EZRA LEVANT | Mark Carney’s polling surge: don’t panic, Canada — it’s not over yet
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Summary
In this episode of the Ezra LeVant Show, Ezra talks about his trip to the UK to cover the Tommy Robinson trial, and the reaction to it. He also talks about why it's important to fight for freedom in the UK, and why we should do the same in Canada.
Transcript
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Hello, my friends. Is it time to despair? Are the polls showing that Pierre Paliyev is going to lose?
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I'm here to say, don't count him out and don't get blackpilled, as the kids would say.
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Hey, before I get to today's show, let me invite you to become a subscriber to what we call Rebel
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News Plus. That's the video version of this podcast. There's a few clips I want to show you
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of Mark Carney in particular, and I want you to see them, not just hear them. So go to
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rebelnewsplus.com. Click subscribe. It's eight bucks a month, and you'll get, besides the free
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content every day, you'll get the satisfaction of knowing you're keeping Rebel News strong.
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Tonight, the polls suggest Mark Carney is going to win the next Canadian election, but
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I'm here to tell you that's possible, but it's absolutely not set in stone. It's March 21st,
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Well, I was in the United Kingdom for one day, not even a day, actually. I flew on Wednesday night,
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slept on the plane for a couple hours, landed at 6.30 in the morning, made my way down into the
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heart of the city where I covered Tommy Robinson's hearing. I live-tweeted. It got millions of views.
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People just don't trust the mainstream media in the UK. It was sort of incredible.
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I was sort of right next to the guy from The Guardian. Across the way was the guy from the
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BBC, and they knew who I was, of course, and I was being my friendly self, and this Guardian guy was
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talking about the fake news media, and I didn't take the bait because I knew, which is a pretty good
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feeling. I knew that my stuff would be seen by millions of people, and his stuff will be read by a
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few cranky leftists, but actually, over the course of the hours, we managed to find a
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modus vivendi to get along. It was really weird with him to lead with the fake news, but what does
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that even mean? I mean, we were both covering the same trial. What was fake about it? What a loser,
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but I can understand why they feel under attack. 10, 15 years ago, there was no such thing
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as citizen journalism. No such thing as people having a huge platform on YouTube or Twitter,
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so I can see why he's in a dying industry and a dying part of that industry. Anyways, I didn't
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fight with him, but he was a little bit snarky. I enjoy covering Tommy Robinson's case, and I don't
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mind the flights. I landed at 6.30, did my work during the day, and then I caught the 6 p.m. flight
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home, so I wasn't even on the ground for 12 hours. I'm lucky I made it out. I don't know if you heard,
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but Heathrow, which is such a huge airport, it really is one of the world's busiest airports.
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It would be like Chicago O'Hare or New York's JFK. They had a major fire, which knocked out the
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power and the backup generators. Sounds pretty fishy to me. It wouldn't surprise me if there
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were some malefactors involved, so I just got out of Dodge like four hours before the whole place
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was shut down. Yeah, I'm lucky to be back, and I really didn't miss any work because I did my show
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anyway. I know it's different than being in the studio, but I think it's important,
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and I really enjoy the warm welcome I get there, and I think it's part of our duty as part of the
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Commonwealth to support other English-speaking liberal democracies when they have free speech
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problems, which definitely the UK does, and I guess that's what I learned when I go over there,
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especially yesterday, to see how the police, the prosecutors, the judges, the prison guards,
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not the guards themselves, but the prison wardens or governors, were only about five years behind
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them. I mean, all of those elements, all those groups are woke and DEI and politicized there in
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the UK. Today, the ruling came out that Tommy was not successful. He was applying for a judicial
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review on a speedy basis to lessen his solitary confinement punishment in prison in the UK,
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and it was rejected, and there's jubilation on the left, and going over there, I mean, I love the UK.
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I love freedom and things like that, but it's a vision of what could happen here if our police
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or prosecutors or judges or prison wardens become politicized too. I also think about the importance
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of fighting in the first ditch rather than in the last ditch and how much easier it is to fight in
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the first ditch, but that's the thing. No one wants to fight in the first ditch because they say, oh,
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it's not a problem yet. Yeah, wouldn't you rather nip a problem in the bud? It's not just true for
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societies. It's true for individual people too, and I think of Tommy Robinson. I'm almost done talking
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about him. I didn't mean to bring it up, but I just wanted to tell you where I was yesterday if you
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didn't know. Because he didn't fight some of his early fights properly, because he didn't have a
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good lawyer or the right lawyer, or because he didn't even bother to defend, there were certain
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very early losses he had legally that cast a shadow to this day. If he did something and got a suspended
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sentence, but then it was triggered later on, or if he pled guilty to something under pressure,
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under duress, and they didn't really mean to, but now people keep on saying, well, he broke the law,
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and he admits it. So I learn a lot by going to the UK, and I learn a lot by fighting with Tommy,
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in a way, I guess I fight with him, alongside him, I mean. And I try and learn things that we can apply
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to the battles here in Canada. Anyway, I am going to go back to the UK for more hearings on April 11th.
