Episode 955 Scott Adams： Extra Cussing Tonight. Put the Kids to Bed. Close Your Windows, Get Under the Covers
Episode Stats
Summary
In this episode of the podcast, we talk about hydroxychloroquine and coronavirus, and whether or not it could be a game changer in the fight against the virus. We also talk about the controversy surrounding the drug and its use on front line healthcare workers.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum. It's looking a little bright in here. Hold on a second. I'm going to turn down the light.
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There we go. Just the right amount of darkness. Add makeup to my face without putting any on.
00:00:38.000
Can you tell me why Periscope and Zoom and Skype don't have Snapchat filters so that I can look like I have TV makeup on all the time?
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Is there any reason you can't build a Snapchat filter into these Zoom and conference calls? Why not? Why not, they say.
00:00:58.000
Well, you've all been warned. You saw my tweet, some of you, warning that there might be extra cussing.
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You saw the title of my Periscope, which says extra cussing.
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I am now warning you directly that there will be extra cussing. Cussing. Cussing. Not cussing. Cussing.
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I recommend that you put the kids to sleep. Close your windows and get under a heavy blanket.
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Because the cursing could come out at any time. At any time.
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I asked this question today and it bugs me that I didn't know the answer.
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Does anyone know, since we know that a lot of frontline healthcare workers are taking hydroxychloroquine,
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do we know if any of them have been hospitalized?
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Wouldn't you like to know, of all the many medical professionals who are around the coronavirus all the time,
00:02:11.000
have any of them been hospitalized if they were also taking hydroxychloroquine?
00:02:17.000
Don't you think that's pretty, pretty important? We don't know.
00:02:23.000
I did talk to a doctor just moments ago on Twitter who said that he has heard of people who were on hydroxychloroquine and did contract the virus.
00:02:39.000
So, anecdotally, it looks like you can get the virus, so it's not a preventive.
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I don't think we necessarily thought it was likely to prevent it.
00:02:51.000
Some people were hopeful, but that didn't seem likely to me.
00:02:55.000
The more likely is that it would help you deal with it once you got it.
00:03:02.000
However, I was conversing with Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust, and he was filling me in on some stuff.
00:03:13.000
And after listening to his description, because he's following things pretty closely,
00:03:21.000
he does not have much confidence that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a game-changer.
00:03:29.000
Now, he asked me to define game-changer because I said, are you saying it won't be a game-changer?
00:03:38.000
And I said, well, something that would allow us to go fully back to work and still not have our hospitals crashed.
00:03:49.000
The hospitals stay intact and we still go back to work.
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That would be a game-changer if the meds allowed us to do that.
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In fact, if hydroxychloroquine works at all, it's sort of going to be in the statistics.
00:04:08.000
And he made a good point, which I will make to you.
00:04:12.000
If the people, because you know there are lots of hydroxychloroquine tests going on, right?
00:04:19.000
So there are all kinds of tests all over the place.
00:04:22.000
And as the doctor pointed out to me, if any of those tests had shown it obviously works,
00:04:29.000
meaning that you don't need to do the statistics, it's just obvious.
00:04:39.000
Now, that's why I had lowered my estimate of the likelihood that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a big deal.
00:04:57.000
And the doctor was saying, you know, if you could notice the difference, like the doctors could just tell without any statistics, we would already know.
00:05:10.000
And secondly, for humanitarian, humane reasons, they would have stopped the test.
00:05:16.000
Because if you get such good results with a drug that has been used for so long, you have a pretty good idea what the safety profile is.
00:05:25.000
If it worked that well, they would have stopped the trials already.
00:05:30.000
And they would have said, oh, it's just obvious.
00:05:36.000
So I'll stick with my 40% chance that hydroxychloroquine is a big deal.
00:05:42.000
So the New York Times 1619 project got a Pulitzer Prize.
00:05:49.000
So the 1619 project was basically rewriting the history of the United States sort of to make us look like bad slavers, I guess, was the main thing.
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And I guess historians rip them apart for having bad history in there.
00:06:26.000
Do you want to get red-pilled on the Pulitzer Prize?
00:06:31.000
In approximately three minutes, you're going to think the Pulitzer Prize is so stupid, you wouldn't even want to win one, even if you didn't have to do anything to get it.
