Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 09, 2020


Episode 901 Scott Adams: I Feel a Sensational Simultaneous Swaddle Coming on. Don't Resist!


Episode Stats

Length

51 minutes

Words per Minute

149.47514

Word Count

7,732

Sentence Count

286

Misogynist Sentences

13

Hate Speech Sentences

9


Summary

Bill Clinton's ex-wife, Linda Tripp, has died at the age of 70. Bernie Sanders drops out of the Democratic primary race. President Trump says he doesn't know why Joe Biden isn't supporting him.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum.
00:00:05.680 Put your phones on silent. You know what time it is.
00:00:10.640 Yeah. Yeah you do. It's time for the evening simultaneous swaddle.
00:00:16.960 That's where you get your blanket on. Oh yeah.
00:00:20.960 Feels comfortable. Calms you down from these stressful times.
00:00:27.360 It's a way to get off the news. I'm trying to wean you off the news so that you can
00:00:32.560 slip into a comfortable great night's sleep. And you know you're addicted.
00:00:39.440 You're addicted to it. Because your days are better. All right. Now I'd like to thank
00:00:48.320 all the people who made news today that had nothing to do with the coronavirus.
00:00:52.960 Because I don't know about you. But I wouldn't mind talking about something else for a while.
00:00:59.920 First of the news. Linda Tripp has passed away just hours ago I guess.
00:01:07.600 And she was called the Clinton sex scandal whistleblower.
00:01:13.120 She died at the age of 70.
00:01:14.640 And I would like to read this sentence to you from the Daily Mail. This is a British publication.
00:01:22.720 And I want you to fill in the last part of the sentence.
00:01:27.440 Now I swear I'm not making this up.
00:01:31.840 Everything I tell you from you know about this totally legitimate.
00:01:36.480 And I just want you to guess how this sentence ends. I'll just read you the first part.
00:01:43.440 This is from the Daily Mail today.
00:01:45.120 Quote.
00:01:48.240 Linda Tripp's secret conversations with Monica Lewinsky led to the impeachment of Bill Clinton in 1998
00:01:55.360 after she blew the, finish the sentence.
00:02:02.240 Linda Tripp's secret conversations with Monica Lewinsky led to the impeachment of Bill Clinton in 1998
00:02:08.720 after she blew the, after she blew the, after she blew the, after she blew the, after she blew the, after she blew the whistle on their affair.
00:02:22.960 Because she was a whistleblower.
00:02:24.720 Oh, oh, the sentence was talking about Linda Tripp.
00:02:29.760 Okay, okay, I got it now. Got it.
00:02:31.680 All right.
00:02:33.280 Um, you probably know by now that, uh, Bernie Sanders has dropped out.
00:02:41.280 He's, he's dropped out of the race, but he's keeping his delegates.
00:02:47.160 That's not exactly, uh, a good loser, is it?
00:02:51.960 I'm going to drop out of the race, but I might keep my delegates.
00:02:57.400 I'm not going to give me my delegates.
00:02:59.000 So, it's not a clean win for Biden.
00:03:06.500 Um, and of course, by now you've all seen the, the President Trump quote.
00:03:12.680 And, uh, I say this a lot, but it always bears repeating.
00:03:17.740 President Trump doesn't even know how to be uninteresting.
00:03:22.720 You know, love him or hate him, you know, he annoys you, you know, you love him, whatever.
00:03:29.440 No matter what you think of him.
00:03:31.360 I just don't think it's in his character that he can be uninteresting.
00:03:37.040 Like, in any context, anywhere, in any room, under any situation.
00:03:42.640 He's, everything he says is just like, wait, what?
00:03:45.980 And this is another one.
00:03:48.740 So, his reaction when he heard the news, he was talking about it.
00:03:52.160 He said, quote, I don't know why President Obama hasn't supported Joe Biden a long time ago, Trump says.
00:03:58.600 Uh, he feels something is wrong.
00:04:02.020 It does, he feels something is wrong.
00:04:07.400 It does amaze me that President Obama hasn't supported Sleepy Joe.
00:04:12.320 He knows something that you don't know, that I think I know, that you don't know.
00:04:18.180 Now, you have to admit, if you had said, okay, we're going to have this, you know, moment when you're going to say something in public.
00:04:32.780 And I want you to, you know, get the best writers in the world and bring them together and try to come up with a sentence or two.
00:04:39.720 That's so provocative and so, and so, and so, so screws with your head that the people can't stop talking about it for 24 hours.
00:04:50.460 And you'd have the best writers in the world and be like, well, suppose he says this.
00:04:54.500 Now, that won't work.
00:04:55.920 And I don't know if you could, I don't know if the best writers in the world could have come up with something that's, that's more provocative than the way I think he just sort of came up with it on the spot.
00:05:09.720 I mean, that really is a gift, you have to admit.
00:05:12.240 Love it or hate it, you just can't turn away.
00:05:15.700 It's just so interesting the way he does it.
00:05:18.000 Now, of course, one of the many things he does right in holding your attention, I've talked about before, it's an author's trick and a writer's trick, which is you create curiosity.
00:05:31.680 And you see the President do that all the time.
00:05:33.580 He says, well, you know, you'll find out later.
00:05:36.140 He always does, he likes to have little surprises.
00:05:38.260 He likes to tease you that there might be a surprise coming.
00:05:42.600 So he knows how to keep you interested by not giving you the answer.
00:05:47.880 Because anybody, anybody standard, like a normal politician who didn't know how to do this stuff so well, a normal politician would have just made an accusation.
00:05:57.000 A normal politician would say, well, Joe Biden's a socialist too.
00:06:05.020 Or he voted against that thing or he was for this war or something.
00:06:11.600 I mean, that's how any normal politician would have approached it.
00:06:15.500 You would just say a fact.
00:06:16.660 But a fact gives you no curiosity.
00:06:20.600 There's no curiosity.
00:06:21.880 It's just, oh, yeah, of course you say that because you're on the other side.
00:06:25.740 I'm going to hear this a million more times.
00:06:27.700 It doesn't stick at all.
00:06:29.580 But Trump puts it in the form of like a puzzle, a riddle.
00:06:33.220 It's a quiz.
00:06:35.520 It's sort of a quiz and a riddle.
00:06:37.940 It's sort of a story with a cliffhanger.
00:06:40.480 You don't know quite what the answer to the story is, but you feel you have a notion.
00:06:47.480 And it might be the same notion he has.
00:06:49.800 Now, I've told you before that two of the strongest forms of persuasion are pacing and leading.
00:06:59.040 And so in this case, the president is sort of pacing the public because the public feels almost exactly the way he's framing it, which is, I think I know why Obama's not endorsing him.
00:07:12.680 I'm not going to say it out loud, but I think I know.
00:07:16.200 Now, so he knows how to completely connect with his supporters in a way nobody's ever really done before, I don't think, from the presidency.
00:07:28.620 And then the other trick, which I've talked about less, but it might be the most powerful one, is when he tells you what you're thinking as you're thinking it.
00:07:38.780 Have I ever, I don't know if you've heard me say that before, but a powerful way to instantly connect with somebody in a way that allows you to be influential with them, because that connection just like locks in.
00:07:53.280 And you can do it very quickly.
00:07:56.020 And the technique is you tell somebody what they're thinking accurately.
00:08:01.760 I mean, if you do it wrong, then it doesn't work at all.
00:08:04.320 But if you can accurately guess, because you've just been around a while and you know how brains work, if you can guess somebody's unique thought, and the trick is it has to be a unique thought, not an obvious one.
00:08:18.440 You know, guessing that somebody's hungry before lunch is not going to get it done.
00:08:22.380 So you want to, you want to like reach in and guess somebody's really specific thought.
00:08:28.040 And if you can do that, you just go click and you, and the two of you lock in.
00:08:33.400 And then, you know, there's a opportunity or a channel open for persuasion.
00:08:38.720 And you see the president doing this in this way, because he says it directly.
00:08:44.440 He knows something that you don't know, that I think I know that you don't know.
00:08:49.240 So he's basically talking about what's in our heads and everybody else, right?
00:08:56.100 What's in the public's heads.
00:08:57.740 And he kind of nails it without actually saying it, which is, we all think we know.
00:09:03.380 We're not sure if you know what I know or if I know what you're thinking.
00:09:07.200 But I feel like we all know we're thinking the same thing.
00:09:10.540 So anyway, he hit every note you can hit in persuasion.
00:09:14.180 And it was funny as well.
