Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 961 Scott Adams： Flynn, Freedom, Vitamin D, Biden's Brain and More

00:00:00.000 Well, as the curtain closes on another day, here in California, and in the great nation

00:00:20.680 of the United States, the incredible planet Earth, freedom is breaking out everywhere.

00:00:28.640 Have you heard?

00:00:29.920 Hairdressers are getting out of jail. 0.99

00:00:32.860 Generals are being exonerated.

00:00:35.620 Citizens, some of us anyway, freed from our confinement.

00:00:43.240 Yes, that's right, people.

00:00:45.460 Freedom is breaking out everywhere.

00:00:49.540 And we're not going to stop.

00:00:51.340 Oh, there's going to be some more.

00:00:53.260 Oh, yeah.

00:00:54.440 Well, today, we're going to solve this coronavirus situation.

00:00:59.840 I know you're thinking, what took you so long, Scott?

00:01:03.220 We've been waiting for you to solve it all.

00:01:06.060 And you've just been dawdling and making your little periscopes.

00:01:11.140 Why don't you actually go solve the problem?

00:01:13.820 So I thought I would.

00:01:15.300 So we'll be doing that today a little bit later.

00:01:17.820 You can wait.

00:01:18.980 It's not important, is it?

00:01:20.080 If it's important, we'll do it now.

00:01:22.240 But otherwise, let's talk about this other stuff.

00:01:25.500 This whole General Flynn thing, are you having the same experience I am, which is, it just

00:01:32.060 seems surreal.

00:01:33.180 Well, it doesn't really feel like this could have happened.

00:01:39.580 I mean, it just feels so beyond the pale.

00:01:42.580 Some of the things we learned today with the transcripts that came out.

00:01:46.380 Apparently, Obama did know that General Flynn was being wired out.

00:01:52.240 And he asked not to be told anything else.

00:01:55.260 And I say to myself, huh.

00:01:59.080 So Obama knew, and he was interested.

00:02:02.200 And remind me, what did Obama think of General Flynn?

00:02:07.840 Oh, that's right.

00:02:09.320 He was the one person that Obama asked Trump not to trust and not to hire.

00:02:15.340 Have you heard what the problem is?

00:02:17.100 I've not yet heard, I've heard story after story that Obama didn't like Flynn, but I've

00:02:24.540 never heard why.

00:02:25.380 Have you?

00:02:26.620 I haven't heard why.

00:02:29.120 But it looks like there was, in fact, a genuine coup attempt.

00:02:34.420 I don't think you can, I don't think you can hide that anymore.

00:02:37.940 And watching the Democrats try to explain this away is beyond entertaining.

00:02:44.520 I mean, it's pretty entertaining.

00:02:47.640 So I guess Schiff says, oh no, Russia collusion wasn't completely empty.

00:02:56.380 And so if you say it's not completely devoid of any findings that are derogatory to the

00:03:02.680 president, you probably would need to list some to make your point.

00:03:07.700 And he did.

00:03:08.340 So one of the things that Schiff points to, to show that that whole Russia collusion thing

00:03:14.800 had some meat on the bones, was that Don Jr. went to that meeting once.

00:03:23.380 I'm not making that up.

00:03:25.920 Schiff stood in front of the world and said, oh yeah, sure we crippled the government and

00:03:30.760 spent, I don't know, $40 million or whatever the hell it turned out in the end.

00:03:34.440 But, you know, we got the goods on Don Jr.

00:03:38.320 We've told the world that he attended a meeting that one time and wasn't interested and then

00:03:42.900 left and didn't follow up.

00:03:44.980 We got him now.

00:03:47.680 Ha ha ha. 0.99

00:03:49.960 So that's pathetic. 0.98

00:03:51.920 And then I saw Don of Brazil reminding us that those Russians did try to help Clinton, 0.98

00:03:59.340 or try to get Trump elected.

00:04:02.160 And I'm thinking to myself, well, that's technically true if you're talking about the troll farm and

00:04:10.900 the ads.

00:04:12.020 But did anybody look at those ads?

00:04:14.500 They looked like high school ads and they weren't even all pro-Trump.

00:04:18.520 They weren't even all pro-Trump.

00:04:20.720 If somebody mounted a secret pro-Trump troll campaign, and some of the trolls didn't hear

00:04:30.560 the instructions clearly, and they were writing anti-Trump stuff instead of anti-Hillary stuff,

00:04:38.360 should we be afraid of Russia if that was their best play? 0.99

00:04:42.840 There's something wrong with that whole troll story.

00:04:45.920 There's something missing. 0.98

00:04:47.900 You know, I think the real story would just be pathetic and hilarious. 0.79

00:04:51.080 Because if you've seen the memes, they were not made by even adults, as far as I can tell. 0.98

00:04:55.820 They looked like they were made by chimps. 0.99

00:04:57.420 So the president is sort of taking the opportunity of the Russia collusion thing falling apart.

00:05:07.200 And he noted that it made it hard to deal with Russia because this cloud was hanging over him.

00:05:12.600 And I guess he talked to Vladimir Putin on the 75th anniversary of, I don't know, winning the war or

00:05:18.280 something for World War II.

00:05:19.740 And Trump said again, very clearly, you know, why can't we get along with Russia?

00:05:27.120 Either a strong power or we're a strong power, it just sort of makes sense.

00:05:31.700 Here's what I think.

00:05:34.500 As much trouble as we have with China, while China is pretending to be our friend, 1.00

00:05:41.860 but they're stealing our IP and they're giving us bad trade deals and, you know, God knows what else.

00:05:48.140 Do you think they're not doing that to Russia? 1.00

00:05:51.900 I actually don't know the answer to that.

00:05:53.660 So if somebody knows the answer to that, let me know.

00:05:55.900 But my, let me start with this working assumption, which could be wrong.

