Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 964 Scott Adams： Grab Your Beverage Because it's Time For...

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, it's time. Yeah, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. Studio coming

00:00:10.240 online. Any moment now. Alexa, turn on studio. Oh, there we go. Hold on.

00:00:30.000 If your desk doesn't have a rolling chair, you're missing a lot. Because there are very

00:00:39.140 few things more fun than rolling around in your office. Standing up and walking? That's

00:00:46.320 for suckers. Get yourself a nice rolling chair. True story? Well, I'll tell you after the simultaneous

00:00:55.680 sip. Because I know you're here for that. You're probably ready. You don't want your

00:00:59.340 coffee to get cold. It's probably up. You're ready. And all you needed was a cup or mug or

00:01:07.580 a glass of tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind. Fill

00:01:11.700 it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:01:16.540 of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the damn

00:01:21.200 pandemic. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.

00:01:33.200 I feel my vitamin D levels increasing to acceptable range. Yeah. Yeah. I think that just happened.

00:01:41.660 Now, probably isn't a lot of vitamin D in coffee, but I feel there's nothing that coffee can't

00:01:46.980 fix, really. So I reminded myself of a story from my childhood. So when I was a kid, my

00:01:57.700 grandmother would sometimes babysit me, actually fairly often. And my grandmother had sort of

00:02:03.620 a little apartment room and a farmhouse at a farm. And it used to be where she had been

00:02:10.840 married to the farmer, but her son took over. So her son was running the farm and she had sort

00:02:15.380 of a little, you know, a grandma apartment within the farmhouse. So I would go as a little kid

00:02:22.840 and I would have to be with my grandmother all day long. Now, let me describe what it was

00:02:29.180 like to be with my grandmother all day long. So you just have to get this picture. So my grandmother

00:02:39.000 like to quilt, she would make quilts. And because a quilt is a pretty big object, you lay it down

00:02:46.500 on some kind of a table, you know, device so that you can walk around all the edges and put

00:02:52.180 in the pieces. And it's a long project. So your quilt table, if you will, will be set up and

00:02:59.000 there for, you know, days or weeks, however long you're working on your quilt.

00:03:02.500 Well, the primary room that was her area was filled almost entirely by the quilt in the middle.

00:03:12.140 So there was a narrow path around the edges, which was the only place I could be, except for outside.

00:03:19.740 And, you know, if the weather wasn't good, it wasn't really an option. So my entire world as a kid

00:03:25.720 was this narrow path around a quilt, but it gets better. My grandmother weighed about 300 pounds 1.00

00:03:33.440 and she had a rolling office chair so that she could roll around the quilt without getting up

00:03:41.900 and work on a quilt. And then she'd push herself around and, you know, work on the next part.

00:03:46.940 And she would turn on her soap operas, which are in this little room. So at age, I don't know,

00:03:52.940 whatever it was, eight or something, seven or eight, my entire day was being chased by my

00:04:01.980 grandmother who was walking around the quilt, not walking, pushing the chair around, and I'd have

00:04:07.040 to move all the time. And there wasn't any place to go except further around the quilt while she

00:04:12.540 listened to her daytime soap operas. Now, if you're a kid listening to daytime soap operas, you just want

00:04:21.160 to kill yourself. Listening to them for like seven hours in a row while walking around the perimeter

00:04:27.540 of a quilt being chased by a 300-pound woman on an office chair? Well, that's how my childhood looked.

00:04:35.680 And I'm not even telling you the bad parts. All right. Magician Roy Horn of Siegfried and Roy

00:04:43.100 died from COVID-19 complications at age 75. Now, I've been telling you that my personal standard for

00:04:51.040 when I'm going to get worried is if the first famous person under 70 dies of the coronavirus.

00:05:01.780 Because I'm looking at my odds. I'm saying, okay, I'm a famous person. I'm under 70.

00:05:08.200 So my category has so far zero deaths. Famous people under 70 in the United States.

00:05:14.800 Then I saw this headline and I'm like, oh, shoot, I don't know how old he was. He was 75.

00:05:20.040 Which is way too young still in this world. And I'm sure he had still had some complications,

00:05:27.240 I think, from the tiger attack years ago. But sadly, he passed. And I felt, this one felt like a,

00:05:36.260 like I got grazed. You know, something you could hear the bullet go by. You could feel the wind

00:05:42.020 past your ear. And I'm thinking, famous person, only five years over 70. It's getting closer.

00:05:52.540 So I'm not going to be worried until my category has its first death. Because what are the odds it

00:05:59.700 would be me? All right. There is yet another drug cocktail combination that is getting some

00:06:08.620 promising reviews. Over at Hong Kong, they've tested a, I guess it's existing HIV drug combination. So

00:06:16.540 it's got ritonavir and loponavir and beta interferon. Now, as you know, the beta interferon drug is,

00:06:29.020 that's what Democrat men take, the beta interferon. Because what that does is it makes you more of a

00:06:36.840 beta. Now, I'm just kidding. I don't know why they name it beta interferon, if they don't want me to

00:06:43.700 make fun of it. But here's the thing. Call me skeptical. But, you know, all the drug companies

00:06:54.220 are saying the same thing, which is given the compressed timeline, we don't really have time

00:06:59.120 to develop a whole new drug that's perfect for this virus. It would just take too long.

00:07:04.520 So they're using all this off the shelf stuff just to see. Now, what are the odds that you would

00:07:11.120 have any kind of a new, let's say, new disease that pops up in the world, what are the odds that

00:07:18.540 a new disease, a new virus, a new anything, would be treatable with old drugs? I mean, it's not

00:07:26.700 impossible. But what are the odds that the pharmaceutical companies just happen to have

00:07:31.480 on the shelf remdesivir, which isn't used for anything else? But they got a patent. They know how

00:07:38.980 to make it. Wouldn't it be convenient if they could find some way to convince people this works

00:07:44.740 for $1,000 a shot or whatever it is? So when I see that these existing HIV drugs were tested and

00:07:54.360 they got good results, I don't think they have any kind of, it's not a full scientific study, but they

00:08:00.240 anecdotally with their small group, they were getting better about twice as fast,

00:08:05.680 or maybe a third faster. And I don't think they have any information on death yet, because they

00:08:12.260 weren't really testing people who were near death anyway. So I am really, really skeptical,

00:08:19.400 really, really skeptical of any existing drug working for this. I'm really skeptical.