00:09:17.080 Here's some good news.
00:09:18.200 I'm full of good news today.
00:09:21.500 One of my neighbors who couldn't finish college because of the coronavirus stuff is home with the family,
00:09:29.180 is doing some shopping because she's in that young, healthy, relatively healthy category.
00:09:35.180 And so she was nice enough to get me some groceries a few times so far.
00:09:41.120 And today she was at a store for other purposes and saw toilet paper for sale on the shelf.
00:09:51.920 Let me say that again.
00:09:55.220 My town had toilet paper on the shelf.
00:10:03.100 And I'm not talking about industrial toilet paper.
00:10:08.400 I'm not talking about stuff you wouldn't want to get near the tender bottom of your self.
00:10:15.080 I'm talking about the good stuff.
00:10:18.380 12-pack.
00:10:19.700 Charmin.
00:10:20.800 Yeah.
00:10:21.560 That's right.
00:10:22.760 Solid gold.
00:10:24.940 And so she said,
00:10:26.260 would you like me to, you know,
00:10:28.400 get some for you?
00:10:30.160 And I was texting.
00:10:31.620 I was like,
00:10:32.020 I couldn't type it fast enough.
00:10:34.080 Yes.
00:10:35.320 Yes.
00:10:36.200 Buy it.
00:10:36.980 Buy it.
00:10:38.960 And she said,
00:10:39.880 do you want one or two?
00:10:41.320 I was like,
00:10:42.260 one or two?
00:10:43.740 One or two?
00:10:45.400 I didn't even know that was an option.
00:10:49.440 And I started weeping.
00:10:52.040 While typing,
00:10:53.080 two,
00:10:53.580 two.
00:10:54.040 I think there might have been a limit.
00:10:55.700 Which,
00:10:56.220 by the way,
00:10:56.620 will be the secret
00:10:57.720 to getting everybody enough.
00:11:00.240 is if the big box stores,
00:11:02.960 when they do get new supply in,
00:11:04.440 and it looks like it's happening,
00:11:06.220 if they limit,
00:11:07.420 you know,
00:11:07.800 two per customer
00:11:08.640 or something like that.
00:11:09.460 So I think that's what's going to happen.
00:11:12.540 Now,
00:11:13.160 let's talk about predictions.
00:11:15.360 How many of you remember
00:11:16.540 when I predicted
00:11:17.460 when the toilet paper supply
00:11:19.800 would start to replenish?
00:11:23.040 I said it would be
00:11:24.140 about a month
00:11:25.300 from the first day
00:11:27.900 that your stores
00:11:29.100 got empty shelves.
00:11:31.260 And I did like
00:11:31.920 the back of an envelope calculation
00:11:33.660 to,
00:11:34.420 you know,
00:11:35.120 guesstimate
00:11:35.640 the average
00:11:37.260 of how much people hoarded.
00:11:39.120 But then you have to calculate in
00:11:40.780 that people are home more,
00:11:42.440 so they're using more stuff at home.
00:11:44.480 Then calculate in
00:11:45.420 that the businesses
00:11:46.780 probably were working double time
00:11:48.560 to produce more.
00:11:50.580 So calculating all that,
00:11:51.880 and I think I said
00:11:52.540 about a month
00:11:53.100 from the time
00:11:53.740 that your shelves
00:11:54.580 first emptied.
00:11:57.420 How close did I get?
00:11:59.480 In my town,
00:12:00.180 I think I nailed it.
00:12:02.160 Right?
00:12:03.320 I think,
00:12:04.360 well,
00:12:04.700 you don't know,
00:12:05.260 but about a month
00:12:06.320 from the last moment
00:12:08.220 that you could buy
00:12:09.020 these products in my town
00:12:10.460 is today,
00:12:12.160 I think.
00:12:13.120 It's just about a month.
00:12:15.440 So that was just
00:12:16.300 the back of the envelope calculation,
00:12:17.840 but it looks like
00:12:18.680 that's going to come through.
00:12:21.060 We have to wait
00:12:21.880 and see if,
00:12:23.320 let me know,
00:12:25.100 let me know
00:12:26.240 if any of you
00:12:28.140 have experienced that yet.
00:12:31.560 All right.
00:12:34.900 Let's see.
00:12:37.280 This,
00:12:37.960 you know,
00:12:38.480 one thing that this
00:12:39.380 coronavirus
00:12:40.020 situation has done,
00:12:42.140 and I think
00:12:43.480 after it's over,
00:12:44.760 there are going to be
00:12:45.220 all these
00:12:45.860 unintended benefits
00:12:47.500 that are really
00:12:49.060 going to rack up.
00:12:51.360 And one of the
00:12:52.100 interesting things
00:12:52.880 about it
00:12:53.220 is it created
00:12:54.220 this little
00:12:54.860 test lab
00:12:56.600 where there were
00:12:58.080 lots of
00:12:58.560 ambiguous situations
00:12:59.780 that people
00:13:02.160 in public
00:13:02.760 were competing,
00:13:03.940 in a sense,
00:13:05.380 people were competing
00:13:06.440 to have the best
00:13:08.300 take on it
00:13:09.220 and the most
00:13:09.660 accurate interpretations,
00:13:12.140 the best predictions.
00:13:14.160 And so
00:13:14.500 there are lots
00:13:15.540 of like elements
00:13:16.560 and,
00:13:17.060 you know,
00:13:17.320 parts of the story
00:13:18.260 of the coronavirus
00:13:18.940 pandemic,
00:13:20.360 but in each
00:13:21.780 of those little
00:13:22.320 sub-stories,
00:13:23.400 in each of those
00:13:23.940 little sub-plots,
00:13:25.980 there are people
00:13:26.920 like me,
00:13:27.700 you know,
00:13:27.940 people in public,
00:13:29.780 pundits and famous
00:13:30.560 people and politicians
00:13:31.540 and celebrities
00:13:32.300 making all kinds
00:13:33.580 of predictions
00:13:34.100 and statements
00:13:34.880 about them.
00:13:35.460 And so
00:13:36.620 in a very
00:13:37.360 condensed period,
00:13:39.120 like we've never
00:13:39.980 seen before,
00:13:41.380 we got to see
00:13:42.460 people's minds
00:13:44.960 at work
00:13:45.580 in public
00:13:46.300 and then we
00:13:47.840 fairly quickly
00:13:48.720 got to see
00:13:49.400 who was more
00:13:50.280 right than
00:13:50.860 other people.
00:13:53.380 Somebody says,
00:13:54.240 your polyps
00:13:54.740 sound bad to you.
00:13:55.460 You know,
00:13:55.680 you're right.
00:13:56.460 I can,
00:13:57.140 the last few days,
00:13:58.860 I can feel
00:13:59.560 that there's
00:13:59.960 some difference.
00:14:01.080 So you're right.
00:14:03.880 Anyway,
00:14:04.620 so
00:14:04.920 I think
00:14:05.940 one of the
00:14:06.240 good things
00:14:06.620 that comes
00:14:06.960 out of this
00:14:07.400 is you're
00:14:07.900 going to
00:14:08.120 find out
00:14:08.620 who's good
00:14:09.320 at this
00:14:09.800 stuff.
00:14:10.860 And I'm
00:14:11.300 going to
00:14:11.560 tell you
00:14:12.400 a little bit
00:14:12.840 more about
00:14:13.720 my predictions
00:14:14.840 so you can
00:14:15.720 see how
00:14:17.040 I stack up
00:14:17.980 with the
00:14:18.900 public predictions.
00:14:20.080 All right.
00:14:21.820 So there's
00:14:22.560 a prediction
00:14:23.000 from the
00:14:23.980 experts
00:14:24.480 that say
00:14:26.260 the U.S.
00:14:26.820 will reach
00:14:27.220 its peak
00:14:27.860 use of
00:14:28.340 resources
00:14:28.920 that most
00:14:29.800 will need
00:14:30.400 on
00:14:31.540 around
00:14:31.800 Saturday,
00:14:32.420 which is
00:14:33.840 pretty close,
00:14:35.080 right?
00:14:35.580 It's the
00:14:36.000 weekend.
00:14:37.260 And I
00:14:38.340 don't see
00:14:39.200 the task
00:14:39.920 force being
00:14:40.820 panicked.
00:14:42.360 It looks
00:14:43.260 like they
00:14:43.640 figured it
00:14:44.280 out.
00:14:44.760 Like we
00:14:45.580 found enough,
00:14:46.480 we moved
00:14:46.860 enough around,
00:14:48.100 we flattened
00:14:48.900 the curve
00:14:49.240 enough.
00:14:50.380 You know,
00:14:50.600 they were
00:14:51.240 pushing on it
00:14:51.860 from every
00:14:52.300 direction,
00:14:52.980 from finding
00:14:54.280 new ones,
00:14:55.000 to figuring
00:14:55.480 out how
00:14:57.360 to retrofit
00:14:58.720 things,
00:14:59.380 to quickly
00:15:00.160 building new
00:15:00.860 ways to
00:15:01.280 build them
00:15:01.760 and everything.
00:15:03.600 But it
00:15:03.960 looks,
00:15:04.440 it's beginning
00:15:04.920 to look
00:15:05.340 like we're
00:15:07.040 going to
00:15:07.380 get past
00:15:07.920 the peak
00:15:08.380 of it
00:15:08.840 without
00:15:10.400 the grotesque
00:15:12.380 shortages that
00:15:13.240 would kill
00:15:13.700 people from
00:15:14.540 their lack.
00:15:15.580 Now,
00:15:15.780 I just saw a
00:15:16.260 message just
00:15:16.800 before I got
00:15:17.300 on from
00:15:18.500 somebody who
00:15:18.900 said in a
00:15:19.900 particular
00:15:20.340 hospital that
00:15:21.820 they were
00:15:22.560 reusing
00:15:24.580 stuff,
00:15:25.480 and may
00:15:25.980 have caused
00:15:26.420 infections and
00:15:27.340 maybe somebody
00:15:28.060 actually could
00:15:30.240 have died from
00:15:30.860 that.
00:15:31.240 It's hard to
00:15:31.640 know exactly
00:15:32.380 what caused
00:15:33.580 what in
00:15:33.940 these situations.
00:15:35.460 But if you
00:15:36.340 were to look
00:15:36.620 at it overall,
00:15:39.040 you know,
00:15:39.460 there's no doubt
00:15:40.660 there were
00:15:40.980 individual bad
00:15:42.160 situations,
00:15:42.840 but if you
00:15:43.140 were to look
00:15:43.440 at it overall,
00:15:45.160 it kind of
00:15:45.760 looks like
00:15:46.400 we got it
00:15:48.900 done.
00:15:50.320 I mean,
00:15:50.640 it's still
00:15:50.920 too early,
00:15:52.300 but it