00:06:02.380 My working assumption is if the whole point of China's alleged, you know, total war philosophy 0.89

00:06:10.360 of trying to get to the point where China dominates the world, 0.72

00:06:14.680 well, it's not just the United States they want to dominate, right?

00:06:20.360 Does China not think that, that, that, does Russia not think that China wants to boost its influence?

00:06:27.740 And as China's influence grows, does Russia think that's good for them?

00:06:34.500 I actually don't know the answer to that.

00:06:36.580 It's possible that they don't care one way or the other.

00:06:38.900 Maybe they just don't have any, you know, interests that are in conflict and they're like, well, we don't care.

00:06:44.640 Good for them.

00:06:45.840 Maybe.

00:06:47.280 But I don't think so.

00:06:49.220 Isn't it far more likely that Russia and the United States have a common, I won't say enemy,

00:06:54.960 I think that's too strong, but a common concern, a common external threat?

00:07:03.780 But, and it does seem to me that the very best thing we could do while decoupling from China 0.98

00:07:10.380 at whatever rate makes sense, bringing our, bringing our production facilities home,

00:07:15.920 that maybe we should have some kind of an understanding with Russia,

00:07:20.900 assuming we can work at our problems with Russia.

00:07:23.880 But we should be able to get to the point where we can make the case

00:07:27.500 that Russia is better as an ally than an enemy.

00:07:31.800 What is it that keeps our allies our allies?

00:07:36.240 What makes France our ally, Britain our ally, and we don't worry about it?

00:07:42.120 Even Germany, oddly enough, how weird is that?

00:07:45.120 That Germany is our ally and we don't really worry about it.

00:07:48.560 I mean, except jokingly we do, but we don't really worry about Germany.

00:07:52.140 What is it about those countries that allows us to feel comfortable that they remain our allies?

00:07:57.840 Well, I would say that the strongest tie we have is military cooperation

00:08:03.660 and knowing that if one of us got in serious trouble, that the others would be there.

00:08:11.060 That's a really strong bond.

00:08:13.760 You can't really beat the blood bond.

00:08:15.580 If you get in trouble, we will die for you.

00:08:20.720 What's stronger than that?

00:08:21.980 And that's basically what NATO is, right?

00:08:24.340 If one of you guys get in trouble, the rest of us will die.

00:08:29.120 We'll die to save you.

00:08:31.820 You don't get more of a trust than that situation.

00:08:35.600 And right now, we have this absurd situation where we're treating Russia like a competitor.

00:08:42.140 And sure, sure, you can make a list of things they want that were in the way.

00:08:46.440 Maybe there's some things we want that they're in the way.

00:08:48.900 But doesn't that apply to every country?

00:08:51.420 You know, aren't there things we wish, you know, the Great Britain or France would do differently

00:08:56.480 or Israel or anybody?

00:08:58.480 You know, there's always something.

00:08:59.560 But we don't have any kind of a conflict with those other countries in any major way.

00:09:05.500 Couldn't we get to that place with Russia if we just realize and reframe the situation 0.99

00:09:11.800 that we have a common interest?

00:09:15.480 And maybe at some point, we should have a common military alliance to protect us from a

00:09:21.620 gigantized China, which might be 20 years away. 0.91

00:09:25.980 But wouldn't it be good to get started beefing up the defenses?

00:09:30.080 All right.

00:09:32.700 Governor Abbott was quite impressive, if you saw his appearance with the president today.

00:09:40.280 So, and I was just shaking my head so hard when Abbott was talking, because he was explaining

00:09:47.820 the technique that they were using in Texas that has been unusually successful, or it seems

00:09:54.400 unexpectedly successful, I'll say.

00:09:56.700 And he described their technique.

00:09:58.840 And I just sat there thinking, you're the only one who thought of this?

00:10:04.420 Why isn't everybody doing this?

00:10:07.240 And his technique, apparently they have these sort of rapid response situations.

00:10:12.820 And so, rapid response situation.

00:10:20.940 And, sorry, I just got a text that distracted me.

00:10:28.060 I got to answer that.

00:10:29.180 All right.

00:10:31.180 So, what Texas does is they say, if you're a nursing home, they put a wall around it,

00:10:37.160 basically, you know, a protective wall, if you know what I mean, figuratively speaking.

00:10:40.480 And if there's a hotspot, they have a hotspot emergency group that goes there and just surrounds

00:10:45.860 it and stamps it out.

00:10:48.400 So, basically, what they're doing in Texas that's different is really concentrating resources

00:10:52.900 in the group that is more than half of the illnesses.

00:10:58.860 And if you can concentrate your effort where it matters most, you get the best result.

00:11:06.260 So, Texas is just doing the most logical thing, which is putting their resources in the places

00:11:11.880 that will have the biggest impact.

00:11:13.840 And as he was describing it, I was just thinking, and the other states are doing what?

00:11:21.540 Apparently something different.

00:11:24.580 Isn't that blowing your mind?

00:11:26.160 I mean, we know the story of Cuomo sending, not personally, I don't even know if he knew,

00:11:32.180 but in New York, people who were infected were sent back to nursing homes, and you know how

00:11:37.720 that worked out.

00:11:39.180 All right.

00:11:41.560 Here are some facts you might not know.

00:11:44.520 Did you know that both Texas and California are young states, meaning the average median, or the median,

00:11:56.120 let's say the median age, is fairly young in both California and Texas.

00:12:02.420 So, that gives both of them an edge.

00:12:04.580 And they both have sun.

00:12:06.460 That probably gives them an edge.

00:12:08.080 And, you know, not as many, well, I don't know.

00:12:10.480 Now, does Texas have as many skyscrapers collectively as New York?

00:12:15.480 Maybe, but spread out different cities.

00:12:20.800 So, here's another fact.

00:12:25.740 New Jersey is one of the oldest states.

