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Relatable with Allie Beth Stuckey
- November 06, 2018
Ep 52 | Election Day!
Episode Stats
Length
26 minutes
Words per Minute
185.97284
Word Count
4,970
Sentence Count
369
Misogynist Sentences
6
Hate Speech Sentences
12
Summary
Summaries are generated with
gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ
.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
Whisper
(
turbo
).
Misogyny classification is done with
MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny
.
Hate speech classification is done with
facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target
.
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Hey guys, what's up? It's Allie. Welcome to Relatable. As you can see, I have a little bit
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of a new set. We're trying this in a different place. Hopefully we'll get some more decor. This
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is kind of like bland right now, but we'll figure it out. Don't worry. And if you have any suggestions,
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please let me know. In the past, people have gotten mad at me for using fake plants. This
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is a fake plant. I don't really know what else to do about that. I have cats. Cats and real plants
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in your house is just not a good combination at all. So if you have any better suggestions than
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me having real plants in my house, I would love your suggestions. I am not a decorating kind of
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girl. Anyone can tell you that. We've already had the conversation, those of you who follow me on
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Instagram, about decorating your dorm rooms and how every freshman now, Mary Margaret from Alpharetta
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that goes to the University of Alabama, she has like a thousand dollar designer person come in
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and decorate her dorm room. That is not me. I am not a decor girl. Anyway, if you have any advice,
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any mentorship for me, you design minded people out there for my set, please feel free to shoot
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me a message on Instagram. That is not what we're talking about today, though. I got a critique,
00:01:10.240
I guess. I never get this critique from girls. It's only from guys saying, would you please start
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the show sooner? Would you please cut through all of the stuff at the beginning and just get to the
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show? Sometimes I do that. Sometimes I have stories for you guys. Sometimes I have things that I want
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to talk about other than politics and morality and theology. I just want to rant for a second.
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Guys don't like that. My husband's already told me I hate when you go through the stories in the
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beginning. Please just get to the news. So I'm going to try to balance that. That's not what we're
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talking about today. We're not talking about Instagram. We're not talking about designing my room.
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And what we're talking about is the midterms, because if you didn't know, if you didn't realize
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today is November 6th, 2018, that means it's midterm election day. That means we're going to
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figure out if the polling has been correct at all. Is the House going to go to the Democrats? Is the
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Senate going to stay with Republicans? We don't know what I've been saying over and over again when
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people ask me my predictions is anything could happen. If 2016 taught us anything, it is that anything
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could happen. All of the polls could be wrong. And maybe all of this unrest makes you really
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nervous. Maybe you're losing sleep over all of this unpredictability. Well, if you are, then I have
00:02:25.540
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00:02:31.520
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00:02:36.500
a pillow addict in that I have a million pillows on my bed. I put pillows in between my headboard.
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I put pillows like on one side of my head, on the other side of my head. I'm basically like in a
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head cocoon of pillows because I can't ever find one pillow that's really comfortable for me until
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I got my bolster sleep pillow. It is perfect. I only have to use my bolster sleep pillow now.
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It keeps its shape all night. Also, it has cooling technology. So you never have to flip your pillow
00:03:01.500
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00:03:06.000
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transforms your life for the better. So it's worth the investment. Plus, if you go to bolstersleep.com
00:03:28.540
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use promo code Allie, A-L-L-I-E, for $100 off a mattress or an adjustable bed. You will not regret
00:04:01.040
it. Okay. Last time I checked, 538, which I think is typically reliable. Their methodology is pretty
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good. They're typically reliable when it comes to polling. They have about an 85% chance of
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Republicans keeping the Senate. They've got an 85% chance of Democrats taking the House. I think
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that's a good thing. Now, of course, if Democrats take the House, they're going to try to impeach
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Donald Trump. That's just what they're going to do. They're going to make life as miserable as
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possible for the president, of course. But if they took the Senate, they would try to take down
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Kavanaugh, or at least they say that's what they're going to do. I think it's better that they try to
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impeach Trump. Obviously, I don't want that. I think it's better that they go down that road with the
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economy doing it as well as it is, with the country is doing as well as it is. If they want to try to
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impeach Donald Trump, I think that's a bad look for Democrats, but it would bode well for us in
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2020. I don't like the idea of them trying to impeach or take down Kavanaugh if they took over
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the Senate. Also, the Supreme Court lasts a lot longer than the president does. So the repercussions
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of Kavanaugh being taken off the Supreme Court would last a lot longer than if Donald Trump was
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impeached. I don't think he's going to be impeached. I'm just telling you the Democratic playbook,
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what they're going to try to do. They're going to try to obstruct. They're going to try to
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fan as much outrage as possible from their base before 2020. That's what they're going to do.