00:06:44.000
The Pulitzer Prize is a little group of people who volunteered and had to be selected, of course, they volunteered but were also selected, to be on a little committee where they would read 0.0001% of the work that was created that year, just the stuff that was submitted.
00:07:08.000
So they'd see this tiny, tiny little sliver of work that was produced.
00:07:13.000
And then the, I don't know, six or eight of them, it's a small group.
00:07:21.000
And then they'd talk about it and they'd decide that that one gets the Pulitzer Prize.
00:07:25.000
Now, there are different little groups for each flavor of Pulitzer Prize, for each category.
00:07:34.000
How prestigious is it to win an award that's six to eight people sitting around in the living room saying, you know, I like this one the best of these few choices?
00:07:57.000
It's just some people sitting in the living room saying, well, there were a million things created.
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Of the seven things I read, of the million things that were created, I like this one best, of the seven.
00:08:24.000
So he says, is there a Pulitzer for cartooning?
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There have been Pulitzers awarded to cartoonists.
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I think Gary Trudeau got one, if I'm not mistaken.
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And of course, there have been other cartoonists who do political cartoons who have gotten them.
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I stopped wanting one when I met the husband of one of the judges.
00:08:59.000
So the husband of one of the judges was in my living room one day.
00:09:09.000
And he talked about his wife who was on the Pulitzer committee.
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And he just described it like I described it to you.
00:09:16.000
And that was the last time I cared about winning a Pulitzer Prize.
00:09:21.000
It's just six people sitting around who haven't seen even 1% of the stuff that's been produced that year?
00:09:33.000
So speaking of Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust, he suggests, along with his co-writer in the Washington Post,
00:09:48.000
they wrote a piece with Carlos Del Rio in which they say that maybe the best metric to track for going back to work is net deaths.
00:09:59.000
So instead of looking at just coronavirus deaths, just look at the net compared to the historical baseline and say,
00:10:08.000
are you keeping it close to the historical number?
00:10:11.000
Because there are lots of variables in net deaths.
00:10:20.000
I don't see anything wrong with that approach to you.
00:10:28.000
But you could have tracked deaths, but then you have trouble of knowing if you're counting them right.
00:10:33.000
So counting the total net deaths and comparing it to prior year baselines, not too bad.
00:10:41.000
Are you wondering where the swearing is going to come in?
00:10:55.000
So here's a new thing that I learned from a doctor.
00:11:00.000
So there's a doctor who worked in an emergency room for seven years.
00:11:11.000
A different article in I guess it was in Scientific American.
00:11:16.000
And this doctor had been an emergency room doctor for four years and, you know, attending physician for three.
00:11:24.000
So he had seven years of doctoring and he treated coronavirus patients and he saw them die.
00:11:35.000
Why have I been a doctor for seven years, especially in an emergency room, and I've never seen anybody die of the regular flu?
00:11:47.000
Have you ever heard anybody say, huh, I know people who've died of coronavirus.
00:11:53.000
Why don't I know anybody who's ever died of the regular flu?
00:12:05.000
Now, when I said it, I said, well, the obvious reason is because I'm not a doctor, right?
00:12:15.000
So the doctor says he'd never seen one, not one.
00:12:20.000
So he called around to his other doctor friends.
00:12:24.000
And he said, have you ever seen anybody die from the regular flu?
00:12:32.000
Well, there was this one case of a pediatric situation that we heard about.
00:12:39.000
And then a few of them had seen one or two over their lifetime.
00:12:55.000
Now, how could it be that they're about the same number, let's say in very rough terms, of overdoses every year.
00:13:03.000
But we all know people who died from overdoses.
00:13:06.000
How many of you know somebody who died from an overdose?
00:13:19.000
And that's about the same number as die of the flu, allegedly.
00:13:28.000
We all know people who died in drunk driving accidents.
00:13:36.000
Do you know anybody who has been shot in some kind of a crime or murder or anything?
00:13:44.000
I've had guns pointed at me several times myself.
00:13:48.000
So there's something that's not adding up, right?
00:13:52.000
So you may have heard President Trump asked exactly the same question at his town hall.
