Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 956 Scott Adams： Come Sip the News

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in here.

00:00:13.620 It's time for a special Cinco de Mayo episode of Coffee with Scott Adams

00:00:19.980 featuring the simultaneous sip, which I would say in Spanish if I could, but I can't.

00:00:26.280 So let's just call it the simultaneous sip.

00:00:30.660 It's not going to take much.

00:00:32.520 Hey, you Walnut Creek in the house.

00:00:35.240 Good to see you.

00:00:35.940 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:37.960 There will be no cursing this morning.

00:00:41.540 I mean, unless things completely go off the rails.

00:00:44.720 No cursing.

00:00:45.520 I did my cursing last night.

00:00:46.860 That will be my evening, evening cursing.

00:00:50.760 It's better to curse in the evening.

00:00:52.260 I think it just fits better.

00:00:53.960 This morning, I overslept.

00:00:56.380 So I'd love to tell you I'm really prepared.

00:00:58.440 But I'm not.

00:01:01.480 What do you do when you're not prepared?

00:01:04.440 There's one thing you can always do.

00:01:06.560 It doesn't take much.

00:01:08.300 All it takes is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a sign, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:16.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:18.280 I like coffee.

00:01:19.420 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dope bean hit of the day.

00:01:23.360 The thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.

00:01:28.060 And it's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:35.480 And it happens now.

00:01:37.740 Go.

00:01:37.940 Infection rates falling.

00:01:47.620 I can feel it.

00:01:49.420 Hello, New York.

00:01:50.240 All right.

00:01:53.620 It turns out that I've developed two different fan bases, I think.

00:01:59.240 One that likes it when I swear.

00:02:01.780 One that prefers that I not.

00:02:04.580 So it's like I've split into two characters.

00:02:07.680 Somebody likes some.

00:02:09.340 Some like the other.

00:02:10.380 All right.

00:02:10.640 Let's see what's going on here.

00:02:11.720 So the new coronavirus death model, that's right.

00:02:18.240 I said a death model, has been revised upwards, of course, because we're reopening some of the country.

00:02:27.580 So what do you call it when things go exactly the way everybody assumed they would go?

00:02:35.080 You call that news.

00:02:36.620 That's news, my friends.

00:02:37.680 And if things go exactly the way everybody said they should go, will go, can't really go any other way, that's called news.

00:02:50.120 And so it's been jacked up to 134,000.

00:02:55.320 A new model.

00:02:58.380 So I guess 134,000 looks like it's not just the minimum.

00:03:05.100 I'm looking at CNN's text.

00:03:07.680 I think that it's maybe where they actually think it will be.

00:03:12.340 It's a little unclear if that's the new minimum or that's just the prediction.

00:03:18.780 Either way, it's a little absurd.

00:03:21.200 But anyway.

00:03:22.940 And apparently it's predicted to kill 3,000 people a day by June 1st.

00:03:33.740 It's nearly double the current number.

00:03:37.380 Now, let's just game this out.

00:03:39.840 3,000 people a day for June, July, and August.

00:03:48.480 3,000 people a day for 90 days.

00:03:52.780 How does that equal 134,000?

00:03:57.440 Feels like it could be twice that.

00:04:01.500 Now, that depends.

00:04:02.840 Of course, the model probably takes into account the summer months and something magic about summer that makes us get less of the virus.

00:04:14.220 But what is that exactly?

00:04:16.980 So I don't know if 134 is really the low end, the middle, or the high end anymore.

00:04:24.240 But it's about where I thought it would be.

00:04:27.160 So I would say it's pretty close to where I just assumed it would be there, right?

00:04:32.340 That's the whole point.

00:04:33.160 You go back to work, people die.

00:04:35.300 So what does CNN do about this decision?

00:04:40.800 Well, of course, they're trying to cram it down the president's throat so that he will be responsible personally for every death that happens because we reopened the economy.

00:04:52.120 And as I watch this forum, you can see it just sort of coming together.

00:04:58.620 You know that what's going to happen, for sure, is that governors will open some states.

00:05:06.240 But CNN doesn't really mock governors because it's not a good model for television, I guess.

00:05:13.560 They prefer to mock the head of the federal government.

00:05:17.420 It's better TV.

00:05:18.120 So Trump is going to get blamed for everything, no matter what the governors do.

00:05:23.320 You know that, right?

00:05:24.880 And watching this take shape is so disgusting to me.

00:05:29.580 I think I've reached a new level of just contempt for CNN's coverage.

00:05:37.740 I'll just say for their coverage rather than make it personal.

00:05:41.640 And here's the thing.

00:05:44.280 You know, and I'll say this a million more times.

00:05:46.560 Nobody knows how to make the right decision here.

00:05:50.180 I don't even know if there is a right decision.

00:05:52.760 There are just two ways that people are going to die.

00:05:55.140 Is there a right decision when there's just two ways people are going to die and you've got to pick which one?

00:06:00.660 To put pressure on the leaders, let's say the governors and all the decision makers,

00:06:08.060 throw Fauci and Birx in there too, they're leaders and decision makers in this context,

00:06:14.220 to put that pressure on them that these deaths are sort of going to be on their hands is so low and so contemptible.

00:06:25.260 Now, I wouldn't say that they've actually done that.

00:06:29.880 You just see it taking form because what else are they going to talk about?

00:06:34.360 They're going to talk about who the leaders killed, right, with their decisions.

00:06:39.940 Well, he made this decision and now Aunt Sally's gone.

00:06:43.800 And here's the people on this page and here's all the names and their faces.

00:06:49.180 And they all died because of the decisions made by these Republicans or whatever.

00:06:56.300 And I'll say it again.

00:06:58.480 There's nothing more important than that we as a country understand that there's no right decision.

00:07:04.240 So if you're hamstringing your leaders to make any decision because you're ready to just eviscerate them no matter what,

00:07:15.180 you're not really helping.

00:07:16.740 You're not helping.

00:07:18.160 You know, I think everybody has to get a pardon in advance for whatever happens.

00:07:23.380 I'm talking about the governors, the experts, the politicians.

00:07:26.940 I mean, we just have to find some way to be okay with decisions that can't be good.

00:07:34.400 They can't be good by their nature.

00:07:36.440 It's just two bad decisions.

00:07:37.780 They're going to have to pick one.

00:07:39.400 So somebody's going to die and our leaders have the very unenviable task of doing it.

00:07:45.200 I'm glad I don't.

00:07:47.000 I'm glad you don't.

00:07:48.300 Are you?

00:07:48.900 Are you glad it's not your decision?

00:07:50.980 I mean, you could make a decision.

00:07:52.700 I could make a decision if I had to.

00:07:54.340 You know, if it were my job, I'd do it.

00:07:56.980 But I'm glad I don't because whoever makes it is going to be accused of murder for just doing their job.

00:08:04.240 Just trying to help the country, trying to get the country to a better place.

00:08:08.740 No matter what anybody does, no matter what their intentions are, no matter how smart they are, even if they make all the right choices, they're going to be accused of murder.

00:08:18.760 Murder.

00:08:20.100 Not just regular murder, but like mass murder.

00:08:23.140 So that's the situation we put our leaders in, and then we ask them to make good decisions for us.

00:08:29.180 Make us some good decisions.

00:08:30.940 And by the way, we are going to accuse you of murder.

00:08:35.560 Well, I take that back.

00:08:36.920 We're going to accuse you of mass murder, no matter what you do.

00:08:42.380 I just don't want to live in a country like that.

00:08:47.140 Sean Hannity, surprised in a way, he's actually requesting that the armed protesters in Michigan reconsider the military garb.

00:09:01.180 And Sean Hannity's argument, I think, is completely solid, somewhat unexpected, which is the fun part of the story, but solid argument.

00:09:13.340 And his argument goes like this, that if you put a show of force on against police officers, that's a very dangerous situation.

00:09:25.040 Because the police, they kind of have to maintain their own control, right?

00:09:30.500 That's part of the job.

00:09:32.080 It's not just standing around in a uniform.

00:09:34.860 The police have to exert authority, right?

00:09:38.640 They've got to exert that they are the ultimate force of control.

00:09:42.220 That's what keeps everybody safe.

00:09:44.780 The last thing you want is people saying, well, police, yes.

00:09:47.820 Police, no. 0.99

00:09:48.800 I don't have to do what they say.

00:09:50.400 I've got a gun.

00:09:51.220 They've got a gun.

00:09:52.020 My gun's bigger.

00:09:53.220 I don't know.

00:09:53.780 Maybe I don't have to do what they say.

00:09:55.400 So you could easily see it sliding in the wrong direction.

00:09:58.880 And so I think Sean Hannity is making a very, it's a hard call.

00:10:03.820 Because even Dan Bongino came on his show right after and said,

00:10:07.160 I don't know, Second Amendment, freedom of speech.

00:10:12.220 Everything they're doing is legal.

00:10:15.380 Do you tell people to stop doing completely legal things in this country?

00:10:20.320 And so you can see both arguments, can't you?

00:10:23.460 I don't think Dan Bongino is wrong.

00:10:25.960 You know, we got laws.

00:10:27.480 What gives anybody the right to throw the laws away?

00:10:31.600 Like, when did that happen?

00:10:33.120 Right?

00:10:33.280 So that's a good argument.

00:10:34.860 Dan Bongino's argument, completely solid.

00:10:37.580 Follow the Constitution.

00:10:39.760 They're following the Constitution.

00:10:41.880 As long as they follow the Constitution, why shouldn't we?

00:10:44.880 Right?

00:10:46.380 But Hannity's argument is also solid.

00:10:48.460 Why would you want to put the police at risk?

00:10:50.920 And I think Hannity's got a good, you know, long history of supporting law enforcement.

00:10:56.780 And so he's being consistent on that and confesses that it's a very hard call to do anything that would be even slightly anti-Second Amendment.

00:11:06.440 You know, he's got to concealed carry himself, as he reminds us.

00:11:09.500 So, here's my opinion on it.

00:11:14.640 And I don't think anybody's opinion should sway you, because this is so subjective.

00:11:20.480 Right?

00:11:20.760 You know, I'm not going to tell you my opinion is right or not right.

00:11:25.220 But under these very, very specific conditions, meaning that the next time something comes up, don't ask me to be consistent with this.

00:11:36.320 Because this is just a one-off.

00:11:38.000 So, anything I say about this should not ever be generalized in the future to any other situation.

00:11:44.180 It would just be different.

00:11:46.080 The people with the guns are there to support the Constitution.

00:11:53.240 That's my understanding.

00:11:54.860 They're not there to overthrow the government.

00:11:57.300 They're, in fact, there to support the government.

00:11:59.740 They're literally there to support the document, if you will, the Constitution, that binds us all together.

00:12:08.340 It's the thing that pays the police.

00:12:10.560 You know, ultimately, the form of our government defined by the Constitution allows a structure in which the police can get paid.

00:12:17.700 So, are the protesters dangerous, or are they protecting the system?

00:12:27.880 It's really tough, isn't it?

00:12:31.160 And who said this the other day?

00:12:35.020 Oh, somebody smart on television said that when you've got a gray area, somebody was saying that their father gave them this advice.

00:12:43.240 Maybe one of you saw it.

00:12:44.660 It was somebody wise that was saying this.

00:12:46.440 That when you have a gray area, and, you know, one direction is maybe safety, and the other direction is maybe freedom, but it's a tough call, that you should always bias toward freedom.

00:13:01.620 And that, in the long run, you end up better that way, if you bias toward freedom.

00:13:06.380 So, here's my take.

00:13:09.600 I've never seen a situation where the armed militia types have ever fired.

00:13:15.320 Have you?

00:13:16.440 Because they show up on a lot of stuff.

00:13:19.180 If you look at all the times that the same types of people, the ones who, you know, are into that lifestyle, the militia, the guns, etc., they're very anti-shooting.

00:13:31.340 Sort of super anti-shooting, I would say.

00:13:34.120 Because they're not there to shoot.

00:13:36.360 They didn't come there for that.

00:13:37.380 They didn't come to shoot anybody.

