Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 933 Scott Adams： Let's Have a Laugh About the National IQ Test That Half of the Public is Failing

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. Come on in. Oh, we're going to have a fun one today. What an excellent

00:00:18.780 day it is. Well, I think the coronavirus is on the run. Yes, it's on the run. We got

00:00:27.500 some tough times, Ed, but I think we're starting to turn the corner a little bit, just a little

00:00:34.500 bit. If you would like to fully enjoy this presentation of Coffee with Scott Adams, I

00:00:41.380 recommend participating in the simultaneous sip. Now, I know some of you just listen to

00:00:47.540 it and say to yourself, I don't have to actually sip at the same time. But I think if you talk

00:00:56.040 to the people who do, they will tell you quite unanimously, it's a life-changing experience.

00:01:03.580 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a challenge or a stein, a canteen

00:01:07.020 jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:13.040 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:01:19.860 makes everything, including the pandemic, better. It's better than drinking bleach and isopropyl

00:01:27.240 alcohol. Yeah, it's better than that. Go. 0.69

00:01:34.860 All right. So let's just get right to it. So the big fun today is that there's a national

00:01:45.840 IQ test being administered. And it is just about the funniest thing I've ever seen in 0.99

00:01:51.820 my life. Because there are headlines from MSNBC, Vanity Fair, basically all the stupid places.

00:02:01.640 So all the really dumb outlets are reporting that they believe that the President of the

00:02:08.900 United States stood in front of the country and asked Dr. Birx if she thought it would be

00:02:14.820 a good idea to inject isopropyl alcohol and bleach into your veins. That's what they're

00:02:22.900 reporting that they think they witnessed. Except nothing like that happened. Now it is true

00:02:32.420 that the President was unclear. But if you understand the context, what he meant, made perfect

00:02:39.360 sense. And it goes like this. So there have been some recent reports about this type of light,

00:02:47.240 a far UV light, special kind of UV light, that could kill virus. And we know that it's a real

00:02:54.700 thing on the outside world because they use this light to clean surfaces and hospitals, etc.

00:02:59.340 But more recently, somebody had suggested, and there's some videos that I've tweeted around,

00:03:05.240 one of them is pinned to my profile right now. Some have suggested that you could put the light

00:03:14.000 in a ventilator type tube. And so when you're using the ventilator, you could be simultaneously

00:03:21.220 dosing the patient from the inside with UV light. Now, it is suggested that this has some promise

00:03:29.580 worth looking into. And the President said, hey, this is something that has some potential.

00:03:36.480 All right, that's what actually happened. How dumb would you have to be to hear him speaking? And

00:03:43.960 admittedly, he was unclear because he changed topics and then he changed back. Doesn't matter the exact

00:03:49.060 words, because no matter what he actually said, how dumb would you have to be to interpret it as he

00:03:56.520 was asking in public, should you inject bleach and isopropyl alcohol into your veins? The first tip

00:04:06.020 off should have been that nobody would say that. Literally nobody would say that. So this is how the IQ

00:04:16.360 test works. If you didn't immediately say to yourself, huh, I wonder if he misspoke. Maybe I

00:04:26.020 should get a clarification of what he meant. If that wasn't your first reaction to hearing that,

00:04:32.680 you have failed the IQ test. Now, of course, many of you are going to say, no, Scott, they're not really

00:04:39.860 dumb. They're just pretending like they heard it that way so that they can pretend to be attacking

00:04:46.880 the President based on something that didn't happen. Well, maybe. But watch the responses to

00:04:53.480 people when I explain to them what they got wrong. And these are people who went in public

00:05:00.520 and said in public that they believe the President was suggesting mainlining with bleach.

00:05:06.880 Now, so having the actual story being explained to them, that what he asked was actually a perfectly

00:05:15.120 good question, how do they react? Well, it's cognitive dissonance. And so you can watch for just

00:05:22.560 for entertainment. If you want to see the best examples of cognitive dissonance, you rarely get

00:05:28.340 a set up that's so ideal, and it's also public. And the set up is this. A number of smart, educated

00:05:37.220 people, lawyers, doctors, etc., have gone in public, and they put their reputation on the

00:05:43.520 line, because if you tweet something, you know, your profile's attached to it, your real name.