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There's another one. It almost feels like it's endless because it's lawfare. It's how the government
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goes about eradicating an enemy of the state. I think you know, because it's in the public domain
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that Elon Musk is paying for some of the legal bills out there, but we still are crowdfunding for
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the children in a trust fund set up for his kids, because I don't mean to be morbid, but I have a
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fear, and I've talked to Tommy about this directly, that he may one day die, either at the hands of the
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police, or more likely at the hands of some violent prisoner who is accidentally let into where Tommy
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is and polishes him off. I hate to say those words out loud, but it is something I think we have to
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think about and plan for. So what I'm doing with Tommy these days is, besides talking to his lawyers
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and trying to marshal them, we have crowdfunded a trust fund for his kids, in case, God forbid,
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Tommy leaves us too soon. I think my journalism is making a difference. I know it was read millions
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of times yesterday, and the mainstream media there hates it, so I'll keep doing it. A foreigner like
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me, I'm a foreigner over there, can in a way operate better, because I don't stick around for the peer
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pressure. I think a reason why so many journalists are anti-Tommy is, to say otherwise, is so socially
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unacceptable over there. You are disinvited to Christmas parties. You're not invited to hang
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out with the cool kids, but I'm not going to those Christmas parties anyways. I don't really have a big
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friend network there that might turn against me. I have friends there, for sure, but I think,
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in a way, a foreigner can write about Tommy Robinson more freely than a Brit can. Anyways, forgive me that
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preamble. It's just on my mind. I'm slightly jet-lagged, but the reason I came home so quickly is,
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it's obvious, Canada has a big battle here, and while it's important that I still cover Tommy
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Robinson, because that will have an effect, not just in the UK, but around the world, we have a
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battle here, and it is a special duty that Rebel News fights like hell. And it was looking pretty
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good for a couple years there, wasn't it? I mean, really, around the start of the convoy in February
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2022, that's when Justin Trudeau started declining in the polls, and by the time 2023 came around,
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he was pretty far back, and 2024 was pretty cool. We were all daydreaming about supermajorities and
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what we want a peer poly to do next. And then a series of unusual events happened, and Justin Trudeau
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was replaced by Mark Carney. I call him Trudeau 2.0, but he's smarter and harder working, and more than
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that, he doesn't have the scandals and the plagues that Trudeau had associated with him. So, of course,
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you take him under the picture, of course, the Liberal vote is going to go up. Mark Carney is
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now ahead in certain polls, and in some betting markets. If you know what I mean, there are some
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of these online political betting markets where you can, really like betting on a basketball game
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or something, you can bet on an election, and you put real money in. And the thing about betting on
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an election is you don't have to root for the team that you like. You can say, you know, I don't like
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the Liberals, but I really think they're going to win, and I'm going to put my money where my mouth
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is. That's the difference. Anyone can tell a pollster how they feel or tell their friends and
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family how they feel. But if you had 100 bucks riding on it, who do you really think is going to
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win? And so, in some ways, these betting markets can be more accurate than other opinion polls,
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especially when you have an enormous number of participants. And some of these political betting
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markets have a huge base, so they shouldn't be taken lightly. In other words, it is time to worry.
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But it's not time to panic. And it's important not to be demoralized. First of all, you're not
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going crazy. Don't worry. People are not suddenly being fooled into thinking that Mark Carney is some
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great savior. They're not. If you look at polls, including from one of my favorite pollsters, David
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Colletto and Abacus, a lot of Mark Carney's support, the support for the Liberal Party these days,
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is the collapse of the NDP. Now, I know a vote is a vote, and so it doesn't necessarily make you feel
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better to know that the NDP is collapsing into the Liberals. But it's important when I say don't
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be demoralized, because it's not like conservatives who have been skeptical about Justin Trudeau for years
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are suddenly being tricked or hornswoggled into voting for Mark Carney. No, it's just
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NDPers who were really never serious about it. Jagmeet Singh is not a serious person.
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The NDP is not a serious party. They just sort of parked their vote with the NDP as a
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political statement, like wearing a Che Guevara shirt. But now that they see, and they would probably
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would have voted for the NDP if it was going to be a Pierre Polly of conservative blowout. I mean,
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why not then? But if it's actually a closed vote, a lot of those NDP voters are smart enough to
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strategically say, wow, our vote actually matters now, and we should probably give it to the guy
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with the greatest likelihood of beating the Tory. So don't think that suddenly people have gone mad
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and think that Mark Carney is a genius. It's that they're saying, oh, this guy actually has a chance.
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The media are certainly fresh and friendly. The polls suggest he could pull off an upseat
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upset, so let's vote strategically. I think that's a lot of what's happening.
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Like I said before, obviously just getting rid of Trudeau is going to move those numbers up because
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so many of his scandals are personally associated with him. Now, of course, the media are awful.
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They would look for an excuse to support anyone other than Pierre Polly of for ideological reasons
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and as for personal and selfish reasons too, because of course, Polly of has said he will end
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funding the CBC, and he is intimated that he would do similar for other media subsidies. So just out of
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pure survival instincts, the media are going to support whoever is against Polly of. But there are
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some journalists who are waking up. Here's a clip of Bob Fyfe. This is about a week old now.
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Starting to ask some questions about Mark Carney and his failure to, you know, answer basic public
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policy questions, basic accountability questions. Here's Bob Fyfe. Well, what he doesn't tell us is
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how much he's worth. Yeah. I mean, that's really the question here. Are you worth 10 million, 20 million,
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50 million dollars? We have no idea. Who is your, who is the person who's running the blind trust? Is it
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your brother? Is it, you know, I mean, if you're having an independent person who's supposed to take
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care of the blind trust, that person should be independent and far removed from Mr. Carney's assets.
