Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 882 Scott Adams： Simultaneous Swaddle Time. See my Joe Biden Impression.

00:00:00.000 just kidding those were not real birds no no not real birds those are me and that's not

00:00:23.340 that's not even my best impression yes i can do an impression of birds at a distance as heard

00:00:31.600 through a window from a second story and it goes like this

00:00:36.180 it's like you're there isn't it kind of incredible well yes i will be breaking out my joe biden

00:00:47.340 impression and i will be taking some questions but i'm a little bit uh i'm running a little bit

00:00:59.560 hot in here so i'm gonna turn down the lights in the studio and watch this as if by magic

00:01:10.300 i'll start to get better looking it's not a big difference

00:01:14.820 it's sort of an illusion you don't realize it's just getting darker you think i'm getting more

00:01:23.040 handsome quite quite a magic trick i know it is i know it is it's impressive yeah that's what i

00:01:31.580 thought too swaddle me captain nobody's ever said that sentence before i always laugh when i see a

00:01:42.340 sentence that i can imagine you know whether it's true or not that i can imagine no one had ever

00:01:48.600 spoken before or written before in the the history of all spoken language and uh i would i will put it

00:01:56.940 in that category swaddle me captain that is a funny sentence all right so what do we got going on here

00:02:07.540 uh the funniest thing happening is that because president trump uh seemed to have pivoted in his

00:02:15.420 preferences from uh you know maybe wanting to go back to work a little bit early to listening to the

00:02:21.360 experts taking their counsel and then going hard in the other direction compatible with the experts

00:02:28.620 what does that leave cnn to criticize what do they have left because they have to be against the

00:02:38.280 president that's their entire reason for existence you know their their audience expects that you know

00:02:43.900 they built a brand around that but what do they do when the president suddenly pivots

00:02:48.880 to completely taking the advice of the most uh you know eminent uh experts and it also happens to agree

00:02:59.620 with what all of the cnn people probably had been saying so it just completely took all of their their

00:03:07.080 material away and as i've said before you never you never pay a political price well i shouldn't say

00:03:15.700 never there's probably some exception but it would be unusual to pay a political price for being too

00:03:22.980 aggressive against a threat but you could easily imagine and it would be obvious that you would pay a

00:03:29.040 price if people perceived you didn't do enough so the safer thing to do is always do whatever is

00:03:36.640 perceived as you know the big the big push not the little push but here this is even funnier and by the

00:03:43.940 way i didn't catch this play until later now i'm not going to say that trump thought this all the way

00:03:53.340 through the way i'm going to describe it it could be just luck you know or instinct or you know it could

00:04:01.940 be anything so you can put your own interpretation about how intentional this was but but the first part

00:04:09.720 of the context is you know he's been going after cnn pretty hard and cnn of course going after him so

00:04:15.600 the president has singled them out in the press conferences and really tried to shame them for

00:04:21.320 you know not being on the side of the country basically and then as i said they just took away

00:04:28.660 most of his material because the country seems to be sort of supportive of the president

00:04:34.860 more so than usual and sort of liking his tougher stand on uh on things and i so they've got nothing

00:04:43.940 to criticize but here's the play that i didn't catch until today you may have noticed that um in a

00:04:52.420 somewhat brilliant um let's say programming decision cnn has chris guomo uh regularly if not every day i'm not

00:05:02.200 sure uh interview his brother the governor of new york andrew cuomo now i'm sure you know obviously

00:05:12.600 cnn could have assigned someone else to talk to andrew cuomo every day and they probably sometimes do

00:05:18.960 but isn't it better i mean just for watchability you have to admit you know if you're the producers

00:05:27.480 you know whoever's idea was maybe maybe it was chris guomo's idea but it was a great idea

00:05:32.560 because you sort of expect that they wouldn't do it and then because they do it's so much more

00:05:39.020 interesting frankly so so in terms of uh producing and that decision i i just i kind of really love it

00:05:47.860 because whenever i see the two of them on there um i'm watching that because the brother dynamic just

00:05:54.660 makes it just way more interesting you know especially because they're both operating at

00:05:59.480 such a high level you know one's a governor one's you know prime time on cnn so uh and they've got

00:06:06.620 this little edge to them that they don't hide that much like obviously they love each other but they

00:06:11.880 still have this little brother edge that just makes a really good tv anyway knowing that let me get back

00:06:20.420 to my point this all this all fits into the point so the president yesterday throws out this thing

00:06:26.220 this idea that maybe these uh masks are being stolen in new york city which of course

00:06:33.020 of course what does that cause to happen well now if the president of the united states makes any kind

00:06:41.320 of an accusation it doesn't matter if it's true or false it's the news right it literally doesn't

00:06:48.940 matter what the president accuses who of doing what doesn't matter if it's true doesn't matter if

00:06:55.600 it's ridiculous it's headline news that you just can't change that it's the news so the president

