Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 16, 2020


Episode 978 Scott Adams： Proxy Voting Schemes, Trump's Coronavirus Report Card, Biden's Raisin-Brain


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour

Words per Minute

157.36922

Word Count

9,551

Sentence Count

12

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

10


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, I talk about the importance of friction and why you should never watch a movie with two people in the same place at the same time. I also talk about how to get two people to watch the same movie.


Transcript

00:00:00.800 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum,
00:00:03.340 bum, bum, bum, bum, bum.
00:00:06.940 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum.
00:00:11.120 Hey, everybody.
00:00:12.460 Come on in.
00:00:13.920 It's time.
00:00:14.900 Yeah, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:18.180 Boy, did you come to the right place.
00:00:20.860 Imagine if you'd been somewhere else
00:00:23.480 and you wanted Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:25.240 You wouldn't get it.
00:00:26.220 No, you'd get that here.
00:00:28.180 the good place and all you need to enjoy this incredible incredible morning doesn't take much
00:00:37.540 not much at all just a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or tiny canteen jug or flask
00:00:43.420 a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the
00:00:50.860 dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better including the damn pandemic
00:00:55.880 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go
00:01:00.260 yep i can feel my natural interferon kicking in i got a hydroxychloroquine in me
00:01:15.560 just naturally i didn't even take any pills i just produce it from my own biological factory
00:01:23.460 not really none of that's true let's talk about what is let's talk about things that are true
00:01:29.760 okay so i've decided that rather than annoy you continuously about the fact that i've got
00:01:41.340 content over on the locals platform i'll try to tell you packaging it with something useful
00:01:46.980 so rather than give you something that sounds like a just a commercial i'll try to tell you
00:01:53.600 something useful and if that tells you something else that's cool too i talk about uh the importance
00:02:00.180 of friction and how just a little bit of friction might not change your mind at the moment but over
00:02:08.280 time friction will wear you down i talked about that with let's say watching television just the act
00:02:15.340 of finding your remote control turning on the television finding a channel do i want netflix there's so
00:02:22.120 much friction now to just watching television that i've completely stopped doing it i still i still look
00:02:29.480 for shows but i never really find them and watch them last night for example christine and i tried to
00:02:39.980 watch uh the joker now neither of us have watched a complete movie and i don't know ever i i don't
00:02:49.160 know if the two of us have ever watched a complete movie because we don't have that kind of attention
00:02:54.080 span and i thought to myself all right neither of us ever want to watch a movie again like literally
00:03:00.280 if i never watched another movie for the rest of my life i'd be fine with that i just don't know how
00:03:06.780 anybody spends two and a half hours doing one thing it just doesn't seem like a like a thing
00:03:12.100 you do anymore but we thought all right everybody's talking about this joker movie we're going to watch
00:03:18.240 it so christina comes over and uh you know we make some popcorn and it's one of those days half the
00:03:25.480 popcorn falls on the floor and we're like all right man it's just so hard to watch a movie it's like
00:03:31.140 preparation and planning and you got to get two people in the same place that's the other thing
00:03:36.580 nobody likes to watch a movie at the same time in the old days you know you're laying you're sitting
00:03:42.660 around the living room anyway there's nothing going on so you're watching whatever's on but today try to
00:03:47.380 get two people who want to watch the same movie at the same time it's kind of hard nobody nobody's
00:03:53.260 quite on you know everybody's got their own thing to do so we finally find the time we get together
00:03:59.080 we've got our popcorn that you know whatever's left that didn't fall on the floor we sit down and we
00:04:04.980 turn it on and we get into it and then i realize i swear i swear this happened sounds like i'm making
00:04:11.080 it up we get into the movie and i look at my uh i look at my watch and i'm thinking wait a minute
00:04:21.140 how long is a movie and i realized i didn't have time for a movie because i was going to do my evening
00:04:28.620 periscope and we'd start at around 5 30 or something so like i i've watched so few movies
00:04:35.920 that i'd somehow lost the idea that you needed to like allocate all this time to do nothing but watch
00:04:42.360 a movie and i couldn't i couldn't i couldn't justify it so we watched half of it and then i went and did
00:04:50.360 my periscope now we plan to watch the other half but i would say no more than 50 chance that we'll
00:05:00.340 ever find the time we'll still be interested probably never watch the other half so anyway
00:05:07.660 so that's the point of friction but let me take that to the point i wanted to make which is every
00:05:12.720 time i go on twitter uh which is all day long i get two feelings one is i get these dopamine hits
00:05:21.700 when people you know like or retweet me so i'm getting like dopamine hit dopamine hit dopamine hit
00:05:27.740 but i'm also getting trolled continuously and it's like anti-dopamine anti-dopamine now sometimes i like
00:05:35.100 i do enjoy the you know the back and forth and the the wrestling with the trolls so it's not that i
00:05:41.620 don't enjoy the fight but it's just sort of always there troll troll friction friction so twitter is
00:05:49.860 sort of this half friction half dopamine situation but the dopamine is so good that i'm completely
00:05:56.540 addicted and you know the big story about social media is it's designed for addiction
00:06:03.140 now i took i took that mindset over to locals locals.com where i have some uh extra content
00:06:13.020 the the stuff that would be a little more provocative or just doesn't fit with this stuff
00:06:18.940 so it's an extension of what what you see with some extra stuff and uh there are a number of benefits
00:06:26.080 over there the biggest benefit i completely didn't see coming which is that there are no trolls
00:06:32.180 because it's a subscription service so nobody no troll is going to pay money
00:06:37.500 just to be part of a subscription to give me a hard time
00:06:41.560 so when i go over to locals i'm like oh feels good feels good dopamine hit dopamine hit dopamine hit
00:06:49.160 and then i'm waiting for the bad part and it doesn't happen
00:06:53.220 because there's not a single troll on there
00:06:55.800 so i got like a thousand people who signed up who just have good intentions
00:07:00.380 and i thought i didn't see that coming
00:07:04.420 so here's the the larger story if you're trying to predict
00:07:09.600 the future of any service especially an online service
00:07:13.960 you don't want to look for just the utility
00:07:16.540 because the utility will tell you something it's like oh yeah
00:07:20.120 it has these features it'll let you do this oh it's it's cheaper it's faster
00:07:26.080 those will tell you a lot but if you really want to know what's going to happen
00:07:30.720 you got to look at the dopamine
00:07:32.460 and uh i think i think uh dave rubin has hit on a dopamine goldmine
00:07:40.360 because i didn't know you could have only dopamine without trolls
00:07:44.920 until i experienced that i don't know just never occurred to me that that was an option
00:07:50.060 so for from just the perspective of the uh creators
00:07:55.720 it's it's pretty addictive already i'm spent i'm spending as much time there as i am on twitter
00:08:01.720 just because i like the the dopamine
00:08:04.060 all right let's talk about uh congress
00:08:06.820 they uh is it ironic that congress is wearing masks now
00:08:12.700 because it's the one group of people who should be ashamed to show their face to the public
00:08:18.340 and they're robbing us
00:08:20.680 two good reasons to wear masks
00:08:24.040 i feel as though after the coronavirus has passed
00:08:27.540 that congress should just keep wearing masks
00:08:30.300 because if you're going to rob us
00:08:32.280 and you should be ashamed to show your face
00:08:34.880 mask it up
00:08:37.160 so the president tweeted uh this
00:08:42.320 i think it was this morning
00:08:44.180 he says we've done a great job on covid response
00:08:47.620 making all governors look good
