Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 982 Scott Adams： The Good News Bubbling up Everywhere, How to Tell a Writer From an Asshole

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. Yeah, you found it. It's time. Congratulations. Good work so far.

00:00:18.440 So far your Monday is looking good. You found coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:22.720 Did you hear the news? Well, not news. In 2012 there was a study that musicians' brains actually sync up during a duet.

00:00:35.300 If you look at their brains, you find that they actually get in sync.

00:00:39.460 And interestingly, even before the music starts, their brains sync up.

00:00:44.500 So there's actually a physical known, let's say, matching within the physical structure of brains prior to singing.

00:00:55.000 And I believe this connection is very important for humanity.

00:01:01.300 We will now connect sonically in a very similar way because you know what's coming next, don't you?

00:01:08.420 Already your brain is syncing up.

00:01:10.620 Those of you who have joined me before, feel it?

00:01:14.820 Yeah, your brain is syncing up with mine right now.

00:01:18.760 Because you know what comes next.

00:01:20.840 Here it comes.

00:01:22.260 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:01:28.680 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:30.740 I like coffee.

00:01:32.020 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:35.220 the thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.

00:01:38.260 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:41.460 It comes with synchronicity.

00:01:43.800 It comes with simultaneous vibrations in our brain.

00:01:47.080 Go! 0.95

00:01:50.800 Do you feel that?

00:01:52.240 I can feel that.

00:01:54.640 Yeah, I can feel that.

00:01:57.200 All right.

00:01:58.560 Well, it's a funny day.

00:02:00.200 Today's a funny day.

00:02:01.100 I'm going to be optimistic today.

00:02:05.320 Okay with you?

00:02:06.740 It's all going to be good news today.

00:02:09.080 I'm sure there's bad news.

00:02:11.440 Well, I'm sure there's bad news all over the world.

00:02:14.460 But today, today we're going to wrap ourselves in a little Monday blanket of good thoughts.

00:02:21.620 Number one good thought comes from Naval Ravikant, who tweeted yesterday, and I quote,

00:02:30.820 I love America, greatest country on earth, only place that will completely accept you even if you weren't born there.

00:02:38.940 The reason I mention that is that this would be a really good time to remind ourselves that there's something about America that's just not like other places.

00:02:52.960 We are not a collection of people so much as a collection of shared ideas.

00:02:59.420 And it is indeed true. 0.63

00:03:01.820 If you share those ideas, you play by the rules, you follow the laws, you follow the Constitution, you think that's a pretty good deal, America completely accepts you.

00:03:13.520 And we should remember that because when 2021 comes and we start to rebuild to make America great again, which has never been so much,

00:03:26.880 we should remember who we are and who we are is a group of people who are here by choice.

00:03:37.640 Not every one of you, you know, was born where you wanted to be born necessarily, but people who came to America all came here by choice, except for the, well, I guess everybody ultimately came here by choice.

00:03:51.420 If you go way back.

00:03:52.700 And there is something about that self-selection process.

00:03:59.920 So, you know, even though America is not about the people so much as it is about the ideas and the shared values,

00:04:07.500 it is nonetheless true that those shared values became a filter.

00:04:13.140 And if filtered and has for hundreds of years, who it is who comes to this country?

00:04:19.600 And we now have the most optimistic, capable, rule-playing, rule-violating, because we're Americans too.

00:04:31.360 We like to violate our rules sometimes, because we are rebellious by nature.

00:04:36.220 But remember who we are.

00:04:40.700 Just remember who we are.

00:04:42.360 Now, if you're listening to this from another country, feel free to substitute what's great about your country into this conversation,

00:04:50.840 because it's time to stop hunkering down.

00:04:55.520 It's time to get off of defense against this coronavirus.

00:04:59.520 It's happening everywhere.

00:05:01.040 States are going back on offense.

00:05:02.560 Yes, they're going right at it.

00:05:06.240 And I would like to make a suggestion for the country.

00:05:10.100 This would work for the world as well, but for the United States especially,

00:05:14.680 I would like to make this following productive suggestion.

00:05:19.040 And I would like all of you to agree with us.

00:05:20.960 We should stop tracking coronavirus deaths as one number and break it into two.

00:05:31.020 Maybe the second number is people over 70, or maybe it's just nursing home deaths.

00:05:36.660 But we should stop tracking the nursing home deaths with the total deaths.

00:05:42.700 The reason is, it's time to get back to work.

00:05:45.600 The time to be scared is over.

00:05:50.420 The time to be smart starts now.

00:05:55.300 Scared is good.

00:05:56.940 Scared makes you do what you got to do.

00:05:58.640 Scared makes you put on your mask.

00:06:00.280 Scared makes you stay home.

00:06:02.080 Scared had its purpose.

00:06:04.400 Yeah, there was a reason for scared.

00:06:06.560 But now it's a reason to rebuild.

00:06:09.180 Time to rebuild.

00:06:10.740 Do you want to rebuild scared?

00:06:13.140 Nope.

00:06:13.940 Don't want to.

00:06:14.580 It's time to change the way we report and talk about the deaths so that we put them back into a smarter frame.

00:06:24.680 Let's take it out of the scary frame.

00:06:26.660 Scary was good.

00:06:28.660 No criticism there.

00:06:30.680 Let's just scare everybody.

00:06:32.660 That was exactly what we needed to do.

00:06:35.140 Now we need to rebuild.

00:06:37.080 I've told you many times, an economy is a set of psychological states that people act out.

00:06:44.160 If you get your psychology right, your economy is right.

00:06:49.340 Step one to get our psychology right is let's stop counting the number of nursing home deaths.

00:06:56.780 Because those are not the deaths that matter to reopening the economy.

00:07:02.160 If we're smart.

00:07:03.800 Because we now know that that's where the weakness is.

00:07:06.400 We can wall off that group of citizens, send the young people back to work. 1.00

00:07:11.280 But please, please, United States, show us just the stats for the people who are going back to work.

00:07:19.260 That's the death rate I care about for the economic purposes.

00:07:23.760 Of course I care about all the deaths.

00:07:25.500 Let's not be that person.

00:07:28.400 But let's put an optimistic, economically compatible tweak on the numbers.

00:07:35.880 And let's just grow up a little bit and say, all right, we have two problems, not one.

00:07:41.720 Two problems.

00:07:42.760 One problem is the comorbidity people, the people who have higher risk.

00:07:48.240 And the other problem is opening the economy.

00:07:50.540 And we should just track them separately.

00:07:52.820 Just track them separately.

00:07:54.440 It'll be great for the psychological being of the country.

00:07:58.840 I would like to give you some more cause for optimism.

00:08:09.440 I predicted on Twitter this morning that 2021 will be more than a recovery year.

00:08:15.900 2021 will also be a recovery year.

00:08:18.760 But I think it's going to be bigger than that.

00:08:21.740 Like, really bigger than that.

00:08:24.460 And you can almost feel it, can't you?

00:08:26.340 Today, I saw in the news that Kim Kardashian launched a line of face masks.

00:08:33.940 So, while some of us were hiding, Kim Kardashian launched a new business.

00:08:40.620 Now, I think she may be giving a lot of it away.

00:08:42.940 I don't know if she's even doing it for money. 1.00

00:08:44.860 She may be doing it just for patriotic reasons, which would be terrific.

00:08:48.580 But there are a lot of entrepreneurs who are spring-loaded right now and saying,

00:08:54.700 you know, let me get out of the house.

00:08:57.280 Let me do something because I got an idea.

00:09:00.220 And here are the bigger trends that are going to push this entrepreneurial wave,

00:09:04.120 which I think will be the biggest wave of entrepreneurial energy the world has ever seen,

00:09:10.620 starting in 2021.

00:09:12.180 I think that everything you've ever assumed about entrepreneurial anything

00:09:17.840 is just going to be thrown out the door in 2021.

00:09:21.560 You're going to see a surge of energy into the economy that will be historically unprecedented.

00:09:32.480 And some of the things driving that are,

00:09:34.320 I just saw a study that said that 40% of the Americans don't want to buy Chinese products,

00:09:40.960 and 78% said they'd be willing to pay more for products made in this country compared to made in China.

00:09:51.380 Do you know how much stuff China makes?

00:09:55.240 And 78% of us just said,

00:09:57.880 screw that.

00:10:00.100 I'll pay more to keep my neighbor employed. 0.94

00:10:03.860 Because how much did it cost you to have your neighbor out of work?

00:10:07.680 That wasn't free.

00:10:08.780 You know, we used to be able to say,

00:10:10.920 well, I got my job.

00:10:12.740 So, you know, my neighbor lost his manufacturing job to China.

00:10:16.500 But, you know, that's my neighbor.

00:10:18.480 That's not me.

00:10:19.980 But what did the coronavirus teach you?

00:10:22.820 It taught you that you and your neighbor are economically connected.

00:10:26.780 When your neighbor ran out of food,

00:10:29.120 who paid for the food?

00:10:30.880 Well, maybe we just printed money.

00:10:33.240 Who knows?

00:10:34.120 But ultimately,

00:10:35.140 we assume that the people who are doing all right

00:10:38.140 have to be the ones who are paying for the ones who,

00:10:42.220 you know, needed some help.

00:10:43.680 Who else is going to pay?

00:10:45.300 So the idea that we can just ignore the fact

00:10:48.200 that you're shipping your neighbor's job to China,

00:10:52.100 like that's not going to affect you somehow,

00:10:54.320 I think we just got over that, didn't we?

00:10:57.260 Didn't we just learn that that's not how it works?

00:10:59.640 If your neighbor doesn't have a job,

00:11:02.940 nobody's going to mow that lawn.

00:11:05.020 That's going to come back on you.

00:11:07.600 So there's a psychological thing happening.

00:11:09.800 There's an enormous thing happening with the supply chain.

00:11:14.040 I mean, that part is almost beyond calculation.

00:11:16.440 If you only took that one thing and you said,

00:11:19.800 all right, 2021 will be like prior years before the coronavirus,

00:11:24.100 the only thing you're going to change is,

00:11:26.640 I don't know,

00:11:27.660 bring back the entire supply chain from China.

00:11:31.620 I mean, that's all you would have to know

00:11:32.860 to buy stock in this country, right?

00:11:38.080 What else is happening?

00:11:40.260 And those are not the only good things.

00:11:42.900 The other thing that's happening,

00:11:44.160 I think will be more subtle.

00:11:47.280 And I've talked about this,

00:11:48.380 how the coronavirus made everybody in the United States

00:11:51.720 rethink everything.

00:11:54.800 It made us rethink how we work, travel, go to school,

00:11:58.900 how we live with each other, everything.

00:12:01.260 And when you rethink everything,

00:12:04.800 and it's everybody rethinking it,

00:12:06.640 it's the people, not just the entrepreneurs,

00:12:10.340 you've really shaken the box.

00:12:12.780 And you've created a whole bunch of opportunities

00:12:16.940 that in a sense already existed,

00:12:19.180 but they were invisible to us.

00:12:21.520 So as soon as the coronavirus kicked up

00:12:24.460 all these flaws in our system,

00:12:26.600 then we could see them,

00:12:27.720 and everybody could see them,

00:12:28.780 and we could all say,

00:12:29.480 oh, whoa, those flaws were not necessarily so visible

00:12:33.020 until we saw this.

00:12:37.060 So there's going to be a lot of fixing of flaws,

00:12:39.300 and that activity alone would be enormous.

00:12:42.660 But I've also,

00:12:43.460 if you saw my periscope last night,

00:12:45.660 you know that I think we're going to just reduce civilization,

00:12:48.900 because we're waking up to the fact

00:12:50.760 that we're living in somebody else's world.

00:12:56.380 Just briefly from what I said in a longer form last night,

00:12:59.540 the home that most of us live in,

00:13:02.680 if you have a house or even an apartment situation,

00:13:05.900 you're living in something that was designed

00:13:08.040 for people who died 100 years ago.

00:13:11.800 Even if your home is new,

00:13:13.840 it probably is a legacy design

00:13:16.500 from the 30s when people lived a certain way,

00:13:20.880 you know, before the internet, etc.