00:05:48.180 It's your real name. And people are saying in public that they believe that that happened,

00:05:52.860 that the President suggested mainlining isopropyl alcohol and bleach. Now, once it's explained

00:06:01.900 to you that he was talking about the intubation and UV light, which is actually a thing, there's

00:06:08.900 a patent for it, there's a company that's promoting it, it's a real thing. It may not work, but

00:06:13.900 that's why he was asking. Once it's explained to you, how do you react? How many of the people

00:06:20.780 who thought he said one thing, and then they're introduced to the fact, oh, he was talking about

00:06:27.580 this UV light, I get it, makes sense now. How many of those people, once corrected, said

00:06:34.640 to me in public, oh, I guess I leapt to an assumption, I made a bad assumption, I should

00:06:41.760 have looked into it? None. Nobody will do that. Now, if their brains were operating without

00:06:50.260 bias and operating correctly, they would simply take the new information and say, oh, yeah,

00:06:56.820 that new information, that makes perfect sense. Okay, yeah, now with that added context, I

00:07:01.280 see it. So I was in a conversation with an attorney, in which I trapped him just for fun.

00:07:10.320 You know, I introduced the new information. And remember, he's an attorney. Attorneys are

00:07:15.240 really good at incorporating new information, sort of what they do, right? If they can't

00:07:22.420 do it, who can? And so he gets cornered and he retreats to this, the definition of the word

00:07:29.660 injection. So he says, no, Scott, you, clearly he meant injecting the liquids, the bleach and

00:07:38.520 the isopropyl. Because you don't inject light, you inject chemicals. Which would probably be

00:07:49.920 a big surprise to the plastic injection molding industry, who thinks they're using a device

00:07:59.660 to inject plastic? Because injection is a word that can be used generically, or it could be

00:08:08.300 used medically. Are we surprised that someone who's not a doctor would use an imprecise medical

00:08:15.660 term, which was still perfectly clear? Because ventilation and intubation is sticking something

00:08:24.180 into a body. I would call it injecting. You're injecting something into the body. And whether

00:08:31.920 it was in the form of a needle, or in the form of a ventilated tube with lights on it, in both

00:08:39.580 cases, you're using a tool, the ventilator with the light, or the needle, to introduce an active

00:08:47.500 ingredient, either a vaccination or light. So complaining about the word injection is sort

00:08:58.340 of all you have left. Once you see that it's obvious, it's obvious that you just misinterpreted

00:09:03.780 it. You're like, well, I don't think I misinterpreted it. Nope. I think the president really was, he

00:09:12.860 was really suggesting we put bleach into our veins. So I watched Dr. Hahn of the FDA. He was being

00:09:25.460 interviewed by Sanjay Gupta and Anderson Cooper. And of course, Anderson Cooper asked Dr. Hahn about

00:09:35.100 this situation. Now remember that Anderson Cooper is under the belief that the president suggested

00:09:41.920 something just crazy, literally injecting bleach and isopropyl into your veins. What does the

00:09:49.220 doctor say? The doctor says, oh yeah, I'm paraphrasing, but the doctor says basically, yeah, light

00:09:55.620 therapy, you know, light therapy is a thing. And then Anderson, you have to watch the video. I think

00:10:03.700 it's up on their site. Watch Anderson Cooper experience cognitive dissonance. Because when Hahn answers

00:10:11.760 the question, it's the first, I think probably the first moment that Anderson realizes that it was

00:10:19.100 always about light. And you watch Anderson try to basically rewrite the history in his own head

00:10:28.840 until it started making sense. And again, the way cognitive dissonance works is that the person who

00:10:38.240 experiences it is unable to incorporate the new information? In other words, he's unable to say,

00:10:43.980 oh, oh, are you saying Dr. Hahn that he was talking about the light therapy when he talked about

00:10:49.520 injection? Is that what you mean? And Dr. Hahn would have said something like, yeah, I assume that's what

00:10:54.820 he meant, because that's a thing. And you inject it down the throat. Obviously, we wouldn't be talking

00:11:01.580 about injecting bleach and isopropyl. Where would that come from? That wouldn't even make any sense.

00:11:08.240 So you see Anderson's, his look, and I'll try to do an impression of Anderson Cooper finding out

00:11:15.000 that his entire premise was on the wrong topic. It should have been light, not bleach and isopropyl.

