Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 986 Scott Adams： Was Live and Sipping

00:00:00.000 Yes, as the shades go down, you and I get to enjoy this sacred time in the morning, and

00:00:24.040 when I say sacred, oh, I mean sacred, yes I do.

00:00:30.000 Because we get to enjoy the simultaneous sip.

00:00:32.960 I almost feel sorry for the people who aren't here.

00:00:37.180 They do not get to enjoy the simultaneous sip.

00:00:41.900 And it's so sad because there's so little that they need in order to enjoy it.

00:00:47.540 How much do they need?

00:00:49.340 Well, all they need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a cellist or a stein, a canteen,

00:00:55.100 a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:56.820 And fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:00.760 I like coffee.

00:01:02.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:01:06.380 makes everything better, including the damn pandemic.

00:01:10.360 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:12.280 And it happens now.

00:01:13.480 Go.

00:01:13.720 Is it my imagination or are my zinc levels rising right now?

00:01:25.580 Feels like it.

00:01:27.040 So here's a little insight.

00:01:29.800 So we've been talking about hydroxychloroquine and the president taking it.

00:01:33.400 And I've mentioned a number of times that the studies that show it being used without zinc,

00:01:41.900 maybe the azithromycin matters too.

00:01:45.440 But if you test it without the zinc, you're testing it without the active part.

00:01:49.080 So of course that doesn't work.

00:01:50.240 But I'm starting to see some indications unreliably, I'll put that unreliably part in front, and

00:01:59.220 I'll put it on the back as well, unreliably, that it might be the zinc that's the only part

00:02:05.400 that matters.

00:02:05.940 So it might be the hydroxychloroquine was always just a fake out, and it was only the fact that

00:02:13.340 it was paired with the zinc, it might be just the zinc.

00:02:17.400 So I'm seeing some people talking about that online, but again, I will bookend this with

00:02:22.940 unreliable, unreliable.

00:02:27.760 Everything you hear about therapeutics, vaccines, vitamins, minerals, just assume every bit of

00:02:35.480 it is unreliable.

00:02:36.620 Because it is.

00:02:37.800 None of it is reliable.

00:02:39.820 But keep an eye on zinc.

00:02:42.060 I'm going to say that that has caught my attention.

00:02:46.660 All right.

00:02:49.360 This Joe Rogan move to Spotify, I'm trying to decide how big a deal this is.

00:02:55.780 Now, obviously, it's a real big deal for him.

00:02:58.180 I'm delighted that he made that work.

00:03:01.680 Joe Rogan, I often talk about, is one of my examples of a talent stack done right.

00:03:08.920 If you were to look at each of Joe Rogan's individual skills, you would say to yourself,

00:03:15.180 oh, that one's really good.

00:03:17.780 That one's pretty great.

00:03:19.360 That one's good.

00:03:20.300 That one's great.

00:03:21.360 But you wouldn't find that one specific thing that he does better than all the people in the

00:03:27.060 world.

00:03:28.360 What you'd find instead is about 25 things that he does better than just about everybody.

00:03:34.860 If you could do 25 things better than just about everybody, you get to be Joe Rogan and

00:03:42.340 probably have a $100 billion payday.

00:03:44.860 So when I say he does 25 things well, I'm talking about everything from, and to be honest, you

00:03:51.840 have to manage your look if you're on a video thing.

00:03:55.080 He does that well.

00:03:56.300 He's got a great look that works for what he does.

00:03:59.480 He's got a whole bunch of skills he can talk about.

00:04:03.220 He's funny.

00:04:04.560 He's good on video.

00:04:05.640 He does stand-up.

00:04:07.140 He knows how to work in an interview, obviously knows how to deal with people, knows about

00:04:12.060 a whole bunch of topics.

00:04:13.000 I mean, I don't know how many skills he put together, but it's probably something like

00:04:16.760 25 different sub-skills that he's stacked together just over time.

00:04:21.820 You can just see him building up the power level over time.

00:04:26.680 But here's what really impresses me about it, aside from the fact that he strategically managed

00:04:34.280 his career better than, I don't know, better than everybody.

00:04:40.340 Has anybody ever done it better than that?

00:04:43.000 Because, you know, if you look at other stuff like, you know, Facebook or, you know, somebody

00:04:48.300 starts a social media platform, quite often there's a big piece of luck involved.

00:04:54.480 Or, you know, somebody was going to make a Facebook and, you know, Zuckerberg was there.

00:05:00.100 But if you look at Joe Rogan's career, I mean, he just carved that out of a rock.

00:05:05.880 You know, that just wasn't there.

00:05:07.960 It wasn't going to happen on its own.

00:05:10.340 You know, I think social media platforms probably were going to happen.

00:05:14.520 You know, somebody was going to make one and one of them would be the better ones.

00:05:19.260 But the, you know, the Joe Rogan experience, that just didn't have to happen.

00:05:24.560 He just carved that out of nothing.

00:05:26.100 So that's just more impressive to me.

00:05:31.580 So here's the interesting part that I'm tracking.

00:05:37.100 I have a theory that one of the biggest forces affecting civilization

00:05:42.200 is known but underappreciated.

00:05:46.940 And that is that our attention spans are shrinking.

00:05:49.700 And our attention spans are shrinking for the obvious reasons, right?

00:05:53.560 Our digital devices give us little quick hits of dopamine

00:05:57.580 to the point where I actually timed, and I told you this before,

00:06:02.060 I timed how long it takes me to turn on my regular legacy television

00:06:06.580 and wait for the prompts to come on and work through them and find a show.

00:06:11.740 It takes about 18 seconds, which I find unbearable.

00:06:16.500 Well, 18 seconds of just looking for something to do while you're sitting there

00:06:21.360 is way longer than I'm willing to wait.

00:06:25.080 Because in 18 seconds, I could have 5 to 10 dopamine hits from Twitter.

00:06:31.840 Or I could go to locals and get, you know, 5 dopamine hits in 18 seconds.

00:06:37.040 So I would say that normal legacy stuff is no longer competitive

00:06:42.140 because our attention spans have shrunk below the baseline that they can get.

00:06:48.220 My regular television on a regular TV in my living room just isn't that fast.

00:06:54.320 I don't know how they're going to make that fast enough.

00:06:57.420 But I would say more generally the advertising model is going to decline quite a bit.

00:07:04.480 It won't disappear.

00:07:05.060 But the problem is that I think advertisers are going to notice it didn't make much difference,

00:07:10.340 that they're not getting as much benefit from advertising as they hoped,

00:07:14.080 except for the kind of advertisement where you're finding out about something existing,

00:07:18.680 which always works.

00:07:20.280 If you don't know something exists, you're not going to buy it.

00:07:23.320 But among the generic stuff, advertising doesn't seem to make much difference.

00:07:29.400 And so there's that.

00:07:30.980 But I think the attention span part is the other.

00:07:32.920 So I think things are going to move towards subscription services.

00:07:36.640 And then here's the big prediction.

00:07:40.200 Digital warlords.

00:07:43.440 So I'm going to make up that term and see if it sticks.

00:07:47.340 Digital warlords.

00:07:49.740 So a digital warlord would be not somebody who's interested in war.

00:07:54.760 I'm just using it as a colorful term.

00:07:56.960 But rather somebody who has a community that is defined usually by a subscription.

00:08:04.200 So now Joe Rogan is going from an advertising model on wherever he is to Spotify.

00:08:11.480 And I don't know exactly how that's going to be handled.

00:08:14.540 I guess if you're a member or maybe if you're not, you can watch it there.

00:08:18.380 But whatever the deal is, I think he's just being paid directly by Spotify.

00:08:21.840 So he'll be leaving, I think, I think he's leaving the advertising model behind.

00:08:28.760 I too, by going to locals, have a subscription model that I'm pursuing.

00:08:36.000 And what happens in both cases is you end up walling off the people who care from the people who are just trolls.

00:08:43.300 Which is a gigantic breakthrough.

00:08:45.900 If you're a creator, having any kind of environment where the people who want to be there are there,

00:08:51.960 and the people who are just trolls aren't there, it's sort of like heaven.

00:08:57.300 So I would not be surprised to see more sort of digital tribes, if you will, tribes of preference.

00:09:07.020 People say, yeah, I'd like to be behind that paywall, pay a few bucks a month and be part of that thing.

00:09:15.140 So I've got a feeling that depending on who the personalities are

00:09:20.680 and what the purpose of forming these little digital warlord fiefdoms,

00:09:27.480 they don't have any power, they're just maybe influence,

00:09:30.680 it could be a big deal.

00:09:32.560 Imagine if you would, somebody putting together a subscription base that had a million people in it.

00:09:41.600 You know, if you had a million subscribers to your online whatever, your content,

00:09:47.780 you would have a lot of influence over stuff.

00:09:50.620 Because you could make anything viral.

00:09:53.340 All you'd have to do is say, here's my tweet.

00:09:55.920 And your million subscribers would say, I'll retweet that.

00:09:59.500 I like this person.

00:10:00.380 So, kind of look for that.

00:10:03.600 That's my prediction, that you'll see communities slash tribes behind subscription services

00:10:11.880 where there's like entire power bases built up.

00:10:16.480 How much does that matter?

00:10:18.220 Well, let me give you two examples.

00:10:21.200 Today in the news, we find out that the president has signed an executive order

00:10:25.560 to look into the regulations that got temporarily canceled for the coronavirus

00:10:31.260 to see how many of them should stay canceled.

00:10:34.960 Now, one of the ones on the list is allowing telemedicine across state lines.

00:10:41.240 Now, if you've been with me since the beginning of the crisis,

00:10:44.500 you know that that came from this.

00:10:47.340 So, the idea to drop that restriction of telemedicine across state lines

00:10:53.720 happened because I happened to be aware of that issue

00:10:56.720 because my own startup, WenHub, we dealt with that.

00:11:00.560 So, I just happened to be aware of it as a big deal.

00:11:03.820 So, because of you, the audience,

00:11:09.000 you allowed me to have a higher visibility.

00:11:11.200 So, my visibility in the world is completely dependent on how many of you there are

00:11:17.240 because you're the ones making this a thing.

00:11:21.640 You're the ones who retweet me.

00:11:23.180 You're the ones who basically give it all the energy.

00:11:27.500 Because you gave it energy,

00:11:29.780 that allowed me to have a channel, if you will,

00:11:34.400 through Jonah Shumate, who was helping me connect

00:11:37.640 the good ideas that were coming through me.

00:11:40.600 I wasn't coming up with them all,

00:11:42.200 but a lot of people were suggesting things to me.

00:11:46.380 And then Jonah, who had watched this Periscope,

00:11:49.420 and he's associated with,

00:11:52.200 I'm sorry, he's working in the office of Representative Crawford.

00:11:56.280 And so, he was helping me get the good ideas

00:12:00.720 to the people who were asking for good ideas.

00:12:03.660 And in the beginning of a crisis,

00:12:06.300 the people in charge are really looking for ideas.

00:12:09.960 They're like, okay, do you have an idea?

00:12:11.520 Anybody.

00:12:12.640 So, it was a perfect time for good ideas to get to the right place.

00:12:17.000 And the telemedicine idea came from this experience,

00:12:23.120 you know, through Jonah.

00:12:24.320 Jonah sent it up to Mark Meadows.

00:12:27.680 Mark Meadows said, good idea, it's on the list.

00:12:29.880 And next thing you know, telemedicine is legal across state lines.

00:12:35.340 Boom.

00:12:36.000 How big a deal is that?

00:12:38.100 Might be a gigantic deal.

00:12:40.120 I mean, that's the sort of deal

00:12:41.480 that could change the entire cost structure of healthcare.

00:12:46.580 That's how big a deal it is.

00:12:48.360 And I'm not sure it would have happened

00:12:50.200 without the crisis,

00:12:52.960 and without, you know,

00:12:54.260 without noticing that there was this little crease of opportunity.

00:12:57.280 And, you know, I aimed for the crease

00:13:00.180 because I thought, okay, this is,

00:13:02.500 you can see that there's this little crack,

00:13:05.240 you know, in reality,

00:13:06.980 where if I can get through it,

00:13:09.020 this telemedicine thing might be sticky,

00:13:12.020 might be able to make this change.

00:13:13.980 You know, otherwise, regulations and,

00:13:16.880 I don't know, the AMA,

00:13:18.780 I don't know who else would be involved with it,

00:13:20.580 but obviously it wasn't going to happen on its own.

00:13:22.380 So, somebody said New York is not allowing telemedicine.

00:13:29.280 Yeah, nothing's easy, is it?

00:13:32.260 All right.

00:13:33.280 So here's another example.

00:13:36.480 Mark Schneider was pointing out recently,

00:13:40.240 and I noticed as well that Jack Dorsey,

00:13:43.840 co-founder of Twitter,

00:13:46.280 tweeted out an article about the Department of Energy,

00:13:48.940 started a new Office of Nuclear Energy Project.

00:13:53.980 So the government is basically putting in $230 million

00:13:57.740 to boost Generation 4,

00:14:04.000 the so-called new generation of nuclear development

00:14:07.420 that will be resistant,

00:14:09.820 pretty much impossible to melt down,

00:14:11.840 at least melt down in the normal way

00:14:13.600 that you think about it.

00:14:15.180 So they'll be designed that if they fail,

00:14:17.180 they just stop working,

00:14:19.700 which is the big problem with current nuclear designs.

00:14:22.720 If they fail,

00:14:23.680 they can release radiation

00:14:25.740 and be bad for the neighborhood.

00:14:28.580 But the new designs would be designed

00:14:30.260 that if they stop working,

00:14:31.400 they just stop working,

00:14:32.760 which is a good thing.

00:14:35.180 And they could be designed to be modular and smaller

00:14:37.540 and have a whole bunch of, you know,

00:14:39.920 cost and safety benefits

00:14:41.520 that would be way beyond anything

00:14:45.080 that we're looking at in the current generations.

00:14:46.920 Which are actually also pretty safe.

00:14:49.880 Generation 3, I think, has had zero problems.

00:14:52.980 And that's the current generation.

00:14:55.580 Anyway, here's the story about this.

00:14:58.580 That, so Mark is speculating,

00:15:01.880 and I think this is reasonable,

00:15:03.500 that maybe Jack's exposure to Generation 4

00:15:07.700 and the fact that he would retweet that article

00:15:10.300 probably, I don't know, probably is too strong.

00:15:14.560 But he may have heard it from here.

00:15:16.460 Because I know Jack watches this sometimes.

00:15:18.740 So, if you're watching Jack, hi.

00:15:22.000 Now, what's interesting about this

00:15:23.900 is that not only is, of course,

00:15:26.600 anything that Jack tweets

00:15:28.260 is going to make news

00:15:29.300 because it's Jack.

