Red Ice TV - September 29, 2022
Europe Have Been Prepped For A Dark Winter - How Bad Could It Get?
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
174.06282
Summary
In this episode of the podcast, I discuss the Russia's decision to cut off Europe's natural gas supply due to the Ukraine crisis, and how this is a test run for what will happen if the same thing happens in Europe in the future.
Transcript
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From the EU establishment's point of view, this is, I think, not an accident. I think they're doing
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this quite intentionally. They want to kind of cushion the blow a little bit for what ultimately
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will happen when they begin with their idiotic climate lockdowns. And these energy lockdowns,
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this crisis, this manufactured crisis, you could argue, is kind of like a test, really. It's just
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to test, well, what are the reactions of the people going to be? What's going to happen if
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we cut it off? In this case, though, they can perfectly use the Russia-Ukraine war as the
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excused. And it is a real problem. I'm not saying that. But if they were more rational
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and reasonable, they wouldn't drive a policy which caused Russia to cut off the gas entirely,
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essentially, from Europe. But they would have been more willing to negotiate, to cooperate,
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and these kinds of things. So we've kind of painted ourselves into a corner, but it's not
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an accident. Which takes me to this next story. It was Fortune magazine talking about how you
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really don't understand how bad it could get in Europe this year. Let me read a little bit
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from this. This is from today here. As bad as it is now, they're talking about the high prices of
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the electricity and just how many businesses are running on half steam, essentially. They have
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to conserve energy and electricity because they can't afford running their, whether it's a coffee
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shop or a cafe, or worse, manufacturing plants and things like this, too. But as bad as it is now,
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these might still be the good days for Europe. With winter and higher gas demand on the way,
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experts told Fortune that Europe's energy market has never been more vulnerable. Even the slightest
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uptick in energy demand anywhere in the world could push entire sectors of Europe's manufacturing
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industry to shut down entirely. Devastating European economies with a wave of unemployment,
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high prices, and in all likelihood, public unrest and divisions between European nations.
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Someone's like, is this a blessing in disguise? I don't want to say, of course, division between
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European nations, but what I'm hearing is like, oh, liberal democracy doesn't work anymore. What
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happened with globalism? Oh, what about the EU? Because, of course, the EU is very much largely
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responsible for creating this situation. You can pin it on some nations as well, but the EU elite have
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certainly, you know, created this situation for us. Prices are at a historic record levels. We have never ever seen
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anything actually like this. As soon as the war began in Ukraine, European nations scrambled to secure their
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energy systems against disruptions of natural gas supply from Russia. They had two options, increase supply of gas
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coming into the continent, or reduce the demand. Continues here. For other experts that Fortune spoke
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with, said that until summer of 2023, at least, suppliers are unlikely to be able to increase flows
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to Europe by a high enough volume to replace Russian gas. The article talks about these, like we need new
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ports in order to receive liquid natural gas, LNG, and that infrastructure is just simply not in place.
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There are countries now that are like scrambling and trying to build out, you know, their like coal
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power plants and things like that. And even in the meantime, disaster is happening when it comes to
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the old growth forests in various European countries, specifically in Romania. There was a piece we talked
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about the other day that wood pellets are now considered to be green fuel. So now they're actually cutting
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down old growth forests, turning them into wood chips, and crushing them into pellets. And then now that's a
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green option. Complete idiocy, right? With immediate supplies maxed out, Europe's energy system is
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balanced on a ledge. That means that addressing demand is the only realistic measure left at Europe's
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disposal. In other words, we're going to have to start rationing. And that could come through painful
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means like mandated and widespread energy rationing. So this is the climate lockdowns. This is the nature of
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it. Or at least the dry run test of it, I think partially intentionally created in order to see
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what happens next kind of thing. I mean, if they had a whole green infrastructure in place, then you
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would be like, well, what's the reason? If things work, right? I have to think about this and approach
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to problems. If things work, there's no reason for you to want to change things. So now they create chaos
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and they create the pain in order to get European countries to submit to the new green energy agenda,
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essentially. And it's like, well, we have no option. That's what we have to do. And that's why I think
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it's engineered and created. Continues here. European governments have already implemented some energy
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conservation and rationing laws, such as turning off traffic lights at night and dimming lights on
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historical buildings. Remember all the statues and stuff? They're like turning off the lights. We don't
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even see our monument. It's so symbolic. I mean, you can't make it up. They have stopped short of
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ordering consumers to lower their energy use, but with energy demand much higher during the winter,
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they may be forced to make some difficult choices. Reducing gas demand in Europe, either through
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rationing or higher prices, could have a prolonged and debilitating effect on Europe's society. And it's
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already having destabilizing consequences for some industries and economies, completely according to
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the line, absolute zero, agenda 2030, all that stuff. And then, of course, you have the other
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issue with the higher prices as well, that they turn up and up and up and up and up the prices.