00:11:21.880 And Anderson goes, so are you saying it would be a bad idea to inject bleach? So Anderson

00:11:36.020 couldn't incorporate the new information, and it almost broke his brain on live TV. You really have

00:11:42.780 to see it. And I've told you before that you can recognize cognitive dissonance because you can

00:11:49.260 actually watch a brain reboot. The first time you see it, it'll freak you out. Because once you can

00:11:56.900 recognize it, you can recognize it every time you see it. And it looks that same way. You can see the

00:12:02.440 person just, their face will scrunch up, and you'll see they're trying to rethink and recast their

00:12:09.720 history so that they're not crazy. And then they come up with something that doesn't make any sense at

00:12:14.880 all. So Dr. Hahn said, yeah, it's basically talking about light therapy. And then Anderson goes through

00:12:22.820 his rebooting and is like, so would you say it's bad to inject bleach? What? He couldn't even stay on

00:12:30.780 the topic. He wasn't able to even process it. So watch. So I pinned to my profile the link to the video

00:12:43.700 that shows that it's a real product. It's patented. You know, they're trying to sell it. It's not

00:12:49.700 tested or it's not, you know, approved, but it's a real thing. And it's based on, you know, fairly

00:12:55.120 standard, well-known medical facts. All right. There's a, all the news is funny today.

00:13:07.600 Um, so there's photos have been released, uh, of the Miami, by the Miami beach police of the luxury

00:13:18.980 hotel in which, uh, uh, Florida gubernatorial candidate, Andrew Gillum, uh, had been found

00:13:26.320 with two other men, right? So here's, here's the way the story is written. All right. If this isn't

00:13:33.680 funny, I don't know what is. All right. So this is a, a serious news report or is it? I'll just read

00:13:43.240 it. And then you, you can decide if this is a serious sentence or not. So it starts out saying

00:13:50.120 the photos released Wednesday show vomit stained and rumpled bed sheets, a box for a party light

00:13:58.460 disco ball, spilled white pills on the carpet, and a vial of a drug often used for erectile dysfunction.

00:14:07.140 But the newly released photos and officer body cam video shed no further light on what Gillum was

00:14:13.820 doing or why he was there last month. Um, do you need any further light shed on what Gillum was doing

00:14:24.960 and why he was there? Because the first part of your own paragraph said that there was vomit stain

00:14:32.440 and rumpled bed sheets, a box for a party disco light, spilled white pills on the carpet, a vial of

00:14:38.020 drug often used for erectile dysfunction where he was found with two gay men. Now, maybe you could say,

00:14:48.420 you know, without the body cam of the police officers, how are we going to know what really happened?

00:14:54.960 Because I don't think we have enough data. I feel as though we'd really have to do some

00:15:02.500 research to find out what was happening in that room. Was it, um, were they doing homework together?

00:15:11.780 Because maybe, were they, um, maybe giving each other haircuts? I mean, you can't rule anything out.

00:15:18.440 There was nothing on the body cam. So how do you know they weren't just giving each other haircuts?

00:15:22.980 Once the police come in, you can't rule that out because there's no body cam, right? Right? All right.

00:15:33.360 Um, the other, uh, big fake news is based on real news, but of course the importance put on it is the

00:15:42.080 fake part. Uh, Trump owes the bank of China millions of dollars for helping him acquire one of the most

00:15:48.620 valuable profit properties. And, and the loan comes due in the middle of the next presidential term.

00:15:57.920 Oh no, they got him. Finally, they found out what does China have over the president?

00:16:06.180 Because they must have some blackmail because otherwise, why would he try to screw them on

00:16:12.340 trade? Unless they were, wait a minute, that doesn't work. If they're, wait, if you're blackmailing

00:16:19.200 somebody, do you blackmail somebody to destroy your country? Wait, I'm now, now I'm confused. He's

00:16:26.940 blackmailing, no, China's blackmailing Trump to try to get him to renegotiate a trade deal that's

00:16:35.520 worse for China. Was that what he was doing? Was, was it, was it their plan to use the bank of China

00:16:43.060 to blackmail Trump into not kicking Huawei out of our networks and probably out of the networks of

00:16:51.380 anybody we connect to? Huh? I don't know how blackmail works because I think it's supposed to be

00:16:59.960 different than that. Like opposite? Like opposite. So that's the first problem is that there's a

00:17:06.980 paucity, I say a paucity, an absolute paucity of evidence that the president is going easy on China,

00:17:14.460 except that he says nice things about President Xi. Why would he do that? Why would the diplomat in

00:17:21.560 chief act diplomatic in public with somebody who wants to negotiate important trade deals? Why would

00:17:31.060 a diplomat act diplomatic? I don't know. The only reason I could think of for a diplomat, the president

00:17:38.660 in this case, to act diplomatic would be if he's being blackmailed. Duh, obviously, must be being

00:17:47.480 blackmailed into being respectful to the leader of another country. Why else would you do it?

