Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 978 Scott Adams： Proxy Voting Schemes, Trump's Coronavirus Report Card, Biden's Raisin-Brain

00:00:00.800 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, 0.99

00:00:03.340 bum, bum, bum, bum, bum. 0.79

00:00:06.940 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum. 0.97

00:00:11.120 Hey, everybody.

00:00:12.460 Come on in.

00:00:13.920 It's time.

00:00:14.900 Yeah, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:18.180 Boy, did you come to the right place.

00:00:20.860 Imagine if you'd been somewhere else

00:00:23.480 and you wanted Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:25.240 You wouldn't get it.

00:00:26.220 No, you'd get that here.

00:00:28.180 the good place and all you need to enjoy this incredible incredible morning doesn't take much

00:00:37.540 not much at all just a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or tiny canteen jug or flask

00:00:43.420 a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:00:50.860 dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better including the damn pandemic

00:00:55.880 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:00.260 yep i can feel my natural interferon kicking in i got a hydroxychloroquine in me

00:01:15.560 just naturally i didn't even take any pills i just produce it from my own biological factory

00:01:23.460 not really none of that's true let's talk about what is let's talk about things that are true

00:01:29.760 okay so i've decided that rather than annoy you continuously about the fact that i've got

00:01:41.340 content over on the locals platform i'll try to tell you packaging it with something useful

00:01:46.980 so rather than give you something that sounds like a just a commercial i'll try to tell you

00:01:53.600 something useful and if that tells you something else that's cool too i talk about uh the importance

00:02:00.180 of friction and how just a little bit of friction might not change your mind at the moment but over

00:02:08.280 time friction will wear you down i talked about that with let's say watching television just the act

00:02:15.340 of finding your remote control turning on the television finding a channel do i want netflix there's so

00:02:22.120 much friction now to just watching television that i've completely stopped doing it i still i still look

00:02:29.480 for shows but i never really find them and watch them last night for example christine and i tried to

00:02:39.980 watch uh the joker now neither of us have watched a complete movie and i don't know ever i i don't

00:02:49.160 know if the two of us have ever watched a complete movie because we don't have that kind of attention

00:02:54.080 span and i thought to myself all right neither of us ever want to watch a movie again like literally

00:03:00.280 if i never watched another movie for the rest of my life i'd be fine with that i just don't know how

00:03:06.780 anybody spends two and a half hours doing one thing it just doesn't seem like a like a thing

00:03:12.100 you do anymore but we thought all right everybody's talking about this joker movie we're going to watch

00:03:18.240 it so christina comes over and uh you know we make some popcorn and it's one of those days half the

00:03:25.480 popcorn falls on the floor and we're like all right man it's just so hard to watch a movie it's like

00:03:31.140 preparation and planning and you got to get two people in the same place that's the other thing

00:03:36.580 nobody likes to watch a movie at the same time in the old days you know you're laying you're sitting

00:03:42.660 around the living room anyway there's nothing going on so you're watching whatever's on but today try to

00:03:47.380 get two people who want to watch the same movie at the same time it's kind of hard nobody nobody's

00:03:53.260 quite on you know everybody's got their own thing to do so we finally find the time we get together

00:03:59.080 we've got our popcorn that you know whatever's left that didn't fall on the floor we sit down and we

00:04:04.980 turn it on and we get into it and then i realize i swear i swear this happened sounds like i'm making

00:04:11.080 it up we get into the movie and i look at my uh i look at my watch and i'm thinking wait a minute

00:04:21.140 how long is a movie and i realized i didn't have time for a movie because i was going to do my evening

00:04:28.620 periscope and we'd start at around 5 30 or something so like i i've watched so few movies

00:04:35.920 that i'd somehow lost the idea that you needed to like allocate all this time to do nothing but watch

00:04:42.360 a movie and i couldn't i couldn't i couldn't justify it so we watched half of it and then i went and did

00:04:50.360 my periscope now we plan to watch the other half but i would say no more than 50 chance that we'll

00:05:00.340 ever find the time we'll still be interested probably never watch the other half so anyway

00:05:07.660 so that's the point of friction but let me take that to the point i wanted to make which is every

00:05:12.720 time i go on twitter uh which is all day long i get two feelings one is i get these dopamine hits

00:05:21.700 when people you know like or retweet me so i'm getting like dopamine hit dopamine hit dopamine hit

00:05:27.740 but i'm also getting trolled continuously and it's like anti-dopamine anti-dopamine now sometimes i like

00:05:35.100 i do enjoy the you know the back and forth and the the wrestling with the trolls so it's not that i

00:05:41.620 don't enjoy the fight but it's just sort of always there troll troll friction friction so twitter is

00:05:49.860 sort of this half friction half dopamine situation but the dopamine is so good that i'm completely

00:05:56.540 addicted and you know the big story about social media is it's designed for addiction

00:06:03.140 now i took i took that mindset over to locals locals.com where i have some uh extra content

00:06:13.020 the the stuff that would be a little more provocative or just doesn't fit with this stuff

00:06:18.940 so it's an extension of what what you see with some extra stuff and uh there are a number of benefits

00:06:26.080 over there the biggest benefit i completely didn't see coming which is that there are no trolls

00:06:32.180 because it's a subscription service so nobody no troll is going to pay money

00:06:37.500 just to be part of a subscription to give me a hard time

00:06:41.560 so when i go over to locals i'm like oh feels good feels good dopamine hit dopamine hit dopamine hit

00:06:49.160 and then i'm waiting for the bad part and it doesn't happen

00:06:53.220 because there's not a single troll on there

00:06:55.800 so i got like a thousand people who signed up who just have good intentions

00:07:00.380 and i thought i didn't see that coming

00:07:04.420 so here's the the larger story if you're trying to predict

00:07:09.600 the future of any service especially an online service

00:07:13.960 you don't want to look for just the utility

00:07:16.540 because the utility will tell you something it's like oh yeah

00:07:20.120 it has these features it'll let you do this oh it's it's cheaper it's faster

00:07:26.080 those will tell you a lot but if you really want to know what's going to happen

00:07:30.720 you got to look at the dopamine

00:07:32.460 and uh i think i think uh dave rubin has hit on a dopamine goldmine

00:07:40.360 because i didn't know you could have only dopamine without trolls

00:07:44.920 until i experienced that i don't know just never occurred to me that that was an option

00:07:50.060 so for from just the perspective of the uh creators

00:07:55.720 it's it's pretty addictive already i'm spent i'm spending as much time there as i am on twitter

00:08:01.720 just because i like the the dopamine

00:08:04.060 all right let's talk about uh congress

00:08:06.820 they uh is it ironic that congress is wearing masks now

00:08:12.700 because it's the one group of people who should be ashamed to show their face to the public

