Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 885 Scott Adams： Announcing my Candidacy for President of the United States

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in here.

00:00:12.280 It's time for another delightful episode of Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:19.020 It will be featuring the simultaneous sip.

00:00:22.640 Yes, it will. We will not be skipping that today.

00:00:26.040 I have a very special announcement.

00:00:27.860 As soon as you all get in here.

00:00:31.020 But first, for those of you who are fleet of finger.

00:00:34.960 Fast enough to get in here.

00:00:36.380 People who are well prepared.

00:00:38.500 People who are not going to work anyway.

00:00:40.400 You might as well listen to me.

00:00:42.260 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein.

00:00:45.960 A canteen jug or flask.

00:00:48.040 A vessel of any kind.

00:00:49.680 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:51.580 I like coffee.

00:00:53.420 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:56.540 The dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:58.120 The thing that makes everything better, including the pandemic.

00:01:03.560 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:05.500 Go.

00:01:09.760 I can feel the death rates starting to decline already.

00:01:13.880 Because that's how fast it works.

00:01:18.660 Well, the big news of the day is, of course, I'm announcing my candidacy for President of the United States.

00:01:25.680 Effective today.

00:01:27.220 Now, there are some caveats.

00:01:29.760 The caveats are important.

00:01:30.940 Number one, I'm not going to fill out any paperwork.

00:01:36.560 So, if any of that's necessary to be on the ballot, can somebody figure that out for me?

00:01:41.680 Maybe if there's something I have to sign, I can do that.

00:01:44.980 But I'm not really into the paperwork.

00:01:47.280 So, hoping somebody else can take care of that.

00:01:51.080 But here's the deal.

00:01:52.060 So, I'm not going to be running as a primary candidate, meaning not your first choice.

00:02:01.420 I'm going to be running as a backup choice.

00:02:04.760 So, if you liked, let's say, President Trump's job performance, and he's running and I'm running, you should vote for him.

00:02:13.520 Then, that would be my first choice, too.

00:02:16.160 You should vote for him.

00:02:17.640 If you like what he's done, and you think he's better than the alternatives, and even if you think I'm better than him, you should still vote for him.

00:02:28.300 All right?

00:02:28.920 So, if Trump is in the race, and he's healthy, and he's doing a good job, or at least as good as he's done so far, you should definitely vote for him.

00:02:37.840 You should give me no votes.

00:02:38.860 But, we're in very uncharted territory, and November is a long ways away.

00:02:47.520 People over 70 are not guaranteed to be healthy by November.

00:02:52.700 Some percentage of people over 70, and the President's over 70, may have some health difficulties between now and November.

00:03:00.800 Plus, anything could happen.

00:03:02.680 You know, perhaps the President does something that even his supporters don't like.

00:03:06.680 It hasn't happened yet, but it could happen.

00:03:10.020 So, here's the deal.

00:03:12.780 Democrats are not running a backup option.

00:03:16.960 Because it looks like it's going to be Joe Biden, and he's not really a backup option.

00:03:22.160 Forget about the policies.

00:03:24.200 He's just simply not capable of functioning in that or any other job.

00:03:29.820 You wouldn't hire him to be a barista at a Starbucks, would you?

00:03:32.960 I don't think you would.

00:03:33.840 I mean, quite seriously, you wouldn't.

00:03:35.180 I mean, so, in normal times, your emergency backup president would be just whoever's running in the other party.

00:03:44.420 But right now, we don't have an emergency backup.

00:03:47.060 So, I will be your Joe Biden emergency backup.

00:03:50.720 If you're a Democrat, and you don't want to vote for Trump, well, you can vote for me.

00:03:56.760 That would make sense.

00:03:58.260 Biden's not going to win anyway.

00:03:59.500 So, you know, give it a shot.

00:04:02.900 I promise you that if I get elected, I will make a plan for covering everybody with health care.

00:04:10.740 But it'll be more of a capitalist plan to get there.

00:04:13.180 It may not be on day one.

00:04:14.300 So, if you're a Democrat, and you want improved health care, and you don't really have a candidate, because Joe Biden really isn't one, and you think Trump isn't quite what you need, well, I'd probably be a little bit better on health care.

00:04:30.320 So, vote for me.

00:04:31.080 But if you're a Republican, just vote for Trump.

00:04:34.800 Now, in the unlikely event that Trump is, I don't know, maybe he retires, or he's unavailable, or something happens, here would be the people I would nominate for my administration, just so you know what's ahead.

00:04:50.180 First of all, I would need a good vice president, because I would plan to work from home, and I don't do meetings.

00:04:57.360 So, I might not be the best president, because I'm not going to go to meetings, and I'm not going to travel, and, you know, not too much about paperwork.

00:05:08.100 So, I would appoint, as my vice president, somebody who could immediately take over.

00:05:14.120 I mean, the first day of the job.

00:05:16.400 I would just say, hey, vice president, I don't really like this job anyway.

00:05:22.300 Why don't you do it?

00:05:23.280 And I may or may not step down, which would be optional.

00:05:27.880 I'd just say, you know, I'm not really into all this presidenting stuff, frankly.

00:05:32.340 I'd rather do something else.

00:05:33.980 So, I need a strong vice president.

00:05:35.960 So, I think I'll pick Matt Gaetz as my vice president.

00:05:40.260 He doesn't have to agree with us.

00:05:42.440 We'll just draft him.

00:05:43.540 And the theory is, most candidates pick a vice president who's sort of the weaker version of themselves, so you're never confused about who the best person is from the top of the ticket.

00:05:57.760 You know, Mike Pence, very solid.

00:06:00.140 I think he's one of the best vice presidents, just because he doesn't make mistakes.

00:06:04.600 But he's not as exciting as President Trump, right?

00:06:07.640 So, that's the right way to do it.

00:06:09.540 You want just a solid vice president.

00:06:11.520 But in my case, since I have no qualifications for the presidency whatsoever, I would reverse that.

00:06:18.480 So, I would pick a vice president who could actually do the job better than I could.

00:06:23.620 And I figured Matt Gaetz has policies which are, as far as I know, almost completely compatible with mine.

00:06:30.340 And he's a well-known Republican, so you might like him.

00:06:34.540 So, I would draft him as my vice president and immediately put him in charge upon my election, because I don't think I'd like to do the actual work.

00:06:41.500 Of course, you know, here's some of the rest of my cabinets and appointees.

00:06:49.780 I would appoint Adam Townsend as governor of Greenland.

00:06:53.880 He might have to conquer it himself, but I don't know, how hard would that be?

00:06:57.340 Do they even have weapons up there?

00:06:58.520 Mark Schneider, of course, Secretary of Energy.

00:07:02.380 Carpe Donctum, Secretary of Memes, obvious.

00:07:05.920 Secretary of Defense, I think Mike Cervich.

00:07:09.200 Mike Cervich, Secretary of Defense under my administration.

00:07:13.420 Of course, Naval Ravikant, Secretary of Higher Awareness.

00:07:17.160 We've got Balaji Srinivasan, maybe FDA.

00:07:22.160 He can take his pick.

00:07:23.760 And, of course, you know, Jack Posobiec probably wants to be Secretary of State, but if there's something else you want, you can have that too.

00:07:30.680 So, that would be an idea of what my administration would look like.

00:07:36.280 All right.

00:07:37.900 One thing about this coronavirus thing is that it really shows you who's useful and who is useless.

00:07:47.160 And I saw a headline today that actor John Cusack is saying we should try again to impeach President Trump.

00:07:55.500 And I'm thinking to myself, well, I don't think you could design a more useless person if you wrote a movie script and said,

00:08:03.260 all right, we're going to do a movie and we're going to write a script, and the script is about the most useless person in the universe.

00:08:11.620 What could be the most useless thing you could do in the middle of a crisis?

00:08:15.440 How about impeach the president?

00:08:18.860 John Cusack, if you're writing a movie script on how to be the most useless person in the universe, you're on a good track.

00:08:27.380 All right.

