Episode 911 Scott Adams: Swaddle and Learn Surprising Things
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
147.3614
Summary
In this episode, Dr. Bruce Lipton talks about the devastating toll from the Ebola outbreak, and why we need to go back to work. There's no way around it, there's only one path and it involves hundreds of thousands of deaths.
Transcript
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Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for the evening swaddle. You can have a blanket or a towel, doesn't matter.
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Well, I'm swaddling with a towel today because, well, you'll find out why.
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So, we've got news coming at us so fast, it's like a fire hose into a Dixie cup.
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And I'm just the Dixie cup to grab that fire hose full of water and tell you what it all means.
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And here's what it means, in no particular order.
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So, have you noticed that people are really bad at evaluating things?
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And this situation has really brought that into stark relief, as they like to say, as you watch people do a bad job evaluating things.
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Because first they said it might be a billion or two, and then they settled on it could be a billion at the high side, but it might be 100,000 at the low side.
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And then it got revised to 60,000, and people said, the models, the models are wrong.
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Because you said, you said it was going to be at least 100,000.
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Now you're down to 60,000, and you made us do all this stuff.
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To which I say, there's something missing in the analysis.
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Which part of our plan to get back to work makes the virus go away?
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Which part of all the plans to go back to work feature the virus just not being there anymore?
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So, if the answer is none, that means that whenever we go back to work, and here's the key part.
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However, we go back to work, that 50,000 number will no longer be valid because we won't be mitigating.
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I don't believe the models have any kind of an end state contemplated.
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I believe the models don't assume that the virus ever goes away.
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The models assume that they sort of just trails off to some low number forever.
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And nor do we think that the vaccine will be like a magic thing that makes it go away.
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Unfortunately, that number's not going to be 60,000.
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Because it's pretty clear that we're going to go back to work.
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One way or another, whether it's May or June or any time after that, we're going back to work.
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Because we can test like crazy, and we can take hydroxychloroquine clean, if that works, or whatever.
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But the fact is, it'll still be with us, and still be viral, and still be killing people.
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The only plan that anybody has contemplated involves, what, 1% of the United States times 60% getting it?
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So, the actual number, if you're asking yourself, what's the actual number?
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The going back to work number is back in the hundreds of thousands.
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And that 60,000 immediately just gets thrown out the window.
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It's like, oh, now you're back to hundreds of thousands.
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So, I think people are not quite seeing this right.
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They're imagining that 60,000 is the worst case or something, so that we can get back to work.
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It's either never go back to work, or it's hundreds of thousands of deaths.
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I would predict at this point that we will accept the hundreds of thousands of deaths,
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but not until we've taken it as far as we can take it to flatten the curve.
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So, in the end, you don't have to ask what path we'll pick, because there's only one.
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And the path is, we're going to go back to work sometime in the next few weeks,
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and we're going to have hundreds of thousands of deaths.
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Now, we might be able to avoid crashing the hospitals, but I doubt it.
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I think that all this preparation we have now that we didn't need,
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we'll probably dismantle it and then, you know, wish we had it later.
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So, if anybody tells you that they're working on a plan,
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you should have a little recording in your head.
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And it's like, oh, okay, we are going to accept a few hundred thousand deaths.
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Trump was funny because he played a compilation clip
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It's a compilation clip of just all of them being wrong about the coronavirus,
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Now, here's the thing that nobody has quite figured out yet.
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And when I say it, when I say this, you're going to be mad at yourself
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I'm going to say something that as soon as you hear it,
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you're going to say, oh, that's really obvious.
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You saw the talk about Trump might want to fire Fauci.
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And this is the part that's going to make you mad.
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Fauci is apparently willing to say what he said today and he said before,
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He said every time that I and Dr. Birx recommended something to the president,
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Now, if you're the president and the top recognized expert in the world
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and the expert is saying, look, he did everything we asked him to do.
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Do you think that Trump is going to fire the guy that gives him 100% cover?
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Trump did everything I recommended and fairly quickly to.
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Now, Fauci says, but it's also not my fault, effectively,
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because he was operating on faulty information from China.
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If your top expert tells you what to do, and then you do it,
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He's the perfect person to have in that position
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if you want to get re-elected, and your name is Trump.
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He simply had bad information like everybody else.
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You know, you could say somebody should have guessed better,
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You know, at the time, nobody knew what was going on.
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because I was curious what the most capable operator
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So it's a restaurant that doesn't appear on DoorDash,
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So I thought, uh-oh, if they're not doing takeout.
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the reason that I focused on this one restaurant,
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and I can tell you he's the best restaurant owner,
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just the smartest, savviest restaurant owner in the area.
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So I thought, whatever he's doing, I've got to find out.
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So you can just call them up, put in your order,
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that he would, you know, make your meal for you,
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Now, I don't know if that'll make any difference,
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is he'll actually sell people uncooked cuts of meat.
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but, you know, you don't get in the grocery store.
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or you're trying to get something like toilet paper,
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I can't believe Andrew Yang endorsed Joe Biden.
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looks like some troll under the bridge or something.
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even though he was talking to his good friend, Bernie.
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And I don't think Biden has mastered the medium.
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Because it was just part of an unimportant sentence.
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exactly the way he was talking about it before.