00:08:18.340 and they're robbing us

00:08:20.680 two good reasons to wear masks

00:08:24.040 i feel as though after the coronavirus has passed

00:08:27.540 that congress should just keep wearing masks

00:08:30.300 because if you're going to rob us

00:08:32.280 and you should be ashamed to show your face

00:08:34.880 mask it up

00:08:37.160 so the president tweeted uh this

00:08:42.320 i think it was this morning

00:08:44.180 he says we've done a great job on covid response

00:08:47.620 making all governors look good

00:08:49.820 some fantastic and that's okay

00:08:52.240 but the lamestream media doesn't want to go with that narrative

00:08:55.840 and the do nothing dems talking point

00:08:58.340 is to say only bad things about trump

00:09:00.800 i made everybody look good but me

00:09:03.320 so i saw that

00:09:05.200 and you know

00:09:05.660 it's a sort of

00:09:07.840 classic

00:09:08.880 trumpian

00:09:10.040 tweet right

00:09:11.660 you know

00:09:12.860 complaining that he's not being

00:09:14.320 given the credit that he deserves

00:09:16.800 etc

00:09:17.280 and i thought to myself

00:09:19.260 i'm going to fact check that

00:09:20.600 i mean

00:09:21.460 it's an opinion

00:09:22.240 so

00:09:22.860 you can't really fact check an opinion

00:09:24.940 but i'll add my opinion

00:09:26.080 and so i fact checked it as true

00:09:28.700 here's what i said i'll add to it

00:09:32.400 so you can complain about all the chaos

00:09:34.680 right

00:09:35.560 so you see the critic saying

00:09:37.280 there was chaos

00:09:38.720 chaos

00:09:39.600 chaos

00:09:40.100 do you think that that's true

00:09:42.460 that there was chaos

00:09:44.740 in terms of who does what

00:09:46.800 and coordinating

00:09:47.460 and i would say

00:09:48.800 of course

00:09:49.960 of course that would be true

00:09:52.400 it's a crisis

00:09:54.140 if you don't have

00:09:55.840 chaos

00:09:57.020 in the beginning of a crisis

00:09:58.680 well then i don't think you know what crisis means

00:10:02.220 it's not really a crisis if you're all ready for it

00:10:05.460 you know

00:10:06.260 part of

00:10:06.860 being a crisis

00:10:08.100 is that you're struggling to get a response

00:10:10.400 so is it a criticism

00:10:12.320 that this government

00:10:14.000 or any other

00:10:15.080 had some chaos

00:10:17.260 at the beginning of a crisis

00:10:20.080 and i would say

00:10:21.460 that just seems so normal

00:10:23.320 how would you hold that against anybody

00:10:25.920 if this were the obama administration

00:10:28.300 and i'd heard they had chaos

00:10:30.440 as they're trying to figure it out

00:10:32.660 i don't think i'd hold that against them

00:10:34.580 i wouldn't hold it against anybody

00:10:36.540 i'd just say

00:10:37.840 chaos is sort of what you're going to get

00:10:40.860 right

00:10:41.620 so i don't think that criticism holds

00:10:45.020 unless that chaos

00:10:46.740 translated into a lack of performance

00:10:49.080 that we can observe

00:10:50.640 so what would be that lack of performance

00:10:53.560 so if you're to list all the things that

00:10:56.300 the president is criticized for

00:10:58.220 well first is that

00:10:59.860 testing fiasco

00:11:01.260 there were some test kits

00:11:03.000 was it the cdc

00:11:04.200 that had invalid test kits

00:11:06.280 and that set us back a while

00:11:07.540 but

00:11:08.860 was that the president's job

00:11:11.240 do you think the president

00:11:13.040 on his list of things to do

00:11:14.580 was eh

00:11:15.160 just in case

00:11:16.620 i better make sure that the cdc

00:11:18.920 test kits for coronavirus

00:11:20.500 are accurate

00:11:21.480 no of course not

00:11:23.120 of course not

00:11:24.420 now of course the boss

00:11:26.760 has to take responsibility

00:11:28.180 i'm not arguing that

00:11:30.080 but if we're being

00:11:32.340 you know

00:11:32.900 rational about it

00:11:34.580 it's not like the president

00:11:36.140 had much to do

00:11:37.340 with the quality

00:11:38.260 of the

00:11:38.900 the test kits

00:11:40.060 the cdc

00:11:41.540 so yes

00:11:42.560 that's a valid

00:11:43.320 complaint about a real thing

00:11:45.660 but that doesn't really get to the president's performance

00:11:49.200 what about

00:11:51.540 closing of the

00:11:53.860 travel from china

00:11:55.780 a plus

00:11:57.280 right

00:11:58.020 you

00:11:58.560 you know

00:11:59.140 you'll get tired of hearing the president

00:12:01.640 brag about this

00:12:03.260 but man

00:12:04.380 that's valid

00:12:05.300 he is completely right

00:12:07.900 that he went against the grain

00:12:10.240 against the professionals

00:12:11.340 and called it right

00:12:12.420 that

00:12:13.320 there's probably

00:12:14.180 i don't know if you could find a finer

00:12:16.760 example of

00:12:18.700 like pure leadership

00:12:20.180 than when he closed the airports early

00:12:23.120 i don't know that he'll ever get as much credit as he deserves for that

