental

00:36:00.260 series of

00:36:02.180 computer bugs

00:36:03.600 or somebody's

00:36:05.320 messing with

00:36:05.800 us.

00:36:06.540 Right?

00:36:06.740 Those were

00:36:07.100 the two

00:36:07.420 possibilities.

00:36:08.560 Because it

00:36:09.060 was obvious

00:36:09.440 something was

00:36:09.920 happening.

00:36:10.420 You could

00:36:10.680 look at it

00:36:11.240 and track

00:36:11.660 it and write

00:36:12.760 it down and

00:36:13.300 you could see

00:36:13.780 that things

00:36:14.240 were happening

00:36:14.740 to some

00:36:15.280 follower

00:36:16.240 accounts and

00:36:17.100 likes were

00:36:17.680 being unliked

00:36:18.320 and stuff like

00:36:18.820 that.

00:36:19.840 And I had

00:36:20.300 told you

00:36:20.600 that, in

00:36:21.480 my opinion,

00:36:22.180 unless I'm

00:36:22.620 the worst

00:36:22.980 judge of

00:36:23.380 character in

00:36:23.800 the world,

00:36:24.640 and I don't

00:36:25.460 think I am,

00:36:27.460 that Twitter

00:36:27.980 management doesn't

00:36:28.720 know what's

00:36:29.000 going on.

00:36:31.000 And my

00:36:31.700 hypothesis is

00:36:32.700 that it's

00:36:33.100 foreign

00:36:34.340 spies have

00:36:36.980 embedded

00:36:37.320 themselves or

00:36:38.180 have access

00:36:38.900 to the API

00:36:39.600 or have

00:36:40.760 access to

00:36:41.480 apps that

00:36:42.320 you've given

00:36:43.260 control to

00:36:43.880 your Twitter

00:36:44.280 accounts.

00:36:45.040 There might

00:36:45.400 be 50

00:36:45.980 different ways

00:36:46.520 they could

00:36:46.800 do it,

00:36:47.200 but I

00:36:48.160 think some

00:36:48.660 of the

00:36:48.880 irregularities

00:36:49.720 you're

00:36:50.240 having,

00:36:51.500 and I'll

00:36:51.860 give you

00:36:52.160 the,

00:36:52.660 here's sort

00:36:54.580 of the

00:36:54.900 canary in

00:36:55.620 the coal

00:36:55.900 mine,

00:36:56.360 you know,

00:36:56.560 the problem

00:36:57.040 I had

00:36:57.440 with being

00:36:58.440 unfollowed

00:36:59.120 from Richard

00:37:00.620 Grinnell.

00:37:01.840 So Ambassador

00:37:02.420 Grinnell of

00:37:03.080 Germany,

00:37:04.500 he was

00:37:05.300 probably the

00:37:05.960 most high

00:37:06.720 profile

00:37:07.280 ambassador,

00:37:08.860 wouldn't you

00:37:09.080 say?

00:37:09.740 I think he's

00:37:10.340 probably the

00:37:10.660 most high

00:37:11.060 profile ambassador.

00:37:12.820 We all know

00:37:13.640 him.

00:37:13.940 Is there

00:37:14.160 anybody who

00:37:14.560 doesn't know

00:37:15.020 the name

00:37:15.420 of Richard

00:37:15.900 Grinnell?

00:37:17.040 Probably not.

00:37:17.980 There's probably

00:37:18.320 not one of

00:37:18.840 you watching

00:37:19.220 this who

00:37:19.580 hasn't heard

00:37:20.000 his name.

00:37:20.820 Now name

00:37:21.200 another

00:37:21.520 diplomat.

00:37:23.360 Go.

00:37:24.300 Name one

00:37:25.200 other diplomat

00:37:26.200 for any

00:37:27.680 country,

00:37:28.240 an American

00:37:28.800 diplomat,

00:37:29.620 working

00:37:29.980 anywhere.

00:37:30.500 Can he

00:37:30.740 name one?

00:37:32.380 Probably

00:37:32.900 not,

00:37:33.360 right?

00:37:35.200 So,

00:37:36.400 Richard Grinnell,

00:37:37.840 I think you

00:37:38.440 would agree,

00:37:39.560 the most

00:37:40.260 famous

00:37:40.740 diplomat,

00:37:42.080 who also

00:37:42.540 has a good

00:37:42.960 reputation,

00:37:43.740 people like

00:37:44.200 him,

00:37:45.020 and I

00:37:46.540 looked at

00:37:46.840 his Twitter

00:37:47.300 followers and

00:37:47.920 it's like

00:37:48.180 215,000 or

00:37:49.560 something.

00:37:50.840 I have

00:37:51.540 twice as

00:37:52.080 many Twitter

00:37:52.660 followers as

00:37:54.140 our most

00:37:54.500 famous diplomat

00:37:55.560 who is very

00:37:56.520 active.

00:37:57.740 He is far

00:37:58.380 more famous

00:37:58.880 than I am,

00:38:00.060 far more

00:38:00.620 active,

00:38:01.060 and he has

00:38:01.400 half as many

00:38:02.160 Twitter followers.

00:38:03.520 Now,

00:38:04.480 a lot of

00:38:04.960 people reported

00:38:05.700 when I pointed

00:38:06.540 out that I

00:38:07.280 had been

00:38:07.780 unfollowed

00:38:09.280 from him,

00:38:09.880 in other

00:38:10.160 words,

00:38:10.380 I had

00:38:10.560 followed him

00:38:11.040 and then I

00:38:11.380 wasn't anymore

00:38:12.020 on two

00:38:13.100 separate occasions

00:38:13.840 that I know

00:38:14.380 of,

00:38:15.120 I checked

00:38:15.700 it this

00:38:16.020 morning and

00:38:16.420 I'm still

00:38:16.760 following him,

00:38:17.620 and a bunch

00:38:18.100 of other

00:38:18.380 people said,

00:38:18.900 hey,

00:38:19.560 I asked people

00:38:20.180 to check it,

00:38:20.620 they said,

00:38:20.820 hey,

00:38:21.680 it happened

00:38:22.020 to me too,

00:38:23.200 it happened

00:38:24.700 to me too.

00:38:26.100 So all

00:38:26.960 kinds of

00:38:27.400 people said

00:38:27.980 they're

00:38:28.360 positive they

00:38:29.000 followed him,

00:38:29.620 it's not

00:38:30.000 really something

00:38:30.580 you'd forget,

00:38:32.520 you know,

00:38:32.780 because it's a

00:38:33.240 conscious decision.

00:38:35.200 Now,

00:38:35.580 so let me ask

00:38:36.400 you this,

00:38:37.000 do you think

00:38:37.660 that there was

00:38:38.280 a,

00:38:39.020 is it more

00:38:39.540 likely that there

00:38:40.400 was somebody

00:38:40.860 who works

00:38:41.440 for Twitter,

00:38:42.820 who was,

00:38:43.760 you know,

00:38:44.080 like some

00:38:44.580 rogue employee,

00:38:46.780 just some

00:38:47.220 American who

00:38:47.960 didn't like

00:38:48.420 Trump,

00:38:49.400 who decided

00:38:50.360 to reduce

00:38:51.320 the voice

00:38:51.920 of Richard

00:38:52.400 Grinnell?

00:38:53.900 Well,

00:38:55.080 maybe,

00:38:56.700 but doesn't

00:38:57.940 it seem

00:38:58.200 more likely

00:38:58.760 that he

00:38:59.140 would be

00:38:59.440 targeted

00:38:59.780 by another

00:39:00.300 country?

00:39:01.380 Because most

00:39:02.220 of what

00:39:02.560 Grinnell

00:39:02.880 talks about

00:39:03.560 is our

00:39:04.740 relationship

00:39:05.240 with other

00:39:05.760 countries.

00:39:07.040 He doesn't

00:39:07.740 really say

00:39:08.840 grossly just,

00:39:10.040 you know,

00:39:10.380 President Trump

00:39:11.160 is the best

00:39:11.740 president.