00:13:40.620 What's the last thing any of them with a gun actually wants to happen?

00:13:43.900 The last thing.

00:13:44.760 The last thing any of them want to happen is to shoot anybody.

00:13:49.360 They don't want to get shot.

00:13:50.760 They don't want to shoot anybody.

00:13:52.200 It's the last thing they want.

00:13:54.000 So, it's hard to get into the minds of strangers, which I just did, and so that, you know, I probably shouldn't have.

00:14:01.480 But if I were to say, okay, let's treat them as mindless, we don't know what they're thinking, yeah, I'd say you don't want guns and police officers in the same place.

00:14:10.260 So, if you ignore their internal mental state, and maybe that's the smartest play.

00:14:16.980 Maybe Hannity has nailed this completely. 1.00

00:14:19.160 It's just, just look at the variables.

00:14:21.600 Lots of guns, police, put them in the same place, nothing good can happen.

00:14:25.080 That's a pretty adult opinion, and I would respect him for that opinion.

00:14:30.960 But I've got to say, I'm leaning in the other direction.

00:14:34.360 I'm leaning, I'm leaning Bongino in this one.

00:14:38.200 I'm leaning, if they're there to protest for their freedom, I don't know, if the whole point of it is freedom,

00:14:47.500 then, how do you take their freedom away when they're protesting for freedom?

00:14:54.380 Legally.

00:14:56.020 Legally protesting for freedom in legal ways?

00:14:59.200 And you take some more of their freedom away while they're protesting for freedom?

00:15:02.700 How's that going to go?

00:15:04.200 What's more dangerous?

00:15:07.020 What's more dangerous?

00:15:07.760 Well, I mean, nobody's tried to take their guns away.

00:15:09.680 That would be, of course, crazy.

00:15:11.620 But, I guess I would lean toward letting them do their thing.

00:15:15.340 And, here's another story.

00:15:18.200 You probably saw this.

00:15:20.300 Apparently, there's a Chinese drone maker, of the smaller drones, the kind that law enforcement would use.

00:15:27.960 And this gigantic Chinese company just dropped their price or donated some of them.

00:15:33.520 And they're putting their drones in lots of different local police forces.

00:15:37.900 And part of what the drones are doing is flying around and looking for social distancing violators.

00:15:43.180 Do you feel comfortable with that?

00:15:46.040 Do you feel comfortable that there's basically a Chinese-made computer?

00:15:53.840 Because, you know, each of the drones has a little intelligence in it.

00:15:58.100 There's a little computer in those drones from China that's flying around and collecting information on our citizens.

00:16:06.860 What kind of information is it collecting?

00:16:08.720 What does it know just by flying around and being part of the police force?

00:16:14.580 Could it listen in on the police force?

00:16:17.200 I don't know.

00:16:18.580 You know, could the drones be modified to collect information we don't know they're collecting?

00:16:24.540 I don't know.

00:16:26.140 Could anybody ever take advantage of any of the, I don't know, administrative or data that gets sent up to headquarters?

00:16:34.140 Does that even happen?

00:16:35.100 Does anything get sent to headquarters?

00:16:36.700 I don't know.

00:16:39.200 But does it matter?

00:16:41.220 Does it matter?

00:16:43.000 You've got a Chinese-made computer that they're giving away to local law enforcement?

00:16:51.340 Hmm.

00:16:53.060 No.

00:16:54.380 No, you can't let that company into the United States.

00:16:57.700 Apparently, Homeland Security has already banned them from Homeland Security.

00:17:01.940 But the local police force is like, hey, free drone.

00:17:06.160 Of course I want a free drone.

00:17:08.060 Do I want a free drone?

00:17:09.740 Yeah.

00:17:10.600 Give me a free drone.

00:17:11.560 That's what the local police say.

00:17:13.300 So they're accepting all these Chinese spy drones. 0.82

00:17:16.920 They're not made exactly for spying, but you know what I mean.

00:17:23.300 And let me ask you this.

00:17:24.860 Do you think the United States has any companies that make some drones?

00:17:29.540 I think so.

00:17:30.540 I think the United States has companies that make drones.

00:17:34.940 Yes.

00:17:35.880 Lots of them.

00:17:37.260 Why the hell are we buying Chinese drones?

00:17:40.560 We need to get rid of that immediately.

00:17:44.060 In fact, let's just get rid of everything we buy from China. 0.72

00:17:46.760 If there's any substitute in the United States, I don't care if it costs more.

00:17:52.220 Of course, that's easy for me to say.

00:17:53.900 I know.

00:17:54.360 I know.

00:17:55.600 All right.

00:17:57.360 So that's going on.

00:17:59.480 There's a Massachusetts golf course owner who's going to defy the state's lockdown and

00:18:04.680 reopen for business.

00:18:05.800 And this is a way more interesting story than it sounds like as a headline, because the family

00:18:12.960 that's reopening, I guess it's family-owned golf courses, the family that's doing this

00:18:17.940 in defiance of the state just lost a family member to coronavirus, just lost a grandmother

00:18:26.000 in a tragic situation.

00:18:28.700 So whoever the representative of the family was saying, believe me, we get it.

00:18:33.440 Like, we're not in any, you know, we're not confused about how deadly this is.

00:18:41.020 Grandma just died from it.

00:18:42.920 And we still want to open up the golf course, you know, partly because it's something you

00:18:46.880 could social distance a little bit easier than most, but also because there's no choice.

00:18:52.780 There's just no choice.

00:18:54.400 You know, people need to eat.

00:18:56.800 Got to get going.

00:18:58.160 So I would say I support this Massachusetts golf course.

00:19:01.600 If it opened in my state, I would go golf.

00:19:05.220 The police would come, probably, probably.

00:19:09.060 And maybe I'd have to go home.

00:19:10.860 But if they reopened the next day, I'd try to go golf again.

00:19:15.280 When the police would come, they'd send me home.

00:19:17.940 And then maybe some other businesses would try to reopen.

00:19:20.620 Maybe there would be too many businesses for the police.

00:19:23.540 Maybe.

00:19:24.240 Don't know.

00:19:25.360 Am I suggesting civil disobedience?

00:19:29.420 I'm not suggesting it.

00:19:32.200 I'm saying it's coming.

00:19:34.920 I don't need to suggest it.

00:19:38.140 Civil disobedience is guaranteed.

00:19:41.060 This is America.

00:19:42.660 Have you heard?

00:19:44.340 Have you heard of Americans?

00:19:46.980 You've probably heard of us, right?

00:19:48.600 Most of you are American.

00:19:49.640 We like to protest.

00:19:53.180 So, I mean, we'd protest a ham sandwich.

00:19:56.140 So do you think anybody's going to have some civil disobedience about closing down the economy for another month?

00:20:01.920 Oh, yeah.

00:20:02.660 Oh, yeah.

00:20:03.040 It's coming.

00:20:03.400 So I put some questions, or I put a tweet on Twitter and told people to ask me questions, and I would answer them.

00:20:21.980 And, by the way, are you seeing that every day we get conflicting data about hydroxychloroquine?

00:20:29.000 I feel as though every day somebody says, hey, it's great, this trial.

00:20:33.880 Well, it's not conclusive, but it looks good.

00:20:36.700 And then 10 minutes later, yeah, you know, here's all the reasons why it probably doesn't work.

00:20:42.160 And I feel like we can't get any good information.

00:20:45.980 What was the last thing we learned about that was actually true?

00:20:49.580 Have we learned anything that's true about the coronavirus?

00:20:52.840 Just fact-check me on this.

00:20:56.940 Is there even one thing about the coronavirus, one scientific or other data fact, that actually turned out to be true?

00:21:06.580 From the viral amount of it to what it was, the spreading to humans, do masks work?

00:21:13.180 Are ventilators good or bad?

00:21:15.400 Think of that.

00:21:16.480 Name one thing we got right.

00:21:18.700 I can't.

00:21:19.700 I can't think of the one thing we got right.

00:21:21.520 We didn't have enough of stuff, and then we had too much of stuff.

00:21:25.120 Name one thing we got right.

00:21:26.860 Nothing.

00:21:27.840 Not a single thing.

00:21:29.500 Now, I'm not too harsh about getting things wrong in a context of a pandemic,

00:21:35.360 because your first actions were, you know, just guessing, really.

00:21:41.000 All right.

00:21:42.180 I'm looking for my own tweet in which I ask people to ask me questions.

00:21:47.300 If you would like to ask me a question, that's where you should have put it.

00:21:50.100 There are 200 questions.

00:21:52.980 And so, will Trump debate Biden in person?

00:21:56.200 I'm feeling like the odds are no.

00:22:04.820 If I had to bet on it right now, I'd say 70% no would be my bet.

00:22:11.320 And there would be two reasons for that.

00:22:13.300 Number one, I think that the Democrats will do everything they can to not have a debate.

00:22:18.260 They'll use the coronavirus excuse, etc.

00:22:20.620 Trump will probably say he wants to do it.

00:22:24.780 Biden might also say he wants to do it.

00:22:27.260 But gosh, if only I could.

00:22:30.300 No, I don't think it'll happen.

00:22:32.180 And I think that the Democrats know that that's a losing proposition.

00:22:36.120 So, they'll use the coronavirus to avoid it, I think.

00:22:41.780 Why are healthy people being quarantined?

00:22:44.300 Because they could become carriers.

00:22:46.780 Why are we still asking that question?

00:22:48.520 How did we get to May?

00:22:55.080 And there's somebody, and I know this user, because we interact a lot on Twitter.

00:23:00.140 But this is somebody who's like really following.

00:23:03.260 And I'm not making fun of you.

00:23:04.940 I'm just honestly curious.

00:23:07.300 How could you get all the way to May and not know at least the argument for why healthy people are being locked out?

00:23:14.780 The argument is that they won't be healthy.

00:23:17.260 They'll go out and get it and bring it back and kill grandma. 1.00

00:23:20.480 Now, you could argue that that's not a good enough reason.

00:23:23.380 You could say that the costs are greater than the benefits.

00:23:26.940 That would be an argument.

00:23:28.200 But to ask why are healthy people being quarantined?

00:23:32.160 Don't we all know that now?

00:23:34.580 I mean, I'm not saying it's the right answer.

00:23:36.260 But we should know the reason.

00:23:37.620 All right, and so we're seeing people criticizing Trump on the 60,000 expected deaths.

00:23:51.380 And you saw it on Worldometer.

00:23:54.640 Well, yeah, the numbers are all over the place, and everybody speaks imprecisely about them.

00:24:01.800 And you saw me do it just a moment ago.

00:24:03.800 So I was looking, I was reading CNN, looking at it, and I realized that the CNN report doesn't tell me if that's the low estimate, the likely estimate, or the high, or what.

00:24:13.280 I mean, what good is that?

00:24:14.760 When you've got a vast range, and they give me one number, I don't know.

00:24:19.840 Is that the low, the middle?

00:24:21.440 It's all useless information.

00:24:22.640 What do I think about the 1619 Project?

00:24:28.800 So that's the New York Times Project, where they were going to write a long series about institutional racism and how it all came from slavery, etc.

00:24:37.760 And I guess they got the Pulitzer Prize for that, which Pulitzer Prize is like six people sitting in the living room who saw 0.001% of the creative stuff that got created that year.

00:24:54.500 And they said, oh, we like this one.

00:24:56.240 The most useless, stupid, completely non-prestigious award, the Pulitzer Prize.

00:25:01.660 It's just ridiculous.

00:25:02.920 It'd be like you just making up a prize.

00:25:04.720 I'd like to give the Carl and Jane Prize for literature.

00:25:12.160 It's just me, you know, just me, Jane and me.

00:25:15.280 We just sat in their living room, and we decided we'd like this book better than this one.

00:25:19.460 So we're going to give it the Carl and Jane prestigious award.

00:25:23.760 That is exactly as valuable as the Pulitzer Prize.

00:25:29.360 No difference.

00:25:30.180 It's just some people in their living room, probably got together on Zoom, and said, do you read these seven books that were submitted?