00:15:31.940 But he would be associated more with,

00:15:35.600 you would imagine,

00:15:36.640 in your own biased thinking,

00:15:38.700 you would imagine that Jack would be associated

00:15:40.700 with the political left.

00:15:44.760 Now, I would say that's probably

00:15:46.680 not...

00:15:50.480 Let me see.

00:15:51.000 I hate to categorize anybody else's opinion,

00:15:53.580 so I want to be really careful the way I say it.

00:15:55.320 But I would say that

00:15:56.900 trying to pigeonhole Jack into a category

00:16:00.180 would be a mistake.

00:16:02.040 And that he is in the category of free thinkers

00:16:04.460 who I believe would just follow the data.

00:16:08.680 So if the data skews left,

00:16:11.160 I think he'd go there.

00:16:12.140 If the data happens to be compatible

00:16:13.980 with something on the right,

00:16:15.220 but the data's the data,

00:16:16.740 I think he'd go there.

00:16:18.340 Now, you can't say that about a lot of people.

00:16:20.180 You know, I would say that about Joe Rogan,

00:16:24.920 just to throw him back in the conversation.

00:16:27.600 I believe Joe Rogan is neither left nor right,

00:16:30.320 but would look at an argument

00:16:32.000 and would judge it

00:16:33.080 and go where the argument takes him.

00:16:35.900 I don't think there are a lot of people in the world

00:16:37.920 who do that,

00:16:39.080 try to do that,

00:16:40.020 or even can do that.

00:16:42.500 You know, Naval Ravikant,

00:16:44.120 he'd be another example.

00:16:45.500 I would always trust Naval

00:16:47.100 to look at the whole field,

00:16:49.340 look at the data,

00:16:50.900 and then make a decision that,

00:16:52.400 you know,

00:16:53.260 common sense and reason and wisdom

00:16:55.180 and data take him to.

00:16:57.420 I would never expect

00:16:58.620 any of the guys I just mentioned

00:17:00.420 to just go left or right

00:17:02.340 because that's where the team is.

00:17:03.780 They just don't do that.

00:17:05.600 Cernovich is another one.

00:17:07.220 Can you imagine Cernovich

00:17:08.500 just taking a team side?

00:17:10.680 No.

00:17:11.760 It's just not part of his makeup.

00:17:13.520 He's going to follow the information,

00:17:15.440 have his own opinion.

00:17:16.820 So I would say that Jackson,

00:17:18.080 he's in that category

00:17:19.440 of a fairly small group of people

00:17:21.340 that you could depend on

00:17:22.800 to just look at the argument.

00:17:25.300 And then, yeah,

00:17:25.920 Matt Taibbi,

00:17:26.640 that's another good example.

00:17:28.300 Matt Taibbi,

00:17:29.040 you could depend on

00:17:30.080 to just look at the whole field.

00:17:32.920 So what's the big deal about this

00:17:34.500 is that, you know,

00:17:36.180 I've been trying to educate

00:17:37.320 people watching this Periscope

00:17:39.040 about Generation 4.

00:17:40.580 Most of that comes from

00:17:41.600 Mark Schneider's work,

00:17:43.500 and maybe it made a difference.

00:17:47.320 So maybe this is another example.

00:17:49.180 We don't know.

00:17:49.880 I mean, Jack reads lots of stuff,

00:17:51.900 so he may have known about this

00:17:53.900 from other sources

00:17:54.660 and just thought it was interesting.

00:17:56.360 But there's a good chance

00:17:57.640 that what we're doing here

00:17:59.320 to educate all of you

00:18:01.020 is having an effect.

00:18:02.780 So, you know,

00:18:05.400 we can't,

00:18:06.080 it's illegitimate

00:18:07.620 to trace any one thing

00:18:09.540 back to, you know,

00:18:10.320 one source

00:18:10.940 because it's a big world

00:18:12.320 with lots of variables.

00:18:13.600 But I like to think

00:18:14.420 that we were productive,

00:18:15.880 at the very least,

00:18:17.780 productive

00:18:18.260 in getting the Generation 4

00:18:20.820 message out.

00:18:22.240 So thanks to Mark Schneider

00:18:23.480 changing the world.

00:18:25.360 I like that old saying,

00:18:28.380 you know,

00:18:28.680 the pessimist says,

00:18:29.860 well, one person

00:18:30.720 one person can't change the world.

00:18:33.500 What can I do?

00:18:34.740 I'm just one person.

00:18:35.980 I can't change the world.

00:18:38.140 And then the smarter person says,

00:18:40.100 the only way the world

00:18:41.500 has ever been changed

00:18:42.540 is by one person.

00:18:44.660 It's always that way.

00:18:46.620 One person

00:18:47.580 always changes the world

00:18:49.620 because it starts somewhere.

00:18:51.620 Things don't start

00:18:52.460 with a thousand people.

00:18:53.580 They always start with one.

00:18:55.360 So, you know,

00:18:57.180 if you want to be the pessimist,

00:18:59.140 you can say that one person

00:19:00.840 can't change the world

00:19:01.940 if you want to be the optimist.

00:19:04.080 I just gave you two examples

00:19:05.420 where it happened.

00:19:07.400 Maybe.

00:19:08.780 All right.

00:19:11.140 Here's my favorite story

00:19:12.500 of the day.

00:19:15.240 This is from a tweet

00:19:16.440 from Trump.

00:19:17.600 I think this is today

00:19:18.540 or yesterday.

00:19:19.980 Roger Stone

00:19:20.660 has been treated

00:19:21.320 very unfairly.

00:19:22.820 So it's not the first part

00:19:24.100 of the tweet that's funny.

00:19:25.260 It's way for the end part.

00:19:27.060 So the first part

00:19:27.620 is just the setup.

00:19:29.140 Roger Stone

00:19:29.880 has been treated

00:19:30.440 very unfairly.

00:19:31.540 How about that jury

00:19:32.360 for one?

00:19:33.560 Does anybody think

00:19:34.440 that was fair?

00:19:35.500 Disgraceful.

00:19:36.520 Stay tuned for Fox News

00:19:37.940 and guys.

00:19:39.360 And then he says,

00:19:40.380 and guys like

00:19:41.700 low ratings

00:19:42.520 psycho Joe Scarborough

00:19:44.260 are allowed

00:19:45.240 to walk the streets?

00:19:46.860 Open the cold case.

00:19:48.520 The cold case.

00:19:51.880 So if you don't know

00:19:53.000 what that story is about,

00:19:54.680 Joe Scarborough

00:19:55.740 and the alleged

00:19:56.860 cold case,

00:19:58.280 Jake Taffer

00:20:00.520 tweeted

00:20:01.580 the president's

00:20:02.440 tweet

00:20:03.660 and gave you

00:20:04.280 some context.

00:20:05.920 So Jake says,

00:20:07.120 yet again,

00:20:07.980 the president

00:20:08.440 uses the death

00:20:09.460 of Lori

00:20:10.600 Kozutsis,

00:20:11.680 28,

00:20:12.880 I guess she died

00:20:13.560 at age 28,

00:20:14.380 to attack

00:20:14.860 Joe Scarborough.

00:20:16.080 In 2001,

00:20:17.560 she fainted,

00:20:18.920 hitting her head,

00:20:20.740 and autopsy

00:20:21.540 revealed a heart condition.

00:20:22.800 There's no cold case.

00:20:25.960 It's a tragedy

00:20:27.180 he cruelly

00:20:28.540 exploits,

00:20:30.440 indecent.

00:20:31.620 Now,

00:20:32.420 I won't weigh in

00:20:34.080 on the opinion

00:20:35.340 if this is cruel

00:20:37.160 exploitation

00:20:38.100 or indecent,

00:20:39.260 because we're in

00:20:40.200 the political season

00:20:41.220 and it's hard to think

00:20:42.640 of anything that isn't.

00:20:43.680 Is there anything

00:20:45.420 in this whole

00:20:45.960 political race

00:20:47.000 that isn't

00:20:48.340 indecent

00:20:49.780 and cruel?

00:20:51.840 I mean,

00:20:52.340 Pelosi just called

00:20:53.220 Trump morbidly obese

00:20:54.540 yesterday,

00:20:55.560 which surprisingly,

00:20:56.680 I saw a write-up

00:20:58.060 that says

00:20:59.140 he's actually

00:21:00.980 only

00:21:01.460 just a few pounds

00:21:03.200 into the obese

00:21:04.040 category,

00:21:04.760 because he's so tall

00:21:06.040 he can handle

00:21:07.760 the weight

00:21:08.140 better than most people.

00:21:10.200 So,

00:21:10.960 he's only barely

00:21:13.800 into the,

00:21:14.520 you know,

00:21:14.860 you should lose,

00:21:16.000 you know,

00:21:16.300 a good 10 or 20 pounds

00:21:17.520 would be good for him,

00:21:18.320 I think,

00:21:18.640 according to his doctor,

00:21:19.960 but he's not morbidly obese.

00:21:22.560 So,

00:21:23.100 we're in a world

00:21:24.580 in which people

00:21:25.240 will say

00:21:25.600 absolutely anything.

00:21:27.740 So,

00:21:28.540 you know,

00:21:29.040 Don Jr.

00:21:30.220 used the pedophile

00:21:32.000 word

00:21:32.380 against Joe Biden,

00:21:36.160 and of course

00:21:36.560 there's no evidence

00:21:37.540 or even allegation

00:21:38.560 of that,

00:21:38.940 but it's,

00:21:39.820 you know,

00:21:40.140 and he didn't mean

00:21:40.900 it seriously either.

00:21:42.580 You know,

00:21:42.760 it was obvious

00:21:43.200 he didn't mean it

00:21:43.840 in the literal sense.

00:21:45.540 But,

00:21:46.060 we're in that world

00:21:47.560 where people will say

00:21:48.440 absolutely anything

00:21:49.660 about anybody,

00:21:51.240 but,

00:21:52.240 and once you've learned

00:21:55.540 that there's no limit

00:21:57.040 on what ridiculous

00:21:58.000 things you can claim,

00:22:00.100 why would you stop

00:22:01.100 with something

00:22:01.580 that's only a little

00:22:02.320 bit ridiculous?

00:22:03.980 Right?

00:22:04.580 So,

00:22:04.980 this is one of

00:22:05.580 the president's

00:22:06.340 great skills.

00:22:07.840 I talk about

00:22:08.460 finding free money

00:22:09.720 and picking it up.

00:22:10.920 If you know

00:22:11.780 you live in a world

00:22:12.820 where the other side

00:22:14.680 can say,

00:22:15.400 you know,

00:22:15.700 the Steele dossier

00:22:16.600 might have been real,

00:22:18.220 that's the world

00:22:19.220 he lives in.

00:22:20.480 Trump did not

00:22:21.540 make the rules.

00:22:23.120 There was no point

00:22:24.080 at which Trump said,

00:22:25.040 all right,

00:22:25.340 let's agree on the rules.

00:22:27.800 Do you think

00:22:28.540 it's okay

00:22:29.460 to make wildly

00:22:31.340 ridiculous claims

00:22:32.640 that are even

00:22:33.960 involving illegality

00:22:35.620 and jail terms

00:22:36.880 and everything?

00:22:37.940 Do you think

00:22:38.220 that would be okay?

00:22:40.180 He never was

00:22:41.060 in that conversation.

00:22:42.860 It just became

00:22:44.120 the standard.

00:22:45.600 If you're playing

00:22:46.560 a game

00:22:47.160 and someone else

00:22:48.940 has said,

00:22:49.480 here are the rules,

00:22:50.640 and then you play

00:22:51.620 with those rules

00:22:52.540 that someone else

00:22:53.360 established,

00:22:54.980 are you indecent?

00:22:56.280 Well,

00:22:58.420 you'd be indecent

00:22:59.080 if you made

00:22:59.720 those rules.

00:23:01.040 If you were the one

00:23:01.940 who came up with it

00:23:02.740 in the first place,

00:23:03.860 or the first one

00:23:04.780 to act indecently,

00:23:06.620 you'd have something

00:23:07.800 to answer to.

00:23:09.080 I think so.

00:23:10.200 I think it would be

00:23:11.000 fair to say

00:23:11.960 that if you were

00:23:13.620 the one who

00:23:14.060 introduced the idea

00:23:15.600 of going too far

00:23:16.620 and making

00:23:17.100 ridiculous,

00:23:18.720 you know,

00:23:19.060 legal allegations

00:23:20.260 against people

00:23:21.660 based on no evidence

00:23:22.800 whatsoever,

00:23:23.620 if you're the one

00:23:24.400 who started it,

00:23:25.360 yeah,

00:23:27.060 I think you'd have

00:23:27.680 some explaining to do.

00:23:29.580 But I don't think

00:23:30.520 he started it.

00:23:31.920 I think he simply said,

00:23:33.680 well,

00:23:33.960 what are the rules

00:23:34.620 of the game?

00:23:35.580 I'm going to play

00:23:36.180 this game.

00:23:37.320 Can somebody explain

00:23:38.220 the rules?

00:23:38.820 All right,

00:23:39.160 all right.

00:23:39.800 Wait,

00:23:40.120 you're telling me

00:23:40.620 I can say

00:23:41.160 absolutely anything.

00:23:43.000 I can just make

00:23:44.200 stuff up.

00:23:45.100 I can make an

00:23:45.880 allegation to somebody

00:23:46.840 murdered and raped

00:23:48.340 and, you know,

00:23:49.540 genocide,

00:23:50.960 anything?

00:23:52.380 And the answer is,

00:23:54.120 yup.

00:23:54.500 You can say

00:23:55.940 absolutely anything

00:23:57.260 in a political context.

00:23:59.440 Apparently there's just

00:24:00.220 no restrictions

00:24:02.340 whatsoever.

00:24:03.400 Not only that,

00:24:04.580 but if you were to

00:24:05.460 artificially limit

00:24:06.600 yourself

00:24:07.220 and the other side

00:24:08.680 did not,

00:24:09.800 you can't even win.

00:24:11.540 So it's not only,

00:24:12.500 not only is he playing

00:24:13.560 by the rules,

00:24:15.100 he's playing by the

00:24:16.020 only rules that can win.

00:24:18.360 The hard rules,

00:24:19.300 you know,

00:24:19.500 the ones where you

00:24:20.120 can say anything.

00:24:20.820 And so he is.