00:15:53.000 started to
00:15:53.560 look like
00:15:54.240 team
00:15:55.900 humans
00:15:56.560 and team
00:15:58.240 America
00:15:58.720 specifically,
00:16:00.040 it's kind
00:16:00.860 of starting
00:16:01.260 to look
00:16:01.640 like we
00:16:02.000 got it
00:16:02.360 done,
00:16:03.180 which would
00:16:04.020 be
00:16:04.440 spectacular.
00:16:07.380 Now,
00:16:07.680 of course,
00:16:07.920 the skeptics
00:16:08.420 will say it
00:16:08.980 was all a
00:16:09.340 big hoax and
00:16:09.900 there was
00:16:10.100 nothing to
00:16:10.540 do,
00:16:11.260 so the
00:16:11.600 reason that
00:16:12.020 you did
00:16:12.340 so well is
00:16:12.940 that there
00:16:13.180 was no
00:16:13.460 problem in
00:16:13.940 the first
00:16:14.220 place,
00:16:14.740 and we'll
00:16:15.420 never be
00:16:15.840 able to
00:16:16.100 solve
00:16:16.360 those two
00:16:17.580 different
00:16:17.860 movies that
00:16:18.400 will play
00:16:19.040 forever.
00:16:19.400 But here's
00:16:22.220 the way
00:16:23.480 I'd put
00:16:23.900 it.
00:16:25.900 Can it
00:16:26.520 be said,
00:16:28.000 let's say
00:16:28.460 things go
00:16:29.060 the way
00:16:29.640 the optimist
00:16:31.220 would like
00:16:31.620 them to
00:16:31.920 go.
00:16:32.180 We get
00:16:32.560 through
00:16:32.740 Saturday
00:16:33.200 and we
00:16:34.080 don't run
00:16:34.540 out,
00:16:35.660 and then
00:16:36.160 even though
00:16:36.640 the problem
00:16:37.100 is going
00:16:37.720 to continue
00:16:38.160 for weeks,
00:16:39.560 we get on
00:16:40.460 top of the
00:16:40.960 supply problem
00:16:41.760 and we
00:16:42.340 basically,
00:16:43.920 give or take
00:16:44.580 a few special
00:16:45.400 cases,
00:16:46.040 basically we
00:16:46.680 just don't
00:16:47.200 run out of
00:16:47.760 stuff from
00:16:48.740 this point
00:16:49.200 on.
00:16:50.700 Could it
00:16:51.280 be said,
00:16:52.360 if you think
00:16:53.980 about yourself
00:16:54.500 in the future
00:16:55.120 and you're
00:16:55.500 looking back
00:16:56.040 at it,
00:16:56.800 you're a
00:16:57.280 historian,
00:16:58.500 could it
00:16:59.260 be said
00:16:59.620 that we
00:16:59.960 were unprepared?
00:17:02.100 Now your
00:17:02.480 first thought
00:17:03.020 is,
00:17:03.720 hell yes,
00:17:04.500 we were
00:17:04.780 unprepared,
00:17:05.780 because we
00:17:06.700 had to
00:17:07.040 scramble so
00:17:07.720 hard to get
00:17:08.240 all these
00:17:08.620 things.
00:17:10.760 But let
00:17:11.100 me just
00:17:12.140 put this
00:17:12.720 thought in
00:17:13.140 your head.
00:17:14.540 That would
00:17:15.020 make sense
00:17:15.720 if you had
00:17:16.380 only one
00:17:17.380 big
00:17:17.740 problem.
00:17:19.100 If you
00:17:19.620 had one
00:17:20.100 big risk,
00:17:21.680 you should
00:17:22.760 be really
00:17:23.220 prepared
00:17:23.780 specifically,
00:17:25.840 and in
00:17:26.440 the most
00:17:26.760 maximum
00:17:27.200 way,
00:17:28.220 for that
00:17:28.700 one risk.
00:17:29.920 But what
00:17:30.480 if you
00:17:30.780 live in
00:17:31.100 a world
00:17:31.580 in which
00:17:32.760 you have
00:17:33.220 untold
00:17:34.400 potential
00:17:35.100 risks?
00:17:36.140 Everything
00:17:36.480 from
00:17:37.180 pandemics
00:17:38.540 to
00:17:38.800 asteroids
00:17:39.380 to
00:17:40.140 unexpected
00:17:42.580 wars
00:17:43.180 to
00:17:43.720 EMF
00:17:44.880 bombs
00:17:45.700 to
00:17:46.240 who
00:17:47.920 knows
00:17:48.160 what,
00:17:49.760 revolutions,
00:17:51.820 mass
00:17:52.440 psychosis,
00:17:54.340 global
00:17:55.580 warming,
00:17:56.880 pick your
00:17:58.420 emergency.
00:17:59.620 I would
00:18:00.140 contend
00:18:00.680 that what
00:18:02.160 it means
00:18:02.700 to be
00:18:03.100 prepared
00:18:03.800 in a
00:18:05.340 world of
00:18:05.960 tremendous
00:18:06.820 uncertainty
00:18:07.460 and a
00:18:08.780 variety of
00:18:09.520 dangers to
00:18:10.640 which you
00:18:11.080 could not
00:18:11.460 possibly prepare
00:18:12.520 for all
00:18:13.020 of them,
00:18:14.340 that what
00:18:14.860 it means
00:18:15.280 to be
00:18:15.620 prepared
00:18:16.060 is to
00:18:17.120 have
00:18:17.280 systems
00:18:17.900 in place
00:18:18.580 that are
00:18:19.580 very
00:18:19.860 flexible
00:18:20.460 and adaptable
00:18:21.380 and when
00:18:22.460 a new
00:18:22.800 threat comes
00:18:23.440 in,
00:18:23.760 which is
00:18:24.080 always going
00:18:24.440 to be
00:18:24.620 different
00:18:24.940 from the
00:18:25.340 last one,
00:18:26.340 your next
00:18:27.220 threat is
00:18:27.860 never quite
00:18:28.480 like the
00:18:28.880 last one,
00:18:29.800 this virus
00:18:30.540 isn't like
00:18:31.420 the other
00:18:31.720 ones exactly.
00:18:33.340 So being
00:18:34.540 prepared in
00:18:35.160 the future
00:18:35.620 might not
00:18:37.120 be a case
00:18:37.920 of being
00:18:38.280 prepared like
00:18:39.080 a goal,
00:18:40.180 like my
00:18:40.640 goal is to
00:18:41.380 be prepared
00:18:41.920 for this
00:18:42.380 thing,
00:18:43.380 because what
00:18:43.900 if there
00:18:44.180 are so
00:18:44.480 many things
00:18:45.100 and some
00:18:45.520 of them
00:18:45.740 you can't
00:18:46.140 even imagine,
00:18:47.380 you can't
00:18:47.900 even think
00:18:48.440 up the
00:18:49.380 trouble that's
00:18:49.960 coming toward
00:18:50.460 you,
00:18:50.660 it's just
00:18:50.940 something you
00:18:51.400 never saw
00:18:51.780 before.
00:18:52.860 In that
00:18:53.520 case,
00:18:54.000 and I think
00:18:54.420 that does
00:18:54.860 describe the
00:18:55.560 future,
00:18:56.680 in that
00:18:57.040 case,
00:18:57.860 isn't your
00:18:58.300 best form
00:18:59.240 of preparation
00:18:59.960 tremendous
00:19:01.420 ability to
00:19:02.260 communicate,
00:19:03.860 incredible
00:19:04.660 colleges and
00:19:05.820 education system
00:19:06.860 to produce
00:19:07.840 the kinds of
00:19:08.440 scientists and
00:19:09.480 researchers and
00:19:11.620 doctors that
00:19:12.700 you need for
00:19:13.860 a variety of
00:19:14.500 situations,
00:19:15.540 we have
00:19:16.300 these systems
00:19:17.360 for governing
00:19:18.140 that apparently
00:19:19.460 were up to
00:19:21.140 the task in
00:19:21.980 terms of the
00:19:22.480 fact that we
00:19:23.800 knew who was
00:19:24.380 in charge,
00:19:25.080 okay,
00:19:25.480 Mr.
00:19:25.800 President,
00:19:26.780 he immediately
00:19:27.560 used his
00:19:28.860 powers to
00:19:29.400 create a
00:19:29.840 team,
00:19:31.080 that team
00:19:31.700 used the
00:19:32.280 powers of
00:19:33.140 emergency and
00:19:34.560 the influence
00:19:36.660 of the
00:19:36.900 president's
00:19:37.360 office and
00:19:37.820 all that,
00:19:38.260 the military,
00:19:38.820 everything,
00:19:39.920 all of
00:19:40.400 these systems,
00:19:41.680 it's like
00:19:42.080 systems on
00:19:42.860 top of
00:19:43.300 systems on
00:19:43.960 top of
00:19:44.360 systems,
00:19:45.220 and how
00:19:45.820 did they
00:19:46.040 do?
00:19:47.160 Well,
00:19:47.720 our biggest
00:19:48.120 problem is
00:19:48.800 that we're
00:19:49.160 sort of
00:19:49.560 ossified with
00:19:50.460 all these
00:19:50.820 regulations and
00:19:52.020 red tape.
00:19:54.200 If our
00:19:54.960 system could
00:19:55.920 not immediately
00:19:56.660 self-correct and
00:19:58.560 cut through the
00:19:59.400 red tape when
00:20:00.360 an emergency
00:20:00.940 required,
00:20:02.140 then I would
00:20:02.560 say you're
00:20:02.860 not prepared.
00:20:03.480 But what
00:20:05.080 if your
00:20:05.400 system is
00:20:06.220 so flexible
00:20:06.960 that the
00:20:08.220 moment there's
00:20:08.900 a need,
00:20:09.560 oh,
00:20:09.760 we've got to
00:20:10.060 get rid of
00:20:10.400 all these
00:20:10.700 regulations.
00:20:11.600 They made
00:20:11.940 sense before.
00:20:13.900 In a
00:20:14.380 luxury time,
00:20:15.220 they made
00:20:15.480 sense.
00:20:16.020 But right
00:20:16.260 now,
00:20:16.460 we've just
00:20:16.680 got to
00:20:16.880 get rid
00:20:17.140 of them.
00:20:17.840 If you
00:20:18.180 could just
00:20:18.500 slice through
00:20:19.080 them,
00:20:20.340 which I
00:20:20.740 think is
00:20:21.540 what the
00:20:21.840 administration
00:20:22.220 did.
00:20:23.280 It looked
00:20:23.680 to me like
00:20:24.180 the
00:20:24.340 administration
00:20:24.880 just sliced
00:20:26.560 through
00:20:27.000 regulations
00:20:27.860 everywhere they
00:20:28.840 saw them,
00:20:29.460 like a
00:20:30.340 samurai.
00:20:30.720 So were
00:20:34.640 we prepared
00:20:35.580 to get
00:20:37.840 rid of
00:20:38.160 regulations?
00:20:38.920 Yes.
00:20:39.460 Yes.
00:20:39.760 We had a
00:20:40.200 system in
00:20:40.680 place that
00:20:41.800 quite efficiently
00:20:42.660 identified and
00:20:44.520 then removed
00:20:45.260 obstacles.
00:20:47.220 We also had
00:20:48.080 the Internet.
00:20:49.220 I would say
00:20:50.040 that the
00:20:51.020 contribution of
00:20:52.860 just individuals
00:20:54.420 as they
00:20:55.540 communicated on
00:20:56.980 the Internet
00:20:57.340 and even
00:20:58.640 the leadership
00:20:59.260 that was
00:20:59.760 shown,
00:21:00.720 on the
00:21:00.920 Internet.