00:12:27.260 that that was literally

00:12:28.960 pure leadership

00:12:30.680 because even the experts said no

00:12:32.740 and he looked at the larger picture

00:12:35.340 the bigger risk management of it

00:12:37.160 he said yeah

00:12:38.260 they're going to call me a racist

00:12:39.400 yes this could turn out bad for me

00:12:41.960 still made the right call

00:12:44.020 he made the right call

00:12:45.920 and he made it

00:12:47.360 you know

00:12:48.360 looking at

00:12:48.960 the right risk management

00:12:50.520 it wasn't lock

00:12:51.580 he didn't get it right by lock

00:12:53.580 it was just the right call

00:12:54.880 and then of course

00:12:58.160 he brags about the ventilators

00:12:59.380 we all have a question

00:13:00.400 of whether the ventilators

00:13:02.340 are killing more people than they're saving

00:13:04.340 i think that's a good question

00:13:06.280 maybe it depends how you use them etc

00:13:08.340 but

00:13:09.600 nonetheless it is true

00:13:11.440 that the federal government was tasked

00:13:13.540 with getting all this ppe and ventilators together

00:13:17.120 has one person died

00:13:19.880 because of the lack of the ventilators

00:13:22.920 no

00:13:23.720 not one person has died

00:13:25.860 so

00:13:26.760 in the context of an emergency

00:13:28.600 if you meet the objective

00:13:30.840 get enough ventilators

00:13:32.360 i think that's just got to be pass fail

00:13:34.860 because it's not like anybody says

00:13:37.480 well what was the best way to do it

00:13:39.300 it's an emergency

00:13:40.360 you either get the ventilators or you don't

00:13:43.040 the government got them

00:13:45.220 it's pretty impressive

00:13:46.380 very impressive

00:13:47.440 the way they worked with private industry etc

00:13:50.340 now on the ppe

00:13:52.180 what can you do

00:13:53.600 was there something that the federal government

00:13:56.180 could have done more of

00:13:57.940 could they have been more prepared

00:14:00.440 well here's where you get to the supply chain problem

00:14:03.420 which really

00:14:04.680 i think legitimately

00:14:06.080 you could call obama's mess

00:14:08.020 that the trump administration is cleaning up

00:14:11.020 using you know

00:14:12.340 kaylee mcadeney's framing

00:14:14.160 of cleaning up the obama mess

00:14:16.320 which politically is really good framing

00:14:18.340 it is true

00:14:20.940 that the nature of the supply chain

00:14:22.940 caused us to have

00:14:25.100 inability to get everything we wanted

00:14:27.260 domestically

00:14:27.900 because you have to depend on other countries

00:14:29.880 so is that something that the president

00:14:32.200 is going to fix

00:14:33.280 probably

00:14:34.000 probably

00:14:35.660 you know

00:14:37.840 i'm going to

00:14:38.460 i'm going to just delete you 0.81

00:14:39.540 i'm going to block you for saying

00:14:40.880 that i have a crush on

00:14:41.920 on kaylee

00:14:42.520 that's

00:14:43.240 that's just so inappropriate

00:14:44.360 you know

00:14:47.440 here's the deal

00:14:48.260 i'm going to say good things about males

00:14:50.100 i'm going to say good things about females 1.00

00:14:51.780 the moment i see that

00:14:53.560 oh you're a love other

00:14:54.600 you love aosie

00:14:55.900 or whatever

00:14:56.800 there just exist people

00:14:59.160 who look different

00:15:00.660 all over the place

00:15:01.560 some of them do good jobs

00:15:03.360 some of them don't do good jobs

00:15:05.000 if i say somebody did a good job

00:15:06.940 it's not because i want to fuck them 0.85

00:15:08.340 okay

00:15:09.240 it's because they did a good job

00:15:11.500 so i'm just going to block people for that comment

00:15:14.820 i just don't need any of that

00:15:15.960 all right

00:15:16.860 um

00:15:17.420 do i seem prickly this morning

00:15:20.760 do i seem quick to anger

00:15:24.800 i think it's taking a toll on all of us

00:15:29.080 all right so

00:15:30.360 finishing up on my report card for the president

00:15:32.660 his

00:15:33.400 his summary of it

00:15:34.480 is that he makes the governors look good

00:15:36.700 i feel like that's as true

00:15:39.280 i feel like that's as true

00:15:41.660 as a statement as you could make

00:15:43.260 wouldn't you

00:15:44.600 even if you're hard on the president

00:15:47.560 wouldn't you say it's true that the federal government

00:15:51.040 met its objective

00:15:53.340 of giving the states what they need

00:15:55.980 and

00:15:57.640 um

00:15:58.720 and making the states look good

00:16:01.700 i think actually the

00:16:03.540 i think the president

00:16:05.100 has a completely

00:16:06.720 legitimate claim that he's making the governors look good

00:16:10.240 so i'm going to say

00:16:12.040 you know i i told you

00:16:13.400 from the very beginning

00:16:14.740 um

00:16:16.140 i'm not going to be very critical

00:16:17.900 of any of the governors

00:16:20.100 no matter their party

00:16:21.760 nor will i be very critical

00:16:23.780 of the federal government

00:16:25.140 and trump

00:16:26.060 as long as they're doing

00:16:27.720 quickly correcting things they get wrong

00:16:29.820 because the idea is that nobody knew the right thing to do

00:16:33.000 nobody knew

00:16:34.720 when to do it

00:16:36.060 nobody knew what to do

00:16:37.300 it was really a lot of guessing

00:16:39.260 so in the context of a lot of guessing

00:16:42.400 and we're still guessing right

00:16:44.000 the states are doing their own thing

00:16:45.440 because they're sort of guessing

00:16:46.440 in the context of guessing

00:16:48.540 the only way to

00:16:50.100 grade somebody

00:16:51.880 is to see if they guess wrong

00:16:54.500 do they quickly correct

00:16:55.780 and that's the only standard i would put on this

00:16:58.260 and i would say that

00:16:59.680 that the people who are sort of

00:17:02.220 testing that standard

00:17:03.860 would be for example

00:17:05.500 some of the governors who are

00:17:07.040 i don't know

00:17:07.960 banning going to the beach

00:17:09.300 and and some of the things

00:17:10.400 that seem more obviously

00:17:11.600 you know

00:17:12.860 obviously not a problem

00:17:14.260 so i think they're

00:17:15.680 they're sort of pushing that

00:17:17.100 but

00:17:18.080 but even then

00:17:19.420 it's sort of minor

00:17:20.800 and it's only a few weeks

00:17:21.920 so i'm not gonna

00:17:22.900 i'm not gonna worry too much

00:17:24.000 about going to the beach

00:17:24.920 for a few weeks

00:17:25.680 if it turns out to be

00:17:27.180 that sort of thing

00:17:27.940 so i'm gonna fact check

00:17:30.520 the president true

00:17:31.500 i believe

00:17:32.340 and i would say

00:17:33.420 i would tell you

00:17:34.020 i think i would tell you

00:17:35.500 if there was something that

00:17:36.480 he had totally screwed up on this

00:17:38.780 well i will tell you

00:17:39.700 i would say that the press conferences

00:17:41.780 were inelegant

00:17:43.960 and in some ways

00:17:45.600 he allowed the critics

00:17:47.220 to make more of them

00:17:48.160 than they could

00:17:48.840 probably talked about himself too much

00:17:51.420 but it's an election season

00:17:52.900 how big a deal is that

00:17:54.140 i don't know

00:17:55.080 seems normal

00:17:55.740 so you know

00:17:57.240 i've criticized him

00:17:58.500 on the communication part

00:18:00.060 but not on the performance

00:18:02.360 on the performance

00:18:04.280 it's solid

00:18:06.140 in my opinion

00:18:07.380 and i would say the same

00:18:08.600 about the governors

00:18:09.400 both blue and red

00:18:11.760 you know

00:18:12.660 Andrew Cuomo

00:18:14.160 is getting

00:18:14.820 a lot of heat

00:18:16.280 about returning

00:18:17.300 returning the nursing home patients

00:18:19.920 which

00:18:20.300 which may have killed

00:18:21.460 you know thousands

00:18:22.660 right

00:18:23.620 but

00:18:24.920 and that will be

00:18:25.860 a really good edge case

00:18:27.260 because first of all

00:18:28.600 i don't know that the governor

00:18:29.960 knew he was doing that

00:18:31.280 so i have some questions

00:18:32.560 about what he knew

00:18:33.340 i also don't know

00:18:34.800 what professionals

00:18:35.760 had advised him

00:18:36.900 um

00:18:38.140 yeah

00:18:38.780 Andrew Cuomo

00:18:39.480 uh

00:18:40.360 Governor Cuomo

00:18:41.060 so

00:18:41.900 uh

00:18:43.240 if it turned out

00:18:45.520 the experts

00:18:46.660 told Cuomo

00:18:48.340 yeah yeah

00:18:49.300 you can send them back

00:18:50.540 it'll be fine

00:18:52.080 or if he didn't know

00:18:53.580 what was happening

00:18:54.180 maybe he signed something

00:18:55.320 and just wasn't aware

00:18:56.260 maybe he should have been

00:18:57.640 i've got to

00:18:58.820 i don't know how much

00:18:59.920 that's the governor's fault

00:19:01.600 i feel like there were underlings

00:19:04.720 who did some things

00:19:06.820 now of course

00:19:07.380 like i said before

00:19:09.120 it doesn't matter

00:19:10.220 if Andrew Cuomo

00:19:11.060 knew about it

00:19:12.100 he's still the boss

00:19:13.800 right

00:19:14.740 he still gets the blame

00:19:16.600 he still gets the credit

00:19:17.740 even if he didn't know

00:19:18.640 any of it was happening

00:19:19.480 that's just the way

00:19:20.180 the system works

00:19:20.940 so

00:19:22.120 i'm going to be

00:19:23.820 soft on grading

00:19:25.500 everybody who screws up

00:19:27.120 because i just don't think

00:19:28.780 there were other options

00:19:29.840 um

00:19:31.280 on Tucker Carlson's show

00:19:34.620 last night

00:19:35.260 as part of a segment

00:19:36.900 he showed an old clip

00:19:38.140 of Joe Biden

00:19:39.000 uh

00:19:40.280 next to a new clip

00:19:41.680 of Joe Biden

00:19:42.460 wow

00:19:44.400 have you seen that

00:19:46.660 have you seen the clips

00:19:48.180 together

