What's funnier than a TV show about a bunch of lazy vampires living in a cubicle? A TV SHOW about three vampires who have been living together for 100 years and have a human friend who takes care of them. And then there's a special kind of vampire who looks like a guy from the office who just works in cubicle and makes conversation while feeding off your energy.
00:00:00.000Hey, good morning. Come on in. What a great day. Yeah, today's a great day. I feel as if sometime
00:00:20.840in the next week, maybe two weeks, there's going to be some really good news. Like really good
00:00:28.760news. I can feel it coming. Sometime in the next two weeks, oh, we'll have plenty of bad
00:00:33.980news. But I feel like there's something big coming. Maybe something medical, maybe something
00:00:41.060better. We'll see. But while we're waiting for that, we could enjoy the simultaneous sip
00:00:48.260and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen
00:00:53.160jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:01:00.260And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes
00:01:04.100everything, including the coronavirus, better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens
00:01:10.680now. Go. Yeah. So I have a entertainment recommendation for you. Now, this entertainment
00:01:28.400recommendation comes with a caveat that if I had not told you it's good, you wouldn't be able to
00:01:36.280tell by looking at the advertisements for it. All right. There's a TV show on FX. It's new.
00:01:45.240I think it's several episodes they've already got in the can. And it's called What We Do
00:01:50.520in the Shadows. What We Do in the Shadows on FX. And the setup is that it's three vampires
00:01:59.040who've been living together for 100 years in Staten Island. And they're sort of lazy vampires. And they
00:02:05.900have a human who's a, they call a familiar. And it is the funniest freaking thing that you've seen
00:02:14.820in a long time. Now, they use the technique that the show The Office used, where they act like they're
00:02:22.380in real life. But they'll occasionally turn to the camera, sort of like Modern Family did. So it's
00:02:28.380like a half documentary-ish fake documentary of people living their real life. So it's like a
00:02:35.320fake reality show, if you will. But man, is it clever. Now, I'm just going to tell you, I don't
00:02:43.000want to ruin it for you. But I'm just going to tell you one concept from the show. All right. So it's
00:02:49.680three vampires living in Staten Island. And one familiar, which is the, or maybe more familiars,
00:02:56.900they're the humans who take care of them. And then there's one who's a special kind of vampire.
00:03:02.600He's an energy vampire. And he looks like Dilbert. And he just works in a cubicle. And all he does is
00:03:10.400he goes from cubicle to cubicle. And he makes conversation. And he feeds off your energy while he
00:03:16.340drains it out of you. And here's, I'm just going to tell you this one thing that is all you need to
00:03:23.660know about how clever this is. The actual vampires who suck blood, the only thing that they're afraid
00:03:30.360of is this guy. That's it. That's all you need to know about how clever this show is. That the
00:03:37.980vampires are afraid of the guy from the cubicle who will suck their energy out of him. And in one
00:03:44.160episode, again, I don't want to give away too much. I just, I just need you to know how clever
00:03:48.060this is. The real vampires get to their, their virgins that they're going to drink their blood.
00:03:54.120They've captured some human virgins and they find their human virgins by having their familiar
00:03:59.300joined live action role-playing groups where he, where he recruits all the virgins for the vampires to,
00:04:07.900to suck their blood. Cause I guess virgin blood is extra good. I hear, I mean, that's what I hear.
00:04:16.240Uh, but in one episode, the real vampires get to the virgins, uh, too late because the, the energy,
00:04:23.240the energy vampires already sucked all their life force out. And they're like, well, no, no, no good.
00:04:29.340No nutritional value. It's, it is so good. You have to watch it. Anyway, if all you saw was the
00:04:36.400commercial for it, the commercial doesn't sell it at all. You know, usually the, the, the trailer for
00:04:44.160a movie is sometimes better than the movie itself, but, but this is very much the reverse. You would
00:04:48.700have no idea how good this is just by watching the commercials for it. All right. Uh, there is still
00:04:55.600a big mystery for me in why we're not hearing more about this Michael Moore backed documentary,
00:05:03.320planet of the humans, because it pretty much debunks, uh, the green energy, um, whole field.
00:05:14.120How is that not a gigantic story? That's the only thing we can talk about today. I mean,
00:05:19.620besides coronavirus, it would be the second biggest story, but how is that not getting more attention?
00:05:25.520Is there something going on here that I don't understand? Somebody pointed out that even Fox
00:05:32.720News is not hammering on this as much as one would expect. You would expect that they would be talking
00:05:38.660about this nonstop, but, and, and I know it's been mentioned. I'm pretty sure it's been mentioned.