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We don't know who that is. You know, is he requiring to sell all the stocks, which apparently you're
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supposed to, but has he sold all the stocks and his investments and anything that may put him in a
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conflict with the government? Those are things that he needs to answer to Canadians. And, you know,
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he doesn't, he doesn't want to answer those questions. And you said he was a little testy. He does not like
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tough questions from, from journalists. He's used to a more compliant financial press when he was a
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central banker and they're very much respectful of them. Well, we're political reporters. We have
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an obligation to ask the tough questions. And that's something we're going to have to watch for
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during the campaign. It's when he gets angry or annoyed or arrogant at journalists for pressing
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him on issues that he doesn't want to answer. Bob Fyfe works for the Globe and Mail. Of course,
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in so many ways, they're an official establishment regime media, but got to give Bob Fyfe credit,
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him and the small team that he works with, they have not been afraid to take on the liberals. They
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broke, for example, the Jody Wilson-Raybould scandal. They break much of the China scandals in this
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country. So even though the Globe and Mail is typically a liberal leaning newspaper, you have to
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give credit to their journalists. Sometimes they actually fight the liberals. Mark Carney, whenever he's
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pressed, it shows that he's brittle. And it shows that he's not exactly used to being candid about
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things that he regards as private. He's never been asked tough questions before, certainly not tough
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personal questions. And I predict that he will campaign a little bit like how Joe Biden campaigned
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in the 2020 election, which is basically hiding, hiding in the basement. What I mean by that is
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doing an announcement in a super friendly media setting and just generally not going out into a
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circumstance where he's vulnerable. There's been some interesting photo ops lately. Both
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Pierre Polyev and Mark Carney have gone to heavy industrial sites like a steelworker site. When
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Polyev goes, all the people dressed up as steelworkers are, in fact, the steelworkers. But when Mark Carney
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recently went, it was just him and a couple of his candidates dressed up as steelworkers, there were
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no steelworkers there. I think that the shop was probably too certain that the steelworkers would
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have heckled or bad mouthed Carney. I thought that was sort of fun. But you're going to see a lot more
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screening out rapports because that's the best way of screening out uneasy questions. Like a serious
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question we have is about his relationship with Ghislaine Maxwell, the fixer for Jeffrey Epstein,
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the pedophile rapist. I think that Mark Carney has a lot going for him. He has a strong resume. He is
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sort of likable on the outside. He looks good. He's not as theatrical and dramatique as Justin Trudeau
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is. He's unlikely to say things like people kind. But on the inside, he's actually just as mean as
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Trudeau. His response to Rosemary Barton, the CBC's flagship liberal, was sort of astonishing.
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Stephanie Levitz and then Rosemary Barton asked some really basic ethics questions that
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any MP, any party leader should ask. And the response by Mark Carney was so startling.
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It was sort of, how dare you? How dare you imply that I'm not saint-like? And don't you see I'm doing
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you such a favor by coming down from Olympus to save the country? I want to play this. I've played
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this before, but you just got to see this clip again. Mark Carney thinks he is above us, above you,
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above journalists, above skeptical questions, and above complying with ethics disclosure. Take a look.
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I'm complying with the rules in advance. Point of finance.
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Are you saying you are not open to any conflict of interest?
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You don't have to spend most of the time in the private sector. There's no possible conflict
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of interest in your assets. That's very difficult to believe.
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Look inside yourself, Rosemary. I mean, you start from a prior of conflict and ill will.
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I have served in the private sector. I have stood up for Canada. I have left my roles in the private
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sector at a time of crisis for our country. I'm complying with all the rules. Your line of questioning
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is trying to invent new rules. I'm complying with the rules that Parliament has laid out and the
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responsibilities of the Ethics Commissioner. And I will continue to comply with those rules.
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You know, when I was a kid, I heard that Mr. T, the wrestler and larger-than-life personality,
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had a rider in his contract that no one was allowed to look him in the eye. Now, I don't believe that.
00:17:40.220
I think that was just some urban legend. But it wouldn't surprise me if Mark Carney has something
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like that. You're not allowed to look at Mr. Carney in the eyes. I don't know.
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He has other things that are just a hubris that I'm sure he gets away with when he's with his friends
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and they clap and nod along. He says things like, I know how the world works. I mean, here's a clip
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of him saying that. No, brother, I don't think you know how the world works. The world is an enormous
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place and I don't think any one person knows how the whole thing works. I don't think you know how
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a lawnmower works. I think you have someone else do it for you. I don't think you've ever changed a
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tire in your car. I don't think you have spent any time in a factory other than maybe in some
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merger and acquisition for Brookfield. I don't think you know how it works when you have to
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struggle to make the bills, to pay the bills, and you have to cut back. I don't think he actually
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knows how the world works. Maybe how palaces work, but not how ordinary people who are just trying
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to make a go of it in our insane housing prices work. No, I don't think that Mark Carney actually
00:18:50.220
knows how to make the world, how the world works. And I think he's actually always been a bit
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of a cheater. Now, he wouldn't agree with that. He would say, no, no. I just take opportunities and I
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know how the world works. But here's what I mean by a cheater. He has worked for public sector entities
00:19:08.220
that have given him incredible inside information for decades. First, he was the head of the Bank of
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Canada. Then he was the head of the Bank of England. In recent years, he's been a United
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Nations special emissary of climate or something. So how does he amass so many millions of dollars
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when he's working as a civil servant? Well, the answer is at the same time, he's got other things
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on the go, including being the chair of Brookfield Asset Management. And just at the same time he was
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a special advisor to Justin Trudeau, Brookfield was doing deals with the government. So you see
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what I mean about a double dealer? He was on both sides of that. He was an advisor to the Canadian
00:19:50.220
government while he was doing deals with the Canadian government. You can't do that. I know he
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thinks he's really important and I know he's above scrutiny and how dare you ask him that and
00:20:03.220
look inside yourself and all that. But no, that is exactly what most people would call a conflict of
00:20:10.420
interest. Now, maybe at the UN, they don't care about that. And maybe everyone at the UN is some
00:20:15.780
kind of crook. But that's not actually how the world works. For 99.9% of the people, the world does not
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work, that you can be on both sides of a deal. That's called an inside job. That's called a conflict
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of interest. It's called insider trading. I mean, how do you get as rich as this guy
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by working as a public servant? That ain't a public servant. You know, I saw, I mean,
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Donald Trump is talking about Canada almost every day. Let me show you a clip. He's had a few.
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Here he is saying he would prefer to battle against a liberal as prime minister than a conservative.
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He's saying he would rather have Mark Carney beat Pierre Pagliot, but I don't think he knows
00:20:58.420
either's name. Take a look. I've heard you say this in all of the talk about Canada becoming the 51st
00:21:03.940
state. Are you concerned that if they became the 51st state, they would be a very, very blue state?
00:21:11.060
Very, very, very big and very, very blue. No, there might be, but it would, you know,
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you have that artificial line that goes, that straight artifact that looked like it was drawn by
00:21:21.060
ruler. Somebody with a, I don't mean a ruler, like a king. I mean, like a ruler, like a ruler this way.
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And it's just an artificial line that was drawn in the sand or in the ice. You add that to this
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country. What a beautiful landmass, the most beautiful landmass anywhere in the world.