00:12:29.780 Did you know that?

00:12:32.020 Also, New York, I don't think necessarily New York City, but New York the state and New Jersey the state

00:12:38.880 are very old states, relatively speaking.

00:12:42.260 They have an old population.

00:12:43.520 I just looked it up before I got here.

00:12:46.180 Now, does that tell you something?

00:12:48.220 It might.

00:12:50.300 So, I tweeted earlier.

00:12:53.420 I'll talk about that at the end.

00:12:54.780 So, there are two articles in the last 24 hours about Kamala Harris being the top pick, likely pick, 0.86

00:13:04.480 most predictable pick for Joe Biden.

00:13:07.440 PJ Media wrote a big article about that, with Kamala being the obvious choice.

00:13:13.360 But here's the interesting one, because PJ Media is, you know, more of a right-leaning situation.

00:13:19.340 But CNN's Chris Silliza, who I would say, as much as anybody on CNN, Chris Silliza, I think you would say,

00:13:31.340 has his finger on the pulse of what CNN's theme and approach is going to be.

00:13:39.640 Wouldn't you say?

00:13:40.480 Those of you who have watched CNN, I know it's not all of you.

00:13:42.920 But I think Chris Silliza would really represent, almost always, the most mainstream opinion that will be CNN's larger opinion.

00:13:54.140 And he wrote a lengthy article.

00:13:57.240 It was pretty good, actually.

00:13:59.360 And it was showing all the top candidates for vice president.

00:14:03.460 And he also ranked Kamala, Kamala, Kamala as number one, the second week in a row, I guess, or the second time they've done it.

00:14:11.260 So, even CNN, Chris Silliza, anyway, is saying that Kamala is the most likely choice.

00:14:19.160 But here's the interesting part.

00:14:21.220 He didn't endorse her, you know, with the word endorse, but when he described her, it was quite positive.

00:14:32.980 So, CNN is not only predicting it, but they're sort of subtly pushing it.

00:14:39.720 Because there wasn't any negative that he mentioned.

00:14:43.800 And he seemed to have a very positive thought about her as vice president.

00:14:46.920 And explained why it made sense on a number of levels.

00:14:50.060 Now, it seems to me that if you've got CNN on board, they're the best indicator of what the Democratic, let's say, machine wants.

00:15:05.060 Because you think MSNBC might be a little more Bernie-oriented.

00:15:10.160 CNN is right in the mainstream of the power center of the Democratic Party, wouldn't you say?

00:15:15.500 So, if Chris Silliza feels comfortable talking up Kamala Harris as the number one likely pick, but also best pick.

00:15:28.160 He didn't say best, but he indicated she'd be a strong pick.

00:15:31.440 If CNN is talking her up, has the decision been made?

00:15:35.680 I ask you, has the decision been made?

00:15:40.320 And if the decision is made, will not everyone say that the vice president is really the candidate you're voting for?

00:15:47.320 And will I not have achieved the greatest prediction of all time?

00:15:53.420 Well, I will be, it's too early to say that's true.

00:15:59.740 But it could happen.

00:16:01.800 It's shaping up.

00:16:03.580 Even if it doesn't happen, look how close they got.

00:16:08.460 You know, to make a prediction that that is as wild as the one I made, which is that, first of all, that she'd be the candidate.

00:16:16.520 That's wild.

00:16:17.780 But that even after she suspended her campaign, I said repeatedly and publicly, no, she's still going to be the candidate because Biden's going to fail.

00:16:29.300 And here we are.

00:16:30.580 Still too soon.

00:16:32.140 I may be eating crow, eating my words in a week or so if Biden picks a vice president.

00:16:37.620 Anything can happen.

00:16:38.320 I think vice presidents are especially hard to predict.

00:16:41.900 But it's looking that way.

00:16:46.060 I'm trying to decide what are the biggest stories of the Trump administration so far.

00:16:52.880 Like, what are the biggest stories?

00:16:56.180 Somebody says, oh, you.

00:17:01.300 And I would say the biggest stories of the, you know, the three and a half years so far is, first of all, the fake Russia collusion story.

00:17:11.840 All right.

00:17:12.040 So that was maybe the biggest story, and it was fake.

00:17:16.320 It was the biggest story, and it wasn't even real.

00:17:19.400 But on another level, you could argue that the fine people hoax was one of the biggest ones because not only was the story itself massive, but it stayed with us.

00:17:30.040 It was like a story that never left.

00:17:32.300 It became like the background anger for every other story because you'd see people bring it up for years since 2017.

00:17:42.500 It still gets brought up.

00:17:43.780 Well, fine people, fine people.

00:17:46.080 But, of course, like the Russia collusion hoax, the fine people story, maybe the second biggest story of his entire administration, was also not true.

00:17:57.240 It didn't actually happen.

00:18:00.100 You all know the story, but none of the people on the left know it because it's just not reported.

00:18:06.040 You'll never see it on CNN.

00:18:07.700 You'll never see it on MSNBC.

00:18:09.900 And the truth is, of course, he didn't say that. 0.83

00:18:11.800 He said specifically the neo-Nazis and the racists, the white nationalists, I guess, should be condemned totally.

00:18:20.780 That's what he actually said, should be condemned totally, but because it was muddled and taken out of context, it turned into, he called them fine people, which is literally the opposite of what happened.

00:18:34.880 So, the two biggest stories of the administration were both hoaxes.

00:18:40.740 How weird is that?

00:18:42.260 But what about the third biggest story?

00:18:44.460 Well, the third biggest story is really the coronavirus, of course, but in terms of politics, what's the biggest story around the coronavirus?

00:18:54.160 Well, I think the biggest story around the coronavirus is that the president wondered aloud about drinking bleach and ingesting disinfectants to fight the coronavirus, which, of course, would kill you.

