Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 984 Scott Adams： Talking About Those Disagreeing Doctors, Pelosi's Insults, Artistic Breakthroughs

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00:00:03.560 Bum bum bum, bum. 0.98

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00:00:09.340 Hey, everybody.

00:00:11.200 You found it.

00:00:12.840 You found the best place to be in the morning.

00:00:17.800 Congratulations on you.

00:00:20.600 That's the way to start the day, isn't it?

00:00:23.020 Yeah, it is.

00:00:25.500 Want to get it going even better?

00:00:27.400 You do?

00:00:28.600 Okay.

00:00:28.940 Okay, all you have to do is find yourself a cupper, mugger, a glass of tanker, chalice, or stand, a canteen jugger, a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:41.220 I like coffee.

00:00:42.360 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.

00:00:50.300 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:53.560 Go.

00:00:57.820 Mmm.

00:00:58.940 I can feel the zinc being delivered to my ACE2 inhibitors.

00:01:06.340 Don't even know what any of that means.

00:01:08.480 But it feels good.

00:01:10.220 Sure does.

00:01:12.400 So, as people are pouring in, let me tell you about a cool thing that happens in the life of artists or creators.

00:01:20.380 Whatever you want to call me.

00:01:22.140 I usually don't call myself an artist, because that's just that word, I don't know.

00:01:26.560 There's something wrong with the word artist that just rubs me wrong.

00:01:30.420 So I'd rather be a creator than an artist.

00:01:32.960 And there's a cool thing that happens in the life of creators, and you're lucky if it would happen to you once in your life.

00:01:41.320 Because it's such a cool feeling.

00:01:43.960 And I'll tell you one of the times that happened.

00:01:46.220 Once was, I was in my cubicle in 1988 at Pacific Bell.

00:01:53.080 And I was drawing little comics on my whiteboard in my cubicle, and I started developing this character, Dilbert.

00:02:01.620 Now, he didn't have a name.

00:02:03.020 He was just a sort of a technology worker in a big company, like the people I was working with.

00:02:08.560 So he was a composite of people I worked with.

00:02:10.900 But he didn't have a name.

00:02:13.440 And so I had a name the nerd contest.

00:02:17.180 So I put a little label that says, name the nerd.

00:02:19.460 And I drew the picture of what would become Dilbert.

00:02:21.760 And people would come into my cubicle all day long, and they'd say, huh, he looks like he'd be an Irving.

00:02:27.820 And they'd write it down.

00:02:29.120 Ah, I think he'd be Poindexter.

00:02:31.780 And I'd write it down.

00:02:32.540 I think he'd be Bruce.

00:02:33.600 And every time I'd see a name, I'd look at it, and I'd go, no, no, he's not a Bruce.

00:02:41.420 He's not a Poindexter.

00:02:44.180 He's not an Irving.

00:02:46.540 And one day, my boss at the time came in, and he goes, I got it.

00:02:51.720 And he walks over, and I can remember it like it was today.

00:02:55.420 He picks up dry erase marker.

00:02:58.240 You know, I'm sitting in my chair, and the picture is just so amazingly burned into my memory.

00:03:05.120 And he writes on the board, D-I-L-B-E-R-T.

00:03:15.760 And he puts the top back on the pen.

00:03:18.760 And he goes, that's the name of your character.

00:03:21.620 And I said, what just happened to me?

00:03:25.320 Because I actually felt my entire body go down a tunnel, like I had just gone forward in time, into the future.

00:03:38.180 And I saw the name on the character and felt it like I had experienced the future.

00:03:45.500 And as he starts talking, I felt myself going back down the tunnel, the other direction, bam.

00:03:55.180 And I was back in 1988.

00:03:57.920 And I just looked at that name, and I looked at it on the board, and I thought, what just happened?

00:04:05.320 What just happened?

00:04:07.480 I feel like I just saw the future.

00:04:09.320 From about that moment on, I could not have been talked out of Dilbert working.

00:04:18.880 Because from that moment, I just saw it.

00:04:21.620 And all I did was follow it.

00:04:23.560 I didn't even make it happen, it felt like.

00:04:25.760 I mean, obviously, I did make it happen.

00:04:27.740 But it felt like I was just following the path that I had just seen.

00:04:30.800 Now, if you could have that happen once in your life, it's amazing.

00:04:37.880 There are these moments of creative or artistic clarity when things just happen.

00:04:43.520 Now, of course, you could always explain it as false memory, or I'm making up the story or something.

00:04:48.580 So there's no way that you would fully appreciate what that did to my head.

00:04:54.300 Because it really messed me up to see reality just get turned inside out like that.

00:05:01.440 Or at least my experience of reality.

00:05:03.180 The base reality probably didn't change at all.

00:05:07.300 Then there was another point.

00:05:11.060 There was a point when I launched the comic, and it wasn't really successful.

00:05:16.060 Well, it wasn't successful.

00:05:18.280 So it was another comic that was going to get launched, do a few years, and disappear.

00:05:23.460 But people kept emailing me and saying, you know, Dilbert should be in the office.

00:05:29.360 It needs to be an office comic.

00:05:31.200 And the moment I realized that I could turn it into an office comic,

00:05:36.140 all of the tumblers of the gears came together, and it was like, click, click, click.

00:05:42.560 Oh, yeah.

00:05:43.480 If I just make this an office comic, it's easier to write.

00:05:48.660 You know, it's going to relate to these people.

00:05:51.080 And it was the answer.

00:05:53.580 So that was like a second moment when I had this creative clarity.

00:05:58.300 It's like, oh, yeah.

00:05:59.440 And then Dilbert found its voice.

00:06:02.040 And that's sort of an artist talk.

00:06:04.600 Art is no good until it finds its voice.

00:06:07.640 So it can bump around being almost right forever, and it'll never catch on.

00:06:12.260 But there's that moment where it locks in, and you go, ah, there's the voice.

00:06:18.120 And the voice is, let's say in the case of the Dilbert comic, it's the pointy-haired boss's perspective versus the cubicle worker.

00:06:26.240 So once you understand it as pointy-haired management versus, you know, employee, that's the voice.

00:06:34.800 And then you could write it forever.

00:06:36.860 Well, an interesting thing happened.

00:06:38.660 I've been playing with this comic called Robots Read News, where it's just a static picture.

00:06:43.160 Three pictures of a robot, always the same, but he's reading the news.

00:06:46.540 And I've been doing it for a few years now, like off and on.

00:06:51.860 I'd trot it out and try it, and it was all right.

00:06:56.060 You know, every once in a while, it'd be a good one, but not really.

00:06:59.760 And the other day, I was playing with it, and I realized that if all I do is make the Robots Read News the way CNN does,

00:07:09.260 it'll be hilarious.

00:07:10.560 And that CNN is my pointy-haired boss.

00:07:17.020 And the moment that locked in, you can't believe how easy it is to write these comics now.

00:07:24.260 Just as an experiment with about three minutes before I went live,

00:07:29.640 I wanted to see if I could write one from scratch in three minutes.

00:07:34.100 I did. It's pretty good.

00:07:36.240 And all I did was I looked at the CNN homepage,

00:07:38.680 and I just scanned the headlines for their most ridiculous story.

00:07:45.440 I was like, oh, there it is.

00:07:47.460 Their most ridiculous interpretation.

00:07:49.980 And I just made a comic that basically says what they say.

00:07:53.800 I just put it into sort of funny comic words,

00:07:56.700 which is so easy, it's ridiculous.

00:08:01.380 So the other thing that came together is,

00:08:03.300 you know, I'm keeping most of those comics will be for subscribers on Locals.

00:08:09.220 And I didn't plan it that way, but I just sort of, I tested this at the same time I was testing Locals,

00:08:14.480 and I thought, well, I guess that'll be its main home.

00:08:17.520 And the other thing is that I can make the characters say anything I want.

00:08:21.780 So I can make them curse, I can make them be offensive.

00:08:25.540 Do you know how long I've waited for this moment?

00:08:28.780 How long I've waited, as a creator, to be able to write a comic

00:08:34.580 in which the only thing that matters is that what they say is funny.

00:08:39.320 Now, of course, I'll do a little bit of self-censorship,

00:08:41.940 because, you know, my own sensibilities are not so extreme

00:08:45.800 that it needs to be, you know, gross or something.

00:08:48.200 But the fact that I don't ever have to control my first impulse of what would be hilarious

00:08:54.100 is a freeing experience that I can't even explain.

00:08:58.880 To have it happen again, well, really, for the first time,

00:09:02.200 it's like a completely free experience.

00:09:05.100 I'm so happy I can't even stand it on that one front.

00:09:09.060 All right, so that's just a little tour of what...

00:09:12.660 Oh, let me give you some other examples of that.

00:09:18.400 There are moments when, for example, I was writing my book,

00:09:22.420 Loser Think, or Win Bigly.

00:09:26.100 When you realize exactly how to do it...

00:09:29.360 When I wrote Win Bigly, those of you who read it know,

00:09:31.920 that it's a series of persuasion lessons about how to persuade,

00:09:36.860 but it didn't come together until I realized I could wrap it around the story of the election.

00:09:42.540 And once I understood it as something that would layer on top of a story,

00:09:47.380 and my experience of it, it was like, ding, ding, ding, it all came together.

00:09:51.920 So those are the moments that the creator can almost see the future.

00:09:56.360 Probably not really, but it feels like it.

00:09:58.780 Now, of course, the big story today is Trump saying he was going to take...

00:10:01.980 that he is taking hydroxychloroquine and zinc, the important part.

00:10:05.280 Now, I did a more detailed video on this last night.

00:10:10.160 If you want to see my opinion of all the hydroxychloroquine,

00:10:13.840 I did, I think, a good job of laying out the thinking last night.

00:10:17.860 That's worth seeing if you didn't see it.

00:10:19.400 But the summary is this.

00:10:21.720 If you find yourself getting into online battles

00:10:24.760 about whether the president is being crazy and reckless

00:10:29.980 and ruining the world by announcing that he's taking this unproven drug.

00:10:34.600 Unproven, I say.

00:10:36.440 Unproven.