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And it was just cut off for whatever reason. It would be great. Now, is it liberal? Maybe,
00:21:48.500
but you know, a conservative until I got involved, because I don't care who wins up there. I frankly,
00:21:53.780
probably would do better with the liberal than the conservative, if you want to know the truth. But
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just a little while ago, before I got involved and totally changed the election,
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which I don't care about. Probably it's our advantage, actually. But the conservative was
00:22:10.100
leading against, I call him Governor Trudeau. The conservative was leading by 35 points. So,
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you know, so I don't know about that. I think Canada is a place like a lot of other places.
00:22:21.220
If you have a good candidate, the candidate's going to...
00:22:23.380
Now, I don't know exactly what Trump means by this. Maybe he, maybe just take it at face value. Maybe
00:22:28.340
he's saying he would rather negotiate against a liberal. Maybe he thinks that a liberal is more
00:22:35.060
pliable, more push-aroundable. Maybe he thinks a liberal, by definition, is weaker. I don't know
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what he means by that. Maybe he thinks someone who's Canada first might be tougher or harder to get
00:22:46.500
along with. I really don't know. As far as I know, neither Mark Carney nor Pierre Polyev have spoken
00:22:53.700
to Trump, which is sort of crazy from Mark Carney's point of view, given that he's been prime minister
00:22:58.260
for about a week. I know why Pierre Polyev is worried. Because if he makes contact with Donald
00:23:07.060
Trump, which again would be non-standard, given that Polyev is just the leader of the opposition,
00:23:11.460
he would be painted as a traitor and a sellout and a mini-Trump. I think that's why Polyev has not
00:23:17.060
actually reached out to Trump to try and solve things, because he would be pilloried in the press.
00:23:22.820
But here's the thing about that patriotism and the Team Canada and all that. It's fake.
00:23:30.740
The people who are now suddenly discovering their patriotism have, for the last 10 years,
00:23:36.260
tried to destroy patriotism. They're woke. They are the ones who have de-historied the country,
00:23:42.580
de-racinated them, vanillified our history. There are people who, for example,
00:23:48.660
are working on the black justice strategy that would have black reparations in Canada. Reparations.
00:23:55.140
We didn't have slavery in this country. It's where the black refugee slaves ran away to under the
00:24:00.420
underground railroad. That's so ahistorical. And it's about building divisiveness and importing
00:24:08.340
foreign narratives of racial interaction. That's just not Canada.
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You cannot be a Canadian patriot. You cannot say you love Canadian history and culture and our story
00:24:23.140
and our geography, but also be the kind of party that takes John A. Macdonald off the dollar bill,
00:24:28.580
takes the ten dollar bill, strips imagery off our passport, hides John A. Macdonald's statues.
00:24:35.860
I mean, Doug Ford did that, but you just can't do that and say you're a patriot.
00:24:38.980
Here's Mark Carney saying he really believes in being woke.
00:24:42.580
There's a fever gripping America. And while it rages, Canadians will remain resolute and true to our
00:24:50.500
values. While America engages in a war on woke, Canadians will continue to value inclusiveness.
00:24:59.540
You can't be woke and a Canadian patriot. The two are at odds on purpose, because if you're woke,
00:25:04.500
you say Canada is settlers, racist settlers who committed a genocide. That's what woke means when
00:25:11.220
it comes to Canada. Mark Carney believes in carbon taxes, maybe not at the retail side,
00:25:16.100
but if you look at his announcement when he said he was going to ban the carbon tax, not because it
00:25:21.860
doesn't work, not because he's ideologically opposed to it. He simply said that it was divisive. Well,
00:25:27.780
yeah, of course it is. But he's not saying he doesn't like it. It's so obviously just a tactical
00:25:33.700
change on his part. Mark Carney is not a Canadian patriot. We don't even know how much time he spent
00:25:40.180
in this country at all in the last 10 or so years. Why does he have three passports? Does he have the
00:25:46.340
Irish one for tax dodge reasons? Why are his wife and kids still living outside of the country? Are they
00:25:53.860
going to come back to Canada or only if he wins? There's so many questions. And that's not even a
00:25:59.540
malicious question about his patriotism, although he would surely be offended by it. But really, has he
00:26:05.380
just come back like just in recent weeks to rule over us? If so, that's astonishing. And all of this is
00:26:12.340
my way of saying, look, don't lose your head. Don't lose your head over these polls showing that it's neck and
00:26:19.700
neck. Obviously, the conservatives need a new campaign tactic. I mean, Trudeau's personality doesn't
00:26:26.580
transpose over to Carney, and some of his policies don't either. I think one thing is you can't out
00:26:32.180
liberal the liberals, and they're trying to out conservative the conservatives. That's what their
00:26:36.500
move is on, for example, the northern military initiatives, or so their move is on the carbon tax.
00:26:42.940
But I think it's still absolutely positive for the possible for the conservatives to win.
00:26:48.840
I think the liberals are in fact making it easier than they should for the conservatives to win.
00:26:53.300
I see that Mark Carney recently hired the senior executive from an outrageous thing called the
00:26:58.060
Century Initiative. I don't know if you've heard of that. That's this wacky NGO dedicated
00:27:05.100
to tripling Canadian immigration levels to make it so there are 100 million people in the country,
00:27:13.920
not the 40 million we have now. Could you imagine if everything Trudeau has done on immigration,
00:27:20.580
shocking numbers, which has made all of us poorer, which has brought enormous crime, cultural
00:27:26.720
friction, especially anti-Semitism and Sikh extremism and all sorts of battles on the streets,
00:27:34.380
could you imagine someone saying, that's not enough? What we have to do is triple those numbers.
00:27:40.660
We have to bring in two times more Canada into Canada in the next 10 or 15 years. Could you imagine
00:27:51.180
someone doing that? That's who Mark Carney has hired as a senior position. I think that shouts as a
00:27:59.840
weakness. If you look at Canadian issues, immigration is as really grown as an issue in the past couple of
00:28:07.560
years. There's no longer a, I think it was always a fake consensus in favor of mass immigration, but it
00:28:13.320
is no longer here. I think this is the time for the conservative party to go tough on immigration.