00:07:02.220 turns this this allegation that maybe there's some kind of criminal sketchy behavior going on

00:07:09.760 in new york in the in the andrew cuomo state and this causes kind of a requirement

00:07:18.100 that his brother chris chris cuomo has to ask his brother andrew cuomo what's up with this alleged

00:07:28.020 corruption

00:07:28.600 now if you didn't see that coming

00:07:35.100 and again i'm not going to say that the president thought it all the way through to the you know the

00:07:42.220 logical conclusion that it would make the brothers have this tense exchange because you know chris cuomo

00:07:49.520 still has to do his job right i mean he you know everybody expects he's going to go a little soft on his

00:07:56.180 brother and i don't think anybody cares about that frankly right because you know uh uh andrew cuomo

00:08:03.060 seems to be doing a great job you know he doesn't really need to get beaten up so i don't think anybody

00:08:08.460 minds that chris cuomo's you know pushing a little bit but not too hard it's his brother and there's no

00:08:16.980 really reason to push but the president just lobs this little this little grenade over the fence

00:08:25.020 and when i first saw it i was like well you know i it was provocative and i thought well it's probably

00:08:30.460 worth looking into and he tells the media to look into it which again is chris cuomo who has to ask

00:08:39.140 his brother if his state is corrupt and then and then andrew cuomo acts like and this is the best part

00:08:46.240 the the answer to it andrew cuomo's answer was uh i'm not going to say he was lying

00:08:54.000 i'll just say he answered in the style of a liar which i thought to myself was really because here's

00:09:03.140 what not a liar would say and again i'm not saying he was lying i can't read his mind i'm just saying

00:09:08.320 that there's a pattern that liars use and i'll tell you what it is so if he had not been lying and

00:09:15.520 somebody asked him that question and you're the governor you probably wouldn't know the answer

00:09:19.580 right i mean unless you'd already looked into it which you probably hadn't so so the right answer

00:09:25.380 is you know i i don't know about that honestly but i'll i'll ask around or we'll look into it or

00:09:33.500 we've already looked into it and and i think we're just using a lot of masks or it's the way they

00:09:39.300 counted them probably you know i don't i don't think it's what you think it's probably just the way

00:09:43.420 they inventoried them but let me look into it i'll get back to you

00:09:46.540 that's what i would say if i were the governor and i didn't know what was going on and he probably

00:09:52.880 doesn't now suppose he did know what was going on and he knew that they were being stolen but maybe

00:09:59.420 he did or maybe he didn't know who was responsible but he didn't want to get into it like it you know

00:10:05.540 sort of a distraction you know how how would you answer that so here's he acted like he didn't know

00:10:13.980 what the president meant you know he said well you know i don't don't know what he meant like that but

00:10:19.840 if he has an accusation he should say it directly and i thought to myself i think that was pretty direct

00:10:25.900 now the president didn't say he knew who was taking masks if there weren't any taken because he

00:10:33.080 you know it was a maybe he said it was worth looking into but the other thing the the president

00:10:37.960 did was he didn't take credit for the idea he said you know i was just talking to somebody who's like

00:10:44.160 a an expert and and he said to me and then i just suggested it to the press and the next thing you know

00:10:52.580 the cuomo's run tv and they'll have to answer to that that was just freaking hilarious all right

00:10:59.480 um would you like to see my joe biden impressions that i've been working on

00:11:06.120 it's my joe biden impression um it goes like this

00:11:12.560 gotta get the guys right and uh somebody asked me a question asked me a question in the comments and

00:11:23.460 i'll i'll be joe biden and i'll answer now you may say to yourself scott can you you know can you see

00:11:31.000 the questions and it doesn't matter really because here's my answer what what you have to understand

00:11:38.000 is you know with if the strategy going forward you can't you can't be on you know what i'm saying

00:11:47.940 before so and this is important and and the president doesn't understand that if you're doing

00:11:56.800 the thing what i'm saying is you know i think you know the so-and-so and then um strategy

00:12:08.260 take that to the bank jack now that's my joe biden impression i think i nailed it it's version 1.0

00:12:19.780 give me a break my very first time um and i don't know what would democrats be saying if they did not

00:12:31.820 have the handy excuse of the crisis to hide their candidate most of the time i mean the little bit

00:12:40.800 he's on tv from his little uh you know underground bunker well the fact that uh joe biden is in a

00:12:50.380 is in a room that's like a bunker under his house i have it everything about it is wrong he's literally

00:12:57.980 like he's like a guy in his basement and you know president trump is out there trying to you know

00:13:04.900 save the entire country from from you know maybe hundreds of thousands of deaths you know possibly

00:13:10.520 millions and uh joe biden's uh hiding in his basement in the bunker like you couldn't have a