00:21:01.400 I'm
00:21:01.500 talking about
00:21:01.880 the Mark
00:21:02.720 Cubans,
00:21:03.440 etc.
00:21:04.160 The people
00:21:04.760 who just
00:21:05.140 stepped up
00:21:06.920 and added
00:21:08.220 something useful.
00:21:09.860 There were a
00:21:10.180 lot of ideas
00:21:10.940 and connections
00:21:12.420 and buyers
00:21:14.020 and sellers
00:21:14.600 finding each
00:21:15.300 other and
00:21:16.000 ideas that
00:21:17.420 needed to be
00:21:18.120 fleshed out
00:21:18.720 with more
00:21:19.100 people.
00:21:20.180 The Internet
00:21:20.760 is this
00:21:23.240 amazing system
00:21:24.080 and in my
00:21:26.520 opinion,
00:21:27.260 specifically
00:21:27.800 Twitter.
00:21:28.300 I'm a
00:21:31.180 little biased
00:21:31.680 but I
00:21:31.980 think Twitter
00:21:32.480 is sort
00:21:32.900 of the
00:21:33.140 brain of
00:21:34.520 civilization
00:21:35.200 and because
00:21:36.480 it exists,
00:21:38.240 all the
00:21:38.720 best ideas
00:21:39.540 could sort
00:21:40.460 of find the
00:21:41.040 right place
00:21:41.540 and get
00:21:41.840 filtered in
00:21:43.060 a way that
00:21:43.500 we could
00:21:43.860 have never
00:21:44.180 done before
00:21:44.800 prior to
00:21:45.920 Twitter.
00:21:47.220 So if you
00:21:48.060 look at
00:21:48.300 everything from
00:21:48.820 our political
00:21:49.420 systems,
00:21:50.400 even our
00:21:50.880 financial
00:21:51.360 systems,
00:21:51.960 the fact
00:21:53.020 that we
00:21:53.260 have such
00:21:53.680 a mature
00:21:54.460 banking
00:21:55.400 system and
00:21:56.420 that Mnuchin
00:21:58.980 could go in
00:21:59.560 there and
00:22:00.340 he had a
00:22:00.680 full toolbox.
00:22:03.080 Mnuchin had
00:22:03.880 a full
00:22:04.360 toolbox.
00:22:05.720 What tool
00:22:06.460 did Mnuchin
00:22:08.000 want to use
00:22:08.820 that was not
00:22:09.400 available to
00:22:10.220 him?
00:22:10.600 None,
00:22:11.040 right?
00:22:12.460 Maybe you
00:22:13.140 can think of
00:22:13.600 one but I
00:22:14.120 can't.
00:22:14.960 Because the
00:22:15.540 economy of the
00:22:17.220 United States
00:22:17.820 was robust,
00:22:20.540 Mnuchin goes
00:22:21.280 in there and
00:22:21.700 says,
00:22:21.960 all right,
00:22:22.200 it's an
00:22:22.400 emergency,
00:22:22.960 I've got to
00:22:23.300 push the
00:22:24.060 buttons for
00:22:24.580 emergencies and
00:22:26.180 all the buttons
00:22:26.740 are there.
00:22:27.860 They're all
00:22:28.240 there.
00:22:29.020 Because we
00:22:29.740 were already
00:22:30.520 in the
00:22:30.820 depression because
00:22:32.140 we had good
00:22:32.720 systems.
00:22:34.360 So I
00:22:37.360 would say
00:22:37.960 that we're
00:22:39.040 probably,
00:22:40.120 you know,
00:22:40.320 it's human
00:22:41.000 nature that
00:22:41.680 you beat
00:22:42.540 yourself up
00:22:43.200 for your
00:22:43.460 mistakes and
00:22:44.360 you don't
00:22:44.660 give yourself
00:22:45.140 enough credit
00:22:47.220 for the
00:22:48.200 things you do
00:22:48.700 well.
00:22:49.820 But I
00:22:50.500 think where
00:22:51.180 we're heading
00:22:51.680 with this,
00:22:52.660 if we do
00:22:53.280 get past
00:22:53.900 the peak
00:22:54.420 without running
00:22:55.060 out of
00:22:55.340 stuff,
00:22:55.940 I'm optimistic
00:22:57.160 now,
00:22:58.540 I think we
00:22:59.300 really have to
00:22:59.980 pat ourselves
00:23:00.520 on the back.
00:23:01.940 And I'm
00:23:02.220 talking about
00:23:02.760 humanity in
00:23:03.580 general.
00:23:04.860 Because there
00:23:06.140 are a whole
00:23:07.140 bunch of
00:23:07.900 systems that
00:23:09.980 really delivered,
00:23:11.700 that they
00:23:12.160 adapted,
00:23:12.880 the systems
00:23:13.600 themselves were
00:23:14.320 almost like
00:23:14.820 living creatures
00:23:15.660 because none
00:23:16.780 of the systems
00:23:17.500 were on
00:23:18.860 day one
00:23:19.360 adapted to
00:23:20.180 the task.
00:23:21.900 But,
00:23:22.340 you know,
00:23:22.740 let's just
00:23:23.280 take one
00:23:23.620 example.
00:23:24.200 Twitter is
00:23:25.020 not adapted
00:23:26.300 to the
00:23:26.760 task on
00:23:27.420 day one,
00:23:28.800 but it
00:23:29.120 takes 10
00:23:29.620 seconds for
00:23:30.200 a hashtag
00:23:30.680 to appear
00:23:31.320 and suddenly
00:23:32.340 Twitter is
00:23:33.100 morphing into
00:23:34.020 exactly the
00:23:35.300 tool for
00:23:37.020 this disease.
00:23:38.400 It's almost
00:23:38.920 like you
00:23:39.360 could think
00:23:39.760 of creating
00:23:40.320 a hashtag
00:23:40.960 in Twitter
00:23:41.620 as almost
00:23:42.920 like an
00:23:43.800 antibody or
00:23:45.000 a white
00:23:45.340 blood cell.
00:23:46.260 because let's
00:23:47.560 say the
00:23:47.980 body human
00:23:49.000 is attacked.
00:23:50.940 So something
00:23:51.680 about humanity
00:23:52.380 is attacked,
00:23:53.120 whether it's
00:23:53.480 a pandemic
00:23:53.920 or something
00:23:54.460 else.
00:23:55.180 What's the
00:23:55.840 first thing
00:23:56.240 we do?
00:23:58.220 When humanity
00:23:59.460 is attacked,
00:24:00.180 the first thing
00:24:00.640 we do is
00:24:01.020 somebody makes
00:24:01.620 a hashtag,
00:24:03.160 right?
00:24:04.000 The hashtag
00:24:04.780 then attracts
00:24:06.360 all the
00:24:07.900 attention and
00:24:08.860 the trends and
00:24:09.580 then people
00:24:09.980 know where to
00:24:10.480 go and then
00:24:11.080 it connects
00:24:11.640 everybody and
00:24:12.840 then all of
00:24:13.360 the resources
00:24:13.980 of the world,
00:24:14.860 all the
00:24:15.100 different systems
00:24:16.020 start spinning
00:24:17.300 up because
00:24:18.800 of this little
00:24:19.260 hashtag.
00:24:20.520 So this
00:24:21.000 hashtag is
00:24:21.800 like the
00:24:22.380 antibodies that
00:24:23.380 get formed
00:24:24.460 on Twitter.
00:24:25.300 They start
00:24:25.900 spreading on
00:24:26.500 Twitter which
00:24:27.600 connects all
00:24:28.240 the systems
00:24:28.860 and pushes
00:24:30.340 them into
00:24:30.940 operation and
00:24:31.760 then people
00:24:32.140 can find
00:24:32.600 each other
00:24:33.000 and make
00:24:33.280 connections.
00:24:34.280 They know
00:24:34.540 what's important
00:24:35.040 and what's
00:24:35.380 not.
00:24:36.240 Imagine if
00:24:36.880 you had to
00:24:37.320 depend on
00:24:38.840 just the
00:24:39.260 news.
00:24:41.060 Imagine this
00:24:41.980 pandemic came
00:24:43.000 and there was
00:24:43.340 no social
00:24:43.900 media and
00:24:44.980 you just
00:24:45.320 had to
00:24:45.620 depend on
00:24:46.020 the news.
00:24:47.560 That's scary
00:24:48.420 isn't it?
00:24:49.460 That's really
00:24:49.920 scary.
00:24:50.880 So the
00:24:51.360 thing that's
00:24:51.980 sort of
00:24:52.260 invisible to
00:24:52.960 you is the
00:24:53.460 stuff that
00:24:53.980 happens
00:24:54.780 gradually and
00:24:56.120 what's
00:24:56.360 happened
00:24:56.620 gradually is
00:24:57.440 most of
00:24:58.760 us have
00:24:59.140 sort of
00:24:59.560 grown up
00:25:00.620 with this
00:25:01.000 evolving
00:25:01.620 internet
00:25:02.140 world so
00:25:03.880 you lose
00:25:04.860 track of
00:25:05.920 how different
00:25:06.860 it is
00:25:07.500 from any
00:25:09.560 time before
00:25:10.140 that.
00:25:10.540 And one
00:25:10.740 of the
00:25:10.920 differences
00:25:11.220 is it's
00:25:12.200 almost alive.
00:25:13.900 As soon
00:25:14.520 as the
00:25:15.780 problem was
00:25:16.460 identified it
00:25:17.360 turned into a
00:25:17.980 hashtag it
00:25:19.220 reformed Twitter
00:25:20.500 in real time
00:25:21.860 and created
00:25:23.360 like this
00:25:23.860 little brain
00:25:25.200 of society
00:25:25.980 that was
00:25:26.640 focused on
00:25:27.260 this one
00:25:27.660 problem.
00:25:28.540 Then all the
00:25:29.060 systems were
00:25:29.660 activated and
00:25:30.740 each of them
00:25:31.260 morphed into
00:25:32.000 a new
00:25:32.820 system.
00:25:34.100 Every system
00:25:34.980 think about
00:25:36.120 it.
00:25:36.580 Every system
00:25:37.460 in the
00:25:37.780 world
00:25:38.160 probably
00:25:39.420 just morphed
00:25:41.940 into a
00:25:42.300 new system
00:25:42.920 in just
00:25:44.060 days
00:25:44.460 while we
00:25:45.900 watched
00:25:46.160 because we
00:25:46.740 needed it.
00:25:48.120 Most
00:25:48.600 incredible
00:25:49.420 thing you've
00:25:49.980 ever seen
00:25:50.360 in your
00:25:50.580 life.
00:25:50.960 I hope
00:25:51.220 that we
00:25:51.980 all remember
00:25:52.640 it in
00:25:54.640 the way
00:25:55.500 that we
00:25:56.720 should.
00:25:57.000 Let me
00:25:59.660 give you
00:26:00.040 some of
00:26:01.840 my most
00:26:02.560 unlikely
00:26:03.100 predictions.
00:26:04.660 You've
00:26:04.960 heard these
00:26:05.280 before but
00:26:05.900 if there's
00:26:06.260 anybody new
00:26:06.820 it's always
00:26:07.460 good context.
00:26:08.880 So I've
00:26:10.420 been saying
00:26:10.760 for years
00:26:11.220 that you
00:26:11.560 should make
00:26:11.900 predictions in
00:26:12.580 public and
00:26:13.980 then you
00:26:14.800 can see if
00:26:15.240 you're good
00:26:15.500 at it because
00:26:16.480 people will
00:26:17.000 remind you if