00:05:45.340Um, I think it was mentioned by, on the five probably at least, but, uh, whether or not it's been
00:05:51.920mentioned, wouldn't you expect, and it's been mentioned on the website, of course, Fox News
00:05:57.560website, but shouldn't this be like the main story? I feel like there's just something missing in all
00:06:04.760of this. I don't know what it is. One thing missing was, of course, talk about nuclear power,
00:06:10.200that this of course brings up that question, but there's just something going on and I don't quite
00:06:15.520understand it yet about how we're dealing with this story. It could be that people just can't wrap
00:06:20.660their heads around it. It could be that it's so mind destabilizing to think that Michael Moore may
00:06:29.480have killed the Green New Deal because he, he did, he killed the Green New Deal. It might be that people
00:06:36.680just can't wrap their heads around it. And so we just talk about the things that are easier to talk
00:06:41.340about. I don't know, something's going on. Um, I hear that in phase one of the reopening plan
00:06:48.900that the government has put together that apparently there were some, you know, friends and lobbyists
00:06:54.560and stuff who got included in the first phase, uh, that gyms could reopen. So gyms would be in the
00:07:03.680first phase of reopening if certain requirements were met by, by states. Now this raises a question
00:07:11.080question. Cause one of, only one of two things can be true. So you decide which of these things are
00:07:17.860true. Uh, I would like to warn you that if you have children who are already awake, probably not,
00:07:25.120but they should not listen to this next part. There might be a curse word coming up. I think only one
00:07:31.600today. So if you want to get past this one, you'd probably be okay after that. But there are certain
00:07:37.800topics that can only be expressed with an obscene word and it's coming up. So there are two possibilities
00:07:45.700with the foot to explain why gyms are included in phase one. Number one, everything we've ever been
00:07:53.260told about how coronavirus spreads is wrong. Cause that would make sense, right? Because a gym is really
00:08:03.640a place where people go to breathe hard and, uh, expel water droplets in a variety of ways.
00:08:12.600So if you were to design a place that would have the maximum spread of coronavirus, you'd say, well,
00:08:20.040I don't know, let's put people in close proximity. Uh, we'll make them sweaty. You know, we'll get them
00:08:26.540nice and moist on their hands and stuff. Um, and then we'll have them exercise hard, breathing hard,
00:08:32.740and stand close together, uh, use the same circulation system, um, and make sure they touch
00:08:39.100a lot of the same things, you know, all the equipment and stuff. So that's what we'll do.
00:08:43.480We'll build a system that maximizes the spread. Wouldn't it look like a gym? So here's my swear word
00:08:53.440coming up. There are only two possibilities for explaining why gyms are in phase one. Number one,
00:09:01.500everything we've been told about the coronavirus is a lie. That's one possibility. Or number two,
00:09:08.900we have achieved new levels of dumb fuckery. Because if there's anything dumber than fucking
00:09:14.700opening a gym during a pandemic, I haven't heard it. Can you top it? Can you top that for dumb fuckery?
00:09:22.600Or, or everything we've been told is just a lie that it doesn't, doesn't travel through the air.
00:09:29.960Doesn't, you can't pick it up by touching things that infected people have, have touched. I mean, maybe.
00:09:38.720Uh, why is somebody delivering something right now? Huh. Okay. Um, so, creepy old guys stay home.
00:09:49.200Okay. Uh, I'm reading a comment. I don't know what that was related to.
00:09:55.920Now, uh, I am a, a avid gym goer for over 30 years. I've been going to the same gym.
00:10:04.100I love the gym. And mine was like a full health club. So it wasn't just gym equipment. There's
00:10:12.140snack bars and, you know, babysitters and classes and stuff. So there, I don't think there's anybody
00:10:20.580in the country who wants gyms to open more than I do, because it's really the only other place I go.
00:10:26.500Well, you know, 50% of all of my outside the home exposure is my gym. So nobody wants those gyms
00:10:36.340open more than I do. I mean, I really want the gym open, but I don't understand what's happening.
00:10:45.840You know, my, my love of gyms is not independent from my love of understanding what's going on.
00:10:53.040Either. This is the worst idea in the world to have them in phase one or everything we've been
00:10:59.840told is a lie. Pick one. Um, that said, if, uh, you know, I also believe in freedom and I also think
00:11:11.460we've probably reached the point where the country is willing to take the hundreds of thousands of
00:11:17.760deaths in order to get open. And why don't I just say it out loud? Cause I feel, I feel like people
00:11:26.180are just hesitant to say it because we don't want to be bad people. So let me say it out loud.
00:11:35.520And, um, and I'll, I'll start it by, by, uh, a special, a special message for the dumb people.
00:11:42.360So for the dumb people who are listening to this next part, uh, I would be sad if somebody I knew
00:11:50.540died of the coronavirus, just so you know that, because otherwise you're going to ask that question
00:11:57.200as soon as I say the next thing. The next thing is, I don't see any possibility
00:12:03.460that there's any way to get to the other end of this without killing a few hundred thousand
00:12:09.320Americans, just Americans. Forget about how many people would die in the rest of the world,
00:12:14.020but just Americans. I don't see any way to get there. Everything that I see has pretty big drawbacks,
00:12:21.760won't work, et cetera. So, um, I'm okay with opening the gyms as long as we're honest about it.