00:25:40.180 Yeah, which one do you like?

00:25:42.020 I don't know.

00:25:42.600 They're all pretty good.

00:25:43.460 How about this one?

00:25:44.300 Yeah, all right.

00:25:45.000 Pulitzer Prize.

00:25:46.340 Useless.

00:25:48.520 All right.

00:25:48.880 And then I guess historians complained that some of the articles that came out of that 1619 project were inaccurate.

00:25:58.400 I would go on.

00:25:59.700 I would go further and say that they were written for naked political purposes and that we shouldn't take any of it too seriously.

00:26:09.620 Andres asks, how have you stayed motivated before Dilbert became a success?

00:26:18.820 Excellent question.

00:26:19.760 And the answer is, for my entire life as a young person, I expected to be successful.

00:26:31.260 And successful on some kind of a level where the rest of the world noticed, you know, not just sort of successful privately, but successful in some way that the public knew about it.

00:26:44.360 And I've never not felt it.

00:26:48.280 I think I was born with that feeling.

00:26:50.680 I mean, I felt it from my earliest memories.

00:26:53.320 I always thought, I'm going to be famous someday.

00:26:56.640 Just always.

00:26:58.000 And I've told this story before that adults would tell me that too when I was a kid.

00:27:03.620 They would say, someday you're going to be really rich and famous.

00:27:07.920 And I never knew why they were saying that.

00:27:10.180 I mean, I knew I thought it myself, but I also didn't know if everybody thought that.

00:27:16.020 I kind of wonder.

00:27:17.140 How many of you, let me ask in the comments while I'm finishing my story here.

00:27:21.560 How many of you, when you were a kid, thought that you would be famous someday?

00:27:28.480 I'm just wondering.

00:27:29.520 Because I always thought I would.

00:27:31.360 Now, obviously that causes you to make certain choices in your life that make it more likely it's going to happen.

00:27:37.360 So there's a causal element there.

00:27:40.520 But how many of you thought you would be famous when you were kids?

00:27:43.380 I'm just curious.

00:27:44.440 Because when I was a kid, I didn't know if it was just the way everybody felt.

00:27:48.120 I thought maybe everybody, you know, was optimistic and dreamed about good things.

00:27:53.660 But I didn't dream about it.

00:27:56.140 I expected it.

00:27:58.080 It just was a different feeling.

00:27:59.720 I can tell the difference when I'm just dreaming about stuff.

00:28:03.500 I'm looking at people's answers.

00:28:05.420 This is fascinating.

00:28:06.140 I didn't know where this would go.

00:28:07.840 There were a lot of yeses.

00:28:08.680 I see some no's.

00:28:11.020 Oh, my goodness.

00:28:12.680 That's very common.

00:28:15.020 I didn't know.

00:28:16.180 I had no idea which way that question was going to go.

00:28:18.660 Apparently, it's universal.

00:28:21.780 I mean, not universal because I see some no's.

00:28:24.580 But if I were just based on the answers, which is very non-representative of the sample, it's just the people who wanted to answer.

00:28:31.540 Wow, there's a little, I don't know what percentage, but we can conclude from the comments that a lot of people thought that they would be famous someday.

00:28:41.400 Interesting.

00:28:42.420 So I guess I should take it to be nothing, you know, because it felt like it was almost a premonition.

00:28:47.360 But if everybody had the same premonition and it didn't work out for most people, I'd have to say it's just how kids feel, I guess.

00:28:54.420 So to finish this answer, how do I stay motivated?

00:28:59.020 I've never not been motivated.

00:29:00.480 So I don't know what it's like to feel unmotivated.

00:29:05.440 I don't even know what that feels like.

00:29:07.200 Because I've always felt like, almost like there was a problem with myself that I needed to fix.

00:29:16.120 You know, when we talk about success and motivation and things, we tend to, because we're America and, you know, we're a certain type of people, we tend to put the most positive spin on success.

00:29:28.800 And we say motivation, ambition, we tend to put a positive frame on those things, because we like to encourage people to do those things.

00:29:37.940 It makes sense.

00:29:39.300 But when you're actually that person, and you're the person who has that ambition and has that motivation, it doesn't always feel like it's a positive.

00:29:49.980 It feels like a flaw that you're trying to fix.

00:29:53.600 Now, I don't know how many other people would back me up on that feeling.

00:29:58.460 That may be highly individual.

00:30:00.120 I don't know.

00:30:01.140 But what I feel like is a continuous weight on me that I should have done more.

00:30:08.000 And I can't shake it.

00:30:09.840 I wake up thinking I should have done more.

00:30:12.340 And I go to bed thinking I should have done more that day.

00:30:15.440 And I can't wait to wake up.

00:30:18.400 I hate sleep.

00:30:19.860 I just dislike the old idea of sleeping, because it takes me away from my day.

00:30:25.460 And my day is when I can do stuff.

00:30:27.640 And I can get stuff done.

00:30:29.080 I can accomplish things.

00:30:31.040 Right?

00:30:31.300 I can make a difference.

00:30:32.560 When I'm sleeping, sleeping is like suspended animation.

00:30:36.780 Sleeping is like practice for being dead.

00:30:38.780 And sleeping has no place in my world, except, unfortunately, it's necessary for good health.

00:30:44.860 So you should do everything you can to sleep a healthy amount.

00:30:48.560 I don't want to convince anybody to sleep less.

00:30:50.500 But I'm just telling you how I feel.

00:30:53.700 So to answer Andre's question, I've never felt unmotivated.

00:30:56.860 So I suspect some of that is just baked into your nature.

00:31:02.220 I don't know.

00:31:03.260 It's always been there.

00:31:04.220 It's never going away.

00:31:06.080 And it feels like an itch that can't be scratched.

00:31:09.840 But I spend my whole life scratching anyway.

00:31:13.020 Is that good?

00:31:14.700 I don't know.

00:31:15.740 Because I don't know if I have the capability to be, let's say, retired.

00:31:20.940 You know, I'm at that age where everybody thinks seriously about it.

00:31:25.480 And, you know, there are many times I've thought, you know, wouldn't it be great to be retired?

00:31:32.080 What if I could wake up and just do anything I wanted?

00:31:36.200 What if I didn't have to work?

00:31:38.220 What if I could sleep as long as I want, do anything I want when I wake up, not worry about money, and just live out my days?

00:31:47.020 You know, like a perfect free human that nobody ever gets to be.

00:31:51.700 Like nobody ever gets to be free.

00:31:54.160 Just wake up, do what you want, not run out of money.

00:31:57.060 Who gets to do that?

00:32:00.460 I have no interest in that.

00:32:03.060 I have no interest.

00:32:04.840 Because that's available to me now.

00:32:07.260 I could stop working.

00:32:09.180 You know, I know you hate me for it, because especially now when people are having a tough time.

00:32:14.080 But it's just the truth.

00:32:16.100 I could stop working.

00:32:17.420 I could just wake up and just eat and play around and just have a good time for the rest of my life.

00:32:24.700 I could.

00:32:25.600 I have no interest in it.

00:32:27.780 It sounds like hell to me.

00:32:29.820 Because it doesn't scratch my itch.

00:32:32.380 It doesn't make me feel like I've done anything useful.

00:32:35.280 And I don't mean useful for myself, because I already got what I need.

00:32:38.760 I'm almost entirely externally focused at this point in my career.

00:32:42.680 Because if it's not good for you, not interested.

00:32:46.480 If it doesn't help someone else, no interest at all.

00:32:51.320 Not even a little bit.

00:32:52.780 So my ambition, to sort of further to Andrea's question,

00:32:57.500 my ambition has changed over the years from a pure personal ambition to, you know,

00:33:03.900 I've got to get somewhere personally, to, oh, now what do I do?

00:33:08.200 Because once I got it, what do I do?

00:33:13.760 What am I going to do with that?

00:33:15.800 And so almost immediately upon getting what I thought I wanted,

00:33:20.280 my ambition changed to external.

00:33:23.600 And I thought to myself, well, you know, could I run for public office?

00:33:28.100 And I thought, what would be a bigger waste of my talents than to put me in a meeting?

00:33:33.060 You know, if you've watched me long enough, you say to yourself, okay, what is it that you're good at?

00:33:40.860 What is it that you could contribute to the world?

00:33:43.580 And now you've got to go raise money and attend meetings.

00:33:48.380 It's just been the biggest waste of time ever for my specific set of talents.

00:33:52.580 So I try to find ways such as this in which I could do something that would be potentially useful,

00:33:58.980 which is why I've started to put the micro lessons on the locals.com platform.

00:34:05.860 So right now there's a lesson on how to be funny.

00:34:08.040 I think my next lesson will either be personal finance,

00:34:11.300 very, very short lesson on that for those who just don't know anything about it,

00:34:15.320 or maybe design.

00:34:17.120 I'm going to probably do one of those today, maybe.

00:34:19.280 All right, so I'm always motivated.

00:34:23.340 It's just the nature of it changed.

00:34:26.820 Shata says, what are some techniques to wake up and start the day off great?

00:34:33.460 And the answer is, if you don't drink coffee, I don't know what the answer to that question is.

00:34:39.860 One of the things that I teach, in fact, just yesterday, somebody said that this lesson changed their life.

00:34:46.660 So what I'm going to tell you now, this will be the short version of it,

00:34:52.260 but somebody just told me yesterday, it changed their life to hear this idea,

00:34:56.880 that we're moist robots.

00:34:59.540 I wrote about this in my Hatterfeld, Almost Everything and Still Win Big book,

00:35:03.360 you see on the shelf back there.

00:35:05.300 And the idea of a moist robot is that it just responds to inputs.

00:35:10.120 So if you put an input into a computer, you'll get an output.

00:35:15.140 And then if you treat yourself like that, instead of some kind of mental creature,

00:35:20.040 if you treat yourself as a mind, you don't know what to do with it.

00:35:24.140 Because you don't quite know how to manage a mind.

00:35:26.640 It's more of a concept.

00:35:28.080 But if you manage your physical body, and you manage it right,

00:35:31.860 you can produce the right kind of thoughts and actions and stuff that your mind likes.

00:35:35.620 So I teach people to reprogram their mind by programming their physical environment

00:35:44.740 and their physical body, and also associating rewards with things they want their physical body to do.

00:35:53.220 So one of the things that I want to do is wake up and be productive.

00:35:57.240 Who doesn't, right?

00:35:58.020 If it were free and easy and didn't take any work,

00:36:02.500 wouldn't you all want to wake up and be productive?

00:36:05.400 You might want to wake up at different times.

00:36:07.800 But everybody wants to be productive.

00:36:09.800 So I use the moist robot technique to train myself like a dog.

00:36:15.040 And the way I do that is I say,

00:36:17.400 Hey, if you do this trick, you'll get a treat.

00:36:19.940 And the treat is this protein bar, this specific one, because it's one that I like.

00:36:27.900 I'm not saying you'll like it.

00:36:28.980 I'm just saying I like it.

00:36:30.720 And delicious cup of coffee, which when combined in the same bite,

00:36:36.560 a bite of the chocolate peanut butter protein bar,

00:36:39.960 with the sips of coffee,

00:36:42.340 is really, really good.

00:36:44.940 And the coffee wakes me up, it gives me a buzz,

00:36:48.740 and my body registers the buzz, right?

00:36:51.340 It's a little shot of energy,

00:36:52.660 and your body recognizes that as a treat.

00:36:56.220 And then you do the taste treat,

00:36:58.820 and maybe you were a little hungry when you woke up anyway,

00:37:01.980 and then those two tastes go together,

00:37:04.140 and it's like a taste explosion of awesomeness.

00:37:07.600 Now, it doesn't matter that you don't like these things,

00:37:10.240 because if you were doing it, you would pick your own treat.

00:37:12.680 Your treat might be, I don't know, watch a TV show.

00:37:16.900 Your treat might be take a walk in the morning.

00:37:19.420 Maybe it's whatever you like.

00:37:21.200 But the trick is, for whoever said,

00:37:23.720 how do you wake up in the morning,

00:37:25.540 is you should pair your wake-up routine,

00:37:28.480 and you should turn it into a routine,

00:37:30.380 so it's not different every day,

00:37:31.920 with a treat.