00:08:28.220 So, you know, I'll give you my estimates of odds. Now, for those of you who are not, if you're new to

00:08:36.840 this, if I say the odds of something are 80% chance that it will happen, and then it doesn't happen,

00:08:44.340 I wasn't wrong. All right, you have to understand that or you can't play. Saying the odds can be right,

00:08:51.420 even if the less likely thing happens. So it's not, I'm not telling you what's going to happen,

00:08:56.360 I'm just giving you odds. I'd say, hey, hydroxychloroquine, I'm still putting a 40% chance

00:09:02.260 that that makes a big difference. There's a higher chance that it makes a difference.

00:09:08.640 Probably a 40% chance that it's some kind of a game changer. I base that on the fact that we would

00:09:14.820 already know that. If it were that big a deal, we would know it by now. Easily, we would know it by now.

00:09:22.520 There's a hundred ways we would know it by now if it worked that well. But there's certainly

00:09:29.000 indications it might work a little bit, and that's still worth something. So 40% chance that

00:09:35.460 hydroxychloroquine is a game changer. Higher chance that it has some effectiveness.

00:09:40.740 Remdesivir, I'm going to put at 10%. I'm going to say there's a 10% chance that remdesivir

00:09:53.140 is going to be the game changer. Again, it might also have some effect in some situations,

00:10:00.360 but maybe 10% chance. Then this HIV cocktail combination, you know, it's still way too early

00:10:07.520 to know if it really makes a difference. It's not really a controlled study or anything.

00:10:11.600 I would say one of the odds that this cocktail that was made for a completely different reason

00:10:17.440 would also work well enough to be a game changer. I'm going to say, I just can't believe that we

00:10:25.420 coincidentally, happily invented the right drug before the virus occurred. I mean, that would be a

00:10:33.800 big coincidence. So I'm going to say 20%. 20% chance that this particular combination is the magic

00:10:43.400 bullet. And then there's, you know, another hundred things out there that are being tested, right?

00:10:48.480 All sorts of monoclonal things and whatnot. And I would say that the odds of, let's say, at least

00:10:55.040 one of those things that I haven't mentioned yet, so the whole category of things that I haven't

00:11:01.060 mentioned. So I have mentioned hydroxychloroquine, these HIV drugs, remdesivir. So those are one

00:11:07.720 category. But the whole other category that's not those, for a game changer, let's say 50%. I'd say

00:11:20.300 there's a solid 50% chance that there's something in the pipeline that could really just yank this

00:11:26.160 thing back to where it needs to be. 50-50. I wouldn't count on it. Those are my best guesses. 1.00

00:11:32.980 These are based on nothing but having been alive a long time, looking at the dog that isn't barking,

00:11:39.240 you know, like we're not hearing that it's doing better, like the hydroxychloroquine. But we could

00:11:44.940 all be surprised. So one of the things that Mark Cuban was saying in an interview, talking about the

00:11:53.240 economy coming back online, is that the economy in 2020 is nothing like any broken economy of the

00:12:01.020 past. And I would like to add to that thought. The thing that's really, really weird and unpredictable

00:12:08.280 about this coming economic recovery is nothing's broken, like physically. It's not like a world war

00:12:17.560 where your buildings don't exist, and you got to rebuild them. Everything's sort of there. Also,

00:12:23.620 all the people to do the work are already here, and they're already trained. So you've got the jobs,

00:12:30.100 the buildings, the assets, the people, it's all perfectly intact. The part that's broken is the

00:12:36.860 psychology of it, and possibly consumer spending, as Mark Cuban was pointing out. What we don't know

00:12:44.980 is will the people who go back and that once they can spend, will they? Because a lot of people don't

00:12:51.620 have money. But as I've pointed out, the other thing that's weird about this one is that for

00:12:57.320 something like, I don't know, 15% of people are unemployed. But of those 15%, how many of them

00:13:04.400 were making a lot of money to begin with? Right? How many of the people who lost their jobs,

00:13:10.460 let's say servers at restaurants, you know, you can go right down the line, retail people,

00:13:18.220 they were not the big income people. For the most part, they're the ones barely getting by.

00:13:23.980 And probably a lot of them had to live with someone else to pay the rent. So they either had

00:13:28.540 someone else who could be earning money in the family, they might be living a home.

00:13:32.400 You know, so if you took that 15%, how much is the total buying power as consumers that was in that

00:13:43.940 15%? Now, some of those people are going to be high-income people, because you'd have to throw

00:13:50.400 me in there too. You know, I basically have lost my job. I'm just waiting for the notice, basically.

00:13:57.240 And in fact, my syndication company has already told me the cat's on the roof. You know, that joke.

00:14:04.540 I got a letter that says, well, the cat's on the roof. Newspapers are going out of business.

00:14:11.440 They want to renegotiate. Don't know if we'll get paid. So I'm approaching unemployed and, you know,

00:14:19.760 not in the way of having a salaried job. But essentially, my job just went away.

00:14:24.100 Or it's on the path of going away. So I don't know if I, am I thrown in that average too?

00:14:31.620 So my buying power will go down about 75%. But mostly, the 15% who are unemployed were the

00:14:38.920 ones who were not making that much money to begin with. So in terms of numbers of people,

00:14:43.820 it's a disaster. Because it's a lot of people who are struggling because they don't have money.

00:14:50.120 But if you just talk about math, the total buying power of that 15% might be 4% of the consumer

00:15:03.480 purchasing. I'm just guessing. Because it's a big group, 15% of the public, but they didn't

00:15:11.540 buy much because they didn't have much to begin with.

00:15:13.960 So the people who still had a job, spent way less while they're on lockdown, they actually

00:15:21.300 have extra money and pent-up demand. Everybody who wanted to buy a car for the last three months,

00:15:27.720 well, maybe some of them did. I think car dealers were actually open. But probably just a lot of

00:15:33.460 pent-up demand. So if I had to guess, now the real problem is that the businesses that are opening

00:15:40.580 up under capacity, there's no way you can open up a restaurant or a movie theater at 25% capacity.

00:15:47.220 There's almost no point to it. It would be smarter to go out of business at that point,

00:15:51.900 because you're just, you know, every day that you're open at 25% capacity, you're just losing money.