00:24:26.980 So I just look at this

00:24:28.180 as funny

00:24:29.280 because when

00:24:30.700 Trump accuses

00:24:32.500 Joe Scarborough

00:24:33.260 of this,

00:24:33.760 and I should say

00:24:34.360 as clearly as possible,

00:24:36.080 I would imagine,

00:24:38.200 you know,

00:24:38.580 I wasn't there,

00:24:39.900 but I would imagine

00:24:40.960 that Jake's

00:24:41.800 framing of this

00:24:43.600 is accurate,

00:24:44.380 meaning that

00:24:45.080 it probably is true

00:24:47.020 that there's nothing

00:24:47.920 that would suggest

00:24:48.660 a crime even happened,

00:24:50.280 much less that

00:24:51.080 anybody in particular

00:24:52.020 was associated with it.

00:24:53.920 So I think it's true

00:24:55.360 that there's literally

00:24:56.220 nothing there,

00:24:57.240 but the fact that

00:24:58.200 the president calls

00:24:59.000 it a cold case,

00:25:00.940 you have to know

00:25:02.760 that's tongue-in-cheek,

00:25:03.920 right?

00:25:04.580 It's tongue-in-cheek

00:25:05.800 because A,

00:25:06.700 he knows people

00:25:07.380 will believe it,

00:25:09.000 B,

00:25:09.820 might make a difference,

00:25:11.300 I mean,

00:25:11.900 in terms of,

00:25:13.160 you know,

00:25:13.780 the back and forth

00:25:14.860 of how people

00:25:16.040 feel about things,

00:25:16.860 it might change

00:25:17.440 people's opinion

00:25:18.140 of Joe Scarborough.

00:25:20.560 So the fact that

00:25:21.600 he would be so ballsy

00:25:22.920 to throw in

00:25:24.340 the suggestion

00:25:25.040 that Scarborough

00:25:26.380 murdered a young woman

00:25:28.380 in his office

00:25:29.240 is so,

00:25:33.520 yeah,

00:25:36.360 I don't know how

00:25:37.580 you could take it

00:25:38.220 too seriously,

00:25:39.880 but somebody will,

00:25:41.080 somebody's going to

00:25:41.780 believe that really

00:25:42.380 happened.

00:25:44.300 All right.

00:25:44.680 let's see.

00:25:49.060 So here's an

00:25:49.920 interesting story.

00:25:51.380 So Dr.

00:25:53.240 Carroll,

00:25:53.880 it's a man's name,

00:25:56.260 Carroll,

00:25:56.660 K-A-R-O-L,

00:25:58.340 Sikora,

00:25:59.160 he's an oncologist

00:26:00.160 and former chief

00:26:01.760 of the World Health

00:26:02.580 Organization's

00:26:03.340 cancer program.

00:26:04.640 So he's looking

00:26:05.560 at the data

00:26:06.080 from around the world

00:26:06.980 where some of the

00:26:08.440 lockdowns have ended,

00:26:09.400 and he's puzzled.

00:26:12.560 He's puzzled.

00:26:14.220 Because if you look

00:26:15.240 at where the lockdowns

00:26:16.540 ended and people

00:26:17.980 have gone back to work,

00:26:19.840 the death rate

00:26:20.680 is not spiking.

00:26:22.900 And according to him,

00:26:24.380 he says,

00:26:25.620 it's as though

00:26:26.980 something has changed,

00:26:28.340 meaning there's something

00:26:29.280 that's keeping the virus

00:26:30.420 from raging.

00:26:31.600 It's as though

00:26:32.140 something has changed

00:26:33.060 and none of us

00:26:34.140 can explain why.

00:26:36.200 Do you remember

00:26:36.760 when Trump

00:26:37.380 made that statement

00:26:38.300 he's been continually

00:26:39.400 mocked for

00:26:40.160 that we might see

00:26:41.400 the virus just go away?

00:26:43.580 And people said,

00:26:44.680 that doesn't happen.

00:26:46.460 Viruses don't just

00:26:47.280 go away.

00:26:48.980 And then there was

00:26:49.920 some other famous

00:26:50.840 virologist who said

00:26:52.020 the same thing.

00:26:53.060 He said,

00:26:53.640 you know,

00:26:54.220 sometimes these things

00:26:55.200 just go away.

00:26:56.780 And here's the

00:26:58.180 funny thing.

00:26:59.880 You don't know

00:27:01.240 why.

00:27:03.060 So even the

00:27:03.840 top experts say

00:27:05.000 they don't know

00:27:05.500 why any virus

00:27:06.320 goes away.

00:27:07.520 They know it does.

00:27:08.760 Now somebody's

00:27:09.200 saying herd immunity,

00:27:10.220 but apparently

00:27:10.600 the experts

00:27:11.260 do not say that.

00:27:13.100 Apparently viruses

00:27:14.140 go away

00:27:15.000 with,

00:27:16.800 it doesn't take

00:27:17.340 much herd immunity,

00:27:18.480 so that's not

00:27:19.080 the primary thing.

00:27:20.500 There's always some.

00:27:21.860 But apparently

00:27:22.600 that's not the

00:27:23.360 explanation.

00:27:24.560 It's part of the

00:27:25.420 story.

00:27:26.680 But I guess

00:27:27.820 we don't know

00:27:28.340 why some

00:27:28.940 viruses just

00:27:30.220 go away.

00:27:33.020 If I had to

00:27:33.960 speculate,

00:27:35.000 I would,

00:27:36.200 well,

00:27:36.420 I will

00:27:36.720 speculate.

00:27:37.460 I'm going to

00:27:37.860 speculate that

00:27:38.600 some people

00:27:39.200 are more likely

00:27:40.020 to get any

00:27:40.960 particular virus.

00:27:42.940 And it could

00:27:43.480 be that you

00:27:44.160 reach herd

00:27:44.700 immunity at

00:27:45.440 like,

00:27:46.680 this is just

00:27:47.360 speculation with

00:27:48.420 no background

00:27:49.200 whatsoever.

00:27:49.960 It could be

00:27:50.660 that for some

00:27:51.420 kinds of viruses

00:27:52.100 you reach an

00:27:53.120 effective herd

00:27:54.180 immunity at

00:27:55.500 maybe 30%

00:27:56.660 infected.

00:27:58.480 Now,

00:27:59.200 if everybody

00:28:00.060 could get

00:28:00.540 every virus,

00:28:01.600 30% wouldn't

00:28:02.600 stop anything.

00:28:03.240 but if it

00:28:05.740 turns out

00:28:06.220 that viruses

00:28:06.880 can affect

00:28:08.180 some people

00:28:08.760 and sort

00:28:10.100 of not

00:28:10.500 affect others,

00:28:12.000 maybe 30%

00:28:13.000 is enough.

00:28:13.580 So maybe

00:28:13.900 there's some

00:28:14.360 mystery like

00:28:15.000 that.

00:28:15.760 That's just

00:28:16.240 speculation.

00:28:16.700 Don't take

00:28:17.420 that seriously.

00:28:18.000 But I love

00:28:20.880 the fact

00:28:21.440 that after

00:28:23.240 everything we've

00:28:24.100 learned and

00:28:24.680 studied and

00:28:25.340 all the experts

00:28:26.120 and everything,

00:28:27.160 that we could

00:28:27.660 do the one

00:28:28.280 thing that

00:28:28.840 everybody agrees

00:28:29.940 should make

00:28:30.560 the death

00:28:30.960 rate go up.

00:28:32.760 100% of

00:28:33.940 experts agree

00:28:34.880 that loosening

00:28:36.300 the restrictions

00:28:37.000 on travel and

00:28:37.780 everything should

00:28:39.020 make the death

00:28:39.600 rate go up.

00:28:41.300 But maybe

00:28:43.340 it's not.

00:28:44.420 What if it

00:28:45.200 doesn't?

00:28:45.600 So this is

00:28:46.740 what I've

00:28:46.980 been telling

00:28:47.280 you for

00:28:47.580 the last

00:28:47.820 day or

00:28:48.600 two.

00:28:49.600 In two

00:28:50.200 weeks,

00:28:51.680 if everything's

00:28:53.800 loosened up

00:28:54.460 and in two

00:28:55.480 weeks the

00:28:55.920 death rate

00:28:56.400 either declines

00:28:57.500 a little bit

00:28:58.180 or stays

00:28:59.320 flat,

00:29:00.360 it's over.

00:29:02.260 We're back

00:29:02.760 to work.

00:29:03.640 Because you're

00:29:04.220 not going to

00:29:04.500 be able to

00:29:04.900 keep anybody

00:29:05.700 home if

00:29:07.620 after a few

00:29:08.340 weeks of

00:29:08.800 loosening up

00:29:09.440 there's no

00:29:10.020 change in the

00:29:10.720 data in terms

00:29:11.560 of worsening.

00:29:12.640 If it's not

00:29:13.480 worsening two

00:29:14.540 weeks from

00:29:14.940 now, I

00:29:16.760 think things

00:29:17.360 are going to

00:29:17.660 open up.

00:29:18.320 Now when I

00:29:18.660 say things

00:29:19.060 are going to

00:29:19.340 open up, I

00:29:19.860 don't think

00:29:20.400 large events

00:29:21.260 are going to

00:29:21.660 happen right

00:29:22.100 away.

00:29:23.260 But things

00:29:23.840 like school,

00:29:24.800 for example,

00:29:25.580 and go to

00:29:26.200 work and

00:29:26.760 open your

00:29:27.360 restaurant, but

00:29:28.760 do things

00:29:29.220 smart, I

00:29:30.260 think all

00:29:30.660 that's going

00:29:31.100 to come

00:29:32.340 together pretty

00:29:32.960 quickly if

00:29:33.680 this holds,

00:29:35.100 which is we

00:29:36.020 don't know

00:29:36.420 why, but

00:29:38.400 the rates are

00:29:38.900 not going up

00:29:39.460 as much as

00:29:39.980 possible.

00:29:40.660 Here's my

00:29:41.140 best guess about

00:29:42.040 why the rates

00:29:42.720 are not going

00:29:43.240 up.

00:29:43.480 It's not

00:29:44.740 much of a

00:29:45.140 guess,

00:29:45.440 actually.

00:29:46.140 There was

00:29:46.360 another study,

00:29:47.620 team of

00:29:48.160 scientists in

00:29:48.780 Hong Kong,

00:29:50.120 they did

00:29:50.680 some tests

00:29:51.200 with, I

00:29:51.920 don't know,

00:29:52.120 hamsters or

00:29:52.780 something, and

00:29:54.920 they determined

00:29:55.440 that wearing

00:29:55.960 masks is 75%

00:29:58.600 effective.

00:30:00.440 It reduces

00:30:00.920 droplets by

00:30:01.640 75%.

00:30:02.840 Doesn't it

00:30:04.160 seem to you

00:30:04.880 that with all

00:30:05.820 the masks

00:30:06.680 people are

00:30:07.280 wearing and

00:30:07.880 the attention

00:30:09.020 they're giving

00:30:09.600 to social

00:30:10.980 distancing

00:30:11.480 and also

00:30:13.440 learning what

00:30:14.340 the worst

00:30:14.740 things are.

00:30:15.640 We've learned

00:30:16.140 now that if

00:30:17.240 you're around

00:30:17.660 somebody who's

00:30:18.340 singing or

00:30:19.020 talking loudly

00:30:19.820 for a long

00:30:20.320 time, you're

00:30:20.780 going to get

00:30:21.160 it.

00:30:21.860 You now have

00:30:22.600 an excuse not

00:30:23.400 to be around

00:30:23.900 loud talkers.

00:30:25.480 If you've got a

00:30:26.420 loud Howard in

00:30:27.200 your life, you

00:30:28.640 know that person

00:30:29.160 who just talks

00:30:29.740 too loudly all

00:30:30.480 the time?

00:30:31.420 Apparently,

00:30:31.980 they're the

00:30:32.300 spreaders.

00:30:34.100 You could

00:30:35.160 probably live

00:30:35.800 with somebody

00:30:36.360 who was a

00:30:36.920 soft talker

00:30:37.840 and didn't

00:30:38.280 talk much.

00:30:39.600 I'll bet

00:30:40.100 Christina could

00:30:41.600 have the

00:30:41.920 coronavirus

00:30:42.300 tomorrow, but

00:30:43.940 because she

00:30:44.420 doesn't talk

00:30:44.960 much and

00:30:45.420 she's a

00:30:45.800 soft talker,

00:30:48.080 there wouldn't

00:30:49.440 be much coming

00:30:50.040 out of her

00:30:50.420 mouth.

00:30:51.380 But apparently

00:30:51.800 the loud

00:30:52.600 talkers and

00:30:53.300 the choir

00:30:54.720 singing, so

00:30:56.780 if there's

00:30:57.360 singing involved,

00:30:59.420 apparently there's

00:31:00.680 just more volume

00:31:01.480 and you could

00:31:02.240 be a super

00:31:02.740 spreader just

00:31:03.360 by being a

00:31:03.980 loud talker.

00:31:05.460 So just

00:31:06.020 knowing that,

00:31:06.940 knowing that

00:31:08.460 if you stay

00:31:09.220 out of those

00:31:09.660 specific

00:31:10.220 environments,

00:31:11.880 probably nobody

00:31:14.100 caught the

00:31:14.600 coronavirus at

00:31:15.440 the beach this

00:31:16.080 weekend.

00:31:17.680 Don't you

00:31:18.260 think that

00:31:18.640 just about

00:31:19.040 nobody got

00:31:19.840 it at the

00:31:20.280 beach?

00:31:21.400 I'll bet.

00:31:22.700 I'll bet there

00:31:23.420 was something

00:31:23.940 close to zero

00:31:25.140 transmission of

00:31:26.900 all the people

00:31:27.500 who went to

00:31:27.900 the beach all

00:31:28.400 weekend.

00:31:29.360 So now that

00:31:29.860 we know stuff

00:31:30.600 like that,

00:31:32.700 and of course

00:31:33.900 every fact that

00:31:35.000 I give you is

00:31:35.620 subject to

00:31:36.200 being changed

00:31:37.200 tomorrow,

00:31:38.400 learning new

00:31:38.960 things.

00:31:39.760 But don't you

00:31:40.280 think that

00:31:40.640 between masks

00:31:41.420 being 75%

00:31:42.520 effective and

00:31:43.400 that we've all

00:31:43.940 learned what

00:31:45.120 to do and

00:31:45.560 what not to

00:31:46.080 do for a

00:31:46.480 while, I

00:31:48.200 wouldn't be

00:31:48.580 surprised if we

00:31:49.480 could go back

00:31:50.000 to work and

00:31:50.540 keep infections

00:31:51.340 dropping.

00:31:52.400 I'll bet we

00:31:52.800 can.

00:31:53.920 So I've got a

00:31:55.040 feeling you're

00:31:55.520 going to see

00:31:55.800 non-stop good

00:31:56.960 news for the

00:31:57.660 next few weeks.