00:39:12.760 I mean,

00:39:12.920 he does some

00:39:13.380 of that because

00:39:13.840 he's part of

00:39:14.220 the administration,

00:39:15.220 but he's

00:39:16.160 mostly talking

00:39:16.900 about other

00:39:18.080 countries and

00:39:19.580 our relationship

00:39:20.220 to them.

00:39:20.900 That's sort

00:39:21.380 of his deal.

00:39:22.880 And his

00:39:23.240 voice,

00:39:24.620 probably,

00:39:25.700 I would guess

00:39:26.460 that his

00:39:27.000 natural Twitter

00:39:28.580 following would

00:39:29.260 be over a

00:39:29.800 million by now,

00:39:31.340 I'm guessing.

00:39:32.640 Just,

00:39:33.160 you know,

00:39:33.780 given his

00:39:34.320 visibility and,

00:39:35.540 you know,

00:39:35.940 his importance

00:39:37.340 in the world,

00:39:38.180 I think he'd

00:39:38.780 have a million

00:39:39.320 Twitter followers

00:39:40.100 by now,

00:39:41.240 being an

00:39:41.700 active tweeter.

00:39:43.820 So who is

00:39:44.600 more likely

00:39:45.120 to have

00:39:45.700 reduced his

00:39:46.700 voice?

00:39:48.200 Now,

00:39:48.760 if you were

00:39:49.060 saying to me,

00:39:50.220 hey,

00:39:50.520 somebody reduced

00:39:51.540 Jack Posobiec's

00:39:53.640 voice,

00:39:54.820 I would

00:39:55.480 immediately say,

00:39:56.180 oh,

00:39:56.540 that might be

00:39:57.200 internal politics.

00:39:59.120 You know,

00:39:59.340 because there's

00:39:59.680 some people

00:40:00.120 who are talking

00:40:00.860 more about

00:40:01.340 domestic politics

00:40:02.240 all the time.

00:40:03.160 And if you saw

00:40:03.940 their voice

00:40:04.920 being reduced,

00:40:05.680 somehow by

00:40:06.520 some unseen

00:40:07.440 entity,

00:40:08.680 your first

00:40:09.300 thought would

00:40:09.640 be,

00:40:10.360 hey,

00:40:10.940 is there

00:40:11.180 somebody who

00:40:11.600 works at

00:40:11.940 Twitter who's

00:40:13.260 doing this?

00:40:14.200 You know,

00:40:14.340 is this management

00:40:15.000 or is there a

00:40:15.660 rogue employee?

00:40:16.820 That would be a

00:40:17.320 reasonable thing.

00:40:18.800 But when you see

00:40:20.140 Richard Grinnell

00:40:21.080 being,

00:40:22.220 I think,

00:40:23.420 obviously targeted

00:40:24.540 in some way

00:40:25.420 for a reduced

00:40:26.760 voice,

00:40:27.720 and he's mostly

00:40:28.560 talking about our

00:40:29.360 relationship with

00:40:30.120 other countries,

00:40:31.400 who do you think

00:40:32.180 did it?

00:40:32.560 isn't it more

00:40:35.080 likely another

00:40:35.660 country did it?

00:40:37.060 So that's my

00:40:38.200 hypothesis,

00:40:39.880 with no proof

00:40:42.120 for any of that.

00:40:44.680 So the official

00:40:46.260 story is that we

00:40:47.040 don't know.

00:40:48.300 We don't know

00:40:48.980 why it seems,

00:40:50.260 I'll say seems,

00:40:51.820 officially,

00:40:52.480 nobody really

00:40:53.080 knows why this

00:40:54.860 stuff's happened.

00:40:55.380 All right.

00:40:59.400 So I saw a

00:41:01.260 complaint that,

00:41:02.380 I think it was

00:41:02.680 on CNN,

00:41:03.420 they were saying

00:41:03.820 that the

00:41:05.200 emergency relief

00:41:07.860 bill had a

00:41:09.520 gift in it

00:41:10.100 for rich people,

00:41:11.680 and I thought

00:41:12.220 to myself,

00:41:13.040 well, that

00:41:14.000 probably didn't

00:41:14.580 happen.

00:41:16.140 Yeah, that was

00:41:16.500 my first impression

00:41:18.360 when I saw the

00:41:19.020 headline.

00:41:19.380 It's like,

00:41:19.640 really?

00:41:20.560 Really?

00:41:21.120 Somebody's going

00:41:21.720 to stick in a

00:41:22.420 gift for the

00:41:23.280 top 1%?

00:41:24.120 A tax break

00:41:25.820 for the top

00:41:26.300 1%?

00:41:26.920 Somebody put

00:41:28.560 that into this

00:41:29.300 relief bill?

00:41:30.620 Seriously?

00:41:31.880 And so I

00:41:32.300 thought, okay,

00:41:33.120 fake news,

00:41:34.120 I'll read this,

00:41:34.900 and it won't,

00:41:35.240 just, the

00:41:36.440 headline won't

00:41:37.080 even match the

00:41:37.920 content, which

00:41:39.160 is what we're

00:41:39.620 getting used to.

00:41:40.820 And I read the

00:41:41.480 content, and I

00:41:42.320 thought, oh my

00:41:44.020 God, is this

00:41:45.500 true?

00:41:46.640 You know, you

00:41:47.360 can't believe

00:41:47.760 anything's true,

00:41:49.180 but here's,

00:41:50.460 here's the,

00:41:52.320 the claim,

00:41:53.340 that there

00:41:54.880 was a

00:41:55.240 substantial

00:41:55.800 change in

00:41:56.860 the tax

00:41:57.380 code, so

00:41:58.860 that real

00:41:59.580 estate moguls

00:42:00.500 can write

00:42:02.680 off some

00:42:03.120 capital gains

00:42:03.880 losses in

00:42:04.760 a way more

00:42:06.060 favorable way

00:42:06.800 than before,

00:42:07.640 to which I

00:42:08.660 say to

00:42:08.940 myself, what

00:42:09.540 did that

00:42:09.840 have to do

00:42:10.200 with the

00:42:10.440 recovery?

00:42:11.960 What?

00:42:12.660 What did

00:42:13.280 that have to

00:42:13.700 do with the

00:42:14.000 recovery?

00:42:15.760 What a

00:42:17.560 pathetic

00:42:18.260 performance by

00:42:21.180 our Congress.

00:42:21.800 I mean, I

00:42:23.420 think I'm

00:42:24.300 beyond hate.

00:42:26.540 You know, it

00:42:27.200 starts with,

00:42:27.880 well, I don't

00:42:29.040 have a lot of

00:42:29.580 confidence in

00:42:30.380 Congress.

00:42:31.260 And then there's

00:42:31.640 some point where

00:42:32.260 you just hate

00:42:32.760 them.

00:42:33.940 And I think I

00:42:34.460 pass through

00:42:35.020 hate.

00:42:36.600 I'm at, this

00:42:38.120 is pathetic.

00:42:39.920 They should just

00:42:40.860 be embarrassed

00:42:41.520 every day.

00:42:43.160 I mean, I

00:42:43.920 guess we have

00:42:44.500 to fact check

00:42:45.160 whether this

00:42:45.680 real estate

00:42:47.000 depreciation

00:42:48.500 slash write-off

00:42:49.500 tax break for

00:42:50.600 the rich.

00:42:51.240 I guess we

00:42:51.720 have to see

00:42:52.100 if it's

00:42:52.400 true, because

00:42:53.240 just because

00:42:53.700 it's reported

00:42:54.300 doesn't mean

00:42:54.760 it's true,

00:42:55.280 unfortunately.

00:42:56.360 But if it's

00:42:56.900 true, that's

00:42:59.500 just pathetic.

00:43:00.860 Just pathetic.

00:43:03.360 And I would

00:43:04.120 say that nobody

00:43:04.900 in Congress

00:43:05.700 should be

00:43:06.460 re-elected.

00:43:08.760 Be they 0.73

00:43:09.400 Republican,

00:43:10.440 be they

00:43:10.840 independent,

00:43:11.960 be they

00:43:12.340 Democratic.