00:19:48.580 look at Joe Biden

00:19:50.040 15 years ago

00:19:51.180 he's totally on his game

00:19:53.260 you know

00:19:54.440 he's just totally

00:19:55.320 in control

00:19:56.060 intellectually

00:19:57.620 he looks completely there

00:19:59.000 and then

00:20:00.120 and then you go

00:20:00.900 to modern day

00:20:01.820 when you see

00:20:03.080 the contrast

00:20:03.980 ugh

00:20:04.660 the contrast

00:20:06.120 tells you

00:20:06.920 that he's lost

00:20:07.960 something

00:20:08.500 and it should

00:20:10.080 make you wonder

00:20:10.800 how quickly

00:20:11.480 it's going

00:20:12.140 uh

00:20:13.240 which is the smart

00:20:14.160 question right

00:20:14.800 but it's unambiguous

00:20:16.520 if you see the early clips

00:20:18.200 the contrast

00:20:19.240 just jumps out

00:20:20.560 whereas just seeing

00:20:21.980 him out of context

00:20:22.720 you could say to yourself

00:20:23.600 i don't know

00:20:24.120 is it that different

00:20:25.360 than it used to be

00:20:26.140 maybe he always used to

00:20:27.400 you know

00:20:28.100 get words wrong

00:20:29.020 not really

00:20:30.360 not really

00:20:31.640 when you see

00:20:32.580 his younger self

00:20:33.520 he's mentally

00:20:34.660 quite quick

00:20:35.500 if i would

00:20:37.080 you know

00:20:37.460 he was a lawyer right

00:20:38.400 so

00:20:39.220 you see him talking

00:20:40.400 in his younger self

00:20:41.620 and you say

00:20:42.220 okay

00:20:42.500 that's

00:20:42.880 that's 100% there

00:20:44.200 he may

00:20:45.080 he may have

00:20:45.700 had his

00:20:46.200 other issues

00:20:47.200 when he was younger

00:20:47.940 but it wasn't

00:20:49.200 mental clarity

00:20:50.040 because that looks

00:20:51.300 like it's there

00:20:51.940 today

00:20:53.480 not so much

00:20:54.380 now

00:20:56.560 the interesting thing

00:20:57.960 is i don't know

00:20:58.560 if the trump campaign

00:20:59.900 would want to take

00:21:00.920 advantage of that

00:21:01.660 contrast

00:21:02.340 because there's

00:21:03.360 a trap there

00:21:04.160 the obvious trap

00:21:05.900 is that somebody's

00:21:06.760 going to take

00:21:07.320 old trump videos

00:21:09.040 where he also

00:21:10.340 talked very differently

00:21:11.500 but here's the thing

00:21:13.420 have you ever seen

00:21:14.960 that

00:21:15.140 have you ever seen

00:21:15.820 you know

00:21:16.520 young trump

00:21:17.380 videos recently

00:21:18.660 and compare it

00:21:19.900 to current day

00:21:20.740 trump

00:21:21.060 very different

00:21:22.260 aren't they

00:21:22.680 very different

00:21:24.240 but here's the thing

00:21:25.680 the old

00:21:28.180 trump style

00:21:29.160 was a little

00:21:30.320 more verbal

00:21:31.060 a little more

00:21:31.980 urbane

00:21:32.560 maybe a little

00:21:33.580 more

00:21:33.960 a little more

00:21:35.480 sophisticated

00:21:36.200 shall we say

00:21:37.020 but that wouldn't

00:21:39.500 work for politics

00:21:40.560 so here's the

00:21:42.020 difference

00:21:42.440 the trump

00:21:43.740 speaking style

00:21:44.900 evolved to a

00:21:46.660 better one

00:21:47.180 for politics

00:21:48.360 he simplified

00:21:49.540 he repeats

00:21:50.580 he just kept

00:21:51.680 everything simple

00:21:52.460 he took the

00:21:53.080 vocabulary down

00:21:54.160 and i find

00:21:56.040 his speaking

00:21:56.600 style

00:21:56.920 i wrote a book

00:21:58.380 about it

00:21:58.820 i find his

00:21:59.860 current style

00:22:01.240 of communicating

00:22:02.120 super effective

00:22:04.700 i mean there's

00:22:05.400 a reason that

00:22:06.080 i don't know

00:22:06.560 95% of

00:22:07.460 conservatives

00:22:08.020 approve of him

00:22:09.260 you don't really

00:22:10.440 get approval

00:22:10.960 from the other

00:22:11.540 side of the

00:22:12.160 political world

00:22:13.000 these days

00:22:13.460 that's not an

00:22:14.340 option

00:22:14.600 but if you can

00:22:15.560 get 95% of

00:22:16.660 your own people

00:22:17.220 to like you

00:22:17.820 you're pretty

00:22:19.660 persuasive

00:22:20.240 so you'd have to

00:22:21.380 say that

00:22:21.880 trump's speaking

00:22:23.020 style also

00:22:23.860 evolved

00:22:24.560 but it evolved

00:22:25.640 in the opposite

00:22:26.380 way of biden

00:22:27.120 biden started

00:22:28.040 down strong

00:22:28.720 and he's turned

00:22:29.280 into a raisin

00:22:31.180 brain

00:22:31.500 i'd just like to

00:22:32.720 imagine a raisin

00:22:33.560 inside his skull

00:22:34.300 because there's

00:22:34.720 not much there

00:22:35.320 and but trump

00:22:37.380 has evolved from

00:22:38.360 more of an

00:22:39.320 urbane

00:22:39.900 you know

00:22:40.320 kind of a

00:22:40.980 jet setter

00:22:42.100 playboy

00:22:42.680 kind of a

00:22:43.380 vibe

00:22:43.780 which no way

00:22:45.240 you can't get

00:22:46.180 elected with that

00:22:47.060 you know

00:22:48.420 there's no way

00:22:48.960 he would have

00:22:49.340 been elected

00:22:49.860 if he continued

00:22:51.060 to communicate

00:22:52.140 the way he used

00:22:52.840 to

00:22:53.040 but now he's

00:22:54.100 got this

00:22:54.620 this effective

00:22:56.020 way he does

00:22:56.740 it

00:22:56.960 simplifying

00:22:58.220 etc

00:22:58.680 it's very good

00:23:00.280 so but still

00:23:01.880 they probably

00:23:02.260 don't want to

00:23:02.720 show the

00:23:02.980 contrast

00:23:03.460 because it

00:23:03.820 would show

00:23:04.220 trump also

00:23:05.820 simplifying his

00:23:06.860 communication

00:23:07.460 i've got a

00:23:09.120 question for

00:23:09.580 you

00:23:09.800 how long

00:23:11.060 will it be

00:23:11.560 before we

00:23:12.140 start lumping

00:23:14.080 together the

00:23:15.400 various people

00:23:16.260 who are in the

00:23:17.280 at risk for the

00:23:18.840 coronavirus category

00:23:20.720 so here are the

00:23:22.200 people that we

00:23:23.000 know to be at

00:23:23.860 risk

00:23:24.220 so senior

00:23:26.220 citizens

00:23:26.680 the obese

00:23:27.640 diabetics

00:23:29.040 and african

00:23:29.920 americans

00:23:30.400 in particular

00:23:31.140 so those are

00:23:32.020 the ones who

00:23:33.260 are getting hit

00:23:33.840 the hardest

00:23:34.560 now you can

00:23:35.500 say men

00:23:36.060 in general

00:23:36.560 too

00:23:36.900 but that

00:23:37.740 would ruin

00:23:38.220 my

00:23:38.520 ruin the

00:23:39.460 thing i'm

00:23:39.780 going to

00:23:39.920 say next

00:23:40.440 which is

00:23:42.520 one of the

00:23:44.440 benefits of

00:23:45.460 of lumping

00:23:46.840 the lgbtq

00:23:48.500 community

00:23:49.020 together

00:23:49.540 is that there

00:23:50.520 were reasons

00:23:51.240 to talk to

00:23:51.960 them as a

00:23:52.900 as a group

00:23:53.980 in terms of

00:23:55.360 equal rights

00:23:56.140 and discrimination

00:23:56.940 and stuff

00:23:57.420 so sometimes

00:23:58.720 it's good to

00:23:59.580 say all right

00:24:00.340 there are several

00:24:00.980 distinct individual

00:24:02.280 types you know

00:24:03.680 a lesbian is not 1.00

00:24:04.640 a gay man

00:24:05.220 is not a

00:24:05.800 you know

00:24:06.360 trans

00:24:06.760 but they had

00:24:09.200 something in

00:24:09.880 common which

00:24:10.960 is the way

00:24:11.400 society treated

00:24:12.320 them so

00:24:13.780 so lumping

00:24:14.600 them together

00:24:15.140 for political

00:24:16.400 purposes and

00:24:17.340 other conversation

00:24:18.200 was it was a

00:24:19.560 useful thing to

00:24:20.280 do even though

00:24:21.320 nobody in the

00:24:22.300 group is the

00:24:22.840 same as anybody

00:24:23.380 else in the

00:24:23.860 group

00:24:24.120 likewise with

00:24:27.140 the people who

00:24:27.760 are you know

00:24:30.440 susceptible to

00:24:31.120 the coronavirus

00:24:31.700 more susceptible

00:24:32.480 if you put them

00:24:33.860 together in this

00:24:34.520 order seniors

00:24:35.380 obese diabetic

00:24:37.060 african-america

00:24:38.080 it spells soda

00:24:39.340 s-o-d-a 1.00

00:24:41.540 soda

00:24:42.300 so I'll just

00:24:44.460 put this out

00:24:45.040 there for fun

00:24:45.680 can we call

00:24:46.980 them the soda

00:24:47.760 community

00:24:48.380 now it's sort

00:24:50.220 of a double

00:24:50.880 entend because

00:24:52.140 if you've got

00:24:54.380 a if you've got

00:24:55.040 a weight problem

00:24:55.660 maybe you're

00:24:56.100 drinking too much

00:24:56.680 soda if you're

00:24:58.300 diabetic maybe

00:24:59.800 too much soda

00:25:00.420 but probably

00:25:02.700 not if you're

00:25:03.280 diabetic I

00:25:04.080 imagine you

00:25:04.560 stay away from

00:25:05.080 the soda

00:25:05.400 but can we

00:25:07.560 call them the

00:25:08.180 soda community

00:25:09.260 somebody says

00:25:13.560 bad optics

00:25:14.280 well here's the

00:25:15.200 thing the the

00:25:16.660 first go at

00:25:18.080 this I had I

00:25:19.620 was using you

00:25:20.560 know different

00:25:22.120 words for the

00:25:22.860 same thing and

00:25:23.940 I wasn't liking

00:25:24.660 my acronym so I

00:25:25.520 finally got it to

00:25:26.120 soda and well

00:25:29.520 somebody's putting

00:25:30.120 soda with two

00:25:31.020 a's I think

00:25:31.820 you only need

00:25:32.240 one a for

00:25:32.880 african-american

00:25:33.840 right if you're

00:25:34.860 abbreviating it

00:25:35.880 just one a

00:25:37.340 I'm just looking

00:25:39.540 at your comments

00:25:40.260 yeah I oh

00:25:44.720 actually you're

00:25:45.240 right if I'd

00:25:46.220 added men the

00:25:47.800 reason I didn't

00:25:48.480 is because it

00:25:49.100 would be sodom

00:25:49.880 s-o-d-a-m 1.00

00:25:51.740 somebody said in

00:25:53.540 the comments but

00:25:54.300 that actually was

00:25:55.460 a literally my

00:25:57.140 thought when I

00:25:58.060 decided to get