00:37:33.900 A really, really good one.

00:37:35.760 And let me tell you,

00:37:36.940 if you heard this and said to yourself,

00:37:39.200 a protein bar and a cup of coffee,

00:37:41.300 that's not much of a treat.

00:37:44.480 That's just food and beverage.

00:37:46.260 You could have food and beverage all day.

00:37:48.340 Why is that a treat?

00:37:49.940 Well, the thing you might miss is how much I like it.

00:37:53.340 So if you don't like it,

00:37:54.980 find something that you do.

00:37:56.600 I really, really like

00:37:58.140 the first two hours of my day.

00:38:00.840 By far, they're extraordinary.

00:38:03.360 The first two hours of every day for my life

00:38:06.920 are extraordinary pretty much every time.

00:38:11.880 There's almost nothing else that's as good

00:38:13.720 the rest of the day unless, you know,

00:38:15.860 unless Christina's involved.

00:38:19.760 How popular will pop-up drive-in movies be this summer?

00:38:23.620 Well, I saw that somebody's got some

00:38:26.200 pop-up movie theaters that already happened.

00:38:29.220 So I predicted that that would happen.

00:38:32.680 And I know it's happened at least one place,

00:38:34.700 maybe more.

00:38:35.840 And there have been the drive-in

00:38:37.380 church services as well.

00:38:41.880 And I guess the people just parking in a parking lot

00:38:46.080 and listening to the pastor on their car radio

00:38:50.660 turned out to be too dangerous,

00:38:52.160 which is ridiculous.

00:38:53.980 If I had to guess,

00:38:56.100 you'll see more of that in the summer,

00:38:58.140 but not much more.

00:39:03.580 Practical Bob says this.

00:39:06.200 Is KB,

00:39:07.260 I assume he's referring to my fiancée,

00:39:10.680 Christina,

00:39:12.020 as hot-looking in person as pictures?

00:39:14.800 No.

00:39:15.640 No, she is not.

00:39:17.740 Christina is not as hot-looking in person.

00:39:20.560 She is way hotter. 0.99

00:39:22.000 Way hotter in person.

00:39:25.040 There is no photograph that could ever capture

00:39:27.140 her total beauty.

00:39:29.140 So no,

00:39:30.200 I'm sad to say

00:39:31.240 that she does not look as good as her pictures.

00:39:33.700 She looks way better than her pictures.

00:39:36.520 Way better.

00:39:39.440 That's true, by the way.

00:39:41.660 And

00:39:42.100 the 15-minute COVID tests,

00:39:44.960 can it be done

00:39:48.020 multiple,

00:39:48.980 done at a time,

00:39:50.060 or is it one at a time?

00:39:51.160 Well,

00:39:52.140 that's a good question.

00:39:53.600 You know,

00:39:53.740 do you have to wait 15 minutes

00:39:55.120 before you do the next test?

00:39:56.480 And the answer is,

00:39:57.860 I doubt it.

00:39:59.500 I doubt,

00:40:00.060 I would assume that they can batch them up

00:40:01.820 and just test, test, test,

00:40:03.160 and then everybody's just waiting for results.

00:40:06.060 Or at the very least,

00:40:07.220 you've got more than one test,

00:40:09.620 test station.

00:40:11.020 So yeah,

00:40:12.100 there might be ways to make that faster.

00:40:15.620 The New York Times calling for the DNC

00:40:18.060 to investigate Tara Reid's complaint.

00:40:22.640 How can they suggest such a thing

00:40:24.440 with a straight face?

00:40:25.440 It does make you wonder.

00:40:28.760 Yeah,

00:40:29.100 there's so much happening in the news

00:40:30.660 that you just look at it and you say,

00:40:32.320 do they really mean that?

00:40:35.420 Or are they just saying that

00:40:37.520 because they know it sounds good?

00:40:39.860 You really can't tell anymore,

00:40:41.160 can you?

00:40:41.540 You really can't tell

00:40:42.820 if people mean what they say

00:40:45.200 in any

00:40:45.780 in any

00:40:48.480 real way.

00:40:50.620 Do I follow

00:40:51.320 brilliant

00:40:51.940 geopolitical writer

00:40:53.520 Peter Zahin?

00:40:55.340 I don't

00:40:55.940 I don't know if I follow him.

00:40:57.860 I've read his stuff,

00:40:58.780 but I'm not too familiar.

00:41:02.600 I answered about the armed protesters.

00:41:06.780 Sweet Caroline says, 0.58

00:41:08.440 do you think most grown people

00:41:10.000 will do what's proper

00:41:12.140 and if they want to work,

00:41:13.460 they should be able to?

00:41:14.860 And the answer is,

00:41:15.620 yes,

00:41:16.040 most people will do

00:41:17.500 most things properly,

00:41:19.500 but 20% will not.

00:41:22.240 If 20% don't do

00:41:24.060 what they should do,

00:41:25.940 is that good enough?

00:41:27.200 Will the other 80% be okay 0.94

00:41:29.260 if the 20% don't do 0.81

00:41:32.160 what they're supposed to do?

00:41:33.240 And the answer is,

00:41:33.800 they won't be.

00:41:34.920 When the 20% don't 0.99

00:41:36.860 do their social distancing,

00:41:39.640 et cetera,

00:41:40.480 it will be a problem

00:41:42.500 and it will extend

00:41:43.480 to other people,

00:41:44.500 but there also

00:41:45.800 isn't another way.

00:41:47.980 So I don't like to

00:41:49.140 complain about things

00:41:50.460 that can't change

00:41:51.640 as a general rule.

00:41:52.820 I probably do,

00:41:53.740 but it's a good rule

00:41:54.820 not to complain about

00:41:55.660 things that can't change.

00:41:57.560 And one thing

00:41:58.680 that can't change

00:41:59.620 is that you're not

00:42:01.040 going to get 100%

00:42:01.960 of adults

00:42:02.640 to act like adults.

00:42:04.120 There's no practical way

00:42:06.400 that that could ever happen.

00:42:07.860 So it shouldn't be part

00:42:09.320 of our planning

00:42:10.000 to assume that it would.

00:42:11.940 So assuming that

00:42:12.900 100% of people

00:42:14.700 or anything close to it

00:42:15.980 would obey social distancing

00:42:18.300 would be,

00:42:19.040 I think,

00:42:21.120 probably unwise.

00:42:22.680 20% failure rate

00:42:28.460 could be catastrophic,

00:42:30.060 but we don't know.

00:42:30.900 So again,

00:42:31.340 I'll throw this

00:42:31.880 in the category of

00:42:32.820 is there any expert

00:42:34.180 who can answer

00:42:34.760 this question?

00:42:35.880 No.

00:42:37.080 No,

00:42:37.480 there's no expert

00:42:38.160 who can answer that question.

00:42:39.240 It's just one of our

00:42:40.020 many unknowns.

00:42:40.700 Let's see.

00:42:47.060 The research professor

00:42:50.460 in Pittsburgh

00:42:51.060 that was on the verge

00:42:51.940 of making

00:42:52.340 significant findings

00:42:53.940 on how he was just found

00:42:56.680 murdered in his home.

00:42:58.720 What?

00:43:02.460 Is this new?

00:43:04.380 He was a coronavirus

00:43:05.400 researcher,

00:43:06.840 dead?

00:43:08.120 Huh.

00:43:10.700 Looks like a murder-suicide?

00:43:12.480 I don't know.

00:43:13.640 Questions?

00:43:14.380 I got questions.

00:43:15.180 Who knows?

00:43:17.140 What do your notes

00:43:18.120 look like

00:43:18.680 for these periscopes?

00:43:20.480 That's a funny question.

00:43:22.360 The answer is

00:43:23.180 I just print them out

00:43:24.940 before I start.

00:43:28.060 And if it looks like

00:43:28.840 there's a lot of text

00:43:29.660 on the page,

00:43:30.380 I didn't type that.

00:43:31.480 I just cut and paste

00:43:32.560 from news headlines

00:43:34.600 and then I

00:43:35.380 talk about

00:43:37.860 the headline.

00:43:38.820 So usually

00:43:40.820 I have

00:43:41.280 two pages

00:43:42.300 of notes

00:43:43.420 that are just

00:43:44.520 cut and paste

00:43:45.040 from what's happening.

00:43:46.600 Some tweets

00:43:47.160 and stuff.

00:43:51.060 Does the

00:43:52.020 Communist Party

00:43:53.060 of China

00:43:54.180 provide levels

00:43:55.120 of remuneration

00:43:56.280 to social media

00:43:57.160 giants

00:43:57.640 that should

00:43:58.140 concern us?

00:44:00.600 Well,

00:44:01.460 you know,

00:44:01.840 it's funny.

00:44:02.760 In every situation

00:44:04.800 that we know of

00:44:05.660 in life,

00:44:06.220 whoever has

00:44:07.660 the most money

00:44:08.580 in that situation

00:44:09.600 ends up

00:44:10.900 controlling it.

00:44:12.300 Now,

00:44:12.640 that's worked out

00:44:13.280 pretty well

00:44:13.820 for the United States

00:44:14.740 for a long time

00:44:15.600 because the United States

00:44:16.940 always had the most money.

00:44:18.800 So we could have,

00:44:19.880 you know,

00:44:20.060 the most influence

00:44:20.900 over institutions

00:44:21.980 because we funded them,

00:44:23.400 the most influence

00:44:24.280 over other countries

00:44:25.380 because we supported

00:44:26.680 them militarily.

00:44:27.840 So it's just a fact

00:44:29.280 that whoever has

00:44:30.680 the most money,

00:44:32.220 be they the billionaire

00:44:33.340 in the room

00:44:34.140 or the rich country,

00:44:36.680 they influence

00:44:37.680 things more.

00:44:38.380 There's no way

00:44:38.800 to stop that

00:44:39.500 because it's a power.

00:44:41.260 They have it.

00:44:41.880 They can use it.

00:44:42.620 It's legal.

00:44:43.220 It's going to happen.

00:44:44.500 The problem is

00:44:45.340 that China,

00:44:46.660 just simply by its size

00:44:48.080 alone,

00:44:49.780 will come to have

00:44:50.880 more money

00:44:51.420 than the United States.

00:44:53.100 So if the United States

00:44:54.100 and China both did,

00:44:55.260 let's say,

00:44:55.680 similarly well

00:44:56.660 with their economy,

00:44:57.860 just because of the

00:44:59.020 number of people

00:44:59.740 in China,

00:45:00.260 they would be,

00:45:02.060 is it four times

00:45:03.860 as big?

00:45:04.660 Three times as big?

00:45:05.700 Somebody do the math

00:45:06.460 for me.

00:45:07.240 Three times as big?

00:45:08.700 Three to four times

00:45:09.560 as big?

00:45:10.320 So China should have 0.94

00:45:11.740 something like

00:45:12.320 three to four times

00:45:13.280 more money

00:45:14.000 should they even

00:45:15.440 pull even with us

00:45:16.400 in economics,

00:45:17.500 you know,

00:45:17.840 per capita,

00:45:18.440 so to speak.

00:45:19.620 So in theory,

00:45:21.520 China will dominate 1.00

00:45:22.260 the world.

00:45:23.360 It's just math.

00:45:24.200 There's no way

00:45:24.880 it can not happen.

00:45:26.300 The only way

00:45:26.820 China could not 0.99

00:45:28.080 dominate the world

00:45:29.000 in the future

00:45:29.620 is if their economy

00:45:30.860 doesn't grow

00:45:31.720 as well as ours does.

00:45:34.440 And so in order

00:45:36.600 for the United States

00:45:37.620 to continue

00:45:38.740 its probably

00:45:40.060 oversized dominance

00:45:41.480 of a lot of things

00:45:43.100 that we don't even

00:45:43.680 know about,

00:45:44.840 you know,

00:45:45.020 you have to assume

00:45:45.680 that the United States

00:45:46.540 does what China is doing, 0.60

00:45:48.180 which is to use

00:45:48.900 their power and influence

00:45:49.860 and everything else

00:45:50.500 to, you know,

00:45:51.840 buy us everything

00:45:52.820 that we can buy us

00:45:53.720 in our direction.