00:13:23.360 So what you're going to see is,

00:13:24.640 I think people, because of the coronavirus,

00:13:26.580 sort of resetting the way we're looking at our world,

00:13:30.160 we saw all the problems that happened

00:13:32.000 when we had just a little bit of a wrinkle in it,

00:13:34.360 I think people are going to say,

00:13:35.680 wait a minute,

00:13:36.860 let's just look at this from scratch.

00:13:39.380 What does transportation look like?

00:13:42.280 What does education look like?

00:13:44.460 What should it look like?

00:13:46.540 And so there's going to be a lot happening on that.

00:13:49.820 All right.

00:13:53.300 I know I had at least one other good example of that.

00:13:56.320 Oh, cheap energy.

00:13:57.840 We may be entering a phase where energy,

00:14:03.040 you know, either oil will stay low,

00:14:05.880 we've got Generation 4 nuclear,

00:14:07.980 that's, you know, the U.S. government's doing a lot

00:14:10.260 with their test sites and stuff,

00:14:12.200 they're trying to iterate up quickly.

00:14:14.160 We may be entering a phase where energy is just super cheap.

00:14:18.020 And what's that do?

00:14:18.820 I mean, how about a phase where interest rates are zero or negative?

00:14:24.600 We're coming into a world where every assumption's been wiped away,

00:14:29.000 we have an educated population willing to work,

00:14:32.540 supply chain we're bringing back,

00:14:34.540 cheap energy, zero interest rates,

00:14:37.720 and a president that just showed us,

00:14:40.580 sometimes if you cut a whole bunch of regulations,

00:14:43.120 you come out better.

00:14:43.900 Will it help us to know that we cut a bunch of regulations

00:14:49.000 and it helped us during the coronavirus?

00:14:51.560 I feel like that's a lesson that gets into your head

00:14:54.620 and then it's easier to cut regulations going forward

00:14:57.700 because you saw that it worked before.

00:15:01.280 And I think a lot of people also realized

00:15:03.940 that having a job and a boss is not a secure situation.

00:15:08.780 You know, there were a whole bunch of people who said,

00:15:12.500 well, I'm going to wake up in the morning,

00:15:14.500 go to work,

00:15:15.920 I'll have a boss,

00:15:16.760 I'll have a job,

00:15:17.420 I'll have a paycheck.

00:15:18.760 And they just found out

00:15:19.900 that's not a secure way to live.

00:15:23.280 At least all the people who lost their job in the coronavirus.

00:15:25.540 So if you put all this stuff together,

00:15:28.480 you can almost feel it, can't you?

00:15:31.660 Feel it in the zeitgeist.

00:15:33.900 Now let's talk about zeitgeist.

00:15:37.400 So I tweeted that,

00:15:40.300 yeah, I could feel it in the zeitgeist

00:15:42.400 that 2021 would be a huge wave of entrepreneurial energy.

00:15:47.020 And some of you are saying,

00:15:48.820 Scott, why are you using that German word?

00:15:51.700 What does a zeitgeist mean?

00:15:54.560 Well, here's what it means.

00:15:56.740 It means that the feeling that everybody has collectively

00:15:59.960 that we haven't necessarily talked about,

00:16:02.880 you know, you and I haven't had a conversation about it,

00:16:05.300 but there's just something in the air

00:16:07.120 we're feeling at the same time.

00:16:09.460 Our thoughts are sort of collectively moving

00:16:12.300 in a similar direction,

00:16:13.480 but we don't know exactly why.

00:16:15.220 It's not because we coordinated.

00:16:16.820 It's just that there's just something in the air.

00:16:18.940 That's what the zeitgeist is.

00:16:20.480 So there's no American word for that.

00:16:22.080 Now I promised you in the title to this

00:16:27.300 that I would help you determine the difference.

00:16:30.000 It's a subtle difference.

00:16:31.820 Sometimes they look similar.

00:16:33.740 But I'm going to help you identify the subtle difference

00:16:36.760 between a professional writer and an asshole. 0.53

00:16:40.380 because they can look pretty similar.

00:16:43.360 Well, let's be honest.

00:16:45.660 And here's the difference.

00:16:47.060 This is just one way to tell.

00:16:48.320 It's not the only way to tell.

00:16:49.740 It's a bigger topic.

00:16:51.160 But here's one way to tell.

00:16:52.240 If your writer uses a word like zeitgeist,

00:16:58.740 you have to ask why they're using it.

00:17:02.620 Now when I used it in a tweet,

00:17:05.320 a tweet is a small bit of text,

00:17:08.860 and my intention was

00:17:10.920 that people would have one of two reactions.

00:17:14.640 One, they would know what the word meant,

00:17:17.240 and they would feel smart

00:17:18.320 because they know other people don't know what it means.

00:17:21.240 If you want people to feel smart,

00:17:23.660 use a word that you know they know what it means,

00:17:26.380 but they also know other people don't know what it means.

00:17:29.920 That will make them feel smart.

00:17:31.520 But what about the people who don't know what it means?

00:17:34.260 So I'm a professional writer,

00:17:35.780 and I put out a word in a tweet

00:17:38.140 that I knew 75%, 80%,

00:17:42.920 maybe 90% of the readers

00:17:45.700 wouldn't know what the word is.

00:17:47.220 Is that good writing,

00:17:48.900 or is that just being an asshole? 0.69

00:17:52.300 Well, I would propose this.

00:17:56.200 If the reason your professional writer

00:17:58.400 used an unfamiliar word

00:18:00.160 is to make you stop

00:18:02.000 and think about it

00:18:03.920 and maybe even look it up,

00:18:05.960 then that's good writing.

00:18:07.100 That's what I did.

00:18:08.820 So I used the word that I knew

00:18:10.560 a lot of people wouldn't understand

00:18:12.260 because I wanted them to stop

00:18:13.820 and say,

00:18:14.940 what the hell is that?

00:18:16.180 It's a zeitgeist.

00:18:17.160 Why is he using that word?

00:18:18.820 Now, here's the beauty of it.

00:18:20.220 The way I used it,

00:18:21.420 you didn't need to know what it meant

00:18:23.200 because the context told you,

00:18:26.000 I'm just saying it's going to be good in 2021,

00:18:28.120 a lot of energy.

00:18:30.180 But you probably stopped

00:18:31.920 on the word

00:18:33.160 if you didn't know what it meant.

00:18:34.780 That's what I wanted you to do.

00:18:36.200 If I could make you stop

00:18:38.040 and pause

00:18:39.200 and think a little extra

00:18:40.380 about my point,

00:18:41.880 then my point becomes

00:18:42.940 part of your memory

00:18:43.820 in a way it would not have

00:18:45.580 if I'd used ordinary words.

00:18:47.860 So if you're a professional writer

00:18:49.700 and you know that

00:18:51.120 what you're trying to do

00:18:52.020 is make your reader stop

00:18:53.900 and think,

00:18:55.320 that's the right way

00:18:56.240 to use an unusual word.

00:18:57.940 Had I used that same word

00:18:59.360 in a longer paragraph

00:19:00.700 without explaining it,

00:19:02.420 probably a mistake

00:19:04.580 because the reader

00:19:06.320 wants to get through the paragraph.

00:19:07.860 They don't want to stop.

00:19:09.480 Nobody wants to have to stop

00:19:10.680 and look up words

00:19:11.540 in a long form.

00:19:13.340 So in that context,

00:19:14.420 you don't want to use weird words.

00:19:16.680 Which brings me to

00:19:17.720 the funniest story of the day.

00:19:20.600 All of that was just a setup

00:19:22.500 for the funniest story of the day.

00:19:24.940 This is brought to us

00:19:26.800 courtesy of Joel Pollack

00:19:29.020 at Breitbart

00:19:29.960 who did the hard work

00:19:32.320 of actually reporting on something

00:19:34.040 and it's really the funniest thing

00:19:38.140 of the day.

00:19:39.720 So you heard that

00:19:40.800 the Obama administration

00:19:42.260 left behind this 69-page

00:19:45.040 pandemic planning document.

00:19:48.480 So good job Obama, right?

00:19:51.120 You got that big old planning document.

00:19:53.740 So apparently nobody

00:19:56.720 except Joel Pollack

00:19:57.940 thought it would be a good idea

00:19:59.700 to actually look at it.

00:20:02.700 To actually look at it

00:20:04.180 and say,

00:20:04.800 is this planning pandemic

00:20:07.500 as good as we thought it was?

00:20:10.740 Well, here's where it gets interesting.

00:20:13.400 And I was laughing for,

00:20:15.300 I think I laughed

00:20:16.000 for 15 minutes straight

00:20:17.420 after I'd read Joel's article

00:20:20.540 about this planning document

00:20:22.400 and then I went back

00:20:23.860 and read the title

00:20:24.840 of Joel's article

00:20:27.040 which is

00:20:27.780 The Obama-Biden Pandemic Playbook

00:20:32.580 is Less Than Advertised.

00:20:34.880 Now, that title won't make you laugh

00:20:37.780 until you read the article,

00:20:39.340 but when you appreciate

00:20:41.180 the understatement

00:20:43.420 of Less Than Advertised,

00:20:45.560 I'll tell you,

00:20:48.700 nothing's ever been

00:20:49.680 less than advertised

00:20:50.860 than this fricking thing.

00:20:53.260 So I won't be able

00:20:54.940 to fully describe

00:20:56.140 how useless this document is,

00:20:59.000 but I'll just give you

00:20:59.700 a flavor of it

00:21:00.500 from Joel's article.

00:21:06.020 And let me put it in context.

00:21:08.460 Remember the story

00:21:09.200 about the Russian troll farm

00:21:10.820 that was influencing

00:21:12.180 our elections

00:21:12.840 with their super KGB 0.52

00:21:15.180 Russian troll memes

00:21:17.760 that no doubt

00:21:18.920 were moving results.

00:21:21.760 And you're thinking,

00:21:22.280 my God,

00:21:23.340 the Russians,

00:21:24.120 they're weaponizing memes.

00:21:27.480 What have they done?

00:21:28.420 They've probably got

00:21:29.040 a secret laboratory

00:21:30.220 and they're testing it on people

00:21:33.240 to see which of the memes

00:21:34.240 are the good ones.

00:21:35.960 They've really probably

00:21:36.980 studied this

00:21:37.700 and weaponized it.

00:21:38.620 My God,

00:21:39.140 what kind of memes

00:21:39.780 are they sending us?

00:21:41.820 And then you look

00:21:42.640 at their memes

00:21:43.280 and it literally looks

00:21:46.640 like it was a sixth grade

00:21:47.980 class project.

00:21:49.900 Children,

00:21:51.060 take out your crayons

00:21:52.200 and we're going

00:21:53.500 to make memes today.

00:21:55.460 Make one that says

00:21:56.440 Hillary Clinton is mean.

00:21:58.740 Make one that says

00:21:59.580 she lies.

00:22:01.220 All right.

00:22:01.960 Thank you, children.

00:22:03.720 And when you actually

00:22:04.600 look at the memes,

00:22:05.560 you just have to laugh

00:22:07.000 because you realize

00:22:08.400 the entire story

00:22:09.660 about the Russia troll farm

00:22:11.500 was all fake.

00:22:12.920 Maybe not fake

00:22:13.880 in the sense that

00:22:15.100 they actually did

00:22:16.200 these things.

00:22:17.260 I'm not saying

00:22:17.880 they didn't do the things.

00:22:19.480 I'm saying that

00:22:20.040 when you look at it,

00:22:21.300 it's really a stretch

00:22:22.620 to say that Russia

00:22:24.460 was interfering

00:22:25.200 in the election.

00:22:26.500 I mean,

00:22:26.900 it's the biggest stretch

00:22:28.160 you've ever stretched.

00:22:30.680 It was sort of like,

00:22:31.720 you know,

00:22:32.440 pissing in the ocean

00:22:33.460 and looking to see

00:22:35.720 if the water level rose.