00:25:59.220 rid of the

00:25:59.720 m all right

00:26:00.780 so the trouble

00:26:02.880 is I don't know

00:26:04.020 that we can have

00:26:05.120 a process that

00:26:06.320 doesn't discriminate 0.99

00:26:07.240 against these

00:26:09.220 four classes or

00:26:10.780 four groups of

00:26:11.420 people because

00:26:12.360 these are these

00:26:13.540 are groups that

00:26:14.140 can be discriminated

00:26:15.300 against right

00:26:16.680 you there's age

00:26:17.980 discrimination

00:26:18.620 there's you know

00:26:20.180 there's fat

00:26:20.760 shaming

00:26:21.080 discrimination

00:26:21.760 there's a health

00:26:23.240 related discrimination

00:26:24.400 of course african-american

00:26:25.840 discrimination so

00:26:27.400 the soda group is

00:26:29.780 a group that even

00:26:30.540 if we were not

00:26:31.160 talking about the

00:26:31.820 coronavirus they

00:26:34.020 would be a fairly

00:26:35.380 let's say a group

00:26:38.320 that knows

00:26:39.660 discrimination so

00:26:42.100 somehow it feels

00:26:42.960 important here's a

00:26:44.460 weird thing that's

00:26:45.120 happening because of

00:26:45.900 the coronavirus and

00:26:48.440 let me ask you in

00:26:49.120 the comments have

00:26:50.680 any of you found a

00:26:51.620 way to make more

00:26:52.360 money so it'll take

00:26:55.300 a while for the

00:26:55.760 comments to catch

00:26:56.460 up but I'm very

00:26:57.020 interested is there

00:26:58.220 anybody here or

00:26:59.080 maybe you know

00:26:59.580 somebody who found

00:27:01.040 a way to make more

00:27:01.920 money because of the

00:27:03.480 coronavirus because I'm

00:27:05.460 seeing this happening

00:27:06.460 and and I think the

00:27:08.600 crisis sort of divided

00:27:10.680 the world into two

00:27:11.720 parts everything's

00:27:13.780 divided into two parts

00:27:14.860 right there were the

00:27:16.060 entrepreneurs who got

00:27:17.240 excited because

00:27:18.700 everything was shaken

00:27:19.880 up and when you shake

00:27:21.600 up everything entrepreneurs

00:27:23.420 go oh there's

00:27:24.920 something here for me

00:27:25.780 somebody shook the

00:27:27.760 box there's going to

00:27:29.440 be an opportunity here

00:27:30.620 and then a bunch of

00:27:31.500 people went out and

00:27:32.780 they they became like

00:27:33.880 PPE experts and

00:27:36.140 brokers and their

00:27:37.200 people spun up

00:27:38.600 factories people

00:27:39.760 started new jobs

00:27:40.860 I'm looking at your

00:27:42.340 comments now so

00:27:43.660 obviously most people

00:27:45.680 made less money so I

00:27:48.240 understand that but

00:27:49.680 look at the number of

00:27:50.460 yeses look at the

00:27:57.400 comments if you can't

00:27:58.840 see them if you're

00:27:59.500 listening to this I'll

00:28:00.520 I'll tell you that

00:28:01.340 something like 25% of

00:28:04.760 them are saying that

00:28:05.680 they're making more

00:28:06.460 money so there are

00:28:08.180 people who have found

00:28:08.800 these weird little

00:28:09.500 opportunities and this

00:28:12.640 has happened to me

00:28:13.640 accidentally overall I'll

00:28:15.560 be way down because

00:28:16.720 newspapers are going to

00:28:17.680 go out of business that's

00:28:19.040 my main income so my

00:28:20.560 main income is going

00:28:23.380 to get blown up this

00:28:24.580 year so I may I may

00:28:27.280 be looking for a new

00:28:28.020 job but seriously I

00:28:30.600 might be looking for a

00:28:31.580 new job but several

00:28:34.740 little weird things got

00:28:36.220 better I had it I had

00:28:38.060 a small investment in

00:28:39.340 this company called

00:28:40.260 click and grow just

00:28:42.380 very small investment

00:28:43.340 and what they do is

00:28:45.160 these little tabletop

00:28:46.300 vegetable gardens you

00:28:49.180 know that has its own

00:28:49.880 little light source and

00:28:50.920 everything and it turns

00:28:52.580 out that as soon as you

00:28:54.920 know people were worried

00:28:55.820 about food these things

00:28:57.020 just flew off the shelf so

00:28:59.500 this little obscure

00:29:00.980 investment in a tabletop

00:29:02.920 vegetable thing just went

00:29:04.700 nuts because it's

00:29:06.220 gardening all the

00:29:07.140 gardening stuff went crazy

00:29:08.320 didn't see that coming

00:29:09.780 the other thing that I

00:29:11.460 hadn't been doing is

00:29:12.920 speaking engagements and

00:29:15.140 I couldn't do them

00:29:16.260 partly because I'm a

00:29:17.180 little bit radioactive

00:29:18.780 because I talk about

00:29:19.680 politics but also I

00:29:21.500 didn't want to travel I

00:29:22.780 was just kind of done

00:29:23.920 with traveling for work

00:29:25.580 you know airplane and

00:29:27.020 hotel etc but what

00:29:28.580 happened with this

00:29:29.500 because of the shutdown

00:29:31.120 now you're going to see

00:29:33.280 a lot more speaking

00:29:34.260 that's going to be done

00:29:35.040 virtually so suddenly the

00:29:37.920 very thing I didn't want

00:29:38.980 to do which is plan a

00:29:40.900 big trip and travel and

00:29:42.380 hotel and everything

00:29:43.180 my entire speaking career

00:29:46.020 may have been

00:29:47.640 accidentally revived by

00:29:50.360 the fact that nobody's

00:29:51.460 going to travel for a

00:29:52.340 while and that it may be

00:29:53.860 normal to have you know

00:29:55.580 video stuff so didn't see

00:29:56.960 that coming and I just

00:30:00.020 need to give you just full

00:30:01.440 disclosure yesterday I

00:30:03.300 talked about the news

00:30:04.120 story that said Sorrento

00:30:05.200 Therapeutics claim that they

00:30:07.840 have a cure for coronavirus a

00:30:10.040 cure and I noted that that

00:30:12.520 was an outrageous claim for

00:30:15.580 anybody to make unless they

00:30:16.760 believed it because that's a

00:30:18.460 big thing to say I mean if

00:30:20.460 you're wrong about cure you're

00:30:23.940 really wrong you're going to

00:30:25.400 pay for that right so I

00:30:27.780 thought to myself what are

00:30:29.340 the odds that the CEO is

00:30:31.260 going to say that unless he

00:30:33.260 believes it now it doesn't

00:30:34.360 mean it's true right he could

00:30:36.820 believe it and then the test

00:30:38.360 show it doesn't work but I

00:30:40.780 at least thought the CEO

00:30:42.680 believes it so I bought some

00:30:46.320 of the stock that morning

00:30:47.780 this is not what you call an

00:30:50.860 investment an investment is

00:30:53.900 when you do something smart

00:30:55.080 buying any any company that

00:31:00.400 says they have a cure for the

00:31:01.940 coronavirus during the middle

00:31:03.740 of the coronavirus while there

00:31:05.680 are lots of companies making

00:31:07.200 lots of claims picking one of

00:31:09.440 them and putting your actual

00:31:11.680 money into it is not an

00:31:13.680 investment it's gambling it's

00:31:17.480 just gambling so I gambled I

00:31:22.320 made $75,000 and sold it a few

00:31:25.980 like few hours later now I know you

00:31:30.100 hate me for that I kind of hate

00:31:32.440 myself for it because I

00:31:34.680 actually believe it or not I

00:31:36.020 don't like making money I

00:31:37.080 didn't work for I just sort of

00:31:39.180 raised that way you know if I

00:31:40.560 work for it and get it I love

00:31:41.860 it if somebody buys my book and I

00:31:44.180 get some money I love that but I

00:31:46.740 don't feel the same love if I

00:31:49.800 just did some weird financial

00:31:51.340 thing that totally by luck some

00:31:53.860 money came spraying in my

00:31:55.100 direction now it to full

00:31:58.860 disclosure and you have to have

00:32:01.240 this full disclosure this is not

00:32:03.760 the first time I've made a bet of

00:32:06.360 this type meaning using a stock

00:32:09.000 purchase as just a bet just a

00:32:11.400 gamble this is the first time it's

00:32:13.740 ever worked I have on a number of

00:32:18.280 occasions not not related to

00:32:20.020 coronavirus but in my past there

00:32:22.400 have been a number of occasions

00:32:23.720 when I said to myself you know I

00:32:26.140 think if I just gamble on this I've

00:32:28.680 got a good feeling about this and

00:32:30.900 then I gamble and I just lose my

00:32:32.700 money now I've not lost massive

00:32:35.420 amounts of money gambling because I

00:32:36.980 would never gamble a massive amount

00:32:39.460 of money I would gamble something I

00:32:41.700 could afford to lose and in almost

00:32:44.100 every other case I lost it so the

00:32:47.040 reason I'm telling you that this was

00:32:49.360 the exception is because the last thing

00:32:51.700 I'd want you to hear is that you can

00:32:53.880 get into the stock market and do what I

00:32:56.380 did yesterday you can't do that right

00:32:59.620 you can do it one out of ten and

00:33:02.500 that's what I did this just happened

00:33:03.920 to be the one so if I only tell you

00:33:06.220 about the one keep in mind the other

00:33:08.840 nine times that didn't work at all that

00:33:11.080 did not work at all so don't be like me

00:33:15.520 but I got lucky yesterday I continue to

00:33:20.800 see stories in which hydroxychloroquine is

00:33:24.360 evaluated without zinc and we all have

00:33:28.140 been educated to the point that we know

00:33:30.000 that zinc is the magic ingredient and

00:33:33.620 hydroxychloroquine allegedly is more

00:33:36.800 about the delivery of it to your body so I

00:33:40.500 feel as if we're getting gaslighted I

00:33:42.860 hate to use that that's the wrong term I

00:33:44.740 won't use that erase that I feel like the

00:33:47.240 press is just possibly possibly I hate I

00:33:52.700 hate to talk in conspiratorial tones but

00:33:55.020 it feels like just because Trump likes