00:31:58.340 I'm watching

00:32:02.280 the Susan Rice

00:32:03.080 story about

00:32:04.760 apparently we've

00:32:05.340 got new

00:32:05.920 documents or

00:32:07.580 something, and

00:32:09.020 it turns out

00:32:09.980 that Comey was

00:32:10.920 selling the

00:32:12.540 idea of

00:32:13.460 General Flynn

00:32:14.900 being maybe

00:32:15.680 suspiciously tied

00:32:17.820 to Russia

00:32:18.460 based on the

00:32:19.660 fact that they

00:32:20.240 had more

00:32:20.880 communication than

00:32:22.100 Comey expected

00:32:23.200 that they would,

00:32:25.120 keeping in mind

00:32:25.960 that these are

00:32:26.640 people who have

00:32:27.180 to work together

00:32:27.900 in a few

00:32:28.400 months because

00:32:29.780 that's the job

00:32:30.620 that Flynn has

00:32:31.300 and that's the

00:32:31.920 job that

00:32:32.300 Kislyak has.

00:32:34.540 They're doing

00:32:35.980 the most normal

00:32:36.700 thing in the

00:32:37.140 world, which is

00:32:37.800 getting ready for

00:32:38.580 them to, you

00:32:40.620 know, getting

00:32:41.280 ready for the

00:32:41.760 new administration,

00:32:42.980 and these are

00:32:43.780 the very people

00:32:44.400 who would be

00:32:44.760 talking.

00:32:46.080 Now, is that

00:32:49.640 a good reason to

00:32:50.580 suspect somebody

00:32:51.480 being a spy?

00:32:53.040 Because let me

00:32:53.840 ask you this.

00:32:55.140 If it's your

00:32:56.060 job to talk

00:32:57.880 to somebody

00:32:58.520 in another

00:32:59.720 organization or

00:33:00.600 country, and

00:33:01.840 you talk to

00:33:02.440 them a lot,

00:33:05.040 would that be

00:33:05.760 an example of

00:33:06.620 doing your job

00:33:07.580 well?

00:33:09.080 Would it be an

00:33:09.960 example of not

00:33:10.980 doing your job?

00:33:12.340 Or would it be an

00:33:13.280 example of being

00:33:14.280 a Russian

00:33:15.220 asset?

00:33:19.160 I'm pretty

00:33:19.960 sure that if

00:33:21.760 you talk a

00:33:22.380 little bit more

00:33:23.040 than normal to

00:33:24.580 the person who

00:33:25.280 it's your job to

00:33:26.160 talk to, and

00:33:26.940 wouldn't it be

00:33:27.440 good if you

00:33:27.940 had more

00:33:28.340 communication,

00:33:29.160 not less?

00:33:30.500 That's more of

00:33:31.260 an indication of

00:33:32.060 doing a good

00:33:32.640 job.

00:33:34.680 Do you remember

00:33:35.120 I told you about

00:33:36.200 the new CEO

00:33:37.200 move when

00:33:38.500 Pence and

00:33:40.120 Trump were

00:33:41.040 first elected,

00:33:42.820 but not yet

00:33:43.660 sworn in?

00:33:44.760 It was a few

00:33:45.340 months there.

00:33:46.200 And Trump

00:33:46.740 already started to

00:33:48.120 bring jobs back.

00:33:49.420 He wasn't even

00:33:49.980 on the job.

00:33:51.100 It was the new

00:33:51.700 CEO move where

00:33:52.460 he went to, I

00:33:53.400 guess, Ford and

00:33:54.180 Carrier tried to

00:33:55.960 talk him into

00:33:56.460 keeping jobs.

00:33:57.280 I don't know how

00:33:57.720 successful it was,

00:33:58.980 but it left the

00:33:59.640 impression that

00:34:02.740 Trump and Pence

00:34:03.600 were jobs, jobs,

00:34:04.580 jobs.

00:34:05.200 We're going to

00:34:05.800 give you jobs even

00:34:06.700 before we're on

00:34:08.640 the job.

00:34:09.180 I'm not even going

00:34:09.780 to take a paycheck

00:34:10.480 and I'm going to

00:34:11.640 be so fast on this

00:34:12.780 job stuff, I'm all

00:34:13.900 over it with the

00:34:15.180 jobs.

00:34:16.500 So if you watch

00:34:18.640 Flynn doing exactly

00:34:20.560 the same thing that I

00:34:21.800 praised at the

00:34:22.580 time as somebody

00:34:23.960 doing the job

00:34:24.760 before the job

00:34:25.480 even starts,

00:34:27.140 yesterday on

00:34:27.820 last night on

00:34:28.760 Periscope, somebody

00:34:29.560 was asking me

00:34:30.180 about how to do

00:34:31.460 a job interview.

00:34:33.360 I didn't give you

00:34:34.260 this advice, but

00:34:35.680 it's good advice.

00:34:36.960 One way to get a

00:34:37.960 job is to just do

00:34:39.240 it without getting

00:34:40.880 paid.

00:34:42.200 You know, if

00:34:42.500 you're, let's say

00:34:43.120 you're working at

00:34:43.800 your corporate job

00:34:45.080 and you're doing

00:34:46.080 your regular job,

00:34:47.540 but the job you

00:34:48.480 want is some

00:34:49.160 other job, a

00:34:49.880 better job, just

00:34:51.120 start doing it.

00:34:52.400 Do your own

00:34:53.260 job, and

00:34:54.400 weekends, nights,

00:34:55.700 spare time, whatever,

00:34:56.540 just start doing the

00:34:57.280 other job, because

00:34:58.780 you're going to be

00:35:00.660 the obvious person

00:35:01.660 to be promoted

00:35:02.400 into it if you're

00:35:03.420 already doing it,

00:35:05.080 at least a little

00:35:05.720 bit.

00:35:06.640 So I have

00:35:08.200 nothing but the

00:35:08.920 utmost respect

00:35:10.300 for people who

00:35:12.220 start their job

00:35:13.100 before they start

00:35:13.860 their job.

00:35:15.000 If you ask me,

00:35:16.520 who's the superstar

00:35:17.520 in the administration,

00:35:19.340 the one who

00:35:19.820 waited for

00:35:20.340 inauguration day,

00:35:21.800 or the one who

00:35:22.840 started hard on

00:35:24.500 day one on the

00:35:25.440 top priority?

00:35:27.220 Russia's kind of

00:35:27.980 a top priority,

00:35:28.740 right?

00:35:29.640 You know, it's in

00:35:30.320 the top three,

00:35:30.940 probably, for that

00:35:31.960 kind of job.

00:35:33.280 And so if the

00:35:34.280 guy hit the ground

00:35:35.040 running, worked

00:35:35.840 extra hard before

00:35:37.060 he was even getting

00:35:37.980 a paycheck, let's

00:35:40.400 send him to jail

00:35:41.020 for that?

00:35:42.220 That's what

00:35:42.840 happened.

00:35:43.740 He was a guy who

00:35:44.840 did extra work

00:35:45.960 before he got

00:35:46.800 his paycheck on

00:35:48.060 exactly the right

00:35:48.980 priority, and

00:35:51.660 they almost sent

00:35:52.240 him to jail for

00:35:52.960 it.

00:35:54.800 Unbelievable.

00:35:56.880 Anyway.

00:35:58.960 So, I don't

00:36:00.400 know if we'll

00:36:00.860 ever have enough

00:36:01.780 of a smoking

00:36:02.460 gun that Obama

00:36:03.660 or Susan Rice

00:36:04.540 or anybody are

00:36:05.100 going to have to

00:36:05.760 answer to it.

00:36:07.280 I don't think so.

00:36:08.440 I think it will

00:36:09.580 end in murkiness

00:36:10.840 where it is, and

00:36:11.620 then everybody

00:36:12.060 will just retreat

00:36:12.800 to their side.

00:36:13.400 So, Howard

00:36:14.880 Kurtz, who

00:36:15.700 talks about

00:36:16.080 media and

00:36:16.600 Fox News and

00:36:17.780 elsewhere, he

00:36:20.720 was talking about

00:36:21.560 the fact that

00:36:22.240 the polls don't

00:36:26.180 move no matter

00:36:27.060 what happens in

00:36:27.800 the real world,

00:36:29.100 that no matter

00:36:29.740 what Biden does,

00:36:30.940 no matter what

00:36:31.600 Trump does, the

00:36:33.200 polls come out

00:36:33.980 and they're just

00:36:34.520 bouncing around

00:36:35.280 in the same

00:36:35.840 little narrow

00:36:36.420 level.

00:36:37.480 It's as if our

00:36:39.440 preferences for

00:36:40.300 voting are

00:36:41.700 completely now

00:36:42.720 disconnected.

00:36:43.400 from the

00:36:44.000 candidates.

00:36:45.820 And he makes

00:36:47.160 a good case

00:36:47.820 because literally

00:36:48.960 no matter what

00:36:49.800 happens, the

00:36:51.460 poll numbers

00:36:51.960 don't change

00:36:52.640 and there's

00:36:53.380 some stuff

00:36:53.820 happening.

00:36:54.700 Here's one

00:36:55.180 example that

00:36:56.180 Howard Kurtz

00:36:56.940 gives in his

00:36:57.840 article about

00:36:58.960 something that

00:36:59.760 you would expect

00:37:00.560 to change the

00:37:01.920 polling, but

00:37:03.200 it didn't.

00:37:04.040 And it's this.

00:37:05.120 He talks about

00:37:05.720 Trump, quote,

00:37:07.040 proudly announcing

00:37:08.040 that he's taking

00:37:08.820 hydroxychloroquine

00:37:10.020 against the

00:37:11.260 advice of most

00:37:12.240 medical experts.

00:37:13.400 And that, you

00:37:14.660 know, he said

00:37:15.420 if that doesn't

00:37:16.000 turn public

00:37:16.660 opinion, then

00:37:17.960 Trump must be

00:37:18.620 invulnerable.

00:37:20.320 Now, does that

00:37:21.340 sentence capture

00:37:22.320 what really

00:37:22.940 happened?

00:37:24.260 Would you say

00:37:24.900 that a good

00:37:25.460 description of

00:37:26.340 events is that

00:37:28.080 the president

00:37:28.700 proudly announced

00:37:30.460 that he's taking

00:37:31.880 hydroxychloroquine

00:37:33.020 against the

00:37:33.700 advice of most

00:37:34.580 medical experts?

00:37:36.280 Number one,

00:37:37.180 the word

00:37:37.580 proudly is your

00:37:39.220 tip-off for

00:37:40.700 mind-reading?

00:37:41.960 Did the

00:37:42.560 president say

00:37:43.220 it proudly?

00:37:44.960 Did you pick

00:37:45.840 up proudly?

00:37:48.060 Did you

00:37:48.500 detect that?

00:37:49.880 Because I

00:37:50.180 didn't.

00:37:51.460 I detected

00:37:52.820 matter-of-factness.

00:37:54.760 I detected him

00:37:55.680 talking in terms

00:37:56.420 of risk management.

00:37:58.520 Certainly there

00:37:59.120 was a political

00:37:59.680 dimension.

00:38:01.120 But did you

00:38:01.580 see proudly?

00:38:03.740 See, that's

00:38:04.500 one of those

00:38:04.860 keywords that just

00:38:05.680 says, ah,

00:38:06.560 whatever follows

00:38:07.640 in the rest

00:38:08.140 of this

00:38:08.500 sentence can

00:38:10.540 be safely

00:38:11.120 ignored.

00:38:12.320 Because if you

00:38:13.600 start out with

00:38:14.320 a mind-reading

00:38:15.000 word, it's

00:38:15.800 like, all

00:38:16.120 right, I've

00:38:16.940 now connected

00:38:17.560 to his mind.

00:38:19.180 Okay, yeah, I

00:38:20.140 can see some

00:38:20.660 pride in there

00:38:21.500 about the

00:38:21.880 hydroxychloroquine.

00:38:23.300 Okay, let us

00:38:24.500 go on.

00:38:25.580 No, you don't

00:38:26.340 need to go on.

00:38:27.580 Once somebody

00:38:28.460 admits they're

00:38:29.640 engaged in

00:38:30.320 mind-reading,

00:38:31.640 stop reading.

00:38:32.980 There's nothing

00:38:33.720 that follows the

00:38:34.540 word proudly that

00:38:36.020 could possibly

00:38:36.840 help you.

00:38:38.480 But here's the

00:38:39.420 rest of the

00:38:39.840 sentence.

00:38:42.340 He's proudly

00:38:43.140 using it against

00:38:44.060 the advice of

00:38:44.820 most medical

00:38:45.500 experts.

00:38:46.300 Now, is that

00:38:46.980 a true statement?

00:38:48.680 Yes.

00:38:49.840 That is a

00:38:50.680 true statement.

00:38:51.640 It is against

00:38:52.380 the advice of

00:38:53.720 most medical

00:38:55.000 experts.

00:38:56.100 It is not

00:38:57.020 against the

00:38:57.520 advice of

00:38:58.200 the president's

00:39:00.040 own doctor.

00:39:02.440 The president's

00:39:03.720 own doctor

00:39:05.160 said, yeah,

00:39:07.640 if you want

00:39:08.780 it, risk

00:39:09.420 management

00:39:09.820 makes sense.

00:39:11.100 Go ahead.

00:39:11.680 We're monitoring

00:39:12.340 you so it's

00:39:13.120 not like a

00:39:13.560 regular person.

00:39:15.480 Don't you

00:39:15.920 think it was

00:39:16.420 important to

00:39:17.120 mention that

00:39:18.640 the president's

00:39:19.340 own doctor was

00:39:20.260 okay with it?

00:39:20.900 Do you think it

00:39:21.640 would be important

00:39:22.180 to notice how many

00:39:23.040 people on the

00:39:23.620 front line who are

00:39:24.620 medical doctors are

00:39:25.560 using it?

00:39:26.300 Do you think it

00:39:26.760 would be important

00:39:27.340 to note that

00:39:28.640 something like a

00:39:29.400 quarter of all

00:39:29.980 doctors would?

00:39:31.880 And that it's

00:39:32.520 an off-label use,

00:39:33.540 so any off-label

00:39:34.400 use is going to

00:39:35.060 be 75% of

00:39:36.160 doctors think it's

00:39:37.140 a bad idea.

00:39:39.200 That's an

00:39:39.780 exaggeration.

00:39:40.480 But the point is,

00:39:41.120 if it's an off-label

00:39:41.860 use, you're not

00:39:43.140 going to get

00:39:43.420 everybody to agree.

00:39:45.360 What would be the

00:39:46.120 other example of

00:39:47.100 an off-label use

00:39:48.380 where all the

00:39:49.340 doctors are on

00:39:49.980 the same page?

00:39:51.160 Probably not a

00:39:51.940 lot of them.