00:08:28.640 Here's a question for you that I would not have asked weeks ago.

00:08:33.420 So, there's some indication, of course, this is anecdotal, some indication that the hydroxychloroquine, if given early to people who have symptoms, or even maybe before they do, could be effective.

00:08:48.400 And there's some thinking, again, anecdotal, it's not proven, that it might be the most effective if you give it to them early on in the symptoms, and then they won't progress to needing a ventilator.

00:08:58.280 So, that's unproven, but, you know, anecdotally, that looks to be the case.

00:09:04.020 And so, I ask myself, is that the way we're testing it?

00:09:07.920 So, we know that there are a number of trials going on, different drug trials.

00:09:11.420 But, are we trialing hydroxychloroquine for people who are just getting symptoms, or are we only testing it for people who are already in bad shape, where there's some indication it could help, but not nearly as much?

00:09:28.480 Now, again, if this were a few weeks ago, I would have said, well, obviously, we're doing both.

00:09:35.200 Duh.

00:09:36.200 You know, if you're doing multiple drug trials, you're going to do the obvious ones.

00:09:39.420 So, one trial where you give it to them early, one trial where they get it later, but you're going to try both of those things.

00:09:46.900 However, having seen the massive incompetence from our professionals so far, here I'm talking about the World Health Organization, the CDC, our, you know, the Surgeon General telling us that masks are not a good idea when you knew they were.

00:10:06.320 So, if we had not just witnessed obvious and unambiguous massive lying and incompetence, I would have said, well, you can count on the fact that they're doing the right kind of drug trial, right?

00:10:20.360 But as of today, I'm not so sure.

00:10:26.200 So, this is something I would like a fact check on.

00:10:30.260 Ideally, the task force would tell us today.

00:10:32.580 Is there any trial of the hydroxychloroquine that does not focus on people who are already bad off?

00:10:41.120 Is there any trial of the people who are taking it early?

00:10:45.420 I don't need results yet, although I would think we might even have some preliminary results.

00:10:51.260 But are we not even testing that?

00:10:53.320 Because there's part of me that's a little bit worried that we're not even freaking testing it.

00:10:59.920 And only because of the massive incompetence I've seen so far.

00:11:03.220 Otherwise, I wouldn't even question that.

00:11:06.580 So, I'd like an answer on that today.

00:11:08.300 Oh, and in my tweet, I said something that is medically probably a terrible idea, which is that maybe people should be getting the azithromycin and the hydroxychloroquine before they have symptoms.

00:11:22.280 But somebody in the comments pointed out that if you're taking an antibiotic, the azithromycin part, you might just cause the virus to become resistant.

00:11:31.920 So, it probably doesn't make sense to take an antibiotic until you actually have symptoms.

00:11:39.900 But it might make sense, and again, this is a question, not a statement, to take the hydroxychloroquine ahead of any symptoms.

00:11:48.680 Because that one's not an antibiotic, per se.

00:11:52.860 All right.

00:11:54.720 So, there are two problems with the pandemic models that I can see.

00:12:00.300 Number one, I mentioned last night in Periscope, if you're throwing the New York data in with the rest of the country data and then averaging it, you get an average that doesn't mean anything.

00:12:12.380 Because it's like averaging an apple and an orange.

00:12:15.660 So, really, you should look at New York by itself as if it's the only country and the rest of the country.

00:12:21.900 Because the rest of the country is not nearly as bad off.

00:12:24.840 So, if you're projecting what's going to happen by throwing New York into the mix, it's probably skewing the average in a way that is misleading.

00:12:35.500 And I think that's true.

00:12:36.660 I would need some confirmation, but I think that's true.

00:12:38.800 But then some other smart people pointed out another problem with the model.

00:12:42.320 And this is a pretty big problem, which is that the models say that after the end of the quarantine or the social distancing, that our number of deaths will be way down.

00:12:56.400 And that's the good news, you know, that it would trend towards zero.

00:12:59.820 Except the experts say, well, what happens as soon as you stop doing social distancing?

00:13:04.340 The minute you stop it, doesn't it just go right back up?

00:13:09.980 In other words, if the social distancing is doing nothing but delaying the bump, you have exactly the same amount of deaths.

00:13:17.820 You just spread them out.

00:13:20.000 Now, spreading them out is a good thing in and of itself because of hospital capacity.

00:13:24.320 But does it affect the total number of people who die?

00:13:27.260 Or is that just going to be the same because there's just nothing we can do in the next 18 months or however long it takes to get a vaccination?

00:13:34.340 That's a pretty good question.

00:13:38.920 And if you don't deal with that, then any of these numbers about total number of people who are going to die are just nonsense because it's based on magic.

00:13:47.780 And the magic would be after the social distancing is over and everybody just goes back to work.

00:13:54.420 The magical assumption is that the pandemic doesn't just start right back in again exactly like it was.

00:14:00.960 Why wouldn't it?

00:14:01.900 There's no reason it wouldn't.

00:14:02.800 Not a single reason that it wouldn't.

00:14:05.760 But here's the hope.

00:14:07.660 If we slow it down, we can first of all, it's a gigantic big deal to slow it down, even if it's the same number of total deaths, because you at least can get your hospital capacity a little bit more under control.

00:14:21.360 But maybe those other meds are a big difference too.

00:14:24.680 Maybe we'll know more from the drug trials.

00:14:26.440 So I would say that it's a stalling technique to find out which of the meds work.

00:14:31.360 That feels like that's what that is.

00:14:33.580 And I don't think that's been explained.

00:14:36.160 So I think I'm explaining it to you better than the experts because you have to know what comes after, what happens when everybody goes back to work.

00:14:46.200 If there's no plan for that, there's no plan.

00:14:49.480 All right.

00:14:49.700 So Balaji Srinivasan has this suggestion, which I think is pretty good.

00:15:00.760 We might be in sort of a semi-permanent world where face masks are going to be important.

00:15:06.980 So even after this pandemic passes, we might have lots of future needs for face masks for, you know, a few weeks every year or something like that.

00:15:17.420 And so Balaji says, well, why don't we make them cool?

00:15:21.320 You know, why don't you build some stuff into them?

00:15:23.220 Make a high-tech face mask.

00:15:25.040 Maybe it's got your phone in there.

00:15:27.100 Wouldn't you like to have a face mask?

00:15:28.500 I've always thought this would be a good idea.

00:15:29.860 Like a high-tech face mask, not a cloth one, but something more substantial where you could put some electronics in it, whatever.

00:15:37.940 Could you make one in which you could talk, but only the person on the phone, and you've got a phone, you know, microphone in there, but only the person on the phone could hear you?

00:15:48.600 So in other words, could you be wearing a mask, having a regular conversation with somebody on the phone through your mask, but people in the room can just hear a little murmur?

00:15:58.360 Maybe it doesn't bother them so much.

00:15:59.860 You know, and maybe you could put some heads-up display, you know, some not virtual enhanced reality stuff.

00:16:09.640 So make it cool.

00:16:11.740 Maybe.

00:16:12.800 All right.

00:16:14.300 Let us compare what experts told you and when to what a cartoonist told you and when.

00:16:22.940 Okay?

00:16:23.580 Every now and then it's good to say, well, how did the experts do compared to the non-experts?

00:16:29.660 And that doesn't mean that the very next time you should only listen to the experts or only listen to the non-experts.

00:16:35.480 Really, this is just one data point.

00:16:37.660 But every now and then you should stop and say, all right, how did the experts do?

00:16:42.140 Just sort of keep a running tally so you know when to be skeptical and when not to.

00:16:46.740 Let me give you some examples.

00:16:48.020 Who was the first expert who said we should close the airports, the flights from China?

00:16:56.040 Was it the virologists or was it me?

00:17:00.600 It was me.

00:17:03.220 It was me.

00:17:04.100 So I was way before the experts saying we should close flights from China.

00:17:09.800 Right?

00:17:10.260 I mean, you could check that.

00:17:11.220 January 24th.

