Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 19, 2020


Episode 984 Scott Adams： Talking About Those Disagreeing Doctors, Pelosi's Insults, Artistic Breakthroughs


Episode Stats

Length

44 minutes

Words per Minute

153.38896

Word Count

6,839

Sentence Count

466

Misogynist Sentences

2

Hate Speech Sentences

5


Summary

In this episode, I talk about a cool thing that happens in the life of creators, and why you should be lucky if it happens to you once in your life. And I also talk about the time I saw the name of my character, Dilbert, and it changed my life.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Bum bum, bum bum, bum bum, bum bum.
00:00:03.560 Bum bum bum, bum.
00:00:05.880 Bum bum bum, bum, bum bum, bum.
00:00:09.340 Hey, everybody.
00:00:11.200 You found it.
00:00:12.840 You found the best place to be in the morning.
00:00:17.800 Congratulations on you.
00:00:20.600 That's the way to start the day, isn't it?
00:00:23.020 Yeah, it is.
00:00:25.500 Want to get it going even better?
00:00:27.400 You do?
00:00:28.600 Okay.
00:00:28.940 Okay, all you have to do is find yourself a cupper, mugger, a glass of tanker, chalice, or stand, a canteen jugger, a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:41.220 I like coffee.
00:00:42.360 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.
00:00:50.300 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:53.560 Go.
00:00:57.820 Mmm.
00:00:58.940 I can feel the zinc being delivered to my ACE2 inhibitors.
00:01:06.340 Don't even know what any of that means.
00:01:08.480 But it feels good.
00:01:10.220 Sure does.
00:01:12.400 So, as people are pouring in, let me tell you about a cool thing that happens in the life of artists or creators.
00:01:20.380 Whatever you want to call me.
00:01:22.140 I usually don't call myself an artist, because that's just that word, I don't know.
00:01:26.560 There's something wrong with the word artist that just rubs me wrong.
00:01:30.420 So I'd rather be a creator than an artist.
00:01:32.960 And there's a cool thing that happens in the life of creators, and you're lucky if it would happen to you once in your life.
00:01:41.320 Because it's such a cool feeling.
00:01:43.960 And I'll tell you one of the times that happened.
00:01:46.220 Once was, I was in my cubicle in 1988 at Pacific Bell.
00:01:53.080 And I was drawing little comics on my whiteboard in my cubicle, and I started developing this character, Dilbert.
00:02:01.620 Now, he didn't have a name.
00:02:03.020 He was just a sort of a technology worker in a big company, like the people I was working with.
00:02:08.560 So he was a composite of people I worked with.
00:02:10.900 But he didn't have a name.
00:02:13.440 And so I had a name the nerd contest.
00:02:17.180 So I put a little label that says, name the nerd.
00:02:19.460 And I drew the picture of what would become Dilbert.
00:02:21.760 And people would come into my cubicle all day long, and they'd say, huh, he looks like he'd be an Irving.
00:02:27.820 And they'd write it down.
00:02:29.120 Ah, I think he'd be Poindexter.
00:02:31.780 And I'd write it down.
00:02:32.540 I think he'd be Bruce.
00:02:33.600 And every time I'd see a name, I'd look at it, and I'd go, no, no, he's not a Bruce.
00:02:41.420 He's not a Poindexter.
00:02:44.180 He's not an Irving.
00:02:46.540 And one day, my boss at the time came in, and he goes, I got it.
00:02:51.720 And he walks over, and I can remember it like it was today.
00:02:55.420 He picks up dry erase marker.
00:02:58.240 You know, I'm sitting in my chair, and the picture is just so amazingly burned into my memory.
00:03:05.120 And he writes on the board, D-I-L-B-E-R-T.
00:03:15.760 And he puts the top back on the pen.
00:03:18.760 And he goes, that's the name of your character.
00:03:21.620 And I said, what just happened to me?
00:03:25.320 Because I actually felt my entire body go down a tunnel, like I had just gone forward in time, into the future.
00:03:38.180 And I saw the name on the character and felt it like I had experienced the future.
00:03:45.500 And as he starts talking, I felt myself going back down the tunnel, the other direction, bam.
00:03:55.180 And I was back in 1988.
00:03:57.920 And I just looked at that name, and I looked at it on the board, and I thought, what just happened?
00:04:05.320 What just happened?
00:04:07.480 I feel like I just saw the future.
00:04:09.320 From about that moment on, I could not have been talked out of Dilbert working.
00:04:18.880 Because from that moment, I just saw it.
00:04:21.620 And all I did was follow it.
00:04:23.560 I didn't even make it happen, it felt like.
00:04:25.760 I mean, obviously, I did make it happen.
00:04:27.740 But it felt like I was just following the path that I had just seen.
00:04:30.800 Now, if you could have that happen once in your life, it's amazing.
00:04:37.880 There are these moments of creative or artistic clarity when things just happen.
00:04:43.520 Now, of course, you could always explain it as false memory, or I'm making up the story or something.
00:04:48.580 So there's no way that you would fully appreciate what that did to my head.
00:04:54.300 Because it really messed me up to see reality just get turned inside out like that.
00:05:01.440 Or at least my experience of reality.
00:05:03.180 The base reality probably didn't change at all.
00:05:07.300 Then there was another point.
00:05:11.060 There was a point when I launched the comic, and it wasn't really successful.
00:05:16.060 Well, it wasn't successful.
00:05:18.280 So it was another comic that was going to get launched, do a few years, and disappear.
00:05:23.460 But people kept emailing me and saying, you know, Dilbert should be in the office.
00:05:29.360 It needs to be an office comic.
00:05:31.200 And the moment I realized that I could turn it into an office comic,
00:05:36.140 all of the tumblers of the gears came together, and it was like, click, click, click.
00:05:42.560 Oh, yeah.
00:05:43.480 If I just make this an office comic, it's easier to write.
00:05:48.660 You know, it's going to relate to these people.
00:05:51.080 And it was the answer.
00:05:53.580 So that was like a second moment when I had this creative clarity.
00:05:58.300 It's like, oh, yeah.
00:05:59.440 And then Dilbert found its voice.
00:06:02.040 And that's sort of an artist talk.
00:06:04.600 Art is no good until it finds its voice.
00:06:07.640 So it can bump around being almost right forever, and it'll never catch on.
00:06:12.260 But there's that moment where it locks in, and you go, ah, there's the voice.
00:06:18.120 And the voice is, let's say in the case of the Dilbert comic, it's the pointy-haired boss's perspective versus the cubicle worker.
00:06:26.240 So once you understand it as pointy-haired management versus, you know, employee, that's the voice.
00:06:34.800 And then you could write it forever.
00:06:36.860 Well, an interesting thing happened.
00:06:38.660 I've been playing with this comic called Robots Read News, where it's just a static picture.
00:06:43.160 Three pictures of a robot, always the same, but he's reading the news.
00:06:46.540 And I've been doing it for a few years now, like off and on.
00:06:51.860 I'd trot it out and try it, and it was all right.
00:06:56.060 You know, every once in a while, it'd be a good one, but not really.
00:06:59.760 And the other day, I was playing with it, and I realized that if all I do is make the Robots Read News the way CNN does,
00:07:09.260 it'll be hilarious.
00:07:10.560 And that CNN is my pointy-haired boss.
00:07:17.020 And the moment that locked in, you can't believe how easy it is to write these comics now.
00:07:24.260 Just as an experiment with about three minutes before I went live,
00:07:29.640 I wanted to see if I could write one from scratch in three minutes.
00:07:34.100 I did. It's pretty good.
00:07:36.240 And all I did was I looked at the CNN homepage,
00:07:38.680 and I just scanned the headlines for their most ridiculous story.
00:07:45.440 I was like, oh, there it is.
00:07:47.460 Their most ridiculous interpretation.
00:07:49.980 And I just made a comic that basically says what they say.
00:07:53.800 I just put it into sort of funny comic words,
00:07:56.700 which is so easy, it's ridiculous.
00:08:01.380 So the other thing that came together is,
00:08:03.300 you know, I'm keeping most of those comics will be for subscribers on Locals.
