Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 20, 2020


Episode 986 Scott Adams: Was Live and Sipping


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

144.64001

Word Count

9,828

Sentence Count

597

Misogynist Sentences

12

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary

Joe Rogan's move to Spotify is a big deal, and I'm trying to figure out if it's a good or bad thing. And I think I have a theory that could explain why Joe Rogan is one of the most successful people in the world.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Yes, as the shades go down, you and I get to enjoy this sacred time in the morning, and
00:00:24.040 when I say sacred, oh, I mean sacred, yes I do.
00:00:30.000 Because we get to enjoy the simultaneous sip.
00:00:32.960 I almost feel sorry for the people who aren't here.
00:00:37.180 They do not get to enjoy the simultaneous sip.
00:00:41.900 And it's so sad because there's so little that they need in order to enjoy it.
00:00:47.540 How much do they need?
00:00:49.340 Well, all they need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a cellist or a stein, a canteen,
00:00:55.100 a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:56.820 And fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:00.760 I like coffee.
00:01:02.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that
00:01:06.380 makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.
00:01:10.360 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:12.280 And it happens now.
00:01:13.480 Go.
00:01:13.720 Is it my imagination or are my zinc levels rising right now?
00:01:25.580 Feels like it.
00:01:27.040 So here's a little insight.
00:01:29.800 So we've been talking about hydroxychloroquine and the president taking it.
00:01:33.400 And I've mentioned a number of times that the studies that show it being used without zinc,
00:01:41.900 maybe the azithromycin matters too.
00:01:45.440 But if you test it without the zinc, you're testing it without the active part.
00:01:49.080 So of course that doesn't work.
00:01:50.240 But I'm starting to see some indications unreliably, I'll put that unreliably part in front, and
00:01:59.220 I'll put it on the back as well, unreliably, that it might be the zinc that's the only part
00:02:05.400 that matters.
00:02:05.940 So it might be the hydroxychloroquine was always just a fake out, and it was only the fact that
00:02:13.340 it was paired with the zinc, it might be just the zinc.
00:02:17.400 So I'm seeing some people talking about that online, but again, I will bookend this with
00:02:22.940 unreliable, unreliable.
00:02:27.760 Everything you hear about therapeutics, vaccines, vitamins, minerals, just assume every bit of
00:02:35.480 it is unreliable.
00:02:36.620 Because it is.
00:02:37.800 None of it is reliable.
00:02:39.820 But keep an eye on zinc.
00:02:42.060 I'm going to say that that has caught my attention.
00:02:46.660 All right.
00:02:49.360 This Joe Rogan move to Spotify, I'm trying to decide how big a deal this is.
00:02:55.780 Now, obviously, it's a real big deal for him.
00:02:58.180 I'm delighted that he made that work.
00:03:01.680 Joe Rogan, I often talk about, is one of my examples of a talent stack done right.
00:03:08.920 If you were to look at each of Joe Rogan's individual skills, you would say to yourself,
00:03:15.180 oh, that one's really good.
00:03:17.780 That one's pretty great.
00:03:19.360 That one's good.
00:03:20.300 That one's great.
00:03:21.360 But you wouldn't find that one specific thing that he does better than all the people in the
00:03:27.060 world.
00:03:28.360 What you'd find instead is about 25 things that he does better than just about everybody.
00:03:34.860 If you could do 25 things better than just about everybody, you get to be Joe Rogan and
00:03:42.340 probably have a $100 billion payday.
00:03:44.860 So when I say he does 25 things well, I'm talking about everything from, and to be honest, you
00:03:51.840 have to manage your look if you're on a video thing.
00:03:55.080 He does that well.
00:03:56.300 He's got a great look that works for what he does.
00:03:59.480 He's got a whole bunch of skills he can talk about.
00:04:03.220 He's funny.
00:04:04.560 He's good on video.
00:04:05.640 He does stand-up.
00:04:07.140 He knows how to work in an interview, obviously knows how to deal with people, knows about
00:04:12.060 a whole bunch of topics.
00:04:13.000 I mean, I don't know how many skills he put together, but it's probably something like
00:04:16.760 25 different sub-skills that he's stacked together just over time.
00:04:21.820 You can just see him building up the power level over time.
00:04:26.680 But here's what really impresses me about it, aside from the fact that he strategically managed
00:04:34.280 his career better than, I don't know, better than everybody.
00:04:40.340 Has anybody ever done it better than that?
00:04:43.000 Because, you know, if you look at other stuff like, you know, Facebook or, you know, somebody
00:04:48.300 starts a social media platform, quite often there's a big piece of luck involved.
00:04:54.480 Or, you know, somebody was going to make a Facebook and, you know, Zuckerberg was there.
00:05:00.100 But if you look at Joe Rogan's career, I mean, he just carved that out of a rock.
00:05:05.880 You know, that just wasn't there.
00:05:07.960 It wasn't going to happen on its own.
00:05:10.340 You know, I think social media platforms probably were going to happen.
00:05:14.520 You know, somebody was going to make one and one of them would be the better ones.
00:05:19.260 But the, you know, the Joe Rogan experience, that just didn't have to happen.
00:05:24.560 He just carved that out of nothing.
00:05:26.100 So that's just more impressive to me.
00:05:31.580 So here's the interesting part that I'm tracking.
00:05:37.100 I have a theory that one of the biggest forces affecting civilization
00:05:42.200 is known but underappreciated.
00:05:46.940 And that is that our attention spans are shrinking.
00:05:49.700 And our attention spans are shrinking for the obvious reasons, right?
00:05:53.560 Our digital devices give us little quick hits of dopamine
00:05:57.580 to the point where I actually timed, and I told you this before,
00:06:02.060 I timed how long it takes me to turn on my regular legacy television
00:06:06.580 and wait for the prompts to come on and work through them and find a show.
00:06:11.740 It takes about 18 seconds, which I find unbearable.
00:06:16.500 Well, 18 seconds of just looking for something to do while you're sitting there
00:06:21.360 is way longer than I'm willing to wait.
00:06:25.080 Because in 18 seconds, I could have 5 to 10 dopamine hits from Twitter.
00:06:31.840 Or I could go to locals and get, you know, 5 dopamine hits in 18 seconds.
00:06:37.040 So I would say that normal legacy stuff is no longer competitive
00:06:42.140 because our attention spans have shrunk below the baseline that they can get.
00:06:48.220 My regular television on a regular TV in my living room just isn't that fast.
00:06:54.320 I don't know how they're going to make that fast enough.
00:06:57.420 But I would say more generally the advertising model is going to decline quite a bit.
00:07:04.480 It won't disappear.
00:07:05.060 But the problem is that I think advertisers are going to notice it didn't make much difference,
00:07:10.340 that they're not getting as much benefit from advertising as they hoped,
00:07:14.080 except for the kind of advertisement where you're finding out about something existing,
00:07:18.680 which always works.
00:07:20.280 If you don't know something exists, you're not going to buy it.
00:07:23.320 But among the generic stuff, advertising doesn't seem to make much difference.
00:07:29.400 And so there's that.
00:07:30.980 But I think the attention span part is the other.
00:07:32.920 So I think things are going to move towards subscription services.
00:07:36.640 And then here's the big prediction.
00:07:40.200 Digital warlords.
00:07:43.440 So I'm going to make up that term and see if it sticks.
00:07:47.340 Digital warlords.
00:07:49.740 So a digital warlord would be not somebody who's interested in war.
00:07:54.760 I'm just using it as a colorful term.
00:07:56.960 But rather somebody who has a community that is defined usually by a subscription.
00:08:04.200 So now Joe Rogan is going from an advertising model on wherever he is to Spotify.
00:08:11.480 And I don't know exactly how that's going to be handled.
00:08:14.540 I guess if you're a member or maybe if you're not, you can watch it there.
00:08:18.380 But whatever the deal is, I think he's just being paid directly by Spotify.
00:08:21.840 So he'll be leaving, I think, I think he's leaving the advertising model behind.
00:08:28.760 I too, by going to locals, have a subscription model that I'm pursuing.
00:08:36.000 And what happens in both cases is you end up walling off the people who care from the people who are just trolls.
00:08:43.300 Which is a gigantic breakthrough.
00:08:45.900 If you're a creator, having any kind of environment where the people who want to be there are there,
00:08:51.960 and the people who are just trolls aren't there, it's sort of like heaven.
00:08:57.300 So I would not be surprised to see more sort of digital tribes, if you will, tribes of preference.
00:09:07.020 People say, yeah, I'd like to be behind that paywall, pay a few bucks a month and be part of that thing.
00:09:15.140 So I've got a feeling that depending on who the personalities are
00:09:20.680 and what the purpose of forming these little digital warlord fiefdoms,
00:09:27.480 they don't have any power, they're just maybe influence,
00:09:30.680 it could be a big deal.
00:09:32.560 Imagine if you would, somebody putting together a subscription base that had a million people in it.
00:09:41.600 You know, if you had a million subscribers to your online whatever, your content,
00:09:47.780 you would have a lot of influence over stuff.
00:09:50.620 Because you could make anything viral.
00:09:53.340 All you'd have to do is say, here's my tweet.
00:09:55.920 And your million subscribers would say, I'll retweet that.
00:09:59.500 I like this person.
00:10:00.380 So, kind of look for that.
00:10:03.600 That's my prediction, that you'll see communities slash tribes behind subscription services
00:10:11.880 where there's like entire power bases built up.
00:10:16.480 How much does that matter?
00:10:18.220 Well, let me give you two examples.
00:10:21.200 Today in the news, we find out that the president has signed an executive order
00:10:25.560 to look into the regulations that got temporarily canceled for the coronavirus
00:10:31.260 to see how many of them should stay canceled.
00:10:34.960 Now, one of the ones on the list is allowing telemedicine across state lines.
00:10:41.240 Now, if you've been with me since the beginning of the crisis,
00:10:44.500 you know that that came from this.
00:10:47.340 So, the idea to drop that restriction of telemedicine across state lines
00:10:53.720 happened because I happened to be aware of that issue
00:10:56.720 because my own startup, WenHub, we dealt with that.
00:11:00.560 So, I just happened to be aware of it as a big deal.
00:11:03.820 So, because of you, the audience,
00:11:09.000 you allowed me to have a higher visibility.
00:11:11.200 So, my visibility in the world is completely dependent on how many of you there are
00:11:17.240 because you're the ones making this a thing.
00:11:21.640 You're the ones who retweet me.
00:11:23.180 You're the ones who basically give it all the energy.
00:11:27.500 Because you gave it energy,
00:11:29.780 that allowed me to have a channel, if you will,
00:11:34.400 through Jonah Shumate, who was helping me connect
00:11:37.640 the good ideas that were coming through me.
00:11:40.600 I wasn't coming up with them all,
00:11:42.200 but a lot of people were suggesting things to me.
00:11:46.380 And then Jonah, who had watched this Periscope,
00:11:49.420 and he's associated with,
00:11:52.200 I'm sorry, he's working in the office of Representative Crawford.
00:11:56.280 And so, he was helping me get the good ideas
00:12:00.720 to the people who were asking for good ideas.
00:12:03.660 And in the beginning of a crisis,
00:12:06.300 the people in charge are really looking for ideas.
00:12:09.960 They're like, okay, do you have an idea?
00:12:11.520 Anybody.
00:12:12.640 So, it was a perfect time for good ideas to get to the right place.
00:12:17.000 And the telemedicine idea came from this experience,
00:12:23.120 you know, through Jonah.
00:12:24.320 Jonah sent it up to Mark Meadows.
00:12:27.680 Mark Meadows said, good idea, it's on the list.
00:12:29.880 And next thing you know, telemedicine is legal across state lines.
00:12:35.340 Boom.
00:12:36.000 How big a deal is that?
00:12:38.100 Might be a gigantic deal.
00:12:40.120 I mean, that's the sort of deal
00:12:41.480 that could change the entire cost structure of healthcare.
00:12:46.580 That's how big a deal it is.
00:12:48.360 And I'm not sure it would have happened
00:12:50.200 without the crisis,
00:12:52.960 and without, you know,
00:12:54.260 without noticing that there was this little crease of opportunity.
00:12:57.280 And, you know, I aimed for the crease
00:13:00.180 because I thought, okay, this is,
00:13:02.500 you can see that there's this little crack,
00:13:05.240 you know, in reality,
00:13:06.980 where if I can get through it,
00:13:09.020 this telemedicine thing might be sticky,
00:13:12.020 might be able to make this change.
00:13:13.980 You know, otherwise, regulations and,
00:13:16.880 I don't know, the AMA,
00:13:18.780 I don't know who else would be involved with it,
00:13:20.580 but obviously it wasn't going to happen on its own.
00:13:22.380 So, somebody said New York is not allowing telemedicine.
00:13:29.280 Yeah, nothing's easy, is it?
00:13:32.260 All right.
00:13:33.280 So here's another example.
00:13:36.480 Mark Schneider was pointing out recently,
00:13:40.240 and I noticed as well that Jack Dorsey,
00:13:43.840 co-founder of Twitter,
00:13:46.280 tweeted out an article about the Department of Energy,
00:13:48.940 started a new Office of Nuclear Energy Project.
00:13:53.980 So the government is basically putting in $230 million
00:13:57.740 to boost Generation 4,
00:14:04.000 the so-called new generation of nuclear development
00:14:07.420 that will be resistant,
00:14:09.820 pretty much impossible to melt down,
00:14:11.840 at least melt down in the normal way
00:14:13.600 that you think about it.
00:14:15.180 So they'll be designed that if they fail,
00:14:17.180 they just stop working,
00:14:19.700 which is the big problem with current nuclear designs.
00:14:22.720 If they fail,
00:14:23.680 they can release radiation
00:14:25.740 and be bad for the neighborhood.
00:14:28.580 But the new designs would be designed
00:14:30.260 that if they stop working,
00:14:31.400 they just stop working,
00:14:32.760 which is a good thing.
00:14:35.180 And they could be designed to be modular and smaller
00:14:37.540 and have a whole bunch of, you know,
00:14:39.920 cost and safety benefits
00:14:41.520 that would be way beyond anything
00:14:45.080 that we're looking at in the current generations.
00:14:46.920 Which are actually also pretty safe.
00:14:49.880 Generation 3, I think, has had zero problems.
00:14:52.980 And that's the current generation.
00:14:55.580 Anyway, here's the story about this.
00:14:58.580 That, so Mark is speculating,
00:15:01.880 and I think this is reasonable,
00:15:03.500 that maybe Jack's exposure to Generation 4
00:15:07.700 and the fact that he would retweet that article
00:15:10.300 probably, I don't know, probably is too strong.
00:15:14.560 But he may have heard it from here.