00:08:49.820 some fantastic and that's okay
00:08:52.240 but the lamestream media doesn't want to go with that narrative
00:08:55.840 and the do nothing dems talking point
00:08:58.340 is to say only bad things about trump
00:09:00.800 i made everybody look good but me
00:09:03.320 so i saw that
00:09:05.200 and you know
00:09:05.660 it's a sort of
00:09:07.840 classic
00:09:08.880 trumpian
00:09:10.040 tweet right
00:09:11.660 you know
00:09:12.860 complaining that he's not being
00:09:14.320 given the credit that he deserves
00:09:16.800 etc
00:09:17.280 and i thought to myself
00:09:19.260 i'm going to fact check that
00:09:20.600 i mean
00:09:21.460 it's an opinion
00:09:22.240 so
00:09:22.860 you can't really fact check an opinion
00:09:24.940 but i'll add my opinion
00:09:26.080 and so i fact checked it as true
00:09:28.700 here's what i said i'll add to it
00:09:32.400 so you can complain about all the chaos
00:09:34.680 right
00:09:35.560 so you see the critic saying
00:09:37.280 there was chaos
00:09:38.720 chaos
00:09:39.600 chaos
00:09:40.100 do you think that that's true
00:09:42.460 that there was chaos
00:09:44.740 in terms of who does what
00:09:46.800 and coordinating
00:09:47.460 and i would say
00:09:48.800 of course
00:09:49.960 of course that would be true
00:09:52.400 it's a crisis
00:09:54.140 if you don't have
00:09:55.840 chaos
00:09:57.020 in the beginning of a crisis
00:09:58.680 well then i don't think you know what crisis means
00:10:02.220 it's not really a crisis if you're all ready for it
00:10:05.460 you know
00:10:06.260 part of
00:10:06.860 being a crisis
00:10:08.100 is that you're struggling to get a response
00:10:10.400 so is it a criticism
00:10:12.320 that this government
00:10:14.000 or any other
00:10:15.080 had some chaos
00:10:17.260 at the beginning of a crisis
00:10:20.080 and i would say
00:10:21.460 that just seems so normal
00:10:23.320 how would you hold that against anybody
00:10:25.920 if this were the obama administration
00:10:28.300 and i'd heard they had chaos
00:10:30.440 as they're trying to figure it out
00:10:32.660 i don't think i'd hold that against them
00:10:34.580 i wouldn't hold it against anybody
00:10:36.540 i'd just say
00:10:37.840 chaos is sort of what you're going to get
00:10:40.860 right
00:10:41.620 so i don't think that criticism holds
00:10:45.020 unless that chaos
00:10:46.740 translated into a lack of performance
00:10:49.080 that we can observe
00:10:50.640 so what would be that lack of performance
00:10:53.560 so if you're to list all the things that
00:10:56.300 the president is criticized for
00:10:58.220 well first is that
00:10:59.860 testing fiasco
00:11:01.260 there were some test kits
00:11:03.000 was it the cdc
00:11:04.200 that had invalid test kits
00:11:06.280 and that set us back a while
00:11:07.540 but
00:11:08.860 was that the president's job
00:11:11.240 do you think the president
00:11:13.040 on his list of things to do
00:11:14.580 was eh
00:11:15.160 just in case
00:11:16.620 i better make sure that the cdc
00:11:18.920 test kits for coronavirus
00:11:20.500 are accurate
00:11:21.480 no of course not
00:11:23.120 of course not
00:11:24.420 now of course the boss
00:11:26.760 has to take responsibility
00:11:28.180 i'm not arguing that
00:11:30.080 but if we're being
00:11:32.340 you know
00:11:32.900 rational about it
00:11:34.580 it's not like the president
00:11:36.140 had much to do
00:11:37.340 with the quality
00:11:38.260 of the
00:11:38.900 the test kits
00:11:40.060 the cdc
00:11:41.540 so yes
00:11:42.560 that's a valid
00:11:43.320 complaint about a real thing
00:11:45.660 but that doesn't really get to the president's performance
00:11:49.200 what about
00:11:51.540 closing of the
00:11:53.860 travel from china
00:11:55.780 a plus
00:11:57.280 right
00:11:58.020 you
00:11:58.560 you know
00:11:59.140 you'll get tired of hearing the president
00:12:01.640 brag about this
00:12:03.260 but man
00:12:04.380 that's valid
00:12:05.300 he is completely right
00:12:07.900 that he went against the grain
00:12:10.240 against the professionals
00:12:11.340 and called it right
00:12:12.420 that
00:12:13.320 there's probably
00:12:14.180 i don't know if you could find a finer
00:12:16.760 example of
00:12:18.700 like pure leadership
00:12:20.180 than when he closed the airports early
00:12:23.120 i don't know that he'll ever get as much credit as he deserves for that
00:12:27.260 that that was literally
00:12:28.960 pure leadership
00:12:30.680 because even the experts said no
00:12:32.740 and he looked at the larger picture
00:12:35.340 the bigger risk management of it
00:12:37.160 he said yeah
00:12:38.260 they're going to call me a racist
00:12:39.400 yes this could turn out bad for me
00:12:41.960 still made the right call
00:12:44.020 he made the right call
00:12:45.920 and he made it
00:12:47.360 you know
00:12:48.360 looking at
00:12:48.960 the right risk management
00:12:50.520 it wasn't lock
00:12:51.580 he didn't get it right by lock
00:12:53.580 it was just the right call
00:12:54.880 and then of course
00:12:58.160 he brags about the ventilators
00:12:59.380 we all have a question
00:13:00.400 of whether the ventilators
00:13:02.340 are killing more people than they're saving
00:13:04.340 i think that's a good question
00:13:06.280 maybe it depends how you use them etc
00:13:08.340 but
00:13:09.600 nonetheless it is true
00:13:11.440 that the federal government was tasked
00:13:13.540 with getting all this ppe and ventilators together
00:13:17.120 has one person died
00:13:19.880 because of the lack of the ventilators
00:13:22.920 no
00:13:23.720 not one person has died
00:13:25.860 so
00:13:26.760 in the context of an emergency
00:13:28.600 if you meet the objective
00:13:30.840 get enough ventilators
00:13:32.360 i think that's just got to be pass fail
00:13:34.860 because it's not like anybody says
00:13:37.480 well what was the best way to do it
00:13:39.300 it's an emergency
00:13:40.360 you either get the ventilators or you don't
00:13:43.040 the government got them
00:13:45.220 it's pretty impressive
00:13:46.380 very impressive
00:13:47.440 the way they worked with private industry etc
00:13:50.340 now on the ppe
00:13:52.180 what can you do
00:13:53.600 was there something that the federal government
00:13:56.180 could have done more of
00:13:57.940 could they have been more prepared
00:14:00.440 well here's where you get to the supply chain problem
00:14:03.420 which really
00:14:04.680 i think legitimately
00:14:06.080 you could call obama's mess
00:14:08.020 that the trump administration is cleaning up
00:14:11.020 using you know
00:14:12.340 kaylee mcadeney's framing
00:14:14.160 of cleaning up the obama mess
00:14:16.320 which politically is really good framing
00:14:18.340 it is true
00:14:20.940 that the nature of the supply chain
00:14:22.940 caused us to have
00:14:25.100 inability to get everything we wanted
00:14:27.260 domestically
00:14:27.900 because you have to depend on other countries
00:14:29.880 so is that something that the president
00:14:32.200 is going to fix
00:14:33.280 probably
00:14:34.000 probably
00:14:35.660 you know
00:14:37.840 i'm going to
00:14:38.460 i'm going to just delete you
00:14:39.540 i'm going to block you for saying
00:14:40.880 that i have a crush on
00:14:41.920 on kaylee
00:14:42.520 that's
00:14:43.240 that's just so inappropriate
00:14:44.360 you know
00:14:47.440 here's the deal
00:14:48.260 i'm going to say good things about males
00:14:50.100 i'm going to say good things about females
00:14:51.780 the moment i see that
00:14:53.560 oh you're a love other
00:14:54.600 you love aosie
00:14:55.900 or whatever
00:14:56.800 there just exist people
00:14:59.160 who look different
00:15:00.660 all over the place
00:15:01.560 some of them do good jobs
00:15:03.360 some of them don't do good jobs
00:15:05.000 if i say somebody did a good job
00:15:06.940 it's not because i want to fuck them
00:15:08.340 okay
00:15:09.240 it's because they did a good job
00:15:11.500 so i'm just going to block people for that comment
00:15:14.820 i just don't need any of that
00:15:15.960 all right
00:15:16.860 um
00:15:17.420 do i seem prickly this morning
00:15:20.760 do i seem quick to anger
00:15:24.800 i think it's taking a toll on all of us
00:15:29.080 all right so
00:15:30.360 finishing up on my report card for the president
00:15:32.660 his
00:15:33.400 his summary of it
00:15:34.480 is that he makes the governors look good
00:15:36.700 i feel like that's as true
00:15:39.280 i feel like that's as true
00:15:41.660 as a statement as you could make
00:15:43.260 wouldn't you
00:15:44.600 even if you're hard on the president
00:15:47.560 wouldn't you say it's true that the federal government
00:15:51.040 met its objective
00:15:53.340 of giving the states what they need
00:15:55.980 and
00:15:57.640 um
00:15:58.720 and making the states look good
00:16:01.700 i think actually the
00:16:03.540 i think the president
00:16:05.100 has a completely