00:08:09.220 And I didn't plan it that way, but I just sort of, I tested this at the same time I was testing Locals,
00:08:14.480 and I thought, well, I guess that'll be its main home.
00:08:17.520 And the other thing is that I can make the characters say anything I want.
00:08:21.780 So I can make them curse, I can make them be offensive.
00:08:25.540 Do you know how long I've waited for this moment?
00:08:28.780 How long I've waited, as a creator, to be able to write a comic
00:08:34.580 in which the only thing that matters is that what they say is funny.
00:08:39.320 Now, of course, I'll do a little bit of self-censorship,
00:08:41.940 because, you know, my own sensibilities are not so extreme
00:08:45.800 that it needs to be, you know, gross or something.
00:08:48.200 But the fact that I don't ever have to control my first impulse of what would be hilarious
00:08:54.100 is a freeing experience that I can't even explain.
00:08:58.880 To have it happen again, well, really, for the first time,
00:09:02.200 it's like a completely free experience.
00:09:05.100 I'm so happy I can't even stand it on that one front.
00:09:09.060 All right, so that's just a little tour of what...
00:09:12.660 Oh, let me give you some other examples of that.
00:09:18.400 There are moments when, for example, I was writing my book,
00:09:22.420 Loser Think, or Win Bigly.
00:09:26.100 When you realize exactly how to do it...
00:09:29.360 When I wrote Win Bigly, those of you who read it know,
00:09:31.920 that it's a series of persuasion lessons about how to persuade,
00:09:36.860 but it didn't come together until I realized I could wrap it around the story of the election.
00:09:42.540 And once I understood it as something that would layer on top of a story,
00:09:47.380 and my experience of it, it was like, ding, ding, ding, it all came together.
00:09:51.920 So those are the moments that the creator can almost see the future.
00:09:56.360 Probably not really, but it feels like it.
00:09:58.780 Now, of course, the big story today is Trump saying he was going to take...
00:10:01.980 that he is taking hydroxychloroquine and zinc, the important part.
00:10:05.280 Now, I did a more detailed video on this last night.
00:10:10.160 If you want to see my opinion of all the hydroxychloroquine,
00:10:13.840 I did, I think, a good job of laying out the thinking last night.
00:10:17.860 That's worth seeing if you didn't see it.
00:10:19.400 But the summary is this.
00:10:21.720 If you find yourself getting into online battles
00:10:24.760 about whether the president is being crazy and reckless
00:10:29.980 and ruining the world by announcing that he's taking this unproven drug.
00:10:34.600 Unproven, I say.
00:10:36.440 Unproven.
00:10:37.920 Here are some things to say to defend yourself online.
00:10:42.280 Number one, this unproven drug has been taken by many people
00:10:46.260 for various conditions for decades and decades.
00:10:49.820 Can you produce for me the statistics
00:10:52.740 showing the number of people who are dying from it?
00:10:54.640 I'd like to see the URL, you know, just something that shows
00:10:58.360 that, in fact, there are some health risks.
00:11:02.260 You will first notice it's really hard to find that.
00:11:05.520 I'm not sure it exists.
00:11:07.560 Okay, that's the first thing.
00:11:08.960 It's because somebody did look for it and couldn't find it.
00:11:11.360 But if you can find it, I'd like to see it.
00:11:13.060 So that's the first thing.
00:11:16.380 It's like, do you have some data that would suggest it's dangerous?
00:11:19.700 I know you say it's dangerous.
00:11:22.140 But what would be, for example, a source of information?
00:11:26.300 Because I know you like your science, don't you?
00:11:29.500 You love your science.
00:11:31.440 You love your data.
00:11:32.480 You don't want to be listening to old orange man bad.
00:11:35.380 So instead of listening to Trump on this medical condition,
00:11:39.120 why don't I listen to you, dear Troll on Twitter?
00:11:44.320 I would like to take your advice on this.
00:11:46.780 Could you provide me the link to that source
00:11:49.480 that describes the number of people, statistics specifically,
00:11:54.040 of the people who have been damaged by this drug?
00:11:56.740 Because now that we have decades of experience of it,
00:11:59.320 we probably have a pretty good idea how many thousands is killed.
00:12:03.460 Right?
00:12:05.140 Now, if somebody could find that link, it would be interesting.
00:12:07.380 But I don't think it exists.
00:12:09.640 I don't think anybody has that.
00:12:11.660 So that's the first thing.
00:12:12.760 So first you want to go after their sense of certainty.
00:12:15.480 And then here's the next thing.
00:12:16.600 You want the high ground kill shot?
00:12:18.020 Yeah, you do.
00:12:21.000 Eric Fedman, good to see you.
00:12:23.060 Here's the high ground kill shot.
00:12:27.160 This is a risk management decision,
00:12:29.780 not just a medical decision.
00:12:31.380 And unless, dear Trolls,
00:12:34.860 you can show me your risk management calculation
00:12:38.580 with an actual decision tree
00:12:41.480 that says if you go this way and you take it,
00:12:44.640 there's this percentage it'll help,
00:12:46.680 this percentage it'll kill you,
00:12:48.100 I'm this age or these comorbidities,
00:12:51.240 so I have this level of risk,
00:12:52.920 versus the other path.
00:12:55.160 And the other path is,
00:12:56.520 well, maybe it'll help.
00:12:59.280 Don't really know.
00:13:00.160 I'd have to put an assumption on that.
00:13:01.840 10% chance?
00:13:03.500 Make your assumption and then do the math.
00:13:06.460 Now, if somebody is telling you
00:13:07.760 that the president's making a poor medical decision,
00:13:12.300 you should say,
00:13:13.380 well, that's funny
00:13:14.820 because it's not really a medical decision.
00:13:17.280 It's a cost-benefit decision
00:13:19.180 in which the medical advice is part of it.
00:13:23.400 And the president is making a cost-benefit decision.
00:13:26.260 If you think he's wrong,
00:13:28.120 I think you could talk me into that.
00:13:31.200 So, by the way,
00:13:32.240 this is a persuasion technique.
00:13:34.660 Instead of starting out by saying,
00:13:36.800 you're wrong, I'm right,
00:13:38.320 which just hardens everybody's defenses,
00:13:41.300 try saying to somebody
00:13:42.540 who thinks that the president's giving bad
00:13:44.500 medical-slash-risk-management advice,
00:13:48.360 say this,
00:13:49.540 I think you could talk me into that.
00:13:52.240 I think you could convince me.
00:13:53.820 Can I see your math?
00:13:56.700 And they say, math?
00:13:59.100 I don't have any math.
00:14:00.140 Yeah, you know,
00:14:01.160 when you did the cost-benefit calculation,
00:14:05.120 what did you multiply?
00:14:07.120 What risk factors did you assume?
00:14:09.200 Because if you did the math right,
00:14:11.300 and I agree with your assumptions,
00:14:13.020 I think we're both looking at the same news,
00:14:15.540 I'll take your assumptions,
00:14:17.520 I'll check your math,
00:14:18.960 and if it's right,
00:14:21.580 if it's right,
00:14:26.020 I'll change my mind.
00:14:27.940 Because it's really just a math question, right?
00:14:30.740 We don't have to disagree.
00:14:32.900 It's not about my priorities.
00:14:35.460 It's not about my preferences.
00:14:37.000 This is one of those rare cases
00:14:39.500 where it's just math.
00:14:41.760 And if your math and mine disagreed,
00:14:43.840 it would be because we had an assumption
00:14:45.780 that was different.
00:14:47.420 The assumption might be that,
00:14:49.560 you know,
00:14:50.080 the risk of taking it is X versus something else.
00:14:53.080 But we would at least know
00:14:54.300 what the difference in assumption was.
00:14:56.520 So,
00:14:57.300 do you think anybody's ever done that math?
00:15:00.100 No.
00:15:02.200 No.
00:15:03.360 I don't even think the experts have.
00:15:05.860 Because you'd probably see it on the news
00:15:07.600 or on social media by now.
00:15:09.320 So,
00:15:09.880 I would challenge any of you
00:15:11.160 to simply put that little spreadsheet together.
00:15:15.200 I don't know how many numbers on the spreadsheet.
00:15:17.240 It's not a lot, right?
00:15:18.800 Maybe a dozen different numbers and assumptions.
00:15:21.160 That's it.
00:15:21.840 That's your whole model right there.
00:15:23.920 And just show your assumptions.
00:15:26.160 Give us the spreadsheet.