00:15:16.460 Because I know Jack watches this sometimes.
00:15:18.740 So, if you're watching Jack, hi.
00:15:22.000 Now, what's interesting about this
00:15:23.900 is that not only is, of course,
00:15:26.600 anything that Jack tweets
00:15:28.260 is going to make news
00:15:29.300 because it's Jack.
00:15:31.940 But he would be associated more with,
00:15:35.600 you would imagine,
00:15:36.640 in your own biased thinking,
00:15:38.700 you would imagine that Jack would be associated
00:15:40.700 with the political left.
00:15:44.760 Now, I would say that's probably
00:15:46.680 not...
00:15:50.480 Let me see.
00:15:51.000 I hate to categorize anybody else's opinion,
00:15:53.580 so I want to be really careful the way I say it.
00:15:55.320 But I would say that
00:15:56.900 trying to pigeonhole Jack into a category
00:16:00.180 would be a mistake.
00:16:02.040 And that he is in the category of free thinkers
00:16:04.460 who I believe would just follow the data.
00:16:08.680 So if the data skews left,
00:16:11.160 I think he'd go there.
00:16:12.140 If the data happens to be compatible
00:16:13.980 with something on the right,
00:16:15.220 but the data's the data,
00:16:16.740 I think he'd go there.
00:16:18.340 Now, you can't say that about a lot of people.
00:16:20.180 You know, I would say that about Joe Rogan,
00:16:24.920 just to throw him back in the conversation.
00:16:27.600 I believe Joe Rogan is neither left nor right,
00:16:30.320 but would look at an argument
00:16:32.000 and would judge it
00:16:33.080 and go where the argument takes him.
00:16:35.900 I don't think there are a lot of people in the world
00:16:37.920 who do that,
00:16:39.080 try to do that,
00:16:40.020 or even can do that.
00:16:42.500 You know, Naval Ravikant,
00:16:44.120 he'd be another example.
00:16:45.500 I would always trust Naval
00:16:47.100 to look at the whole field,
00:16:49.340 look at the data,
00:16:50.900 and then make a decision that,
00:16:52.400 you know,
00:16:53.260 common sense and reason and wisdom
00:16:55.180 and data take him to.
00:16:57.420 I would never expect
00:16:58.620 any of the guys I just mentioned
00:17:00.420 to just go left or right
00:17:02.340 because that's where the team is.
00:17:03.780 They just don't do that.
00:17:05.600 Cernovich is another one.
00:17:07.220 Can you imagine Cernovich
00:17:08.500 just taking a team side?
00:17:10.680 No.
00:17:11.760 It's just not part of his makeup.
00:17:13.520 He's going to follow the information,
00:17:15.440 have his own opinion.
00:17:16.820 So I would say that Jackson,
00:17:18.080 he's in that category
00:17:19.440 of a fairly small group of people
00:17:21.340 that you could depend on
00:17:22.800 to just look at the argument.
00:17:25.300 And then, yeah,
00:17:25.920 Matt Taibbi,
00:17:26.640 that's another good example.
00:17:28.300 Matt Taibbi,
00:17:29.040 you could depend on
00:17:30.080 to just look at the whole field.
00:17:32.920 So what's the big deal about this
00:17:34.500 is that, you know,
00:17:36.180 I've been trying to educate
00:17:37.320 people watching this Periscope
00:17:39.040 about Generation 4.
00:17:40.580 Most of that comes from
00:17:41.600 Mark Schneider's work,
00:17:43.500 and maybe it made a difference.
00:17:47.320 So maybe this is another example.
00:17:49.180 We don't know.
00:17:49.880 I mean, Jack reads lots of stuff,
00:17:51.900 so he may have known about this
00:17:53.900 from other sources
00:17:54.660 and just thought it was interesting.
00:17:56.360 But there's a good chance
00:17:57.640 that what we're doing here
00:17:59.320 to educate all of you
00:18:01.020 is having an effect.
00:18:02.780 So, you know,
00:18:05.400 we can't,
00:18:06.080 it's illegitimate
00:18:07.620 to trace any one thing
00:18:09.540 back to, you know,
00:18:10.320 one source
00:18:10.940 because it's a big world
00:18:12.320 with lots of variables.
00:18:13.600 But I like to think
00:18:14.420 that we were productive,
00:18:15.880 at the very least,
00:18:17.780 productive
00:18:18.260 in getting the Generation 4
00:18:20.820 message out.
00:18:22.240 So thanks to Mark Schneider
00:18:23.480 changing the world.
00:18:25.360 I like that old saying,
00:18:28.380 you know,
00:18:28.680 the pessimist says,
00:18:29.860 well, one person
00:18:30.720 one person can't change the world.
00:18:33.500 What can I do?
00:18:34.740 I'm just one person.
00:18:35.980 I can't change the world.
00:18:38.140 And then the smarter person says,
00:18:40.100 the only way the world
00:18:41.500 has ever been changed
00:18:42.540 is by one person.
00:18:44.660 It's always that way.
00:18:46.620 One person
00:18:47.580 always changes the world
00:18:49.620 because it starts somewhere.
00:18:51.620 Things don't start
00:18:52.460 with a thousand people.
00:18:53.580 They always start with one.
00:18:55.360 So, you know,
00:18:57.180 if you want to be the pessimist,
00:18:59.140 you can say that one person
00:19:00.840 can't change the world
00:19:01.940 if you want to be the optimist.
00:19:04.080 I just gave you two examples
00:19:05.420 where it happened.
00:19:07.400 Maybe.
00:19:08.780 All right.
00:19:11.140 Here's my favorite story
00:19:12.500 of the day.
00:19:15.240 This is from a tweet
00:19:16.440 from Trump.
00:19:17.600 I think this is today
00:19:18.540 or yesterday.
00:19:19.980 Roger Stone
00:19:20.660 has been treated
00:19:21.320 very unfairly.
00:19:22.820 So it's not the first part
00:19:24.100 of the tweet that's funny.
00:19:25.260 It's way for the end part.
00:19:27.060 So the first part
00:19:27.620 is just the setup.
00:19:29.140 Roger Stone
00:19:29.880 has been treated
00:19:30.440 very unfairly.
00:19:31.540 How about that jury
00:19:32.360 for one?
00:19:33.560 Does anybody think
00:19:34.440 that was fair?
00:19:35.500 Disgraceful.
00:19:36.520 Stay tuned for Fox News
00:19:37.940 and guys.
00:19:39.360 And then he says,
00:19:40.380 and guys like
00:19:41.700 low ratings
00:19:42.520 psycho Joe Scarborough
00:19:44.260 are allowed
00:19:45.240 to walk the streets?
00:19:46.860 Open the cold case.
00:19:48.520 The cold case.
00:19:51.880 So if you don't know
00:19:53.000 what that story is about,
00:19:54.680 Joe Scarborough
00:19:55.740 and the alleged
00:19:56.860 cold case,
00:19:58.280 Jake Taffer
00:20:00.520 tweeted
00:20:01.580 the president's
00:20:02.440 tweet
00:20:03.660 and gave you
00:20:04.280 some context.
00:20:05.920 So Jake says,
00:20:07.120 yet again,
00:20:07.980 the president
00:20:08.440 uses the death
00:20:09.460 of Lori
00:20:10.600 Kozutsis,
00:20:11.680 28,
00:20:12.880 I guess she died
00:20:13.560 at age 28,
00:20:14.380 to attack
00:20:14.860 Joe Scarborough.
00:20:16.080 In 2001,
00:20:17.560 she fainted,
00:20:18.920 hitting her head,
00:20:20.740 and autopsy
00:20:21.540 revealed a heart condition.
00:20:22.800 There's no cold case.
00:20:25.960 It's a tragedy
00:20:27.180 he cruelly
00:20:28.540 exploits,
00:20:30.440 indecent.
00:20:31.620 Now,
00:20:32.420 I won't weigh in
00:20:34.080 on the opinion
00:20:35.340 if this is cruel
00:20:37.160 exploitation
00:20:38.100 or indecent,
00:20:39.260 because we're in
00:20:40.200 the political season
00:20:41.220 and it's hard to think
00:20:42.640 of anything that isn't.
00:20:43.680 Is there anything
00:20:45.420 in this whole
00:20:45.960 political race
00:20:47.000 that isn't
00:20:48.340 indecent
00:20:49.780 and cruel?
00:20:51.840 I mean,
00:20:52.340 Pelosi just called
00:20:53.220 Trump morbidly obese
00:20:54.540 yesterday,
00:20:55.560 which surprisingly,
00:20:56.680 I saw a write-up
00:20:58.060 that says
00:20:59.140 he's actually
00:21:00.980 only
00:21:01.460 just a few pounds
00:21:03.200 into the obese
00:21:04.040 category,
00:21:04.760 because he's so tall
00:21:06.040 he can handle
00:21:07.760 the weight
00:21:08.140 better than most people.
00:21:10.200 So,
00:21:10.960 he's only barely
00:21:13.800 into the,
00:21:14.520 you know,
00:21:14.860 you should lose,
00:21:16.000 you know,
00:21:16.300 a good 10 or 20 pounds
00:21:17.520 would be good for him,
00:21:18.320 I think,
00:21:18.640 according to his doctor,
00:21:19.960 but he's not morbidly obese.
00:21:22.560 So,
00:21:23.100 we're in a world
00:21:24.580 in which people
00:21:25.240 will say
00:21:25.600 absolutely anything.
00:21:27.740 So,
00:21:28.540 you know,
00:21:29.040 Don Jr.
00:21:30.220 used the pedophile
00:21:32.000 word
00:21:32.380 against Joe Biden,
00:21:36.160 and of course
00:21:36.560 there's no evidence
00:21:37.540 or even allegation
00:21:38.560 of that,
00:21:38.940 but it's,
00:21:39.820 you know,
00:21:40.140 and he didn't mean
00:21:40.900 it seriously either.
00:21:42.580 You know,
00:21:42.760 it was obvious
00:21:43.200 he didn't mean it
00:21:43.840 in the literal sense.
00:21:45.540 But,
00:21:46.060 we're in that world
00:21:47.560 where people will say
00:21:48.440 absolutely anything
00:21:49.660 about anybody,
00:21:51.240 but,
00:21:52.240 and once you've learned
00:21:55.540 that there's no limit
00:21:57.040 on what ridiculous
00:21:58.000 things you can claim,
00:22:00.100 why would you stop
00:22:01.100 with something
00:22:01.580 that's only a little
00:22:02.320 bit ridiculous?
00:22:03.980 Right?
00:22:04.580 So,
00:22:04.980 this is one of
00:22:05.580 the president's
00:22:06.340 great skills.
00:22:07.840 I talk about
00:22:08.460 finding free money
00:22:09.720 and picking it up.
00:22:10.920 If you know
00:22:11.780 you live in a world
00:22:12.820 where the other side
00:22:14.680 can say,
00:22:15.400 you know,
00:22:15.700 the Steele dossier
00:22:16.600 might have been real,
00:22:18.220 that's the world
00:22:19.220 he lives in.
00:22:20.480 Trump did not
00:22:21.540 make the rules.
00:22:23.120 There was no point
00:22:24.080 at which Trump said,
00:22:25.040 all right,
00:22:25.340 let's agree on the rules.
00:22:27.800 Do you think
00:22:28.540 it's okay
00:22:29.460 to make wildly
00:22:31.340 ridiculous claims
00:22:32.640 that are even
00:22:33.960 involving illegality
00:22:35.620 and jail terms
00:22:36.880 and everything?
00:22:37.940 Do you think
00:22:38.220 that would be okay?
00:22:40.180 He never was
00:22:41.060 in that conversation.
00:22:42.860 It just became
00:22:44.120 the standard.
00:22:45.600 If you're playing
00:22:46.560 a game
00:22:47.160 and someone else
00:22:48.940 has said,
00:22:49.480 here are the rules,
00:22:50.640 and then you play
00:22:51.620 with those rules
00:22:52.540 that someone else
00:22:53.360 established,
00:22:54.980 are you indecent?
00:22:56.280 Well,
00:22:58.420 you'd be indecent
00:22:59.080 if you made
00:22:59.720 those rules.
00:23:01.040 If you were the one
00:23:01.940 who came up with it
00:23:02.740 in the first place,
00:23:03.860 or the first one
00:23:04.780 to act indecently,
00:23:06.620 you'd have something
00:23:07.800 to answer to.
00:23:09.080 I think so.
00:23:10.200 I think it would be
00:23:11.000 fair to say
00:23:11.960 that if you were
00:23:13.620 the one who
00:23:14.060 introduced the idea
00:23:15.600 of going too far
00:23:16.620 and making
00:23:17.100 ridiculous,
00:23:18.720 you know,
00:23:19.060 legal allegations
00:23:20.260 against people
00:23:21.660 based on no evidence
00:23:22.800 whatsoever,
00:23:23.620 if you're the one
00:23:24.400 who started it,
00:23:25.360 yeah,
00:23:27.060 I think you'd have
00:23:27.680 some explaining to do.
00:23:29.580 But I don't think
00:23:30.520 he started it.
00:23:31.920 I think he simply said,
00:23:33.680 well,
00:23:33.960 what are the rules
00:23:34.620 of the game?
00:23:35.580 I'm going to play
00:23:36.180 this game.
00:23:37.320 Can somebody explain
00:23:38.220 the rules?
00:23:38.820 All right,
00:23:39.160 all right.
00:23:39.800 Wait,
00:23:40.120 you're telling me
00:23:40.620 I can say
00:23:41.160 absolutely anything.
00:23:43.000 I can just make
00:23:44.200 stuff up.
00:23:45.100 I can make an
00:23:45.880 allegation to somebody
00:23:46.840 murdered and raped
00:23:48.340 and, you know,
00:23:49.540 genocide,
00:23:50.960 anything?
00:23:52.380 And the answer is,
00:23:54.120 yup.
00:23:54.500 You can say
00:23:55.940 absolutely anything
00:23:57.260 in a political context.
00:23:59.440 Apparently there's just
00:24:00.220 no restrictions
00:24:02.340 whatsoever.
00:24:03.400 Not only that,
00:24:04.580 but if you were to
00:24:05.460 artificially limit
00:24:06.600 yourself
00:24:07.220 and the other side
00:24:08.680 did not,
00:24:09.800 you can't even win.
00:24:11.540 So it's not only,
00:24:12.500 not only is he playing
00:24:13.560 by the rules,
00:24:15.100 he's playing by the
00:24:16.020 only rules that can win.
00:24:18.360 The hard rules,
00:24:19.300 you know,
00:24:19.500 the ones where you
00:24:20.120 can say anything.
00:24:20.820 And so he is.