00:12:30.780If we're honest about it, opening the gyms sort of is the opposite of our strategy of
00:12:36.820social distancing, right? And if we're going to, if we're going to open the gyms, just say,
00:12:42.300fuck it. I'm sorry. If we're going to open the gyms, just open everything with the exception of
00:12:49.480maybe, you know, large sporting events or, you know, maybe, you know, clubs and bars might be
00:12:54.760special, but if you're going to open the gyms, certainly open the restaurants, certainly open
00:13:01.340business, certainly open everything else. And let's just, let's just take the, take the price
00:13:09.580and a couple hundred thousand people are going to die. I don't see a way around that. And if there's
00:13:18.680no way around it, it is not an adult decision to put it off. If you can't get around it and,
00:13:26.280and delaying doesn't seem to be kicking up any kind of a solution so far, there's a whole bunch
00:13:31.760of cool things that are on the horizon, but they're still on the horizon. I don't see them
00:13:37.260running to the rescue. So every day there's a new story of a vaccine that's done earlier than we
00:13:45.100thought and they're testing it and the thing they try that worked or didn't work. But, uh,
00:13:51.920we don't have anything that looks like a solution. We have nothing in the, correct me if I'm wrong.
00:13:58.020I don't believe we have anything in the pipeline that reasonably would allow us to open up the
00:14:04.040economy and also avoid a few hundred thousand deaths, right? I don't see anything that would
00:14:11.140do that because even if we're really good at testing, it just means we know who got it. I mean,
00:14:16.380it's not really going to stop it from ripping through the population. So let's be honest about
00:14:22.740it. It's going to be a hundred, a few hundred thousand Americans are going to die. And for
00:14:27.160the dumb people watching this, yes, I would be sad if it were a family member. Yeah. In case you're
00:14:34.140wondering about that. Yeah. I would be sad if a family member died. You hypothetical dumb people.
00:14:40.420All right. There's a story about, uh, Dr. Rick Bright. And because the, the simulation loves us
00:14:48.220and wants to entertain us, this doctor's last name is Bright. His first name is Rick, which is of
00:14:56.040course short for Richard. What's the other nickname that people named Richard have? Sometimes they're
00:15:03.780called a Rick. Sometimes they're called a rich, sometimes Richard, sometimes Dick. So Dick Bright,
00:15:16.620um, he, uh, he issued a statement saying that talking about how he was removed from his position
00:15:22.900as director of the biomedical advanced research and development authority and the HHS deputy assistant.
00:15:30.180Okay. It's all too boring. What his job title was, but he says that he was removed because he kept
00:15:36.160saying that hydroxychloroquine should not be promoted because it was not, uh, had not gone through the
00:15:44.180proper testing for effectiveness more than safety, I would think. And he was, uh, demoted or basically
00:15:52.820moved to another part of the government where he would be less trouble. And this story was
00:15:59.860presented as though he was sort of a whistleblower. They didn't use that word, but it was presented
00:16:06.640that way. He's sort of a, a brave whistleblower who's complaining about how his expert advice was
00:16:13.760not being taken seriously and he was demoted for it. But I read his story. I mean, I only read his side
00:16:21.460of the story without even seeing the other side of the story, which is even worse, uh, just reading
00:16:29.660his side of the story. I concluded I would have fired him. I mean, I wouldn't even, I don't even
00:16:35.280know if I would have reassigned him. I think I would have just fired him because everything about this
00:16:40.360guy looked like he was quite a, quite a Richard, if you know what I mean. And he looked like he would
00:16:45.700be impossible to work with. And he seemed to think that it was his decision about risk management,
00:16:52.520where I remind the world that risk management is the boss's job. Risk management is not the expert's
00:17:01.300job. The expert is to inform the boss of the risks. If you do this or that, their information,
00:17:09.920they are not in the risk management business directly. It's the boss. The boss in this case
00:17:16.700being Trump. And if Trump decided that everything he'd seen made a good risk management decision to,
00:17:24.820let's say, promote the hydroxychloroquine, presumably in combination with azithromycin and zinc,
00:17:31.520because that's when, at least anecdotally, that's when it seems like it works. If the president made a
00:17:38.520risk management decision, it's his to make. It might be right. It might be wrong. But it's only
00:17:49.260the president's to make after he has gotten input. And you have to fire people who don't understand
00:17:55.760that. Certainly, if you were in the military, you would be demoted or fired or reassigned right away.
00:18:02.700If you told your boss your opinion, and you fully expressed it, and you know he heard it,
00:18:11.120and then he makes a decision that's not the way you would have gone, so that's how it works.
00:18:19.420The president is including other considerations, which maybe Mr. Richard Bright, Dr. Richard Bright,
00:18:26.100did not have as his priorities. All right. I'm loving the story about the president
00:18:33.060tweeting his orders. I don't even know if he told the military or he just tweeted it.
00:18:38.840I assume he told the military too, but he could have just tweeted it, that the military has
00:18:45.340permission basically to blow up the Iranian gunboats that are hassling them.
00:18:49.980Now, I'm so interested to know how this plays out. Number one, does that really mean that our
00:18:59.340U.S. Navy is going to just blow up those ships if they get near? Probably not, right? Because if
00:19:06.460you're the captain of the ship, you're probably going to be pretty flexible, and you're not going
00:19:11.720to blow up an Iranian boat because it's killing people. I mean, you don't kill people just to make
00:19:17.400a point. You need a better reason. So will the Iranians just sort of back up a little bit and
00:19:24.440say, we're not touching you, we're not touching you, we're just in the area, and try to game the
00:19:30.820system and find out where the limit is? Or will they just say, I think we better stop doing this?