00:15:59.780 So, and I suppose it'd just be easier to declare bankruptcy. A big restaurant chain around here,

00:16:07.000 Sweet Tomatoes, I think, just declared bankruptcy. A big Nordstrom, the biggest store in my area,

00:16:14.260 in my town, is Nordstrom. Yeah, it's part of the one mall in my town. And that just, it's the anchor

00:16:21.920 tenant, and they just decided that they're closing that store. I don't know about Nordstrom in general,

00:16:26.960 but that store looks like it'll be closed forever. So these are pretty big changes.

00:16:31.880 But here's what I'm going to add to Mark Cuban's comments. We've never been in a position where

00:16:39.660 everything was not broken physically. The people were all trained. And here's the part I'm going to

00:16:45.220 add. We've got the best communication we've ever had. And I think that it's that ability to

00:16:52.580 instantly communicate, both on, you know, in digital ways, but also social media ways, which are also

00:16:59.580 digital. But we can connect and find each other and find problems and solve problems in a way that

00:17:06.020 was never possible before. So, you know, take the most trivial example. You saw that there were some

00:17:14.460 restaurants in Tampa, I think, that closed the streets in front of the restaurant, so they could

00:17:19.220 move the tables onto the street and have lots of space, and so that you could still have your

00:17:24.080 restaurant. Now, in theory, you could get a lot closer to 100% capacity by spreading your tables

00:17:30.520 into the street. That's an idea that would pop up in one place, then there's a news story or it's on

00:17:39.460 social media, and then suddenly every restaurant hears the idea. Now, think about the difference

00:17:46.280 of having no communication or poor communication early on in, let's say, the 1918 pandemic. And then

00:17:54.020 some restaurant has a good idea. How would the other restaurants ever hear about that good idea?

00:17:59.840 Wait for it to be written up in a physical newspaper and hope that you saw that newspaper?

00:18:06.800 Somebody says Seattle did it too, right? Now, I don't know to what extent that idea was just so obvious

00:18:13.460 that everybody would have thought of it. Maybe. That's possible. But I have to think that there

00:18:19.200 were probably 80% of the restaurants who wouldn't have thought of it. They just would have said,

00:18:23.740 I guess we can't open up. But the fact that some of them had that idea allows that idea to just spread

00:18:30.640 across the country immediately. Likewise, every time anybody has a good idea anywhere, it immediately

00:18:36.600 spreads because we're so well connected. So my take on this is that an economic recovery under these

00:18:45.820 unique conditions should be spectacular. The conditions being nothing's broken. Everybody's

00:18:52.800 trained. Half the country probably has more money than before the crisis. They're still going to spend.

00:18:59.740 And the people who lost their jobs were in the, by and large, in the lower economic strata to begin with.

00:19:07.760 They weren't a big part of the consumer spending. And communication is great. If you add communication

00:19:15.920 to this mix, things can recover quite quickly. So I'm very optimistic about 2021.

00:19:25.480 2021. Here's the weirdest thing. Here's a dark thought. You know, I keep watching the evolving Flynn

00:19:37.820 collusion, Russia collusion story. And now that we've seen the actual documents, and we know that Adam Schiff

00:19:46.260 was lying to the country for what, years? How long was Adam Schiff lying? And a lot of our leaders are

00:19:56.400 lying. But let's just talk about Adam Schiff, because he seems to be the primary purveyor of the hoax.

00:20:02.600 So my understanding is that he broke no laws, because members of Congress have immunity. So because he had

00:20:11.000 immunity, he was able to lie to the country in such a way, and in such a consistent and public way,

00:20:20.920 that he effectively attempted a coup. Not even effectively, he attempted a coup. I don't even

00:20:29.700 have to add effectively. He tried to remove the government of the United States by lying consistently

00:20:37.480 and grotesquely in the most, in the ways which are now obvious. We couldn't really tell before.

00:20:44.820 You didn't really know. You didn't really know. But now you know. Here's the weird thing. When you

00:20:53.520 think to yourself, all right, so somebody tried to overthrow the legally elected government of the

00:20:59.440 United States, what would be the penalty for that? In your mind, what feels like the right penalty to

00:21:07.560 match, it wasn't a crime, but it was a bad thing. Let's call it a bad thing that was not technically

00:21:13.760 illegal. What do you imagine would be the appropriate punishment for that? Well, if you're like

00:21:21.640 me, execution. Now, you could argue, well, I don't believe in the death penalty. I prefer life in

00:21:30.540 prison. But I don't know. I think a coup attempt, a coup attempt at actual treason against the United

00:21:38.140 States, given how much this cost all of us, I mean, there is a good argument that it was really

00:21:46.320 expensive, even including not being as prepared for the coronavirus. Maybe. I'm not sure I believe

00:21:52.700 that it would have made any difference, given that we had bad information about it during that period.

00:21:58.320 But it's just blowing my head up that somebody did something that a reasonable citizen, who's not

00:22:08.380 crazy, who's just looking at the situation, all right, I'm a reasonable citizen, that if I'm being

00:22:15.140 objective, this person, we now know, we don't have to guess about it anymore, we now know with

00:22:20.880 certainty, attempted to overthrow the president, it was treason. And it feels like the right punishment

00:22:31.920 is execution. Is that too much? Am I going too far? I mean, because traditionally, that's the

00:22:42.300 traditional penalty for treason. Now, I don't think we kill people in the United States for treason.

00:22:50.840 I think actually, we don't have the, I think the death penalty is maybe on the table, but not always

00:22:56.440 used, that sort of thing. But it's just blowing my mind that I'm legitimately not even in a political

00:23:03.420 sense. Just my, my natural human citizen instinct of how bad it was what he did, feels like if it had

00:23:13.680 been a crime, which it isn't, the right penalty would be execution. Is that too much? Because I

00:23:20.880 actually don't think it is. Like, I don't even think it's a little bit too much. Now, if you said no

00:23:26.940 execution, life imprisonment, you know, I'd say, okay, that's more of a philosophical difference.

00:23:32.200 But in terms of the extent of the crime and the extent of the punishment, it's in that range.

00:23:37.500 But instead, do you know what his punishment will be? Almost certain re-election. Almost certain

00:23:46.060 re-election. That's what he'll get for that. He'll actually, he's going to get it rewarded.