00:17:12.600 But was there anybody before me who was an expert?

00:17:15.740 I'm not aware of any.

00:17:18.740 I'm aware of Jack Posobiec said it before me that we should close the borders.

00:17:23.880 And he's not a virologist.

00:17:26.460 So just on that one scale of should we close the airports, I would say the experts were following the non-experts.

00:17:36.200 And you can verify that.

00:17:37.600 I mean, there might be some expert who was saying it before me, but check that.

00:17:40.800 How about the question of whether masks were useful or not useful in the pandemic?

00:17:48.280 Who said first that masks are probably useful because, duh, was it the experts, the CDC, the World Health Organization, your Surgeon General, and your task force?

00:18:00.060 Was it them or was it me?

00:18:03.780 The answer is me.

00:18:04.980 Way before the experts admitted it, I told you masks clearly, obviously, duh, make some difference.

00:18:13.740 And now the experts pretty much are all agreeing.

00:18:17.040 All right?

00:18:17.380 So I was before the experts on closing the airports, before the experts on the efficacy of masks.

00:18:25.220 Where did you first hear in public that hydroxychloroquine, the malaria drug, might be useful if taken early?

00:18:33.280 Now, I'm not the person who invented that idea.

00:18:36.800 Of course, that did come from the experts.

00:18:39.080 But where did you hear it first?

00:18:42.420 Probably from me.

00:18:44.620 Right?

00:18:45.440 Now, some of you might have heard it from somewhere else.

00:18:47.860 But probably most of you heard it from me.

00:18:50.160 Now, again, that doesn't make me right or wrong.

00:18:52.040 We still have to test it.

00:18:53.140 And who knows if it'll work or not.

00:18:54.720 But it's a very important part of the conversation.

00:18:57.160 Everybody agrees with that.

00:18:59.200 And you probably heard it first from me.

00:19:00.760 At least the people watching this periscope.

00:19:03.980 What about convalescent blood therapy?

00:19:07.440 Where was the first place you heard of that as something that could work?

00:19:12.080 Well, it's an old technique.

00:19:13.560 So there are people who are aware of it.

00:19:15.440 And certainly, you know, in small groups and maybe in small ways, we're talking about it.

00:19:21.320 But I'll bet you heard it first from me.

00:19:24.060 Now, I didn't make it up.

00:19:25.160 I heard it from Ian, whose last name I can never pronounce.

00:19:28.600 But you know who you are, Ian.

00:19:30.080 You're probably watching.

00:19:32.360 But you probably heard that from non-experts before you heard that from experts.

00:19:40.680 All right.

00:19:41.000 Here's another one.

00:19:41.680 Experts are telling me that it might be dangerous to give people these malaria pills and hydroxychloroquine before they have symptoms.

00:19:53.480 And the reasoning is that under certain conditions, if you have heart issues, I guess, maybe something else, the pills could kill you.

00:20:03.480 All right.

00:20:03.660 So that's what the experts are saying.

00:20:05.260 In fact, even this morning, a medical expert told me this, said, you don't want to give these just to everybody willy-nilly because the pills themselves could kill people.

00:20:15.380 And we know that if they have certain conditions.

00:20:18.660 To which I say to the experts, was that a problem when you prescribed it for lupus, which you do every day?

00:20:25.960 Is that a problem when you prescribe it for rheumatoid arthritis, which you do every day?

00:20:31.020 Is that a problem when you prescribe it for malaria before people even have malaria every day?

00:20:38.500 So, experts, why are you telling me that this is a problem when it's something that's been done for decades for other conditions?

00:20:48.740 And, of course, you have exactly the same warning.

00:20:50.680 It doesn't matter if you're getting it for lupus or malaria or rheumatoid arthritis.

00:20:56.120 It's going to come from a doctor.

00:20:58.280 And the doctor is going to say, do you have one of these conditions?

00:21:01.980 If you say yes, maybe you don't get it.

00:21:04.920 If you say no, maybe you get it.

00:21:08.200 It's no different than all the other uses.

00:21:11.820 So, who would you listen to?

00:21:13.780 The doctors and the experts who say, I don't know, this pill could be dangerous.

00:21:18.080 Or the non-expert who is telling you, yeah, it could be dangerous.

00:21:22.420 We know that.

00:21:23.080 And it's no different than every other use.

00:21:25.400 Who are you going to believe?

00:21:26.480 Me or the doctors?

00:21:29.180 I would go with me, honestly.

00:21:31.940 I would.

00:21:33.460 All right, here's another one.

00:21:38.440 How much DNA testing is being done of the people who have the worst outcomes versus the ones who do not?

00:21:45.700 Is anybody doing that?

00:21:46.980 Which expert is telling you, yeah, we better start testing DNA and get ahead of this and find out if there's anything about some people that makes them more susceptible?

00:21:57.880 I'm not aware of any.

00:21:59.240 Are you?

00:22:00.120 Do you think a month from now that nobody will be testing DNA to do exactly what I just said, find out who's most susceptible?

00:22:07.440 I guarantee it.

00:22:08.460 In a month, your experts will be saying, hey, I got an idea.

00:22:12.840 Why don't we test for DNA?

00:22:15.040 Now, again, this isn't like my original idea.

00:22:17.320 I got this from people who are smarter who work in this field.

00:22:20.540 But you probably heard it from me, right?

00:22:24.400 So here's my point.

00:22:25.840 Even though I'm not, you know, I'm not the original creator of anything, any of the stuff I told you, except, you know, the mask stuff was obvious.

00:22:33.360 Because I'm not the creator of it, so I'm not the original expert for it.

00:22:37.260 But where are you hearing it from?

00:22:39.580 If your experts have a lot of knowledge, but they're not telling you that knowledge, or they're telling you the opposite of that knowledge, it doesn't really help you that they have that knowledge.

00:22:47.980 You also need to be communicating it accurately.

00:22:52.400 So I would say if you're looking at this whole situation, and you were being even a little bit objective, and you said, who gave you better information about this medical situation?

00:23:04.940 It would be me.

00:23:06.440 I'm not even a little bit unconfident about that opinion.

00:23:11.180 Right?

00:23:12.640 I think you'd agree.

00:23:14.680 All right.

00:23:15.340 Let's see.

00:23:18.540 What else we got going on here?

00:23:20.960 I've come up with an idea that's a little half-baked, and maybe somebody can help me with this.

00:23:27.060 You know that my startup created its own crypto token.

00:23:32.380 Lots of people did this in the past.

00:23:34.580 But once you create a crypto token, it just sort of lives forever.

00:23:37.940 You know, you don't have to close it or do anything.

00:23:41.600 You create the token, and it just lives on the Internet forever.

00:23:45.340 And I don't think it can ever change.

00:23:48.520 Well, I suppose anything could happen.

00:23:50.880 So the when is a token that exists on the Internet and will live forever no matter what you do.

00:23:55.920 But like most cryptocurrencies, its value starts out optimistically, and then it drops until it becomes vanishingly small.

00:24:06.580 I don't even know what it is at the moment.

00:24:08.120 But here's my idea.

00:24:08.880 You know, the reason that dollar bills are valuable is that the government backs them.

00:24:15.960 You know, the full faith and guarantee of the government is what makes your U.S. dollar worth something.

00:24:22.180 Because you know that if everything else went wrong, at least the government would take it when you pay your taxes.

00:24:28.180 So there's always a market for a dollar, if only the government collecting taxes.

00:24:33.940 But with cryptocurrency, if you can't guarantee that someone will ever want one, then its value drifts to zero.

00:24:40.440 So here's my idea.

00:24:41.660 I'm going to peg the value of the when to one roll of toilet paper.

00:24:45.700 So that one roll of toilet paper will become the backing.

00:24:51.900 Now here's the part I haven't quite figured out.

00:24:54.040 You have to be able to figure out some way that you could legitimately trade some when and actually get a roll of toilet paper.

00:25:03.540 And actually get a roll of toilet paper.