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Newt Gingrich wrote an op-ed for Fox News. I thought it was very good. He is very optimistic,
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again, about the Senate. I think everyone is optimistic about the Senate for Republicans.
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He said that he's not going to talk about the House races because he just doesn't know. He doesn't
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know if we're going to win. It could really go either way. Now, I have seen some polling that says
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Republicans could keep the House, that there are a few races, that maybe the polling is wrong.
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It's possible for Republicans to hold the majority. That would be almost unheard of. That would be
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incredible. You guys know that the chambers of Congress typically go against who is in the White
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House. And so if it's a Republican in the White House, typically Democrats take over at least one
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chamber of Congress, either the House or the Senate. Sometimes it's both. In 1994, the Republican
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Revolution, which of course was led by Newt Gingrich, there was kind of a referendum on Bill
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Clinton. We took the House and the Senate by storm. It was the first time something like that had
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happened in several decades. I don't remember the exact statistic on that. It was like the first time
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that Republicans had controlled the House in some number of years, something crazy like that.
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It was kind of unheard of. Now, a lot of people, especially Democrats, have said that this is going
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to be the year that Republicans had in 1994. 2018 is going to be that year for the Democrats.
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It's not looking like that's the case. And you have seen their rhetoric change. They talked about
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the blue wave, the blue wave, of course, all of this resistance talk that they are going to just
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they are going to dominate in the midterms. And we're already seeing that that is not going to be
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the case. Probably. Like I said, anything could happen. It just doesn't look like they are going
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to dominate that much. They might do well in the House. Maybe they'll do better than expected in
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the Senate. Maybe they'll win some governor's races. I hope to God not like if Stacey Abrams wins,
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but maybe so. Maybe so. You never know. You know, so they might do well. So they have reason to be
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positive, but they do not have a reason to say that this is just going to be a tsunami
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of Democratic votes. And really, it should be. I mean, this is one of the most most most least
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like the least like present least liked. Sorry, I guess I can't talk. Least liked presidents in
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recent history. I mean, the resistance to him, not just from Democrats in Congress, but also in
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Hollywood, in the media, in academia, the resistance to this president, the hatred of this
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president and all of his supporters is more passionate definitely than I've seen. But I would
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say that a lot of people have seen in decades. I certainly don't remember a president being this
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hated, as hated as President Trump. So you would think that with all of that outrage and all of that
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disdain that Democrats are feeling, all the work that they have done to be able to to paint
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Donald Trump and to paint Republicans and to paint Trump supporters as these evil, awful bigots that
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are ruining the country and taking us to fascism, our our Nazi agenda that we are trying to fulfill.
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You would think with all of that rhetoric that they would be more successful, that this really
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would be a blue wave. But it's not turning out to be that. So I say even if Republicans don't do as
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well as we would like, even if we don't keep the House, which, of course, it doesn't look like
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we're going to. Even if we only keep the Senate by, you know, fewer seats than we originally wanted
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to, I still think it's a win that they are not going to take over as dramatically as they thought
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that they would. I mean, every indication says that they should write with his unpopularity,
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with the strength of the resistance, with everything that has happened with Kavanaugh,
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with health care, all of these things that were supposed to be Armageddon, the tax cuts ruin our lives
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in the world. You would think that Democrats would turn out to vote and that they would be a lot more
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enthusiastic than Republicans. But that's not really the case. And I think a lot of that is
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because of the whole Kavanaugh thing. Democrats overplayed their hand. They overplayed their hand.