00:13:18.280 a bigger contrast all right

00:13:21.020 i believe this is the path to the end of this so this is what i'm kind of piecing together from

00:13:30.280 what i'm saying so if you look at the trends of things it seems that there's a lot of action to get

00:13:36.120 the hydroxychloroquine into you know into the approved system so that people can start getting

00:13:43.000 it tremendous amount of action in terms of getting pills manufactured etc and then also a tremendous

00:13:50.460 amount of energy into getting new faster cheaper tests so that you can start testing massive numbers

00:13:57.180 of people so i think those two things are step one to keep people from dying so if you can do massive

00:14:04.840 testing and you know we'll probably go from you know a million to a 10 million you know i think we're

00:14:12.100 going to ramp it up like crazy because we have to so if we get those two things let's say that

00:14:18.500 hydroxychloroquine is plentiful enough that people get it as soon as they have symptoms and then we

00:14:25.060 also test so we know for sure who's got it who doesn't those two things would probably in the

00:14:32.480 optimist case that the case that the the pills actually work with the azithra bison etc so the

00:14:38.720 optimist case is that the deaths plunge or at least get down to the level where we don't run out of

00:14:44.320 ventilators so that would be the near term lots and lots of tests and when i say near term that's

00:14:49.900 still two weeks away because you could probably get pills into most people who need it in two weeks

00:14:57.120 given how how hard i imagine they're pushing to do that uh then i think there's this middle ground

00:15:05.600 between just keeping people alive which is what that would do and getting to vaccinations that's pretty

00:15:13.340 long wait and who knows if the vaccination really works right so we don't want to have to wait like

00:15:20.160 nine months waiting for the vaccination and that's where i'm guessing and this is just me sort of putting

00:15:27.780 together the the pieces of the news that i hear so binding by no means no authoritative voice here but

00:15:35.600 it seems like the the getting us to the vaccinations vaccination stage might have a lot to do with the

00:15:41.820 convalescent serum so i'm seeing as phase one the hydroxychloroquine azithromycin zinc and and just

00:15:51.600 massively ramping up testing as much as our american ingenuity can can get it done that's phase one keep

00:15:59.780 us alive phase two you got to build that immunity and you don't want to wait all the way until there's a

00:16:06.280 vaccination so that's where this convalescent serum thing might work taking the blood and taking out

00:16:12.820 the good parts the antibodies from people who have already recovered and all the smart people say that

00:16:19.760 it should work at least a little bit now i haven't heard anybody trying to put a number on it like

00:16:27.300 with this stop x amount of whatever but it seems like everybody says this is such a historically tried

00:16:35.280 and true method that there's no reason to think it wouldn't work and then there's that wild card

00:16:40.540 that somebody smarter will have to answer which is uh can it be reproduced in a lab or do you have to

00:16:46.420 take blood out of real people which would be i don't know i assume harder maybe it's easier

00:16:52.140 um somebody says can we make enough trump pills or not well here's the thing here's the thing

00:17:01.920 you know i've been complaining that the task force and um and pence in particular cannot be said to be

00:17:10.120 managing the crisis until they're also measuring the the critical things like how much supplies and

00:17:18.220 blah blah now they are doing it looks like a good job of measuring things such as a number of icu beds

00:17:25.640 we're seeing that and um we're seeing you know deaths and how many people have and how many recovered

00:17:32.560 so the basic statistics probably in the ballpark are pretty good or as best we can get them but

00:17:40.260 wouldn't you want to know how many ventilators we need and how many we have and how many are in the

00:17:45.380 pipeline and etc for all the you know the gloves and the masks and stuff so so i've been saying that

00:17:51.640 since we don't know that pence is not really managing it because if you're not measuring what

00:17:58.200 you have and what you need you're just flailing you're not managing anything uh but yesterday and

00:18:05.920 today it was reinforced today that uh pence has ordered um the all the hospitals to report

00:18:13.440 so i don't know how long that takes but that was of course the right move uh add this to the things

00:18:22.920 you want to ask later about why that took so long you know because you have to ask yourself

00:18:29.480 really why did we just have to ask the hospitals to report to some central

00:18:35.580 depository you know it feels like that should have been a little closer to day one kind of thing

00:18:41.960 um but maybe there wasn't any place to report to until they built something so anyway the

00:18:47.720 we don't need to uh rehash the past uh they're doing the right thing now and i think i'd rather

00:18:55.400 focus on that um here's a an idea um we've got all these hotels that are empty and look like

00:19:07.320 they're going to be empty for a long time could we use those hotels given that everybody has to be

00:19:13.320 locked down anyway could we use those hotels for addiction treatment oh hold on hold on now keep in

00:19:23.940 mind that first of all the hotels can't sell those rooms for any normal reason but suppose you only

00:19:30.380 allowed people in who were tested so you know nobody even gets into the hotel unless they've tested