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And it's like, as far as I know, there hasn't been any blackouts or rolling blackouts and stuff. And
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look, I get it. It's like, well, if you raise the prices, they will start using less, right? But it
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looks like the energy is actually there, but the prices is just going up. So the energy companies,
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as a kind of a, in a way, kind of a bribe, I guess, of sort of going along with this is that they're
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making record profits right now because prices are so high. Over 70% of your, here's the other
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kicker here, right? Over 70% of European fertilizer producers, which rely on the ammonia extracted from
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natural gas production, have already halted operations. So here we go. Yet another of the
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the check marks accomplished here. Soaring energy costs are forcing those European factories
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and manufacturers to slow down operations. But the worst case scenario would be a shutdown
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of European manufacturing industries most reliant on natural gas, including glass makers and steel
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companies. The crisis could not have come at a worse time for Europe as the continent's energy
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system is still recovering from a summer of extreme weather and worker strikes slowing operations.
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Combined with these challenges, this crunch could be one of the worst energy crises on the continent
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since the 1970s. It already means high prices for average Europeans, companies cutting back on
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production and a slowdown in the fertilizer industry, which of course is going to create a whole nother set
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of problems. But if it forces all kinds of industries to shut down or relocate, experts say it could lead to a
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much longer wave of unemployment and economic downturn on the continent.
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Do you see anything else that could put in the darkness here that actually could be beneficial to us
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Europeans? I can see a couple of things right here. That kind of outcome could persist long after winter is
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over. Expert says cutting back on industrial capacity could lead to, quote, lower economic
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activity, higher levels of unemployment and even greater potential for recession, unquote.
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Europe is now in a very challenging situation. I would say it is probably worse than the 1970s,
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where there was just an oil crisis. Now we're talking about a crisis with oil, nuclear,
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hydropower and gas. And then they go on to explain that this is basically a wild west scenario.
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Now, if the situation deteriorates, every European country is in for a wild west scenario.
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If rising electrical bills combined with a wave of unemployment and economic downturn, the crisis could
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spill out onto the streets. Last month, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz warned that higher energy
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bills were a powder keg for society. Europe should anticipate movements similar to the yellow jackets
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protests that happened in France back in 2018. And European politicians have to prepare for a very
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difficult season. Very bad, right? This is very bad. Then at the same time, I feel this like, well,
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how are people that are in our countries unnecessarily, who already might not have
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jobs or stuff like that, how are they going to react to this? Is there any way that this could be
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utilized for anti-liberal democracy people, anti-immigrant, you know, the open borders policy
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and stuff like that? This could potentially be something which is a catalyst for a much bigger
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movement that once and for all try to topple these forces that put us in this situation. You got to
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remember too that Ursula von der Leyen, who is partially responsible for putting us in this
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situation, passed the Green New Deal. They didn't call it that. The Green New Deal was the U.S. term,
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right? But they introduced it first and Europe came and they didn't pass it, right? And then Europe
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shows up and says, we're also going to have one. I think they just called it the Green Deal or
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something like that, right? They use Green Deal as about more than saving the planet. It's about taking
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a stab at all industries and creating a whole new fourth industrial revolution, blah, blah, blah.
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Here's the Financial Times here, that this is a moment of truth for Europe's green ambition. And again,
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so you cannot create a set of new industries or new solutions, essentially, if you do not have a
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problem to focus on. And that's why this is perfect for them.