00:43:13.680 So, you

00:43:14.960 know, in

00:43:15.240 case you're

00:43:15.620 wondering if

00:43:16.060 I'm being

00:43:16.420 partisan, I

00:43:17.740 don't care if

00:43:18.260 every Republican

00:43:19.160 in the

00:43:20.360 Congress and

00:43:21.240 the Senate

00:43:21.580 loses their

00:43:22.280 job in the

00:43:22.800 next election.

00:43:23.540 That'd be

00:43:23.800 fine with me.

00:43:24.680 And moreover, I

00:43:25.480 don't even care

00:43:25.960 what the mix is

00:43:26.660 when it's done.

00:43:27.980 I don't care if

00:43:29.020 there are more

00:43:29.420 Democrats or more

00:43:30.340 Republicans or

00:43:31.200 more anything.

00:43:31.940 I don't care.

00:43:33.040 I think at this

00:43:33.620 point they all

00:43:34.280 need to lose

00:43:34.800 their job.

00:43:35.900 Because if

00:43:36.180 that's true,

00:43:37.800 is that true?

00:43:39.500 I mean, first

00:43:40.080 of all, I need

00:43:41.240 to know if it's

00:43:41.780 true.

00:43:43.480 But if it

00:43:45.760 is, they all

00:43:47.940 need to be

00:43:48.320 fired.

00:43:49.160 I've seen

00:43:52.560 two completely

00:43:53.400 different medical

00:43:54.500 opinions on

00:43:55.380 how this

00:43:56.080 coronavirus gets

00:43:57.980 transmitted.

00:43:59.080 I will tell

00:43:59.940 you the two

00:44:00.360 opinions I've

00:44:00.960 heard, and

00:44:02.320 then I will

00:44:02.900 tell you that

00:44:03.860 I don't know

00:44:04.380 how to know

00:44:05.060 which one's

00:44:05.540 right.

00:44:06.220 But I'll just

00:44:06.640 pass along.

00:44:07.580 So both of

00:44:08.120 these are not

00:44:09.020 scientific studies.

00:44:10.300 These are based

00:44:10.780 on doctors who

00:44:11.680 are working on

00:44:12.180 the front lines.

00:44:13.700 And they're

00:44:14.160 reporting, so

00:44:14.860 some of this is

00:44:15.480 anecdotal, but

00:44:16.380 it's the people

00:44:16.960 who are in the

00:44:17.660 fight.

00:44:17.980 So it's not

00:44:19.080 people watching

00:44:19.780 the fight.

00:44:20.820 These are

00:44:21.220 doctors who

00:44:21.800 are actually

00:44:22.200 intubating people

00:44:23.080 and putting

00:44:23.500 them on

00:44:23.760 ventilators.

00:44:24.960 They're right

00:44:25.800 in it in

00:44:26.360 New York City.

00:44:27.400 One of them

00:44:28.080 said, here's

00:44:29.320 the good news,

00:44:30.440 that if you're

00:44:31.080 really good about

00:44:31.640 washing your

00:44:32.180 hands and

00:44:32.900 social distancing

00:44:34.060 and not

00:44:36.220 touching your

00:44:36.700 face, so if

00:44:37.880 you do those

00:44:38.300 three things,

00:44:39.260 this one

00:44:39.720 doctor said,

00:44:41.080 wash your

00:44:41.680 hands like

00:44:42.080 crazy, wear a

00:44:44.680 mask, mostly to

00:44:45.800 prevent you from

00:44:46.420 touching your

00:44:46.900 own face, it's

00:44:47.600 just good, and

00:44:49.040 do your social

00:44:49.640 distancing, this

00:44:51.420 doctor says the

00:44:52.220 odds of getting

00:44:52.960 it, if you do

00:44:53.660 just those three

00:44:54.400 things, are

00:44:55.380 basically vanishingly

00:44:57.300 small.

00:44:58.320 Now that's based

00:44:58.880 on his experience,

00:44:59.820 not based on

00:45:00.500 studies.

00:45:01.800 And the idea is

00:45:03.140 I guess he wasn't

00:45:03.880 seeing people who

00:45:05.600 had it unless they

00:45:06.660 also had a story of

00:45:07.880 close contact, and

00:45:09.820 he defined it as

00:45:10.800 maybe it could be a

00:45:12.700 handshake, but also

00:45:13.880 it could be spouses

00:45:15.640 hugging or

00:45:17.060 something.

00:45:19.360 So then another

00:45:20.200 doctor had a very

00:45:21.060 different story, he

00:45:21.820 said that he's

00:45:22.320 hearing from people

00:45:23.220 who had no known

00:45:24.880 contact with someone

00:45:25.900 who had it, but

00:45:27.660 they had been to

00:45:29.260 the grocery store,

00:45:30.360 and that was their

00:45:30.940 only exposure.

00:45:33.160 So the idea is that

00:45:34.320 people who went

00:45:34.900 shopping were also

00:45:38.400 turning up in

00:45:39.440 emergency rooms, and

00:45:41.820 that was the only

00:45:42.700 known exposure they

00:45:44.840 had to the public.

00:45:46.340 They just had to go

00:45:47.120 buy food and come

00:45:48.000 home.

00:45:49.740 Now, that's still

00:45:50.820 anecdotal.

00:45:51.940 It doesn't mean that

00:45:52.780 they got it from

00:45:53.600 buying groceries.

00:45:55.100 It still allows, and

00:45:56.520 by the way, the

00:45:57.320 first doctor who said

00:45:58.960 your odds of getting

00:45:59.580 it are very low, did

00:46:01.220 not say go shopping.

00:46:03.640 So I think they're

00:46:04.580 both on the same

00:46:05.400 page, that if you

00:46:07.120 can avoid physically

00:46:08.160 going to a store,

00:46:09.600 especially if you're

00:46:10.420 in a danger zone or

00:46:12.920 you're older or

00:46:13.460 something, you should

00:46:14.360 do it.

00:46:14.780 So I think they're

00:46:15.260 both consistent on

00:46:16.140 that.

00:46:16.980 But one is saying

00:46:17.720 that the grocery

00:46:20.220 store is a source if

00:46:21.540 you go in person, and

00:46:23.700 then the other doctor

00:46:24.480 was saying that food

00:46:25.760 that is delivered to

00:46:26.580 your house, so long

00:46:28.320 as you wear gloves

00:46:30.660 when you're opening

00:46:31.460 it up, or at least

00:46:33.160 you're washing your

00:46:34.400 hands after you've

00:46:35.360 disposed of the

00:46:38.140 outer bag.

00:46:39.980 This one doctor

00:46:40.800 said probably by the

00:46:42.020 time you get to the

00:46:42.740 food, your odds of

00:46:44.640 getting something are

00:46:45.240 very low.

00:46:46.280 So he suggests

00:46:47.020 getting delivery if

00:46:47.900 he can.

00:46:49.940 All right.

00:46:53.180 Here's, apparently

00:46:55.560 President Trump has a

00:46:56.600 49% approval rating,

00:46:58.340 which approaches a

00:47:00.320 career high, and 60%

00:47:03.940 of Americans now

00:47:04.860 approve of his

00:47:05.680 handling, including

00:47:07.740 more than a quarter

00:47:08.560 of Democrats'

00:47:09.720 handling of the

00:47:10.420 crisis.

00:47:11.320 Now, you might say

00:47:12.900 to yourself, you

00:47:16.940 might say to

00:47:17.420 yourself, but what

00:47:18.620 about all the things

00:47:19.540 he should have done

00:47:20.260 differently?

00:47:21.660 How could even

00:47:22.820 Democrats be happy 0.77

00:47:24.700 with the President

00:47:25.340 when it's reported on

00:47:27.140 CNN every day that

00:47:29.000 he's getting his facts

00:47:29.980 wrong in public, and

00:47:32.740 that he should have

00:47:33.980 done whatever

00:47:35.200 sooner?

00:47:36.840 But why is the

00:47:37.760 public not responding

00:47:39.440 to that the way they

00:47:40.280 normally do?

00:47:40.860 Why is the public

00:47:41.540 saying, no, he's

00:47:42.940 doing a good job, even

00:47:44.940 when the enemy press

00:47:46.820 is telling him, is

00:47:48.840 telling the public

00:47:49.580 that he's not?

