Scott Adams talks about Kim Jong Un's recent trip to a fertilizer plant, and why he might not be dead after all. Plus, a story about sex slaves in the North Korean leader's inner sanctum, and a theory about why he doesn't need a cane.
00:00:07.120Hey Greg, come on in here. Good to see you. I'm glad you joined. The rest of you, come on in. Hurry up.
00:00:16.460It's good to see all of you. It's another wonderful day. It's a perfect day for Coffee with Scott Adams.
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00:00:35.600Yeah. Yep. I think you know. It requires a little thing called the Simultaneous Hint.
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00:01:09.560Hmm. I can feel the hospitalization rates decreasing with every sip.
00:05:51.660So, here's the news as best we know it.
00:05:55.520And thank goodness we have intelligence agencies.
00:05:58.580Because if we didn't have intelligence agencies and a free press, we wouldn't be able to narrow it down.
00:06:04.640So, we don't know exactly what Kim Jong-un is doing this week, but thanks to our press and our intelligence agencies, we have narrowed it down.
00:06:15.480It's either he's dead, or he's partying at his seaside resort with 2,000 sex slaves.
00:06:29.260I've come to understand that he doesn't spend much time in between those two extremes.
00:06:34.640Because, think about it, you're Kim Jong-un, you have 2,000 sex slaves, what else are you going to spend your time on?
00:06:45.040And so, I present to you a one-act play, which features Kim Jong-un's advisors talking to him about the schedule for the day.
00:06:55.840I'll start in the role of the advisor to Kim Jong-un.
00:06:59.680You can tell who the advisor is, because the advisors always have notepads.
00:08:09.140I could drag my fat ass across North Korea to visit a factory that literally makes shit.
00:08:19.080Or, or, I could go to my seaside resort, and I could party with my 2,000 sex slaves while you visit the fertilizer plant.
00:08:31.080And if I hear later that anything went wrong, I could execute you and kill everybody at the fertilizer plant, too, just to make sure I've wrapped it all up.
00:08:57.340Now, here's, this is actually an answer to a, I guess, a mystery that I've had all my life, and I should have known the answer, because it was kind of obvious.
00:09:10.840And I always say to myself, why is it you can't get a dictator to retire?
00:09:17.320Why is there never any story about a dictator who says, eh, I've been enjoying my dictatorship, but I'll tell you what, I'm going to retire.
00:09:24.760We'll turn this into a democracy or whatever.
00:09:28.660Now, it turns out that the answer is that if you retire from being a dictator, you will lose, and here I'm just speculating, you will lose access to your 2,000 sex slaves.
00:09:41.980And you'll probably be hunted down and executed.
00:09:44.240So, retiring is a really bad strategy for your typical tyrant, because they might get executed, but at the very least, whatever openness that comes with retiring and becoming democratic is really going to cut into your 2,000 sex slave weekend.
00:10:04.700And, how do you expect a dictator to retire when that's the proposition?
00:10:14.400We'll have some kind of North Korea, South Korea.
00:10:17.640You know, we won't necessarily merge right away, but there'll be more travel and openness, more connections, you know, maybe a lot more communication.
00:10:26.160And you see Kim Jong-un sitting there and thinking, yeah, yeah, yeah, we could do that.
00:10:36.920I could get rid of my nukes, or, or I'll just put this out there, I could keep my nukes, which keeps you out of my country, and I could keep my 2,000 sex slaves.
00:11:36.820And if you were Kim Jong-un's sister, and let's say, hypothetically, you decided to make peace and have some kind of transitional stage toward a more democratic system, could you retire?
00:12:00.100Well, because certainly she could argue that everything that happened was her brother's fault, because I don't know how many decisions she made.
00:12:07.980She just had to do what the boss said, so she could say, I didn't do anything.
00:12:45.300There's nothing that's going to shake him out of his situation with his private train and all the booze he wants and 2,000 sex slaves.
00:12:53.380There's no negotiating in which you say, all right, I got an offer.
00:12:59.900And then Kim says, before you say your offer, can you tell me how it's better than owning my own country, being a dictator, eating and drinking whatever I want, smoking a lot of pot, I assume he does, and playing with my 2,000 sex slaves at my luxury resort.
00:13:19.560And then the negotiators would say, well, in some ways, and Kim would say, maybe we'll just put a hold on those negotiations.
00:13:33.420So the bottom line is, it's possible that Kim Jong-un's sister could negotiate for a peace, like a real one.
00:13:43.580It is not possible, based on this new information, that Kim Jong-un would have any interest in negotiating for something that would cause him to lose access to his 2,000 sex slaves anytime soon.
00:14:01.780I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on, we're still mitigating in all the smart ways, but some of us are phasing back to work.
00:14:18.520So I think this new calculation takes that into account.
00:14:22.280The low end would be 100,000 deaths, the high end would be 240,000, based on the current model.
00:14:28.040Models, of course, are deeply inaccurate.
00:16:10.960I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing, that you should just forget about testing.
00:16:20.320Forget about it being a path out because there's no there's no evidence that we're doing anything that would allow us to test our way out.
