Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 11, 2020


Episode 905 Scott Adams: Swaddle in Place. Come Learn a Useful Trick With Me.


Episode Stats

Length

56 minutes

Words per Minute

151.76839

Word Count

8,548

Sentence Count

434

Misogynist Sentences

10

Hate Speech Sentences

17


Summary

Dr. Fauci says he doesn't trust models anymore, and I think it's funny. Also, why we should do more testing of the coronavirus, and why it's a good thing we don't have them.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Do you like my exciting new introduction?
00:00:18.780 You get to watch the lights come on and the shades go down.
00:00:23.840 One of my shades isn't working.
00:00:28.840 There we go.
00:00:29.840 isn't it? It's sort of like a little build-up.
00:00:32.620 I know.
00:00:35.720 But back to me. That's enough of that.
00:00:39.620 How the heck have you been?
00:00:41.900 I missed you. It's been
00:00:43.760 11 hours.
00:00:45.900 And
00:00:46.280 somebody says, does
00:00:49.500 Christina still cut your hair?
00:00:51.680 Well, she's in
00:00:53.180 social isolation in a different
00:00:55.880 house. So
00:00:57.720 I was going to cut my hair
00:00:59.760 on live
00:01:02.040 stream today. But
00:01:03.860 I didn't feel like cleaning up the hair in my office
00:01:05.880 so I'm not going to do that.
00:01:10.320 I'm not taking Twitter questions
00:01:12.060 but if I see
00:01:13.820 something go by, I'll
00:01:16.040 take a question.
00:01:17.860 So here's what's happened
00:01:19.220 since last we spoke.
00:01:22.420 I saw Brett Hume
00:01:23.800 tweeting a quote by
00:01:26.020 Anthony Fauci, Dr. Fauci
00:01:27.600 in which
00:01:29.000 Fauci was saying
00:01:29.880 that he's never had much
00:01:31.240 trust in models.
00:01:35.200 And Brett Hume,
00:01:36.420 I'm paraphrasing, but
00:01:37.740 basically Brett Hume said,
00:01:40.480 why are you telling us now?
00:01:42.160 Because you seemed
00:01:42.880 pretty confident
00:01:44.080 not too long ago.
00:01:46.640 Seemed pretty confident
00:01:47.820 back then.
00:01:49.080 But now you don't
00:01:50.360 trust models.
00:01:52.200 And
00:01:52.520 here's what I find
00:01:54.220 funny about that.
00:01:55.540 The reason Fauci says
00:01:56.860 he doesn't trust the models
00:01:58.080 is that they're only as good
00:01:59.960 as the assumptions
00:02:00.720 they've put in them.
00:02:02.700 Is that wrong?
00:02:04.700 Is Fauci wrong
00:02:06.000 that the models are only
00:02:07.380 as good as the assumptions?
00:02:08.860 No, of course not.
00:02:10.160 Of course not.
00:02:10.880 We all know that.
00:02:12.240 And is that the most
00:02:13.080 ordinary
00:02:13.740 expected thing
00:02:16.300 you could ever
00:02:16.920 say about models?
00:02:19.040 That it depends on
00:02:19.820 the assumptions
00:02:20.300 you put in?
00:02:20.920 It's just the most
00:02:21.640 obvious thing.
00:02:22.980 So
00:02:23.240 I said in a different
00:02:25.620 tweet today
00:02:26.180 that I would
00:02:27.360 lose respect
00:02:28.660 for any expert
00:02:29.780 who believed
00:02:30.980 models work.
00:02:33.620 Any expert,
00:02:34.500 doesn't matter
00:02:34.900 what the field is,
00:02:35.760 if they say
00:02:36.280 these long-range
00:02:37.300 multi-variable
00:02:39.360 models work,
00:02:40.820 and actually
00:02:41.680 can give you
00:02:42.280 a photograph
00:02:43.080 of the future,
00:02:44.400 I would not
00:02:45.160 trust those
00:02:46.260 experts,
00:02:47.660 if you know
00:02:48.000 what I mean.
00:02:50.000 But what was
00:02:50.820 funniest about
00:02:51.700 this is
00:02:52.560 Bray Hume
00:02:53.600 is probably
00:02:54.180 one of the most
00:02:55.940 experienced
00:02:57.240 news people.
00:02:59.280 He's seen
00:02:59.960 everything from
00:03:01.060 every angle.
00:03:02.460 One of the
00:03:03.000 sharpest
00:03:03.620 observers
00:03:04.820 of political
00:03:05.980 life especially.
00:03:06.740 and apparently
00:03:08.840 Bray Hume
00:03:09.620 thought these
00:03:10.860 models were
00:03:11.540 actually telling
00:03:12.260 you something.
00:03:13.480 To which I
00:03:14.420 think,
00:03:15.200 really?
00:03:17.280 How do you
00:03:18.220 get this far
00:03:19.000 and not know
00:03:20.660 that long-range
00:03:22.520 prediction models
00:03:23.540 are not telling
00:03:26.040 you even
00:03:26.540 slightly more
00:03:28.060 than you could
00:03:28.560 just guess?
00:03:29.280 because if
00:03:30.460 they could,
00:03:31.300 anybody who
00:03:31.840 had that
00:03:32.460 kind of
00:03:32.780 superpower
00:03:33.340 to predict
00:03:34.500 the future,
00:03:35.140 even with a
00:03:35.720 little bit of
00:03:36.220 edge over
00:03:36.740 chance,
00:03:38.060 would be a
00:03:38.560 trillionaire.
00:03:39.420 If anybody
00:03:40.160 could do it,
00:03:41.600 somebody would
00:03:42.220 do it to get
00:03:42.700 rich.
00:03:43.060 There would be
00:03:43.300 a million ways
00:03:43.920 you could exploit
00:03:44.600 that to get
00:03:45.120 rich.
00:03:45.320 Dr. Fauci,
00:03:49.340 my opinion
00:03:51.460 of Dr. Fauci
00:03:52.280 just went up
00:03:52.960 a level when
00:03:54.160 he said he
00:03:54.560 doesn't believe
00:03:55.120 the models,
00:03:56.920 the virology
00:03:59.300 models.
00:04:01.560 So that is
00:04:02.460 the correct
00:04:03.000 answer,
00:04:03.780 Dr. Fauci.
00:04:05.500 I see that
00:04:06.640 the ex-FDA
00:04:08.240 head,
00:04:08.760 Dr. Gottlieb,
00:04:10.500 is saying
00:04:10.980 that we should
00:04:11.360 go back to
00:04:11.800 work,
00:04:12.980 but ideally
00:04:14.420 we should
00:04:16.240 have
00:04:16.480 widespread
00:04:17.540 screening.
00:04:19.200 Now,
00:04:19.680 I would like
00:04:20.320 to nominate
00:04:21.000 for the
00:04:22.440 most useless
00:04:23.300 thing that
00:04:23.860 anybody can
00:04:24.420 say about
00:04:24.860 the coronavirus
00:04:25.440 is we
00:04:27.340 should have
00:04:27.780 widespread
00:04:28.300 testing.
00:04:29.640 Why don't
00:04:30.280 we have
00:04:30.620 more testing?
00:04:32.040 Hey,
00:04:32.620 I've got an
00:04:33.440 idea.
00:04:34.300 Why don't
00:04:34.740 we do
00:04:34.980 testing?
00:04:36.120 You know,
00:04:36.480 South Korea
00:04:37.140 did some
00:04:37.560 testing.
00:04:38.540 Why don't
00:04:38.940 we do
00:04:39.200 some testing?
00:04:39.980 Hey,
00:04:40.240 I've got an
00:04:40.700 idea.
00:04:41.020 Has anybody
00:04:41.360 thought of
00:04:41.820 this?
00:04:43.060 We could
00:04:43.440 do some
00:04:43.800 testing.
00:04:45.380 Have you
00:04:45.740 realized,
00:04:47.200 am I the
00:04:47.720 first one
00:04:48.140 to think
00:04:48.480 of this?
00:04:49.560 That if
00:04:49.900 we could
00:04:50.240 test people,
00:04:51.200 and we
00:04:51.480 could test
00:04:51.840 a lot
00:04:52.160 of people,
00:04:52.860 that would
00:04:53.680 really help.
00:04:54.620 We'd know
00:04:55.060 who had
00:04:55.420 it and
00:04:55.600 who didn't.
00:04:56.640 Wow.
00:04:58.220 I'm so
00:04:59.000 sick of
00:04:59.520 people going
00:05:00.200 on television
00:05:00.880 or in the
00:05:01.440 news to
00:05:02.780 tell us
00:05:03.340 that it
00:05:04.040 would really
00:05:04.420 be good
00:05:04.840 if we
00:05:05.260 could test.
00:05:06.680 If we
00:05:07.380 had the
00:05:07.940 tests,
00:05:09.060 if we
00:05:09.980 could,
00:05:10.780 I'm pretty
00:05:11.660 sure that
00:05:12.120 would have
00:05:12.340 been right
00:05:12.740 at the top
00:05:13.360 of the
00:05:13.640 list.
00:05:13.940 that our
00:05:14.920 experts would
00:05:15.580 have wanted
00:05:15.920 to do.
00:05:17.120 Please stop
00:05:18.100 saying we
00:05:18.580 should do
00:05:18.940 more testing.
00:05:20.380 There's nobody
00:05:21.080 who disagrees
00:05:21.920 with that.
00:05:22.680 We just
00:05:23.400 can't do
00:05:24.020 it.
00:05:24.860 So you
00:05:25.440 know what
00:05:25.640 would also
00:05:26.120 be good
00:05:26.500 to stop
00:05:26.920 this
00:05:27.220 pandemic?
00:05:29.580 Magic.
00:05:31.260 Why don't
00:05:31.920 we use
00:05:32.380 magic?
00:05:33.320 People,
00:05:34.400 people,
00:05:35.540 are you not
00:05:36.080 thinking it
00:05:36.580 through?
00:05:37.320 Just use
00:05:38.140 magic.
00:05:38.620 magic isn't
00:05:41.240 real?
00:05:42.500 Well,
00:05:42.940 then we'll
00:05:43.280 just test.
00:05:44.280 We'll just
00:05:44.620 do massive.
00:05:45.820 Oh,
00:05:46.480 we don't
00:05:47.120 have massive
00:05:47.700 tests.
00:05:48.480 They don't
00:05:48.800 exist.
00:05:49.600 We can't
00:05:50.040 make them
00:05:50.340 that fast.
00:05:51.840 Oh,
00:05:52.600 all right.
00:05:53.440 Well,
00:05:53.780 the good
00:05:54.000 news is
00:05:54.480 that there
00:05:54.800 are a
00:05:54.940 number of
00:05:55.600 exciting
00:05:57.260 developments
00:05:57.860 in the
00:05:58.380 world of
00:05:58.960 testing.
00:06:00.340 Now,
00:06:00.520 by the
00:06:00.780 way,
00:06:01.680 one of my
00:06:03.340 best predictions,
00:06:04.600 I believe,
00:06:05.140 based on
00:06:06.520 some
00:06:06.940 information I
00:06:08.080 had that
00:06:08.420 most people
00:06:08.840 didn't have,
00:06:09.920 is that the
00:06:10.540 world of
00:06:11.560 quickly testing
00:06:13.080 stuff had
00:06:15.360 moved way,
00:06:17.520 way into
00:06:18.220 the future,
00:06:19.560 but hadn't
00:06:20.100 quite been
00:06:20.620 productized yet.
00:06:21.920 In other
00:06:22.200 words,
00:06:22.400 there were a
00:06:22.640 lot of
00:06:22.900 startups who
00:06:24.160 already had
00:06:24.980 licensed
00:06:25.500 technology from
00:06:26.660 government labs
00:06:27.680 that would
00:06:28.680 allow you to
00:06:29.320 very quickly
00:06:30.000 check things
00:06:30.880 inexpensively and
00:06:33.400 accurately in
00:06:34.280 the field.
00:06:35.140 So I'd
00:06:36.020 seen a
00:06:36.340 number of
00:06:36.700 startups
00:06:37.060 trying to
00:06:37.620 exploit that
00:06:38.260 technology,
00:06:39.020 so I
00:06:39.360 predicted early
00:06:40.000 on that
00:06:41.380 you would
00:06:41.800 suddenly see
00:06:42.660 leaping into
00:06:43.840 existence this
00:06:46.000 technology because
00:06:46.980 now it was an
00:06:47.960 emergency, so
00:06:48.860 funding could be
00:06:50.180 had and things
00:06:51.420 would get ramped
00:06:52.040 up quickly.
00:06:52.940 And just like I
00:06:53.900 imagined, I
00:06:55.740 think you're
00:06:56.200 going to, well,
00:06:57.120 I'm pretty sure
00:06:57.900 you're going to
00:06:58.180 see some new
00:06:58.740 stuff.
00:06:59.740 Let's just say
00:07:00.680 I get to see
00:07:02.140 things before you
00:07:02.960 do, and there's
00:07:03.680 some exciting
00:07:04.180 stuff coming in
00:07:05.040 that realm.
00:07:09.740 Here's an
00:07:10.420 interesting
00:07:10.840 positive thought.
00:07:12.460 The president
00:07:13.000 said something
00:07:13.780 along these
00:07:14.460 lines, but I
00:07:15.120 want to extend
00:07:15.640 the thought.
00:07:16.560 So the
00:07:16.880 president was
00:07:17.380 making his
00:07:17.960 economic prediction
00:07:18.900 and he said
00:07:19.460 the second
