Red Ice TV - May 24, 2023


Declining Birth Rates Worldwide, Everything Is Going To Change

Hosted by
Henrik Palmgren Lana Lokteff
Mentioned
Jamie Drummond Saharan Africans
Germany To Import A Quarter Of A Million Kenyans No-Go Zone： Election Circus Begins, The Color Of White Supremacy, “Pregnant Thug”

Episode Stats


Length

12 minutes

Words per minute

172.01

Word count

2,102

Sentence count

178

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Toxicity

15

sentences flagged

Hate speech

9

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Birth rates in the United States have been falling rapidly since the Great Recession, and are falling even faster than they have been in recent decades. In Africa, fertility rates are also falling fast, and some countries are having fewer than 1,000 births per woman per year. Is this a good or bad thing?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 We're about to be living on a world that is going to have, if current trends continue,
00:00:06.120 a lot less urban sprawl and endless developments and mega cities in them and stuff like that.
00:00:12.160 I personally, at the end of the day, think this is a good thing.
00:00:15.740 We've taken this step into this direction first here as Westerners, as white people generally.
00:00:21.400 This is a story that talks about this, the mystery of the declining U.S. birth rates.
00:00:26.520 Now, of course, people will tie in other things here.
00:00:29.860 Yes, it's the vax, it's the health issues, it's people want to have the propagandize into having less kids.
00:00:35.720 It's more LGBTQ people out there now.
00:00:38.320 They can't have kids. There's all these reasons, that kind of thing.
00:00:40.600 And I think they're all valid. I think it all makes sense, right?
00:00:44.800 But there's an overall trend that have been ongoing for decades in many of our countries, right?
00:00:50.280 Which essentially, as we can figure it out so far, modernization.
00:00:54.400 It's a universal drop.
00:00:58.040 We've gone first, and it's dropping the most among white people.
00:01:01.600 But some of the other groups, like take Mexicans or even some South Americans,
00:01:07.020 or as we'll look in a moment, some African countries,
00:01:09.520 they're declining faster than white people were.
00:01:13.540 Up until the Great Recession, the number of babies born per woman in the United States
00:01:17.940 had been quite stable for the previous three decades.
00:01:20.560 The birth rate fluctuated within a relatively narrow range,
00:01:24.740 often along with economic conditions,
00:01:26.820 with fewer babies born during lean times
00:01:28.940 and with births recovering when their economic growth was stronger.
00:01:32.400 However, the U.S. birth rate has fallen precipitously since 2007,
00:01:37.080 the Great Recession, with no signs of reversing.
00:01:40.200 This decline cannot be explained by demographic, economic, or policy changes.
00:01:44.120 It is reflective of lower childbearing rates across successive cohorts.
00:01:49.500 And of course, it's declining in the U.S.
00:01:51.220 It's declining in Europe.
00:01:52.640 Fertility in Europe, which countries have the highest and lowest numbers,
00:01:55.800 numbers of live births per woman?
00:01:59.240 And it's the same there.
00:02:01.580 Fertility rate in the EU increased by 8% over the last two decades,
00:02:05.960 but the number of children being born has started to gradually fall.
00:02:09.340 More than 4 million babies have been born in the European Union every year
00:02:12.960 in the last three decades, but these numbers are showing a downward trend.
00:02:16.880 Again, in spite of immigration.
00:02:20.720 And then they go through which countries have the lowest and highest,
00:02:22.800 and you can see them listed here.
00:02:24.780 Not a single country is above replacement.
00:02:29.020 And then here's a graph with the stats of it, too.
00:02:32.560 Declining birth rates is happening all over the place, folks.
00:02:36.260 But they're saying, Africa is so youthful, right?
00:02:39.820 This is where our future lies.
00:02:42.460 We're going to just import sub-Saharan Africans and we'll be golden. 1.00
00:02:45.940 As Africa's population doubles, a lot of them, 1.00
00:02:49.200 whatever the circumstances, will be coming to Europe.