00:39:52.880 Might be a few.

00:39:53.520 So here's my

00:39:57.160 And he also

00:40:02.600 talks about

00:40:03.320 Joe Biden

00:40:05.620 having a

00:40:06.480 complicated life

00:40:07.500 and

00:40:07.740 oh, well,

00:40:10.100 this is something

00:40:10.540 else.

00:40:11.300 So there's another

00:40:12.120 story

00:40:12.640 on CNN,

00:40:14.660 I think it was,

00:40:15.320 talking about

00:40:15.840 Tara Reid,

00:40:16.520 the accuser of

00:40:17.800 Joe Biden,

00:40:18.660 and it was saying

00:40:19.500 how she has a

00:40:20.220 complicated life

00:40:21.260 and there are

00:40:22.300 conflicting accounts

00:40:23.440 that muddle the

00:40:24.720 efforts to

00:40:25.280 understand Tara

00:40:26.320 Reid's allegation

00:40:27.280 against Joe

00:40:28.160 Biden.

00:40:29.180 In other words,

00:40:30.480 CNN hired two

00:40:32.140 women to research

00:40:33.860 and write an

00:40:34.400 article.

00:40:35.240 The fact that

00:40:35.780 they're both

00:40:36.180 women is important

00:40:37.080 to the story

00:40:37.760 because Biden

00:40:38.980 was accused

00:40:39.580 by a woman.

00:40:41.000 And the two

00:40:41.400 women go through

00:40:42.900 Tara Reid's

00:40:43.720 background trying

00:40:45.360 to paint a

00:40:46.700 picture that

00:40:47.360 maybe she's not

00:40:48.140 the most reliable

00:40:49.180 witness.

00:40:50.560 So it's basically

00:40:51.560 just a takedown

00:40:52.460 of a witness.

00:40:53.440 real nice

00:40:55.360 because what

00:40:56.920 about that

00:40:57.320 credibility?

00:40:58.140 By the way,

00:40:59.040 you know the

00:40:59.420 whole all

00:41:00.480 women should

00:41:01.000 be believed

00:41:02.000 but we

00:41:02.400 believe Joe

00:41:02.900 Biden this

00:41:03.420 time,

00:41:03.920 blah,

00:41:04.140 blah,

00:41:04.160 blah.

00:41:04.580 I feel like

00:41:05.400 the way we

00:41:06.000 should be

00:41:06.400 talking about

00:41:06.980 that is

00:41:08.020 credibility,

00:41:08.660 which is

00:41:09.780 different than

00:41:10.240 being true.

00:41:11.560 Something can

00:41:12.480 be credibly

00:41:13.360 reported and

00:41:15.040 then you find

00:41:15.480 that it's not

00:41:15.960 true but it

00:41:16.480 was still

00:41:16.780 credible sounding

00:41:18.160 at the time.

00:41:18.920 And I

00:41:20.180 think that

00:41:20.600 with these

00:41:21.020 accusations

00:41:21.980 you should

00:41:22.760 say that

00:41:24.000 the accuser

00:41:24.680 is credible

00:41:25.280 if the

00:41:26.880 accuser is

00:41:27.420 credible.

00:41:28.420 Tara Reid

00:41:28.820 I think is

00:41:29.520 credible.

00:41:31.160 But then you

00:41:33.240 should also be

00:41:33.820 able to say

00:41:34.320 that if the

00:41:35.640 accused has

00:41:37.600 a pretty good

00:41:38.160 defense,

00:41:39.580 you could say

00:41:40.100 that's credible

00:41:40.780 too.

00:41:41.780 There's nothing

00:41:42.300 wrong with

00:41:42.720 saying that both

00:41:43.280 the accuser

00:41:44.040 and the

00:41:45.060 accused have

00:41:46.340 credible

00:41:46.960 stories.

00:41:48.300 Only one of

00:41:48.860 them is true

00:41:49.460 at most.

00:41:50.120 They could

00:41:50.340 both not be

00:41:51.020 true.

00:41:51.740 But only one

00:41:52.400 of them is

00:41:52.700 true at most.

00:41:53.700 But they

00:41:54.000 could both

00:41:54.340 be credible.

00:41:55.780 And I

00:41:55.980 think you

00:41:56.260 just leave

00:41:57.080 it there.

00:41:58.140 You could

00:41:58.500 be credible.

00:41:59.540 It turned

00:41:59.860 out you're

00:42:00.340 wrong, but

00:42:00.820 you could

00:42:01.040 still be

00:42:01.360 credible.

00:42:02.780 All right,

00:42:03.140 so here's

00:42:03.580 my larger

00:42:04.040 point.

00:42:06.020 It seems

00:42:06.660 to me that

00:42:07.400 Howard Kurtz

00:42:08.580 and most of

00:42:09.040 the world

00:42:09.460 is looking

00:42:10.560 at it as

00:42:11.320 still a

00:42:12.120 contest between

00:42:13.040 two

00:42:13.400 candidates.

00:42:15.000 But I

00:42:15.940 think it

00:42:16.380 ceased being

00:42:17.180 a contest

00:42:18.080 between two

00:42:19.020 candidates some

00:42:20.120 time ago.

00:42:21.480 Instead, it

00:42:22.200 became a

00:42:23.160 contest between

00:42:25.580 the news

00:42:26.900 media versus

00:42:29.300 the other

00:42:29.840 news media.

00:42:31.600 And so I

00:42:32.180 would propose

00:42:32.760 this.

00:42:33.320 The reason

00:42:33.760 that no

00:42:34.560 matter what

00:42:34.940 the candidates

00:42:35.540 do, doesn't

00:42:37.140 move the

00:42:37.640 polling.

00:42:38.960 What Howard

00:42:39.400 Kurtz, the

00:42:41.000 way he

00:42:41.580 described that

00:42:43.100 is that

00:42:43.580 people just

00:42:45.100 go on to

00:42:45.960 their team

00:42:46.600 and it

00:42:47.280 doesn't matter

00:42:47.620 what their

00:42:47.920 team does

00:42:48.380 wrong, they're

00:42:48.960 just going to

00:42:49.320 be on their

00:42:49.700 team.

00:42:50.740 So there's

00:42:51.360 lots of

00:42:51.700 evidence for

00:42:52.180 that.

00:42:52.620 So I'd

00:42:52.880 say that

00:42:53.260 the Howard

00:42:54.200 Kurtz

00:42:54.600 interpretation

00:42:55.120 is a

00:42:56.900 credible

00:42:57.260 one, meaning

00:42:58.160 that it

00:42:59.560 does look

00:42:59.980 like it's

00:43:00.340 just team

00:43:00.880 play in

00:43:01.420 politics and

00:43:02.400 we are

00:43:03.020 ignoring the

00:43:03.720 flaws of

00:43:05.100 our preferred

00:43:06.100 candidate to

00:43:07.540 emphasize the

00:43:08.180 flaws of the

00:43:08.600 other ones, and

00:43:09.040 that's all

00:43:09.380 that's happening.

00:43:09.860 maybe.

00:43:12.040 Maybe that's

00:43:12.720 all that's

00:43:13.080 happening.

00:43:13.880 I would like

00:43:14.280 to give this

00:43:14.740 a different

00:43:15.100 spin.

00:43:16.620 The reason

00:43:17.460 that things

00:43:18.180 don't move

00:43:18.820 no matter

00:43:20.400 what the

00:43:20.740 candidates do

00:43:21.480 is that the

00:43:22.380 other side

00:43:22.880 never hears

00:43:23.560 it.

00:43:25.020 It doesn't

00:43:25.920 matter what

00:43:26.620 Joe Biden

00:43:27.120 does if

00:43:28.500 his team

00:43:29.140 isn't aware

00:43:30.160 of it.

00:43:31.380 They just

00:43:32.260 don't see the

00:43:32.800 same reporting

00:43:33.460 as the

00:43:33.980 other side.

00:43:35.080 So I would

00:43:35.660 argue that

00:43:36.240 we're no

00:43:37.140 longer in

00:43:38.420 a system

00:43:39.220 in which

00:43:40.500 you have

00:43:41.520 something like

00:43:42.160 democracy

00:43:42.860 and something

00:43:43.620 like the

00:43:44.080 candidates

00:43:44.620 making their

00:43:45.260 best case

00:43:45.980 and then

00:43:47.000 the public

00:43:47.680 listening to

00:43:48.380 the candidates

00:43:49.080 and then

00:43:49.900 the public

00:43:50.300 making a

00:43:50.800 decision

00:43:51.260 based on

00:43:52.240 the candidates.

00:43:53.720 That's

00:43:54.240 probably what

00:43:54.680 it used

00:43:55.000 to be.

00:43:56.360 But today

00:43:57.280 this is

00:43:58.520 absolutely

00:43:59.300 nothing but

00:43:59.900 a massive

00:44:00.400 brainwashing

00:44:01.200 operation

00:44:01.740 and you've

00:44:02.740 got two

00:44:03.320 massive

00:44:03.820 brainwashing

00:44:04.680 entities

00:44:06.240 competing.

00:44:07.140 So you've

00:44:08.040 got the

00:44:08.480 left

00:44:09.080 mainstream

00:44:09.680 media,

00:44:10.260 CNN,

00:44:10.720 MSNBC,

00:44:11.680 who are

00:44:12.180 doing this

00:44:12.520 massive

00:44:13.020 brainwashing

00:44:13.960 operation.

00:44:16.500 If they

00:44:17.380 succeed,

00:44:18.160 it literally

00:44:18.860 doesn't matter

00:44:19.400 who the

00:44:19.680 candidate is.

00:44:20.920 Do I

00:44:21.720 need to

00:44:22.060 prove that

00:44:23.040 it doesn't

00:44:23.500 matter who

00:44:23.960 the candidate

00:44:24.420 is?

00:44:25.260 Because the

00:44:26.060 candidate is

00:44:26.640 Joe Biden.

00:44:28.360 Do I

00:44:29.120 need any

00:44:29.560 more additional

00:44:30.420 evidence that

00:44:31.720 it doesn't

00:44:32.160 matter who

00:44:32.560 the candidate

00:44:32.960 is?

00:44:33.700 That's

00:44:34.320 pretty

00:44:34.580 conclusive,

00:44:35.240 isn't it?

00:44:36.020 Do you

00:44:36.260 need to

00:44:36.620 that there's

00:44:37.100 no questions

00:44:37.940 left?

00:44:38.920 If Joe

00:44:39.820 Biden as

00:44:40.380 the candidate

00:44:40.860 is good

00:44:42.180 enough,

00:44:43.360 then it's

00:44:43.960 not about

00:44:44.380 the candidate.

00:44:45.740 We are

00:44:46.120 not in a

00:44:46.600 world where

00:44:47.500 the candidate

00:44:48.140 matters.

00:44:51.460 Think about

00:44:52.200 that.

00:44:52.960 We drifted

00:44:53.740 into a

00:44:54.140 world where

00:44:54.660 the actual

00:44:55.180 quality of

00:44:56.000 the candidate

00:44:56.580 is not a

00:44:58.340 variable,

00:44:59.300 because it's

00:45:00.380 not.

00:45:01.320 It's not.

00:45:02.180 you could

00:45:03.240 replace

00:45:03.640 either

00:45:04.000 candidate

00:45:04.460 with

00:45:04.820 anybody,

00:45:05.940 and their

00:45:06.740 poll numbers

00:45:07.340 would be

00:45:07.740 freaking

00:45:08.200 identical.

00:45:09.880 Anybody.

00:45:11.160 Now, you've

00:45:11.960 got the two

00:45:12.340 most different

00:45:13.100 weird candidates

00:45:14.020 in the world.

00:45:14.860 I mean, we've

00:45:15.260 never seen

00:45:15.680 anything like

00:45:16.340 this.

00:45:16.900 There's

00:45:17.220 nothing like

00:45:17.820 Trump.

00:45:18.720 We've

00:45:19.080 never seen

00:45:19.480 anything like

00:45:20.120 that.

00:45:21.100 But there's

00:45:21.840 also nothing

00:45:22.440 like Biden,

00:45:23.660 somebody

00:45:24.080 decomposing in

00:45:25.380 their own

00:45:25.800 basement on

00:45:26.940 the edge of

00:45:27.580 death, who's

00:45:28.700 leading in the

00:45:29.360 polls to be the

00:45:30.100 next president of

00:45:30.840 the United

00:45:31.100 States.

00:45:32.320 There's no

00:45:33.120 way this has

00:45:34.200 to do with

00:45:34.700 the candidates

00:45:35.240 anymore.

00:45:36.360 We've

00:45:36.680 completely left

00:45:37.520 that world.

00:45:38.820 It is just

00:45:39.520 the persuasive

00:45:41.620 power of the

00:45:42.360 right entities

00:45:43.580 and the

00:45:44.120 persuasive power

00:45:45.020 of the left

00:45:45.640 leaning entities,

00:45:46.780 and that's

00:45:47.260 the battle.

00:45:48.240 The actual

00:45:48.720 candidate, you

00:45:51.560 can substitute

00:45:52.160 them and it

00:45:52.600 wouldn't matter.

00:45:53.640 Now, of

00:45:53.920 course, because

00:45:54.860 we only talk

00:45:55.680 about the

00:45:56.040 candidates and

00:45:56.700 their opinions

00:45:57.260 and their

00:45:57.800 personalities and

00:45:58.640 stuff, it

00:45:59.440 seems the

00:46:00.000 opposite, but

00:46:00.580 that's the

00:46:00.940 magic trick.

00:46:02.640 To bolster

00:46:04.460 my speculation,

00:46:09.200 here's an

00:46:09.880 example.

00:46:10.380 So Frank

00:46:10.880 Bruni,

00:46:11.800 writing for

00:46:13.740 the New York

00:46:14.100 Times, says

00:46:15.940 this, and

00:46:17.660 look how

00:46:18.200 direct this

00:46:18.940 is, to

00:46:19.880 my point.

00:46:21.640 So Frank

00:46:22.320 Bruni says,

00:46:23.240 please tell me

00:46:23.900 why I should

00:46:24.540 care whether

00:46:25.740 Joe Biden is

00:46:26.780 declining

00:46:27.320 mentally.

00:46:27.920 What?

00:46:28.480 Let me read

00:46:30.160 that first

00:46:30.560 sentence again.

00:46:32.240 Please tell

00:46:32.740 me why I

00:46:33.360 should care

00:46:33.940 whether Joe

00:46:34.600 Biden is

00:46:35.280 declining

00:46:35.960 mentally when

00:46:37.500 President Trump

00:46:38.520 bottomed down

00:46:40.220 morally long

00:46:41.380 ago.

00:46:42.420 He goes,

00:46:43.040 I'm serious.