00:33:58.380 this hydroxychloroquine that has forced

00:34:01.760 the press to not like it and it's forced

00:34:04.360 them to emphasize the trials that don't

00:34:07.860 even use the zinc and you and I don't

00:34:10.400 even think that's worth testing right I

00:34:13.200 mean at this point if you saw another

00:34:15.500 test going on for just hydroxychloroquine

00:34:18.140 you wouldn't care because you already

00:34:20.780 know it's useless I mean there's been

00:34:23.140 enough that you would say you would you

00:34:25.340 would assume that the test of just that

00:34:27.340 one drug wouldn't tell you anything but

00:34:29.840 if they test it with the zinc now I'm

00:34:32.900 interested and if they test it with the

00:34:34.860 zinc and they give it to you early which

00:34:37.060 apparently is not what was happening

00:34:38.660 they were giving it to people who were

00:34:40.280 already too late well you give it to me

00:34:43.060 early and you test it with zinc and you do

00:34:45.660 a controlled test shouldn't I have a

00:34:48.140 result in two weeks right well you know

00:34:52.500 during an emergency don't you know if if

00:34:55.640 the virus has been cleared in two weeks

00:34:57.580 I feel like I feel like it would be the

00:35:00.760 shortest trial and the fact that we

00:35:03.060 don't have a definitive answer on that is

00:35:05.180 certainly worrisome here's a question

00:35:10.460 just a mess with your entire understanding

00:35:12.740 of reality a lot of different countries

00:35:16.200 doing a lot of different things are they

00:35:19.400 getting different results can't tell

00:35:23.320 right so you've got how many countries

00:35:26.380 are they're doing that are involved with

00:35:28.200 the coronavirus so is it over a hundred I

00:35:32.200 don't know what the numbers are but lots

00:35:34.320 and lots of countries doing lots of

00:35:36.740 different things and they're all sort of

00:35:40.200 getting the same result and to the

00:35:43.040 extent that they're different because

00:35:44.240 there are differences there are so many

00:35:46.400 confounding variables that you can't

00:35:49.420 tell if leadership is an active variable

00:35:53.260 think about it if I told you that

00:35:57.940 leadership mattered how could I possibly

00:36:01.240 prove that because I would look at the

00:36:03.400 world and say oh all right leadership

00:36:04.940 matters let's go find the good leaders

00:36:07.280 and see how much better they did on this

00:36:09.740 coronavirus I'll bet there's no

00:36:12.680 correlation I'll bet if you had before

00:36:15.320 the coronavirus if you've done I don't

00:36:16.940 know if you could even do this some kind

00:36:18.400 of a objective poll to find out who are

00:36:20.920 the best leaders and then the

00:36:23.200 coronavirus happens to say okay now

00:36:25.380 we've seen how people are doing let's

00:36:27.620 let's compare how they did with who we

00:36:30.180 knew were the good leaders and see if

00:36:31.820 the good leaders got better results I'll

00:36:36.080 bet you you're not going to find it now

00:36:38.420 that would be a surprising result right

00:36:40.680 but it feels like whatever the big

00:36:44.060 variables are it doesn't feel like it's

00:36:47.100 leadership it feels like it's something

00:36:50.900 else now there are clearly things you

00:36:53.820 know like closing travel you know there

00:36:56.140 are things that are clearly leadership but

00:37:00.260 yet we're not getting much different you

00:37:04.520 know results what's up with that here's

00:37:08.400 the weirdest little story of the day so

00:37:09.960 apparently you know the Constitution

00:37:12.280 requires that Congress meet in person

00:37:14.340 but it's a coronavirus so how can they do

00:37:17.520 their job if they have to meet in person

00:37:19.180 on day one when I heard that that was a

00:37:22.260 problem that they have to vote in person I

00:37:25.100 said uh how about we just don't do that

00:37:28.660 what what if we just act like the

00:37:31.220 Constitution doesn't exist and just do

00:37:33.920 what makes sense because do you think

00:37:36.280 the founders of the Constitution if you

00:37:38.340 could you know dig them up and revive them

00:37:40.840 and bring them into the future and say

00:37:42.160 okay Ben Franklin you know Jefferson

00:37:44.860 we've got a situation here you wrote in

00:37:47.480 the Constitution you got to meet in

00:37:49.360 person but that was you didn't know about

00:37:51.440 the internet so that's cool you know you

00:37:53.860 guys are smart I know that would be a

00:37:55.860 lot to ask you didn't know about the

00:37:57.060 internet but do you think it'd be okay

00:37:58.960 just for a few weeks guys you know you

00:38:01.740 you wrote this Constitution would it be

00:38:03.080 okay for just a few weeks that we just

00:38:05.280 do proxy voting so somebody will call it

00:38:08.000 in we'll record who it was and what the

00:38:10.880 vote so we will know who voted for what

00:38:12.780 and we'll just have somebody physically do

00:38:14.900 the vote who's standing there you think

00:38:16.940 you think that would be okay well I'm

00:38:19.460 pretty sure the founders would have been

00:38:21.340 okay with it somebody's saying no you're

00:38:24.340 ridiculous the founders would have been

00:38:27.440 okay with it now they might have said oh

00:38:29.740 let's do a quick you know quick change to

00:38:32.120 it or something maybe they'd have

00:38:33.420 something to add to it but there's no

00:38:35.400 way they would have seriously people are

00:38:38.800 disagreeing with us

00:38:39.740 why would you disagree with that no too

00:38:48.240 risky oh oh I get it okay I understand

00:38:51.220 the the no too risky part is what I'm

00:38:53.620 going to talk about okay so I understand

00:38:55.160 your objections now the the no is because

00:38:58.100 you don't want bad behavior to happen

00:39:00.920 the no is so you don't want the person

00:39:03.400 who's the proxy person to be controlling

00:39:05.500 everything it's like it's like delegating

00:39:07.120 your vote to one person right that's the

00:39:11.020 problem okay I think you're all you're all

00:39:13.740 misunderstanding what it is I believe let's

00:39:16.920 fact check this today okay somebody says

00:39:18.960 you're on your thousand percent wrong

00:39:20.460 hundred thousand percent wrong fact check

00:39:23.540 the assumptions all right if my

00:39:26.000 assumptions are are correct then my

00:39:28.920 interpretation is correct if your

00:39:31.400 assumptions are correct then I will agree

00:39:34.340 with you that your interpretation that's a

00:39:36.660 bad idea is also correct can we agree on

00:39:39.400 that can we agree that whoever got the

00:39:42.180 right assumption I'll tell you what the

00:39:43.800 assumption is is probably the one who

00:39:45.660 also got the right answer all right so

00:39:47.760 let's just talk about the assumption

00:39:48.960 let's not talk about the disagreement yet

00:39:51.420 the assumption is here's my assumption

00:39:55.200 that everyone who votes will have to

00:39:57.920 record who they are and what they're

00:39:59.300 voting for so that we will have a record

00:40:01.720 of every person's vote as long as I have a

00:40:05.100 record of every person's vote whether or not

00:40:08.160 Nancy Pelosi or whoever the proxy is you 1.00

00:40:11.520 know overruled it or something well it'd

00:40:14.160 be obvious as long as I know who voted

00:40:17.600 I'm fine now is your assumption that the

00:40:22.620 record of who voted for what will be lost

00:40:24.840 because that would be a ridiculous

00:40:26.600 assumption but so which assumption are

00:40:30.120 you going on so for the people who who say

00:40:32.960 it's a bad idea are you all assuming that

00:40:36.060 you won't know who voted for what because

00:40:38.280 that would be crazy it would be crazy to

00:40:43.240 assume that we wouldn't know who voted

00:40:45.120 for what no that's not gonna happen and

00:40:48.260 by the way by the way if it turns out I'm

00:40:52.500 wrong and and the real and really that

00:40:57.460 proxy voting actually meant giving your

00:41:00.300 vote to Nancy Pelosi if it turns out that 0.98

00:41:03.480 that's what they're suggesting of course

00:41:06.540 I'm not in favor of that of course not

00:41:09.960 that would just be a violation of the

00:41:11.940 Constitution so of course I wouldn't be

00:41:14.820 in favor of that but as long as

00:41:16.940 everybody's recording their vote and they

00:41:19.300 can communicate with anybody

00:41:20.720 electronically that they want you have

00:41:23.360 full transparency there's nothing we

00:41:26.420 need but transparency everything else is

00:41:29.080 optional give me transparency I'm a happy

00:41:33.340 citizen take it away I'm not somebody 0.99

00:41:39.020 says it's subject to manipulation but

00:41:42.080 nobody can explain how that could

00:41:44.320 possibly happen if you can then I will

00:41:47.860 change my opinion in other words if

00:41:49.940 somebody can give me an argument about

00:41:52.020 why full transparency makes you subject to

00:41:56.300 manipulation I would entertain that I

00:42:00.020 don't I don't see what that I don't see

00:42:01.920 how somebody says vote changing not a

00:42:06.700 risk because every every vote will be

00:42:08.800 recorded who voted for it now now I

00:42:13.420 believe that this is one of those

00:42:14.640 situations where you have lined up on

00:42:18.000 political sides and you don't have a

00:42:20.120 reason and I'm going to read your

00:42:22.500 comments to make my point that you have

00:42:25.800 an opinion without a reason I'll just

00:42:27.340 read a lobbyist and left-wing

00:42:30.540 organizations would write bills for

00:42:32.280 Pelosi irrelevant to the voting