00:17:56.640 So I tweeted that, the story about the Bank of China, and it said, this is only a story for people

00:18:03.300 don't understand how banks work. So first of all, you know, there's some complication about who got

00:18:08.960 the loan and what percentage Trump owns and all that. So it's complicated. It's not, you know, Trump got

00:18:14.940 a loan. There's a big business deal with lots of people involved. Trump probably doesn't have any

00:18:21.220 control over it at this point. I think he has a minority interest in that. Somebody else has a

00:18:26.440 managing control. But here's what people don't know about banking. If you borrow $100,000 from your bank,

00:18:37.020 your bank owns you. Your bank owns you. I mean, assuming you don't, if you're not already rich,

00:18:44.300 your bank owns you. Because you got to pay that back. And if you don't pay that back, your bank will

00:18:50.580 ruin your credit, and your life is going to take a bad turn. Right? So that's if you borrow $100,000

00:18:58.700 from your bank. What happens if you borrow, say, a few hundred million? If you borrow a few hundred

00:19:06.480 million dollars from your bank, you own the bank. I mean, not actually. But here's the thing. Do you

00:19:17.360 think that the Bank of China could ruin a borrower, unless it was obvious that, you know, that they were

00:19:26.960 doing what banks do? Now, obviously, a bank can foreclose on a loan if somebody doesn't pay the

00:19:32.520 loan. But do you think that the Bank of China could do something nefarious to somebody who is a

00:19:41.720 legitimate business person who did hundreds of millions of dollars worth of business with their

00:19:47.320 bank? Do you think they can screw that person right in front of the world? If you think so, you

00:19:54.180 don't know what a bank is. Right? The most basic thing a bank has to be is trustworthy. If you take

00:20:03.440 the trustworthy part out of the bank, what is it? It's a place you lost your money. Right? Because

00:20:12.760 if you give your money to somebody that you don't trust, well, that's like losing your money. You might

00:20:19.000 just flush it down the toilet. The whole bank idea is that they are uniquely trustworthy.

00:20:28.700 That's their whole business model. If they screw somebody who's a multi-hundred million dollar

00:20:35.360 borrower right in front of the whole world because, what, he did something that China doesn't like,

00:20:42.120 that's the end of the Bank of China. We're not looking at the Bank of China blackmailing Trump.

00:20:51.220 You're looking at the Bank of China being on the edge of going out of business. Because if they mess

00:20:57.240 with Trump, everybody's going to know it. And banks are fairly generic products, meaning that,

00:21:05.440 you know, if you don't get a loan from one person, you can get it from another bank.

00:21:10.820 No bank can afford to screw a customer that big in front of the world, especially one that tells the

00:21:19.440 world everything that happens. Right? So it's possible China could use some kind of clever manipulation 0.88

00:21:29.780 to try to put pressure on the president. And then you know what he'd do? Well, there are two

00:21:35.100 possibilities. Either this, first of all, he doesn't have control of the loan, so it wouldn't

00:21:39.340 work anyway. But let's say there are two possibilities. One is that the Trump organization is still good

00:21:48.060 for the money. In other words, they still have the capability of paying back the loan, which I sort of

00:21:53.880 doubt in the age of coronavirus. I doubt they do. But there are two possibilities. They either can pay

00:21:59.700 the loan back or they can't. If the answer is that they can pay the loan back, does it matter what

00:22:06.560 the Bank of China wants to do or call the loan? No, because he'll just take it to another bank.

00:22:12.480 If he's capable of having a loan of that size and servicing it, then he's capable of taking it

00:22:20.360 anywhere else. And anybody else will say, oh, yeah, we'd love that business. It looks like you can pay

00:22:24.620 it back. That's the business we're in, making loans and getting paid back. Now let's take the other

00:22:29.600 possibility. Let's take the possibility you can't pay it back. Well, who wins in that case?

00:22:36.160 The bank doesn't win. The Bank of China isn't going to be happy if they don't get paid back.

00:22:41.040 So, you know, there are levels upon levels upon levels of this. You'd really have to understand

00:22:46.400 banking to know what the real ins and outs of it are. And the people writing about this don't.

00:22:51.280 So they're just going to say, looks like China can blackmail the president.

00:22:57.720 So there's that. All right.