00:26:17.700 you missed
00:26:18.080 it and if
00:26:19.280 you do you
00:26:20.060 should tell
00:26:20.420 people you
00:26:20.780 got it right.
00:26:21.680 So here are
00:26:21.980 my most
00:26:22.480 unlikely
00:26:23.100 predictions.
00:26:23.820 Of course
00:26:24.240 I famously
00:26:26.320 predicted that
00:26:26.980 Trump would
00:26:27.400 win in
00:26:28.400 2015 so
00:26:29.860 that sort
00:26:31.200 of put me
00:26:31.600 on the map
00:26:32.140 for predicting
00:26:32.760 stuff but
00:26:33.960 here are some
00:26:34.360 of the really
00:26:34.900 weird ones I
00:26:35.620 predicted.
00:26:36.920 When we
00:26:37.560 didn't know
00:26:38.000 who the
00:26:38.360 Vegas shooter
00:26:39.000 was and
00:26:40.780 people were
00:26:41.220 saying it
00:26:41.560 was probably
00:26:41.940 ISIS I
00:26:42.960 said it was
00:26:43.460 not but
00:26:44.080 that's not
00:26:44.480 the fun
00:26:45.780 part.
00:26:46.800 The fun
00:26:47.200 part is that
00:26:47.800 when ISIS
00:26:48.260 took credit
00:26:49.160 for it I
00:26:50.960 still publicly
00:26:51.780 said nope
00:26:53.140 and then people
00:26:54.480 reminded me
00:26:55.300 you know ISIS
00:26:56.540 doesn't take
00:26:57.440 credit for
00:26:57.940 things that
00:26:58.580 they didn't
00:26:59.040 do.
00:26:59.860 I think there
00:27:00.720 was one
00:27:01.040 example where
00:27:01.680 they might
00:27:02.040 have but
00:27:02.780 basically once
00:27:04.840 they take
00:27:05.340 credit for
00:27:05.940 it it's
00:27:07.820 ISIS but
00:27:09.980 I held
00:27:10.760 tight and
00:27:11.960 of course
00:27:12.280 it was not
00:27:12.700 ISIS so
00:27:14.040 that was
00:27:15.680 one for
00:27:17.460 me.
00:27:18.140 When the
00:27:18.540 Cuban
00:27:19.820 embassy
00:27:20.280 allegedly had
00:27:21.580 a secret
00:27:22.120 sonic weapon
00:27:22.940 and all the
00:27:24.160 experts and
00:27:24.800 all the news
00:27:25.340 was reporting
00:27:25.980 it was a
00:27:26.460 secret sonic
00:27:27.160 weapon and
00:27:28.260 I said
00:27:28.760 never going
00:27:30.240 to find that
00:27:30.720 secret sonic
00:27:31.360 weapon that
00:27:31.880 doesn't exist.
00:27:32.620 have we
00:27:33.880 found the
00:27:34.520 secret sonic
00:27:35.240 weapon that
00:27:36.700 doesn't exist?
00:27:37.680 We have
00:27:38.320 not and I
00:27:39.280 think that at
00:27:40.000 this point the
00:27:40.640 experts probably
00:27:41.960 agree that it's
00:27:43.420 not any kind of
00:27:44.100 a weapon
00:27:44.500 whatever it
00:27:45.060 was.
00:27:48.620 And of
00:27:49.360 course you
00:27:49.860 know I was
00:27:50.580 one of the
00:27:51.000 first to say
00:27:51.580 stop the
00:27:52.020 flights from
00:27:52.420 China.
00:27:53.360 I was one
00:27:53.800 of the first
00:27:54.200 public people
00:27:54.820 to say of
00:27:55.640 course masks
00:27:56.340 work.
00:27:57.780 How could
00:27:58.200 masks not
00:27:59.120 work?
00:27:59.500 It doesn't
00:27:59.760 make any
00:28:00.120 sense.
00:28:00.380 Now a
00:28:01.660 lot of
00:28:01.900 people
00:28:02.100 realized it
00:28:02.980 but you
00:28:04.260 know there
00:28:04.600 was sort
00:28:05.160 of a funny
00:28:05.620 thing happening
00:28:06.220 when it
00:28:07.440 first came
00:28:08.080 out that
00:28:08.700 the experts
00:28:09.400 you know
00:28:11.060 Surgeon General
00:28:11.800 and the
00:28:12.620 World Health
00:28:13.020 Organization
00:28:13.600 CDC and
00:28:14.480 everybody
00:28:14.720 when they
00:28:15.460 were all
00:28:15.760 telling us
00:28:16.220 that masks
00:28:16.820 wouldn't
00:28:17.180 help.
00:28:18.220 I feel
00:28:19.060 like there
00:28:20.040 was this
00:28:20.400 phenomena that
00:28:21.120 happened all
00:28:22.180 over the
00:28:22.560 place which
00:28:23.900 is that a
00:28:24.500 whole bunch
00:28:24.920 of smart
00:28:25.440 people said
00:28:26.060 to themselves
00:28:26.640 but not
00:28:28.300 out loud as
00:28:29.260 soon as they
00:28:29.620 heard this they
00:28:30.180 thought to
00:28:30.500 themselves
00:28:30.900 is that
00:28:32.360 right?
00:28:33.340 Is that
00:28:33.960 right?
00:28:34.320 Because that
00:28:35.520 doesn't feel
00:28:36.200 right.
00:28:37.320 Like how
00:28:37.820 could it not
00:28:39.220 help at least
00:28:40.300 a little bit?
00:28:41.520 And they
00:28:41.740 would make
00:28:42.100 their silly
00:28:42.640 arguments about
00:28:43.440 touching your
00:28:43.920 face and you'd
00:28:44.640 be like yeah
00:28:45.760 but that
00:28:46.260 doesn't feel
00:28:47.500 right.
00:28:48.460 But I don't
00:28:49.020 think anybody
00:28:49.580 wanted to say
00:28:50.180 it out loud
00:28:50.820 because literally
00:28:52.500 every expert
00:28:53.380 just said no
00:28:55.120 don't do it
00:28:56.460 they don't
00:28:56.780 help.
00:28:58.060 So what are
00:28:58.500 you going to
00:28:58.760 do?
00:28:58.960 Are you going
00:28:59.260 to go in
00:28:59.640 public and
00:29:01.260 say out
00:29:01.720 loud in
00:29:02.160 public I
00:29:03.540 disagree with
00:29:04.420 every scientist
00:29:05.620 and expert
00:29:06.360 who's weighed
00:29:06.900 in based on
00:29:08.380 my skill as
00:29:09.220 a cartoonist?
00:29:10.900 Is anybody
00:29:11.760 dumb enough to
00:29:12.520 do that?
00:29:14.020 Well yeah I
00:29:14.500 did that.
00:29:15.500 That's exactly
00:29:16.080 what I did.
00:29:17.120 I bucked
00:29:17.740 every expert
00:29:18.600 and scientist
00:29:19.200 in the world
00:29:19.780 who all of
00:29:20.700 them know
00:29:21.160 far more
00:29:21.700 than I do
00:29:22.180 because it
00:29:22.880 was obvious
00:29:23.300 that they
00:29:23.680 were just
00:29:23.920 wrong.
00:29:24.200 so you'll
00:29:26.140 count that
00:29:26.600 on my
00:29:27.020 list.
00:29:29.980 I think
00:29:30.580 by the way
00:29:31.020 I made it
00:29:31.520 easier for
00:29:32.200 other people
00:29:32.680 to say it
00:29:33.240 in public
00:29:33.900 because you
00:29:35.020 know when
00:29:35.220 the first
00:29:35.620 idiot goes
00:29:36.780 and doesn't
00:29:37.620 get killed
00:29:38.100 you go
00:29:38.820 oh well
00:29:39.460 the first
00:29:39.900 idiot didn't
00:29:40.460 get killed
00:29:40.880 maybe I
00:29:41.280 can go
00:29:41.560 too.
00:29:44.560 And so
00:29:45.560 here's where
00:29:45.960 I'm heading
00:29:46.280 on this.
00:29:46.680 oh and I
00:29:49.900 also predicted
00:29:50.540 that splitting
00:29:51.380 ventilators
00:29:52.060 would be a
00:29:52.560 thing and
00:29:53.680 as of today
00:29:54.460 the Surgeon
00:29:55.000 General just
00:29:56.440 put out some
00:29:57.020 guidance that
00:29:57.700 said it's
00:29:58.640 a last resort
00:29:59.740 but it's an
00:30:01.460 approved last
00:30:02.540 resort which
00:30:03.380 makes sense
00:30:04.240 right?
00:30:04.580 If you had
00:30:04.980 any other way
00:30:05.480 to do it
00:30:05.820 you wouldn't
00:30:06.080 do it that
00:30:06.400 way.
00:30:09.240 And then
00:30:09.840 here's another
00:30:10.320 one.
00:30:11.580 So my
00:30:12.400 public estimate
00:30:13.420 for the final
00:30:14.280 death toll
00:30:14.980 will probably
00:30:17.200 be well
00:30:18.180 off of the
00:30:18.700 actual number
00:30:19.360 but maybe
00:30:21.160 the closest
00:30:21.740 one in the
00:30:22.360 country.
00:30:23.500 So I might
00:30:24.300 have the
00:30:24.660 closest estimate
00:30:25.880 while still
00:30:26.560 being off a
00:30:27.460 bit.
00:30:28.180 So mine
00:30:28.540 was under
00:30:29.060 5,000 net
00:30:30.480 meaning after
00:30:31.520 you saved
00:30:32.300 people who
00:30:33.460 didn't get in
00:30:34.020 car accidents
00:30:34.660 for two
00:30:35.600 months count
00:30:36.660 them in
00:30:37.120 etc.
00:30:37.620 Counting
00:30:38.020 everything in
00:30:38.620 that would
00:30:38.980 be closer
00:30:39.560 to 5,000
00:30:40.540 that we
00:30:40.880 would do
00:30:41.160 such a good
00:30:41.680 job.
00:30:42.780 It looks
00:30:43.080 like the
00:30:43.660 official
00:30:45.300 estimates
00:30:45.720 are 60,000
00:30:46.960 as of
00:30:47.500 today
00:30:47.900 but that's
00:30:49.700 gross.
00:30:50.980 So if you
00:30:51.420 just netted
00:30:52.180 out the
00:30:52.560 ones that
00:30:52.880 were saved
00:30:53.400 it's probably
00:30:54.440 going to be
00:30:54.740 half of that.
00:30:56.020 So somewhere
00:30:56.440 in the
00:30:56.760 neighborhood
00:30:57.040 of 30,000
00:30:58.040 would be
00:30:58.560 effectively
00:31:00.180 the predicted
00:31:01.100 net.
00:31:02.440 My guess
00:31:03.160 was 5,000.
00:31:04.600 I think
00:31:04.980 the 30,000
00:31:05.720 is probably
00:31:06.120 going to
00:31:06.400 come down
00:31:06.820 a little
00:31:07.100 bit.
00:31:08.420 So if
00:31:09.980 the experts
00:31:10.560 were saying
00:31:11.000 100,000 or
00:31:11.640 200,000
00:31:12.480 and maybe
00:31:13.060 a million
00:31:13.560 and I
00:31:14.620 said 5,000
00:31:15.560 and it
00:31:16.000 comes down
00:31:16.460 to net
00:31:17.940 15,000
00:31:18.960 or something
00:31:19.420 I'm going
00:31:21.060 to say
00:31:21.340 I had the
00:31:21.780 best prediction.
00:31:22.920 We'll see.
00:31:24.760 But here's
00:31:25.540 the weirdest