00:42:33.960 question fear of general voting by mail

00:42:36.720 that's something else crazy things

00:42:38.700 happen that's not a reason they have

00:42:41.300 more to do than vote that's not a

00:42:43.220 reason what would the slippery slope

00:42:45.880 look like that's not a reason if it

00:42:47.880 someone could hold a gun to the

00:42:49.960 voters head that's not real that's not

00:42:52.020 a reason are you setting precedent for

00:42:54.400 ignoring parts of the Constitution that's

00:42:56.240 not a reason it's an emergency the

00:43:00.400 world needs transparency this is more

00:43:02.460 transparency aren't lost records did

00:43:05.440 you hear about the uncle bring them in

00:43:08.280 person to Congress that's a bad idea we

00:43:10.520 have electronic ways proxy equals give

00:43:14.940 your vote to Nancy that is an incorrect

00:43:16.880 assumption oh no proxy does mean give

00:43:20.460 your vote to Nancy it does not mean that

00:43:23.420 nobody knows what your vote was so

00:43:26.760 maybe that's where you're getting

00:43:27.800 confused so proxy is unfortunately it's a

00:43:31.580 murky word what it means is that you tell

00:43:35.140 Nancy to vote your vote right but they

00:43:38.940 still know what your vote is a regular

00:43:41.700 proxy vote let's say border directors you

00:43:46.880 that proxy you say you vote on my behalf

00:43:50.000 that's not what's happening nobody's

00:43:52.880 asking Nancy to vote on their behalf with

00:43:55.740 her opinion replacing their own they're

00:43:58.280 asking her to cast their vote specifically

00:44:01.380 my vote I'm going to write it down I

00:44:03.660 voted for this you better cast the vote

00:44:05.800 the way I wrote it down because I'm going

00:44:07.740 to check no risk debating bills so

00:44:15.200 people are saying that they should be

00:44:16.580 there in person to debate bills well

00:44:19.360 you don't think you can debate in other

00:44:21.840 ways I mean electronic means is fine for

00:44:24.700 that yeah well it looks like I've maybe

00:44:29.880 beaten you down because the objectors

00:44:31.900 seem to have disappeared so Kevin

00:44:34.120 McCarthy GOP leader California guy now I

00:44:38.640 like I like Kevin McCarthy so generally

00:44:41.460 speaking I have all positive opinions of

00:44:43.660 him but he had the weakest argument on

00:44:46.120 this and here it is two points he said

00:44:49.440 Democrats can stay home for the rest of

00:44:51.240 the year but still get paid so he he

00:44:54.020 doesn't like the fact that Democrats

00:44:55.760 would be working from home just a terrible

00:44:59.260 argument yeah we're in a country in

00:45:01.920 which the government is literally asking

00:45:03.920 the citizens to work from home if they

00:45:06.240 can the government is not saying if you

00:45:09.460 work from home and you're still working

00:45:11.340 you shouldn't get paid why why would

00:45:14.460 Congress not get paid if they work for

00:45:16.440 a home like everybody else like you know

00:45:19.560 I want to I want to be on the same side

00:45:21.460 as Kevin McCarthy because I think he's

00:45:24.160 you know good guy and a good politician I

00:45:26.760 want to be on his side but this is just

00:45:28.740 this is so weak this is just the weakest

00:45:32.360 point that you shouldn't get home if you're

00:45:35.060 working you should get paid for working

00:45:36.660 from home when we're all being asked to

00:45:38.740 work from home that's just so weak here's

00:45:42.740 the second point Democrats can hand their

00:45:45.340 power over to someone else Pelosi so she

00:45:48.220 can vote multiple times that's just a

00:45:51.480 mischaracterization of what it is she's

00:45:55.540 not voting multiple times she's voting

00:45:58.980 your vote because you couldn't be there

00:46:01.220 that's completely different that's not even

00:46:04.760 in the same ballpark she's just she's

00:46:08.020 just standing there with like her finger

00:46:09.560 you know and the call comes in I don't

00:46:12.680 know if it's a phone call hey this is

00:46:14.620 a congressman Bob vote yes and then

00:46:18.380 Nancy's finger goes down yes for

00:46:21.160 congressman Bob that's all that's

00:46:23.340 happening and and McCarthy's giving a

00:46:27.500 speech railing against it now if he had

00:46:31.120 said what you had said well you know

00:46:33.800 maybe they can debate better more

00:46:35.480 efficiently in person I'd say well

00:46:36.900 that's an argument at least but it's not

00:46:39.060 much of one because people do business

00:46:41.680 online there's a thing called you know

00:46:44.760 video conferencing so I'm just I'm just

00:46:49.580 blown away about how we can find

00:46:51.860 absolutely freaking anything to complain

00:46:54.500 about if the other team is in favor of

00:46:57.040 it obviously we should have proxy voting

00:46:59.600 during a crisis this is the most cut and

00:47:03.380 dried obviously smart thing to do with 0.80

00:47:07.540 anybody who's debating this just doesn't

00:47:09.540 maybe doesn't understand what it is

00:47:12.440 there's no way you would disagree with

00:47:14.040 it if you also knew what it was you'd

00:47:16.920 have to you'd have to be confused about

00:47:19.060 it to disagree with it all right that's

00:47:20.780 enough of that so apparently Trump fired

00:47:24.420 another IG the Steve Linick guy he was an

00:47:28.080 Obama appointee who briefed Congress on

00:47:30.380 Biden Ukraine ties at one point so my

00:47:36.980 only comment on all these personnel

00:47:38.800 things where somebody gets fired you

00:47:41.520 know of course the left will say well

00:47:43.140 you fired him because he was finding bad

00:47:45.480 problems and he would have been a

00:47:47.740 whistleblower not a whistleblower because

00:47:49.600 it was his job to do it and of course

00:47:52.080 the Trump administration will say he was a

00:47:54.500 bad player for whatever reason but here's

00:47:57.960 the thing in this and every other

00:48:00.360 personnel question the one thing you can

00:48:03.400 know for sure is that you don't know the

00:48:05.220 story and this would apply whether it's

00:48:08.260 politics and whether it's somebody Trump

00:48:10.720 is firing or just somebody from your

00:48:12.680 company somebody leaves a company you're

00:48:16.740 going to get two different stories every

00:48:18.180 time most of the time so you're going to

00:48:21.720 get the employer's version which is yeah

00:48:23.740 at the I had to fire Bob Bob was not

00:48:26.160 performing and then you're going to get

00:48:28.100 the employee's version who got fired it's

00:48:30.460 like yeah my my boss is a tyrant he was

00:48:33.780 sexually harassing me you know I mean it's

00:48:36.200 going to be a completely different story

00:48:37.700 so when I see news coverage about a guy

00:48:42.220 who got fired I put it in in that bucket

00:48:45.860 with we don't know anything so everything

00:48:49.280 you should conclude about any one person

00:48:51.680 who gets fired from any administration

00:48:53.060 it's not a Trump thing but from any

00:48:55.080 administration person gets fired you

00:48:58.240 should immediately say to yourself okay

00:48:59.820 here's what I know about that situation

00:49:02.040 nothing nothing I don't know anything

00:49:06.020 about that situation because I haven't

00:49:07.960 heard both sides if you haven't seen

00:49:10.360 both sides you don't know anything so

00:49:14.400 should you be concerned if somebody who is

00:49:17.260 you know digging for dirt on I guess

00:49:19.360 Pompeo or something should you be

00:49:21.440 concerned if somebody like that gets

00:49:23.040 fired yeah yeah I mean it's worth the

00:49:25.460 question you know if anybody's saying

00:49:27.760 should we look into it or see if this is

00:49:30.380 like a good firing or bad firing it's

00:49:32.660 worth looking at you know I would say

00:49:34.840 that transparency requires that we know

00:49:36.940 why it happened but you're probably

00:49:39.060 never going to know why but it's a good

00:49:41.760 red flag all right so those were the main

00:49:46.400 things that I decided to talk about

00:49:49.580 today so there's a rule there's

00:49:54.600 somebody saying that the rules for the

00:49:56.420 proxy vote are there let me put it this

00:49:59.380 way if you've lived in the real world

00:50:01.640 for a while you don't need to go look at

00:50:04.640 what the proxy vote tells you because

00:50:08.320 there really isn't much chance that they

00:50:11.020 would have ever even considered a

00:50:13.400 process where you don't know who voted

00:50:15.960 for what right I refuse to go do

00:50:19.160 research on that question I refuse to

00:50:24.020 research it because I'm pretty sure that

00:50:28.460 the most basic part of voting which is

00:50:30.560 who voted for what is maintained in this

00:50:32.860 proxy system I'm pretty sure you can

00:50:36.160 fact check me on that but I'd put a

00:50:38.540 pretty big bet on that have I watched

00:50:44.020 Bannon's war room I did watch the other

00:50:47.040 day and I have to say it was really well

00:50:49.000 done very well done body language in

00:50:55.420 person could be a key element to

00:50:57.160 persuasion on the house floor well but

00:51:00.360 you don't want it to be if you could

00:51:02.520 reduce the effect of irrational

00:51:06.080 influence such as the effect of

00:51:08.880 somebody's body language or their

00:51:10.620 charisma I don't see what's wrong with

00:51:13.360 that I'd rather they make decisions

00:51:15.520 based on the facts and not be

00:51:16.940 influenced by body language

00:51:18.340 all right do you ever talk about your

00:51:26.120 failed predictions I do I do quite often