00:19:09.160 So, don't do that.

00:19:11.760 But that was a giant story, and it really became the story that people used to, I would say, park all of their biases about the president not being up to the job.

00:19:23.560 Because they wanted to think that the job of handling this coronavirus required a certain amount of, let's say, controlled leadership and deference to scientific authority, which would be the opposite of wondering aloud about drinking bleach.

00:19:43.460 But, similar to the Russia collusion hoax and the fine people hoax, the drinking bleach and or ingesting disinfectant hoax actually didn't happen.

00:19:57.820 It didn't happen.

00:19:59.360 He was talking about using light as a disinfectant, inserting it into the lungs, which is actually a real thing.

00:20:06.060 It's being tested right now.

00:20:07.840 And it was the context he was talking about, because he had just talked about light as a disinfectant.

00:20:12.960 That was the context.

00:20:15.200 So, the biggest, correct me if I'm wrong, the three biggest stories of the year were all made up.

00:20:24.140 Right?

00:20:26.340 Yeah.

00:20:26.940 Oh, yeah.

00:20:27.280 Then the hydroxychloroquine, the idea that the hydroxychloroquine was actually dangerous because it's just dangerous as a drug.

00:20:38.260 We know that's not true, because it's been, you know, it's been prescribed for forever all over the world, 75 years or something, in some form or other.

00:20:49.680 And that was just a hoax.

00:20:52.860 I mean, that's nobody's admitted to yet, but obviously that was a complete hoax.

00:20:57.700 What about remdesivir?

00:21:00.420 Remdesivir, I just saw an article in CNN, I think it was.

00:21:03.200 So, remdesivir is the one that made no statistical difference that we've identified in changing mortality rates.

00:21:13.440 And CNN's touting it as a breakthrough drug.

00:21:17.440 Now, can you be a breakthrough drug without affecting mortality rates?

00:21:24.200 Now, there does seem to be strong evidence that it reduces the virus, but don't have evidence that it reduces the mortality rate.

00:21:37.120 Now, we also don't have evidence that it doesn't.

00:21:40.460 So, we just don't have evidence either way.

00:21:42.620 But why are we talking about this as a breakthrough without the one piece of evidence you'd really want to see, which is mortality rates?

00:21:51.440 Sounds to me like you shouldn't get your news from, wait for it, wait for it, you shouldn't get your news from somebody who's funded mostly by pharmaceutical companies, like most of the news.

00:22:10.540 Most of the news is a pharmaceutical, I mean, you can almost think of the news as a pharmaceutical product.

00:22:16.220 Wow, did I just say that?

00:22:19.340 That was so profound.

00:22:21.440 I feel I need to say it again in case anybody missed it.

00:22:25.280 I'll just act like I didn't say it the first time.

00:22:27.700 You act like you didn't hear it the first time.

00:22:30.260 But listen to this and act like it was profound.

00:22:35.620 It's almost as if the news is just a pharmaceutical product.

00:22:41.640 Not bad the second time either.

00:22:45.520 Because the news is designed to change your mental state.

00:22:50.760 It's designed to rewire your personality, to change your mood.

00:22:55.040 It's designed to influence the chemistry of your body, literally.

00:22:59.800 Your oxytocin, your dopamine, your serotonin, all the chemicals that could make you happy or sad.

00:23:06.940 That's what the news does.

00:23:09.480 What's that sound like?

00:23:11.640 A pharmaceutical product.

00:23:13.820 Who is the main sponsor slash advertiser of news?

00:23:20.220 Pharmaceutical companies.

00:23:22.200 So, if you tell me that the news is one business, and the pharmaceutical business is a separate business,

00:23:29.240 I would say to you, it doesn't look like that.

00:23:33.260 It looks like it's one business.

00:23:35.240 And the news is just one of the drugs.

00:23:38.860 Boom! 0.99

00:23:39.740 Think about that for a while, huh? 0.97

00:23:42.200 Your head will explode.

00:23:46.600 Snickers!

00:23:48.000 You know it's the cat.

00:23:49.120 It's always the cat.

00:23:50.560 It's never not the cat.

00:23:54.200 Always the cat.

00:23:57.820 Okay.

00:23:58.260 So, let's talk about vitamin D.

00:24:03.420 When the coronavirus crisis first started, I advised, as you remember, that you should do everything to keep your immune system strong.

00:24:13.100 I said, make sure you get sleep and mild exercise.

00:24:16.480 And I told you to take a walk because it would be the best mild exercise because it has the double benefit of getting you in the sun a little bit.

00:24:27.580 You get your vitamin D.

00:24:28.880 Vitamin D is good for your immune system.

00:24:30.540 Everybody knows that, right?

00:24:32.940 So, and by the way, I'm pretty sure I was the first person to say that, to say that the way you should deal with the coronavirus is to take walks.

00:24:42.280 I didn't hear anybody else say it before I said it.

00:24:45.540 But anyway, I'm losing my voice here.

00:24:48.100 Sorry.

00:24:48.240 Anyway, so, and we've also seen, you've all seen stories that maybe vitamin D would be a treatment for people who are already infected.

00:25:00.340 But there's conflicting information.

00:25:03.380 I saw some information today that maybe there's an optimal vitamin D level and it's U-shaped, meaning that you could have too much vitamin D, but you could also have too little.

00:25:13.860 So, there's a sweet spot that's the best.

00:25:16.040 So, it's not as clean as more is better.

00:25:19.280 There might be some situation where you could get too much, but I don't think you could get too much without supplements.

00:25:25.880 So, here's what I'm going to add to the conversation.

00:25:31.360 And what I'm adding is just pattern recognition.

00:25:35.060 So, we already know vitamin D is good for your immune system.

00:25:38.140 So, I'm not adding that thought.

00:25:40.760 I'm just adding this observation.