00:31:25.980 one.
00:31:27.560 Let me
00:31:28.160 do a little
00:31:28.960 fact checking
00:31:30.100 with you
00:31:30.540 because you
00:31:31.400 know how
00:31:31.640 it's easy
00:31:32.040 to have
00:31:33.240 selective
00:31:33.700 memory.
00:31:35.900 It's really
00:31:36.540 easy to have
00:31:36.980 selective
00:31:37.380 memory and
00:31:37.960 imagine that
00:31:38.940 you predicted
00:31:39.480 things you
00:31:39.980 didn't predict.
00:31:40.940 So I need
00:31:41.300 your help
00:31:41.760 on this.
00:31:42.480 who in
00:31:45.480 the public
00:31:46.120 who talks
00:31:46.880 about politics
00:31:47.620 what public
00:31:48.980 person said
00:31:49.820 before I
00:31:50.500 did that
00:31:52.140 Biden was
00:31:52.960 mentally
00:31:54.000 incapable.
00:31:57.340 Do you
00:31:58.180 remember
00:31:58.520 anybody saying
00:31:59.460 it in
00:31:59.820 public like
00:32:01.500 actually saying
00:32:02.360 oh I'm
00:32:04.000 watching this
00:32:04.620 and it looks
00:32:05.000 like his
00:32:05.380 brain is not
00:32:06.100 functioning.
00:32:07.740 Did anybody
00:32:08.400 say that
00:32:09.000 that you
00:32:09.380 heard that
00:32:10.700 you heard
00:32:11.140 before I
00:32:12.560 did?
00:32:14.540 Somebody says
00:32:15.140 everyone.
00:32:15.800 Well everyone
00:32:16.580 has said it
00:32:19.360 since.
00:32:21.380 Yeah everyone
00:32:22.280 said it since
00:32:23.120 but I might
00:32:23.980 have been the
00:32:24.380 first one to
00:32:24.920 say it publicly.
00:32:26.340 Maybe Mike
00:32:26.940 Cernovich.
00:32:27.480 Yeah I
00:32:31.120 mean so I'm
00:32:32.400 not going to
00:32:32.820 claim that I
00:32:33.580 said that
00:32:33.940 first but I
00:32:34.600 was among
00:32:35.020 the first
00:32:35.600 and wouldn't
00:32:37.820 you say
00:32:38.320 that a year
00:32:40.100 ago it
00:32:40.720 wasn't as
00:32:41.240 obvious but
00:32:42.200 now everybody
00:32:42.820 can see it.
00:32:44.320 So I would
00:32:44.760 say that
00:32:45.100 everybody who
00:32:46.000 is on record
00:32:47.340 as having
00:32:47.960 said you know
00:32:48.560 a year ago
00:32:49.240 I was kind
00:32:49.840 of calling this
00:32:50.460 out already
00:32:51.080 all those
00:32:52.520 people are
00:32:52.920 right.
00:32:54.860 Yeah Tucker
00:32:55.540 was on it
00:32:56.120 early for
00:32:57.900 example.
00:33:00.160 But my
00:33:00.880 weirdest
00:33:01.240 prediction is
00:33:03.020 and I
00:33:03.500 tweeted it
00:33:04.400 today and
00:33:06.680 I know you're
00:33:07.160 never supposed
00:33:07.600 to reveal a
00:33:08.640 conversation a
00:33:09.500 private conversation
00:33:10.460 you have with
00:33:10.860 the president
00:33:11.260 but this is a
00:33:12.660 special case and
00:33:13.600 I'm only revealing
00:33:14.340 this one little
00:33:15.180 nugget because
00:33:15.940 it's fun and
00:33:16.700 because the
00:33:17.040 president wouldn't
00:33:17.720 mind and it
00:33:19.060 was that when
00:33:19.820 I when he
00:33:20.940 he invited me
00:33:22.160 to the Oval
00:33:22.680 Office to
00:33:23.540 chat in
00:33:24.340 2018 so
00:33:26.020 this is August
00:33:26.720 2018 so
00:33:28.480 just just
00:33:29.020 think about how
00:33:29.560 long ago this
00:33:30.240 was it's August
00:33:30.980 2018 and
00:33:33.100 he asked me
00:33:35.480 my prediction
00:33:36.060 for who would
00:33:36.720 get the
00:33:37.000 nomination and
00:33:38.820 I said Kamala
00:33:39.560 Harris and he
00:33:40.780 said Joe
00:33:41.360 Biden.
00:33:42.680 So in
00:33:43.060 August of
00:33:44.540 2018 President
00:33:46.600 Trump called
00:33:48.540 the and I
00:33:49.880 think we can
00:33:50.340 assume that
00:33:50.920 Biden will get
00:33:51.520 the nomination
00:33:52.100 unless he
00:33:52.640 falls apart
00:33:53.400 but Trump
00:33:55.860 called it
00:33:56.520 he called it
00:33:57.840 correctly
00:33:58.500 confidently
00:34:00.240 he was pretty
00:34:02.420 confident about
00:34:03.140 it and he
00:34:04.060 called it in
00:34:05.260 August of
00:34:05.960 2018 that's
00:34:06.760 pretty good
00:34:07.180 right I have
00:34:08.880 to say now
00:34:09.800 my prediction
00:34:11.460 seemed to be
00:34:13.620 going poorly
00:34:14.560 when Kamala
00:34:15.780 Harris suspended
00:34:16.640 her campaign
00:34:17.320 so you might
00:34:18.840 say to
00:34:19.180 yourself well
00:34:20.400 Scott after
00:34:21.720 ISIS has
00:34:22.440 taken credit
00:34:23.220 that's when
00:34:24.760 you can say
00:34:25.300 you're wrong
00:34:25.880 oh no
00:34:26.960 that's not
00:34:28.020 how I roll
00:34:28.700 I don't care
00:34:29.860 if ISIS took
00:34:30.560 credit I'm
00:34:31.180 still going to
00:34:31.600 say it wasn't
00:34:32.120 ISIS as with
00:34:33.880 the Vegas
00:34:34.240 shooter and
00:34:35.540 just because
00:34:36.160 Kamala Harris
00:34:36.880 stopped running
00:34:38.440 for president
00:34:39.140 that didn't
00:34:40.580 mean she
00:34:40.940 wasn't going
00:34:41.520 to get the
00:34:41.940 nomination
00:34:42.360 no if you
00:34:43.120 recall I
00:34:44.160 was quite
00:34:44.680 insistent that
00:34:46.280 my that my
00:34:47.300 prediction would
00:34:48.000 stand now as
00:34:50.000 of today the
00:34:51.160 the news is
00:34:52.520 reporting that
00:34:53.320 he's hinting
00:34:54.120 so strongly that
00:34:55.980 he's going to
00:34:56.560 pick her as
00:34:57.160 vice president
00:34:57.840 that at this
00:34:59.580 point it might
00:35:00.400 be surprising
00:35:01.220 if he didn't
00:35:02.200 because he's
00:35:03.720 just sort of
00:35:04.200 talking about
00:35:04.900 her in a way
00:35:05.680 that makes
00:35:06.800 you think he
00:35:07.760 is he's not
00:35:09.060 doing a good
00:35:09.560 job of hiding
00:35:10.300 his intentions
00:35:10.980 now let me
00:35:14.140 say as clearly
00:35:14.840 as possible
00:35:15.500 it's not a
00:35:16.980 done deal
00:35:17.500 because first
00:35:18.800 of all I'm
00:35:19.300 not even sure
00:35:19.860 that Biden
00:35:20.620 gets to pick
00:35:21.440 his own vice
00:35:22.060 president at
00:35:22.740 this point I
00:35:23.920 feel like the
00:35:24.520 deep state is
00:35:25.260 just going to
00:35:25.700 assign him a
00:35:26.320 vice president
00:35:26.940 so that the
00:35:28.240 usual people are
00:35:29.060 in charge once
00:35:30.000 once he gets
00:35:30.740 in office or
00:35:31.480 or let's say
00:35:32.540 even he has
00:35:33.500 to drop out
00:35:34.680 before he gets
00:35:35.600 in office the
00:35:36.940 vice president
00:35:37.640 would be the
00:35:38.200 obvious one to
00:35:38.840 take over the
00:35:39.380 top of the
00:35:39.760 ticket so if
00:35:44.240 Kamala Harris is
00:35:45.120 the one who
00:35:45.460 was picked I
00:35:46.180 would say we're
00:35:46.960 no more than
00:35:47.640 60% likely at
00:35:49.260 this point if I
00:35:50.180 had to put the
00:35:50.540 odds on it but
00:35:51.940 it's still my
00:35:52.400 prediction she
00:35:54.020 would become the
00:35:54.620 vice presidential
00:35:55.280 pick for a
00:35:56.080 candidate that
00:35:56.820 even the
00:35:57.380 Democrats realize
00:35:58.440 is not capable
00:35:59.820 to hold the
00:36:00.480 job and even
00:36:02.080 Biden has
00:36:02.760 suggested that
00:36:03.660 he knows it
00:36:04.320 too because
00:36:05.580 he's talked
00:36:06.160 about getting
00:36:06.580 somebody younger
00:36:07.260 for the obvious
00:36:07.920 reason and it
00:36:10.320 feels as though
00:36:11.160 unless something
00:36:13.360 changes it feels
00:36:15.320 like the obvious
00:36:16.420 path of this is
00:36:19.220 that for all
00:36:19.660 practical purposes
00:36:20.740 Kamala Harris
00:36:21.500 will be will
00:36:22.380 be the will be
00:36:24.620 the nominee
00:36:25.340 whether
00:36:26.600 officially or
00:36:27.900 not in a
00:36:29.860 practical matter
00:36:30.640 I think people
00:36:31.540 will be voting
00:36:32.180 for the vice
00:36:33.220 president so
00:36:34.740 would you say
00:36:36.300 my prediction
00:36:37.020 of Kamala
00:36:38.860 Harris as the
00:36:39.540 nominee would be
00:36:40.440 wrong under
00:36:43.060 these circumstances
00:36:44.160 if she were the
00:36:45.600 vice presidential
00:36:46.420 pick well my
00:36:48.240 critics will say
00:36:49.000 yes it's wrong
00:36:49.820 and I will of
00:36:51.560 course say yeah
00:36:52.700 it's technically
00:36:54.080 wrong it's
00:36:56.300 technically wrong
00:36:57.360 and somebody
00:36:59.980 says you are
00:37:00.880 out of touch
00:37:01.600 guess what
00:37:03.700 happens to
00:37:04.200 people who say
00:37:05.040 you are out of
00:37:06.380 touch they
00:37:08.720 become out of
00:37:09.400 touched now
00:37:11.460 you're out of
00:37:12.060 touched no
00:37:12.800 you're out of
00:37:13.400 touched again
00:37:14.980 the rule is you
00:37:16.660 can disagree with
00:37:17.540 anything I say
00:37:18.260 you just can't say
00:37:19.060 something about
00:37:19.680 me don't say
00:37:22.400 I'm out of
00:37:23.120 touch just
00:37:24.480 tell me what
00:37:25.340 I don't know
00:37:25.940 that works
00:37:27.140 too
00:37:27.440 all right
00:37:32.080 somebody's saying