00:15:27.860 You know,
00:15:28.040 we'll tweak it to get our own number.
00:15:30.120 Then we'll be on the same page.
00:15:31.900 But here's the thing.
00:15:33.200 Do not let anybody get away with telling you
00:15:37.120 that he made a bad risk management decision
00:15:41.080 unless they're willing to show their work.
00:15:44.400 Because if they can't show their work,
00:15:46.560 they're just blah, blah, blah.
00:15:48.740 And there's nothing coming out.
00:15:50.680 Right?
00:15:51.180 So,
00:15:51.720 don't accept it without the math.
00:15:53.740 They've got to show their work
00:15:55.100 or they're in the same boat you are.
00:15:57.580 Just guessing.
00:16:00.420 All right.
00:16:02.120 I loved watching.
00:16:05.340 And I don't,
00:16:06.040 this is not a joke.
00:16:07.120 I know that you think
00:16:08.360 that maybe this is hyperbole.
00:16:10.360 But when I read CNN in the morning,
00:16:12.280 which I do every day,
00:16:13.660 I do it for the jokes.
00:16:16.520 Not just making jokes about it,
00:16:18.860 which is fun as well,
00:16:20.360 but because it literally makes me laugh
00:16:22.380 to watch, you know,
00:16:23.900 how hard they strain
00:16:25.060 to tell their version of it.
00:16:27.320 Now,
00:16:27.560 I'm not saying that Fox News
00:16:28.740 doesn't also do that.
00:16:30.800 I'm just saying that
00:16:31.640 for whatever reason,
00:16:32.960 CNN is just funnier about it.
00:16:34.480 I don't know why.
00:16:35.960 I mean,
00:16:36.420 maybe it's because of,
00:16:37.680 you know,
00:16:37.840 my bias or something.
00:16:39.660 But,
00:16:40.220 here's one of the lines
00:16:42.420 from one of the opinion pieces
00:16:44.000 that said,
00:16:45.580 the president's health care
00:16:47.700 is normally the best.
00:16:51.540 Normally.
00:16:52.520 So,
00:16:53.040 they just throw out
00:16:53.780 a little question mark
00:16:56.320 about whether the president
00:16:57.780 has a good doctor.
00:16:58.820 Yeah,
00:17:00.540 well,
00:17:00.740 normally it's the best.
00:17:02.820 But,
00:17:03.820 since we as CNN
00:17:05.080 are disagreeing
00:17:06.760 with what the professionally trained
00:17:08.660 top of his field doctor
00:17:11.480 is saying,
00:17:11.980 let's use our CNN judgment
00:17:15.020 to say that,
00:17:16.200 you know,
00:17:16.720 normally,
00:17:17.340 normally it'd be the best,
00:17:19.000 but,
00:17:20.360 I don't know,
00:17:20.820 we'll just leave that
00:17:21.420 as an open question,
00:17:22.460 but normally it'd be good.
00:17:26.200 All right,
00:17:27.060 and of course,
00:17:28.360 CNN is
00:17:29.180 trying to mock
00:17:30.820 Fox News
00:17:31.600 for being
00:17:33.280 inconsistent
00:17:34.020 in their coverage.
00:17:35.420 And what they do
00:17:36.460 is they say
00:17:36.940 that the Fox News
00:17:38.120 can't decide
00:17:39.660 whether the hydroxychloroquine
00:17:41.820 decision by Trump
00:17:42.820 is a reasonable one
00:17:44.620 as opposed to being right.
00:17:46.780 You can only say
00:17:47.520 whether it's reasonable.
00:17:49.220 Is it reasonable
00:17:50.200 or sort of unscientific
00:17:52.100 and doltish
00:17:52.860 and dangerous?
00:17:54.460 And they blame
00:17:55.400 Fox News
00:17:56.140 for not being able
00:17:57.060 to decide
00:17:57.680 and being on both sides
00:17:58.840 of the question.
00:17:59.580 And they used
00:18:00.060 examples of
00:18:01.180 Neil Cavuto
00:18:01.800 saying things
00:18:03.040 and having an expert on
00:18:04.040 and Laura Ingram,
00:18:04.840 et cetera.
00:18:05.800 And here's the funny way
00:18:07.300 they framed it.
00:18:08.040 They framed it
00:18:09.760 as Fox News
00:18:10.720 can't decide.
00:18:12.920 Fox News
00:18:13.620 had doctors on.
00:18:15.440 It was the doctors
00:18:16.300 who couldn't decide.
00:18:18.040 It wasn't Fox News
00:18:19.480 that was inconsistent.
00:18:21.600 Fox News
00:18:22.320 had actual
00:18:23.140 trained doctors on
00:18:24.400 one after another
00:18:25.920 and those
00:18:26.920 actual trained doctors
00:18:28.420 did not have
00:18:29.040 the same opinions.
00:18:30.540 That's not Fox News
00:18:31.840 being inconsistent.
00:18:33.480 That is the medical
00:18:34.880 community
00:18:35.620 being inconsistent.
00:18:38.040 That's what that is.
00:18:39.720 To report that
00:18:40.920 it's Fox News
00:18:41.900 being inconsistent
00:18:43.000 when the news
00:18:44.640 is coming directly
00:18:45.480 from the mouths
00:18:46.180 of the actual
00:18:47.140 medical professionals
00:18:48.180 while you're
00:18:48.680 looking at it.
00:18:50.000 That is just
00:18:50.900 an amazingly
00:18:51.720 ballsy
00:18:52.620 framing.
00:18:56.280 All right.
00:18:56.620 But in any event,
00:18:57.640 the president
00:18:58.240 is completely
00:18:59.280 right.
00:19:01.280 He's right
00:19:01.880 that it's reasonable
00:19:02.800 for him to
00:19:03.720 take the risk.
00:19:05.260 And even on CNN,
00:19:07.540 I think
00:19:07.860 one of the
00:19:09.620 experts,
00:19:10.480 a doctor,
00:19:11.580 said that in the
00:19:12.360 specific situation
00:19:13.480 of the president,
00:19:15.120 because he would be
00:19:16.100 monitored so closely
00:19:17.240 for his health,
00:19:18.900 that he doesn't have
00:19:19.620 the same risk
00:19:20.320 as, say,
00:19:21.320 someone else
00:19:22.000 in his same situation
00:19:23.040 who might be
00:19:24.580 on hydroxychloroquine.
00:19:26.800 Maybe they're not
00:19:27.660 monitored as closely
00:19:29.460 so they would have
00:19:30.120 a little extra risk.
00:19:31.340 So even CNN's
00:19:33.280 expert was saying,
00:19:34.100 yeah,
00:19:35.060 the president's
00:19:35.640 kind of a special
00:19:36.380 case.
00:19:37.300 It's not the same
00:19:38.120 risk as everybody
00:19:38.980 else.
00:19:40.420 And I don't think,
00:19:41.480 you know,
00:19:41.740 I guess it was
00:19:42.720 that a case of CNN
00:19:43.640 having inconsistent
00:19:44.860 coverage,
00:19:46.600 because the expert,
00:19:48.120 and then the expert
00:19:48.880 actually was asked
00:19:50.000 to weigh in
00:19:50.480 on Trump's doctor,
00:19:52.720 and the expert
00:19:53.400 said, yeah,
00:19:53.980 it's just a tough
00:19:54.700 call.
00:19:55.620 I don't know
00:19:56.040 what I would do
00:19:56.480 in that case.
00:19:56.960 It's a tough call.
00:19:58.460 So even CNN's
00:19:59.780 expert,
00:20:00.200 that they bring
00:20:01.240 on basically
00:20:02.060 to say that
00:20:02.760 Trump's doctor
00:20:03.440 is stupid
00:20:04.040 or made a bad
00:20:05.280 decision,
00:20:05.960 you wouldn't
00:20:06.540 do it.
00:20:07.900 So even CNN
00:20:09.020 can't determine
00:20:10.000 if it's a good
00:20:10.720 idea or a bad
00:20:11.480 idea,
00:20:11.940 but they can
00:20:12.620 determine
00:20:13.060 that there's
00:20:14.900 a risk involved
00:20:16.040 and that reasonable
00:20:17.200 people are on
00:20:17.940 both sides.
00:20:19.200 But they've
00:20:20.120 turned it into
00:20:20.660 an amazing story
00:20:21.680 of Trump supporters
00:20:24.040 being dumb,
00:20:24.880 so dumb that
00:20:25.460 we'll drink bleach
00:20:26.460 because of the
00:20:27.940 fake news.
00:20:28.600 And now they're
00:20:30.320 doing the thing
00:20:30.840 where they get
00:20:31.440 multiple examples,
00:20:33.320 but they're all
00:20:34.040 fake news.
00:20:35.300 So they can add
00:20:36.320 the president's
00:20:38.480 statements on
00:20:39.060 hydroxychloroquine
00:20:40.240 by turning it
00:20:41.340 into fake news
00:20:42.240 about the president
00:20:42.960 thinks an unproven
00:20:44.080 drug works,
00:20:45.220 which is not
00:20:45.760 what's happening.
00:20:46.940 He just thinks
00:20:47.580 that given the
00:20:48.760 uncertainty,
00:20:49.600 he likes the
00:20:50.460 odds.
00:20:50.900 That's it.
00:20:51.780 But they turn it
00:20:52.420 into he's promoting
00:20:54.060 unscientifically valid
00:20:56.640 drugs.
00:20:57.640 And then they'll
00:20:58.040 add that to the
00:20:58.740 other fake news
00:20:59.600 that he promoted,
00:21:01.160 which they actually
00:21:01.660 did today,
00:21:02.240 of course.
00:21:03.040 They added it to
00:21:03.860 the fake news
00:21:04.420 that he promoted
00:21:05.120 drinking disinfectants,
00:21:07.240 which of course
00:21:08.580 didn't happen.
00:21:09.620 So now they've
00:21:10.400 got like a list.
00:21:11.380 All right,
00:21:11.640 well he did this,
00:21:12.980 he did A.
00:21:14.500 You know,