00:47:51.000 He should have done

00:47:51.800 things sooner, should

00:47:52.700 have done things

00:47:53.600 differently, should

00:47:54.840 have talked about it

00:47:55.520 differently, should

00:47:56.360 have not had those

00:47:57.840 facts wrong.

00:47:58.380 So why is the

00:48:00.340 public seeing past

00:48:01.500 the reporting this

00:48:02.580 time, when normally

00:48:04.300 they don't?

00:48:05.200 It's not everybody, but

00:48:06.140 a lot of them are

00:48:06.600 seeing past the

00:48:07.360 reporting.

00:48:08.760 And I hope it's

00:48:10.880 this.

00:48:12.500 I hope it's this.

00:48:15.120 One of them is we've

00:48:16.400 learned that nobody

00:48:17.880 knew how much

00:48:19.560 inventory we needed,

00:48:20.960 or why we needed it,

00:48:21.900 or who had it.

00:48:22.980 So I think we've

00:48:24.060 learned that nobody

00:48:24.620 had the basic

00:48:25.860 knowledge that we

00:48:27.640 weren't prepared,

00:48:28.380 prepared, and

00:48:29.320 therefore didn't

00:48:30.140 know we needed to

00:48:31.040 prepare, because

00:48:31.940 nobody even knew

00:48:32.560 we were not

00:48:33.240 prepared, probably in

00:48:34.840 the government

00:48:35.260 anyway.

00:48:35.820 I mean, I feel

00:48:37.400 confident in saying

00:48:38.380 that before this

00:48:39.160 started, probably

00:48:40.600 nobody ever told

00:48:41.560 President Trump

00:48:42.380 directly, or Pence,

00:48:44.380 hey, if we have a

00:48:45.860 pandemic, we're going

00:48:47.960 to run out of all

00:48:48.640 these supplies.

00:48:49.840 I doubt anybody

00:48:50.960 told them that,

00:48:51.820 right?

00:48:52.300 So is it the

00:48:53.720 President's fault

00:48:54.620 that we got caught

00:48:56.660 unprepared?

00:48:57.360 Well, look at every

00:48:58.160 other country.

00:48:59.620 Every other country

00:49:00.640 got unprepared.

00:49:01.780 Was China ready? 0.57

00:49:02.720 No.

00:49:02.980 Was South Korea

00:49:03.580 ready?

00:49:03.940 No.

00:49:04.320 Was Japan ready?

00:49:06.060 No.

00:49:07.400 100% of countries

00:49:08.660 weren't ready.

00:49:10.320 So is the public

00:49:12.360 saying, okay, I get

00:49:13.560 what you're saying,

00:49:14.260 CNN and MSNBC, but

00:49:16.200 you realize there are

00:49:16.780 a lot of countries,

00:49:18.140 and none of them

00:49:18.780 were ready?

00:49:20.400 I mean, that context

00:49:21.320 sort of changes how

00:49:22.100 you feel about it.

00:49:23.300 Secondly, a lot of

00:49:24.620 people are making

00:49:28.100 hay out of something

00:49:29.340 that should have

00:49:29.880 been done sooner.

00:49:32.480 This is one of

00:49:33.360 those topics.

00:49:35.740 So somebody writing

00:49:37.140 said they think

00:49:38.120 that Trump should

00:49:39.600 have acted sooner

00:49:40.380 to either close

00:49:41.280 the airports or

00:49:42.140 close travel.

00:49:43.260 He should have

00:49:43.740 acted sooner to

00:49:44.700 do social distancing.

00:49:45.880 He should have

00:49:46.260 acted sooner to get

00:49:47.260 supplies that are

00:49:49.360 in shortages.

00:49:49.820 Now, is it true,

00:49:53.060 just objectively

00:49:54.000 speaking, that we

00:49:55.780 would be better off

00:49:56.840 if he had acted

00:49:57.700 sooner?

00:49:58.260 Yes.

00:49:58.940 Yes.

00:49:59.300 We can all agree

00:49:59.900 with that, right?

00:50:00.860 No matter what

00:50:01.600 political side you're

00:50:02.840 on, we would all

00:50:04.000 agree that things

00:50:05.120 would be better if

00:50:06.380 we had acted

00:50:06.900 sooner.

00:50:08.680 But I would like to

00:50:09.640 make this standard.

00:50:11.080 So here's a standard

00:50:11.940 I would like to

00:50:12.760 suggest.

00:50:14.040 There was one smart

00:50:15.440 person in the world,

00:50:17.140 and all of the rest

00:50:18.400 of us are assholes. 0.81

00:50:20.740 Okay?

00:50:21.380 That's the frame

00:50:22.180 you should put on

00:50:22.740 that.

00:50:23.360 Because we don't

00:50:24.160 know who it was.

00:50:25.320 Like, we can't put a

00:50:26.200 name to the one

00:50:26.840 person who's not an

00:50:27.660 asshole, but we can

00:50:28.800 know the rest of us

00:50:29.560 are, and here's why.

00:50:31.660 Whoever was the

00:50:32.620 first person in the

00:50:33.840 world, be they

00:50:35.600 American, be they

00:50:37.180 Chinese, be they

00:50:38.720 whatever.

00:50:39.540 But let's say

00:50:39.980 American.

00:50:40.580 Let's just limit it

00:50:41.200 to America.

00:50:41.960 Whoever was the

00:50:42.780 first American who

00:50:44.920 said we should

00:50:47.200 stockpile our

00:50:48.640 supplies in case.

00:50:50.700 Whoever was the

00:50:51.480 first American who

00:50:52.480 said we should

00:50:53.020 close travel from

00:50:55.160 China, before even 0.97

00:50:56.120 I did.

00:50:56.660 I said it on

00:50:57.240 January 24th.

00:50:59.240 Jack Posobiec said

00:51:00.260 it a few days

00:51:01.040 before that.

00:51:02.500 Maybe somebody

00:51:03.280 said it before us,

00:51:04.200 I would guess.

00:51:05.420 There was probably

00:51:06.020 somebody in the

00:51:06.960 world who said it

00:51:08.460 first.

00:51:09.240 So I want to be

00:51:09.900 very clear.

00:51:10.740 We don't know who

00:51:11.380 that was, but of

00:51:13.100 all the 7 billion

00:51:14.100 people in the world,

00:51:14.960 and of all the

00:51:15.760 370 million

00:51:17.460 Americans, however

00:51:18.240 many there are,

00:51:19.380 there was one of

00:51:20.220 us who was right

00:51:22.540 and also first.

00:51:26.300 The rest of us

00:51:27.440 are stupid

00:51:28.840 assholes. 0.57

00:51:30.860 Aren't we?

00:51:32.020 Because we were

00:51:32.780 too late.

00:51:34.260 We were all too

00:51:35.140 late.

00:51:36.440 I mean, I was so

00:51:37.100 proud.

00:51:37.520 It's like, hey,

00:51:38.020 January 24th, I was

00:51:39.360 already yelling at the

00:51:40.280 top of my lungs.

00:51:41.640 Close that airport.

00:51:42.920 Look at me.

00:51:43.520 Ha ha ha.

00:51:44.040 I beat some

00:51:45.220 other people.

00:51:46.220 I got there before

00:51:47.240 other people did.

00:51:48.560 No, I'm an asshole.

00:51:50.140 Why am I an asshole?

00:51:51.340 Because I didn't get

00:51:52.080 it first.

00:51:54.020 Why wasn't I saying

00:51:55.460 it when the first

00:51:56.780 person was saying

00:51:57.500 it?

00:51:58.180 What's wrong with

00:51:58.960 me?

00:52:00.600 So let me make

00:52:01.620 this standard.

00:52:02.640 If you don't know

00:52:03.660 who the first

00:52:04.320 person was, who

00:52:05.880 got to the right

00:52:06.640 answer before you

00:52:07.520 did, because now

00:52:09.000 it's retrospect.

00:52:09.880 We all have great

00:52:11.260 hindsight, right?

00:52:12.240 Now we know it

00:52:13.080 didn't make sense.

00:52:14.040 Now we know we

00:52:15.080 should have gone

00:52:15.440 sooner.

