Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 905 Scott Adams： Swaddle in Place. Come Learn a Useful Trick With Me.

00:00:00.000 Do you like my exciting new introduction?

00:00:18.780 You get to watch the lights come on and the shades go down.

00:00:23.840 One of my shades isn't working.

00:00:28.840 There we go.

00:00:29.840 isn't it? It's sort of like a little build-up.

00:00:32.620 I know.

00:00:35.720 But back to me. That's enough of that.

00:00:39.620 How the heck have you been?

00:00:41.900 I missed you. It's been

00:00:43.760 11 hours.

00:00:45.900 And

00:00:46.280 somebody says, does

00:00:49.500 Christina still cut your hair?

00:00:51.680 Well, she's in

00:00:53.180 social isolation in a different

00:00:55.880 house. So

00:00:57.720 I was going to cut my hair

00:00:59.760 on live

00:01:02.040 stream today. But

00:01:03.860 I didn't feel like cleaning up the hair in my office

00:01:05.880 so I'm not going to do that.

00:01:10.320 I'm not taking Twitter questions

00:01:12.060 but if I see

00:01:13.820 something go by, I'll

00:01:16.040 take a question.

00:01:17.860 So here's what's happened

00:01:19.220 since last we spoke.

00:01:22.420 I saw Brett Hume

00:01:23.800 tweeting a quote by

00:01:26.020 Anthony Fauci, Dr. Fauci

00:01:27.600 in which

00:01:29.000 Fauci was saying

00:01:29.880 that he's never had much

00:01:31.240 trust in models.

00:01:35.200 And Brett Hume,

00:01:36.420 I'm paraphrasing, but

00:01:37.740 basically Brett Hume said,

00:01:40.480 why are you telling us now?

00:01:42.160 Because you seemed

00:01:42.880 pretty confident

00:01:44.080 not too long ago.

00:01:46.640 Seemed pretty confident

00:01:47.820 back then.

00:01:49.080 But now you don't

00:01:50.360 trust models.

00:01:52.200 And

00:01:52.520 here's what I find

00:01:54.220 funny about that.

00:01:55.540 The reason Fauci says

00:01:56.860 he doesn't trust the models

00:01:58.080 is that they're only as good

00:01:59.960 as the assumptions

00:02:00.720 they've put in them.

00:02:02.700 Is that wrong?

00:02:04.700 Is Fauci wrong

00:02:06.000 that the models are only

00:02:07.380 as good as the assumptions?

00:02:08.860 No, of course not.

00:02:10.160 Of course not.

00:02:10.880 We all know that.

00:02:12.240 And is that the most

00:02:13.080 ordinary

00:02:13.740 expected thing

00:02:16.300 you could ever

00:02:16.920 say about models?

00:02:19.040 That it depends on

00:02:19.820 the assumptions

00:02:20.300 you put in?

00:02:20.920 It's just the most

00:02:21.640 obvious thing.

00:02:22.980 So

00:02:23.240 I said in a different

00:02:25.620 tweet today

00:02:26.180 that I would

00:02:27.360 lose respect

00:02:28.660 for any expert

00:02:29.780 who believed

00:02:30.980 models work.

00:02:33.620 Any expert,

00:02:34.500 doesn't matter

00:02:34.900 what the field is,

00:02:35.760 if they say

00:02:36.280 these long-range

00:02:37.300 multi-variable

00:02:39.360 models work,

00:02:40.820 and actually

00:02:41.680 can give you

00:02:42.280 a photograph

00:02:43.080 of the future,

00:02:44.400 I would not

00:02:45.160 trust those

00:02:46.260 experts,

00:02:47.660 if you know

00:02:48.000 what I mean.

00:02:50.000 But what was

00:02:50.820 funniest about

00:02:51.700 this is

00:02:52.560 Bray Hume

00:02:53.600 is probably

00:02:54.180 one of the most

00:02:55.940 experienced

00:02:57.240 news people.

00:02:59.280 He's seen

00:02:59.960 everything from

00:03:01.060 every angle.

00:03:02.460 One of the

00:03:03.000 sharpest

00:03:03.620 observers

00:03:04.820 of political

00:03:05.980 life especially.

00:03:06.740 and apparently

00:03:08.840 Bray Hume

00:03:09.620 thought these

00:03:10.860 models were

00:03:11.540 actually telling

00:03:12.260 you something.

00:03:13.480 To which I

00:03:14.420 think,

00:03:15.200 really?

00:03:17.280 How do you

00:03:18.220 get this far

00:03:19.000 and not know

00:03:20.660 that long-range

00:03:22.520 prediction models

00:03:23.540 are not telling

00:03:26.040 you even

00:03:26.540 slightly more

00:03:28.060 than you could

00:03:28.560 just guess?

00:03:29.280 because if

00:03:30.460 they could,

00:03:31.300 anybody who

00:03:31.840 had that

00:03:32.460 kind of

00:03:32.780 superpower

00:03:33.340 to predict

00:03:34.500 the future,

00:03:35.140 even with a

00:03:35.720 little bit of

00:03:36.220 edge over

00:03:36.740 chance,

00:03:38.060 would be a

00:03:38.560 trillionaire.

00:03:39.420 If anybody

00:03:40.160 could do it,

00:03:41.600 somebody would

00:03:42.220 do it to get

00:03:42.700 rich.

00:03:43.060 There would be

00:03:43.300 a million ways

00:03:43.920 you could exploit

00:03:44.600 that to get

00:03:45.120 rich.

00:03:45.320 Dr. Fauci,

00:03:49.340 my opinion

00:03:51.460 of Dr. Fauci

00:03:52.280 just went up

00:03:52.960 a level when

00:03:54.160 he said he

00:03:54.560 doesn't believe

00:03:55.120 the models,

00:03:56.920 the virology

00:03:59.300 models.

00:04:01.560 So that is

00:04:02.460 the correct

00:04:03.000 answer,

00:04:03.780 Dr. Fauci.

00:04:05.500 I see that

00:04:06.640 the ex-FDA

00:04:08.240 head,

00:04:08.760 Dr. Gottlieb,

00:04:10.500 is saying

00:04:10.980 that we should

00:04:11.360 go back to

00:04:11.800 work,

00:04:12.980 but ideally

00:04:14.420 we should

00:04:16.240 have

00:04:16.480 widespread

00:04:17.540 screening.

00:04:19.200 Now,

00:04:19.680 I would like

00:04:20.320 to nominate

00:04:21.000 for the

00:04:22.440 most useless

00:04:23.300 thing that

00:04:23.860 anybody can

00:04:24.420 say about

00:04:24.860 the coronavirus

00:04:25.440 is we

00:04:27.340 should have

00:04:27.780 widespread

00:04:28.300 testing.

00:04:29.640 Why don't

00:04:30.280 we have

00:04:30.620 more testing?

00:04:32.040 Hey,

00:04:32.620 I've got an

00:04:33.440 idea.

00:04:34.300 Why don't

00:04:34.740 we do

00:04:34.980 testing?

00:04:36.120 You know,

00:04:36.480 South Korea

00:04:37.140 did some

00:04:37.560 testing.

00:04:38.540 Why don't

00:04:38.940 we do

00:04:39.200 some testing?

00:04:39.980 Hey,

00:04:40.240 I've got an

00:04:40.700 idea.

00:04:41.020 Has anybody

00:04:41.360 thought of

00:04:41.820 this?

00:04:43.060 We could

00:04:43.440 do some

00:04:43.800 testing.

00:04:45.380 Have you

00:04:45.740 realized,

00:04:47.200 am I the

00:04:47.720 first one

00:04:48.140 to think

00:04:48.480 of this?

00:04:49.560 That if

00:04:49.900 we could

00:04:50.240 test people,

00:04:51.200 and we

00:04:51.480 could test

00:04:51.840 a lot

00:04:52.160 of people,

00:04:52.860 that would

00:04:53.680 really help.

00:04:54.620 We'd know

00:04:55.060 who had

00:04:55.420 it and

00:04:55.600 who didn't.

00:04:56.640 Wow.

00:04:58.220 I'm so

00:04:59.000 sick of

00:04:59.520 people going

00:05:00.200 on television

00:05:00.880 or in the

00:05:01.440 news to

00:05:02.780 tell us

00:05:03.340 that it

00:05:04.040 would really

00:05:04.420 be good

00:05:04.840 if we

00:05:05.260 could test.

00:05:06.680 If we

00:05:07.380 had the

00:05:07.940 tests,

00:05:09.060 if we

00:05:09.980 could,

00:05:10.780 I'm pretty

00:05:11.660 sure that

00:05:12.120 would have

00:05:12.340 been right

00:05:12.740 at the top

00:05:13.360 of the

00:05:13.640 list.

00:05:13.940 that our

00:05:14.920 experts would

00:05:15.580 have wanted

00:05:15.920 to do.

00:05:17.120 Please stop

00:05:18.100 saying we

00:05:18.580 should do

00:05:18.940 more testing.

00:05:20.380 There's nobody

00:05:21.080 who disagrees

00:05:21.920 with that.

00:05:22.680 We just

00:05:23.400 can't do

00:05:24.020 it.

00:05:24.860 So you

00:05:25.440 know what

00:05:25.640 would also

00:05:26.120 be good

00:05:26.500 to stop

00:05:26.920 this

00:05:27.220 pandemic?

00:05:29.580 Magic.

00:05:31.260 Why don't

00:05:31.920 we use

00:05:32.380 magic?

00:05:33.320 People,

00:05:34.400 people,

00:05:35.540 are you not

00:05:36.080 thinking it

00:05:36.580 through?

00:05:37.320 Just use

00:05:38.140 magic.

00:05:38.620 magic isn't

00:05:41.240 real?

00:05:42.500 Well,

00:05:42.940 then we'll

00:05:43.280 just test.

00:05:44.280 We'll just

00:05:44.620 do massive.

00:05:45.820 Oh,

00:05:46.480 we don't

00:05:47.120 have massive

00:05:47.700 tests.

00:05:48.480 They don't

00:05:48.800 exist.

00:05:49.600 We can't

00:05:50.040 make them

00:05:50.340 that fast.

00:05:51.840 Oh,

00:05:52.600 all right.

00:05:53.440 Well,

00:05:53.780 the good

00:05:54.000 news is

00:05:54.480 that there

00:05:54.800 are a

00:05:54.940 number of

00:05:55.600 exciting

00:05:57.260 developments

00:05:57.860 in the

00:05:58.380 world of

00:05:58.960 testing.

00:06:00.340 Now,

00:06:00.520 by the

00:06:00.780 way,

00:06:01.680 one of my

00:06:03.340 best predictions,

00:06:04.600 I believe,

00:06:05.140 based on

00:06:06.520 some

00:06:06.940 information I

00:06:08.080 had that

00:06:08.420 most people

00:06:08.840 didn't have,

00:06:09.920 is that the

00:06:10.540 world of

00:06:11.560 quickly testing

00:06:13.080 stuff had

00:06:15.360 moved way,

00:06:17.520 way into

00:06:18.220 the future,

00:06:19.560 but hadn't

00:06:20.100 quite been

00:06:20.620 productized yet.

00:06:21.920 In other

00:06:22.200 words,

00:06:22.400 there were a

00:06:22.640 lot of

00:06:22.900 startups who

00:06:24.160 already had

00:06:24.980 licensed

00:06:25.500 technology from

00:06:26.660 government labs

00:06:27.680 that would

00:06:28.680 allow you to

00:06:29.320 very quickly

00:06:30.000 check things

00:06:30.880 inexpensively and

00:06:33.400 accurately in

00:06:34.280 the field.

00:06:35.140 So I'd

00:06:36.020 seen a

00:06:36.340 number of

00:06:36.700 startups

00:06:37.060 trying to

00:06:37.620 exploit that

00:06:38.260 technology,

00:06:39.020 so I

00:06:39.360 predicted early

00:06:40.000 on that

00:06:41.380 you would

00:06:41.800 suddenly see

00:06:42.660 leaping into

00:06:43.840 existence this

00:06:46.000 technology because

00:06:46.980 now it was an

00:06:47.960 emergency, so

00:06:48.860 funding could be

00:06:50.180 had and things

00:06:51.420 would get ramped

00:06:52.040 up quickly.

00:06:52.940 And just like I

00:06:53.900 imagined, I

00:06:55.740 think you're

00:06:56.200 going to, well,

00:06:57.120 I'm pretty sure

00:06:57.900 you're going to

00:06:58.180 see some new

00:06:58.740 stuff.

00:06:59.740 Let's just say

00:07:00.680 I get to see

00:07:02.140 things before you

00:07:02.960 do, and there's

00:07:03.680 some exciting

00:07:04.180 stuff coming in

00:07:05.040 that realm.

00:07:09.740 Here's an

00:07:10.420 interesting

00:07:10.840 positive thought.

00:07:12.460 The president

00:07:13.000 said something

00:07:13.780 along these

00:07:14.460 lines, but I

00:07:15.120 want to extend

00:07:15.640 the thought.

00:07:16.560 So the

00:07:16.880 president was

00:07:17.380 making his

00:07:17.960 economic prediction

00:07:18.900 and he said

00:07:19.460 the second

00:07:22.080 quarter is

00:07:22.720 going to be

00:07:23.440 bad, the

00:07:24.100 third quarter

00:07:24.780 maybe you

00:07:25.780 could start to

00:07:26.520 think about

00:07:27.260 things getting

00:07:27.820 better.

