Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 05, 2020


Episode 955 Scott Adams： Extra Cussing Tonight. Put the Kids to Bed. Close Your Windows, Get Under the Covers

Topics
remdesivir destroying staplers super spreaders
Hosted by
Scott Adams
Mentioned
Flynn Jeremy Samuel Faust Hillary Clinton James Comey Periscope Mel Gibson Pulitzer Durham Trump Carlos Del Rio Brooke Brethage Gary Trudeau Chris Cuomo Howard Allie Zoom
Episode 954 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About All the Good News, Because Others Talk About the Bad Stuff Episode 958 Scott Adams： Grab Your Beverage and Buckle Up

Episode Stats


Length

49 minutes

Words per minute

145.77

Word count

7,247

Sentence count

722

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

127

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode of the podcast, we talk about hydroxychloroquine and coronavirus, and whether or not it could be a game changer in the fight against the virus. We also talk about the controversy surrounding the drug and its use on front line healthcare workers.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum. It's looking a little bright in here. Hold on a second. I'm going to turn down the light.
00:00:17.000 Ah. Well, that didn't work.
00:00:30.000 There we go. Just the right amount of darkness. Add makeup to my face without putting any on.
00:00:38.000 Can you tell me why Periscope and Zoom and Skype don't have Snapchat filters so that I can look like I have TV makeup on all the time?
00:00:49.000 Is there any reason you can't build a Snapchat filter into these Zoom and conference calls? Why not? Why not, they say.
00:00:58.000 Well, you've all been warned. You saw my tweet, some of you, warning that there might be extra cussing.
00:01:08.000 You saw the title of my Periscope, which says extra cussing.
00:01:14.000 I am now warning you directly that there will be extra cussing. Cussing. Cussing. Not cussing. Cussing.
00:01:22.000 I recommend that you put the kids to sleep. Close your windows and get under a heavy blanket. 0.91
00:01:30.000 Because the cursing could come out at any time. At any time.
00:01:40.000 There will be no warning.
00:01:42.000 I asked this question today and it bugs me that I didn't know the answer.
00:01:47.000 Does anyone know, since we know that a lot of frontline healthcare workers are taking hydroxychloroquine,
00:01:54.000 do we know if any of them have been hospitalized?
00:01:57.000 And the answer is, nope. Nope.
00:02:03.000 Wouldn't you like to know, of all the many medical professionals who are around the coronavirus all the time,
00:02:11.000 have any of them been hospitalized if they were also taking hydroxychloroquine?
00:02:17.000 Don't you think that's pretty, pretty important? We don't know.
00:02:23.000 I did talk to a doctor just moments ago on Twitter who said that he has heard of people who were on hydroxychloroquine and did contract the virus.
00:02:39.000 So, anecdotally, it looks like you can get the virus, so it's not a preventive.
00:02:47.000 I don't think we necessarily thought it was likely to prevent it.
00:02:51.000 Some people were hopeful, but that didn't seem likely to me.
00:02:55.000 The more likely is that it would help you deal with it once you got it.
00:02:59.000 And that we don't know, amazingly.
00:03:02.000 However, I was conversing with Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust, and he was filling me in on some stuff.
00:03:13.000 And after listening to his description, because he's following things pretty closely,
00:03:21.000 he does not have much confidence that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a game-changer.
00:03:29.000 Now, he asked me to define game-changer because I said, are you saying it won't be a game-changer?
00:03:35.000 So he said, well, define game-changer.
00:03:38.000 And I said, well, something that would allow us to go fully back to work and still not have our hospitals crashed.
00:03:46.000 So I said, let's just make it that.
00:03:49.000 The hospitals stay intact and we still go back to work.
00:03:53.000 That would be a game-changer if the meds allowed us to do that.
00:03:57.000 And his opinion, we're not anywhere near that.
00:04:01.000 In fact, if hydroxychloroquine works at all, it's sort of going to be in the statistics.
00:04:08.000 And he made a good point, which I will make to you.
00:04:12.000 If the people, because you know there are lots of hydroxychloroquine tests going on, right?
00:04:19.000 So there are all kinds of tests all over the place.
00:04:22.000 And as the doctor pointed out to me, if any of those tests had shown it obviously works,
00:04:29.000 meaning that you don't need to do the statistics, it's just obvious.
00:04:34.000 Everybody who takes it gets better.
00:04:36.000 Or something like that, we would already know.
00:04:39.000 Now, that's why I had lowered my estimate of the likelihood that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a big deal.
00:04:48.000 I lowered it to 40% chance.
00:04:51.000 That's my current estimate.
00:04:53.000 40% chance it makes a significant difference.
00:04:57.000 And the doctor was saying, you know, if you could notice the difference, like the doctors could just tell without any statistics, we would already know.
00:05:08.000 Because first of all, they'd tell us.
00:05:10.000 And secondly, for humanitarian, humane reasons, they would have stopped the test.
00:05:16.000 Because if you get such good results with a drug that has been used for so long, you have a pretty good idea what the safety profile is.
00:05:25.000 If it worked that well, they would have stopped the trials already.
00:05:30.000 And they would have said, oh, it's just obvious.
00:05:32.000 We're not going to finish this.
00:05:33.000 We better just start giving it to everybody.
00:05:35.000 That's not happening.
00:05:36.000 So I'll stick with my 40% chance that hydroxychloroquine is a big deal.
00:05:42.000 So the New York Times 1619 project got a Pulitzer Prize.
00:05:49.000 So the 1619 project was basically rewriting the history of the United States sort of to make us look like bad slavers, I guess, was the main thing.
00:06:01.000 And I guess historians rip them apart for having bad history in there.
00:06:08.000 So they weren't very accurate about history. 0.74
00:06:11.000 And it was a total political nonsense.
00:06:15.000 And they got a Pulitzer Prize.
00:06:17.000 They got a Pulitzer Prize.
00:06:19.000 Now, are you impressed?
00:06:21.000 Because they got a Pulitzer Prize.
00:06:23.000 Let me tell you what the Pulitzer Prize is.