00:19:36.320 so that might require a few more tests to be available but it might be a good time to get

00:19:41.280 clean because what else you got to do you know rather than sitting around at your own house

00:19:46.500 which is all the temptation in the world suppose you could just go to the ritz and and the rich says

00:19:54.040 you know uh we'll make it you know 25 a night whatever or or nothing or the government pays it or

00:20:03.220 something but the point is those rooms are just sort of sitting there you probably at least have

00:20:07.960 to pay for the maid service and the you know the laundry and stuff but uh and and of course you

00:20:14.220 wouldn't want to fill them you know you might want to have make sure there's a lot of space and they

00:20:18.800 still do some social distancing when they meet but they could just be meeting in the ballrooms and

00:20:24.740 getting straight so i i don't think this will you know come to fruition but when will you ever have

00:20:32.800 another time when the hotels are empty and you could actually take a gigantic bite out of addiction

00:20:41.180 because people didn't have anything else to do you know i'm just going to put it out there that

00:20:48.720 i'm not saying it's a good idea i'm just saying if we don't consider it when else are we going to

00:20:56.740 have situations like this you know at least put it in the hopper put it in the hopper and think about

00:21:04.040 it um if you did not watch tucker carlson uh talking about the government lying to us about the

00:21:13.800 effectiveness of masks that was tonight if you recorded it that don't miss it it's really good

00:21:20.740 because when tucker is accusing uh stupid liars of being stupid liars nobody does that better than

00:21:30.280 him because he's got that he's got that disgusted face that just pairs perfectly with that attitude

00:21:38.240 it's like you're lying to us how stupid do you think we are you must be the stupid one if you think

00:21:43.480 we're that stupid that's the most obvious lie in the world of course masks work you know that's my

00:21:48.160 version not his version uh but that was a minor masterpiece watching that was really entertaining

00:21:53.720 and uh and he was pretty brutal which he was called for i think this situation brutality was called for

00:22:05.380 um i've made a ruling yes i have i've made a ruling i'm gonna take some questions in a few minutes

00:22:15.920 i made a ruling as the creator of dilbert i am endowed with certain powers obviously and

00:22:23.080 among those powers as the creator of the dilbert comic strip i'm i'm authorized to determine dress codes

00:22:31.960 in the workplace you probably thought that companies get to determine that on their own but no

00:22:37.860 uh since the 90s that's been delegated to me i i'm sort of like a uh well i like a cabinet member

00:22:46.080 so i make the decisions about the dress codes and then the companies act like it was their decision

00:22:52.720 but basically it's me so um i've been noticing a really bad fashion mistake i'm watching the tv news

00:23:03.300 cnn fox and you'll see the the hosts who would normally be in the studio are broadcasting from home

00:23:10.500 but they're wearing suits in their their own like hallways and living rooms and stuff and it looks

00:23:19.940 so out of place so here's my ruling as the creator of dilbert i rule that the proper dress code if you're

00:23:30.920 a tv broadcast personality and you're broadcasting from your own home on skype the dress code is

00:23:39.280 pajama casual that's right pajama casual now what that means is like me

00:23:47.840 the bottom half is already for bed or perhaps got up not that long ago the top half casual did i sleep in

00:24:02.740 this wait a minute is this the top i slept in or is it just a casual shirt that i was wearing

00:24:12.880 you don't know that my friends is pajama casual so that's my ruling if you're on uh if you're on cable

00:24:22.400 tv news no suits if you're broadcasting on skype from your home it's pajama casual i've ruled let's

00:24:30.620 take some questions who would like to ask a question who

00:24:35.140 oh that's too clever using my own book as your icon

00:24:41.380 how clever can you be i'm gonna tell a story about that in a minute

00:24:47.360 very clever using my book as your icon do you have a question hello um can you talk about anti-aging a

00:24:59.620 little bit i heard the other day that you mentioned that they figured out how to reverse the aging of a

00:25:05.240 cell and i thought uh go ahead sorry go ahead finish finish your question um i follow the work of david

00:25:13.160 sinclair in boston he's a phd researcher at harvard and um he's he's working on rejuvenating

00:25:21.700 uh retina cells and optic nerve cells which is really interesting to me because i have uh visual

00:25:30.920 impairment and uh problems with my retina and optic nerve so that's why i'm hopeful about it but

00:25:37.580 he also works on anti-aging so yeah so i would not claim to know much of anything about that except that

00:25:45.020 you know i think ever since i was a kid there have been uh periodic articles maybe once a month

00:25:52.560 about some scientists who figured out how to reverse aging and well that was 50 years ago and

00:26:01.320 they're still not reversing much aging if you know what i mean you know it's the one point it was a

00:26:07.740 was it the resestrophrol or whatever it is the stuff that's in wine resveratrol yes exactly

00:26:14.960 that isn't that exactly what i said yes correct okay i think i nailed it and uh you know at one