00:25:07.100 Somebody says, worst Periscope ever.

00:25:10.620 Well, you won't have to ever listen to another one.

00:25:14.060 Good for you.

00:25:15.700 So if anybody can figure out how to do that, like maybe it would require an actual warehouse full of toilet paper.

00:25:24.260 And so here's the other part of the deal.

00:25:26.420 You could distribute the when, which at the moment is worth nothing, virtually nothing, and to poor people.

00:25:34.840 And then all the poor people would say, oh, I've got these cryptocurrencies, but it's not worth anything.

00:25:39.380 And then a big toilet paper company could say, we're going to peg the when to a roll of toilet paper.

00:25:48.040 And we'll actually mail it to you.

00:25:51.040 So if you send us some of the when, we'll send you some rolls of toilet paper.

00:25:54.880 The moment there was an exchange so that you knew that a when could be exchanged for actual real toilet paper, the when would have value.

00:26:05.520 And the moment it has value, all the poor people who got some would suddenly have money.

00:26:12.980 Because they wouldn't have to use it for toilet paper.

00:26:15.380 They could trade it to someone else who did need toilet paper.

00:26:18.600 Now, this is a half-baked idea.

00:26:20.940 They're pretty sure there's something wrong with this.

00:26:23.180 And how practical is it?

00:26:25.440 You'd need some big toilet paper maker with a warehouse to sort of back it.

00:26:32.300 But I think it would make a whole bunch of poor people rich, or at least give them enough to buy food.

00:26:37.720 You just distribute them a bunch of when, because we've got lots of them.

00:26:41.760 They're not doing anything.

00:26:43.720 And just turn it into money by backing it with toilet paper.

00:26:47.100 So somebody tell me why that's a bad idea.

00:26:48.740 All right, I put a survey up on the Internet, in which I asked the following provocative question.

00:26:55.180 Do you think China will kill more people with which of the following methods? 0.83

00:26:59.900 Will they kill more people with fentanyl?

00:27:02.760 Because, of course, they allow their dealers to send it to the cartels who turn it into fentanyl pills,

00:27:09.260 and it kills Americans, including my stepson.

00:27:13.620 So that could be 40,000 to 70,000 Americans per year.

00:27:17.880 So will they kill more people with fentanyl?

00:27:20.440 And keep in mind, this is all intentional, because the government of China could stop that any time they want.

00:27:25.680 They actually know who the fentanyl dealers are.

00:27:28.660 Even 60 Minutes interviewed one of the top ones, the top one.

00:27:32.540 So if 60 Minutes can find you in China, I'm pretty sure the government knows who you are, too.

00:27:39.460 So that's one number.

00:27:41.240 The coronavirus, well, we don't know yet.

00:27:43.180 You know, it could be 200,000 dead, could be 2 million.

00:27:47.640 That could get up there pretty fast.

00:27:50.340 How about climate change?

00:27:53.480 If China is the biggest contributor to climate change,

00:27:59.400 what would the Green New Deal people say in terms of the number of people who will die because of China specifically?

00:28:07.180 Now, of course, it takes everybody polluting to get the result you got.

00:28:10.980 But if one of them is the biggest polluter, you could probably say,

00:28:14.980 well, a quarter of the deaths are attributed to China or something like that, right?

00:28:20.360 So how many would that be?

00:28:21.780 How many people do we think will die from climate change over the next 100 years?

00:28:25.980 And would, let's say, 25% of those deaths be attributed to China?

00:28:30.980 That's the question.

00:28:31.800 How about the organ transplants?

00:28:37.360 So as you know, it's alleged with high credibility that they use prisoners, probably political prisoners,

00:28:44.060 and they kill them on demand to sell their organs to people who are buying their organs,

00:28:50.960 both from China and from other countries.

00:28:53.580 Now, because of the coronavirus, a lot of people are going to have their lungs destroyed.

00:28:57.560 There's already information that China may be executing prisoners just to take their lungs and hearts

00:29:06.920 and to translate them into people who would be willing to pay for it.

00:29:11.540 Because apparently people will pay a lot for an organ.

00:29:14.120 So how many Uyghurs and Falun Gong, whatever that is,

00:29:23.860 how many dissidents and political prisoners will be used for parts?

00:29:29.140 Will that kill more than fentanyl or coronavirus or climate change?

00:29:33.680 I don't know.

00:29:34.840 So that's the question.

00:29:36.580 Now, a suggestion that I've heard a few times is that for every American death caused by China,

00:29:42.740 we should kick out of the country any Chinese citizens that are, for example, going to our universities. 1.00

00:29:52.140 Apparently that's a big deal for Chinese elites to send their kids to American universities, the Ivy Leagues. 0.98

00:30:01.200 So that would hurt quite a bit because the elite really have a pretty big incentive

00:30:07.540 to send their kids to American high-end colleges.

00:30:10.500 So you can just say, it's nothing personal.

00:30:13.320 It's just nothing personal.

00:30:15.000 We're just going to go in alphabetical order,

00:30:17.260 and we're just going to send one student home for every death.

00:30:22.080 And we can just do it weekly, batch them up and say,

00:30:24.680 okay, well, there's 1,000 fentanyl deaths,

00:30:29.240 and we think 400 people died from coronavirus.

00:30:33.500 So we'll send back 1,400 Chinese citizens who are using this country for a variety of things.

00:30:41.720 It could be rich people who just have houses here.

00:30:44.880 You know, we could send them back and confiscate their houses.

00:30:48.820 We could take their stock.

00:30:51.100 So if they own any assets in the United States,

00:30:55.060 we could just say, all right, well, it's nothing personal.

00:30:58.160 We're just doing this in alphabetical order.

00:31:00.660 And literally, just start with A.

00:31:02.760 And just start sending them back in alphabetical order.

00:31:05.480 And the thinking here would be, if your letter F,

00:31:10.200 you know, if your last name in China starts with an F,

00:31:13.740 and you're watching the A's go home, and then the B's go home,

00:31:17.400 and the C's go home, 0.90

00:31:19.080 well, the elites who are letter F and beyond are going to say,

00:31:22.900 holy cow, they're not kidding about this.

00:31:26.180 My kid is going to be sent home from, I don't know,

00:31:28.740 Stanford, MIT, Harvard, wherever, and that's it.

00:31:32.700 They're not going to have a Harvard education.

00:31:35.220 He's just going to come home.

00:31:37.520 So would they start saying,

00:31:39.460 maybe we should not be sending fentanyl to the United States?

00:31:43.840 Would the elites say, look, this is now bad for me.

00:31:46.740 It was okay when it was only bad for dead Americans. 0.96

00:31:49.340 I didn't care, said the Chinese elite.

00:31:52.900 But now it's affecting me.

00:31:55.240 So maybe we should rethink it,

00:31:56.880 because I want my kid to go to an Ivy League school.

00:31:59.740 So I think if we were to do this,

00:32:03.540 we should do it by formula,

00:32:05.260 and it would be cold and effective

00:32:07.200 to just do it in alphabetical order.

00:32:09.600 Because alphabetical order is such a strong message

00:32:12.320 that it's not personal.

00:32:15.180 Because it isn't.

00:32:16.060 It has nothing to do with the individuals who are getting kicked out.

00:32:18.920 It has nothing to do with that.

00:32:20.620 It's just numbers.

00:32:22.000 And if you want to keep killing us, China, 1.00

00:32:24.840 well, we'll just send one home.

00:32:26.940 We're not even killing yours.

00:32:28.200 I mean, I would say that would be a mild response, wouldn't you?

00:32:31.920 For every person they kill,

00:32:34.020 all we're going to do is send somebody home.

00:32:37.000 That's a pretty mild response.

00:32:38.700 I don't even think that that's extreme.

00:32:40.480 So we could be doing that.

00:32:45.860 My CTO from my startup, Nick Cagliani,

00:32:50.380 is trying to figure out a way to help things with the coronavirus.