00:07:22.080 quarter is
00:07:22.720 going to be
00:07:23.440 bad, the
00:07:24.100 third quarter
00:07:24.780 maybe you
00:07:25.780 could start to
00:07:26.520 think about
00:07:27.260 things getting
00:07:27.820 better.
00:07:28.660 But the
00:07:29.120 president thought
00:07:29.720 that there's
00:07:30.120 lots of pent
00:07:30.820 up demand and
00:07:32.560 that the fourth
00:07:33.160 quarter could be
00:07:34.040 record-setting.
00:07:35.420 I really, really
00:07:36.620 like the way he
00:07:37.520 puts that.
00:07:39.020 Because he's
00:07:39.720 being very, I'd
00:07:43.200 say, conservative
00:07:44.700 about what would
00:07:45.540 happen this quarter
00:07:46.540 and next.
00:07:47.120 Obviously, they're
00:07:47.720 not going to be
00:07:48.160 great.
00:07:49.000 But then he gives
00:07:49.740 us a pretty
00:07:51.020 legitimate, most
00:07:52.680 optimistic case that
00:07:54.120 at the end of this
00:07:54.720 year things would
00:07:55.340 start picking up and
00:07:56.160 maybe even set
00:07:56.800 records because of
00:07:58.240 pent-up demand.
00:07:59.680 That could happen.
00:08:00.620 I mean, it's
00:08:01.860 just as likely
00:08:02.560 that there'll
00:08:02.960 be soft demand
00:08:04.040 because people
00:08:05.400 got crushed
00:08:06.120 economically.
00:08:07.900 But you could
00:08:08.660 see the people
00:08:09.280 who didn't get
00:08:09.900 crushed just
00:08:10.880 stepping it up
00:08:11.600 and having a
00:08:12.760 little extra
00:08:13.160 spending.
00:08:13.700 I could see
00:08:14.080 that.
00:08:15.680 But here's the
00:08:16.180 part I want to
00:08:16.620 add.
00:08:17.400 And I think
00:08:17.800 that the
00:08:18.280 president referred
00:08:19.540 to this, but I'm
00:08:20.900 going to take it
00:08:21.180 a level deeper,
00:08:21.860 which is we've
00:08:23.460 never had a time
00:08:24.280 in our history
00:08:25.000 where so many
00:08:27.060 of us took a
00:08:27.740 time out and
00:08:29.520 just stopped
00:08:30.180 working and sort
00:08:32.480 of had time to
00:08:33.200 think about
00:08:33.660 things.
00:08:35.000 Now, you think
00:08:35.840 to yourself,
00:08:36.500 well, that's not
00:08:36.980 a big deal.
00:08:37.920 I mean, we
00:08:38.380 often take
00:08:40.500 vacations and we
00:08:41.840 take the weekend
00:08:42.460 off.
00:08:43.340 It's not that big
00:08:44.300 a deal that we
00:08:44.880 have time to
00:08:45.580 think about
00:08:46.220 things.
00:08:46.600 But here's
00:08:46.900 what's different.
00:08:48.380 Because of the
00:08:49.280 restrictions placed
00:08:51.000 on all of our
00:08:51.720 lives and the
00:08:52.480 economic impact,
00:08:54.380 et cetera,
00:08:55.000 almost everybody
00:08:56.820 had to rethink
00:08:58.240 from the ground
00:08:59.740 up everything
00:09:01.400 they do.
00:09:02.720 You had to
00:09:03.460 rethink how
00:09:04.280 you eat, how
00:09:05.740 do you get
00:09:06.100 food, you had
00:09:07.300 to rethink your
00:09:07.980 social life, you
00:09:09.200 had to rethink
00:09:09.760 travel, you had
00:09:11.120 to rethink
00:09:11.600 cleaning, you
00:09:12.700 had to rethink
00:09:13.240 shipping, you
00:09:14.400 had to rethink
00:09:14.920 your job and
00:09:16.000 every part of
00:09:16.540 your job, you
00:09:17.540 had to think
00:09:17.980 education, family
00:09:19.560 structure, who's
00:09:20.980 babysitting, all
00:09:22.160 of it.
00:09:23.060 All of it had to
00:09:24.080 be rethought.
00:09:25.700 Now here's my
00:09:26.640 positive spin
00:09:28.780 on this.
00:09:31.160 I think that
00:09:33.660 that process
00:09:34.680 makes people
00:09:35.620 realize there's
00:09:36.480 just a ton of
00:09:37.300 stuff that needs
00:09:38.760 to be better.
00:09:40.700 From, you know,
00:09:41.880 how many people
00:09:42.460 realized that they
00:09:43.740 could get more
00:09:44.300 work done by not
00:09:46.040 commuting?
00:09:47.300 You know, just to
00:09:47.840 pick one simple
00:09:48.540 example.
00:09:49.500 And I've got a
00:09:50.400 feeling that people
00:09:51.100 saw different ways
00:09:53.020 to do things,
00:09:53.980 they saw red
00:09:54.700 tape being cut,
00:09:56.160 they saw people
00:09:57.500 doing things
00:09:58.300 faster than they
00:09:59.240 thought, they saw
00:10:00.520 innovation, they saw
00:10:01.680 people stepping up,
00:10:03.360 and everybody had to
00:10:04.860 rethink from scratch,
00:10:06.700 how could I do this
00:10:07.680 job I had been doing,
00:10:09.440 you know, what's the
00:10:10.060 smarter way to do
00:10:10.860 this now that meets
00:10:12.320 all these different
00:10:12.960 requirements?
00:10:13.440 And I think
00:10:15.800 what's going to
00:10:16.260 happen, and
00:10:18.260 maybe we'll never
00:10:19.240 be able to measure
00:10:20.140 it, but I think
00:10:21.500 that there's going
00:10:22.180 to be a systems
00:10:24.260 innovation surge.
00:10:28.600 And when I say
00:10:29.180 systems, I mean
00:10:30.160 the system of how
00:10:31.980 do you travel to
00:10:33.060 work, the system
00:10:34.820 of how do you go
00:10:35.440 to school, the
00:10:36.100 system of, you
00:10:37.240 know, the
00:10:37.500 workplace, how do
00:10:38.340 you organize it,
00:10:38.960 and everything like
00:10:39.440 that.
00:10:39.620 So I think
00:10:40.340 people are going
00:10:40.820 to fundamentally
00:10:41.740 rethink all of our
00:10:42.840 systems, and as
00:10:44.540 you know, I'm the
00:10:45.300 biggest proponent
00:10:46.080 of making sure
00:10:47.400 you've got good
00:10:48.060 systems, and it
00:10:49.640 could be really
00:10:50.780 gigantic in terms
00:10:52.620 of its long-term
00:10:53.540 impact, simply the
00:10:55.240 fact that our
00:10:55.940 creativity was
00:10:58.400 challenged in this
00:10:59.760 concentrated way.
00:11:01.980 So it'll take a
00:11:02.980 while for those
00:11:03.660 benefits to work
00:11:04.440 their way through
00:11:04.920 the system, but I
00:11:05.580 think it could be
00:11:06.220 really big.
00:11:08.200 I was trying to
00:11:08.960 think of all the
00:11:09.420 things that will
00:11:09.840 be different after
00:11:11.980 we get back to
00:11:12.980 work.
00:11:13.780 Certainly the
00:11:14.520 work-at-home thing,
00:11:16.180 I think the
00:11:16.960 argument for
00:11:17.600 self-driving cars
00:11:18.920 just got way
00:11:20.760 stronger.
00:11:23.140 As I often say,
00:11:24.280 persuasion is not
00:11:25.220 just about how
00:11:26.020 good your argument
00:11:26.840 is, it's also
00:11:28.080 about getting
00:11:28.520 people's attention.
00:11:30.400 So the things
00:11:31.180 that people think
00:11:32.000 about the most,
00:11:33.220 they irrationally
00:11:34.060 think are the
00:11:34.580 important things
00:11:35.280 because they're
00:11:35.800 thinking about it.
00:11:37.080 So if you can
00:11:37.620 make somebody think
00:11:38.380 about something a
00:11:39.120 lot, it will
00:11:40.380 become important
00:11:41.240 to them when
00:11:41.800 it wasn't
00:11:42.160 before.
00:11:43.200 So here's my
00:11:44.540 point on that.
00:11:47.120 Because a lot
00:11:49.820 of attention
00:11:50.300 will be put on
00:11:51.300 the natural
00:11:52.040 death rate of
00:11:52.980 driving, only
00:11:54.600 because we have
00:11:55.280 this weird
00:11:55.760 experiment when
00:11:56.660 people stop
00:11:57.280 driving for a
00:11:58.000 while.
00:11:58.720 So you can
00:11:59.160 actually really
00:12:00.240 see in concrete
00:12:01.060 terms how many
00:12:02.580 people did not
00:12:03.960 die because we
00:12:05.580 weren't all in
00:12:06.340 traffic.
00:12:06.700 And I think
00:12:07.840 what that's
00:12:08.260 going to do
00:12:08.680 is it's
00:12:09.160 going to push
00:12:09.580 people toward
00:12:10.480 thinking, wait
00:12:11.660 a minute, we
00:12:13.120 saved, I'm
00:12:13.980 going to pick a
00:12:14.560 number, I don't
00:12:15.120 know what the
00:12:15.440 real number is,
00:12:16.500 people are going
00:12:17.020 to say, are you
00:12:17.580 telling me we
00:12:18.060 saved 25,000
00:12:19.880 lives by not
00:12:21.620 driving?
00:12:22.960 And that we
00:12:23.700 could bank that
00:12:24.540 savings and
00:12:25.300 always save 25,000
00:12:26.660 lives, or for the
00:12:27.980 full year, maybe
00:12:28.680 it's 50,000.
00:12:30.020 Could we save 50,000
00:12:33.080 lives a year just
00:12:34.980 by having self-driving
00:12:36.040 cars that would
00:12:36.800 almost never
00:12:37.480 crash?
00:12:38.480 I mean, if he
00:12:38.960 did it right, they
00:12:39.600 would never crash.
00:12:42.060 So I think the
00:12:42.980 self-driving cars
00:12:43.840 just went from
00:12:44.860 something you'd
00:12:46.500 like someday to,
00:12:47.920 my God, why
00:12:48.520 don't we hurry
00:12:48.980 up on this?
00:12:49.860 Because you can
00:12:50.740 save 50,000
00:12:51.560 lives a year, that's
00:12:52.660 as much as we
00:12:54.400 closed down the
00:12:55.040 entire economy
00:12:55.640 for.
00:12:58.320 I think contact
00:12:59.340 tracing is going
00:13:00.040 to be the thing.
00:13:00.700 Did you see the
00:13:01.220 story?
00:13:02.180 I guess Apple and
00:13:03.100 Google have decided
00:13:04.060 to release, I
00:13:05.780 don't know,
00:13:06.040 some standards,
00:13:07.580 technical standards
00:13:08.480 or an API or
00:13:09.460 something, but the
00:13:10.020 idea is that they're
00:13:11.500 making it possible
00:13:12.500 to build apps where
00:13:14.660 you can tell if
00:13:15.640 you've been near
00:13:16.200 somebody.
00:13:17.440 So let's say you
00:13:18.480 were diagnosed with
00:13:20.560 having coronavirus,
00:13:22.480 you could, with a
00:13:24.600 few pushes of
00:13:25.380 whatever buttons on
00:13:26.360 your app, and maybe
00:13:29.340 you don't have to
00:13:29.960 allow it, I don't
00:13:30.680 know if you have to
00:13:31.220 give permission or
00:13:32.380 the government is
00:13:33.040 just going to do
00:13:33.660 it.
00:13:34.160 At some point you
00:13:34.780 have to give
00:13:35.140 permission.
00:13:36.380 So maybe you
00:13:36.940 give permission
00:13:37.540 from the
00:13:38.680 LSATs before
00:13:39.540 you've been
00:13:39.960 diagnosed so
00:13:41.300 that your
00:13:41.820 Bluetooth is
00:13:42.440 telling you who
00:13:42.940 you're bumping
00:13:43.420 into all day
00:13:44.100 who also has
00:13:44.800 their Bluetooth
00:13:45.160 on.
00:13:46.180 So the idea
00:13:47.060 is that you
00:13:49.280 could look at
00:13:49.820 the digital
00:13:50.500 trail and send
00:13:52.140 people a text
00:13:52.840 and say, hey,
00:13:53.980 you stood within
00:13:54.840 four feet of this
00:13:55.840 person who has
00:13:56.660 coronavirus, go get
00:13:57.800 it checked, or
00:13:58.840 something like
00:13:59.400 that.
00:13:59.600 that could be
00:14:00.680 huge.
00:14:01.820 You know, if you
00:14:02.220 were going to
00:14:02.540 make a short
00:14:04.120 list of all the
00:14:04.980 things that could
00:14:05.600 get you back to
00:14:06.300 work, well, one
00:14:07.720 of them would be
00:14:08.320 widespread testing,
00:14:10.260 which we can't do