00:06:26.000 Do you want to get red-pilled on the Pulitzer Prize? 0.99
00:06:31.000 In approximately three minutes, you're going to think the Pulitzer Prize is so stupid, you wouldn't even want to win one, even if you didn't have to do anything to get it. 0.95
00:06:44.000 The Pulitzer Prize is a little group of people who volunteered and had to be selected, of course, they volunteered but were also selected, to be on a little committee where they would read 0.0001% of the work that was created that year, just the stuff that was submitted. 0.96
00:07:04.000 Most people don't even submit.
00:07:08.000 So they'd see this tiny, tiny little sliver of work that was produced.
00:07:13.000 And then the, I don't know, six or eight of them, it's a small group.
00:07:17.000 They would vote.
00:07:19.000 And they'd say, we like this one best.
00:07:21.000 And then they'd talk about it and they'd decide that that one gets the Pulitzer Prize.
00:07:25.000 Now, there are different little groups for each flavor of Pulitzer Prize, for each category.
00:07:32.000 So each category has little judges.
00:07:34.000 How prestigious is it to win an award that's six to eight people sitting around in the living room saying, you know, I like this one the best of these few choices?
00:07:50.000 It's meaningless.
00:07:51.000 It is absolutely, completely without value.
00:07:57.000 It's just some people sitting in the living room saying, well, there were a million things created.
00:08:04.000 I read seven of them.
00:08:07.000 Of the seven things I read, of the million things that were created, I like this one best, of the seven.
00:08:15.000 Four out of seven of us agree. 0.88
00:08:19.000 Pulitzer Prize is the most ridiculous prize. 0.94
00:08:24.000 So he says, is there a Pulitzer for cartooning? 0.95
00:08:29.000 There have been Pulitzers awarded to cartoonists.
00:08:32.000 I think Burke Brethard got one.
00:08:35.000 I think Gary Trudeau got one, if I'm not mistaken.
00:08:40.000 So at least two strip cartoonists.
00:08:43.000 And of course, there have been other cartoonists who do political cartoons who have gotten them.
00:08:49.000 So there are Pulitzers for cartoonists.
00:08:52.000 And for a long time, I wanted one.
00:08:55.000 I stopped wanting one when I met the husband of one of the judges.
00:08:59.000 So the husband of one of the judges was in my living room one day.
00:09:04.000 He was also a reporter.
00:09:06.000 And he was writing a story about me.
00:09:08.000 And we were chatting.
00:09:09.000 And he talked about his wife who was on the Pulitzer committee.
00:09:13.000 And he just described it like I described it to you.
00:09:16.000 And that was the last time I cared about winning a Pulitzer Prize.
00:09:19.000 Because I said, seriously?
00:09:21.000 It's just six people sitting around who haven't seen even 1% of the stuff that's been produced that year?
00:09:29.000 And they decide.
00:09:30.000 That's it. 0.99
00:09:31.000 Useless. 0.98
00:09:32.000 All right. 0.85
00:09:33.000 So speaking of Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust, he suggests, along with his co-writer in the Washington Post,
00:09:48.000 they wrote a piece with Carlos Del Rio in which they say that maybe the best metric to track for going back to work is net deaths.
00:09:59.000 So instead of looking at just coronavirus deaths, just look at the net compared to the historical baseline and say,
00:10:08.000 are you keeping it close to the historical number?
00:10:11.000 Because there are lots of variables in net deaths.
00:10:15.000 To which I thought to myself, that's not bad.
00:10:18.000 That is not bad.
00:10:20.000 I don't see anything wrong with that approach to you.
00:10:23.000 I mean, I would have said hospitalizations.
00:10:28.000 But you could have tracked deaths, but then you have trouble of knowing if you're counting them right.
00:10:33.000 So counting the total net deaths and comparing it to prior year baselines, not too bad.
00:10:40.000 Not too bad.
00:10:41.000 Are you wondering where the swearing is going to come in?
00:10:45.000 Oh, it's coming.
00:10:46.000 It's coming.
00:10:47.000 It's coming.
00:10:50.000 And here it comes.
00:10:55.000 So here's a new thing that I learned from a doctor.
00:11:00.000 So there's a doctor who worked in an emergency room for seven years.
00:11:07.000 This is a different doctor.
00:11:08.000 So I'm not not talking about Dr. Faust.
00:11:11.000 A different article in I guess it was in Scientific American.
00:11:16.000 And this doctor had been an emergency room doctor for four years and, you know, attending physician for three.
00:11:24.000 So he had seven years of doctoring and he treated coronavirus patients and he saw them die.
00:11:33.000 And he asked this question.
00:11:35.000 Why have I been a doctor for seven years, especially in an emergency room, and I've never seen anybody die of the regular flu?
00:11:44.000 Have you ever heard anybody say that before?
00:11:47.000 Have you ever heard anybody say, huh, I know people who've died of coronavirus.
00:11:53.000 Why don't I know anybody who's ever died of the regular flu?
00:11:57.000 There were 80,000 of them last year.
00:12:00.000 There's something wrong, right?
00:12:03.000 Doesn't quite make sense.
00:12:05.000 Now, when I said it, I said, well, the obvious reason is because I'm not a doctor, right?
00:12:10.000 Probably doctors see it all the time. 0.86
00:12:13.000 Didn't you assume?
00:12:15.000 So the doctor says he'd never seen one, not one.
00:12:20.000 So he called around to his other doctor friends.
00:12:24.000 And he said, have you ever seen anybody die from the regular flu?
00:12:30.000 What do you think they said?
00:12:32.000 Well, there was this one case of a pediatric situation that we heard about.
00:12:39.000 And then a few of them had seen one or two over their lifetime.
00:12:46.000 Over their entire career, anyway.
00:12:48.000 They'd seen one or two.
00:12:49.000 But the other doctors had never seen one.
00:12:54.000 Not one.
00:12:55.000 Now, how could it be that they're about the same number, let's say in very rough terms, of overdoses every year.
00:13:03.000 But we all know people who died from overdoses.
00:13:06.000 How many of you know somebody who died from an overdose?
00:13:10.000 Doesn't have to be last year, just in general.
00:13:13.000 All of you.
00:13:15.000 Every one of you, right?
00:13:16.000 You all know somebody who died of an overdose.