00:28:19.160
That's something that Mark Carney and the liberals will never be able to steal. I think going hard on
00:28:23.560
crime is a similar issue too. I guess what I'm here to say is it's not over. Don't lose your mind.
00:28:31.880
Don't read too much into the polls. In fact, sometimes those polls are designed
00:28:35.040
to demoralize us. Don't worry that conservatives are being tricked. They're not. In fact, I think
00:28:40.840
this is the opportunity for the conservatives to become more conservative and go places Mark Carney
00:28:45.760
can't go. And by the way, I think the election is going to be called this weekend. There's still
00:28:51.140
a lot of times to put questions to Mark Carney, questions that even Bob Fyfe won't ask. We'll show
00:28:57.260
you some of those in the weeks ahead. Stay with us. My interview with Daniel Pipes is next.
00:29:05.040
Well, the world has been riveted by Donald Trump's attempts to broker a peace between Russia and
00:29:17.660
Ukraine and Vladimir Zelensky's frenetic diplomacy, both in the United States and in Europe. At the
00:29:24.680
same time, Canada has been navel-gazing with our own political internal problems. The Liberal Party
00:29:30.320
will be putting Parliament on hold until they sort things out. And now we're in a crash election,
00:29:35.100
where we will be in about 48 hours. And of course, the tariffs and Donald Trump basically takes up all
00:29:40.680
the oxygen in the room, which is different from a few months ago when every day the news was focused
00:29:47.100
on the war between Israel and Hamas. It's almost as if that fell off the front pages. But alas,
00:29:54.360
things are heating back up again. What is going on between Israel and Gaza? What's going on in the
00:29:59.960
region? Is it possible that Donald Trump can have an Abraham Accords round two? He's mused about ideas,
00:30:08.100
some of them creative, like his idea to turn Gaza into a Dubai-like, you know, gem in the Middle East.
00:30:16.240
I'm not sure how realistic that is. Who follows these things closely? Who can we trust to let us know
00:30:22.060
what's actually going on? Well, it's our friend Daniel Pipes. He's the boss of the Middle East Forum,
00:30:26.180
and we're delighted to have him back on the show. Dr. Pipes, great to see you again. I suppose we're
00:30:31.960
here in Canada, and Canada seems so important when you're in Canada. And of course, it's important to
00:30:36.660
40 million Canadians. What happened to the story we were all following until January, namely the war
00:30:43.820
between Israel and Hamas? Has that war started to ratchet up again? What's the status?
00:30:48.340
Well, thank you for the kind words, Ezra. As you may recall, just before his inauguration,
00:30:58.700
Donald Trump, while still president-elect, pushed through a deal between Israel and Hamas.
00:31:07.240
He really pushed it. I mean, notably, his envoy demanded that Benjamin Netanyahu break the Sabbath
00:31:17.380
to talk to talk to him about the deal. So it was very much pushed through. And it was a complex deal
00:31:24.920
with three different stages, many different paragraphs and clauses. The first one was implemented,
00:31:33.220
and the second one was being discussed. And basically what happened is that Israel and Hamas
00:31:39.380
did not come to terms on the second round. And therefore, Israel, a few days ago, restarted the
00:31:46.620
war with Hamas. And therefore, the Houthis in Yemen are threatening to restart the attacks on Red Sea
00:31:53.960
shipping. And therefore, all sorts of other lucks is taking place in and around Israel and the
00:32:02.760
Palestinians. The war is not just being fought in the Middle East. That's where the guns and the bombs
00:32:11.360
and the rockets are being shot. But of course, it's a psychological political war all around the
00:32:16.320
world. It's been a propaganda battlefield on social media and elsewhere. And it felt like the mood
00:32:23.520
of that psychological battle changed when Trump won in November, because of course, he's much less
00:32:30.820
permissive of Islamic terrorism. And basically, America being he's very assertive militarily. And
00:32:38.220
he showed in his first term not to have a lot of patience for Palestinian terrorism. So it felt like
00:32:43.840
the glorious October 7th massacre revolutionaries had a moral setback. At least, I don't know, maybe
00:32:53.580
that's an aesthetic observation that has no ties to what's happening on the ground. I guess another way
00:33:01.160
I'm saying that is it felt like in the November election of Trump, Hamas lost and their momentum
00:33:08.520
would soon be spent. And of course, when Hezbollah was decimated and the head of Hezbollah,
00:33:13.840
was killed and then Syria fell, it felt like a general collapse of Islamist or terrorist groups.
00:33:22.140
Is Hamas still powerful? What do they still run? I guess I'm trying to separate the propaganda
00:33:29.380
battles, which play out in social media with the military battles on the ground. How is Hamas doing?
00:33:36.000
Who's running it? What are their weapons like? Who's funding them?
00:33:39.540
We are actually right that towards the end of the Biden administration, the very weak,
00:33:46.760
passive Biden administration, a number of developments took place in the Middle East,
00:33:52.940
very conducive to Israel and indeed American and Western interests more broadly. Then came Donald Trump,
00:34:00.040
even before his presidency, as I just indicated, with this plethora of energy and doing everything all the
00:34:08.180
time. The surprising thing, and really I can't account for it, is that there are two developments
00:34:16.780
in the Middle East that don't make sense to me, one of which is what you're pointing to. Hamas did not go on
00:34:24.000
to do the second stage. From my point of view, this was a good deal for Hamas. Basically, what it did
00:34:32.300
was give the Hamas possession of some 50 Israelis dead and alive the ability to close an Israeli and attack
00:34:43.100
on Gaza. It looked very good from the Hamas point of view. And simultaneously, Donald Trump has offered
00:34:52.700
to negotiate with the Iranians. And the Iranians are like Hamas in a weak position. As you indicated,
00:35:00.120
they lost their ally in Syria. They also lost their air defense network after the Israelis destroyed it
00:35:09.560
in late 2024. They're weak. The rial, their currency, has gone up to nearly a million to the US dollar.