00:07:28.660 But the

00:07:29.120 president thought

00:07:29.720 that there's

00:07:30.120 lots of pent

00:07:30.820 up demand and

00:07:32.560 that the fourth

00:07:33.160 quarter could be

00:07:34.040 record-setting.

00:07:35.420 I really, really

00:07:36.620 like the way he

00:07:37.520 puts that.

00:07:39.020 Because he's

00:07:39.720 being very, I'd

00:07:43.200 say, conservative

00:07:44.700 about what would

00:07:45.540 happen this quarter

00:07:46.540 and next.

00:07:47.120 Obviously, they're

00:07:47.720 not going to be

00:07:48.160 great.

00:07:49.000 But then he gives

00:07:49.740 us a pretty

00:07:51.020 legitimate, most

00:07:52.680 optimistic case that

00:07:54.120 at the end of this

00:07:54.720 year things would

00:07:55.340 start picking up and

00:07:56.160 maybe even set

00:07:56.800 records because of

00:07:58.240 pent-up demand.

00:07:59.680 That could happen.

00:08:00.620 I mean, it's

00:08:01.860 just as likely

00:08:02.560 that there'll

00:08:02.960 be soft demand

00:08:04.040 because people

00:08:05.400 got crushed

00:08:06.120 economically.

00:08:07.900 But you could

00:08:08.660 see the people

00:08:09.280 who didn't get

00:08:09.900 crushed just

00:08:10.880 stepping it up

00:08:11.600 and having a

00:08:12.760 little extra

00:08:13.160 spending.

00:08:13.700 I could see

00:08:14.080 that.

00:08:15.680 But here's the

00:08:16.180 part I want to

00:08:16.620 add.

00:08:17.400 And I think

00:08:17.800 that the

00:08:18.280 president referred

00:08:19.540 to this, but I'm

00:08:20.900 going to take it

00:08:21.180 a level deeper,

00:08:21.860 which is we've

00:08:23.460 never had a time

00:08:24.280 in our history

00:08:25.000 where so many

00:08:27.060 of us took a

00:08:27.740 time out and

00:08:29.520 just stopped

00:08:30.180 working and sort

00:08:32.480 of had time to

00:08:33.200 think about

00:08:33.660 things.

00:08:35.000 Now, you think

00:08:35.840 to yourself,

00:08:36.500 well, that's not

00:08:36.980 a big deal.

00:08:37.920 I mean, we

00:08:38.380 often take

00:08:40.500 vacations and we

00:08:41.840 take the weekend

00:08:42.460 off.

00:08:43.340 It's not that big

00:08:44.300 a deal that we

00:08:44.880 have time to

00:08:45.580 think about

00:08:46.220 things.

00:08:46.600 But here's

00:08:46.900 what's different.

00:08:48.380 Because of the

00:08:49.280 restrictions placed

00:08:51.000 on all of our

00:08:51.720 lives and the

00:08:52.480 economic impact,

00:08:54.380 et cetera,

00:08:55.000 almost everybody

00:08:56.820 had to rethink

00:08:58.240 from the ground

00:08:59.740 up everything

00:09:01.400 they do.

00:09:02.720 You had to

00:09:03.460 rethink how

00:09:04.280 you eat, how

00:09:05.740 do you get

00:09:06.100 food, you had

00:09:07.300 to rethink your

00:09:07.980 social life, you

00:09:09.200 had to rethink

00:09:09.760 travel, you had

00:09:11.120 to rethink

00:09:11.600 cleaning, you

00:09:12.700 had to rethink

00:09:13.240 shipping, you

00:09:14.400 had to rethink

00:09:14.920 your job and

00:09:16.000 every part of

00:09:16.540 your job, you

00:09:17.540 had to think

00:09:17.980 education, family

00:09:19.560 structure, who's

00:09:20.980 babysitting, all

00:09:22.160 of it.

00:09:23.060 All of it had to

00:09:24.080 be rethought.

00:09:25.700 Now here's my

00:09:26.640 positive spin

00:09:28.780 on this.

00:09:31.160 I think that

00:09:33.660 that process

00:09:34.680 makes people

00:09:35.620 realize there's

00:09:36.480 just a ton of

00:09:37.300 stuff that needs

00:09:38.760 to be better.

00:09:40.700 From, you know,

00:09:41.880 how many people

00:09:42.460 realized that they

00:09:43.740 could get more

00:09:44.300 work done by not

00:09:46.040 commuting?

00:09:47.300 You know, just to

00:09:47.840 pick one simple

00:09:48.540 example.

00:09:49.500 And I've got a

00:09:50.400 feeling that people

00:09:51.100 saw different ways

00:09:53.020 to do things,

00:09:53.980 they saw red

00:09:54.700 tape being cut,

00:09:56.160 they saw people

00:09:57.500 doing things

00:09:58.300 faster than they

00:09:59.240 thought, they saw

00:10:00.520 innovation, they saw

00:10:01.680 people stepping up,

00:10:03.360 and everybody had to

00:10:04.860 rethink from scratch,

00:10:06.700 how could I do this

00:10:07.680 job I had been doing,

00:10:09.440 you know, what's the

00:10:10.060 smarter way to do

00:10:10.860 this now that meets

00:10:12.320 all these different

00:10:12.960 requirements?

00:10:13.440 And I think

00:10:15.800 what's going to

00:10:16.260 happen, and

00:10:18.260 maybe we'll never

00:10:19.240 be able to measure

00:10:20.140 it, but I think

00:10:21.500 that there's going

00:10:22.180 to be a systems

00:10:24.260 innovation surge.

00:10:28.600 And when I say

00:10:29.180 systems, I mean

00:10:30.160 the system of how

00:10:31.980 do you travel to

00:10:33.060 work, the system

00:10:34.820 of how do you go

00:10:35.440 to school, the

00:10:36.100 system of, you

00:10:37.240 know, the

00:10:37.500 workplace, how do

00:10:38.340 you organize it,

00:10:38.960 and everything like

00:10:39.440 that.

00:10:39.620 So I think

00:10:40.340 people are going

00:10:40.820 to fundamentally

00:10:41.740 rethink all of our

00:10:42.840 systems, and as

00:10:44.540 you know, I'm the

00:10:45.300 biggest proponent

00:10:46.080 of making sure

00:10:47.400 you've got good

00:10:48.060 systems, and it

00:10:49.640 could be really

00:10:50.780 gigantic in terms

00:10:52.620 of its long-term

00:10:53.540 impact, simply the

00:10:55.240 fact that our

00:10:55.940 creativity was

00:10:58.400 challenged in this

00:10:59.760 concentrated way.

00:11:01.980 So it'll take a

00:11:02.980 while for those

00:11:03.660 benefits to work

00:11:04.440 their way through

00:11:04.920 the system, but I

00:11:05.580 think it could be

00:11:06.220 really big.

00:11:08.200 I was trying to

00:11:08.960 think of all the

00:11:09.420 things that will

00:11:09.840 be different after

00:11:11.980 we get back to

00:11:12.980 work.

00:11:13.780 Certainly the

00:11:14.520 work-at-home thing,

00:11:16.180 I think the

00:11:16.960 argument for

00:11:17.600 self-driving cars

00:11:18.920 just got way

00:11:20.760 stronger.

00:11:23.140 As I often say,

00:11:24.280 persuasion is not

00:11:25.220 just about how

00:11:26.020 good your argument

00:11:26.840 is, it's also

00:11:28.080 about getting

00:11:28.520 people's attention.

00:11:30.400 So the things

00:11:31.180 that people think

00:11:32.000 about the most,

00:11:33.220 they irrationally

00:11:34.060 think are the

00:11:34.580 important things

00:11:35.280 because they're

00:11:35.800 thinking about it.

00:11:37.080 So if you can

00:11:37.620 make somebody think

00:11:38.380 about something a

00:11:39.120 lot, it will

00:11:40.380 become important

00:11:41.240 to them when

00:11:41.800 it wasn't

00:11:42.160 before.

00:11:43.200 So here's my

00:11:44.540 point on that.

00:11:47.120 Because a lot

00:11:49.820 of attention

00:11:50.300 will be put on

00:11:51.300 the natural

00:11:52.040 death rate of

00:11:52.980 driving, only

00:11:54.600 because we have

00:11:55.280 this weird

00:11:55.760 experiment when

00:11:56.660 people stop

00:11:57.280 driving for a

00:11:58.000 while.

00:11:58.720 So you can

00:11:59.160 actually really

00:12:00.240 see in concrete

00:12:01.060 terms how many

00:12:02.580 people did not

00:12:03.960 die because we

00:12:05.580 weren't all in

00:12:06.340 traffic.

00:12:06.700 And I think

00:12:07.840 what that's

00:12:08.260 going to do

00:12:08.680 is it's

00:12:09.160 going to push

00:12:09.580 people toward

00:12:10.480 thinking, wait

00:12:11.660 a minute, we

00:12:13.120 saved, I'm

00:12:13.980 going to pick a

00:12:14.560 number, I don't

00:12:15.120 know what the

00:12:15.440 real number is,

00:12:16.500 people are going

00:12:17.020 to say, are you

00:12:17.580 telling me we

00:12:18.060 saved 25,000

00:12:19.880 lives by not

00:12:21.620 driving?

00:12:22.960 And that we

00:12:23.700 could bank that

00:12:24.540 savings and

00:12:25.300 always save 25,000

00:12:26.660 lives, or for the

00:12:27.980 full year, maybe

00:12:28.680 it's 50,000.

00:12:30.020 Could we save 50,000

00:12:33.080 lives a year just

00:12:34.980 by having self-driving

00:12:36.040 cars that would

00:12:36.800 almost never

00:12:37.480 crash?

00:12:38.480 I mean, if he

00:12:38.960 did it right, they

00:12:39.600 would never crash.

00:12:42.060 So I think the

00:12:42.980 self-driving cars

00:12:43.840 just went from

00:12:44.860 something you'd

00:12:46.500 like someday to,

00:12:47.920 my God, why

00:12:48.520 don't we hurry

00:12:48.980 up on this?

00:12:49.860 Because you can

00:12:50.740 save 50,000

00:12:51.560 lives a year, that's

00:12:52.660 as much as we

00:12:54.400 closed down the

00:12:55.040 entire economy

00:12:55.640 for.

00:12:58.320 I think contact

00:12:59.340 tracing is going

00:13:00.040 to be the thing.

00:13:00.700 Did you see the

00:13:01.220 story?

00:13:02.180 I guess Apple and

00:13:03.100 Google have decided

00:13:04.060 to release, I

00:13:05.780 don't know,

00:13:06.040 some standards,

00:13:07.580 technical standards

00:13:08.480 or an API or

00:13:09.460 something, but the

00:13:10.020 idea is that they're

00:13:11.500 making it possible

00:13:12.500 to build apps where

00:13:14.660 you can tell if

00:13:15.640 you've been near

00:13:16.200 somebody.

00:13:17.440 So let's say you

00:13:18.480 were diagnosed with

00:13:20.560 having coronavirus,

00:13:22.480 you could, with a

00:13:24.600 few pushes of

00:13:25.380 whatever buttons on

00:13:26.360 your app, and maybe

00:13:29.340 you don't have to

00:13:29.960 allow it, I don't

00:13:30.680 know if you have to

00:13:31.220 give permission or

00:13:32.380 the government is

00:13:33.040 just going to do

00:13:33.660 it.

00:13:34.160 At some point you

00:13:34.780 have to give

00:13:35.140 permission.

00:13:36.380 So maybe you

00:13:36.940 give permission

00:13:37.540 from the

00:13:38.680 LSATs before

00:13:39.540 you've been

00:13:39.960 diagnosed so

00:13:41.300 that your

00:13:41.820 Bluetooth is

00:13:42.440 telling you who

00:13:42.940 you're bumping

00:13:43.420 into all day

00:13:44.100 who also has

00:13:44.800 their Bluetooth

00:13:45.160 on.

00:13:46.180 So the idea

00:13:47.060 is that you

00:13:49.280 could look at

00:13:49.820 the digital

00:13:50.500 trail and send

00:13:52.140 people a text

00:13:52.840 and say, hey,

00:13:53.980 you stood within

00:13:54.840 four feet of this

00:13:55.840 person who has

00:13:56.660 coronavirus, go get

00:13:57.800 it checked, or

00:13:58.840 something like

00:13:59.400 that.

00:13:59.600 that could be

00:14:00.680 huge.

00:14:01.820 You know, if you

00:14:02.220 were going to

00:14:02.540 make a short

00:14:04.120 list of all the

00:14:04.980 things that could

00:14:05.600 get you back to

00:14:06.300 work, well, one

00:14:07.720 of them would be

00:14:08.320 widespread testing,

00:14:10.260 which we can't do

00:14:11.580 yet, but maybe in a

00:14:13.840 few weeks.

00:14:14.880 The other would be

00:14:15.700 magic, of course,

00:14:16.540 which doesn't exist.

00:14:18.640 So that would be

00:14:19.320 great.