00:22:40.140 So this document,

00:22:43.160 the Obama-Biden

00:22:44.320 pandemic playbook,

00:22:45.840 is, as Joel Pollack says,

00:22:48.600 less than advertised.

00:22:50.480 Let me tell you

00:22:51.160 how much less.

00:22:57.100 As Joel says,

00:22:58.520 of the 69 pages,

00:23:00.340 because you say

00:23:01.100 to yourself,

00:23:01.600 wow,

00:23:02.680 that's pretty hefty.

00:23:04.380 69 pages

00:23:05.720 of pandemic playbook.

00:23:07.880 Wow.

00:23:09.360 But of the 69 pages,

00:23:11.440 only 27

00:23:12.900 are actually

00:23:13.660 playbook.

00:23:14.600 The first 13 pages

00:23:16.600 are a table of contents,

00:23:18.680 executive summary,

00:23:19.860 and various title pages.

00:23:21.920 The last 29 pages

00:23:24.200 are appendices,

00:23:25.220 and within the 27 pages

00:23:27.700 of the playbook,

00:23:29.040 only 17 deal

00:23:30.540 with an international,

00:23:32.340 uh,

00:23:33.480 uh,

00:23:33.900 international,

00:23:34.520 uh,

00:23:35.540 says on the next page,

00:23:39.200 all right,

00:23:40.020 with an actual pandemic,

00:23:41.340 I guess.

00:23:43.720 Why are my notes

00:23:44.800 out of order,

00:23:45.560 he asks.

00:23:47.460 Um,

00:23:48.060 anyway,

00:23:50.980 so there's a,

00:23:52.140 uh,

00:23:52.460 a quote in there

00:23:53.180 in which the

00:23:54.880 first part

00:23:56.000 of the,

00:23:56.640 uh,

00:23:58.300 the very first,

00:23:59.080 oh,

00:23:59.300 here it is.

00:24:00.400 Sorry.

00:24:02.100 Uh,

00:24:03.100 so here's

00:24:03.840 the actual quote

00:24:04.740 from the guide.

00:24:06.000 This is the very,

00:24:06.720 one of the first sections.

00:24:08.280 I swear to God

00:24:09.340 I'm not making this up.

00:24:11.160 This is actually

00:24:12.220 written down

00:24:13.400 by a public organization.

00:24:15.560 It says this,

00:24:16.900 this rubric,

00:24:18.420 capitalized,

00:24:20.080 capitalized R

00:24:21.200 for rubric,

00:24:21.960 this rubric

00:24:23.460 is not intended

00:24:24.160 to serve

00:24:24.700 as a comprehensive

00:24:25.340 concept of operations

00:24:26.780 or what?

00:24:28.360 It's not intended

00:24:29.480 to serve

00:24:30.060 as a,

00:24:30.500 as a comprehensive

00:24:32.660 concept of operations

00:24:34.100 or to replace

00:24:35.840 pre-existing

00:24:36.860 U.S.

00:24:37.740 government

00:24:38.060 response structures.

00:24:40.580 What?

00:24:41.380 So the pandemic

00:24:42.600 playbook

00:24:43.280 is not a

00:24:44.420 comprehensive

00:24:45.280 guide of what

00:24:46.240 to do?

00:24:47.300 I thought that

00:24:48.460 was the whole point.

00:24:49.400 but rather

00:24:51.000 it's a guide

00:24:51.940 to other guides.

00:24:53.640 It's a rubric.

00:24:55.680 Now,

00:24:56.380 raise your hand

00:24:58.000 if you know

00:24:58.440 what a rubric is.

00:24:59.980 Somebody in the comments

00:25:00.940 exactly as I said that.

00:25:02.940 The comment

00:25:03.520 appeared on screen.

00:25:04.980 What is a rubric?

00:25:06.700 Now,

00:25:07.360 let me explain

00:25:08.200 and bring it all together.

00:25:10.800 The difference

00:25:11.720 between a professional

00:25:12.980 writer

00:25:13.460 and an asshole 0.95

00:25:14.440 is that

00:25:15.880 if your professional

00:25:16.860 writer used

00:25:17.560 a word like

00:25:18.200 zeitgeist

00:25:19.060 in a tweet,

00:25:21.180 the point of it

00:25:22.300 was to make you

00:25:22.900 slow down

00:25:23.500 and think,

00:25:24.020 what does that

00:25:24.500 word mean?

00:25:25.660 If, however,

00:25:27.260 you're writing

00:25:27.840 a 69-page

00:25:29.660 pandemic playbook

00:25:31.480 meant to be read

00:25:33.360 quickly and efficiently

00:25:35.140 by people

00:25:36.380 during an emergency,

00:25:38.540 one word

00:25:39.560 you should not use

00:25:40.540 if you're a

00:25:41.100 professional writer

00:25:42.040 is a rubric

00:25:43.600 because nobody

00:25:44.900 knows what the

00:25:45.500 fuck it means.

00:25:47.180 I had to just

00:25:47.840 look it up.

00:25:48.840 I'm a professional

00:25:49.700 writer.

00:25:50.160 I don't know

00:25:50.420 what a rubric is.

00:25:51.920 Have you ever

00:25:52.600 used that word

00:25:53.280 in your whole life?

00:25:55.120 Seriously.

00:25:56.180 Raise your hand

00:25:57.020 if you've ever

00:25:57.720 used the word

00:25:58.520 rubric

00:25:59.500 in a freaking

00:26:00.520 sentence.

00:26:01.920 Not me.

00:26:03.440 Not me.

00:26:05.960 So,

00:26:06.760 whoever wrote

00:26:07.460 this was not

00:26:08.400 what I would

00:26:08.840 call a professional

00:26:09.820 writer

00:26:10.220 because no

00:26:11.120 professional writer

00:26:12.020 is going to say

00:26:12.700 this rubric

00:26:13.660 is not intended

00:26:14.500 to serve

00:26:14.980 and then go on

00:26:16.180 to say

00:26:16.480 it's just a

00:26:17.000 guide to

00:26:17.420 other guides.

00:26:18.700 Now,

00:26:18.860 here's the fun

00:26:19.420 part.

00:26:20.280 This thing

00:26:20.920 is so poorly

00:26:21.660 written

00:26:22.020 that you would

00:26:23.300 never use it.

00:26:24.720 It's completely

00:26:25.480 unusable.

00:26:27.140 But here's

00:26:28.020 what it

00:26:28.360 tried to do.

00:26:30.280 So,

00:26:30.740 it tried to

00:26:31.240 be a pointer

00:26:32.080 to point to

00:26:33.300 all the government

00:26:33.960 entities that

00:26:35.000 would have a

00:26:35.520 role during

00:26:36.260 a pandemic.

00:26:37.520 Here's the fun

00:26:38.340 part.

00:26:39.200 Each of those

00:26:39.860 individual

00:26:40.540 entities

00:26:41.960 already knew

00:26:43.340 what they

00:26:43.720 were supposed

00:26:44.200 to do.

00:26:45.700 So,

00:26:46.460 do you think

00:26:47.220 we needed

00:26:47.740 a pandemic

00:26:48.640 playbook

00:26:49.500 for all of

00:26:51.400 these entities

00:26:51.980 to do what

00:26:52.680 they're supposed

00:26:53.240 to do

00:26:53.780 when each

00:26:54.900 of the

00:26:55.180 entities

00:26:55.620 already knew

00:26:56.480 what they

00:26:56.820 were supposed

00:26:57.360 to do?

00:26:58.500 I would

00:26:59.280 submit to

00:27:00.120 you that

00:27:00.700 the entire

00:27:01.200 69-page

00:27:02.480 pandemic

00:27:03.420 playbook

00:27:04.140 should have

00:27:04.700 been on

00:27:05.360 one page.

00:27:07.460 And that

00:27:08.400 one page

00:27:09.120 should have

00:27:09.660 said,

00:27:10.520 in the event

00:27:11.040 of an

00:27:11.440 emergency

00:27:11.900 of this

00:27:12.340 type,

00:27:13.160 here's the

00:27:13.720 list of

00:27:14.300 agencies that

00:27:15.100 get involved.

00:27:16.220 Each of

00:27:16.580 them know

00:27:16.920 what to

00:27:17.280 do.

00:27:18.100 Here are

00:27:18.720 their phone

00:27:19.120 numbers and

00:27:19.900 who's in

00:27:20.260 charge,

00:27:20.820 just so you

00:27:21.380 can coordinate

00:27:21.920 with each

00:27:22.380 other.

00:27:23.380 One page.

00:27:24.980 The 69-page

00:27:26.560 pandemic

00:27:27.460 playbook

00:27:28.180 should have

00:27:29.300 been one

00:27:30.200 page.

00:27:31.240 And then

00:27:31.500 when you

00:27:31.820 had that

00:27:32.260 one page

00:27:32.980 done,

00:27:33.740 here's what

00:27:34.140 you should

00:27:34.440 do with

00:27:34.780 it.

00:27:35.920 Ball it

00:27:36.540 up into

00:27:36.880 a little

00:27:37.200 ball and

00:27:38.120 then throw

00:27:38.480 it in the

00:27:38.880 garbage because

00:27:39.560 you don't

00:27:40.000 need the

00:27:40.360 one page

00:27:40.920 either.

00:27:41.980 Because as

00:27:42.400 soon as

00:27:42.900 the shit

00:27:44.600 came down,

00:27:45.840 every one

00:27:46.300 of those

00:27:46.660 agencies,

00:27:47.640 I'm guessing,

00:27:49.680 leapt into

00:27:50.400 action and

00:27:51.760 told their

00:27:52.300 bosses what

00:27:53.340 they need

00:27:53.760 to do.

00:27:54.740 And then

00:27:55.040 those bosses

00:27:55.780 went to

00:27:56.440 their bosses

00:27:57.020 and told

00:27:58.160 them what

00:27:58.580 to do.

00:27:59.400 Because every

00:28:00.360 agency already

00:28:01.340 knew what

00:28:01.780 to do.

00:28:02.600 If you're

00:28:03.220 telling me

00:28:03.700 that the

00:28:04.180 pandemic

00:28:05.120 playbook was

00:28:06.000 the key

00:28:06.360 to it

00:28:06.700 all,

00:28:07.320 and if

00:28:07.580 we'd had

00:28:07.980 this,

00:28:08.340 there would

00:28:08.540 have been

00:28:08.760 no chaos,

00:28:09.920 you have

00:28:10.340 never lived

00:28:10.960 in the

00:28:11.260 real world.

00:28:12.320 Because whoever

00:28:13.020 wrote the

00:28:13.560 pandemic

00:28:14.060 playbook and

00:28:15.500 started with

00:28:16.180 the sentence

00:28:16.800 this rubric

00:28:18.260 is not your

00:28:20.120 A player in

00:28:21.020 the government.

00:28:22.020 This was

00:28:22.460 clearly the

00:28:23.460 lowest level,

00:28:25.080 probably a

00:28:25.880 political hire,

00:28:27.340 somebody who

00:28:28.000 had an Ivy

00:28:28.500 League degree or

00:28:29.480 something like

00:28:30.160 it, and

00:28:31.160 somebody said,

00:28:32.120 look, we

00:28:32.500 don't have any

00:28:33.020 real work for

00:28:33.780 you, can

00:28:34.480 you make

00:28:34.780 us a

00:28:35.100 pandemic

00:28:35.600 playbook?

00:28:36.760 And the

00:28:37.080 person said,

00:28:37.620 well, what's

00:28:37.960 that?

00:28:38.700 He goes, I

00:28:39.060 don't know,

00:28:39.380 just make

00:28:39.740 sure there's

00:28:40.240 a document

00:28:40.860 so we can

00:28:41.820 say that

00:28:42.240 we've got a

00:28:42.640 plan, you

00:28:43.820 know, just

00:28:44.200 in case.

00:28:46.780 So, you

00:28:48.380 have to

00:28:48.820 read for

00:28:49.760 humor purposes,

00:28:50.920 and I swear

00:28:51.240 to God, this

00:28:51.680 is just for

00:28:52.240 laughs, you

00:28:53.340 have to go

00:28:53.760 look at it.