00:19:38.560Because they haven't blasted one yet, right? Somebody says, Trump is a con man. All right,
00:19:47.180I'm going to block you for coming into here and saying Trump is a con man. It's not because I
00:19:53.380disagree with you, or because I agree with you. Completely irrelevant. It's just that you didn't
00:19:59.780pass the Turing test. So to be a guest and to comment here, you have to at least pass the test
00:20:07.600that it doesn't look like a laundry list of common phrases have been messaged out in order.
00:20:15.320It should show some kind of human thought, possibly connected to the topic. But if you just say,
00:20:22.960orange man bad, you haven't passed the Turing test. Because I could write a program pretty easily.
00:20:32.000I could use the basic language, you know, print quotes, orange man bad. So a computer can do what
00:20:41.460you're doing. It can say, Trump is a con man. But why would I do it? What would be the point of it?
00:20:51.460So you will be sent into the, oh, I lost you. Damn it. This is, this interface lost you. But anyway,
00:21:04.620if I see you again, I will block you for that. You have to show some signs of being a human being.
00:21:11.460That's like a minimum. If I don't, if I can't even tell if you're human by your comment,
00:21:16.180maybe I would like less exposure to you. Nancy Pelosi was speculating on a public interview that
00:21:27.200Putin must have some blackmail material on Trump, because it's the only thing that explains it.
00:21:33.660Now, shouldn't she be removed from office for that? I would say that if the Speaker of the House
00:21:40.660speculates publicly, speculates publicly without any evidence, no evidence, and she doesn't even
00:21:45.700claim she has any, that the President of the United States is actually being controlled by a foreign
00:21:52.100government. Shouldn't you be removed from office immediately for speculating that? Now, if she had
00:21:58.600evidence, if she had evidence, of course we want to, we want to know. Like if Nancy Pelosi had some
00:22:06.440evidence that Trump was being blackmailed by Putin, yeah, we want to know. But if she doesn't have
00:22:14.700evidence, she should be immediately removed from office for saying something so insanely dangerous
00:22:23.680during a crisis. Immediately, she, is there, what is the process for that? Is there, is there some
00:22:32.180process for removing a Speaker of the House from office? But that should be started. All right.
00:22:41.760So Fox News is reporting that in 2012, it was first reported in 2012, so this is a story that's sort of
00:22:50.980been around for a while, that Joe Biden was Osama bin Laden's preference for President.
00:23:02.180So apparently the reporting is that we have some intelligence that bin Laden was trying to get
00:23:07.960somebody else in al-Qaeda to assassinate President Obama when he was flying over to the Middle East,
00:23:15.580I guess, and also Petraeus, and that bin Laden, his reasoning was that he really wanted Biden to
00:23:23.600become the President because Biden is, quote, totally unprepared for that post, which will lead the U.S.
00:23:30.600into a crisis. So I don't know if any of this is real. Do you? Somebody says Bitcoin is surging. Really?
00:23:43.020Let's see what Bitcoin's doing. It's so, it's surging so much. Oh, it's surging 6%. Okay.
00:23:52.600All right. So I have to tell you, I made an investment decision several months ago based
00:24:06.600on an 11-year-old. So an 11-year-old was telling me about Snapchat. And when I saw the new feature
00:24:14.960that they'd added, Snap Maps, where you can see all your friends and chat with them and stuff.
00:24:19.560And then you listen to an 11-year-old and they'll tell you it's the only app they use. I mean,
00:24:24.180they use TikTok and stuff, but for communicating, it's basically Snapchat. So I bought a stock in
00:24:30.660Snapchat and they went up 32% yesterday. So they're doing something right. So I got lucky on that one.
00:24:37.300I don't tell you the ones where... If I only tell you a stock that did well, don't assume that's my
00:24:44.280only stock I bought. Because, you know, buying individual stocks is a fool's game. And you
00:24:51.160should only do it for, I don't know, entertainment or if you have some special knowledge about a
00:24:55.540company. But generally, it's a bad idea. I just got lucky on that one. Because I took advice from
00:25:00.880an 11-year-old. Literally. I literally took that advice from an 11-year-old.