00:14:20.140 And then we have

00:14:20.720 this new thing,

00:14:21.640 which is these apps

00:14:22.660 that will do the

00:14:23.580 Bluetooth contact

00:14:24.620 things, which

00:14:25.140 doesn't exist.

00:14:25.900 test, but one

00:14:27.740 imagines that in a

00:14:28.680 month or so,

00:14:29.680 maybe, we could

00:14:30.580 have something like

00:14:31.180 that working.

00:14:32.180 But all of those,

00:14:33.420 and maybe the

00:14:34.300 hydroxychloroquine

00:14:35.340 makes a difference.

00:14:36.760 Maybe genetic

00:14:37.400 testing will tell

00:14:38.100 something.

00:14:39.000 So we probably

00:14:39.620 have four different

00:14:41.040 ways that we

00:14:43.240 could attack the

00:14:44.520 virus, so I think

00:14:45.500 we'll get there.

00:14:48.080 I think education

00:14:49.180 online will change

00:14:50.160 completely.

00:14:51.180 I think the

00:14:51.840 biggest thing that

00:14:52.400 will change online

00:14:53.340 education is the

00:14:55.080 first time some

00:14:55.880 somebody does it

00:14:56.540 right.

00:14:58.200 In my opinion,

00:14:59.340 it's never been

00:15:00.060 done right.

00:15:00.820 Now, it's not

00:15:01.360 like I've seen

00:15:01.900 every online course,

00:15:03.660 but nothing I've

00:15:04.360 seen.

00:15:05.380 And what I mean,

00:15:07.440 and what I mean

00:15:09.140 by doing it

00:15:10.900 right, is

00:15:11.720 somebody that

00:15:12.100 takes like a

00:15:12.720 Hollywood movie

00:15:13.580 kind of a model,

00:15:14.800 and they hire

00:15:15.800 somebody who's

00:15:16.360 just good on

00:15:17.000 camera, looks

00:15:18.420 good, talks

00:15:19.020 well, somebody

00:15:20.120 to write the

00:15:20.720 script, somebody

00:15:21.560 to do the

00:15:22.120 graphics, somebody

00:15:22.920 to direct it.

00:15:24.140 So you've got

00:15:25.020 a real movie

00:15:25.880 production, but

00:15:27.140 it's just a

00:15:27.880 college course, or

00:15:29.340 a class.

00:15:30.560 And once it's

00:15:31.320 done right, and

00:15:33.940 especially you'd

00:15:34.660 also do a lot of

00:15:35.300 A-B testing, so

00:15:36.340 you might test it

00:15:37.600 out with small

00:15:38.300 crowds before you

00:15:39.300 finalized it, you

00:15:40.580 know, to make sure

00:15:41.080 that you're saying

00:15:41.760 things clearly,

00:15:42.580 et cetera.

00:15:42.780 So to basically

00:15:44.700 produce a class

00:15:46.600 the way manufacturers

00:15:50.080 produce any other

00:15:51.080 product, which is

00:15:52.480 it goes through

00:15:52.940 testing and research

00:15:54.360 and polling, you

00:15:55.840 know, you've got a

00:15:56.420 team of experts

00:15:57.560 coming together, it's

00:15:58.840 a long-term project.

00:16:00.380 Right now we just

00:16:01.220 point a camera at

00:16:02.240 somebody who knows

00:16:02.920 how to teach, and

00:16:03.640 they just teach.

00:16:05.080 But as soon as

00:16:05.960 somebody does it

00:16:06.580 right the first

00:16:07.220 time, it's going to

00:16:09.540 turn into a real

00:16:10.260 business.

00:16:10.720 And it might

00:16:11.220 be, I would

00:16:12.320 argue, all right,

00:16:13.460 here's another

00:16:14.040 prediction, I will

00:16:15.780 argue that the

00:16:16.640 biggest business of

00:16:18.080 the future will be

00:16:20.220 online training.

00:16:23.360 Yeah?

00:16:24.340 How do you like

00:16:25.040 that prediction?

00:16:25.900 I'll say it again

00:16:26.720 just so there's no

00:16:27.580 confusion.

00:16:31.840 My prediction is

00:16:32.780 that the biggest

00:16:34.660 industry in the

00:16:35.820 future, the one

00:16:37.100 with the most

00:16:37.600 dollar amount,

00:16:39.020 will be online

00:16:40.280 education.

00:16:42.460 Because the

00:16:43.220 courses are going

00:16:44.160 to be, you know,

00:16:45.060 colleges will

00:16:46.240 eventually have to

00:16:47.580 disappear because

00:16:48.720 they don't really

00:16:49.220 make sense.

00:16:50.280 You know, for the

00:16:50.920 price for what

00:16:51.560 you're getting, they

00:16:52.040 just don't make any

00:16:52.720 sense.

00:16:53.660 So I think regular

00:16:54.400 colleges will, you

00:16:55.620 know, start to fade

00:16:56.640 away, online education

00:16:58.120 will grow, and just

00:17:01.040 keep getting better.

00:17:02.260 And I think that

00:17:03.120 when people are

00:17:04.520 producing, imagine

00:17:05.780 what you would pay,

00:17:07.380 just think about

00:17:08.200 this.

00:17:09.080 Imagine what you

00:17:09.860 would pay to

00:17:11.340 have a course

00:17:12.660 that you needed,

00:17:13.580 let's say you

00:17:14.080 needed it for your

00:17:14.720 job or it was

00:17:15.480 part of a degree

00:17:16.500 program, but you

00:17:17.940 could take the

00:17:18.600 course that was as

00:17:19.500 fun as watching

00:17:20.360 the best movie

00:17:22.040 you've watched.

00:17:23.260 Like it's just

00:17:23.860 really entertaining,

00:17:24.920 but you're also

00:17:25.560 learning it at the

00:17:26.240 same time.

00:17:26.820 How much extra

00:17:27.800 would you pay for

00:17:28.500 that versus the

00:17:30.120 boring one that

00:17:30.740 makes you want to,

00:17:31.540 you know, take

00:17:32.900 your brain out with

00:17:33.700 a spoon?

00:17:34.860 Well, you would

00:17:35.260 pay a lot for

00:17:35.920 that.

00:17:37.040 You know, not

00:17:37.840 everybody, but

00:17:38.640 there would be

00:17:38.980 enough people with

00:17:39.820 money who would

00:17:41.140 pay a lot for

00:17:42.740 that training that's

00:17:44.400 a little bit

00:17:44.840 better.

00:17:45.720 And I think

00:17:46.200 eventually the

00:17:47.300 transmission of

00:17:48.360 information and

00:17:49.420 training will be

00:17:50.980 the biggest market

00:17:52.480 in the world.

00:17:53.840 That's what I

00:17:54.340 think.

00:17:57.180 Tucker Carlson

00:17:58.180 asked a question

00:17:59.340 that has had me

00:18:00.660 scratching my head

00:18:02.420 since I heard it.

00:18:03.300 And I guess I

00:18:05.480 need a fact check

00:18:06.300 on this because

00:18:07.000 there's an

00:18:08.420 assumption in this

00:18:09.240 or a fact that

00:18:10.120 I'm not sure

00:18:10.620 about.

00:18:11.420 But what Tucker

00:18:12.120 said was that

00:18:13.060 outside of Wuhan

00:18:14.560 there hasn't been

00:18:16.200 a major breakout

00:18:18.360 in China.

00:18:19.500 There hasn't been

00:18:20.060 another city in

00:18:20.960 China that got

00:18:22.600 real problems like

00:18:23.640 New York or

00:18:24.560 Wuhan.

00:18:27.020 And Tucker

00:18:27.560 says, what's

00:18:29.120 up with that?

00:18:29.860 Because we

00:18:32.400 also learned

00:18:33.060 that maybe the

00:18:34.080 virus is even

00:18:35.340 way more viral

00:18:36.340 than we

00:18:36.740 thought.

00:18:38.080 So how

00:18:39.880 could it be

00:18:40.300 way more viral

00:18:41.280 than we

00:18:41.740 thought?

00:18:42.820 Millions of

00:18:43.600 people have

00:18:44.100 left Wuhan

00:18:44.820 since the

00:18:46.320 worst part of

00:18:47.060 the pandemic.

00:18:48.580 They're traveling

00:18:49.580 all around.

00:18:50.960 It's super

00:18:51.880 viral.

00:18:53.320 And we

00:18:53.920 don't have

00:18:54.740 other major

00:18:55.920 outbreaks in

00:18:56.620 China?

00:18:56.900 how would

00:19:00.100 you even

00:19:00.640 speculate that

00:19:02.340 that's possible?

00:19:03.820 Well, let's

00:19:04.340 do that.

00:19:05.060 Let's speculate.

00:19:06.260 Number one is

00:19:07.060 that China is

00:19:07.840 lying.

00:19:08.540 Okay, that's

00:19:09.000 the obvious

00:19:09.400 one, right?

00:19:10.060 The most

00:19:10.480 obvious one is

00:19:11.240 they're lying.

00:19:12.580 But if what

00:19:14.640 happened in

00:19:15.280 Wuhan was

00:19:16.360 happening anywhere

00:19:17.160 else, how

00:19:19.060 would we not

00:19:19.760 notice?

00:19:21.420 Is it

00:19:21.840 possible that

00:19:23.520 something as

00:19:24.140 big as Wuhan

00:19:24.840 or a half of

00:19:26.140 Wuhan,

00:19:26.900 would still be

00:19:28.200 gigantic, right?

00:19:29.060 It would still

00:19:29.420 be a really

00:19:29.900 big deal.

00:19:31.460 How would we

00:19:31.980 not notice

00:19:32.720 that, even

00:19:33.380 with their

00:19:34.120 control of the

00:19:34.860 media and

00:19:35.220 everything else?

00:19:35.960 We would

00:19:36.420 know, right?

00:19:38.160 So one

00:19:39.960 possibility is

00:19:40.780 it is happening

00:19:41.540 and China is

00:19:42.460 like millions

00:19:43.240 of people are

00:19:43.860 dying and we

00:19:44.340 just don't

00:19:44.720 know.

00:19:45.680 I guess it's

00:19:46.660 possible, right?

00:19:48.560 I guess.

00:19:50.140 That's one

00:19:50.560 possibility.

00:19:52.860 Here's another

00:19:53.560 possibility.

00:19:54.160 they have a

00:19:56.920 vaccine, right?

00:20:02.240 What's the

00:20:02.880 possibility that

00:20:03.640 they have a

00:20:04.040 vaccine?

00:20:05.100 Well, here

00:20:05.960 again, you

00:20:06.800 have the same

00:20:07.280 problem as the

00:20:08.860 first example.

00:20:09.940 If they had a

00:20:10.820 vaccine, it

00:20:11.660 means they

00:20:12.040 would have

00:20:12.360 vaccinated, what,

00:20:14.900 hundreds of

00:20:15.580 millions of

00:20:16.080 people?

00:20:16.340 Do you think

00:20:17.940 there's any

00:20:18.380 chance we

00:20:18.960 wouldn't know

00:20:19.700 if hundreds

00:20:21.440 of millions

00:20:21.880 of people

00:20:22.400 were forcefully

00:20:23.320 vaccinated in

00:20:24.740 a period of

00:20:25.340 a few weeks?

00:20:26.940 Yeah, we'd

00:20:27.500 know that,

00:20:28.240 right?

00:20:28.940 Again, we

00:20:29.540 don't have

00:20:29.920 great visibility

00:20:30.720 about everything

00:20:31.520 happening in

00:20:32.060 China, but

00:20:32.920 something of

00:20:33.440 that size, we'd

00:20:35.700 know, right?

00:20:36.860 So I'm going to

00:20:37.680 rule out

00:20:38.200 vaccination and

00:20:40.520 I'm going to

00:20:40.940 rule out that

00:20:42.440 it is actually

00:20:43.240 big outbreaks

00:20:44.660 everywhere because

00:20:45.400 we would notice

00:20:46.160 those two

00:20:46.760 things.

00:20:47.240 here's another

00:20:48.840 one.

00:20:50.100 I see it in

00:20:51.120 the comments,

00:20:51.620 you're a little

00:20:51.900 bit ahead of

00:20:52.260 me.

00:20:53.020 Suppose

00:20:53.420 hydroxychloroquine

00:20:54.720 and azithromycin

00:20:56.000 and zinc work

00:20:57.600 really, really

00:20:58.280 well.

00:20:59.140 And by work

00:20:59.980 really well, I

00:21:00.760 mean well

00:21:02.120 enough that it

00:21:03.320 doesn't overwhelm

00:21:04.120 your hospitals,

00:21:04.760 even if you've

00:21:05.500 got an outbreak.

00:21:08.140 Would you

00:21:08.840 know, would you

00:21:10.560 be aware of

00:21:11.140 it, if a lot

00:21:12.320 of regular

00:21:12.800 Chinese people

00:21:13.720 were having

00:21:14.860 something that

00:21:15.520 was like a

00:21:16.000 mild cold,

00:21:17.240 but they

00:21:18.160 were taking

00:21:18.560 their meds

00:21:19.720 and it

00:21:20.580 didn't

00:21:20.760 hospitalize

00:21:21.360 them and

00:21:21.700 they got

00:21:22.060 better in a

00:21:22.500 week?