00:24:26.980 So I just look at this
00:24:28.180 as funny
00:24:29.280 because when
00:24:30.700 Trump accuses
00:24:32.500 Joe Scarborough
00:24:33.260 of this,
00:24:33.760 and I should say
00:24:34.360 as clearly as possible,
00:24:36.080 I would imagine,
00:24:38.200 you know,
00:24:38.580 I wasn't there,
00:24:39.900 but I would imagine
00:24:40.960 that Jake's
00:24:41.800 framing of this
00:24:43.600 is accurate,
00:24:44.380 meaning that
00:24:45.080 it probably is true
00:24:47.020 that there's nothing
00:24:47.920 that would suggest
00:24:48.660 a crime even happened,
00:24:50.280 much less that
00:24:51.080 anybody in particular
00:24:52.020 was associated with it.
00:24:53.920 So I think it's true
00:24:55.360 that there's literally
00:24:56.220 nothing there,
00:24:57.240 but the fact that
00:24:58.200 the president calls
00:24:59.000 it a cold case,
00:25:00.940 you have to know
00:25:02.760 that's tongue-in-cheek,
00:25:03.920 right?
00:25:04.580 It's tongue-in-cheek
00:25:05.800 because A,
00:25:06.700 he knows people
00:25:07.380 will believe it,
00:25:09.000 B,
00:25:09.820 might make a difference,
00:25:11.300 I mean,
00:25:11.900 in terms of,
00:25:13.160 you know,
00:25:13.780 the back and forth
00:25:14.860 of how people
00:25:16.040 feel about things,
00:25:16.860 it might change
00:25:17.440 people's opinion
00:25:18.140 of Joe Scarborough.
00:25:20.560 So the fact that
00:25:21.600 he would be so ballsy
00:25:22.920 to throw in
00:25:24.340 the suggestion
00:25:25.040 that Scarborough
00:25:26.380 murdered a young woman
00:25:28.380 in his office
00:25:29.240 is so,
00:25:33.520 yeah,
00:25:36.360 I don't know how
00:25:37.580 you could take it
00:25:38.220 too seriously,
00:25:39.880 but somebody will,
00:25:41.080 somebody's going to
00:25:41.780 believe that really
00:25:42.380 happened.
00:25:44.300 All right.
00:25:44.680 let's see.
00:25:49.060 So here's an
00:25:49.920 interesting story.
00:25:51.380 So Dr.
00:25:53.240 Carroll,
00:25:53.880 it's a man's name,
00:25:56.260 Carroll,
00:25:56.660 K-A-R-O-L,
00:25:58.340 Sikora,
00:25:59.160 he's an oncologist
00:26:00.160 and former chief
00:26:01.760 of the World Health
00:26:02.580 Organization's
00:26:03.340 cancer program.
00:26:04.640 So he's looking
00:26:05.560 at the data
00:26:06.080 from around the world
00:26:06.980 where some of the
00:26:08.440 lockdowns have ended,
00:26:09.400 and he's puzzled.
00:26:12.560 He's puzzled.
00:26:14.220 Because if you look
00:26:15.240 at where the lockdowns
00:26:16.540 ended and people
00:26:17.980 have gone back to work,
00:26:19.840 the death rate
00:26:20.680 is not spiking.
00:26:22.900 And according to him,
00:26:24.380 he says,
00:26:25.620 it's as though
00:26:26.980 something has changed,
00:26:28.340 meaning there's something
00:26:29.280 that's keeping the virus
00:26:30.420 from raging.
00:26:31.600 It's as though
00:26:32.140 something has changed
00:26:33.060 and none of us
00:26:34.140 can explain why.
00:26:36.200 Do you remember
00:26:36.760 when Trump
00:26:37.380 made that statement
00:26:38.300 he's been continually
00:26:39.400 mocked for
00:26:40.160 that we might see
00:26:41.400 the virus just go away?
00:26:43.580 And people said,
00:26:44.680 that doesn't happen.
00:26:46.460 Viruses don't just
00:26:47.280 go away.
00:26:48.980 And then there was
00:26:49.920 some other famous
00:26:50.840 virologist who said
00:26:52.020 the same thing.
00:26:53.060 He said,
00:26:53.640 you know,
00:26:54.220 sometimes these things
00:26:55.200 just go away.
00:26:56.780 And here's the
00:26:58.180 funny thing.
00:26:59.880 You don't know
00:27:01.240 why.
00:27:03.060 So even the
00:27:03.840 top experts say
00:27:05.000 they don't know
00:27:05.500 why any virus
00:27:06.320 goes away.
00:27:07.520 They know it does.
00:27:08.760 Now somebody's
00:27:09.200 saying herd immunity,
00:27:10.220 but apparently
00:27:10.600 the experts
00:27:11.260 do not say that.
00:27:13.100 Apparently viruses
00:27:14.140 go away
00:27:15.000 with,
00:27:16.800 it doesn't take
00:27:17.340 much herd immunity,
00:27:18.480 so that's not
00:27:19.080 the primary thing.
00:27:20.500 There's always some.
00:27:21.860 But apparently
00:27:22.600 that's not the
00:27:23.360 explanation.
00:27:24.560 It's part of the
00:27:25.420 story.
00:27:26.680 But I guess
00:27:27.820 we don't know
00:27:28.340 why some
00:27:28.940 viruses just
00:27:30.220 go away.
00:27:33.020 If I had to
00:27:33.960 speculate,
00:27:35.000 I would,
00:27:36.200 well,
00:27:36.420 I will
00:27:36.720 speculate.
00:27:37.460 I'm going to
00:27:37.860 speculate that
00:27:38.600 some people
00:27:39.200 are more likely
00:27:40.020 to get any
00:27:40.960 particular virus.
00:27:42.940 And it could
00:27:43.480 be that you
00:27:44.160 reach herd
00:27:44.700 immunity at
00:27:45.440 like,
00:27:46.680 this is just
00:27:47.360 speculation with
00:27:48.420 no background
00:27:49.200 whatsoever.
00:27:49.960 It could be
00:27:50.660 that for some
00:27:51.420 kinds of viruses
00:27:52.100 you reach an
00:27:53.120 effective herd
00:27:54.180 immunity at
00:27:55.500 maybe 30%
00:27:56.660 infected.
00:27:58.480 Now,
00:27:59.200 if everybody
00:28:00.060 could get
00:28:00.540 every virus,
00:28:01.600 30% wouldn't
00:28:02.600 stop anything.
00:28:03.240 but if it
00:28:05.740 turns out
00:28:06.220 that viruses
00:28:06.880 can affect
00:28:08.180 some people
00:28:08.760 and sort
00:28:10.100 of not
00:28:10.500 affect others,
00:28:12.000 maybe 30%
00:28:13.000 is enough.
00:28:13.580 So maybe
00:28:13.900 there's some
00:28:14.360 mystery like
00:28:15.000 that.
00:28:15.760 That's just
00:28:16.240 speculation.
00:28:16.700 Don't take
00:28:17.420 that seriously.
00:28:18.000 But I love
00:28:20.880 the fact
00:28:21.440 that after
00:28:23.240 everything we've
00:28:24.100 learned and
00:28:24.680 studied and
00:28:25.340 all the experts
00:28:26.120 and everything,
00:28:27.160 that we could
00:28:27.660 do the one
00:28:28.280 thing that
00:28:28.840 everybody agrees
00:28:29.940 should make
00:28:30.560 the death
00:28:30.960 rate go up.
00:28:32.760 100% of
00:28:33.940 experts agree
00:28:34.880 that loosening
00:28:36.300 the restrictions
00:28:37.000 on travel and
00:28:37.780 everything should
00:28:39.020 make the death
00:28:39.600 rate go up.
00:28:41.300 But maybe
00:28:43.340 it's not.
00:28:44.420 What if it
00:28:45.200 doesn't?
00:28:45.600 So this is
00:28:46.740 what I've
00:28:46.980 been telling
00:28:47.280 you for
00:28:47.580 the last
00:28:47.820 day or
00:28:48.600 two.
00:28:49.600 In two
00:28:50.200 weeks,
00:28:51.680 if everything's
00:28:53.800 loosened up
00:28:54.460 and in two
00:28:55.480 weeks the
00:28:55.920 death rate
00:28:56.400 either declines
00:28:57.500 a little bit
00:28:58.180 or stays
00:28:59.320 flat,
00:29:00.360 it's over.
00:29:02.260 We're back
00:29:02.760 to work.
00:29:03.640 Because you're
00:29:04.220 not going to
00:29:04.500 be able to
00:29:04.900 keep anybody
00:29:05.700 home if
00:29:07.620 after a few
00:29:08.340 weeks of
00:29:08.800 loosening up
00:29:09.440 there's no
00:29:10.020 change in the
00:29:10.720 data in terms
00:29:11.560 of worsening.
00:29:12.640 If it's not
00:29:13.480 worsening two
00:29:14.540 weeks from
00:29:14.940 now, I
00:29:16.760 think things
00:29:17.360 are going to
00:29:17.660 open up.
00:29:18.320 Now when I
00:29:18.660 say things
00:29:19.060 are going to
00:29:19.340 open up, I
00:29:19.860 don't think
00:29:20.400 large events
00:29:21.260 are going to
00:29:21.660 happen right
00:29:22.100 away.
00:29:23.260 But things
00:29:23.840 like school,
00:29:24.800 for example,
00:29:25.580 and go to
00:29:26.200 work and
00:29:26.760 open your
00:29:27.360 restaurant, but
00:29:28.760 do things
00:29:29.220 smart, I
00:29:30.260 think all
00:29:30.660 that's going
00:29:31.100 to come
00:29:32.340 together pretty
00:29:32.960 quickly if
00:29:33.680 this holds,
00:29:35.100 which is we
00:29:36.020 don't know
00:29:36.420 why, but
00:29:38.400 the rates are
00:29:38.900 not going up
00:29:39.460 as much as
00:29:39.980 possible.
00:29:40.660 Here's my
00:29:41.140 best guess about
00:29:42.040 why the rates
00:29:42.720 are not going
00:29:43.240 up.
00:29:43.480 It's not
00:29:44.740 much of a
00:29:45.140 guess,
00:29:45.440 actually.
00:29:46.140 There was
00:29:46.360 another study,
00:29:47.620 team of
00:29:48.160 scientists in
00:29:48.780 Hong Kong,
00:29:50.120 they did
00:29:50.680 some tests
00:29:51.200 with, I
00:29:51.920 don't know,
00:29:52.120 hamsters or
00:29:52.780 something, and
00:29:54.920 they determined
00:29:55.440 that wearing
00:29:55.960 masks is 75%
00:29:58.600 effective.
00:30:00.440 It reduces
00:30:00.920 droplets by
00:30:01.640 75%.
00:30:02.840 Doesn't it
00:30:04.160 seem to you
00:30:04.880 that with all
00:30:05.820 the masks
00:30:06.680 people are
00:30:07.280 wearing and
00:30:07.880 the attention
00:30:09.020 they're giving
00:30:09.600 to social
00:30:10.980 distancing
00:30:11.480 and also
00:30:13.440 learning what
00:30:14.340 the worst
00:30:14.740 things are.
00:30:15.640 We've learned
00:30:16.140 now that if
00:30:17.240 you're around
00:30:17.660 somebody who's
00:30:18.340 singing or
00:30:19.020 talking loudly
00:30:19.820 for a long
00:30:20.320 time, you're
00:30:20.780 going to get
00:30:21.160 it.
00:30:21.860 You now have
00:30:22.600 an excuse not
00:30:23.400 to be around
00:30:23.900 loud talkers.
00:30:25.480 If you've got a
00:30:26.420 loud Howard in
00:30:27.200 your life, you
00:30:28.640 know that person
00:30:29.160 who just talks
00:30:29.740 too loudly all
00:30:30.480 the time?
00:30:31.420 Apparently,
00:30:31.980 they're the
00:30:32.300 spreaders.
00:30:34.100 You could
00:30:35.160 probably live
00:30:35.800 with somebody
00:30:36.360 who was a
00:30:36.920 soft talker
00:30:37.840 and didn't
00:30:38.280 talk much.
00:30:39.600 I'll bet
00:30:40.100 Christina could
00:30:41.600 have the
00:30:41.920 coronavirus
00:30:42.300 tomorrow, but
00:30:43.940 because she
00:30:44.420 doesn't talk
00:30:44.960 much and
00:30:45.420 she's a
00:30:45.800 soft talker,
00:30:48.080 there wouldn't
00:30:49.440 be much coming
00:30:50.040 out of her
00:30:50.420 mouth.
00:30:51.380 But apparently
00:30:51.800 the loud
00:30:52.600 talkers and
00:30:53.300 the choir
00:30:54.720 singing, so
00:30:56.780 if there's
00:30:57.360 singing involved,
00:30:59.420 apparently there's
00:31:00.680 just more volume
00:31:01.480 and you could
00:31:02.240 be a super
00:31:02.740 spreader just
00:31:03.360 by being a
00:31:03.980 loud talker.
00:31:05.460 So just
00:31:06.020 knowing that,
00:31:06.940 knowing that
00:31:08.460 if you stay
00:31:09.220 out of those
00:31:09.660 specific
00:31:10.220 environments,
00:31:11.880 probably nobody
00:31:14.100 caught the
00:31:14.600 coronavirus at
00:31:15.440 the beach this
00:31:16.080 weekend.
00:31:17.680 Don't you
00:31:18.260 think that
00:31:18.640 just about
00:31:19.040 nobody got
00:31:19.840 it at the
00:31:20.280 beach?
00:31:21.400 I'll bet.
00:31:22.700 I'll bet there
00:31:23.420 was something
00:31:23.940 close to zero
00:31:25.140 transmission of
00:31:26.900 all the people
00:31:27.500 who went to
00:31:27.900 the beach all
00:31:28.400 weekend.
00:31:29.360 So now that
00:31:29.860 we know stuff
00:31:30.600 like that,
00:31:32.700 and of course
00:31:33.900 every fact that
00:31:35.000 I give you is
00:31:35.620 subject to
00:31:36.200 being changed
00:31:37.200 tomorrow,
00:31:38.400 learning new
00:31:38.960 things.
00:31:39.760 But don't you
00:31:40.280 think that
00:31:40.640 between masks
00:31:41.420 being 75%
00:31:42.520 effective and
00:31:43.400 that we've all
00:31:43.940 learned what
00:31:45.120 to do and
00:31:45.560 what not to
00:31:46.080 do for a
00:31:46.480 while, I
00:31:48.200 wouldn't be
00:31:48.580 surprised if we
00:31:49.480 could go back
00:31:50.000 to work and
00:31:50.540 keep infections
00:31:51.340 dropping.
00:31:52.400 I'll bet we
00:31:52.800 can.