00:28:54.260 So look at

00:28:54.660 Joel's article,

00:28:55.380 I tweeted

00:28:55.740 it, you can

00:28:56.220 find it in

00:28:56.640 my Twitter

00:28:56.980 feed or go

00:28:57.560 to Breitbart,

00:28:58.800 and go to

00:29:00.360 actually the

00:29:01.120 document itself

00:29:01.920 and look at

00:29:02.320 the text, it

00:29:03.400 is so

00:29:04.100 hilariously

00:29:05.140 useless, and

00:29:07.220 watching Biden

00:29:08.040 claim that

00:29:08.920 this is the

00:29:09.420 magic document

00:29:10.200 is pretty

00:29:11.040 funny.

00:29:12.040 All right,

00:29:13.600 let's see

00:29:15.060 what else we

00:29:15.480 got going on

00:29:16.040 here.

00:29:18.940 We got some

00:29:19.840 fun stuff out

00:29:20.860 of South

00:29:21.340 Korea.

00:29:22.440 There was a

00:29:23.180 study of

00:29:23.780 asymptomatic

00:29:24.600 transmission.

00:29:25.860 Now, there's

00:29:27.220 still that

00:29:27.580 question, how

00:29:28.280 much asymptomatic

00:29:29.280 transmission is

00:29:30.200 there, but I

00:29:31.080 feel like this

00:29:31.700 South Korean

00:29:33.140 study gives

00:29:34.160 us a pretty

00:29:34.940 good answer.

00:29:37.620 So there

00:29:37.960 was some

00:29:38.460 gym where

00:29:39.600 they had a

00:29:39.980 bunch of

00:29:41.140 different classes,

00:29:42.420 and what they

00:29:42.880 found is that

00:29:43.680 in the high

00:29:44.220 intensity classes,

00:29:45.760 where people

00:29:46.260 were maybe

00:29:47.020 packed in and

00:29:48.020 breathing hard,

00:29:49.460 that there was

00:29:49.900 a high rate of

00:29:50.660 asymptomatic

00:29:51.400 transmission.

00:29:52.540 So I feel

00:29:53.360 like we can

00:29:53.980 put to rest

00:29:54.640 the question

00:29:55.240 whether it

00:29:56.340 exists.

00:29:56.880 I feel

00:29:58.700 like we

00:29:59.040 can say

00:29:59.380 there is

00:30:00.020 asymptomatic

00:30:01.280 transmission,

00:30:02.640 based on

00:30:03.360 this alone,

00:30:04.280 because I

00:30:04.660 would trust

00:30:05.020 South Korea

00:30:05.520 for this

00:30:05.940 stuff.

00:30:07.280 But here's

00:30:08.400 the interesting

00:30:08.820 thing.

00:30:09.740 There was

00:30:10.080 no transmission

00:30:11.040 in the

00:30:12.060 less active

00:30:13.680 classes like

00:30:14.480 yoga and

00:30:15.060 Pilates,

00:30:16.180 and there

00:30:16.820 was no

00:30:17.260 transmission

00:30:17.820 in classes

00:30:18.440 with fewer

00:30:19.080 than five

00:30:19.640 people.

00:30:20.780 Now, that

00:30:21.080 doesn't mean

00:30:21.460 there would

00:30:21.700 never be,

00:30:22.740 but I

00:30:23.520 think this

00:30:23.940 lays it out

00:30:24.700 pretty clearly

00:30:25.380 that if

00:30:27.260 you were

00:30:27.500 to say

00:30:27.840 go to

00:30:28.160 your

00:30:28.360 cubicle

00:30:28.900 and sit

00:30:29.480 there and

00:30:29.860 work,

00:30:30.800 and you're

00:30:31.140 not hugging

00:30:32.180 or touching

00:30:32.840 other people,

00:30:33.860 it's going

00:30:34.420 to be more

00:30:34.780 like taking

00:30:35.300 a yoga or

00:30:36.000 Pilates

00:30:36.300 class,

00:30:37.520 and asymptomatic

00:30:38.760 transmission

00:30:39.400 didn't happen.

00:30:41.560 But if

00:30:42.420 you're in

00:30:43.840 one room

00:30:44.480 sweating and

00:30:45.220 playing basketball

00:30:45.940 or something,

00:30:47.000 and you're

00:30:47.620 above a

00:30:48.420 certain age,

00:30:49.120 it's probably

00:30:49.400 pretty dangerous.

00:30:51.920 So I

00:30:52.220 think that

00:30:52.500 really,

00:30:53.180 to me,

00:30:53.720 this put it

00:30:54.400 in really

00:30:55.560 stark

00:30:56.040 contrast,

00:30:56.780 because it

00:30:57.020 looks like

00:30:57.360 they did

00:30:57.660 a good

00:30:57.920 job of

00:30:59.060 the contact

00:30:59.640 tracing,

00:31:00.260 and they've

00:31:00.440 got a good

00:31:00.800 handle on

00:31:01.460 this being

00:31:02.460 asymptomatic,

00:31:03.580 but also the

00:31:04.680 specific situations

00:31:05.760 you've got to

00:31:06.160 watch out for.

00:31:06.780 That's a pretty

00:31:07.140 big deal.

00:31:10.720 The Washington

00:31:11.620 Post has

00:31:13.760 this opinion

00:31:14.280 piece,

00:31:15.420 Trump is

00:31:15.900 gambling the

00:31:17.080 health of the

00:31:17.640 nation for

00:31:18.280 his re-election.

00:31:19.580 So that's

00:31:20.040 how the

00:31:21.000 Washington

00:31:21.380 Post

00:31:21.820 describes a

00:31:23.820 leader simply

00:31:24.460 doing the

00:31:24.940 job of a 0.65

00:31:25.500 leader.

00:31:27.120 Correct me

00:31:27.920 if I'm

00:31:28.240 wrong,

00:31:29.400 but isn't

00:31:30.120 every leader

00:31:31.680 of every

00:31:32.320 country trying

00:31:33.440 to put people

00:31:34.160 back to work

00:31:34.860 but safely?

00:31:37.040 Is 0.88

00:31:37.600 President Trump

00:31:38.300 doing anything

00:31:39.080 different than

00:31:40.540 every governor

00:31:41.380 of every party

00:31:42.440 and every leader

00:31:43.480 of every country

00:31:44.540 and all of their

00:31:45.780 governors everywhere

00:31:46.980 in the world?

00:31:47.940 Every single one

00:31:48.880 of them is doing

00:31:50.840 the same thing.

00:31:51.760 They're trying to

00:31:52.320 figure out this

00:31:52.920 balance of

00:31:53.980 when to go

00:31:54.340 back to work

00:31:54.840 and how.

00:31:56.200 But in the

00:31:56.900 Washington Post

00:31:57.880 opinion,

00:31:59.060 Trump is

00:31:59.520 gambling the

00:32:00.140 health of the

00:32:00.600 nation for

00:32:01.180 his re-election.

00:32:02.620 So first of

00:32:03.320 all, that's

00:32:03.580 another mind

00:32:04.260 reading situation

00:32:05.260 because it

00:32:06.040 assumes some

00:32:06.900 knowledge of

00:32:07.580 his inner

00:32:08.140 state and

00:32:09.560 your magical

00:32:10.840 knowledge of

00:32:11.620 his inner

00:32:12.160 mind is that

00:32:13.560 his inner

00:32:14.100 mind doesn't

00:32:14.820 care about

00:32:15.340 dead people.

00:32:16.580 He doesn't

00:32:16.980 care if you

00:32:17.740 live or die.

00:32:19.100 He only cares

00:32:19.700 about his

00:32:20.020 re-election.

00:32:20.580 I would say

00:32:22.680 that's not

00:32:23.160 quite in

00:32:23.680 evidence.

00:32:25.600 Another person

00:32:26.340 who says

00:32:26.720 that's not

00:32:27.180 in evidence,

00:32:29.200 well, he

00:32:30.200 doesn't say

00:32:30.580 that.

00:32:31.360 But I've

00:32:32.720 told you

00:32:32.980 you should

00:32:33.480 read Nate

00:32:33.920 Silver.

00:32:35.100 He's totally

00:32:35.980 the best

00:32:36.620 when it comes

00:32:38.140 to calling

00:32:38.720 out the

00:32:39.120 BS for

00:32:40.000 other people's

00:32:41.160 let's say

00:32:42.380 statistical

00:32:43.160 ignorance.

00:32:45.000 And what

00:32:45.640 Nate says

00:32:46.200 about the

00:32:47.040 opinion piece

00:32:48.000 that Trump

00:32:48.760 is gambling

00:32:49.320 the health

00:32:49.720 of the

00:32:49.940 nation for

00:32:50.420 his

00:32:50.560 re-election.

00:32:51.900 Nate

00:32:52.120 Silver says,

00:32:52.940 I continue

00:32:53.800 to doubt

00:32:54.400 the implication

00:32:55.200 of a

00:32:56.160 certain

00:32:56.480 influential

00:32:57.180 parcel of

00:32:58.100 the conventional

00:32:58.760 wisdom that

00:33:00.140 tens or

00:33:00.920 hundreds of

00:33:01.500 thousands of

00:33:02.100 additional

00:33:02.580 Americans

00:33:03.200 dying would 0.69

00:33:04.460 be good

00:33:04.980 for Trump's

00:33:05.620 re-election

00:33:06.100 prospects.

00:33:08.300 So,

00:33:09.120 you know,

00:33:09.600 Nate,

00:33:10.320 who I don't

00:33:11.140 believe would

00:33:11.740 ever identify

00:33:12.420 as Republican

00:33:13.440 or conservative,

00:33:14.600 I'm just

00:33:14.880 guessing,

00:33:15.420 I don't know

00:33:15.760 if he said

00:33:16.140 anything in

00:33:16.600 those terms,

00:33:17.320 but one does

00:33:18.580 not think he

00:33:19.100 is Republican.

00:33:20.940 And even

00:33:21.360 he's calling

00:33:22.280 bullshit on

00:33:22.980 the Washington

00:33:23.700 Post,

00:33:24.740 saying,

00:33:26.300 I'm paraphrasing

00:33:27.440 here,

00:33:27.820 but basically,

00:33:29.080 can you explain

00:33:29.860 to me how

00:33:31.460 you get

00:33:31.960 re-elected by

00:33:32.920 killing hundreds

00:33:33.720 of thousands

00:33:34.220 of your own

00:33:34.860 citizens?

00:33:36.000 What exactly

00:33:36.860 is the strategy

00:33:37.840 you're suggesting

00:33:38.740 he's pursuing

00:33:39.620 whereby killing

00:33:41.140 lots of citizens

00:33:42.100 he gets more

00:33:42.840 support?

00:33:43.860 Can you explain

00:33:44.700 how that works?

00:33:45.460 because it

00:33:45.880 looks to me

00:33:46.460 like it's

00:33:47.680 just adults

00:33:48.380 making adult

00:33:49.100 decisions,

00:33:49.940 and it's

00:33:51.000 not all

00:33:51.400 pretty.

00:33:52.920 So,

00:33:53.280 even Nate

00:33:54.340 is calling

00:33:54.980 out the

00:33:55.300 Washington

00:33:55.680 Post on

00:33:57.020 that.

00:33:57.320 So,

00:33:57.480 this is why

00:33:57.900 I'm appreciating

00:33:58.640 Nate Silver.

00:33:59.780 He is,

00:34:01.140 I would say,

00:34:01.800 consistently,

00:34:03.140 he just goes

00:34:03.860 with what the

00:34:04.480 evidence is

00:34:05.200 pointing to,

00:34:06.700 and is rare,

00:34:08.380 so it's

00:34:08.920 worth calling

00:34:09.620 out.

00:34:11.860 Moderna,

00:34:12.820 a tech company,

00:34:13.880 says they've

00:34:14.260 got a

00:34:14.520 coronavirus vaccine

00:34:15.540 that activated

00:34:17.200 antibodies in

00:34:18.080 all 45

00:34:18.840 participants,

00:34:20.260 but they're

00:34:20.600 one of 110

00:34:21.840 vaccine makers.