00:32:54.940 And so he's using his technical expertise

00:32:59.340 to put together a virtual online summit

00:33:03.020 for blockchain development,

00:33:06.500 ideally for, you know,

00:33:09.680 at least the primary purpose right now,

00:33:11.500 is for any apps that might use the blockchain

00:33:14.320 that would have some immediate healthcare 0.93

00:33:17.020 and or coronavirus solution.

00:33:20.340 So it's a general platform

00:33:23.120 for people who want to learn a little bit more

00:33:25.280 about blockchain development

00:33:26.520 for the purpose of developing some kind of a useful app.

00:33:30.860 Now, it doesn't have to be for that purpose.

00:33:32.540 You could just go there for general information.

00:33:34.140 But I tweeted it in my list of online sources.

00:33:40.660 So it's a pinned tweet

00:33:41.680 that has all the different links to different things.

00:33:43.940 I'll talk about those in a minute.

00:33:45.420 But one of them is the Block COVID Online Summit.

00:33:49.820 So if you can't find the link,

00:33:52.960 just Google.

00:33:54.640 Google Block COVID Online Summit.

00:33:58.920 Or you could go to at Block COVID

00:34:01.700 and you'll see the links and stuff.

00:34:04.960 All right.

00:34:05.960 So I tweeted and I said it's pinned to my account.

00:34:11.100 I asked for people to put in links

00:34:13.440 to various apps and websites and stuff

00:34:16.880 that would be useful for the crisis.

00:34:20.700 So some of the ones I know about,

00:34:22.220 just to tell you what's going on.

00:34:23.960 So besides the one I just mentioned,

00:34:25.940 there's the project N95.com

00:34:30.300 where buyers and sellers of this PPE

00:34:33.440 can find each other.

00:34:35.220 So that's a good one.

00:34:36.460 There's one I put on there.

00:34:38.100 And again, you can find the actual links

00:34:39.540 on my pinned tweet.

00:34:42.000 There's a link to some people

00:34:44.940 where you can take your temperature every day,

00:34:47.780 just on your own.

00:34:49.020 And then you enter into the app

00:34:51.240 or the website, your temperature.

00:34:53.200 And the idea is that

00:34:54.520 as anybody gets elevated temperatures,

00:34:56.760 you might be able to identify hot zones.

00:34:58.800 So if you found that, let's say,

00:35:02.520 the people in my zip code

00:35:03.880 suddenly started to inch up in temperature,

00:35:08.260 maybe you've got a problem there.

00:35:11.700 So those are just some of the many ideas.

00:35:16.200 And a lot of people have submitted links for that.

00:35:19.800 So go take a look at that.

00:35:22.240 All right.

00:35:22.480 By the way, if you're wondering

00:35:24.880 why you would use blockchain

00:35:26.160 as opposed to other technologies

00:35:28.300 for any kind of apps,

00:35:29.980 some of the advantages are

00:35:31.500 that it's a distributed system,

00:35:33.080 so you don't need to build a database.

00:35:35.080 The data just sort of lives distributed

00:35:37.500 in the internet.

00:35:38.660 Some of it is privacy.

00:35:39.880 Some of it is it's easier

00:35:41.060 to do things across borders.

00:35:43.140 So you don't have to worry

00:35:44.280 about the banking regulations, et cetera,

00:35:46.560 if you're just moving

00:35:47.540 blockchain and tokens and stuff.

00:35:51.480 The governments aren't too involved in that.

00:35:54.180 So those are some of the benefits.

00:35:55.480 I'm no expert.

00:35:56.580 All right.

00:35:58.840 Here is the question

00:36:00.200 which is so missing,

00:36:03.720 which is this.

00:36:05.380 Here's a question for the reporters today

00:36:07.920 for the task force.

00:36:09.000 Are you ready?

00:36:10.180 I'm pretty sure that there are some reporters

00:36:12.700 who watch these periscopes.

00:36:15.060 And here's what I'd suggest

00:36:16.380 as a question for the next press conference.

00:36:18.660 Mr. President and Mr. Vice President,

00:36:22.580 are you already taking hydroxychloroquine?

00:36:27.000 Are the members of the task force

00:36:28.700 who, by the nature of their job,

00:36:30.560 do have to sort of meet in rooms

00:36:33.460 and they can do their social distancing,

00:36:36.120 but I'm pretty sure the president

00:36:37.740 is not staying six feet away from people.

00:36:40.500 I just don't know if it's even practical

00:36:42.180 for him to do his job.

00:36:43.320 So the question I would ask is,

00:36:45.260 are they already on hydroxychloroquine

00:36:47.640 and why not?

00:36:49.300 Why not?

00:36:51.180 Right?

00:36:51.600 If you don't see that question asked today,

00:36:54.180 I will be amazed.

00:36:57.080 Because as soon as you hear the question,

00:36:59.320 you say to yourself,

00:37:00.260 oh yeah, you got to ask that question.

00:37:02.400 You know, because it's a yes or no

00:37:03.660 and we'd like to know, et cetera.

00:37:05.560 Here's the related question.

00:37:06.900 Are we aware of anyone in the United States

00:37:11.940 who is a medical professional

00:37:14.020 who is taking the hydroxychloroquine

00:37:17.180 in advance of an infection,

00:37:18.980 in other words, just in case,

00:37:20.980 who also went on to have to be on a ventilator?

00:37:25.060 Even one.

00:37:26.580 Is there any, even one person

00:37:29.040 who fits that description?

00:37:31.620 Now this is not a scientific study, obviously,

00:37:34.280 but I am assuming that by now

00:37:36.620 we have many thousands of healthcare workers

00:37:40.000 who probably, anecdotally,

00:37:43.360 we're hearing reports of this,

00:37:45.140 probably are taking it prophylactically.

00:37:47.840 In other words, in advance of having a problem.

00:37:50.560 So if we have thousands of healthcare workers

00:37:53.540 and we know that some number of them,

00:37:56.180 unfortunately, are going to get infected,

00:37:58.360 no doubt about it

00:37:59.760 because they're just too close to it all the time.

00:38:02.860 So of the people who got the infection,

00:38:07.000 who were also taking the drug

00:38:09.280 before they got the infection,

00:38:11.060 do we have even one case

00:38:13.280 where it progressed to needing a ventilator?

00:38:17.700 Because enough time has gone by, right?

00:38:20.960 Where if that number is zero,

00:38:23.820 it's still not a scientific test,

00:38:26.520 you can't take it to the bank,

00:38:28.400 but I'd feel a lot better, wouldn't you?

00:38:31.000 I'd feel a lot better

00:38:32.260 if I knew that that number was zero.

00:38:34.720 And if it turns out it's one or two or whatever,

00:38:37.040 then I'd start asking, you know,

00:38:38.280 were there underlying,

00:38:40.080 under any underlying issues.

00:38:45.660 So those are the main things happening today.

00:38:51.260 Oh, somebody there says they're taking a low dose.

00:38:53.840 I don't know if that's a good idea

00:38:58.820 because then that's how you get into the hoarding.

00:39:08.300 Yeah, has Chris Cuomo said yet

00:39:11.600 what meds, if any, he's taking?

00:39:15.280 That would be a good case.

00:39:17.840 And by the way,

00:39:18.440 my hat's off to Chris Cuomo.

00:39:21.700 I hope that he continues working

00:39:23.840 even as he has symptoms.

00:39:26.580 And I realize that, you know,

00:39:27.880 that would be,

00:39:28.460 people are going to say

00:39:29.280 that's kind of showboating,

00:39:30.500 you know, if he's coughing

00:39:31.340 and trying to get through his interviews and stuff.

00:39:34.160 But on the other hand,

00:39:35.740 it's real, you know?

00:39:37.720 It's not showboating if it's real.

00:39:40.440 And if it's real

00:39:41.680 and he's willing to keep working,

00:39:43.840 I would be very interested

00:39:45.940 in watching that programming.

00:39:48.100 I've told you before

00:39:49.060 that watching Chris Cuomo

00:39:50.800 interview his brother,

00:39:51.960 the governor of New York,

00:39:53.220 is some of the best,

00:39:54.920 it's just some of the best TV around.