00:21:14.820 if A alone was
00:21:16.020 the only thing he
00:21:16.600 did,
00:21:17.000 well that'd be
00:21:17.520 one thing.
00:21:18.160 But he's also
00:21:18.940 done B.
00:21:20.260 And I'm pretty
00:21:21.040 sure there's a C
00:21:21.960 out there that's
00:21:22.620 another fake news
00:21:23.620 that I'll think of
00:21:24.160 it in a minute.
00:21:24.600 But now that
00:21:25.580 they've got their
00:21:26.160 fake news laundry
00:21:27.400 list,
00:21:28.800 what do I tell you
00:21:29.500 about the laundry
00:21:30.060 list?
00:21:30.860 You don't need a
00:21:31.920 laundry list if you
00:21:33.040 have one good
00:21:33.580 thing.
00:21:35.940 All right,
00:21:37.320 kudos to Nancy
00:21:39.180 Pelosi for
00:21:40.900 learning the
00:21:42.060 Trump insult
00:21:43.220 technique.
00:21:44.420 I think she got
00:21:45.220 it right.
00:21:46.320 Did you hear what
00:21:46.940 Pelosi said about
00:21:47.880 Trump?
00:21:50.140 Now,
00:21:51.620 I like to
00:21:52.880 preface this by
00:21:53.720 saying,
00:21:54.600 I do not
00:21:55.500 approve of
00:21:56.140 fat shaming.
00:21:57.700 Don't approve
00:21:58.500 of fat shaming
00:21:59.900 no matter who
00:22:00.540 it is.
00:22:01.640 Now,
00:22:01.920 some of that
00:22:02.500 comes down to
00:22:03.260 my thoughts
00:22:03.940 about free
00:22:04.680 will.
00:22:05.760 You know,
00:22:06.040 there's nobody,
00:22:07.380 nobody weighs
00:22:08.380 300 pounds
00:22:09.260 because they
00:22:09.780 decided to do
00:22:10.620 it.
00:22:11.000 You know,
00:22:11.320 they woke up
00:22:11.900 and said,
00:22:12.200 hey,
00:22:12.340 I think I'll
00:22:12.660 be 300 pounds.
00:22:13.900 So,
00:22:14.480 there's something
00:22:15.020 about free
00:22:15.680 will,
00:22:16.080 there's something
00:22:16.400 about the
00:22:16.820 way,
00:22:17.440 you know,
00:22:18.140 different people
00:22:18.800 are wired,
00:22:20.080 that what is
00:22:20.660 easy for some
00:22:21.740 is maybe
00:22:23.760 impossible for
00:22:24.580 others,
00:22:24.840 depending on
00:22:25.600 what you think
00:22:26.040 about free
00:22:26.480 will.
00:22:27.620 And so,
00:22:28.320 philosophically,
00:22:30.680 I just,
00:22:31.240 I don't,
00:22:32.620 I just don't
00:22:33.340 buy into
00:22:34.040 mocking people
00:22:35.280 for their
00:22:35.780 weight,
00:22:36.280 in any case,
00:22:38.020 because it's
00:22:39.680 just too much
00:22:40.180 part of the
00:22:40.580 human experience,
00:22:41.460 right?
00:22:41.640 but watching
00:22:46.100 Nancy Pelosi
00:22:46.860 do it to
00:22:47.460 Trump,
00:22:48.560 I can't say
00:22:49.220 I hate that.
00:22:50.680 I can't say
00:22:51.600 that I
00:22:51.900 dislike that,
00:22:53.240 because it
00:22:54.640 sort of
00:22:55.100 turned about
00:22:55.720 as fair play,
00:22:56.540 right?
00:22:56.840 You know,
00:22:57.060 Trump has
00:22:57.480 defined the
00:22:58.040 playing field,
00:22:58.700 she's just
00:22:59.080 playing on it.
00:23:00.360 And so,
00:23:01.420 she has this
00:23:02.080 great line,
00:23:02.680 which you knew
00:23:03.080 was going to
00:23:03.420 be national
00:23:04.000 news,
00:23:04.420 and it was.
00:23:06.020 She said,
00:23:07.480 Pelosi said,
00:23:08.200 he's our
00:23:08.720 president,
00:23:09.680 and I would
00:23:10.240 rather,
00:23:10.520 this is funny,
00:23:11.960 she pretends
00:23:13.160 to show
00:23:13.540 fake concern,
00:23:15.020 he's our
00:23:15.540 president,
00:23:16.100 and I would
00:23:16.720 rather he
00:23:17.160 not be taking
00:23:17.840 something that
00:23:18.880 has not been
00:23:19.480 approved by
00:23:20.060 the scientists,
00:23:21.160 especially in
00:23:21.940 his age group,
00:23:23.000 and his,
00:23:24.020 shall we say,
00:23:25.140 weight group,
00:23:26.300 morbidly obese,
00:23:27.780 they say.
00:23:29.620 Now,
00:23:30.200 here's the best
00:23:30.760 part,
00:23:31.160 and the part
00:23:31.580 that made me
00:23:32.040 love it,
00:23:33.580 is that the
00:23:34.640 last two words,
00:23:35.920 comma,
00:23:36.720 they say,
00:23:38.020 because she
00:23:39.560 did what
00:23:39.980 Trump does,
00:23:40.940 which Trump
00:23:41.460 always says,
00:23:42.320 well,
00:23:42.580 they're saying,
00:23:43.480 everybody's telling
00:23:44.400 me,
00:23:45.060 a lot of
00:23:45.440 people are
00:23:45.780 doing,
00:23:46.580 everybody's
00:23:47.140 saying,
00:23:47.860 so it's a
00:23:48.580 Trumpism to
00:23:49.480 take the
00:23:50.040 insult away
00:23:50.560 from yourself
00:23:51.060 and say,
00:23:51.420 well,
00:23:51.600 they say,
00:23:52.860 they say
00:23:53.360 you're morbidly
00:23:53.980 obese.
00:23:55.540 I might argue
00:23:56.540 with them,
00:23:57.000 but I'm just
00:23:57.780 reporting what
00:23:58.440 they say.
00:24:00.360 They say.
00:24:01.940 Now,
00:24:02.320 do you think
00:24:02.680 there was any
00:24:03.740 chance that
00:24:05.160 the phrase
00:24:05.680 morbidly obese
00:24:06.960 would not be
00:24:07.540 a headline
00:24:07.880 today?
00:24:10.300 So,
00:24:11.140 if I'm
00:24:13.100 being fair,
00:24:15.720 right,
00:24:16.000 if I'm just
00:24:16.480 talking about
00:24:17.040 technique,
00:24:18.380 not whose
00:24:19.000 side you
00:24:19.460 agree with,
00:24:21.920 Pelosi gets
00:24:23.080 the win for
00:24:24.100 the day.
00:24:24.500 That's the
00:24:24.780 play of the
00:24:25.220 day.
00:24:26.680 It's impossible
00:24:27.680 to ignore,
00:24:29.920 and it's
00:24:30.780 pretty effective.
00:24:32.500 Well done.
00:24:33.360 So,
00:24:36.340 there's that
00:24:36.700 study of
00:24:37.380 some church
00:24:38.640 choir group,
00:24:40.220 and I guess
00:24:40.640 they determined
00:24:41.240 that being
00:24:42.720 in a crowded
00:24:44.020 room and
00:24:44.560 singing together
00:24:45.340 is just about
00:24:45.960 the worst
00:24:46.420 thing you
00:24:46.780 can do
00:24:47.100 if one
00:24:47.720 of you
00:24:47.960 has the
00:24:48.380 coronavirus.
00:24:49.640 So,
00:24:50.200 if you
00:24:50.440 think anybody
00:24:51.040 you know
00:24:51.380 has the
00:24:51.760 coronavirus,
00:24:53.220 do not
00:24:53.640 get in a
00:24:54.160 small room
00:24:54.700 with them
00:24:55.140 and then
00:24:55.660 sing loudly
00:24:56.740 for many
00:24:57.960 minutes at a
00:24:58.540 time.
00:24:59.560 Turns out
00:25:00.100 that would
00:25:00.500 be a bad
00:25:01.080 thing.
00:25:01.540 But,
00:25:02.200 I'd like to
00:25:02.980 point out
00:25:03.320 a possible
00:25:03.840 good thing.
00:25:05.320 This could
00:25:05.940 be the
00:25:06.440 beginning of
00:25:06.900 the end
00:25:07.180 of car
00:25:07.600 singing.
00:25:09.640 Are you
00:25:10.320 a fan of
00:25:10.840 singing in
00:25:11.640 cars?
00:25:12.940 Because I
00:25:13.420 have this
00:25:13.760 weird situation
00:25:14.560 going on.
00:25:18.680 I'm not
00:25:19.280 going to
00:25:19.460 say it.
00:25:21.300 I was
00:25:21.860 going to
00:25:22.060 tell you a
00:25:22.440 story,
00:25:22.880 but I
00:25:23.540 think I'll
00:25:23.820 skip it.
00:25:25.860 Let me
00:25:26.380 just say
00:25:26.700 this.
00:25:27.220 No,
00:25:27.400 I'm going
00:25:27.580 to tell
00:25:27.780 you the
00:25:28.000 story.
00:25:29.440 Christina,
00:25:30.060 if you're
00:25:30.300 watching this,
00:25:31.260 you'll laugh
00:25:31.760 at it.
00:25:32.980 I've
00:25:35.020 told you
00:25:35.260 before that
00:25:35.700 I don't
00:25:35.980 listen to
00:25:36.760 music
00:25:37.360 just sort
00:25:38.780 of casually
00:25:39.940 as a
00:25:40.700 hobby.
00:25:41.980 I treat
00:25:42.720 music as
00:25:43.380 more of a
00:25:44.000 medicinal
00:25:44.540 thing.
00:25:45.860 If I
00:25:46.180 can find
00:25:46.580 some music
00:25:47.060 that works
00:25:47.500 for my
00:25:48.020 exercise
00:25:48.760 routine,
00:25:49.540 that would
00:25:49.780 be good.
00:25:51.720 Etc.
00:25:52.500 It's
00:25:52.940 basically,
00:25:53.960 I'm using
00:25:54.680 it specifically
00:25:55.580 to inject
00:25:56.520 the music
00:25:57.080 to change
00:25:57.680 my mood
00:25:58.160 in a way
00:25:58.540 I want
00:25:58.940 to,
00:25:59.840 not just
00:26:00.340 randomly
00:26:00.820 listening to
00:26:01.420 the radio.
00:26:02.380 So if
00:26:02.720 you don't
00:26:03.060 randomly
00:26:03.560 listen to
00:26:04.120 music,
00:26:04.820 and you're
00:26:05.160 not around
00:26:05.560 other people
00:26:06.260 who are
00:26:06.600 randomly
00:26:07.020 putting on
00:26:07.620 music that
00:26:08.100 you would