00:26:22.320 point they i've seen so many of these studies so the point is that doesn't mean that the modern ones

00:26:28.900 are also as bogus as everyone that has been every month for 50 years because you have to figure we're

00:26:35.600 probably getting closer to it you know like if we're not there yet we're certainly closer to being

00:26:41.800 able to do it than we ever have been i would imagine but here's the thing i i've been saying

00:26:48.000 forever that if i could stay healthy enough long enough that even in my lifetime they probably are

00:26:54.820 going to figure out how to do exactly that you know how to how to stem cell you you know back to

00:27:00.920 some better state and fix your eyes and give me the knees of a teenager and stuff and it does feel like

00:27:07.480 you know i i could hang on for another 20 years i think so if there's anything left of me you know

00:27:14.660 short of full-on you know joe biden situation they could probably they could probably stem cell me back

00:27:21.940 to back to my 50s maybe on a good day we'll see well they say they're 17 years away now so

00:27:27.860 you'll be right there scott we need you we need your wisdom so well it's either that or i'm going

00:27:33.460 directly into a computer to live forever yeah my other plans all right thanks for the question thank

00:27:39.280 you scott all right um let's go to steve

00:27:47.340 steve steve are you there do you have a question

00:27:53.840 advantage of the united states canceling uh admission of kn95 face masks in the time of a

00:28:05.840 crisis they just did that on the 28th and that's the most abundantly supplied face mask in the world

00:28:12.060 wait well i don't know anything about that story so the government canceled an order or canceled what

00:28:19.100 what they can't import you can't import kn95 face masks 1.00

00:28:23.840 any longer you know i don't know that but you know all of that sort of story falls into the

00:28:29.960 category of things where if if on first glance it's absurd it's probably because there's something

00:28:38.680 that's left out of the story so there there might be you know some extenuating circumstances it just

00:28:44.920 has that feel of one of those stories that if you'd heard the full story maybe you'd feel differently

00:28:50.620 because certainly who can imagine why that would be i i can't think of any reasons

00:28:56.660 okay thank you anyways i didn't have much to add to that but thanks all right let's see what else we

00:29:03.420 get i am not value added every time i think rafael needs a needs to ask a question rafael rafael are you

00:29:15.800 there do you have a question optimistic because of your predicted death count is small but then i hear

00:29:27.840 dr burke speaking and she says under the best situation under the best conditions a hundred thousand

00:29:35.920 two hundred thousand are gonna die how do i explain that you ask exactly and wouldn't you like me to

00:29:45.920 explain it in a way that makes you feel good again because those darn experts getting those all wound up

00:29:54.600 well here are the things you should consider number one nobody predicts the unpredictable

00:30:01.860 but but i did right so that's the the first difference so the doctors are looking at what

00:30:08.800 they know and they're saying based on what we know it should be somewhere in this neighborhood

00:30:15.400 this and and i don't have to do that i can say you know we've seen so many surprises

00:30:22.300 just in the past week things you didn't know that humans could figure out and do you know all the

00:30:28.140 different meds that look like they could work the discoveries will probably be doing serum and testing

00:30:33.960 and we got the test down to 15 minutes i mean really just miracles of innovation in one week

00:30:40.600 so what are the odds that we're done innovating so that this is how i predict things what are the odds

00:30:47.920 that this was the week well we didn't have any other ideas we just got to the end of that week and

00:30:53.220 we've done all our good ones so that's it is what we got that's what we got more likely newer better

00:31:00.680 ideas are coming and and our ability to go from zero to let's say making a million tests is probably the

00:31:08.480 hard part my guess is if you go from zero to a million going from a million to 10 million

00:31:14.100 you know you you figure it out basically you just get more of these machines and you know line up

00:31:20.680 here and do what these guys are doing so it seems to me that we will just um do very non-linear

00:31:27.400 non-linear and explosively interesting things and i also think that there's a good chance that the

00:31:34.280 hydroxychloroquine will be effective if you take it early so so i'm bet i'm betting that the unexpected

00:31:42.220 is guaranteed a rational scientist and somebody whose job is to speak to the public can't say what

00:31:51.160 i just said because it sounds crazy even though it's right because we you should certainly expect

00:31:57.860 the unexpected that's like the easiest thing to predict but you can't say that if you're in their

00:32:02.320 job you know what are they going to say well i think it'll be 17 people but i don't know how

00:32:08.520 something unexpected might happen right so they have to just like go with the odds and bound it

00:32:15.200 but they also have this other responsibility which is to manage your psychology you know that they're

00:32:21.180 not they're not blind to that that's a key part of their job is to get you to do what you need to do

00:32:27.740 but short of just flipping out and that that's a fine balance and i feel that part of my job

00:32:35.120 is to catch the people who fell through the net and and would flip out you know or were already