00:51:30.040 yeah I'll give you one right now you

00:51:34.180 know but of course whenever you fail a

00:51:35.880 prediction you like to put in the

00:51:37.260 qualifiers there so my initial thoughts

00:51:42.640 about the shutdown was that it wouldn't

00:51:45.060 have any economic effect much and that

00:51:49.160 was based on the fact that they shut

00:51:50.620 down it wouldn't be that long you know

00:51:52.760 when when when we first heard about it

00:51:59.140 I thought oh it could be two weeks but

00:52:01.200 you know they probably told us two

00:52:02.840 weeks but really it's going to be four

00:52:04.460 weeks and then when it turned into four

00:52:06.160 weeks I thought okay that's about what

00:52:07.480 I thought but still four weeks we could

00:52:11.160 have absorbed a four-week shutdown pretty

00:52:14.560 well we would have just snapped back but

00:52:17.680 the longer it goes the more in question

00:52:20.480 and and the the weaker the recovery you

00:52:23.260 would expect so my initial prediction of

00:52:26.580 ah we're gonna snap back from this don't

00:52:28.740 get worried was wrong based on be

00:52:34.360 completely wrong about how long we would

00:52:36.480 be shut down now I did not have a

00:52:38.640 specific prediction of how long we would

00:52:41.940 be shut down but I also didn't see it

00:52:44.360 coming as long as it is like I thought

00:52:47.000 it'd be extended that part that part's just

00:52:49.580 normal business everything gets extended

00:52:51.500 but I didn't think we'd be talking about

00:52:53.560 the summer so that part I would say

00:52:56.220 blindsided me other predictions that I've

00:53:01.080 gotten wrong well maybe you could help me

00:53:02.560 how about people in the comments tell me

00:53:06.620 which oh there's one that I might get

00:53:09.320 wrong which is I still have my bet on

00:53:12.180 Kamala Harris being the de facto nominee

00:53:16.000 by being the vice presidential nominee and

00:53:18.340 then effectively being the top person so I was

00:53:22.640 wrong that she would get the nomination

00:53:24.800 outright so that the Kamala Harris prediction

00:53:29.020 is wrong on the technicality of it getting

00:53:31.900 it outright but in a weird simulation world

00:53:35.020 way it could still turn out to be right in a

00:53:38.420 in a different way than I had predicted

00:53:40.000 originally but I did change my prediction

00:53:42.160 to the the modified she'll get in the other 0.88

00:53:44.740 way but you but I have to take the the

00:53:48.060 incorrect prediction for the you know

00:53:50.100 getting the top spot from the beginning

00:53:51.960 other predictions I got wrong

00:53:54.760 maybe you can tell me you were wrong on

00:54:01.280 Warren's chances was I because I didn't

00:54:05.660 think she would win and she didn't how

00:54:08.100 was I wrong I don't know what that was

00:54:10.020 about you yeah I did I wrote a book on my

00:54:14.780 wrong predictions right so so when you watch

00:54:18.460 this you get a little flavor of what it's

00:54:20.700 like to be a celebrity so literally behind

00:54:23.860 me on that shelf is a book that has an

00:54:27.060 entire chapter in it actually there are two

00:54:30.040 of them that well at least one of them one

00:54:32.000 of them has a chapter in it that just

00:54:33.940 lists all my wrong predictions I literally

00:54:36.740 wrote a published book with a chapter of my

00:54:41.240 wrong predictions and what is one of the

00:54:43.140 biggest criticisms I get that I never say

00:54:47.320 I'm wrong right one of the biggest

00:54:50.860 criticisms is I don't admit what my wrong

00:54:53.200 predictions and I've literally published

00:54:55.300 them I talk about them all the time and

00:54:58.840 still it sort of comes with being a you

00:55:01.800 know in the public eye is it doesn't

00:55:03.600 matter what you do if people have it in

00:55:06.100 their mind that you do the other thing it

00:55:08.620 doesn't matter that's not true it's just

00:55:11.120 what people believe my net deaths

00:55:13.900 prediction oh there's a good one now we

00:55:15.840 still don't know the the final outcome

00:55:18.600 but let's let's talk about that so my net

00:55:21.820 deaths prediction was that we would get it

00:55:24.980 down to 5,000 net in other words that we

00:55:28.600 would so many people's lives would be

00:55:30.400 saved by not driving and you know not

00:55:33.500 doing extreme sports and stuff that it

00:55:35.960 would almost entirely compensate for the

00:55:38.420 number of people who died from the

00:55:40.340 coronavirus what's interesting is that we

00:55:43.580 don't know how to count this stuff and

00:55:46.740 that prediction also depended on the

00:55:49.240 length of the the shutdown being limited

00:55:53.060 so the the prediction that we could come

00:55:56.280 out ahead at least in terms of number of

00:55:59.580 people who died or at least get closer to

00:56:02.500 break even not come out ahead was based on

00:56:05.720 the length of time that we're shut down so

00:56:08.860 the longer you go the worse it is of

00:56:11.880 course and and we don't know exactly when

00:56:14.320 stuff is going to end at this point so I

00:56:16.960 would say that if we had stayed if we had

00:56:19.140 stayed closed closed for one month I think

00:56:23.100 that my prediction of net deaths being

00:56:24.920 about 5,000 would have been pretty darn

00:56:28.260 good I think it would have been the best

00:56:30.240 prediction in the country at two months it

00:56:34.800 still could be the closest prediction in

00:56:37.240 the country because the other predictions

00:56:39.840 are you know hundreds of thousands of

00:56:41.420 deaths if it turns out it's you know 50 or

00:56:43.940 60,000 net I'm still going to have the

00:56:47.500 closest prediction in the country even

00:56:50.160 though I'm way off so I'm not even sure I

00:56:52.640 would call mine accurate I probably

00:56:55.340 wouldn't wouldn't call it accurate if I

00:56:57.160 said 5,000 and it turned out to be 60,000

00:56:59.420 but if the next best guess was a few

00:57:03.800 hundred thousand you know at least I

00:57:07.440 missed it by the same amount as other

00:57:08.780 people now the other thing that we found

00:57:12.120 out is that the number of regular flu

00:57:14.280 deaths is just made up we've been

00:57:17.860 comparing the coronavirus to regular flu

00:57:20.320 like ah that regular flu is anywhere from

00:57:23.280 20 to 80,000 a year and it turns out

00:57:26.320 nobody even counts it nobody counts the

00:57:30.040 regular flu deaths you know we have

00:57:33.320 these numbers every year but it's not

00:57:35.400 based on counting it's based on some

00:57:37.440 kind of algorithm where they think well

00:57:39.120 probably about this much that's it it's

00:57:42.720 an algorithm they don't actually count

00:57:45.160 them the number and when somebody looked

00:57:47.520 into this recently a doctor his estimate

00:57:50.880 was that if you did count them you might

00:57:53.460 get a number more like in a few

00:57:55.160 thousand does that make sense to you do

00:57:58.300 you believe that if you counted the

00:57:59.880 regular death flus the regular flu

00:58:02.340 deaths do you think that it would only

00:58:04.280 be a few thousand I do you know why

00:58:08.740 because I don't know anybody who's ever

00:58:11.220 died from the regular flu if if do you

00:58:15.000 think 50,000 a year could die from one

00:58:18.220 cause a regular flu and you wouldn't see

00:58:21.420 it all the time you know people who died

00:58:23.660 from overdoses you know deep people who

00:58:25.560 died from AIDS you know deep people who

00:58:27.560 died in car crashes you know people who

00:58:29.600 died of alcoholism you know people who

00:58:31.660 died of every cause that's in that range

00:58:34.920 you know of that many deaths but you

00:58:37.460 don't know anybody who died of the flu it

00:58:40.160 was all made up the this whole time we

00:58:42.800 were we were comparing these you know

00:58:44.880 60,000 coronavirus deaths you know and

00:58:48.080 climbing now it's over 85 or whatever it

00:58:50.300 is now and we kept saying well that's not

00:58:53.200 that much more than regular flu deaths

00:58:55.660 and there were never regular flu deaths

00:58:58.320 the the most basic piece of data that we

00:59:04.080 used to drive all of our decisions and

00:59:07.400 thinking about this was completely made up

00:59:10.700 and it wasn't made up even in an

00:59:15.160 accurate way in other words it could be a

00:59:17.020 made-up number that was also somewhat

00:59:18.760 accurate you know but it wasn't it was

00:59:22.920 simply not true or even close so yeah it's

00:59:33.540 not like they know how many people get

00:59:34.940 the flu and they certainly don't know

00:59:36.540 how many people died from it all right

00:59:38.840 it's pneumonia not flu well you can shade

00:59:45.620 it that way but the point is we don't

00:59:47.360 count flu deaths and we don't know how

00:59:51.360 many died from it

00:59:52.440 is that to scare us to get the flu vaccine

00:59:58.760 I think it is yes I think the reason that

01:00:01.400 we keep the flu deaths high is almost

01:00:05.520 certainly this is just my assumption

01:00:07.640 based on living in the real world my

01:00:10.160 assumption is it has everything to do

01:00:11.900 with giving people the incentive to get

01:00:14.680 the shot so there you are all right

01:00:18.720 that's all for today and I will talk to

01:00:21.080 you tonight you know when

01:00:23.780 the

01:00:35.760 you

01:00:39.600 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 16, 2020

Episode 978 Scott Adams： Proxy Voting Schemes, Trump's Coronavirus Report Card, Biden's Raisin-Brain

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