00:21:23.780 Would the

00:21:24.620 rest of the

00:21:25.040 world know

00:21:25.480 that that was

00:21:25.980 happening on

00:21:26.540 a massive

00:21:26.920 scale?

00:21:28.140 Well, here

00:21:28.640 again, we

00:21:29.520 might know

00:21:30.120 because that's

00:21:30.820 a lot of

00:21:31.420 hydroxychloroquine.

00:21:33.100 If they're

00:21:33.920 handing it out

00:21:34.500 like candy

00:21:35.360 over there to

00:21:36.460 their billion

00:21:37.600 or whatever

00:21:38.160 plus people,

00:21:40.400 wouldn't we

00:21:40.960 know that?

00:21:42.160 I think we'd

00:21:43.120 know.

00:21:43.860 But of the

00:21:44.580 three choices,

00:21:45.260 it's the

00:21:45.900 one we

00:21:46.320 would least

00:21:47.080 likely know.

00:21:48.940 Would you

00:21:49.340 agree with

00:21:49.800 that?

00:21:50.580 That if

00:21:50.960 they had a

00:21:51.300 vaccine they

00:21:51.920 had forced

00:21:52.420 hundreds of

00:21:53.100 millions of

00:21:53.520 people to

00:21:53.880 take in a

00:21:54.360 few weeks,

00:21:55.540 we'd know

00:21:55.980 that.

00:21:56.960 If millions

00:21:58.580 of people

00:21:59.020 were dying,

00:22:00.960 we'd know

00:22:01.540 that.

00:22:02.800 But if they

00:22:03.320 were giving

00:22:03.680 out massive

00:22:04.380 amounts of

00:22:05.000 hydroxychloroquine

00:22:05.960 any time

00:22:06.520 somebody showed

00:22:07.120 the first

00:22:07.520 signs of

00:22:07.980 symptoms,

00:22:09.760 would we

00:22:10.200 know that?

00:22:11.520 Because let's

00:22:12.220 say they only

00:22:12.680 gave it to

00:22:13.120 the people who

00:22:13.580 showed symptoms.

00:22:15.260 Would we

00:22:15.720 know?

00:22:17.560 Maybe not.

00:22:18.940 So if I had

00:22:19.500 to guess, I

00:22:20.040 would say that

00:22:20.460 would be the

00:22:20.860 one that's

00:22:21.640 slightly more

00:22:22.300 likely, or it

00:22:24.260 could be some

00:22:24.720 other therapeutic.

00:22:28.700 I'm hearing a lot

00:22:29.540 of people worrying

00:22:30.180 that the crackdown

00:22:32.120 and the shelter-in-place

00:22:33.860 orders and all that

00:22:34.760 are the beginning of

00:22:36.140 softening us up for

00:22:37.260 the ultimate

00:22:37.800 dictator move,

00:22:39.060 where all of our

00:22:39.780 rights and freedoms

00:22:40.600 are taken away

00:22:41.340 from us.

00:22:41.860 I'm finding

00:22:44.220 no sympathy

00:22:45.940 for that opinion.

00:22:47.920 Because first of

00:22:48.820 all, I don't

00:22:49.860 think it's

00:22:50.260 happening.

00:22:51.240 I just think

00:22:52.040 we're doing

00:22:52.420 what we need

00:22:52.940 to for the

00:22:53.500 emergency, and

00:22:54.860 when it's over

00:22:55.440 we'll get rid

00:22:56.440 of the things.

00:22:57.420 So there's

00:22:57.980 some sense

00:22:58.460 that any

00:22:58.840 kind of

00:22:59.140 surveillance

00:22:59.580 or tracking

00:23:00.280 or lack

00:23:00.760 of privacy

00:23:01.300 would just

00:23:02.360 automatically

00:23:02.840 become permanent

00:23:03.820 even after we

00:23:05.220 solved the

00:23:05.660 problem for

00:23:06.220 which they

00:23:06.560 had been

00:23:06.960 implemented.

00:23:07.680 I don't

00:23:08.680 think so.

00:23:10.200 I don't

00:23:10.460 know.

00:23:11.040 Of all the

00:23:11.740 things I'm

00:23:12.140 going to worry

00:23:12.540 about this

00:23:13.060 year, it

00:23:14.360 doesn't make

00:23:14.800 my top 100.

00:23:16.600 Now, maybe,

00:23:18.040 maybe I'm

00:23:19.000 missing something,

00:23:20.360 but to me it

00:23:21.100 looks like the

00:23:22.340 United States is

00:23:23.140 really good at

00:23:24.040 tweaking things

00:23:25.480 when they need

00:23:26.020 to and then

00:23:26.800 untweaking it

00:23:27.740 when they're

00:23:28.040 done.

00:23:29.100 I don't know.

00:23:29.740 I think that

00:23:30.420 you would have

00:23:32.200 to have a

00:23:32.620 different mindset

00:23:33.840 in your public

00:23:34.860 for that to be

00:23:36.020 a big risk.

00:23:36.800 I said this

00:23:37.940 before, but

00:23:38.420 I'll say it

00:23:38.800 again, which

00:23:39.800 is the great

00:23:41.060 asset that

00:23:41.840 Americans have

00:23:42.820 is the

00:23:44.240 American idea.

00:23:47.020 The idea of

00:23:48.040 what is right

00:23:48.960 and fair, the

00:23:50.220 brainwashing that

00:23:51.060 we all got as

00:23:52.000 kids to be

00:23:52.960 patriotic.

00:23:54.300 I say brainwashing,

00:23:55.440 but not in a

00:23:55.860 negative way,

00:23:56.880 because to have

00:23:57.600 a coherent

00:23:58.140 society, you

00:23:59.660 kind of have to

00:24:00.320 brainwash people

00:24:01.700 to be on the

00:24:02.220 same page

00:24:02.880 culturally,

00:24:03.880 religiously in

00:24:04.700 some cases,

00:24:05.760 but at least in

00:24:06.440 terms of the

00:24:07.120 constitution of

00:24:07.900 the law.

00:24:08.540 So you need

00:24:08.920 some brainwashing.

00:24:10.320 The United States

00:24:11.160 does it really

00:24:11.720 well.

00:24:13.700 It's created a

00:24:15.620 society of very

00:24:16.620 independent,

00:24:19.580 you know,

00:24:19.940 we could,

00:24:22.080 we'll resist

00:24:23.680 at the drop

00:24:24.900 of a hat.

00:24:26.040 So there's

00:24:26.700 something about

00:24:27.180 the American

00:24:27.780 mind that I

00:24:29.980 think really

00:24:30.540 makes the whole

00:24:31.140 dictatorship thing

00:24:32.500 seem ridiculous.

00:24:36.680 You would have

00:24:37.400 to see our

00:24:37.860 minds change

00:24:38.860 a whole lot

00:24:39.720 before you

00:24:41.280 would see me

00:24:41.720 getting worried.

00:24:42.400 But as long

00:24:42.720 as our minds

00:24:43.320 are good,

00:24:44.380 then what we're

00:24:44.940 doing with the

00:24:45.480 details is not

00:24:46.680 the beginning of

00:24:47.420 the dictator state.

00:24:48.300 It's just what we

00:24:49.120 need to do to

00:24:49.640 solve a problem

00:24:50.220 right now.

00:24:52.060 That's what I

00:24:52.720 say.

00:24:54.140 I asked this

00:24:54.920 question about

00:24:55.860 whether the

00:24:56.780 deaths are being

00:24:57.600 correctly characterized

00:25:00.020 and added to

00:25:01.380 the right categories

00:25:02.200 for the

00:25:03.560 coronavirus deaths

00:25:04.460 especially.

00:25:05.520 And I got two

00:25:06.400 feedbacks from

00:25:07.700 ER doctors.

00:25:10.200 All right.

00:25:10.540 So I asked,

00:25:11.860 is there an ER

00:25:12.560 doctor who can

00:25:13.320 confirm the

00:25:14.000 following belief?

00:25:15.920 So this is my

00:25:16.560 belief.

00:25:17.280 My belief,

00:25:18.280 without being an

00:25:19.240 ER doctor,

00:25:20.240 is that they

00:25:21.520 probably are

00:25:22.500 quite good at

00:25:24.120 accurately identifying

00:25:25.300 the real cause

00:25:26.200 of death.

00:25:27.640 I'll give you

00:25:28.700 my simple

00:25:29.440 examples,

00:25:30.120 which is if

00:25:30.860 somebody had

00:25:32.380 diabetes for

00:25:33.120 15 years,

00:25:34.640 and they come

00:25:35.120 in and they

00:25:37.200 die within a

00:25:37.880 day of

00:25:38.580 respiratory problems

00:25:39.800 and the

00:25:40.740 classic red

00:25:41.580 eyes of the

00:25:42.240 coronavirus patient

00:25:43.380 and has every

00:25:45.880 sign of

00:25:46.660 coronavirus,

00:25:48.300 then it

00:25:48.680 probably wasn't

00:25:49.420 the diabetes

00:25:50.120 that they've

00:25:51.180 had for 15

00:25:51.860 years.

00:25:52.300 It could be,

00:25:53.500 but it would

00:25:53.840 just be this

00:25:54.280 weird coincidence

00:25:55.000 that that was

00:25:55.660 the day you

00:25:56.140 died.

00:25:56.640 So that's

00:25:59.180 my simplified

00:25:59.780 story.

00:26:00.820 But as one

00:26:01.720 ER doctor

00:26:02.640 explained to

00:26:04.200 me, that the

00:26:05.340 doctors do

00:26:05.960 actually look at

00:26:06.840 the patient's

00:26:07.940 history, what's

00:26:09.240 happened recently,

00:26:10.700 the entire

00:26:11.560 constellation of

00:26:13.300 factors, and

00:26:14.580 then they decide

00:26:15.260 what the cause of

00:26:15.980 death is.

00:26:16.540 There's a whole

00:26:16.980 process for doing

00:26:17.820 it.

00:26:18.600 And at least

00:26:19.200 for this one

00:26:21.000 ER doctor,

00:26:21.620 it was his

00:26:23.760 opinion that

00:26:24.460 they're categorizing

00:26:27.960 is probably

00:26:28.440 95% correct.

00:26:31.260 All right, so

00:26:31.880 that's one

00:26:32.920 opinion.

00:26:33.660 That's somebody

00:26:34.180 who has signed

00:26:35.200 a lot of death

00:26:35.900 certificates.

00:26:37.360 So this is coming

00:26:38.840 from somebody who

00:26:39.820 has personally

00:26:41.200 signed hundreds of

00:26:42.280 death certificates

00:26:42.960 from the ER.

00:26:44.040 And he says, in

00:26:46.060 his opinion, that

00:26:47.860 they're probably

00:26:48.300 95% correct because

00:26:50.160 they're pretty

00:26:51.440 responsible and

00:26:52.500 there's a logic to

00:26:53.440 it and there are

00:26:55.540 ways you can tell

00:26:56.380 most of the time.

00:26:57.680 I got a second

00:26:59.320 opinion.

00:27:00.900 So the second ER

00:27:01.700 doctor had a

00:27:02.380 different take on

00:27:03.080 it and it went

00:27:03.740 like this.

00:27:04.880 He too was not

00:27:06.180 disagreeing with

00:27:08.440 the basic premise

00:27:09.700 that a doctor can

00:27:11.600 know the accurate

00:27:12.540 cause of death,

00:27:13.900 let's say 95% of

00:27:15.240 the time.

00:27:16.860 So both doctors

00:27:18.240 seem to be on

00:27:20.940 that same page

00:27:21.820 that the doctor

00:27:23.220 knows and that

00:27:25.200 it's not a problem

00:27:25.960 of the doctor

00:27:26.880 not knowing.

00:27:29.180 So just hold

00:27:30.660 that, put a pin

00:27:31.580 in it.

00:27:32.480 Two doctors who

00:27:33.620 actually do this

00:27:34.540 work are sure

00:27:36.200 that they do a

00:27:36.920 pretty good job

00:27:37.680 and I think that

00:27:38.380 they would tell me

00:27:38.920 the truth.

00:27:39.560 If they knew

00:27:40.160 they were guessing,

00:27:41.560 I think they'd

00:27:42.120 say, well,

00:27:42.760 honestly, it's

00:27:44.480 hard to tell.

00:27:45.520 We just take our

00:27:46.220 best shot.

00:27:47.260 We think we're

00:27:47.860 right most of the

00:27:48.480 time.

00:27:49.020 I think they would

00:27:49.860 have said that,

00:27:50.440 right?

00:27:51.020 Because why

00:27:51.400 wouldn't they?

00:27:51.820 It's not like

00:27:52.240 they wouldn't

00:27:53.040 have to hide that.

00:27:54.600 It's people doing

00:27:55.540 the best they can

00:27:56.280 with the information

00:27:56.860 they have.

00:27:57.820 It wouldn't be

00:27:58.320 any kind of a

00:27:59.200 bad mark on

00:28:01.540 the record or

00:28:02.040 anything.

00:28:03.020 But instead,

00:28:03.960 both of them

00:28:04.860 seem to believe

00:28:05.800 that the doctor

00:28:06.440 can actually

00:28:07.460 identify the

00:28:08.560 cause of death

00:28:09.200 and that all

00:28:10.900 the evidence

00:28:11.500 is going to be

00:28:12.320 pretty clear

00:28:12.940 95% of the

00:28:14.140 time.