00:31:53.920 So I've got a
00:31:55.040 feeling you're
00:31:55.520 going to see
00:31:55.800 non-stop good
00:31:56.960 news for the
00:31:57.660 next few weeks.
00:31:58.340 I'm watching
00:32:02.280 the Susan Rice
00:32:03.080 story about
00:32:04.760 apparently we've
00:32:05.340 got new
00:32:05.920 documents or
00:32:07.580 something, and
00:32:09.020 it turns out
00:32:09.980 that Comey was
00:32:10.920 selling the
00:32:12.540 idea of
00:32:13.460 General Flynn
00:32:14.900 being maybe
00:32:15.680 suspiciously tied
00:32:17.820 to Russia
00:32:18.460 based on the
00:32:19.660 fact that they
00:32:20.240 had more
00:32:20.880 communication than
00:32:22.100 Comey expected
00:32:23.200 that they would,
00:32:25.120 keeping in mind
00:32:25.960 that these are
00:32:26.640 people who have
00:32:27.180 to work together
00:32:27.900 in a few
00:32:28.400 months because
00:32:29.780 that's the job
00:32:30.620 that Flynn has
00:32:31.300 and that's the
00:32:31.920 job that
00:32:32.300 Kislyak has.
00:32:34.540 They're doing
00:32:35.980 the most normal
00:32:36.700 thing in the
00:32:37.140 world, which is
00:32:37.800 getting ready for
00:32:38.580 them to, you
00:32:40.620 know, getting
00:32:41.280 ready for the
00:32:41.760 new administration,
00:32:42.980 and these are
00:32:43.780 the very people
00:32:44.400 who would be
00:32:44.760 talking.
00:32:46.080 Now, is that
00:32:49.640 a good reason to
00:32:50.580 suspect somebody
00:32:51.480 being a spy?
00:32:53.040 Because let me
00:32:53.840 ask you this.
00:32:55.140 If it's your
00:32:56.060 job to talk
00:32:57.880 to somebody
00:32:58.520 in another
00:32:59.720 organization or
00:33:00.600 country, and
00:33:01.840 you talk to
00:33:02.440 them a lot,
00:33:05.040 would that be
00:33:05.760 an example of
00:33:06.620 doing your job
00:33:07.580 well?
00:33:09.080 Would it be an
00:33:09.960 example of not
00:33:10.980 doing your job?
00:33:12.340 Or would it be an
00:33:13.280 example of being
00:33:14.280 a Russian
00:33:15.220 asset?
00:33:19.160 I'm pretty
00:33:19.960 sure that if
00:33:21.760 you talk a
00:33:22.380 little bit more
00:33:23.040 than normal to
00:33:24.580 the person who
00:33:25.280 it's your job to
00:33:26.160 talk to, and
00:33:26.940 wouldn't it be
00:33:27.440 good if you
00:33:27.940 had more
00:33:28.340 communication,
00:33:29.160 not less?
00:33:30.500 That's more of
00:33:31.260 an indication of
00:33:32.060 doing a good
00:33:32.640 job.
00:33:34.680 Do you remember
00:33:35.120 I told you about
00:33:36.200 the new CEO
00:33:37.200 move when
00:33:38.500 Pence and
00:33:40.120 Trump were
00:33:41.040 first elected,
00:33:42.820 but not yet
00:33:43.660 sworn in?
00:33:44.760 It was a few
00:33:45.340 months there.
00:33:46.200 And Trump
00:33:46.740 already started to
00:33:48.120 bring jobs back.
00:33:49.420 He wasn't even
00:33:49.980 on the job.
00:33:51.100 It was the new
00:33:51.700 CEO move where
00:33:52.460 he went to, I
00:33:53.400 guess, Ford and
00:33:54.180 Carrier tried to
00:33:55.960 talk him into
00:33:56.460 keeping jobs.
00:33:57.280 I don't know how
00:33:57.720 successful it was,
00:33:58.980 but it left the
00:33:59.640 impression that
00:34:02.740 Trump and Pence
00:34:03.600 were jobs, jobs,
00:34:04.580 jobs.
00:34:05.200 We're going to
00:34:05.800 give you jobs even
00:34:06.700 before we're on
00:34:08.640 the job.
00:34:09.180 I'm not even going
00:34:09.780 to take a paycheck
00:34:10.480 and I'm going to
00:34:11.640 be so fast on this
00:34:12.780 job stuff, I'm all
00:34:13.900 over it with the
00:34:15.180 jobs.
00:34:16.500 So if you watch
00:34:18.640 Flynn doing exactly
00:34:20.560 the same thing that I
00:34:21.800 praised at the
00:34:22.580 time as somebody
00:34:23.960 doing the job
00:34:24.760 before the job
00:34:25.480 even starts,
00:34:27.140 yesterday on
00:34:27.820 last night on
00:34:28.760 Periscope, somebody
00:34:29.560 was asking me
00:34:30.180 about how to do
00:34:31.460 a job interview.
00:34:33.360 I didn't give you
00:34:34.260 this advice, but
00:34:35.680 it's good advice.
00:34:36.960 One way to get a
00:34:37.960 job is to just do
00:34:39.240 it without getting
00:34:40.880 paid.
00:34:42.200 You know, if
00:34:42.500 you're, let's say
00:34:43.120 you're working at
00:34:43.800 your corporate job
00:34:45.080 and you're doing
00:34:46.080 your regular job,
00:34:47.540 but the job you
00:34:48.480 want is some
00:34:49.160 other job, a
00:34:49.880 better job, just
00:34:51.120 start doing it.
00:34:52.400 Do your own
00:34:53.260 job, and
00:34:54.400 weekends, nights,
00:34:55.700 spare time, whatever,
00:34:56.540 just start doing the
00:34:57.280 other job, because
00:34:58.780 you're going to be
00:35:00.660 the obvious person
00:35:01.660 to be promoted
00:35:02.400 into it if you're
00:35:03.420 already doing it,
00:35:05.080 at least a little
00:35:05.720 bit.
00:35:06.640 So I have
00:35:08.200 nothing but the
00:35:08.920 utmost respect
00:35:10.300 for people who
00:35:12.220 start their job
00:35:13.100 before they start
00:35:13.860 their job.
00:35:15.000 If you ask me,
00:35:16.520 who's the superstar
00:35:17.520 in the administration,
00:35:19.340 the one who
00:35:19.820 waited for
00:35:20.340 inauguration day,
00:35:21.800 or the one who
00:35:22.840 started hard on
00:35:24.500 day one on the
00:35:25.440 top priority?
00:35:27.220 Russia's kind of
00:35:27.980 a top priority,
00:35:28.740 right?
00:35:29.640 You know, it's in
00:35:30.320 the top three,
00:35:30.940 probably, for that
00:35:31.960 kind of job.
00:35:33.280 And so if the
00:35:34.280 guy hit the ground
00:35:35.040 running, worked
00:35:35.840 extra hard before
00:35:37.060 he was even getting
00:35:37.980 a paycheck, let's
00:35:40.400 send him to jail
00:35:41.020 for that?
00:35:42.220 That's what
00:35:42.840 happened.
00:35:43.740 He was a guy who
00:35:44.840 did extra work
00:35:45.960 before he got
00:35:46.800 his paycheck on
00:35:48.060 exactly the right
00:35:48.980 priority, and
00:35:51.660 they almost sent
00:35:52.240 him to jail for
00:35:52.960 it.
00:35:54.800 Unbelievable.
00:35:56.880 Anyway.
00:35:58.960 So, I don't
00:36:00.400 know if we'll
00:36:00.860 ever have enough
00:36:01.780 of a smoking
00:36:02.460 gun that Obama
00:36:03.660 or Susan Rice
00:36:04.540 or anybody are
00:36:05.100 going to have to
00:36:05.760 answer to it.
00:36:07.280 I don't think so.
00:36:08.440 I think it will
00:36:09.580 end in murkiness
00:36:10.840 where it is, and
00:36:11.620 then everybody
00:36:12.060 will just retreat
00:36:12.800 to their side.
00:36:13.400 So, Howard
00:36:14.880 Kurtz, who
00:36:15.700 talks about
00:36:16.080 media and
00:36:16.600 Fox News and
00:36:17.780 elsewhere, he
00:36:20.720 was talking about
00:36:21.560 the fact that
00:36:22.240 the polls don't
00:36:26.180 move no matter
00:36:27.060 what happens in
00:36:27.800 the real world,
00:36:29.100 that no matter
00:36:29.740 what Biden does,
00:36:30.940 no matter what
00:36:31.600 Trump does, the
00:36:33.200 polls come out
00:36:33.980 and they're just
00:36:34.520 bouncing around
00:36:35.280 in the same
00:36:35.840 little narrow
00:36:36.420 level.
00:36:37.480 It's as if our
00:36:39.440 preferences for
00:36:40.300 voting are
00:36:41.700 completely now
00:36:42.720 disconnected.
00:36:43.400 from the
00:36:44.000 candidates.
00:36:45.820 And he makes
00:36:47.160 a good case
00:36:47.820 because literally
00:36:48.960 no matter what
00:36:49.800 happens, the
00:36:51.460 poll numbers
00:36:51.960 don't change
00:36:52.640 and there's
00:36:53.380 some stuff
00:36:53.820 happening.
00:36:54.700 Here's one
00:36:55.180 example that
00:36:56.180 Howard Kurtz
00:36:56.940 gives in his
00:36:57.840 article about
00:36:58.960 something that
00:36:59.760 you would expect
00:37:00.560 to change the
00:37:01.920 polling, but
00:37:03.200 it didn't.
00:37:04.040 And it's this.
00:37:05.120 He talks about
00:37:05.720 Trump, quote,
00:37:07.040 proudly announcing
00:37:08.040 that he's taking
00:37:08.820 hydroxychloroquine
00:37:10.020 against the
00:37:11.260 advice of most
00:37:12.240 medical experts.
00:37:13.400 And that, you
00:37:14.660 know, he said
00:37:15.420 if that doesn't
00:37:16.000 turn public
00:37:16.660 opinion, then
00:37:17.960 Trump must be
00:37:18.620 invulnerable.
00:37:20.320 Now, does that
00:37:21.340 sentence capture
00:37:22.320 what really
00:37:22.940 happened?
00:37:24.260 Would you say
00:37:24.900 that a good
00:37:25.460 description of
00:37:26.340 events is that
00:37:28.080 the president
00:37:28.700 proudly announced
00:37:30.460 that he's taking
00:37:31.880 hydroxychloroquine
00:37:33.020 against the
00:37:33.700 advice of most
00:37:34.580 medical experts?
00:37:36.280 Number one,
00:37:37.180 the word
00:37:37.580 proudly is your
00:37:39.220 tip-off for
00:37:40.700 mind-reading?
00:37:41.960 Did the
00:37:42.560 president say
00:37:43.220 it proudly?
00:37:44.960 Did you pick
00:37:45.840 up proudly?
00:37:48.060 Did you
00:37:48.500 detect that?
00:37:49.880 Because I
00:37:50.180 didn't.
00:37:51.460 I detected
00:37:52.820 matter-of-factness.
00:37:54.760 I detected him
00:37:55.680 talking in terms
00:37:56.420 of risk management.
00:37:58.520 Certainly there
00:37:59.120 was a political
00:37:59.680 dimension.
00:38:01.120 But did you
00:38:01.580 see proudly?
00:38:03.740 See, that's
00:38:04.500 one of those
00:38:04.860 keywords that just
00:38:05.680 says, ah,
00:38:06.560 whatever follows
00:38:07.640 in the rest
00:38:08.140 of this
00:38:08.500 sentence can
00:38:10.540 be safely
00:38:11.120 ignored.
00:38:12.320 Because if you
00:38:13.600 start out with
00:38:14.320 a mind-reading
00:38:15.000 word, it's
00:38:15.800 like, all
00:38:16.120 right, I've
00:38:16.940 now connected
00:38:17.560 to his mind.
00:38:19.180 Okay, yeah, I
00:38:20.140 can see some
00:38:20.660 pride in there
00:38:21.500 about the
00:38:21.880 hydroxychloroquine.
00:38:23.300 Okay, let us
00:38:24.500 go on.
00:38:25.580 No, you don't
00:38:26.340 need to go on.
00:38:27.580 Once somebody
00:38:28.460 admits they're
00:38:29.640 engaged in
00:38:30.320 mind-reading,
00:38:31.640 stop reading.
00:38:32.980 There's nothing
00:38:33.720 that follows the
00:38:34.540 word proudly that
00:38:36.020 could possibly
00:38:36.840 help you.
00:38:38.480 But here's the
00:38:39.420 rest of the
00:38:39.840 sentence.
00:38:42.340 He's proudly
00:38:43.140 using it against
00:38:44.060 the advice of
00:38:44.820 most medical
00:38:45.500 experts.
00:38:46.300 Now, is that
00:38:46.980 a true statement?
00:38:48.680 Yes.
00:38:49.840 That is a
00:38:50.680 true statement.
00:38:51.640 It is against
00:38:52.380 the advice of
00:38:53.720 most medical
00:38:55.000 experts.
00:38:56.100 It is not
00:38:57.020 against the
00:38:57.520 advice of
00:38:58.200 the president's
00:39:00.040 own doctor.
00:39:02.440 The president's
00:39:03.720 own doctor
00:39:05.160 said, yeah,
00:39:07.640 if you want
00:39:08.780 it, risk
00:39:09.420 management
00:39:09.820 makes sense.
00:39:11.100 Go ahead.
00:39:11.680 We're monitoring
00:39:12.340 you so it's
00:39:13.120 not like a
00:39:13.560 regular person.
00:39:15.480 Don't you
00:39:15.920 think it was
00:39:16.420 important to
00:39:17.120 mention that
00:39:18.640 the president's
00:39:19.340 own doctor was
00:39:20.260 okay with it?
00:39:20.900 Do you think it
00:39:21.640 would be important
00:39:22.180 to notice how many
00:39:23.040 people on the
00:39:23.620 front line who are
00:39:24.620 medical doctors are
00:39:25.560 using it?
00:39:26.300 Do you think it
00:39:26.760 would be important
00:39:27.340 to note that
00:39:28.640 something like a
00:39:29.400 quarter of all
00:39:29.980 doctors would?
00:39:31.880 And that it's
00:39:32.520 an off-label use,
00:39:33.540 so any off-label
00:39:34.400 use is going to
00:39:35.060 be 75% of
00:39:36.160 doctors think it's
00:39:37.140 a bad idea.
00:39:39.200 That's an
00:39:39.780 exaggeration.
00:39:40.480 But the point is,
00:39:41.120 if it's an off-label
00:39:41.860 use, you're not
00:39:43.140 going to get
00:39:43.420 everybody to agree.