00:52:16.160 But there was

00:52:17.040 somebody, don't

00:52:18.380 know who it was,

00:52:19.760 who was way before

00:52:20.920 me, way before

00:52:22.040 anybody, and was

00:52:23.120 probably already

00:52:24.260 saying, hey, we

00:52:25.640 better get some

00:52:26.300 supplies in.

00:52:27.220 Hey, we better

00:52:28.560 close our borders.

00:52:30.640 So if you're not

00:52:31.580 that person, well,

00:52:34.060 then you're an

00:52:34.460 asshole.

00:52:34.720 asshole, because

00:52:36.540 you weren't smart

00:52:38.240 enough, wise

00:52:38.980 enough to know we

00:52:40.540 should have done

00:52:40.980 it sooner.

00:52:42.040 It doesn't help

00:52:42.880 that you know it

00:52:43.400 now.

00:52:43.920 What good is that?

00:52:45.200 What good is it

00:52:46.000 that you know it

00:52:46.540 now, that we

00:52:47.700 should have done

00:52:48.100 it sooner?

00:52:48.540 That's useless.

00:52:49.860 Oh, we're all

00:52:50.340 geniuses now about

00:52:51.460 the past.

00:52:52.520 But if you weren't

00:52:53.300 the first person,

00:52:54.680 then you're like all

00:52:56.480 the rest of us.

00:52:57.480 You're just an

00:52:58.140 asshole who wishes

00:52:59.220 you had been

00:53:00.060 smarter in the past.

00:53:00.980 All right, I

00:53:05.040 guess I didn't

00:53:05.480 make it through

00:53:05.920 Sunday without

00:53:06.480 using a bad word.

00:53:08.440 I'm going to

00:53:09.240 double down on

00:53:11.160 my estimates for

00:53:13.040 the total death

00:53:14.080 toll in America

00:53:14.980 from the

00:53:15.440 coronavirus.

00:53:17.040 So since the

00:53:19.900 time I've been

00:53:20.380 making an estimate,

00:53:21.780 I think I've been

00:53:22.640 consistent.

00:53:23.700 So maybe not.

00:53:24.760 We'll see.

00:53:25.360 But lately I've

00:53:26.000 been saying this.

00:53:26.680 I think it will

00:53:27.740 be 5,000.

00:53:30.980 Now, you might

00:53:31.560 say to yourself,

00:53:32.460 Scott, Scott, Scott,

00:53:33.600 that's way off

00:53:35.420 because we're

00:53:35.980 already at 2,000.

00:53:38.660 Right?

00:53:39.260 In this country?

00:53:40.500 I think we have,

00:53:41.440 is that right?

00:53:42.360 2,000?

00:53:43.140 We crossed 2,000

00:53:44.280 already for this

00:53:44.920 country?

00:53:45.600 And we're closer

00:53:46.840 to the start than

00:53:47.780 the end, at least

00:53:49.800 some people think.

00:53:51.280 So that's my

00:53:52.460 estimate, 5,000

00:53:53.520 total, which

00:53:54.840 would be way

00:53:55.620 less than even

00:53:56.820 the common

00:53:57.380 flu.

00:53:57.800 I think the

00:53:58.180 common flu,

00:53:59.780 it takes out

00:54:00.400 like 30,000 to

00:54:01.220 80,000 a year

00:54:02.560 or something like

00:54:03.100 that in the

00:54:03.520 United States.

00:54:04.760 So that would

00:54:05.660 be a tiny,

00:54:06.420 tiny death rate.

00:54:07.660 Now, does that

00:54:08.760 mean that we

00:54:09.860 have overestimated

00:54:10.840 the crisis?

00:54:11.520 No.

00:54:12.560 What I'm, my

00:54:13.680 prediction is

00:54:15.000 entirely based

00:54:15.940 on people

00:54:17.680 getting more

00:54:19.000 clever and

00:54:19.880 more serious

00:54:20.580 and working

00:54:21.300 harder.

00:54:22.940 So, yes, I'm

00:54:24.180 seeing a

00:54:24.540 confirmation that

00:54:25.380 it's over 2,000

00:54:26.380 deaths.

00:54:27.320 So I think

00:54:28.420 you're going to

00:54:28.880 see, when we

00:54:29.820 hit around

00:54:30.520 4,000 deaths,

00:54:32.840 which isn't

00:54:33.560 going to take

00:54:33.980 long, by the

00:54:34.540 way, that

00:54:34.960 could be by

00:54:35.420 the end of

00:54:35.780 the week,

00:54:36.540 somewhere around

00:54:37.260 4,000 deaths,

00:54:39.420 we're going to

00:54:39.980 have this figured

00:54:40.680 out.

00:54:41.940 And by figured

00:54:42.520 out, I mean

00:54:43.160 we'll have

00:54:43.580 enough masks

00:54:44.560 and we'll

00:54:45.020 know to wear

00:54:45.520 them, or

00:54:46.660 we'll start

00:54:47.200 to have

00:54:47.460 enough.

00:54:47.840 We'll have

00:54:48.420 meds that we

00:54:49.460 know work and

00:54:50.200 we'll start to

00:54:50.720 use them.

00:54:51.640 We'll have

00:54:52.260 ventilators that

00:54:53.060 we didn't have

00:54:53.800 that now we

00:54:54.420 have.

00:54:54.800 And I

00:54:57.660 think that

00:54:58.220 you'll see,

00:54:59.820 here's my

00:55:00.640 prediction, I

00:55:01.280 think that

00:55:01.720 you're going to

00:55:02.100 see one of

00:55:03.560 the most

00:55:03.880 amazing human

00:55:06.340 feats of

00:55:08.020 all time.

00:55:09.620 And it's

00:55:10.300 going to

00:55:10.460 happen right

00:55:10.860 in front of

00:55:11.280 you.

00:55:12.080 We're all in

00:55:13.620 the audience

00:55:14.020 for this one,

00:55:14.600 right?

00:55:15.360 Everybody gets

00:55:16.080 to watch how

00:55:16.600 the coronavirus

00:55:17.040 turns out.

00:55:18.280 Nobody's not

00:55:18.960 paying attention.

00:55:19.580 and we're

00:55:20.840 going to

00:55:21.040 watch the

00:55:22.500 human species

00:55:23.580 pull together

00:55:25.440 into one

00:55:26.260 mega creature

00:55:28.020 like a

00:55:29.800 transformer.

00:55:31.160 We're a

00:55:31.760 bunch of

00:55:32.060 individuals with

00:55:33.100 something like

00:55:33.720 a government.

00:55:34.880 But when

00:55:35.200 this coronavirus

00:55:35.740 hit, the

00:55:37.100 body human

00:55:38.320 just suddenly

00:55:40.360 formed and

00:55:41.140 connected over

00:55:41.800 the internet

00:55:42.320 and started

00:55:43.460 acting like

00:55:44.420 it took a

00:55:45.180 while, we're

00:55:46.100 still evolving

00:55:46.940 into this

00:55:47.560 greater creature.

00:55:49.000 but we

00:55:50.420 formed a

00:55:51.020 whole different

00:55:53.320 species, which

00:55:55.760 is whatever is

00:55:56.500 the sum of

00:55:57.320 us all working

00:55:57.980 together.

00:55:58.900 Normally, we're

00:55:59.560 not working

00:56:00.040 together.

00:56:01.120 So it's not a

00:56:01.760 species.

00:56:02.320 It's like

00:56:02.600 individual cells

00:56:03.580 just doing what

00:56:04.260 they do.

00:56:05.120 But boy, when

00:56:05.740 we were

00:56:06.000 threatened, we

00:56:07.320 just formed up

00:56:08.240 into a big

00:56:08.760 old global

00:56:10.260 brain with

00:56:11.460 lots of arms

00:56:12.120 and legs and 0.99

00:56:12.800 just started

00:56:13.300 flailing at

00:56:14.060 this virus from

00:56:15.120 every possible

00:56:16.020 direction, learning

00:56:17.500 what we could,

00:56:18.420 taking

00:56:18.680 casualties, putting

00:56:20.520 field hospitals in

00:56:22.140 there, and we

00:56:23.540 went to war, and

00:56:25.600 we're in it right

00:56:26.860 now.