00:16:06.720 legitimate claim that he's making the governors look good
00:16:10.240 so i'm going to say
00:16:12.040 you know i i told you
00:16:13.400 from the very beginning
00:16:14.740 um
00:16:16.140 i'm not going to be very critical
00:16:17.900 of any of the governors
00:16:20.100 no matter their party
00:16:21.760 nor will i be very critical
00:16:23.780 of the federal government
00:16:25.140 and trump
00:16:26.060 as long as they're doing
00:16:27.720 quickly correcting things they get wrong
00:16:29.820 because the idea is that nobody knew the right thing to do
00:16:33.000 nobody knew
00:16:34.720 when to do it
00:16:36.060 nobody knew what to do
00:16:37.300 it was really a lot of guessing
00:16:39.260 so in the context of a lot of guessing
00:16:42.400 and we're still guessing right
00:16:44.000 the states are doing their own thing
00:16:45.440 because they're sort of guessing
00:16:46.440 in the context of guessing
00:16:48.540 the only way to
00:16:50.100 grade somebody
00:16:51.880 is to see if they guess wrong
00:16:54.500 do they quickly correct
00:16:55.780 and that's the only standard i would put on this
00:16:58.260 and i would say that
00:16:59.680 that the people who are sort of
00:17:02.220 testing that standard
00:17:03.860 would be for example
00:17:05.500 some of the governors who are
00:17:07.040 i don't know
00:17:07.960 banning going to the beach
00:17:09.300 and and some of the things
00:17:10.400 that seem more obviously
00:17:11.600 you know
00:17:12.860 obviously not a problem
00:17:14.260 so i think they're
00:17:15.680 they're sort of pushing that
00:17:17.100 but
00:17:18.080 but even then
00:17:19.420 it's sort of minor
00:17:20.800 and it's only a few weeks
00:17:21.920 so i'm not gonna
00:17:22.900 i'm not gonna worry too much
00:17:24.000 about going to the beach
00:17:24.920 for a few weeks
00:17:25.680 if it turns out to be
00:17:27.180 that sort of thing
00:17:27.940 so i'm gonna fact check
00:17:30.520 the president true
00:17:31.500 i believe
00:17:32.340 and i would say
00:17:33.420 i would tell you
00:17:34.020 i think i would tell you
00:17:35.500 if there was something that
00:17:36.480 he had totally screwed up on this
00:17:38.780 well i will tell you
00:17:39.700 i would say that the press conferences
00:17:41.780 were inelegant
00:17:43.960 and in some ways
00:17:45.600 he allowed the critics
00:17:47.220 to make more of them
00:17:48.160 than they could
00:17:48.840 probably talked about himself too much
00:17:51.420 but it's an election season
00:17:52.900 how big a deal is that
00:17:54.140 i don't know
00:17:55.080 seems normal
00:17:55.740 so you know
00:17:57.240 i've criticized him
00:17:58.500 on the communication part
00:18:00.060 but not on the performance
00:18:02.360 on the performance
00:18:04.280 it's solid
00:18:06.140 in my opinion
00:18:07.380 and i would say the same
00:18:08.600 about the governors
00:18:09.400 both blue and red
00:18:11.760 you know
00:18:12.660 Andrew Cuomo
00:18:14.160 is getting
00:18:14.820 a lot of heat
00:18:16.280 about returning
00:18:17.300 returning the nursing home patients
00:18:19.920 which
00:18:20.300 which may have killed
00:18:21.460 you know thousands
00:18:22.660 right
00:18:23.620 but
00:18:24.920 and that will be
00:18:25.860 a really good edge case
00:18:27.260 because first of all
00:18:28.600 i don't know that the governor
00:18:29.960 knew he was doing that
00:18:31.280 so i have some questions
00:18:32.560 about what he knew
00:18:33.340 i also don't know
00:18:34.800 what professionals
00:18:35.760 had advised him
00:18:36.900 um
00:18:38.140 yeah
00:18:38.780 Andrew Cuomo
00:18:39.480 uh
00:18:40.360 Governor Cuomo
00:18:41.060 so
00:18:41.900 uh
00:18:43.240 if it turned out
00:18:45.520 the experts
00:18:46.660 told Cuomo
00:18:48.340 yeah yeah
00:18:49.300 you can send them back
00:18:50.540 it'll be fine
00:18:52.080 or if he didn't know
00:18:53.580 what was happening
00:18:54.180 maybe he signed something
00:18:55.320 and just wasn't aware
00:18:56.260 maybe he should have been
00:18:57.640 i've got to
00:18:58.820 i don't know how much
00:18:59.920 that's the governor's fault
00:19:01.600 i feel like there were underlings
00:19:04.720 who did some things
00:19:06.820 now of course
00:19:07.380 like i said before
00:19:09.120 it doesn't matter
00:19:10.220 if Andrew Cuomo
00:19:11.060 knew about it
00:19:12.100 he's still the boss
00:19:13.800 right
00:19:14.740 he still gets the blame
00:19:16.600 he still gets the credit
00:19:17.740 even if he didn't know
00:19:18.640 any of it was happening
00:19:19.480 that's just the way
00:19:20.180 the system works
00:19:20.940 so
00:19:22.120 i'm going to be
00:19:23.820 soft on grading
00:19:25.500 everybody who screws up
00:19:27.120 because i just don't think
00:19:28.780 there were other options
00:19:29.840 um
00:19:31.280 on Tucker Carlson's show
00:19:34.620 last night
00:19:35.260 as part of a segment
00:19:36.900 he showed an old clip
00:19:38.140 of Joe Biden
00:19:39.000 uh
00:19:40.280 next to a new clip
00:19:41.680 of Joe Biden
00:19:42.460 wow
00:19:44.400 have you seen that
00:19:46.660 have you seen the clips
00:19:48.180 together
00:19:48.580 look at Joe Biden
00:19:50.040 15 years ago
00:19:51.180 he's totally on his game
00:19:53.260 you know
00:19:54.440 he's just totally
00:19:55.320 in control
00:19:56.060 intellectually
00:19:57.620 he looks completely there
00:19:59.000 and then
00:20:00.120 and then you go
00:20:00.900 to modern day
00:20:01.820 when you see
00:20:03.080 the contrast
00:20:03.980 ugh
00:20:04.660 the contrast
00:20:06.120 tells you
00:20:06.920 that he's lost
00:20:07.960 something
00:20:08.500 and it should
00:20:10.080 make you wonder
00:20:10.800 how quickly
00:20:11.480 it's going
00:20:12.140 uh
00:20:13.240 which is the smart
00:20:14.160 question right
00:20:14.800 but it's unambiguous
00:20:16.520 if you see the early clips
00:20:18.200 the contrast
00:20:19.240 just jumps out
00:20:20.560 whereas just seeing
00:20:21.980 him out of context
00:20:22.720 you could say to yourself
00:20:23.600 i don't know
00:20:24.120 is it that different
00:20:25.360 than it used to be
00:20:26.140 maybe he always used to
00:20:27.400 you know
00:20:28.100 get words wrong
00:20:29.020 not really
00:20:30.360 not really
00:20:31.640 when you see
00:20:32.580 his younger self
00:20:33.520 he's mentally
00:20:34.660 quite quick
00:20:35.500 if i would
00:20:37.080 you know
00:20:37.460 he was a lawyer right
00:20:38.400 so
00:20:39.220 you see him talking
00:20:40.400 in his younger self
00:20:41.620 and you say
00:20:42.220 okay
00:20:42.500 that's
00:20:42.880 that's 100% there
00:20:44.200 he may
00:20:45.080 he may have
00:20:45.700 had his
00:20:46.200 other issues
00:20:47.200 when he was younger
00:20:47.940 but it wasn't
00:20:49.200 mental clarity
00:20:50.040 because that looks
00:20:51.300 like it's there
00:20:51.940 today
00:20:53.480 not so much
00:20:54.380 now
00:20:56.560 the interesting thing
00:20:57.960 is i don't know
00:20:58.560 if the trump campaign
00:20:59.900 would want to take
00:21:00.920 advantage of that
00:21:01.660 contrast
00:21:02.340 because there's
00:21:03.360 a trap there
00:21:04.160 the obvious trap
00:21:05.900 is that somebody's
00:21:06.760 going to take
00:21:07.320 old trump videos
00:21:09.040 where he also
00:21:10.340 talked very differently
00:21:11.500 but here's the thing
00:21:13.420 have you ever seen
00:21:14.960 that
00:21:15.140 have you ever seen
00:21:15.820 you know
00:21:16.520 young trump
00:21:17.380 videos recently
00:21:18.660 and compare it
00:21:19.900 to current day
00:21:20.740 trump
00:21:21.060 very different
00:21:22.260 aren't they
00:21:22.680 very different
00:21:24.240 but here's the thing
00:21:25.680 the old
00:21:28.180 trump style
00:21:29.160 was a little
00:21:30.320 more verbal
00:21:31.060 a little more
00:21:31.980 urbane
00:21:32.560 maybe a little
00:21:33.580 more
00:21:33.960 a little more
00:21:35.480 sophisticated
00:21:36.200 shall we say
00:21:37.020 but that wouldn't
00:21:39.500 work for politics
00:21:40.560 so here's the
00:21:42.020 difference
00:21:42.440 the trump
00:21:43.740 speaking style
00:21:44.900 evolved to a
00:21:46.660 better one
00:21:47.180 for politics
00:21:48.360 he simplified
00:21:49.540 he repeats
00:21:50.580 he just kept
00:21:51.680 everything simple
00:21:52.460 he took the
00:21:53.080 vocabulary down
00:21:54.160 and i find
00:21:56.040 his speaking
00:21:56.600 style
00:21:56.920 i wrote a book
00:21:58.380 about it
00:21:58.820 i find his
00:21:59.860 current style
00:22:01.240 of communicating
00:22:02.120 super effective
00:22:04.700 i mean there's
00:22:05.400 a reason that
00:22:06.080 i don't know
00:22:06.560 95% of
00:22:07.460 conservatives
00:22:08.020 approve of him
00:22:09.260 you don't really
00:22:10.440 get approval
00:22:10.960 from the other
00:22:11.540 side of the
00:22:12.160 political world
00:22:13.000 these days
00:22:13.460 that's not an