00:39:57.300 I mean, it's just fascinating to watch that.

00:39:59.560 So I'd like to keep seeing it.

00:40:01.080 So best of luck to Chris Cuomo

00:40:03.520 for a speedy recovery,

00:40:05.540 but I hope that you stick with us

00:40:07.400 and let us see the whole process.

00:40:11.300 And I hope it turns out well.

00:40:13.280 All right.

00:40:13.560 That's about all I got here.

00:40:21.460 Not a fan of Scott,

00:40:22.760 but would vote for Scott

00:40:23.760 just on the weed thing.

00:40:26.860 Yeah, that's my promise.

00:40:28.540 I'll get the federal government

00:40:30.040 out of the weed business.

00:40:32.080 States will still get to make some decisions,

00:40:34.700 but I would get the federal government now.

00:40:36.980 And by the way,

00:40:38.100 I'm pretty sure that Matt Gaetz

00:40:40.280 would do the same.

00:40:40.960 So if you wanted to know

00:40:42.400 what my policies would look like,

00:40:44.920 I haven't matched them,

00:40:47.480 but I've got a feeling that

00:40:48.580 Matt Gaetz and I would be

00:40:49.940 really, really close.

00:40:51.720 A lot of stuff from,

00:40:53.460 you know,

00:40:53.820 how do you address the Green New Deal 0.68

00:40:55.880 to healthcare to weed.

00:40:59.260 I think a lot of them

00:41:00.220 are going to be really close.

00:41:01.940 I haven't checked,

00:41:02.700 but I think so.

00:41:03.280 Yeah, I've heard of people

00:41:07.340 who I know one person

00:41:08.720 who hasn't gotten a test result.

00:41:11.600 It's been almost two weeks.

00:41:14.160 So this is somebody

00:41:15.180 who actually, you know,

00:41:16.380 waited and got the test,

00:41:18.720 had the right symptoms

00:41:19.640 to get the test,

00:41:21.240 and two weeks have gone by

00:41:23.340 without a result.

00:41:25.260 Two weeks.

00:41:25.920 Now, Scott running out of gas?

00:41:31.360 Are you talking about me

00:41:32.460 or the world?

00:41:38.660 Somebody says,

00:41:39.580 the antibiotics help

00:41:40.480 with the secondary infection.

00:41:42.260 Yeah.

00:41:42.940 So the reason that people

00:41:44.000 take the malaria drug

00:41:45.940 plus the azithromycin

00:41:47.780 is that if they do get

00:41:49.420 the virus,

00:41:51.800 the azithromycin

00:41:52.640 helps with the infection part,

00:41:54.660 whereas the malaria drug

00:41:56.240 sort of prevents it

00:41:57.860 from your body

00:41:59.860 from going nuts.

00:42:01.060 And then the zinc

00:42:01.700 has some benefit too.

00:42:07.060 Let's see.

00:42:07.740 What about the cruise ships?

00:42:09.820 Oh, let me talk about an idea.

00:42:11.480 I'm not sure

00:42:12.060 if I totally understand this,

00:42:13.600 but somebody on the internet

00:42:16.240 was suggesting

00:42:17.040 that if we don't have

00:42:19.260 a better plan,

00:42:20.720 that there's sort of

00:42:21.980 an emergency backup plan.

00:42:24.360 So we hope

00:42:25.340 we'll have a better plan

00:42:26.400 that would have,

00:42:26.940 you know,

00:42:27.160 therapeutics

00:42:27.960 and vaccines

00:42:29.400 sooner than we think

00:42:30.940 and, you know,

00:42:31.320 stuff like that,

00:42:31.980 but maybe not.

00:42:34.460 So the other plan

00:42:35.520 is to put people in,

00:42:38.880 let's say,

00:42:39.780 put them in a hotel

00:42:40.580 or put them in a cruise ship

00:42:41.860 or put them in some place

00:42:43.360 that they're only together

00:42:44.440 and they don't leave.

00:42:45.220 with the idea

00:42:46.660 of intentionally

00:42:47.800 infecting them.

00:42:49.160 So the idea would be

00:42:50.520 to put groups,

00:42:51.520 clusters of people

00:42:52.400 who volunteered

00:42:53.120 to, say,

00:42:54.580 living in an apartment

00:42:55.800 or a hotel

00:42:56.400 or some identified space

00:42:58.920 with the express intention

00:43:01.980 of infecting them,

00:43:02.900 but to also

00:43:05.460 infect them lightly

00:43:06.520 so that they don't get

00:43:08.400 the full dose,

00:43:09.580 which apparently

00:43:10.040 makes a big difference.

00:43:11.260 If you're just

00:43:12.280 marinating in the virus,

00:43:14.420 it will take over

00:43:16.000 your immune system

00:43:17.200 pretty quickly

00:43:17.800 and you're in bad shape.

00:43:19.000 If you get a little

00:43:20.080 trace of the virus

00:43:21.240 and your immune system

00:43:23.720 gets a little bit

00:43:24.520 of warning

00:43:25.040 before the virus

00:43:25.840 gets too big,

00:43:26.880 then it's a fair fight.

00:43:28.440 So there seems to be

00:43:29.840 a big difference

00:43:30.780 whether you get it early

00:43:32.700 or whether you get

00:43:33.940 a little bit of dose

00:43:34.900 or a big dose

00:43:35.820 even though both of them

00:43:36.900 can infect you.

00:43:38.600 So the idea would be

00:43:39.760 to give people

00:43:40.440 intentional small doses,

00:43:43.020 treating them early,

00:43:44.180 I assume.

00:43:45.020 This part I might be

00:43:46.040 adding to the idea.

00:43:47.320 But let's say

00:43:47.860 you give them

00:43:48.280 hydroxychloroquine

00:43:49.380 if that works

00:43:50.280 and it works

00:43:51.320 when you get it early.

00:43:52.400 So you would build

00:43:53.140 a group of people

00:43:55.700 who all have immunity

00:43:56.680 and then once

00:43:58.300 they've all tested positive

00:43:59.620 but they don't have,

00:44:01.380 you know,

00:44:01.580 it doesn't look like

00:44:02.300 they would spread it,

00:44:04.200 then you just release them

00:44:05.480 into the wild

00:44:06.840 and you've created

00:44:07.800 a whole bunch

00:44:08.320 of immune people

00:44:09.120 and then you just

00:44:10.760 do it again

00:44:11.240 with another batch.

00:44:13.700 Now,

00:44:14.420 would that work

00:44:15.360 or would that just

00:44:16.720 spread the disease

00:44:17.720 everywhere?

00:44:18.780 I don't know.

00:44:19.860 You know,

00:44:20.140 it definitely falls

00:44:20.980 into the category of

00:44:22.140 if you don't have

00:44:23.340 a better idea,

00:44:24.920 maybe you try it.

00:44:26.860 It doesn't sound

00:44:27.720 like the safest thing

00:44:29.020 in the world

00:44:29.500 for a variety of reasons

00:44:31.020 but what we're doing now

00:44:32.320 might not be the safest

00:44:33.160 thing in the world either.

00:44:38.260 Let's see.

00:44:42.000 Just looking at your

00:44:43.180 comments,

00:44:44.560 some of them

00:44:44.940 I don't want to read

00:44:45.680 out loud

00:44:46.400 because a lot of you

00:44:47.240 have medical opinions.

00:44:50.080 I'm not sure

00:44:50.920 I want to randomly

00:44:52.360 spout the medical

00:44:53.300 opinions I'm seeing

00:44:54.120 in the comments

00:44:54.740 even if they're right.

00:44:57.080 Somebody says

00:44:57.840 this is the concept

00:44:58.700 of a vaccine.

00:44:59.800 Well,

00:45:00.240 not exactly

00:45:01.040 because a vaccine

00:45:02.740 would be

00:45:03.900 a non-deadly version.