00:25:42.420 Think of all the factors that make you more likely to die from coronavirus.

00:25:50.820 It turns out that maybe every one of these factors is really just a signal that you don't have vitamin D.

00:26:01.980 Think about this.

00:26:05.000 Every one of the things that I'm going to list is highly correlated with low vitamin D levels, right?

00:26:11.880 Being old, if you're old, your vitamin D is really low.

00:26:15.840 Well, old people have it worse with the coronavirus.

00:26:20.020 If you're overweight, your vitamin D is lower.

00:26:23.920 If you're black, your vitamin D, or even if you have a darker melanin, you know, darker skin tones, 0.71

00:26:31.520 you're less likely to be picking up enough vitamin D. 0.99

00:26:34.860 And, of course, the black population is getting it the worse. 1.00

00:26:38.980 But they also have the other comorbidities, which are also related to vitamin D. 0.98

00:26:44.980 Diabetics have vitamin D deficiency.

00:26:48.560 Did you know that?

00:26:49.920 I guessed it was true and looked it up, and it's true.

00:26:54.860 People who live in smoggy cities,

00:26:57.580 do they get as much vitamin D?

00:26:59.500 Probably not, because smog.

00:27:02.200 When Wuhan was shut down,

00:27:08.900 the terrible smog that was there disappeared.

00:27:12.640 When people went back, you know, when they were finally released,

00:27:16.540 they were released into sunshine.

00:27:20.020 Did it help?

00:27:21.500 Don't know.

00:27:22.660 But maybe they had a little more vitamin D than they did when things were the worst.

00:27:27.260 I don't know if short-term exposure makes that much difference.

00:27:30.780 Look at nursing homes.

00:27:33.600 Do they get much sun?

00:27:34.660 No.

00:27:35.200 And they're old.

00:27:35.980 Do old people get much sun? 1.00

00:27:37.220 No.

00:27:37.640 Look at prisons.

00:27:38.960 Do prisoners get much sun?

00:27:41.700 No.

00:27:42.520 Now, prisoners mostly didn't have as many medical problems, but they're younger.

00:27:47.280 Right?

00:27:47.740 So prisons have a higher African-American population,

00:27:51.480 population, so that speaks to lower vitamin D as well as not being outdoors.

00:27:58.140 What about Chinese urban dwellers?

00:28:02.760 Do you think there's a correlation with vitamin D and being a Chinese urban dweller?

00:28:10.300 There is.

00:28:11.260 There was a study of Chinese residents of Beijing,

00:28:14.820 and they have low vitamin D.

00:28:17.480 Now, I didn't see a study of Wuhan, but why would it be different?

00:28:21.760 So apparently if you're Chinese and you live in an urban environment,

00:28:26.380 you have low vitamin D.

00:28:27.920 It could be the smog, right?

00:28:29.800 What about Iran?

00:28:35.240 The Iranians, correct me if I'm wrong, but how many of them expose their arms? 1.00

00:28:42.040 If you're in Iran, do you ever expose your arms or even, let's say, 0.94

00:28:45.880 the back of your neck, depending on if you're a man or a woman, what you're wearing?

00:28:50.340 And also Tehran is one of the most polluted cities.

00:28:54.260 So you've got your smog, which would affect the air.

00:28:57.740 Maybe they're a little more covered because of the modesty of the traditional dress.

00:29:03.640 Do they have low vitamin D?

00:29:06.140 Maybe.

00:29:07.960 How about, well, so those are the main categories.

00:29:13.000 Now, of course, does it work the other way?

00:29:15.140 Do people that we know have good vitamin D, do they have the least problems?

00:29:19.640 Well, you know, little babies sometimes can be short on vitamin D.

00:29:24.820 Little kids.

00:29:25.440 But don't, isn't it true that every kid gets more sun than adults?

00:29:34.600 Correct me if I'm wrong.

00:29:36.100 I don't know any kid who doesn't get more sun than adults.

00:29:39.280 And when they do go outside, good luck getting some sunscreen on them.

00:29:43.120 I mean, you can if you're going swimming or something.

00:29:45.100 But if they're just running around or going to school or, you know, they're out in recess during school and they're out for lunch, they're outside sometimes, at least in California.

00:29:55.980 So kids, at least where I live, kids are outdoors way more than adults.

00:30:02.340 But they might also not have as much vitamin D problems.

00:30:06.280 And there may be other issues for that as well, right?

00:30:10.200 So here's what I'd like to add to the conversation.

00:30:16.300 Somebody says, please study Chelsea, Massachusetts.

00:30:24.520 Well, here's the next thing I was going to say.

00:30:26.860 Look at any place you think is an exception. 0.99

00:30:30.700 And then somebody says, my God, you solved this damn thing. 0.99

00:30:36.360 Maybe. 0.99

00:30:37.520 Maybe.

00:30:39.700 Let me ask you this.

00:30:42.600 Obviously, it would be ridiculously unlikely.

00:30:46.960 Ridiculously unlikely if this was the answer.

00:30:50.300 And that, you know, we came up with it right here.

00:30:53.340 That would be ridiculously unlikely.

00:30:56.820 But is it impossible?

00:30:59.640 Is it impossible?

00:31:01.860 I don't know.

00:31:03.900 Not impossible.

00:31:04.720 By the way, Christina, my lovely, beautiful and talented fiancee,

00:31:10.340 was helping me with this theory, who may, in fact, be watching.

00:31:14.440 Christina, are you watching?

00:31:16.820 If you are, I'm going to see you soon with a record player.

00:31:21.040 You'll know what that means.

00:31:25.280 And so Christina and I were talking tonight,

00:31:28.800 and we started putting together this series of coincidences.

00:31:32.840 And the ones that were weird is, I would say, for example,

00:31:37.720 all right, one of the risk groups is diabetics.