00:45:55.300 In order to keep that up,

00:45:57.000 China has to do 1.00

00:45:57.940 less well in the long run.

00:46:00.460 One way they could

00:46:01.420 do less well

00:46:02.120 is we could

00:46:02.760 send them back

00:46:04.040 their stupid

00:46:05.340 spy drones

00:46:06.520 and we could

00:46:07.360 not buy stuff

00:46:08.220 in China

00:46:08.620 in the future.

00:46:09.620 So that would help.

00:46:12.260 So yes,

00:46:12.940 we should be very

00:46:13.680 worried about

00:46:14.420 their monetary

00:46:15.360 influence on social media

00:46:16.780 as well as

00:46:17.480 every other part

00:46:18.480 of our existence.

00:46:20.160 What will happen

00:46:24.100 to office politics

00:46:25.300 in the age of

00:46:26.480 mostly staying home,

00:46:29.080 I guess?

00:46:31.800 That's a good question

00:46:32.920 because I do wonder

00:46:36.380 what is the value

00:46:37.680 of all the in-person

00:46:39.260 interaction in the office?

00:46:41.540 You know,

00:46:41.760 the thinking has always been

00:46:43.220 that all of this

00:46:44.540 casual interaction

00:46:45.560 in the office

00:46:46.180 leads to positive

00:46:47.660 but unplanned benefits.

00:46:50.800 You know,

00:46:51.000 you cross-pollinate 0.73

00:46:51.980 with ideas

00:46:52.680 and you find somebody

00:46:54.360 to work with

00:46:54.980 and you get your answers

00:46:55.940 quickly and all that.

00:46:58.140 But nobody's ever

00:46:59.080 tested that.

00:47:00.620 I'm not aware

00:47:01.540 of any scientific

00:47:02.700 evidence

00:47:04.580 that would suggest

00:47:05.460 that being in the same office

00:47:06.680 gives you a better result.

00:47:08.340 We feel it

00:47:09.420 intuitively

00:47:10.080 like it's true

00:47:11.080 because you can

00:47:12.520 influence somebody

00:47:13.680 personally

00:47:15.020 in a way

00:47:15.500 that you can't

00:47:16.080 influence them

00:47:16.740 as well

00:47:17.240 over video.

00:47:18.580 So does that

00:47:18.980 make a difference?

00:47:19.960 We don't know.

00:47:21.400 We only know

00:47:21.920 it'll be different.

00:47:22.840 So it could be

00:47:23.300 that the politics

00:47:24.080 will decrease,

00:47:25.640 the time wasters

00:47:26.580 will decrease,

00:47:27.980 but there might be

00:47:29.040 other problems.

00:47:29.980 The work-at-homers

00:47:31.380 will start just not

00:47:32.320 answering their phone.

00:47:33.820 That would be my guess.

00:47:35.780 I think where it's all going

00:47:37.080 is that when it's new

00:47:38.320 and everybody's working

00:47:39.940 at home

00:47:40.320 and you're not used

00:47:41.780 to it yet,

00:47:42.840 you answer your phone

00:47:44.180 when it rings

00:47:44.760 and you answer your Zooms

00:47:46.860 and your Skypes.

00:47:48.420 But something tells me

00:47:49.520 that as we do

00:47:50.660 more and more work

00:47:51.500 at home,

00:47:52.000 everybody will learn

00:47:53.000 that the smart people

00:47:54.440 don't answer their phone.

00:47:56.860 And then what happens?

00:47:57.980 I don't know.

00:47:59.720 Will Biden be the

00:48:01.960 candidate in November?

00:48:03.500 I'd say 50-50.

00:48:05.500 But whether or not

00:48:06.440 he's actually the

00:48:07.580 candidate on the ticket

00:48:08.940 in November,

00:48:09.900 I do think people

00:48:11.020 will be looking

00:48:11.500 at the vice president.

00:48:13.960 Speaking of which,

00:48:15.740 oh my God,

00:48:16.660 did you see what

00:48:17.280 the president did

00:48:18.360 last night?

00:48:20.720 I think it was last night

00:48:21.900 on an interview.

00:48:22.660 Trump said that he thinks

00:48:27.620 Biden should pick 0.53

00:48:29.840 Elizabeth Warren

00:48:31.260 because she deserves it.

00:48:37.440 And I tweeted,

00:48:39.180 nothing makes me happier

00:48:40.920 than watching Trump

00:48:42.720 give Biden bad advice.

00:48:44.880 It is so diabolical.

00:48:47.280 It is so funny.

00:48:48.320 You know he does it

00:48:49.800 with like a twinkle

00:48:52.000 in his brain.

00:48:53.260 Like he's not letting on

00:48:54.400 that this is a joke.

00:48:56.420 But it is so diabolical

00:48:58.220 the way he gets in

00:48:59.180 the heads of competitors.

00:49:01.080 I would hate to golf

00:49:02.020 with him.

00:49:03.000 Have you ever thought

00:49:03.940 to yourself,

00:49:04.780 what would it be like

00:49:06.040 to just golf

00:49:07.860 with Trump?

00:49:09.540 Let's say you were

00:49:10.180 pretty good.

00:49:11.400 You were a good golfer.

00:49:14.180 Can you imagine

00:49:14.960 how much he would get

00:49:15.900 into your head

00:49:16.460 before you even hit

00:49:18.080 the first golf ball?

00:49:20.720 I can't imagine

00:49:21.740 he ever loses at golf

00:49:23.120 even if he plays

00:49:24.380 people who are better

00:49:25.180 because he probably

00:49:26.400 so messes with

00:49:27.300 their psychology

00:49:28.020 that by the time

00:49:28.800 they try to swing,

00:49:30.120 they're hitting

00:49:30.580 the ball backwards.

00:49:32.700 Anyway, here's the

00:49:33.340 beauty part

00:49:34.460 of suggesting that

00:49:35.440 Biden owes it

00:49:37.900 to one.

00:49:40.260 She deserves it.

00:49:42.120 Because when you use

00:49:42.960 language like that,

00:49:44.660 it's like emotional

00:49:45.660 language.

00:49:46.880 So he's trying,

00:49:47.740 of course,

00:49:48.180 to get the Democrats

00:49:49.860 spun up to fight

00:49:51.140 with each other,

00:49:52.180 which is so funny

00:49:53.400 that, like,

00:49:55.040 I saw that tweet,

00:49:56.580 I'm like,

00:49:56.940 oh, you just have

00:49:57.780 to keep doing this.

00:49:59.160 Because I think

00:49:59.980 it's the second time

00:50:00.740 now he's given

00:50:01.540 bad advice to Biden

00:50:03.160 but made it act

00:50:04.380 like he was serious.

00:50:06.080 Yeah, I got your back

00:50:06.960 on this whole

00:50:07.600 terror-raid thing.

00:50:08.960 I think you should

00:50:09.580 go out there

00:50:09.980 and defend yourself.

00:50:10.720 And when you hear

00:50:12.900 the president's

00:50:15.000 bad advice to Biden

00:50:16.300 and you know

00:50:17.300 he's only doing it

00:50:18.240 because Biden

00:50:18.920 is mentally degraded, 0.89

00:50:21.340 let's face it,

00:50:22.520 he's mentally degraded, 0.90

00:50:24.120 these things

00:50:24.840 wouldn't work

00:50:25.580 with somebody

00:50:26.760 who is more capable

00:50:27.700 but Biden

00:50:28.800 is not that person.

00:50:30.120 So the president

00:50:31.000 can just totally

00:50:32.240 mess with the

00:50:32.940 psychology of their

00:50:33.880 situation,

00:50:35.240 do it with a

00:50:35.840 straight face,

00:50:36.620 and the news

00:50:37.700 doesn't even know

00:50:38.260 how to report this

00:50:39.100 because they can't

00:50:39.780 tell, I don't know,

00:50:41.260 is he kidding?

00:50:42.940 Was that a joke?

00:50:44.780 Is he trying

00:50:45.260 to mess with him?

00:50:46.800 Or does he really

00:50:47.580 think that Elizabeth

00:50:48.720 Warren would be,

00:50:49.900 what's going on here?

00:50:51.580 And of course

00:50:52.060 he's messing with him.

00:50:53.920 It should be

00:50:54.380 pretty obvious.

00:50:55.000 I don't have to

00:50:55.440 read his mind

00:50:55.940 to know that.

00:50:56.500 I would call that

00:50:57.680 an obvious one.

00:51:01.420 But here's the

00:51:02.280 beauty of it.

00:51:04.640 First of all,

00:51:05.420 Elizabeth Warren

00:51:06.400 would be the

00:51:06.940 worst choice

00:51:07.960 because she's

00:51:09.360 stronger than

00:51:10.120 Biden.

00:51:11.140 That's rule number

00:51:12.340 one of picking

00:51:13.980 your vice president.

00:51:15.500 You want the

00:51:16.320 public to say,

00:51:17.160 okay, of these

00:51:18.080 two people,

00:51:19.040 it's obvious which

00:51:19.980 one is the

00:51:20.500 presidential candidate

00:51:21.580 and it's obvious

00:51:23.040 which one is the

00:51:23.680 vice president

00:51:24.260 because they're

00:51:24.640 like a weaker

00:51:25.960 version of the

00:51:26.820 president, right?

00:51:27.580 If you see

00:51:28.520 Donald Trump

00:51:29.960 and Mike Pence,

00:51:32.320 you know who

00:51:32.920 is the president,

00:51:34.600 right?

00:51:34.860 I always say

00:51:37.220 good things

00:51:37.580 about Pence.

00:51:38.380 I don't agree

00:51:39.080 with him on a

00:51:39.560 lot of stuff,

00:51:40.700 you know,

00:51:41.140 on the religious

00:51:43.580 stuff, etc.

00:51:44.600 We don't see

00:51:45.380 eye to eye.

00:51:46.520 But Pence is a

00:51:47.580 good egg,

00:51:48.340 I think.

00:51:49.480 He's just a good,

00:51:51.080 solid citizen.

00:51:53.000 And he's a perfect

00:51:54.020 vice president

00:51:54.660 because he just

00:51:55.200 doesn't make too

00:51:55.800 many mistakes.

00:51:57.500 He didn't wear

00:51:58.120 that mask that

00:51:58.720 one time,

00:51:59.120 but that's no

00:51:59.500 biggie. 0.97

00:51:59.760 But if you

00:52:02.860 take Elizabeth 0.94

00:52:03.920 Warren and

00:52:05.320 put her side 1.00

00:52:06.000 by side with

00:52:06.640 Biden,

00:52:07.160 everybody's going

00:52:07.720 to say,

00:52:08.280 you see what's

00:52:10.700 wrong here,

00:52:11.280 right?

00:52:12.200 Elizabeth Warren

00:52:13.020 is like twice

00:52:13.920 as capable as

00:52:15.340 Biden.

00:52:15.720 It's not even

00:52:16.120 close.

00:52:17.700 Mentally,

00:52:19.200 if you were

00:52:19.820 to,

00:52:20.220 let's say you

00:52:21.160 were to

00:52:21.600 give them both

00:52:24.000 an SAT test

00:52:25.240 or an

00:52:26.320 LSAT

00:52:26.940 or an

00:52:28.180 IQ test,

00:52:29.580 Elizabeth

00:52:30.040 Warren versus

00:52:31.200 Biden,

00:52:32.240 that's not

00:52:33.700 going to be

00:52:34.080 close,

00:52:35.260 right?

00:52:35.640 Say what you

00:52:36.360 will about

00:52:36.980 your Elizabeth

00:52:37.600 Warrens,

00:52:38.680 and I have,

00:52:40.300 but she's 0.97

00:52:40.900 super smart.

00:52:42.560 Can't say the

00:52:43.180 same for Biden,

00:52:44.300 right?