00:32:43.360 willing to do what they needed to do and maybe it may be one of them it's like i'm gonna do what

00:32:48.780 you tell me to do you know i'm gonna socially isolate i'll wash my hands i'll do all the things

00:32:54.220 but i also don't want to like die of stress

00:32:58.480 so i feel like i can i can provide a service there because you should not expect that the doctors

00:33:08.500 are really giving you the lowest bound that's possible they should give you the lowest bound

00:33:15.580 that will still scare you quite a bit and they did if they had done if they had said what i said

00:33:21.740 they should be fired but i can say it right because i'm not the doctor nobody's gonna take

00:33:27.940 me too seriously and and i'm literally predicting the unpredictable which there'll be surprises

00:33:34.560 things will go better than you think we'll get smarter faster that sort of thing um and i actually

00:33:42.380 feel i'll tell you if you had to bet and by the way my low count is a net and that counts the fact

00:33:49.920 that we might almost certainly save a whole bunch of lives just because we're not on the highways and

00:33:55.820 doing dangerous sports and stuff too much um so you have to net that out because that counts

00:34:02.240 that's part of the decision when we decided to shut things down everybody knew that that would save lives

00:34:09.980 that's that has to be part of the variables so if you throw that in i think you're going to be

00:34:14.640 closer to my number than 200 000 that's my feeling but and and i have to admit if there were more

00:34:22.380 people who watched this periscope i wouldn't say this in public for the same reason that the

00:34:29.140 professionals don't because they're trying to manage you know a lot the whole country and they need you

00:34:36.060 to be a little bit too scared that's sort of the sweet spot is a little bit too scared so you're really

00:34:42.860 going to do something not just maybe do it we're really going to do something but with this smallish 1.00

00:34:50.080 audience of smarter people i have the freedom to say i don't think so you know now uh everybody has

00:34:59.380 to leave the door open that nobody's good at predicting anything could happen anything could

00:35:06.040 happen but uh i'm going to hold with my prediction at the moment um let's see we've lost our caller

00:35:17.560 well let's see if we can get another um perry is a commie let's try that 0.99

00:35:26.260 perry do you have a question hi

00:35:32.440 much hope over the um hydroxychloroquine and i'm the public health nurse i talked to you the other

00:35:40.740 night about the homeless shelter pop-up but i just wanted to to inform you guys about um i inquired

00:35:47.700 with a dear friend of mine that's a hospitalist very she's um one of the most respected ones at our

00:35:53.820 local hospital the concern with that one is though is anybody with a cardiac arrhythmia which is

00:36:01.640 kind of common in folks of older aids cannot take that she treated a lot of people for many years in 0.99

00:36:09.400 africa in fact she grew up in africa she's incredible doctor but anyways yeah it can cause

00:36:15.140 sudden death so there are other antivirals coming down the line that's very hopeful um but yeah here

00:36:22.640 in like central california i'm going to say it is the rate of case really now they now these pills

00:36:31.460 are routinely already prescribed for the you know the rheumatoid arthritis and malaria and stuff so it's

00:36:40.460 the same question right if they were prescribed to those people and they had the heart condition it

00:36:45.420 would be as deadly but but clearly that's within the acceptable risk so that probably won't slow us

00:36:51.380 down too much i would guess i mean given the given the size of the alternative risk that seems like a

00:36:57.100 pretty small one oh yeah lupus is the other thing yeah and especially with the with the um younger folks

00:37:03.100 although i mean you know a few years ago i had to have a cardiac ablation for i don't

00:37:09.880 start start start to lose your signal a little bit because that

00:37:20.320 all right that is good to know and you you patients you should know that as well so you know what to

00:37:31.820 ask all right thank you thanks for that all right let's see who else we got

00:37:37.080 let's go to mikey 0.99

00:37:40.740 mikey the monkey all right mikey or no that's not a monkey that's uh 0.68

00:37:48.580 chewbacca chewbacca do you have a question for me yeah i do i wonder if you've heard about um

00:37:56.060 and by the way some of us use those monikers because we don't want our companies to know that

00:38:01.420 we're engineers and scientists and talking to controversial people so don't discount that

00:38:06.520 um the other thing i wondered is uh there was an article on twitter that word of people uh we're

00:38:12.520 off work now but um and it's about sterilizing the mass and it's about using microwaves not the

00:38:18.260 microwave oven which destroys the mass but higher frequency 5 8 10 gigahertz 12 and they can actually

00:38:25.380 it was a paper from taiwan in 2015 uh by a research university and um i just wondered if you've

00:38:32.420 seen that because it it actually talks in there about being able to sterilize the air because the

00:38:37.460 levels are lower than the ieee sar levels you know the specific absorption rate stuff so they're safe

00:38:44.240 but it pops the virus it it resonates the um the water dipoles at those higher frequencies much like