00:23:51.840 Right. Now, when we're talking about hoaxes, and of course, you know, I'm usually talking

00:24:02.700 about hoaxes that are presented by, you know, the Democrats against Trump. Those are the famous

00:24:09.280 ones, you know, Russia collusion, the fine people hoax, the ingesting Clorox hoax, the goldfish

00:24:16.560 feeding hoax. I mean, you can go right down the line. It's just hoax after hoax. But it's not just

00:24:22.920 one direction. People, it's not just one direction. I'm watching the coverage last night on the opinion

00:24:30.060 shows on Fox, talking about Schiff. And they would, I think Tucker was doing this, showing clips of,

00:24:38.820 you know, Schiff saying, yes, there's plenty of evidence that the Trump campaign colluded with

00:24:44.740 Russia. So they'd show him saying that. And then they'd show the evidence that there's nobody who

00:24:51.160 testified there was any evidence of that, no direct evidence of that whatsoever. So the implication is

00:24:56.380 that the experts on oath are saying we didn't see any evidence. Yes, Schiff is taking is going out in

00:25:03.180 public and saying plenty of evidence. So therefore, Schiff's a liar, except he's being taken out of

00:25:11.080 context. I hate that I have to defend the guy I think should have the death penalty. I'm going to

00:25:18.080 defend Adam Schiff. It's for your benefit. So you can sort of have a better appreciation of how you

00:25:26.640 might be being manipulated by the news. Here's how you're being manipulated. When Adam Schiff says

00:25:33.740 there's plenty of evidence of collusion by the campaign, his specific examples are the Don

00:25:41.180 Jr. meeting, which did happen, but the way he interprets it, of course, is crazy, but at least

00:25:46.920 it happened. And the fact that the president said in public that time, hey, Russia, if you can get us

00:25:53.980 those emails, why don't you do it? So when Schiff says there's plenty of evidence, he's looking at

00:26:02.000 the things that we do know about, and he's simply interpreting them as evidence. He's not talking

00:26:07.580 about the same kind of stuff that the people who were testifying were talking about. They were

00:26:14.980 talking about real evidence, like you've seen Russia do something, there's an email, there's a

00:26:20.320 taped conversation, like real evidence. But the people who said there's no evidence would also

00:26:26.320 have acknowledged Don Jr. went to a meeting, and that the president did once say in public at that

00:26:32.680 debate, hey, Russia, you know, if you have those emails, Hillary's emails. So when you see those

00:26:39.780 things juxtaposed, as they say there's no evidence, and then Schiff says there's plenty, if you leave out

00:26:45.880 that part where the plenty he's talking about is the stuff that we do know exists, he's just

00:26:51.900 interpreting it differently. I don't feel that's exactly honest, honestly. Now, I still think that

00:26:59.840 what he did is so dishonest that, you know, he doesn't, he doesn't really deserve a fair shake

00:27:05.580 at this point. But, and of course, what he was doing by defining those trivial things as being

00:27:13.480 plenty of evidence is completely bogus, completely bogus. But it's the complete story. You have to

00:27:22.260 say that's what he was talking about before you say it's bogus. Otherwise, you're just confusing the

00:27:27.900 listeners, I think. So, and Schiff is still saying there's plenty of evidence and still using those

00:27:33.360 trivial examples. The other thing that was interesting that Tucker was talking about is

00:27:37.820 that, and I don't think I'd heard this until it was on his show. And by the way, if you didn't watch

00:27:43.760 Tucker's show last night, it was really, really good. One of the best, I think Tucker's show last

00:27:50.720 night was one of the best he's ever done, you know, overall. I didn't like that, the Adam Schiff

00:27:56.080 treatment, but if you looked at the whole show, it was really good. Because it's the first time I've

00:28:01.660 seen it laid out as bare as that, you know, just showing us what happens, what the things we found

00:28:10.260 out in the transcripts that were important. I think it was laid out really well. And the thing that I

00:28:15.300 hadn't seen reported anywhere until Tucker talked about it was that, you know how we, the government

00:28:22.600 has been telling us that we're sure Russia hacked, hacked, I don't know, Podesta or the DNC or whatever.

00:28:28.720 Remember we were all sure that they did? And I think you remember that from the beginning,

00:28:37.280 maybe you don't remember, but from the beginning I've been saying, are we sure? Do you really believe

00:28:43.700 that we can know who hacked something? Because I've got a real question about whether we can know that.

00:28:50.960 I don't know what we can know, right? We know what we're told, but we know that we're being told,

00:28:59.200 frequently we're told things that aren't true. I mean, it's just happening literally every day.

00:29:03.400 We're being told things that aren't true by, you know, the government, intelligence agencies,

00:29:07.600 the news, pretty much everybody's telling us untrue things. So when I first heard that we could tell who

00:29:14.600 hacked us, I said to myself, if we can tell who hacked us, then I don't know what hacking even is.

00:29:22.880 Because if these top secret intelligence agencies with the best, the best technical hackers in the

00:29:30.000 world are leaving their fingerprints on their hacks, I don't understand the world. Because really the

00:29:38.520 whole point of the hacks is not getting caught. And you would know if you could get caught, right?

00:29:44.380 Wouldn't you know if you were leaving a fingerprint? So from the beginning, I said to myself,

00:29:51.500 we could strongly suspect who did it, but I don't know that we could ever know. And sure enough,

00:29:57.940 the transcript shows that when asked directly if we'd know, we don't know. It was just a lie the whole time.

00:30:08.520 So you're watching the story I know about, I guess there are 11 Secret Service people who have the

00:30:15.380 coronavirus and there are several members of the Pence and Trump staff people who are pretty close

00:30:20.580 to him who have tested positive. Neither Pence nor Trump have tested positive. But here's the obvious

00:30:28.800 thing. I often tell you that you can predict the future when you see this situation, which is

00:30:37.460 there's a situation with a big potential upside, there's a lot to gain, and there's no risk of

00:30:44.240 getting caught. So let's say it's something that isn't legal, but you know you're not going to get

00:30:49.580 caught, and the gain is just gigantic. Does it happen? Yeah, every time. It'll happen every time.