00:34:23.940 Who knows

00:34:24.640 if any of

00:34:25.280 that will

00:34:25.660 work.

00:34:30.040 Let's

00:34:30.600 say,

00:34:31.260 so it

00:34:33.180 looks like

00:34:33.480 the current

00:34:33.960 death count

00:34:35.160 estimate for

00:34:35.940 the United

00:34:36.260 States is

00:34:36.760 147,000

00:34:38.660 by early

00:34:39.900 August.

00:34:41.560 So,

00:34:42.280 are we

00:34:42.760 going to

00:34:42.960 get to

00:34:43.400 200,000

00:34:44.700 dead?

00:34:46.080 Do you

00:34:46.580 think?

00:34:47.340 If we

00:34:47.940 just

00:34:48.180 straight line

00:34:49.020 our,

00:34:49.700 it doesn't

00:34:50.280 look like

00:34:50.700 we're trying

00:34:51.120 to flatten

00:34:51.680 the curve.

00:34:52.760 I'm sorry,

00:34:53.320 it doesn't

00:34:53.700 look like

00:34:54.080 we're trying

00:34:54.420 to drive

00:34:54.840 the curve

00:34:55.260 to zero.

00:34:56.400 It looks

00:34:56.940 like,

00:34:57.420 it looks

00:34:57.840 like,

00:34:58.760 not looks

00:34:59.300 like,

00:34:59.680 it is,

00:35:00.780 that we're

00:35:01.520 going back

00:35:02.000 to work

00:35:02.420 with a

00:35:02.800 flat curve

00:35:03.520 will be

00:35:03.900 good enough.

00:35:05.180 I think

00:35:05.720 we'd go

00:35:06.060 back to

00:35:06.480 work even

00:35:06.960 with a

00:35:07.320 slightly

00:35:07.620 rising

00:35:08.140 curve,

00:35:08.960 as long

00:35:09.620 as we

00:35:09.940 didn't think

00:35:10.460 it would

00:35:10.700 overwhelm

00:35:11.160 hospitals.

00:35:14.840 But,

00:35:16.120 if early

00:35:17.420 August is

00:35:18.200 147,000

00:35:19.800 dead,

00:35:21.460 we could

00:35:22.760 hit 200,000

00:35:23.880 by the end

00:35:24.380 of the year,

00:35:24.800 could we

00:35:25.100 not?

00:35:26.240 And,

00:35:26.720 have you

00:35:27.440 heard the

00:35:27.860 people who

00:35:28.640 say it's

00:35:29.160 just the

00:35:29.700 flu be

00:35:30.920 very active

00:35:31.700 lately?

00:35:33.040 Because,

00:35:33.780 correct me if

00:35:34.300 I'm wrong,

00:35:34.820 but around

00:35:35.500 the time

00:35:36.140 that the

00:35:37.020 number of

00:35:37.800 estimated

00:35:38.940 deaths

00:35:39.400 seemed like

00:35:40.700 it would

00:35:40.980 certainly

00:35:41.380 be over

00:35:41.900 100,000

00:35:42.600 because we're

00:35:43.080 already around

00:35:43.600 90,000.

00:35:45.000 Once it

00:35:45.580 started,

00:35:46.280 once it

00:35:46.780 was clear

00:35:47.400 that it

00:35:47.780 would exceed

00:35:48.240 100,000

00:35:49.080 deaths,

00:35:50.680 did you

00:35:51.140 notice that

00:35:51.700 the just

00:35:52.180 the flu

00:35:52.600 people started

00:35:53.380 getting quiet?

00:35:55.260 Is that

00:35:55.720 my imagination?

00:35:57.180 Because I

00:35:57.780 think people

00:35:58.300 maybe moved

00:36:00.060 from,

00:36:00.900 hey,

00:36:01.180 it's just

00:36:01.600 like the

00:36:02.020 flu,

00:36:02.980 to,

00:36:03.420 okay,

00:36:03.660 this isn't

00:36:04.100 the flu,

00:36:05.260 but we

00:36:05.640 still have

00:36:05.980 to open

00:36:06.240 up.

00:36:07.220 It

00:36:07.380 doesn't

00:36:07.600 really,

00:36:07.920 might not

00:36:08.480 change your

00:36:09.220 opinion

00:36:09.520 about

00:36:09.880 reopening,

00:36:11.380 but it

00:36:12.000 might change

00:36:12.480 your opinion

00:36:12.920 about whether

00:36:13.480 this was

00:36:13.940 a serious

00:36:14.420 thing.

00:36:19.100 Let's

00:36:19.580 see.

00:36:21.480 What else

00:36:22.140 we got

00:36:22.420 going on?

00:36:23.120 Well, so

00:36:23.640 there was

00:36:24.040 that

00:36:24.340 whistleblower,

00:36:26.080 the disgruntled

00:36:27.060 Mr. Bright,

00:36:29.960 B-R-I-G-H-T, 1.00

00:36:31.940 he's bright.

00:36:34.800 And here's

00:36:35.500 some of the

00:36:35.860 things that

00:36:36.240 he said.

00:36:36.680 So I

00:36:36.860 guess he

00:36:37.160 was on

00:36:37.480 CBS.

00:36:39.480 Was it

00:36:39.820 60 Minutes?

00:36:40.500 I'm not

00:36:40.760 sure.

00:36:41.740 But let's

00:36:42.960 see if you

00:36:43.520 think he's

00:36:44.480 a disgruntled

00:36:45.280 employee.

00:36:46.460 Is he

00:36:47.060 just acting

00:36:47.600 politically?

00:36:49.260 Or is

00:36:50.600 he just

00:36:50.880 a whistleblower

00:36:51.600 and he's

00:36:52.220 just right?

00:36:53.520 Here are

00:36:53.880 some things

00:36:54.340 which we

00:36:55.340 learned.

00:36:56.160 He said

00:36:56.660 that at

00:36:57.300 January

00:36:57.640 23rd

00:36:58.460 meeting,

00:36:59.520 he was

00:37:00.060 the only

00:37:00.360 person in

00:37:00.960 the room

00:37:01.340 who said,

00:37:02.220 quote,

00:37:02.740 we're going

00:37:03.140 to need

00:37:03.520 vaccines and

00:37:04.320 diagnostics and

00:37:05.260 drugs.

00:37:05.700 It's going

00:37:06.020 to take a

00:37:06.480 while.

00:37:06.720 We need

00:37:07.580 to get

00:37:07.860 started.

00:37:09.280 So he

00:37:10.580 was the

00:37:10.900 only person

00:37:11.460 in the

00:37:11.900 room.

00:37:13.280 What room

00:37:14.000 was he

00:37:14.360 in?

00:37:15.140 Who else

00:37:15.780 was in

00:37:16.160 that room?

00:37:17.480 Was it

00:37:18.060 the guy

00:37:18.400 who wrote

00:37:18.780 the pandemic

00:37:19.480 playbook?

00:37:20.780 Probably

00:37:21.100 not.

00:37:22.060 Was the

00:37:22.700 president in

00:37:23.360 the room

00:37:23.700 on January

00:37:25.100 23rd when

00:37:25.880 he said we

00:37:26.240 need these

00:37:26.680 vaccines and

00:37:27.400 diagnostics?

00:37:28.560 How about

00:37:28.960 anybody else

00:37:29.600 in the room

00:37:30.020 who also

00:37:30.540 thought that?

00:37:31.600 Was he

00:37:32.060 the only

00:37:32.420 guy?

00:37:32.920 Was he

00:37:33.140 the hero?

00:37:33.560 So here's

00:37:35.200 the thing.

00:37:35.800 Look for

00:37:36.140 the hero

00:37:36.640 story.

00:37:37.920 If your

00:37:38.720 whistleblower

00:37:39.380 has a

00:37:39.880 hero story,

00:37:41.240 I tried

00:37:41.940 to tell

00:37:42.480 them they

00:37:43.920 wouldn't

00:37:44.380 listen to

00:37:44.920 me.

00:37:46.100 Does that

00:37:46.680 sound like

00:37:47.080 a whistleblower

00:37:48.080 or a

00:37:49.460 disgruntled

00:37:50.260 employee?

00:37:51.340 I had

00:37:51.980 the idea

00:37:52.640 nobody would

00:37:53.940 listen to

00:37:54.420 me in the

00:37:54.860 meeting.

00:37:55.200 As the

00:37:57.660 creator of

00:37:58.920 Dilbert,

00:37:59.960 I appoint

00:38:00.460 myself judge

00:38:01.260 and jury

00:38:01.720 of this

00:38:02.220 question,

00:38:03.460 and I

00:38:03.880 vote,

00:38:04.680 sounds more

00:38:05.440 like a

00:38:05.960 disgruntled

00:38:06.740 employee,

00:38:07.460 but we're

00:38:07.680 not done.

00:38:08.560 That's not

00:38:08.940 a firm

00:38:09.420 judgment yet.

00:38:12.720 And then

00:38:13.460 Bright told

00:38:13.960 Noro O'Donnell

00:38:14.760 on 60

00:38:15.780 Minutes that

00:38:17.300 his resistance

00:38:18.160 to Trump's

00:38:18.920 push for

00:38:19.520 hydroxychloroquine

00:38:20.580 was what

00:38:21.120 got him

00:38:22.180 fired,

00:38:23.320 and then he

00:38:24.020 put it this

00:38:24.520 way,

00:38:24.740 quote,

00:38:25.720 the whistleblower

00:38:26.440 did,

00:38:27.180 I believe

00:38:28.020 my last

00:38:28.720 ditch effort

00:38:29.920 to protect

00:38:31.080 Americans

00:38:31.660 from that

00:38:32.340 drug,

00:38:33.480 to protect

00:38:34.740 us from

00:38:35.220 hydroxychloroquine,

00:38:36.580 was the

00:38:37.120 final straw

00:38:37.800 that they

00:38:38.160 used and

00:38:38.580 believed was

00:38:39.020 essential to

00:38:39.680 push me out.

00:38:41.300 He was

00:38:41.720 trying to

00:38:42.340 protect the

00:38:43.600 American people

00:38:44.500 from a

00:38:46.100 drug that

00:38:46.600 is widely

00:38:47.100 used in

00:38:47.700 other countries

00:38:48.520 successfully.

00:38:51.220 He's a

00:38:51.840 hero.

00:38:52.880 He's trying

00:38:53.300 to protect

00:38:53.880 us from

00:38:54.360 the drug

00:38:54.780 that's

00:38:55.060 widely

00:38:55.420 used in

00:38:55.940 other

00:38:56.200 countries

00:38:56.740 successfully.

00:38:58.940 Now,

00:38:59.380 when I

00:38:59.600 say

00:38:59.780 successfully,

00:39:01.080 I mean

00:39:01.400 they're not

00:39:01.760 reporting any

00:39:02.520 problems,

00:39:03.180 and they

00:39:03.520 continue to

00:39:04.140 use it.

00:39:05.120 So they

00:39:05.760 must think

00:39:06.320 it's working,

00:39:07.360 because who

00:39:08.380 would still

00:39:08.900 be using

00:39:09.420 it if it

00:39:12.140 had made

00:39:12.400 no difference?

00:39:14.380 Fact check me

00:39:15.340 on this.

00:39:16.440 Are other

00:39:17.280 countries using

00:39:18.200 it more,

00:39:20.280 since this

00:39:21.000 guy said it

00:39:21.580 was dangerous,

00:39:22.700 or are

00:39:23.700 other countries

00:39:24.440 using it

00:39:25.100 less because

00:39:27.200 of all the

00:39:27.680 problems and

00:39:28.380 the people

00:39:28.700 dying from

00:39:29.460 it?

00:39:30.380 I'm going

00:39:30.860 to guess

00:39:31.240 more,

00:39:33.780 wouldn't

00:39:34.500 you?

00:39:35.360 So it

00:39:35.880 seems to

00:39:36.300 me that

00:39:36.620 this guy

00:39:36.980 was just

00:39:37.380 bad at

00:39:38.220 risk management.