00:35:18.360
Everything is looking bad. And yet, abruptly, immediately, the Iranian government said, no,
00:35:25.640
Trump can go jump in a lake. We're not going to discuss anything with him. I would have thought,
00:35:30.360
they would negotiate. And the Iranians are known as wily, bizarrely rug merchants who would extend
00:35:38.520
the negotiations over weeks and months. Yet that didn't happen. So in both cases, Hamas and Tehran
00:35:44.440
chose not to go the negotiating route and therefore opening themselves up to both Israeli and American
00:35:52.040
military action. I can't explain it. I don't know what's going on through their heads. It really does make
00:35:57.800
no sense to me. Well, help me understand something. And I don't know if you can. I mean, in Canada,
00:36:04.680
our Canadian government, which I think is very much supportive, is one of the most supportive
00:36:09.960
NATO countries in respect of Hamas, just sending tens of millions of dollars more into Gaza. I think a lot
00:36:17.720
of that is going to be either stolen or outrightly just received by Hamas or Hamas-affiliated
00:36:22.840
organizations. Who is actually running things in the Gaza Strip? Is it under Israeli domination? Is
00:36:31.240
the border with Egypt sealed? Are there Hamas mayors running around? Who's in control of the
00:36:40.360
territory? It doesn't feel like it is pacified or demilitarized. I don't know what it would look
00:36:49.800
like on the ground. It feels like it's unfinished work. Well, the Israelis appear to have decided not
00:36:57.720
to take control of the territory. It's not that big. It's about 30 kilometers by 20. They could have.
00:37:07.880
They chose not to. They have been engaged in raids, but they have not actually taken control of the
00:37:15.480
territory. And therefore, there's a chaotic quality to it. Hamas, to the best of my understanding,
00:37:24.200
retains control. It doesn't control everything everywhere. But insofar as there is an authority
00:37:31.080
in Gaza, it is not the Israeli Defense Forces. It is Hamas. And the Israelis appear to have allowed this.
00:37:39.080
They appear to have not made efforts to disrupt the Hamas control. So, for example,
00:37:44.920
the aid that you mentioned, Canadian and otherwise, goes to Hamas, which then distributes it, keeps a
00:37:51.000
great deal for itself, whether it be food, fuel, or money, and then distributes some of it to the
00:37:57.720
population at large. But it's Hamas that's in charge. Hamas is still in charge. It has not been destroyed.
00:38:06.520
The Israelis have talked about destroying Hamas. They've talked about total and complete victory.
00:38:12.120
They have not, in fact, from what I can tell at a distance, taken the steps necessary to accomplish
00:38:18.440
those two goals of destruction of Hamas and victory over Hamas.
00:38:24.120
You know, Trump has been very sympathetic to the hostages. He's met with released hostages
00:38:29.800
or the family of hostages that were murdered. Even on his inauguration day, he called them up to his
00:38:35.720
speech and he sort of forgot to dismiss them. So they stood on the stage as he gave an enormous part of
00:38:41.000
his inauguration remarks. He's met with them at the White House. And after that, he's talked about
00:38:47.800
the horrific things done to them. And he's used language like Israel can do anything, you know,
00:38:52.600
finish them off. Like, he's used such dramatic language, very different from the, you know, ambiguous,
00:39:00.120
ambivalent language of the left. I wonder, does that follow through? Like, Trump is a very rhetorical
00:39:08.360
person. He uses language dramatically, hyperbole, social media. Like, it's riveting, it's entertaining.
00:39:15.480
How much of that gets implemented in the field? Like, I remember Israel, he once said, well, Israel,
00:39:23.640
why did you sell a bunch of weapons to Israel? I think he said, because they paid for it or something.
00:39:28.120
Like, I mean, just funny little one-liners. But has Israel indeed been given the grin like to finish
00:39:33.960
the job? Is the holdup on the Israeli side? I just, maybe there's a larger deal at play. Let me throw
00:39:40.440
one more thing into it. I remember when Israel detonated all those pagers and it just decimated
00:39:48.600
the leadership of Hezbollah in almost a Hollywood movie style. Jared Kushner, who I think was instrumental
00:39:56.040
in the first Abraham Accords, he wrote a long letter on Twitter, it was a public letter, and he said that
00:40:01.240
he had studied the map for hours and he could never figure out a way around Hezbollah. He felt like it
00:40:06.200
was giving Iran a veto in the region because it had so many weapons and it was much more sophisticated
00:40:12.120
than Hamas. And he remarked after that amazing preemptive strike by Israel that this made a whole
00:40:21.240
raft of possible things, this had different scenarios possible than ever were before. Maybe that's obvious,
00:40:27.880
but it was interesting to hear it from one of the architects of the original Abraham Accords. He said,
00:40:32.920
finally, maybe we can solve the regional issues because this implacable problem has been solved.
00:40:39.800
So maybe something is afoot beneath the surface that we don't see with the Saudis, with other
00:40:47.240
parties. Maybe that's the reason Israel's holding off. I don't know. That's nothing but speculation on
00:40:52.040
my part. I'm just waiting for things to be mopped up and I don't see it and I'm trying to understand why.
00:40:56.600
As you say, maybe there are things going on that we don't know about. That's certainly possible,
00:41:03.080
but assuming that's not the case and that we basically do understand the situation.
00:41:10.440
The Israelis have been ambivalent because they've had two goals. On the one hand,
00:41:21.080
as Benjamin Netanyahu has articulated, I count some 80 times, he wants total victory, complete victory,
00:41:29.880
absolute victory, and the like over Hamas. Very clear. Destruction of Hamas. No more Hamas.