00:10:37.920 Here are some things to say to defend yourself online.

00:10:42.280 Number one, this unproven drug has been taken by many people

00:10:46.260 for various conditions for decades and decades.

00:10:49.820 Can you produce for me the statistics

00:10:52.740 showing the number of people who are dying from it?

00:10:54.640 I'd like to see the URL, you know, just something that shows

00:10:58.360 that, in fact, there are some health risks.

00:11:02.260 You will first notice it's really hard to find that.

00:11:05.520 I'm not sure it exists.

00:11:07.560 Okay, that's the first thing.

00:11:08.960 It's because somebody did look for it and couldn't find it.

00:11:11.360 But if you can find it, I'd like to see it.

00:11:13.060 So that's the first thing.

00:11:16.380 It's like, do you have some data that would suggest it's dangerous?

00:11:19.700 I know you say it's dangerous.

00:11:22.140 But what would be, for example, a source of information?

00:11:26.300 Because I know you like your science, don't you?

00:11:29.500 You love your science.

00:11:31.440 You love your data.

00:11:32.480 You don't want to be listening to old orange man bad.

00:11:35.380 So instead of listening to Trump on this medical condition,

00:11:39.120 why don't I listen to you, dear Troll on Twitter?

00:11:44.320 I would like to take your advice on this.

00:11:46.780 Could you provide me the link to that source

00:11:49.480 that describes the number of people, statistics specifically,

00:11:54.040 of the people who have been damaged by this drug?

00:11:56.740 Because now that we have decades of experience of it,

00:11:59.320 we probably have a pretty good idea how many thousands is killed.

00:12:03.460 Right?

00:12:05.140 Now, if somebody could find that link, it would be interesting.

00:12:07.380 But I don't think it exists.

00:12:09.640 I don't think anybody has that.

00:12:11.660 So that's the first thing.

00:12:12.760 So first you want to go after their sense of certainty.

00:12:15.480 And then here's the next thing.

00:12:16.600 You want the high ground kill shot?

00:12:18.020 Yeah, you do.

00:12:21.000 Eric Fedman, good to see you.

00:12:23.060 Here's the high ground kill shot.

00:12:27.160 This is a risk management decision,

00:12:29.780 not just a medical decision.

00:12:31.380 And unless, dear Trolls,

00:12:34.860 you can show me your risk management calculation

00:12:38.580 with an actual decision tree

00:12:41.480 that says if you go this way and you take it,

00:12:44.640 there's this percentage it'll help,

00:12:46.680 this percentage it'll kill you,

00:12:48.100 I'm this age or these comorbidities,

00:12:51.240 so I have this level of risk,

00:12:52.920 versus the other path.

00:12:55.160 And the other path is,

00:12:56.520 well, maybe it'll help.

00:12:59.280 Don't really know.

00:13:00.160 I'd have to put an assumption on that.

00:13:01.840 10% chance?

00:13:03.500 Make your assumption and then do the math.

00:13:06.460 Now, if somebody is telling you

00:13:07.760 that the president's making a poor medical decision,

00:13:12.300 you should say,

00:13:13.380 well, that's funny

00:13:14.820 because it's not really a medical decision.

00:13:17.280 It's a cost-benefit decision

00:13:19.180 in which the medical advice is part of it.

00:13:23.400 And the president is making a cost-benefit decision.

00:13:26.260 If you think he's wrong,

00:13:28.120 I think you could talk me into that.

00:13:31.200 So, by the way,

00:13:32.240 this is a persuasion technique.

00:13:34.660 Instead of starting out by saying,

00:13:36.800 you're wrong, I'm right,

00:13:38.320 which just hardens everybody's defenses,

00:13:41.300 try saying to somebody

00:13:42.540 who thinks that the president's giving bad

00:13:44.500 medical-slash-risk-management advice,

00:13:48.360 say this,

00:13:49.540 I think you could talk me into that.

00:13:52.240 I think you could convince me.

00:13:53.820 Can I see your math?

00:13:56.700 And they say, math?

00:13:59.100 I don't have any math.

00:14:00.140 Yeah, you know,

00:14:01.160 when you did the cost-benefit calculation,

00:14:05.120 what did you multiply?

00:14:07.120 What risk factors did you assume?

00:14:09.200 Because if you did the math right,

00:14:11.300 and I agree with your assumptions,

00:14:13.020 I think we're both looking at the same news,

00:14:15.540 I'll take your assumptions,

00:14:17.520 I'll check your math,

00:14:18.960 and if it's right,

00:14:21.580 if it's right,

00:14:26.020 I'll change my mind.

00:14:27.940 Because it's really just a math question, right?

00:14:30.740 We don't have to disagree.

00:14:32.900 It's not about my priorities.

00:14:35.460 It's not about my preferences.

00:14:37.000 This is one of those rare cases

00:14:39.500 where it's just math.

00:14:41.760 And if your math and mine disagreed,

00:14:43.840 it would be because we had an assumption

00:14:45.780 that was different.

00:14:47.420 The assumption might be that,

00:14:49.560 you know,

00:14:50.080 the risk of taking it is X versus something else.

00:14:53.080 But we would at least know

00:14:54.300 what the difference in assumption was.

00:14:56.520 So,

00:14:57.300 do you think anybody's ever done that math?

00:15:00.100 No.

00:15:02.200 No.

00:15:03.360 I don't even think the experts have.

00:15:05.860 Because you'd probably see it on the news

00:15:07.600 or on social media by now.

00:15:09.320 So,

00:15:09.880 I would challenge any of you

00:15:11.160 to simply put that little spreadsheet together.

00:15:15.200 I don't know how many numbers on the spreadsheet.

00:15:17.240 It's not a lot, right?

00:15:18.800 Maybe a dozen different numbers and assumptions.

00:15:21.160 That's it.

00:15:21.840 That's your whole model right there.

00:15:23.920 And just show your assumptions.

00:15:26.160 Give us the spreadsheet.

00:15:27.860 You know,

00:15:28.040 we'll tweak it to get our own number.

00:15:30.120 Then we'll be on the same page.

00:15:31.900 But here's the thing.

00:15:33.200 Do not let anybody get away with telling you

00:15:37.120 that he made a bad risk management decision

00:15:41.080 unless they're willing to show their work.

00:15:44.400 Because if they can't show their work,

00:15:46.560 they're just blah, blah, blah.

00:15:48.740 And there's nothing coming out.

00:15:50.680 Right?

00:15:51.180 So,

00:15:51.720 don't accept it without the math.

00:15:53.740 They've got to show their work

00:15:55.100 or they're in the same boat you are.

00:15:57.580 Just guessing.

00:16:00.420 All right.

00:16:02.120 I loved watching.

00:16:05.340 And I don't,

00:16:06.040 this is not a joke.

00:16:07.120 I know that you think

00:16:08.360 that maybe this is hyperbole.

00:16:10.360 But when I read CNN in the morning,

00:16:12.280 which I do every day,

00:16:13.660 I do it for the jokes.

00:16:16.520 Not just making jokes about it,

00:16:18.860 which is fun as well,

00:16:20.360 but because it literally makes me laugh

00:16:22.380 to watch, you know,

00:16:23.900 how hard they strain

00:16:25.060 to tell their version of it.

00:16:27.320 Now,

00:16:27.560 I'm not saying that Fox News

00:16:28.740 doesn't also do that.

00:16:30.800 I'm just saying that

00:16:31.640 for whatever reason,

00:16:32.960 CNN is just funnier about it.

00:16:34.480 I don't know why.

00:16:35.960 I mean,

00:16:36.420 maybe it's because of,

00:16:37.680 you know,

00:16:37.840 my bias or something.

00:16:39.660 But,

00:16:40.220 here's one of the lines

00:16:42.420 from one of the opinion pieces

00:16:44.000 that said,

00:16:45.580 the president's health care

00:16:47.700 is normally the best.

00:16:51.540 Normally.

00:16:52.520 So,

00:16:53.040 they just throw out

00:16:53.780 a little question mark

00:16:56.320 about whether the president

00:16:57.780 has a good doctor.

00:16:58.820 Yeah,

00:17:00.540 well,

00:17:00.740 normally it's the best.

00:17:02.820 But,

00:17:03.820 since we as CNN

00:17:05.080 are disagreeing

00:17:06.760 with what the professionally trained

00:17:08.660 top of his field doctor

00:17:11.480 is saying,

00:17:11.980 let's use our CNN judgment

00:17:15.020 to say that,

00:17:16.200 you know,

00:17:16.720 normally,

00:17:17.340 normally it'd be the best,

00:17:19.000 but,

00:17:20.360 I don't know,

00:17:20.820 we'll just leave that

00:17:21.420 as an open question,

00:17:22.460 but normally it'd be good.

00:17:26.200 All right,

00:17:27.060 and of course,

00:17:28.360 CNN is

00:17:29.180 trying to mock

00:17:30.820 Fox News

00:17:31.600 for being

00:17:33.280 inconsistent

00:17:34.020 in their coverage.

00:17:35.420 And what they do

00:17:36.460 is they say

00:17:36.940 that the Fox News

00:17:38.120 can't decide

00:17:39.660 whether the hydroxychloroquine

00:17:41.820 decision by Trump

00:17:42.820 is a reasonable one

00:17:44.620 as opposed to being right.

00:17:46.780 You can only say

00:17:47.520 whether it's reasonable.

00:17:49.220 Is it reasonable

00:17:50.200 or sort of unscientific

00:17:52.100 and doltish

00:17:52.860 and dangerous?

00:17:54.460 And they blame

00:17:55.400 Fox News

00:17:56.140 for not being able

00:17:57.060 to decide

00:17:57.680 and being on both sides

00:17:58.840 of the question.

00:17:59.580 And they used

00:18:00.060 examples of

00:18:01.180 Neil Cavuto

00:18:01.800 saying things

00:18:03.040 and having an expert on

00:18:04.040 and Laura Ingram,

00:18:04.840 et cetera.

00:18:05.800 And here's the funny way

00:18:07.300 they framed it.

00:18:08.040 They framed it

00:18:09.760 as Fox News

00:18:10.720 can't decide.