00:28:15.160 But the

00:28:16.780 second ER

00:28:17.440 doctor added

00:28:18.980 this little bit

00:28:20.020 of flavor to

00:28:20.960 the discussion

00:28:21.560 and said,

00:28:23.500 yes, but there

00:28:24.040 might be tremendous

00:28:24.920 economic incentive

00:28:26.200 to cheat.

00:28:27.880 To which I said,

00:28:29.060 just paraphrasing a

00:28:30.420 longer conversation,

00:28:31.920 to which I said,

00:28:32.860 I don't believe

00:28:33.980 that a doctor

00:28:35.660 would cheat

00:28:37.520 for the benefit

00:28:38.760 of the hospital

00:28:39.680 because the doctor

00:28:41.560 has all the

00:28:42.560 incentive in the

00:28:43.240 world to just

00:28:43.880 do the job

00:28:45.820 right.

00:28:46.920 Right?

00:28:47.440 I don't think

00:28:47.900 there are a lot

00:28:48.340 of doctors who

00:28:49.140 are going into

00:28:49.660 the doctor

00:28:50.260 business to

00:28:51.480 get something

00:28:52.540 over on the

00:28:53.180 world.

00:28:54.240 I think most

00:28:55.140 doctors just

00:28:56.340 want to do

00:28:57.900 a good job

00:28:58.600 and I don't

00:28:59.540 see, and so

00:29:00.800 I said to

00:29:01.200 myself, I

00:29:01.600 can't really

00:29:02.020 see a doctor

00:29:02.920 intentionally

00:29:04.400 mischaracterizing

00:29:06.040 the cause of

00:29:06.800 death when

00:29:08.280 the doctor's

00:29:08.900 pay won't

00:29:09.500 change anyway,

00:29:11.640 but maybe the

00:29:12.500 hospital will

00:29:13.100 make more

00:29:13.460 money.

00:29:14.500 And so I

00:29:15.180 couldn't square

00:29:16.180 that.

00:29:17.280 And so here

00:29:17.680 was the

00:29:17.980 counter-argument

00:29:18.560 which I give

00:29:19.240 some weight to.

00:29:20.320 And it goes

00:29:20.740 like this, the

00:29:22.040 hospital has a

00:29:22.940 relationship with

00:29:23.700 the doctors in

00:29:25.060 which the

00:29:25.520 doctors need to

00:29:26.320 make the

00:29:26.640 hospital happy

00:29:27.400 and the

00:29:27.720 hospital has to

00:29:28.380 make the

00:29:28.640 doctors happy,

00:29:29.760 and if either

00:29:30.520 of them become

00:29:31.120 unhappy, then

00:29:31.920 they don't have

00:29:33.020 a relationship

00:29:33.580 and that's not

00:29:34.480 good.

00:29:35.780 And so the

00:29:36.200 thought was that

00:29:36.960 if the hospital

00:29:38.140 definitely wants

00:29:40.380 more coronavirus

00:29:41.560 outcomes in

00:29:43.200 terms of death

00:29:43.920 certificates, that

00:29:45.520 even though the

00:29:46.140 doctor is not

00:29:46.980 inclined to lie,

00:29:48.720 and even though

00:29:49.240 the doctor doesn't

00:29:49.980 have a

00:29:50.380 a direct

00:29:51.460 benefit, it's

00:29:53.380 really the

00:29:53.720 hospital that has

00:29:54.400 the benefit,

00:29:55.640 would the

00:29:56.180 doctor be a

00:29:57.400 team player and

00:29:59.180 maybe be a

00:30:00.740 little bit

00:30:01.120 flexible on the

00:30:02.860 ones that are

00:30:03.520 sort of on the

00:30:04.280 fence?

00:30:05.540 To which I say,

00:30:06.720 good point.

00:30:08.280 Yeah, that's a

00:30:09.500 good point.

00:30:10.100 I would imagine

00:30:10.720 that's exactly what

00:30:12.480 to expect with

00:30:13.360 human beings.

00:30:14.120 It has nothing

00:30:14.560 to do with

00:30:15.060 hospitals and

00:30:16.360 doctors, but

00:30:17.060 with human

00:30:17.560 beings, you

00:30:19.340 could expect

00:30:19.960 if somebody

00:30:20.500 has a

00:30:20.880 relationship and

00:30:21.880 money is

00:30:22.280 involved, that

00:30:23.700 if somebody

00:30:24.140 wants something,

00:30:25.820 you're kind of

00:30:26.760 going to be

00:30:27.500 sort of subtly,

00:30:29.220 if not directly

00:30:30.080 pressured to

00:30:30.920 give that thing

00:30:31.600 that your

00:30:32.620 partner wants.

00:30:33.900 But here's my

00:30:34.620 summary of this.

00:30:36.140 I don't believe

00:30:37.320 doctors in any

00:30:39.780 kind of major

00:30:40.740 way would lie

00:30:42.680 about the cause

00:30:44.620 of death, nor

00:30:46.780 do I think

00:30:47.400 that there are

00:30:48.020 many cases that

00:30:49.020 are on the

00:30:49.440 fence.

00:30:50.580 That gets down

00:30:51.320 to that 5%

00:30:52.400 that probably

00:30:53.240 could go either

00:30:53.860 way, so maybe

00:30:54.720 there's some

00:30:55.100 mistakes.

00:30:56.040 So I wouldn't

00:30:56.760 be surprised if

00:30:57.940 there's a 5%

00:30:59.280 bias because

00:31:00.260 doctors want

00:31:01.960 the hospital to

00:31:02.900 feel good about

00:31:04.680 the doctor and

00:31:05.620 everybody's playing

00:31:06.360 along and the

00:31:06.980 hospital makes

00:31:07.500 money so the

00:31:08.700 doctor still has a

00:31:09.460 place to work and

00:31:10.260 stuff like that.

00:31:10.820 But, you know,

00:31:12.420 we don't have a

00:31:12.920 way to measure

00:31:13.380 it, so it's

00:31:14.520 just my experience

00:31:16.280 of life and my

00:31:18.320 understanding of

00:31:19.140 humans is that

00:31:21.080 probably the

00:31:22.660 deaths are being

00:31:23.520 coded 90 to

00:31:25.260 90% correctly,

00:31:26.960 which is good

00:31:28.020 enough to think

00:31:29.600 there's not some

00:31:30.400 giant problem

00:31:31.020 here.

00:31:31.940 That's my

00:31:32.540 opinion.

00:31:33.180 Could be wrong.

00:31:36.580 Let's see.

00:31:37.520 I love

00:31:40.940 giving you

00:31:41.580 reminders of

00:31:43.640 things I said

00:31:44.320 years ago so

00:31:45.240 that you can see

00:31:45.980 whether or not

00:31:46.960 they came to

00:31:47.600 fruition.

00:31:49.080 One of my

00:31:50.340 favorite predictions,

00:31:53.520 and it was my

00:31:54.200 favorite because I

00:31:55.160 knew that not a

00:31:56.040 single person

00:31:56.760 believed that this

00:31:57.920 would happen,

00:31:58.920 nor did anybody

00:31:59.720 take it seriously,

00:32:01.280 and here it is.

00:32:02.560 I said in 2015

00:32:03.980 that Trump would

00:32:05.880 not just

00:32:06.740 change what we

00:32:08.080 thought of

00:32:08.440 politics, but

00:32:10.040 that he would

00:32:10.580 alter our

00:32:11.400 understanding of

00:32:12.340 reality itself.

00:32:14.620 And I said it a

00:32:15.320 number of times

00:32:15.980 publicly, and

00:32:17.460 almost nobody

00:32:19.180 ever engaged me

00:32:20.420 on that by

00:32:21.220 saying, well,

00:32:21.720 what do you

00:32:22.020 mean?

00:32:22.900 Like, what

00:32:23.240 exactly does that

00:32:24.060 mean?

00:32:24.380 And if they had,

00:32:25.040 I don't know if I

00:32:25.600 could have explained

00:32:26.420 it, but let me

00:32:27.900 give you some

00:32:28.400 examples.

00:32:30.020 So we saw,

00:32:31.380 for example,

00:32:31.940 that facts don't

00:32:33.820 matter.

00:32:35.360 I mean, that was

00:32:35.840 a gigantic

00:32:36.520 mental shift,

00:32:37.960 right?

00:32:38.760 You went from a

00:32:39.540 world in 2014-ish

00:32:41.260 in which you

00:32:42.440 thought facts

00:32:43.300 actually matter,

00:32:44.900 and that people

00:32:45.760 use them to make

00:32:46.540 decisions.

00:32:47.980 But I told you

00:32:48.980 they don't,

00:32:50.100 and that that's

00:32:50.680 not the way

00:32:51.120 people are.

00:32:52.200 People don't use

00:32:52.940 facts to make

00:32:53.520 decisions, except

00:32:54.200 for the minor

00:32:54.940 things that, you

00:32:56.200 know, are either

00:32:56.760 really obvious, or

00:32:58.040 they have no

00:32:58.520 emotional content.

00:32:59.780 But for most of

00:33:00.620 what we do, we're

00:33:01.360 emotional creatures,

00:33:02.300 and we rationalize

00:33:03.100 it after the fact.

00:33:03.720 So I think most

00:33:05.280 of you have come

00:33:06.180 around to believe

00:33:06.940 that is true, and

00:33:07.800 think about how

00:33:08.320 massive that is.

00:33:10.160 Changing your

00:33:10.840 understanding of

00:33:11.580 reality from facts

00:33:12.900 matter to they

00:33:14.340 don't matter, that's

00:33:16.100 a pretty fundamental

00:33:16.960 change, and I

00:33:18.220 think a lot of you

00:33:18.880 have gone on that

00:33:20.420 journey with me.

00:33:21.760 But here's just a

00:33:22.620 few other things

00:33:23.540 about reality that

00:33:25.660 have changed in

00:33:26.500 just the last few

00:33:27.220 years.

00:33:29.120 And it's funny when

00:33:30.040 you see them all

00:33:30.540 together.

00:33:30.840 One is, the

00:33:33.340 Russia collusion

00:33:34.140 thing, wasn't

00:33:36.340 there at least

00:33:37.120 some point in

00:33:37.980 that when you

00:33:38.880 said to yourself,

00:33:40.420 well, I don't

00:33:41.800 believe this is

00:33:42.460 actually an

00:33:43.140 organized coup

00:33:44.060 attempt to

00:33:44.800 overthrow the

00:33:45.560 elected president

00:33:47.160 of the United

00:33:47.740 States?

00:33:49.140 What do you

00:33:49.640 think now?

00:33:51.240 As of this

00:33:52.300 week, we know

00:33:53.260 that basically

00:33:53.840 the FISA

00:33:54.720 process was

00:33:55.540 completely abused.

00:33:57.280 Attorney General

00:33:57.920 Barr says

00:33:58.960 basically, well,

00:34:00.480 it could be

00:34:02.040 incompetence, but

00:34:04.040 it certainly

00:34:04.620 isn't looking

00:34:05.240 like it, and

00:34:05.940 we're looking to

00:34:07.160 see if anybody

00:34:07.640 needs to go to

00:34:08.360 jail.

00:34:09.200 So that's your

00:34:10.120 Attorney General.

00:34:11.780 So whether or

00:34:13.280 not, no matter

00:34:14.000 what we find

00:34:14.660 about, you know,

00:34:15.380 once we get to

00:34:16.840 the bottom of the

00:34:17.420 Russia collusion

00:34:18.040 thing, no matter

00:34:18.560 what we find,

00:34:19.840 wouldn't you say

00:34:20.660 that your belief

00:34:22.540 about what's

00:34:24.040 possible got

00:34:26.700 modified a little

00:34:27.540 bit?

00:34:28.700 Because I would

00:34:29.540 have said, no,

00:34:31.540 you know, if

00:34:31.960 somebody had

00:34:32.400 described this

00:34:33.240 before any of

00:34:34.160 it happened, and

00:34:35.160 said, Scott, give

00:34:36.240 me a read on

00:34:37.020 this.

00:34:37.960 Tell me if you

00:34:38.920 think this could

00:34:39.500 happen.

00:34:40.520 Deep state actors

00:34:41.480 would put together

00:34:42.760 this, you know,

00:34:43.420 BS charge about

00:34:45.200 Russia, they'd

00:34:45.980 create this whole

00:34:46.540 conspiracy, and it

00:34:47.600 would be the

00:34:48.120 grounds for

00:34:49.240 impeachment, and

00:34:49.980 they would remove

00:34:50.680 a legally elected

00:34:51.840 president with

00:34:52.920 just a bunch of

00:34:53.540 stuff they made

00:34:54.180 up.

00:34:54.420 I would have

00:34:56.000 said to you, I

00:34:57.420 don't think so.

00:34:59.440 I'm not sure

00:35:00.260 that's a thing.

00:35:01.960 And then we

00:35:02.480 watched it happen.

00:35:04.940 We watched it

00:35:05.760 happen.

00:35:06.460 Now, there's some

00:35:07.000 of you who said

00:35:07.500 we've known for

00:35:08.340 years.