00:31:41.840 What are the odds that if I Google diabetics,

00:31:45.780 that it will say they have a vitamin D deficiency?

00:31:48.800 Google diabetics?

00:31:50.880 Vitamin D deficiency.

00:31:53.120 Google African American vitamin D deficiency?

00:31:56.520 Yes.

00:31:58.120 Google overweight vitamin D deficiency.

00:32:00.120 You know.

00:32:00.780 And everything I could think of, every time I could think of it,

00:32:05.600 I'm seeing somebody say that Dr. Shiva has been on this for two months.

00:32:10.180 This is an important distinction.

00:32:12.840 I'm not suggesting that I've seen evidence that it works as a treatment.

00:32:18.300 But if you already had good vitamin D levels,

00:32:24.940 would it help you not get into as much trouble?

00:32:27.680 In other words, would it be an early intervention

00:32:30.400 because you already had vitamin D?

00:32:32.400 There doesn't seem to be strong evidence

00:32:34.600 that if you administer it when somebody is already in bad shape,

00:32:38.840 I think there's some mixed evidence on that.

00:32:41.900 It could work.

00:32:42.760 It's sort of mixed.

00:32:43.520 Now, correct me if I'm wrong.

00:32:44.540 I think Dr. Shiva is talking about using it as a treatment.

00:32:48.280 Can somebody confirm that?

00:32:50.300 Which is not what I'm talking about.

00:32:52.600 So this is a really important distinction.

00:32:55.500 If you miss this, you're missing the whole magic.

00:32:58.760 The magic is not that it might be a good treatment.

00:33:02.100 I don't know anything about that.

00:33:03.660 And that's what's mostly been talked about.

00:33:05.860 All I'm adding is the correlation,

00:33:08.400 which is, uh, is this my imagination?

00:33:11.440 Or is every single situation where it's a problem

00:33:15.100 also low, low, uh, vitamin D?

00:33:19.420 Take New York City.

00:33:20.600 Have you ever been to New York City?

00:33:22.300 Have you ever walked around in New York City?

00:33:25.200 Do you need sunglasses?

00:33:27.140 One of the most freaky things about New York City,

00:33:29.780 when I go there, every year or two,

00:33:31.980 I go to New York City, spend some time there for business.

00:33:34.380 And often I'll have some downtime to walk someplace.

00:33:39.340 And I go to take my sunglasses,

00:33:41.500 because in California,

00:33:42.480 you can't leave the house without sunglasses.

00:33:45.040 You can't, you can't leave the house on a winter day,

00:33:47.940 a cloudy day.

00:33:49.080 You would not want to drive your car

00:33:50.960 on any daytime in California without sunglasses,

00:33:55.060 because it's just so darn bright out here.

00:33:57.320 In New York City,

00:33:59.340 even with my light blue eyes,

00:34:01.220 where I need sunglasses all the time,

00:34:02.900 even me,

00:34:05.160 I don't need sunglasses in New York City,

00:34:07.980 because everything is diffused.

00:34:10.580 The buildings are blocking everything,

00:34:12.540 and you're just not in sun that much.

00:34:16.200 Anyway,

00:34:17.100 so I wouldn't say for sure that New York City

00:34:20.880 has low vitamin D,

00:34:23.100 but when you find the places that are the exceptions,

00:34:26.980 because, you know,

00:34:28.080 they might not have any vitamin D problems,

00:34:30.280 I don't know.

00:34:30.720 But, if you find an exception,

00:34:33.940 there's usually also a reason for the exception.

00:34:37.220 In other words,

00:34:38.280 you know,

00:34:38.960 New York City is super dense,

00:34:41.620 they get elevators,

00:34:42.760 they have everything that's wrong

00:34:44.320 if you're trying to stop a virus.

00:34:47.060 So, maybe it's just the exception,

00:34:48.640 because it's got everything wrong with it,

00:34:50.760 virus-wise.

00:34:51.500 So, let me ask you the question.

00:34:55.820 How many of you believe,

00:34:58.600 based on these coincidences,

00:35:00.920 and remember,

00:35:01.620 this would be confirmation bias,

00:35:04.520 what about Italy?

00:35:06.100 Italy is unusually old.

00:35:09.800 The average age in Italy is quite old,

00:35:13.220 and it also got into some, you know,

00:35:15.400 I think nursing homes and stuff over there.

00:35:17.120 So, if you factor in the age,

00:35:20.440 they would have low vitamin D,

00:35:23.240 and I think somebody said that Spain,

00:35:26.240 that the elderly in Italy and Spain

00:35:28.280 don't like to go out so much.

00:35:30.000 I don't know if that's true,

00:35:31.380 but somebody said it on Twitter.

00:35:33.920 So, it is,

00:35:34.880 it's the right question to ask for the exceptions,

00:35:37.660 but I think you can often find the reason

00:35:39.560 for the exceptions.

00:35:41.460 So, what do you think?

00:35:43.300 What do you think?

00:35:47.580 Dr. Shiva saying it should be a regimen,

00:35:49.940 not to cure.

00:35:51.340 Well, that seems safe to say,

00:35:53.560 wouldn't you say?

00:35:54.700 I mean, it feels like vitamin D

00:35:56.500 is so well established

00:35:57.940 as good for your immune system.

00:36:00.600 I don't know the specifics

00:36:02.040 of, you know,

00:36:02.920 what exactly you would administer,

00:36:05.940 but how could that be wrong?

00:36:08.280 I mean,

00:36:08.960 I don't see how Shiva could be wrong

00:36:11.240 about vitamin D being at least helpful.

00:36:15.500 I mean,

00:36:15.700 that feels safe, right?

00:36:18.880 At least on a risk-reward basis

00:36:20.940 because it's not likely to hurt you.

00:36:24.900 Most carrier sailors never go topside.

00:36:28.160 Interesting.