00:39:45.360 What would be the
00:39:46.120 other example of
00:39:47.100 an off-label use
00:39:48.380 where all the
00:39:49.340 doctors are on
00:39:49.980 the same page?
00:39:51.160 Probably not a
00:39:51.940 lot of them.
00:39:52.880 Might be a few.
00:39:53.520 So here's my
00:39:57.160 And he also
00:40:02.600 talks about
00:40:03.320 Joe Biden
00:40:05.620 having a
00:40:06.480 complicated life
00:40:07.500 and
00:40:07.740 oh, well,
00:40:10.100 this is something
00:40:10.540 else.
00:40:11.300 So there's another
00:40:12.120 story
00:40:12.640 on CNN,
00:40:14.660 I think it was,
00:40:15.320 talking about
00:40:15.840 Tara Reid,
00:40:16.520 the accuser of
00:40:17.800 Joe Biden,
00:40:18.660 and it was saying
00:40:19.500 how she has a
00:40:20.220 complicated life
00:40:21.260 and there are
00:40:22.300 conflicting accounts
00:40:23.440 that muddle the
00:40:24.720 efforts to
00:40:25.280 understand Tara
00:40:26.320 Reid's allegation
00:40:27.280 against Joe
00:40:28.160 Biden.
00:40:29.180 In other words,
00:40:30.480 CNN hired two
00:40:32.140 women to research
00:40:33.860 and write an
00:40:34.400 article.
00:40:35.240 The fact that
00:40:35.780 they're both
00:40:36.180 women is important
00:40:37.080 to the story
00:40:37.760 because Biden
00:40:38.980 was accused
00:40:39.580 by a woman.
00:40:41.000 And the two
00:40:41.400 women go through
00:40:42.900 Tara Reid's
00:40:43.720 background trying
00:40:45.360 to paint a
00:40:46.700 picture that
00:40:47.360 maybe she's not
00:40:48.140 the most reliable
00:40:49.180 witness.
00:40:50.560 So it's basically
00:40:51.560 just a takedown
00:40:52.460 of a witness.
00:40:53.440 real nice
00:40:55.360 because what
00:40:56.920 about that
00:40:57.320 credibility?
00:40:58.140 By the way,
00:40:59.040 you know the
00:40:59.420 whole all
00:41:00.480 women should
00:41:01.000 be believed
00:41:02.000 but we
00:41:02.400 believe Joe
00:41:02.900 Biden this
00:41:03.420 time,
00:41:03.920 blah,
00:41:04.140 blah,
00:41:04.160 blah.
00:41:04.580 I feel like
00:41:05.400 the way we
00:41:06.000 should be
00:41:06.400 talking about
00:41:06.980 that is
00:41:08.020 credibility,
00:41:08.660 which is
00:41:09.780 different than
00:41:10.240 being true.
00:41:11.560 Something can
00:41:12.480 be credibly
00:41:13.360 reported and
00:41:15.040 then you find
00:41:15.480 that it's not
00:41:15.960 true but it
00:41:16.480 was still
00:41:16.780 credible sounding
00:41:18.160 at the time.
00:41:18.920 And I
00:41:20.180 think that
00:41:20.600 with these
00:41:21.020 accusations
00:41:21.980 you should
00:41:22.760 say that
00:41:24.000 the accuser
00:41:24.680 is credible
00:41:25.280 if the
00:41:26.880 accuser is
00:41:27.420 credible.
00:41:28.420 Tara Reid
00:41:28.820 I think is
00:41:29.520 credible.
00:41:31.160 But then you
00:41:33.240 should also be
00:41:33.820 able to say
00:41:34.320 that if the
00:41:35.640 accused has
00:41:37.600 a pretty good
00:41:38.160 defense,
00:41:39.580 you could say
00:41:40.100 that's credible
00:41:40.780 too.
00:41:41.780 There's nothing
00:41:42.300 wrong with
00:41:42.720 saying that both
00:41:43.280 the accuser
00:41:44.040 and the
00:41:45.060 accused have
00:41:46.340 credible
00:41:46.960 stories.
00:41:48.300 Only one of
00:41:48.860 them is true
00:41:49.460 at most.
00:41:50.120 They could
00:41:50.340 both not be
00:41:51.020 true.
00:41:51.740 But only one
00:41:52.400 of them is
00:41:52.700 true at most.
00:41:53.700 But they
00:41:54.000 could both
00:41:54.340 be credible.
00:41:55.780 And I
00:41:55.980 think you
00:41:56.260 just leave
00:41:57.080 it there.
00:41:58.140 You could
00:41:58.500 be credible.
00:41:59.540 It turned
00:41:59.860 out you're
00:42:00.340 wrong, but
00:42:00.820 you could
00:42:01.040 still be
00:42:01.360 credible.
00:42:02.780 All right,
00:42:03.140 so here's
00:42:03.580 my larger
00:42:04.040 point.
00:42:06.020 It seems
00:42:06.660 to me that
00:42:07.400 Howard Kurtz
00:42:08.580 and most of
00:42:09.040 the world
00:42:09.460 is looking
00:42:10.560 at it as
00:42:11.320 still a
00:42:12.120 contest between
00:42:13.040 two
00:42:13.400 candidates.
00:42:15.000 But I
00:42:15.940 think it
00:42:16.380 ceased being
00:42:17.180 a contest
00:42:18.080 between two
00:42:19.020 candidates some
00:42:20.120 time ago.
00:42:21.480 Instead, it
00:42:22.200 became a
00:42:23.160 contest between
00:42:25.580 the news
00:42:26.900 media versus
00:42:29.300 the other
00:42:29.840 news media.
00:42:31.600 And so I
00:42:32.180 would propose
00:42:32.760 this.
00:42:33.320 The reason
00:42:33.760 that no
00:42:34.560 matter what
00:42:34.940 the candidates
00:42:35.540 do, doesn't
00:42:37.140 move the
00:42:37.640 polling.
00:42:38.960 What Howard
00:42:39.400 Kurtz, the
00:42:41.000 way he
00:42:41.580 described that
00:42:43.100 is that
00:42:43.580 people just
00:42:45.100 go on to
00:42:45.960 their team
00:42:46.600 and it
00:42:47.280 doesn't matter
00:42:47.620 what their
00:42:47.920 team does
00:42:48.380 wrong, they're
00:42:48.960 just going to
00:42:49.320 be on their
00:42:49.700 team.
00:42:50.740 So there's
00:42:51.360 lots of
00:42:51.700 evidence for
00:42:52.180 that.
00:42:52.620 So I'd
00:42:52.880 say that
00:42:53.260 the Howard
00:42:54.200 Kurtz
00:42:54.600 interpretation
00:42:55.120 is a
00:42:56.900 credible
00:42:57.260 one, meaning
00:42:58.160 that it
00:42:59.560 does look
00:42:59.980 like it's
00:43:00.340 just team
00:43:00.880 play in
00:43:01.420 politics and
00:43:02.400 we are
00:43:03.020 ignoring the
00:43:03.720 flaws of
00:43:05.100 our preferred
00:43:06.100 candidate to
00:43:07.540 emphasize the
00:43:08.180 flaws of the
00:43:08.600 other ones, and
00:43:09.040 that's all
00:43:09.380 that's happening.
00:43:09.860 maybe.
00:43:12.040 Maybe that's
00:43:12.720 all that's
00:43:13.080 happening.
00:43:13.880 I would like
00:43:14.280 to give this
00:43:14.740 a different
00:43:15.100 spin.
00:43:16.620 The reason
00:43:17.460 that things
00:43:18.180 don't move
00:43:18.820 no matter
00:43:20.400 what the
00:43:20.740 candidates do
00:43:21.480 is that the
00:43:22.380 other side
00:43:22.880 never hears
00:43:23.560 it.
00:43:25.020 It doesn't
00:43:25.920 matter what
00:43:26.620 Joe Biden
00:43:27.120 does if
00:43:28.500 his team
00:43:29.140 isn't aware
00:43:30.160 of it.
00:43:31.380 They just
00:43:32.260 don't see the
00:43:32.800 same reporting
00:43:33.460 as the
00:43:33.980 other side.
00:43:35.080 So I would
00:43:35.660 argue that
00:43:36.240 we're no
00:43:37.140 longer in
00:43:38.420 a system
00:43:39.220 in which
00:43:40.500 you have
00:43:41.520 something like
00:43:42.160 democracy
00:43:42.860 and something
00:43:43.620 like the
00:43:44.080 candidates
00:43:44.620 making their
00:43:45.260 best case
00:43:45.980 and then
00:43:47.000 the public
00:43:47.680 listening to
00:43:48.380 the candidates
00:43:49.080 and then
00:43:49.900 the public
00:43:50.300 making a
00:43:50.800 decision
00:43:51.260 based on
00:43:52.240 the candidates.
00:43:53.720 That's
00:43:54.240 probably what
00:43:54.680 it used
00:43:55.000 to be.
00:43:56.360 But today
00:43:57.280 this is
00:43:58.520 absolutely
00:43:59.300 nothing but
00:43:59.900 a massive
00:44:00.400 brainwashing
00:44:01.200 operation
00:44:01.740 and you've
00:44:02.740 got two
00:44:03.320 massive
00:44:03.820 brainwashing
00:44:04.680 entities
00:44:06.240 competing.
00:44:07.140 So you've
00:44:08.040 got the
00:44:08.480 left
00:44:09.080 mainstream
00:44:09.680 media,
00:44:10.260 CNN,
00:44:10.720 MSNBC,
00:44:11.680 who are
00:44:12.180 doing this
00:44:12.520 massive
00:44:13.020 brainwashing
00:44:13.960 operation.
00:44:16.500 If they
00:44:17.380 succeed,
00:44:18.160 it literally
00:44:18.860 doesn't matter
00:44:19.400 who the
00:44:19.680 candidate is.
00:44:20.920 Do I
00:44:21.720 need to
00:44:22.060 prove that
00:44:23.040 it doesn't
00:44:23.500 matter who
00:44:23.960 the candidate
00:44:24.420 is?
00:44:25.260 Because the
00:44:26.060 candidate is
00:44:26.640 Joe Biden.
00:44:28.360 Do I
00:44:29.120 need any
00:44:29.560 more additional
00:44:30.420 evidence that
00:44:31.720 it doesn't
00:44:32.160 matter who
00:44:32.560 the candidate
00:44:32.960 is?
00:44:33.700 That's
00:44:34.320 pretty
00:44:34.580 conclusive,
00:44:35.240 isn't it?
00:44:36.020 Do you
00:44:36.260 need to
00:44:36.620 that there's
00:44:37.100 no questions
00:44:37.940 left?
00:44:38.920 If Joe
00:44:39.820 Biden as
00:44:40.380 the candidate
00:44:40.860 is good
00:44:42.180 enough,
00:44:43.360 then it's
00:44:43.960 not about
00:44:44.380 the candidate.
00:44:45.740 We are
00:44:46.120 not in a
00:44:46.600 world where
00:44:47.500 the candidate
00:44:48.140 matters.
00:44:51.460 Think about
00:44:52.200 that.
00:44:52.960 We drifted
00:44:53.740 into a
00:44:54.140 world where
00:44:54.660 the actual
00:44:55.180 quality of
00:44:56.000 the candidate
00:44:56.580 is not a
00:44:58.340 variable,
00:44:59.300 because it's
00:45:00.380 not.
00:45:01.320 It's not.
00:45:02.180 you could
00:45:03.240 replace
00:45:03.640 either
00:45:04.000 candidate
00:45:04.460 with
00:45:04.820 anybody,
00:45:05.940 and their
00:45:06.740 poll numbers
00:45:07.340 would be
00:45:07.740 freaking
00:45:08.200 identical.
00:45:09.880 Anybody.
00:45:11.160 Now, you've
00:45:11.960 got the two
00:45:12.340 most different
00:45:13.100 weird candidates
00:45:14.020 in the world.
00:45:14.860 I mean, we've
00:45:15.260 never seen
00:45:15.680 anything like
00:45:16.340 this.
00:45:16.900 There's
00:45:17.220 nothing like
00:45:17.820 Trump.
00:45:18.720 We've
00:45:19.080 never seen
00:45:19.480 anything like
00:45:20.120 that.
00:45:21.100 But there's
00:45:21.840 also nothing
00:45:22.440 like Biden,
00:45:23.660 somebody
00:45:24.080 decomposing in
00:45:25.380 their own
00:45:25.800 basement on
00:45:26.940 the edge of
00:45:27.580 death, who's
00:45:28.700 leading in the
00:45:29.360 polls to be the
00:45:30.100 next president of
00:45:30.840 the United
00:45:31.100 States.
00:45:32.320 There's no
00:45:33.120 way this has
00:45:34.200 to do with
00:45:34.700 the candidates
00:45:35.240 anymore.
00:45:36.360 We've
00:45:36.680 completely left
00:45:37.520 that world.
00:45:38.820 It is just
00:45:39.520 the persuasive
00:45:41.620 power of the
00:45:42.360 right entities
00:45:43.580 and the
00:45:44.120 persuasive power
00:45:45.020 of the left
00:45:45.640 leaning entities,
00:45:46.780 and that's
00:45:47.260 the battle.
00:45:48.240 The actual
00:45:48.720 candidate, you
00:45:51.560 can substitute
00:45:52.160 them and it
00:45:52.600 wouldn't matter.
00:45:53.640 Now, of
00:45:53.920 course, because
00:45:54.860 we only talk
00:45:55.680 about the
00:45:56.040 candidates and
00:45:56.700 their opinions
00:45:57.260 and their
00:45:57.800 personalities and
00:45:58.640 stuff, it
00:45:59.440 seems the
00:46:00.000 opposite, but
00:46:00.580 that's the
00:46:00.940 magic trick.
00:46:02.640 To bolster
00:46:04.460 my speculation,
00:46:09.200 here's an
00:46:09.880 example.
00:46:10.380 So Frank
00:46:10.880 Bruni,
00:46:11.800 writing for
00:46:13.740 the New York
00:46:14.100 Times, says
00:46:15.940 this, and
00:46:17.660 look how
00:46:18.200 direct this
00:46:18.940 is, to
00:46:19.880 my point.
00:46:21.640 So Frank
00:46:22.320 Bruni says,
00:46:23.240 please tell me
00:46:23.900 why I should
00:46:24.540 care whether
00:46:25.740 Joe Biden is
00:46:26.780 declining
00:46:27.320 mentally.
00:46:27.920 What?
00:46:28.480 Let me read
00:46:30.160 that first
00:46:30.560 sentence again.
00:46:32.240 Please tell
00:46:32.740 me why I
00:46:33.360 should care
00:46:33.940 whether Joe
00:46:34.600 Biden is
00:46:35.280 declining
00:46:35.960 mentally when
00:46:37.500 President Trump
00:46:38.520 bottomed down
00:46:40.220 morally long
00:46:41.380 ago.