00:13:59.000
He said, why is it that I know three people who got coronavirus and his friend died?
00:14:06.000
And he said, I've lived my entire life and I've never heard of one person who died of the regular flu.
00:14:13.000
But this coronavirus hits and all of a sudden my friend dies and two other people I know have it.
00:14:24.000
So this doctor who noticed it, who is finally somebody who knows what they're talking about as opposed to, you know, us.
00:14:31.000
He decides to look into how do they calculate that number for the regular flu.
00:14:41.000
Do they look at the records and see what is, you know, what the death certificate says?
00:14:47.000
And if it says died of the flu, chick, that's one.
00:14:58.000
It turns out that they use a fucking algorithm.
00:15:04.000
And their estimate could be wildly off, which they acknowledge.
00:15:08.000
Do you know how many you would get if you counted them?
00:15:11.000
The way they count coronavirus where you actually got a name and a medical record and it's this guy.
00:15:25.000
But even at 15,000 a year, I feel like I would have heard of one.
00:15:38.000
So do you know that the entire premise of this whole fucking shutdown
00:15:47.000
is that we didn't want to have a situation that was much worse than the regular flu,
00:15:54.000
which we believe to be in their neighborhood of, I don't know, 50,000 to 80,000 a year or something.
00:16:03.000
The most basic thing our fucking experts wanted us to understand was a lie.
00:16:14.000
It was as much of a lie as this does not pass from human to human.
00:16:24.000
So almost everything that we've been told about this thing has been wrong.
00:16:44.000
Because we know what the number is that would be sufficient.
00:16:53.000
There's no fucking way testing is going to save us.
00:17:09.000
Do you know how many times we've successfully made a vaccine for a coronavirus type of situation?
00:17:18.000
How many times in history have we successfully made a vaccine for something of this type?
00:17:27.000
In the whole fucking universe, the history of mankind, we've never fucking made a vaccine that works on this sort of thing.
00:17:41.000
But if we do, we're going to accidentally cure the common fucking cold.
00:17:49.000
Because there's a lot of genius and energy being concentrated on it.
00:17:57.000
I mean, the fucking liars who are telling us, yeah, the vaccine's coming, be they medical, be they politicians, fuck every one of them.
00:18:22.000
Moral authority comes not only from the organization of things where you have a leader.
00:18:28.000
And people say, well, the leader, we elected him.
00:18:36.000
You must show that you are capable to maintain your moral authority.
00:18:41.000
Just because you were elected, that doesn't give you moral authority if you can't perform.
00:18:49.000
Every goddamn fucking asshole that tells you they're an expert, a politician, they're all fucking lying to you about all the important stuff.
00:19:03.000
So, do you have a right to defy your government when they have lost their moral authority?
00:19:14.000
You can do anything you fucking want to do morally.
00:19:19.000
There would be consequences, and I'm not going to suggest that you go get yourself in trouble.
00:19:24.000
But from a moral standpoint, they're lying to us, and they're not performing.
00:19:30.000
Did you know that we don't even know why viruses ever peter out?
00:19:54.000
And therefore, obviously, it helps you survive, right?
00:20:02.000
Remdesivir does not have any indication that it changes the fucking survival rate.
00:20:10.000
If it doesn't change the survival rate, it's not a fucking drug.
00:20:16.000
It's just some company that's trying to make money.
00:20:19.000
Do you really need to pay $1,000 to get better three days earlier when you were going to get better anyway?
00:20:26.000
If it doesn't stop you from fucking dying, it's not a drug.
00:20:35.000
Some pharmaceutical company has figured out how to gouge the public again.
00:20:44.000
Probably there's lies all over the place on hydroxychloroquine.
00:20:51.000
Totally unreliable bullshit information we have on that.
00:21:01.000
We don't have any therapeutics that are working.
00:21:16.000
And I don't know that you necessarily have to push your government to do something quicker.
00:21:22.000
Because we're only talking now, you know what, three and a half weeks to the end of May for most of the states.
00:21:29.000
By then we'll have a lot of information about the other states.
00:21:33.000
So we might be able to feel our way through this, you know, with some starts and stops.
00:21:38.000
I'm not sure that you necessarily have to protest your government.