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They thought that this is going to end well for them. They thought, I guess, storming the Senate
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chamber and storming the Supreme Court steps and trying to ruin a man's life based on unsubstantiated
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allegations that there would be so much public empathy for Dr. Ford and so much antipathy towards
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Kavanaugh that this would this would help them. This would play right into their hands. But it didn't.
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Instead, they didn't. I think that Democrats did not bet on Kavanaugh fighting back like he did.
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I don't think that they expected him to have the monologue that he did. Kavanaugh's monologue
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might win the midterms for Republicans. Honestly, that those few moments of him almost crying on the
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verge of tears, trying to fight for his life, fight for his name, fight for his honor, fight for his
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family. That might have been a turning point for Republicans. And again, I know I've said this
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before. The media completely underrepresented or actually didn't represent at all the women who
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were so fired up after watching the Kavanaugh hearings and not for Dr. Ford, but for Kavanaugh,
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female voter enthusiasm among Republicans went up past female voter enthusiasm for Democrats,
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according to I think it was. Dang it. Who was the author of that poll? I'll have to look it up for
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you and I'll I'll post a link if you guys are interested in that. It went up past the Democrats,
00:11:01.560
which is incredible, considering that all we've heard is that women are going to take down Trump.
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Women are so angry. Women are rioting in the streets. Women are going to be the reason why
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Trump doesn't win or why Republicans don't win in the midterms. I'm not so sure that's true.
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You don't know about us suburban women. You just don't know. We're really unpredictable. Honestly,
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though, suburban people are very unpredictable. It's hard to say which way that we're going to vote.
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I've been surprised. For example, I live in the suburbs. The number of people that are voting for
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Beto around me. I live in a pretty red district. It's you just don't know. I still think that Ted
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Cruz is going to win, by the way. So how Democrats and Republicans have been talking about the midterms
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and trying to win the midterms has been really telling about what each side values. I'm not even
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saying that in a necessarily bad way. It's just true. It indicates a lot of what their principles are
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and what they think their constituents or what their base votes for. So you have the Democrats
00:12:03.960
talking about political violence and about how this is Trump's America. Every single instance of hate
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that you see, whether it's the shooting at the Tree of Life synagogue, whether it is the bombing
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scares that that random weird guy sent out to CNN and all of the Democratic leaders and influencers,
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whatever instance of hate that you see in this country, it is because of Donald Trump. Donald
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Trump's rhetoric is what is inciting all of this violence. He is pushing all of these people into
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madness and into disarray. He is why we are so divided. So that is the violin that they are playing.
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And you see Republicans playing a different violin, which is that of the caravan. Now the caravan is
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still, I think, a thousand miles away. So it's probably a couple months out. President Trump sent
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troops down to the border. Of course, they're calling this a crisis. They're calling this an
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invasion. They're talking about all of the criminal activity that they're seeing in the caravan, that
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these are not just innocent people seeking asylum, that they might be, you know, nefarious criminals
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that are coming in to do us harm or might do harm once they're here. So that is the drumbeat that
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Republicans have. Now, here's the difference, because you have both sides criticizing the other
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for this line of rhetoric. You've got the left saying to the right, that's not true at all.
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This is not an invasion. No one's coming to get you. No one's going to do you any harm. These are
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poor, ragged refugees that are just trying to make it here for a better life. And how dare you turn
00:13:36.100
them away, you bigoted, awful racists? And then we've got the right looking at the left and say,
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how how dare you blame Donald Trump for all of this violence when we didn't blame Bernie Sanders for
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James Hodgkinson shooting Steve Scalise and other Republican congressmen, even though he supported
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Bernie Sanders. That doesn't make any sense. And of course, being the biased person that I am,
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I typically land on the side of conservatives in this argument. I don't think it makes any sense
00:14:03.960
whatsoever for CNN to blame Fox News and conservatives for inflammatory rhetoric, but not
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take into account their own hyperbole, their own apocalyptic rhetoric that they spout on a daily
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basis about conservatives. However, I understand the criticism of the right saying that, you know,
00:14:20.940
this is this is not this is not an invasion. This is not happening right now. The only reason why
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President Trump and the right is saying that the caravan is a crisis is to get votes to scare
00:14:32.620
people. It's fear mongering. OK, I understand that. So let's listen. Let's listen a little bit
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to what each side to what each side to what each side has to say. Let's first listen to our good
00:14:46.940
friend, our good, good friend Don Lemon talk about the real problem in all of our division and all of
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our political violence. So we have to stop demonizing people and realize the biggest terror threat in this
00:15:02.040
country is white men, most of them radicalized to the right. OK, OK, so let me just get this straight.