00:39:40.540 It is a

00:39:41.780 fact that if

00:39:42.660 enough people

00:39:43.220 take this

00:39:43.720 drug,

00:39:44.400 somebody's

00:39:45.020 going to

00:39:45.160 have a bad

00:39:45.620 reaction and

00:39:46.160 die.

00:39:46.460 That's just

00:39:46.800 a fact.

00:39:47.220 it's a

00:39:48.900 fact of

00:39:49.280 drugs in

00:39:49.680 general.

00:39:50.680 And I'm

00:39:52.640 going to

00:39:52.860 say that

00:39:53.380 he's got a

00:39:54.080 little bit

00:39:54.400 of a hero

00:39:55.280 thing going

00:39:56.220 on here.

00:39:57.360 I tried to

00:39:59.040 save the

00:39:59.660 Americans from

00:40:00.360 that drug.

00:40:01.580 It was my

00:40:02.020 last-ditch

00:40:02.700 effort.

00:40:03.940 I told them

00:40:04.620 they needed

00:40:05.120 protective

00:40:05.800 equipment.

00:40:07.020 I told

00:40:07.700 them no

00:40:08.740 one would

00:40:09.200 listen.

00:40:10.340 They

00:40:10.540 wouldn't

00:40:10.880 listen to

00:40:11.420 me.

00:40:12.920 All right.

00:40:14.640 And then

00:40:15.480 here's the

00:40:16.200 kicker.

00:40:16.560 And I

00:40:17.400 will base

00:40:17.900 my final

00:40:18.580 judgment on

00:40:19.420 this sentence.

00:40:20.860 And by the

00:40:21.280 way, for

00:40:22.440 those of you

00:40:23.040 who have

00:40:23.400 followed me

00:40:24.060 long enough,

00:40:24.580 you know,

00:40:25.480 this is

00:40:26.020 something I've

00:40:26.620 said before

00:40:28.100 a lot.

00:40:29.600 So this

00:40:30.180 won't be the

00:40:30.740 first time I've

00:40:31.600 made this

00:40:31.980 kind of

00:40:32.320 interpretation.

00:40:33.440 I've made

00:40:34.120 this judgment

00:40:34.960 a lot.

00:40:36.520 I'll just be

00:40:37.200 consistent.

00:40:38.340 He says,

00:40:39.200 quote,

00:40:40.240 we don't yet

00:40:40.900 have a national

00:40:41.640 strategy.

00:40:42.680 Stop.

00:40:44.340 Stop.

00:40:44.940 What do I

00:40:47.280 say about

00:40:47.740 strategy?

00:40:49.160 What do I

00:40:49.900 say about

00:40:50.560 that employee

00:40:51.260 who says,

00:40:52.440 we don't

00:40:52.740 have a

00:40:53.140 strategy.

00:40:54.860 We don't

00:40:55.200 have a

00:40:55.560 strategy.

00:40:57.100 That

00:40:57.680 employee is

00:40:59.040 always the

00:40:59.680 disgruntled

00:41:00.400 employee.

00:41:01.400 That's not a

00:41:02.180 whistleblower.

00:41:03.640 A

00:41:03.880 whistleblower is

00:41:04.660 not complaining

00:41:05.240 about your

00:41:05.700 strategy.

00:41:07.060 That's your

00:41:07.840 disgruntled

00:41:08.540 employee.

00:41:09.600 I've written

00:41:10.400 about that.

00:41:11.040 I've done

00:41:11.340 this exact

00:41:12.040 joke of

00:41:13.280 the

00:41:13.420 employee

00:41:13.860 who says,

00:41:14.500 well,

00:41:14.640 I don't

00:41:14.840 have a

00:41:15.180 strategy.

00:41:16.080 Because

00:41:16.360 strategy is

00:41:16.900 not even

00:41:17.220 a real

00:41:17.520 thing.

00:41:18.820 There's

00:41:19.020 no such

00:41:19.400 thing as

00:41:19.740 strategy.

00:41:21.280 The

00:41:21.480 strategy is

00:41:22.280 you do

00:41:22.580 whatever

00:41:22.860 makes sense

00:41:23.520 at the

00:41:24.000 time that

00:41:24.440 you're

00:41:24.720 making a

00:41:25.400 decision.

00:41:26.300 That's

00:41:26.800 exactly

00:41:27.240 what we

00:41:27.700 did.

00:41:28.760 And

00:41:28.900 guess

00:41:29.140 what?

00:41:29.940 That's

00:41:30.300 pretty

00:41:30.720 much

00:41:31.040 what the

00:41:31.440 pandemic

00:41:31.920 playbook

00:41:32.460 said you

00:41:32.880 should

00:41:33.080 do,

00:41:33.420 too.

00:41:34.260 The

00:41:34.480 pandemic

00:41:34.960 playbook

00:41:35.520 does

00:41:35.920 not

00:41:36.260 say,

00:41:37.640 here's

00:41:37.800 your

00:41:37.960 strategy,

00:41:39.400 because

00:41:40.200 it wouldn't

00:41:40.500 make sense.

00:41:41.620 Because

00:41:42.020 every

00:41:42.220 situation is

00:41:42.920 going to

00:41:43.080 be the

00:41:43.340 new

00:41:43.540 situation.

00:41:44.400 You're

00:41:44.640 going to

00:41:44.840 figure out

00:41:45.300 the

00:41:45.460 situation.

00:41:46.400 You're

00:41:46.680 going to

00:41:46.820 figure out

00:41:47.220 what tools

00:41:47.740 you have.

00:41:48.600 You're

00:41:48.860 going to

00:41:48.980 figure out

00:41:49.320 where it's

00:41:49.600 hitting,

00:41:50.060 who's

00:41:50.320 hitting harder,

00:41:51.260 and then

00:41:51.760 you're

00:41:52.000 going to

00:41:52.100 figure out

00:41:52.420 what to

00:41:52.680 do.

00:41:53.740 Is that

00:41:54.160 a strategy?

00:41:56.040 No,

00:41:56.480 it's just

00:41:56.820 you doing

00:41:57.280 what you

00:41:57.580 need to

00:41:57.880 do because

00:41:58.320 you're

00:41:58.500 in a

00:41:58.700 crisis.

00:41:59.620 The

00:42:00.060 dumbest

00:42:00.560 guy in

00:42:00.960 the room

00:42:01.420 is the

00:42:02.380 guy

00:42:02.540 complaining

00:42:03.120 you don't

00:42:03.580 have a

00:42:03.920 strategy.

00:42:04.940 That's

00:42:05.420 the person

00:42:05.840 who's

00:42:06.040 operating at

00:42:06.660 the lowest

00:42:07.260 level of

00:42:07.940 understanding

00:42:08.600 his

00:42:08.900 world.

00:42:10.700 So if

00:42:12.620 he's got

00:42:13.240 a hero

00:42:13.600 complex and

00:42:14.540 he's

00:42:14.720 complaining

00:42:15.120 that the

00:42:15.780 company

00:42:16.400 doesn't

00:42:16.760 have a

00:42:17.060 strategy and

00:42:18.460 he doesn't

00:42:19.000 understand

00:42:19.520 risk management

00:42:20.520 because it

00:42:21.480 wasn't just

00:42:22.060 the risk

00:42:22.480 that the

00:42:22.860 drug was

00:42:23.420 dangerous,

00:42:24.380 it was also

00:42:25.280 the upside

00:42:25.840 potential that

00:42:26.620 it made a

00:42:26.980 big difference.

00:42:28.200 He's acting

00:42:28.880 like that part

00:42:29.580 doesn't even

00:42:30.040 exist.

00:42:30.940 So I would

00:42:31.360 say this is

00:42:31.900 a guy who

00:42:32.340 damn well

00:42:32.760 needed to

00:42:33.180 be fired.

00:42:34.860 Of course

00:42:35.360 the simulation

00:42:36.020 gives him

00:42:36.520 the last

00:42:36.920 name of

00:42:37.320 Bright,

00:42:37.700 B-R-I-G-H-T 1.00

00:42:40.120 and that he

00:42:41.100 demonstrates

00:42:41.720 that he's

00:42:42.180 not.

00:42:44.080 How perfect

00:42:44.980 is that

00:42:45.460 really?

00:42:46.640 It's like

00:42:47.200 one gift

00:42:48.060 after another.

00:42:52.020 So there's

00:42:53.280 a story

00:42:53.640 about the

00:42:54.280 inspector

00:42:55.800 general over

00:42:56.780 at the

00:42:57.020 State Department

00:42:57.520 who got

00:42:57.820 fired by

00:42:58.400 Trump.

00:42:59.700 And the

00:43:00.320 story is

00:43:00.780 that he

00:43:00.940 got fired

00:43:01.420 because

00:43:02.020 Mike Pompeo

00:43:06.140 had been

00:43:06.540 asking one

00:43:07.140 of his

00:43:07.400 assistants

00:43:07.900 to do

00:43:08.420 some

00:43:08.640 personal

00:43:09.040 errands

00:43:09.640 like

00:43:10.460 walking

00:43:10.800 his

00:43:11.020 dog

00:43:11.420 and

00:43:11.600 making

00:43:11.840 dinner

00:43:12.140 reservations

00:43:12.680 and

00:43:13.140 grabbing

00:43:13.500 dry

00:43:13.880 cleaning,

00:43:15.200 a source

00:43:15.620 familiar

00:43:16.040 said.

00:43:17.440 Now,

00:43:18.520 do you

00:43:18.880 think

00:43:19.240 that Mike

00:43:20.120 Pompeo,

00:43:22.520 especially

00:43:23.200 during these

00:43:24.460 times,

00:43:25.780 which would

00:43:26.360 you rather?

00:43:27.700 Would you

00:43:28.040 rather know

00:43:28.660 that Mike

00:43:29.160 Pompeo

00:43:29.760 used a

00:43:30.900 political

00:43:31.400 appointee,

00:43:32.380 basically

00:43:32.820 somebody who

00:43:33.580 got his

00:43:33.880 job because

00:43:34.340 he's

00:43:34.520 connected,

00:43:34.940 probably

00:43:35.880 some

00:43:36.120 young

00:43:36.340 person,

00:43:37.020 presumably,

00:43:37.980 who probably

00:43:39.880 didn't have

00:43:40.360 much to

00:43:40.800 do and

00:43:41.780 Mike

00:43:42.020 Pompeo

00:43:42.460 had a

00:43:42.760 lot to

00:43:43.100 do?

00:43:44.200 So,

00:43:44.840 what is

00:43:45.600 your

00:43:45.720 better

00:43:45.980 world?

00:43:46.940 That Mike

00:43:47.440 Pompeo

00:43:47.980 sends some

00:43:48.620 political

00:43:49.180 appointee,

00:43:50.360 young

00:43:50.860 person,

00:43:51.640 to do

00:43:52.320 some

00:43:52.560 personal

00:43:53.020 errands?

00:43:54.440 Or,

00:43:55.080 do you

00:43:55.320 think Mike

00:43:55.800 Pompeo

00:43:56.340 should drop

00:43:56.900 what he's

00:43:57.200 doing and

00:43:57.700 go pick

00:43:58.060 up his

00:43:58.380 own dry

00:43:58.800 cleaning?

00:44:00.060 Which one

00:44:00.840 of those

00:44:01.340 would you

00:44:02.460 prefer as

00:44:03.260 a citizen?

00:44:04.080 Mike

00:44:04.300 Pompeo

00:44:04.760 doing his

00:44:05.240 own

00:44:05.460 errands?

00:44:07.140 Or,

00:44:07.520 Mike

00:44:07.740 Pompeo,

00:44:08.880 presumably he

00:44:09.620 could have

00:44:09.960 an assistant

00:44:10.900 or something

00:44:11.400 doing it,

00:44:12.280 but one

00:44:12.760 assumes that

00:44:13.380 if Mike

00:44:13.780 Pompeo had

00:44:14.600 an assistant

00:44:15.220 to do

00:44:15.780 those errands,

00:44:16.980 he would

00:44:17.320 have used

00:44:17.660 that person,

00:44:18.600 right?