00:22:14.340 option
00:22:14.600 but if you can
00:22:15.560 get 95% of
00:22:16.660 your own people
00:22:17.220 to like you
00:22:17.820 you're pretty
00:22:19.660 persuasive
00:22:20.240 so you'd have to
00:22:21.380 say that
00:22:21.880 trump's speaking
00:22:23.020 style also
00:22:23.860 evolved
00:22:24.560 but it evolved
00:22:25.640 in the opposite
00:22:26.380 way of biden
00:22:27.120 biden started
00:22:28.040 down strong
00:22:28.720 and he's turned
00:22:29.280 into a raisin
00:22:31.180 brain
00:22:31.500 i'd just like to
00:22:32.720 imagine a raisin
00:22:33.560 inside his skull
00:22:34.300 because there's
00:22:34.720 not much there
00:22:35.320 and but trump
00:22:37.380 has evolved from
00:22:38.360 more of an
00:22:39.320 urbane
00:22:39.900 you know
00:22:40.320 kind of a
00:22:40.980 jet setter
00:22:42.100 playboy
00:22:42.680 kind of a
00:22:43.380 vibe
00:22:43.780 which no way
00:22:45.240 you can't get
00:22:46.180 elected with that
00:22:47.060 you know
00:22:48.420 there's no way
00:22:48.960 he would have
00:22:49.340 been elected
00:22:49.860 if he continued
00:22:51.060 to communicate
00:22:52.140 the way he used
00:22:52.840 to
00:22:53.040 but now he's
00:22:54.100 got this
00:22:54.620 this effective
00:22:56.020 way he does
00:22:56.740 it
00:22:56.960 simplifying
00:22:58.220 etc
00:22:58.680 it's very good
00:23:00.280 so but still
00:23:01.880 they probably
00:23:02.260 don't want to
00:23:02.720 show the
00:23:02.980 contrast
00:23:03.460 because it
00:23:03.820 would show
00:23:04.220 trump also
00:23:05.820 simplifying his
00:23:06.860 communication
00:23:07.460 i've got a
00:23:09.120 question for
00:23:09.580 you
00:23:09.800 how long
00:23:11.060 will it be
00:23:11.560 before we
00:23:12.140 start lumping
00:23:14.080 together the
00:23:15.400 various people
00:23:16.260 who are in the
00:23:17.280 at risk for the
00:23:18.840 coronavirus category
00:23:20.720 so here are the
00:23:22.200 people that we
00:23:23.000 know to be at
00:23:23.860 risk
00:23:24.220 so senior
00:23:26.220 citizens
00:23:26.680 the obese
00:23:27.640 diabetics
00:23:29.040 and african
00:23:29.920 americans
00:23:30.400 in particular
00:23:31.140 so those are
00:23:32.020 the ones who
00:23:33.260 are getting hit
00:23:33.840 the hardest
00:23:34.560 now you can
00:23:35.500 say men
00:23:36.060 in general
00:23:36.560 too
00:23:36.900 but that
00:23:37.740 would ruin
00:23:38.220 my
00:23:38.520 ruin the
00:23:39.460 thing i'm
00:23:39.780 going to
00:23:39.920 say next
00:23:40.440 which is
00:23:42.520 one of the
00:23:44.440 benefits of
00:23:45.460 of lumping
00:23:46.840 the lgbtq
00:23:48.500 community
00:23:49.020 together
00:23:49.540 is that there
00:23:50.520 were reasons
00:23:51.240 to talk to
00:23:51.960 them as a
00:23:52.900 as a group
00:23:53.980 in terms of
00:23:55.360 equal rights
00:23:56.140 and discrimination
00:23:56.940 and stuff
00:23:57.420 so sometimes
00:23:58.720 it's good to
00:23:59.580 say all right
00:24:00.340 there are several
00:24:00.980 distinct individual
00:24:02.280 types you know
00:24:03.680 a lesbian is not
00:24:04.640 a gay man
00:24:05.220 is not a
00:24:05.800 you know
00:24:06.360 trans
00:24:06.760 but they had
00:24:09.200 something in
00:24:09.880 common which
00:24:10.960 is the way
00:24:11.400 society treated
00:24:12.320 them so
00:24:13.780 so lumping
00:24:14.600 them together
00:24:15.140 for political
00:24:16.400 purposes and
00:24:17.340 other conversation
00:24:18.200 was it was a
00:24:19.560 useful thing to
00:24:20.280 do even though
00:24:21.320 nobody in the
00:24:22.300 group is the
00:24:22.840 same as anybody
00:24:23.380 else in the
00:24:23.860 group
00:24:24.120 likewise with
00:24:27.140 the people who
00:24:27.760 are you know
00:24:30.440 susceptible to
00:24:31.120 the coronavirus
00:24:31.700 more susceptible
00:24:32.480 if you put them
00:24:33.860 together in this
00:24:34.520 order seniors
00:24:35.380 obese diabetic
00:24:37.060 african-america
00:24:38.080 it spells soda
00:24:39.340 s-o-d-a
00:24:41.540 soda
00:24:42.300 so I'll just
00:24:44.460 put this out
00:24:45.040 there for fun
00:24:45.680 can we call
00:24:46.980 them the soda
00:24:47.760 community
00:24:48.380 now it's sort
00:24:50.220 of a double
00:24:50.880 entend because
00:24:52.140 if you've got
00:24:54.380 a if you've got
00:24:55.040 a weight problem
00:24:55.660 maybe you're
00:24:56.100 drinking too much
00:24:56.680 soda if you're
00:24:58.300 diabetic maybe
00:24:59.800 too much soda
00:25:00.420 but probably
00:25:02.700 not if you're
00:25:03.280 diabetic I
00:25:04.080 imagine you
00:25:04.560 stay away from
00:25:05.080 the soda
00:25:05.400 but can we
00:25:07.560 call them the
00:25:08.180 soda community
00:25:09.260 somebody says
00:25:13.560 bad optics
00:25:14.280 well here's the
00:25:15.200 thing the the
00:25:16.660 first go at
00:25:18.080 this I had I
00:25:19.620 was using you
00:25:20.560 know different
00:25:22.120 words for the
00:25:22.860 same thing and
00:25:23.940 I wasn't liking
00:25:24.660 my acronym so I
00:25:25.520 finally got it to
00:25:26.120 soda and well
00:25:29.520 somebody's putting
00:25:30.120 soda with two
00:25:31.020 a's I think
00:25:31.820 you only need
00:25:32.240 one a for
00:25:32.880 african-american
00:25:33.840 right if you're
00:25:34.860 abbreviating it
00:25:35.880 just one a
00:25:37.340 I'm just looking
00:25:39.540 at your comments
00:25:40.260 yeah I oh
00:25:44.720 actually you're
00:25:45.240 right if I'd
00:25:46.220 added men the
00:25:47.800 reason I didn't
00:25:48.480 is because it
00:25:49.100 would be sodom
00:25:49.880 s-o-d-a-m
00:25:51.740 somebody said in
00:25:53.540 the comments but
00:25:54.300 that actually was
00:25:55.460 a literally my
00:25:57.140 thought when I
00:25:58.060 decided to get
00:25:59.220 rid of the
00:25:59.720 m all right
00:26:00.780 so the trouble
00:26:02.880 is I don't know
00:26:04.020 that we can have
00:26:05.120 a process that
00:26:06.320 doesn't discriminate
00:26:07.240 against these
00:26:09.220 four classes or
00:26:10.780 four groups of
00:26:11.420 people because
00:26:12.360 these are these
00:26:13.540 are groups that
00:26:14.140 can be discriminated
00:26:15.300 against right
00:26:16.680 you there's age
00:26:17.980 discrimination
00:26:18.620 there's you know
00:26:20.180 there's fat
00:26:20.760 shaming
00:26:21.080 discrimination
00:26:21.760 there's a health
00:26:23.240 related discrimination
00:26:24.400 of course african-american
00:26:25.840 discrimination so
00:26:27.400 the soda group is
00:26:29.780 a group that even
00:26:30.540 if we were not
00:26:31.160 talking about the
00:26:31.820 coronavirus they
00:26:34.020 would be a fairly
00:26:35.380 let's say a group
00:26:38.320 that knows
00:26:39.660 discrimination so
00:26:42.100 somehow it feels
00:26:42.960 important here's a
00:26:44.460 weird thing that's
00:26:45.120 happening because of
00:26:45.900 the coronavirus and
00:26:48.440 let me ask you in
00:26:49.120 the comments have
00:26:50.680 any of you found a
00:26:51.620 way to make more
00:26:52.360 money so it'll take
00:26:55.300 a while for the
00:26:55.760 comments to catch
00:26:56.460 up but I'm very
00:26:57.020 interested is there
00:26:58.220 anybody here or
00:26:59.080 maybe you know
00:26:59.580 somebody who found
00:27:01.040 a way to make more
00:27:01.920 money because of the
00:27:03.480 coronavirus because I'm
00:27:05.460 seeing this happening
00:27:06.460 and and I think the
00:27:08.600 crisis sort of divided
00:27:10.680 the world into two
00:27:11.720 parts everything's
00:27:13.780 divided into two parts
00:27:14.860 right there were the
00:27:16.060 entrepreneurs who got
00:27:17.240 excited because
00:27:18.700 everything was shaken
00:27:19.880 up and when you shake
00:27:21.600 up everything entrepreneurs
00:27:23.420 go oh there's
00:27:24.920 something here for me
00:27:25.780 somebody shook the
00:27:27.760 box there's going to
00:27:29.440 be an opportunity here
00:27:30.620 and then a bunch of
00:27:31.500 people went out and
00:27:32.780 they they became like
00:27:33.880 PPE experts and
00:27:36.140 brokers and their
00:27:37.200 people spun up
00:27:38.600 factories people
00:27:39.760 started new jobs
00:27:40.860 I'm looking at your
00:27:42.340 comments now so
00:27:43.660 obviously most people
00:27:45.680 made less money so I
00:27:48.240 understand that but
00:27:49.680 look at the number of
00:27:50.460 yeses look at the
00:27:57.400 comments if you can't
00:27:58.840 see them if you're
00:27:59.500 listening to this I'll
00:28:00.520 I'll tell you that
00:28:01.340 something like 25% of
00:28:04.760 them are saying that
00:28:05.680 they're making more
00:28:06.460 money so there are
00:28:08.180 people who have found
00:28:08.800 these weird little
00:28:09.500 opportunities and this
00:28:12.640 has happened to me
00:28:13.640 accidentally overall I'll
00:28:15.560 be way down because