00:52:44.720 So if you put

00:52:45.600 her as the

00:52:45.920 vice presidential

00:52:46.440 choice,

00:52:48.060 it just ruins

00:52:48.620 everything,

00:52:49.440 which is why

00:52:50.580 it's hilarious

00:52:51.160 that he would

00:52:51.660 say that she's

00:52:52.860 earned it.

00:52:54.080 He can't even

00:52:54.880 say no,

00:52:55.460 she's earned

00:52:55.900 it.

00:52:56.900 So that if he

00:52:57.860 doesn't pick

00:52:58.540 her,

00:52:59.580 the president

00:53:00.180 has put in

00:53:00.900 their heads

00:53:01.540 that he

00:53:02.880 picks somebody

00:53:03.480 who didn't

00:53:03.860 earn it.

00:53:07.000 So let me

00:53:08.340 further my

00:53:09.380 long-held

00:53:12.080 prediction by

00:53:13.560 saying this.

00:53:14.880 If you

00:53:15.600 picture Elizabeth

00:53:16.980 Warren and

00:53:17.560 Biden,

00:53:18.240 just in your

00:53:18.940 mind,

00:53:19.380 your mind's

00:53:19.880 eye,

00:53:20.160 picture them

00:53:20.560 side by

00:53:20.960 side.

00:53:21.680 As I said,

00:53:22.820 Warren looks

00:53:23.400 stronger.

00:53:23.880 Now picture

00:53:25.380 Kamala Harris

00:53:27.360 side by

00:53:28.580 side with

00:53:29.960 Biden.

00:53:31.020 Ah,

00:53:31.700 now you

00:53:32.400 see it,

00:53:32.780 don't you?

00:53:33.900 Now you

00:53:34.640 see it.

00:53:35.800 Kamala Harris

00:53:36.560 is close

00:53:38.300 to,

00:53:39.520 sort of

00:53:40.080 similar to

00:53:41.060 Biden.

00:53:41.540 She didn't

00:53:41.860 get far

00:53:42.380 enough in

00:53:42.840 the primaries

00:53:44.260 to be sort

00:53:45.400 of Elizabeth

00:53:46.160 Warren level.

00:53:47.420 She's one

00:53:47.960 level down.

00:53:48.580 she's just

00:53:50.620 about equivalent

00:53:51.640 with Biden,

00:53:53.740 but she's 0.97

00:53:54.520 strong enough

00:53:55.360 because she

00:53:55.920 went through

00:53:56.280 the process

00:53:56.840 of running

00:53:57.400 for president.

00:53:58.460 She's strong

00:53:59.300 enough that

00:54:00.160 if she were

00:54:00.860 to become

00:54:01.360 president,

00:54:02.900 people would

00:54:04.140 say,

00:54:04.660 ah,

00:54:05.060 that's

00:54:05.400 legitimate.

00:54:06.360 She was in

00:54:07.120 the primaries.

00:54:08.060 She made a

00:54:08.980 dent in the

00:54:09.540 primaries.

00:54:10.200 She's a

00:54:10.580 legitimate

00:54:11.020 presidential

00:54:11.800 candidate.

00:54:13.080 People took

00:54:13.680 her seriously.

00:54:14.540 She had a lot

00:54:14.960 of supporters.

00:54:15.480 she didn't

00:54:16.420 make it

00:54:16.720 that far

00:54:17.180 in the

00:54:17.440 primaries,

00:54:18.540 but she's 0.97

00:54:19.180 a serious

00:54:19.680 candidate.

00:54:20.320 Yes,

00:54:20.660 we accept

00:54:21.220 her as 0.54

00:54:21.680 our new

00:54:22.600 president if

00:54:23.360 that's the

00:54:23.760 way it's

00:54:24.040 going to

00:54:24.260 go.

00:54:25.780 So Kamala, 0.95

00:54:26.840 she checks

00:54:28.060 off every

00:54:28.560 box.

00:54:31.440 And somebody

00:54:32.280 says,

00:54:33.080 Scott is still

00:54:33.860 trying to

00:54:34.460 persuade his

00:54:35.300 prediction into

00:54:36.220 reality.

00:54:37.300 Well,

00:54:37.660 let me ask

00:54:38.060 you this.

00:54:38.780 Do you think

00:54:39.220 the Democrats

00:54:39.860 are listening

00:54:40.360 to me?

00:54:41.460 Do you think

00:54:42.120 there's anything

00:54:42.640 that I'll say

00:54:43.580 that could 0.68

00:54:44.800 persuade the

00:54:45.460 Democrats?

00:54:46.840 My assumption

00:54:47.980 is that they're

00:54:48.920 going to end

00:54:49.360 up there on

00:54:50.020 their own

00:54:50.560 because that's

00:54:51.660 just water

00:54:52.260 traveling downhill.

00:54:53.800 In other

00:54:54.160 words,

00:54:55.120 the path of

00:54:56.300 least resistance

00:54:57.220 I didn't

00:54:58.680 create.

00:55:00.000 I'm not the

00:55:00.740 person who

00:55:01.180 created the

00:55:02.580 path.

00:55:03.540 I'm simply

00:55:04.280 describing it.

00:55:05.240 I'm just

00:55:05.520 standing there

00:55:05.980 saying,

00:55:06.280 look,

00:55:06.440 there's two

00:55:06.820 paths.

00:55:07.840 One of them

00:55:08.380 is Elizabeth

00:55:09.040 Warren,

00:55:09.560 is a brick

00:55:10.000 wall.

00:55:11.040 You can see

00:55:11.700 it.

00:55:12.520 I'm not

00:55:12.960 making the

00:55:13.720 brick wall

00:55:14.200 there.

00:55:14.520 I'm just

00:55:14.740 saying you

00:55:15.080 can see

00:55:15.400 it too.

00:55:16.600 I didn't

00:55:16.980 put that

00:55:17.400 brick wall

00:55:17.920 there.

00:55:18.980 Now look

00:55:19.440 at Kamala

00:55:19.840 Harris.

00:55:20.260 It's a

00:55:20.500 different

00:55:20.720 path.

00:55:21.820 Yeah,

00:55:22.080 there's

00:55:22.300 nothing

00:55:22.600 in that

00:55:23.020 path.

00:55:24.120 There's

00:55:24.580 nothing

00:55:25.160 stopping

00:55:25.620 her

00:55:25.900 from being

00:55:27.360 president.

00:55:28.700 If Biden

00:55:29.920 stays in,

00:55:31.920 picks her 0.84

00:55:32.180 as VP,

00:55:33.420 wins the

00:55:33.920 election,

00:55:34.420 I think

00:55:34.700 that's

00:55:34.940 unlikely.

00:55:36.200 But that

00:55:38.240 would be

00:55:38.500 the path.

00:55:39.020 Stacey

00:55:41.220 Abrams,

00:55:41.840 I think,

00:55:42.500 just can't

00:55:43.540 be taken

00:55:43.920 seriously.

00:55:46.980 Think about

00:55:47.980 the bad

00:55:48.680 feelings you

00:55:49.280 have for

00:55:49.740 Kamala

00:55:50.120 Harris.

00:55:51.380 Think about,

00:55:52.340 so you

00:55:53.040 mostly Trump

00:55:54.240 supporters on

00:55:54.920 this periscope,

00:55:55.860 think to

00:55:56.280 yourself,

00:55:57.520 think about

00:55:58.220 your emotional

00:55:58.840 feeling about

00:55:59.600 Kamala Harris.

00:56:00.520 And now ask

00:56:01.040 yourself,

00:56:01.760 how different

00:56:02.660 is that from

00:56:03.900 the emotional

00:56:04.520 feeling that

00:56:06.840 Democrats felt

00:56:07.880 when Trump

00:56:09.020 started becoming

00:56:10.400 a serious

00:56:11.100 candidate?

00:56:12.260 Think about

00:56:12.860 how they

00:56:13.320 felt about

00:56:13.900 him.

00:56:14.720 It was

00:56:14.880 like this

00:56:15.240 visceral,

00:56:16.820 it was

00:56:17.120 almost like

00:56:17.700 you disliked

00:56:19.060 him before

00:56:19.460 he had a

00:56:19.920 reason.

00:56:20.460 There was

00:56:20.560 something about

00:56:20.940 his personality,

00:56:22.120 his braggadocia,

00:56:23.880 his playing

00:56:25.440 loose with

00:56:25.940 the facts.

00:56:26.560 It was

00:56:26.660 like,

00:56:26.960 ah,

00:56:27.980 ah.

00:56:29.160 Now,

00:56:30.100 maybe you

00:56:30.680 and I

00:56:30.920 didn't feel

00:56:31.340 that,

00:56:32.360 but you

00:56:32.880 certainly

00:56:33.220 observed that

00:56:34.500 the Democrats

00:56:35.120 were having

00:56:35.520 this just

00:56:36.540 contempt

00:56:37.480 feeling,

00:56:38.660 this like,

00:56:39.200 you know,

00:56:39.560 almost a

00:56:40.140 bodily hatred

00:56:41.080 for Trump.

00:56:42.440 Now,

00:56:42.880 ask yourself,

00:56:43.540 did that

00:56:43.840 stop him

00:56:44.280 from becoming

00:56:44.800 president?

00:56:45.920 No.

00:56:47.000 Because that

00:56:47.720 thing that

00:56:48.260 made people

00:56:48.780 hate Trump

00:56:49.820 is just

00:56:51.400 the other

00:56:51.860 side of

00:56:52.560 the thing

00:56:52.900 that made

00:56:53.260 people fall

00:56:53.920 in love

00:56:54.260 with him.

00:56:55.480 And there

00:56:56.320 are people

00:56:56.920 who support

00:56:57.620 Trump who

00:56:58.100 are,

00:56:58.460 you know,

00:56:58.900 almost cult-like.

00:57:00.180 They just

00:57:00.460 love him.

00:57:01.300 And this

00:57:01.540 is true of

00:57:02.020 Obama and

00:57:02.640 other people

00:57:03.080 as well.

00:57:03.520 It's not

00:57:03.780 just Trump.

00:57:04.500 But he,

00:57:05.900 Trump causes

00:57:08.360 your emotions

00:57:09.340 to catch

00:57:09.980 on fire.

00:57:11.240 And you

00:57:11.960 either love

00:57:12.660 him or

00:57:14.060 you hate

00:57:14.500 him,

00:57:14.960 but there's

00:57:15.580 not a lot

00:57:16.040 in between,

00:57:17.100 which is

00:57:17.620 actually pretty

00:57:18.280 predictive of

00:57:19.120 somebody who

00:57:19.600 could become

00:57:20.060 president.

00:57:21.020 The one you

00:57:21.780 don't want

00:57:22.420 is where

00:57:22.840 everybody says,

00:57:23.440 well,

00:57:23.580 I don't

00:57:23.880 love him.

00:57:25.320 I don't

00:57:25.700 really hate

00:57:26.400 him.

00:57:27.240 He's just

00:57:27.960 in this

00:57:28.380 middle ground

00:57:29.120 somewhere.

00:57:29.960 That's where

00:57:30.280 Biden is.

00:57:31.120 That's why

00:57:31.480 Biden is so

00:57:32.680 weak,

00:57:32.980 because he

00:57:34.080 doesn't

00:57:34.360 make you

00:57:34.700 love him.

00:57:35.720 He doesn't

00:57:36.120 make you

00:57:36.460 hate him.

00:57:37.340 He just

00:57:37.800 exists.

00:57:39.280 That's

00:57:39.520 usually not

00:57:40.160 a good

00:57:40.400 sign of

00:57:40.840 future

00:57:41.160 leadership.

00:57:42.860 Kamala

00:57:43.200 Harris,

00:57:44.260 the moment

00:57:45.040 I mention

00:57:45.760 her name,

00:57:46.920 some of

00:57:47.440 you just

00:57:47.840 go enraged.

00:57:49.300 Yeah,

00:57:49.520 that's too

00:57:49.900 strong.

00:57:50.420 But you

00:57:50.920 have an

00:57:51.400 emotional

00:57:52.000 reaction to

00:57:52.880 her.