00:13:19.000 And that's about the same number as die of the flu, allegedly.
00:13:24.000 But why do we all hear about ODs?
00:13:28.000 We all know people who died in drunk driving accidents.
00:13:33.000 Most of us know people who have been shot.
00:13:36.000 Do you know anybody who has been shot in some kind of a crime or murder or anything?
00:13:42.000 I do.
00:13:43.000 I do.
00:13:44.000 I've had guns pointed at me several times myself.
00:13:48.000 So there's something that's not adding up, right?
00:13:52.000 So you may have heard President Trump asked exactly the same question at his town hall.
00:13:59.000 He said, why is it that I know three people who got coronavirus and his friend died?
00:14:06.000 And he said, I've lived my entire life and I've never heard of one person who died of the regular flu.
00:14:13.000 But this coronavirus hits and all of a sudden my friend dies and two other people I know have it.
00:14:18.000 I don't know if the others died.
00:14:19.000 I think they maybe just had it.
00:14:22.000 So he noticed it too.
00:14:24.000 So this doctor who noticed it, who is finally somebody who knows what they're talking about as opposed to, you know, us.
00:14:31.000 He decides to look into how do they calculate that number for the regular flu.
00:14:36.000 Do they count it?
00:14:41.000 Do they look at the records and see what is, you know, what the death certificate says?
00:14:47.000 And if it says died of the flu, chick, that's one.
00:14:50.000 And then they add them up.
00:14:52.000 Do you think that's what they do? 1.00
00:14:55.000 Fuck no. 1.00
00:14:56.000 Fuck no, they don't do that. 1.00
00:14:58.000 It turns out that they use a fucking algorithm. 1.00
00:15:01.000 They do an estimate. 1.00
00:15:03.000 They don't count them.
00:15:04.000 And their estimate could be wildly off, which they acknowledge.
00:15:08.000 Do you know how many you would get if you counted them?
00:15:11.000 The way they count coronavirus where you actually got a name and a medical record and it's this guy.
00:15:17.000 Do you know how many you'd get?
00:15:19.000 Maybe 4,000.
00:15:22.000 High end, 15,000.
00:15:25.000 But even at 15,000 a year, I feel like I would have heard of one.
00:15:31.000 Somebody I know.
00:15:32.000 I mean, 15,000 is still a lot.
00:15:35.000 I bet it's closer to four. 0.99
00:15:38.000 So do you know that the entire premise of this whole fucking shutdown 0.97
00:15:47.000 is that we didn't want to have a situation that was much worse than the regular flu, 0.98
00:15:54.000 which we believe to be in their neighborhood of, I don't know, 50,000 to 80,000 a year or something. 1.00
00:16:00.000 Turns out that's just fucking bullshit. 1.00
00:16:03.000 The most basic thing our fucking experts wanted us to understand was a lie. 1.00
00:16:10.000 It was as much of a lie as masks don't work. 0.99
00:16:14.000 It was as much of a lie as this does not pass from human to human.
00:16:20.000 Thank you. Fuck you, China. 1.00
00:16:22.000 Fucking fuckers. 1.00
00:16:24.000 So almost everything that we've been told about this thing has been wrong. 1.00
00:16:29.000 All of the important shit has been wrong. 0.92
00:16:32.000 And let me tell you as confidently as I can, 0.98
00:16:35.000 don't wait for testing.
00:16:37.000 Don't wait for testing to save you. 0.99
00:16:40.000 There's not going to be any fucking testing. 0.99
00:16:42.000 Not sufficient. 0.98
00:16:44.000 Because we know what the number is that would be sufficient.
00:16:46.000 We're nowhere fucking close.
00:16:48.000 We don't have a plan to get there. 0.61
00:16:50.000 There's no plan.
00:16:52.000 There's not even a path. 0.94
00:16:53.000 There's no fucking way testing is going to save us. 0.77
00:16:56.000 Nobody has a handle on it. 0.97
00:16:58.000 Nobody knows what we're doing.
00:17:00.000 Nobody thinks we're going to have enough. 0.98
00:17:02.000 It's not a fucking solution. 0.99
00:17:04.000 How about the vaccine? 0.99
00:17:06.000 Maybe we'll have one by the end of the year.
00:17:09.000 Do you know how many times we've successfully made a vaccine for a coronavirus type of situation?
00:17:16.000 What would you guess?
00:17:18.000 How many times in history have we successfully made a vaccine for something of this type? 0.99
00:17:24.000 How about fucking zero? 0.99
00:17:26.000 Zero. 0.99
00:17:27.000 In the whole fucking universe, the history of mankind, we've never fucking made a vaccine that works on this sort of thing. 0.99
00:17:36.000 Do you think we're going to make one now? 0.99
00:17:38.000 Because we're trying harder?
00:17:39.000 Maybe.
00:17:40.000 Maybe. 0.99
00:17:41.000 But if we do, we're going to accidentally cure the common fucking cold. 0.99
00:17:45.000 Because that's a coronavirus too. 0.98
00:17:47.000 Now, I'm not saying we won't do it.
00:17:49.000 Because there's a lot of genius and energy being concentrated on it.
00:17:54.000 Maybe we do.
00:17:55.000 But would you count on it? 1.00
00:17:57.000 I mean, the fucking liars who are telling us, yeah, the vaccine's coming, be they medical, be they politicians, fuck every one of them. 1.00
00:18:05.000 They're not making us a vaccine. 1.00
00:18:07.000 It's not even a fucking thing. 0.99
00:18:09.000 Stop lying to us. 1.00
00:18:11.000 Stop fucking lying to us. 1.00
00:18:14.000 You've lost all moral authority. 1.00
00:18:18.000 You've lost it.
00:18:20.000 You've lost it.
00:18:22.000 Moral authority comes not only from the organization of things where you have a leader.
00:18:28.000 And people say, well, the leader, we elected him.
00:18:31.000 He's got moral authority.
00:18:33.000 But you must also perform.
00:18:36.000 You must show that you are capable to maintain your moral authority.