00:18:12.920 Fox News

00:18:13.620 had doctors on.

00:18:15.440 It was the doctors

00:18:16.300 who couldn't decide.

00:18:18.040 It wasn't Fox News

00:18:19.480 that was inconsistent.

00:18:21.600 Fox News

00:18:22.320 had actual

00:18:23.140 trained doctors on

00:18:24.400 one after another

00:18:25.920 and those

00:18:26.920 actual trained doctors

00:18:28.420 did not have

00:18:29.040 the same opinions.

00:18:30.540 That's not Fox News

00:18:31.840 being inconsistent.

00:18:33.480 That is the medical

00:18:34.880 community

00:18:35.620 being inconsistent.

00:18:38.040 That's what that is.

00:18:39.720 To report that

00:18:40.920 it's Fox News

00:18:41.900 being inconsistent

00:18:43.000 when the news

00:18:44.640 is coming directly

00:18:45.480 from the mouths

00:18:46.180 of the actual

00:18:47.140 medical professionals

00:18:48.180 while you're

00:18:48.680 looking at it.

00:18:50.000 That is just

00:18:50.900 an amazingly

00:18:51.720 ballsy 0.51

00:18:52.620 framing.

00:18:56.280 All right.

00:18:56.620 But in any event,

00:18:57.640 the president

00:18:58.240 is completely

00:18:59.280 right.

00:19:01.280 He's right

00:19:01.880 that it's reasonable

00:19:02.800 for him to

00:19:03.720 take the risk.

00:19:05.260 And even on CNN,

00:19:07.540 I think

00:19:07.860 one of the

00:19:09.620 experts,

00:19:10.480 a doctor,

00:19:11.580 said that in the

00:19:12.360 specific situation

00:19:13.480 of the president,

00:19:15.120 because he would be

00:19:16.100 monitored so closely

00:19:17.240 for his health,

00:19:18.900 that he doesn't have

00:19:19.620 the same risk

00:19:20.320 as, say,

00:19:21.320 someone else

00:19:22.000 in his same situation

00:19:23.040 who might be

00:19:24.580 on hydroxychloroquine.

00:19:26.800 Maybe they're not

00:19:27.660 monitored as closely

00:19:29.460 so they would have

00:19:30.120 a little extra risk.

00:19:31.340 So even CNN's

00:19:33.280 expert was saying,

00:19:34.100 yeah,

00:19:35.060 the president's

00:19:35.640 kind of a special

00:19:36.380 case.

00:19:37.300 It's not the same

00:19:38.120 risk as everybody

00:19:38.980 else.

00:19:40.420 And I don't think,

00:19:41.480 you know,

00:19:41.740 I guess it was

00:19:42.720 that a case of CNN

00:19:43.640 having inconsistent

00:19:44.860 coverage,

00:19:46.600 because the expert,

00:19:48.120 and then the expert

00:19:48.880 actually was asked

00:19:50.000 to weigh in

00:19:50.480 on Trump's doctor,

00:19:52.720 and the expert

00:19:53.400 said, yeah,

00:19:53.980 it's just a tough

00:19:54.700 call.

00:19:55.620 I don't know

00:19:56.040 what I would do

00:19:56.480 in that case.

00:19:56.960 It's a tough call.

00:19:58.460 So even CNN's

00:19:59.780 expert,

00:20:00.200 that they bring

00:20:01.240 on basically

00:20:02.060 to say that

00:20:02.760 Trump's doctor

00:20:03.440 is stupid

00:20:04.040 or made a bad

00:20:05.280 decision,

00:20:05.960 you wouldn't

00:20:06.540 do it.

00:20:07.900 So even CNN

00:20:09.020 can't determine

00:20:10.000 if it's a good

00:20:10.720 idea or a bad

00:20:11.480 idea,

00:20:11.940 but they can

00:20:12.620 determine

00:20:13.060 that there's

00:20:14.900 a risk involved

00:20:16.040 and that reasonable

00:20:17.200 people are on

00:20:17.940 both sides.

00:20:19.200 But they've

00:20:20.120 turned it into

00:20:20.660 an amazing story

00:20:21.680 of Trump supporters

00:20:24.040 being dumb, 0.74

00:20:24.880 so dumb that

00:20:25.460 we'll drink bleach

00:20:26.460 because of the

00:20:27.940 fake news.

00:20:28.600 And now they're

00:20:30.320 doing the thing

00:20:30.840 where they get

00:20:31.440 multiple examples,

00:20:33.320 but they're all

00:20:34.040 fake news.

00:20:35.300 So they can add

00:20:36.320 the president's

00:20:38.480 statements on

00:20:39.060 hydroxychloroquine

00:20:40.240 by turning it

00:20:41.340 into fake news

00:20:42.240 about the president

00:20:42.960 thinks an unproven

00:20:44.080 drug works,

00:20:45.220 which is not

00:20:45.760 what's happening.

00:20:46.940 He just thinks

00:20:47.580 that given the

00:20:48.760 uncertainty,

00:20:49.600 he likes the

00:20:50.460 odds.

00:20:50.900 That's it.

00:20:51.780 But they turn it

00:20:52.420 into he's promoting

00:20:54.060 unscientifically valid

00:20:56.640 drugs.

00:20:57.640 And then they'll

00:20:58.040 add that to the

00:20:58.740 other fake news

00:20:59.600 that he promoted,

00:21:01.160 which they actually

00:21:01.660 did today,

00:21:02.240 of course.

00:21:03.040 They added it to

00:21:03.860 the fake news

00:21:04.420 that he promoted

00:21:05.120 drinking disinfectants,

00:21:07.240 which of course

00:21:08.580 didn't happen.

00:21:09.620 So now they've

00:21:10.400 got like a list.

00:21:11.380 All right,

00:21:11.640 well he did this,

00:21:12.980 he did A.

00:21:14.500 You know,

00:21:14.820 if A alone was

00:21:16.020 the only thing he

00:21:16.600 did,

00:21:17.000 well that'd be

00:21:17.520 one thing.

00:21:18.160 But he's also

00:21:18.940 done B.

00:21:20.260 And I'm pretty

00:21:21.040 sure there's a C

00:21:21.960 out there that's

00:21:22.620 another fake news

00:21:23.620 that I'll think of

00:21:24.160 it in a minute.

00:21:24.600 But now that

00:21:25.580 they've got their

00:21:26.160 fake news laundry

00:21:27.400 list,

00:21:28.800 what do I tell you

00:21:29.500 about the laundry

00:21:30.060 list?

00:21:30.860 You don't need a

00:21:31.920 laundry list if you

00:21:33.040 have one good

00:21:33.580 thing.

00:21:35.940 All right,

00:21:37.320 kudos to Nancy 0.93

00:21:39.180 Pelosi for

00:21:40.900 learning the

00:21:42.060 Trump insult

00:21:43.220 technique.

00:21:44.420 I think she got

00:21:45.220 it right.

00:21:46.320 Did you hear what

00:21:46.940 Pelosi said about

00:21:47.880 Trump?

00:21:50.140 Now,

00:21:51.620 I like to

00:21:52.880 preface this by

00:21:53.720 saying,

00:21:54.600 I do not

00:21:55.500 approve of

00:21:56.140 fat shaming.

00:21:57.700 Don't approve

00:21:58.500 of fat shaming

00:21:59.900 no matter who

00:22:00.540 it is.

00:22:01.640 Now,

00:22:01.920 some of that

00:22:02.500 comes down to

00:22:03.260 my thoughts

00:22:03.940 about free

00:22:04.680 will.

00:22:05.760 You know,

00:22:06.040 there's nobody,

00:22:07.380 nobody weighs

00:22:08.380 300 pounds

00:22:09.260 because they

00:22:09.780 decided to do

00:22:10.620 it.

00:22:11.000 You know,

00:22:11.320 they woke up

00:22:11.900 and said,

00:22:12.200 hey,

00:22:12.340 I think I'll

00:22:12.660 be 300 pounds.

00:22:13.900 So,

00:22:14.480 there's something

00:22:15.020 about free

00:22:15.680 will,

00:22:16.080 there's something

00:22:16.400 about the

00:22:16.820 way,

00:22:17.440 you know,

00:22:18.140 different people

00:22:18.800 are wired,

00:22:20.080 that what is

00:22:20.660 easy for some

00:22:21.740 is maybe

00:22:23.760 impossible for

00:22:24.580 others,

00:22:24.840 depending on

00:22:25.600 what you think

00:22:26.040 about free

00:22:26.480 will.

00:22:27.620 And so,

00:22:28.320 philosophically,

00:22:30.680 I just,

00:22:31.240 I don't,

00:22:32.620 I just don't

00:22:33.340 buy into

00:22:34.040 mocking people

00:22:35.280 for their

00:22:35.780 weight,

00:22:36.280 in any case,

00:22:38.020 because it's

00:22:39.680 just too much

00:22:40.180 part of the

00:22:40.580 human experience,

00:22:41.460 right?

00:22:41.640 but watching

00:22:46.100 Nancy Pelosi

00:22:46.860 do it to

00:22:47.460 Trump,

00:22:48.560 I can't say

00:22:49.220 I hate that.

00:22:50.680 I can't say

00:22:51.600 that I

00:22:51.900 dislike that,

00:22:53.240 because it

00:22:54.640 sort of

00:22:55.100 turned about

00:22:55.720 as fair play,

00:22:56.540 right?

00:22:56.840 You know,

00:22:57.060 Trump has

00:22:57.480 defined the

00:22:58.040 playing field,

00:22:58.700 she's just

00:22:59.080 playing on it.

00:23:00.360 And so,

00:23:01.420 she has this

00:23:02.080 great line,

00:23:02.680 which you knew

00:23:03.080 was going to

00:23:03.420 be national

00:23:04.000 news,

00:23:04.420 and it was.