00:45:09.540 You can't be a little

00:45:10.660 bit pregnant.

00:45:11.560 Actually,

00:45:12.060 you can.

00:45:13.600 Yeah.

00:45:14.180 With the virus,

00:45:15.200 apparently,

00:45:15.520 you can be a little

00:45:16.200 bit pregnant

00:45:16.720 meaning that you

00:45:17.560 can have a low

00:45:19.160 initial viral load

00:45:20.800 versus a high one.

00:45:22.480 Now,

00:45:22.920 on the same point,

00:45:24.200 there was a story,

00:45:25.720 was it in a Washington

00:45:26.780 state,

00:45:27.700 where there was

00:45:28.560 a choir

00:45:29.380 who decided

00:45:31.100 to hold their

00:45:31.760 choir practice

00:45:32.640 despite the fact

00:45:34.140 that the coronavirus

00:45:35.000 was becoming

00:45:36.380 a bigger thing,

00:45:37.500 but the state

00:45:38.740 had not yet

00:45:39.380 told people

00:45:40.020 not to meet

00:45:41.140 in groups.

00:45:41.780 So it was right

00:45:42.200 at the end

00:45:42.900 of when you could

00:45:44.120 still meet in a group

00:45:45.140 and they did.

00:45:46.820 And the problem

00:45:47.400 was they had

00:45:48.080 their choir practice,

00:45:49.140 of course,

00:45:49.720 all in the same room,

00:45:50.960 and I think

00:45:51.500 there were something

00:45:51.980 like 45 of them

00:45:53.340 who ended up

00:45:53.900 with the virus.

00:45:55.580 And the thinking,

00:45:57.300 which sounds

00:45:57.860 logical to me,

00:45:59.680 is not just

00:46:00.520 that they were

00:46:00.940 in the same room

00:46:01.740 and not just

00:46:02.660 that they did not

00:46:03.920 do social isolation,

00:46:05.580 they were close

00:46:06.780 to each other,

00:46:07.540 but there was

00:46:08.260 some thinking

00:46:08.840 that the singing

00:46:11.900 itself

00:46:12.640 might have been

00:46:14.680 contributing,

00:46:15.480 meaning that

00:46:16.000 if you sing,

00:46:17.100 you're exhaling

00:46:17.940 more aggressively

00:46:19.500 and you're all

00:46:20.780 standing together

00:46:21.600 exhaling aggressively

00:46:23.040 because you're singing.

00:46:25.300 So that might have

00:46:26.360 been the very

00:46:27.240 worst situation

00:46:28.460 you could possibly

00:46:29.540 imagine

00:46:30.580 where a bunch

00:46:31.620 of people

00:46:31.960 with no face masks

00:46:33.060 are exhaling air

00:46:35.100 in the same space

00:46:36.960 for a couple hours.

00:46:38.320 I mean,

00:46:38.480 it probably

00:46:38.780 couldn't have been worse,

00:46:40.020 and sure enough,

00:46:41.320 the results

00:46:42.160 show it.

00:46:44.680 All right.

00:46:47.400 Yeah,

00:46:47.920 there's a Navy carrier

00:46:48.820 with a bunch

00:46:50.240 of infected people

00:46:51.140 on it,

00:46:51.640 so we'll probably

00:46:52.400 learn something

00:46:53.100 from that,

00:46:54.100 as bad as that is.

00:46:55.780 I just saw MS

00:47:02.000 and saw an article

00:47:03.300 that DMDs

00:47:04.740 can leave you

00:47:06.180 with stronger

00:47:06.780 resistance.

00:47:07.660 I don't know

00:47:07.980 what a DMD is.

00:47:11.460 How are you

00:47:12.240 certain that

00:47:12.660 the virus

00:47:13.060 is not on the

00:47:13.600 surface of cans

00:47:14.700 of food restocked?

00:47:16.500 Well,

00:47:16.700 I assume it is.

00:47:17.840 I assume it is.

00:47:19.260 So everything

00:47:20.200 has to be seen

00:47:20.980 as statistics

00:47:24.060 and following

00:47:25.180 the odds.

00:47:26.680 The odds

00:47:27.360 of getting

00:47:27.840 the virus

00:47:28.600 if you're

00:47:29.180 in a chorus

00:47:29.880 that meets

00:47:30.900 in one room

00:47:31.560 and all sings

00:47:32.240 really loudly

00:47:32.880 and exhales

00:47:33.600 seems to be

00:47:34.400 very high,

00:47:35.660 so don't do that.

00:47:38.100 The odds

00:47:39.380 of getting it

00:47:39.940 from intense

00:47:40.900 personal interaction

00:47:42.080 with somebody

00:47:42.620 has it,

00:47:43.560 very high,

00:47:44.940 so don't do that.

00:47:46.840 But the odds

00:47:48.040 of getting it

00:47:48.720 because you

00:47:49.400 took a walk

00:47:50.420 in the park,

00:47:51.080 it's possible,

00:47:54.200 right?

00:47:54.740 I guess

00:47:55.780 because they say

00:47:57.000 it can float

00:47:57.520 around in the air

00:47:58.460 and who knows,

00:47:59.700 you stop

00:48:00.120 and pet a dog

00:48:01.280 and it's on the dog.

00:48:02.740 So could you

00:48:03.360 get it from

00:48:03.860 a walk in the park

00:48:04.800 by yourself?

00:48:06.500 The answer is

00:48:07.180 I guess,

00:48:08.800 maybe,

00:48:09.920 but the odds

00:48:10.540 of getting it

00:48:11.020 that way

00:48:11.380 are so low

00:48:12.100 that that would

00:48:13.860 not be really

00:48:14.540 contributing much

00:48:15.620 to the viral spread.

00:48:17.040 In other words,

00:48:17.500 if the only way

00:48:18.240 anybody ever got it

00:48:19.300 was taking a walk

00:48:20.660 in the park,

00:48:21.660 it would not

00:48:22.640 reproduce fast enough

00:48:23.840 to be viral.

00:48:25.360 So that's not

00:48:25.940 the kind of risk

00:48:26.580 that I would avoid

00:48:27.780 because taking a walk

00:48:29.000 is good for you too.

00:48:30.880 Likewise,

00:48:31.620 your question was

00:48:32.380 how can you be sure

00:48:33.740 it's not on the

00:48:34.660 cans of food

00:48:36.020 or the food itself?

00:48:37.520 And the answer is

00:48:38.380 it probably is.

00:48:40.580 Somewhere

00:48:41.060 in some grocery store,

00:48:44.220 I'm sure it's on something.

00:48:46.020 I mean,

00:48:46.380 the odds of that

00:48:47.040 seem like 100%.

00:48:48.100 Somewhere

00:48:48.680 in the whole

00:48:49.820 supply chain.

00:48:51.000 But,

00:48:51.920 what are the odds

00:48:52.560 that you're going

00:48:53.000 to get it that way?

00:48:54.700 So let's say

00:48:55.320 your bag of groceries

00:48:57.080 is delivered to you

00:48:58.240 and you open it up

00:49:02.020 and you take things out

00:49:02.820 and you put them away,

00:49:04.040 but you make sure

00:49:04.900 you don't touch your face.

00:49:06.740 Maybe you're wearing

00:49:07.460 a mask when you do it

00:49:08.600 and you immediately

00:49:09.860 thoroughly wash

00:49:11.160 your hands

00:49:11.660 after you've touched

00:49:12.460 everything.

00:49:13.520 Do you then need

00:49:14.620 to go back

00:49:15.260 and swab

00:49:16.600 everything down

00:49:17.640 like all your cans

00:49:19.960 and wash 0.93

00:49:21.540 with soap

00:49:22.160 your vegetables

00:49:23.540 and stuff like that?

00:49:24.760 Well,

00:49:25.080 it would probably help,

00:49:26.280 but I'm not going

00:49:28.320 to do it

00:49:28.820 because the way

00:49:30.200 I'm going to play

00:49:30.720 the odds is

00:49:31.540 if something has

00:49:32.840 a 90% chance

00:49:33.920 of giving it to me,

00:49:35.080 like attending

00:49:35.780 a choir practice,

00:49:37.240 I'm not going

00:49:37.720 to do that.