00:56:27.700 So that's my

00:56:28.480 estimate.

00:56:29.240 I don't believe

00:56:30.160 anybody who is

00:56:32.580 responsible will

00:56:33.620 have an estimate

00:56:34.260 that low.

00:56:35.680 Because if your

00:56:36.500 job is to be a

00:56:37.300 scientist and to

00:56:38.600 keep everybody

00:56:39.160 scared so they do

00:56:40.100 the right thing,

00:56:40.660 you're going to

00:56:40.980 use big numbers,

00:56:42.020 and I think I'm

00:56:42.660 okay with that from

00:56:43.560 a persuasion

00:56:44.240 perspective.

00:56:44.880 What you can't

00:56:46.640 do if you're a

00:56:47.420 legitimate scientist

00:56:48.340 or even a

00:56:49.500 politician is you

00:56:50.980 can't say what I

00:56:51.680 just did.

00:56:53.220 I can say that

00:56:54.220 because I'm just

00:56:54.680 observing.

00:56:55.400 I don't have an

00:56:55.920 official job.

00:56:57.880 So I can say,

00:56:59.220 yeah, I think

00:56:59.800 you're going to

00:57:00.140 see something akin

00:57:01.940 to a miracle.

00:57:03.660 Not a God

00:57:04.760 miracle, but a

00:57:05.800 human miracle where

00:57:07.660 the level of

00:57:09.220 ingenuity will

00:57:09.960 just be, I

00:57:10.620 think, historic.

00:57:12.840 It'll be crazy.

00:57:14.420 You're seeing it

00:57:15.000 already.

00:57:17.900 All right.

00:57:19.880 Let's see what

00:57:20.680 else we got going

00:57:21.420 on.

00:57:23.300 Those are the

00:57:24.060 main things.

00:57:27.920 Somebody says

00:57:28.820 Styx was one of

00:57:30.060 the first to call

00:57:31.040 out the virus

00:57:31.720 response.

00:57:32.360 Well, if he was

00:57:33.540 the first, then

00:57:35.480 all of the rest

00:57:36.440 of us have

00:57:36.860 something to

00:57:37.540 answer to.

00:57:39.320 If somebody was

00:57:40.460 before him, well

00:57:41.740 then he's just

00:57:42.380 an asshole. 0.96

00:57:42.840 just like you

00:57:43.460 are and just

00:57:43.980 like I am.

00:57:45.040 We're all

00:57:45.600 assholes if we

00:57:46.500 were too late.

00:57:48.260 And I don't

00:57:48.880 think there's

00:57:49.260 anything I'm

00:57:49.720 going to have

00:57:49.960 less patience

00:57:50.940 for than

00:57:53.140 people on our

00:57:54.420 own team,

00:57:55.440 meaning human

00:57:56.460 beings, fighting

00:57:57.880 this virus.

00:57:58.860 If people on

00:57:59.720 the human being

00:58:00.460 team are

00:58:01.100 bayonetting people

00:58:01.940 on their own

00:58:02.580 team during the

00:58:03.660 battle, while the

00:58:05.020 battle is raging,

00:58:06.420 I'm going to go

00:58:07.680 after the

00:58:08.840 bayonetters.

00:58:10.920 And I'm going to

00:58:11.360 go pretty hard at

00:58:12.480 the critics who

00:58:13.920 imagined that

00:58:14.680 they knew what

00:58:15.220 the right thing

00:58:16.140 was and they

00:58:16.700 knew it on

00:58:17.140 time.

00:58:17.980 If you can't

00:58:18.920 find that first

00:58:19.600 person, you're

00:58:21.260 an asshole. 0.96

00:58:23.320 So am I.

00:58:24.740 All right.

00:58:25.060 we continue to

00:58:28.120 watch with

00:58:28.940 great curiosity

00:58:31.780 the stories and

00:58:33.740 or lack of

00:58:34.420 stories about

00:58:35.180 dehydroxychloroquine.

00:58:37.340 It feels like the

00:58:38.440 only news we're

00:58:39.220 getting about that

00:58:40.060 drug that's being

00:58:41.220 trialed, along

00:58:42.500 with azithromycin,

00:58:43.820 the news we're

00:58:44.580 getting seems to

00:58:45.340 be from sketchy

00:58:47.000 sources and

00:58:48.220 foreign studies

00:58:49.840 studies and

00:58:50.340 you know, a

00:58:51.640 doctor who

00:58:52.700 just says I

00:58:53.620 tried it once,

00:58:54.940 a patient who

00:58:56.320 tried it and it

00:58:57.180 seems to have

00:58:57.700 worked, but it's

00:58:58.340 not a scientific

00:58:59.060 study.

00:59:00.280 So it's

00:59:02.340 beginning to be

00:59:03.080 obvious to me

00:59:04.020 that there's, I

00:59:06.320 won't call it a

00:59:07.080 cover-up.

00:59:08.660 Oh, okay, I'll

00:59:09.500 call it a cover-up.

00:59:11.120 All right, let me

00:59:11.740 give you an

00:59:12.120 example.

00:59:13.400 The New York

00:59:13.800 Times just did a

00:59:14.720 big article about

00:59:16.400 why Germany's 0.96

00:59:17.440 death rate is so

00:59:18.300 low compared to

00:59:20.260 others.

00:59:21.640 So it's a whole

00:59:22.440 article about what

00:59:23.360 they did differently,

00:59:24.560 you know, how their

00:59:25.040 response is, what

00:59:26.100 their demographic is,

00:59:27.360 you know, the timing

00:59:28.000 of things, the

00:59:28.820 political decisions,

00:59:30.560 the medical decisions.

00:59:31.740 So it's a New York

00:59:32.520 Times article, so

00:59:33.380 it's researched.

00:59:35.760 There's a lot of

00:59:36.460 detail in there about

00:59:38.080 all the things the

00:59:38.820 Germans did that's 0.98

00:59:40.340 different from what

00:59:41.000 everybody else did.

00:59:42.140 Do you know what

00:59:42.600 wasn't mentioned?

00:59:43.460 hydroxychloroquine.

00:59:47.440 There was a whole

00:59:48.300 article in the New

00:59:49.120 York Times about

00:59:50.120 what they were doing

00:59:50.780 right and not doing

00:59:51.720 right, and it didn't

00:59:53.520 even mention the

00:59:55.880 drug that one must

00:59:57.680 presume they're using

00:59:58.980 over there.

01:00:00.060 Didn't even mention

01:00:01.080 it.

01:00:02.100 You know, it would be

01:00:02.500 one thing to say,

01:00:03.700 well, they're also

01:00:04.640 using this drug, but

01:00:06.140 nobody has a good

01:00:06.960 idea whether that's

01:00:07.880 working or not.

01:00:10.040 Right?

01:00:11.360 Wouldn't that be what

01:00:12.980 you would expect to

01:00:13.840 see in that story?

01:00:17.100 And that, ladies and

01:00:18.220 gentlemen, is the

01:00:19.640 dog that was not

01:00:21.620 barking.

01:00:22.720 It's the one that I've

01:00:23.680 been telling you about

01:00:24.380 for a while, and I've

01:00:26.400 been hinting about it,

01:00:27.340 but I'm just going to

01:00:27.960 tell you directly now.

01:00:29.480 The dog that's not

01:00:30.640 barking is, if you see

01:00:32.560 a story about another

01:00:33.660 country that was or

01:00:34.800 was not successful, and

01:00:36.860 it doesn't even

01:00:37.540 mention hydroxychloroquine,

01:00:40.540 doesn't mention that

01:00:41.680 they used it, doesn't

01:00:42.840 mention they didn't

01:00:43.540 use it, doesn't

01:00:44.240 mention they

01:00:44.680 considered it.

01:00:46.060 It just doesn't

01:00:46.700 mention it.