00:14:11.580 yet, but maybe in a
00:14:13.840 few weeks.
00:14:14.880 The other would be
00:14:15.700 magic, of course,
00:14:16.540 which doesn't exist.
00:14:18.640 So that would be
00:14:19.320 great.
00:14:20.140 And then we have
00:14:20.720 this new thing,
00:14:21.640 which is these apps
00:14:22.660 that will do the
00:14:23.580 Bluetooth contact
00:14:24.620 things, which
00:14:25.140 doesn't exist.
00:14:25.900 test, but one
00:14:27.740 imagines that in a
00:14:28.680 month or so,
00:14:29.680 maybe, we could
00:14:30.580 have something like
00:14:31.180 that working.
00:14:32.180 But all of those,
00:14:33.420 and maybe the
00:14:34.300 hydroxychloroquine
00:14:35.340 makes a difference.
00:14:36.760 Maybe genetic
00:14:37.400 testing will tell
00:14:38.100 something.
00:14:39.000 So we probably
00:14:39.620 have four different
00:14:41.040 ways that we
00:14:43.240 could attack the
00:14:44.520 virus, so I think
00:14:45.500 we'll get there.
00:14:48.080 I think education
00:14:49.180 online will change
00:14:50.160 completely.
00:14:51.180 I think the
00:14:51.840 biggest thing that
00:14:52.400 will change online
00:14:53.340 education is the
00:14:55.080 first time some
00:14:55.880 somebody does it
00:14:56.540 right.
00:14:58.200 In my opinion,
00:14:59.340 it's never been
00:15:00.060 done right.
00:15:00.820 Now, it's not
00:15:01.360 like I've seen
00:15:01.900 every online course,
00:15:03.660 but nothing I've
00:15:04.360 seen.
00:15:05.380 And what I mean,
00:15:07.440 and what I mean
00:15:09.140 by doing it
00:15:10.900 right, is
00:15:11.720 somebody that
00:15:12.100 takes like a
00:15:12.720 Hollywood movie
00:15:13.580 kind of a model,
00:15:14.800 and they hire
00:15:15.800 somebody who's
00:15:16.360 just good on
00:15:17.000 camera, looks
00:15:18.420 good, talks
00:15:19.020 well, somebody
00:15:20.120 to write the
00:15:20.720 script, somebody
00:15:21.560 to do the
00:15:22.120 graphics, somebody
00:15:22.920 to direct it.
00:15:24.140 So you've got
00:15:25.020 a real movie
00:15:25.880 production, but
00:15:27.140 it's just a
00:15:27.880 college course, or
00:15:29.340 a class.
00:15:30.560 And once it's
00:15:31.320 done right, and
00:15:33.940 especially you'd
00:15:34.660 also do a lot of
00:15:35.300 A-B testing, so
00:15:36.340 you might test it
00:15:37.600 out with small
00:15:38.300 crowds before you
00:15:39.300 finalized it, you
00:15:40.580 know, to make sure
00:15:41.080 that you're saying
00:15:41.760 things clearly,
00:15:42.580 et cetera.
00:15:42.780 So to basically
00:15:44.700 produce a class
00:15:46.600 the way manufacturers
00:15:50.080 produce any other
00:15:51.080 product, which is
00:15:52.480 it goes through
00:15:52.940 testing and research
00:15:54.360 and polling, you
00:15:55.840 know, you've got a
00:15:56.420 team of experts
00:15:57.560 coming together, it's
00:15:58.840 a long-term project.
00:16:00.380 Right now we just
00:16:01.220 point a camera at
00:16:02.240 somebody who knows
00:16:02.920 how to teach, and
00:16:03.640 they just teach.
00:16:05.080 But as soon as
00:16:05.960 somebody does it
00:16:06.580 right the first
00:16:07.220 time, it's going to
00:16:09.540 turn into a real
00:16:10.260 business.
00:16:10.720 And it might
00:16:11.220 be, I would
00:16:12.320 argue, all right,
00:16:13.460 here's another
00:16:14.040 prediction, I will
00:16:15.780 argue that the
00:16:16.640 biggest business of
00:16:18.080 the future will be
00:16:20.220 online training.
00:16:23.360 Yeah?
00:16:24.340 How do you like
00:16:25.040 that prediction?
00:16:25.900 I'll say it again
00:16:26.720 just so there's no
00:16:27.580 confusion.
00:16:31.840 My prediction is
00:16:32.780 that the biggest
00:16:34.660 industry in the
00:16:35.820 future, the one
00:16:37.100 with the most
00:16:37.600 dollar amount,
00:16:39.020 will be online
00:16:40.280 education.
00:16:42.460 Because the
00:16:43.220 courses are going
00:16:44.160 to be, you know,
00:16:45.060 colleges will
00:16:46.240 eventually have to
00:16:47.580 disappear because
00:16:48.720 they don't really
00:16:49.220 make sense.
00:16:50.280 You know, for the
00:16:50.920 price for what
00:16:51.560 you're getting, they
00:16:52.040 just don't make any
00:16:52.720 sense.
00:16:53.660 So I think regular
00:16:54.400 colleges will, you
00:16:55.620 know, start to fade
00:16:56.640 away, online education
00:16:58.120 will grow, and just
00:17:01.040 keep getting better.
00:17:02.260 And I think that
00:17:03.120 when people are
00:17:04.520 producing, imagine
00:17:05.780 what you would pay,
00:17:07.380 just think about
00:17:08.200 this.
00:17:09.080 Imagine what you
00:17:09.860 would pay to
00:17:11.340 have a course
00:17:12.660 that you needed,
00:17:13.580 let's say you
00:17:14.080 needed it for your
00:17:14.720 job or it was
00:17:15.480 part of a degree
00:17:16.500 program, but you
00:17:17.940 could take the
00:17:18.600 course that was as
00:17:19.500 fun as watching
00:17:20.360 the best movie
00:17:22.040 you've watched.
00:17:23.260 Like it's just
00:17:23.860 really entertaining,
00:17:24.920 but you're also
00:17:25.560 learning it at the
00:17:26.240 same time.
00:17:26.820 How much extra
00:17:27.800 would you pay for
00:17:28.500 that versus the
00:17:30.120 boring one that
00:17:30.740 makes you want to,
00:17:31.540 you know, take
00:17:32.900 your brain out with
00:17:33.700 a spoon?
00:17:34.860 Well, you would
00:17:35.260 pay a lot for
00:17:35.920 that.
00:17:37.040 You know, not
00:17:37.840 everybody, but
00:17:38.640 there would be
00:17:38.980 enough people with
00:17:39.820 money who would
00:17:41.140 pay a lot for
00:17:42.740 that training that's
00:17:44.400 a little bit
00:17:44.840 better.
00:17:45.720 And I think
00:17:46.200 eventually the
00:17:47.300 transmission of
00:17:48.360 information and
00:17:49.420 training will be
00:17:50.980 the biggest market
00:17:52.480 in the world.
00:17:53.840 That's what I
00:17:54.340 think.
00:17:57.180 Tucker Carlson
00:17:58.180 asked a question
00:17:59.340 that has had me
00:18:00.660 scratching my head
00:18:02.420 since I heard it.
00:18:03.300 And I guess I
00:18:05.480 need a fact check
00:18:06.300 on this because
00:18:07.000 there's an
00:18:08.420 assumption in this
00:18:09.240 or a fact that
00:18:10.120 I'm not sure
00:18:10.620 about.
00:18:11.420 But what Tucker
00:18:12.120 said was that
00:18:13.060 outside of Wuhan
00:18:14.560 there hasn't been
00:18:16.200 a major breakout
00:18:18.360 in China.
00:18:19.500 There hasn't been
00:18:20.060 another city in
00:18:20.960 China that got
00:18:22.600 real problems like
00:18:23.640 New York or
00:18:24.560 Wuhan.
00:18:27.020 And Tucker
00:18:27.560 says, what's
00:18:29.120 up with that?
00:18:29.860 Because we
00:18:32.400 also learned
00:18:33.060 that maybe the
00:18:34.080 virus is even
00:18:35.340 way more viral
00:18:36.340 than we
00:18:36.740 thought.
00:18:38.080 So how
00:18:39.880 could it be
00:18:40.300 way more viral
00:18:41.280 than we
00:18:41.740 thought?
00:18:42.820 Millions of
00:18:43.600 people have
00:18:44.100 left Wuhan
00:18:44.820 since the
00:18:46.320 worst part of
00:18:47.060 the pandemic.
00:18:48.580 They're traveling
00:18:49.580 all around.
00:18:50.960 It's super
00:18:51.880 viral.
00:18:53.320 And we
00:18:53.920 don't have
00:18:54.740 other major
00:18:55.920 outbreaks in
00:18:56.620 China?
00:18:56.900 how would
00:19:00.100 you even
00:19:00.640 speculate that
00:19:02.340 that's possible?
00:19:03.820 Well, let's
00:19:04.340 do that.
00:19:05.060 Let's speculate.
00:19:06.260 Number one is
00:19:07.060 that China is
00:19:07.840 lying.
00:19:08.540 Okay, that's
00:19:09.000 the obvious
00:19:09.400 one, right?
00:19:10.060 The most
00:19:10.480 obvious one is
00:19:11.240 they're lying.
00:19:12.580 But if what
00:19:14.640 happened in
00:19:15.280 Wuhan was
00:19:16.360 happening anywhere
00:19:17.160 else, how
00:19:19.060 would we not
00:19:19.760 notice?
00:19:21.420 Is it
00:19:21.840 possible that
00:19:23.520 something as
00:19:24.140 big as Wuhan
00:19:24.840 or a half of
00:19:26.140 Wuhan,
00:19:26.900 would still be
00:19:28.200 gigantic, right?
00:19:29.060 It would still
00:19:29.420 be a really
00:19:29.900 big deal.
00:19:31.460 How would we
00:19:31.980 not notice
00:19:32.720 that, even
00:19:33.380 with their
00:19:34.120 control of the
00:19:34.860 media and
00:19:35.220 everything else?
00:19:35.960 We would
00:19:36.420 know, right?
00:19:38.160 So one
00:19:39.960 possibility is
00:19:40.780 it is happening
00:19:41.540 and China is
00:19:42.460 like millions
00:19:43.240 of people are
00:19:43.860 dying and we
00:19:44.340 just don't
00:19:44.720 know.
00:19:45.680 I guess it's
00:19:46.660 possible, right?
00:19:48.560 I guess.
00:19:50.140 That's one
00:19:50.560 possibility.
00:19:52.860 Here's another
00:19:53.560 possibility.
00:19:54.160 they have a
00:19:56.920 vaccine, right?
00:20:02.240 What's the
00:20:02.880 possibility that
00:20:03.640 they have a
00:20:04.040 vaccine?
00:20:05.100 Well, here
00:20:05.960 again, you
00:20:06.800 have the same
00:20:07.280 problem as the
00:20:08.860 first example.
00:20:09.940 If they had a
00:20:10.820 vaccine, it
00:20:11.660 means they
00:20:12.040 would have
00:20:12.360 vaccinated, what,
00:20:14.900 hundreds of
00:20:15.580 millions of
00:20:16.080 people?
00:20:16.340 Do you think
00:20:17.940 there's any
00:20:18.380 chance we
00:20:18.960 wouldn't know
00:20:19.700 if hundreds
00:20:21.440 of millions
00:20:21.880 of people
00:20:22.400 were forcefully
00:20:23.320 vaccinated in
00:20:24.740 a period of
00:20:25.340 a few weeks?
00:20:26.940 Yeah, we'd
00:20:27.500 know that,
00:20:28.240 right?
00:20:28.940 Again, we
00:20:29.540 don't have
00:20:29.920 great visibility
00:20:30.720 about everything
00:20:31.520 happening in
00:20:32.060 China, but
00:20:32.920 something of
00:20:33.440 that size, we'd
00:20:35.700 know, right?
00:20:36.860 So I'm going to
00:20:37.680 rule out
00:20:38.200 vaccination and
00:20:40.520 I'm going to
00:20:40.940 rule out that
00:20:42.440 it is actually
00:20:43.240 big outbreaks
00:20:44.660 everywhere because
00:20:45.400 we would notice
00:20:46.160 those two
00:20:46.760 things.
00:20:47.240 here's another
00:20:48.840 one.
00:20:50.100 I see it in
00:20:51.120 the comments,
00:20:51.620 you're a little
00:20:51.900 bit ahead of
00:20:52.260 me.
00:20:53.020 Suppose
00:20:53.420 hydroxychloroquine
00:20:54.720 and azithromycin
00:20:56.000 and zinc work
00:20:57.600 really, really
00:20:58.280 well.
00:20:59.140 And by work
00:20:59.980 really well, I
00:21:00.760 mean well
00:21:02.120 enough that it
00:21:03.320 doesn't overwhelm
00:21:04.120 your hospitals,
00:21:04.760 even if you've
00:21:05.500 got an outbreak.
00:21:08.140 Would you
00:21:08.840 know, would you
00:21:10.560 be aware of
00:21:11.140 it, if a lot
00:21:12.320 of regular
00:21:12.800 Chinese people
00:21:13.720 were having
00:21:14.860 something that
00:21:15.520 was like a
00:21:16.000 mild cold,