00:30:57.620 And then the third criteria is that there's multiple people involved in the situation. Meaning that it's

00:31:04.840 not just one person who might potentially say, hey, I'm a good person. I'm the only person who has this

00:31:11.120 opportunity for this huge upside game, but I'm not that kind of person because it's illegal. So if you

00:31:17.580 only had one person, you might get one that was honest. Could turn down a billion dollars because it

00:31:23.360 just isn't right. But if you've got a lot of people in your situation, somebody's going to take the

00:31:28.960 billion dollars. So I look at the situation of the people who have the coronavirus infections, and I

00:31:35.460 say to myself, if you were, let's say, a sophisticated country that had capabilities, and you wanted to

00:31:44.180 bother another country and possibly assassinate their leader who is over 70, how would you do it? 0.57

00:31:50.600 Now, I'm not giving anybody ideas because this is just so obvious. You have to assume that every

00:31:55.400 intelligence agency thought this on day one, which is, wait a minute. If I were to infect their outer

00:32:02.760 circle, which is probably easy, because you could find people who work at the White House who are not

00:32:09.340 themselves guarded. You could easily infect their place where they're going to be. I don't want to give

00:32:18.000 you too many ideas. Now, it's something, it's not something that an individual could easily do,

00:32:23.580 because how would you get, you know, a little vial of coronavirus for yourself if you wanted to do bad

00:32:29.020 things with it? It'd be kind of hard, unless you were personally infected. But if you're a government,

00:32:34.500 you're an intelligence agency, of course, you can get yourself a little vial of coronavirus.

00:32:39.480 And here's the thing. Imagine, I'll just give you one example. Iran. They have elderly leaders who are

00:32:49.640 the big problem. And then you've got a number of countries in the area, I don't need to name names,

00:32:56.000 who would have the capability and the motive to get a little bit of coronavirus to the advisors,

00:33:04.700 because that, and then the advisors will do the rest inadvertently. So when you saw, as soon as I saw

00:33:13.160 that Iran was having extra big problems, kind of early on, I said to myself, huh, a very unpopular

00:33:20.800 regime surrounded by highly capable enemies who could easily do this without getting caught. And then

00:33:29.840 statistically, well, you got a pretty good chance that it's going to mess up the other side. Huge

00:33:35.920 upside potential, practically no chance of getting caught. Lots of people involved. Do you think

00:33:44.540 anybody intentionally tried to infect the Iranian leadership? Probably, right? Do you think Iran tried

00:33:53.220 to intentionally infect the advisors of the Israeli government? Probably? Probably? Why wouldn't

00:34:04.420 they? Or at least try? Do you think anybody, any malign actors would try to do the same thing 0.99

00:34:12.180 with the leadership of the United States? If they would interfere with our elections, if they

00:34:20.440 would be sending us fentanyl? Of course they would. So you don't have to ask, would they? Because

00:34:29.860 of course they would. We have such a history where it's just obvious, of course they would. But only

00:34:36.720 if there was a big, big gain, potential gain, and almost no chance of getting caught. And that's

00:34:43.560 what we got. Because if somebody shows up and they have the coronavirus, how the hell would you know

00:34:48.420 where it came from? You wouldn't. It's the most, I don't know, it's just, on a risk management

00:34:56.020 perspective, I can't imagine that this isn't being used, I don't know, by a dozen different

00:35:03.100 countries trying to take out a rival country. I mean, I would bet there are 12 countries right

00:35:08.840 now that are trying to mess with some other government this way, because why wouldn't they?

00:35:14.180 Just why wouldn't they, really? Somebody says, never heard of tracing? Well, the tracing isn't

00:35:21.780 going to get it done. I mean, it would be too easy to put an end to that trail. All right.

00:35:29.620 The newest hoax is the Pence carrying empty boxes of PPE. You probably saw the videos, I think

00:35:37.940 Jimmy Kimmel started it, where they acted like he was carrying empty boxes to pretend

00:35:42.900 he was helping. But in fact, he was carrying full boxes to pretend he was helping. It's

00:35:49.400 sort of a hoax of a hoax. I mean, obviously, if the vice president is moving boxes, it's

00:35:56.780 obviously for the cameras. Right? We're all adults, right? Nobody thinks that he was just

00:36:02.740 helping out. Of course it was for the cameras. But I guess he joked about empty boxes or something,

00:36:07.340 and they got that on camera and put it together and then tried to act like he was moving empty

00:36:11.920 boxes. But does it matter? Does it matter if the boxes were empty? It was just a video

00:36:20.520 thing. That's all it was. It doesn't matter if it was empty. I mean, if they were full of

00:36:25.620 these light paper goods, it makes no difference at all. It's the story that didn't need to be

00:36:32.580 told at all. No importance whatsoever. All right. I told you I've been digging into this vitamin D

00:36:41.280 correlation with coronavirus and whether it helps you recover from COVID or not. And there's just

00:36:48.700 tons of information, but a lot of it is amateurs making their own graphs and not doing it right.

00:36:55.280 So I tested again my model of taking somebody's claim. In this case, it was a graph that showed,

00:37:02.740 it purported to show that the more vitamin D you had, the better you did with the COVID. But I asked

00:37:12.640 people to take a look at it in my Twitter feed. And, you know, all the doctors and scientists poured in

00:37:19.100 and said, ah, bogus, bogus, bogus, bogus. So that was good. So it got debunked fairly quickly. It's a good

00:37:27.720 model. I think I would be using that a lot where I'll just put it out there and say comments. And sure

00:37:33.100 enough, it got debunked. But that doesn't mean that vitamin D has no role. It just means that you

00:37:40.760 should be really, really cautious of everything you see about it. Everything. Literally every graph you see,

00:37:46.960 every set of statistics about vitamin D so far has big problems, I think. You know, so none of it is

00:37:57.480 conclusive that I've, that I've seen, but it's still promising. So we'll keep looking into that.

00:38:03.680 Um, so there's a, uh, uh, I guess he's a Democrat who on Twitter, he's a, some kind of data scientist

00:38:15.580 guy and, or yeah, he's a scientist, I guess. And he tweets this, he goes, I feel my brain rotting

00:38:22.020 every time I talk to a Republican. Like I was so bad to help them understand. I'm a damn good teacher.

00:38:29.380 And I honestly believe everyone is redeemable, but good Lord, it's like their brains got swapped

00:38:35.680 with the donkeys. Now he's a youngish guy. I, I judge by his profile picture. Youngish,

00:38:44.440 he looks like the thirties, maybe can't tell. Um, but I love watching somebody, uh, right before the

00:38:53.840 red pill because somebody, uh, suggested that he talked to me. What would happen if he talked to me?