00:21:44.000
But I am saying that the government has sacrificed its moral authority.
00:22:01.000
So as I said on Twitter today, if a store opened in my town, and the guidelines say I can't use that store.
00:22:11.000
I'm going to buy something at that fucking store if I don't even need anything from that store.
00:22:17.000
If somebody wants to take a chance, and I don't recommend this, by the way, I think it would be foolhardy to open a small business because you could get your ass kicked by the legal system.
00:22:41.000
But if you open up illegally, I'm your fucking customer.
00:22:46.000
And I don't see any other path to the other side of this.
00:22:53.000
As far as I can tell, I don't know if it's lying or just people don't know.
00:23:02.000
On another topic, on another topic, the fakest of fake news, and there's a lot of fake news, but I'm going to say the fakest of all the fake news.
00:23:17.000
And I tweeted this earlier, is that every idiot pretending to not understand why Trump acts respectful to dictators when he knows he needs to negotiate with them for something important for this country.
00:23:32.000
Can you fucking assholes stop pretending you don't know why the president acts super friendly to dictators that he has to fucking negotiate with?
00:23:46.000
Can you stop fucking acting like you don't understand it?
00:23:51.000
Why is he sucking up to a dictator before he does important trade talks?
00:23:57.000
Why does he be nice to the biggest country in the world with a nuclear arsenal?
00:24:06.000
Just stop being so fucking dumb that you act like you don't know why Trump is being nice to the dictators he has to negotiate with.
00:24:22.000
In other news, I think I need to calm down a little bit.
00:24:35.000
Yeah, we don't know exactly what's a lie and what's just not knowing.
00:24:46.000
No, I'm way beyond, I think I'm way beyond being surprised.
00:24:53.000
All right, I'm just looking at your comments right now because that was sort of all I needed to say.
00:25:11.000
So unless you have some questions, I will probably want to wind this down.
00:25:17.000
Well, I'm just watching your comments right now to see if anybody has some, anything that they'd like to ask.
00:25:24.000
It's funny that part of you like angry Scott Adams.
00:25:29.000
You may have noticed me talking about myself in third person, which I've explained before.
00:25:35.000
If you haven't heard that, if you've ever wondered why famous people sometimes refer to themselves in third person, there's a reason for that.
00:25:44.000
And it's not obvious at all until you become a famous person.
00:25:49.000
And the reason is that you are an observer of your famous side just like everybody else.
00:25:55.000
So when I talk about myself in the third person, I'm taking an observer view because that's actually how I see it too.
00:26:04.000
The real me, my inner thoughts and stuff, I'm the only one who knows that.
00:26:11.000
The public me is the part that's designed for external exposure.
00:26:18.000
And it doesn't feel like me because it lacks critical parts that I keep from the public.
00:26:25.000
So I talk about that version of me as a third party like it's an artificial construct too.
00:26:55.000
Somebody asked me to give tips on calming down when you're angry.
00:27:00.000
And they said they've seen me do it on Periscope and it seems to be like a breathing thing.
00:27:10.000
In the old days, the old me, and I've reformed, but for most of my life, if I got really mad, I had one way to calm down.
00:27:20.000
Which was that I would break something that had some monetary value.
00:27:26.000
Could be a printer that I needed to replace anyway.
00:27:30.000
I tried not to break things that I really cared about.
00:27:34.000
But there's always that item in your environment, the stapler that misfires every third staple, that sort of thing.
00:27:44.000
You don't replace it, but every third staple it misfires.
00:27:51.000
But then I'll get mad and I'll see that stapler and I'll say,
00:28:02.000
But you happened to be in the general vicinity when I got mad.
00:28:08.000
So I might take that stapler, take it out to my garage where I've got a nice concrete floor,
00:28:27.000
But it turns out that other people didn't understand my medical process.
00:28:40.000
And they would think, my God, am I going to get hurt?
00:28:48.000
And the funny thing is that on the inside, it was completely controlled.
00:28:52.000
Because I would be aware that I was seething with anger.
00:28:58.000
I would judge that it was inexpensive, relatively speaking.
00:29:01.000
That I would like to replace it anyway, because it messes up every third staple.