00:25:04.920So the story about Obama wanting Biden to be president, who knows how true that is, but it's
00:25:14.100a funny story. So I woke up in sort of a competitive mode this morning. Because, you know, we're all
00:25:23.140having this Groundhog Day feeling. It feels like every day you wake up and it's just more stories
00:25:29.980about this or that therapeutic works or doesn't work. This or that state is doing better or this
00:25:37.140or that. Comparing something that shouldn't be compared. And so it's making me a little crazy
00:25:42.820about how bad we are as a society in making decisions. And the decisions that we make most
00:25:53.600of the time are not going to end civilization if you get them wrong. Most of the time. But the
00:25:59.820decisions we make this year with the coronavirus could actually, you know, end civilization on Earth,
00:26:07.680I suppose, if you did the worst case scenario. So we got really, really big stakes. And if we don't
00:26:14.700think about them correctly, we're in trouble. And it's almost to the point where I'm not even sure
00:26:20.800you can call this a virus crisis anymore. It sort of started as a virus. That's the part of the
00:26:27.280physical world that is the trigger for it all. And of course, the virus is killing people. So
00:26:32.340that matters a lot. But it feels like the problem has morphed into a thinking problem and a decision
00:26:40.940making problem. Because if we made the right decisions, the problem we would have would be much
00:26:48.440less than if we make the wrong decisions. And so let me make this case. Would you say that
00:26:56.500getting hit by a car is your biggest problem today? Like as a pedestrian? Would you say that's your
00:27:05.060biggest problem? And the answer is no. No, you wouldn't say that's a big problem. And the reason
00:27:10.180is because you know not to make the decision to walk in front of a car. So if your decision making
00:27:17.880is good, I think I will not walk in front of a speeding car, then you don't have to worry about
00:27:23.240the physical part. Because the physical part didn't change. It's still a car still speeding
00:27:28.200down the road. But you made the proper decision. I think I will not walk in front of that car.
00:27:34.120And so it is with the coronavirus. Except that the right decision is a little less obvious
00:27:41.140than walking in front of a car. There is a right play. We just don't know what it is. And if we're
00:27:48.180not good at thinking, we're not going to find it. So it feels to me like that the coronavirus is a
00:27:56.420little bit like the speeding car in a terrible analogy way. I know there are lots of differences,
00:28:01.500right? But the point is, if you think about either one of them, right, you get a much better result
00:28:06.520than if you think about it wrong. And when I wrote my book, Loser Think, which was tips on how to think
00:28:13.540better on the internet, basically, I didn't realize how timely it would be. Because loser think could
00:28:21.780actually destroy civilization. And a lot of it has to do with making bad comparisons. And let me tell you
00:28:29.300a few of them that are happening today. So there's a writer named Alex Berenson, who's getting a lot of
00:28:37.260attention because he's being somewhat of a contrarian about the press about coronavirus. And his position
00:28:46.520seems to be that it's an overstated problem. And that maybe hysteria is the bigger problem than the
00:28:54.460virus. Maybe we should go back to work. That sort of vibe. So he's on the on the maybe it's overstated to get
00:29:01.680back to work side of things. But the real problem is not the virus in his case, the real problem is how he
00:29:08.760thinks about it. And then people who don't know the difference think he's thinking about it, right. And so they
00:29:16.360agree with him. Here's what he said today, after I had tweeted, tongue in cheek, that it would be another day of
00:29:24.280comparing the wrong things. And he tweets a New York Times story. And he says they'd be more credible if
00:29:30.980they mentioned that only New York City and maybe New Orleans and Detroit have had serious problems.
00:29:38.220Now his point is that the New York Times should carve out, and I would agree with this point,
00:29:44.740that whatever's happening in New York City and the other hotspots is entirely different from what's
00:29:49.760happening in the rest of the country. And then I say, so? So? What do you do with that? Now, I think what
00:29:59.920Alex Berenson is suggesting we would do, and I hope that I'm getting this right, is that he would suggest
00:30:06.820that the places that are not like those hotspots are probably ripe to be reopened soonish, because
00:30:14.680there's something different about them. Well, one of the things that's different about them is that
00:30:21.100they're earlier in the cycle. So he's making the mistake of comparing what they are now with what
00:30:29.880they would be if you stopped mitigating, as if those would be similar. The entire point of it is that if
00:30:37.660you opened up now, you would have an outbreak of massive infections, and it would become more like
00:30:44.420New York City. So if he's comparing New York City in the middle of a big, you know, what might be their
00:30:51.260peak, to Nebraska that hasn't started getting it yet, that's just a bad comparison problem, right?
00:30:59.820So it's not about the virus, it's about how you think about it. So the thinking is broken. Let me give you
00:31:05.120some other examples. You'll see in the news today, as you've seen yesterday and last week,
00:31:13.160that people will tell you that there's a study about hydroxychloroquine that shows that it doesn't
00:31:17.220work. But of course, when you drill down, you'll find out that it's the wrong comparison, because they
00:31:24.240gave the hydroxychloroquine without the azithromycin and zinc, the zinc being the secret ingredient that
00:31:31.240that you need in there. So they would they would test it without that. And they would give it to
00:31:37.320people who are already ready for a ventilator, when basically, it's too late. So all of the studies
00:31:45.260are going to be comparing the wrong thing to the wrong thing. They always have, it looks like they
00:31:50.580always will be. It looks like all of our news will be the wrong things being compared. How about
00:31:57.160comparing the United States to Sweden, and then making a decision based on Sweden doing it
00:32:04.040differently? And they seem like they're not going down the tube. So why don't we do that?
00:32:08.900Well, how about because the United States and Sweden have too many differences? And how about
00:32:13.400we don't really even know how many people are infected? We don't know if the testing is just as
00:32:19.220good. We don't know if Sweden will have a good result in the long run. We don't know anything about
00:32:24.840Sweden. Except that it's so different. Of course, we expect that they would be having a different
00:32:29.840experience. But what does that tell us about us? Did you go to your summer cabin? What? You didn't go
00:32:38.720to your summer cabin? Well, if you'd lived in Sweden, about half of them have a summer cabin. So is it
00:32:46.180easier to socially isolate when half of your public has a summer cabin? And also apparently half of the
00:32:54.180public, I'm not sure if this is true, but I read it, half of the public in Sweden is living alone.