00:28:16.720 newspapers are going to
00:28:17.680 go out of business that's
00:28:19.040 my main income so my
00:28:20.560 main income is going
00:28:23.380 to get blown up this
00:28:24.580 year so I may I may
00:28:27.280 be looking for a new
00:28:28.020 job but seriously I
00:28:30.600 might be looking for a
00:28:31.580 new job but several
00:28:34.740 little weird things got
00:28:36.220 better I had it I had
00:28:38.060 a small investment in
00:28:39.340 this company called
00:28:40.260 click and grow just
00:28:42.380 very small investment
00:28:43.340 and what they do is
00:28:45.160 these little tabletop
00:28:46.300 vegetable gardens you
00:28:49.180 know that has its own
00:28:49.880 little light source and
00:28:50.920 everything and it turns
00:28:52.580 out that as soon as you
00:28:54.920 know people were worried
00:28:55.820 about food these things
00:28:57.020 just flew off the shelf so
00:28:59.500 this little obscure
00:29:00.980 investment in a tabletop
00:29:02.920 vegetable thing just went
00:29:04.700 nuts because it's
00:29:06.220 gardening all the
00:29:07.140 gardening stuff went crazy
00:29:08.320 didn't see that coming
00:29:09.780 the other thing that I
00:29:11.460 hadn't been doing is
00:29:12.920 speaking engagements and
00:29:15.140 I couldn't do them
00:29:16.260 partly because I'm a
00:29:17.180 little bit radioactive
00:29:18.780 because I talk about
00:29:19.680 politics but also I
00:29:21.500 didn't want to travel I
00:29:22.780 was just kind of done
00:29:23.920 with traveling for work
00:29:25.580 you know airplane and
00:29:27.020 hotel etc but what
00:29:28.580 happened with this
00:29:29.500 because of the shutdown
00:29:31.120 now you're going to see
00:29:33.280 a lot more speaking
00:29:34.260 that's going to be done
00:29:35.040 virtually so suddenly the
00:29:37.920 very thing I didn't want
00:29:38.980 to do which is plan a
00:29:40.900 big trip and travel and
00:29:42.380 hotel and everything
00:29:43.180 my entire speaking career
00:29:46.020 may have been
00:29:47.640 accidentally revived by
00:29:50.360 the fact that nobody's
00:29:51.460 going to travel for a
00:29:52.340 while and that it may be
00:29:53.860 normal to have you know
00:29:55.580 video stuff so didn't see
00:29:56.960 that coming and I just
00:30:00.020 need to give you just full
00:30:01.440 disclosure yesterday I
00:30:03.300 talked about the news
00:30:04.120 story that said Sorrento
00:30:05.200 Therapeutics claim that they
00:30:07.840 have a cure for coronavirus a
00:30:10.040 cure and I noted that that
00:30:12.520 was an outrageous claim for
00:30:15.580 anybody to make unless they
00:30:16.760 believed it because that's a
00:30:18.460 big thing to say I mean if
00:30:20.460 you're wrong about cure you're
00:30:23.940 really wrong you're going to
00:30:25.400 pay for that right so I
00:30:27.780 thought to myself what are
00:30:29.340 the odds that the CEO is
00:30:31.260 going to say that unless he
00:30:33.260 believes it now it doesn't
00:30:34.360 mean it's true right he could
00:30:36.820 believe it and then the test
00:30:38.360 show it doesn't work but I
00:30:40.780 at least thought the CEO
00:30:42.680 believes it so I bought some
00:30:46.320 of the stock that morning
00:30:47.780 this is not what you call an
00:30:50.860 investment an investment is
00:30:53.900 when you do something smart
00:30:55.080 buying any any company that
00:31:00.400 says they have a cure for the
00:31:01.940 coronavirus during the middle
00:31:03.740 of the coronavirus while there
00:31:05.680 are lots of companies making
00:31:07.200 lots of claims picking one of
00:31:09.440 them and putting your actual
00:31:11.680 money into it is not an
00:31:13.680 investment it's gambling it's
00:31:17.480 just gambling so I gambled I
00:31:22.320 made $75,000 and sold it a few
00:31:25.980 like few hours later now I know you
00:31:30.100 hate me for that I kind of hate
00:31:32.440 myself for it because I
00:31:34.680 actually believe it or not I
00:31:36.020 don't like making money I
00:31:37.080 didn't work for I just sort of
00:31:39.180 raised that way you know if I
00:31:40.560 work for it and get it I love
00:31:41.860 it if somebody buys my book and I
00:31:44.180 get some money I love that but I
00:31:46.740 don't feel the same love if I
00:31:49.800 just did some weird financial
00:31:51.340 thing that totally by luck some
00:31:53.860 money came spraying in my
00:31:55.100 direction now it to full
00:31:58.860 disclosure and you have to have
00:32:01.240 this full disclosure this is not
00:32:03.760 the first time I've made a bet of
00:32:06.360 this type meaning using a stock
00:32:09.000 purchase as just a bet just a
00:32:11.400 gamble this is the first time it's
00:32:13.740 ever worked I have on a number of
00:32:18.280 occasions not not related to
00:32:20.020 coronavirus but in my past there
00:32:22.400 have been a number of occasions
00:32:23.720 when I said to myself you know I
00:32:26.140 think if I just gamble on this I've
00:32:28.680 got a good feeling about this and
00:32:30.900 then I gamble and I just lose my
00:32:32.700 money now I've not lost massive
00:32:35.420 amounts of money gambling because I
00:32:36.980 would never gamble a massive amount
00:32:39.460 of money I would gamble something I
00:32:41.700 could afford to lose and in almost
00:32:44.100 every other case I lost it so the
00:32:47.040 reason I'm telling you that this was
00:32:49.360 the exception is because the last thing
00:32:51.700 I'd want you to hear is that you can
00:32:53.880 get into the stock market and do what I
00:32:56.380 did yesterday you can't do that right
00:32:59.620 you can do it one out of ten and
00:33:02.500 that's what I did this just happened
00:33:03.920 to be the one so if I only tell you
00:33:06.220 about the one keep in mind the other
00:33:08.840 nine times that didn't work at all that
00:33:11.080 did not work at all so don't be like me
00:33:15.520 but I got lucky yesterday I continue to
00:33:20.800 see stories in which hydroxychloroquine is
00:33:24.360 evaluated without zinc and we all have
00:33:28.140 been educated to the point that we know
00:33:30.000 that zinc is the magic ingredient and
00:33:33.620 hydroxychloroquine allegedly is more
00:33:36.800 about the delivery of it to your body so I
00:33:40.500 feel as if we're getting gaslighted I
00:33:42.860 hate to use that that's the wrong term I
00:33:44.740 won't use that erase that I feel like the
00:33:47.240 press is just possibly possibly I hate I
00:33:52.700 hate to talk in conspiratorial tones but
00:33:55.020 it feels like just because Trump likes
00:33:58.380 this hydroxychloroquine that has forced
00:34:01.760 the press to not like it and it's forced
00:34:04.360 them to emphasize the trials that don't
00:34:07.860 even use the zinc and you and I don't
00:34:10.400 even think that's worth testing right I
00:34:13.200 mean at this point if you saw another
00:34:15.500 test going on for just hydroxychloroquine
00:34:18.140 you wouldn't care because you already
00:34:20.780 know it's useless I mean there's been
00:34:23.140 enough that you would say you would you
00:34:25.340 would assume that the test of just that
00:34:27.340 one drug wouldn't tell you anything but
00:34:29.840 if they test it with the zinc now I'm
00:34:32.900 interested and if they test it with the
00:34:34.860 zinc and they give it to you early which
00:34:37.060 apparently is not what was happening
00:34:38.660 they were giving it to people who were
00:34:40.280 already too late well you give it to me
00:34:43.060 early and you test it with zinc and you do
00:34:45.660 a controlled test shouldn't I have a
00:34:48.140 result in two weeks right well you know
00:34:52.500 during an emergency don't you know if if
00:34:55.640 the virus has been cleared in two weeks
00:34:57.580 I feel like I feel like it would be the
00:35:00.760 shortest trial and the fact that we
00:35:03.060 don't have a definitive answer on that is
00:35:05.180 certainly worrisome here's a question
00:35:10.460 just a mess with your entire understanding
00:35:12.740 of reality a lot of different countries
00:35:16.200 doing a lot of different things are they
00:35:19.400 getting different results can't tell
00:35:23.320 right so you've got how many countries
00:35:26.380 are they're doing that are involved with
00:35:28.200 the coronavirus so is it over a hundred I
00:35:32.200 don't know what the numbers are but lots
00:35:34.320 and lots of countries doing lots of
00:35:36.740 different things and they're all sort of
00:35:40.200 getting the same result and to the
00:35:43.040 extent that they're different because
00:35:44.240 there are differences there are so many
00:35:46.400 confounding variables that you can't
00:35:49.420 tell if leadership is an active variable
00:35:53.260 think about it if I told you that
00:35:57.940 leadership mattered how could I possibly
00:36:01.240 prove that because I would look at the
00:36:03.400 world and say oh all right leadership