00:49:38.280 If something has

00:49:39.940 maybe a 1% chance

00:49:42.680 of giving it to me,

00:49:43.880 I'll probably still

00:49:44.800 do that.

00:49:46.020 And if everybody

00:49:46.620 acted that way

00:49:47.660 and they avoided

00:49:49.540 the 90% chance

00:49:50.720 of getting it,

00:49:51.580 but they did do

00:49:52.600 the things that would

00:49:53.260 give you a 1% chance

00:49:54.420 of doing it,

00:49:55.340 we'd still be okay

00:49:56.340 because it would bring

00:49:57.920 the rate of reproduction

00:49:59.540 down below

00:50:00.400 giving it,

00:50:01.540 you know,

00:50:01.760 one person,

00:50:02.540 making more than

00:50:03.440 one person sick.

00:50:05.040 So,

00:50:05.440 you can't reduce

00:50:07.640 your risk to zero

00:50:08.660 from your groceries.

00:50:10.800 You can do

00:50:11.520 the obvious stuff,

00:50:13.180 wash your hands,

00:50:14.340 throw away the bag,

00:50:15.380 throw away the bag

00:50:16.080 and wash your hands,

00:50:17.260 but I don't know

00:50:18.700 that the risk is so big

00:50:19.980 that I would worry

00:50:21.200 about that too much.

00:50:22.360 Now,

00:50:22.620 here I'm not giving you

00:50:23.720 my personal medical opinion.

00:50:25.720 I am imitating

00:50:27.060 a doctor

00:50:28.740 who's working

00:50:29.300 on the front lines

00:50:30.140 who said

00:50:31.420 in his experience

00:50:32.680 he's now dealt with

00:50:33.680 I don't know

00:50:34.160 how many hundreds

00:50:35.140 of patients

00:50:35.880 that they all know

00:50:37.640 where they got it

00:50:38.360 basically.

00:50:39.620 Not all of them,

00:50:40.460 not 100%,

00:50:41.080 but mostly they know

00:50:42.360 where they got it

00:50:43.080 and they got it

00:50:43.680 from a person

00:50:44.360 and they got it

00:50:45.120 from a person

00:50:45.680 that they interacted with.

00:50:47.340 What he's not seeing

00:50:48.760 is people coming in

00:50:50.240 and saying

00:50:50.520 I have no idea

00:50:51.520 where I got it

00:50:53.180 because I've been

00:50:54.200 socially isolating

00:50:55.180 and just taking walks.

00:50:57.000 So he's not seeing that

00:50:58.260 and those people

00:50:59.200 of course are handling

00:51:00.180 groceries

00:51:01.120 because they have to eat.

00:51:02.240 so if it's happening

00:51:05.040 it's not happening

00:51:06.140 a lot.

00:51:07.160 I think we're

00:51:07.720 safely,

00:51:08.460 we can say that.

00:51:11.660 Yeah,

00:51:12.120 even the garbage man

00:51:13.280 and you know

00:51:14.100 all that

00:51:14.960 but my guess is

00:51:16.060 that all the outdoor stuff

00:51:17.400 is just not going to be

00:51:18.400 your big problem.

00:51:20.200 I wouldn't use

00:51:20.740 a water fountain

00:51:21.360 but that's about it.

00:51:22.220 Yeah,

00:51:26.200 somebody has 90 year olds

00:51:27.380 in the house

00:51:27.800 so you wipe it all down.

00:51:29.380 Yeah,

00:51:29.720 you know,

00:51:30.080 if you've got people

00:51:31.060 who are at special risk

00:51:32.460 then maybe you want

00:51:34.240 to take it

00:51:34.640 to another level

00:51:35.420 if only to make

00:51:36.560 you feel better.

00:51:37.660 I mean,

00:51:37.860 if it makes you feel better

00:51:38.920 it's worth it

00:51:40.740 if you have the time.

00:51:41.580 All right.

00:51:50.260 Don't want to give up

00:51:51.260 my reusable bags

00:51:52.520 in here.

00:51:54.360 Are you cutting

00:51:55.120 your own hair now?

00:51:56.340 Well,

00:51:56.580 that's a good question

00:51:57.400 because you know

00:51:58.300 when I thought

00:51:58.740 this was just going

00:51:59.440 to be a few weeks

00:52:00.280 I thought well

00:52:02.280 you know

00:52:02.660 there's a whole bunch

00:52:03.300 of stuff you can put

00:52:04.200 off for a few weeks

00:52:05.320 but a haircut

00:52:06.880 is not something

00:52:07.580 you put off

00:52:08.200 for two months

00:52:08.840 if you're me anyway.

00:52:10.960 So I'm going to have

00:52:11.900 to cut my own hair.

00:52:14.240 It looks like

00:52:15.040 that's coming up.

00:52:16.840 If I don't see

00:52:17.680 anybody in person

00:52:18.400 it's not going to

00:52:18.880 make that much

00:52:19.360 of a difference.

00:52:20.500 Stock market predictions.

00:52:22.440 Yeah,

00:52:22.900 the stock market

00:52:23.620 will be spotty

00:52:24.780 and choppy

00:52:25.340 and will just stay

00:52:26.720 spotty and choppy

00:52:27.680 for a long time.

00:52:28.580 So you're going to have

00:52:29.300 you know

00:52:30.080 days when it's up 5%

00:52:31.800 days when it's down 5%.

00:52:33.420 You're going to have

00:52:33.820 some stocks doing well

00:52:34.920 while some do

00:52:35.540 do poorly.

00:52:37.800 But in the long run

00:52:38.980 a broad basket

00:52:41.800 of stocks

00:52:42.400 of the United States

00:52:43.540 is probably going to be

00:52:45.420 among your safest

00:52:46.300 investments.

00:52:47.520 I don't give

00:52:48.120 financial advice

00:52:49.020 and so you should not

00:52:49.960 consider that

00:52:50.960 financial advice.

00:52:52.400 But

00:52:52.700 if you were

00:52:53.800 Warren Buffett

00:52:54.600 and somebody said

00:52:56.400 what should I do

00:52:57.440 I think he'd tell you

00:52:59.020 the same thing.

00:53:00.160 Which is

00:53:00.740 I think he'd tell you

00:53:01.560 there are no guarantees

00:53:02.940 but if you wanted

00:53:04.760 to look historically

00:53:05.760 and even based

00:53:06.680 on current situation

00:53:07.720 what country

00:53:08.960 is the safest

00:53:09.780 place to park

00:53:10.620 your money

00:53:11.080 probably the

00:53:12.840 United States

00:53:13.600 and if you're

00:53:15.140 going to park

00:53:15.500 it in the

00:53:15.860 United States

00:53:16.480 what's the

00:53:17.420 safest asset

00:53:18.880 class to put

00:53:19.720 it in?

00:53:21.680 Probably a

00:53:22.520 broad based

00:53:23.280 basket of

00:53:24.480 you know

00:53:24.860 the bigger

00:53:25.340 stocks in the

00:53:26.540 United States

00:53:27.100 probably.

00:53:29.000 So

00:53:29.480 that's all I got

00:53:30.920 for now

00:53:31.300 and I will talk

00:53:32.320 to you later

00:53:33.180 tonight

00:53:33.820 you know

00:53:34.400 a time

00:53:34.900 10pm

00:53:36.840 Eastern

00:53:37.320 7pm

00:53:38.380 Pacific

00:53:39.260 and

00:53:41.060 I will

00:53:43.980 see you then.

00:53:46.340 I hope so.

00:53:47.260 Stay safe

00:53:47.920 everything's under

00:53:48.920 control.

00:53:50.140 next time

00:53:50.520 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 01, 2020

Episode 885 Scott Adams： Announcing my Candidacy for President of the United States

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