00:36:28.860 Somebody saying that the aircraft carrier

00:36:30.880 could be a situation

00:36:32.500 where nobody goes topside.

00:36:34.620 Huh.

00:36:35.500 I was also wondering about cruise ships,

00:36:37.980 but I think these are cases

00:36:40.300 where there might be

00:36:40.960 an air circulation issue,

00:36:43.560 you know,

00:36:43.780 small quarters,

00:36:45.180 everything's public,

00:36:46.980 but also on cruise ships,

00:36:48.600 you do spend a lot of time below deck,

00:36:51.440 but I would think,

00:36:52.580 and also cruise ships are older,

00:36:54.260 so you've got the age thing

00:36:55.440 and the comorbidities,

00:36:56.820 and frankly,

00:36:57.660 the people who decide to go on cruises

00:36:59.500 are not the active people.

00:37:01.700 You know,

00:37:02.940 the most active people

00:37:04.380 are not going to say,

00:37:06.300 let's sit on a boat

00:37:07.380 for two weeks.

00:37:08.920 It tends to be the

00:37:09.760 less active people like that.

00:37:12.460 It's been my observation.

00:37:14.580 All right.

00:37:15.860 I believe I have,

00:37:18.800 in Japan,

00:37:20.600 the elders kept a home

00:37:21.920 and they had low deaths.

00:37:25.140 Yeah,

00:37:25.400 you also have the issue

00:37:26.400 of masks

00:37:27.700 being generally available

00:37:29.080 and more acceptable

00:37:30.120 in some places.

00:37:34.780 So that's cool.

00:37:37.000 Don't men have more vitamin D?

00:37:38.940 Good question.

00:37:40.400 Good question.

00:37:41.560 I will Google that.

00:37:43.460 So men are dying

00:37:44.780 at a higher rate,

00:37:46.660 and so the theory would say

00:37:48.620 all things being equal,

00:37:51.320 but are men just less healthy

00:37:53.340 in general?

00:37:53.800 We have a lower life expectancy.

00:37:59.080 Let's see.

00:38:00.960 Men versus women. 0.99

00:38:04.460 Somebody Google this for me

00:38:05.700 so I can only do it once

00:38:06.980 if I miss it.

00:38:08.180 Men versus women. 0.99

00:38:09.760 Vitamin D deficiency.

00:38:12.580 Vitamin D.

00:38:14.680 Let's see what the top subs are.

00:38:18.520 In both men and women,

00:38:22.180 vitamin D was consistently lower in men,

00:38:26.400 irrespective of obesity.

00:38:27.940 So this is some study.

00:38:30.260 It's just the top result.

00:38:32.280 So let's see if the other results

00:38:33.540 say that women may respond

00:38:35.540 different from men

00:38:36.360 to vitamin D supplementation.

00:38:39.660 Vitamin D status

00:38:40.680 and gender differences

00:38:41.720 were significantly reduced

00:38:44.660 in both men.

00:38:45.660 However,

00:38:46.280 compared to women, 0.98

00:38:48.720 all right,

00:38:49.000 so there's,

00:38:49.900 are vitamin D levels

00:38:51.020 the same for men and women?

00:38:52.380 All right,

00:38:52.520 this is the exact question.

00:38:54.380 Let's see what they say.

00:38:55.080 What does research show?

00:38:59.800 So they got a bunch of participants.

00:39:02.680 Give me the answer.

00:39:04.540 They found that the vitamin D levels

00:39:06.140 were significantly higher in males

00:39:08.500 than females 0.87

00:39:09.320 across all BMI groups

00:39:10.800 with a trend toward a higher percentage

00:39:12.900 in females 0.57

00:39:13.720 with vitamin D.

00:39:15.980 So more women 1.00

00:39:16.640 with vitamin D deficiencies.

00:39:18.300 That is,

00:39:18.640 but what was the other study?

00:39:21.420 The other study

00:39:21.920 was the opposite.

00:39:24.060 All right,

00:39:24.420 well,

00:39:24.640 somebody else look at that.

00:39:27.860 I'm seeing that

00:39:28.800 somebody says

00:39:29.480 men have less. 0.83

00:39:31.060 So I got,

00:39:31.800 I got opposite answers

00:39:35.200 on there

00:39:35.580 from two different sites.

00:39:38.320 Somebody says

00:39:39.100 women are higher. 0.90

00:39:40.580 All right,

00:39:40.920 well,

00:39:41.080 look into that.

00:39:41.660 So that would be,

00:39:43.000 that was actually

00:39:43.660 a really good

00:39:44.760 addition.

00:39:46.980 somebody says

00:39:48.520 higher testosterone

00:39:49.520 suppresses the immune system.

00:39:54.300 Is that true?

00:39:55.700 Higher testosterone

00:39:56.760 depresses the immune system?

00:39:59.580 I don't know

00:40:01.020 that that's true.

00:40:02.600 I know higher testosterone

00:40:03.820 is bad

00:40:04.580 for stopping cancer

00:40:06.500 because cancer

00:40:07.800 likes the testosterone,

00:40:09.220 right?

00:40:09.420 but is that the same

00:40:11.060 as saying,

00:40:11.560 because I would think,

00:40:12.760 I don't know,

00:40:13.920 I would think

00:40:14.400 that testosterone

00:40:15.160 would help

00:40:16.200 your immune system

00:40:17.340 if you're a man,

00:40:18.140 but I don't know.

00:40:21.500 Okay,

00:40:21.740 your levels checked

00:40:22.540 before you take

00:40:23.720 vitamin D.

00:40:24.580 Yeah,

00:40:24.880 so there's,

00:40:25.520 apparently there's

00:40:26.120 some places

00:40:26.540 you can go

00:40:27.320 to,

00:40:28.600 I do a mail-in test,

00:40:30.400 I think.