00:46:42.420 He goes,
00:46:43.040 I'm serious.
00:46:43.820 I'd rather
00:46:44.300 drink milk
00:46:45.060 past its
00:46:45.740 expiration date
00:46:46.640 than arsenic.
00:46:47.980 so here's a
00:46:51.760 Biden supporter
00:46:52.600 who's saying
00:46:53.840 directly and
00:46:54.800 in public
00:46:55.360 that he's
00:46:56.420 supporting
00:46:56.800 somebody with
00:46:58.480 declining
00:46:59.020 mental
00:46:59.640 ability,
00:47:00.940 and that he's
00:47:02.460 happy about it,
00:47:03.720 meaning that he
00:47:04.600 prefers it over
00:47:05.340 the alternative,
00:47:06.280 because here's the
00:47:07.260 alternative,
00:47:08.380 that Donald Trump
00:47:09.140 bottomed down
00:47:09.960 morally long
00:47:10.820 ago.
00:47:11.200 Now suppose
00:47:12.920 that was
00:47:13.300 true.
00:47:14.600 What if that
00:47:15.060 was true?
00:47:16.360 Let's say it
00:47:16.840 was true that
00:47:17.620 his interpretation
00:47:19.020 that Trump
00:47:19.620 bottomed down
00:47:20.420 morally long
00:47:21.260 ago.
00:47:22.460 Wouldn't that
00:47:23.360 indicate that
00:47:25.200 we would see
00:47:25.840 the impact of
00:47:27.160 that morally
00:47:27.920 bottoming out
00:47:29.020 by now?
00:47:30.880 In other words,
00:47:32.060 would your taxes
00:47:32.960 be higher because
00:47:34.920 Trump allegedly
00:47:36.080 bottomed out
00:47:37.720 morally long
00:47:39.420 time ago?
00:47:39.880 Remember,
00:47:40.600 he's saying
00:47:40.900 it happened
00:47:41.420 a long time
00:47:42.040 ago.
00:47:42.980 So if there
00:47:43.500 are impacts
00:47:44.140 from all this
00:47:44.840 morally bottoming
00:47:46.000 out, we'd be
00:47:46.700 seeing them
00:47:47.100 now.
00:47:48.320 Did Trump
00:47:50.440 not close
00:47:51.180 the airport
00:47:51.780 on time
00:47:52.480 from China
00:47:53.560 because he
00:47:54.120 was morally
00:47:55.040 challenged?
00:47:56.260 No, I think
00:47:56.780 he got that
00:47:57.240 right.
00:47:58.720 Did Trump
00:47:59.640 not cut
00:48:00.980 the regulations
00:48:01.780 that were
00:48:02.520 limiting us
00:48:03.560 during the
00:48:03.960 crisis?
00:48:04.980 Did he fail
00:48:05.840 to cut some
00:48:06.480 regulations because
00:48:07.940 he had morally
00:48:08.640 bottomed out?
00:48:09.880 I don't remember
00:48:10.760 that story.
00:48:11.940 I think he just
00:48:12.560 cut regulations
00:48:13.300 really quickly.
00:48:14.980 Did we not get
00:48:16.080 ventilators on
00:48:16.960 time because the
00:48:18.900 president had
00:48:19.520 morally bottomed
00:48:20.700 out?
00:48:21.400 I don't remember
00:48:22.540 that story.
00:48:23.220 I feel like we
00:48:24.260 got ventilators
00:48:25.020 and more than
00:48:25.820 we needed.
00:48:27.420 And just go
00:48:28.120 down the line.
00:48:29.580 Pick any topic.
00:48:31.360 Trade deal,
00:48:32.560 taxes, you name
00:48:34.000 it, Supreme
00:48:34.660 Court.
00:48:35.060 find me one
00:48:36.660 example where
00:48:38.440 the events of
00:48:39.260 the world or
00:48:39.880 the decisions of
00:48:40.720 the president
00:48:41.200 somehow would
00:48:42.540 correspond to
00:48:43.740 this horrible
00:48:44.380 problem that
00:48:46.500 he had morally
00:48:47.380 bottomed out.
00:48:49.740 What exactly
00:48:50.720 was that?
00:48:52.120 Can you give me
00:48:52.940 an example of
00:48:53.620 that?
00:48:54.360 Now, I get it
00:48:56.240 that you don't
00:48:56.720 like his
00:48:57.100 personality and
00:48:58.040 his character.
00:48:59.480 I get it.
00:49:00.380 We've heard you
00:49:01.440 say that.
00:49:02.460 But can you
00:49:02.900 give me an
00:49:03.320 example of
00:49:04.640 how that
00:49:05.060 affected me?
00:49:08.220 Can I have a
00:49:08.980 choice of
00:49:09.660 somebody who
00:49:10.320 I can't see
00:49:12.580 into his soul,
00:49:13.960 so I don't
00:49:14.360 know if there's
00:49:14.800 anything dark
00:49:15.580 in his inner
00:49:16.280 soul and his
00:49:17.020 mind, but I
00:49:18.960 like low taxes.
00:49:20.760 I like being
00:49:21.540 tough with
00:49:21.940 China.
00:49:23.540 Give me an
00:49:24.300 example of where
00:49:25.020 things went
00:49:25.780 wrong.
00:49:26.820 So the fact
00:49:27.880 that Frank
00:49:28.700 Bruni,
00:49:29.440 Bruni,
00:49:30.040 Bruni,
00:49:30.380 I wish I
00:49:31.040 could pronounce
00:49:31.460 his name,
00:49:31.920 so I
00:49:32.140 apologize if
00:49:32.800 I'm saying
00:49:33.140 wrong,
00:49:34.200 the fact that
00:49:35.940 he would say
00:49:36.520 out loud that
00:49:37.620 he would pick
00:49:38.160 somebody in a
00:49:39.720 declining mental
00:49:40.680 state, in his
00:49:41.440 own words,
00:49:42.300 declining
00:49:42.780 mentally,
00:49:45.120 and he says,
00:49:46.720 why should he
00:49:47.160 care?
00:49:49.780 Holy cow.
00:49:53.640 But he
00:49:54.240 goes on,
00:49:55.200 so there's
00:49:56.480 more of this
00:49:56.900 Frank Bruni
00:49:57.560 stuff.
00:49:58.820 Let's say,
00:49:59.520 he's saying
00:50:05.400 that Trump
00:50:06.380 has bottomed
00:50:07.060 down morally,
00:50:09.000 and here's
00:50:09.260 an example.
00:50:10.740 So here's
00:50:11.780 how you know
00:50:12.340 that's a big
00:50:13.560 problem, that
00:50:14.960 Trump bottomed
00:50:15.980 down morally.
00:50:16.700 So listen to
00:50:17.200 this.
00:50:18.260 The example
00:50:19.200 is that
00:50:19.740 Trump said
00:50:22.060 recently that
00:50:23.020 Biden,
00:50:23.560 quote,
00:50:24.160 has absolutely
00:50:25.140 no idea what's
00:50:26.100 happening.
00:50:26.440 Trump also
00:50:27.440 said,
00:50:27.940 quote,
00:50:28.320 he doesn't
00:50:29.120 know he's
00:50:29.520 alive.
00:50:31.180 So Trump
00:50:32.580 is questioning
00:50:33.640 the mental
00:50:34.500 ability of
00:50:35.680 Joe Biden,
00:50:36.540 and that's
00:50:37.260 an example
00:50:37.860 of Trump's
00:50:40.080 low moral
00:50:42.240 standards.
00:50:43.540 In the same
00:50:44.560 article, the
00:50:45.680 very first
00:50:46.260 sentence, the
00:50:47.100 author of the
00:50:47.800 article, Frank
00:50:48.460 Bruni,
00:50:49.260 questioned Joe
00:50:50.460 Biden's mental
00:50:51.320 ability.
00:50:51.840 acuity, I'm
00:50:54.120 not even
00:50:54.420 making this
00:50:54.940 up.
00:50:56.080 I mean, I'm
00:50:56.400 reading it to
00:50:56.900 you right here.
00:50:58.020 So the
00:50:59.160 statement is
00:50:59.800 that anybody
00:51:01.000 who would
00:51:01.480 question Joe
00:51:02.260 Biden's mental
00:51:03.180 acuity is
00:51:04.880 being morally
00:51:05.680 low, and
00:51:08.580 the author
00:51:08.980 does that in
00:51:09.640 his first
00:51:09.980 sentence.
00:51:10.640 He questions
00:51:11.220 Joe Biden's
00:51:12.000 mental acuity
00:51:12.660 in the first
00:51:13.400 sentence, and
00:51:14.960 that that's his
00:51:15.580 best example of
00:51:16.420 what's wrong
00:51:16.840 with Trump, is
00:51:17.860 the thing he
00:51:18.300 did in his
00:51:18.780 first sentence.
00:51:20.020 Now, if you're
00:51:20.880 telling me that
00:51:21.420 these people
00:51:21.860 have a great
00:51:22.380 awareness of
00:51:23.160 their own
00:51:23.500 actions, I
00:51:24.160 would say
00:51:24.800 maybe not.
00:51:26.980 I'm being
00:51:27.640 told in the
00:51:28.200 comments that
00:51:28.780 the pronunciation
00:51:29.760 is Bruni.
00:51:31.940 I hope that's
00:51:32.540 right.
00:51:35.700 And then
00:51:36.460 Frank Bruni
00:51:37.520 goes on to
00:51:38.400 talk about
00:51:38.820 Biden, and
00:51:39.400 he says,
00:51:40.000 quote,
00:51:40.820 besides, the
00:51:42.080 precise agility
00:51:43.100 of his mind
00:51:43.960 has nothing
00:51:44.960 to do with
00:51:45.960 the fundamental
00:51:46.660 decency of
00:51:47.520 his values.
00:51:48.840 At the end
00:51:49.340 of the day,
00:51:50.300 and by the
00:51:50.700 way, anybody
00:51:51.300 who says
00:51:51.800 at the end
00:51:52.320 of the
00:51:52.540 day, they
00:51:53.920 should no
00:51:54.300 longer be
00:51:54.740 writers.
00:51:56.680 You should
00:51:57.120 have to
00:51:58.680 change
00:52:00.040 professions if
00:52:01.600 you ever use
00:52:02.360 this sentence
00:52:03.560 in public
00:52:04.780 writing, at
00:52:05.900 the end of
00:52:06.360 the day.
00:52:07.600 That's your
00:52:08.200 writer's tip of
00:52:08.920 the day.
00:52:10.340 The most
00:52:11.440 hacked writing
00:52:12.300 in the world
00:52:12.940 uses the
00:52:13.740 phrase, at
00:52:14.620 the end of
00:52:15.060 the day.
00:52:16.160 I mean,
00:52:16.480 really, you
00:52:16.940 couldn't find
00:52:17.340 another way to
00:52:18.020 express that?
00:52:18.640 At the
00:52:20.440 end of the
00:52:20.760 day, Biden
00:52:21.620 can be
00:52:22.120 trusted to
00:52:22.940 do what
00:52:23.340 Trump didn't
00:52:24.180 and won't,
00:52:25.320 quote, meaning
00:52:26.580 stock his
00:52:28.780 administration
00:52:29.400 with qualified
00:52:30.280 professionals.
00:52:32.420 Now, is
00:52:35.220 that true?
00:52:37.600 Is that
00:52:38.020 true?
00:52:39.100 Do you
00:52:39.460 think that
00:52:39.880 Trump has
00:52:40.340 not stocked
00:52:41.340 his
00:52:41.500 administration
00:52:42.200 with qualified
00:52:43.220 professionals?
00:52:43.820 professionals?
00:52:44.880 I would
00:52:45.280 say he's
00:52:45.960 got, I
00:52:46.720 would say
00:52:46.980 Steve Mnuchin
00:52:47.820 is a
00:52:48.520 superstar.
00:52:50.000 I would
00:52:50.540 say that
00:52:51.100 all of
00:52:51.660 the departments
00:52:52.900 seem to be
00:52:53.440 doing their
00:52:53.820 jobs, for
00:52:54.680 the most
00:52:54.960 part.
00:52:55.660 I've got
00:52:55.920 some questions
00:52:56.440 about the
00:52:56.840 FDA.
00:52:58.120 I would
00:52:58.380 say that
00:52:59.060 Pompeo is
00:53:03.080 great.
00:53:04.740 I would
00:53:05.060 say that
00:53:05.720 I think you
00:53:06.820 could name a
00:53:07.280 whole bunch
00:53:07.600 of people who
00:53:08.300 are actually
00:53:08.820 really, really
00:53:09.540 good, couldn't
00:53:10.240 you?
00:53:10.420 I would
00:53:13.160 put Jared
00:53:13.680 on the
00:53:14.020 list as
00:53:14.920 being a
00:53:15.300 superstar.
00:53:17.160 I don't
00:53:17.800 know.
00:53:18.680 I've got a
00:53:19.400 feeling that
00:53:19.820 you could
00:53:20.260 pick apart
00:53:21.160 any
00:53:21.500 administration
00:53:22.020 and you
00:53:22.700 could find
00:53:23.120 a number
00:53:23.480 of political
00:53:24.140 hires.
00:53:25.480 Aren't there
00:53:25.940 always political
00:53:27.020 hires?
00:53:28.200 Sort of built
00:53:29.080 into the
00:53:29.460 process.
00:53:30.360 I don't know
00:53:30.820 that Trump
00:53:31.200 is doing
00:53:31.760 any better
00:53:32.320 or worse
00:53:32.900 in terms
00:53:33.980 of staffing.
00:53:35.080 That's just
00:53:35.680 an opinion.
00:53:38.440 What would
00:53:39.120 be your
00:53:39.760 yeah, well
00:53:41.620 Purdue, okay.
00:53:42.940 So I'm not
00:53:45.140 going to argue
00:53:45.660 that the
00:53:46.860 Trump
00:53:47.100 administration
00:53:47.780 had all
00:53:48.300 superstars,
00:53:50.300 but is
00:53:52.080 it really
00:53:52.400 different?
00:53:54.260 I mean,
00:53:55.000 could you
00:53:55.400 really, do
00:53:56.560 you think
00:53:56.900 you could
00:53:57.260 objectively
00:53:57.960 look at
00:53:58.640 the people
00:54:00.360 that Trump
00:54:01.300 has hired
00:54:01.860 and cycled
00:54:03.200 through and
00:54:03.720 fired and
00:54:04.200 rehired?