00:21:17.240 but they
00:21:18.160 were taking
00:21:18.560 their meds
00:21:19.720 and it
00:21:20.580 didn't
00:21:20.760 hospitalize
00:21:21.360 them and
00:21:21.700 they got
00:21:22.060 better in a
00:21:22.500 week?
00:21:23.780 Would the
00:21:24.620 rest of the
00:21:25.040 world know
00:21:25.480 that that was
00:21:25.980 happening on
00:21:26.540 a massive
00:21:26.920 scale?
00:21:28.140 Well, here
00:21:28.640 again, we
00:21:29.520 might know
00:21:30.120 because that's
00:21:30.820 a lot of
00:21:31.420 hydroxychloroquine.
00:21:33.100 If they're
00:21:33.920 handing it out
00:21:34.500 like candy
00:21:35.360 over there to
00:21:36.460 their billion
00:21:37.600 or whatever
00:21:38.160 plus people,
00:21:40.400 wouldn't we
00:21:40.960 know that?
00:21:42.160 I think we'd
00:21:43.120 know.
00:21:43.860 But of the
00:21:44.580 three choices,
00:21:45.260 it's the
00:21:45.900 one we
00:21:46.320 would least
00:21:47.080 likely know.
00:21:48.940 Would you
00:21:49.340 agree with
00:21:49.800 that?
00:21:50.580 That if
00:21:50.960 they had a
00:21:51.300 vaccine they
00:21:51.920 had forced
00:21:52.420 hundreds of
00:21:53.100 millions of
00:21:53.520 people to
00:21:53.880 take in a
00:21:54.360 few weeks,
00:21:55.540 we'd know
00:21:55.980 that.
00:21:56.960 If millions
00:21:58.580 of people
00:21:59.020 were dying,
00:22:00.960 we'd know
00:22:01.540 that.
00:22:02.800 But if they
00:22:03.320 were giving
00:22:03.680 out massive
00:22:04.380 amounts of
00:22:05.000 hydroxychloroquine
00:22:05.960 any time
00:22:06.520 somebody showed
00:22:07.120 the first
00:22:07.520 signs of
00:22:07.980 symptoms,
00:22:09.760 would we
00:22:10.200 know that?
00:22:11.520 Because let's
00:22:12.220 say they only
00:22:12.680 gave it to
00:22:13.120 the people who
00:22:13.580 showed symptoms.
00:22:15.260 Would we
00:22:15.720 know?
00:22:17.560 Maybe not.
00:22:18.940 So if I had
00:22:19.500 to guess, I
00:22:20.040 would say that
00:22:20.460 would be the
00:22:20.860 one that's
00:22:21.640 slightly more
00:22:22.300 likely, or it
00:22:24.260 could be some
00:22:24.720 other therapeutic.
00:22:28.700 I'm hearing a lot
00:22:29.540 of people worrying
00:22:30.180 that the crackdown
00:22:32.120 and the shelter-in-place
00:22:33.860 orders and all that
00:22:34.760 are the beginning of
00:22:36.140 softening us up for
00:22:37.260 the ultimate
00:22:37.800 dictator move,
00:22:39.060 where all of our
00:22:39.780 rights and freedoms
00:22:40.600 are taken away
00:22:41.340 from us.
00:22:41.860 I'm finding
00:22:44.220 no sympathy
00:22:45.940 for that opinion.
00:22:47.920 Because first of
00:22:48.820 all, I don't
00:22:49.860 think it's
00:22:50.260 happening.
00:22:51.240 I just think
00:22:52.040 we're doing
00:22:52.420 what we need
00:22:52.940 to for the
00:22:53.500 emergency, and
00:22:54.860 when it's over
00:22:55.440 we'll get rid
00:22:56.440 of the things.
00:22:57.420 So there's
00:22:57.980 some sense
00:22:58.460 that any
00:22:58.840 kind of
00:22:59.140 surveillance
00:22:59.580 or tracking
00:23:00.280 or lack
00:23:00.760 of privacy
00:23:01.300 would just
00:23:02.360 automatically
00:23:02.840 become permanent
00:23:03.820 even after we
00:23:05.220 solved the
00:23:05.660 problem for
00:23:06.220 which they
00:23:06.560 had been
00:23:06.960 implemented.
00:23:07.680 I don't
00:23:08.680 think so.
00:23:10.200 I don't
00:23:10.460 know.
00:23:11.040 Of all the
00:23:11.740 things I'm
00:23:12.140 going to worry
00:23:12.540 about this
00:23:13.060 year, it
00:23:14.360 doesn't make
00:23:14.800 my top 100.
00:23:16.600 Now, maybe,
00:23:18.040 maybe I'm
00:23:19.000 missing something,
00:23:20.360 but to me it
00:23:21.100 looks like the
00:23:22.340 United States is
00:23:23.140 really good at
00:23:24.040 tweaking things
00:23:25.480 when they need
00:23:26.020 to and then
00:23:26.800 untweaking it
00:23:27.740 when they're
00:23:28.040 done.
00:23:29.100 I don't know.
00:23:29.740 I think that
00:23:30.420 you would have
00:23:32.200 to have a
00:23:32.620 different mindset
00:23:33.840 in your public
00:23:34.860 for that to be
00:23:36.020 a big risk.
00:23:36.800 I said this
00:23:37.940 before, but
00:23:38.420 I'll say it
00:23:38.800 again, which
00:23:39.800 is the great
00:23:41.060 asset that
00:23:41.840 Americans have
00:23:42.820 is the
00:23:44.240 American idea.
00:23:47.020 The idea of
00:23:48.040 what is right
00:23:48.960 and fair, the
00:23:50.220 brainwashing that
00:23:51.060 we all got as
00:23:52.000 kids to be
00:23:52.960 patriotic.
00:23:54.300 I say brainwashing,
00:23:55.440 but not in a
00:23:55.860 negative way,
00:23:56.880 because to have
00:23:57.600 a coherent
00:23:58.140 society, you
00:23:59.660 kind of have to
00:24:00.320 brainwash people
00:24:01.700 to be on the
00:24:02.220 same page
00:24:02.880 culturally,
00:24:03.880 religiously in
00:24:04.700 some cases,
00:24:05.760 but at least in
00:24:06.440 terms of the
00:24:07.120 constitution of
00:24:07.900 the law.
00:24:08.540 So you need
00:24:08.920 some brainwashing.
00:24:10.320 The United States
00:24:11.160 does it really
00:24:11.720 well.
00:24:13.700 It's created a
00:24:15.620 society of very
00:24:16.620 independent,
00:24:19.580 you know,
00:24:19.940 we could,
00:24:22.080 we'll resist
00:24:23.680 at the drop
00:24:24.900 of a hat.
00:24:26.040 So there's
00:24:26.700 something about
00:24:27.180 the American
00:24:27.780 mind that I
00:24:29.980 think really
00:24:30.540 makes the whole
00:24:31.140 dictatorship thing
00:24:32.500 seem ridiculous.
00:24:36.680 You would have
00:24:37.400 to see our
00:24:37.860 minds change
00:24:38.860 a whole lot
00:24:39.720 before you
00:24:41.280 would see me
00:24:41.720 getting worried.
00:24:42.400 But as long
00:24:42.720 as our minds
00:24:43.320 are good,
00:24:44.380 then what we're
00:24:44.940 doing with the
00:24:45.480 details is not
00:24:46.680 the beginning of
00:24:47.420 the dictator state.
00:24:48.300 It's just what we
00:24:49.120 need to do to
00:24:49.640 solve a problem
00:24:50.220 right now.
00:24:52.060 That's what I
00:24:52.720 say.
00:24:54.140 I asked this
00:24:54.920 question about
00:24:55.860 whether the
00:24:56.780 deaths are being
00:24:57.600 correctly characterized
00:25:00.020 and added to
00:25:01.380 the right categories
00:25:02.200 for the
00:25:03.560 coronavirus deaths
00:25:04.460 especially.
00:25:05.520 And I got two
00:25:06.400 feedbacks from
00:25:07.700 ER doctors.
00:25:10.200 All right.
00:25:10.540 So I asked,
00:25:11.860 is there an ER
00:25:12.560 doctor who can
00:25:13.320 confirm the
00:25:14.000 following belief?
00:25:15.920 So this is my
00:25:16.560 belief.
00:25:17.280 My belief,
00:25:18.280 without being an
00:25:19.240 ER doctor,
00:25:20.240 is that they
00:25:21.520 probably are
00:25:22.500 quite good at
00:25:24.120 accurately identifying
00:25:25.300 the real cause
00:25:26.200 of death.
00:25:27.640 I'll give you
00:25:28.700 my simple
00:25:29.440 examples,
00:25:30.120 which is if
00:25:30.860 somebody had
00:25:32.380 diabetes for
00:25:33.120 15 years,
00:25:34.640 and they come
00:25:35.120 in and they
00:25:37.200 die within a
00:25:37.880 day of
00:25:38.580 respiratory problems
00:25:39.800 and the
00:25:40.740 classic red
00:25:41.580 eyes of the
00:25:42.240 coronavirus patient
00:25:43.380 and has every
00:25:45.880 sign of
00:25:46.660 coronavirus,
00:25:48.300 then it
00:25:48.680 probably wasn't
00:25:49.420 the diabetes
00:25:50.120 that they've
00:25:51.180 had for 15
00:25:51.860 years.
00:25:52.300 It could be,
00:25:53.500 but it would
00:25:53.840 just be this
00:25:54.280 weird coincidence
00:25:55.000 that that was
00:25:55.660 the day you
00:25:56.140 died.
00:25:56.640 So that's
00:25:59.180 my simplified
00:25:59.780 story.
00:26:00.820 But as one
00:26:01.720 ER doctor
00:26:02.640 explained to
00:26:04.200 me, that the
00:26:05.340 doctors do
00:26:05.960 actually look at
00:26:06.840 the patient's
00:26:07.940 history, what's
00:26:09.240 happened recently,
00:26:10.700 the entire
00:26:11.560 constellation of
00:26:13.300 factors, and
00:26:14.580 then they decide
00:26:15.260 what the cause of
00:26:15.980 death is.
00:26:16.540 There's a whole
00:26:16.980 process for doing
00:26:17.820 it.
00:26:18.600 And at least
00:26:19.200 for this one
00:26:21.000 ER doctor,
00:26:21.620 it was his
00:26:23.760 opinion that
00:26:24.460 they're categorizing
00:26:27.960 is probably
00:26:28.440 95% correct.
00:26:31.260 All right, so
00:26:31.880 that's one
00:26:32.920 opinion.
00:26:33.660 That's somebody
00:26:34.180 who has signed
00:26:35.200 a lot of death
00:26:35.900 certificates.
00:26:37.360 So this is coming
00:26:38.840 from somebody who
00:26:39.820 has personally
00:26:41.200 signed hundreds of
00:26:42.280 death certificates
00:26:42.960 from the ER.
00:26:44.040 And he says, in
00:26:46.060 his opinion, that
00:26:47.860 they're probably
00:26:48.300 95% correct because
00:26:50.160 they're pretty
00:26:51.440 responsible and
00:26:52.500 there's a logic to
00:26:53.440 it and there are
00:26:55.540 ways you can tell
00:26:56.380 most of the time.
00:26:57.680 I got a second
00:26:59.320 opinion.
00:27:00.900 So the second ER
00:27:01.700 doctor had a
00:27:02.380 different take on
00:27:03.080 it and it went
00:27:03.740 like this.
00:27:04.880 He too was not
00:27:06.180 disagreeing with
00:27:08.440 the basic premise
00:27:09.700 that a doctor can
00:27:11.600 know the accurate
00:27:12.540 cause of death,
00:27:13.900 let's say 95% of
00:27:15.240 the time.
00:27:16.860 So both doctors
00:27:18.240 seem to be on
00:27:20.940 that same page
00:27:21.820 that the doctor
00:27:23.220 knows and that
00:27:25.200 it's not a problem
00:27:25.960 of the doctor
00:27:26.880 not knowing.
00:27:29.180 So just hold
00:27:30.660 that, put a pin
00:27:31.580 in it.
00:27:32.480 Two doctors who
00:27:33.620 actually do this
00:27:34.540 work are sure
00:27:36.200 that they do a
00:27:36.920 pretty good job
00:27:37.680 and I think that
00:27:38.380 they would tell me
00:27:38.920 the truth.
00:27:39.560 If they knew
00:27:40.160 they were guessing,
00:27:41.560 I think they'd
00:27:42.120 say, well,
00:27:42.760 honestly, it's
00:27:44.480 hard to tell.
00:27:45.520 We just take our
00:27:46.220 best shot.
00:27:47.260 We think we're
00:27:47.860 right most of the
00:27:48.480 time.
00:27:49.020 I think they would
00:27:49.860 have said that,
00:27:50.440 right?
00:27:51.020 Because why
00:27:51.400 wouldn't they?
00:27:51.820 It's not like
00:27:52.240 they wouldn't
00:27:53.040 have to hide that.
00:27:54.600 It's people doing
00:27:55.540 the best they can
00:27:56.280 with the information
00:27:56.860 they have.
00:27:57.820 It wouldn't be
00:27:58.320 any kind of a
00:27:59.200 bad mark on
00:28:01.540 the record or
00:28:02.040 anything.
00:28:03.020 But instead,
00:28:03.960 both of them
00:28:04.860 seem to believe
00:28:05.800 that the doctor
00:28:06.440 can actually
00:28:07.460 identify the
00:28:08.560 cause of death