00:18:41.000 Just because you were elected, that doesn't give you moral authority if you can't perform. 0.99
00:18:46.000 And they're all fucking lying to us. 1.00
00:18:49.000 Every goddamn fucking asshole that tells you they're an expert, a politician, they're all fucking lying to you about all the important stuff. 1.00
00:18:59.000 It's all a fucking lie. 1.00
00:19:01.000 Every fucking bit of it. 1.00
00:19:03.000 So, do you have a right to defy your government when they have lost their moral authority? 0.99
00:19:11.000 Yeah, you do. 0.99
00:19:12.000 You fucking do. 1.00
00:19:14.000 You can do anything you fucking want to do morally. 1.00
00:19:17.000 Now, legally, you can't. 0.98
00:19:19.000 There would be consequences, and I'm not going to suggest that you go get yourself in trouble.
00:19:24.000 But from a moral standpoint, they're lying to us, and they're not performing.
00:19:30.000 Did you know that we don't even know why viruses ever peter out?
00:19:35.000 Did you know that?
00:19:37.000 We don't even know why.
00:19:39.000 What about this remdesivir?
00:19:41.000 It's great stuff, right?
00:19:43.000 I just heard a study that says remdesivir.
00:19:45.000 That'll cut down on that virus, baby. 0.68
00:19:48.000 You got some virus in you?
00:19:50.000 They've tested it.
00:19:51.000 Remdesivir will reduce that virus in you.
00:19:54.000 And therefore, obviously, it helps you survive, right?
00:19:59.000 No.
00:20:00.000 No.
00:20:01.000 No. 0.99
00:20:02.000 Remdesivir does not have any indication that it changes the fucking survival rate. 0.99
00:20:08.000 Forget it. 1.00
00:20:10.000 If it doesn't change the survival rate, it's not a fucking drug. 0.99
00:20:16.000 It's just some company that's trying to make money. 0.97
00:20:19.000 Do you really need to pay $1,000 to get better three days earlier when you were going to get better anyway? 0.99
00:20:26.000 If it doesn't stop you from fucking dying, it's not a drug. 0.99
00:20:29.000 It's not a therapeutic. 1.00
00:20:30.000 It's a nothing.
00:20:31.000 It's a scam.
00:20:32.000 It's, I don't know.
00:20:33.000 What is it?
00:20:34.000 A vaccine?
00:20:35.000 Some pharmaceutical company has figured out how to gouge the public again. 0.99
00:20:40.000 They're fucking lying about remdesivir. 0.99
00:20:43.000 All right? 1.00
00:20:44.000 Probably there's lies all over the place on hydroxychloroquine.
00:20:49.000 Probably in both directions. 0.99
00:20:51.000 Totally unreliable bullshit information we have on that. 0.91
00:20:54.000 We don't know what causes the virus to stop. 1.00
00:20:57.000 We'll never have a fucking vaccine. 1.00
00:20:59.000 Stop lying to us. 1.00
00:21:01.000 We don't have any therapeutics that are working. 1.00
00:21:04.000 We have one fucking option. 1.00
00:21:06.000 To suck it up. 1.00
00:21:08.000 Do the best we can.
00:21:10.000 And try to save the economy.
00:21:13.000 Now that's obvious.
00:21:15.000 Everybody knows that.
00:21:16.000 And I don't know that you necessarily have to push your government to do something quicker.
00:21:22.000 Because we're only talking now, you know what, three and a half weeks to the end of May for most of the states.
00:21:29.000 By then we'll have a lot of information about the other states.
00:21:33.000 So we might be able to feel our way through this, you know, with some starts and stops.
00:21:38.000 I'm not sure that you necessarily have to protest your government.
00:21:42.000 I'm not saying that.
00:21:44.000 But I am saying that the government has sacrificed its moral authority.
00:21:49.000 It just doesn't have it.
00:21:51.000 You still might need to pay attention to them.
00:21:54.000 Maybe they'll correct.
00:21:55.000 Maybe they'll get it right eventually.
00:21:58.000 But they have no moral authority.
00:22:01.000 So as I said on Twitter today, if a store opened in my town, and the guidelines say I can't use that store.
00:22:09.000 But if they do, I'm going to go to that store. 0.97
00:22:11.000 I'm going to buy something at that fucking store if I don't even need anything from that store. 0.99
00:22:16.000 All right. 0.99
00:22:17.000 If somebody wants to take a chance, and I don't recommend this, by the way, I think it would be foolhardy to open a small business because you could get your ass kicked by the legal system. 0.98
00:22:29.000 But if you do, I'm on your side. 0.98
00:22:32.000 All right.
00:22:33.000 I'll wear my mask.
00:22:35.000 You know, I'll do curb pickup.
00:22:37.000 I'll do whatever you need.
00:22:39.000 Wash my hands.
00:22:40.000 I'll do all that. 1.00
00:22:41.000 But if you open up illegally, I'm your fucking customer. 1.00
00:22:44.000 Okay. 1.00
00:22:45.000 Okay.
00:22:46.000 And I don't see any other path to the other side of this.
00:22:50.000 So who's lying?
00:22:53.000 As far as I can tell, I don't know if it's lying or just people don't know.
00:22:59.000 It's hard to say.
00:23:00.000 All right.
00:23:02.000 On another topic, on another topic, the fakest of fake news, and there's a lot of fake news, but I'm going to say the fakest of all the fake news. 0.99
00:23:17.000 And I tweeted this earlier, is that every idiot pretending to not understand why Trump acts respectful to dictators when he knows he needs to negotiate with them for something important for this country. 1.00
00:23:32.000 Can you fucking assholes stop pretending you don't know why the president acts super friendly to dictators that he has to fucking negotiate with? 1.00
00:23:44.000 Do I have to explain why that makes sense? 1.00
00:23:46.000 Can you stop fucking acting like you don't understand it? 0.99
00:23:50.000 What's the president doing? 1.00
00:23:51.000 Why is he sucking up to a dictator before he does important trade talks?
00:23:55.000 I don't understand.
00:23:57.000 Why does he be nice to the biggest country in the world with a nuclear arsenal?