00:36:04.940 matters let's go find the good leaders
00:36:07.280 and see how much better they did on this
00:36:09.740 coronavirus I'll bet there's no
00:36:12.680 correlation I'll bet if you had before
00:36:15.320 the coronavirus if you've done I don't
00:36:16.940 know if you could even do this some kind
00:36:18.400 of a objective poll to find out who are
00:36:20.920 the best leaders and then the
00:36:23.200 coronavirus happens to say okay now
00:36:25.380 we've seen how people are doing let's
00:36:27.620 let's compare how they did with who we
00:36:30.180 knew were the good leaders and see if
00:36:31.820 the good leaders got better results I'll
00:36:36.080 bet you you're not going to find it now
00:36:38.420 that would be a surprising result right
00:36:40.680 but it feels like whatever the big
00:36:44.060 variables are it doesn't feel like it's
00:36:47.100 leadership it feels like it's something
00:36:50.900 else now there are clearly things you
00:36:53.820 know like closing travel you know there
00:36:56.140 are things that are clearly leadership but
00:37:00.260 yet we're not getting much different you
00:37:04.520 know results what's up with that here's
00:37:08.400 the weirdest little story of the day so
00:37:09.960 apparently you know the Constitution
00:37:12.280 requires that Congress meet in person
00:37:14.340 but it's a coronavirus so how can they do
00:37:17.520 their job if they have to meet in person
00:37:19.180 on day one when I heard that that was a
00:37:22.260 problem that they have to vote in person I
00:37:25.100 said uh how about we just don't do that
00:37:28.660 what what if we just act like the
00:37:31.220 Constitution doesn't exist and just do
00:37:33.920 what makes sense because do you think
00:37:36.280 the founders of the Constitution if you
00:37:38.340 could you know dig them up and revive them
00:37:40.840 and bring them into the future and say
00:37:42.160 okay Ben Franklin you know Jefferson
00:37:44.860 we've got a situation here you wrote in
00:37:47.480 the Constitution you got to meet in
00:37:49.360 person but that was you didn't know about
00:37:51.440 the internet so that's cool you know you
00:37:53.860 guys are smart I know that would be a
00:37:55.860 lot to ask you didn't know about the
00:37:57.060 internet but do you think it'd be okay
00:37:58.960 just for a few weeks guys you know you
00:38:01.740 you wrote this Constitution would it be
00:38:03.080 okay for just a few weeks that we just
00:38:05.280 do proxy voting so somebody will call it
00:38:08.000 in we'll record who it was and what the
00:38:10.880 vote so we will know who voted for what
00:38:12.780 and we'll just have somebody physically do
00:38:14.900 the vote who's standing there you think
00:38:16.940 you think that would be okay well I'm
00:38:19.460 pretty sure the founders would have been
00:38:21.340 okay with it somebody's saying no you're
00:38:24.340 ridiculous the founders would have been
00:38:27.440 okay with it now they might have said oh
00:38:29.740 let's do a quick you know quick change to
00:38:32.120 it or something maybe they'd have
00:38:33.420 something to add to it but there's no
00:38:35.400 way they would have seriously people are
00:38:38.800 disagreeing with us
00:38:39.740 why would you disagree with that no too
00:38:48.240 risky oh oh I get it okay I understand
00:38:51.220 the the no too risky part is what I'm
00:38:53.620 going to talk about okay so I understand
00:38:55.160 your objections now the the no is because
00:38:58.100 you don't want bad behavior to happen
00:39:00.920 the no is so you don't want the person
00:39:03.400 who's the proxy person to be controlling
00:39:05.500 everything it's like it's like delegating
00:39:07.120 your vote to one person right that's the
00:39:11.020 problem okay I think you're all you're all
00:39:13.740 misunderstanding what it is I believe let's
00:39:16.920 fact check this today okay somebody says
00:39:18.960 you're on your thousand percent wrong
00:39:20.460 hundred thousand percent wrong fact check
00:39:23.540 the assumptions all right if my
00:39:26.000 assumptions are are correct then my
00:39:28.920 interpretation is correct if your
00:39:31.400 assumptions are correct then I will agree
00:39:34.340 with you that your interpretation that's a
00:39:36.660 bad idea is also correct can we agree on
00:39:39.400 that can we agree that whoever got the
00:39:42.180 right assumption I'll tell you what the
00:39:43.800 assumption is is probably the one who
00:39:45.660 also got the right answer all right so
00:39:47.760 let's just talk about the assumption
00:39:48.960 let's not talk about the disagreement yet
00:39:51.420 the assumption is here's my assumption
00:39:55.200 that everyone who votes will have to
00:39:57.920 record who they are and what they're
00:39:59.300 voting for so that we will have a record
00:40:01.720 of every person's vote as long as I have a
00:40:05.100 record of every person's vote whether or not
00:40:08.160 Nancy Pelosi or whoever the proxy is you
00:40:11.520 know overruled it or something well it'd
00:40:14.160 be obvious as long as I know who voted
00:40:17.600 I'm fine now is your assumption that the
00:40:22.620 record of who voted for what will be lost
00:40:24.840 because that would be a ridiculous
00:40:26.600 assumption but so which assumption are
00:40:30.120 you going on so for the people who who say
00:40:32.960 it's a bad idea are you all assuming that
00:40:36.060 you won't know who voted for what because
00:40:38.280 that would be crazy it would be crazy to
00:40:43.240 assume that we wouldn't know who voted
00:40:45.120 for what no that's not gonna happen and
00:40:48.260 by the way by the way if it turns out I'm
00:40:52.500 wrong and and the real and really that
00:40:57.460 proxy voting actually meant giving your
00:41:00.300 vote to Nancy Pelosi if it turns out that
00:41:03.480 that's what they're suggesting of course
00:41:06.540 I'm not in favor of that of course not
00:41:09.960 that would just be a violation of the
00:41:11.940 Constitution so of course I wouldn't be
00:41:14.820 in favor of that but as long as
00:41:16.940 everybody's recording their vote and they
00:41:19.300 can communicate with anybody
00:41:20.720 electronically that they want you have
00:41:23.360 full transparency there's nothing we
00:41:26.420 need but transparency everything else is
00:41:29.080 optional give me transparency I'm a happy
00:41:33.340 citizen take it away I'm not somebody
00:41:39.020 says it's subject to manipulation but
00:41:42.080 nobody can explain how that could
00:41:44.320 possibly happen if you can then I will
00:41:47.860 change my opinion in other words if
00:41:49.940 somebody can give me an argument about
00:41:52.020 why full transparency makes you subject to
00:41:56.300 manipulation I would entertain that I
00:42:00.020 don't I don't see what that I don't see
00:42:01.920 how somebody says vote changing not a
00:42:06.700 risk because every every vote will be
00:42:08.800 recorded who voted for it now now I
00:42:13.420 believe that this is one of those
00:42:14.640 situations where you have lined up on
00:42:18.000 political sides and you don't have a
00:42:20.120 reason and I'm going to read your
00:42:22.500 comments to make my point that you have
00:42:25.800 an opinion without a reason I'll just
00:42:27.340 read a lobbyist and left-wing
00:42:30.540 organizations would write bills for
00:42:32.280 Pelosi irrelevant to the voting
00:42:33.960 question fear of general voting by mail
00:42:36.720 that's something else crazy things
00:42:38.700 happen that's not a reason they have
00:42:41.300 more to do than vote that's not a
00:42:43.220 reason what would the slippery slope
00:42:45.880 look like that's not a reason if it
00:42:47.880 someone could hold a gun to the
00:42:49.960 voters head that's not real that's not
00:42:52.020 a reason are you setting precedent for
00:42:54.400 ignoring parts of the Constitution that's
00:42:56.240 not a reason it's an emergency the
00:43:00.400 world needs transparency this is more
00:43:02.460 transparency aren't lost records did
00:43:05.440 you hear about the uncle bring them in
00:43:08.280 person to Congress that's a bad idea we
00:43:10.520 have electronic ways proxy equals give
00:43:14.940 your vote to Nancy that is an incorrect
00:43:16.880 assumption oh no proxy does mean give
00:43:20.460 your vote to Nancy it does not mean that
00:43:23.420 nobody knows what your vote was so
00:43:26.760 maybe that's where you're getting
00:43:27.800 confused so proxy is unfortunately it's a
00:43:31.580 murky word what it means is that you tell
00:43:35.140 Nancy to vote your vote right but they
00:43:38.940 still know what your vote is a regular
00:43:41.700 proxy vote let's say border directors you
00:43:46.880 that proxy you say you vote on my behalf
00:43:50.000 that's not what's happening nobody's
00:43:52.880 asking Nancy to vote on their behalf with