00:57:53.660 People

00:57:53.960 are saying,

00:57:54.440 ah,

00:57:54.760 she slept

00:57:55.340 her way 0.96

00:57:55.640 to the

00:57:55.900 top.

00:57:56.180 She put

00:57:58.120 people in

00:57:58.520 jail.

00:57:59.080 She lied

00:58:00.720 about some

00:58:01.340 racist stuff

00:58:02.100 she accused

00:58:02.700 somebody of.

00:58:03.480 She'll do

00:58:04.300 anything.

00:58:04.960 She's a

00:58:05.420 schemer.

00:58:06.640 Think about

00:58:07.700 what you

00:58:08.140 feel about

00:58:09.120 her.

00:58:11.340 Don't you

00:58:11.900 feel a

00:58:13.420 stronger

00:58:13.960 emotion,

00:58:14.820 negative,

00:58:16.120 about Kamala

00:58:16.840 than some

00:58:17.420 other people?

00:58:18.620 Ask yourself,

00:58:19.660 do you have

00:58:20.020 the same

00:58:21.000 feeling about

00:58:21.600 Kamala?

00:58:22.640 Just examine

00:58:23.840 your internal

00:58:24.440 feeling as

00:58:25.580 you did

00:58:25.960 of, say,

00:58:26.860 Cory Booker.

00:58:28.700 You might

00:58:29.360 have said,

00:58:29.800 oh, I

00:58:30.040 don't think

00:58:30.460 Cory Booker

00:58:31.000 should be

00:58:31.360 president.

00:58:32.180 But do you

00:58:32.680 have the

00:58:32.960 same visceral

00:58:33.980 feel for

00:58:35.300 Cory Booker?

00:58:36.300 I'll bet

00:58:36.560 you don't.

00:58:37.900 I'll bet

00:58:38.220 you say,

00:58:38.600 you know,

00:58:38.960 Cory Booker

00:58:39.420 looks like a

00:58:39.920 good guy.

00:58:40.720 He's just

00:58:41.060 not the

00:58:41.380 guy I'd

00:58:41.700 want for

00:58:42.020 president.

00:58:42.800 How about

00:58:43.100 Andrew Yang?

00:58:44.560 Does anybody

00:58:45.260 hate Andrew

00:58:46.460 Yang?

00:58:46.900 Probably not.

00:58:47.980 Probably

00:58:48.320 basically nobody.

00:58:50.220 But do you

00:58:50.720 get, like,

00:58:51.380 super excited?

00:58:52.340 Well, you

00:58:53.400 get excited in

00:58:54.220 a certain way

00:58:55.020 with Yang.

00:58:55.940 You know,

00:58:56.140 he's interesting

00:58:56.740 and stuff.

00:58:57.620 But he

00:58:57.900 doesn't cause

00:58:59.500 you to

00:58:59.860 love him

00:59:00.840 like some

00:59:02.080 people do.

00:59:03.220 You don't

00:59:03.520 hate him.

00:59:04.960 You don't

00:59:05.560 love him.

00:59:06.520 He's

00:59:06.820 interesting.

00:59:07.540 But he's

00:59:08.120 interesting in

00:59:08.900 the middle.

00:59:11.420 So, here's

00:59:12.480 my overall

00:59:15.280 statement of

00:59:15.840 that.

00:59:16.120 The fact that

00:59:16.840 you have such

00:59:17.300 a negative

00:59:17.780 feeling about

00:59:18.420 Kamala Harris

00:59:19.160 tells you there's

00:59:20.520 something about

00:59:21.280 her that's 1.00

00:59:22.260 reaching you

00:59:23.040 emotionally.

00:59:24.200 If it's

00:59:25.080 true that

00:59:26.300 there's another

00:59:26.820 side to that,

00:59:28.140 she might 0.99

00:59:28.540 actually be

00:59:29.180 able to

00:59:29.540 move Democrats

00:59:31.000 emotionally as

00:59:32.780 well.

00:59:33.580 So, look for

00:59:34.240 the person

00:59:34.700 who can make

00:59:36.380 you feel

00:59:37.060 something.

00:59:38.200 She definitely 0.92

00:59:39.020 makes you feel

00:59:39.820 something.

00:59:40.920 I don't know

00:59:41.480 if there's a

00:59:41.940 positive side of

00:59:42.780 that yet.

00:59:43.140 I haven't really

00:59:43.600 seen it.

00:59:44.460 But she

00:59:44.700 definitely

00:59:45.020 makes you feel

00:59:45.980 the negative

00:59:46.440 if you're on

00:59:47.220 the other

00:59:47.460 team.

00:59:48.620 So, follow

00:59:49.300 the power

00:59:50.140 of emotion.

00:59:51.320 Same with

00:59:52.060 AOC.

00:59:53.080 You can hate

00:59:53.760 everything about

00:59:54.360 AOC, but

00:59:55.860 just examine

00:59:56.680 the depth

00:59:57.300 of your

00:59:57.680 feeling.

00:59:58.740 That's the

00:59:59.300 thing that

00:59:59.780 is predictive.

01:00:01.080 It's the

01:00:01.440 depth of it,

01:00:03.320 not your

01:00:03.940 intellectual

01:00:04.460 opinions.

01:00:06.100 What is

01:00:06.780 your favorite

01:00:07.260 movie?

01:00:08.700 At least

01:00:09.100 at the

01:00:09.400 moment.

01:00:10.180 I dislike

01:00:11.020 movies as

01:00:11.840 an art form

01:00:12.600 because in

01:00:13.380 2020, they

01:00:14.160 just take

01:00:14.580 too long.

01:00:15.600 They're too

01:00:15.880 self-indulgent.

01:00:16.660 It's more

01:00:17.140 about the

01:00:17.560 director.

01:00:18.780 And they

01:00:19.000 put ridiculous

01:00:20.280 hackneyed

01:00:21.440 crap in

01:00:21.940 every movie

01:00:22.480 now.

01:00:23.360 If I see

01:00:23.880 one more

01:00:24.460 by the way,

01:00:25.140 I have a

01:00:25.500 rule.

01:00:26.540 Let me tell

01:00:27.320 you my

01:00:27.640 rule for

01:00:28.480 watching

01:00:28.860 drama.

01:00:30.020 I will

01:00:30.600 turn on

01:00:30.960 a movie.

01:00:31.460 Okay, got

01:00:32.040 good ratings,

01:00:32.920 lots of

01:00:33.220 action.

01:00:33.920 I can watch

01:00:34.400 that sometimes.

01:00:35.540 As soon as

01:00:36.480 the star or

01:00:37.440 any part of

01:00:38.000 the movie is

01:00:39.340 tied to a

01:00:40.120 chair, I

01:00:41.420 turn it

01:00:41.800 off.

01:00:42.900 That's my

01:00:43.380 rule.

01:00:43.700 I've been

01:00:43.880 following this

01:00:44.380 for years.

01:00:45.300 Do you know

01:00:45.600 how many

01:00:45.880 movies I've

01:00:46.580 turned off

01:00:47.280 because at

01:00:48.460 some point

01:00:49.100 somebody is

01:00:50.200 tied to a

01:00:50.820 chair?

01:00:52.420 Yeah, 75%.

01:00:54.460 75% of

01:00:56.440 all action

01:00:57.140 movies I

01:00:58.280 turn off

01:00:59.000 when they

01:00:59.820 get to the

01:01:00.300 tied to the

01:01:00.880 chair part.

01:01:02.140 Because first

01:01:02.960 of all, I

01:01:03.400 don't want to

01:01:03.880 see it.

01:01:04.960 Everything that

01:01:05.680 happens with

01:01:06.220 that tied to

01:01:06.800 the chair part

01:01:07.460 is going to

01:01:08.300 be unpleasant.

01:01:09.060 I don't want

01:01:09.400 to think about

01:01:10.020 it.

01:01:10.600 I don't want

01:01:11.040 to imagine

01:01:11.420 it even as

01:01:12.100 a fiction.

01:01:13.040 I don't want

01:01:13.580 it in my

01:01:13.960 head.

01:01:15.020 I just

01:01:15.520 need to

01:01:15.860 fast forward

01:01:16.460 past that

01:01:17.000 part, but

01:01:18.040 I'm not

01:01:18.460 going to.

01:01:19.220 The fact that

01:01:19.900 you put that

01:01:20.500 in there and

01:01:21.120 you thought that

01:01:21.680 I wanted to

01:01:22.260 watch that, it's

01:01:23.680 just hackneyed,

01:01:24.600 it's boring,

01:01:25.900 it's redundant,

01:01:27.540 and if that's the

01:01:28.500 best you can do

01:01:29.220 for your movie,

01:01:30.000 I'm out.

01:01:30.880 If that's your

01:01:32.100 symbol of

01:01:32.640 creativity, why

01:01:33.960 don't I do

01:01:34.280 what everybody

01:01:34.700 else does, tie

01:01:35.480 somebody to a

01:01:36.060 chair, I'm

01:01:36.620 out.

01:01:36.780 All right, I'm

01:01:40.020 a little bit

01:01:40.500 over time here,

01:01:41.700 so I don't

01:01:42.060 want to go

01:01:42.300 too far.

01:01:44.420 Let's see if

01:01:45.040 there's one

01:01:45.380 more question.

01:01:47.400 How much

01:01:47.740 testing is

01:01:48.440 needed to

01:01:48.920 accomplish

01:01:49.360 something useful

01:01:50.300 in opening

01:01:51.000 the country?

01:01:52.160 My answer

01:01:52.840 is, and I'm

01:01:54.780 pretty confident

01:01:56.100 to this, let's

01:01:57.400 put my

01:01:57.760 confidence at

01:01:58.540 75, 80%.

01:02:00.460 So, you

01:02:01.480 know, a good

01:02:01.800 solid 20, 25%,

01:02:04.380 I might be

01:02:04.900 wrong about

01:02:05.420 this.

01:02:05.720 But my

01:02:06.500 current thinking

01:02:07.120 about testing

01:02:07.700 is we can't

01:02:08.380 get there at

01:02:10.400 all, that

01:02:11.160 there's no way

01:02:11.960 to test enough

01:02:13.700 that we will

01:02:15.020 consider in the

01:02:15.760 end when we

01:02:16.280 look back at

01:02:16.920 it, oh, thank

01:02:17.560 goodness we

01:02:18.780 had enough

01:02:19.200 testing and

01:02:20.480 the right kind

01:02:21.100 of testing and

01:02:21.880 we tested the

01:02:22.500 right people in

01:02:23.180 the right way

01:02:23.820 that we really

01:02:24.960 got a handle

01:02:25.540 in this thing.

01:02:26.700 My prediction

01:02:27.300 is there's

01:02:27.820 nothing that

01:02:28.260 looks even

01:02:28.720 remotely like

01:02:29.680 that's going

01:02:30.080 to happen,

01:02:30.800 not even a

01:02:31.380 little bit.

01:02:32.360 We're nowhere

01:02:32.960 near being able

01:02:34.880 to test in

01:02:35.600 the right

01:02:35.900 way, fast

01:02:36.680 enough, etc.

01:02:38.460 Now, I have

01:02:39.500 optimism in

01:02:40.700 humanity in

01:02:41.860 the sense that

01:02:42.420 maybe something

01:02:42.980 will get

01:02:43.440 invented, but

01:02:45.180 somebody would

01:02:45.600 have to invent

01:02:46.480 something that

01:02:47.840 could be scaled

01:02:48.540 up quickly that

01:02:49.860 doesn't yet

01:02:50.420 exist.

01:02:51.700 Is that going

01:02:52.460 to happen in

01:02:52.900 three months or

01:02:54.480 one month when

01:02:55.300 we need it?

01:02:55.980 I don't think

01:02:56.480 so.

01:02:57.360 Seems pretty

01:02:57.940 unlikely to me.

01:02:59.020 Could happen.

01:03:00.060 You know, I'd

01:03:00.420 like to keep

01:03:00.880 that solid

01:03:01.740 20%, maybe

01:03:03.460 it'll happen.