00:28:09.200 and that all
00:28:10.900 the evidence
00:28:11.500 is going to be
00:28:12.320 pretty clear
00:28:12.940 95% of the
00:28:14.140 time.
00:28:15.160 But the
00:28:16.780 second ER
00:28:17.440 doctor added
00:28:18.980 this little bit
00:28:20.020 of flavor to
00:28:20.960 the discussion
00:28:21.560 and said,
00:28:23.500 yes, but there
00:28:24.040 might be tremendous
00:28:24.920 economic incentive
00:28:26.200 to cheat.
00:28:27.880 To which I said,
00:28:29.060 just paraphrasing a
00:28:30.420 longer conversation,
00:28:31.920 to which I said,
00:28:32.860 I don't believe
00:28:33.980 that a doctor
00:28:35.660 would cheat
00:28:37.520 for the benefit
00:28:38.760 of the hospital
00:28:39.680 because the doctor
00:28:41.560 has all the
00:28:42.560 incentive in the
00:28:43.240 world to just
00:28:43.880 do the job
00:28:45.820 right.
00:28:46.920 Right?
00:28:47.440 I don't think
00:28:47.900 there are a lot
00:28:48.340 of doctors who
00:28:49.140 are going into
00:28:49.660 the doctor
00:28:50.260 business to
00:28:51.480 get something
00:28:52.540 over on the
00:28:53.180 world.
00:28:54.240 I think most
00:28:55.140 doctors just
00:28:56.340 want to do
00:28:57.900 a good job
00:28:58.600 and I don't
00:28:59.540 see, and so
00:29:00.800 I said to
00:29:01.200 myself, I
00:29:01.600 can't really
00:29:02.020 see a doctor
00:29:02.920 intentionally
00:29:04.400 mischaracterizing
00:29:06.040 the cause of
00:29:06.800 death when
00:29:08.280 the doctor's
00:29:08.900 pay won't
00:29:09.500 change anyway,
00:29:11.640 but maybe the
00:29:12.500 hospital will
00:29:13.100 make more
00:29:13.460 money.
00:29:14.500 And so I
00:29:15.180 couldn't square
00:29:16.180 that.
00:29:17.280 And so here
00:29:17.680 was the
00:29:17.980 counter-argument
00:29:18.560 which I give
00:29:19.240 some weight to.
00:29:20.320 And it goes
00:29:20.740 like this, the
00:29:22.040 hospital has a
00:29:22.940 relationship with
00:29:23.700 the doctors in
00:29:25.060 which the
00:29:25.520 doctors need to
00:29:26.320 make the
00:29:26.640 hospital happy
00:29:27.400 and the
00:29:27.720 hospital has to
00:29:28.380 make the
00:29:28.640 doctors happy,
00:29:29.760 and if either
00:29:30.520 of them become
00:29:31.120 unhappy, then
00:29:31.920 they don't have
00:29:33.020 a relationship
00:29:33.580 and that's not
00:29:34.480 good.
00:29:35.780 And so the
00:29:36.200 thought was that
00:29:36.960 if the hospital
00:29:38.140 definitely wants
00:29:40.380 more coronavirus
00:29:41.560 outcomes in
00:29:43.200 terms of death
00:29:43.920 certificates, that
00:29:45.520 even though the
00:29:46.140 doctor is not
00:29:46.980 inclined to lie,
00:29:48.720 and even though
00:29:49.240 the doctor doesn't
00:29:49.980 have a
00:29:50.380 a direct
00:29:51.460 benefit, it's
00:29:53.380 really the
00:29:53.720 hospital that has
00:29:54.400 the benefit,
00:29:55.640 would the
00:29:56.180 doctor be a
00:29:57.400 team player and
00:29:59.180 maybe be a
00:30:00.740 little bit
00:30:01.120 flexible on the
00:30:02.860 ones that are
00:30:03.520 sort of on the
00:30:04.280 fence?
00:30:05.540 To which I say,
00:30:06.720 good point.
00:30:08.280 Yeah, that's a
00:30:09.500 good point.
00:30:10.100 I would imagine
00:30:10.720 that's exactly what
00:30:12.480 to expect with
00:30:13.360 human beings.
00:30:14.120 It has nothing
00:30:14.560 to do with
00:30:15.060 hospitals and
00:30:16.360 doctors, but
00:30:17.060 with human
00:30:17.560 beings, you
00:30:19.340 could expect
00:30:19.960 if somebody
00:30:20.500 has a
00:30:20.880 relationship and
00:30:21.880 money is
00:30:22.280 involved, that
00:30:23.700 if somebody
00:30:24.140 wants something,
00:30:25.820 you're kind of
00:30:26.760 going to be
00:30:27.500 sort of subtly,
00:30:29.220 if not directly
00:30:30.080 pressured to
00:30:30.920 give that thing
00:30:31.600 that your
00:30:32.620 partner wants.
00:30:33.900 But here's my
00:30:34.620 summary of this.
00:30:36.140 I don't believe
00:30:37.320 doctors in any
00:30:39.780 kind of major
00:30:40.740 way would lie
00:30:42.680 about the cause
00:30:44.620 of death, nor
00:30:46.780 do I think
00:30:47.400 that there are
00:30:48.020 many cases that
00:30:49.020 are on the
00:30:49.440 fence.
00:30:50.580 That gets down
00:30:51.320 to that 5%
00:30:52.400 that probably
00:30:53.240 could go either
00:30:53.860 way, so maybe
00:30:54.720 there's some
00:30:55.100 mistakes.
00:30:56.040 So I wouldn't
00:30:56.760 be surprised if
00:30:57.940 there's a 5%
00:30:59.280 bias because
00:31:00.260 doctors want
00:31:01.960 the hospital to
00:31:02.900 feel good about
00:31:04.680 the doctor and
00:31:05.620 everybody's playing
00:31:06.360 along and the
00:31:06.980 hospital makes
00:31:07.500 money so the
00:31:08.700 doctor still has a
00:31:09.460 place to work and
00:31:10.260 stuff like that.
00:31:10.820 But, you know,
00:31:12.420 we don't have a
00:31:12.920 way to measure
00:31:13.380 it, so it's
00:31:14.520 just my experience
00:31:16.280 of life and my
00:31:18.320 understanding of
00:31:19.140 humans is that
00:31:21.080 probably the
00:31:22.660 deaths are being
00:31:23.520 coded 90 to
00:31:25.260 90% correctly,
00:31:26.960 which is good
00:31:28.020 enough to think
00:31:29.600 there's not some
00:31:30.400 giant problem
00:31:31.020 here.
00:31:31.940 That's my
00:31:32.540 opinion.
00:31:33.180 Could be wrong.
00:31:36.580 Let's see.
00:31:37.520 I love
00:31:40.940 giving you
00:31:41.580 reminders of
00:31:43.640 things I said
00:31:44.320 years ago so
00:31:45.240 that you can see
00:31:45.980 whether or not
00:31:46.960 they came to
00:31:47.600 fruition.
00:31:49.080 One of my
00:31:50.340 favorite predictions,
00:31:53.520 and it was my
00:31:54.200 favorite because I
00:31:55.160 knew that not a
00:31:56.040 single person
00:31:56.760 believed that this
00:31:57.920 would happen,
00:31:58.920 nor did anybody
00:31:59.720 take it seriously,
00:32:01.280 and here it is.
00:32:02.560 I said in 2015
00:32:03.980 that Trump would
00:32:05.880 not just
00:32:06.740 change what we
00:32:08.080 thought of
00:32:08.440 politics, but
00:32:10.040 that he would
00:32:10.580 alter our
00:32:11.400 understanding of
00:32:12.340 reality itself.
00:32:14.620 And I said it a
00:32:15.320 number of times
00:32:15.980 publicly, and
00:32:17.460 almost nobody
00:32:19.180 ever engaged me
00:32:20.420 on that by
00:32:21.220 saying, well,
00:32:21.720 what do you
00:32:22.020 mean?
00:32:22.900 Like, what
00:32:23.240 exactly does that
00:32:24.060 mean?
00:32:24.380 And if they had,
00:32:25.040 I don't know if I
00:32:25.600 could have explained
00:32:26.420 it, but let me
00:32:27.900 give you some
00:32:28.400 examples.
00:32:30.020 So we saw,
00:32:31.380 for example,
00:32:31.940 that facts don't
00:32:33.820 matter.
00:32:35.360 I mean, that was
00:32:35.840 a gigantic
00:32:36.520 mental shift,
00:32:37.960 right?
00:32:38.760 You went from a
00:32:39.540 world in 2014-ish
00:32:41.260 in which you
00:32:42.440 thought facts
00:32:43.300 actually matter,
00:32:44.900 and that people
00:32:45.760 use them to make
00:32:46.540 decisions.
00:32:47.980 But I told you
00:32:48.980 they don't,
00:32:50.100 and that that's
00:32:50.680 not the way
00:32:51.120 people are.
00:32:52.200 People don't use
00:32:52.940 facts to make
00:32:53.520 decisions, except
00:32:54.200 for the minor
00:32:54.940 things that, you
00:32:56.200 know, are either
00:32:56.760 really obvious, or
00:32:58.040 they have no
00:32:58.520 emotional content.
00:32:59.780 But for most of
00:33:00.620 what we do, we're
00:33:01.360 emotional creatures,
00:33:02.300 and we rationalize
00:33:03.100 it after the fact.
00:33:03.720 So I think most
00:33:05.280 of you have come
00:33:06.180 around to believe
00:33:06.940 that is true, and
00:33:07.800 think about how
00:33:08.320 massive that is.
00:33:10.160 Changing your
00:33:10.840 understanding of
00:33:11.580 reality from facts
00:33:12.900 matter to they
00:33:14.340 don't matter, that's
00:33:16.100 a pretty fundamental
00:33:16.960 change, and I
00:33:18.220 think a lot of you
00:33:18.880 have gone on that
00:33:20.420 journey with me.
00:33:21.760 But here's just a
00:33:22.620 few other things
00:33:23.540 about reality that
00:33:25.660 have changed in
00:33:26.500 just the last few
00:33:27.220 years.
00:33:29.120 And it's funny when
00:33:30.040 you see them all
00:33:30.540 together.
00:33:30.840 One is, the
00:33:33.340 Russia collusion
00:33:34.140 thing, wasn't
00:33:36.340 there at least
00:33:37.120 some point in
00:33:37.980 that when you
00:33:38.880 said to yourself,
00:33:40.420 well, I don't
00:33:41.800 believe this is
00:33:42.460 actually an
00:33:43.140 organized coup
00:33:44.060 attempt to
00:33:44.800 overthrow the
00:33:45.560 elected president
00:33:47.160 of the United
00:33:47.740 States?
00:33:49.140 What do you
00:33:49.640 think now?
00:33:51.240 As of this
00:33:52.300 week, we know
00:33:53.260 that basically
00:33:53.840 the FISA
00:33:54.720 process was
00:33:55.540 completely abused.
00:33:57.280 Attorney General
00:33:57.920 Barr says
00:33:58.960 basically, well,
00:34:00.480 it could be
00:34:02.040 incompetence, but
00:34:04.040 it certainly
00:34:04.620 isn't looking
00:34:05.240 like it, and
00:34:05.940 we're looking to
00:34:07.160 see if anybody
00:34:07.640 needs to go to
00:34:08.360 jail.
00:34:09.200 So that's your
00:34:10.120 Attorney General.
00:34:11.780 So whether or
00:34:13.280 not, no matter
00:34:14.000 what we find
00:34:14.660 about, you know,
00:34:15.380 once we get to
00:34:16.840 the bottom of the
00:34:17.420 Russia collusion
00:34:18.040 thing, no matter
00:34:18.560 what we find,
00:34:19.840 wouldn't you say
00:34:20.660 that your belief
00:34:22.540 about what's
00:34:24.040 possible got
00:34:26.700 modified a little
00:34:27.540 bit?
00:34:28.700 Because I would
00:34:29.540 have said, no,
00:34:31.540 you know, if
00:34:31.960 somebody had
00:34:32.400 described this
00:34:33.240 before any of
00:34:34.160 it happened, and
00:34:35.160 said, Scott, give
00:34:36.240 me a read on
00:34:37.020 this.
00:34:37.960 Tell me if you
00:34:38.920 think this could
00:34:39.500 happen.
00:34:40.520 Deep state actors
00:34:41.480 would put together
00:34:42.760 this, you know,
00:34:43.420 BS charge about
00:34:45.200 Russia, they'd
00:34:45.980 create this whole
00:34:46.540 conspiracy, and it
00:34:47.600 would be the
00:34:48.120 grounds for
00:34:49.240 impeachment, and
00:34:49.980 they would remove
00:34:50.680 a legally elected
00:34:51.840 president with
00:34:52.920 just a bunch of
00:34:53.540 stuff they made
00:34:54.180 up.
00:34:54.420 I would have
00:34:56.000 said to you, I
00:34:57.420 don't think so.
00:34:59.440 I'm not sure
00:35:00.260 that's a thing.
00:35:01.960 And then we
00:35:02.480 watched it happen.
00:35:04.940 We watched it
00:35:05.760 happen.
00:35:06.460 Now, there's some
00:35:07.000 of you who said
00:35:07.500 we've known for
00:35:08.340 years.
00:35:09.060 I would question
00:35:10.160 what knowing