00:39:02.460 Well, he's going to, he'll be choking back to the biggest red pill of his life. And, uh, I love

00:39:10.360 looking, I love being the observer of, of this person's journey. Now he's, he's, uh, he's at the

00:39:17.420 lowest level of awareness right now. The lowest level of awareness is that your side is giving

00:39:23.840 you the truth and the other side is lying. That is the lowest level of awareness. And he's a scientist

00:39:30.820 and in public, he's proclaiming himself to be at the lowest level of awareness because his view is

00:39:38.900 that Republicans have broken brains and his side is getting it right. Now, can you imagine how much

00:39:46.060 fun I would have with this guy to, you know, apparently he's never been introduced to the

00:39:51.720 next level of reality, which is, um, none of it's true. Just none of it's true. You're, it's

00:39:58.580 just, everybody's interpreting what they want, but I could get them there. Um, and that is all

00:40:11.020 there is that's happening today. Um, Hannity is the same. Somebody says, you've been thinking

00:40:21.360 about the Democrats being having the broken brains. Yes. Well, I don't know what Hannity's

00:40:26.420 thinking. So I wouldn't say that I know what he's thinking, but it is true that there are

00:40:32.800 Republicans in the same situation. Um, I have not watched the Elon Musk interview. I think

00:40:39.460 you're talking about Joe Rogan. Uh, it's hard for me to watch law or listen to long form,

00:40:45.120 um, interviews. Somebody says Don Lemon brought up the fine people hoax again last night. You

00:40:55.120 know, you do know that, uh, people like Don Lemon probably have never even heard the counter

00:41:03.080 argument. And I think people like Don Lemon actually think it happened and actually

00:41:09.300 believe it happened because that's widespread. All right. I'm just looking at your, uh, uh,

00:41:18.800 talking about Barr being the worst attorney general. Yeah. We've, we've had some attorney

00:41:24.900 generals that, uh, did not bring glory to the office. Uh, Plandemic has been banned. Well,

00:41:35.720 I'm still waiting for the counter argument on Plandemic. Uh, he tried to blame the shooting

00:41:46.320 of the, of the black kid on Trump. Who did Musk? I don't think so. Have I ever challenged 0.51

00:41:56.780 Lemon? Why would I challenge him? It's not like he's going to have any kind of a conversation

00:42:02.300 with me. Uh, let's see. Kim's still relaxing. Yeah. Nobody's seen, uh, Kim Jong-un lately

00:42:16.440 yet. There will be more about that story. Uh, thoughts on Amud Aubrey. Well, um, here's,

00:42:29.300 here's some thoughts. Uh, it's, it's sort of a made for television crime. Now I'm going

00:42:40.000 to call it a crime without the benefit of the legal system having yet fully weighed in, uh,

00:42:48.020 because it looks more like a really bad judgment in my case. So I think what happened was, uh,

00:42:56.860 everybody involved, uh, everybody involved, the two people who were chasing Aubrey down and then

00:43:02.800 Aubrey, for reasons that I don't quite understand, decided to wrestle with the guy and try to wrestle 0.99

00:43:08.500 his gun away from him. And I can't think that was his best play. So I think you had three people who

00:43:15.380 were all under the wrong impression of what was going on. I think Aubrey probably thought his life

00:43:20.980 was in danger in, in some senses it was, of course. Um, but probably didn't know exactly what

00:43:27.440 was going on and maybe thought it was a different situation than it was. And everybody was just

00:43:33.240 mistaken. And so when I look at this thing, I hear people putting it in political frame because

00:43:40.420 that's what we do. And, you know, maybe they're racist and maybe this, and it's a symbol of what's

00:43:46.140 happening in the country. And it's another example of racism and all that. I don't know that it's any

00:43:50.940 of that. It just looks like three people who were subject to confirmation bias. And, um, actually,

00:44:01.260 I don't even know if the, if the two, uh, two guys with the guns, I don't even know if they were

00:44:07.340 having confirmation bias or they were just trying to find out and they did it in the worst possible

00:44:13.540 way. In other words, where they just trying to find out if this was the person, uh, I think they

00:44:18.920 have some video cameras, video images of somebody trying to break into places in the area. And of

00:44:25.840 course we haven't seen that, have we? Um, I'm not suggesting that the deceased was doing anything

00:44:32.500 bad. I have no, no information that would suggest that, but since the people, the, the people who chased

00:44:38.760 him down were doing it because he matched some description of somebody who had broken into

00:44:45.760 homes, but I don't know if the description was based on video, video image was, or I assume there

00:44:52.180 was some kind of video that captured him. So at some point we're going to see a video. I'm guessing,

00:44:58.740 I don't know if there is video, but I think we might see a security video of somebody breaking

00:45:03.100 into homes in the area. And then we can judge for ourself. Does it look sufficiently like

00:45:09.480 the, the victim who got shot and killed? You know, is it close enough where you'd say,

00:45:16.780 okay, I can see how they'd make that mistake. You know, they were just going to get a better

00:45:21.060 look. They weren't sure. Maybe they were profiling like young black male. So, you know, so you could 0.88

00:45:27.960 certainly argue that the racism was part of the, part of the confirmation bias. Fair to say. I'm not

00:45:35.780 sure if it's racism, if it's just based on a physical look though. I mean, wouldn't they have done the

00:45:41.740 same thing if the description had been, he looked like a white hillbilly in overalls, overalls?

00:45:50.200 Wouldn't they have chased anybody who looked like a white hillbilly in overalls? If, if what they 0.99

00:45:54.900 were trying to do is find a burglar. So certainly the, the victim's race was part of the bad decision 0.75

00:46:06.220 making. But I think that they would also have been susceptible to bad decision making if it had been

00:46:13.560 any other color as well, including their own. Because if that was just what they'd heard, well, he's a,

00:46:19.380 you know, blonde guy, 45 wearing overalls. And they saw a blonde guy, 45 wearing overalls,

00:46:24.540 would they not have chased him? You know, would they have let him go because he was white? I don't 0.92

00:46:29.660 think so. So I think he, I think you've got to be a little more clever about saying what it was that

00:46:37.380 biased them. Because being biased by the physicality of someone who's been described

00:46:44.360 is different than being a racist. That's some pretty different things. You know, it was just,

00:46:50.540 the description wasn't good enough. That's, that's not racism.