00:35:09.060 I would question

00:35:10.160 what knowing

00:35:11.860 means in this

00:35:12.760 context.

00:35:13.800 There were

00:35:14.020 certainly people

00:35:15.240 who were confident

00:35:16.020 that it was

00:35:16.780 always a big

00:35:17.600 conspiracy, and

00:35:18.420 people who

00:35:18.820 thought it

00:35:19.140 wasn't.

00:35:20.260 But I don't

00:35:20.760 know if anybody

00:35:21.260 knows.

00:35:22.280 I always point

00:35:23.240 out the fact

00:35:23.700 that there are

00:35:24.140 always smart

00:35:24.740 people all

00:35:26.160 around every

00:35:26.780 topic.

00:35:27.720 So if you

00:35:28.340 ever get to

00:35:28.760 the point where

00:35:29.180 you know the

00:35:29.820 answer, some

00:35:31.300 of them will

00:35:31.680 be right.

00:35:32.840 But if you

00:35:33.440 can't tell which

00:35:33.960 ones are right

00:35:34.500 ahead of time,

00:35:35.840 I don't know

00:35:36.800 if it's anybody

00:35:37.420 knowing they're

00:35:38.700 right, or it's

00:35:40.200 just people are

00:35:40.860 on all sides, so

00:35:41.780 somebody's got to

00:35:42.460 be right.

00:35:45.320 Anyway, so we

00:35:46.060 have a different

00:35:46.440 opinion about how

00:35:48.340 slimy the people

00:35:50.180 in our government

00:35:50.920 are and can be.

00:35:52.400 We've lost all

00:35:53.540 trust in our

00:35:54.320 intelligence agencies.

00:35:56.720 I mean, I have

00:35:57.160 to admit that the

00:35:58.480 Iraq weapons of

00:35:59.520 mass destruction

00:36:00.280 and even other

00:36:01.940 notable failures

00:36:03.000 that they've had,

00:36:03.700 I think, weren't

00:36:04.940 they surprised by

00:36:05.680 the fall of the

00:36:06.280 Iron Curtain?

00:36:07.060 So there's some

00:36:07.640 famous failures of

00:36:09.800 our intelligence

00:36:10.400 agencies, but did

00:36:12.540 you think that they

00:36:13.200 might not even be

00:36:14.100 working on your

00:36:14.760 side?

00:36:16.100 Did it ever

00:36:16.880 occur to you that

00:36:18.380 our most trusted

00:36:19.740 intelligence agencies

00:36:21.360 were actually not

00:36:22.200 even on your

00:36:22.700 side?

00:36:23.140 They're not even

00:36:23.520 on your team?

00:36:24.860 But we know that

00:36:25.680 now, because

00:36:26.360 obviously there

00:36:27.220 were important

00:36:28.160 members of them

00:36:28.900 who were working

00:36:30.180 against the

00:36:30.760 interests of the

00:36:31.340 American public.

00:36:32.860 How about the

00:36:33.300 World Health

00:36:33.740 Organization?

00:36:36.600 Two weeks ago,

00:36:38.080 did you think that

00:36:38.820 was a legitimate

00:36:39.540 international organization

00:36:41.080 in which they were

00:36:42.320 working toward

00:36:42.920 world health?

00:36:44.360 I kind of did.

00:36:45.980 I kind of thought

00:36:46.900 it was an actual

00:36:47.540 organization dedicated

00:36:49.320 to World Health.

00:36:50.940 Well, I don't

00:36:51.580 know what the

00:36:52.920 World Health

00:36:53.340 Organization is,

00:36:54.360 but it's nothing

00:36:54.820 like that.

00:36:55.940 Looks like it's

00:36:56.660 some kind of

00:36:57.140 Chinese propaganda

00:36:58.020 organ.

00:36:59.420 How about, how

00:37:00.160 long ago was it

00:37:00.880 that you thought

00:37:01.220 the news was

00:37:01.840 real?

00:37:04.020 I came to this

00:37:05.240 one sooner than

00:37:05.840 you did because

00:37:06.640 I've said this

00:37:07.420 before, but because

00:37:09.060 I'm often the

00:37:09.820 subject of the

00:37:10.540 news, I have a

00:37:12.080 front row seat to

00:37:13.360 see how inaccurate

00:37:14.100 it is.

00:37:14.940 Because when

00:37:15.500 they're talking

00:37:15.880 about me, I

00:37:17.620 know if it's

00:37:18.120 inaccurate, I'll

00:37:19.080 be like, I

00:37:19.580 didn't do that.

00:37:20.320 I didn't say

00:37:20.800 that.

00:37:21.540 That's all

00:37:21.980 inaccurate.

00:37:22.740 But most of

00:37:23.440 you are just

00:37:24.700 observers.

00:37:25.380 You're just in

00:37:25.780 the audience

00:37:26.300 watching people

00:37:27.240 like me get

00:37:28.380 ripped apart by

00:37:29.080 the media and

00:37:29.640 you think, well,

00:37:30.100 it's probably

00:37:30.400 true.

00:37:31.620 They wouldn't

00:37:32.280 say it if it

00:37:32.680 wasn't a little

00:37:33.700 bit true.

00:37:34.140 It's probably

00:37:34.440 true.

00:37:35.620 But now you

00:37:37.080 all know that

00:37:38.660 the news is

00:37:39.240 made up.

00:37:40.960 Right?

00:37:43.940 Basically,

00:37:44.800 everything you

00:37:45.600 thought about the

00:37:46.520 legitimacy of the

00:37:47.740 media, that's

00:37:48.760 all gone,

00:37:49.380 isn't it?

00:37:50.380 I don't think

00:37:51.180 we think there's

00:37:51.780 any legitimacy to

00:37:52.880 the media at

00:37:53.400 this point.

00:37:55.820 Here's another

00:37:56.480 one.

00:37:57.220 This is also

00:37:58.060 really new.

00:37:59.320 This is a

00:37:59.840 fresh one.

00:38:02.420 Long-term

00:38:03.080 prediction models

00:38:03.960 don't work.

00:38:07.520 This might be

00:38:08.320 my favorite.

00:38:10.200 Because I've

00:38:11.980 spent 10 years

00:38:12.720 of my life

00:38:13.320 arguing that

00:38:14.300 whether or not

00:38:16.220 climate change

00:38:16.940 is a big

00:38:18.260 problem or

00:38:18.840 not a big

00:38:19.320 problem, the

00:38:21.240 prediction models

00:38:22.200 are not

00:38:23.540 science.

00:38:25.100 They're whatever

00:38:26.020 assumptions you

00:38:26.840 put in there.

00:38:27.580 They're not

00:38:28.020 science.

00:38:29.500 And I think

00:38:31.280 that this week

00:38:32.080 the entire

00:38:33.480 world is ready

00:38:34.400 to say, both

00:38:35.140 Democrats and

00:38:35.880 Republicans, I

00:38:37.280 think the entire

00:38:37.880 world is looking

00:38:38.660 at this and

00:38:39.100 saying, wait a

00:38:40.640 minute, where

00:38:41.680 have we seen

00:38:42.300 this before?

00:38:44.020 All the

00:38:44.740 experts were

00:38:45.500 on the same

00:38:46.060 side.

00:38:47.420 They had a

00:38:48.380 complicated

00:38:49.000 prediction model

00:38:50.420 which they

00:38:50.980 used to

00:38:51.580 convince the

00:38:52.260 politicians and

00:38:53.200 the public of

00:38:54.520 something very

00:38:55.340 expensive, but

00:38:57.440 then those

00:38:57.940 models seemed

00:38:59.040 to be not as

00:39:00.740 accurate as we

00:39:01.760 had hoped.

00:39:02.860 What's that

00:39:03.400 remind you of?

00:39:04.580 Well, I think

00:39:05.320 that one of the

00:39:06.820 big changes that's

00:39:07.740 going to come

00:39:08.080 out of this is

00:39:09.440 that it's almost

00:39:10.080 impossible to

00:39:10.960 argue for

00:39:11.420 climate change

00:39:12.160 anymore.

00:39:13.060 Because in order

00:39:13.820 to make the

00:39:14.280 argument, you're

00:39:14.920 going to say,

00:39:15.740 and, you know,

00:39:16.300 we've got to do

00:39:16.660 some climate

00:39:17.040 change, and

00:39:17.560 here's my

00:39:17.940 argument, here's

00:39:19.580 my long-term

00:39:22.660 prediction model

00:39:23.840 for 80 years.

00:39:26.260 And people are

00:39:27.060 just going to

00:39:27.460 say, put that

00:39:28.600 down, put it

00:39:30.000 down, put it

00:39:31.640 down.

00:39:32.860 And they'll

00:39:33.600 say, no, I

00:39:34.760 made a model,

00:39:35.720 you see my

00:39:37.000 graph, they'll

00:39:38.540 say, put it

00:39:39.660 down.

00:39:41.120 We're not

00:39:41.720 going to

00:39:41.900 listen to

00:39:42.300 your long-term

00:39:43.020 models anymore.

00:39:45.120 Now, even

00:39:45.520 Fauci said that

00:39:46.800 he didn't use

00:39:47.340 the models to

00:39:48.060 decide to

00:39:48.680 close down, or

00:39:50.040 to agree to

00:39:50.940 close down the

00:39:51.700 travel from

00:39:52.440 China, or to

00:39:53.820 agree to

00:39:54.700 close down the

00:39:55.680 economy.

00:39:56.720 Rather, he

00:39:57.300 said that the

00:39:58.160 striking things

00:39:59.820 were the

00:40:00.480 experience that

00:40:01.180 they observed in

00:40:01.960 China and

00:40:02.600 Italy.

00:40:03.620 So even

00:40:04.380 Fauci said,

00:40:05.340 they don't

00:40:05.680 use the

00:40:06.060 models.

00:40:07.740 Fauci said,

00:40:08.420 no, I

00:40:08.620 just looked at

00:40:09.100 what happened

00:40:09.460 in other

00:40:09.800 places, and

00:40:11.300 said that's

00:40:11.800 a problem.

00:40:12.260 Now, I

00:40:12.480 think climate

00:40:12.920 change is

00:40:14.240 similar to

00:40:14.860 that.

00:40:16.100 I wouldn't

00:40:16.860 put too

00:40:17.520 much credibility

00:40:18.240 in the

00:40:18.720 models, but

00:40:20.540 it might be

00:40:21.640 true that the

00:40:22.280 experts can

00:40:22.900 just look at

00:40:23.460 the data and

00:40:24.960 say, hey, it's

00:40:26.380 getting kind of

00:40:26.860 warm, and we

00:40:27.440 think we know

00:40:27.900 why.

00:40:29.280 Maybe we

00:40:29.820 should be

00:40:30.080 worried about

00:40:30.560 that.

00:40:31.500 But the

00:40:32.140 model part,

00:40:33.180 the models are

00:40:34.520 not going to

00:40:35.100 be accurate.

00:40:35.760 All right.

00:40:38.380 Here's another

00:40:38.980 thing I

00:40:39.360 learned.

00:40:40.680 Did you

00:40:41.180 know that

00:40:41.500 money can

00:40:42.000 just be

00:40:42.520 printed?

00:40:45.660 Did you

00:40:46.180 know that?

00:40:46.960 Now, on

00:40:47.380 some level, you

00:40:47.980 didn't know

00:40:48.360 that, right?

00:40:48.780 You knew that

00:40:49.200 we have

00:40:49.480 printing presses,

00:40:50.740 and most of

00:40:51.300 you are

00:40:51.680 educated people

00:40:53.320 watching the

00:40:53.740 news, so you

00:40:54.180 knew that the

00:40:56.100 United States

00:40:56.720 could always

00:40:57.460 just print

00:40:58.360 more dollar

00:40:58.940 bills, just

00:41:00.340 print more

00:41:00.920 money, put it

00:41:01.560 in circulation.

00:41:02.100 So you

00:41:03.000 knew that we

00:41:03.440 could do

00:41:03.720 that, but

00:41:04.260 didn't you

00:41:05.260 think it

00:41:05.580 was a bad

00:41:06.060 idea?

00:41:08.300 Didn't you

00:41:08.860 think that

00:41:09.360 you could do

00:41:10.400 it?

00:41:11.320 Physically, you

00:41:11.940 could print

00:41:12.280 more money, but

00:41:13.600 you don't want

00:41:14.080 to do that

00:41:14.720 because it

00:41:15.660 would create

00:41:16.160 inflation.

00:41:17.160 The simple

00:41:17.860 reason for

00:41:18.340 that is if

00:41:19.080 there's more

00:41:19.580 money in the

00:41:20.240 system, then

00:41:21.740 people are

00:41:22.300 willing to pay

00:41:23.120 more for their

00:41:23.800 goods and

00:41:24.260 services, and

00:41:24.940 then the people

00:41:25.420 who sell them

00:41:25.900 say, hey, I

00:41:27.280 got a lot of

00:41:27.700 demand, I

00:41:28.200 think I'll

00:41:28.460 raise my

00:41:28.900 prices.