01:00:48.520 You're seeing

01:00:49.420 manipulation on a

01:00:51.140 level that should

01:00:52.000 make you want to

01:00:52.680 overthrow your

01:00:53.360 government, meaning

01:00:55.400 that the media and

01:00:57.660 presumably the

01:00:58.680 government are, they

01:01:00.600 must be working

01:01:01.280 together, at least in

01:01:03.640 a limited way, to

01:01:05.660 prevent you from

01:01:07.140 having this

01:01:07.620 information.

01:01:08.140 hydroxychloroquine,

01:01:09.140 right?

01:01:10.720 Because clearly the

01:01:13.000 New York Times knows

01:01:14.080 that the hydroxychloroquine

01:01:16.260 is one of the biggest

01:01:17.660 variables.

01:01:19.360 We don't know if it

01:01:20.140 works.

01:01:20.740 I'll say this every

01:01:21.540 time.

01:01:22.260 Might work, might not.

01:01:24.120 But it's certainly the

01:01:24.960 most, you know, besides

01:01:27.160 ventilators, it's probably

01:01:28.320 the most important thing

01:01:30.100 that people talk about.

01:01:31.620 It's not even mentioned in

01:01:33.380 a major feature story about

01:01:35.000 Germany.

01:01:36.060 Are you kidding me?

01:01:38.040 You know, this is as bad

01:01:39.100 as the government telling

01:01:40.980 you that masks don't

01:01:42.880 work even a little bit.

01:01:44.600 And you just look at it

01:01:45.560 and you say, well, that's

01:01:47.460 not just a lie.

01:01:49.540 That's a lie like you

01:01:50.740 think I'm really stupid.

01:01:52.700 That's a sort of, what do

01:01:56.080 you think of me?

01:01:57.580 That you would tell me the

01:01:59.640 fabric doesn't slow down 0.55

01:02:01.100 air and you would expect

01:02:02.920 me to believe it?

01:02:03.740 Like, how dumb do you

01:02:05.860 think I am?

01:02:07.080 And then you see a feature

01:02:08.620 story about Germany

01:02:09.600 without mentioning this

01:02:11.320 drug positively or

01:02:12.680 negatively.

01:02:13.460 And I look at that and I

01:02:14.540 go, like, how dumb do

01:02:16.080 you think I am?

01:02:18.080 How dumb do you think I

01:02:19.860 am that I would believe

01:02:21.620 that's anything like news?

01:02:24.500 That is just propaganda

01:02:25.900 or something.

01:02:28.100 I don't know.

01:02:28.580 It looks like the

01:02:29.460 government probably

01:02:30.100 ordered them not to

01:02:30.980 report on that, is my

01:02:32.380 guess.

01:02:33.160 Or they voluntarily

01:02:34.840 decided to because the,

01:02:36.920 you know, they may be part

01:02:38.500 of reducing the hoarding

01:02:40.480 of it.

01:02:40.860 Maybe that's good.

01:02:42.220 All right.

01:02:44.540 Here's some bad thinking

01:02:45.820 I've been seeing.

01:02:46.640 People have been saying

01:02:47.320 to me, why is it that you

01:02:49.600 don't see any celebrities

01:02:51.120 and or athletes dying?

01:02:54.880 And, of course, the

01:02:55.740 conspiracy thinking is,

01:02:57.580 well, they must be getting

01:02:58.740 the good drugs, you know,

01:03:01.080 because they're not dying.

01:03:02.960 Well, maybe, but how about

01:03:05.380 there's a more likely

01:03:06.860 explanation?

01:03:08.340 The more likely explanation

01:03:10.160 is that your celebrities

01:03:12.440 and athletes are all in

01:03:13.720 really good shape.

01:03:15.660 And the one thing we know

01:03:17.140 is that if you're youngish

01:03:19.300 and or you're in good shape,

01:03:22.760 you do better.

01:03:24.620 Now, Tom Hanks is, I think,

01:03:26.380 right around my age-ish.

01:03:29.680 But he's clearly in better

01:03:31.380 shape than other 60-year-olds.

01:03:33.340 Wouldn't you agree?

01:03:34.820 I mean, you just look at Tom

01:03:35.840 Hanks and you say, okay,

01:03:36.800 he works out.

01:03:38.200 You know, he watches what he

01:03:39.260 eats.

01:03:39.500 It's pretty obvious.

01:03:41.100 So he's not the kind you'd

01:03:42.580 expect to have a bad outcome.

01:03:44.380 Now, on top of that, they also

01:03:45.540 probably got the hydroxychloroquine

01:03:47.420 and the best possible

01:03:49.260 treatment.

01:03:50.560 But, you know, especially if you

01:03:52.660 see, like, an NBA player

01:03:54.080 and he doesn't die.

01:03:55.760 Well, there's a reason for that.

01:03:57.620 He's an NBA player.

01:03:58.660 He's an elite athlete.

01:03:59.620 His body is a sports car.

01:04:02.000 Of course he could beat a virus.

01:04:03.080 So, it doesn't mean that there's

01:04:07.500 some kind of special treatment,

01:04:09.420 although there probably is.

01:04:10.780 It just could mean that they're

01:04:12.060 healthier and younger and they

01:04:13.300 take better care of themselves

01:04:14.340 and there haven't been that many.

01:04:16.740 And 80% of people get over it

01:04:18.220 anyway.

01:04:18.900 And so far, none of the

01:04:20.220 celebrities have been, you know,

01:04:21.960 obese and elderly.

01:04:24.320 So, maybe there's very low death

01:04:31.380 rates.

01:04:33.980 Somebody in the comments says

01:04:36.420 that Japanese girls have cute feet. 1.00

01:04:39.480 Thank you for noting that.

01:04:41.100 I think that fit the topic

01:04:42.400 perfectly.

01:04:45.220 Trump's motto is money over morals.

01:04:48.740 Like, you know, those are like

01:04:55.900 the lowest level of political

01:04:58.180 comment.

01:04:59.880 You know, a person with no profile

01:05:01.440 picture comes in.

01:05:03.540 Trump has an inner thought that he

01:05:06.060 likes money more than humanity.

01:05:09.920 It's like, did you animate a fish?

01:05:14.260 I mean, what kind of brain does it 0.50

01:05:15.540 take to think, well, I think this

01:05:18.160 can add to the public discourse.

01:05:20.540 I'll just pretend I can

01:05:22.000 hallucinate what a stranger is

01:05:23.780 thinking.

01:05:24.380 That should be good.

01:05:26.700 People are noting that Tom Hanks

01:05:28.180 has diabetes.

01:05:29.700 Yeah, you know, you've heard that

01:05:31.480 diabetes is a risk factor, but I'm

01:05:34.660 just going to put this out there as

01:05:35.880 a hypothesis.

01:05:37.620 The people who have diabetes tend

01:05:39.420 not to look like Tom Hanks.

01:05:41.260 Am I right?

01:05:42.780 Now, I don't know percentage-wise how

01:05:44.920 many are, you know, still can

01:05:46.220 maintain their weight and be healthy

01:05:47.660 and also have diabetes, but I've

01:05:49.740 known a lot of people with

01:05:50.600 diabetes.

01:05:52.040 They don't look like Tom Hanks, if

01:05:53.900 you know what I'm talking about.

01:05:55.400 Right?

01:05:56.200 People with diabetes have a tough

01:05:57.960 time generally keeping their weight

01:06:00.120 down.

01:06:00.920 They tend to have other issues that

01:06:02.620 compound.

01:06:03.280 You know, you get the diabetes and

01:06:04.900 it's one thing after another.

01:06:05.980 So, you know, if you're on top of it as

01:06:12.620 successfully as, I'm guessing, somebody

01:06:14.960 like Tom Hanks would be, meaning keeping

01:06:17.340 yourself healthy in general, etc., it's

01:06:19.640 probably not the same risk as somebody

01:06:21.500 who's 400 pounds and has diabetes.

01:06:23.300 All right.

01:06:29.840 Let's see what else people are saying.

01:06:32.540 Harvey Weinstein is in trouble, though.

01:06:35.460 Yeah.

01:06:36.380 You know, you can't believe anything

01:06:38.000 about any Harvey Weinstein stories.

01:06:43.060 Who knows what's happening in there?

01:06:44.380 But certainly he's, you would be the

01:06:47.440 target for that, that virus.