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We are not demonizing people. We're definitely not demonizing people. That's the wrong thing to do.
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But white men are terrorists. OK, that that makes that makes a lot of sense. Don't demonize people.
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Oh, white men are terrorists. OK, got it. Perfect formula. Thank you so much. And then here's another
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example on CNN of a very astute analyst saying that Donald Trump is worse than ISIS. This president
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has radicalized so many more people than ISIS ever did. I mean, the way he talks, the way he the way
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he is. That's just it's the way. OK, so that's that's the line of reasoning that we're getting from
00:15:55.960
people on the left, that Donald Trump has radicalized more people than ISIS, that it's Donald
00:16:01.240
Trump and his white supremacist men that follow him that are causing all of this horrible division
00:16:08.660
and all of this chaos, all of this anarchy that we're seeing in our country. And of course,
00:16:12.740
the implication there is if you don't want our country to keep going in this violent,
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tribalistic direction, then you need to vote for Democrats and you need to vote against Donald
00:16:21.380
Trump. OK. And then we do, though, just to be fair, just to be fair, we've got some kind of
00:16:27.880
crazy exaggerations maybe happening on the right as well. Here is an example of a commentator on Fox
00:16:34.960
News talking about the caravan and they're coming in with diseases such as smallpox and leprosy and
00:16:41.380
TB that are going to affect our people in the United States. So I think if you listen to the whole
00:16:46.060
thing, this is on Charles Payne's show making money. If you if you listen to the whole thing,
00:16:51.600
he has, I think, very reasonable points. But then he talks about how they're bringing
00:16:56.300
smallpox and leprosy. And I just don't know if one, we have any proof of this. This was also
00:17:00.820
said on Lou Dobbs' show. A guest of Lou Dobbs said that and smallpox, I'm pretty sure it was
00:17:06.420
eradicated in 1980. So it kind of seems a little bit like fake news. So you see why someone from
00:17:12.560
the left, especially someone who is pro illegal immigrant or pro caravan would see that and be
00:17:19.100
like, OK, they're just trying to incite fear. They are just hate mongering. They're just anti
00:17:24.080
immigrant. They're just trying to make us scared of these brown people coming in. And so they're
00:17:29.640
making up things like these people are bringing smallpox. So you can see that kind of criticism
00:17:34.940
from the left to the right. Here's the difference, in my opinion, though, between the left saying that,
00:17:40.600
OK, Trump and Republicans are responsible and Fox News, by the way, I'll get to that clip in a second,
00:17:46.580
is responsible for this political violence. There's a difference in that and the right saying,
00:17:51.440
OK, the caravan is a crisis and we need to take care of it. The difference is the caravan
00:17:56.880
is somewhat of a crisis. Now, that in and of itself, I don't think they're going to storm
00:18:01.280
our border and, you know, pillage our homes. That's not going to happen. I do think that most
00:18:07.140
of them are refugees. They are making this journey because they're fleeing something really scary
00:18:13.260
and really hard. And so they're coming for a better life. I'm sure that's true of the majority
00:18:19.680
of them. But illegal immigration, unless these people are just going to the points,
00:18:23.320
the ports of entry and are claiming legitimate asylum, if they're trying to cross our border
00:18:28.560
illegally, that is a crisis. And for Democrats to say that it's not a crisis, that it's perfectly
00:18:33.900
fine, that we should let these thousands of people in without knowing their backgrounds,
00:18:37.620
without knowing their criminal history, without knowing if they can contribute to society in any
00:18:41.780
meaningful way, that's wrong. So Republicans are right to be worried about illegal immigration.