00:26:08.380 hear,
00:26:09.220 you never
00:26:09.880 hear new
00:26:10.320 music.
00:26:11.500 So I
00:26:12.160 can go
00:26:12.700 months at
00:26:13.340 a time
00:26:13.840 without
00:26:14.300 knowing
00:26:14.740 there's a
00:26:15.120 new
00:26:15.240 his song,
00:26:16.420 because I
00:26:17.300 just have
00:26:17.680 never turned
00:26:18.160 on anything
00:26:18.620 that's
00:26:19.320 presenting me
00:26:20.060 random
00:26:20.340 music,
00:26:21.160 except if
00:26:23.280 I'm in
00:26:23.560 the car.
00:26:24.820 So if
00:26:25.260 you're in
00:26:25.440 the car,
00:26:25.980 it's not
00:26:26.320 unusual that
00:26:27.080 whoever you're
00:26:27.940 with will
00:26:28.280 turn on the
00:26:28.760 radio,
00:26:29.600 and then I'll
00:26:30.340 get to hear
00:26:30.700 new songs.
00:26:31.660 So really
00:26:32.040 the only
00:26:32.380 time I
00:26:32.720 would ever
00:26:32.940 get to
00:26:33.180 hear a
00:26:33.380 new song
00:26:33.800 is in
00:26:35.380 the car
00:26:35.840 and on
00:26:36.620 the radio.
00:26:37.400 Now if
00:26:37.760 you're driving
00:26:38.240 and there's
00:26:39.180 somebody in
00:26:40.100 the seat
00:26:40.320 next to
00:26:40.720 you,
00:26:41.420 who is
00:26:42.040 operating
00:26:42.480 the radio?
00:26:44.120 Could be
00:26:44.660 either one
00:26:45.020 of you,
00:26:45.520 but if I'm
00:26:46.140 driving,
00:26:46.660 and I
00:26:46.840 usually am,
00:26:48.140 I would
00:26:48.700 rather not
00:26:49.280 be the one
00:26:49.740 who's also
00:26:50.320 the DJ,
00:26:51.740 because it's,
00:26:52.360 you know,
00:26:52.680 why should I
00:26:53.620 take my
00:26:54.100 attention off
00:26:55.440 the road?
00:26:56.000 I'm driving.
00:26:56.500 So the
00:26:57.100 DJ is
00:26:57.620 always the
00:26:57.960 passenger in
00:26:58.620 my car.
00:26:59.660 If I'm
00:27:00.100 in charge,
00:27:00.940 I'm driving,
00:27:02.680 the passenger is
00:27:03.820 the DJ.
00:27:04.460 It's just
00:27:04.720 safer that way.
00:27:06.120 Now the
00:27:06.420 DJ, of course,
00:27:07.500 is going to be
00:27:07.860 going through
00:27:08.220 the radio
00:27:08.920 dial and
00:27:10.200 picking good
00:27:10.860 songs and
00:27:11.880 skipping bad
00:27:12.640 songs, right?
00:27:14.000 So I'm never
00:27:14.940 going to hear a
00:27:15.560 new song that's
00:27:17.040 a bad song,
00:27:18.220 because the
00:27:19.160 DJ will turn
00:27:20.320 the station as
00:27:21.520 soon as the
00:27:22.140 first few notes
00:27:22.760 come on.
00:27:23.100 Ah, not that
00:27:23.680 one.
00:27:24.340 Ah, not
00:27:24.780 that one.
00:27:25.420 Ah, not
00:27:25.840 that one.
00:27:26.680 So now I'll
00:27:27.940 never hear a
00:27:28.420 bad song, but
00:27:29.680 at least I'll
00:27:30.120 hear the good
00:27:30.600 songs, because
00:27:31.980 the DJ will
00:27:32.800 have selected
00:27:33.360 the good
00:27:33.800 song.
00:27:34.600 So the
00:27:35.140 good song
00:27:35.620 comes on,
00:27:36.920 and what
00:27:37.980 do you do
00:27:38.340 to a good
00:27:38.820 song?
00:27:40.160 Well, if
00:27:40.800 you're in a
00:27:41.160 car, and
00:27:42.620 you like
00:27:42.960 music, and
00:27:43.660 a good song
00:27:44.220 comes on,
00:27:44.720 you sing
00:27:45.080 along, right?
00:27:47.200 Now I
00:27:47.800 can't sing
00:27:48.220 along because
00:27:48.640 I've never
00:27:48.980 heard the
00:27:49.280 song.
00:27:50.720 So Christina
00:27:51.400 sings along
00:27:52.080 to the
00:27:53.420 song.
00:27:53.900 That's the
00:27:54.240 first time I
00:27:54.820 would have
00:27:55.060 ever heard
00:27:55.420 this song,
00:27:56.460 except that
00:27:57.160 if you've
00:27:57.600 ever been
00:27:57.920 in a car
00:27:58.540 where the
00:27:59.920 song is
00:28:00.360 on and
00:28:00.840 there's also
00:28:01.280 somebody singing
00:28:02.080 along, you
00:28:03.260 don't exactly
00:28:04.360 hear the
00:28:04.820 song.
00:28:05.620 You hear
00:28:05.980 more of the
00:28:06.440 version of
00:28:06.940 the person
00:28:07.300 singing it.
00:28:09.400 So I
00:28:10.940 think I've
00:28:11.540 gone years
00:28:12.080 without actually
00:28:12.760 hearing a
00:28:13.240 new song.
00:28:15.940 That's not
00:28:16.580 quite true,
00:28:17.700 but it is
00:28:18.480 true that I'll
00:28:19.520 never hear one
00:28:20.160 on my own.
00:28:21.460 I'll only hear
00:28:22.180 one when
00:28:22.780 Christina's
00:28:23.680 playing either
00:28:24.560 her playlist
00:28:25.200 or something
00:28:26.300 that she's
00:28:27.360 controlling in
00:28:27.980 the car.
00:28:29.040 She doesn't
00:28:29.620 play bad
00:28:30.120 ones, so
00:28:31.260 if it's a
00:28:31.600 bad song,
00:28:32.100 I'll never
00:28:32.400 hear it.
00:28:33.380 And the
00:28:33.700 good ones,
00:28:34.120 she sings
00:28:34.500 along.
00:28:35.340 So I
00:28:35.620 actually haven't
00:28:36.160 heard a new
00:28:36.580 song in years.
00:28:38.300 True story.
00:28:40.980 Christina,
00:28:41.600 when you're
00:28:41.880 watching this,
00:28:42.400 just kidding.
00:28:44.700 But keep
00:28:45.360 singing,
00:28:45.920 because I
00:28:46.200 like it.
00:28:46.560 here's a
00:28:51.180 financial tip
00:28:51.820 for you.
00:28:53.260 I tweeted
00:28:53.900 this.
00:28:55.280 If you
00:28:55.740 were once
00:28:56.200 injured by
00:28:56.860 taking
00:28:57.180 hydroxychloroquine
00:28:58.280 for a few
00:28:58.780 weeks,
00:28:59.540 back when you
00:29:01.080 had to take
00:29:01.560 it for your
00:29:02.020 whatever,
00:29:02.720 your malaria
00:29:03.240 or your lupus
00:29:04.140 or your
00:29:04.720 rheumatoid
00:29:05.680 arthritis,
00:29:06.620 if you had
00:29:07.660 bad side
00:29:08.220 effects and
00:29:09.120 it damaged
00:29:10.000 you in some
00:29:10.540 way,
00:29:11.460 don't give
00:29:11.980 that story
00:29:12.480 away for
00:29:12.880 free.
00:29:13.160 because I
00:29:14.560 know a
00:29:14.900 news network
00:29:15.420 that would
00:29:15.740 pay a
00:29:16.060 million dollars
00:29:16.800 for a
00:29:17.200 good personal
00:29:18.140 story about
00:29:19.460 somebody who
00:29:19.980 was injured
00:29:20.360 by the
00:29:21.040 president's
00:29:21.620 drug
00:29:21.940 hydroxychloroquine.
00:29:23.860 So that's
00:29:24.560 just a little
00:29:24.960 tongue-in-cheek
00:29:25.560 financial advice
00:29:27.140 for you.
00:29:27.660 Don't give
00:29:28.120 that stuff
00:29:28.560 away.
00:29:29.300 Somebody would
00:29:29.800 pay a
00:29:30.060 million dollars
00:29:30.620 for that
00:29:30.980 story.
00:29:32.560 All right.
00:29:33.260 So a big
00:29:33.980 coronavirus death
00:29:35.040 model got
00:29:36.540 tweaked
00:29:37.020 slightly down.
00:29:39.260 So not
00:29:40.380 much,
00:29:41.200 but I think
00:29:41.740 it's one of
00:29:42.080 the first,
00:29:42.440 well,
00:29:43.160 it's one of
00:29:43.600 the rare
00:29:43.920 times that
00:29:44.500 they've
00:29:44.740 tweaked it
00:29:45.140 down,
00:29:45.920 and nobody
00:29:46.600 expected it
00:29:47.260 to be tweaked
00:29:47.740 down to,
00:29:48.300 now it's
00:29:48.640 143,000
00:29:50.460 people,
00:29:51.080 to die by
00:29:51.960 August 4th.
00:29:52.760 That's the
00:29:53.160 model.
00:29:54.280 And I
00:29:55.800 thought to
00:29:56.140 myself,
00:29:57.220 that's a
00:29:58.720 really good
00:29:59.360 sign,
00:29:59.840 isn't it?
00:30:01.320 Because we've
00:30:02.260 been reopening
00:30:02.940 places,
00:30:03.980 so to be
00:30:04.580 reopening things
00:30:05.580 and to have
00:30:06.220 even a minor
00:30:07.180 tweak downward
00:30:08.620 in the death
00:30:09.300 rate now,
00:30:10.940 I don't know
00:30:12.020 what that's
00:30:12.400 going to do
00:30:12.760 to the
00:30:13.020 stock market,
00:30:13.760 but that's
00:30:14.140 a pretty
00:30:14.580 hopeful sign.
00:30:16.060 If two
00:30:16.880 weeks from
00:30:17.400 now,
00:30:18.480 the death
00:30:19.020 rate is
00:30:19.700 projected
00:30:20.840 down or
00:30:22.840 the same,
00:30:25.100 we got
00:30:25.920 this thing.
00:30:27.820 In two
00:30:28.640 weeks,
00:30:29.180 we're going
00:30:29.660 to know a
00:30:30.160 lot.
00:30:31.460 Think about
00:30:31.880 it.
00:30:32.360 Because,
00:30:32.700 you know,
00:30:32.820 you've got
00:30:33.120 the incubation
00:30:35.200 period,
00:30:35.560 so I
00:30:36.580 don't
00:30:36.740 think we've
00:30:37.360 yet seen
00:30:38.000 the effect
00:30:39.300 of states
00:30:40.180 reopening.
00:30:40.980 It's probably
00:30:41.300 a little early
00:30:41.920 for that.