00:54:04.980 Do you
00:54:05.260 think that
00:54:05.780 you could
00:54:06.440 really put
00:54:07.720 any
00:54:08.180 administration
00:54:09.380 up against
00:54:10.100 any other
00:54:10.680 and that
00:54:11.460 one would
00:54:12.100 look like
00:54:12.540 the
00:54:12.740 incompetently
00:54:13.500 staffed
00:54:14.000 one?
00:54:14.780 I feel
00:54:15.240 like no.
00:54:16.380 I feel
00:54:16.780 like they
00:54:17.080 would all
00:54:17.500 look like,
00:54:19.300 here's my
00:54:19.920 guess,
00:54:20.780 I feel like
00:54:21.900 every administration
00:54:22.840 is probably
00:54:23.340 70% effective
00:54:24.880 people and
00:54:26.540 maybe 30%
00:54:27.720 political,
00:54:28.940 you know,
00:54:29.260 I had to
00:54:29.700 return a
00:54:30.320 favor.
00:54:31.060 But that's
00:54:31.640 also how you
00:54:32.200 get elected.
00:54:33.280 If you
00:54:33.840 haven't taken
00:54:34.780 some political
00:54:35.440 favors,
00:54:36.300 you probably
00:54:36.740 didn't get
00:54:37.140 elected.
00:54:37.460 elected,
00:54:38.200 so we
00:54:38.620 all just
00:54:39.980 sort of
00:54:40.320 wince and
00:54:40.820 say,
00:54:41.140 eh,
00:54:41.980 I hate
00:54:42.540 that part.
00:54:43.740 But they
00:54:44.080 all do
00:54:44.420 it.
00:54:44.860 It's how
00:54:45.240 they got
00:54:45.500 elected.
00:54:46.380 It's fairly
00:54:47.100 transparent.
00:54:48.460 You know,
00:54:48.700 when a big
00:54:49.720 donor becomes
00:54:50.620 a cabinet
00:54:51.480 head.
00:54:52.960 Yeah,
00:54:53.140 Peter Navarro,
00:54:53.880 I'd say he's
00:54:54.380 a star,
00:54:55.100 a good
00:54:55.480 example.
00:54:56.780 So I
00:54:57.880 don't know
00:54:58.160 that this
00:54:58.540 claim holds
00:54:59.120 up.
00:55:00.400 It would
00:55:00.800 be interesting
00:55:01.300 if there
00:55:01.660 was any,
00:55:02.180 I don't
00:55:02.480 know if
00:55:02.680 there's
00:55:02.820 any way
00:55:03.100 to actually
00:55:03.520 prove it.
00:55:04.040 But it
00:55:04.640 all comes
00:55:05.000 down to
00:55:05.480 a very
00:55:05.980 subjective
00:55:06.600 statement
00:55:07.360 that some
00:55:08.880 group of
00:55:09.300 people are
00:55:09.860 less talented
00:55:10.520 than others.
00:55:11.460 We don't
00:55:12.040 know that.
00:55:12.840 That's
00:55:13.120 completely
00:55:13.580 unknowable.
00:55:14.580 If you're
00:55:14.980 not there,
00:55:15.480 you don't
00:55:16.200 really know.
00:55:22.260 And this
00:55:23.480 really sums
00:55:24.360 it up.
00:55:25.440 So my
00:55:26.220 hypothesis is
00:55:27.160 the candidates
00:55:27.720 have stopped
00:55:28.680 mattering,
00:55:29.300 and it's
00:55:30.020 just a
00:55:30.460 brainwash
00:55:31.080 competition
00:55:31.720 between the
00:55:32.380 left media
00:55:33.220 and the
00:55:33.580 right media.
00:55:34.940 And I
00:55:35.860 will put
00:55:36.960 a bow on
00:55:37.460 that point
00:55:38.060 by talking
00:55:39.580 about Oliver
00:55:40.540 Darcy.
00:55:41.200 He's with
00:55:41.760 CNN.
00:55:42.820 So Oliver
00:55:43.240 Darcy is
00:55:44.560 tweeting about
00:55:45.100 the fact that
00:55:45.740 the Fox
00:55:46.920 News hosts
00:55:47.960 had a variety
00:55:49.340 of opinion
00:55:49.920 on the
00:55:50.460 president taking
00:55:51.220 hydroxychloroquine,
00:55:52.500 which we know
00:55:53.300 to be true.
00:55:54.180 So it's a
00:55:54.680 true fact that
00:55:55.500 the Fox
00:55:56.440 News hosts
00:55:57.660 have talked
00:55:58.820 about it
00:55:59.260 differently.
00:56:00.460 Unambiguously,
00:56:01.260 they've talked
00:56:01.720 about it
00:56:02.000 differently.
00:56:02.880 But they've
00:56:03.680 also had
00:56:04.060 experts on
00:56:04.820 who also
00:56:05.820 talked about
00:56:06.380 it differently.
00:56:08.200 So Darcy
00:56:09.000 writes this,
00:56:09.960 Fox can't
00:56:10.760 get its
00:56:11.100 stories straight.
00:56:12.940 What?
00:56:14.200 Can't get
00:56:14.980 its stories
00:56:15.780 straight?
00:56:16.760 What's that
00:56:17.560 mean?
00:56:19.360 Did I just
00:56:20.400 describe a
00:56:22.020 network that
00:56:22.700 quote,
00:56:23.180 can't get
00:56:23.780 its stories
00:56:24.580 straight?
00:56:25.760 What does
00:56:26.480 that mean?
00:56:27.800 Should there
00:56:28.480 be one
00:56:28.880 story?
00:56:30.320 Why can't
00:56:31.460 Neil Cavuto
00:56:32.440 have a
00:56:32.860 different
00:56:33.120 opinion than
00:56:33.760 Laura
00:56:34.080 Ingram?
00:56:35.620 Is that
00:56:36.260 not allowed?
00:56:37.880 Why couldn't
00:56:38.720 Tucker have a
00:56:39.400 different opinion
00:56:39.960 than somebody
00:56:40.820 on the
00:56:41.120 five if he
00:56:41.800 does?
00:56:42.500 Don't know
00:56:42.900 if he
00:56:43.080 does.
00:56:44.360 Why can't
00:56:44.880 they do
00:56:45.140 that?
00:56:46.800 And the
00:56:47.960 fact that
00:56:48.500 a CNN
00:56:49.120 person would
00:56:51.700 start with
00:56:52.260 the very
00:56:52.580 first sentence,
00:56:53.740 Fox can't
00:56:54.400 get its
00:56:54.780 stories
00:56:55.060 straight?
00:56:56.260 Doesn't
00:56:56.720 that
00:56:56.940 indicate
00:56:57.520 that if
00:56:58.920 you work
00:56:59.300 at CNN,
00:57:00.860 wait for
00:57:01.580 it,
00:57:02.180 yeah,
00:57:02.420 somebody's
00:57:02.780 already ahead
00:57:03.240 of me,
00:57:03.920 wait for
00:57:04.580 it,
00:57:05.360 isn't he
00:57:05.840 telling us
00:57:06.380 fairly directly
00:57:07.160 that at CNN
00:57:08.560 they have to
00:57:09.180 get their
00:57:09.520 stories
00:57:09.900 straight?
00:57:10.280 What does
00:57:12.100 that mean?
00:57:13.800 What does
00:57:14.500 it mean to
00:57:14.860 get your
00:57:15.160 stories
00:57:15.580 straight?
00:57:16.260 Well,
00:57:16.540 the context
00:57:17.100 he's offering
00:57:17.740 is that
00:57:18.640 everybody says
00:57:19.320 the same
00:57:19.720 thing.
00:57:21.060 I believe
00:57:21.520 he's admitting
00:57:22.180 in public
00:57:22.840 that Fox
00:57:24.580 has a
00:57:24.960 diversity
00:57:25.400 of opinions
00:57:26.160 and CNN
00:57:27.620 does not
00:57:28.180 present a
00:57:28.920 diversity
00:57:29.300 of opinions
00:57:30.060 apparently
00:57:31.200 by choice.
00:57:32.920 He's saying
00:57:33.360 it directly.
00:57:34.860 If you
00:57:35.480 use the
00:57:36.100 phrase
00:57:36.520 get your
00:57:37.400 stories
00:57:37.860 straight
00:57:38.420 as a
00:57:39.380 criticism
00:57:39.920 of the
00:57:40.520 competing
00:57:40.920 network,
00:57:42.040 how do
00:57:42.440 you not
00:57:43.040 interpret
00:57:43.600 that as
00:57:44.260 CNN
00:57:45.320 works hard
00:57:46.180 to get
00:57:46.500 their
00:57:46.740 story
00:57:47.220 straight?
00:57:49.000 And since
00:57:49.920 the story
00:57:50.640 is opinion,
00:57:52.820 whether you
00:57:53.440 should or
00:57:53.780 should not
00:57:54.200 say something
00:57:55.600 or do
00:57:55.920 something with
00:57:56.380 hydroxychloroquine,
00:57:57.680 it's really
00:57:58.180 opinion story,
00:57:59.300 given that the
00:57:59.900 experts have
00:58:00.480 different opinions
00:58:01.160 and we know
00:58:01.640 that.
00:58:04.240 Should you
00:58:05.000 get your
00:58:05.420 opinions
00:58:05.900 straight?
00:58:08.220 I think
00:58:09.020 CNN just
00:58:09.660 admitted that
00:58:10.620 they're not
00:58:10.960 even in the
00:58:11.460 business of
00:58:11.960 news.
00:58:13.160 That seems
00:58:13.760 like a
00:58:14.120 pretty direct
00:58:14.640 admission.
00:58:18.880 So that's
00:58:19.640 fascinating.
00:58:20.660 All right.
00:58:25.260 All right.
00:58:28.820 Let me see
00:58:29.540 if there's
00:58:29.820 anything else
00:58:30.280 to talk
00:58:30.580 about here.
00:58:31.040 Phil Kirpin,
00:58:37.340 K-E-R-P-N,
00:58:39.340 has an
00:58:40.000 interesting
00:58:40.380 string of
00:58:41.620 tweets.
00:58:43.000 And he's
00:58:43.500 talking about
00:58:43.980 the fact
00:58:44.400 that the
00:58:45.340 elderly are
00:58:46.640 still the
00:58:47.620 main people
00:58:48.180 dying.
00:58:49.580 So even
00:58:50.340 today,
00:58:51.460 on May
00:58:51.940 20th,
00:58:53.180 we've known
00:58:53.800 now for
00:58:54.260 how many
00:58:54.600 months have
00:58:55.180 we known
00:58:55.700 that age
00:58:58.120 is the
00:58:59.620 biggest risk
00:59:00.200 factor.
00:59:01.260 We've
00:59:01.580 known that
00:59:02.120 since,
00:59:03.260 correct me,
00:59:05.120 January?
00:59:06.080 Have we
00:59:06.460 known since
00:59:06.940 January that
00:59:07.900 this virus
00:59:09.160 really attacks
00:59:09.920 the elderly
00:59:10.840 like super,
00:59:11.720 super hard?
00:59:12.680 We've known
00:59:13.380 that, right?
00:59:14.300 How long
00:59:15.140 have we been
00:59:15.600 talking about
00:59:16.280 the strategy
00:59:17.140 of super
00:59:18.480 protecting the
00:59:19.240 elderly and
00:59:21.640 then letting
00:59:22.340 the younger
00:59:22.780 people take
00:59:23.360 more of a
00:59:23.800 risk?
00:59:24.080 we've been
00:59:25.120 talking about
00:59:25.760 that for
00:59:26.480 months.
00:59:29.720 And yet
00:59:30.000 today,
00:59:31.600 the elderly,
00:59:32.820 the very
00:59:33.260 group that
00:59:33.820 we've
00:59:34.080 identified,
00:59:34.820 and everybody
00:59:35.420 agrees,
00:59:36.200 there's no
00:59:36.760 conversation on
00:59:38.000 this,
00:59:38.880 everyone agrees
00:59:39.700 these are the
00:59:40.260 most dangerous
00:59:41.240 at-risk
00:59:42.340 group,
00:59:43.980 and we're
00:59:44.740 not protecting
00:59:45.460 them.
00:59:47.840 Now,
00:59:48.580 I have to
00:59:49.200 think that
00:59:49.980 people are
00:59:50.360 doing a lot
00:59:50.860 of stuff.
00:59:51.780 There must
00:59:52.120 be a lot
00:59:52.480 of activity
00:59:53.380 going on
00:59:54.640 to try
00:59:55.120 to protect
00:59:55.600 them,
00:59:56.320 but we're
00:59:57.320 failing.
00:59:59.200 Can you
00:59:59.520 believe that?
01:00:00.520 After three
01:00:01.260 months of
01:00:01.680 knowing exactly
01:00:02.600 who's at
01:00:03.100 risk,
01:00:04.140 exactly,
01:00:05.360 I mean,
01:00:05.700 you could
01:00:06.260 list them,
01:00:07.240 let's say,
01:00:07.480 here's one,
01:00:08.320 85 years old,
01:00:09.240 you're at
01:00:09.540 risk.
01:00:10.180 We know
01:00:10.840 who's at
01:00:11.220 risk,
01:00:11.980 the highest
01:00:12.480 risk,
01:00:13.220 and we're
01:00:13.620 still not
01:00:14.120 protecting
01:00:14.540 them.
01:00:15.820 What's up
01:00:16.400 with that?
01:00:17.080 Is there
01:00:17.700 something about
01:00:18.260 the nature
01:00:18.760 of the virus
01:00:19.740 that is just
01:00:21.000 too hard?
01:00:21.940 Maybe you
01:00:23.000 can try
01:00:23.360 as hard
01:00:23.720 as you
01:00:23.980 can,
01:00:24.320 and you
01:00:24.500 just can't
01:00:24.880 get it
01:00:25.140 done.
01:00:26.060 But today,
01:00:27.720 still,
01:00:28.760 still they're
01:00:29.800 dying at
01:00:30.300 the rate
01:00:31.080 they're dying.
01:00:31.920 Do you
01:00:32.080 know what
01:00:32.300 the correct
01:00:33.940 rate of
01:00:34.840 death from
01:00:36.380 coronavirus
01:00:36.960 should be
01:00:38.900 for anybody
01:00:39.680 over 80?
01:00:42.700 If you're
01:00:43.360 over 80,
01:00:44.800 what should
01:00:45.380 be your
01:00:45.840 death rate
01:00:46.420 from
01:00:46.720 coronavirus
01:00:47.360 in the
01:00:47.820 United
01:00:48.140 States?
01:00:49.540 Zero.
01:00:51.360 Zero.
01:00:51.840 That's
01:00:52.520 what it
01:00:52.780 should be.