00:24:01.000 I don't understand. 1.00
00:24:03.000 I'm too fucking dumb. 1.00
00:24:05.000 Stop it. 1.00
00:24:06.000 Just stop being so fucking dumb that you act like you don't know why Trump is being nice to the dictators he has to negotiate with. 1.00
00:24:15.000 God! 1.00
00:24:16.000 Are you fucking kidding me? 1.00
00:24:17.000 Are you fucking kidding me? 1.00
00:24:18.000 Are you fucking kidding me? 0.99
00:24:22.000 In other news, I think I need to calm down a little bit. 0.99
00:24:35.000 Yeah, we don't know exactly what's a lie and what's just not knowing.
00:24:42.000 But, Scott, are you really surprised?
00:24:46.000 No, I'm way beyond, I think I'm way beyond being surprised.
00:24:53.000 All right, I'm just looking at your comments right now because that was sort of all I needed to say.
00:25:00.000 Fakers gonna fake?
00:25:04.000 Okay, so I didn't have much else to say.
00:25:11.000 So unless you have some questions, I will probably want to wind this down.
00:25:17.000 Well, I'm just watching your comments right now to see if anybody has some, anything that they'd like to ask.
00:25:24.000 It's funny that part of you like angry Scott Adams.
00:25:29.000 You may have noticed me talking about myself in third person, which I've explained before.
00:25:35.000 If you haven't heard that, if you've ever wondered why famous people sometimes refer to themselves in third person, there's a reason for that.
00:25:44.000 And it's not obvious at all until you become a famous person.
00:25:49.000 And the reason is that you are an observer of your famous side just like everybody else.
00:25:55.000 So when I talk about myself in the third person, I'm taking an observer view because that's actually how I see it too.
00:26:04.000 The real me, my inner thoughts and stuff, I'm the only one who knows that.
00:26:09.000 That's sort of the real me.
00:26:11.000 The public me is the part that's designed for external exposure.
00:26:18.000 And it doesn't feel like me because it lacks critical parts that I keep from the public.
00:26:25.000 So I talk about that version of me as a third party like it's an artificial construct too.
00:26:32.000 That's why people do that.
00:26:36.000 Please redo that as a shareable snippet.
00:26:39.000 Which part? The swearing?
00:26:41.000 I don't know which part you mean.
00:26:47.000 Somebody asked me and...
00:26:51.000 Hey, Allie.
00:26:53.000 Thanks for the super art.
00:26:55.000 Somebody asked me to give tips on calming down when you're angry.
00:27:00.000 And they said they've seen me do it on Periscope and it seems to be like a breathing thing.
00:27:07.000 So let me explain what I do do.
00:27:09.000 What I do do.
00:27:10.000 In the old days, the old me, and I've reformed, but for most of my life, if I got really mad, I had one way to calm down.
00:27:20.000 Which was that I would break something that had some monetary value.
00:27:24.000 Just destroy it.
00:27:26.000 Could be a printer that I needed to replace anyway.
00:27:30.000 I tried not to break things that I really cared about.
00:27:32.000 I don't think I ever have.
00:27:34.000 But there's always that item in your environment, the stapler that misfires every third staple, that sort of thing.
00:27:44.000 You don't replace it, but every third staple it misfires.
00:27:49.000 I hate this stapler.
00:27:51.000 But then I'll get mad and I'll see that stapler and I'll say,
00:27:55.000 Goodbye, stapler.
00:27:57.000 Your days, you had a good run.
00:28:00.000 You annoyed me for years.
00:28:02.000 But you happened to be in the general vicinity when I got mad.
00:28:08.000 So I might take that stapler, take it out to my garage where I've got a nice concrete floor,
00:28:14.000 and destroy it on the floor.
00:28:17.000 Probably finish it off with a sledgehammer. 0.92
00:28:20.000 And when I'm done, I feel great.
00:28:24.000 Almost instantly.
00:28:26.000 I feel great.
00:28:27.000 But it turns out that other people didn't understand my medical process.
00:28:32.000 People would see me destroying items.
00:28:35.000 People in relationships, let's say.
00:28:38.000 And they would be horrified.
00:28:40.000 And they would think, my God, am I going to get hurt?
00:28:43.000 Is something I care about going to be broken?
00:28:45.000 Has he lost it? 0.97
00:28:46.000 Is he insane?
00:28:48.000 And the funny thing is that on the inside, it was completely controlled.
00:28:52.000 Because I would be aware that I was seething with anger.
00:28:56.000 I would look at the stapler.
00:28:58.000 I would judge that it was inexpensive, relatively speaking.
00:29:01.000 That I would like to replace it anyway, because it messes up every third staple.
00:29:06.000 I know from experience that if I just go hog wild and destroy this thing, I'm going to instantly feel better.
00:29:14.000 So that's what's happening in my head.
00:29:16.000 It's all positive.
00:29:17.000 In a weird way, there's nothing negative in my head when it's happening.
00:29:21.000 But if you're observing it, it's pretty scary.
00:29:24.000 I've been told reliably, it's pretty scary.
00:29:28.000 So I tried to stop that habit as effective as it was.
00:29:33.000 And so I needed to replace it with some other mechanism to take me off the ledge.
00:29:40.000 And I do find that breathing works well.
00:29:43.000 It's the Mel Gibson trick.
00:29:45.000 So Mel Gibson, the actor, and I've said this before in Periscope.
00:29:49.000 He teaches that if you want to get into an acting frame of mind, that you breathe the way a person would in that situation.
00:29:57.000 And that brings the rest of your body along.
00:30:00.000 Because the way you breathe is such a basic, central, connected-to-everything process in your body,
00:30:07.000 that if you can just adjust that one thing, the rest of your body and brain will follow.
00:30:13.000 So that works in acting, but it also works when you're angry.
00:30:17.000 So you've seen me do it in real time, and it works in real time.
00:30:22.000 There's no pretending there.
00:30:24.000 When you see me, like my head is about ready to explode, and then I just relax and take a few deep breaths,
00:30:33.000 it does make you go away, almost instantly.
00:30:36.000 So I would say the simply relaxing your body, just let all your muscles go loose,
00:30:43.000 and then take a deep breath from the bottom of your diaphragm.
00:30:47.000 And just sort of, you know, feel your body relaxing and let the breath out.
00:30:57.000 It's almost instant.
00:30:59.000 I would say almost an instant going from, you know, a 10 to a 2, you know, with just a breath or two.