00:22:59.480 I told you, I think it was yesterday, that I'm predicting that sometime in the next two

00:23:11.720 weeks, there's going to be big news. And I mean big news in the sense, big news in the

00:23:20.660 sense that there'll be some big good news. It could be good news on the topic we know is

00:23:26.240 out there brewing. So that might be some therapeutic works or it might be a new type of test kit or

00:23:33.060 something. But I think in the next two weeks, you're going to see, let's say, a medical field

00:23:40.640 breakthrough that's relevant to coronavirus. The reason I say that is I've just lived long enough

00:23:49.120 that there are some patterns that you see over and over. And given the intense amount of

00:23:55.740 innovative, creative effort that's gone into battling the coronavirus, you would expect that

00:24:02.660 there'd be a period of maybe six weeks to two months for the smartest, most effective people

00:24:09.740 to ramp up whatever it is they're trying to ramp up. So I think you're going to find out that people

00:24:15.880 have been working on stuff for a while and they're, and they're going to start introducing

00:24:20.280 it and rolling it out. And it might, it could very easily have nothing to do with the obvious

00:24:26.860 stuff. For example, imagine if next week we found that, and I'm not predicting this, I'm

00:24:34.800 just giving you examples of how it could go. Imagine next week we found that everybody in

00:24:40.040 the country was going to get a oxygen sensor, the kind you put your finger in. I've got one

00:24:45.620 of those. And you would just check your oxygen every day. And as soon as it dipped below whatever

00:24:52.180 number they tell you, maybe dips below 95, maybe dips below something lower, that you would

00:24:58.960 immediately talk to your doctor or report it. And if you did, you would probably catch symptoms

00:25:07.100 early-ish, you know, not, not in the earliest moments because it takes a while to get to your

00:25:12.100 lungs. But if you got it, at least the moment it affects your lungs, what would that do to

00:25:18.580 survival? What would that do to being able to take that person off the field and quarantine

00:25:23.680 them? Because remember the person who's just getting a little bit of breathing problem, there's

00:25:29.220 something unique about the coronavirus in which you don't notice the breathing problem. Apparently

00:25:34.840 your body compensates by breathing more quickly to get the same amount of air, but with more

00:25:40.800 breaths and you don't notice it necessarily. So, you know, we could have some like little

00:25:47.960 technological thing that's really just a manufacturing problem. We also will have better tests. I

00:25:54.920 already know of things in the pipeline that I can't talk about, but there, there, there should

00:26:00.240 be in the next few weeks some breakthroughs in testing that would allow us to ramp up more

00:26:07.140 quickly. So you might see that as well. Um, and I think that the news is going to start

00:26:14.880 becoming a little more positive, meaning that, um, you know, the news reports on whatever is

00:26:21.880 an exception. So if it's all bad news and people are dying, the news will be about people dying.

00:26:26.740 But because we get 50 states with 50 different back to work plans, this is sort of the perfect

00:26:33.740 situation because the news is going to look for anything that's new and say, okay, what's

00:26:39.080 new and different today? And there'll always be a state that did something new to get back 0.90

00:26:44.260 to work. It's like, Oh, state of Tennessee did this or that. Let's report on that. So you

00:26:50.560 should see an avalanche of good news, good news in terms of going back to work, et cetera.

00:26:57.180 So look for avalanche of good news. That's coming. And I don't know if that'll affect the

00:27:04.900 stock market, but it should. Um, somebody says, Oh my God, don't take hydroxychloroquine.

00:27:12.280 Are you dumb? Are you talking to me? Are you talking to me? So my, my estimates are still

00:27:20.140 at hydroxychloroquine. 60% chance it doesn't help. 40% chance it does because we don't know,

00:27:28.980 but that's just my estimate. Remdesivir looks lower at this point. You know, maybe that's more

00:27:34.020 like a 10 or 20% chance that it works. Some early indication that it didn't work at all,

00:27:39.880 but we'll see. You can't really trust anything at this point. Um, speaking of not trusting anything,

00:27:45.020 how much jabbering have you seen about how Sweden is doing it differently and Sweden,

00:27:53.600 Sweden is having a good results. How much are you hearing that Sweden, Sweden, Sweden compared

00:28:01.520 to Sweden? Well, I saw a doctor today who was looking at Sweden and said, uh, Sweden's not doing

00:28:07.600 better than anybody else. Apparently Sweden's not doing well at all. So Sweden is doing worse

00:28:13.840 than other countries who are sort of similar, Scandinavian countries. Uh, so, and also Sweden

00:28:21.820 apparently got a late start, meaning that their infections hit them later. So what you should

00:28:28.240 see with Sweden is that they're approaching their peak where the countries that did the lockdowns

00:28:34.880 are near or have had their peaks and will start to trail off unless they open up and don't do a