00:40:30.660 Yeah,

00:40:36.920 then there's

00:40:37.300 the question

00:40:37.720 of whether men

00:40:38.360 and women

00:40:38.760 need the same amount,

00:40:41.440 so even if,

00:40:42.360 you can imagine,

00:40:43.140 for example,

00:40:43.680 that one would have more,

00:40:45.700 but maybe that isn't enough

00:40:46.960 because they need

00:40:47.780 even more than that.

00:40:49.420 So yeah,

00:40:49.780 you can't just,

00:40:50.760 I guess it wouldn't be fair

00:40:51.840 to simply compare them

00:40:52.980 apples to apples

00:40:53.820 because men and women

00:40:55.660 might use it differently,

00:40:56.940 and that was actually

00:40:57.980 indicated in the search.

00:40:59.520 All right.

00:41:02.780 Don't lose your high

00:41:03.800 before your fiancé

00:41:04.720 gets there.

00:41:06.360 That's excellent advice.

00:41:08.780 Thank you for that.

00:41:14.980 Men are willing to die. 0.94

00:41:18.260 Yes,

00:41:18.620 you missed the Flynn comments.

00:41:20.580 Those were first.

00:41:23.620 More men do dangerous 1.00

00:41:25.100 outdoor jobs than women. 0.99

00:41:26.260 Well,

00:41:27.760 so would men be getting 0.94

00:41:29.300 more sun

00:41:30.360 because they do

00:41:31.780 outdoor work.

00:41:32.920 I don't know.

00:41:33.540 Maybe.

00:41:36.080 You know,

00:41:36.560 it would be interesting

00:41:37.180 to find out

00:41:37.980 if gardeners

00:41:40.100 are getting

00:41:41.160 COVID

00:41:43.440 and dying from it.

00:41:45.260 Have you heard

00:41:45.760 any gardeners

00:41:46.820 or landscapers,

00:41:48.120 people who literally

00:41:48.880 work outside every day,

00:41:50.840 have you heard

00:41:51.280 any of them getting it?

00:41:52.580 Here's the other thing

00:41:53.480 you haven't heard.

00:41:54.100 You've heard that

00:41:54.880 meatpacking plants

00:41:56.620 have had problems,

00:41:57.640 right?

00:41:57.920 They're indoor facilities.

00:41:59.900 Have you heard

00:42:00.500 that any farms

00:42:02.460 with,

00:42:03.060 let's say,

00:42:05.600 immigrant workers,

00:42:07.800 have you heard

00:42:08.680 that any of them

00:42:09.420 are,

00:42:10.980 hey,

00:42:11.400 Christina,

00:42:11.860 you're here.

00:42:15.380 Have I told you

00:42:16.340 lately that you're

00:42:17.040 the most beautiful

00:42:17.820 woman in the multiverse? 1.00

00:42:20.160 You know,

00:42:20.460 those of you at home,

00:42:21.580 if you're complimenting

00:42:22.840 your partner,

00:42:25.240 don't make the mistake

00:42:26.780 of limiting it

00:42:27.780 to the city,

00:42:30.060 as in,

00:42:31.140 I love you more

00:42:31.780 than anyone

00:42:32.280 in the city.

00:42:34.540 Don't go state,

00:42:36.180 don't go continent,

00:42:38.540 don't go planet,

00:42:39.880 don't go universe,

00:42:41.040 you've got to go multiverse,

00:42:42.580 otherwise,

00:42:44.020 otherwise you don't mean it.

00:42:48.480 What's your beef situation?

00:42:50.220 How are you on beef?

00:42:51.220 Well,

00:42:51.700 I still don't eat beef,

00:42:53.100 so I'm not caring

00:42:54.080 about it too much.

00:42:55.680 I hear there's a little

00:42:56.680 bit of a shortage,

00:42:57.760 but I haven't seen it

00:42:58.800 in practice.

00:43:01.920 Can you hypnotize us

00:43:03.260 so we feel rested

00:43:04.100 when we wake up

00:43:05.060 in the morning?

00:43:06.200 Yes,

00:43:06.560 I can.

00:43:08.020 Indeed,

00:43:08.640 all of you are going

00:43:09.580 to have a terrific

00:43:10.400 night of sleep tonight.

00:43:12.380 Yes,

00:43:12.700 you will.

00:43:13.460 It's going to be

00:43:13.980 one of the best

00:43:14.820 nights of sleep

00:43:15.780 in your whole life.

00:43:17.980 It will be

00:43:18.820 an epic night.

00:43:20.020 You might dream,

00:43:21.920 you might not.

00:43:23.200 You might remember it,

00:43:24.080 you might not,

00:43:24.620 but there'll be

00:43:25.100 pleasant dreams.

00:43:26.620 When you wake up,

00:43:27.520 you're going to have

00:43:27.880 a little bit of a

00:43:30.560 get up in your step.

00:43:32.120 You're going to feel

00:43:32.660 a little extra good

00:43:33.740 in the morning.

00:43:34.820 You're going to think

00:43:35.480 about General Flynn

00:43:36.520 being exonerated,

00:43:37.800 how good that feels.

00:43:39.380 You're going to realize

00:43:40.280 that this coronavirus

00:43:41.140 thing is now

00:43:42.680 completely understood

00:43:43.600 now that we figured

00:43:44.960 out this vitamin D

00:43:45.920 thing.

00:43:46.840 Thank you,

00:43:47.420 Christina.

00:43:48.620 And you will have

00:43:51.900 a relaxing,

00:43:53.480 deep,

00:43:54.560 enjoyable sleep.

00:43:56.340 And I will see you

00:43:58.080 in the morning.

00:43:59.600 Thank you.

00:43:59.660 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 08, 2020

Episode 961 Scott Adams： Flynn, Freedom, Vitamin D, Biden's Brain and More

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