00:18:47.480
We are right to be worried about a caravan. We are right to want to secure our borders.
00:18:52.120
That does not mean we're racist. It has nothing to do with race. I think we would hopefully we'd
00:18:57.260
feel the same way if a group of Canadians were coming in and going to cross our borders illegally.
00:19:05.220
We care about that. And it's legitimate. It's logical. And it doesn't mean that you lack
00:19:09.780
compassion. It doesn't mean that you don't want to help these people in some way. But it just means
00:19:13.920
that you care about the people in our country. You believe in the rule of law. You believe in
00:19:18.140
securing our borders and keeping our country safe and keeping our country a country, which requires
00:19:22.820
borders. So that's how Republicans feel. And we do generally kind of we are appealed to by this idea
00:19:31.660
that illegal immigration and this caravan is somewhat of a crisis because we don't believe in
00:19:37.440
illegal immigration. We think it's immoral. We think it's wrong. And we think it makes a mockery of
00:19:41.000
our laws. So at least there's some truth to that. Now, there isn't really any truth on the left to
00:19:47.700
Donald Trump and Republicans and conservatives inciting violence, especially when you look at
00:19:53.220
something like the Tree of Life shooting. OK, the first guy who planted the bombs, Hillary Clinton and
00:19:58.700
whoever else, Robert De Niro, he was a Trump supporter. So I could see how someone would make the
00:20:04.520
link. Now, I still think that it's unfair considering that we didn't blame Bernie Sanders for the
00:20:10.920
attack on a Republican congressman. But I could see how someone would kind of make that connection.
00:20:17.120
But this idea that the Tree of Life shooting, that any instance of racism or any instance of violence
00:20:22.500
or hatred is linked to Republicans is just not true. It's not true. It's hypocritical. And it so lacks
00:20:29.780
any kind of self-awareness. But here is what morality guru, our moral Sherpa, Brian Stelter has to say
00:20:40.520
about how, you know, Fox News needs to be needs to be a little bit more introspective about all of
00:20:46.800
this. I sure hope some of those Fox hosts, some of those commentators take a moment, take a minute
00:20:51.800
to think about their role in this environment. Hopefully there's some soul searching right now
00:20:56.860
in the wake of this massacre. See, that's what I'm talking about. I'm talking about a complete
00:21:01.940
and total lack of self-awareness. I think some a lot, actually, of Brian Stelter's criticism
00:21:09.500
of President Trump is fair from his perspective. Like, I don't hear him a lot. Just, I mean,
00:21:16.260
not that much making up stuff that's completely untrue. Now, does he exaggerate? Does he emotionalize
00:21:21.860
things? Absolutely. But I think that a lot of his criticism is fair and a lot of his arguments are
00:21:29.240
fair. However, this idea that you can point fingers at another network or at another side
00:21:35.580
for inciting violence that we or Fox News needs to do some soul searching, but CNN doesn't,
00:21:42.600
that is insane. Like CNN is the same network where a guest said that Kanye West is like an inward,
00:21:51.860
that can't read. Um, and Don Lemon laughed at that and thought it was hilarious. It's the same
00:21:57.680
network where someone said that Donald Trump has radicalized more people than ISIS. So if anyone
00:22:04.820
needs to do some soul searching, maybe it's CNN. I mean, at least Fox is willing to have conversations
00:22:10.320
with people from the other side. I don't see that on CNN quite as much. Now, I'm not saying that Fox
00:22:15.360
News is perfect. I don't work for Fox News. I don't have a reason to defend Fox News or anything like
00:22:20.300
that. Uh, but for any network to point to another network and say that they need to do soul searching
00:22:25.900
because they're inciting violence is ridiculous. And that I think is what is going to turn this
00:22:31.820
election in a direction that the Democrats didn't see coming in a direction. The Democrats do not like
00:22:37.420
is the media, the utter hypocrisy, the utter duplicitousness, the dishonesty from the media,
00:22:44.760
the lack of self-awareness, the lack of the ability to say, wow, maybe, maybe some people