00:28:41.700 good job of opening up. Now, what about the news we heard yesterday that, um, almost nobody gets

00:28:48.260 this when they're outdoors? How hard would it be to imagine that given, at least in the United States,

00:28:54.520 it's summer, given that it's summer, how hard would it be to imagine that just everybody who can move

00:29:00.900 stuff outdoors just does it? You just, you just open up all your windows, keep your windows open all day

00:29:07.440 and all night. I mean, it probably, you know, could take 70% of the problem away. Um,

00:29:14.080 so there's that. Are people still saying it's just the flu? I don't know. Uh, how many deaths

00:29:21.520 did we get up to? Are we up to 50,000 deaths? All right. So, um, no matter whether you thought this

00:29:30.900 was just like the flu or not, we can all agree that 50,000 deaths in the context of closing down

00:29:39.300 the entire economy is a lot. So how many deaths would you get if we opened up the economy? Well,

00:29:45.940 if we've got 50,000 now, it would be more, right? Because the rate of infection, all the experts say,

00:29:54.420 we'll probably start inching up. So the number of people per day, you know, we'll start going up again.

00:30:00.900 If it's already a 50, what would it be by the end of the year? Unless we come up with some new

00:30:06.580 treatments? Well, I think it's going to cross a hundred pretty easily. So, um, I'm feeling like

00:30:13.160 the models are not going to look that far off. I'm also still trying to find, uh, net numbers because,

00:30:21.120 you know, my, um, my original, well, the, my prediction is that it would be 5,000 net deaths

00:30:28.100 because you have to subtract the people who are living that would have died in car crashes and

00:30:33.920 stuff if the economy would have been open. So I think we're around there. You know, I don't,

00:30:39.300 I don't think my, uh, prediction will be accurate. I think it will be the most accurate,

00:30:43.520 meaning I'll be closer than anybody else. It just won't be accurate.

00:30:47.620 Uh, Trump called it the flu. Yeah. Gosh, what are the, what are the odds that a non-medical

00:30:54.680 professional would use the wrong medical term? That's, that's quite surprising.

00:30:59.620 Still $2,000 deaths per day or more. Yeah. What about comorbidity? You know, the comorbidity

00:31:11.840 story is more complicated than we think because everybody has a comorbidity, it seems like. In

00:31:18.940 the United States, I feel like everybody's got something. I was just reading an article by Van

00:31:25.040 Jones in which he was saying, I think he's 50. And he was saying that, um, he has high

00:31:30.680 blood pressure and he's pre-diabetic or something. So he thought he might be one of the, one of

00:31:37.040 the people who would have the greatest risk. And he makes the point that, uh, in the black 0.77

00:31:41.460 community especially, there's so much, um, so many other problems that if they get one more

00:31:47.420 thing, you know, it pushes them over the top. So they're having a worse time with it. And

00:31:52.380 definitely we should be looking at how to fix that. Uh, I agree. Uh, you added net the

00:32:02.600 next day. All right. We will, we're deleting all the people who are nitpicking my net and

00:32:11.260 here's why. So you're, you're blocked forever. Um, and all the rest of you who do that will

00:32:16.260 be blocked forever. Here's why. Uh, I did add net after my original prediction, but net is the

00:32:25.740 only smart way to look at it. So adding that, that we should look at it in a smart way is not

00:32:33.440 really much of a difference. And I also made that clarification well long enough ago that it still

00:32:42.320 counts as my prediction. All right. Cause I made that well long ago. There was certainly no point

00:32:49.280 at which I thought that 5,000 gross would be the total death count. So if you thought that

00:32:57.100 maybe I wasn't clear, so you can blame me for being unclear, but there's no situation in which

00:33:03.980 somebody with a degree in economics would look at the gross when that's worthless because we made

00:33:10.700 these changes for the whole point of reducing the net. It's the net that matters. You can

00:33:15.820 look at the gross also for other reasons, but if you're looking at how many people died based

00:33:21.200 on the strategy that we're using, it's going to be that. All right. Um, you literally did

00:33:32.460 though the literally people you literally did though block. So all the people who have false

00:33:42.720 memories of my prediction will get blocked mercilessly blocked. I could do this all day. I have to

00:33:55.380 admit, I've started to get, um, sort of a little dopamine hit from, uh, blocking people.