00:41:30.080 So if you

00:41:31.620 flood the

00:41:32.440 system with

00:41:33.260 too much

00:41:33.720 cash, you

00:41:35.200 can cause

00:41:35.820 inflation, so

00:41:36.680 there's no

00:41:37.060 point in

00:41:37.380 doing it, so

00:41:38.900 there's no

00:41:39.300 way you can

00:41:39.680 just create

00:41:40.580 money out of

00:41:41.160 nothing.

00:41:42.700 Except, I

00:41:44.500 think we

00:41:44.840 just did it,

00:41:46.100 didn't we?

00:41:47.720 Because in

00:41:48.960 an environment

00:41:49.520 in which

00:41:50.120 inflation is

00:41:51.820 basically

00:41:52.340 impossible,

00:41:54.220 with the

00:41:54.700 exception of

00:41:55.280 the hoarded

00:41:56.060 goods that

00:41:56.940 are, there's

00:41:57.560 some price

00:41:57.900 gouging, for

00:41:58.880 normal goods,

00:41:59.800 nobody's going

00:42:00.300 to be able to

00:42:00.680 raise a price.

00:42:02.540 So the

00:42:03.200 United States

00:42:03.700 just printed,

00:42:05.520 I don't

00:42:05.820 know, do we

00:42:06.180 literally

00:42:06.660 print it, or

00:42:07.420 is it digital?

00:42:08.480 I'm not sure

00:42:08.880 exactly how that

00:42:09.500 works, so it's

00:42:09.880 probably a

00:42:10.240 digital process,

00:42:11.400 but we

00:42:11.760 created, I

00:42:13.120 don't know,

00:42:13.340 trillions of

00:42:13.940 dollars, and

00:42:16.080 the only downside

00:42:17.680 of creating

00:42:18.440 trillions of

00:42:19.100 dollars was

00:42:20.760 that it might

00:42:21.220 cause inflation,

00:42:22.500 which under

00:42:23.160 this special

00:42:23.840 condition, can't.

00:42:26.520 It can't,

00:42:27.200 right?

00:42:28.020 Nobody can

00:42:28.700 raise a price,

00:42:29.360 there's not

00:42:29.640 enough demand

00:42:30.200 for a while

00:42:30.860 anyway.

00:42:31.620 So I

00:42:33.400 feel like I'm

00:42:34.020 missing something

00:42:34.720 obvious,

00:42:35.860 because, you

00:42:36.680 know, I

00:42:37.020 actually have

00:42:37.400 some background

00:42:38.080 in this stuff,

00:42:38.840 and I'm

00:42:39.060 pretty confused,

00:42:40.440 but did we

00:42:41.400 find a

00:42:43.100 trillion dollars

00:42:43.860 of free

00:42:44.260 money?

00:42:45.660 Can somebody

00:42:46.740 work that

00:42:47.260 through me?

00:42:47.820 Because I

00:42:48.180 think there

00:42:48.540 are greater

00:42:49.920 implications than

00:42:50.980 the simple

00:42:51.420 ones that I'm

00:42:52.320 explaining, so

00:42:53.060 there must be

00:42:53.580 some downside

00:42:54.860 that's a little

00:42:56.580 more than I

00:42:57.160 think.

00:42:57.480 I always

00:42:58.680 say that

00:42:59.000 President Trump

00:42:59.560 is good

00:42:59.920 at finding

00:43:00.580 free money

00:43:01.180 on the

00:43:01.460 table and

00:43:01.880 picking it

00:43:02.260 up.

00:43:02.480 It's like,

00:43:02.700 hey, free

00:43:03.600 money, anybody

00:43:04.920 want this?

00:43:05.940 And when I

00:43:06.380 heard that we

00:43:06.820 were going to

00:43:07.220 fund this

00:43:08.440 stimulus, if you

00:43:10.880 want to call it

00:43:11.360 that, not by

00:43:12.740 borrowing, but

00:43:13.640 rather by

00:43:14.280 printing money,

00:43:15.600 and then I

00:43:16.080 realized that

00:43:16.800 inflation isn't

00:43:17.940 going to go up

00:43:18.520 even though we

00:43:19.020 print the

00:43:19.360 money, I

00:43:21.320 think Trump

00:43:22.060 found two

00:43:23.940 or three

00:43:24.300 trillion dollars

00:43:25.100 laying on

00:43:25.520 the table.

00:43:26.720 Am I

00:43:27.300 wrong?

00:43:28.340 I have to

00:43:29.040 be wrong,

00:43:29.520 right?

00:43:31.740 Is Joshua

00:43:33.440 Gans, if

00:43:34.040 you're watching

00:43:34.400 this, an

00:43:35.600 actual, a

00:43:36.220 real economist,

00:43:37.600 what am I

00:43:39.000 doing wrong?

00:43:40.460 I mean, did

00:43:41.960 we just create

00:43:43.060 three trillion

00:43:43.780 dollars out of

00:43:44.520 nothing because

00:43:46.500 we had this

00:43:47.220 weird opportunity

00:43:47.920 where there was

00:43:48.580 no chance of

00:43:49.240 inflation?

00:43:49.760 Did that just

00:43:50.260 happen?

00:43:51.500 I mean, I'm

00:43:52.020 actually curious.

00:43:52.820 I don't know.

00:43:53.940 But it might

00:43:54.680 have.

00:43:55.160 It might

00:43:55.420 have.

00:43:57.800 If you had to

00:43:58.700 bet on this, you

00:43:59.480 should bet that

00:44:00.080 I'm wrong about

00:44:00.740 this, by the

00:44:01.220 way.

00:44:01.900 You should bet

00:44:02.480 that there's some

00:44:03.040 big variable that

00:44:03.960 I'm not thinking

00:44:04.520 about that would

00:44:05.120 explain it all.

00:44:06.780 But otherwise, we

00:44:07.660 just created three

00:44:08.420 trillion dollars out

00:44:09.200 of nothing.

00:44:09.860 How does that

00:44:10.520 change your view

00:44:11.120 of reality?

00:44:14.260 It's messing

00:44:14.980 with mine, I'll

00:44:15.840 tell you.

00:44:16.600 My view of

00:44:17.260 reality has taken

00:44:18.140 a beating if we

00:44:19.580 just created three

00:44:20.580 trillion dollars out

00:44:21.480 of nothing.

00:44:21.860 Now, how

00:44:24.440 hard is it

00:44:24.940 going to be to

00:44:26.120 argue against

00:44:27.080 health care for

00:44:28.040 all and paying

00:44:29.580 off student

00:44:30.180 loans when we

00:44:31.480 just created

00:44:32.040 three trillion

00:44:32.660 dollars out of

00:44:33.340 air?

00:44:34.600 How are you

00:44:35.300 going to argue

00:44:35.760 against, you

00:44:37.600 know, let's say

00:44:38.160 Bernie's big

00:44:38.840 ticket stuff as

00:44:40.040 Biden is carrying

00:44:41.320 it forward.

00:44:42.160 How are you

00:44:42.580 going to argue

00:44:42.960 against it because

00:44:44.320 you don't have

00:44:44.760 enough money?

00:44:45.260 if you just

00:44:48.320 printed three

00:44:49.080 trillion dollars?

00:44:52.940 I see somebody

00:44:53.840 saying, yes, you

00:44:54.480 are wrong.

00:44:56.100 Normally, I

00:44:56.940 block people for

00:44:58.040 just saying you're

00:44:58.640 wrong without

00:44:59.700 giving a reason,

00:45:01.120 but I'll give you

00:45:02.020 a special

00:45:02.540 dispensation today

00:45:05.600 because I also

00:45:07.340 think I'm wrong,

00:45:08.080 I just don't know

00:45:08.640 why.

00:45:09.480 All right, so

00:45:09.960 maybe somebody

00:45:10.460 can fix that for

00:45:11.140 me.

00:45:11.300 So, just to

00:45:14.820 make things fun,

00:45:16.760 the anti-Trump

00:45:18.840 press has

00:45:19.480 designated an

00:45:20.660 official race

00:45:22.220 baiter.

00:45:23.740 So, it looks

00:45:24.420 like they, I

00:45:25.240 don't know if

00:45:25.640 they pick teams

00:45:26.540 or how they do

00:45:27.140 this, but

00:45:28.080 somebody who

00:45:28.840 works for PBS

00:45:29.480 named Yamiche

00:45:30.640 Elcindor apparently

00:45:33.220 gets to sit in

00:45:34.420 the White House

00:45:34.900 press secretary and

00:45:36.680 try to start

00:45:37.580 race wars.

00:45:38.240 So, she asked

00:45:41.400 all the dumb

00:45:42.300 ass questions

00:45:42.940 that make the

00:45:43.520 headlines because

00:45:44.620 you shouldn't

00:45:45.160 ask these

00:45:45.580 questions and

00:45:46.360 it's the wrong

00:45:47.960 place and it's

00:45:49.060 just not helpful.

00:45:50.760 So, she was

00:45:52.120 asking the

00:45:53.640 surgeon general

00:45:55.520 who's African

00:45:56.160 American and

00:45:56.960 he used some

00:45:58.680 language to

00:46:00.820 refer to

00:46:01.500 grandpa and

00:46:02.440 grandma and

00:46:03.160 he was using

00:46:04.220 some culturally

00:46:05.980 relevant language

00:46:07.300 and she called

00:46:08.320 him out for

00:46:08.880 it because it

00:46:09.400 sounded racist.

00:46:10.820 And then this

00:46:11.180 poor black guy

00:46:13.340 who's the

00:46:15.020 surgeon general

00:46:15.700 of the United

00:46:16.300 States has to

00:46:18.700 explain on

00:46:19.680 camera to the

00:46:21.700 designated race

00:46:23.440 war starter in

00:46:24.340 the audience,

00:46:25.440 this poor,

00:46:26.720 you know,

00:46:27.300 he's reached,

00:46:28.220 I don't know,

00:46:28.620 maybe the

00:46:29.380 pinnacle of,

00:46:31.120 you know,

00:46:31.500 at least in

00:46:32.600 terms of public

00:46:33.180 service, being the

00:46:33.980 surgeon general,

00:46:35.180 young guy.

00:46:35.860 I mean, this

00:46:37.180 is quite a

00:46:37.900 good job,

00:46:38.600 right?

00:46:39.260 And he has to

00:46:39.840 stand up there

00:46:40.420 listening to

00:46:40.960 this woman

00:46:41.380 asking him if

00:46:42.480 he's racist.

00:46:44.940 Seriously?

00:46:46.320 Now, here's my

00:46:47.160 opinion.

00:46:48.800 I think she

00:46:49.660 should be

00:46:50.300 kicked out of

00:46:51.480 the room

00:46:51.820 by the

00:46:53.160 administration.

00:46:54.980 That's not

00:46:55.620 too harsh,

00:46:56.880 is it?

00:46:57.960 Because if

00:46:59.380 somebody's coming

00:47:00.000 into the press

00:47:00.640 conference for

00:47:01.540 this emergency

00:47:02.540 crisis situation,

00:47:04.340 to ask this

00:47:06.280 dumbass question

00:47:07.260 that has no

00:47:08.460 value except

00:47:09.280 to get people

00:47:10.360 upset about

00:47:11.140 race for no

00:47:12.620 good reason

00:47:13.240 whatsoever when

00:47:14.040 we should be

00:47:14.500 doing the

00:47:14.840 opposite and

00:47:15.300 pulling together.

00:47:16.540 Under normal

00:47:17.220 conditions, you

00:47:18.700 know, a lot of

00:47:19.320 the press is

00:47:19.840 asking these

00:47:20.440 gotcha questions.

00:47:22.180 But would it

00:47:23.520 be unfair to

00:47:24.700 uninvite her and

00:47:25.760 just yank her

00:47:27.060 credentials?

00:47:28.760 I would be

00:47:29.480 okay with that,

00:47:30.160 wouldn't you?

00:47:31.400 Now, if

00:47:32.340 these were normal

00:47:33.560 times, I'd

00:47:34.180 say maybe

00:47:34.880 not, you

00:47:35.440 know, let

00:47:35.720 them ask

00:47:36.060 their questions,

00:47:37.500 et cetera.

00:47:38.300 But I think

00:47:38.840 she should be

00:47:39.320 kicked out of

00:47:39.740 the room because

00:47:41.080 she's operating

00:47:42.400 opposite of the

00:47:43.560 national interest

00:47:44.300 during an

00:47:44.780 emergency and

00:47:46.120 there's nothing

00:47:46.680 added.

00:47:47.640 You know, she

00:47:48.080 added nothing.

00:47:50.040 All right.

00:47:54.920 Yeah, he was

00:47:55.660 talking about the

00:47:56.740 language that he

00:47:57.580 uses for his

00:47:59.100 own family.

00:48:00.760 Come on.

00:48:01.460 That poor

00:48:03.340 guy.

00:48:04.120 I mean, I've

00:48:04.480 been pretty

00:48:04.860 critical of the

00:48:05.820 Surgeon General

00:48:07.400 because of the

00:48:07.920 face mask thing

00:48:08.760 and he had a

00:48:09.720 comment on that.

00:48:11.140 But even I

00:48:12.500 felt bad for him

00:48:13.380 having to go

00:48:14.500 through that.

00:48:16.500 All right.

00:48:16.860 is RT or the

00:48:23.440 Hill anti-Trump

00:48:24.660 press?