00:41:36.840
On the other hand, Hamas took some 250 hostages, of which some 50 dead and alive remain. And the
00:41:46.920
return of the hostages, whether alive or dead, has been a parallel, urgent, paramount goal. Not so
00:41:57.240
much of the government, but of the population. Poll after poll has shown the population sees the return
00:42:04.440
of hostages as the most important goal. More important by implication than victory or destruction
00:42:10.680
of Hamas. So they've been at least two goals and they're incompatible. Because either you're
00:42:17.880
negotiating with Hamas for the hostages or you're destroying it. You can't do both at once.
00:42:23.960
And it's a very bizarre thing. I like to contrast, this may sound odd at first, but I'd like to contrast
00:42:31.560
Pearl Harbor, December 7, 1941, with Hamas attack on October 7, 2023. Amas attack led to 1,200 deaths.
00:42:42.600
Pearl Harbor led to 2,400 deaths. So same order of magnitude. Pearl Harbor was about destroying ships
00:42:50.520
and planes, not about killing people. Yeah, that's nice from a Japanese point of view. But the point was,
00:42:55.480
there was all out war coming and you destroy the ships and the planes. Hamas did not attack a military
00:43:02.440
base. It attacked young people at a music festival. It wasn't interested in war, the implements of war.
00:43:10.760
It was interested in people, killing people and taking hostages. Imagine that the Japanese had gone to
00:43:18.120
Hawaii and taken hostages. Imagine that a whole American approach in response was to get the return of
00:43:24.200
hostages. It's absurd. And yet that is what the Israelis have done. They've made the return of
00:43:30.440
hostages so important. And therefore, the government, the military have been constrained
00:43:38.200
because they are worried that if they are too aggressive, they take too many steps to destroy
00:43:44.760
Hamas and control Gaza, the hostages will be killed, will be murdered. So that's why I think
00:43:51.720
the Israelis have been so reticent and inconsistent, talking absolute victory on the one hand,
00:43:57.800
negotiating in fine detail over how the hostages are going to be released, where and when and who
00:44:04.680
and so forth. It's a very, very strange thing. In general, I've been a critic of the Israeli
00:44:12.760
security establishment. I've seen the Israeli public as being tough, security establishment as being
00:44:17.880
appeasing. I'm sorry to say, it's the reverse now. It's the Israeli public that's been appeasing.
00:44:25.320
Let me ask you one last question. I appreciate your time. Trump talked about Gaza, taking it over,
00:44:31.720
rebuilding it, maybe relocating Palestinians. I could see glimmers of an idea under it to create. I mean,
00:44:39.880
Gaza should be beautiful. It's on the Mediterranean, which is notorious in a good way for its beautiful
00:44:45.720
beaches. I mean, this is the same place where, you know, Barcelona, or so many Italian, or even Tel Aviv
00:44:55.320
has got a great beach. It could be wonderful. It could be a Dubai. But you've brainwashed two million
00:45:02.680
people there over decades to be absolutely Nazi-like in their views towards Israel. Like, it's shocking to
00:45:12.440
me that the popular people say, oh, it's just a must on the population. In polls by Arab pollsters,
00:45:18.120
75% of the population supports terrorism, even now.
00:45:27.800
I think if you look at the polls, both before October 7th and after, now after is very difficult,
00:45:36.040
in particular, you see a lot of dissent. You also anecdotally see a lot of dissent. There are
00:45:42.280
quite a few Gazans who are really upset, who want real changes. And I think it's a mistake to dismiss
00:45:49.160
the entire population as Nazi-like, as murderous. I think there are plenty of Gazans who want out,
00:45:56.600
especially now. But look, you know, historically, the West Bank was less hardline vis-a-vis Israel
00:46:04.600
than Gaza. Gaza was the place where they really, really felt strongly anti-Zionist. But as a result
00:46:11.240
of the experience of the last close to 20 years, where the West Bank has basically been left alone.
00:46:17.720
Israelis go in, they take someone out, but they basically left it alone. In contrast, Gaza,
00:46:23.720
because Hamas has over and over again, I think six times, attacked Israel and therefore been
00:46:31.320
attacked and returned by Israel and had massive destruction of buildings and infrastructure,
00:46:37.560
water, sewage, electricity. The Gazans are no longer the hardliners. Poll after poll after poll for years
00:46:44.680
now have shown the Gazans are more open to working with Israel. So I think it would be very advantageous
00:46:53.320
to Israel to find those Gazans to encourage that sentiment. I believe what the Israelis should be
00:47:00.040
doing is looking for Gazans who will work with them, not necessarily friends, but people who work
00:47:04.760
with them. And I would like to see the Israelis sponsor the Gazan-run administration and security
00:47:10.920
force that will control Gaza. I'd like to see them do what they did not do after they took Gaza down
00:47:17.800
the West Bank in 1967, which is to run a tough police state-like operation, where if you stay
00:47:25.560
out of politics, you're fine. You get involved in politics, you're in trouble. Police state, I mean
00:47:30.440
like Egypt and Jordan, the neighboring countries. This is not North Korea, but you and I as North
00:47:37.560
Americans would not want to live there. But you can live a peaceful life there. I'd like to see
00:47:43.320
the Israelis build that kind of administration. They've not done it. Netanyahu's talked about it
00:47:48.520
about a year ago. He talked about this as the goal. But there's so many distractions, so many
00:47:53.640
tensions and pressures that it's not been implemented. I hope they will get to that point.
00:47:59.640
You know, it was August of 2023 that Rebel News had a mission. We called it the Abraham Accords trip.
00:48:07.480
We went to Israel for a week, and then we flew directly from Tel Aviv to Dubai. And on both sides,
00:48:13.960
we met with people talking about the Abraham Accords. And it felt almost like a utopian time.