01:00:54.020 If there's
01:00:54.800 an 85-year-old
01:00:55.800 who's having
01:00:56.260 any contact
01:00:57.260 with somebody
01:00:58.200 who could
01:00:58.580 have also
01:00:59.040 had contact
01:00:59.640 with the
01:01:00.020 coronavirus,
01:01:00.920 aren't we
01:01:01.460 doing it
01:01:01.800 wrong?
01:01:03.260 Isn't there
01:01:03.820 some way
01:01:04.560 that you
01:01:05.180 can make
01:01:05.500 sure that
01:01:05.860 they don't
01:01:06.140 have any
01:01:06.840 contact
01:01:07.220 with the
01:01:07.660 virus?
01:01:08.400 There's
01:01:08.820 got to
01:01:09.080 be a way
01:01:09.400 to do
01:01:09.660 that.
01:01:12.540 Clearly,
01:01:13.080 we're not
01:01:13.320 getting it
01:01:13.680 done.
01:01:14.520 All right.
01:01:15.340 So that's
01:01:15.860 the bad
01:01:17.320 news.
01:01:18.980 But we
01:01:19.540 don't like
01:01:19.900 to end on
01:01:20.320 bad news,
01:01:20.940 do we?
01:01:21.840 We do
01:01:22.300 not.
01:01:22.780 So recapping
01:01:23.920 the good
01:01:24.240 news,
01:01:25.100 here it
01:01:25.560 is.
01:01:28.100 You want
01:01:28.720 to hear
01:01:28.860 really good
01:01:29.300 news?
01:01:30.220 I'm going
01:01:30.700 to give
01:01:30.900 you some
01:01:31.220 real direct,
01:01:32.840 reliable
01:01:34.600 good news.
01:01:35.880 Yesterday,
01:01:36.540 I talked
01:01:36.900 to the
01:01:37.580 most successful
01:01:39.400 real estate
01:01:40.340 broker in
01:01:42.140 my area.
01:01:44.100 So a
01:01:44.600 friend in
01:01:45.260 the neighborhood
01:01:45.640 is probably
01:01:46.360 the top
01:01:46.980 real estate
01:01:47.580 producer in
01:01:48.180 my area.
01:01:49.100 And as
01:01:49.520 of last
01:01:50.400 night,
01:01:50.900 I asked,
01:01:52.860 what's the
01:01:53.220 real estate
01:01:53.640 market?
01:01:54.100 Because I
01:01:54.360 thought to
01:01:54.660 myself,
01:01:55.120 real estate
01:01:56.600 is going
01:01:56.860 to get
01:01:57.080 killed,
01:01:57.620 right?
01:01:58.600 Don't
01:01:58.920 you assume?
01:02:00.280 Don't you
01:02:00.680 assume real
01:02:02.000 estate is
01:02:02.460 going to
01:02:02.680 get killed?
01:02:06.140 Goodbye,
01:02:07.660 troll.
01:02:08.860 And so I
01:02:09.320 asked her,
01:02:09.680 what's happening
01:02:10.140 with real
01:02:10.780 estate sales?
01:02:11.740 And guess
01:02:12.080 what?
01:02:13.580 Strong as
01:02:14.240 ever.
01:02:14.440 this week
01:02:16.500 homes are
01:02:18.060 being sold
01:02:18.680 for higher
01:02:19.360 than asking
01:02:19.960 price.
01:02:21.620 This week.
01:02:23.400 So I'm
01:02:24.080 in Northern
01:02:24.440 California,
01:02:25.120 just for
01:02:25.440 reference.
01:02:26.380 Now Northern
01:02:26.760 California,
01:02:27.680 where I am
01:02:29.120 in the East
01:02:29.900 Bay outside
01:02:30.480 of San
01:02:30.780 Francisco,
01:02:31.760 we're sort
01:02:32.360 of Silicon
01:02:33.400 Valley adjacent.
01:02:35.500 So it's a lot
01:02:36.700 of people who
01:02:37.140 didn't lose
01:02:37.620 their jobs
01:02:38.280 because a lot
01:02:38.920 of technology
01:02:39.940 jobs,
01:02:40.440 they just
01:02:40.700 worked at
01:02:41.120 home.
01:02:41.320 so I'm
01:02:43.660 in an
01:02:43.940 unusual area
01:02:45.000 in that we
01:02:46.200 were unusually
01:02:47.460 lightly
01:02:48.180 affected.
01:02:49.780 But could
01:02:50.360 you imagine
01:02:51.040 that people
01:02:51.680 are paying
01:02:52.340 over the
01:02:53.300 asking price
01:02:54.000 for homes
01:02:54.660 this week?
01:02:57.300 Isn't that
01:02:57.860 mind-blowing?
01:02:59.260 Doesn't that
01:02:59.840 tell you that
01:03:00.380 the economy
01:03:01.860 is going to
01:03:02.760 come back
01:03:03.140 faster?
01:03:03.680 Of course
01:03:03.980 it does.
01:03:05.820 Yeah,
01:03:06.120 interest rates
01:03:06.760 are low,
01:03:08.340 so that makes
01:03:08.860 a big difference
01:03:09.400 too.
01:03:09.600 somebody says
01:03:11.780 our beach
01:03:12.280 condo is
01:03:13.120 on fire
01:03:13.840 in Florida,
01:03:15.240 meaning lots
01:03:16.220 of demand,
01:03:16.860 yeah.
01:03:17.940 So here's
01:03:18.660 what I expect.
01:03:19.920 Look at the
01:03:20.500 stock market.
01:03:22.160 Did you think
01:03:22.700 the stock market
01:03:23.520 should be,
01:03:24.300 I don't know
01:03:24.800 what it's doing
01:03:25.220 at the moment.
01:03:26.660 Let me just
01:03:28.420 take a peek
01:03:29.260 at it so I
01:03:30.000 know if
01:03:30.400 stock market's
01:03:32.820 up.
01:03:33.960 So it's up
01:03:35.760 sharply.
01:03:37.900 Did you see
01:03:38.620 that coming?
01:03:39.600 Did you see
01:03:40.720 the stock market
01:03:41.440 up sharply
01:03:42.100 and home
01:03:42.720 prices selling
01:03:44.080 above their
01:03:44.780 asking prices?
01:03:46.440 There's something
01:03:47.280 happening here
01:03:48.100 that's a big
01:03:49.840 deal.
01:03:51.360 Now,
01:03:52.160 I gotta say,
01:03:54.020 I think there's
01:03:54.660 something about
01:03:55.260 the Trump
01:03:55.880 administration
01:03:56.540 that even
01:03:57.120 people who
01:03:58.200 don't like
01:03:58.800 Trump still
01:04:00.540 think he can
01:04:01.340 goose the
01:04:01.780 economy.
01:04:02.880 I feel like
01:04:03.860 even his
01:04:04.400 haters in
01:04:05.880 their secret
01:04:07.040 moments would
01:04:07.800 say to
01:04:08.080 themselves,
01:04:08.440 I hate
01:04:09.800 everything
01:04:10.120 about this
01:04:10.660 president.
01:04:12.060 But if I'm
01:04:12.780 being honest,
01:04:14.240 privately,
01:04:15.680 if I had to
01:04:16.860 pick one
01:04:17.280 person in
01:04:18.900 the history
01:04:19.360 of civilization
01:04:20.360 to be the
01:04:22.000 president during
01:04:23.400 this exact
01:04:24.460 situation,
01:04:25.780 meaning that
01:04:26.380 somebody needs
01:04:26.980 to get the
01:04:27.380 economy going,
01:04:28.840 honestly,
01:04:29.500 I can't think
01:04:30.240 of a better
01:04:30.600 choice.
01:04:31.020 I'm not
01:04:33.760 just cheerleading
01:04:34.900 for the
01:04:35.220 president because
01:04:35.840 I also was
01:04:36.620 vicious in
01:04:38.080 my criticisms
01:04:38.820 of the
01:04:40.140 early crisis
01:04:41.680 task forces
01:04:42.520 and the
01:04:43.340 reporting on
01:04:44.120 them and a
01:04:45.220 lot of stuff
01:04:45.700 about that.
01:04:46.780 So I've been
01:04:47.160 vicious about
01:04:47.840 his communication,
01:04:49.020 his empathy,
01:04:49.860 etc.
01:04:50.080 early on.
01:04:52.020 So I'm not
01:04:52.620 just giving him
01:04:53.880 a free pass
01:04:54.700 here,
01:04:54.920 but honestly,
01:04:57.180 he is exactly
01:04:58.280 the right
01:04:58.820 person for
01:05:00.200 this next
01:05:00.800 phase.
01:05:01.400 Exactly.
01:05:02.620 And I say
01:05:03.180 this all the
01:05:03.620 time and I
01:05:04.600 believe I'm
01:05:05.020 the only person
01:05:05.740 in civilization
01:05:06.360 who holds
01:05:07.480 this opinion.
01:05:08.840 There's no
01:05:09.260 such thing as
01:05:09.940 a good
01:05:10.220 president.
01:05:11.840 That's my
01:05:12.560 opinion.
01:05:13.000 There's no
01:05:13.360 such thing as
01:05:14.400 a good
01:05:14.880 president.
01:05:16.200 There is
01:05:16.580 only a
01:05:18.260 lucky coincidence
01:05:19.160 between the
01:05:20.140 problems and
01:05:21.020 the situations
01:05:21.660 of the time
01:05:22.500 and the right
01:05:23.600 personality.
01:05:24.920 with the
01:05:25.540 right skill
01:05:25.960 set.
01:05:26.520 You can
01:05:27.280 have exactly
01:05:29.040 the right
01:05:29.480 president for
01:05:30.580 exactly the
01:05:31.380 right problem.
01:05:33.220 We have
01:05:34.020 that right
01:05:34.540 now.
01:05:35.260 We did
01:05:35.880 not have
01:05:36.460 exactly the
01:05:37.480 right president
01:05:37.980 for exactly
01:05:38.640 the right
01:05:39.040 problem when
01:05:40.520 it was empathy
01:05:41.360 and sort of
01:05:43.000 caring for the
01:05:44.080 psychology of
01:05:44.980 the country
01:05:45.420 and saying
01:05:46.920 things that
01:05:47.400 made you feel
01:05:47.980 safe about
01:05:49.320 the medical
01:05:50.460 situation and
01:05:51.640 talking about
01:05:52.700 them in the
01:05:53.100 most clinical
01:05:53.840 ways as
01:05:54.560 opposed to
01:05:55.160 getting people
01:05:56.120 all worked
01:05:56.600 up about
01:05:57.120 some drug
01:05:58.200 that hasn't
01:05:58.640 passed enough
01:05:59.460 tests.
01:06:00.680 So Trump
01:06:02.140 was not the
01:06:02.740 right fit
01:06:04.320 for that.
01:06:06.760 But man is
01:06:07.620 he the right
01:06:08.040 fit for this
01:06:08.620 next part.
01:06:10.080 Don't you see
01:06:10.620 it?
01:06:11.520 Is this just
01:06:12.280 me being crazy?
01:06:13.440 Because I feel
01:06:14.060 like you couldn't
01:06:14.900 pick a better
01:06:15.520 person for this.
01:06:16.860 By the way,
01:06:17.500 I just saw
01:06:17.860 Bloomberg's name
01:06:18.700 go by in the
01:06:19.560 comments.
01:06:19.920 I only recently
01:06:21.220 learned that
01:06:22.800 Stacey Abrams
01:06:23.700 is working
01:06:24.280 for some
01:06:24.840 organization
01:06:25.480 that's funded
01:06:26.140 by Bloomberg.
01:06:28.200 So is
01:06:29.040 Stacey Abrams
01:06:30.040 Mike Bloomberg's
01:06:31.820 play to run
01:06:32.460 the country?
01:06:33.960 Because
01:06:34.360 presumably,
01:06:35.920 you know,
01:06:36.560 a lot of
01:06:37.240 politicians have
01:06:37.980 at least one
01:06:38.640 billionaire that's
01:06:39.600 sort of their
01:06:40.320 friend, if you
01:06:40.900 know what I
01:06:41.180 mean.
01:06:42.040 So is
01:06:43.160 Stacey Abrams
01:06:44.000 just a Mike
01:06:44.860 Bloomberg
01:06:45.380 cutout?
01:06:46.240 and he's
01:06:46.980 actually still
01:06:47.560 running for
01:06:48.020 president, but
01:06:49.080 he's going to
01:06:49.440 do it by
01:06:49.860 trying to get
01:06:50.380 Stacey Abrams
01:06:51.180 as the vice
01:06:51.760 president, and
01:06:54.120 then Biden
01:06:54.740 would be, you
01:06:55.860 know, sort of
01:06:56.280 less important.
01:06:58.240 That's what it
01:06:58.880 looks like, right?
01:06:59.600 It looks like a
01:07:00.400 Mike Bloomberg
01:07:01.080 play to run
01:07:02.120 the country.
01:07:03.540 That's my take
01:07:04.360 on it.
01:07:04.840 Anyway, I
01:07:06.360 think the
01:07:06.680 economy is
01:07:07.340 going to do
01:07:07.940 great in
01:07:09.620 2021 and
01:07:10.820 beyond, and
01:07:12.360 the golden age
01:07:13.120 is coming.
01:07:13.700 We're going to
01:07:14.000 have our
01:07:14.380 generation four
01:07:15.220 nuclear
01:07:15.760 energy.
01:07:17.020 You've got
01:07:17.740 AOC saying
01:07:18.700 that the
01:07:19.300 Green New
01:07:19.760 Deal doesn't
01:07:20.360 even have a
01:07:20.840 price tag.
01:07:22.040 Rather, it's
01:07:23.080 a set of
01:07:23.700 shared values.
01:07:25.320 Do you know
01:07:25.640 what value I
01:07:26.460 share with
01:07:27.160 AOC?
01:07:28.480 Same ones
01:07:29.220 you do,
01:07:30.640 turns out.
01:07:31.660 Yeah.
01:07:32.520 I would like
01:07:33.320 cheap, clean
01:07:34.240 energy with
01:07:35.000 no risk of
01:07:35.720 the planet
01:07:36.140 overheating.
01:07:37.060 I don't know
01:07:37.440 how big the
01:07:37.880 risk is, but
01:07:39.060 I'd like that
01:07:39.540 to be zero.
01:07:40.940 And I'd like
01:07:41.580 to do it with
01:07:42.180 generation four
01:07:43.240 nuclear and
01:07:44.220 smarter
01:07:45.120 technology.
01:07:45.740 energy.
01:07:46.360 So, maybe
01:07:47.880 we're not so
01:07:48.420 far apart at
01:07:49.020 all, and
01:07:49.700 maybe the
01:07:50.660 golden age
01:07:51.340 starts now.
01:07:53.660 I'll talk to
01:07:54.500 you tonight.
01:07:54.880 I'll talk to you
01:07:56.580 tonight.