00:48:30.340 I don't know

00:48:31.060 what that

00:48:31.300 means.

00:48:34.020 And if you

00:48:34.720 notice that the

00:48:35.340 president is being

00:48:36.200 extra nice to Jim

00:48:37.400 Acosta, and he's

00:48:39.180 also being extra

00:48:40.020 nice to the

00:48:41.080 governors, even the

00:48:42.860 Democratic governors,

00:48:43.640 and the president

00:48:44.880 is also being

00:48:45.600 extra nice to Joe

00:48:46.540 Biden, at least

00:48:47.640 not the campaign

00:48:49.400 ads.

00:48:49.760 Those are pretty

00:48:50.240 vicious.

00:48:51.020 But the things

00:48:51.700 that the president

00:48:52.260 himself says, he

00:48:53.700 complimented Joe

00:48:54.560 Biden, he

00:48:55.680 complimented the

00:48:56.460 governors, and he's

00:48:59.400 even calling Jim

00:49:00.200 Acosta Jim, if you

00:49:01.520 noticed that.

00:49:02.680 And he was

00:49:03.160 actually sort of

00:49:03.720 joking with him a

00:49:04.640 little bit at one

00:49:06.320 point.

00:49:07.080 So it even looks

00:49:08.120 like the president

00:49:08.820 and Jim Acosta

00:49:09.800 have some weird

00:49:12.240 detente that I'm

00:49:13.620 sure is temporary.

00:49:15.100 But at least I

00:49:15.940 like it during the

00:49:16.760 I kind of like the

00:49:17.960 show, honestly.

00:49:20.920 You know, I think

00:49:21.840 the world would be

00:49:22.640 worse without Jim

00:49:23.700 Acosta, you know,

00:49:25.660 if we're being

00:49:26.040 honest.

00:49:27.160 The one thing I'll

00:49:28.000 give him credit

00:49:28.580 for is that he

00:49:29.980 understands the

00:49:33.840 show.

00:49:35.240 So, you know, I'm

00:49:36.540 not going to say

00:49:37.080 that Trump is a

00:49:38.900 genius because he

00:49:39.860 knows how to

00:49:40.820 operate showmanship

00:49:41.880 for his advantage,

00:49:43.180 even though it's

00:49:43.960 not typical

00:49:44.620 politicking.

00:49:45.680 He knows how to

00:49:46.440 use it.

00:49:47.320 Well, Acosta does

00:49:49.000 the same thing.

00:49:49.940 I'm not going to

00:49:51.400 compliment the

00:49:52.180 president for doing

00:49:53.020 that well and then

00:49:54.380 watch Acosta do it

00:49:55.440 well and not give

00:49:56.380 him the same

00:49:56.840 compliment, which

00:49:57.660 is Acosta knows

00:49:59.580 what his job is.

00:50:01.080 I mean, the way

00:50:01.840 he's decided to

00:50:02.740 define his role in

00:50:03.920 the world.

00:50:04.720 And he knows it's

00:50:05.820 some form of

00:50:07.840 wrestling, you know,

00:50:09.720 and he knows it's

00:50:10.640 more about the

00:50:11.280 show, and he

00:50:12.580 brings the show.

00:50:14.180 And what does the

00:50:15.140 president do?

00:50:15.900 Does the president

00:50:16.700 back away from the

00:50:18.720 show?

00:50:19.760 Never.

00:50:20.540 That's what we love

00:50:21.220 about him.

00:50:22.020 He never backs away

00:50:22.940 from the show.

00:50:23.940 So he goes into the

00:50:24.980 show, and then you've

00:50:26.440 got the president doing

00:50:27.420 his show and Acosta

00:50:28.400 doing his show, and

00:50:29.360 it's news for the

00:50:30.080 night, and I kind of

00:50:31.000 like it.

00:50:31.980 Now, you also need

00:50:32.940 real reporters and

00:50:33.900 stuff, and a lot of

00:50:35.160 the things that Acosta

00:50:36.000 says are so ridiculous

00:50:38.540 they make your head

00:50:39.200 explode.

00:50:40.320 But in the context

00:50:43.620 of the show, he's a

00:50:45.700 good character.

00:50:47.060 You know what I

00:50:47.480 mean?

00:50:47.940 If you were going to

00:50:48.620 cast this as a movie,

00:50:50.580 he'd be a great

00:50:51.300 character.

00:50:52.000 So in terms of my

00:50:52.820 enjoyment of watching

00:50:53.760 the whole movie, as

00:50:56.060 it were, I like Jim

00:50:57.700 Acosta.

00:50:58.660 He's a good addition

00:50:59.600 to the movie, if not

00:51:02.040 to your sense of

00:51:03.260 information.

00:51:04.500 All right.

00:51:06.620 I'm going to teach

00:51:07.400 you the most valuable

00:51:08.160 thing you've ever

00:51:08.760 learned, and I'd

00:51:09.320 like to save this

00:51:09.880 for the end, because

00:51:10.600 only the people who

00:51:11.880 really, really care are

00:51:13.240 here.

00:51:14.060 Are you ready?

00:51:14.740 I'm going to give you

00:51:15.420 a little life hack

00:51:17.480 that really could

00:51:19.860 change, fundamentally

00:51:21.180 change your life.

00:51:22.140 It's such a little

00:51:22.780 thing, and it can

00:51:24.180 really change things,

00:51:25.080 and it goes like

00:51:25.680 this.

00:51:26.780 I learned years ago

00:51:28.280 that touch, you

00:51:30.640 know, the act of

00:51:31.580 touching somebody or

00:51:32.620 something, is a

00:51:35.360 skill.

00:51:35.680 You think it might

00:51:38.440 not be, and you

00:51:39.460 think to yourself,

00:51:39.960 oh, I know what you

00:51:40.620 mean, like somebody

00:51:41.860 who's a trained

00:51:42.760 massage therapist

00:51:43.720 who wouldn't know

00:51:44.240 how to touch people

00:51:45.080 correctly, you know,

00:51:46.940 and maybe if you're

00:51:47.780 just randomly touching

00:51:48.700 somebody, you wouldn't

00:51:49.320 do it so well.

00:51:49.960 No, that's not what I'm

00:51:50.680 talking about.

00:51:51.660 That's part of it.

00:51:52.940 So yes, there is some

00:51:54.000 technique about

00:51:55.380 learning where to touch

00:51:56.400 people and how hard

00:51:57.700 and everything that

00:51:58.960 will make you feel

00:51:59.620 better, but that's not

00:52:00.480 what I'm talking about.

00:52:01.140 I'm talking about

00:52:03.000 intention.

00:52:05.160 If you were to have,

00:52:06.500 say, you were walking

00:52:08.500 through the underbrush,

00:52:10.520 and some of the

00:52:11.740 underbrush was rubbing

00:52:12.940 against parts of your

00:52:14.120 body, including your

00:52:16.240 naughty bits, would that

00:52:18.720 excite you?

00:52:19.860 Probably not.

00:52:21.120 Because even though

00:52:21.880 there was some sense of

00:52:23.440 something touching you

00:52:24.640 and your naughty parts,

00:52:26.740 it probably would not

00:52:27.620 even register as

00:52:28.600 anything exciting,

00:52:30.120 because there's no

00:52:31.820 intention involved.

00:52:33.140 The bush has no

00:52:34.160 intention.

00:52:36.080 Absent intention,

00:52:38.340 touch loses all of

00:52:39.720 its power.

00:52:41.280 This is the thing that

00:52:42.600 will change your life.

00:52:44.200 I learned this because

00:52:45.400 I couldn't understand

00:52:46.180 why some people can

00:52:47.140 touch you and it

00:52:48.460 feels great, you know,

00:52:50.280 let's say in the

00:52:50.780 context of dating or

00:52:51.880 whatever, and other

00:52:52.960 people can touch you

00:52:53.960 and it doesn't feel

00:52:55.420 great.

00:52:56.740 It doesn't feel like

00:52:57.660 much of anything.

00:52:58.360 And it doesn't seem

00:52:59.820 to be related to how

00:53:00.960 much you like the

00:53:01.740 person or they like

00:53:02.680 you or what they

00:53:03.460 look like or your

00:53:04.880 chemistry.

00:53:06.080 There's something that

00:53:07.360 some people have

00:53:08.800 that's actually a

00:53:10.280 skill that if they

00:53:11.740 just lay their hand

00:53:12.680 on your shoulder,

00:53:14.280 some people can make

00:53:15.380 you feel good and

00:53:17.020 some people can't.

00:53:18.880 And I figured out

00:53:19.880 what it is.

00:53:21.180 And it's intention.

00:53:22.680 You can even test it

00:53:24.120 on your animals.

00:53:24.960 And here's

00:53:27.080 specifically what I

00:53:28.580 mean.

00:53:29.200 When you're touching

00:53:29.800 somebody, whether

00:53:30.640 human or pet, you

00:53:32.240 should be thinking to

00:53:33.080 yourself, in your

00:53:34.560 mind, the internal

00:53:35.760 thought should be, how

00:53:37.120 does this feel to the

00:53:38.200 other person?

00:53:38.900 In other words, you're

00:53:39.540 putting yourself in

00:53:40.260 their head and you're

00:53:41.500 focusing completely on

00:53:42.760 the task.

00:53:43.560 If you do those two

00:53:44.700 things, you focus

00:53:46.080 completely on the task

00:53:47.320 and the other person

00:53:48.280 knows it, and you put

00:53:50.580 yourself in their head

00:53:51.480 and touch them in a

00:53:52.920 way that you would

00:53:53.560 imagine if this were

00:53:54.500 you, you would like

00:53:55.320 it, even though you

00:53:56.960 might be a little

00:53:57.560 different, you know,

00:53:58.520 you'll have to learn

00:53:59.200 what they like and

00:54:00.180 adjust as you go, but

00:54:01.840 that little bit of

00:54:02.540 intention will turn an

00:54:05.840 ordinary touch into

00:54:07.840 almost an electric

00:54:08.960 experience.

00:54:10.940 Now, you won't

00:54:11.760 believe it until you

00:54:12.700 try it, but try this

00:54:16.020 experience of touching

00:54:17.300 somebody.

00:54:17.800 Have you ever had

00:54:18.220 somebody who is, let's

00:54:19.140 say, you convince your

00:54:21.500 boyfriend, girlfriend,

00:54:22.580 spouse to scratch your

00:54:24.340 back, and they're just

00:54:26.480 going to scratch your

00:54:27.140 back?

00:54:27.440 Let's say you like

00:54:28.120 that.

00:54:28.900 We'll just, for example,

00:54:31.220 let's say you like it.

00:54:32.580 If that person is also

00:54:34.040 reading their phone and

00:54:36.500 scratching your back while

00:54:37.520 reading the phone, their

00:54:39.100 intention is gone.

00:54:40.780 It's just a mechanical

00:54:41.760 thing, and it's just like

00:54:43.360 the branch that brushes

00:54:45.040 you in the forest.

00:54:46.720 Even though it should feel

00:54:48.020 exactly the same, as soon

00:54:49.820 as the intention is gone and

00:54:51.180 the focus is gone, it

00:54:52.420 just becomes something

00:54:53.760 scratching you.

00:54:55.560 So, once you find

00:54:58.740 somebody you can actually

00:54:59.580 touch, so it might be a

00:55:00.640 while, try that.

00:55:03.600 Try complete focus, put

00:55:06.140 yourself in their mode, and

00:55:09.040 then do that.

00:55:09.860 You'll also learn the

00:55:11.540 massage therapist, the best

00:55:12.940 ones, do that.

00:55:15.500 That's the difference

00:55:16.340 between a great massage

00:55:17.520 therapist and a good one.

00:55:19.220 They might have the same

00:55:20.480 moves, but one of them is

00:55:22.460 going to be electric, and

00:55:23.740 one of them is just going

00:55:24.520 to feel like something on

00:55:25.320 your back.

00:55:28.300 All right, you see in the

00:55:29.880 comments that there are

00:55:30.620 some people who are agreeing

00:55:33.300 with it.

00:55:34.200 Nobody is disagreeing with

00:55:35.520 it.

00:55:35.780 So, most of you just are

00:55:37.140 probably hearing it for the

00:55:38.160 first time, like you never

00:55:40.220 really thought of it in those

00:55:41.260 terms.

00:55:42.320 Try it.

00:55:43.600 If there's somebody in your

00:55:45.000 house or a pet or something,

00:55:46.900 try it.

00:55:48.360 All right?

00:55:48.540 Nursing doesn't.

00:55:51.520 Okay, somebody says, I

00:55:52.700 think you're confirming in

00:55:53.940 the comments that when you

00:55:55.920 learn to be a nurse, that

00:55:57.840 that might be part of the

00:55:59.180 training for the empathy,

00:56:00.680 et cetera.

00:56:01.480 That makes sense?

00:56:04.080 All right.

00:56:07.760 And that's all I needed to

00:56:09.380 tell you.

00:56:10.760 Stop stealing my moves.

00:56:14.540 All right.

00:56:15.400 That's all for now, and I

00:56:16.540 will talk to you in the

00:56:17.820 morning.

00:56:18.120 You know when.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 11, 2020

Episode 905 Scott Adams： Swaddle in Place. Come Learn a Useful Trick With Me.

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