00:38:51.780 your microwave oven that's but at much lower power i was wondering if i could get that paper to you

00:38:55.880 to send us somebody um so say again i think we had a little connection problem what is it that's uh

00:39:03.180 popping the virus it was at uh uv or was it microwaves it's microwave so it so it can penetrate

00:39:09.560 things and it can penetrate other things that uv can't but it's at a higher frequency and lower much

00:39:15.700 much much much lower power than your microwave oven uh so that you could uh i wonder if that's

00:39:21.760 the technology that the uh the mask sterilizing machines use because apparently there are some

00:39:29.380 industrial mask sterilizing machines that are going into use right now i wonder what they use but anyway

00:39:36.580 you can you can send it to me and i'll i'll see if i'll try to how should i get it to you i just send

00:39:42.680 me it on the linkedin you can connect connect that way i i would hope they're working on this but

00:39:48.820 i don't know i haven't heard anything about it that's why i'm concerned okay i'll pass that along

00:39:54.940 all right thanks all right let's see who else we got here let's talk to paul

00:40:06.180 paul paul paul hey paul do you have a question

00:40:12.900 paul does not have a question paul disappeared we miss paul but we're going to talk to nick

00:40:24.140 and nick will be so exciting it's like two pauls nick are you there

00:40:29.820 nick do you have a question for me nick i do indeed yeah i was wondering uh what do you think

00:40:39.960 is going to happen with the oil prices and the saudi russian stand up there when no one's driving

00:40:48.960 oh well at the moment you know probably the bigger issue is lack of demand because the

00:40:57.480 the economy is stalled so i don't see the price of oil going up anytime soon um yeah the oil industry

00:41:06.340 is going to take quite a haircut in this but on the good side it's like a so it's operates like a tax

00:41:13.640 cut for anybody who uses energy so so we'll take it i don't know bad for the oil company is good for us

00:41:20.360 mostly bad for the uh the uh oil industry in this country but if if you're commuting you might like

00:41:29.220 it all right thanks thank you

00:41:31.560 and i'm always fascinated at the range of questions that that people ask let's see if mikey has

00:41:44.500 the best question of the day mikey are you there do you have a question

00:41:50.020 i'm good how are you i'm doing great man um i had a question about persuasion

00:41:57.060 yeah go ahead so i've been uh reading through your uh reading list and everything like that

00:42:02.280 um over a long period of time being a group of my friends and i'm finding it a little difficult

00:42:06.880 on translating some of the ideas into practical use in everyday life to try to you know grow that

00:42:13.700 muscle and flex that i wonder if you had any tips on you know how to do things like um

00:42:18.780 pacing and leading and practice things like that uh out in the world with your friends family and

00:42:23.600 things like that yeah you know there's no substitute for just practicing so the the best way i would uh

00:42:29.980 you know explain it is if you'd ever tried to learn to type without looking at your fingers

00:42:35.900 you know the the first you know months of it it just feels like it's sort of impossible and you

00:42:41.480 couldn't possibly do it same as if you're you know learning an instrument for the first time

00:42:46.220 like how do you how do you get your left hand to do something and your right hand to do something

00:42:50.320 else like that doesn't even seem possible yeah but then when but then there's sort of that it's

00:42:55.480 almost like one day that you realize oh yeah i just got separation and i can type now and i can do all

00:43:02.280 these things and learning persuasion is like that so there's a whole bunch of just being aware of it

00:43:07.940 and then thinking to yourself oh i'll try this one thing in this one situation so just keep reminding

00:43:14.220 yourself and practicing see what happens trial and error um but you think of it in terms of a

00:43:21.320 skill that you build up over decades not something you learn in a weekend in a weekend you can learn

00:43:27.040 all the tricks but you i you you can actually get better at them just infinitely because they just

00:43:34.120 become incorporated in the way you talk so at this point and people have made this observation about

00:43:40.060 me um i use i consistently use the tools of persuasion but i'm not thinking about it as i do it so i'm

00:43:47.980 not thinking oh you use this tool it's simply the way i talk now and and that'll happen to you it's

00:43:53.280 just uh time and practice that's all it is fantastic man thank you i appreciate it good luck with everything

00:43:58.740 all right take care thanks

00:44:00.400 secret to everything time and practice let's see what brian has to say

00:44:08.800 brian brian brian brian brian do you have a question for me

00:44:18.460 brian brian brian good take i'll get me in there waiting for the countdown first i'm old and i

00:44:30.080 remember when i worked for boeing in wichita kansas in the 80s 90s and before you announced who you

00:44:37.700 really were we all were convinced you worked at boeing up in seattle everybody did that was in boeing i

00:44:45.800 probably everybody in every company thought you had to work in their company yeah i heard that a

00:44:51.980 lot it was uh it was made worse by the fact that i have a common name so most of the the biggest

00:44:58.200 fortune 500 companies they have somebody with my name on the payroll and i know this because