00:46:43.820 I'd rather

00:46:44.300 drink milk

00:46:45.060 past its

00:46:45.740 expiration date

00:46:46.640 than arsenic.

00:46:47.980 so here's a

00:46:51.760 Biden supporter

00:46:52.600 who's saying

00:46:53.840 directly and

00:46:54.800 in public

00:46:55.360 that he's

00:46:56.420 supporting

00:46:56.800 somebody with

00:46:58.480 declining

00:46:59.020 mental

00:46:59.640 ability,

00:47:00.940 and that he's

00:47:02.460 happy about it,

00:47:03.720 meaning that he

00:47:04.600 prefers it over

00:47:05.340 the alternative,

00:47:06.280 because here's the

00:47:07.260 alternative,

00:47:08.380 that Donald Trump

00:47:09.140 bottomed down

00:47:09.960 morally long

00:47:10.820 ago.

00:47:11.200 Now suppose

00:47:12.920 that was

00:47:13.300 true.

00:47:14.600 What if that

00:47:15.060 was true?

00:47:16.360 Let's say it

00:47:16.840 was true that

00:47:17.620 his interpretation

00:47:19.020 that Trump

00:47:19.620 bottomed down

00:47:20.420 morally long

00:47:21.260 ago.

00:47:22.460 Wouldn't that

00:47:23.360 indicate that

00:47:25.200 we would see

00:47:25.840 the impact of

00:47:27.160 that morally

00:47:27.920 bottoming out

00:47:29.020 by now?

00:47:30.880 In other words,

00:47:32.060 would your taxes

00:47:32.960 be higher because

00:47:34.920 Trump allegedly

00:47:36.080 bottomed out

00:47:37.720 morally long

00:47:39.420 time ago?

00:47:39.880 Remember,

00:47:40.600 he's saying

00:47:40.900 it happened

00:47:41.420 a long time

00:47:42.040 ago.

00:47:42.980 So if there

00:47:43.500 are impacts

00:47:44.140 from all this

00:47:44.840 morally bottoming

00:47:46.000 out, we'd be

00:47:46.700 seeing them

00:47:47.100 now.

00:47:48.320 Did Trump

00:47:50.440 not close

00:47:51.180 the airport

00:47:51.780 on time

00:47:52.480 from China

00:47:53.560 because he

00:47:54.120 was morally

00:47:55.040 challenged?

00:47:56.260 No, I think

00:47:56.780 he got that

00:47:57.240 right.

00:47:58.720 Did Trump

00:47:59.640 not cut

00:48:00.980 the regulations

00:48:01.780 that were

00:48:02.520 limiting us

00:48:03.560 during the

00:48:03.960 crisis?

00:48:04.980 Did he fail

00:48:05.840 to cut some

00:48:06.480 regulations because

00:48:07.940 he had morally

00:48:08.640 bottomed out?

00:48:09.880 I don't remember

00:48:10.760 that story.

00:48:11.940 I think he just

00:48:12.560 cut regulations

00:48:13.300 really quickly.

00:48:14.980 Did we not get

00:48:16.080 ventilators on

00:48:16.960 time because the

00:48:18.900 president had

00:48:19.520 morally bottomed

00:48:20.700 out?

00:48:21.400 I don't remember

00:48:22.540 that story.

00:48:23.220 I feel like we

00:48:24.260 got ventilators

00:48:25.020 and more than

00:48:25.820 we needed.

00:48:27.420 And just go

00:48:28.120 down the line.

00:48:29.580 Pick any topic.

00:48:31.360 Trade deal,

00:48:32.560 taxes, you name

00:48:34.000 it, Supreme

00:48:34.660 Court.

00:48:35.060 find me one

00:48:36.660 example where

00:48:38.440 the events of

00:48:39.260 the world or

00:48:39.880 the decisions of

00:48:40.720 the president

00:48:41.200 somehow would

00:48:42.540 correspond to

00:48:43.740 this horrible

00:48:44.380 problem that

00:48:46.500 he had morally

00:48:47.380 bottomed out.

00:48:49.740 What exactly

00:48:50.720 was that?

00:48:52.120 Can you give me

00:48:52.940 an example of

00:48:53.620 that?

00:48:54.360 Now, I get it

00:48:56.240 that you don't

00:48:56.720 like his

00:48:57.100 personality and

00:48:58.040 his character.

00:48:59.480 I get it.

00:49:00.380 We've heard you

00:49:01.440 say that.

00:49:02.460 But can you

00:49:02.900 give me an

00:49:03.320 example of

00:49:04.640 how that

00:49:05.060 affected me?

00:49:08.220 Can I have a

00:49:08.980 choice of

00:49:09.660 somebody who

00:49:10.320 I can't see

00:49:12.580 into his soul,

00:49:13.960 so I don't

00:49:14.360 know if there's

00:49:14.800 anything dark

00:49:15.580 in his inner

00:49:16.280 soul and his

00:49:17.020 mind, but I

00:49:18.960 like low taxes.

00:49:20.760 I like being

00:49:21.540 tough with

00:49:21.940 China.

00:49:23.540 Give me an

00:49:24.300 example of where

00:49:25.020 things went

00:49:25.780 wrong.

00:49:26.820 So the fact

00:49:27.880 that Frank

00:49:28.700 Bruni,

00:49:29.440 Bruni,

00:49:30.040 Bruni,

00:49:30.380 I wish I

00:49:31.040 could pronounce

00:49:31.460 his name,

00:49:31.920 so I

00:49:32.140 apologize if

00:49:32.800 I'm saying

00:49:33.140 wrong,

00:49:34.200 the fact that

00:49:35.940 he would say

00:49:36.520 out loud that

00:49:37.620 he would pick

00:49:38.160 somebody in a

00:49:39.720 declining mental

00:49:40.680 state, in his

00:49:41.440 own words,

00:49:42.300 declining

00:49:42.780 mentally,

00:49:45.120 and he says,

00:49:46.720 why should he

00:49:47.160 care?

00:49:49.780 Holy cow.

00:49:53.640 But he

00:49:54.240 goes on,

00:49:55.200 so there's

00:49:56.480 more of this

00:49:56.900 Frank Bruni

00:49:57.560 stuff.

00:49:58.820 Let's say,

00:49:59.520 he's saying

00:50:05.400 that Trump

00:50:06.380 has bottomed

00:50:07.060 down morally,

00:50:09.000 and here's

00:50:09.260 an example.

00:50:10.740 So here's

00:50:11.780 how you know

00:50:12.340 that's a big

00:50:13.560 problem, that

00:50:14.960 Trump bottomed

00:50:15.980 down morally.

00:50:16.700 So listen to

00:50:17.200 this.

00:50:18.260 The example

00:50:19.200 is that

00:50:19.740 Trump said

00:50:22.060 recently that

00:50:23.020 Biden,

00:50:23.560 quote,

00:50:24.160 has absolutely

00:50:25.140 no idea what's

00:50:26.100 happening.

00:50:26.440 Trump also

00:50:27.440 said,

00:50:27.940 quote,

00:50:28.320 he doesn't

00:50:29.120 know he's

00:50:29.520 alive.

00:50:31.180 So Trump

00:50:32.580 is questioning

00:50:33.640 the mental

00:50:34.500 ability of

00:50:35.680 Joe Biden,

00:50:36.540 and that's

00:50:37.260 an example

00:50:37.860 of Trump's

00:50:40.080 low moral

00:50:42.240 standards.

00:50:43.540 In the same

00:50:44.560 article, the

00:50:45.680 very first

00:50:46.260 sentence, the

00:50:47.100 author of the

00:50:47.800 article, Frank

00:50:48.460 Bruni,

00:50:49.260 questioned Joe

00:50:50.460 Biden's mental

00:50:51.320 ability.

00:50:51.840 acuity, I'm

00:50:54.120 not even

00:50:54.420 making this

00:50:54.940 up.

00:50:56.080 I mean, I'm

00:50:56.400 reading it to

00:50:56.900 you right here.

00:50:58.020 So the

00:50:59.160 statement is

00:50:59.800 that anybody

00:51:01.000 who would

00:51:01.480 question Joe

00:51:02.260 Biden's mental

00:51:03.180 acuity is

00:51:04.880 being morally

00:51:05.680 low, and

00:51:08.580 the author

00:51:08.980 does that in

00:51:09.640 his first

00:51:09.980 sentence.

00:51:10.640 He questions

00:51:11.220 Joe Biden's

00:51:12.000 mental acuity

00:51:12.660 in the first

00:51:13.400 sentence, and

00:51:14.960 that that's his

00:51:15.580 best example of

00:51:16.420 what's wrong

00:51:16.840 with Trump, is

00:51:17.860 the thing he

00:51:18.300 did in his

00:51:18.780 first sentence.

00:51:20.020 Now, if you're

00:51:20.880 telling me that

00:51:21.420 these people

00:51:21.860 have a great

00:51:22.380 awareness of

00:51:23.160 their own

00:51:23.500 actions, I

00:51:24.160 would say

00:51:24.800 maybe not.

00:51:26.980 I'm being

00:51:27.640 told in the

00:51:28.200 comments that

00:51:28.780 the pronunciation

00:51:29.760 is Bruni.

00:51:31.940 I hope that's

00:51:32.540 right.

00:51:35.700 And then

00:51:36.460 Frank Bruni

00:51:37.520 goes on to

00:51:38.400 talk about

00:51:38.820 Biden, and

00:51:39.400 he says,

00:51:40.000 quote,

00:51:40.820 besides, the

00:51:42.080 precise agility

00:51:43.100 of his mind

00:51:43.960 has nothing

00:51:44.960 to do with

00:51:45.960 the fundamental

00:51:46.660 decency of

00:51:47.520 his values.

00:51:48.840 At the end

00:51:49.340 of the day,

00:51:50.300 and by the

00:51:50.700 way, anybody

00:51:51.300 who says

00:51:51.800 at the end

00:51:52.320 of the

00:51:52.540 day, they

00:51:53.920 should no

00:51:54.300 longer be

00:51:54.740 writers.

00:51:56.680 You should

00:51:57.120 have to

00:51:58.680 change

00:52:00.040 professions if

00:52:01.600 you ever use

00:52:02.360 this sentence

00:52:03.560 in public

00:52:04.780 writing, at

00:52:05.900 the end of

00:52:06.360 the day.

00:52:07.600 That's your

00:52:08.200 writer's tip of

00:52:08.920 the day.

00:52:10.340 The most

00:52:11.440 hacked writing

00:52:12.300 in the world

00:52:12.940 uses the

00:52:13.740 phrase, at

00:52:14.620 the end of

00:52:15.060 the day.

00:52:16.160 I mean,

00:52:16.480 really, you

00:52:16.940 couldn't find

00:52:17.340 another way to

00:52:18.020 express that?

00:52:18.640 At the

00:52:20.440 end of the

00:52:20.760 day, Biden

00:52:21.620 can be

00:52:22.120 trusted to

00:52:22.940 do what

00:52:23.340 Trump didn't

00:52:24.180 and won't,

00:52:25.320 quote, meaning

00:52:26.580 stock his

00:52:28.780 administration

00:52:29.400 with qualified

00:52:30.280 professionals.

00:52:32.420 Now, is

00:52:35.220 that true?

00:52:37.600 Is that

00:52:38.020 true?

00:52:39.100 Do you

00:52:39.460 think that

00:52:39.880 Trump has

00:52:40.340 not stocked

00:52:41.340 his

00:52:41.500 administration

00:52:42.200 with qualified

00:52:43.220 professionals?

00:52:43.820 professionals?

00:52:44.880 I would

00:52:45.280 say he's

00:52:45.960 got, I

00:52:46.720 would say

00:52:46.980 Steve Mnuchin

00:52:47.820 is a

00:52:48.520 superstar.

00:52:50.000 I would

00:52:50.540 say that

00:52:51.100 all of

00:52:51.660 the departments

00:52:52.900 seem to be

00:52:53.440 doing their

00:52:53.820 jobs, for

00:52:54.680 the most

00:52:54.960 part.

00:52:55.660 I've got

00:52:55.920 some questions

00:52:56.440 about the

00:52:56.840 FDA.

00:52:58.120 I would

00:52:58.380 say that

00:52:59.060 Pompeo is

00:53:03.080 great.

00:53:04.740 I would

00:53:05.060 say that

00:53:05.720 I think you

00:53:06.820 could name a

00:53:07.280 whole bunch

00:53:07.600 of people who

00:53:08.300 are actually

00:53:08.820 really, really

00:53:09.540 good, couldn't

00:53:10.240 you?

00:53:10.420 I would

00:53:13.160 put Jared

00:53:13.680 on the

00:53:14.020 list as

00:53:14.920 being a

00:53:15.300 superstar.

00:53:17.160 I don't

00:53:17.800 know.

00:53:18.680 I've got a

00:53:19.400 feeling that

00:53:19.820 you could

00:53:20.260 pick apart

00:53:21.160 any

00:53:21.500 administration

00:53:22.020 and you

00:53:22.700 could find

00:53:23.120 a number

00:53:23.480 of political

00:53:24.140 hires.

00:53:25.480 Aren't there

00:53:25.940 always political

00:53:27.020 hires?

00:53:28.200 Sort of built

00:53:29.080 into the

00:53:29.460 process.

00:53:30.360 I don't know

00:53:30.820 that Trump

00:53:31.200 is doing

00:53:31.760 any better

00:53:32.320 or worse

00:53:32.900 in terms

00:53:33.980 of staffing.

00:53:35.080 That's just

00:53:35.680 an opinion.

00:53:38.440 What would

00:53:39.120 be your

00:53:39.760 yeah, well

00:53:41.620 Purdue, okay.

00:53:42.940 So I'm not

00:53:45.140 going to argue

00:53:45.660 that the

00:53:46.860 Trump

00:53:47.100 administration

00:53:47.780 had all

00:53:48.300 superstars,

00:53:50.300 but is

00:53:52.080 it really

00:53:52.400 different?

00:53:54.260 I mean,

00:53:55.000 could you

00:53:55.400 really, do

00:53:56.560 you think

00:53:56.900 you could

00:53:57.260 objectively

00:53:57.960 look at

00:53:58.640 the people

00:54:00.360 that Trump

00:54:01.300 has hired

00:54:01.860 and cycled

00:54:03.200 through and

00:54:03.720 fired and

00:54:04.200 rehired?

00:54:04.980 Do you

00:54:05.260 think that

00:54:05.780 you could

00:54:06.440 really put

00:54:07.720 any

00:54:08.180 administration

00:54:09.380 up against

00:54:10.100 any other

00:54:10.680 and that

00:54:11.460 one would

00:54:12.100 look like

00:54:12.540 the

00:54:12.740 incompetently

00:54:13.500 staffed

00:54:14.000 one?