00:31:08.000 Now, I find that it works for me every time.
00:31:10.000 There's not one time that it hasn't worked perfectly.
00:31:13.000 So try it.
00:31:15.000 Give it a try.
00:31:17.000 Financial incentives for hospitals to code deaths as coronavirus.
00:31:26.000 Yeah, so I was talking earlier about Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust and his idea that the metric that should matter is the total deaths compared to prior years.
00:31:39.000 So that solves the problem of things being miscoded, which is, you know, a well-understood problem, or at least the possibility that it's miscoded.
00:31:48.000 I don't know if anything's actually been miscoded.
00:31:50.000 But you take that problem away by looking at the net.
00:31:54.000 So I think that's a pretty productive idea.
00:31:57.000 If it's not a perfect idea, it's the sort of idea that feels like it moved you in the right direction.
00:32:03.000 Any comment on what the FBI reportedly did to General Flynn?
00:32:12.000 Yes.
00:32:13.000 Yes, I do have a comment on that. 1.00
00:32:16.000 The FBI is a bunch of fuckers. 1.00
00:32:21.000 And I don't know how rotten it is, but it's seriously rotten. 1.00
00:32:28.000 And you can tell me that the rank and file are good people and it's only the leadership that's bad.
00:32:36.000 Maybe.
00:32:37.000 That could be.
00:32:38.000 But do you know any organizations where the leadership is all bad and it doesn't seep into the, you know, the workers?
00:32:46.000 I mean, maybe.
00:32:48.000 I would have to say that the FBI, almost everybody at the top needs to be fired or jailed.
00:32:56.000 So, what should have been our most trusted institution, maybe not counting the Supreme Court,
00:33:03.000 the FBI should be number two of our most trusted institutions.
00:33:10.000 And we'll never trust Congress or the President.
00:33:12.000 It doesn't work that way.
00:33:13.000 But we should be able to trust the FBI.
00:33:17.000 I don't.
00:33:19.000 If the FBI came to your house right now, what would you think?
00:33:24.000 Let's say you're innocent of everything.
00:33:27.000 And the FBI says, we'd like to talk to you.
00:33:30.000 What would be your first thought?
00:33:33.000 Would your first thought be, oh, no problem.
00:33:36.000 I didn't break any crimes.
00:33:38.000 I didn't commit any crimes.
00:33:40.000 So, why wouldn't I talk to the FBI?
00:33:42.000 They're on my side, right?
00:33:44.000 Why wouldn't I?
00:33:45.000 They're good guys.
00:33:46.000 They have questions.
00:33:47.000 I'll answer them.
00:33:48.000 Help the country.
00:33:49.000 What would you do today, though, if the FBI said we'd like to talk to you?
00:33:55.000 Well, the first thing I'd do is say no, right?
00:33:58.000 And then the FBI would say, but, you know, you can help us solve this crime.
00:34:03.000 It's not even about you.
00:34:05.000 And do you know what I'd say? 0.99
00:34:07.000 Not a fucking chance. 0.99
00:34:08.000 You are not going to talk to me if I can help it. 0.99
00:34:12.000 Like, if I'm legally forced to talk to them, I suppose so. 0.99
00:34:17.000 But if they ask me for a favor, not a fucking chance. 0.99
00:34:21.000 Because I don't trust them. 0.99
00:34:22.000 They've given up all their moral authority.
00:34:25.000 I wouldn't trust them.
00:34:26.000 Even if I thought I understood the favor, and I understood the favor to be in the good
00:34:32.000 of the country, I wouldn't trust it.
00:34:35.000 I wouldn't trust that they told me straight.
00:34:37.000 I wouldn't trust that it wasn't a setup.
00:34:40.000 I wouldn't trust that they're baiting me somehow.
00:34:43.000 I wouldn't trust it at all.
00:34:45.000 So, the FBI has lost all trust from the citizens.
00:34:51.000 They better try pretty hard to get it back.
00:34:53.000 It wasn't my fault.
00:34:55.000 I'm not the one that performed incredibly unethical, immoral, and probably illegal activities
00:35:03.000 on a regular basis for years.
00:35:06.000 Which is apparently what the FBI was doing on a number of different fronts.
00:35:10.000 That wasn't me.
00:35:12.000 I don't take any responsibility for that. 1.00
00:35:14.000 So, if the FBI doesn't have my trust, well, fuck them. 1.00
00:35:18.000 Fuck them. 1.00
00:35:19.000 You shouldn't have been scumbags and dickheads and assholes. 1.00
00:35:23.000 Maybe try that for a change. 1.00
00:35:25.000 Maybe people would want to cooperate with you some more.
00:35:28.000 So, the FBI, I think, is a completely discredited organization at this point.
00:35:34.000 Which I feel is just a huge national tragedy.
00:35:40.000 It is a national tragedy that they were so poorly managed.
00:35:45.000 And as for James Comey, there was a time I actually defended him when he first announced the email stuff about Hillary.
00:35:56.000 I said to myself, no, he's definitely going beyond his job description.
00:36:02.000 So, there's no question about he was acting out of turn.
00:36:05.000 But my first take was, no, I think he's trying to be a solid citizen.
00:36:12.000 And he just needs the public to know what he knows before they vote.
00:36:17.000 And then they can do what they want to do with it.
00:36:19.000 But he just wanted to make sure we knew what he knew.
00:36:22.000 Which I think was fair.
00:36:24.000 But as time goes by, and we see the fullness of things that Comey has done,
00:36:31.000 he's such a horrible human being that I can no longer hold on to my optimistic take
00:36:38.000 that whatever he did with those emails and Hillary was somehow for the benefit of the country. 0.71
00:36:43.000 Because he's certainly proven that he does not act in the benefit of the country.
00:36:49.000 I mean, that we don't have to wonder anymore.
00:36:52.000 So, why would I assume that he did it in this other situation?
00:36:55.000 Well, so I retract.
00:36:57.000 If you're keeping track, I know some of you mock me sometimes for never admitting I'm wrong.
00:37:05.000 Well, I don't know if I was wrong about the Hillary Clinton situation
00:37:10.000 because I do think I prefer that he told us what he knew.