00:34:05.620 It kind of feels good every time I do it. And there's some kind of blocks that feel better than

00:34:10.520 others, but the ones I'm liking the most are the ones who have a false memory. And then they're

00:34:15.980 accusing me of doing something bad because they have a false memory. Uh, but long time viewers get

00:34:23.220 blocked. Yes, of course they do. Yup. It's bad behavior. Uh, shouldn't you have been clear for an

00:34:39.560 accurate prediction? Yes, I should. As I block you. Yes, absolutely. You're right. Those of you who are

00:34:49.060 saying that being clear is, is better than being unclear. Well, guess what? It's weird, but I, but I

00:34:58.520 agree with you. I actually agree that it's better to be clear. Uh, anybody else want to, want to get

00:35:08.260 weeded out? You know, the great thing about this, uh, this fake news about Trump saying you wanted to

00:35:14.440 inject bleach into people's veins. The, the great thing about that is it surfaces all the trolls.

00:35:20.740 So you can just, you can block them as you go. Uh, just make sure the blocking doesn't result in

00:35:33.620 echo chamber effect. Well, it does result in echo chamber effect on my own periscope, but because I

00:35:41.580 expose myself to the news on both sides, no matter how much it hurts, I don't worry about that too

00:35:47.500 much. Um, I have not found a good site for statistics to determine net deaths. I've actually

00:35:55.080 looked a few times, but not, I haven't really worked at it too hard because I was also trying to find out

00:36:00.960 that if you could, if I could determine the net suicide deaths, it's a little hard to determine

00:36:06.860 because they go up this time of year anyway. I guess there are more suicides spring and summer.

00:36:12.580 So it should be going up from the baseline if there had been no coronavirus. Do you still think

00:36:20.280 things will look darkest in June? It will look darkest for the unemployed. Yes, but it will look,

00:36:26.780 uh, June will look optimistic for people who can afford to survive because things are definitely

00:36:34.400 looking up. But if it's June and you don't have a paycheck for three months, the government's

00:36:40.580 puny little check is not going to make you feel that things are going well. Uh, all right. Um,

00:36:55.420 just looking at your comics because I don't have anything else to say. Don't block me, brah. You're safe.

00:37:01.400 Uh, all right. And oh my God, it's even on Fox Business. They didn't read the entire. Are you

00:37:12.740 telling me that Fox News is reporting that, uh, Trump wanted to put bleach in people's veins?

00:37:19.660 I don't think so. This is one of those cases where, uh, you should use the rule that I introduced

00:37:25.940 in my book, Win Bigley. And Win Bigley, no, I introduced it in Loser Think, I think.

00:37:30.940 The, the, uh, the trick is that if the news on just the left or just the right reports something

00:37:39.700 happened and the other side says it didn't, it didn't happen. And you can reverse them. It

00:37:46.120 doesn't matter which side says it happened and which side says it didn't happen. All you need

00:37:51.340 is one side to say that it literally didn't happen. And you can be sure it didn't happen.

00:37:56.780 All right. So, um, you, so already you Breitbart as our, you know, even yesterday, Breitbart,

00:38:04.640 Joel Pollack had a fact check in which he said the president was not suggesting putting bleach

00:38:11.420 into your veins, essentially. Um, um, paraphrasing. And so that meets the test. If you're not getting

00:38:20.060 a universal agreement on the left and right, not an interpretation, but whether a fact even

00:38:26.320 happened, you only need one side to say it didn't happen. And you can be sure it didn't

00:38:32.660 happen. Assuming that we're all looking at the same stuff. If, if there was a difference

00:38:37.620 in the facts, like some people had access to different facts, well, then you might say,

00:38:43.180 okay, there's a reason why there's a difference in the news, but we're all looking at exactly

00:38:48.560 the same facts. So if either side says we're looking at it and it's not there, it's not

00:38:54.400 there. It's not there. All right. Uh, everybody knows they should have three to six months of

00:39:04.240 money saved for bills. Yeah. That's a great idea. If you have enough money, but since, uh,

00:39:10.740 probably half of the country has never made enough money to save enough money, that advice

00:39:16.640 falls a little bit flat. Are you buying any AYTU stock? I am not. Yeah. I don't have any,

00:39:25.580 uh, financial interest in the far UV in case you're wondering. Um,

00:39:32.260 that now has a demonstration of injecting bleach. Oh my God. Um, let's see. Give us a good weekend

00:39:49.580 mindset. Oh, there you go. That was a good question. Are you want a good mindset to go into

00:39:56.020 the weekend? It goes like this. You can never, um, it's easy to underestimate human capability

00:40:08.120 because we tend to look at the people we know, or we look at ourselves and we say to ourselves,

00:40:13.860 well, you know, I couldn't invent a vaccine. I couldn't invest, uh, you know, invent a test