00:23:06.020 She said,

00:23:07.480 Pelosi said,

00:23:08.200 he's our

00:23:08.720 president,

00:23:09.680 and I would

00:23:10.240 rather,

00:23:10.520 this is funny,

00:23:11.960 she pretends

00:23:13.160 to show

00:23:13.540 fake concern,

00:23:15.020 he's our

00:23:15.540 president,

00:23:16.100 and I would

00:23:16.720 rather he

00:23:17.160 not be taking

00:23:17.840 something that

00:23:18.880 has not been

00:23:19.480 approved by

00:23:20.060 the scientists,

00:23:21.160 especially in

00:23:21.940 his age group,

00:23:23.000 and his,

00:23:24.020 shall we say,

00:23:25.140 weight group,

00:23:26.300 morbidly obese,

00:23:27.780 they say.

00:23:29.620 Now,

00:23:30.200 here's the best

00:23:30.760 part,

00:23:31.160 and the part

00:23:31.580 that made me

00:23:32.040 love it,

00:23:33.580 is that the

00:23:34.640 last two words,

00:23:35.920 comma,

00:23:36.720 they say,

00:23:38.020 because she

00:23:39.560 did what

00:23:39.980 Trump does,

00:23:40.940 which Trump

00:23:41.460 always says,

00:23:42.320 well,

00:23:42.580 they're saying,

00:23:43.480 everybody's telling

00:23:44.400 me,

00:23:45.060 a lot of

00:23:45.440 people are

00:23:45.780 doing,

00:23:46.580 everybody's

00:23:47.140 saying,

00:23:47.860 so it's a

00:23:48.580 Trumpism to

00:23:49.480 take the

00:23:50.040 insult away

00:23:50.560 from yourself

00:23:51.060 and say,

00:23:51.420 well,

00:23:51.600 they say,

00:23:52.860 they say

00:23:53.360 you're morbidly

00:23:53.980 obese.

00:23:55.540 I might argue

00:23:56.540 with them,

00:23:57.000 but I'm just

00:23:57.780 reporting what

00:23:58.440 they say.

00:24:00.360 They say.

00:24:01.940 Now,

00:24:02.320 do you think

00:24:02.680 there was any

00:24:03.740 chance that

00:24:05.160 the phrase

00:24:05.680 morbidly obese

00:24:06.960 would not be

00:24:07.540 a headline

00:24:07.880 today?

00:24:10.300 So,

00:24:11.140 if I'm

00:24:13.100 being fair,

00:24:15.720 right,

00:24:16.000 if I'm just

00:24:16.480 talking about

00:24:17.040 technique,

00:24:18.380 not whose

00:24:19.000 side you

00:24:19.460 agree with,

00:24:21.920 Pelosi gets

00:24:23.080 the win for

00:24:24.100 the day.

00:24:24.500 That's the

00:24:24.780 play of the

00:24:25.220 day.

00:24:26.680 It's impossible

00:24:27.680 to ignore,

00:24:29.920 and it's

00:24:30.780 pretty effective.

00:24:32.500 Well done.

00:24:33.360 So,

00:24:36.340 there's that

00:24:36.700 study of

00:24:37.380 some church

00:24:38.640 choir group,

00:24:40.220 and I guess

00:24:40.640 they determined

00:24:41.240 that being

00:24:42.720 in a crowded

00:24:44.020 room and

00:24:44.560 singing together

00:24:45.340 is just about

00:24:45.960 the worst

00:24:46.420 thing you

00:24:46.780 can do

00:24:47.100 if one

00:24:47.720 of you

00:24:47.960 has the

00:24:48.380 coronavirus.

00:24:49.640 So,

00:24:50.200 if you

00:24:50.440 think anybody

00:24:51.040 you know

00:24:51.380 has the

00:24:51.760 coronavirus,

00:24:53.220 do not

00:24:53.640 get in a

00:24:54.160 small room

00:24:54.700 with them

00:24:55.140 and then

00:24:55.660 sing loudly

00:24:56.740 for many

00:24:57.960 minutes at a

00:24:58.540 time.

00:24:59.560 Turns out

00:25:00.100 that would

00:25:00.500 be a bad

00:25:01.080 thing.

00:25:01.540 But,

00:25:02.200 I'd like to

00:25:02.980 point out

00:25:03.320 a possible

00:25:03.840 good thing.

00:25:05.320 This could

00:25:05.940 be the

00:25:06.440 beginning of

00:25:06.900 the end

00:25:07.180 of car

00:25:07.600 singing.

00:25:09.640 Are you

00:25:10.320 a fan of

00:25:10.840 singing in

00:25:11.640 cars?

00:25:12.940 Because I

00:25:13.420 have this

00:25:13.760 weird situation

00:25:14.560 going on.

00:25:18.680 I'm not

00:25:19.280 going to

00:25:19.460 say it.

00:25:21.300 I was

00:25:21.860 going to

00:25:22.060 tell you a

00:25:22.440 story,

00:25:22.880 but I

00:25:23.540 think I'll

00:25:23.820 skip it.

00:25:25.860 Let me

00:25:26.380 just say

00:25:26.700 this.

00:25:27.220 No,

00:25:27.400 I'm going

00:25:27.580 to tell

00:25:27.780 you the

00:25:28.000 story.

00:25:29.440 Christina,

00:25:30.060 if you're

00:25:30.300 watching this,

00:25:31.260 you'll laugh

00:25:31.760 at it.

00:25:32.980 I've

00:25:35.020 told you

00:25:35.260 before that

00:25:35.700 I don't

00:25:35.980 listen to

00:25:36.760 music

00:25:37.360 just sort

00:25:38.780 of casually

00:25:39.940 as a

00:25:40.700 hobby.

00:25:41.980 I treat

00:25:42.720 music as

00:25:43.380 more of a

00:25:44.000 medicinal

00:25:44.540 thing.

00:25:45.860 If I

00:25:46.180 can find

00:25:46.580 some music

00:25:47.060 that works

00:25:47.500 for my

00:25:48.020 exercise

00:25:48.760 routine,

00:25:49.540 that would

00:25:49.780 be good.

00:25:51.720 Etc.

00:25:52.500 It's

00:25:52.940 basically,

00:25:53.960 I'm using

00:25:54.680 it specifically

00:25:55.580 to inject

00:25:56.520 the music

00:25:57.080 to change

00:25:57.680 my mood

00:25:58.160 in a way

00:25:58.540 I want

00:25:58.940 to,

00:25:59.840 not just

00:26:00.340 randomly

00:26:00.820 listening to

00:26:01.420 the radio.

00:26:02.380 So if

00:26:02.720 you don't

00:26:03.060 randomly

00:26:03.560 listen to

00:26:04.120 music,

00:26:04.820 and you're

00:26:05.160 not around

00:26:05.560 other people

00:26:06.260 who are

00:26:06.600 randomly

00:26:07.020 putting on

00:26:07.620 music that

00:26:08.100 you would

00:26:08.380 hear,

00:26:09.220 you never

00:26:09.880 hear new

00:26:10.320 music.

00:26:11.500 So I

00:26:12.160 can go

00:26:12.700 months at

00:26:13.340 a time

00:26:13.840 without

00:26:14.300 knowing

00:26:14.740 there's a

00:26:15.120 new

00:26:15.240 his song,

00:26:16.420 because I

00:26:17.300 just have

00:26:17.680 never turned

00:26:18.160 on anything

00:26:18.620 that's

00:26:19.320 presenting me

00:26:20.060 random

00:26:20.340 music,

00:26:21.160 except if

00:26:23.280 I'm in

00:26:23.560 the car.

00:26:24.820 So if

00:26:25.260 you're in

00:26:25.440 the car,

00:26:25.980 it's not

00:26:26.320 unusual that

00:26:27.080 whoever you're

00:26:27.940 with will

00:26:28.280 turn on the

00:26:28.760 radio,

00:26:29.600 and then I'll

00:26:30.340 get to hear

00:26:30.700 new songs.

00:26:31.660 So really

00:26:32.040 the only

00:26:32.380 time I

00:26:32.720 would ever

00:26:32.940 get to

00:26:33.180 hear a

00:26:33.380 new song

00:26:33.800 is in

00:26:35.380 the car

00:26:35.840 and on

00:26:36.620 the radio.

00:26:37.400 Now if

00:26:37.760 you're driving

00:26:38.240 and there's

00:26:39.180 somebody in

00:26:40.100 the seat

00:26:40.320 next to

00:26:40.720 you,

00:26:41.420 who is

00:26:42.040 operating

00:26:42.480 the radio?

00:26:44.120 Could be

00:26:44.660 either one

00:26:45.020 of you,

00:26:45.520 but if I'm

00:26:46.140 driving,

00:26:46.660 and I

00:26:46.840 usually am,

00:26:48.140 I would

00:26:48.700 rather not

00:26:49.280 be the one

00:26:49.740 who's also

00:26:50.320 the DJ,

00:26:51.740 because it's,

00:26:52.360 you know,

00:26:52.680 why should I

00:26:53.620 take my

00:26:54.100 attention off

00:26:55.440 the road?

00:26:56.000 I'm driving.

00:26:56.500 So the

00:26:57.100 DJ is

00:26:57.620 always the

00:26:57.960 passenger in

00:26:58.620 my car.

00:26:59.660 If I'm

00:27:00.100 in charge,

00:27:00.940 I'm driving,

00:27:02.680 the passenger is

00:27:03.820 the DJ.

00:27:04.460 It's just

00:27:04.720 safer that way.

00:27:06.120 Now the

00:27:06.420 DJ, of course,

00:27:07.500 is going to be

00:27:07.860 going through

00:27:08.220 the radio

00:27:08.920 dial and

00:27:10.200 picking good

00:27:10.860 songs and

00:27:11.880 skipping bad

00:27:12.640 songs, right?

00:27:14.000 So I'm never

00:27:14.940 going to hear a

00:27:15.560 new song that's

00:27:17.040 a bad song,

00:27:18.220 because the

00:27:19.160 DJ will turn

00:27:20.320 the station as

00:27:21.520 soon as the

00:27:22.140 first few notes

00:27:22.760 come on.

00:27:23.100 Ah, not that

00:27:23.680 one.

00:27:24.340 Ah, not

00:27:24.780 that one.

00:27:25.420 Ah, not

00:27:25.840 that one.