00:54:14.780 I feel

00:54:15.240 like no.

00:54:16.380 I feel

00:54:16.780 like they

00:54:17.080 would all

00:54:17.500 look like,

00:54:19.300 here's my

00:54:19.920 guess,

00:54:20.780 I feel like

00:54:21.900 every administration

00:54:22.840 is probably

00:54:23.340 70% effective

00:54:24.880 people and

00:54:26.540 maybe 30%

00:54:27.720 political,

00:54:28.940 you know,

00:54:29.260 I had to

00:54:29.700 return a

00:54:30.320 favor.

00:54:31.060 But that's

00:54:31.640 also how you

00:54:32.200 get elected.

00:54:33.280 If you

00:54:33.840 haven't taken

00:54:34.780 some political

00:54:35.440 favors,

00:54:36.300 you probably

00:54:36.740 didn't get

00:54:37.140 elected.

00:54:37.460 elected,

00:54:38.200 so we

00:54:38.620 all just

00:54:39.980 sort of

00:54:40.320 wince and

00:54:40.820 say,

00:54:41.140 eh,

00:54:41.980 I hate

00:54:42.540 that part.

00:54:43.740 But they

00:54:44.080 all do

00:54:44.420 it.

00:54:44.860 It's how

00:54:45.240 they got

00:54:45.500 elected.

00:54:46.380 It's fairly

00:54:47.100 transparent.

00:54:48.460 You know,

00:54:48.700 when a big

00:54:49.720 donor becomes

00:54:50.620 a cabinet

00:54:51.480 head.

00:54:52.960 Yeah,

00:54:53.140 Peter Navarro,

00:54:53.880 I'd say he's

00:54:54.380 a star,

00:54:55.100 a good

00:54:55.480 example.

00:54:56.780 So I

00:54:57.880 don't know

00:54:58.160 that this

00:54:58.540 claim holds

00:54:59.120 up.

00:55:00.400 It would

00:55:00.800 be interesting

00:55:01.300 if there

00:55:01.660 was any,

00:55:02.180 I don't

00:55:02.480 know if

00:55:02.680 there's

00:55:02.820 any way

00:55:03.100 to actually

00:55:03.520 prove it.

00:55:04.040 But it

00:55:04.640 all comes

00:55:05.000 down to

00:55:05.480 a very

00:55:05.980 subjective

00:55:06.600 statement

00:55:07.360 that some

00:55:08.880 group of

00:55:09.300 people are

00:55:09.860 less talented

00:55:10.520 than others.

00:55:11.460 We don't

00:55:12.040 know that.

00:55:12.840 That's

00:55:13.120 completely

00:55:13.580 unknowable.

00:55:14.580 If you're

00:55:14.980 not there,

00:55:15.480 you don't

00:55:16.200 really know.

00:55:22.260 And this

00:55:23.480 really sums

00:55:24.360 it up.

00:55:25.440 So my

00:55:26.220 hypothesis is

00:55:27.160 the candidates

00:55:27.720 have stopped

00:55:28.680 mattering,

00:55:29.300 and it's

00:55:30.020 just a

00:55:30.460 brainwash

00:55:31.080 competition

00:55:31.720 between the

00:55:32.380 left media

00:55:33.220 and the

00:55:33.580 right media.

00:55:34.940 And I

00:55:35.860 will put

00:55:36.960 a bow on

00:55:37.460 that point

00:55:38.060 by talking

00:55:39.580 about Oliver

00:55:40.540 Darcy.

00:55:41.200 He's with

00:55:41.760 CNN.

00:55:42.820 So Oliver

00:55:43.240 Darcy is

00:55:44.560 tweeting about

00:55:45.100 the fact that

00:55:45.740 the Fox

00:55:46.920 News hosts

00:55:47.960 had a variety

00:55:49.340 of opinion

00:55:49.920 on the

00:55:50.460 president taking

00:55:51.220 hydroxychloroquine,

00:55:52.500 which we know

00:55:53.300 to be true.

00:55:54.180 So it's a

00:55:54.680 true fact that

00:55:55.500 the Fox

00:55:56.440 News hosts

00:55:57.660 have talked

00:55:58.820 about it

00:55:59.260 differently.

00:56:00.460 Unambiguously,

00:56:01.260 they've talked

00:56:01.720 about it

00:56:02.000 differently.

00:56:02.880 But they've

00:56:03.680 also had

00:56:04.060 experts on

00:56:04.820 who also

00:56:05.820 talked about

00:56:06.380 it differently.

00:56:08.200 So Darcy

00:56:09.000 writes this,

00:56:09.960 Fox can't

00:56:10.760 get its

00:56:11.100 stories straight.

00:56:12.940 What?

00:56:14.200 Can't get

00:56:14.980 its stories

00:56:15.780 straight?

00:56:16.760 What's that

00:56:17.560 mean?

00:56:19.360 Did I just

00:56:20.400 describe a

00:56:22.020 network that

00:56:22.700 quote,

00:56:23.180 can't get

00:56:23.780 its stories

00:56:24.580 straight?

00:56:25.760 What does

00:56:26.480 that mean?

00:56:27.800 Should there

00:56:28.480 be one

00:56:28.880 story?

00:56:30.320 Why can't

00:56:31.460 Neil Cavuto

00:56:32.440 have a

00:56:32.860 different

00:56:33.120 opinion than

00:56:33.760 Laura

00:56:34.080 Ingram?

00:56:35.620 Is that

00:56:36.260 not allowed?

00:56:37.880 Why couldn't

00:56:38.720 Tucker have a

00:56:39.400 different opinion

00:56:39.960 than somebody

00:56:40.820 on the

00:56:41.120 five if he

00:56:41.800 does?

00:56:42.500 Don't know

00:56:42.900 if he

00:56:43.080 does.

00:56:44.360 Why can't

00:56:44.880 they do

00:56:45.140 that?

00:56:46.800 And the

00:56:47.960 fact that

00:56:48.500 a CNN

00:56:49.120 person would

00:56:51.700 start with

00:56:52.260 the very

00:56:52.580 first sentence,

00:56:53.740 Fox can't

00:56:54.400 get its

00:56:54.780 stories

00:56:55.060 straight?

00:56:56.260 Doesn't

00:56:56.720 that

00:56:56.940 indicate

00:56:57.520 that if

00:56:58.920 you work

00:56:59.300 at CNN,

00:57:00.860 wait for

00:57:01.580 it,

00:57:02.180 yeah,

00:57:02.420 somebody's

00:57:02.780 already ahead

00:57:03.240 of me,

00:57:03.920 wait for

00:57:04.580 it,

00:57:05.360 isn't he

00:57:05.840 telling us

00:57:06.380 fairly directly

00:57:07.160 that at CNN

00:57:08.560 they have to

00:57:09.180 get their

00:57:09.520 stories

00:57:09.900 straight?

00:57:10.280 What does

00:57:12.100 that mean?

00:57:13.800 What does

00:57:14.500 it mean to

00:57:14.860 get your

00:57:15.160 stories

00:57:15.580 straight?

00:57:16.260 Well,

00:57:16.540 the context

00:57:17.100 he's offering

00:57:17.740 is that

00:57:18.640 everybody says

00:57:19.320 the same

00:57:19.720 thing.

00:57:21.060 I believe

00:57:21.520 he's admitting

00:57:22.180 in public

00:57:22.840 that Fox

00:57:24.580 has a

00:57:24.960 diversity

00:57:25.400 of opinions

00:57:26.160 and CNN

00:57:27.620 does not

00:57:28.180 present a

00:57:28.920 diversity

00:57:29.300 of opinions

00:57:30.060 apparently

00:57:31.200 by choice.

00:57:32.920 He's saying

00:57:33.360 it directly.

00:57:34.860 If you

00:57:35.480 use the

00:57:36.100 phrase

00:57:36.520 get your

00:57:37.400 stories

00:57:37.860 straight

00:57:38.420 as a

00:57:39.380 criticism

00:57:39.920 of the

00:57:40.520 competing

00:57:40.920 network,

00:57:42.040 how do

00:57:42.440 you not

00:57:43.040 interpret

00:57:43.600 that as

00:57:44.260 CNN

00:57:45.320 works hard

00:57:46.180 to get

00:57:46.500 their

00:57:46.740 story

00:57:47.220 straight?

00:57:49.000 And since

00:57:49.920 the story

00:57:50.640 is opinion,

00:57:52.820 whether you

00:57:53.440 should or

00:57:53.780 should not

00:57:54.200 say something

00:57:55.600 or do

00:57:55.920 something with

00:57:56.380 hydroxychloroquine,

00:57:57.680 it's really

00:57:58.180 opinion story,

00:57:59.300 given that the

00:57:59.900 experts have

00:58:00.480 different opinions

00:58:01.160 and we know

00:58:01.640 that.

00:58:04.240 Should you

00:58:05.000 get your

00:58:05.420 opinions

00:58:05.900 straight?

00:58:08.220 I think

00:58:09.020 CNN just

00:58:09.660 admitted that

00:58:10.620 they're not

00:58:10.960 even in the

00:58:11.460 business of

00:58:11.960 news.

00:58:13.160 That seems

00:58:13.760 like a

00:58:14.120 pretty direct

00:58:14.640 admission.

00:58:18.880 So that's

00:58:19.640 fascinating.

00:58:20.660 All right.

00:58:25.260 All right.

00:58:28.820 Let me see

00:58:29.540 if there's

00:58:29.820 anything else

00:58:30.280 to talk

00:58:30.580 about here.

00:58:31.040 Phil Kirpin,

00:58:37.340 K-E-R-P-N,

00:58:39.340 has an

00:58:40.000 interesting

00:58:40.380 string of

00:58:41.620 tweets.

00:58:43.000 And he's

00:58:43.500 talking about

00:58:43.980 the fact

00:58:44.400 that the

00:58:45.340 elderly are

00:58:46.640 still the

00:58:47.620 main people

00:58:48.180 dying.

00:58:49.580 So even

00:58:50.340 today,

00:58:51.460 on May

00:58:51.940 20th,

00:58:53.180 we've known

00:58:53.800 now for

00:58:54.260 how many

00:58:54.600 months have

00:58:55.180 we known

00:58:55.700 that age

00:58:58.120 is the

00:58:59.620 biggest risk

00:59:00.200 factor.

00:59:01.260 We've

00:59:01.580 known that

00:59:02.120 since,

00:59:03.260 correct me,

00:59:05.120 January?

00:59:06.080 Have we

00:59:06.460 known since

00:59:06.940 January that

00:59:07.900 this virus

00:59:09.160 really attacks

00:59:09.920 the elderly

00:59:10.840 like super,

00:59:11.720 super hard?

00:59:12.680 We've known

00:59:13.380 that, right?

00:59:14.300 How long

00:59:15.140 have we been

00:59:15.600 talking about

00:59:16.280 the strategy

00:59:17.140 of super

00:59:18.480 protecting the

00:59:19.240 elderly and

00:59:21.640 then letting

00:59:22.340 the younger

00:59:22.780 people take

00:59:23.360 more of a

00:59:23.800 risk?

00:59:24.080 we've been

00:59:25.120 talking about

00:59:25.760 that for

00:59:26.480 months.

00:59:29.720 And yet

00:59:30.000 today,

00:59:31.600 the elderly,

00:59:32.820 the very

00:59:33.260 group that

00:59:33.820 we've

00:59:34.080 identified,

00:59:34.820 and everybody

00:59:35.420 agrees,

00:59:36.200 there's no

00:59:36.760 conversation on

00:59:38.000 this,

00:59:38.880 everyone agrees

00:59:39.700 these are the

00:59:40.260 most dangerous

00:59:41.240 at-risk

00:59:42.340 group,

00:59:43.980 and we're

00:59:44.740 not protecting

00:59:45.460 them.

00:59:47.840 Now,

00:59:48.580 I have to

00:59:49.200 think that

00:59:49.980 people are

00:59:50.360 doing a lot

00:59:50.860 of stuff.

00:59:51.780 There must

00:59:52.120 be a lot

00:59:52.480 of activity

00:59:53.380 going on

00:59:54.640 to try

00:59:55.120 to protect

00:59:55.600 them,

00:59:56.320 but we're

00:59:57.320 failing.

00:59:59.200 Can you

00:59:59.520 believe that?

01:00:00.520 After three

01:00:01.260 months of

01:00:01.680 knowing exactly

01:00:02.600 who's at

01:00:03.100 risk,

01:00:04.140 exactly,

01:00:05.360 I mean,

01:00:05.700 you could

01:00:06.260 list them,

01:00:07.240 let's say,

01:00:07.480 here's one,

01:00:08.320 85 years old,

01:00:09.240 you're at

01:00:09.540 risk.

01:00:10.180 We know

01:00:10.840 who's at

01:00:11.220 risk,

01:00:11.980 the highest

01:00:12.480 risk,

01:00:13.220 and we're

01:00:13.620 still not

01:00:14.120 protecting

01:00:14.540 them.

01:00:15.820 What's up

01:00:16.400 with that?

01:00:17.080 Is there

01:00:17.700 something about

01:00:18.260 the nature

01:00:18.760 of the virus

01:00:19.740 that is just

01:00:21.000 too hard?

01:00:21.940 Maybe you

01:00:23.000 can try

01:00:23.360 as hard

01:00:23.720 as you

01:00:23.980 can,

01:00:24.320 and you

01:00:24.500 just can't

01:00:24.880 get it

01:00:25.140 done.

01:00:26.060 But today,

01:00:27.720 still,

01:00:28.760 still they're

01:00:29.800 dying at

01:00:30.300 the rate

01:00:31.080 they're dying.

01:00:31.920 Do you

01:00:32.080 know what

01:00:32.300 the correct

01:00:33.940 rate of

01:00:34.840 death from

01:00:36.380 coronavirus

01:00:36.960 should be

01:00:38.900 for anybody

01:00:39.680 over 80?

01:00:42.700 If you're

01:00:43.360 over 80,

01:00:44.800 what should

01:00:45.380 be your

01:00:45.840 death rate

01:00:46.420 from

01:00:46.720 coronavirus

01:00:47.360 in the

01:00:47.820 United

01:00:48.140 States?

01:00:49.540 Zero.

01:00:51.360 Zero.

01:00:51.840 That's

01:00:52.520 what it

01:00:52.780 should be.

01:00:54.020 If there's

01:00:54.800 an 85-year-old

01:00:55.800 who's having

01:00:56.260 any contact

01:00:57.260 with somebody

01:00:58.200 who could

01:00:58.580 have also

01:00:59.040 had contact

01:00:59.640 with the

01:01:00.020 coronavirus,

01:01:00.920 aren't we

01:01:01.460 doing it

01:01:01.800 wrong?