00:37:32.680 yes still wrong
00:37:33.680 now if I didn't
00:37:34.660 know what you
00:37:35.180 meant by that
00:37:35.920 I'd probably
00:37:37.140 block you for
00:37:37.680 that but I
00:37:38.240 know what you
00:37:38.540 mean
00:37:38.740 so I see a
00:37:43.740 lot of you
00:37:44.160 who are
00:37:44.840 rejecting
00:37:45.400 the prediction
00:37:47.740 so so just
00:37:50.660 remember this
00:37:51.540 when you come
00:37:52.520 back to mock
00:37:53.260 me should I
00:37:53.900 be should I
00:37:54.500 be wrong
00:37:55.000 should I be
00:37:56.800 wrong I
00:37:58.200 will look
00:37:59.880 you in the
00:38:00.360 camera and
00:38:02.260 I will admit
00:38:02.980 I was wrong
00:38:03.760 you don't have
00:38:05.520 to remind me
00:38:06.760 right you
00:38:08.760 don't have to
00:38:09.120 remind me I'll
00:38:10.300 admit it and
00:38:11.800 I promise you I
00:38:12.740 will admit it if
00:38:13.840 she does not get
00:38:14.580 the vice
00:38:15.100 presidential nod
00:38:16.260 all right
00:38:16.820 let's see
00:38:21.640 here's a
00:38:23.680 well I kind
00:38:25.180 of said this
00:38:25.640 before but I
00:38:26.860 feel like when
00:38:27.480 this is over
00:38:28.180 whenever that
00:38:29.780 happens I
00:38:32.020 feel I feel
00:38:34.380 like we're going
00:38:34.860 to be proud
00:38:35.640 I feel like
00:38:37.680 humanity is
00:38:38.680 going to feel
00:38:39.180 like it did
00:38:41.080 well you know
00:38:42.360 there's of
00:38:43.400 course you know
00:38:44.320 the tragedies
00:38:45.580 that come out
00:38:45.980 of this and
00:38:46.400 the you know
00:38:47.460 the discomfort
00:38:48.300 and pain are
00:38:49.280 all terrible
00:38:50.000 and cannot be
00:38:50.660 minimized but I
00:38:52.680 think we're going
00:38:53.240 to be proud when
00:38:54.000 we come out of
00:38:54.560 this I think it
00:38:55.740 will work that
00:38:56.260 well all right
00:38:59.180 see what else is
00:39:00.300 going on here
00:39:00.880 I also think I
00:39:05.560 also think that the
00:39:07.360 unintentional benefit
00:39:08.780 from this pandemic
00:39:09.860 will be we don't
00:39:14.220 like your message
00:39:15.160 what message the
00:39:18.940 accidental benefit
00:39:19.760 will be decoupling
00:39:21.020 from China because
00:39:22.460 I think public
00:39:23.160 opinion was sort
00:39:24.080 of beginning to
00:39:25.020 lean in that
00:39:25.800 direction of yeah
00:39:26.820 maybe China is
00:39:28.680 not our friend
00:39:29.700 but I think the
00:39:31.060 pandemic changed
00:39:32.080 people's emotional
00:39:33.340 feeling about China
00:39:35.680 and the whole
00:39:36.320 relationship and so
00:39:37.740 I would say at this
00:39:38.380 point we came out
00:39:39.320 way ahead you know
00:39:41.100 the pandemic is going
00:39:42.280 to cost us how
00:39:43.540 many trillion two
00:39:45.320 or three two or
00:39:47.840 three trillion but I
00:39:49.720 think we still come
00:39:50.640 out ahead in the long
00:39:51.640 run if we cut the
00:39:53.620 cord with China and
00:39:55.340 bring our stuff home
00:39:56.240 I think we could
00:39:57.540 make up three
00:39:58.160 trillion because
00:39:59.460 remember the what
00:40:00.380 is the what's the
00:40:02.300 full economy does
00:40:04.140 anybody know the
00:40:04.740 full it is in a
00:40:05.540 five trillion dollar
00:40:06.680 economy somebody
00:40:07.900 help me out with
00:40:08.460 that but I think
00:40:09.900 you know if you
00:40:11.080 take that three
00:40:11.700 trillion and spread
00:40:12.640 it out over X
00:40:14.260 years as one does
00:40:15.560 I think just the
00:40:17.740 benefit of getting
00:40:18.940 China out of our
00:40:20.040 supply chain and
00:40:21.260 bringing that work
00:40:22.140 home we may end
00:40:24.540 up making back
00:40:25.780 the whole three
00:40:26.520 trillion in the
00:40:27.940 long run all
00:40:29.400 right so I've
00:40:33.340 predicted that
00:40:33.960 there will be an
00:40:34.460 oxytocin delivery
00:40:35.500 service if we have
00:40:36.640 to keep up this
00:40:37.460 social isolation
00:40:38.260 because you know
00:40:39.300 humans go a little
00:40:40.180 squirrely if they
00:40:41.140 don't have physical
00:40:42.000 touch and physical
00:40:43.980 touch releases a
00:40:45.240 chemical in you
00:40:46.040 called oxytocin
00:40:47.000 it's the thing that
00:40:47.720 makes you bond
00:40:49.040 with people it's the
00:40:50.100 thing that gives you
00:40:50.660 a feeling of
00:40:51.280 well-being it's the
00:40:52.780 thing that calms all
00:40:54.040 your stress and
00:40:54.840 makes all your
00:40:55.320 problems go away
00:40:56.060 you've probably
00:40:56.880 noticed that you
00:40:57.480 could have all the
00:40:58.020 problems in the
00:40:58.640 world but if you're
00:41:00.340 with your loved one
00:41:01.280 and you have a good
00:41:02.060 time together suddenly
00:41:03.720 all the problems in
00:41:05.000 the world don't seem
00:41:06.300 so bad so that's the
00:41:07.720 oxytocin in you now
00:41:09.880 since we all have this
00:41:11.040 social isolation what
00:41:13.060 are you going to do
00:41:13.680 what are you going to
00:41:15.340 do somebody in the
00:41:17.240 comments is saying our
00:41:18.240 economy is five to
00:41:19.540 six trillion I'm
00:41:20.500 seeing six trillion
00:41:21.360 right so the the
00:41:23.480 point stands a six
00:41:25.280 trillion dollar economy
00:41:26.380 could probably get
00:41:28.300 back three trillion
00:41:29.800 over 25 years you
00:41:33.280 know just by the
00:41:34.620 benefit of not dealing
00:41:35.520 with China anymore
00:41:36.240 potentially so oxytocin
00:41:40.880 so what's going to
00:41:42.160 happen if we keep
00:41:43.240 getting starved of
00:41:44.160 oxytocin besides the
00:41:45.360 fact it will be
00:41:45.940 unhappy and and crazy
00:41:47.840 I think you might
00:41:49.500 see people who
00:41:50.260 already have been
00:41:51.120 tested to have
00:41:52.680 recovered and have
00:41:53.580 antibodies they may do
00:41:55.920 that business that
00:41:56.880 you've heard of I
00:41:57.580 think it still exists
00:41:58.360 where people actually
00:41:59.900 get paid to hug
00:42:01.620 people and and they
00:42:03.880 just go and they
00:42:04.740 cuddle with you for a
00:42:05.640 while if you don't
00:42:06.660 have anybody in your
00:42:07.380 life it's usually a
00:42:08.480 woman I don't think
00:42:09.160 it has to be but I'll
00:42:11.700 bet you you're going
00:42:12.340 to see that business
00:42:13.120 spring up because
00:42:14.940 think of you know
00:42:16.100 once we have a
00:42:17.100 bifurcated population
00:42:18.660 where some people
00:42:19.980 have recovered and
00:42:20.840 they have the
00:42:21.140 antibodies but other
00:42:22.180 people are so
00:42:22.840 vulnerable they could
00:42:23.680 die the people who
00:42:25.040 have the antibodies
00:42:25.800 that are confirmed to
00:42:27.500 have recovered will be
00:42:29.620 like super beings who
00:42:31.540 can you know who can
00:42:32.760 you know deal in both
00:42:34.240 worlds while the
00:42:35.740 people who haven't yet
00:42:36.780 caught anything and
00:42:37.980 don't have a
00:42:38.440 vaccination will be
00:42:39.900 you know cowering in
00:42:40.920 our caves so I think
00:42:42.440 some of them will
00:42:43.220 actually it will be
00:42:44.300 like you know
00:42:46.020 ordering DoorDash
00:42:46.960 I think people will
00:42:49.060 order hugs like
00:42:50.680 actual literally
00:42:51.720 you'll you'll go on
00:42:53.660 your app and you'll
00:42:54.320 say I just need 15
00:42:56.340 minutes of spooning
00:42:57.800 and somebody will come
00:42:59.460 to your house and
00:43:00.080 spoon you for 15
00:43:00.980 minutes and you pay
00:43:02.380 them by the app
00:43:03.060 could happen
00:43:05.000 so I would like to
00:43:08.520 create for you for
00:43:10.480 tonight an artificial
00:43:13.080 oxytocin high
00:43:14.780 so that chemical that
00:43:17.080 normally is only
00:43:17.940 produced by close
00:43:21.160 physical contact can
00:43:23.680 also be to a
00:43:25.680 slightly lesser extent
00:43:26.880 can be artificially
00:43:28.900 generated by a brain
00:43:30.480 hack do you believe
00:43:32.280 it do you believe
00:43:34.000 there's a brain hack
00:43:35.400 or a trick that can
00:43:38.240 kind of close the
00:43:40.680 circuitry in your brain
00:43:42.040 that initiates your
00:43:43.820 oxytocin because
00:43:45.420 remember it happens
00:43:46.660 basically in your brain
00:43:48.280 in your own body even
00:43:49.920 though the other person
00:43:50.860 is involved it's not
00:43:52.580 like they're shooting
00:43:53.660 chemicals from their
00:43:55.060 body into yours right
00:43:56.980 your experience is a
00:43:58.520 subjective one and
00:44:00.300 and your feeling of the
00:44:02.420 subjective experience is
00:44:04.440 what makes your brain
00:44:05.540 chemistry do a certain
00:44:07.720 thing which triggers your
00:44:09.780 oxytocin that flows into
00:44:11.440 your body in your mind
00:44:12.620 and makes you feel