00:43:55.740 her opinion replacing their own they're
00:43:58.280 asking her to cast their vote specifically
00:44:01.380 my vote I'm going to write it down I
00:44:03.660 voted for this you better cast the vote
00:44:05.800 the way I wrote it down because I'm going
00:44:07.740 to check no risk debating bills so
00:44:15.200 people are saying that they should be
00:44:16.580 there in person to debate bills well
00:44:19.360 you don't think you can debate in other
00:44:21.840 ways I mean electronic means is fine for
00:44:24.700 that yeah well it looks like I've maybe
00:44:29.880 beaten you down because the objectors
00:44:31.900 seem to have disappeared so Kevin
00:44:34.120 McCarthy GOP leader California guy now I
00:44:38.640 like I like Kevin McCarthy so generally
00:44:41.460 speaking I have all positive opinions of
00:44:43.660 him but he had the weakest argument on
00:44:46.120 this and here it is two points he said
00:44:49.440 Democrats can stay home for the rest of
00:44:51.240 the year but still get paid so he he
00:44:54.020 doesn't like the fact that Democrats
00:44:55.760 would be working from home just a terrible
00:44:59.260 argument yeah we're in a country in
00:45:01.920 which the government is literally asking
00:45:03.920 the citizens to work from home if they
00:45:06.240 can the government is not saying if you
00:45:09.460 work from home and you're still working
00:45:11.340 you shouldn't get paid why why would
00:45:14.460 Congress not get paid if they work for
00:45:16.440 a home like everybody else like you know
00:45:19.560 I want to I want to be on the same side
00:45:21.460 as Kevin McCarthy because I think he's
00:45:24.160 you know good guy and a good politician I
00:45:26.760 want to be on his side but this is just
00:45:28.740 this is so weak this is just the weakest
00:45:32.360 point that you shouldn't get home if you're
00:45:35.060 working you should get paid for working
00:45:36.660 from home when we're all being asked to
00:45:38.740 work from home that's just so weak here's
00:45:42.740 the second point Democrats can hand their
00:45:45.340 power over to someone else Pelosi so she
00:45:48.220 can vote multiple times that's just a
00:45:51.480 mischaracterization of what it is she's
00:45:55.540 not voting multiple times she's voting
00:45:58.980 your vote because you couldn't be there
00:46:01.220 that's completely different that's not even
00:46:04.760 in the same ballpark she's just she's
00:46:08.020 just standing there with like her finger
00:46:09.560 you know and the call comes in I don't
00:46:12.680 know if it's a phone call hey this is
00:46:14.620 a congressman Bob vote yes and then
00:46:18.380 Nancy's finger goes down yes for
00:46:21.160 congressman Bob that's all that's
00:46:23.340 happening and and McCarthy's giving a
00:46:27.500 speech railing against it now if he had
00:46:31.120 said what you had said well you know
00:46:33.800 maybe they can debate better more
00:46:35.480 efficiently in person I'd say well
00:46:36.900 that's an argument at least but it's not
00:46:39.060 much of one because people do business
00:46:41.680 online there's a thing called you know
00:46:44.760 video conferencing so I'm just I'm just
00:46:49.580 blown away about how we can find
00:46:51.860 absolutely freaking anything to complain
00:46:54.500 about if the other team is in favor of
00:46:57.040 it obviously we should have proxy voting
00:46:59.600 during a crisis this is the most cut and
00:47:03.380 dried obviously smart thing to do with
00:47:07.540 anybody who's debating this just doesn't
00:47:09.540 maybe doesn't understand what it is
00:47:12.440 there's no way you would disagree with
00:47:14.040 it if you also knew what it was you'd
00:47:16.920 have to you'd have to be confused about
00:47:19.060 it to disagree with it all right that's
00:47:20.780 enough of that so apparently Trump fired
00:47:24.420 another IG the Steve Linick guy he was an
00:47:28.080 Obama appointee who briefed Congress on
00:47:30.380 Biden Ukraine ties at one point so my
00:47:36.980 only comment on all these personnel
00:47:38.800 things where somebody gets fired you
00:47:41.520 know of course the left will say well
00:47:43.140 you fired him because he was finding bad
00:47:45.480 problems and he would have been a
00:47:47.740 whistleblower not a whistleblower because
00:47:49.600 it was his job to do it and of course
00:47:52.080 the Trump administration will say he was a
00:47:54.500 bad player for whatever reason but here's
00:47:57.960 the thing in this and every other
00:48:00.360 personnel question the one thing you can
00:48:03.400 know for sure is that you don't know the
00:48:05.220 story and this would apply whether it's
00:48:08.260 politics and whether it's somebody Trump
00:48:10.720 is firing or just somebody from your
00:48:12.680 company somebody leaves a company you're
00:48:16.740 going to get two different stories every
00:48:18.180 time most of the time so you're going to
00:48:21.720 get the employer's version which is yeah
00:48:23.740 at the I had to fire Bob Bob was not
00:48:26.160 performing and then you're going to get
00:48:28.100 the employee's version who got fired it's
00:48:30.460 like yeah my my boss is a tyrant he was
00:48:33.780 sexually harassing me you know I mean it's
00:48:36.200 going to be a completely different story
00:48:37.700 so when I see news coverage about a guy
00:48:42.220 who got fired I put it in in that bucket
00:48:45.860 with we don't know anything so everything
00:48:49.280 you should conclude about any one person
00:48:51.680 who gets fired from any administration
00:48:53.060 it's not a Trump thing but from any
00:48:55.080 administration person gets fired you
00:48:58.240 should immediately say to yourself okay
00:48:59.820 here's what I know about that situation
00:49:02.040 nothing nothing I don't know anything
00:49:06.020 about that situation because I haven't
00:49:07.960 heard both sides if you haven't seen
00:49:10.360 both sides you don't know anything so
00:49:14.400 should you be concerned if somebody who is
00:49:17.260 you know digging for dirt on I guess
00:49:19.360 Pompeo or something should you be
00:49:21.440 concerned if somebody like that gets
00:49:23.040 fired yeah yeah I mean it's worth the
00:49:25.460 question you know if anybody's saying
00:49:27.760 should we look into it or see if this is
00:49:30.380 like a good firing or bad firing it's
00:49:32.660 worth looking at you know I would say
00:49:34.840 that transparency requires that we know
00:49:36.940 why it happened but you're probably
00:49:39.060 never going to know why but it's a good
00:49:41.760 red flag all right so those were the main
00:49:46.400 things that I decided to talk about
00:49:49.580 today so there's a rule there's
00:49:54.600 somebody saying that the rules for the
00:49:56.420 proxy vote are there let me put it this
00:49:59.380 way if you've lived in the real world
00:50:01.640 for a while you don't need to go look at
00:50:04.640 what the proxy vote tells you because
00:50:08.320 there really isn't much chance that they
00:50:11.020 would have ever even considered a
00:50:13.400 process where you don't know who voted
00:50:15.960 for what right I refuse to go do
00:50:19.160 research on that question I refuse to
00:50:24.020 research it because I'm pretty sure that
00:50:28.460 the most basic part of voting which is
00:50:30.560 who voted for what is maintained in this
00:50:32.860 proxy system I'm pretty sure you can
00:50:36.160 fact check me on that but I'd put a
00:50:38.540 pretty big bet on that have I watched
00:50:44.020 Bannon's war room I did watch the other
00:50:47.040 day and I have to say it was really well
00:50:49.000 done very well done body language in
00:50:55.420 person could be a key element to
00:50:57.160 persuasion on the house floor well but
00:51:00.360 you don't want it to be if you could
00:51:02.520 reduce the effect of irrational
00:51:06.080 influence such as the effect of
00:51:08.880 somebody's body language or their
00:51:10.620 charisma I don't see what's wrong with
00:51:13.360 that I'd rather they make decisions
00:51:15.520 based on the facts and not be
00:51:16.940 influenced by body language
00:51:18.340 all right do you ever talk about your
00:51:26.120 failed predictions I do I do quite often
00:51:30.040 yeah I'll give you one right now you
00:51:34.180 know but of course whenever you fail a
00:51:35.880 prediction you like to put in the
00:51:37.260 qualifiers there so my initial thoughts
00:51:42.640 about the shutdown was that it wouldn't
00:51:45.060 have any economic effect much and that
00:51:49.160 was based on the fact that they shut
00:51:50.620 down it wouldn't be that long you know
00:51:52.760 when when when we first heard about it
00:51:59.140 I thought oh it could be two weeks but
00:52:01.200 you know they probably told us two
00:52:02.840 weeks but really it's going to be four
00:52:04.460 weeks and then when it turned into four