00:35:11.860 means in this
00:35:12.760 context.
00:35:13.800 There were
00:35:14.020 certainly people
00:35:15.240 who were confident
00:35:16.020 that it was
00:35:16.780 always a big
00:35:17.600 conspiracy, and
00:35:18.420 people who
00:35:18.820 thought it
00:35:19.140 wasn't.
00:35:20.260 But I don't
00:35:20.760 know if anybody
00:35:21.260 knows.
00:35:22.280 I always point
00:35:23.240 out the fact
00:35:23.700 that there are
00:35:24.140 always smart
00:35:24.740 people all
00:35:26.160 around every
00:35:26.780 topic.
00:35:27.720 So if you
00:35:28.340 ever get to
00:35:28.760 the point where
00:35:29.180 you know the
00:35:29.820 answer, some
00:35:31.300 of them will
00:35:31.680 be right.
00:35:32.840 But if you
00:35:33.440 can't tell which
00:35:33.960 ones are right
00:35:34.500 ahead of time,
00:35:35.840 I don't know
00:35:36.800 if it's anybody
00:35:37.420 knowing they're
00:35:38.700 right, or it's
00:35:40.200 just people are
00:35:40.860 on all sides, so
00:35:41.780 somebody's got to
00:35:42.460 be right.
00:35:45.320 Anyway, so we
00:35:46.060 have a different
00:35:46.440 opinion about how
00:35:48.340 slimy the people
00:35:50.180 in our government
00:35:50.920 are and can be.
00:35:52.400 We've lost all
00:35:53.540 trust in our
00:35:54.320 intelligence agencies.
00:35:56.720 I mean, I have
00:35:57.160 to admit that the
00:35:58.480 Iraq weapons of
00:35:59.520 mass destruction
00:36:00.280 and even other
00:36:01.940 notable failures
00:36:03.000 that they've had,
00:36:03.700 I think, weren't
00:36:04.940 they surprised by
00:36:05.680 the fall of the
00:36:06.280 Iron Curtain?
00:36:07.060 So there's some
00:36:07.640 famous failures of
00:36:09.800 our intelligence
00:36:10.400 agencies, but did
00:36:12.540 you think that they
00:36:13.200 might not even be
00:36:14.100 working on your
00:36:14.760 side?
00:36:16.100 Did it ever
00:36:16.880 occur to you that
00:36:18.380 our most trusted
00:36:19.740 intelligence agencies
00:36:21.360 were actually not
00:36:22.200 even on your
00:36:22.700 side?
00:36:23.140 They're not even
00:36:23.520 on your team?
00:36:24.860 But we know that
00:36:25.680 now, because
00:36:26.360 obviously there
00:36:27.220 were important
00:36:28.160 members of them
00:36:28.900 who were working
00:36:30.180 against the
00:36:30.760 interests of the
00:36:31.340 American public.
00:36:32.860 How about the
00:36:33.300 World Health
00:36:33.740 Organization?
00:36:36.600 Two weeks ago,
00:36:38.080 did you think that
00:36:38.820 was a legitimate
00:36:39.540 international organization
00:36:41.080 in which they were
00:36:42.320 working toward
00:36:42.920 world health?
00:36:44.360 I kind of did.
00:36:45.980 I kind of thought
00:36:46.900 it was an actual
00:36:47.540 organization dedicated
00:36:49.320 to World Health.
00:36:50.940 Well, I don't
00:36:51.580 know what the
00:36:52.920 World Health
00:36:53.340 Organization is,
00:36:54.360 but it's nothing
00:36:54.820 like that.
00:36:55.940 Looks like it's
00:36:56.660 some kind of
00:36:57.140 Chinese propaganda
00:36:58.020 organ.
00:36:59.420 How about, how
00:37:00.160 long ago was it
00:37:00.880 that you thought
00:37:01.220 the news was
00:37:01.840 real?
00:37:04.020 I came to this
00:37:05.240 one sooner than
00:37:05.840 you did because
00:37:06.640 I've said this
00:37:07.420 before, but because
00:37:09.060 I'm often the
00:37:09.820 subject of the
00:37:10.540 news, I have a
00:37:12.080 front row seat to
00:37:13.360 see how inaccurate
00:37:14.100 it is.
00:37:14.940 Because when
00:37:15.500 they're talking
00:37:15.880 about me, I
00:37:17.620 know if it's
00:37:18.120 inaccurate, I'll
00:37:19.080 be like, I
00:37:19.580 didn't do that.
00:37:20.320 I didn't say
00:37:20.800 that.
00:37:21.540 That's all
00:37:21.980 inaccurate.
00:37:22.740 But most of
00:37:23.440 you are just
00:37:24.700 observers.
00:37:25.380 You're just in
00:37:25.780 the audience
00:37:26.300 watching people
00:37:27.240 like me get
00:37:28.380 ripped apart by
00:37:29.080 the media and
00:37:29.640 you think, well,
00:37:30.100 it's probably
00:37:30.400 true.
00:37:31.620 They wouldn't
00:37:32.280 say it if it
00:37:32.680 wasn't a little
00:37:33.700 bit true.
00:37:34.140 It's probably
00:37:34.440 true.
00:37:35.620 But now you
00:37:37.080 all know that
00:37:38.660 the news is
00:37:39.240 made up.
00:37:40.960 Right?
00:37:43.940 Basically,
00:37:44.800 everything you
00:37:45.600 thought about the
00:37:46.520 legitimacy of the
00:37:47.740 media, that's
00:37:48.760 all gone,
00:37:49.380 isn't it?
00:37:50.380 I don't think
00:37:51.180 we think there's
00:37:51.780 any legitimacy to
00:37:52.880 the media at
00:37:53.400 this point.
00:37:55.820 Here's another
00:37:56.480 one.
00:37:57.220 This is also
00:37:58.060 really new.
00:37:59.320 This is a
00:37:59.840 fresh one.
00:38:02.420 Long-term
00:38:03.080 prediction models
00:38:03.960 don't work.
00:38:07.520 This might be
00:38:08.320 my favorite.
00:38:10.200 Because I've
00:38:11.980 spent 10 years
00:38:12.720 of my life
00:38:13.320 arguing that
00:38:14.300 whether or not
00:38:16.220 climate change
00:38:16.940 is a big
00:38:18.260 problem or
00:38:18.840 not a big
00:38:19.320 problem, the
00:38:21.240 prediction models
00:38:22.200 are not
00:38:23.540 science.
00:38:25.100 They're whatever
00:38:26.020 assumptions you
00:38:26.840 put in there.
00:38:27.580 They're not
00:38:28.020 science.
00:38:29.500 And I think
00:38:31.280 that this week
00:38:32.080 the entire
00:38:33.480 world is ready
00:38:34.400 to say, both
00:38:35.140 Democrats and
00:38:35.880 Republicans, I
00:38:37.280 think the entire
00:38:37.880 world is looking
00:38:38.660 at this and
00:38:39.100 saying, wait a
00:38:40.640 minute, where
00:38:41.680 have we seen
00:38:42.300 this before?
00:38:44.020 All the
00:38:44.740 experts were
00:38:45.500 on the same
00:38:46.060 side.
00:38:47.420 They had a
00:38:48.380 complicated
00:38:49.000 prediction model
00:38:50.420 which they
00:38:50.980 used to
00:38:51.580 convince the
00:38:52.260 politicians and
00:38:53.200 the public of
00:38:54.520 something very
00:38:55.340 expensive, but
00:38:57.440 then those
00:38:57.940 models seemed
00:38:59.040 to be not as
00:39:00.740 accurate as we
00:39:01.760 had hoped.
00:39:02.860 What's that
00:39:03.400 remind you of?
00:39:04.580 Well, I think
00:39:05.320 that one of the
00:39:06.820 big changes that's
00:39:07.740 going to come
00:39:08.080 out of this is
00:39:09.440 that it's almost
00:39:10.080 impossible to
00:39:10.960 argue for
00:39:11.420 climate change
00:39:12.160 anymore.
00:39:13.060 Because in order
00:39:13.820 to make the
00:39:14.280 argument, you're
00:39:14.920 going to say,
00:39:15.740 and, you know,
00:39:16.300 we've got to do
00:39:16.660 some climate
00:39:17.040 change, and
00:39:17.560 here's my
00:39:17.940 argument, here's
00:39:19.580 my long-term
00:39:22.660 prediction model
00:39:23.840 for 80 years.
00:39:26.260 And people are
00:39:27.060 just going to
00:39:27.460 say, put that
00:39:28.600 down, put it
00:39:30.000 down, put it
00:39:31.640 down.
00:39:32.860 And they'll
00:39:33.600 say, no, I
00:39:34.760 made a model,
00:39:35.720 you see my
00:39:37.000 graph, they'll
00:39:38.540 say, put it
00:39:39.660 down.
00:39:41.120 We're not
00:39:41.720 going to
00:39:41.900 listen to
00:39:42.300 your long-term
00:39:43.020 models anymore.
00:39:45.120 Now, even
00:39:45.520 Fauci said that
00:39:46.800 he didn't use
00:39:47.340 the models to
00:39:48.060 decide to
00:39:48.680 close down, or
00:39:50.040 to agree to
00:39:50.940 close down the
00:39:51.700 travel from
00:39:52.440 China, or to
00:39:53.820 agree to
00:39:54.700 close down the
00:39:55.680 economy.
00:39:56.720 Rather, he
00:39:57.300 said that the
00:39:58.160 striking things
00:39:59.820 were the
00:40:00.480 experience that
00:40:01.180 they observed in
00:40:01.960 China and
00:40:02.600 Italy.
00:40:03.620 So even
00:40:04.380 Fauci said,
00:40:05.340 they don't
00:40:05.680 use the
00:40:06.060 models.
00:40:07.740 Fauci said,
00:40:08.420 no, I
00:40:08.620 just looked at
00:40:09.100 what happened
00:40:09.460 in other
00:40:09.800 places, and
00:40:11.300 said that's
00:40:11.800 a problem.
00:40:12.260 Now, I
00:40:12.480 think climate
00:40:12.920 change is
00:40:14.240 similar to
00:40:14.860 that.
00:40:16.100 I wouldn't
00:40:16.860 put too
00:40:17.520 much credibility
00:40:18.240 in the
00:40:18.720 models, but
00:40:20.540 it might be
00:40:21.640 true that the
00:40:22.280 experts can
00:40:22.900 just look at
00:40:23.460 the data and
00:40:24.960 say, hey, it's
00:40:26.380 getting kind of
00:40:26.860 warm, and we
00:40:27.440 think we know
00:40:27.900 why.
00:40:29.280 Maybe we
00:40:29.820 should be
00:40:30.080 worried about
00:40:30.560 that.
00:40:31.500 But the
00:40:32.140 model part,
00:40:33.180 the models are
00:40:34.520 not going to
00:40:35.100 be accurate.
00:40:35.760 All right.
00:40:38.380 Here's another
00:40:38.980 thing I
00:40:39.360 learned.
00:40:40.680 Did you
00:40:41.180 know that
00:40:41.500 money can
00:40:42.000 just be
00:40:42.520 printed?
00:40:45.660 Did you
00:40:46.180 know that?
00:40:46.960 Now, on
00:40:47.380 some level, you
00:40:47.980 didn't know
00:40:48.360 that, right?
00:40:48.780 You knew that
00:40:49.200 we have
00:40:49.480 printing presses,
00:40:50.740 and most of
00:40:51.300 you are
00:40:51.680 educated people
00:40:53.320 watching the
00:40:53.740 news, so you
00:40:54.180 knew that the
00:40:56.100 United States
00:40:56.720 could always
00:40:57.460 just print
00:40:58.360 more dollar
00:40:58.940 bills, just
00:41:00.340 print more
00:41:00.920 money, put it
00:41:01.560 in circulation.
00:41:02.100 So you
00:41:03.000 knew that we
00:41:03.440 could do
00:41:03.720 that, but
00:41:04.260 didn't you
00:41:05.260 think it
00:41:05.580 was a bad
00:41:06.060 idea?
00:41:08.300 Didn't you
00:41:08.860 think that
00:41:09.360 you could do
00:41:10.400 it?
00:41:11.320 Physically, you
00:41:11.940 could print
00:41:12.280 more money, but
00:41:13.600 you don't want
00:41:14.080 to do that
00:41:14.720 because it
00:41:15.660 would create
00:41:16.160 inflation.
00:41:17.160 The simple
00:41:17.860 reason for
00:41:18.340 that is if
00:41:19.080 there's more
00:41:19.580 money in the
00:41:20.240 system, then
00:41:21.740 people are
00:41:22.300 willing to pay
00:41:23.120 more for their
00:41:23.800 goods and
00:41:24.260 services, and
00:41:24.940 then the people
00:41:25.420 who sell them
00:41:25.900 say, hey, I
00:41:27.280 got a lot of
00:41:27.700 demand, I
00:41:28.200 think I'll
00:41:28.460 raise my
00:41:28.900 prices.
00:41:30.080 So if you
00:41:31.620 flood the
00:41:32.440 system with
00:41:33.260 too much
00:41:33.720 cash, you
00:41:35.200 can cause
00:41:35.820 inflation, so
00:41:36.680 there's no
00:41:37.060 point in
00:41:37.380 doing it, so
00:41:38.900 there's no
00:41:39.300 way you can
00:41:39.680 just create
00:41:40.580 money out of