00:37:13.000 So, as a citizen, I definitely prefer the way he handled it.
00:37:17.000 But I no longer believe that his intentions were what I assumed, which was positive.
00:37:25.000 I now assume that he's just a diseased and broken individual
00:37:30.000 and that there's nothing in there but, you know, twigs and snails and snot and Satan 0.87
00:37:37.000 and whatever else is in his head. I don't know.
00:37:40.000 So, yeah, I could not have a lower opinion of the FBI right now.
00:37:45.000 And I hate that because I've always had a high opinion of the FBI, law enforcement in general.
00:37:52.000 I've always had a high opinion, you know, mistakes and bad actors notwithstanding.
00:37:58.000 I never felt it was the whole organization. I've never felt that.
00:38:02.000 But now I do. At this point, you can no longer say, oh, there's the good ones and there's the bad ones.
00:38:10.000 The bad ones have so ruined the organization that it doesn't matter if they're good ones anymore.
00:38:15.000 You can't trust them. What's the difference?
00:38:18.000 There are good ones working there, but you can't trust them either
00:38:21.000 because the other ones were so bad that you lost all your trust.
00:38:24.000 I'm sorry. I didn't break the good ones.
00:38:27.000 It wasn't my fault that the good people working at the FBI get this bad reputation.
00:38:33.000 That's not my fault. 1.00
00:38:34.000 That happened from Comey and his band of liars and crooks and treasonous bastards. 1.00
00:38:41.000 Somebody says their Wi-Fi router is named FBI van down the street. 1.00
00:38:55.000 Flynn needs more than a pardon.
00:38:59.000 I think Flynn is going to get more than a pardon.
00:39:02.000 Don't you?
00:39:04.000 Don't you think that Flynn could sue?
00:39:07.000 Isn't there a wrongful something lawsuit?
00:39:11.000 Doesn't he have the cleanest, best lawsuit you could ever have?
00:39:15.000 Because remember, if he tried to prove something in a criminal trial,
00:39:19.000 you've got this beyond a reasonable doubt standard.
00:39:23.000 So could he prove that something was beyond a reasonable doubt?
00:39:30.000 I don't know. Maybe not.
00:39:33.000 But in a civil case, proving that the FBI was out to get him turns out to be,
00:39:39.000 correct me if I'm wrong, but in a civil case,
00:39:41.000 it's just you vote for the one you think is most likely,
00:39:44.000 as opposed to beyond a reasonable doubt.
00:39:48.000 So maybe there's no criminal penalties in the future for these FBI guys,
00:39:53.000 but how could Flynn not be able to sue all of them individually?
00:39:59.000 I would think he could win that, wouldn't you?
00:40:05.000 Do I think Durham will indict?
00:40:07.000 I don't have any visibility on that or insight or knowledge about the law or any of that.
00:40:15.000 But would that stop me from predicting? No.
00:40:18.000 Have you met me?
00:40:20.000 Of course I'm going to make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever.
00:40:24.000 I wouldn't be me, and this would not be the internet,
00:40:27.000 if I would not be willing to make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever.
00:40:33.000 And it goes like this.
00:40:36.000 Durham will indict.
00:40:39.000 Maybe not everybody.
00:40:41.000 Probably not everybody.
00:40:42.000 At least everybody meaning the names that you can name right now,
00:40:46.000 you know, the main players.
00:40:47.000 Probably not all.
00:40:48.000 But I would guess that he's dug in deeply enough
00:40:53.000 that almost certainly there's going to be something.
00:40:58.000 So somebody's getting indicted.
00:41:00.000 I would say that that's close to 100%.
00:41:03.000 That at least one person will get one indictment.
00:41:07.000 I don't know how deep it will go, but yeah, there'll be some indictments, I think.
00:41:13.000 Let's call that my prediction.
00:41:16.000 I think I should call it a guess.
00:41:18.000 Because when I predict things,
00:41:20.000 I like to have my predictions based on a, you know,
00:41:24.000 a common variable that everybody can see.
00:41:28.000 So when I predicted that Trump would win,
00:41:30.000 I said it's because he's got this skill set that should win in the long run.
00:41:36.000 But when I'm looking at Durham, I'm not basing it on anything.
00:41:39.000 I'm just like, well, you know, he's a professional prosecutor.
00:41:42.000 There's so much material to work with.
00:41:45.000 What are the odds that a professional prosecutor type
00:41:49.000 can't find something to prosecute in all of this business?
00:41:53.000 I would think that they could find something and that he would want to
00:41:58.000 because that's his reputation.
00:42:01.000 It keeps him credible.
00:42:03.000 It gets him the next job.
00:42:05.000 I think he's got to, he's probably got to indict somebody.
00:42:12.000 All right.
00:42:14.000 Somebody says, why have other countries been able to,
00:42:18.000 like Japan and the Czech Republic, been able to suppress new infections?
00:42:23.000 I was going to talk about that and I'm glad you reminded me.
00:42:26.000 And it goes like this.
00:42:29.000 We don't know why any country is doing better than any other country.
00:42:35.000 Like, except for the most basic thing,
00:42:38.000 like we know that Italy had some air travel, you know, from Wuhan,
00:42:43.000 and that almost certainly was right.
00:42:45.000 We know some have older populations.
00:42:48.000 But none of these correlations work for all the countries.
00:42:53.000 So every time you think you've got one, it's like, ah, Italy has old people. 1.00
00:42:57.000 Done. Old people are the problem. 1.00
00:42:59.000 And then you go, you know, find another country
00:43:01.000 and they don't have old people and they get a big problem.
00:43:04.000 So, so we have all these experts that can't tell us the most basic thing,
00:43:13.000 which is look at all these countries, look at the, the wildly varying results
00:43:18.000 and tell us why, why they can't do it.
00:43:23.000 If they can't tell you why one country is doing better than another,
00:43:28.000 they have theories, but they're untested.
00:43:30.000 They don't seem to work.
00:43:31.000 You know, if you apply it to another country, it doesn't work.
00:43:34.000 So nobody knows.
00:43:38.000 I'm going to take my, here's my guess.
00:43:41.000 I think there are probably three or four main variables.