00:29:06.000
I know from experience that if I just go hog wild and destroy this thing, I'm going to instantly feel better.
00:29:17.000
In a weird way, there's nothing negative in my head when it's happening.
00:29:28.000
So I tried to stop that habit as effective as it was.
00:29:33.000
And so I needed to replace it with some other mechanism to take me off the ledge.
00:29:45.000
So Mel Gibson, the actor, and I've said this before in Periscope.
00:29:49.000
He teaches that if you want to get into an acting frame of mind, that you breathe the way a person would in that situation.
00:30:00.000
Because the way you breathe is such a basic, central, connected-to-everything process in your body,
00:30:07.000
that if you can just adjust that one thing, the rest of your body and brain will follow.
00:30:13.000
So that works in acting, but it also works when you're angry.
00:30:17.000
So you've seen me do it in real time, and it works in real time.
00:30:24.000
When you see me, like my head is about ready to explode, and then I just relax and take a few deep breaths,
00:30:36.000
So I would say the simply relaxing your body, just let all your muscles go loose,
00:30:43.000
and then take a deep breath from the bottom of your diaphragm.
00:30:47.000
And just sort of, you know, feel your body relaxing and let the breath out.
00:30:59.000
I would say almost an instant going from, you know, a 10 to a 2, you know, with just a breath or two.
00:31:10.000
There's not one time that it hasn't worked perfectly.
00:31:17.000
Financial incentives for hospitals to code deaths as coronavirus.
00:31:26.000
Yeah, so I was talking earlier about Dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust and his idea that the metric that should matter is the total deaths compared to prior years.
00:31:39.000
So that solves the problem of things being miscoded, which is, you know, a well-understood problem, or at least the possibility that it's miscoded.
00:31:48.000
I don't know if anything's actually been miscoded.
00:31:50.000
But you take that problem away by looking at the net.
00:31:57.000
If it's not a perfect idea, it's the sort of idea that feels like it moved you in the right direction.
00:32:03.000
Any comment on what the FBI reportedly did to General Flynn?
00:32:21.000
And I don't know how rotten it is, but it's seriously rotten.
00:32:28.000
And you can tell me that the rank and file are good people and it's only the leadership that's bad.
00:32:38.000
But do you know any organizations where the leadership is all bad and it doesn't seep into the, you know, the workers?
00:32:48.000
I would have to say that the FBI, almost everybody at the top needs to be fired or jailed.
00:32:56.000
So, what should have been our most trusted institution, maybe not counting the Supreme Court,
00:33:03.000
the FBI should be number two of our most trusted institutions.
00:33:10.000
And we'll never trust Congress or the President.
00:33:19.000
If the FBI came to your house right now, what would you think?
00:33:49.000
What would you do today, though, if the FBI said we'd like to talk to you?
00:33:58.000
And then the FBI would say, but, you know, you can help us solve this crime.
00:34:08.000
You are not going to talk to me if I can help it.
00:34:12.000
Like, if I'm legally forced to talk to them, I suppose so.
00:34:17.000
But if they ask me for a favor, not a fucking chance.
00:34:26.000
Even if I thought I understood the favor, and I understood the favor to be in the good
00:34:40.000
I wouldn't trust that they're baiting me somehow.
00:34:45.000
So, the FBI has lost all trust from the citizens.
00:34:55.000
I'm not the one that performed incredibly unethical, immoral, and probably illegal activities
00:35:06.000
Which is apparently what the FBI was doing on a number of different fronts.
00:35:14.000
So, if the FBI doesn't have my trust, well, fuck them.
00:35:19.000
You shouldn't have been scumbags and dickheads and assholes.
00:35:25.000
Maybe people would want to cooperate with you some more.
00:35:28.000
So, the FBI, I think, is a completely discredited organization at this point.
00:35:40.000
It is a national tragedy that they were so poorly managed.
00:35:45.000
And as for James Comey, there was a time I actually defended him when he first announced the email stuff about Hillary.
00:35:56.000
I said to myself, no, he's definitely going beyond his job description.
00:36:02.000
So, there's no question about he was acting out of turn.
00:36:05.000
But my first take was, no, I think he's trying to be a solid citizen.
00:36:12.000
And he just needs the public to know what he knows before they vote.