00:27:26.680 So now I'll

00:27:27.940 never hear a

00:27:28.420 bad song, but

00:27:29.680 at least I'll

00:27:30.120 hear the good

00:27:30.600 songs, because

00:27:31.980 the DJ will

00:27:32.800 have selected

00:27:33.360 the good

00:27:33.800 song.

00:27:34.600 So the

00:27:35.140 good song

00:27:35.620 comes on,

00:27:36.920 and what

00:27:37.980 do you do

00:27:38.340 to a good

00:27:38.820 song?

00:27:40.160 Well, if

00:27:40.800 you're in a

00:27:41.160 car, and

00:27:42.620 you like

00:27:42.960 music, and

00:27:43.660 a good song

00:27:44.220 comes on,

00:27:44.720 you sing

00:27:45.080 along, right?

00:27:47.200 Now I

00:27:47.800 can't sing

00:27:48.220 along because

00:27:48.640 I've never

00:27:48.980 heard the

00:27:49.280 song.

00:27:50.720 So Christina

00:27:51.400 sings along

00:27:52.080 to the

00:27:53.420 song.

00:27:53.900 That's the

00:27:54.240 first time I

00:27:54.820 would have

00:27:55.060 ever heard

00:27:55.420 this song,

00:27:56.460 except that

00:27:57.160 if you've

00:27:57.600 ever been

00:27:57.920 in a car

00:27:58.540 where the

00:27:59.920 song is

00:28:00.360 on and

00:28:00.840 there's also

00:28:01.280 somebody singing

00:28:02.080 along, you

00:28:03.260 don't exactly

00:28:04.360 hear the

00:28:04.820 song.

00:28:05.620 You hear

00:28:05.980 more of the

00:28:06.440 version of

00:28:06.940 the person

00:28:07.300 singing it.

00:28:09.400 So I

00:28:10.940 think I've

00:28:11.540 gone years

00:28:12.080 without actually

00:28:12.760 hearing a

00:28:13.240 new song.

00:28:15.940 That's not

00:28:16.580 quite true,

00:28:17.700 but it is

00:28:18.480 true that I'll

00:28:19.520 never hear one

00:28:20.160 on my own.

00:28:21.460 I'll only hear

00:28:22.180 one when

00:28:22.780 Christina's

00:28:23.680 playing either

00:28:24.560 her playlist

00:28:25.200 or something

00:28:26.300 that she's

00:28:27.360 controlling in

00:28:27.980 the car.

00:28:29.040 She doesn't

00:28:29.620 play bad

00:28:30.120 ones, so

00:28:31.260 if it's a

00:28:31.600 bad song,

00:28:32.100 I'll never

00:28:32.400 hear it.

00:28:33.380 And the

00:28:33.700 good ones,

00:28:34.120 she sings

00:28:34.500 along.

00:28:35.340 So I

00:28:35.620 actually haven't

00:28:36.160 heard a new

00:28:36.580 song in years.

00:28:38.300 True story.

00:28:40.980 Christina,

00:28:41.600 when you're

00:28:41.880 watching this,

00:28:42.400 just kidding.

00:28:44.700 But keep

00:28:45.360 singing,

00:28:45.920 because I

00:28:46.200 like it.

00:28:46.560 here's a

00:28:51.180 financial tip

00:28:51.820 for you.

00:28:53.260 I tweeted

00:28:53.900 this.

00:28:55.280 If you

00:28:55.740 were once

00:28:56.200 injured by

00:28:56.860 taking

00:28:57.180 hydroxychloroquine

00:28:58.280 for a few

00:28:58.780 weeks,

00:28:59.540 back when you

00:29:01.080 had to take

00:29:01.560 it for your

00:29:02.020 whatever,

00:29:02.720 your malaria

00:29:03.240 or your lupus

00:29:04.140 or your

00:29:04.720 rheumatoid

00:29:05.680 arthritis,

00:29:06.620 if you had

00:29:07.660 bad side

00:29:08.220 effects and

00:29:09.120 it damaged

00:29:10.000 you in some

00:29:10.540 way,

00:29:11.460 don't give

00:29:11.980 that story

00:29:12.480 away for

00:29:12.880 free.

00:29:13.160 because I

00:29:14.560 know a

00:29:14.900 news network

00:29:15.420 that would

00:29:15.740 pay a

00:29:16.060 million dollars

00:29:16.800 for a

00:29:17.200 good personal

00:29:18.140 story about

00:29:19.460 somebody who

00:29:19.980 was injured

00:29:20.360 by the

00:29:21.040 president's

00:29:21.620 drug

00:29:21.940 hydroxychloroquine.

00:29:23.860 So that's

00:29:24.560 just a little

00:29:24.960 tongue-in-cheek

00:29:25.560 financial advice

00:29:27.140 for you.

00:29:27.660 Don't give

00:29:28.120 that stuff

00:29:28.560 away.

00:29:29.300 Somebody would

00:29:29.800 pay a

00:29:30.060 million dollars

00:29:30.620 for that

00:29:30.980 story.

00:29:32.560 All right.

00:29:33.260 So a big

00:29:33.980 coronavirus death

00:29:35.040 model got

00:29:36.540 tweaked

00:29:37.020 slightly down.

00:29:39.260 So not

00:29:40.380 much,

00:29:41.200 but I think

00:29:41.740 it's one of

00:29:42.080 the first,

00:29:42.440 well,

00:29:43.160 it's one of

00:29:43.600 the rare

00:29:43.920 times that

00:29:44.500 they've

00:29:44.740 tweaked it

00:29:45.140 down,

00:29:45.920 and nobody

00:29:46.600 expected it

00:29:47.260 to be tweaked

00:29:47.740 down to,

00:29:48.300 now it's

00:29:48.640 143,000

00:29:50.460 people,

00:29:51.080 to die by

00:29:51.960 August 4th.

00:29:52.760 That's the

00:29:53.160 model.

00:29:54.280 And I

00:29:55.800 thought to

00:29:56.140 myself,

00:29:57.220 that's a

00:29:58.720 really good

00:29:59.360 sign,

00:29:59.840 isn't it?

00:30:01.320 Because we've

00:30:02.260 been reopening

00:30:02.940 places,

00:30:03.980 so to be

00:30:04.580 reopening things

00:30:05.580 and to have

00:30:06.220 even a minor

00:30:07.180 tweak downward

00:30:08.620 in the death

00:30:09.300 rate now,

00:30:10.940 I don't know

00:30:12.020 what that's

00:30:12.400 going to do

00:30:12.760 to the

00:30:13.020 stock market,

00:30:13.760 but that's

00:30:14.140 a pretty

00:30:14.580 hopeful sign.

00:30:16.060 If two

00:30:16.880 weeks from

00:30:17.400 now,

00:30:18.480 the death

00:30:19.020 rate is

00:30:19.700 projected

00:30:20.840 down or

00:30:22.840 the same,

00:30:25.100 we got

00:30:25.920 this thing.

00:30:27.820 In two

00:30:28.640 weeks,

00:30:29.180 we're going

00:30:29.660 to know a

00:30:30.160 lot.

00:30:31.460 Think about

00:30:31.880 it.

00:30:32.360 Because,

00:30:32.700 you know,

00:30:32.820 you've got

00:30:33.120 the incubation

00:30:35.200 period,

00:30:35.560 so I

00:30:36.580 don't

00:30:36.740 think we've

00:30:37.360 yet seen

00:30:38.000 the effect

00:30:39.300 of states

00:30:40.180 reopening.

00:30:40.980 It's probably

00:30:41.300 a little early

00:30:41.920 for that.

00:30:42.640 But imagine

00:30:43.140 if we go

00:30:43.660 two weeks

00:30:44.320 and the

00:30:45.860 death rate

00:30:46.400 is either

00:30:47.800 modestly

00:30:48.820 down,

00:30:49.700 projected,

00:30:51.500 or,

00:30:52.600 you know,

00:30:52.920 even the

00:30:53.280 same,

00:30:54.120 or even a

00:30:54.640 little bit

00:30:54.920 up,

00:30:55.700 just a

00:30:56.140 little bit.

00:30:57.320 In two

00:30:58.160 weeks,

00:30:58.900 if we can

00:30:59.460 flatten this

00:31:00.080 thing while

00:31:00.620 also going

00:31:01.360 back to

00:31:02.360 work,

00:31:02.680 we win.

00:31:05.980 That's how

00:31:06.540 close we

00:31:07.100 are.

00:31:08.860 Think about

00:31:09.540 that.

00:31:10.220 So you're

00:31:10.900 thinking,

00:31:11.460 you're probably

00:31:11.860 thinking in

00:31:12.320 terms of,

00:31:12.980 oh God,

00:31:13.560 the end

00:31:13.940 of this

00:31:14.400 is when?

00:31:16.760 2021?

00:31:17.880 Is it the

00:31:18.220 end of the

00:31:18.580 year?

00:31:19.240 Your brain

00:31:20.060 is putting

00:31:20.540 like a,

00:31:21.720 you feel like

00:31:22.540 you're more

00:31:22.980 at the beginning

00:31:23.680 of it than

00:31:24.680 at the end.

00:31:25.700 But I would

00:31:26.220 suggest to

00:31:26.800 you that in

00:31:28.160 two weeks,

00:31:29.820 this is the

00:31:30.440 most optimistic

00:31:31.040 thing I could

00:31:31.740 say,

00:31:32.080 because we

00:31:32.340 don't know

00:31:32.700 this will

00:31:33.000 happen.

00:31:33.980 But in

00:31:34.320 two weeks,

00:31:34.860 if that

00:31:35.220 death rate

00:31:35.760 looks flat

00:31:36.580 or a

00:31:38.560 little bit

00:31:38.980 down,

00:31:39.940 you know,

00:31:40.240 the way it's

00:31:40.620 predicted anyway,

00:31:41.600 not the

00:31:41.880 actual,

00:31:42.280 but the

00:31:42.500 prediction,

00:31:43.160 if we get

00:31:44.060 that in

00:31:44.520 two weeks,

00:31:45.520 we win.

00:31:47.860 In two

00:31:48.620 weeks,

00:31:49.000 if that

00:31:49.360 death rate

00:31:49.820 hasn't moved,

00:31:50.880 there's nothing

00:31:51.860 you can do

00:31:52.420 to keep the

00:31:52.920 American public

00:31:53.640 indoors.