00:40:21.140 kit. I couldn't organize this or that, but there are a lot of capable people in the world

00:40:27.800 and it does take a, you know, a month or two for the, the best among us to get online and get their

00:40:34.680 plans moving. But I think in the next few weeks, you're going to see things that will just make

00:40:40.040 your head explode. It'll be, it'll be so jaw droppingly creative, innovative. Um, we might not

00:40:48.980 know if these new ideas work next week or next couple of weeks, but I'm saying in the next two

00:40:53.840 weeks, you're going to see humanity at its best. In the next two weeks, you will see the human race,

00:41:06.340 the best of us operating at the best, cleanest, clearest, smartest, um, level.

00:41:18.020 And it will blow you away. Now that doesn't mean we're out in the woods. I'm just saying that

00:41:24.580 you're going to see something that will, that will inspire you in the next few weeks. And it's only,

00:41:30.220 and I'm only predicting it because of the sort of general pattern of timing of things. You don't

00:41:35.260 expect good news on day one, but because it's an emergency, you don't expect that you're going to

00:41:42.000 have to wait a full year for some good news. My sense of it is just about the next two weeks,

00:41:48.600 there are going to be some delightful surprises. Now, as you know, we've been misinformed about just

00:41:55.180 about everything. You know, we we've been misinformed about, well, just all the data, almost everything,

00:42:01.920 but I think we will be, uh, uh, in better shape within two weeks. That's what I think. Now I'm,

00:42:10.280 uh, like the rest of you, I am super interested in what's going to happen with the, uh, the people

00:42:17.360 who are coming off, uh, house arrest, you know, that the states that are opening up early. I mean,

00:42:23.340 we're all going to watch that really carefully to find out what they do right or wrong. Think about,

00:42:29.220 think about the, uh, the pressure. If you live in one of the states that's opening early,

00:42:37.680 let's say you're a citizen of Georgia and your state is opening early. If you, the citizens

00:42:44.300 screw up and you don't do the basic requirements, you know, wear a mask, wash your hands, social distance,

00:42:52.880 if you don't do the basics, you people in Georgia, you could destroy the world. 1.00

00:43:02.080 I don't know if that's, is that, is that too strong? Because if the first states that go back

00:43:09.740 to work, if it doesn't work out, we're going to shut down the economy again and try to figure out

00:43:14.900 what does work. And it might be too late. So the people in Georgia, um, let me say this to you.

00:43:22.880 So our fates kind of rest on you folks being responsible. Can the folks of Georgia act

00:43:34.660 responsibly enough to save the Republic? You know, it's a little bit of hyperbole here,

00:43:42.340 but not a lot. I mean, I don't think I'm stretching it beyond the realm of things that could happen.

00:43:47.120 It certainly could happen that the population of Georgia doesn't take it seriously. Infections go

00:43:54.100 through the roof. The government says, well, we tried, it didn't work, shut everything down.

00:43:59.060 The economy just disintegrates because it's just closed for too long. Civil unrest, you know, the rest.

00:44:08.140 Um, so the, the citizens of Georgia carry with them the, um, the weight of the Republic 0.80

00:44:15.880 and, um, and with them, all of our, uh, best intentions, all of our best wishes.

00:44:25.320 Yes. So the people of Georgia, I say to you, you are not alone. You are carrying the country on your

00:44:32.520 back. And if you don't feel that pressure, well, I would like you to feel it. I would like you to

00:44:40.220 feel the pressure. You know, if, if you're thinking of walking out the door without your face mask,

00:44:45.400 because you don't want to walk back upstairs and get it because you left it upstairs,

00:44:49.480 I would like to ask you politely and respectfully, think about walking upstairs.

00:44:57.920 Think about walking upstairs because the weight of the Republic is on your shoulders. And I hope

00:45:05.020 you take it seriously because I know I would. If the situation were reversed, Georgia, I would very

00:45:12.000 much feel as though I was, I was protecting you by my own actions. And right now you will be protecting

00:45:21.220 me and those of us watching and all of us in the country, you will be protecting us with your good

00:45:27.760 intentions and your good actions. So I have, um, I have faith that you will pull that off. So that's

00:45:35.080 my good thought for the day. The good people of Georgia will show us the way. Um, and I think

00:45:42.080 we're coming out of it. I think we're starting to turn it around, starting to look good. And I will

00:45:48.360 talk to you tonight.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 24, 2020

Episode 933 Scott Adams： Let's Have a Laugh About the National IQ Test That Half of the Public is Failing

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