00:36:17.000
And then they can do what they want to do with it.
00:36:19.000
But he just wanted to make sure we knew what he knew.
00:36:24.000
But as time goes by, and we see the fullness of things that Comey has done,
00:36:31.000
he's such a horrible human being that I can no longer hold on to my optimistic take
00:36:38.000
that whatever he did with those emails and Hillary was somehow for the benefit of the country.
00:36:43.000
Because he's certainly proven that he does not act in the benefit of the country.
00:36:52.000
So, why would I assume that he did it in this other situation?
00:36:57.000
If you're keeping track, I know some of you mock me sometimes for never admitting I'm wrong.
00:37:05.000
Well, I don't know if I was wrong about the Hillary Clinton situation
00:37:10.000
because I do think I prefer that he told us what he knew.
00:37:13.000
So, as a citizen, I definitely prefer the way he handled it.
00:37:17.000
But I no longer believe that his intentions were what I assumed, which was positive.
00:37:25.000
I now assume that he's just a diseased and broken individual
00:37:30.000
and that there's nothing in there but, you know, twigs and snails and snot and Satan
00:37:37.000
and whatever else is in his head. I don't know.
00:37:40.000
So, yeah, I could not have a lower opinion of the FBI right now.
00:37:45.000
And I hate that because I've always had a high opinion of the FBI, law enforcement in general.
00:37:52.000
I've always had a high opinion, you know, mistakes and bad actors notwithstanding.
00:37:58.000
I never felt it was the whole organization. I've never felt that.
00:38:02.000
But now I do. At this point, you can no longer say, oh, there's the good ones and there's the bad ones.
00:38:10.000
The bad ones have so ruined the organization that it doesn't matter if they're good ones anymore.
00:38:18.000
There are good ones working there, but you can't trust them either
00:38:21.000
because the other ones were so bad that you lost all your trust.
00:38:27.000
It wasn't my fault that the good people working at the FBI get this bad reputation.
00:38:34.000
That happened from Comey and his band of liars and crooks and treasonous bastards.
00:38:41.000
Somebody says their Wi-Fi router is named FBI van down the street.
00:38:59.000
I think Flynn is going to get more than a pardon.
00:39:11.000
Doesn't he have the cleanest, best lawsuit you could ever have?
00:39:15.000
Because remember, if he tried to prove something in a criminal trial,
00:39:19.000
you've got this beyond a reasonable doubt standard.
00:39:23.000
So could he prove that something was beyond a reasonable doubt?
00:39:33.000
But in a civil case, proving that the FBI was out to get him turns out to be,
00:39:41.000
it's just you vote for the one you think is most likely,
00:39:48.000
So maybe there's no criminal penalties in the future for these FBI guys,
00:39:53.000
but how could Flynn not be able to sue all of them individually?
00:40:07.000
I don't have any visibility on that or insight or knowledge about the law or any of that.
00:40:20.000
Of course I'm going to make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever.
00:40:24.000
I wouldn't be me, and this would not be the internet,
00:40:27.000
if I would not be willing to make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever.
00:40:42.000
At least everybody meaning the names that you can name right now,
00:40:48.000
But I would guess that he's dug in deeply enough
00:40:53.000
that almost certainly there's going to be something.
00:41:03.000
That at least one person will get one indictment.
00:41:07.000
I don't know how deep it will go, but yeah, there'll be some indictments, I think.
00:41:20.000
I like to have my predictions based on a, you know,
00:41:30.000
I said it's because he's got this skill set that should win in the long run.
00:41:36.000
But when I'm looking at Durham, I'm not basing it on anything.
00:41:39.000
I'm just like, well, you know, he's a professional prosecutor.
00:41:45.000
What are the odds that a professional prosecutor type
00:41:49.000
can't find something to prosecute in all of this business?
00:41:53.000
I would think that they could find something and that he would want to
00:42:05.000
I think he's got to, he's probably got to indict somebody.
00:42:14.000
Somebody says, why have other countries been able to,
00:42:18.000
like Japan and the Czech Republic, been able to suppress new infections?
00:42:23.000
I was going to talk about that and I'm glad you reminded me.