00:44:19.600 You have

00:44:20.580 to assume

00:44:20.940 that he

00:44:21.200 didn't have

00:44:21.740 anybody to

00:44:22.280 do it,

00:44:23.000 or he

00:44:23.620 wouldn't

00:44:23.900 have asked

00:44:24.280 this person

00:44:24.820 to do it.

00:44:25.700 Now,

00:44:26.380 given the

00:44:26.940 value of

00:44:27.800 Mike

00:44:28.040 Pompeo's

00:44:28.640 time and

00:44:29.520 energy,

00:44:30.620 am I as

00:44:31.360 a citizen

00:44:31.860 concerned that

00:44:33.180 he sent a

00:44:33.820 low-level

00:44:34.300 staffer to

00:44:35.520 walk his

00:44:36.020 dog,

00:44:38.100 make dinner

00:44:38.980 reservations,

00:44:39.820 or grab

00:44:40.220 some dry

00:44:40.680 cleaning?

00:44:41.620 No!

00:44:43.080 Thank you,

00:44:43.900 Mike Pompeo,

00:44:44.920 for managing

00:44:45.680 your time

00:44:46.220 correctly,

00:44:47.100 because I

00:44:47.560 don't think

00:44:48.100 you're working

00:44:48.540 a freaking

00:44:48.980 eight to

00:44:49.460 five job.

00:44:50.780 Mike

00:44:51.040 Pompeo is

00:44:52.200 not looking

00:44:52.700 at the

00:44:53.000 clock and

00:44:53.540 saying,

00:44:54.160 five o'clock,

00:44:55.380 gonna go

00:44:55.920 home,

00:44:56.840 all right?

00:44:57.160 If Mike

00:44:58.440 Pompeo is

00:44:59.080 not looking

00:44:59.520 at the

00:44:59.820 clock and

00:45:00.920 saying,

00:45:01.320 I'm going

00:45:01.580 home at

00:45:01.940 five o'clock,

00:45:02.800 and he's

00:45:03.300 staying,

00:45:03.700 and he's

00:45:03.940 working late,

00:45:04.760 and he's

00:45:05.160 working late

00:45:05.600 for you,

00:45:06.520 and he's

00:45:06.760 working late

00:45:07.180 for me,

00:45:08.000 and he's

00:45:08.240 working late

00:45:08.700 for the

00:45:08.980 country,

00:45:09.760 yes,

00:45:10.500 we can

00:45:10.900 send a

00:45:11.280 fucking

00:45:11.560 staffer to

00:45:12.200 pick up

00:45:12.500 his dry

00:45:12.940 cleaning.

00:45:14.200 And,

00:45:15.360 if somebody

00:45:15.980 wants to

00:45:16.480 get him

00:45:16.880 in trouble

00:45:17.360 and waste

00:45:18.180 my fucking 0.64

00:45:18.940 time by

00:45:20.040 trying to

00:45:20.620 get Mike

00:45:22.260 Pompeo in

00:45:23.000 trouble,

00:45:23.580 because he

00:45:24.280 wants to

00:45:24.720 work 18

00:45:25.520 hours today

00:45:26.280 instead of

00:45:26.900 nine fucking

00:45:27.660 hours,

00:45:29.560 fire that

00:45:30.460 IG.

00:45:31.460 That is the

00:45:32.200 most fired

00:45:32.980 fucking guy

00:45:34.000 I can ever

00:45:34.980 think of.

00:45:35.880 I would fire

00:45:36.860 him twice

00:45:38.140 if I could

00:45:38.780 fire him. 0.82

00:45:39.680 Really?

00:45:40.520 We're in a

00:45:40.880 pandemic,

00:45:44.480 and even

00:45:46.520 without the

00:45:47.080 pandemic,

00:45:47.920 we got some

00:45:48.660 stuff to do,

00:45:50.060 all right?

00:45:50.800 Mike Pompeo's

00:45:51.900 got some work

00:45:52.660 to do.

00:45:54.380 He's got

00:45:55.100 some work

00:45:55.560 to do.

00:45:58.340 Inspector

00:45:58.820 General,

00:45:59.540 you're so

00:46:00.120 fucking

00:46:00.460 fired.

00:46:02.480 I'm going

00:46:03.100 to say

00:46:03.340 this is

00:46:03.820 Trump's

00:46:04.660 best

00:46:05.260 fire.

00:46:06.940 This is

00:46:07.360 his best

00:46:07.860 one.

00:46:09.260 Yeah,

00:46:09.600 there's

00:46:09.980 nobody

00:46:10.420 that he's

00:46:10.920 fired

00:46:11.360 that's as

00:46:12.460 clean as

00:46:13.040 this one.

00:46:15.680 And I'm

00:46:16.600 even glad

00:46:17.100 that we

00:46:17.400 know why.

00:46:18.760 I'm glad

00:46:19.160 that we

00:46:19.440 know it

00:46:19.800 was because

00:46:20.280 of this

00:46:20.760 trivial

00:46:21.280 bullshit

00:46:21.740 about

00:46:22.160 doing

00:46:22.560 some

00:46:22.780 private

00:46:23.100 errands.

00:46:24.000 You tell

00:46:26.240 me Mike

00:46:26.660 Pompeo

00:46:27.440 stops

00:46:27.800 work

00:46:28.100 at

00:46:28.260 5

00:46:28.600 p.m.,

00:46:29.560 and then

00:46:30.160 I'll tell

00:46:30.460 you Mike

00:46:30.840 Pompeo

00:46:31.240 needs to

00:46:31.600 get fired. 0.72

00:46:33.360 But you

00:46:34.000 can't tell

00:46:34.400 me that.

00:46:35.300 Tell me

00:46:35.660 these dinner

00:46:36.140 reservations

00:46:36.740 weren't

00:46:37.140 work.

00:46:38.600 These

00:46:38.860 dinner

00:46:39.140 reservations

00:46:39.640 might have

00:46:40.080 been work.

00:46:42.820 And do

00:46:43.420 we want

00:46:43.720 him to

00:46:43.940 go to

00:46:44.680 work with

00:46:45.200 a suit

00:46:45.880 that isn't

00:46:46.280 clean?

00:46:46.700 I mean,

00:46:46.920 this is

00:46:47.180 just bullshit.

00:46:48.800 Let Mike

00:46:51.000 Pompeo

00:46:51.480 do the

00:46:51.900 work that

00:46:52.540 he wants

00:46:53.740 to do

00:46:54.080 for the

00:46:54.340 American

00:46:54.600 people.

00:46:55.080 Let him

00:46:55.300 work.

00:46:56.940 All right.

00:46:59.400 Apparently,

00:47:00.420 according to

00:47:01.820 a Marquette

00:47:02.360 Law School

00:47:02.920 poll,

00:47:04.160 Joe Biden

00:47:04.640 still has

00:47:05.220 a commanding

00:47:06.100 lead in

00:47:06.600 the polls

00:47:06.980 over

00:47:07.260 President

00:47:07.620 Trump.

00:47:09.480 What the

00:47:10.220 hell is

00:47:10.580 going on?

00:47:14.140 Are

00:47:14.700 conservatives

00:47:15.700 playing the

00:47:16.540 best prank

00:47:17.680 of all

00:47:18.100 time on

00:47:18.720 pollsters?

00:47:19.900 Is that

00:47:20.220 what's

00:47:20.460 happening?

00:47:21.400 Because I'm

00:47:21.920 starting to

00:47:22.440 think that's

00:47:22.860 what's

00:47:23.100 happening.

00:47:24.500 Is there

00:47:25.160 any part

00:47:25.620 of your

00:47:25.820 brain that

00:47:26.300 can wrap

00:47:26.760 itself around

00:47:27.400 the fact

00:47:27.760 that Biden

00:47:28.220 is leading

00:47:28.740 in the

00:47:29.020 polls?

00:47:30.300 Because

00:47:30.780 there's

00:47:31.020 nothing I

00:47:32.100 can see

00:47:32.560 in the

00:47:32.860 environment

00:47:33.300 that would

00:47:34.180 suggest that's

00:47:34.820 even slightly

00:47:35.440 possible.

00:47:36.480 Now,

00:47:36.740 I get how

00:47:37.180 much they

00:47:37.580 hate Trump,

00:47:38.480 and I get

00:47:38.860 that maybe

00:47:39.220 Biden's just

00:47:39.860 a stand-in

00:47:41.200 reference,

00:47:42.580 but I

00:47:44.160 don't think

00:47:44.500 the stock

00:47:45.000 market has

00:47:46.700 factored in

00:47:47.320 a Biden

00:47:47.700 presidency,

00:47:49.080 do you?

00:47:50.220 Do you

00:47:50.960 think the

00:47:51.300 stock market

00:47:51.920 is expecting

00:47:52.780 Joe Biden

00:47:53.780 to be the

00:47:54.200 next president?

00:47:55.760 I don't

00:47:56.140 think so.

00:47:57.280 I don't

00:47:57.820 think so.

00:47:59.580 Because the

00:48:00.260 market's going

00:48:00.820 one way,

00:48:01.740 polls are

00:48:02.100 going the

00:48:02.420 other way.

00:48:03.480 So I

00:48:04.460 hope this

00:48:05.680 is true,

00:48:06.380 like there

00:48:06.780 would be

00:48:07.060 nothing funnier

00:48:07.820 than this,

00:48:08.540 if it turned

00:48:09.300 out later that

00:48:10.060 we could do

00:48:10.480 a poll of

00:48:11.440 people who

00:48:11.840 had been

00:48:12.140 polled,

00:48:13.220 if that's

00:48:13.680 possible.

00:48:14.120 So find

00:48:15.040 the people

00:48:15.440 who had

00:48:15.840 been polled

00:48:16.480 during the

00:48:17.000 year and

00:48:17.800 just say,

00:48:18.260 all right,

00:48:18.480 we want to

00:48:18.860 check back

00:48:19.340 with you.

00:48:20.280 Were you

00:48:20.740 pranking us?

00:48:22.520 Were you

00:48:22.840 really going

00:48:23.440 to vote for

00:48:23.860 Biden?

00:48:25.240 Or something

00:48:26.400 like that.

00:48:26.940 And just

00:48:27.180 find out it

00:48:27.620 was a

00:48:27.960 gigantic

00:48:28.440 conservative

00:48:29.120 prank.

00:48:30.340 You know,

00:48:30.500 the 10% 0.99

00:48:31.080 of conservatives

00:48:31.800 were just

00:48:32.280 saying,

00:48:33.420 yeah,

00:48:33.740 I kind of

00:48:34.480 like Biden.

00:48:35.840 I think I

00:48:36.360 like Biden.

00:48:38.160 Because you

00:48:38.800 know,

00:48:40.060 you've met

00:48:40.580 conservatives,

00:48:41.320 have you not?

00:48:41.880 have you

00:48:44.520 ever met

00:48:44.880 a conservative?

00:48:46.400 Do

00:48:46.680 conservatives

00:48:47.340 like

00:48:47.940 practical

00:48:48.600 jokes?

00:48:50.260 Yeah,

00:48:50.680 they do.

00:48:51.600 They do.

00:48:52.820 They like

00:48:53.300 their practical

00:48:53.960 jokes.

00:48:55.840 So I'm

00:48:56.520 going to

00:48:56.660 say that

00:48:57.020 10% of

00:48:57.700 conservatives

00:48:58.180 just might

00:48:58.700 be in on

00:48:59.160 a practical

00:48:59.680 joke.

00:49:00.160 That's the

00:49:00.360 only way

00:49:00.620 I can

00:49:00.840 explain it.

00:49:05.840 I love

00:49:06.580 this article

00:49:07.100 making fun

00:49:07.800 of Jonah

00:49:09.500 Goldberg.

00:49:10.560 I think

00:49:10.940 it was

00:49:11.120 in Fox

00:49:11.700 News

00:49:12.800 site.