00:46:56.700 But, um, these things, of course, turn into something else. Let me, let me, uh, let me give

00:47:03.260 you a hypothesis. I'm just going to put that out there. Um, if you are a black citizen of the United 0.86

00:47:10.660 States, let me not even pretend I can know how you feel or how you think, because we, none of us

00:47:16.480 know how anybody feels or thinks. So anybody who's not you, you don't really know how they're

00:47:22.940 thinking. Let's, let's be a little humble about that. But I'll put this in the form of a question.

00:47:30.500 Let's say you're, uh, and, uh, if there are any African American, um, viewers on this, I would love

00:47:37.140 to get your opinion right now. Uh, so you can confirm or debunk what I'm saying. If you're a black, 1.00

00:47:42.000 let's say you're a black man in the United States, we'll just make it a man to keep the example simple.

00:47:47.980 You're a black man living in the United States. Do you think that law enforcement treats you

00:47:54.060 unfairly? What do you think? Typical black man living in the United States. Is it your opinion 1.00

00:48:00.720 that the legal system treats you unfairly? Probably yes. Wouldn't you say? Again, everybody's

00:48:10.240 different. You know, you don't want to make a sweeping generalization, but I would think that's

00:48:14.780 a fair generalization. Now let's say you're a black man. You feel that the law enforcement has

00:48:22.760 been unfair to you and you're watching the news. And the biggest story is that the FBI and the

00:48:28.880 Department of Justice apparently just tried to frame, uh, a general in the general, a white

00:48:36.700 general, uh, and take down the president of the United States with false accusations. There's

00:48:46.940 something happening here that if you don't notice it could be really, really big. Trump just

00:48:55.700 became a black man. Let that sink in for a minute. Trump just became black. Think about 0.71

00:49:07.720 it. You, you said, we said that, uh, Bill Clinton was the first black president. Trump's number

00:49:14.340 three, because Trump just shares one of the biggest, I know, uh, experiences of being a black

00:49:23.460 man in America, which is that law enforcement targeted you and tried to take you out with

00:49:29.040 a bogus crime. If you're a black guy and you're watching Trump attempted to be taken out with

00:49:35.840 a bogus charge, what do you feel about that? Seriously? How do you feel about that? Because,

00:49:43.620 um, if that doesn't make you a little bit more empathetic about Trump's situation, now let's

00:49:51.880 go further. What has Trump done in terms of, uh, black, uh, people in prison? He has quite

00:50:02.540 noticeably and publicly worked hard to free black people who were, let's say, um, over, 0.99

00:50:11.820 over penalized. I don't know if any of them were literally innocent of the crime they were

00:50:16.740 committed, but they were over penalized, you know, like Alice Johnson, et cetera. Uh, and

00:50:21.640 then the entire, um, prison reform movement, which is entirely not entirely, but it's mostly

00:50:29.220 it's going to get people out of prison early, huge number of them overrepresented are black

00:50:34.980 community. So just by a weird confluence of things, I'm not joking. I think Trump just

00:50:45.480 became the third black president without even trying because nobody has championed their

00:50:50.980 side and also gotten the same treatment that I imagine they feel they get from law enforcement.

00:50:57.960 And that's a pretty big bonding experience. Now, I don't know if Trump will ever be clever

00:51:04.900 enough to, to tie the ideas together because, you know, he supports law enforcement and he's

00:51:12.640 not going to be anti-cop. That's not going to happen, but he certainly could say in public,

00:51:17.200 you know, if you're a, if you're a black man living in the United States, I'll tell you one

00:51:22.120 thing I understand. Imagine, imagine president Trump saying this in public. Let me, let me tell

00:51:28.680 you one thing. If you're a black man living in the United States and you're worried about law

00:51:32.560 enforcement treating you unfairly, I get it. I get it. That, you know, I, there's nothing I

00:51:41.660 understand better than that. Law enforcement targeting you for a crime you didn't commit,

00:51:46.340 treating you unfairly. I get it. How much would you love to see that?

00:51:54.120 You know, it's one of these, um, it sort of sneaks up on you because when you're talking

00:51:59.240 about the, the Russia collusion thing, you're not thinking about your race relations. It's

00:52:03.660 just his own little story, but the way, the way stories affect us, you know, they, they,

00:52:10.280 what we do is we say, is the person in the story like me or not like me? It's just automatic. The

00:52:17.320 reason we like stories is you put yourself in the story and the story of Russia collusion.

00:52:22.700 And I feel if you were a black man, you know, it could be a woman too, but you know, men are

00:52:29.460 more likely to be in the penal system. But if you're a black man in America and you just

00:52:34.460 watched the revelation that the president of the United States was framed for a crime,

00:52:41.420 how do you not feel a little empathy for that while that same person is freeing black people

00:52:46.320 from over being over penalized in prisons? There's just no way that doesn't affect you.

00:52:52.700 Will it be enough? Who knows? All right. That's a mind blower, isn't it? I can see in the

00:53:04.100 comments that some of you are, are really, really thinking about that one. The hero's journey,

00:53:13.320 somebody says. Yeah. So movies feature a story arc where the hero changes. So that's what makes

00:53:21.000 a good story. As the hero starts out as one kind of person and they've, you know, they've

00:53:26.260 learned their heart is opened or they've become better at something, whatever.

00:53:29.680 All right. Somebody says Trump is literally a person of color because he's orange.

00:53:46.780 That's funny. All right. It's an interesting theory, but a stretch, somebody says. Could be.

00:53:57.720 Let me give you an update on one of my predictions, which looks like based on preliminary information

00:54:03.900 could be totally wrong. But we know that preliminary information is often totally wrong

00:54:09.840 itself. So this isn't funny at all. So let me, let me get out of my good mood so that I don't say

00:54:22.500 this in the wrong way. It turns out that these statistics for, at least anecdotally, the statistics

00:54:29.060 for suicide are pretty, pretty alarming. Now, all the smart people said economic destruction and losing

00:54:38.300 your job and being socially isolated should lead to higher suicide rates, tragically. And early

00:54:46.740 indications are that that might be happening, at least, you know, more reportedly, but not, I don't

00:54:53.080 think anybody's done a study out of that. I had predicted the opposite, which that I was going to

00:54:59.520 predict that suicide would go down. And I use the Cheryl, the server theory for that, which is that

00:55:07.980 everything reduces when people think there's a new situation happening. Like everything,

00:55:12.740 everything that would have happened stops happening, whether it was good or bad, because you're,