00:31:54.940 There's nothing

00:31:55.820 you can do

00:31:56.420 from keeping

00:31:57.060 the American

00:31:57.560 public from

00:31:58.700 reopening their

00:31:59.500 businesses.

00:32:00.780 If in two

00:32:02.080 weeks,

00:32:02.420 that number

00:32:02.920 looks flat,

00:32:04.340 it's over.

00:32:06.300 Now,

00:32:06.820 it's not

00:32:07.120 over for

00:32:07.580 anybody who

00:32:08.160 in the future

00:32:09.400 will suffer

00:32:10.180 and die. 0.95

00:32:10.760 There will be

00:32:11.100 tragedies.

00:32:12.340 It's just

00:32:12.940 unavoidable.

00:32:14.220 But the

00:32:15.520 long horror

00:32:16.740 of the

00:32:17.220 shutdown,

00:32:18.680 at least

00:32:19.720 intellectually,

00:32:20.940 psychologically,

00:32:22.080 and for all

00:32:22.840 practical purposes,

00:32:24.820 we might know

00:32:25.900 something in

00:32:26.460 two weeks.

00:32:27.120 because if

00:32:28.360 that number

00:32:28.800 doesn't move,

00:32:30.280 what the

00:32:30.740 hell would

00:32:31.220 keep you

00:32:31.660 from total

00:32:32.700 social,

00:32:34.240 what would

00:32:35.140 you call

00:32:35.400 it,

00:32:37.200 an acceptable

00:32:38.420 protest,

00:32:39.720 let's say,

00:32:40.420 of just

00:32:40.760 going back

00:32:41.200 to work.

00:32:42.440 All right.

00:32:44.540 Here's an

00:32:45.180 interesting thing.

00:32:46.300 I've often

00:32:46.900 talked about

00:32:47.480 CNN's

00:32:48.120 Fareed

00:32:48.720 Zakaria

00:32:49.460 because I

00:32:50.120 like how

00:32:50.560 his mind

00:32:51.100 works.

00:32:52.440 His take

00:32:53.520 on things

00:32:54.060 is often

00:32:55.220 non-standard

00:32:56.220 and in a

00:32:56.980 good way.

00:32:57.820 If you like

00:32:58.800 to think

00:32:59.200 about things

00:32:59.660 in a new

00:32:59.960 way,

00:33:00.300 his program

00:33:00.840 is excellent.

00:33:02.020 I always

00:33:02.360 enjoy watching

00:33:02.980 it.

00:33:05.820 He had

00:33:06.620 a long

00:33:07.380 little monologue.

00:33:08.920 I think it

00:33:09.280 was yesterday.

00:33:10.900 Here's just a

00:33:11.800 sentence from

00:33:12.400 him.

00:33:12.580 I think it's

00:33:13.000 extraordinary.

00:33:14.680 He says,

00:33:15.120 imagine you're

00:33:15.680 an American

00:33:16.120 who works

00:33:16.680 with his

00:33:17.060 hands and

00:33:18.280 you've lost

00:33:18.740 your job

00:33:19.280 because of

00:33:19.700 the lockdown.

00:33:20.720 You turn

00:33:21.160 on the

00:33:21.460 TV and

00:33:22.140 hear medical

00:33:22.780 experts,

00:33:23.680 academics,

00:33:24.400 technocrats,

00:33:25.080 and journalists

00:33:25.640 explain we

00:33:26.960 must keep

00:33:27.440 the economy

00:33:27.980 closed.

00:33:29.240 All these

00:33:29.780 people making

00:33:30.820 that case

00:33:31.600 have jobs.

00:33:34.440 It was a

00:33:34.960 pretty strong

00:33:35.380 piece and

00:33:36.040 he makes

00:33:36.320 the case

00:33:36.840 that we

00:33:39.020 think we're

00:33:39.560 doing,

00:33:40.140 we think

00:33:40.800 we're making

00:33:41.240 medical

00:33:41.780 health

00:33:42.460 decisions,

00:33:43.900 but somewhat

00:33:45.100 accidentally

00:33:45.960 it became

00:33:47.240 class decisions

00:33:48.320 because the

00:33:49.600 people making

00:33:50.260 these,

00:33:50.700 stay safe

00:33:52.360 pronouncements

00:33:53.160 are getting

00:33:53.760 paid and

00:33:54.440 the people

00:33:54.840 who are

00:33:55.200 being told

00:33:55.740 to stay

00:33:56.160 safe are

00:33:56.680 not.

00:33:57.960 And it's

00:33:58.960 not even

00:33:59.400 close to

00:34:01.600 being a

00:34:02.680 credible

00:34:05.320 situation.

00:34:06.860 It's the

00:34:07.200 sort of thing

00:34:07.620 you could

00:34:07.900 take for a

00:34:08.420 little while

00:34:08.880 because the

00:34:09.500 experts do

00:34:10.060 have some

00:34:10.500 capital,

00:34:11.900 but it's not

00:34:12.720 something you

00:34:13.180 can take in

00:34:13.640 the long

00:34:14.000 term because

00:34:15.040 the stark

00:34:16.280 difference between

00:34:17.240 the people who

00:34:17.720 have jobs and

00:34:18.340 the ones who

00:34:18.720 don't,

00:34:19.700 we're going

00:34:20.620 to notice

00:34:20.980 that.

00:34:22.240 We're going

00:34:22.540 to notice

00:34:22.880 that.

00:34:25.120 Mark Cuban

00:34:26.020 continues to

00:34:26.840 be productive

00:34:28.160 and one of

00:34:28.980 the top

00:34:30.340 voices I

00:34:31.040 think so

00:34:31.420 far in

00:34:32.720 terms of

00:34:33.400 the coronavirus

00:34:34.360 situation.

00:34:35.480 Stepping up

00:34:36.220 into a

00:34:37.240 leadership

00:34:38.120 mode,

00:34:38.860 much

00:34:39.260 appreciated.

00:34:40.980 And he's

00:34:41.620 got some

00:34:41.900 ideas totally

00:34:43.380 worth looking

00:34:44.220 at.

00:34:44.360 one is

00:34:44.740 that he

00:34:45.560 doesn't

00:34:45.860 think the

00:34:46.180 free market

00:34:46.780 is going

00:34:48.180 to produce

00:34:48.620 the 18

00:34:49.280 million jobs

00:34:50.000 that we

00:34:50.300 need fairly

00:34:51.220 soon after

00:34:51.920 in the next

00:34:53.700 two years,

00:34:54.160 he says.

00:34:55.160 And he's

00:34:55.840 talking about

00:34:56.280 some kind

00:34:56.700 of a federal

00:34:57.820 job guarantee,

00:34:58.920 not unlike

00:34:59.600 the Depression,

00:35:01.020 in which you

00:35:01.420 just basically

00:35:02.040 have the

00:35:02.360 government hire

00:35:03.820 the unemployed

00:35:04.560 and put them

00:35:05.220 to work

00:35:05.640 building and

00:35:06.620 constructing

00:35:07.100 things that

00:35:07.700 have to be

00:35:08.100 built and

00:35:08.560 constructed

00:35:09.020 anyway.

00:35:09.420 And as

00:35:12.400 he points

00:35:12.820 out, it's

00:35:13.240 not the

00:35:13.640 kind of

00:35:14.020 idea you

00:35:14.600 would have

00:35:14.940 looked at

00:35:15.440 if we'd

00:35:16.520 been locked

00:35:16.880 down for

00:35:17.280 a month.

00:35:18.540 If we'd

00:35:19.140 only been

00:35:19.420 locked down

00:35:19.800 for a

00:35:20.100 month,

00:35:20.900 well, let

00:35:21.820 the free

00:35:22.160 market just

00:35:22.680 recover and

00:35:23.260 do its

00:35:23.540 thing.

00:35:24.560 But we've

00:35:25.380 reached a

00:35:25.760 point where

00:35:26.340 the free

00:35:27.000 market's

00:35:27.460 going to

00:35:27.620 be maybe

00:35:28.360 a little

00:35:28.640 sluggish,

00:35:29.900 putting

00:35:30.180 everybody

00:35:30.520 back to

00:35:31.040 work.

00:35:31.880 And since

00:35:32.180 we need

00:35:32.540 the

00:35:32.680 infrastructure

00:35:33.080 anyway,

00:35:34.720 and because

00:35:35.140 as far as

00:35:35.640 I can tell,

00:35:36.320 we can

00:35:36.800 print money,

00:35:38.220 I still

00:35:39.300 have a

00:35:39.640 big

00:35:39.760 question

00:35:40.100 mark

00:35:40.340 there,

00:35:40.660 but it

00:35:41.920 looks like

00:35:42.320 we can

00:35:42.600 still print

00:35:43.040 money.

00:35:44.380 So why

00:35:44.840 not?

00:35:45.940 I would

00:35:46.520 say that

00:35:47.020 Mark Cuban's

00:35:48.140 suggestion for

00:35:48.880 a jobs,

00:35:50.460 federal job

00:35:51.460 guarantee,

00:35:52.720 I think that

00:35:53.560 should be in

00:35:54.040 the top

00:35:55.800 three things

00:35:56.840 that we're

00:35:57.140 thinking about,

00:35:57.880 don't you?

00:35:59.300 I don't know

00:35:59.860 if there's

00:36:00.100 anything wrong

00:36:00.580 with that.

00:36:01.600 Is there

00:36:01.980 anything wrong

00:36:02.680 with that

00:36:02.940 idea?

00:36:03.320 It looks

00:36:03.560 like it's

00:36:04.680 just a

00:36:06.640 good idea.

00:36:08.700 And then

00:36:09.200 Mark Cuban

00:36:10.040 goes on

00:36:10.480 and says

00:36:10.760 the government

00:36:11.200 until things

00:36:13.380 are sorted

00:36:13.780 out,

00:36:14.340 we should

00:36:14.560 get a

00:36:14.800 thousand

00:36:15.060 dollar

00:36:15.300 check

00:36:15.660 every

00:36:16.820 two

00:36:17.080 weeks

00:36:17.320 to

00:36:17.460 every

00:36:17.660 household

00:36:18.140 with the

00:36:19.080 caveat

00:36:19.360 that it

00:36:19.800 expires in

00:36:20.560 ten days

00:36:21.040 if you

00:36:21.300 don't use

00:36:21.680 it.