00:49:13.560 What's

00:49:13.760 funny about

00:49:14.200 it is

00:49:14.500 that they

00:49:14.780 called him

00:49:15.140 Jonah

00:49:15.420 Hill,

00:49:16.140 the editor

00:49:16.720 of the

00:49:17.040 dispatch.

00:49:18.120 Jonah

00:49:18.300 Hill is

00:49:18.600 the actor.

00:49:19.860 So Jonah

00:49:20.340 Goldberg

00:49:20.840 turned into

00:49:21.360 Jonah Hill

00:49:21.920 for an

00:49:22.660 article.

00:49:23.620 All right.

00:49:25.980 So AOC

00:49:28.160 is apparently

00:49:29.180 let's say

00:49:30.960 reframing her

00:49:32.060 Green New

00:49:32.600 Deal as

00:49:34.180 rather than

00:49:35.720 being a

00:49:36.240 multi-trillion

00:49:36.980 dollar cost.

00:49:38.760 Now she's 0.98

00:49:39.620 saying to

00:49:40.160 somebody who

00:49:40.620 was pointing

00:49:41.060 that out.

00:49:42.340 She tweeted

00:49:42.760 hey there

00:49:43.260 totally get

00:49:45.520 it if you've

00:49:46.100 never bothered

00:49:46.620 to read the

00:49:47.180 legislation

00:49:47.820 meaning the

00:49:48.540 Green New

00:49:48.900 Deal.

00:49:49.500 You're

00:49:50.060 commenting so

00:49:50.800 authoritatively

00:49:51.760 on AOC

00:49:53.180 said the

00:49:54.080 Green New

00:49:54.500 Deal is a

00:49:55.120 non-binding

00:49:55.840 resolution of

00:49:56.860 values.

00:49:57.880 It does

00:49:58.600 not have a

00:49:59.200 price tag or

00:50:00.100 CBO score and

00:50:01.200 costs us zero

00:50:02.260 if passed.

00:50:03.120 what?

00:50:07.360 What?

00:50:09.400 Did you

00:50:10.040 always

00:50:10.380 understand that

00:50:12.180 the Green

00:50:12.580 New Deal

00:50:13.000 didn't have a

00:50:13.640 price tag?

00:50:14.240 It was just

00:50:14.620 some values?

00:50:16.260 Because you

00:50:16.860 know what's

00:50:17.120 weird?

00:50:18.320 I could

00:50:18.940 totally sign

00:50:19.520 on to the

00:50:19.940 values.

00:50:21.580 Couldn't

00:50:22.020 you?

00:50:23.120 I mean I'd

00:50:23.920 have to look at

00:50:24.520 them to make

00:50:24.920 sure that's

00:50:25.320 true but I

00:50:26.320 think the

00:50:26.960 values, if

00:50:27.880 you're saying

00:50:28.240 it's values,

00:50:29.000 wouldn't it

00:50:30.320 be something

00:50:31.100 like we'd

00:50:34.480 like to have

00:50:35.120 cleaner energy?

00:50:36.780 That would be

00:50:37.520 a value.

00:50:38.140 I could sign

00:50:38.900 on to that.

00:50:40.140 Wouldn't it

00:50:40.420 be we'd like

00:50:41.640 to keep the

00:50:43.760 water level

00:50:44.500 from rising

00:50:45.120 if we can

00:50:45.720 understand what's

00:50:46.600 causing it and

00:50:47.520 if there's

00:50:48.400 anything we

00:50:48.880 could do about

00:50:49.460 it?

00:50:50.560 Yeah.

00:50:51.480 Yeah.

00:50:51.860 I'd sign

00:50:52.240 on to that.

00:50:54.260 If it really

00:50:55.200 is a bunch

00:50:56.060 of values,

00:50:56.980 okay.

00:51:00.940 I don't

00:51:01.520 know.

00:51:02.020 Somebody says

00:51:02.700 they don't

00:51:05.180 share the

00:51:05.640 values.

00:51:06.540 Well I'll

00:51:06.760 bet you

00:51:07.020 do.

00:51:08.100 What exactly

00:51:09.020 would be a

00:51:09.660 value that

00:51:10.960 the Green

00:51:11.340 New Deal

00:51:11.860 would be

00:51:12.300 promoting that

00:51:13.540 you don't

00:51:13.960 favor?

00:51:14.760 If you don't

00:51:15.460 favor the

00:51:15.860 Green New

00:51:16.220 Deal it's

00:51:16.540 because you

00:51:16.840 think it's

00:51:17.200 not practical

00:51:18.040 or you

00:51:19.160 think it's

00:51:19.480 not affordable

00:51:20.260 or you

00:51:21.300 think it's

00:51:21.620 not as

00:51:21.960 good as

00:51:22.360 the

00:51:22.500 alternatives.

00:51:23.620 But you

00:51:23.940 don't disagree

00:51:24.520 with the

00:51:25.100 concepts.

00:51:26.980 The

00:51:27.220 values.

00:51:28.500 Are you

00:51:29.280 against

00:51:29.840 clean air

00:51:32.220 and a

00:51:34.160 sustainable

00:51:34.680 planet?

00:51:36.020 Are you

00:51:36.840 against

00:51:37.420 disadvantaged

00:51:39.120 people doing

00:51:40.020 well?

00:51:41.040 I don't

00:51:41.360 know.

00:51:41.800 Is there

00:51:42.040 anything you're

00:51:42.740 against?

00:51:43.660 Not values

00:51:44.580 wise.

00:51:47.180 All right.

00:51:51.520 And

00:51:52.120 apparently

00:51:52.640 so remember

00:51:55.040 I told you

00:51:55.460 the zeitgeist

00:51:56.320 is looking

00:51:57.800 good for

00:51:58.260 2021.

00:52:00.060 So apparently

00:52:00.760 there was a

00:52:01.720 University of

00:52:03.240 Michigan consumer

00:52:04.240 sentiment reading

00:52:05.120 that came in

00:52:06.600 better than

00:52:07.180 expected.

00:52:08.200 The index

00:52:08.680 rose in

00:52:09.840 May up

00:52:11.420 to 74

00:52:12.340 from 72

00:52:13.380 in April.

00:52:15.380 So the

00:52:16.460 consumer index

00:52:17.440 people's

00:52:17.960 expectations are

00:52:18.900 actually rising.

00:52:19.860 that's

00:52:21.640 important because

00:52:22.380 remember

00:52:22.680 direction

00:52:23.200 matters more

00:52:24.880 than level

00:52:25.500 when the

00:52:27.240 economy is

00:52:27.840 the question.

00:52:28.900 So the

00:52:29.300 direction of

00:52:29.840 things tells

00:52:30.340 you more

00:52:31.460 than where

00:52:31.920 things are

00:52:32.320 at.

00:52:32.980 And the

00:52:33.420 direction is

00:52:33.960 positive.

00:52:35.080 Can you

00:52:35.400 believe that?

00:52:36.460 Consumer

00:52:37.020 sentiment,

00:52:37.820 the primary

00:52:38.620 thing that

00:52:39.200 will make

00:52:39.840 our recovery

00:52:40.400 happen,

00:52:41.240 is trending

00:52:42.360 positive in

00:52:43.920 the middle

00:52:44.220 of the

00:52:44.520 coronavirus.

00:52:45.020 just think

00:52:46.180 about that.

00:52:47.860 And well

00:52:50.880 above the

00:52:51.380 Dow Jones

00:52:51.920 estimate.

00:52:52.940 So where

00:52:54.020 professionals

00:52:54.740 thought it

00:52:55.380 would be

00:52:55.680 was way

00:52:56.340 lower.

00:52:58.400 And it

00:52:58.800 says the

00:52:59.280 index of

00:52:59.840 current

00:53:00.240 economic

00:53:00.840 conditions

00:53:01.540 soared to

00:53:02.820 83 from

00:53:03.820 74.

00:53:05.860 In other

00:53:06.340 words,

00:53:07.960 our economy

00:53:08.820 is not

00:53:09.520 only not

00:53:10.740 dead,

00:53:12.260 I think

00:53:13.600 it went to

00:53:14.040 the gym.

00:53:15.900 I think

00:53:16.660 our economy

00:53:17.200 is starting

00:53:18.200 to flex.

00:53:19.860 It's like

00:53:20.460 it rested

00:53:21.160 too long.

00:53:22.560 You know,

00:53:22.760 you're starting

00:53:23.400 to see,

00:53:24.040 you know,

00:53:24.380 you're starting

00:53:24.700 to see,

00:53:25.300 I rested

00:53:26.980 a little

00:53:27.240 too long.

00:53:28.960 You ever,

00:53:29.820 you're trying

00:53:30.880 to, let's

00:53:31.360 say, get

00:53:31.960 your numbers

00:53:32.420 up for

00:53:32.840 running

00:53:33.900 distance,

00:53:35.000 you know,

00:53:35.280 and you're

00:53:35.480 doing a few

00:53:36.060 miles every

00:53:36.620 day,

00:53:37.120 and then,

00:53:37.840 you know,

00:53:38.040 there's a

00:53:38.320 day that you

00:53:38.780 can't run,

00:53:39.940 but the day

00:53:40.500 after that,

00:53:41.260 you're really

00:53:41.660 strong,

00:53:42.340 because you

00:53:42.620 have that

00:53:42.860 little rest.

00:53:44.040 I feel

00:53:44.560 like the

00:53:44.900 economy

00:53:45.380 is that

00:53:46.720 Olympic

00:53:47.180 athlete

00:53:47.700 who had

00:53:48.940 to take

00:53:49.380 a few

00:53:49.640 days off

00:53:50.140 for business,

00:53:51.380 but man,

00:53:52.500 that day

00:53:53.080 when you

00:53:53.360 get back

00:53:53.840 after a few

00:53:54.400 days off

00:53:54.980 when you've

00:53:55.320 been training

00:53:55.700 for a month,

00:53:56.900 that's the

00:53:57.580 day you

00:53:57.900 get some

00:53:58.240 serious

00:53:58.720 work in.

00:54:02.680 So,

00:54:03.820 that

00:54:05.920 is Coffee

00:54:08.400 with Scott Adams.

00:54:09.200 and

00:54:10.920 tonight,

00:54:12.240 I hope

00:54:12.660 you'll join

00:54:13.020 me again,

00:54:13.760 you know

00:54:14.200 when and

00:54:14.840 you know

00:54:15.160 where.

00:54:16.180 I've stopped

00:54:16.660 telling people

00:54:17.240 when and

00:54:17.660 where to

00:54:17.940 find me on

00:54:18.380 Periscope,

00:54:19.060 because,

00:54:19.820 hey,

00:54:20.020 you've got

00:54:20.340 Google,

00:54:21.340 and I like

00:54:22.200 to keep it

00:54:22.600 a little bit

00:54:23.040 special.

00:54:25.140 And so,

00:54:25.600 I hope I

00:54:25.980 did,

00:54:26.580 and we'll

00:54:27.380 go look at

00:54:27.820 the stock

00:54:28.200 market.

00:54:28.960 Oh,

00:54:29.140 let me look

00:54:29.700 at it before

00:54:30.180 I sign off

00:54:31.560 here.

00:54:32.600 Let's see

00:54:32.980 what everybody's

00:54:33.480 talking about.

00:54:34.040 holy cow. 0.89

00:54:38.320 Wow.

00:54:39.800 Well,

00:54:40.560 that's the

00:54:41.960 stock market.

00:54:43.060 Holy,

00:54:43.760 what the

00:54:44.360 hell is

00:54:44.700 going on?

00:54:46.200 My god.

00:54:49.000 Oh,

00:54:49.340 I've,

00:54:50.080 what?

00:54:54.420 This is

00:54:55.060 crazy.

00:54:56.300 All right,

00:54:56.840 go take a

00:54:57.300 look at the

00:54:57.620 stock market.

00:54:58.780 Have a good

00:54:59.500 day.

00:55:00.620 We're back.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 18, 2020

Episode 982 Scott Adams： The Good News Bubbling up Everywhere, How to Tell a Writer From an Asshole

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