00:02:52.260 As economic migrants or as refugees, they will be coming. 1.00
00:02:56.060 Many of them.
00:02:57.160 And that is a good thing, because we will be senile.
00:03:00.220 We will be senescent demographically.
00:03:02.020 We will need their youthful energy to do stuff.
00:03:06.120 That's just what the economic statistics tell you.
00:03:08.060 Yeah, the economics.
00:03:08.980 Demands, you know, and demography is destiny.
00:03:10.440 Demands, the economic data demands this.
00:03:12.680 Demands, this commie is going to tell you what the economic data demands. 0.76
00:03:16.820 Europe and Africa are going to have a very close 21st century.
00:03:20.400 There he is.
00:03:21.000 He, in 2015, Jamie, one, and partners helped persuade world leaders
00:03:27.140 to agree to the global goals for sustainable developments.
00:03:33.100 Well, it's declining faster than expected in Africa, too,
00:03:38.340 according to recent demographic data.
00:03:41.900 The world's peak population may be smaller than expected,
00:03:45.060 the economists said here.
00:03:45.860 New evidence suggests Africa's birth rates are falling fast.
00:03:49.000 Now, they were hoping for this, right?
00:03:50.640 Just like Jamie Drummond says.
00:03:53.180 We're just looking to Africa.
00:03:54.680 We're going to import the third world, and things are going to be great. 1.00
00:03:58.720 It's going to do wonders for the economy, folks.
00:04:02.380 You know, that kind of thing.
00:04:02.780 That's what they thought.
00:04:04.140 Well, they'll try, and they will certainly keep doing this for a little bit,
00:04:08.880 but long term, that's not going to work either.
00:04:11.540 At conferences and in cabinet meetings across the continent,
00:04:14.560 politicians and policymakers fret about how to educate, employ, house,
00:04:18.560 and feed a population that the UN expects to grow at a breakneck speed
00:04:23.140 from around 1.2 billion people now to 3.4 billion people by 2100,
00:04:29.720 and their solution, bringing them to the West.
00:04:32.580 This is literally part of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
00:04:35.520 Lift them out of poverty, bringing them to the West. 1.00
00:04:37.640 Across the rich world, environmentalists fear the impact.
00:04:39.760 Yeah, where are they, by the way?
00:04:40.920 They've been damn silent.
00:04:43.000 Fear the impact on the climate and planet of an extra 2 billion people.
00:04:46.500 Yes, if you have noticed a wealth of new data that suggests
00:04:50.880 that Africa's birth rate is falling far more quickly than expected.
00:04:55.980 Some countries here, like Uganda, have almost 7 children per woman
00:04:59.720 from 2005 to 7.
00:05:01.620 That was the number then.
00:05:02.600 Now, in 2021, according to the latest available statistics,
00:05:05.720 in Uganda, it's down to 5.
00:05:06.900 It's 2 less children.
00:05:08.600 And long term, that's a lot, you see.
00:05:10.820 And that could drop very, very quickly,
00:05:14.580 depending on different circumstances.
00:05:16.960 Well, furthermore, I mean, even if the West falls,
00:05:19.600 like if the West collapses, can't take care of itself economically,
00:05:22.500 no more aid, what do you think is going to happen in these countries?
00:05:25.120 It would be the biggest starvation, you know, scenario,
00:05:29.940 whatever you want to call it, catastrophe,
00:05:31.540 that you've ever seen in some of these countries.
00:05:33.640 This is, of course, why they have to learn to prop up themselves
00:05:35.980 and take care of themselves.
00:05:37.020 They can't rely on UN milk and rice rations
00:05:40.860 to be dumped, you know, on their heads every other month.
00:05:43.080 And what do you do to work that?
00:05:46.000 Well, you certainly don't prop up their number,
00:05:47.900 making them dependent on us,
00:05:49.260 either to export them into our countries
00:05:51.860 or just propping up all their systems
00:05:53.840 because there will be a collapse.
00:05:55.000 Eventually, we either won't be able to do that
00:05:58.200 or don't want to do that.
00:05:59.800 So Club of Rome had been a pernicious, insidious think tank
00:06:03.400 that published this book, The Limits to Growth,
00:06:05.620 warning that consumption of population growth