00:22:51.100
think differently than I do. If CNN could just take stock of their own thoughts for a second. And I
00:22:56.160
know, I know for a fact that CNN lives in an echo chamber in which they think that they have the most
00:23:01.420
integrity are the best and the most honorable and the most vigilant journalists out there. If they could
00:23:06.760
just take a second and take a step back and say, okay, there are moral, good, generous, kind people
00:23:15.060
out there who support Donald Trump and they're not evil. They're, they're not racist. They have real
00:23:22.180
concerns. They have valid worries that are different than ours and they're not out to get us. They're not
00:23:29.880
out to get all people of color. They don't hate immigrants. Maybe they just have different priorities
00:23:34.540
than we do. I think that would solve so much, but they're unable to do that. CNN thinks that they are
00:23:40.220
better than you. That is why their ratings suck. They think that they're better than you. Um, I don't
00:23:46.600
get that quite as much from Fox or MSNBC. Now I don't like MSNBC. I think that Nicole Wallace is one of
00:23:53.580
like the worst anchors in the world, but for their target audience, I can totally see why they like
00:24:00.820
MSNBC because they feel like they're on the same level. Rachel Maddow. If you are a leftist,
00:24:06.260
like you feel like you can relate to her, Chris Hayes. If you are a leftist, you feel like you can
00:24:10.500
relate to him. You don't feel like they're talking down to you. Now they might be talking down to
00:24:14.080
Republicans, but you don't, you don't feel like they think that they're better than you. I don't get
00:24:18.660
that feeling at all from CNN. CNN thinks that they're better than everyone. They think that they're
00:24:23.800
better than everyone. People don't like that. They don't like that. That is why they don't do well.
00:24:30.820
And the same thing with Sean Hannity, why he does do so well. You might not like his show. You might
00:24:35.160
not like what he has to say. He's got the number one in cable news show because I think people feel
00:24:41.200
like he is on their level and people don't feel like he is demeaning them. Like he is talking down
00:24:46.380
to them. Like he is condescending them. He's not going to call you a racist. He's not going to say
00:24:50.660
you're not woke enough, or he's not going to say, because you think differently than him,
00:24:54.740
um, then you must be ignorant or dumb, or you haven't read as many books as he has.
00:24:58.900
He's just not going to do that. Now he might do other tactics that you don't like,
00:25:02.120
but he's not going to do the sanctimonious CNN monologue where like Chris Cuomo, he tells you
00:25:08.560
that Antifa really isn't all that bad because they're fighting against bigots. I mean, they
00:25:13.380
really have turned into a parody. That's why it's so hard for me. It's why it's so hard for me to do
00:25:19.280
any kind of videos that have satire in it because reality is satire nowadays, especially the left.
00:25:27.380
The left is a satire. My democratic ad, for example, there were a few people,
00:25:32.360
most people knew it was real or knew it was fake, knew it was satire. Some people actually didn't
00:25:39.180
know. And I can't even blame people anymore. I used to get so mad when people comment on my
00:25:43.660
Facebook videos and say, you know, this is real. This is such a stupid liberal. And I'd be like,
00:25:49.280
gosh, people are so dumb. They don't understand a joke. How can you not know it's a joke? And I still
00:25:53.860
think that. But you almost can't blame people anymore because Democrats have become a joke.
00:26:01.460
Like they have become so absurd that it's very hard to satirize them and communicate that you're
00:26:09.100
telling a joke. So I almost I can't even I can't be mad at people anymore for for not understanding.
00:26:18.480
So we will see what's going to happen in the midterms. I will be here on Thursday and we will
00:26:28.860
analyze everything and we'll probably talk about some more stuff. I have a lot to talk about.
00:26:33.580
Thanks for listening and I will see you on Thursday.
00:26:36.080
We'll see you on Thursday.
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