01:03:04.860 And I do

01:03:05.540 think, generally

01:03:06.660 speaking, that

01:03:07.320 humanity will

01:03:08.160 rise to the

01:03:08.820 challenge.

01:03:09.860 And as we're

01:03:10.240 looking at this

01:03:10.900 crushing amount

01:03:11.960 of death that

01:03:12.940 we're looking at

01:03:13.540 for going back

01:03:14.160 to work, I

01:03:16.060 would, if I

01:03:16.680 had to bet,

01:03:18.240 we're going to

01:03:18.780 be super, super

01:03:20.020 clever in the

01:03:21.060 next 30 days.

01:03:22.360 and that we

01:03:23.360 will just

01:03:23.740 devise things,

01:03:25.840 you know,

01:03:26.080 mechanisms,

01:03:27.060 systems,

01:03:28.260 technologies,

01:03:29.080 inventions.

01:03:30.060 I mean, it's

01:03:30.540 going to look

01:03:30.940 crazy in the

01:03:32.080 next 30 days of

01:03:33.140 how much human

01:03:34.760 innovation just

01:03:36.440 pops out of

01:03:36.980 this.

01:03:37.460 Some of it

01:03:38.140 might be

01:03:38.980 important and

01:03:39.920 make a difference.

01:03:40.640 I don't think

01:03:41.060 it'll be the

01:03:41.440 testing.

01:03:42.280 If you had to

01:03:42.920 guess, testing

01:03:44.320 is just one of

01:03:45.020 many variables

01:03:45.920 that could make

01:03:46.740 a difference.

01:03:47.620 So what are

01:03:48.340 the odds it's

01:03:48.880 that one single

01:03:49.600 one?

01:03:50.000 I'm going to

01:03:50.340 bet against it.

01:03:51.340 So I'm going

01:03:51.700 to say the

01:03:52.080 testing will

01:03:52.640 not be your

01:03:53.100 answer.

01:03:53.580 And I say

01:03:53.960 the same

01:03:54.280 thing about

01:03:54.680 vaccines.

01:03:55.640 I don't

01:03:55.820 think the

01:03:56.160 vaccine hope

01:03:57.880 is real,

01:03:58.560 frankly.

01:03:59.060 I don't

01:03:59.240 think it's

01:03:59.540 real.

01:04:00.440 I think

01:04:00.680 that's just

01:04:01.100 make you

01:04:02.560 feel good.

01:04:04.280 It might

01:04:05.000 work.

01:04:05.880 But if we

01:04:06.400 can come up

01:04:06.900 with a

01:04:07.160 coronavirus

01:04:07.560 vaccine for

01:04:08.540 the first

01:04:08.940 time in

01:04:09.300 human history,

01:04:10.380 well,

01:04:10.660 wouldn't that

01:04:11.020 be surprising

01:04:12.220 if you know

01:04:12.960 what I mean?

01:04:15.240 All right.

01:04:18.220 Does it

01:04:18.760 make sense

01:04:19.180 for Bill

01:04:19.540 Gates to

01:04:20.080 speak in

01:04:20.600 favor of

01:04:21.300 the

01:04:21.560 China's 0.76

01:04:23.340 government's

01:04:23.880 handling of

01:04:24.860 the plague?

01:04:26.380 And the

01:04:26.920 answer is,

01:04:27.580 I'm going

01:04:27.980 to back

01:04:28.460 Bill Gates

01:04:29.300 every time

01:04:30.740 he says

01:04:31.300 something that

01:04:32.840 is true,

01:04:34.120 even if you

01:04:35.260 don't like

01:04:35.720 it.

01:04:37.500 So is it

01:04:38.440 true that the

01:04:39.380 Chinese government

01:04:40.720 acted aggressively

01:04:41.920 and decisively

01:04:43.640 in a way that

01:04:45.000 only they could

01:04:45.920 and probably

01:04:47.540 made a big

01:04:48.540 difference in

01:04:49.220 the plague?

01:04:50.180 I would

01:04:50.420 say yes.

01:04:51.460 I would

01:04:51.800 agree with

01:04:52.540 Bill Gates

01:04:54.860 that as far

01:04:55.360 as we can

01:04:55.800 tell, we

01:04:57.260 might find

01:04:57.760 out something

01:04:58.180 later.

01:04:59.300 But as far

01:04:59.820 as we could

01:05:00.240 tell, it

01:05:01.440 looks like

01:05:01.940 China

01:05:02.400 effectively

01:05:04.760 handled it,

01:05:06.000 even if you

01:05:06.580 don't like the

01:05:07.120 way they did

01:05:07.660 it.

01:05:08.080 Even if you

01:05:08.640 don't like the

01:05:09.160 fact that they

01:05:09.680 locked people 0.96

01:05:11.440 in their houses

01:05:12.500 until they

01:05:12.900 starved or

01:05:13.440 whatever the

01:05:13.800 hell happened.

01:05:15.060 If you don't

01:05:15.440 like the fact

01:05:16.000 there's lots

01:05:17.280 of stuff

01:05:18.200 not to

01:05:18.620 like.

01:05:19.880 But what I

01:05:20.620 like about

01:05:21.160 Bill Gates

01:05:21.720 is he'll

01:05:22.080 give you the

01:05:22.640 difficult answer

01:05:23.520 if it's also

01:05:24.260 true.

01:05:25.620 It's a difficult

01:05:26.640 answer.

01:05:27.840 Because do I

01:05:28.940 want to say

01:05:29.540 in public,

01:05:30.260 yeah, I got

01:05:32.020 my criticisms,

01:05:33.160 but if you

01:05:33.900 looked at the

01:05:34.360 big picture,

01:05:35.760 the Chinese

01:05:36.340 government took

01:05:37.280 care of

01:05:37.580 business,

01:05:38.420 maybe not in

01:05:39.220 the way their

01:05:39.580 citizens wanted

01:05:40.420 them to,

01:05:41.540 probably a lot

01:05:42.640 of victims

01:05:43.180 out of that,

01:05:43.740 but you

01:05:45.020 got to say

01:05:45.840 it looks like

01:05:47.640 they got

01:05:48.000 past it,

01:05:48.960 maybe.

01:05:50.040 So I

01:05:51.060 favor Bill

01:05:51.840 Gates saying

01:05:52.460 things that

01:05:52.920 are honest.

01:05:54.620 That's one

01:05:55.240 of his

01:05:55.560 primary

01:05:56.640 benefits to

01:05:58.300 the country,

01:05:58.760 I think,

01:05:59.120 is that he

01:05:59.900 does tell

01:06:00.340 you what

01:06:00.720 actually is

01:06:02.640 true.

01:06:04.500 So he's

01:06:08.260 also the

01:06:08.720 largest donor

01:06:09.640 to the

01:06:10.040 World Health

01:06:10.440 Organization

01:06:11.040 and has

01:06:11.780 conflicts of

01:06:12.460 interest.

01:06:12.740 Well, here's

01:06:13.480 the thing.

01:06:14.640 Tell me, if

01:06:15.240 you will, what

01:06:15.820 you think

01:06:16.180 Bill Gates'

01:06:16.980 intention is.

01:06:18.860 If I thought

01:06:19.860 that Bill Gates

01:06:20.500 was trying to

01:06:21.120 make money

01:06:21.820 or influence

01:06:24.480 politics, I

01:06:26.660 would have a

01:06:27.160 very different

01:06:27.840 opinion of him.

01:06:29.000 But you know

01:06:29.960 that's not

01:06:30.520 true, right?

01:06:32.340 You know

01:06:33.120 Bill Gates is

01:06:33.840 not in this

01:06:34.420 for the money,

01:06:35.420 don't you?

01:06:36.720 I mean, really?

01:06:37.720 Don't you know

01:06:38.380 that?

01:06:38.700 That he's not

01:06:39.140 in this for the

01:06:39.720 money?

01:06:40.320 Because it

01:06:40.780 kind of wouldn't

01:06:41.240 make sense for

01:06:42.360 him to be in

01:06:42.840 it for the

01:06:43.160 money?

01:06:44.040 I mean, not

01:06:44.520 this.

01:06:45.580 You think he

01:06:46.060 decided to be

01:06:46.660 the richest guy

01:06:47.280 in the world

01:06:47.720 and go spend

01:06:48.360 a lot of

01:06:48.700 time working

01:06:49.240 on African

01:06:49.960 toilet design,

01:06:51.860 which he

01:06:52.500 does, because

01:06:54.120 he's trying to

01:06:54.540 make some

01:06:54.820 money on

01:06:55.360 toilets?

01:06:56.420 No.

01:06:57.340 No.

01:06:59.020 Bill Gates

01:06:59.740 is the real

01:07:00.380 deal.

01:07:01.780 And maybe the

01:07:02.880 reason I can

01:07:03.420 see it, in

01:07:05.560 my opinion,

01:07:06.340 more clearly,

01:07:07.060 is because

01:07:09.100 I'm the

01:07:09.860 smallest version

01:07:11.560 of him,

01:07:12.780 meaning that

01:07:13.380 I've experienced

01:07:14.700 making my

01:07:15.580 own money

01:07:16.140 and then

01:07:17.000 running out

01:07:17.480 of things

01:07:17.840 to do.

01:07:19.380 I just

01:07:20.000 talked about

01:07:20.460 it earlier.

01:07:21.280 I took care

01:07:21.960 of myself,

01:07:23.280 now what

01:07:23.800 do I do?

01:07:24.940 And it's

01:07:25.320 quite natural

01:07:26.120 that you're,

01:07:27.220 because you're

01:07:27.660 a human living

01:07:28.520 in a human

01:07:29.420 society,

01:07:30.200 that the next

01:07:31.180 thing you say

01:07:31.740 is, oh,

01:07:32.740 well, if I took

01:07:33.260 care of myself

01:07:33.900 and my family,

01:07:35.020 let's see what I

01:07:35.940 can do for the

01:07:36.420 world.

01:07:37.440 So, I

01:07:38.520 guarantee it.

01:07:40.440 There are very

01:07:40.900 few things I

01:07:41.480 would say with

01:07:41.940 100% certainty.

01:07:43.740 This will be

01:07:44.340 one of them.

01:07:45.340 I guarantee

01:07:46.460 it, 100%,

01:07:48.500 that Bill Gates

01:07:49.700 is the real

01:07:50.320 deal, meaning

01:07:51.600 that he's only

01:07:52.500 doing it to

01:07:53.180 help the

01:07:53.520 world, period.

01:07:55.060 Nothing else.

01:07:56.180 No, you

01:07:56.640 could say, oh,

01:07:57.340 it's good for

01:07:58.740 him, too, because

01:07:59.700 people will feel

01:08:01.560 good about his

01:08:02.140 legacy or

01:08:02.700 whatever.

01:08:03.080 Okay, sure.

01:08:04.660 I mean, that's

01:08:05.080 part of it,

01:08:05.580 too.

01:08:05.740 But it's not

01:08:06.500 the reason.

01:08:07.660 It's not the

01:08:08.120 reason.

01:08:08.640 I don't do

01:08:10.080 anything for a

01:08:10.660 legacy, because I

01:08:12.420 expect to be

01:08:13.000 dead.

01:08:14.160 I don't think

01:08:14.680 Bill Gates is a

01:08:16.440 believer.

01:08:17.780 I don't think he

01:08:18.620 believes in the

01:08:19.080 afterlife.

01:08:19.700 I'm not positive

01:08:20.260 about that.

01:08:20.880 I don't know if

01:08:21.280 he's talked about

01:08:21.860 it.

01:08:22.880 But I don't

01:08:25.180 think he's playing

01:08:27.060 for his legacy.

01:08:28.640 I think he's

01:08:29.340 playing for right

01:08:30.000 now.

01:08:31.300 I think he's the

01:08:31.980 real deal.

01:08:32.360 That's it.

01:08:33.540 I'll talk to you

01:08:34.380 tonight.

01:08:35.480 You know where,

01:08:36.560 you know when.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 05, 2020

Episode 956 Scott Adams： Come Sip the News

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