00:32:59.860And they don't have the same kind of density we have. So you'll see more of those comparisons.
00:33:09.100How about everybody saying that if we have some temporary tracking of people,
00:33:16.920and some temporary restrictions about going to parks and stuff, that we're clearly slipping into
00:33:23.600Nazi Germany? You're going to hear a lot of that today. To which I say, you know, coughing into your
00:33:30.440elbow is obviously a slippery slope to the Holocaust. Right? Because coughing into your elbow is just
00:33:39.100giving in to the fascist demands of your overlords. Because you want to cough in the air, you just want to
00:33:45.940go, you don't want to be told, you got to cough into your elbow. Because if you start giving in on
00:33:54.580the little stuff, and it's like, okay, I'll cough in my elbow, that's not a big deal. The next thing you
00:34:00.500know, they're going to be tracking you. And then after that, they round you up and they murder you.
00:34:05.400It's obvious. Boop, boop, boop, ABC. So if you're coughing in your elbow, that's, you're only two
00:34:13.720jumps away from Nazi Germany. You're going to hear a lot of that today. And yes, I'm kidding if anybody's
00:34:19.580coming in here late. Now let's also compare Trump's diplomatic public statements about President Xi
00:34:29.440Xi to how you and your friends would talk about President Xi in private. Because if you were in
00:34:35.980private, and it was just you and your friend, you'd probably say something like, well, that Chinese
00:34:42.200government is a murderous regime. And President Xi is a terrible dictator. And he's taken the organs
00:34:48.460from dissidents. And he's rounded up Uyghurs and put them in prison camps. And he's killing Americans
00:34:53.920with fentanyl. That's what you'd say to your friend. Yeah, you'd say that quite honestly to
00:35:00.820your friend privately. But if you're the President of the United States, and you're trying to avoid
00:35:08.040economic meltdown, you're trying to avoid a nuclear confrontation, how might you talk about the person
00:35:16.560that you need to negotiate with? Might you be polite? Yes, you might. Might you be respectful,
00:35:23.080even if you don't feel it on the inside? Yes, you might. So let us not compare how the President
00:35:30.300treats Putin in public, or President Xi in public, or Kim Jong-un in public. Let us not compare that
00:35:39.340to how you would talk privately to your friend about these same topics. Bad comparison.
00:35:46.060Are hospitals anywhere overwhelmed? Okay, so that's an example of loser think. I won't call you out. But
00:35:58.720whoever said, are hospitals overwhelmed? You know what's wrong with that, right? You know, you're
00:36:06.600comparing places that are experiencing, you know, the peak with places that are predicted
00:36:13.840predicted that they would have a peak if we had not already done mitigation. So when you say to
00:36:21.820yourself, here's a little, oh God, I don't want to insult my audience, but I kind of have to.
00:36:30.840Because there's so many of you have the same feeling. I'm going to insult you for utility. Okay?
00:36:38.380I wouldn't do it just to be mean. And I wouldn't do it just because I'm in a bad mood. I'm going to
00:36:43.900insult you, some of you, not all of you. I'm going to insult some of you, so it'll hurt a little bit
00:36:50.420more when you say things that don't make sense. I'm going to add a little pain to it. If you've ever
00:36:57.360said in the last week, hey, hospitals and parts of the country are not busy, you're being fucking
00:37:06.820stupid. Okay? Because you're comparing a full mitigation scenario where, honestly, we can't
00:37:15.760predict exactly the week that something would be overloaded. We just know there was a risk,
00:37:21.100and so people over-prepared. If you don't understand that being over-prepared doesn't
00:37:28.180mean you did it wrong. Do you not understand that? That being over-prepared probably means
00:37:34.980you erred in the correct direction because we didn't have the option of hitting the nail on the
00:37:40.780head from a thousand yards away with a BB. If we could hit the nail on the head from a thousand
00:37:49.200yards away with a BB, every one of our hospitals would have just the right amount of capacity,
00:37:55.680just right. They'd be operating 75% capacity, 25% left over just in case. Man, those hospitals would
00:38:04.800be nailing it if you could shoot a BB a thousand yards and hit the top of a nail. If you could do
00:38:14.040that, then it would make sense to wonder why the hospitals are so empty. But if you're wondering
00:38:21.720why the hospitals are empty and you think that that means that the flu is not so bad, the virus is not
00:38:26.720so bad, that's fucking stupid. It's fucking stupid. Don't ever say that in public if you don't want half
00:38:36.380of the people who hear it to think, oh my God, why is he comparing the hospitals who couldn't possibly
00:38:43.840know what was going to happen? Why is he angry that they over-prepared? Now, wouldn't it be better
00:38:51.860if they prepared exactly the right amount? Yeah, it would. It would be better. How could they know that?