00:36:22.600 That's a

00:36:22.980 good add.

00:36:24.660 I don't

00:36:24.880 know how

00:36:25.160 you could

00:36:25.500 give people

00:36:25.960 money that

00:36:26.480 expires

00:36:27.100 though.

00:36:28.380 Can you

00:36:29.020 take it

00:36:29.380 out of

00:36:29.580 their

00:36:29.700 account?

00:36:30.840 How do

00:36:31.120 you do

00:36:31.340 that?

00:36:32.160 I don't

00:36:32.620 know if

00:36:32.840 there's a

00:36:33.120 mechanism

00:36:33.440 for doing

00:36:33.960 that.

00:36:34.180 You could

00:36:34.360 do it

00:36:34.600 if people

00:36:35.660 had digital

00:36:36.280 wallets or

00:36:37.000 something,

00:36:37.380 but not

00:36:38.020 everybody

00:36:38.280 does.

00:36:40.320 Just so

00:36:40.960 you know,

00:36:41.280 Mark Cuban

00:36:42.300 has an

00:36:42.720 advisory role.

00:36:43.720 He's on

00:36:44.080 Trump's

00:36:45.280 Opening

00:36:45.560 Our

00:36:45.780 Country

00:36:46.160 Economic

00:36:47.260 Council.

00:36:48.480 He's in

00:36:48.820 the right

00:36:49.060 place at

00:36:49.400 the right

00:36:49.600 time,

00:36:50.040 and those

00:36:50.260 are

00:36:50.400 productive

00:36:50.820 ideas.

00:36:52.620 Honestly,

00:36:53.360 when I

00:36:53.580 see stuff

00:36:54.060 like that,

00:36:55.820 I ask

00:36:56.740 myself,

00:36:58.040 why aren't

00:36:59.540 there more

00:37:00.080 Mark Cubans

00:37:01.020 doing this

00:37:01.600 sort of

00:37:01.940 thing?

00:37:02.380 It feels

00:37:03.260 like he's

00:37:03.660 unusually

00:37:04.400 productive

00:37:04.940 with ideas

00:37:06.740 that are

00:37:07.340 all

00:37:07.960 within

00:37:08.260 the,

00:37:09.260 I would

00:37:09.700 say every

00:37:10.040 one of

00:37:10.340 his ideas

00:37:10.980 is well

00:37:12.300 within the

00:37:12.920 let's

00:37:13.460 consider

00:37:13.820 this

00:37:14.140 range.

00:37:16.940 Somebody

00:37:17.380 says a

00:37:17.800 debit card

00:37:18.420 would do

00:37:19.100 it.

00:37:19.440 Yeah,

00:37:19.640 if we

00:37:19.940 could put

00:37:20.320 that

00:37:20.520 together,

00:37:21.420 if we

00:37:21.740 could do

00:37:22.040 it,

00:37:22.300 if you

00:37:22.580 could get

00:37:22.980 everybody

00:37:23.460 a debit

00:37:23.880 card,

00:37:25.280 it just

00:37:25.860 doesn't seem

00:37:26.320 like that's

00:37:26.700 something you

00:37:27.080 could do

00:37:27.340 that quickly.

00:37:28.740 Maybe.

00:37:31.760 Yeah,

00:37:32.220 not everybody

00:37:32.680 can handle

00:37:33.100 a Bitcoin,

00:37:33.760 but if they

00:37:34.220 could,

00:37:34.860 you'd have

00:37:35.420 something.

00:37:37.960 I saw a

00:37:38.560 great tweet

00:37:39.380 by somebody

00:37:40.400 whose name

00:37:40.920 I forgot

00:37:41.420 to copy

00:37:42.320 and paste

00:37:42.740 into my

00:37:43.160 notes,

00:37:44.100 but he

00:37:44.900 makes a

00:37:45.260 really good

00:37:45.600 point,

00:37:46.060 that the

00:37:46.600 experience

00:37:47.080 with closing

00:37:48.260 the schools

00:37:49.040 and having

00:37:49.740 the situation

00:37:50.400 where you

00:37:51.420 got online

00:37:52.140 school and

00:37:53.040 homeschooling

00:37:53.940 and it was

00:37:55.440 just a mess,

00:37:57.000 sort of

00:37:57.600 highlighted the

00:37:58.400 flaws in the

00:37:59.100 system.

00:38:00.320 And this

00:38:01.100 one, I

00:38:01.880 assume he's

00:38:02.380 a parent.

00:38:02.840 I wish I'd

00:38:04.960 written down

00:38:05.360 who it was

00:38:05.920 because it

00:38:06.200 was a good

00:38:06.480 idea.

00:38:07.320 But there

00:38:07.820 was some

00:38:08.080 blue check

00:38:08.480 person with

00:38:09.000 a good idea

00:38:09.460 and he

00:38:09.720 said that

00:38:10.260 we should

00:38:11.420 be rethinking

00:38:12.080 school in

00:38:13.120 terms of

00:38:13.660 permanently

00:38:14.140 making it

00:38:14.840 a hybrid.

00:38:16.040 And the

00:38:16.260 hybrid is

00:38:16.960 not just

00:38:17.840 go to

00:38:18.280 school and

00:38:18.760 stay there

00:38:19.220 all day

00:38:19.640 and not

00:38:20.640 just

00:38:21.060 homeschool,

00:38:23.180 but rather

00:38:23.720 almost certainly

00:38:24.740 there's some

00:38:25.440 kind of a

00:38:25.840 hybrid in

00:38:26.540 which you do

00:38:26.940 a little bit

00:38:27.440 in person

00:38:27.940 and a little

00:38:28.420 bit at

00:38:29.420 home or on

00:38:30.060 your own

00:38:30.320 pace or

00:38:30.700 something.

00:38:30.940 And I

00:38:33.400 thought that

00:38:33.780 was a good

00:38:34.620 take on

00:38:36.600 it because

00:38:37.680 I would

00:38:38.700 agree it's

00:38:39.200 not just

00:38:39.620 going to

00:38:39.960 go all

00:38:41.260 homeschool or

00:38:42.200 online because

00:38:42.920 it just doesn't

00:38:43.740 work well

00:38:44.320 that yet.

00:38:45.620 But I also

00:38:46.380 think it

00:38:46.740 can't be

00:38:47.260 go to

00:38:47.840 school all

00:38:48.340 day.

00:38:49.100 There's

00:38:49.460 something wrong

00:38:49.980 with that

00:38:50.280 model too.

00:38:51.580 So I like

00:38:52.160 this.

00:38:52.560 There's

00:38:52.700 somewhere in

00:38:53.100 between.

00:38:54.520 Someplace

00:38:55.020 in between.

00:38:56.120 That's good.

00:38:57.180 All right.

00:39:00.940 Well,

00:39:02.580 well,

00:39:02.760 well.

00:39:05.140 So again,

00:39:06.080 we are

00:39:06.320 $30 trillion

00:39:06.980 in debt.

00:39:09.120 And

00:39:09.600 answer,

00:39:11.100 open up

00:39:11.620 and quit

00:39:12.340 printing.

00:39:13.520 Mark Cuban

00:39:14.120 is wrong.

00:39:14.980 All right.

00:39:15.200 For those

00:39:15.580 of you who

00:39:16.320 are talking

00:39:16.760 about the

00:39:17.420 debt,

00:39:19.300 be advised

00:39:20.220 that there's

00:39:21.920 no expert

00:39:22.580 agreement on

00:39:23.760 the debt.

00:39:24.480 I'm not even

00:39:25.240 sure anybody

00:39:25.800 understands it

00:39:26.740 because the

00:39:27.760 first thing you

00:39:28.280 need to know

00:39:28.740 is that when

00:39:29.400 we're printing

00:39:29.980 money,

00:39:30.460 that's not

00:39:31.040 like our

00:39:32.060 normal debt.

00:39:34.460 And I'm not

00:39:35.220 even sure anybody

00:39:35.900 understands how

00:39:37.080 any of this

00:39:37.560 works.

00:39:38.180 I mean,

00:39:38.340 I've got a

00:39:38.940 degree in

00:39:39.420 economics and

00:39:40.780 I can't tell

00:39:41.520 you that

00:39:42.720 printing money

00:39:43.320 is necessarily

00:39:44.020 going to be

00:39:44.460 bad in this

00:39:45.420 specific situation.

00:39:47.320 It looks like

00:39:48.340 it might be

00:39:50.100 good.

00:39:51.020 I don't know.

00:39:52.300 But don't

00:39:53.420 fall into the

00:39:54.400 trap of

00:39:55.020 thinking that

00:39:55.660 before this

00:39:57.020 happened,

00:39:57.560 you knew that

00:39:58.220 debt was

00:39:58.640 bad,

00:39:59.100 right?

00:40:00.900 Everybody

00:40:01.180 knew debt

00:40:01.740 was bad,

00:40:02.320 it's going

00:40:02.540 to crush

00:40:02.920 us,

00:40:03.200 it's going

00:40:03.460 to kill

00:40:03.720 us all,

00:40:04.440 it's a

00:40:04.820 matter of

00:40:05.160 time,

00:40:05.620 it's a

00:40:05.880 time bomb

00:40:06.400 waiting to

00:40:06.880 go off.

00:40:08.440 But that's

00:40:09.020 not this

00:40:09.620 situation.

00:40:10.560 This

00:40:11.000 situation is

00:40:11.800 that we

00:40:12.440 might be

00:40:12.860 able to

00:40:13.140 print

00:40:13.360 trillions

00:40:13.800 of dollars

00:40:14.280 and have

00:40:14.860 no lasting

00:40:16.200 impact

00:40:16.720 because

00:40:17.860 inflation

00:40:18.640 just went

00:40:19.160 away.