00:41:41.160 nothing.
00:41:42.700 Except, I
00:41:44.500 think we
00:41:44.840 just did it,
00:41:46.100 didn't we?
00:41:47.720 Because in
00:41:48.960 an environment
00:41:49.520 in which
00:41:50.120 inflation is
00:41:51.820 basically
00:41:52.340 impossible,
00:41:54.220 with the
00:41:54.700 exception of
00:41:55.280 the hoarded
00:41:56.060 goods that
00:41:56.940 are, there's
00:41:57.560 some price
00:41:57.900 gouging, for
00:41:58.880 normal goods,
00:41:59.800 nobody's going
00:42:00.300 to be able to
00:42:00.680 raise a price.
00:42:02.540 So the
00:42:03.200 United States
00:42:03.700 just printed,
00:42:05.520 I don't
00:42:05.820 know, do we
00:42:06.180 literally
00:42:06.660 print it, or
00:42:07.420 is it digital?
00:42:08.480 I'm not sure
00:42:08.880 exactly how that
00:42:09.500 works, so it's
00:42:09.880 probably a
00:42:10.240 digital process,
00:42:11.400 but we
00:42:11.760 created, I
00:42:13.120 don't know,
00:42:13.340 trillions of
00:42:13.940 dollars, and
00:42:16.080 the only downside
00:42:17.680 of creating
00:42:18.440 trillions of
00:42:19.100 dollars was
00:42:20.760 that it might
00:42:21.220 cause inflation,
00:42:22.500 which under
00:42:23.160 this special
00:42:23.840 condition, can't.
00:42:26.520 It can't,
00:42:27.200 right?
00:42:28.020 Nobody can
00:42:28.700 raise a price,
00:42:29.360 there's not
00:42:29.640 enough demand
00:42:30.200 for a while
00:42:30.860 anyway.
00:42:31.620 So I
00:42:33.400 feel like I'm
00:42:34.020 missing something
00:42:34.720 obvious,
00:42:35.860 because, you
00:42:36.680 know, I
00:42:37.020 actually have
00:42:37.400 some background
00:42:38.080 in this stuff,
00:42:38.840 and I'm
00:42:39.060 pretty confused,
00:42:40.440 but did we
00:42:41.400 find a
00:42:43.100 trillion dollars
00:42:43.860 of free
00:42:44.260 money?
00:42:45.660 Can somebody
00:42:46.740 work that
00:42:47.260 through me?
00:42:47.820 Because I
00:42:48.180 think there
00:42:48.540 are greater
00:42:49.920 implications than
00:42:50.980 the simple
00:42:51.420 ones that I'm
00:42:52.320 explaining, so
00:42:53.060 there must be
00:42:53.580 some downside
00:42:54.860 that's a little
00:42:56.580 more than I
00:42:57.160 think.
00:42:57.480 I always
00:42:58.680 say that
00:42:59.000 President Trump
00:42:59.560 is good
00:42:59.920 at finding
00:43:00.580 free money
00:43:01.180 on the
00:43:01.460 table and
00:43:01.880 picking it
00:43:02.260 up.
00:43:02.480 It's like,
00:43:02.700 hey, free
00:43:03.600 money, anybody
00:43:04.920 want this?
00:43:05.940 And when I
00:43:06.380 heard that we
00:43:06.820 were going to
00:43:07.220 fund this
00:43:08.440 stimulus, if you
00:43:10.880 want to call it
00:43:11.360 that, not by
00:43:12.740 borrowing, but
00:43:13.640 rather by
00:43:14.280 printing money,
00:43:15.600 and then I
00:43:16.080 realized that
00:43:16.800 inflation isn't
00:43:17.940 going to go up
00:43:18.520 even though we
00:43:19.020 print the
00:43:19.360 money, I
00:43:21.320 think Trump
00:43:22.060 found two
00:43:23.940 or three
00:43:24.300 trillion dollars
00:43:25.100 laying on
00:43:25.520 the table.
00:43:26.720 Am I
00:43:27.300 wrong?
00:43:28.340 I have to
00:43:29.040 be wrong,
00:43:29.520 right?
00:43:31.740 Is Joshua
00:43:33.440 Gans, if
00:43:34.040 you're watching
00:43:34.400 this, an
00:43:35.600 actual, a
00:43:36.220 real economist,
00:43:37.600 what am I
00:43:39.000 doing wrong?
00:43:40.460 I mean, did
00:43:41.960 we just create
00:43:43.060 three trillion
00:43:43.780 dollars out of
00:43:44.520 nothing because
00:43:46.500 we had this
00:43:47.220 weird opportunity
00:43:47.920 where there was
00:43:48.580 no chance of
00:43:49.240 inflation?
00:43:49.760 Did that just
00:43:50.260 happen?
00:43:51.500 I mean, I'm
00:43:52.020 actually curious.
00:43:52.820 I don't know.
00:43:53.940 But it might
00:43:54.680 have.
00:43:55.160 It might
00:43:55.420 have.
00:43:57.800 If you had to
00:43:58.700 bet on this, you
00:43:59.480 should bet that
00:44:00.080 I'm wrong about
00:44:00.740 this, by the
00:44:01.220 way.
00:44:01.900 You should bet
00:44:02.480 that there's some
00:44:03.040 big variable that
00:44:03.960 I'm not thinking
00:44:04.520 about that would
00:44:05.120 explain it all.
00:44:06.780 But otherwise, we
00:44:07.660 just created three
00:44:08.420 trillion dollars out
00:44:09.200 of nothing.
00:44:09.860 How does that
00:44:10.520 change your view
00:44:11.120 of reality?
00:44:14.260 It's messing
00:44:14.980 with mine, I'll
00:44:15.840 tell you.
00:44:16.600 My view of
00:44:17.260 reality has taken
00:44:18.140 a beating if we
00:44:19.580 just created three
00:44:20.580 trillion dollars out
00:44:21.480 of nothing.
00:44:21.860 Now, how
00:44:24.440 hard is it
00:44:24.940 going to be to
00:44:26.120 argue against
00:44:27.080 health care for
00:44:28.040 all and paying
00:44:29.580 off student
00:44:30.180 loans when we
00:44:31.480 just created
00:44:32.040 three trillion
00:44:32.660 dollars out of
00:44:33.340 air?
00:44:34.600 How are you
00:44:35.300 going to argue
00:44:35.760 against, you
00:44:37.600 know, let's say
00:44:38.160 Bernie's big
00:44:38.840 ticket stuff as
00:44:40.040 Biden is carrying
00:44:41.320 it forward.
00:44:42.160 How are you
00:44:42.580 going to argue
00:44:42.960 against it because
00:44:44.320 you don't have
00:44:44.760 enough money?
00:44:45.260 if you just
00:44:48.320 printed three
00:44:49.080 trillion dollars?
00:44:52.940 I see somebody
00:44:53.840 saying, yes, you
00:44:54.480 are wrong.
00:44:56.100 Normally, I
00:44:56.940 block people for
00:44:58.040 just saying you're
00:44:58.640 wrong without
00:44:59.700 giving a reason,
00:45:01.120 but I'll give you
00:45:02.020 a special
00:45:02.540 dispensation today
00:45:05.600 because I also
00:45:07.340 think I'm wrong,
00:45:08.080 I just don't know
00:45:08.640 why.
00:45:09.480 All right, so
00:45:09.960 maybe somebody
00:45:10.460 can fix that for
00:45:11.140 me.
00:45:11.300 So, just to
00:45:14.820 make things fun,
00:45:16.760 the anti-Trump
00:45:18.840 press has
00:45:19.480 designated an
00:45:20.660 official race
00:45:22.220 baiter.
00:45:23.740 So, it looks
00:45:24.420 like they, I
00:45:25.240 don't know if
00:45:25.640 they pick teams
00:45:26.540 or how they do
00:45:27.140 this, but
00:45:28.080 somebody who
00:45:28.840 works for PBS
00:45:29.480 named Yamiche
00:45:30.640 Elcindor apparently
00:45:33.220 gets to sit in
00:45:34.420 the White House
00:45:34.900 press secretary and
00:45:36.680 try to start
00:45:37.580 race wars.
00:45:38.240 So, she asked
00:45:41.400 all the dumb
00:45:42.300 ass questions
00:45:42.940 that make the
00:45:43.520 headlines because
00:45:44.620 you shouldn't
00:45:45.160 ask these
00:45:45.580 questions and
00:45:46.360 it's the wrong
00:45:47.960 place and it's
00:45:49.060 just not helpful.
00:45:50.760 So, she was
00:45:52.120 asking the
00:45:53.640 surgeon general
00:45:55.520 who's African
00:45:56.160 American and
00:45:56.960 he used some
00:45:58.680 language to
00:46:00.820 refer to
00:46:01.500 grandpa and
00:46:02.440 grandma and
00:46:03.160 he was using
00:46:04.220 some culturally
00:46:05.980 relevant language
00:46:07.300 and she called
00:46:08.320 him out for
00:46:08.880 it because it
00:46:09.400 sounded racist.
00:46:10.820 And then this
00:46:11.180 poor black guy
00:46:13.340 who's the
00:46:15.020 surgeon general
00:46:15.700 of the United
00:46:16.300 States has to
00:46:18.700 explain on
00:46:19.680 camera to the
00:46:21.700 designated race
00:46:23.440 war starter in
00:46:24.340 the audience,
00:46:25.440 this poor,
00:46:26.720 you know,
00:46:27.300 he's reached,
00:46:28.220 I don't know,
00:46:28.620 maybe the
00:46:29.380 pinnacle of,
00:46:31.120 you know,
00:46:31.500 at least in
00:46:32.600 terms of public
00:46:33.180 service, being the
00:46:33.980 surgeon general,
00:46:35.180 young guy.
00:46:35.860 I mean, this
00:46:37.180 is quite a
00:46:37.900 good job,
00:46:38.600 right?
00:46:39.260 And he has to
00:46:39.840 stand up there
00:46:40.420 listening to
00:46:40.960 this woman
00:46:41.380 asking him if
00:46:42.480 he's racist.
00:46:44.940 Seriously?
00:46:46.320 Now, here's my
00:46:47.160 opinion.
00:46:48.800 I think she
00:46:49.660 should be
00:46:50.300 kicked out of
00:46:51.480 the room
00:46:51.820 by the
00:46:53.160 administration.
00:46:54.980 That's not
00:46:55.620 too harsh,
00:46:56.880 is it?
00:46:57.960 Because if
00:46:59.380 somebody's coming
00:47:00.000 into the press
00:47:00.640 conference for
00:47:01.540 this emergency
00:47:02.540 crisis situation,
00:47:04.340 to ask this
00:47:06.280 dumbass question
00:47:07.260 that has no
00:47:08.460 value except
00:47:09.280 to get people
00:47:10.360 upset about
00:47:11.140 race for no
00:47:12.620 good reason
00:47:13.240 whatsoever when
00:47:14.040 we should be
00:47:14.500 doing the
00:47:14.840 opposite and
00:47:15.300 pulling together.
00:47:16.540 Under normal
00:47:17.220 conditions, you
00:47:18.700 know, a lot of
00:47:19.320 the press is
00:47:19.840 asking these
00:47:20.440 gotcha questions.
00:47:22.180 But would it
00:47:23.520 be unfair to
00:47:24.700 uninvite her and
00:47:25.760 just yank her
00:47:27.060 credentials?
00:47:28.760 I would be
00:47:29.480 okay with that,
00:47:30.160 wouldn't you?
00:47:31.400 Now, if
00:47:32.340 these were normal
00:47:33.560 times, I'd
00:47:34.180 say maybe
00:47:34.880 not, you
00:47:35.440 know, let
00:47:35.720 them ask
00:47:36.060 their questions,
00:47:37.500 et cetera.
00:47:38.300 But I think
00:47:38.840 she should be
00:47:39.320 kicked out of
00:47:39.740 the room because
00:47:41.080 she's operating
00:47:42.400 opposite of the
00:47:43.560 national interest
00:47:44.300 during an
00:47:44.780 emergency and
00:47:46.120 there's nothing
00:47:46.680 added.
00:47:47.640 You know, she
00:47:48.080 added nothing.
00:47:50.040 All right.
00:47:54.920 Yeah, he was
00:47:55.660 talking about the
00:47:56.740 language that he
00:47:57.580 uses for his
00:47:59.100 own family.
00:48:00.760 Come on.
00:48:01.460 That poor
00:48:03.340 guy.
00:48:04.120 I mean, I've
00:48:04.480 been pretty
00:48:04.860 critical of the
00:48:05.820 Surgeon General
00:48:07.400 because of the
00:48:07.920 face mask thing
00:48:08.760 and he had a
00:48:09.720 comment on that.
00:48:11.140 But even I
00:48:12.500 felt bad for him
00:48:13.380 having to go
00:48:14.500 through that.
00:48:16.500 All right.
00:48:16.860 is RT or the
00:48:23.440 Hill anti-Trump
00:48:24.660 press?
00:48:30.340 I don't know
00:48:31.060 what that
00:48:31.300 means.
00:48:34.020 And if you
00:48:34.720 notice that the
00:48:35.340 president is being
00:48:36.200 extra nice to Jim
00:48:37.400 Acosta, and he's
00:48:39.180 also being extra
00:48:40.020 nice to the
00:48:41.080 governors, even the
00:48:42.860 Democratic governors,
00:48:43.640 and the president
00:48:44.880 is also being
00:48:45.600 extra nice to Joe
00:48:46.540 Biden, at least
00:48:47.640 not the campaign
00:48:49.400 ads.
00:48:49.760 Those are pretty