00:45:04.120 people told me the stories of uh we knew you worked for hewlett-packard which i didn't they

00:45:10.780 said so we looked at the employee directory and there you were and then we knew it and then ibm

00:45:15.340 told me the same thing pg and e and you know pretty much all the big companies had one of me

00:45:20.120 but there was only one of me and it wasn't it wasn't any of those all right did you have a

00:45:24.820 question or you just wanted to i just want to on the persuasion angle here i just want to know

00:45:29.880 uh like mike glendale today is taking a lot of heat because instead of any of the other ceos catching

00:45:38.100 grief he is probably because he dared to mention jesus and then the other question more is

00:45:45.300 on dr burks is she because she seems like a real star to me she seems like she has incredible

00:45:52.980 credibility is is the fact that she's catching so much grief from the liberal media because they

00:46:00.700 are so afraid of her ability to influence people no i i never interpret those kinds of motives

00:46:10.420 you know that somebody is you know secretly afraid of somebody's power or something like that

00:46:15.420 no i don't think so i think uh you know dr burks is associated with president trump because they're

00:46:22.500 you know working on the same project so that means that the anti-trump press has to not love her too 0.96

00:46:28.600 much you know they've got to walk that fine line because she's she's credible and she's a woman and

00:46:33.640 she's got a you know great reputation so they can't totally trash her but they might want to you 0.99

00:46:39.820 know make her look a little less credible that might it might work in their favor um but no i don't look

00:46:47.140 too far for the the motives i think there's not that much cleverness going on usually all right

00:46:53.500 that's probably true all right thanks for the question but let's do one more or more

00:47:04.040 elmer elmer who looks like a cat elmer elmer do you have a question for me

00:47:12.720 elmer disappeared technical difficulties and that puts

00:47:22.400 carol in the queue carol carol carol can hear me carol can hear me

00:47:31.940 hi do you have a question for me

00:47:35.600 accidental death rate starts to decline then if people recognize that won't they see the

00:47:46.780 disadvantages of going back to like the world as it was a couple of weeks ago

00:47:51.500 uh if what declined the death rate in general you mean the accidental death rate for like

00:47:59.560 accidents so yeah you know i've been thinking about this a lot because i thought i was going to hate

00:48:07.900 this more than i do meaning you know being forced to be home and you know i can go for a walk but that's

00:48:13.800 it and so far i'm liking it more than i thought now i hate the fact that i'm not with my fiancee

00:48:21.860 so that part you know you can't get past that that's pretty pretty big but in terms of my health

00:48:28.640 and i'm not bored it's been better than i thought yeah same here so um anyway uh did i answer any

00:48:40.740 question or is that all you want is that what you wanted to say yeah that was kind of but i was

00:48:46.620 thinking more in terms of like the travel industry if people recognize that it was having such a bad

00:48:53.860 influence influence you know like commuting and holiday yeah it'd be hard to convince people okay

00:49:01.940 let's not go back that way yeah you know you make a good point the all of the people who commuted

00:49:08.860 these terrible you know two hours each way commutes there's there's something about how we just sort of

00:49:14.780 drift into things but when you're forced to not do it for two months maybe you just can't go back

00:49:21.600 because you just say my god i feel so much better that i don't have to do that anyway so um thank you

00:49:28.800 for the uh comments and questions and i'm going oops i'm fat fingering that all right so i think we've

00:49:41.440 done enough for tonight i believe that we have now calmed ourselves down into a good place where we human

00:49:51.160 beings will be in some ways observers to a fight between two viruses that's right i said a fight

00:49:59.840 between two viruses that's my dog making noise in case you hear that one virus is the coronavirus and

00:50:07.720 the other is a series of ideas and those ideas use human beings as their carriers exactly as the

00:50:17.800 coronavirus does so the coronavirus doesn't kill you directly it causes you to be programmed wrong

00:50:25.920 and kill yourself likewise a bad idea could do that but in this case these ideas become like idea

00:50:33.400 viruses they spread to other people and people learn what to do with their masks and what what uh drugs

00:50:39.480 work and how social isolation works and what's bending the curve and so all these ideas formed like an army

00:50:49.160 of ideas and they're you know they're using our bodies as just their fortresses basically but it's the ideas

00:50:55.960 that are fighting the other virus so it's really virus on virus one virus has a physical form and one has a

00:51:02.440 you know sort of a conceptual idea form but it's really the ideas are fighting the other physical

00:51:08.900 virus and the humans are just sort of receptacles basically we're just the battleground in a way

00:51:15.580 so if our ideas reprogram us productively we can be part of beating the other virus that's all i got to say

00:51:25.820 for now and i will talk to you in the morning you know when see you then

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 31, 2020

Episode 882 Scott Adams： Simultaneous Swaddle Time. See my Joe Biden Impression.

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