00:42:29.000
We don't know why any country is doing better than any other country.
00:42:38.000
like we know that Italy had some air travel, you know, from Wuhan,
00:42:48.000
But none of these correlations work for all the countries.
00:42:53.000
So every time you think you've got one, it's like, ah, Italy has old people.
00:42:59.000
And then you go, you know, find another country
00:43:01.000
and they don't have old people and they get a big problem.
00:43:04.000
So, so we have all these experts that can't tell us the most basic thing,
00:43:13.000
which is look at all these countries, look at the, the wildly varying results
00:43:23.000
If they can't tell you why one country is doing better than another,
00:43:31.000
You know, if you apply it to another country, it doesn't work.
00:43:41.000
I think there are probably three or four main variables.
00:43:51.000
So, you know, a lot of it is just, are they old
00:43:54.000
and are they in the wrong place where they're around too many people, et cetera.
00:43:58.000
But I'll bet elevators are a big part of it or things that are very enclosed spaces.
00:44:05.000
So it makes me think that maybe air conditioning is part of it.
00:44:08.000
Could it be that air conditioning is what's circulating this thing because it lives in the air?
00:44:13.000
So I worry about any kind of air circulation that's not externally vented and brought in.
00:44:23.000
In other words, if you're circulating the same air, like in an elevator, you know, while it's closed,
00:44:30.000
there's not much air getting in and out, it's just sort of circulating in there.
00:44:33.000
On a cruise ship, circulating within the cruise ship.
00:44:37.000
In a nursing home, circulating within a nursing home.
00:44:42.000
Maybe we'll find out that elevators and closed spaces with other people, that's it.
00:44:54.000
And when you look at places that didn't shut down, some of them have higher death rates,
00:45:03.000
And I think that genetics is going to be a big aha when we do that.
00:45:09.000
Not many cases in Africa, which could be because of the more outdoor living.
00:45:20.000
One of the things that's unique is that for a hot place,
00:45:25.000
Africa probably has less air conditioning per person than any place else, wouldn't you say?
00:45:33.000
So, I don't know, outdoor living, not as much air conditioning, lots of sun, very young.
00:45:45.000
Could be that people are dying and they don't know it.
00:45:52.000
Yeah, and then people say that Africa has the least amount of foreign travel.
00:46:06.000
Yeah, and somebody mentions in the comments super spreaders.
00:46:10.000
I have this feeling that 80% of the spreading is coming from 20% of the people, or worse.
00:46:22.000
The fact that super spreaders exist tells you that there's a range, right?
00:46:28.000
There's the barely spreading to super spreader.
00:46:32.000
You would think that the ones that are way on the edge of the super spread spectrum,
00:46:41.000
They could take out the whole coach section of an airplane.
00:46:49.000
It would be interesting to find out that the super spreaders are the people who talk too much.
00:46:54.000
Because don't you sort of think that might be the case?
00:47:00.000
Don't you think, what would make somebody a super spreader and somebody not?
00:47:05.000
Is it just the amount of virus they have in their body?
00:47:11.000
But if it's coming out of the mouth, doesn't it stand to reason that the person who projects the most out of their mouth is the most super spready?
00:47:24.000
So, might we find out that the only risk is from big mouths who can't stop talking?
00:47:36.000
But it turns out the people who are doing 95% of the spreading is that, you know, loud Howard person who comes into your cubicle and can't shut up.
00:47:46.000
But everybody who just talks the normal amount, they're not spreading at all.
00:47:50.000
It turns out that normal talking doesn't have much danger.
00:48:08.000
Would you be surprised if one of these days you found out that the super spreaders are just the loud talkers who can't share their lives?
00:48:17.000
You know, the person at the restaurant that you can hear four tables over and it's all you can hear and you can't even eat.
00:48:38.000
Some, you know, I don't know if I don't know if you can get it from talking too much.
00:48:45.000
Somebody says alcohol makes anyone a super spreader.
00:48:50.000
Is there a correlation with how much you drink?
00:49:04.000
Is that, I don't know if that's true, but feels like it could be true.
00:49:10.000
Yeah, maybe, maybe it's all just down to alcohol.
00:49:33.000
We will have the best simultaneous sip the whole week so far.