00:30:42.640 But imagine
00:30:43.140 if we go
00:30:43.660 two weeks
00:30:44.320 and the
00:30:45.860 death rate
00:30:46.400 is either
00:30:47.800 modestly
00:30:48.820 down,
00:30:49.700 projected,
00:30:51.500 or,
00:30:52.600 you know,
00:30:52.920 even the
00:30:53.280 same,
00:30:54.120 or even a
00:30:54.640 little bit
00:30:54.920 up,
00:30:55.700 just a
00:30:56.140 little bit.
00:30:57.320 In two
00:30:58.160 weeks,
00:30:58.900 if we can
00:30:59.460 flatten this
00:31:00.080 thing while
00:31:00.620 also going
00:31:01.360 back to
00:31:02.360 work,
00:31:02.680 we win.
00:31:05.980 That's how
00:31:06.540 close we
00:31:07.100 are.
00:31:08.860 Think about
00:31:09.540 that.
00:31:10.220 So you're
00:31:10.900 thinking,
00:31:11.460 you're probably
00:31:11.860 thinking in
00:31:12.320 terms of,
00:31:12.980 oh God,
00:31:13.560 the end
00:31:13.940 of this
00:31:14.400 is when?
00:31:16.760 2021?
00:31:17.880 Is it the
00:31:18.220 end of the
00:31:18.580 year?
00:31:19.240 Your brain
00:31:20.060 is putting
00:31:20.540 like a,
00:31:21.720 you feel like
00:31:22.540 you're more
00:31:22.980 at the beginning
00:31:23.680 of it than
00:31:24.680 at the end.
00:31:25.700 But I would
00:31:26.220 suggest to
00:31:26.800 you that in
00:31:28.160 two weeks,
00:31:29.820 this is the
00:31:30.440 most optimistic
00:31:31.040 thing I could
00:31:31.740 say,
00:31:32.080 because we
00:31:32.340 don't know
00:31:32.700 this will
00:31:33.000 happen.
00:31:33.980 But in
00:31:34.320 two weeks,
00:31:34.860 if that
00:31:35.220 death rate
00:31:35.760 looks flat
00:31:36.580 or a
00:31:38.560 little bit
00:31:38.980 down,
00:31:39.940 you know,
00:31:40.240 the way it's
00:31:40.620 predicted anyway,
00:31:41.600 not the
00:31:41.880 actual,
00:31:42.280 but the
00:31:42.500 prediction,
00:31:43.160 if we get
00:31:44.060 that in
00:31:44.520 two weeks,
00:31:45.520 we win.
00:31:47.860 In two
00:31:48.620 weeks,
00:31:49.000 if that
00:31:49.360 death rate
00:31:49.820 hasn't moved,
00:31:50.880 there's nothing
00:31:51.860 you can do
00:31:52.420 to keep the
00:31:52.920 American public
00:31:53.640 indoors.
00:31:54.940 There's nothing
00:31:55.820 you can do
00:31:56.420 from keeping
00:31:57.060 the American
00:31:57.560 public from
00:31:58.700 reopening their
00:31:59.500 businesses.
00:32:00.780 If in two
00:32:02.080 weeks,
00:32:02.420 that number
00:32:02.920 looks flat,
00:32:04.340 it's over.
00:32:06.300 Now,
00:32:06.820 it's not
00:32:07.120 over for
00:32:07.580 anybody who
00:32:08.160 in the future
00:32:09.400 will suffer
00:32:10.180 and die.
00:32:10.760 There will be
00:32:11.100 tragedies.
00:32:12.340 It's just
00:32:12.940 unavoidable.
00:32:14.220 But the
00:32:15.520 long horror
00:32:16.740 of the
00:32:17.220 shutdown,
00:32:18.680 at least
00:32:19.720 intellectually,
00:32:20.940 psychologically,
00:32:22.080 and for all
00:32:22.840 practical purposes,
00:32:24.820 we might know
00:32:25.900 something in
00:32:26.460 two weeks.
00:32:27.120 because if
00:32:28.360 that number
00:32:28.800 doesn't move,
00:32:30.280 what the
00:32:30.740 hell would
00:32:31.220 keep you
00:32:31.660 from total
00:32:32.700 social,
00:32:34.240 what would
00:32:35.140 you call
00:32:35.400 it,
00:32:37.200 an acceptable
00:32:38.420 protest,
00:32:39.720 let's say,
00:32:40.420 of just
00:32:40.760 going back
00:32:41.200 to work.
00:32:42.440 All right.
00:32:44.540 Here's an
00:32:45.180 interesting thing.
00:32:46.300 I've often
00:32:46.900 talked about
00:32:47.480 CNN's
00:32:48.120 Fareed
00:32:48.720 Zakaria
00:32:49.460 because I
00:32:50.120 like how
00:32:50.560 his mind
00:32:51.100 works.
00:32:52.440 His take
00:32:53.520 on things
00:32:54.060 is often
00:32:55.220 non-standard
00:32:56.220 and in a
00:32:56.980 good way.
00:32:57.820 If you like
00:32:58.800 to think
00:32:59.200 about things
00:32:59.660 in a new
00:32:59.960 way,
00:33:00.300 his program
00:33:00.840 is excellent.
00:33:02.020 I always
00:33:02.360 enjoy watching
00:33:02.980 it.
00:33:05.820 He had
00:33:06.620 a long
00:33:07.380 little monologue.
00:33:08.920 I think it
00:33:09.280 was yesterday.
00:33:10.900 Here's just a
00:33:11.800 sentence from
00:33:12.400 him.
00:33:12.580 I think it's
00:33:13.000 extraordinary.
00:33:14.680 He says,
00:33:15.120 imagine you're
00:33:15.680 an American
00:33:16.120 who works
00:33:16.680 with his
00:33:17.060 hands and
00:33:18.280 you've lost
00:33:18.740 your job
00:33:19.280 because of
00:33:19.700 the lockdown.
00:33:20.720 You turn
00:33:21.160 on the
00:33:21.460 TV and
00:33:22.140 hear medical
00:33:22.780 experts,
00:33:23.680 academics,
00:33:24.400 technocrats,
00:33:25.080 and journalists
00:33:25.640 explain we
00:33:26.960 must keep
00:33:27.440 the economy
00:33:27.980 closed.
00:33:29.240 All these
00:33:29.780 people making
00:33:30.820 that case
00:33:31.600 have jobs.
00:33:34.440 It was a
00:33:34.960 pretty strong
00:33:35.380 piece and
00:33:36.040 he makes
00:33:36.320 the case
00:33:36.840 that we
00:33:39.020 think we're
00:33:39.560 doing,
00:33:40.140 we think
00:33:40.800 we're making
00:33:41.240 medical
00:33:41.780 health
00:33:42.460 decisions,
00:33:43.900 but somewhat
00:33:45.100 accidentally
00:33:45.960 it became
00:33:47.240 class decisions
00:33:48.320 because the
00:33:49.600 people making
00:33:50.260 these,
00:33:50.700 stay safe
00:33:52.360 pronouncements
00:33:53.160 are getting
00:33:53.760 paid and
00:33:54.440 the people
00:33:54.840 who are
00:33:55.200 being told
00:33:55.740 to stay
00:33:56.160 safe are
00:33:56.680 not.
00:33:57.960 And it's
00:33:58.960 not even
00:33:59.400 close to
00:34:01.600 being a
00:34:02.680 credible
00:34:05.320 situation.
00:34:06.860 It's the
00:34:07.200 sort of thing
00:34:07.620 you could
00:34:07.900 take for a
00:34:08.420 little while
00:34:08.880 because the
00:34:09.500 experts do
00:34:10.060 have some
00:34:10.500 capital,
00:34:11.900 but it's not
00:34:12.720 something you
00:34:13.180 can take in
00:34:13.640 the long
00:34:14.000 term because
00:34:15.040 the stark
00:34:16.280 difference between
00:34:17.240 the people who
00:34:17.720 have jobs and
00:34:18.340 the ones who
00:34:18.720 don't,
00:34:19.700 we're going
00:34:20.620 to notice
00:34:20.980 that.
00:34:22.240 We're going
00:34:22.540 to notice
00:34:22.880 that.
00:34:25.120 Mark Cuban
00:34:26.020 continues to
00:34:26.840 be productive
00:34:28.160 and one of
00:34:28.980 the top
00:34:30.340 voices I
00:34:31.040 think so
00:34:31.420 far in
00:34:32.720 terms of
00:34:33.400 the coronavirus
00:34:34.360 situation.
00:34:35.480 Stepping up
00:34:36.220 into a
00:34:37.240 leadership
00:34:38.120 mode,
00:34:38.860 much
00:34:39.260 appreciated.
00:34:40.980 And he's
00:34:41.620 got some
00:34:41.900 ideas totally
00:34:43.380 worth looking
00:34:44.220 at.
00:34:44.360 one is
00:34:44.740 that he
00:34:45.560 doesn't
00:34:45.860 think the
00:34:46.180 free market
00:34:46.780 is going
00:34:48.180 to produce
00:34:48.620 the 18
00:34:49.280 million jobs
00:34:50.000 that we
00:34:50.300 need fairly
00:34:51.220 soon after
00:34:51.920 in the next
00:34:53.700 two years,
00:34:54.160 he says.
00:34:55.160 And he's
00:34:55.840 talking about
00:34:56.280 some kind
00:34:56.700 of a federal
00:34:57.820 job guarantee,
00:34:58.920 not unlike
00:34:59.600 the Depression,
00:35:01.020 in which you
00:35:01.420 just basically
00:35:02.040 have the
00:35:02.360 government hire
00:35:03.820 the unemployed
00:35:04.560 and put them
00:35:05.220 to work
00:35:05.640 building and
00:35:06.620 constructing
00:35:07.100 things that
00:35:07.700 have to be
00:35:08.100 built and
00:35:08.560 constructed
00:35:09.020 anyway.
00:35:09.420 And as
00:35:12.400 he points
00:35:12.820 out, it's
00:35:13.240 not the
00:35:13.640 kind of
00:35:14.020 idea you
00:35:14.600 would have
00:35:14.940 looked at
00:35:15.440 if we'd
00:35:16.520 been locked
00:35:16.880 down for
00:35:17.280 a month.
00:35:18.540 If we'd
00:35:19.140 only been
00:35:19.420 locked down
00:35:19.800 for a
00:35:20.100 month,
00:35:20.900 well, let
00:35:21.820 the free
00:35:22.160 market just
00:35:22.680 recover and
00:35:23.260 do its
00:35:23.540 thing.
00:35:24.560 But we've
00:35:25.380 reached a
00:35:25.760 point where
00:35:26.340 the free
00:35:27.000 market's
00:35:27.460 going to
00:35:27.620 be maybe
00:35:28.360 a little
00:35:28.640 sluggish,
00:35:29.900 putting