00:39:00.120How could they possibly know that? They couldn't. So they over-prepared. Should they maybe look to
00:39:09.800correct a little bit? Oh, I would think so. I think some are. I think some of the hospitals are saying,
00:39:15.320hey, we over-corrected. Maybe we should do some more elective surgeries at least until things look
00:39:20.680worse. Maybe the mitigation is working better than we thought. But man, if you're comparing those empty
00:39:26.360hospitals to, if you're saying that the empty hospitals tell us that's the reason that it's
00:39:33.040okay to open up the country, you're not understanding anything. You really are not
00:39:38.840understanding anything. All right. So, sorry. I didn't mean to be mean, but somebody has to be mean to
00:39:48.540the people who are looking at the empty hospitals and declaring that therefore it's no worse than
00:39:55.420seasonal flu. That is such broken brain thinking that that needs to be expunged from the conversation.
00:40:08.220Do you feel it is an unsolicited panic? I don't know what that means. They could cause a famine due
00:40:14.160to the supply lines. Well, panic can cause problems, yes.
00:40:22.520So, let's shut the country down with bad information. Have I ever told you about the, so here, this user is saying in the comments, so let's shut down the country with bad information. I actually wrote a book, two of them actually, I mentioned this, that when you start the sentence with so, at least on the internet,
00:40:48.960everything that comes after so is just your own imagination. It's not something that ever happened. So, this user is like, so let's shut down the country down with bad information. Did I suggest that? Did it sound like I suggested, let's use bad information to shut the country? Is that what you heard? Because you need to, you need to check your thinking.
00:41:13.960If you need to check your thinking. If you thought that I was suggesting, hey, let's use bad information and shut down the country. That's what you heard. How about, we don't know what's going to happen in the future, so sometimes it's better to over-prepare. That's what you should have heard.
00:41:31.040And nobody can be exactly right in knowing how much to over-prepare. Because the models are not that accurate. We don't know how well mitigation would work. And maybe you adjust. It's probably time to adjust. But it cannot be said that it was a mistake.
00:41:48.980How about comparing President Trump's performance to that other president that you imagine could have been the president, who has the gift of ESP. And unlike President Trump, who's a normal human being, who can't see the future, especially in the fog of war and a brand new situation, in which even the models and the experts look like they're just guessing.
00:42:15.920Again, compare that and Trump's terrible performance as a regular human being to what we could have had. For example, we could have had a Joe Biden. We could have had a Hillary Clinton. And they have the gift of hindsight.
00:42:33.980Meaning, meaning that if they know what happened in the past, they could also know what will happen in the future. It's an amazing power, and regular humans don't have it. But they could have made all the right decisions.
00:42:45.480And why can't we have one of them? Why can't we have a magic president? I mean, really, why did we make such a big mistake and elect a human president with the inability to see the future, the inability to make all the right decisions when there's no data that is reliable?
00:43:05.120Why can't we get the president who's magic? I mean, every time I look at our normal human president, I'm so disappointed in him not being magic, when it's obvious we could have had a magic president who would know what to do, even when it's unknowable. Come on, give us a magic president.
00:43:23.960All right, well, I feel like I'm exhibit A of how this lockdown is not good for our mental health. Are you having the experience where you'll have bouts of anger? And the anger doesn't seem to be necessarily related to what's happening around you.
00:43:48.640You know, you can certainly make the case why you should be angry, but you can always make that case. You can always be angry. Being angry is sort of a choice. You know, you can decide how you feel about stuff, and that's really up to you.
00:44:02.180And, you know, there's a morning like this where I just open up Twitter, and I just fly into a rage, because I think I might die because people are bad at comparing things.
00:44:16.660And I've always thought that, you know, we're all going to die, right? Well, I mean, I might be immortal in the sense that I'll become a computer entity someday in the cloud, but my physical body, you know, it's going to die.
00:44:30.300And one of the things I think about is I don't want to die in a dumb way. You know, imagine one of the reasons I'm not a rock climber is because what I think about, if I think about, you know, that dangerous job of being a free rock climber with just your fingertips and, you know, there's nothing holding you up there.
00:44:50.640What I think about is, if I slipped, and it took, let's say, you know, 10 seconds to reach the ground to my death, and as I was falling down, I'd be thinking to myself,
00:45:01.800why was I so stupid? I shouldn't have been a free climber. I'm not good at this. And then I'm dead. And the part I worry about is not the dead part. The part I worry about is that 10-second fall where I feel so disgusted at myself for being so stupid to think it was a good risk management to climb rocks when I'm sort of not good at that, right?
00:45:27.980And when I look at Twitter, and I see the quality of the thinking, and I realize that my life, to some extent, will depend on the quality of other people's thinking, because collectively we have to think right so that our leaders can make the right decisions, right?
00:45:46.000Because we sort of have to support the decisions or they don't get implemented. So watching the United States not be able to compare the simplest things, it makes me mad.
00:46:01.700And what it makes me mad about, somebody says, you blocked me on Twitter. Well, you probably had it coming. If you got blocked on Twitter in the last few days, it's because you said something in public, which claimed to show your superior knowledge of my opinion.