00:48:19.240
It felt like everything was possible. And to land on an El Al jet, flying over Saudi Arabia,
00:48:26.600
landing in Dubai, having people with Emirati headdress saying, welcome to Dubai, and stamping
00:48:34.040
you with a passport that obviously just came from Israel was so heartwarming. Like, I mean,
00:48:40.920
myself, I thought anything's possible. And for the first time, as I walked around Dubai and then Abu
00:48:46.280
Dhabi, look, they have a Holocaust museum in the UAE. And not celebrating the Holocaust,
00:48:52.360
let me jump in, you know, lamenting it, mourning it, memorializing it. There's actually a state-built
00:48:58.040
synagogue and church next to a mosque in Abu Dhabi that's used. Rabbis say they get less hassle in
00:49:08.760
Dubai than they do in New York City, incredibly. I felt like everything was possible. And I remember
00:49:14.520
standing in front of a large mosque in Dubai, and instead of feeling fear, I felt curiosity. And I could
00:49:21.080
admire the art and the design of it, because I no longer felt like it was a source of danger to me.
00:49:27.080
For the first time in my life, I was in a Muslim country, and I didn't feel danger or hate.
00:49:33.640
And I left that trip so encouraged and enthused. And then two months later, a Nazi-like massacre.
00:49:41.240
Do you think we can get back on track for that hopeful Abraham Accords round two? Like,
00:49:48.680
do you think it's possible? Or has Gaza screwed things up, which I think was part of the purpose of it?
00:49:57.640
I do think it's possible. Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the United Arab Emirates more broadly,
00:50:05.080
are the leaders of the Arab-Muslim world. What Egypt was in the 1960s, what Iran was in the 1990s,
00:50:16.520
the U.S. U.A. is today? It is the leader. It has money. It has worldwide networks.
00:50:27.640
It has prestige. It's a place people aspire to go to. So I think that model endures. Yes, it's been pushed
00:50:38.200
aside for the time being by Gaza. But I don't think Gaza, as a model, has no money, has no high rises,
00:50:49.160
there's no glamour, has no attraction. I think we will come out of this career intact.
00:50:58.440
Well, I'm going to disagree with you only on one thing, the glamour. I look across the West, I look at
00:51:03.640
New York City, Toronto, Montreal, London, and all that Gaza has is glamour in the hearts of Marxist,
00:51:13.320
Antifa, anti-Western dissidents across the West. It is the glamourist movement of the era. Even
00:51:21.880
Gerata Thunberg has, you know, thrown away her climate activism. She's now a Gaza activist. And of
00:51:29.080
Glamour for the hard left, yes. But the hard left is not that powerful.
00:51:36.120
Well, it feels powerful to me when I look at our universities, when I see 100,000 people marching
00:51:41.080
in London, England, chanting from the river to the sea, I feel like they're powerful. Demographically,
00:51:46.520
I feel like they're powerful. They have will and impact that's beyond their numbers, to be sure.
00:51:54.680
But I think their moment has passed. Let me give the illustration of the United States House of
00:52:03.800
Representatives, where the so-called squad is made up, depends how you're counted, of four to six
00:52:08.920
members, maybe eight even, out of 435. One percent? Two percent? It's very small, demographically, but very
00:52:19.720
loud and drove the agenda to a certain extent. I think that moment has passed. I think the
00:52:30.040
period of 2020 to 22 was a high-water mark for the hard left. And it reached into all sorts of
00:52:38.840
unpredictable areas, such as toilets, public toilets, such as fashion, having fat people become
00:52:46.840
fashion models. I think that's all in a treat. Now, I don't deny that the outspoken, determined hard
00:52:55.960
left has an outsized impact, but I don't think it can drive developments. I don't think that Gaza can
00:53:09.160
Well, I hope you're right, because I'm here in Canada and I see the relentless march of the hard
00:53:16.760
left. Now, I think a lot of that's driven by mass immigration, but we won't get into that now. Dr.
00:53:20.840
Pipes, what a pleasure to catch up with you. And we followed this battle quite closely. Of course,
00:53:26.600
Donald Trump has completely disrupted everything, foreign affairs, economics,
00:53:32.600
western relations, NATO. It's quite a dramatic moment, so it's good to talk about this important issue
00:53:40.120
again. Thanks very much for spending the time with us. Thank you for inviting me. Right on. There you have
00:53:45.000
it. Dr. Daniel Pipes of the Middle East Forum. Stay with us. More ahead.
00:53:48.920
Hey, welcome back. Your letters to me on Trudeau's two pensions. Crazy Boy Radio says,
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not to mention the extra $400 million he has received in office. You know what? I don't think
00:54:14.920
that there is a source for that. We know that Mark Carney has made a lot of money on the side
00:54:19.400
while working for government, and we know that American senators have, and some of them disclose
00:54:24.920
that wealth, and that's how we know they're so wealthy. They're fancy stock trades. But I don't think
00:54:30.760
there's any evidence that Justin Trudeau has amassed $400 million while in office. It wouldn't
00:54:37.640
shock me if he had. I mean, we know the Chinese would happily have paid it, but I don't think there's
00:54:43.560
any evidence of that. If you have any, send it over, and boy, we'll toot that horn.
00:54:48.520
Mikey Boy says, Franco Territzano's name and the way he looks is a character out of Goodfellas,
00:54:53.800
and that is exactly who I want staying on top of the far-left liberals, taxpayer-funded deficit
00:54:58.360
spending, a smart young man who has a great future ahead of him. Thank you for serving Canadians.
00:55:05.080
Well, I like Franco a lot, and I hope you're not casting an dispersion there. I really like
00:55:11.560
Franco. I think he's got a great attitude. He's got high energy. He's loyal to taxpayers. I love
00:55:17.160
his name, too. I think he's just an absolutely top-notch guy, so I'm sure he'll take your
00:55:25.960
compliment in the spirit it's intended. On Tommy Robinson, ABM says,
00:55:31.000
what a disgrace that has taken someone outside Britain to bring this to the court. Well done,
00:55:36.600
Elon. You're referring to Elon Musk and the fact that he has, since the beginning of the year,
00:55:41.320
been funding Tommy's legal fees, and I think it's amazing, and it shows that Elon puts his money where
00:55:46.760
his mouth is. Well, that's the show for today, and that's it for the week. Until next time,
00:55:53.140
on behalf of us here at Rebel World Headquarters, to you at home, good night, and keep fighting for freedom.