00:35:30.180 everybody
00:35:30.520 back to
00:35:31.040 work.
00:35:31.880 And since
00:35:32.180 we need
00:35:32.540 the
00:35:32.680 infrastructure
00:35:33.080 anyway,
00:35:34.720 and because
00:35:35.140 as far as
00:35:35.640 I can tell,
00:35:36.320 we can
00:35:36.800 print money,
00:35:38.220 I still
00:35:39.300 have a
00:35:39.640 big
00:35:39.760 question
00:35:40.100 mark
00:35:40.340 there,
00:35:40.660 but it
00:35:41.920 looks like
00:35:42.320 we can
00:35:42.600 still print
00:35:43.040 money.
00:35:44.380 So why
00:35:44.840 not?
00:35:45.940 I would
00:35:46.520 say that
00:35:47.020 Mark Cuban's
00:35:48.140 suggestion for
00:35:48.880 a jobs,
00:35:50.460 federal job
00:35:51.460 guarantee,
00:35:52.720 I think that
00:35:53.560 should be in
00:35:54.040 the top
00:35:55.800 three things
00:35:56.840 that we're
00:35:57.140 thinking about,
00:35:57.880 don't you?
00:35:59.300 I don't know
00:35:59.860 if there's
00:36:00.100 anything wrong
00:36:00.580 with that.
00:36:01.600 Is there
00:36:01.980 anything wrong
00:36:02.680 with that
00:36:02.940 idea?
00:36:03.320 It looks
00:36:03.560 like it's
00:36:04.680 just a
00:36:06.640 good idea.
00:36:08.700 And then
00:36:09.200 Mark Cuban
00:36:10.040 goes on
00:36:10.480 and says
00:36:10.760 the government
00:36:11.200 until things
00:36:13.380 are sorted
00:36:13.780 out,
00:36:14.340 we should
00:36:14.560 get a
00:36:14.800 thousand
00:36:15.060 dollar
00:36:15.300 check
00:36:15.660 every
00:36:16.820 two
00:36:17.080 weeks
00:36:17.320 to
00:36:17.460 every
00:36:17.660 household
00:36:18.140 with the
00:36:19.080 caveat
00:36:19.360 that it
00:36:19.800 expires in
00:36:20.560 ten days
00:36:21.040 if you
00:36:21.300 don't use
00:36:21.680 it.
00:36:22.600 That's a
00:36:22.980 good add.
00:36:24.660 I don't
00:36:24.880 know how
00:36:25.160 you could
00:36:25.500 give people
00:36:25.960 money that
00:36:26.480 expires
00:36:27.100 though.
00:36:28.380 Can you
00:36:29.020 take it
00:36:29.380 out of
00:36:29.580 their
00:36:29.700 account?
00:36:30.840 How do
00:36:31.120 you do
00:36:31.340 that?
00:36:32.160 I don't
00:36:32.620 know if
00:36:32.840 there's a
00:36:33.120 mechanism
00:36:33.440 for doing
00:36:33.960 that.
00:36:34.180 You could
00:36:34.360 do it
00:36:34.600 if people
00:36:35.660 had digital
00:36:36.280 wallets or
00:36:37.000 something,
00:36:37.380 but not
00:36:38.020 everybody
00:36:38.280 does.
00:36:40.320 Just so
00:36:40.960 you know,
00:36:41.280 Mark Cuban
00:36:42.300 has an
00:36:42.720 advisory role.
00:36:43.720 He's on
00:36:44.080 Trump's
00:36:45.280 Opening
00:36:45.560 Our
00:36:45.780 Country
00:36:46.160 Economic
00:36:47.260 Council.
00:36:48.480 He's in
00:36:48.820 the right
00:36:49.060 place at
00:36:49.400 the right
00:36:49.600 time,
00:36:50.040 and those
00:36:50.260 are
00:36:50.400 productive
00:36:50.820 ideas.
00:36:52.620 Honestly,
00:36:53.360 when I
00:36:53.580 see stuff
00:36:54.060 like that,
00:36:55.820 I ask
00:36:56.740 myself,
00:36:58.040 why aren't
00:36:59.540 there more
00:37:00.080 Mark Cubans
00:37:01.020 doing this
00:37:01.600 sort of
00:37:01.940 thing?
00:37:02.380 It feels
00:37:03.260 like he's
00:37:03.660 unusually
00:37:04.400 productive
00:37:04.940 with ideas
00:37:06.740 that are
00:37:07.340 all
00:37:07.960 within
00:37:08.260 the,
00:37:09.260 I would
00:37:09.700 say every
00:37:10.040 one of
00:37:10.340 his ideas
00:37:10.980 is well
00:37:12.300 within the
00:37:12.920 let's
00:37:13.460 consider
00:37:13.820 this
00:37:14.140 range.
00:37:16.940 Somebody
00:37:17.380 says a
00:37:17.800 debit card
00:37:18.420 would do
00:37:19.100 it.
00:37:19.440 Yeah,
00:37:19.640 if we
00:37:19.940 could put
00:37:20.320 that
00:37:20.520 together,
00:37:21.420 if we
00:37:21.740 could do
00:37:22.040 it,
00:37:22.300 if you
00:37:22.580 could get
00:37:22.980 everybody
00:37:23.460 a debit
00:37:23.880 card,
00:37:25.280 it just
00:37:25.860 doesn't seem
00:37:26.320 like that's
00:37:26.700 something you
00:37:27.080 could do
00:37:27.340 that quickly.
00:37:28.740 Maybe.
00:37:31.760 Yeah,
00:37:32.220 not everybody
00:37:32.680 can handle
00:37:33.100 a Bitcoin,
00:37:33.760 but if they
00:37:34.220 could,
00:37:34.860 you'd have
00:37:35.420 something.
00:37:37.960 I saw a
00:37:38.560 great tweet
00:37:39.380 by somebody
00:37:40.400 whose name
00:37:40.920 I forgot
00:37:41.420 to copy
00:37:42.320 and paste
00:37:42.740 into my
00:37:43.160 notes,
00:37:44.100 but he
00:37:44.900 makes a
00:37:45.260 really good
00:37:45.600 point,
00:37:46.060 that the
00:37:46.600 experience
00:37:47.080 with closing
00:37:48.260 the schools
00:37:49.040 and having
00:37:49.740 the situation
00:37:50.400 where you
00:37:51.420 got online
00:37:52.140 school and
00:37:53.040 homeschooling
00:37:53.940 and it was
00:37:55.440 just a mess,
00:37:57.000 sort of
00:37:57.600 highlighted the
00:37:58.400 flaws in the
00:37:59.100 system.
00:38:00.320 And this
00:38:01.100 one, I
00:38:01.880 assume he's
00:38:02.380 a parent.
00:38:02.840 I wish I'd
00:38:04.960 written down
00:38:05.360 who it was
00:38:05.920 because it
00:38:06.200 was a good
00:38:06.480 idea.
00:38:07.320 But there
00:38:07.820 was some
00:38:08.080 blue check
00:38:08.480 person with
00:38:09.000 a good idea
00:38:09.460 and he
00:38:09.720 said that
00:38:10.260 we should
00:38:11.420 be rethinking
00:38:12.080 school in
00:38:13.120 terms of
00:38:13.660 permanently
00:38:14.140 making it
00:38:14.840 a hybrid.
00:38:16.040 And the
00:38:16.260 hybrid is
00:38:16.960 not just
00:38:17.840 go to
00:38:18.280 school and
00:38:18.760 stay there
00:38:19.220 all day
00:38:19.640 and not
00:38:20.640 just
00:38:21.060 homeschool,
00:38:23.180 but rather
00:38:23.720 almost certainly
00:38:24.740 there's some
00:38:25.440 kind of a
00:38:25.840 hybrid in
00:38:26.540 which you do
00:38:26.940 a little bit
00:38:27.440 in person
00:38:27.940 and a little
00:38:28.420 bit at
00:38:29.420 home or on
00:38:30.060 your own
00:38:30.320 pace or
00:38:30.700 something.
00:38:30.940 And I
00:38:33.400 thought that
00:38:33.780 was a good
00:38:34.620 take on
00:38:36.600 it because
00:38:37.680 I would
00:38:38.700 agree it's
00:38:39.200 not just
00:38:39.620 going to
00:38:39.960 go all
00:38:41.260 homeschool or
00:38:42.200 online because
00:38:42.920 it just doesn't
00:38:43.740 work well
00:38:44.320 that yet.
00:38:45.620 But I also
00:38:46.380 think it
00:38:46.740 can't be
00:38:47.260 go to
00:38:47.840 school all
00:38:48.340 day.
00:38:49.100 There's
00:38:49.460 something wrong
00:38:49.980 with that
00:38:50.280 model too.
00:38:51.580 So I like
00:38:52.160 this.
00:38:52.560 There's
00:38:52.700 somewhere in
00:38:53.100 between.
00:38:54.520 Someplace
00:38:55.020 in between.
00:38:56.120 That's good.
00:38:57.180 All right.
00:39:00.940 Well,
00:39:02.580 well,
00:39:02.760 well.
00:39:05.140 So again,
00:39:06.080 we are
00:39:06.320 $30 trillion
00:39:06.980 in debt.
00:39:09.120 And
00:39:09.600 answer,
00:39:11.100 open up
00:39:11.620 and quit
00:39:12.340 printing.
00:39:13.520 Mark Cuban
00:39:14.120 is wrong.
00:39:14.980 All right.
00:39:15.200 For those
00:39:15.580 of you who
00:39:16.320 are talking
00:39:16.760 about the
00:39:17.420 debt,
00:39:19.300 be advised
00:39:20.220 that there's
00:39:21.920 no expert
00:39:22.580 agreement on
00:39:23.760 the debt.
00:39:24.480 I'm not even
00:39:25.240 sure anybody
00:39:25.800 understands it
00:39:26.740 because the
00:39:27.760 first thing you
00:39:28.280 need to know
00:39:28.740 is that when
00:39:29.400 we're printing
00:39:29.980 money,
00:39:30.460 that's not
00:39:31.040 like our
00:39:32.060 normal debt.
00:39:34.460 And I'm not
00:39:35.220 even sure anybody
00:39:35.900 understands how
00:39:37.080 any of this
00:39:37.560 works.
00:39:38.180 I mean,
00:39:38.340 I've got a
00:39:38.940 degree in
00:39:39.420 economics and
00:39:40.780 I can't tell
00:39:41.520 you that
00:39:42.720 printing money
00:39:43.320 is necessarily
00:39:44.020 going to be
00:39:44.460 bad in this
00:39:45.420 specific situation.
00:39:47.320 It looks like
00:39:48.340 it might be
00:39:50.100 good.
00:39:51.020 I don't know.
00:39:52.300 But don't
00:39:53.420 fall into the
00:39:54.400 trap of
00:39:55.020 thinking that
00:39:55.660 before this
00:39:57.020 happened,
00:39:57.560 you knew that
00:39:58.220 debt was
00:39:58.640 bad,
00:39:59.100 right?