00:40:22.220 Well,

00:40:22.800 you know,

00:40:23.080 somebody's

00:40:23.440 laughing with

00:40:24.160 that emoji

00:40:24.980 saying this

00:40:25.580 time is

00:40:25.980 different.

00:40:26.360 this

00:40:28.880 time is

00:40:29.300 always

00:40:29.540 different.

00:40:31.000 So that's

00:40:32.040 a clever

00:40:32.380 little thing

00:40:33.700 you said,

00:40:34.280 oh,

00:40:34.520 this time

00:40:34.960 is different.

00:40:35.820 But the

00:40:36.200 fact is

00:40:36.620 every time

00:40:37.100 is different.

00:40:38.280 If you're

00:40:38.600 trying to

00:40:39.440 learn from

00:40:39.960 history,

00:40:41.080 you're the

00:40:41.920 dumbest

00:40:42.280 person in

00:40:42.760 the conversation

00:40:43.460 because history

00:40:44.660 doesn't repeat.

00:40:45.940 It can't.

00:40:47.080 Because when

00:40:47.800 history did

00:40:48.380 what it did

00:40:48.820 last time,

00:40:49.600 people noticed.

00:40:50.420 And if

00:40:51.820 you notice

00:40:52.260 what it

00:40:52.600 did last

00:40:53.040 time,

00:40:53.420 that tells

00:40:53.900 you to

00:40:54.240 modify this

00:40:55.000 time.

00:40:56.160 So history

00:40:56.760 doesn't really

00:40:57.780 repeat.

00:40:59.060 Things get

00:40:59.580 adjusted because

00:41:00.420 of the last

00:41:00.920 way things

00:41:01.380 went.

00:41:04.420 All right.

00:41:05.940 Somebody says

00:41:06.720 it's hugely

00:41:07.340 inflationary down

00:41:09.180 the road,

00:41:09.760 but not

00:41:10.260 immediately.

00:41:11.240 We don't

00:41:11.940 really know

00:41:12.360 that.

00:41:13.320 We don't

00:41:13.680 really know

00:41:14.060 that.

00:41:15.600 Because

00:41:16.120 remember,

00:41:17.600 prior to the

00:41:18.880 coronavirus,

00:41:19.660 we would

00:41:20.080 have said

00:41:20.400 it would

00:41:20.640 be impossible

00:41:21.280 to have

00:41:21.700 growth as

00:41:22.340 good as

00:41:22.660 it was

00:41:23.100 and no

00:41:23.540 inflation.

00:41:24.720 Right?

00:41:25.160 I believe

00:41:26.040 something like

00:41:26.720 100% of

00:41:27.620 economists

00:41:28.180 would have

00:41:28.740 said that

00:41:29.840 the year

00:41:30.260 2019

00:41:31.000 wasn't

00:41:31.580 possible.

00:41:32.940 It wasn't

00:41:33.280 even

00:41:33.500 mathematically

00:41:34.100 possible.

00:41:35.260 That you

00:41:35.680 would have

00:41:36.060 low inflation

00:41:37.320 and great

00:41:38.620 growth.

00:41:39.800 Those two

00:41:40.540 things just

00:41:41.000 aren't supposed

00:41:41.400 to work

00:41:41.760 together.

00:41:42.700 But they

00:41:43.400 did.

00:41:44.260 So when

00:41:44.880 you're saying

00:41:45.280 to yourself,

00:41:45.940 well,

00:41:46.780 the obvious

00:41:47.700 mathematical

00:41:48.720 outcome of

00:41:49.860 printing

00:41:50.220 money and

00:41:51.000 adding it

00:41:51.480 to the

00:41:51.780 system is

00:41:52.840 that when

00:41:53.200 things

00:41:53.480 recover,

00:41:54.500 there'll be

00:41:54.880 too much

00:41:55.360 of it

00:41:55.700 sloshing

00:41:56.160 around

00:41:56.560 still.

00:41:58.980 I don't

00:41:59.640 think anybody

00:42:00.100 knows that.

00:42:01.280 Because we

00:42:01.960 didn't even

00:42:02.380 know that

00:42:03.880 2019 could

00:42:04.860 have growth

00:42:05.360 and no

00:42:05.780 inflation,

00:42:06.460 or low

00:42:06.760 inflation.

00:42:07.540 We didn't

00:42:08.020 know that

00:42:08.380 either.

00:42:09.340 Apparently,

00:42:10.000 we don't

00:42:10.560 know how

00:42:10.960 the basic

00:42:11.500 economy works.

00:42:13.100 And when

00:42:13.360 I say we,

00:42:14.080 I mean,

00:42:15.140 there don't

00:42:15.580 seem to be

00:42:16.000 any experts

00:42:16.620 who could

00:42:16.960 predict even

00:42:18.760 something that

00:42:19.460 basic that

00:42:21.140 you could

00:42:21.500 have growth

00:42:22.100 without

00:42:22.400 inflation.

00:42:23.660 That's as

00:42:24.160 basic as

00:42:24.900 you can

00:42:25.200 get in

00:42:26.700 economics.

00:42:28.020 And we

00:42:28.240 couldn't even

00:42:28.620 see that

00:42:29.160 coming.

00:42:30.220 So when

00:42:31.080 you're saying

00:42:31.440 to yourself,

00:42:32.720 you know,

00:42:33.540 I am certain

00:42:34.260 with my

00:42:34.880 lack of

00:42:35.420 economic

00:42:35.900 education,

00:42:37.240 I am certain

00:42:38.060 that we're

00:42:38.440 running up

00:42:38.900 debt or

00:42:39.380 causing

00:42:39.740 inflation,

00:42:40.980 well,

00:42:41.300 you can be

00:42:41.860 certain about

00:42:42.480 that,

00:42:43.140 but you're

00:42:44.240 not a

00:42:44.640 credible

00:42:45.040 observer.

00:42:45.580 because

00:42:46.920 absolutely

00:42:48.100 nobody is

00:42:48.920 certain about

00:42:49.400 that.

00:42:50.880 If I had

00:42:51.640 to guess,

00:42:52.680 I think

00:42:53.100 it'll be

00:42:53.400 fine.

00:42:54.960 It'll

00:42:55.440 probably be

00:42:55.920 fine.

00:42:58.680 All right,

00:42:59.520 Krugman said

00:43:00.200 it.

00:43:00.620 What did

00:43:00.940 Krugman say?

00:43:02.880 And has

00:43:03.220 Krugman been

00:43:03.960 correct a

00:43:05.220 lot?

00:43:09.260 This is

00:43:09.860 where we

00:43:10.080 get all

00:43:10.340 the crazy

00:43:11.140 comments

00:43:12.480 about

00:43:14.720 economics.

00:43:15.260 So most

00:43:15.760 of us

00:43:15.980 don't

00:43:16.180 understand

00:43:16.620 economics,

00:43:17.360 but we

00:43:17.720 don't

00:43:17.900 know it.

00:43:20.140 Yeah,

00:43:20.620 the pension

00:43:21.060 issues are

00:43:22.520 going to

00:43:22.640 be huge.

00:43:27.480 All right,

00:43:28.080 that's all I

00:43:28.460 got for

00:43:28.660 now.

00:43:29.320 I'm going

00:43:29.800 to go do

00:43:30.140 some other

00:43:30.440 stuff,

00:43:30.980 and I

00:43:31.200 will talk

00:43:31.560 to you

00:43:31.980 tonight.

00:43:33.960 If you

00:43:34.340 missed my

00:43:35.220 periscope from

00:43:36.180 last night,

00:43:37.060 I did a

00:43:38.300 section on

00:43:39.260 how to

00:43:39.620 increase your

00:43:40.520 luck.

00:43:41.580 Now,

00:43:41.920 not in a

00:43:42.340 magic way,

00:43:43.300 but in

00:43:43.760 terms of

00:43:44.200 going where

00:43:44.740 you can

00:43:45.020 have more

00:43:45.380 luck and

00:43:45.900 manipulating

00:43:46.540 your life

00:43:47.080 so that

00:43:47.440 luck can

00:43:47.780 find you

00:43:48.180 better.

00:43:48.960 I highly

00:43:49.400 recommend it.

00:43:50.640 I played

00:43:51.540 it back

00:43:51.820 myself just

00:43:52.540 to see if

00:43:52.900 I liked

00:43:53.280 it,

00:43:53.800 and I'm

00:43:54.480 usually pretty

00:43:55.020 tough on

00:43:55.580 my own

00:43:56.040 content,

00:43:58.240 but even I

00:43:58.940 liked it.

00:43:59.660 I just

00:44:00.040 watched it

00:44:00.420 myself,

00:44:01.080 like a

00:44:01.800 consumer,

00:44:02.300 and I

00:44:02.400 thought,

00:44:02.660 huh,

00:44:03.640 that was

00:44:04.000 laid down

00:44:04.340 pretty well.

00:44:05.040 I was

00:44:05.260 pretty happy

00:44:05.680 with it.

00:44:05.960 So I

00:44:06.920 think it's

00:44:08.260 one of

00:44:08.500 these small

00:44:09.780 little micro

00:44:10.500 lessons,

00:44:11.660 five minutes

00:44:12.840 I think,

00:44:13.840 but it has

00:44:15.460 the potential

00:44:15.980 to change

00:44:16.540 your life

00:44:17.140 if it

00:44:19.220 changes how

00:44:19.800 you look

00:44:20.180 about assessing

00:44:21.280 your odds.

00:44:22.700 If you do

00:44:23.360 a better job

00:44:24.020 of knowing

00:44:24.380 where the

00:44:24.840 odds are

00:44:25.460 good,

00:44:26.640 your life

00:44:27.320 is going

00:44:27.580 to be a

00:44:27.820 lot better.

00:44:28.520 So I

00:44:28.800 tried to

00:44:29.100 help you

00:44:29.360 there.

00:44:29.560 And I

00:44:31.440 hope it

00:44:31.620 helps.

00:44:32.480 And I

00:44:32.860 will see

00:44:33.240 you next

00:44:34.900 time.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 19, 2020

Episode 984 Scott Adams： Talking About Those Disagreeing Doctors, Pelosi's Insults, Artistic Breakthroughs

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