00:48:50.240 vicious.
00:48:51.020 But the things
00:48:51.700 that the president
00:48:52.260 himself says, he
00:48:53.700 complimented Joe
00:48:54.560 Biden, he
00:48:55.680 complimented the
00:48:56.460 governors, and he's
00:48:59.400 even calling Jim
00:49:00.200 Acosta Jim, if you
00:49:01.520 noticed that.
00:49:02.680 And he was
00:49:03.160 actually sort of
00:49:03.720 joking with him a
00:49:04.640 little bit at one
00:49:06.320 point.
00:49:07.080 So it even looks
00:49:08.120 like the president
00:49:08.820 and Jim Acosta
00:49:09.800 have some weird
00:49:12.240 detente that I'm
00:49:13.620 sure is temporary.
00:49:15.100 But at least I
00:49:15.940 like it during the
00:49:16.760 I kind of like the
00:49:17.960 show, honestly.
00:49:20.920 You know, I think
00:49:21.840 the world would be
00:49:22.640 worse without Jim
00:49:23.700 Acosta, you know,
00:49:25.660 if we're being
00:49:26.040 honest.
00:49:27.160 The one thing I'll
00:49:28.000 give him credit
00:49:28.580 for is that he
00:49:29.980 understands the
00:49:33.840 show.
00:49:35.240 So, you know, I'm
00:49:36.540 not going to say
00:49:37.080 that Trump is a
00:49:38.900 genius because he
00:49:39.860 knows how to
00:49:40.820 operate showmanship
00:49:41.880 for his advantage,
00:49:43.180 even though it's
00:49:43.960 not typical
00:49:44.620 politicking.
00:49:45.680 He knows how to
00:49:46.440 use it.
00:49:47.320 Well, Acosta does
00:49:49.000 the same thing.
00:49:49.940 I'm not going to
00:49:51.400 compliment the
00:49:52.180 president for doing
00:49:53.020 that well and then
00:49:54.380 watch Acosta do it
00:49:55.440 well and not give
00:49:56.380 him the same
00:49:56.840 compliment, which
00:49:57.660 is Acosta knows
00:49:59.580 what his job is.
00:50:01.080 I mean, the way
00:50:01.840 he's decided to
00:50:02.740 define his role in
00:50:03.920 the world.
00:50:04.720 And he knows it's
00:50:05.820 some form of
00:50:07.840 wrestling, you know,
00:50:09.720 and he knows it's
00:50:10.640 more about the
00:50:11.280 show, and he
00:50:12.580 brings the show.
00:50:14.180 And what does the
00:50:15.140 president do?
00:50:15.900 Does the president
00:50:16.700 back away from the
00:50:18.720 show?
00:50:19.760 Never.
00:50:20.540 That's what we love
00:50:21.220 about him.
00:50:22.020 He never backs away
00:50:22.940 from the show.
00:50:23.940 So he goes into the
00:50:24.980 show, and then you've
00:50:26.440 got the president doing
00:50:27.420 his show and Acosta
00:50:28.400 doing his show, and
00:50:29.360 it's news for the
00:50:30.080 night, and I kind of
00:50:31.000 like it.
00:50:31.980 Now, you also need
00:50:32.940 real reporters and
00:50:33.900 stuff, and a lot of
00:50:35.160 the things that Acosta
00:50:36.000 says are so ridiculous
00:50:38.540 they make your head
00:50:39.200 explode.
00:50:40.320 But in the context
00:50:43.620 of the show, he's a
00:50:45.700 good character.
00:50:47.060 You know what I
00:50:47.480 mean?
00:50:47.940 If you were going to
00:50:48.620 cast this as a movie,
00:50:50.580 he'd be a great
00:50:51.300 character.
00:50:52.000 So in terms of my
00:50:52.820 enjoyment of watching
00:50:53.760 the whole movie, as
00:50:56.060 it were, I like Jim
00:50:57.700 Acosta.
00:50:58.660 He's a good addition
00:50:59.600 to the movie, if not
00:51:02.040 to your sense of
00:51:03.260 information.
00:51:04.500 All right.
00:51:06.620 I'm going to teach
00:51:07.400 you the most valuable
00:51:08.160 thing you've ever
00:51:08.760 learned, and I'd
00:51:09.320 like to save this
00:51:09.880 for the end, because
00:51:10.600 only the people who
00:51:11.880 really, really care are
00:51:13.240 here.
00:51:14.060 Are you ready?
00:51:14.740 I'm going to give you
00:51:15.420 a little life hack
00:51:17.480 that really could
00:51:19.860 change, fundamentally
00:51:21.180 change your life.
00:51:22.140 It's such a little
00:51:22.780 thing, and it can
00:51:24.180 really change things,
00:51:25.080 and it goes like
00:51:25.680 this.
00:51:26.780 I learned years ago
00:51:28.280 that touch, you
00:51:30.640 know, the act of
00:51:31.580 touching somebody or
00:51:32.620 something, is a
00:51:35.360 skill.
00:51:35.680 You think it might
00:51:38.440 not be, and you
00:51:39.460 think to yourself,
00:51:39.960 oh, I know what you
00:51:40.620 mean, like somebody
00:51:41.860 who's a trained
00:51:42.760 massage therapist
00:51:43.720 who wouldn't know
00:51:44.240 how to touch people
00:51:45.080 correctly, you know,
00:51:46.940 and maybe if you're
00:51:47.780 just randomly touching
00:51:48.700 somebody, you wouldn't
00:51:49.320 do it so well.
00:51:49.960 No, that's not what I'm
00:51:50.680 talking about.
00:51:51.660 That's part of it.
00:51:52.940 So yes, there is some
00:51:54.000 technique about
00:51:55.380 learning where to touch
00:51:56.400 people and how hard
00:51:57.700 and everything that
00:51:58.960 will make you feel
00:51:59.620 better, but that's not
00:52:00.480 what I'm talking about.
00:52:01.140 I'm talking about
00:52:03.000 intention.
00:52:05.160 If you were to have,
00:52:06.500 say, you were walking
00:52:08.500 through the underbrush,
00:52:10.520 and some of the
00:52:11.740 underbrush was rubbing
00:52:12.940 against parts of your
00:52:14.120 body, including your
00:52:16.240 naughty bits, would that
00:52:18.720 excite you?
00:52:19.860 Probably not.
00:52:21.120 Because even though
00:52:21.880 there was some sense of
00:52:23.440 something touching you
00:52:24.640 and your naughty parts,
00:52:26.740 it probably would not
00:52:27.620 even register as
00:52:28.600 anything exciting,
00:52:30.120 because there's no
00:52:31.820 intention involved.
00:52:33.140 The bush has no
00:52:34.160 intention.
00:52:36.080 Absent intention,
00:52:38.340 touch loses all of
00:52:39.720 its power.
00:52:41.280 This is the thing that
00:52:42.600 will change your life.
00:52:44.200 I learned this because
00:52:45.400 I couldn't understand
00:52:46.180 why some people can
00:52:47.140 touch you and it
00:52:48.460 feels great, you know,
00:52:50.280 let's say in the
00:52:50.780 context of dating or
00:52:51.880 whatever, and other
00:52:52.960 people can touch you
00:52:53.960 and it doesn't feel
00:52:55.420 great.
00:52:56.740 It doesn't feel like
00:52:57.660 much of anything.
00:52:58.360 And it doesn't seem
00:52:59.820 to be related to how
00:53:00.960 much you like the
00:53:01.740 person or they like
00:53:02.680 you or what they
00:53:03.460 look like or your
00:53:04.880 chemistry.
00:53:06.080 There's something that
00:53:07.360 some people have
00:53:08.800 that's actually a
00:53:10.280 skill that if they
00:53:11.740 just lay their hand
00:53:12.680 on your shoulder,
00:53:14.280 some people can make
00:53:15.380 you feel good and
00:53:17.020 some people can't.
00:53:18.880 And I figured out
00:53:19.880 what it is.
00:53:21.180 And it's intention.
00:53:22.680 You can even test it
00:53:24.120 on your animals.
00:53:24.960 And here's
00:53:27.080 specifically what I
00:53:28.580 mean.
00:53:29.200 When you're touching
00:53:29.800 somebody, whether
00:53:30.640 human or pet, you
00:53:32.240 should be thinking to
00:53:33.080 yourself, in your
00:53:34.560 mind, the internal
00:53:35.760 thought should be, how
00:53:37.120 does this feel to the
00:53:38.200 other person?
00:53:38.900 In other words, you're
00:53:39.540 putting yourself in
00:53:40.260 their head and you're
00:53:41.500 focusing completely on
00:53:42.760 the task.
00:53:43.560 If you do those two
00:53:44.700 things, you focus
00:53:46.080 completely on the task
00:53:47.320 and the other person
00:53:48.280 knows it, and you put
00:53:50.580 yourself in their head
00:53:51.480 and touch them in a
00:53:52.920 way that you would
00:53:53.560 imagine if this were
00:53:54.500 you, you would like
00:53:55.320 it, even though you
00:53:56.960 might be a little
00:53:57.560 different, you know,
00:53:58.520 you'll have to learn
00:53:59.200 what they like and
00:54:00.180 adjust as you go, but
00:54:01.840 that little bit of
00:54:02.540 intention will turn an
00:54:05.840 ordinary touch into
00:54:07.840 almost an electric
00:54:08.960 experience.
00:54:10.940 Now, you won't
00:54:11.760 believe it until you
00:54:12.700 try it, but try this
00:54:16.020 experience of touching
00:54:17.300 somebody.
00:54:17.800 Have you ever had
00:54:18.220 somebody who is, let's
00:54:19.140 say, you convince your
00:54:21.500 boyfriend, girlfriend,
00:54:22.580 spouse to scratch your
00:54:24.340 back, and they're just
00:54:26.480 going to scratch your
00:54:27.140 back?
00:54:27.440 Let's say you like
00:54:28.120 that.
00:54:28.900 We'll just, for example,
00:54:31.220 let's say you like it.
00:54:32.580 If that person is also
00:54:34.040 reading their phone and
00:54:36.500 scratching your back while
00:54:37.520 reading the phone, their
00:54:39.100 intention is gone.
00:54:40.780 It's just a mechanical
00:54:41.760 thing, and it's just like
00:54:43.360 the branch that brushes
00:54:45.040 you in the forest.
00:54:46.720 Even though it should feel
00:54:48.020 exactly the same, as soon
00:54:49.820 as the intention is gone and
00:54:51.180 the focus is gone, it
00:54:52.420 just becomes something
00:54:53.760 scratching you.
00:54:55.560 So, once you find
00:54:58.740 somebody you can actually
00:54:59.580 touch, so it might be a
00:55:00.640 while, try that.
00:55:03.600 Try complete focus, put
00:55:06.140 yourself in their mode, and
00:55:09.040 then do that.
00:55:09.860 You'll also learn the
00:55:11.540 massage therapist, the best
00:55:12.940 ones, do that.
00:55:15.500 That's the difference
00:55:16.340 between a great massage
00:55:17.520 therapist and a good one.
00:55:19.220 They might have the same
00:55:20.480 moves, but one of them is
00:55:22.460 going to be electric, and
00:55:23.740 one of them is just going
00:55:24.520 to feel like something on
00:55:25.320 your back.
00:55:28.300 All right, you see in the
00:55:29.880 comments that there are
00:55:30.620 some people who are agreeing
00:55:33.300 with it.
00:55:34.200 Nobody is disagreeing with
00:55:35.520 it.
00:55:35.780 So, most of you just are
00:55:37.140 probably hearing it for the
00:55:38.160 first time, like you never
00:55:40.220 really thought of it in those
00:55:41.260 terms.
00:55:42.320 Try it.
00:55:43.600 If there's somebody in your
00:55:45.000 house or a pet or something,
00:55:46.900 try it.
00:55:48.360 All right?
00:55:48.540 Nursing doesn't.
00:55:51.520 Okay, somebody says, I
00:55:52.700 think you're confirming in
00:55:53.940 the comments that when you
00:55:55.920 learn to be a nurse, that
00:55:57.840 that might be part of the
00:55:59.180 training for the empathy,
00:56:00.680 et cetera.
00:56:01.480 That makes sense?
00:56:04.080 All right.
00:56:07.760 And that's all I needed to
00:56:09.380 tell you.
00:56:10.760 Stop stealing my moves.
00:56:14.540 All right.
00:56:15.400 That's all for now, and I
00:56:16.540 will talk to you in the
00:56:17.820 morning.
00:56:18.120 You know when.