00:43:45.000 One of them is, you know, just age
00:43:48.000 and whether the old people are in one place.
00:43:51.000 So, you know, a lot of it is just, are they old
00:43:54.000 and are they in the wrong place where they're around too many people, et cetera.
00:43:57.000 So that's the obvious one.
00:43:58.000 But I'll bet elevators are a big part of it or things that are very enclosed spaces.
00:44:05.000 So it makes me think that maybe air conditioning is part of it.
00:44:08.000 Could it be that air conditioning is what's circulating this thing because it lives in the air?
00:44:13.000 So I worry about any kind of air circulation that's not externally vented and brought in.
00:44:23.000 In other words, if you're circulating the same air, like in an elevator, you know, while it's closed,
00:44:30.000 there's not much air getting in and out, it's just sort of circulating in there.
00:44:33.000 On a cruise ship, circulating within the cruise ship.
00:44:37.000 In a nursing home, circulating within a nursing home.
00:44:40.000 So, I don't know.
00:44:42.000 Maybe we'll find out that elevators and closed spaces with other people, that's it.
00:44:50.000 I mean, that might be the whole story.
00:44:51.000 I wouldn't be surprised.
00:44:53.000 Yeah.
00:44:54.000 And when you look at places that didn't shut down, some of them have higher death rates,
00:45:00.000 but not so much higher.
00:45:02.000 It's very unexplained.
00:45:03.000 And I think that genetics is going to be a big aha when we do that.
00:45:09.000 Not many cases in Africa, which could be because of the more outdoor living.
00:45:17.000 What is unique about Africa?
00:45:20.000 One of the things that's unique is that for a hot place,
00:45:25.000 Africa probably has less air conditioning per person than any place else, wouldn't you say?
00:45:31.000 For a place that's also hot.
00:45:33.000 So, I don't know, outdoor living, not as much air conditioning, lots of sun, very young.
00:45:42.000 Africa is a young, young country.
00:45:45.000 Could be that people are dying and they don't know it.
00:45:48.000 Not good reporting, I don't know.
00:45:50.000 Could be lots of things.
00:45:52.000 Yeah, and then people say that Africa has the least amount of foreign travel.
00:45:57.000 Could it be just that?
00:45:59.000 Yeah, airplanes, subways, elevators.
00:46:04.000 It's probably just all that stuff.
00:46:06.000 Yeah, and somebody mentions in the comments super spreaders.
00:46:10.000 I have this feeling that 80% of the spreading is coming from 20% of the people, or worse. 0.89
00:46:18.000 Could be 99% is coming from 1%.
00:46:22.000 The fact that super spreaders exist tells you that there's a range, right?
00:46:28.000 There's the barely spreading to super spreader.
00:46:32.000 You would think that the ones that are way on the edge of the super spread spectrum,
00:46:38.000 they could take out a whole train car.
00:46:41.000 They could take out the whole coach section of an airplane.
00:46:45.000 They could take out a nursing home. 0.97
00:46:49.000 It would be interesting to find out that the super spreaders are the people who talk too much.
00:46:54.000 Because don't you sort of think that might be the case?
00:46:58.000 You do, don't you?
00:47:00.000 Don't you think, what would make somebody a super spreader and somebody not?
00:47:05.000 Is it just the amount of virus they have in their body?
00:47:07.000 Well, maybe.
00:47:08.000 I mean, it might be just the viral load.
00:47:11.000 But if it's coming out of the mouth, doesn't it stand to reason that the person who projects the most out of their mouth is the most super spready?
00:47:24.000 So, might we find out that the only risk is from big mouths who can't stop talking?
00:47:29.000 And I'm completely serious.
00:47:32.000 We could find out in a week.
00:47:34.000 It's embarrassing.
00:47:36.000 But it turns out the people who are doing 95% of the spreading is that, you know, loud Howard person who comes into your cubicle and can't shut up.
00:47:46.000 But everybody who just talks the normal amount, they're not spreading at all.
00:47:50.000 It turns out that normal talking doesn't have much danger.
00:47:53.000 But that guy is, how was your weekend?
00:47:56.000 How was your weekend?
00:47:58.000 My weekend was good.
00:47:59.000 How was yours?
00:48:00.000 Do you like ice cream?
00:48:02.000 I mowed my lawn.
00:48:03.000 I like your shirt.
00:48:05.000 You know, everybody knows that person.
00:48:08.000 Would you be surprised if one of these days you found out that the super spreaders are just the loud talkers who can't share their lives?
00:48:15.000 Loud talkers who can't shut up.
00:48:17.000 You know, the person at the restaurant that you can hear four tables over and it's all you can hear and you can't even eat.
00:48:22.000 You're like, oh, will that guy shut up?
00:48:24.000 And guess what?
00:48:25.000 It's always a guy. 0.65
00:48:26.000 It's always a guy. 0.65
00:48:27.000 That guy who can't shut up in the restaurant.
00:48:29.000 It's always a guy. 0.65
00:48:32.000 Somebody says Chris Cuomo talks a lot.
00:48:35.000 Well, I'm talking about somebody who gets it.
00:48:38.000 Some, you know, I don't know if I don't know if you can get it from talking too much.
00:48:45.000 Somebody says alcohol makes anyone a super spreader.
00:48:49.000 Could be.
00:48:50.000 Is there a correlation with how much you drink?
00:48:54.000 Italy, big drinkers.
00:48:57.000 But Israel doing a little bit better.
00:49:02.000 Maybe fewer drinkers in Israel.
00:49:04.000 Is that, I don't know if that's true, but feels like it could be true.
00:49:09.000 So what about alcohol?
00:49:10.000 Yeah, maybe, maybe it's all just down to alcohol.
00:49:13.000 Could be.
00:49:14.000 All right.
00:49:16.000 I think I've said enough.
00:49:18.000 I've said enough.
00:49:19.000 I really have.
00:49:21.000 I will see you in the morning.
00:49:26.000 You know where.
00:49:27.000 You know when.
00:49:29.000 You know what to bring with you.
00:49:31.000 I expect you to be there.
00:49:32.000 Be punctual.
00:49:33.000 We will have the best simultaneous sip the whole week so far.
00:49:40.000 And I will see you in the morning.