00:06:07.900 would lead to economic collapse.
00:06:09.480 Now it says the population bump may never go off.
00:06:13.400 It reckons sub-Saharan Africa's population
00:06:15.320 may peak as soon as 2060,
00:06:17.140 which is 40 years earlier than the UN's projections.
00:06:19.940 And hopefully it's even sooner than that.
00:06:21.780 At the end of the day, this means,
00:06:24.460 as I said before,
00:06:27.840 less suburban sprawl and more woods.
00:06:31.120 And I'm totally okay with that.
00:06:32.920 That means short-term, tumultuous things.
00:06:35.880 That means we're not going to be able to upkeep things
00:06:37.980 in the neoliberal capitalist system
00:06:39.680 like we've done before, but who cares?
00:06:41.460 At the end of the day, 1.00
00:06:42.360 who cares about your cheap crap 1.00
00:06:45.820 that you can buy from China? 1.00
00:06:47.260 We need a complete overhaul anyway
00:06:49.360 of the economic system,
00:06:50.940 of the production in our countries,
00:06:54.120 how we get things, food production.
00:06:55.820 It all needs to be localized.
00:06:57.280 It needs to be done in-house.
00:06:59.220 We can do it with technology.
00:07:00.880 We can do it with robots, automation.
00:07:02.480 Even AI, to a certain extent,
00:07:04.120 or some of these jobs now.
00:07:05.360 Everything is about to be overhauled. 1.00
00:07:07.060 Don't sit on your ass 0.99
00:07:09.240 and expect all these trends 1.00
00:07:11.140 that they've given us to continue
00:07:12.380 and always be the same
00:07:13.460 and that we're doomed demographically
00:07:15.180 and stuff like that.
00:07:16.120 Is it going to be hard?
00:07:16.820 Yes.
00:07:17.520 But all kinds of things
00:07:19.560 can and probably will happen along the way.
00:07:23.420 Things we can't even imagine right now
00:07:25.160 that will upend everything.
00:07:27.100 So we've got to be dynamic and flexible.
00:07:28.860 We've got to be able to adapt
00:07:31.220 to the situation as it is.
00:07:33.200 As long as we maintain us as a group
00:07:36.020 and continue to exist
00:07:37.180 and have somewhere to exist,
00:07:40.700 if we lose that, we lose everything.
00:07:45.440 You have to have that eye on the prize.
00:07:48.040 Don't expect the one thing
00:07:49.420 that you think now
00:07:50.840 is always going to play out in the future.
00:07:52.580 There are so many things
00:07:54.100 that could just be different, right?
00:07:57.540 It could be catastrophes.
00:07:58.660 It could be all kinds of things
00:07:59.820 where these populations decline
00:08:01.340 or fall even faster
00:08:02.620 because of politics,
00:08:04.640 because of the natural disasters,
00:08:06.240 because of the collapse of the food supply,
00:08:08.100 because even elites having hubris
00:08:10.160 and overplaying their hand,
00:08:11.140 trying to control too many things
00:08:12.600 or trying to sabotage things.
00:08:14.760 Much of their interventions
00:08:16.060 have, of course, led to the increase
00:08:18.540 of the numbers of many of these populations
00:08:20.760 in the third and second world.
00:08:21.980 And largely, again,
00:08:23.280 it's, of course,
00:08:24.020 because of white ingenuity 0.77
00:08:25.640 and they're shared
00:08:26.460 with other populations
00:08:27.900 and other groups.
00:08:28.940 So we're actually helping,
00:08:30.480 but we're being punished
00:08:31.760 and seen as the villain in the story.
00:08:33.800 It's incredible
00:08:34.560 how they've hoodwinked us
00:08:35.480 and turned us upside down.
00:08:36.540 But the point is,
00:08:37.360 we can't continue
00:08:38.220 and feed these people
00:08:39.100 because at some point,
00:08:40.580 as we're importing
00:08:41.320 already more and more of them
00:08:42.680 and as our systems
00:08:43.780 are under threat,
00:08:44.640 stability internally is under threat,
00:08:46.760 we won't be able
00:08:47.360 to feed ourselves at some point.
00:08:48.880 What do you think
00:08:49.340 is going to happen then?
00:08:50.640 Mass collapse.
00:08:51.980 They're trying to blackpill us. 0.99
00:08:56.580 They try to make us submit
00:08:57.960 to the fear
00:08:58.780 that all of these things
00:08:59.960 are written in stone
00:09:01.260 and that is not so.
00:09:03.660 Things are going to change.
00:09:05.440 It will get better.