00:46:21.360And it was different from my own opinion that I've stated. If you're stating my opinions for me, you're using Twitter wrong. You should be using Twitter to state your opinions. And then people can interact with you. But if you're stating other people's opinions incorrectly, and then you're using it to insult them for what you imagined was their opinion but wasn't, well, then you're not using Twitter right. Although you're using it in the most common way.
00:46:51.360Somebody says, somebody says, somebody says, you're in a rage because your amygdala, my amygdala is swollen. Maybe so.
00:47:02.120Update, you thinking catch or avoid coronavirus today? I'm thinking that I would prefer to catch it and get it over with. But that's not a logical choice. Meaning that, you know, there's a personality element to this.
00:47:19.120So my personal risk management is that I don't want to spend the next year worrying about getting it.
00:47:27.280And I don't think it's going to be gone in a year, because I just feel like it's going to be with us.
00:47:32.880So I don't want to spend a few quality years of my life hiding in my house worrying that I might die.
00:47:41.600I'm ready to make the risk that I would die or be deeply injured somehow in return for my freedom and for the economy to be working.
00:47:53.460So, I will make an attempt, you know, I'll make all the smart attempts to avoid, you know, getting too close to people and stuff.
00:48:02.920But, I no longer want to worry about getting it.
00:48:07.280I want to just do the things that are smart, and then clear my mind of worrying about getting it,
00:48:13.500and rather put myself in the mindset of, I might get it, I might not, it doesn't matter.
00:48:21.080Somebody says, you blocked me because of my vaccine's opinion.
00:48:26.380Yeah, I would block somebody for a vaccine opinion.
00:48:30.520That sounds like something I would have done.
00:48:33.320If I blocked you for a vaccine opinion, it means that I thought your opinion was literally dangerous.
00:48:38.660It's, doesn't even know, you know, I'm no vaccine expert, but if you were making weird claims about Bill Gates using vaccines to conquer the world or something like that,
00:51:46.980But we can tell that we don't have measles, right?
00:51:51.300What we can't tell is if there might be some new kind of health problem that got introduced from vaccines and we thought it was from something else.
00:52:01.280Somebody says, sorry, that's the Dunning-Kruger effect.
00:54:43.640I think I'll ride this out a little bit longer.
00:54:46.280Just let everybody make their own choice.
00:54:48.040I think you would be surprised how many people choose correctly, especially under the glare of public opinion.
00:54:55.820You know, if you look at the number of people who recycle, the number of people who wear their seatbelt, you know, even though it's you get a ticket if you don't wear your seatbelt.
00:55:05.000I think people mostly wear their seatbelt for safety.
00:57:01.420Which is not to say that young people are dying, but they're probably dying at such a small number that it would only make sense for that to be a national story if you were in the disinformation.
00:57:11.740It's not disinformation, but if you were in the business of trying to ruin the United States, that would be the story you'd push.
00:58:19.740Somebody says the asthma vulnerability was debunked by Washington University School of Medicine.
00:58:26.660I would love to see that link because I have a suspicion.
00:58:30.980You probably, I think that's the reason you told me that, is that I'd expressed a suspicion that asthma wasn't the problem that people said it was.
00:58:39.520And the reason that I'm suspecting that, and certainly don't take your medical advice from me, that's your warning.
00:58:47.240The reason I suspected that is that the way the lungs were responding under coronavirus was weird, meaning that their oxygen level could be down to like 50 or 60, and they could still be walking around when they should be dead.
00:59:03.400So there was something about how it was affecting the lungs that wasn't, you know, the straightforward way you'd imagine.
00:59:11.460And then there was also the report that smokers were doing better, not worse, which also makes me think, okay, whatever this is, it has a very unique way it works on the lungs.
00:59:20.600And it could be that that unique way it works just doesn't interfere with asthma, doesn't make it worse.
00:59:27.360So I was at least speculating that we would have known for sure if asthma was a death sentence if you got coronavirus, because we would have enough data by now.
00:59:37.440So the dog that wasn't barking is after all these cases of coronavirus, I was seeing the list that always had asthma in it would sometimes not have asthma in it anymore.
00:59:50.980So remember that the list of things that would kill you would be like, you know, overweight, heart problems, high blood pressure, diabetes, asthma.
00:59:58.740And then suddenly I would notice the list would just, asthma wasn't on the list anymore.
01:00:05.240And smoking fell off the list too, have you noticed that?
01:00:08.260Remember in the early days, smoking was, you know, if you're a smoker, you're pretty much dead.
01:00:14.460And then apparently that's not the case, right?
01:01:45.540I saw a story the other day about a company, and I think I interpreted this correctly.
01:01:50.600But see if maybe somebody can confirm this.
01:01:52.980I thought it was a company that was developing a far UV light that kills viruses that would actually be like a ventilator that you would stick into the lungs and then turn on the light.
01:02:06.600And the idea was that the UV light literally shining in your lungs might kill enough virus to give your immune system, you know, a little bit of a boost, you know, on its own.
01:02:18.540I mean, it wouldn't boost your immune system, but it would just let your immune system do what it was.
01:02:22.980I don't know that vaping is good for you.
01:02:28.620Something tells me vaping is a whole different situation.
01:02:34.640Insulin receptors, somebody says, is the issue.