Scott Adams announces his candidacy for President of the United States, and explains why he s running as a backup choice to Joe Biden if he s not the Democratic candidate. He also explains why you should vote for Donald Trump if you like him.
00:02:17.640If you like what he's done, and you think he's better than the alternatives, and even if you think I'm better than him, you should still vote for him.
00:02:28.920So, if Trump is in the race, and he's healthy, and he's doing a good job, or at least as good as he's done so far, you should definitely vote for him.
00:04:14.300So, if you're a Democrat, and you want improved health care, and you don't really have a candidate, because Joe Biden really isn't one, and you think Trump isn't quite what you need, well, I'd probably be a little bit better on health care.
00:04:31.080But if you're a Republican, just vote for Trump.
00:04:34.800Now, in the unlikely event that Trump is, I don't know, maybe he retires, or he's unavailable, or something happens, here would be the people I would nominate for my administration, just so you know what's ahead.
00:04:50.180First of all, I would need a good vice president, because I would plan to work from home, and I don't do meetings.
00:04:57.360So, I might not be the best president, because I'm not going to go to meetings, and I'm not going to travel, and, you know, not too much about paperwork.
00:05:08.100So, I would appoint, as my vice president, somebody who could immediately take over.
00:05:43.540And the theory is, most candidates pick a vice president who's sort of the weaker version of themselves, so you're never confused about who the best person is from the top of the ticket.
00:06:11.520But in my case, since I have no qualifications for the presidency whatsoever, I would reverse that.
00:06:18.480So, I would pick a vice president who could actually do the job better than I could.
00:06:23.620And I figured Matt Gaetz has policies which are, as far as I know, almost completely compatible with mine.
00:06:30.340And he's a well-known Republican, so you might like him.
00:06:34.540So, I would draft him as my vice president and immediately put him in charge upon my election, because I don't think I'd like to do the actual work.
00:06:41.500Of course, you know, here's some of the rest of my cabinets and appointees.
00:06:49.780I would appoint Adam Townsend as governor of Greenland.
00:06:53.880He might have to conquer it himself, but I don't know, how hard would that be?
00:07:23.760And, of course, you know, Jack Posobiec probably wants to be Secretary of State, but if there's something else you want, you can have that too.
00:07:30.680So, that would be an idea of what my administration would look like.
00:08:28.640Here's a question for you that I would not have asked weeks ago.
00:08:33.420So, there's some indication, of course, this is anecdotal, some indication that the hydroxychloroquine, if given early to people who have symptoms, or even maybe before they do, could be effective.
00:08:48.400And there's some thinking, again, anecdotal, it's not proven, that it might be the most effective if you give it to them early on in the symptoms, and then they won't progress to needing a ventilator.
00:08:58.280So, that's unproven, but, you know, anecdotally, that looks to be the case.
00:09:04.020And so, I ask myself, is that the way we're testing it?
00:09:07.920So, we know that there are a number of trials going on, different drug trials.
00:09:11.420But, are we trialing hydroxychloroquine for people who are just getting symptoms, or are we only testing it for people who are already in bad shape, where there's some indication it could help, but not nearly as much?
00:09:28.480Now, again, if this were a few weeks ago, I would have said, well, obviously, we're doing both.
00:09:36.200You know, if you're doing multiple drug trials, you're going to do the obvious ones.
00:09:39.420So, one trial where you give it to them early, one trial where they get it later, but you're going to try both of those things.
00:09:46.900However, having seen the massive incompetence from our professionals so far, here I'm talking about the World Health Organization, the CDC, our, you know, the Surgeon General telling us that masks are not a good idea when you knew they were.
00:10:06.320So, if we had not just witnessed obvious and unambiguous massive lying and incompetence, I would have said, well, you can count on the fact that they're doing the right kind of drug trial, right?
00:11:08.300Oh, and in my tweet, I said something that is medically probably a terrible idea, which is that maybe people should be getting the azithromycin and the hydroxychloroquine before they have symptoms.
00:11:22.280But somebody in the comments pointed out that if you're taking an antibiotic, the azithromycin part, you might just cause the virus to become resistant.
00:11:31.920So, it probably doesn't make sense to take an antibiotic until you actually have symptoms.
00:11:39.900But it might make sense, and again, this is a question, not a statement, to take the hydroxychloroquine ahead of any symptoms.
00:11:48.680Because that one's not an antibiotic, per se.
00:11:54.720So, there are two problems with the pandemic models that I can see.
00:12:00.300Number one, I mentioned last night in Periscope, if you're throwing the New York data in with the rest of the country data and then averaging it, you get an average that doesn't mean anything.
00:12:12.380Because it's like averaging an apple and an orange.
00:12:15.660So, really, you should look at New York by itself as if it's the only country and the rest of the country.