00:52:06.160 weeks I thought okay that's about what
00:52:07.480 I thought but still four weeks we could
00:52:11.160 have absorbed a four-week shutdown pretty
00:52:14.560 well we would have just snapped back but
00:52:17.680 the longer it goes the more in question
00:52:20.480 and and the the weaker the recovery you
00:52:23.260 would expect so my initial prediction of
00:52:26.580 ah we're gonna snap back from this don't
00:52:28.740 get worried was wrong based on be
00:52:34.360 completely wrong about how long we would
00:52:36.480 be shut down now I did not have a
00:52:38.640 specific prediction of how long we would
00:52:41.940 be shut down but I also didn't see it
00:52:44.360 coming as long as it is like I thought
00:52:47.000 it'd be extended that part that part's just
00:52:49.580 normal business everything gets extended
00:52:51.500 but I didn't think we'd be talking about
00:52:53.560 the summer so that part I would say
00:52:56.220 blindsided me other predictions that I've
00:53:01.080 gotten wrong well maybe you could help me
00:53:02.560 how about people in the comments tell me
00:53:06.620 which oh there's one that I might get
00:53:09.320 wrong which is I still have my bet on
00:53:12.180 Kamala Harris being the de facto nominee
00:53:16.000 by being the vice presidential nominee and
00:53:18.340 then effectively being the top person so I was
00:53:22.640 wrong that she would get the nomination
00:53:24.800 outright so that the Kamala Harris prediction
00:53:29.020 is wrong on the technicality of it getting
00:53:31.900 it outright but in a weird simulation world
00:53:35.020 way it could still turn out to be right in a
00:53:38.420 in a different way than I had predicted
00:53:40.000 originally but I did change my prediction
00:53:42.160 to the the modified she'll get in the other
00:53:44.740 way but you but I have to take the the
00:53:48.060 incorrect prediction for the you know
00:53:50.100 getting the top spot from the beginning
00:53:51.960 other predictions I got wrong
00:53:54.760 maybe you can tell me you were wrong on
00:54:01.280 Warren's chances was I because I didn't
00:54:05.660 think she would win and she didn't how
00:54:08.100 was I wrong I don't know what that was
00:54:10.020 about you yeah I did I wrote a book on my
00:54:14.780 wrong predictions right so so when you watch
00:54:18.460 this you get a little flavor of what it's
00:54:20.700 like to be a celebrity so literally behind
00:54:23.860 me on that shelf is a book that has an
00:54:27.060 entire chapter in it actually there are two
00:54:30.040 of them that well at least one of them one
00:54:32.000 of them has a chapter in it that just
00:54:33.940 lists all my wrong predictions I literally
00:54:36.740 wrote a published book with a chapter of my
00:54:41.240 wrong predictions and what is one of the
00:54:43.140 biggest criticisms I get that I never say
00:54:47.320 I'm wrong right one of the biggest
00:54:50.860 criticisms is I don't admit what my wrong
00:54:53.200 predictions and I've literally published
00:54:55.300 them I talk about them all the time and
00:54:58.840 still it sort of comes with being a you
00:55:01.800 know in the public eye is it doesn't
00:55:03.600 matter what you do if people have it in
00:55:06.100 their mind that you do the other thing it
00:55:08.620 doesn't matter that's not true it's just
00:55:11.120 what people believe my net deaths
00:55:13.900 prediction oh there's a good one now we
00:55:15.840 still don't know the the final outcome
00:55:18.600 but let's let's talk about that so my net
00:55:21.820 deaths prediction was that we would get it
00:55:24.980 down to 5,000 net in other words that we
00:55:28.600 would so many people's lives would be
00:55:30.400 saved by not driving and you know not
00:55:33.500 doing extreme sports and stuff that it
00:55:35.960 would almost entirely compensate for the
00:55:38.420 number of people who died from the
00:55:40.340 coronavirus what's interesting is that we
00:55:43.580 don't know how to count this stuff and
00:55:46.740 that prediction also depended on the
00:55:49.240 length of the the shutdown being limited
00:55:53.060 so the the prediction that we could come
00:55:56.280 out ahead at least in terms of number of
00:55:59.580 people who died or at least get closer to
00:56:02.500 break even not come out ahead was based on
00:56:05.720 the length of time that we're shut down so
00:56:08.860 the longer you go the worse it is of
00:56:11.880 course and and we don't know exactly when
00:56:14.320 stuff is going to end at this point so I
00:56:16.960 would say that if we had stayed if we had
00:56:19.140 stayed closed closed for one month I think
00:56:23.100 that my prediction of net deaths being
00:56:24.920 about 5,000 would have been pretty darn
00:56:28.260 good I think it would have been the best
00:56:30.240 prediction in the country at two months it
00:56:34.800 still could be the closest prediction in
00:56:37.240 the country because the other predictions
00:56:39.840 are you know hundreds of thousands of
00:56:41.420 deaths if it turns out it's you know 50 or
00:56:43.940 60,000 net I'm still going to have the
00:56:47.500 closest prediction in the country even
00:56:50.160 though I'm way off so I'm not even sure I
00:56:52.640 would call mine accurate I probably
00:56:55.340 wouldn't wouldn't call it accurate if I
00:56:57.160 said 5,000 and it turned out to be 60,000
00:56:59.420 but if the next best guess was a few
00:57:03.800 hundred thousand you know at least I
00:57:07.440 missed it by the same amount as other
00:57:08.780 people now the other thing that we found
00:57:12.120 out is that the number of regular flu
00:57:14.280 deaths is just made up we've been
00:57:17.860 comparing the coronavirus to regular flu
00:57:20.320 like ah that regular flu is anywhere from
00:57:23.280 20 to 80,000 a year and it turns out
00:57:26.320 nobody even counts it nobody counts the
00:57:30.040 regular flu deaths you know we have
00:57:33.320 these numbers every year but it's not
00:57:35.400 based on counting it's based on some
00:57:37.440 kind of algorithm where they think well
00:57:39.120 probably about this much that's it it's
00:57:42.720 an algorithm they don't actually count
00:57:45.160 them the number and when somebody looked
00:57:47.520 into this recently a doctor his estimate
00:57:50.880 was that if you did count them you might
00:57:53.460 get a number more like in a few
00:57:55.160 thousand does that make sense to you do
00:57:58.300 you believe that if you counted the
00:57:59.880 regular death flus the regular flu
00:58:02.340 deaths do you think that it would only
00:58:04.280 be a few thousand I do you know why
00:58:08.740 because I don't know anybody who's ever
00:58:11.220 died from the regular flu if if do you
00:58:15.000 think 50,000 a year could die from one
00:58:18.220 cause a regular flu and you wouldn't see
00:58:21.420 it all the time you know people who died
00:58:23.660 from overdoses you know deep people who
00:58:25.560 died from AIDS you know deep people who
00:58:27.560 died in car crashes you know people who
00:58:29.600 died of alcoholism you know people who
00:58:31.660 died of every cause that's in that range
00:58:34.920 you know of that many deaths but you
00:58:37.460 don't know anybody who died of the flu it
00:58:40.160 was all made up the this whole time we
00:58:42.800 were we were comparing these you know
00:58:44.880 60,000 coronavirus deaths you know and
00:58:48.080 climbing now it's over 85 or whatever it
00:58:50.300 is now and we kept saying well that's not
00:58:53.200 that much more than regular flu deaths
00:58:55.660 and there were never regular flu deaths
00:58:58.320 the the most basic piece of data that we
00:59:04.080 used to drive all of our decisions and
00:59:07.400 thinking about this was completely made up
00:59:10.700 and it wasn't made up even in an
00:59:15.160 accurate way in other words it could be a
00:59:17.020 made-up number that was also somewhat
00:59:18.760 accurate you know but it wasn't it was
00:59:22.920 simply not true or even close so yeah it's
00:59:33.540 not like they know how many people get
00:59:34.940 the flu and they certainly don't know
00:59:36.540 how many people died from it all right
00:59:38.840 it's pneumonia not flu well you can shade
00:59:45.620 it that way but the point is we don't
00:59:47.360 count flu deaths and we don't know how
00:59:51.360 many died from it
00:59:52.440 is that to scare us to get the flu vaccine
00:59:58.760 I think it is yes I think the reason that
01:00:01.400 we keep the flu deaths high is almost
01:00:05.520 certainly this is just my assumption
01:00:07.640 based on living in the real world my
01:00:10.160 assumption is it has everything to do
01:00:11.900 with giving people the incentive to get
01:00:14.680 the shot so there you are all right
01:00:18.720 that's all for today and I will talk to
01:00:21.080 you tonight you know when
01:00:23.780 the
01:00:35.760 you
01:00:39.600 you