01:06:53.080 Are you working out more often now

01:06:55.140 that you stopped going to the gym?

01:06:56.580 The answer is yes.

01:06:58.500 Well, you know, I always, I always

01:07:00.920 worked out every day that I could.

01:07:03.820 And I'm still doing that, but I think

01:07:05.240 I'm working out better.

01:07:07.360 So what I changed was, it wouldn't be

01:07:09.860 unusual if I went to the gym and tried

01:07:11.500 to exhaust myself, you know, try to get

01:07:13.320 the most benefit I could, and, you

01:07:15.500 know, I don't have to do much later, so

01:07:17.280 I just, like, wear myself out.

01:07:19.120 But I don't do that because that would

01:07:20.440 lower my immunity temporarily.

01:07:23.080 So instead, I changed my exercise

01:07:24.960 habit so it's long walks instead of,

01:07:28.640 say, using the Stairmaster running or

01:07:30.860 anything like that.

01:07:31.720 Because the long walk is just nothing

01:07:33.400 but good.

01:07:34.600 It's like, it's just good for you, and

01:07:36.800 you feel it.

01:07:38.080 So I told you before that I'd skipped

01:07:39.760 a day in the middle of this to see

01:07:42.500 how differently I felt, and there was

01:07:44.060 a big difference.

01:07:45.640 You know, my whole, how much I, how

01:07:48.080 well I slept, my attitude, my stress,

01:07:51.520 everything was different just because

01:07:53.120 I did or did not take a walk.

01:07:55.920 And so I, yesterday, I just got

01:07:59.080 overwhelmed with stuff to do, and I

01:08:01.240 didn't have time, and it was raining,

01:08:02.540 and I didn't get out.

01:08:04.060 And man, I felt it.

01:08:05.460 At 1 a.m. this morning, I woke up,

01:08:07.960 and I was just up.

01:08:10.200 You know, I was just up for the day.

01:08:12.600 Because I didn't exercise, so my body

01:08:14.860 wasn't, just couldn't sleep that long.

01:08:17.740 You know, if I don't exercise, I'm good

01:08:19.580 for three or four hours of sleep, and

01:08:22.560 then my body just, it's like, it has to

01:08:24.640 go do something.

01:08:25.380 I can't, I can't sleep after that.

01:08:27.180 But if I've exercised, I can.

01:08:29.240 All right.

01:08:33.000 Here's, here's one way you know your

01:08:35.280 government is failing on this crisis.

01:08:39.720 I think we'll get to the end of it.

01:08:41.220 We'll do what we have to do.

01:08:42.500 But there's going to be a lot of, you

01:08:44.100 know, mistake, correction, mistake,

01:08:46.220 correction.

01:08:47.080 And we should look at that generously

01:08:48.540 when it's done, because nobody knows

01:08:50.500 what to do.

01:08:51.840 And that's just the fact.

01:08:53.880 Nobody knows what to do.

01:08:54.980 We've got to try stuff, and then

01:08:57.040 quickly correct if it didn't work.

01:08:59.560 But one of the things that you would

01:09:00.820 have to say is clearly a mistake if it

01:09:02.860 goes on much longer, and much longer

01:09:04.780 would be, I'd say, end of today.

01:09:06.980 If you don't see good reporting on which

01:09:10.460 hospitals need which supplies, and, you

01:09:14.080 know, what their peak need would be, what

01:09:15.720 they have, and what's in the pipeline

01:09:17.180 for them, if you don't see that

01:09:18.920 reporting by, say, the end of today, it

01:09:21.920 doesn't have to be perfectly accurate, but

01:09:23.520 at least the beginning of that, you

01:09:25.520 know, that system for reporting, I

01:09:28.620 would say we're not competently handling

01:09:30.400 this, because you don't manage

01:09:33.260 something you don't measure.

01:09:37.560 If you don't think that's the most

01:09:39.520 profound statement in all of human

01:09:42.240 psychology and management, then you have

01:09:45.900 not studied those fields.

01:09:47.600 This is the most profound and important

01:09:50.540 thing you'll ever hear about getting

01:09:52.940 groups of people to do something, and

01:09:55.380 it's this.

01:09:56.340 If you don't measure it, you're not

01:09:59.240 managing it.

01:10:00.180 You're just flailing around.

01:10:01.900 So you have to be able to measure what

01:10:03.960 the situation is, and then on an ongoing

01:10:06.260 basis, what am I doing to fix it, and how

01:10:08.880 much difference is it making?

01:10:10.260 If you don't have that mechanism in

01:10:11.960 place, and we don't, it's obvious we

01:10:14.780 don't, because you watch the task force, and

01:10:17.140 they're just guessing.

01:10:18.160 They're like, well, we've got a shipment

01:10:19.960 here, and there's a plant working over

01:10:22.000 here, but there's no kind of idea of the

01:10:24.280 total of that and what it looks like for

01:10:26.020 the hospitals.

01:10:27.160 So at this point, the task force is not,

01:10:31.080 it can be said as just a fact, because

01:10:33.560 that reporting is not in place.

01:10:36.000 It's simply a fact that it's not being

01:10:37.600 managed.

01:10:39.460 Would you agree?

01:10:41.260 You can't say that the task force is

01:10:43.620 managing the critical supply because

01:10:47.680 they're not measuring it.

01:10:49.600 That's just a fact.

01:10:51.760 Everybody who's got a background in

01:10:54.100 management and maybe even psychology in

01:10:57.100 some cases, you'll see in the comments

01:10:58.940 there's 100% agreement for the people

01:11:01.200 with that skill set and that talent stack.

01:11:04.600 Nobody will disagree with this, by the

01:11:05.940 way.

01:11:06.660 Nobody will disagree with the statement

01:11:08.540 that if you can't measure it, you're not

01:11:11.520 managing it.

01:11:12.320 That is as hard a fact as there could

01:11:18.480 ever be in the behavioral sciences and

01:11:21.940 economics and management.

01:11:26.180 But the good news is that Vice President

01:11:29.720 Pence clearly acknowledges that need, and

01:11:32.960 he said yesterday that they're working

01:11:35.220 hard to talk to the hospitals and gather

01:11:37.460 that.

01:11:37.740 Now, once gathered, I would say they're

01:11:42.080 managing.

01:11:43.300 But I would also say that up until today,

01:11:46.880 nobody's been managing it.

01:11:48.800 People have been doing things, but they're

01:11:50.600 just flailing.

01:11:52.480 And many of those things are productive.

01:11:54.620 Of course, it makes sense to make more of

01:11:56.680 the stuff.

01:11:57.780 So there's some things you can do without

01:11:59.360 actually managing it.

01:12:00.720 You just know you need more of it, so

01:12:02.300 everybody makes more of it if they can.

01:12:04.200 But it's not being managed.

01:12:05.400 Management happens the moment you see

01:12:08.980 the reports, even if inaccurate, because

01:12:11.940 they'll get better over time.

01:12:13.680 That's when management begins.

01:12:16.360 So don't think that we started managing.

01:12:19.360 That hasn't even started yet.

01:12:21.640 And look in the comments.

01:12:22.880 Everybody's agreeing.

01:12:24.020 All right.

01:12:24.320 That's enough on that.

01:12:25.180 I will talk to you tonight at 10 p.m.

01:12:28.900 Eastern Time, 7 p.m. Pacific.

01:12:31.540 Don't miss it.

01:12:32.860 Bring your blanket.

01:12:33.540 It.

01:12:40.600 Drive.

01:12:48.280 Value.

01:12:55.280 Value.

01:12:55.880 Value.

01:12:56.360 Value.

01:12:56.900 Value.

01:12:57.480 Value.

01:12:57.820 Value.

01:12:58.280 Value.

01:12:58.860 Value.

01:12:59.360 Value.

01:12:59.420 Value.

01:12:59.620 Value.

01:13:00.220 Value.

01:13:00.560 Value.

01:13:00.640 Value.

01:13:01.820 Value.

01:13:01.940 Value.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 29, 2020

Episode 879 Scott Adams： Sip and Relax With me While I Tell You What the Future Holds

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