00:55:18.500 you're all just adjusting to the new situation. And so that was my theory. But the longer the lockdown

00:55:25.760 goes, the longer it goes, the less the theory can hold, right? So the Cheryl, the server theory is only,

00:55:34.960 is only meant to be for a short time. So her, I'll give you the exact theory again. So she would say that

00:55:41.940 restaurant business would go down when something changed. So if the weather became seasonally good,

00:55:49.660 business would go down because people would want to go outside. If it rained and started to be rainy

00:55:54.760 that week, business would go down because people didn't want to be in the rain. So it didn't matter

00:55:58.920 if it was good weather or bad weather. Business always went down just because there was a change,

00:56:04.580 and people change their behavior when there's some larger change. But that the Cheryl effect

00:56:12.100 wears off after a few days, which is that, you know, one day of nice weather, your business will

00:56:18.560 go to nothing. But after two weeks of good weather, business goes back to where it was, people adjust

00:56:24.720 like, ah, we had a little out of our time, let's go back to the restaurant. So we've been in lockdown so

00:56:30.240 long that there, it does make sense that when you're looking at second, third month of a lockdown

00:56:37.320 and unemployment, yeah, yeah. At that point, you would have to assume that the lockdown becomes

00:56:44.540 normal. As soon as being locked down starts to feel normal, and it's unambiguously worse than what

00:56:53.500 even the worst of the previous situation was, and maybe people wanted to end their lives anyway.

00:56:59.440 So I could see how it would go from, so here, I will refine my prediction and say this. I'll bet

00:57:06.180 for the first few weeks, suicide went down. But I'll bet by the final weeks, oh, actually,

00:57:14.120 by the final weeks, it might go down again if people are saying, well, it's only one more week.

00:57:17.720 But somewhere right around now should be the worst of it. So it probably will be higher than average

00:57:24.880 for a while. So that's pretty tragic. So it looks like my prediction will be wrong. But maybe we can

00:57:33.760 learn something from the individual weeks. Because I do think, I do feel confident that the first week

00:57:43.140 or two of the shutdown will be lower suicide rates. And after that, I wouldn't be surprised if they went

00:57:49.400 up again. All right. I'm homeless now because of the China virus. Well, I'm sorry. You know, I've not

00:58:02.820 seen much news about people going hungry, have you? We saw some news for a while, it seemed like there was

00:58:10.160 about a week or two, where every now and then you'd see the long food lines in various cities.

00:58:17.240 But I thought that the news would just keep showing more and more of them, and the lines would get

00:58:22.380 longer, and there'd be more cities involved. But it feels like the coverage of the food lines just

00:58:29.160 sort of stopped, didn't it? Now, is that because we have enough food? And we still have the lines,

00:58:34.920 but they're getting their food, so it's not a story anymore? Is that why? Does anybody know what

00:58:39.460 happened to the food lines? Still there? Getting worse? Getting better? It feels like that's,

00:58:46.600 somebody says, food lines still in New York City. But I guess, I guess how much of a new,

00:58:51.960 how much of a news it is, depends on whether they have enough. Because you could have a pretty long line

00:58:59.660 if they're, you can have a long line, and it's not as much of a problem if there's enough food,

00:59:06.320 and the line is moving quickly. That's a different level of tragedy than the people at the end of the

00:59:12.780 line aren't going to get any food. So it's looking to me like we're meeting the hunger problem,

00:59:18.700 right? Lester Holt News had it on last night. Oh, okay. So maybe, yeah, it could be that just because

00:59:28.460 it's not new anymore. But I would think that the news would be all over that. Still here in Ohio.

00:59:38.140 Somebody says, Mark Cuban claims 96% non-compliance for Texas business distancing.

00:59:47.200 Have you noticed, let me ask this question and tell me in the comments. Have you all noticed that

00:59:53.980 there's way less compliance this week? Is it just my imagination? I think the lack of compliance

01:00:05.060 is starting to come online. I guess, I think most of the beaches were open in California.

01:00:10.620 But I had predicted that if the beaches were still closed in California, or at least in sections like

01:00:17.320 OC, if the beaches were closed on Mother's Day, that would be the end of the beach closings.

01:00:23.980 Because if you take your mom to the beach on Mother's Day, and like the beach is just full

01:00:29.240 of mothers on Mother's Day, especially if their kids are with them, what are the police going

01:00:34.260 to do? Because if you're looking at the power, let's say two policemen come to the beach. If

01:00:43.480 there's one mom, well, the police have an advantage. If you have 15 moms on a beach, and there are

01:00:51.320 two police, the police are going home. The police are just going to give up. If you have 15 moms on 1.00

01:00:58.040 Mother's Day, they're not going to get arrested. They're certainly not going to get arrested.

01:01:04.420 They're not going to get handcuffed. If those moms just say, thanks for the help, officer, but we got 1.00

01:01:09.880 this. Appreciate the advice, officer. We'll take care of this. That's it. Mothers on Mother's Day

01:01:17.800 are as powerful as a bride on a wedding day. If you've ever been through a wedding, and you've

01:01:24.360 observed the power of the bride on the wedding day, everybody will give the bride whatever they

01:01:30.460 want on the wedding day. It's just like a superpower. It's like, that tree is in the way. Could

01:01:36.400 somebody get out a pocket knife and try to get rid of that oak tree? And then suddenly everybody would

01:01:42.440 be like, take it out their pocket knives. It's the bride. It's the bride. You know, trying to take 0.93

01:01:47.160 down the oak tree with their pocket knives, you know, chewing on it like beavers. So yeah, I just

01:01:54.800 thought it would be hilarious if the beaches were closed on Mother's Day, because you'd know the

01:01:59.480 mothers would have made a run for it, right? I don't know if your state is different, but I can tell

01:02:05.080 you, California moms, they were going to the beach. A lot of California moms were going to 0.99

01:02:12.320 the beach if they had been closed or if they'd been open. And it would have been hilarious

01:02:16.460 because you know how it would have ended. It would have been funny. All right. There's snow

01:02:23.240 in Massachusetts, somebody said. Somebody asked, what's Telegraph Avenue in Berkeley like in the

01:02:31.220 pandemic? Probably exactly the same. I don't know. All right. That's all I got for now. I'll

01:02:39.560 talk to you tonight. You know when.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 09, 2020

Episode 964 Scott Adams： Grab Your Beverage Because it's Time For...

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