00:44:13.720 awesome so if there
00:44:15.320 were some way to
00:44:17.640 close that little
00:44:18.520 circuitry and
00:44:19.680 activate your
00:44:20.500 oxytocin without the
00:44:21.900 benefit of a person
00:44:22.800 there wouldn't that
00:44:24.420 be cool it turns out
00:44:26.580 there is and I've
00:44:29.000 taught you the trick
00:44:29.880 but until you see lots
00:44:31.540 of examples of it you
00:44:33.380 don't completely get the
00:44:34.940 beauty of it and the
00:44:37.860 trick is that our mind
00:44:39.020 is an association
00:44:39.900 engine it's a it's a
00:44:42.360 pattern recognition
00:44:43.220 engine sometimes but
00:44:44.940 it's also an association
00:44:46.080 engine so if for
00:44:47.860 example I took this
00:44:51.160 bottle of water yeah
00:44:53.360 that's a bad example
00:44:54.200 because it's too
00:44:54.980 common let's say I
00:44:56.280 took this little tripod
00:44:58.620 that's a little bit less
00:45:00.580 common than a bottle of
00:45:01.560 water and every time
00:45:03.240 every time I showed it to
00:45:05.420 you I fed you a
00:45:07.100 delicious meal your
00:45:08.100 favorite meal like the
00:45:09.140 best food you've ever
00:45:10.180 had in your life but
00:45:11.740 no other time do you
00:45:13.660 ever get to see this
00:45:14.660 it's the only time you'll
00:45:15.860 ever see it over time
00:45:18.000 simply seeing this
00:45:20.040 without the food would
00:45:22.140 start to make you happy
00:45:23.260 in the same way that the
00:45:24.400 delicious food did so
00:45:25.960 your brain just
00:45:26.700 automatically pairs
00:45:27.900 things whether you like
00:45:29.000 it or not now you knew
00:45:30.260 this of course because
00:45:31.160 that's the whole concept
00:45:32.300 behind you hear a song
00:45:34.400 that was your song when
00:45:35.780 you were in a
00:45:36.280 relationship and it
00:45:37.180 makes you sad because
00:45:38.120 it reminds you of that
00:45:39.240 right so you know the
00:45:40.640 songs can trigger a
00:45:41.980 relationship you know
00:45:43.640 that lots of other
00:45:44.280 things can trigger these
00:45:45.780 associations so if you
00:45:48.700 would like to get a
00:45:50.040 little oxytocin and who
00:45:52.780 wouldn't here's what you
00:45:54.760 need to do the first
00:45:57.460 thing you need to do is
00:45:58.920 reproduce a sum of the
00:46:01.160 physicality that's what
00:46:03.060 this blanket's for this
00:46:04.560 blanket is chosen
00:46:06.020 scientifically sort of
00:46:08.200 meaning that it's just
00:46:09.980 the right feeling and
00:46:12.600 softness because when I
00:46:14.680 have it on me I get a
00:46:16.460 feeling of softness and a
00:46:17.960 little bit surrounded it's
00:46:19.740 actually sort of hugging
00:46:21.040 me now if you think that
00:46:23.600 being hugged by a soft
00:46:25.060 blanket is so completely
00:46:27.360 different than being hugged
00:46:29.080 by a human being well of
00:46:30.340 course it is but it's not
00:46:32.280 that different because
00:46:33.700 your body is an
00:46:34.520 association machine and
00:46:36.260 when you associate the
00:46:37.220 feeling of wow that is
00:46:39.700 soft and warm and feels
00:46:41.180 good on my body it's going
00:46:43.540 to trigger some of the
00:46:44.600 same chemistry and mental
00:46:46.520 processes and just by
00:46:48.560 memory and association of
00:46:50.100 the real thing so some of
00:46:52.220 it's physical there's there
00:46:53.220 were tests of little monkey
00:46:55.620 babies that didn't have
00:46:56.740 mothers and if they gave
00:46:58.160 them a warm water bottle
00:47:00.020 they actually were pretty
00:47:01.940 happy because the just the
00:47:03.900 physical warm water bottle
00:47:05.360 felt sort of like a person
00:47:07.440 felt sort of like a mommy
00:47:08.860 so reproduce the physical
00:47:12.320 comfort of a human hug so
00:47:15.660 you might want to get you
00:47:16.820 know you might want to be
00:47:17.580 near the fireplace if you
00:47:19.340 have a pet who's good at
00:47:21.240 snuggling well put on a
00:47:23.400 blanket sit by the fireplace
00:47:25.060 get on your comfortable rug
00:47:27.280 spoon with your bigger old
00:47:29.300 dog or your cat on your
00:47:30.780 chest and these these
00:47:32.900 feelings are similar enough
00:47:34.840 to things that you feel when
00:47:36.680 you're with a real person that
00:47:38.460 it can trigger them at least
00:47:40.360 partially and then then the
00:47:44.880 other thing you want to do is
00:47:46.740 you want to manage your mental
00:47:48.260 shelf space and put things on
00:47:50.900 it that create oxytocin and
00:47:53.580 make sure that there's no
00:47:54.520 space on the mental shelf
00:47:56.000 for any bad thoughts to get
00:47:58.040 in that work against it so
00:47:59.880 if you just don't bother
00:48:01.360 managing what you're
00:48:02.800 thinking well thoughts will
00:48:04.740 just sort of occur to you in
00:48:06.200 a semi-random way and some
00:48:07.820 of them will be bad so don't
00:48:10.040 do that so once you're in
00:48:12.060 your soft comfortable warm
00:48:14.860 place hugging your cat or dog
00:48:17.540 or whatever you're doing this
00:48:19.440 assumes you don't actually have
00:48:20.520 a human that you can be
00:48:21.400 hugging then close your eyes
00:48:24.200 and think about the person
00:48:26.920 you most would want to hug put
00:48:29.180 yourself in the situation now
00:48:31.020 here's the trick run through all
00:48:33.740 five senses in order say to
00:48:36.800 yourself okay I can visualize
00:48:38.900 what that looks like that's your
00:48:41.160 eyes I can smell it you know the
00:48:44.380 perfume the scent I can feel it in
00:48:48.160 your just in your imagination but
00:48:49.960 you're also feeling your soft
00:48:51.200 blanket the fire your pet
00:48:53.140 perhaps maybe you've got a maybe
00:48:55.620 you've got a body pillow by the
00:48:57.180 way if you haven't tried a body
00:48:59.060 pillow you should because it's
00:49:03.300 almost disturbing how good it
00:49:06.560 feels so if you have one try that
00:49:09.940 so imagine if you will and fill up
00:49:12.380 your mental space with just thoughts
00:49:14.220 thoughts where you cycle through
00:49:16.040 all of your your sensations you
00:49:18.420 know you're you're hearing your
00:49:19.680 touch your scent your taste if it
00:49:23.280 makes sense if there's something
00:49:24.340 that you often would eat or taste
00:49:27.040 with this person so you just run
00:49:30.200 through it and you make sure that
00:49:31.380 you're concentrating as much as
00:49:32.760 possible on the thought of what it
00:49:34.940 feels like to be with that one you
00:49:36.560 would most like to cuddle it works
00:49:38.960 best it works best if it's somebody
00:49:43.120 that you have an actual
00:49:44.040 relationship with or you can
00:49:46.400 remember it and you have good
00:49:47.560 feelings about it not somebody you
00:49:48.900 broke up with ideally but you know
00:49:51.900 something that's only positive so I
00:49:55.860 will be daydreaming of Christina as I
00:50:00.060 as I often do while I'm hugging my
00:50:02.380 pillow and of course it's the rest of
00:50:08.720 you I know how hard it is for all of
00:50:10.160 you but I want you to take a moment to
00:50:12.940 feel sorry for me not only can I not be
00:50:16.560 with my fiance but by terrible luck she
00:50:22.540 is the most attractive human being in
00:50:24.580 the multiverse now it'd probably be
00:50:27.920 easier not to see her if she if she
00:50:31.000 were not so darn lovely and if I didn't
00:50:34.440 love her so much and if she were not so
00:50:36.780 incredibly attractive but that's my
00:50:40.780 that's my my personal hell but I do get
00:50:44.740 to spend time with you that's not
00:50:46.640 nothing and tonight when you go
00:50:49.000 drifting off you're going to remember
00:50:52.460 the oxytocin trick and you're going to
00:50:55.260 feel almost like a tingle you're going to
00:50:58.040 feel some of you not all of you and not
00:50:59.840 all the time but some of you are going
00:51:01.660 to feel it when you get in the zone and
00:51:03.620 you can feel the warmth and the you're
00:51:06.200 just comfortable and you're thinking
00:51:07.940 about that person you most want to hug and
00:51:10.540 you feel like a little tingle it'll be
00:51:12.640 like a little almost a like a blush that
00:51:15.860 comes across some part of your body
00:51:17.620 could be different everybody's a little
00:51:19.400 different so you might feel it sort of in
00:51:21.520 your head or your neck might have a little
00:51:23.480 tingle on your arms but that's how you
00:51:26.020 know you're in the zone and tonight you're
00:51:29.820 going to have one of the best sleeps of
00:51:32.520 your life and you wake up feeling a little
00:51:34.520 bit better than normal you might not know
00:51:36.700 why but it's a little thing called
00:51:39.320 oxytocin have a great night I'll see you
00:51:43.320 in the morning