01:01:03.260 Isn't there

01:01:03.820 some way

01:01:04.560 that you

01:01:05.180 can make

01:01:05.500 sure that

01:01:05.860 they don't

01:01:06.140 have any

01:01:06.840 contact

01:01:07.220 with the

01:01:07.660 virus?

01:01:08.400 There's

01:01:08.820 got to

01:01:09.080 be a way

01:01:09.400 to do

01:01:09.660 that.

01:01:12.540 Clearly,

01:01:13.080 we're not

01:01:13.320 getting it

01:01:13.680 done.

01:01:14.520 All right.

01:01:15.340 So that's

01:01:15.860 the bad

01:01:17.320 news.

01:01:18.980 But we

01:01:19.540 don't like

01:01:19.900 to end on

01:01:20.320 bad news,

01:01:20.940 do we?

01:01:21.840 We do

01:01:22.300 not.

01:01:22.780 So recapping

01:01:23.920 the good

01:01:24.240 news,

01:01:25.100 here it

01:01:25.560 is.

01:01:28.100 You want

01:01:28.720 to hear

01:01:28.860 really good

01:01:29.300 news?

01:01:30.220 I'm going

01:01:30.700 to give

01:01:30.900 you some

01:01:31.220 real direct,

01:01:32.840 reliable

01:01:34.600 good news.

01:01:35.880 Yesterday,

01:01:36.540 I talked

01:01:36.900 to the

01:01:37.580 most successful

01:01:39.400 real estate

01:01:40.340 broker in

01:01:42.140 my area.

01:01:44.100 So a

01:01:44.600 friend in

01:01:45.260 the neighborhood

01:01:45.640 is probably

01:01:46.360 the top

01:01:46.980 real estate

01:01:47.580 producer in

01:01:48.180 my area.

01:01:49.100 And as

01:01:49.520 of last

01:01:50.400 night,

01:01:50.900 I asked,

01:01:52.860 what's the

01:01:53.220 real estate

01:01:53.640 market?

01:01:54.100 Because I

01:01:54.360 thought to

01:01:54.660 myself,

01:01:55.120 real estate

01:01:56.600 is going

01:01:56.860 to get

01:01:57.080 killed,

01:01:57.620 right?

01:01:58.600 Don't

01:01:58.920 you assume?

01:02:00.280 Don't you

01:02:00.680 assume real

01:02:02.000 estate is

01:02:02.460 going to

01:02:02.680 get killed?

01:02:06.140 Goodbye,

01:02:07.660 troll.

01:02:08.860 And so I

01:02:09.320 asked her,

01:02:09.680 what's happening

01:02:10.140 with real

01:02:10.780 estate sales?

01:02:11.740 And guess

01:02:12.080 what?

01:02:13.580 Strong as

01:02:14.240 ever.

01:02:14.440 this week

01:02:16.500 homes are

01:02:18.060 being sold

01:02:18.680 for higher

01:02:19.360 than asking

01:02:19.960 price.

01:02:21.620 This week.

01:02:23.400 So I'm

01:02:24.080 in Northern

01:02:24.440 California,

01:02:25.120 just for

01:02:25.440 reference.

01:02:26.380 Now Northern

01:02:26.760 California,

01:02:27.680 where I am

01:02:29.120 in the East

01:02:29.900 Bay outside

01:02:30.480 of San

01:02:30.780 Francisco,

01:02:31.760 we're sort

01:02:32.360 of Silicon

01:02:33.400 Valley adjacent.

01:02:35.500 So it's a lot

01:02:36.700 of people who

01:02:37.140 didn't lose

01:02:37.620 their jobs

01:02:38.280 because a lot

01:02:38.920 of technology

01:02:39.940 jobs,

01:02:40.440 they just

01:02:40.700 worked at

01:02:41.120 home.

01:02:41.320 so I'm

01:02:43.660 in an

01:02:43.940 unusual area

01:02:45.000 in that we

01:02:46.200 were unusually

01:02:47.460 lightly

01:02:48.180 affected.

01:02:49.780 But could

01:02:50.360 you imagine

01:02:51.040 that people

01:02:51.680 are paying

01:02:52.340 over the

01:02:53.300 asking price

01:02:54.000 for homes

01:02:54.660 this week?

01:02:57.300 Isn't that

01:02:57.860 mind-blowing?

01:02:59.260 Doesn't that

01:02:59.840 tell you that

01:03:00.380 the economy

01:03:01.860 is going to

01:03:02.760 come back

01:03:03.140 faster?

01:03:03.680 Of course

01:03:03.980 it does.

01:03:05.820 Yeah,

01:03:06.120 interest rates

01:03:06.760 are low,

01:03:08.340 so that makes

01:03:08.860 a big difference

01:03:09.400 too.

01:03:09.600 somebody says

01:03:11.780 our beach

01:03:12.280 condo is

01:03:13.120 on fire

01:03:13.840 in Florida,

01:03:15.240 meaning lots

01:03:16.220 of demand,

01:03:16.860 yeah.

01:03:17.940 So here's

01:03:18.660 what I expect.

01:03:19.920 Look at the

01:03:20.500 stock market.

01:03:22.160 Did you think

01:03:22.700 the stock market

01:03:23.520 should be,

01:03:24.300 I don't know

01:03:24.800 what it's doing

01:03:25.220 at the moment.

01:03:26.660 Let me just

01:03:28.420 take a peek

01:03:29.260 at it so I

01:03:30.000 know if

01:03:30.400 stock market's

01:03:32.820 up.

01:03:33.960 So it's up

01:03:35.760 sharply.

01:03:37.900 Did you see

01:03:38.620 that coming?

01:03:39.600 Did you see

01:03:40.720 the stock market

01:03:41.440 up sharply

01:03:42.100 and home

01:03:42.720 prices selling

01:03:44.080 above their

01:03:44.780 asking prices?

01:03:46.440 There's something

01:03:47.280 happening here

01:03:48.100 that's a big

01:03:49.840 deal.

01:03:51.360 Now,

01:03:52.160 I gotta say,

01:03:54.020 I think there's

01:03:54.660 something about

01:03:55.260 the Trump

01:03:55.880 administration

01:03:56.540 that even

01:03:57.120 people who

01:03:58.200 don't like

01:03:58.800 Trump still

01:04:00.540 think he can

01:04:01.340 goose the

01:04:01.780 economy.

01:04:02.880 I feel like

01:04:03.860 even his

01:04:04.400 haters in

01:04:05.880 their secret

01:04:07.040 moments would

01:04:07.800 say to

01:04:08.080 themselves,

01:04:08.440 I hate

01:04:09.800 everything

01:04:10.120 about this

01:04:10.660 president.

01:04:12.060 But if I'm

01:04:12.780 being honest,

01:04:14.240 privately,

01:04:15.680 if I had to

01:04:16.860 pick one

01:04:17.280 person in

01:04:18.900 the history

01:04:19.360 of civilization

01:04:20.360 to be the

01:04:22.000 president during

01:04:23.400 this exact

01:04:24.460 situation,

01:04:25.780 meaning that

01:04:26.380 somebody needs

01:04:26.980 to get the

01:04:27.380 economy going,

01:04:28.840 honestly,

01:04:29.500 I can't think

01:04:30.240 of a better

01:04:30.600 choice.

01:04:31.020 I'm not

01:04:33.760 just cheerleading

01:04:34.900 for the

01:04:35.220 president because

01:04:35.840 I also was

01:04:36.620 vicious in

01:04:38.080 my criticisms

01:04:38.820 of the

01:04:40.140 early crisis

01:04:41.680 task forces

01:04:42.520 and the

01:04:43.340 reporting on

01:04:44.120 them and a

01:04:45.220 lot of stuff

01:04:45.700 about that.

01:04:46.780 So I've been

01:04:47.160 vicious about

01:04:47.840 his communication,

01:04:49.020 his empathy,

01:04:49.860 etc.

01:04:50.080 early on.

01:04:52.020 So I'm not

01:04:52.620 just giving him

01:04:53.880 a free pass

01:04:54.700 here,

01:04:54.920 but honestly,

01:04:57.180 he is exactly

01:04:58.280 the right

01:04:58.820 person for

01:05:00.200 this next

01:05:00.800 phase.

01:05:01.400 Exactly.

01:05:02.620 And I say

01:05:03.180 this all the

01:05:03.620 time and I

01:05:04.600 believe I'm

01:05:05.020 the only person

01:05:05.740 in civilization

01:05:06.360 who holds

01:05:07.480 this opinion.

01:05:08.840 There's no

01:05:09.260 such thing as

01:05:09.940 a good

01:05:10.220 president.

01:05:11.840 That's my

01:05:12.560 opinion.

01:05:13.000 There's no

01:05:13.360 such thing as

01:05:14.400 a good

01:05:14.880 president.

01:05:16.200 There is

01:05:16.580 only a

01:05:18.260 lucky coincidence

01:05:19.160 between the

01:05:20.140 problems and

01:05:21.020 the situations

01:05:21.660 of the time

01:05:22.500 and the right

01:05:23.600 personality.

01:05:24.920 with the

01:05:25.540 right skill

01:05:25.960 set.

01:05:26.520 You can

01:05:27.280 have exactly

01:05:29.040 the right

01:05:29.480 president for

01:05:30.580 exactly the

01:05:31.380 right problem.

01:05:33.220 We have

01:05:34.020 that right

01:05:34.540 now.

01:05:35.260 We did

01:05:35.880 not have

01:05:36.460 exactly the

01:05:37.480 right president

01:05:37.980 for exactly

01:05:38.640 the right

01:05:39.040 problem when

01:05:40.520 it was empathy

01:05:41.360 and sort of

01:05:43.000 caring for the

01:05:44.080 psychology of

01:05:44.980 the country

01:05:45.420 and saying

01:05:46.920 things that

01:05:47.400 made you feel

01:05:47.980 safe about

01:05:49.320 the medical

01:05:50.460 situation and

01:05:51.640 talking about

01:05:52.700 them in the

01:05:53.100 most clinical

01:05:53.840 ways as

01:05:54.560 opposed to

01:05:55.160 getting people

01:05:56.120 all worked

01:05:56.600 up about

01:05:57.120 some drug

01:05:58.200 that hasn't

01:05:58.640 passed enough

01:05:59.460 tests.

01:06:00.680 So Trump

01:06:02.140 was not the

01:06:02.740 right fit

01:06:04.320 for that.

01:06:06.760 But man is

01:06:07.620 he the right

01:06:08.040 fit for this

01:06:08.620 next part.

01:06:10.080 Don't you see

01:06:10.620 it?

01:06:11.520 Is this just

01:06:12.280 me being crazy?

01:06:13.440 Because I feel

01:06:14.060 like you couldn't

01:06:14.900 pick a better

01:06:15.520 person for this.

01:06:16.860 By the way,

01:06:17.500 I just saw

01:06:17.860 Bloomberg's name

01:06:18.700 go by in the

01:06:19.560 comments.

01:06:19.920 I only recently

01:06:21.220 learned that

01:06:22.800 Stacey Abrams

01:06:23.700 is working

01:06:24.280 for some

01:06:24.840 organization

01:06:25.480 that's funded

01:06:26.140 by Bloomberg.

01:06:28.200 So is

01:06:29.040 Stacey Abrams

01:06:30.040 Mike Bloomberg's

01:06:31.820 play to run

01:06:32.460 the country?

01:06:33.960 Because

01:06:34.360 presumably,

01:06:35.920 you know,

01:06:36.560 a lot of

01:06:37.240 politicians have

01:06:37.980 at least one

01:06:38.640 billionaire that's

01:06:39.600 sort of their

01:06:40.320 friend, if you

01:06:40.900 know what I

01:06:41.180 mean.

01:06:42.040 So is

01:06:43.160 Stacey Abrams

01:06:44.000 just a Mike

01:06:44.860 Bloomberg

01:06:45.380 cutout?

01:06:46.240 and he's

01:06:46.980 actually still

01:06:47.560 running for

01:06:48.020 president, but

01:06:49.080 he's going to

01:06:49.440 do it by

01:06:49.860 trying to get

01:06:50.380 Stacey Abrams

01:06:51.180 as the vice

01:06:51.760 president, and

01:06:54.120 then Biden

01:06:54.740 would be, you

01:06:55.860 know, sort of

01:06:56.280 less important.

01:06:58.240 That's what it

01:06:58.880 looks like, right?

01:06:59.600 It looks like a

01:07:00.400 Mike Bloomberg

01:07:01.080 play to run

01:07:02.120 the country.

01:07:03.540 That's my take

01:07:04.360 on it.

01:07:04.840 Anyway, I

01:07:06.360 think the

01:07:06.680 economy is

01:07:07.340 going to do

01:07:07.940 great in

01:07:09.620 2021 and

01:07:10.820 beyond, and

01:07:12.360 the golden age

01:07:13.120 is coming.

01:07:13.700 We're going to

01:07:14.000 have our

01:07:14.380 generation four

01:07:15.220 nuclear

01:07:15.760 energy.

01:07:17.020 You've got

01:07:17.740 AOC saying

01:07:18.700 that the

01:07:19.300 Green New

01:07:19.760 Deal doesn't

01:07:20.360 even have a

01:07:20.840 price tag.

01:07:22.040 Rather, it's

01:07:23.080 a set of

01:07:23.700 shared values.

01:07:25.320 Do you know

01:07:25.640 what value I

01:07:26.460 share with

01:07:27.160 AOC?

01:07:28.480 Same ones

01:07:29.220 you do,

01:07:30.640 turns out.

01:07:31.660 Yeah.

01:07:32.520 I would like

01:07:33.320 cheap, clean

01:07:34.240 energy with

01:07:35.000 no risk of

01:07:35.720 the planet

01:07:36.140 overheating.

01:07:37.060 I don't know

01:07:37.440 how big the

01:07:37.880 risk is, but

01:07:39.060 I'd like that

01:07:39.540 to be zero.

01:07:40.940 And I'd like

01:07:41.580 to do it with

01:07:42.180 generation four

01:07:43.240 nuclear and

01:07:44.220 smarter

01:07:45.120 technology.

01:07:45.740 energy.

01:07:46.360 So, maybe

01:07:47.880 we're not so

01:07:48.420 far apart at

01:07:49.020 all, and

01:07:49.700 maybe the

01:07:50.660 golden age

01:07:51.340 starts now.

01:07:53.660 I'll talk to

01:07:54.500 you tonight.

01:07:54.880 I'll talk to you

01:07:56.580 tonight.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 20, 2020

Episode 986 Scott Adams： Was Live and Sipping

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