00:09:06.960 Things are going to transform.
00:09:08.380 Is it going to be hard?
00:09:09.100 Yes, of course.
00:09:10.880 But what are we doing this for?
00:09:12.440 This is our story.
00:09:13.600 This is our challenge.
00:09:14.620 This is our great obstacle
00:09:15.800 to overcome
00:09:17.440 and to defeat, right?
00:09:20.320 This is our dragon to slay.
00:09:21.720 That's just how it is.
00:09:22.460 This is our story.
00:09:23.400 We've got to get involved
00:09:24.220 in that story
00:09:24.900 and start laying the foundations
00:09:27.560 down for something
00:09:28.280 that's going to stand
00:09:28.980 in a long, long, long time
00:09:30.340 from now, hopefully.
00:09:32.360 Be brave.
00:09:33.820 Be tough.
00:09:34.520 Be strong. 1.00
00:09:35.860 Don't let shit get you down. 1.00
00:09:37.040 Don't act like a woman 1.00
00:09:37.820 because you get some 0.61
00:09:39.100 blackpilled news.
00:09:40.080 If you have to step away
00:09:40.920 from stuff a little bit
00:09:41.660 now and then,
00:09:42.200 do that.
00:09:43.120 That's totally fine.
00:09:43.800 Do something that's fun.
00:09:45.000 Something that makes you feel
00:09:46.860 like you're alive.
00:09:47.700 Go train.
00:09:49.260 Go out in the woods.
00:09:50.600 Go camp.
00:09:51.900 Hang out with your kids
00:09:52.740 if you have them.
00:09:54.580 Do an art project.
00:09:55.560 Do whatever you need to do.
00:09:57.100 Do something that...
00:09:58.220 Read good books.
00:09:59.820 Try to encourage your story.
00:10:01.700 Learn some skills.
00:10:03.780 Improve your philosophical ability.
00:10:08.000 There's things you can do out there
00:10:09.280 to disconnect from that.
00:10:10.920 Sometimes I also see
00:10:11.920 this womanish emotional
00:10:13.880 attitudes from some of us.
00:10:16.860 You have to know
00:10:18.400 what's going on
00:10:18.980 and how bad it is.
00:10:19.860 That's not to take you down.
00:10:21.800 It's how you use that
00:10:23.620 as a fire
00:10:24.580 to get you motivated.
00:10:26.640 If it doesn't,
00:10:27.820 if it does not motivate you,
00:10:28.960 then absolutely
00:10:29.640 disconnect from those things.
00:10:31.500 But you have to be there
00:10:32.580 as an essential cog
00:10:33.600 in our machinery
00:10:34.480 to pass that on.
00:10:36.240 You need to shake
00:10:37.080 these people up
00:10:38.320 from their slumber.
00:10:40.360 Our people.
00:10:41.180 Those who don't understand
00:10:42.120 what's happening yet.
00:10:43.060 And in some cases,
00:10:44.020 yes, it's effectful
00:10:45.100 to use things
00:10:46.440 that will startle them,
00:10:48.500 essentially.
00:10:48.900 They have to understand
00:10:49.640 how bad things are.
00:10:51.200 And we're not doing that
00:10:51.880 to bring them down.
00:10:52.680 We're doing that
00:10:53.220 to drive a fire 1.00
00:10:54.880 under their ass 1.00
00:10:55.800 so they get off 1.00
00:10:56.600 their ass 1.00
00:10:57.380 and do something about it 0.99
00:10:58.480 and start getting organized
00:10:59.700 and start getting involved.
00:11:01.160 And if that means
00:11:01.760 to help wake up
00:11:02.560 more of our people,
00:11:03.360 that's great.
00:11:03.940 If it's about
00:11:04.380 building community,
00:11:05.220 that's great.
00:11:05.980 It's about networking.
00:11:07.020 If it's about
00:11:07.680 improving themselves
00:11:08.520 and the lives of them
00:11:09.660 and their family
00:11:10.160 and their kids,
00:11:10.660 all that's good stuff.
00:11:11.620 But we have to face
00:11:12.540 the reality.
00:11:14.880 You can have one foot
00:11:15.820 in the world
00:11:16.340 of our stories,
00:11:17.980 of our myths,
00:11:18.520 of our sagas,
00:11:19.300 of something
00:11:20.100 that inspires you
00:11:21.160 from our racial soul,
00:11:23.900 if you will.
00:11:24.280 That's good
00:11:25.340 and everybody needs that.
00:11:27.240 But then you can have
00:11:27.820 one foot in the real world
00:11:28.920 as well
00:11:29.260 and understand
00:11:29.860 the severity
00:11:30.480 of the situation
00:11:31.180 and study the dragon,
00:11:32.840 study the obstacle
00:11:34.140 that we obviously
00:11:34.980 put here
00:11:35.900 in this world now
00:11:37.320 to fight against,
00:11:38.800 to challenge.
00:11:42.060 That's what this is about.
00:11:43.220 That's what this is about.