00:16:29.600We're nowhere near the number when we're nowhere near the number of tests available.
00:16:34.640We're nowhere near testing the right people.
00:16:39.720And I think that, you know, again, people give me a hard time for, you know, bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good.
00:16:50.920But I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of the in terms of giving us useful numbers.
00:16:58.540I would say that the task force's ability to give the public useful information effectively zero.
00:17:06.440But just a failing grade, just a pure failing grade.
00:18:05.620The technique they're using is making sure that the private sector is deeply involved and they're not trying to push too hard as long as the private sector is willing to step up.
00:19:28.160So by the time you get it, as Bill Gates says, by the time you get the test result, you've already spread it around.
00:19:34.040And you're practically over it by the time you get the result.
00:19:38.000Now, yes, there are faster tests and there are startups that have even faster tests and immediate tests coming and all that.
00:19:46.720But what information do you have about that?
00:19:50.620Have you seen the chart that says this is how many we have, this is how many the experts say we need of this type, and this is how we're getting there?
00:20:52.120So I don't think that we're going to have anything like a testing solution before we have herd immunity accidentally.
00:20:58.540I keep watching Tucker Carlson's show where he is essentially complaining the whole show about totalitarianism and how our freedom and rights have all been taken from us and how we kind of just handed them over.
00:21:16.700To which I say, I feel like I'm just watching Crazy Town.
00:24:02.060Now, if he's going to make the case that there are a certain subset of rights that have a high likelihood of going away during this and then staying gone,
00:24:13.420well, I'd say that's a pretty good argument, if I'd heard it.
00:26:54.940But apparently people have a different mindset and just accept the stress as some sort of response their body has because they're trying to achieve something.
00:27:05.300Stress being a normal reaction of the body, something maybe they can weaponize.
00:33:08.320Now, keep in mind, there are two things happening.
00:33:10.980One is that Trump has more male supporters.
00:33:14.000So if you were simply to measure all the testosterone in the Trump supporters, you would, of course, get more just because there are more men in the group.
00:33:32.820And I had made the hypothesis before that the way people respond to Trump might be based on whatever experience they've had in the past with bullying.
00:33:44.980And my hypothesis, which I'm going to modify right now, my hypothesis had been that if you'd been the subject of bullying, a victim of it, any time during your life, and you saw Trump, he triggered you to remember those situations, and you say to yourself, no, never again.
00:34:03.440I'm not going to be in this bullied situation, so I can't support him.
00:34:06.700And then I speculated that if you'd been the bully yourself, or you just hadn't been bullied, that you didn't see that.
00:34:14.900And what you saw was a strong leader who may or may not agree with you, but that's it.
00:34:42.680The moment there is a scientific, peer-reviewed, controlled study that says that there is no correlation, I will immediately adopt that opinion.
00:35:00.440I think that your testosterone level, if you're a man, so let's just talk about men, the higher your testosterone level, the less afraid you are of other men.
00:35:45.700So can the men here first confirm for me that they have a physical sensation and they know the difference between when their testosterone is jacked up and when it's not because their personality changes?
00:36:00.360I would say my entire personality is quite different if I know my testosterone is raging and I can tell, right?
00:36:11.080I used to do a lot of public speaking.
00:36:13.820And when you're a public speaker and you're invited because you're already popular, it usually goes well.
00:36:19.360The audience claps and they cheer and they laugh.
00:36:21.860If you spend an hour being the subject of affection of an audience, by the time you walk off stage and you're heading back to your hotel room, your testosterone is just raging because it's just automatic.
00:36:36.960If you become the celebrity on stage and everybody's clapping for you and literally standing sometimes, standing ovation, your testosterone is off the chart.
00:42:26.360Anyway, so I think that could be tested, but we'll leave that open question.
00:42:30.980John Roberts reports, Fox News, that a senior intelligence source tells him that there's an agreement among most of the 17 intelligence agencies that COVID-19 originated in the Wuhan lab and that it was believed to be a mistake.
00:44:06.960I hope we don't have different agencies doing that.
00:44:10.200Don't you think maybe there's only one that's got that responsibility?
00:44:13.820I think there's only one intelligence agency that really has the primary responsibility of figuring out what's going on there, and I don't think they know.
00:44:23.820So when you see something like 17 intelligence agencies agree, your brain should translate that into one intelligence agency has an opinion.
00:44:34.06016 of them just said, yeah, whatever that guy says, you know, he seems credible to us.
00:44:40.100And the one who had the opinion is probably not right.
00:47:06.120So, Elon tweeted, among other things, I think in the last 48 hours or so, among other things, that his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday.
00:47:31.740And then some other random things that he tweeted.
00:47:37.120Anyway, the tweets were, let's say, eyebrow-raising enough that people started wondering if he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or what the heck's going on.
00:47:50.680So it's like a cottage industry trying to decide what Elon is secretly thinking.
00:48:57.060Because if he was, he was still the same Elon Musk who broke all the rules and will always be remembered, I think, as one of the great entrepreneurs of our time.
00:49:10.620Do you care if Henry Ford drank too much?