00:12:21.900Because the rest of the country is not nearly as bad off.
00:12:24.840So, if you're projecting what's going to happen by throwing New York into the mix, it's probably skewing the average in a way that is misleading.
00:12:36.660I would need some confirmation, but I think that's true.
00:12:38.800But then some other smart people pointed out another problem with the model.
00:12:42.320And this is a pretty big problem, which is that the models say that after the end of the quarantine or the social distancing, that our number of deaths will be way down.
00:12:56.400And that's the good news, you know, that it would trend towards zero.
00:12:59.820Except the experts say, well, what happens as soon as you stop doing social distancing?
00:13:04.340The minute you stop it, doesn't it just go right back up?
00:13:09.980In other words, if the social distancing is doing nothing but delaying the bump, you have exactly the same amount of deaths.
00:13:20.000Now, spreading them out is a good thing in and of itself because of hospital capacity.
00:13:24.320But does it affect the total number of people who die?
00:13:27.260Or is that just going to be the same because there's just nothing we can do in the next 18 months or however long it takes to get a vaccination?
00:13:38.920And if you don't deal with that, then any of these numbers about total number of people who are going to die are just nonsense because it's based on magic.
00:13:47.780And the magic would be after the social distancing is over and everybody just goes back to work.
00:13:54.420The magical assumption is that the pandemic doesn't just start right back in again exactly like it was.
00:14:07.660If we slow it down, we can first of all, it's a gigantic big deal to slow it down, even if it's the same number of total deaths, because you at least can get your hospital capacity a little bit more under control.
00:14:21.360But maybe those other meds are a big difference too.
00:14:24.680Maybe we'll know more from the drug trials.
00:14:26.440So I would say that it's a stalling technique to find out which of the meds work.
00:14:33.580And I don't think that's been explained.
00:14:36.160So I think I'm explaining it to you better than the experts because you have to know what comes after, what happens when everybody goes back to work.
00:14:46.200If there's no plan for that, there's no plan.
00:14:49.700So Balaji Srinivasan has this suggestion, which I think is pretty good.
00:15:00.760We might be in sort of a semi-permanent world where face masks are going to be important.
00:15:06.980So even after this pandemic passes, we might have lots of future needs for face masks for, you know, a few weeks every year or something like that.
00:15:17.420And so Balaji says, well, why don't we make them cool?
00:15:21.320You know, why don't you build some stuff into them?
00:15:27.100Wouldn't you like to have a face mask?
00:15:28.500I've always thought this would be a good idea.
00:15:29.860Like a high-tech face mask, not a cloth one, but something more substantial where you could put some electronics in it, whatever.
00:15:37.940Could you make one in which you could talk, but only the person on the phone, and you've got a phone, you know, microphone in there, but only the person on the phone could hear you?
00:15:48.600So in other words, could you be wearing a mask, having a regular conversation with somebody on the phone through your mask, but people in the room can just hear a little murmur?
00:17:37.600I mean, there might be some expert who was saying it before me, but check that.
00:17:40.800How about the question of whether masks were useful or not useful in the pandemic?
00:17:48.280Who said first that masks are probably useful because, duh, was it the experts, the CDC, the World Health Organization, your Surgeon General, and your task force?
00:20:03.660So that's what the experts are saying.
00:20:05.260In fact, even this morning, a medical expert told me this, said, you don't want to give these just to everybody willy-nilly because the pills themselves could kill people.
00:20:15.380And we know that if they have certain conditions.
00:20:18.660To which I say to the experts, was that a problem when you prescribed it for lupus, which you do every day?
00:20:25.960Is that a problem when you prescribe it for rheumatoid arthritis, which you do every day?
00:20:31.020Is that a problem when you prescribe it for malaria before people even have malaria every day?
00:20:38.500So, experts, why are you telling me that this is a problem when it's something that's been done for decades for other conditions?
00:20:48.740And, of course, you have exactly the same warning.
00:20:50.680It doesn't matter if you're getting it for lupus or malaria or rheumatoid arthritis.
00:21:46.980Which expert is telling you, yeah, we better start testing DNA and get ahead of this and find out if there's anything about some people that makes them more susceptible?
00:22:25.840Even though I'm not, you know, I'm not the original creator of anything, any of the stuff I told you, except, you know, the mask stuff was obvious.
00:22:33.360Because I'm not the creator of it, so I'm not the original expert for it.
00:22:39.580If your experts have a lot of knowledge, but they're not telling you that knowledge, or they're telling you the opposite of that knowledge, it doesn't really help you that they have that knowledge.
00:22:47.980You also need to be communicating it accurately.
00:22:52.400So I would say if you're looking at this whole situation, and you were being even a little bit objective, and you said, who gave you better information about this medical situation?