00:40:00.900 Everybody
00:40:01.180 knew debt
00:40:01.740 was bad,
00:40:02.320 it's going
00:40:02.540 to crush
00:40:02.920 us,
00:40:03.200 it's going
00:40:03.460 to kill
00:40:03.720 us all,
00:40:04.440 it's a
00:40:04.820 matter of
00:40:05.160 time,
00:40:05.620 it's a
00:40:05.880 time bomb
00:40:06.400 waiting to
00:40:06.880 go off.
00:40:08.440 But that's
00:40:09.020 not this
00:40:09.620 situation.
00:40:10.560 This
00:40:11.000 situation is
00:40:11.800 that we
00:40:12.440 might be
00:40:12.860 able to
00:40:13.140 print
00:40:13.360 trillions
00:40:13.800 of dollars
00:40:14.280 and have
00:40:14.860 no lasting
00:40:16.200 impact
00:40:16.720 because
00:40:17.860 inflation
00:40:18.640 just went
00:40:19.160 away.
00:40:22.220 Well,
00:40:22.800 you know,
00:40:23.080 somebody's
00:40:23.440 laughing with
00:40:24.160 that emoji
00:40:24.980 saying this
00:40:25.580 time is
00:40:25.980 different.
00:40:26.360 this
00:40:28.880 time is
00:40:29.300 always
00:40:29.540 different.
00:40:31.000 So that's
00:40:32.040 a clever
00:40:32.380 little thing
00:40:33.700 you said,
00:40:34.280 oh,
00:40:34.520 this time
00:40:34.960 is different.
00:40:35.820 But the
00:40:36.200 fact is
00:40:36.620 every time
00:40:37.100 is different.
00:40:38.280 If you're
00:40:38.600 trying to
00:40:39.440 learn from
00:40:39.960 history,
00:40:41.080 you're the
00:40:41.920 dumbest
00:40:42.280 person in
00:40:42.760 the conversation
00:40:43.460 because history
00:40:44.660 doesn't repeat.
00:40:45.940 It can't.
00:40:47.080 Because when
00:40:47.800 history did
00:40:48.380 what it did
00:40:48.820 last time,
00:40:49.600 people noticed.
00:40:50.420 And if
00:40:51.820 you notice
00:40:52.260 what it
00:40:52.600 did last
00:40:53.040 time,
00:40:53.420 that tells
00:40:53.900 you to
00:40:54.240 modify this
00:40:55.000 time.
00:40:56.160 So history
00:40:56.760 doesn't really
00:40:57.780 repeat.
00:40:59.060 Things get
00:40:59.580 adjusted because
00:41:00.420 of the last
00:41:00.920 way things
00:41:01.380 went.
00:41:04.420 All right.
00:41:05.940 Somebody says
00:41:06.720 it's hugely
00:41:07.340 inflationary down
00:41:09.180 the road,
00:41:09.760 but not
00:41:10.260 immediately.
00:41:11.240 We don't
00:41:11.940 really know
00:41:12.360 that.
00:41:13.320 We don't
00:41:13.680 really know
00:41:14.060 that.
00:41:15.600 Because
00:41:16.120 remember,
00:41:17.600 prior to the
00:41:18.880 coronavirus,
00:41:19.660 we would
00:41:20.080 have said
00:41:20.400 it would
00:41:20.640 be impossible
00:41:21.280 to have
00:41:21.700 growth as
00:41:22.340 good as
00:41:22.660 it was
00:41:23.100 and no
00:41:23.540 inflation.
00:41:24.720 Right?
00:41:25.160 I believe
00:41:26.040 something like
00:41:26.720 100% of
00:41:27.620 economists
00:41:28.180 would have
00:41:28.740 said that
00:41:29.840 the year
00:41:30.260 2019
00:41:31.000 wasn't
00:41:31.580 possible.
00:41:32.940 It wasn't
00:41:33.280 even
00:41:33.500 mathematically
00:41:34.100 possible.
00:41:35.260 That you
00:41:35.680 would have
00:41:36.060 low inflation
00:41:37.320 and great
00:41:38.620 growth.
00:41:39.800 Those two
00:41:40.540 things just
00:41:41.000 aren't supposed
00:41:41.400 to work
00:41:41.760 together.
00:41:42.700 But they
00:41:43.400 did.
00:41:44.260 So when
00:41:44.880 you're saying
00:41:45.280 to yourself,
00:41:45.940 well,
00:41:46.780 the obvious
00:41:47.700 mathematical
00:41:48.720 outcome of
00:41:49.860 printing
00:41:50.220 money and
00:41:51.000 adding it
00:41:51.480 to the
00:41:51.780 system is
00:41:52.840 that when
00:41:53.200 things
00:41:53.480 recover,
00:41:54.500 there'll be
00:41:54.880 too much
00:41:55.360 of it
00:41:55.700 sloshing
00:41:56.160 around
00:41:56.560 still.
00:41:58.980 I don't
00:41:59.640 think anybody
00:42:00.100 knows that.
00:42:01.280 Because we
00:42:01.960 didn't even
00:42:02.380 know that
00:42:03.880 2019 could
00:42:04.860 have growth
00:42:05.360 and no
00:42:05.780 inflation,
00:42:06.460 or low
00:42:06.760 inflation.
00:42:07.540 We didn't
00:42:08.020 know that
00:42:08.380 either.
00:42:09.340 Apparently,
00:42:10.000 we don't
00:42:10.560 know how
00:42:10.960 the basic
00:42:11.500 economy works.
00:42:13.100 And when
00:42:13.360 I say we,
00:42:14.080 I mean,
00:42:15.140 there don't
00:42:15.580 seem to be
00:42:16.000 any experts
00:42:16.620 who could
00:42:16.960 predict even
00:42:18.760 something that
00:42:19.460 basic that
00:42:21.140 you could
00:42:21.500 have growth
00:42:22.100 without
00:42:22.400 inflation.
00:42:23.660 That's as
00:42:24.160 basic as
00:42:24.900 you can
00:42:25.200 get in
00:42:26.700 economics.
00:42:28.020 And we
00:42:28.240 couldn't even
00:42:28.620 see that
00:42:29.160 coming.
00:42:30.220 So when
00:42:31.080 you're saying
00:42:31.440 to yourself,
00:42:32.720 you know,
00:42:33.540 I am certain
00:42:34.260 with my
00:42:34.880 lack of
00:42:35.420 economic
00:42:35.900 education,
00:42:37.240 I am certain
00:42:38.060 that we're
00:42:38.440 running up
00:42:38.900 debt or
00:42:39.380 causing
00:42:39.740 inflation,
00:42:40.980 well,
00:42:41.300 you can be
00:42:41.860 certain about
00:42:42.480 that,
00:42:43.140 but you're
00:42:44.240 not a
00:42:44.640 credible
00:42:45.040 observer.
00:42:45.580 because
00:42:46.920 absolutely
00:42:48.100 nobody is
00:42:48.920 certain about
00:42:49.400 that.
00:42:50.880 If I had
00:42:51.640 to guess,
00:42:52.680 I think
00:42:53.100 it'll be
00:42:53.400 fine.
00:42:54.960 It'll
00:42:55.440 probably be
00:42:55.920 fine.
00:42:58.680 All right,
00:42:59.520 Krugman said
00:43:00.200 it.
00:43:00.620 What did
00:43:00.940 Krugman say?
00:43:02.880 And has
00:43:03.220 Krugman been
00:43:03.960 correct a
00:43:05.220 lot?
00:43:09.260 This is
00:43:09.860 where we
00:43:10.080 get all
00:43:10.340 the crazy
00:43:11.140 comments
00:43:12.480 about
00:43:14.720 economics.
00:43:15.260 So most
00:43:15.760 of us
00:43:15.980 don't
00:43:16.180 understand
00:43:16.620 economics,
00:43:17.360 but we
00:43:17.720 don't
00:43:17.900 know it.
00:43:20.140 Yeah,
00:43:20.620 the pension
00:43:21.060 issues are
00:43:22.520 going to
00:43:22.640 be huge.
00:43:27.480 All right,
00:43:28.080 that's all I
00:43:28.460 got for
00:43:28.660 now.
00:43:29.320 I'm going
00:43:29.800 to go do
00:43:30.140 some other
00:43:30.440 stuff,
00:43:30.980 and I
00:43:31.200 will talk
00:43:31.560 to you
00:43:31.980 tonight.
00:43:33.960 If you
00:43:34.340 missed my
00:43:35.220 periscope from
00:43:36.180 last night,
00:43:37.060 I did a
00:43:38.300 section on
00:43:39.260 how to
00:43:39.620 increase your
00:43:40.520 luck.
00:43:41.580 Now,
00:43:41.920 not in a
00:43:42.340 magic way,
00:43:43.300 but in
00:43:43.760 terms of
00:43:44.200 going where
00:43:44.740 you can
00:43:45.020 have more
00:43:45.380 luck and
00:43:45.900 manipulating
00:43:46.540 your life
00:43:47.080 so that
00:43:47.440 luck can
00:43:47.780 find you
00:43:48.180 better.
00:43:48.960 I highly
00:43:49.400 recommend it.
00:43:50.640 I played
00:43:51.540 it back
00:43:51.820 myself just
00:43:52.540 to see if
00:43:52.900 I liked
00:43:53.280 it,
00:43:53.800 and I'm
00:43:54.480 usually pretty
00:43:55.020 tough on
00:43:55.580 my own
00:43:56.040 content,
00:43:58.240 but even I
00:43:58.940 liked it.
00:43:59.660 I just
00:44:00.040 watched it
00:44:00.420 myself,
00:44:01.080 like a
00:44:01.800 consumer,
00:44:02.300 and I
00:44:02.400 thought,
00:44:02.660 huh,
00:44:03.640 that was
00:44:04.000 laid down
00:44:04.340 pretty well.
00:44:05.040 I was
00:44:05.260 pretty happy
00:44:05.680 with it.
00:44:05.960 So I
00:44:06.920 think it's
00:44:08.260 one of
00:44:08.500 these small
00:44:09.780 little micro
00:44:10.500 lessons,
00:44:11.660 five minutes
00:44:12.840 I think,
00:44:13.840 but it has
00:44:15.460 the potential
00:44:15.980 to change
00:44:16.540 your life
00:44:17.140 if it
00:44:19.220 changes how
00:44:19.800 you look
00:44:20.180 about assessing
00:44:21.280 your odds.
00:44:22.700 If you do
00:44:23.360 a better job
00:44:24.020 of knowing
00:44:24.380 where the
00:44:24.840 odds are
00:44:25.460 good,
00:44:26.640 your life
00:44:27.320 is going
00:44:27.580 to be a
00:44:27.820 lot better.
00:44:28.520 So I
00:44:28.800 tried to
00:44:29.100 help you
00:44:29.360 there.
00:44:29.560 And I
00:44:31.440 hope it
00:44:31.620 helps.
00:44:32.480 And I
00:44:32.860 will see
00:44:33.240 you next
00:44:34.900 time.