SHNEAKO - March 03, 2026


Professor Jiang Predicts Iran War Victory


Episode Stats


Length

53 minutes

Words per minute

156.89847

Word count

8,438

Sentence count

370

Harmful content

Misogyny

4

sentences flagged

Toxicity

27

sentences flagged

Hate speech

97

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, I talk about how the death of the supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, led to the formation of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, and how this could be the beginning of the end of the world as we know it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 so water is a huge issue it doesn't matter if iran kills american soldiers destroys american
00:00:04.880 military it doesn't have to do that all it has to do is destroy the desalination plants and then
00:00:08.800 the gcc is destroyed okay imagine the people who have all this dubai real estate how they're feeling
00:00:14.480 right now that makes sense the war is going to be over in 24 hours top boy saying boy it's just a
00:00:20.160 clout chase yeah if you have a bunch of property there i can understand but i did not know this
00:00:24.640 about the water supply so the first strategy is to create a international global jihad of the 0.70
00:00:31.280 shia against the american empire it's already happening and it has and we need to get there 0.96
00:00:35.840 to people like oh this suny shia like bro shut up shut up israel or the great satan they want 0.83
00:00:42.800 you to be divided right now unification right now is crucial crucial ignore the differences
00:00:48.960 oh he just dropped oh okay we have to watch this we have to 15 minutes ago
00:00:53.040 okay oh we have to 15 minutes ago game theory the u.s iran war so he's back
00:01:02.240 oh he just said this lecture today hey varus what's going on
00:01:08.080 i hope everyone had a nice break and welcome back to the end of the world so as you know
00:01:13.840 world war iii has started there's not going to be captions this is so new that the captions
00:01:17.600 haven't even generated yet.
00:01:18.860 The United States and Israel have started to attack Iran.
00:01:22.820 And we are now in the fourth day of this war.
00:01:26.920 And we can expect this war to last for many weeks, possibly also for many years.
00:01:33.600 But I promise you that after this war is done, the world will never be the same again.
00:01:38.600 so what we will do these next few weeks is use game theory and understand and
00:01:45.740 analyze the geopolitical situation and so I'm going to teach you the ideas the
00:01:50.360 theories the techniques to understand the world around you and make predictions
00:01:55.640 and we can know if our analysis is correct because all this is happening in
00:02:00.080 real time and so we can test it against reality all right so let's go over some
00:02:05.000 basic facts about what's happened so far. So in the early morning of Saturday in
00:02:12.260 Tehran, the Israelis and Americans launched a decapitation strike against
00:02:17.360 the Al-Atona Khamenei who is the supreme leader of Iran. Now there are arguments
00:02:26.240 and disputes about as to what happened. The Americans and Israelis said that they
00:02:31.100 had real intelligence about where the leader was and so they sent airplanes to just bomb the crap
00:02:37.980 out of the place they also had a spy who was able to record the body of the dead atatola
00:02:44.700 i think jang prediction this is predictive history i think he's going to agree with my take
00:02:49.580 that khameini allowed this to unite and then this was announced through getting martyred the iranians 0.91
00:02:56.220 denied this and the iranians insisted he was still alive but eventually state media admitted that he
00:03:02.540 did die in the airstrike but then what they also said is that the atola he's 86 years old and he
00:03:08.780 chose to die he could have gone to moscow but instead he chose to stay in torah and die for his 0.89
00:03:15.160 people but not only that but he died along many of his relatives he died along with his daughter
00:03:22.020 his son-in-law his grandchildren so the entire so many of the family died in this assault
00:03:29.300 also there's been reporting that he had prostate cancer okay so he was going to die fairly soon as
00:03:35.220 well so what you need to understand first about the war is that even though the americans and
00:03:40.980 israelis claim great success in decapitating the leadership of the iranians from the iranian
00:03:47.540 perspective this is a martyrdom martyrdom okay i think i got it right immediately did i
00:03:55.860 and so the religion of the iranians is called shia um muslim and this is different from sunni
00:04:03.940 okay so here's he's going to go into the difference between well about the shias and
00:04:07.780 how much they care about martyrdom how important this is to them and their warrior spirit and he's
00:04:12.420 going to talk about the differentiation about the epsi regime they don't have that about how
00:04:16.420 the public is not on their side now even though iran is outnumbered even though iran does not
00:04:21.380 have the same financial capabilities the fact that they have the warrior spirit is going to be a major
00:04:25.300 advantage well what did vera say i didn't see it so uh sunnis are majority about nine percent of
00:04:31.860 all muslims in the world the shia have always been the minority and as such they've always been 1.00
00:04:37.380 persecuted so in a shia faith the core value the force that binds everyone together and gives them
00:04:45.140 purpose and meaning in life that galvanizes them into action is the idea of martyrdom which forces
00:04:50.180 jihad you sacrifice yourself for your religion sacrifice yourself for the common good so think 0.99
00:04:55.860 of the death of khamenei as a sacrifice a self-sacrifice in order to motivate the iranians
00:05:04.020 in this war okay so that's the first thing you need to understand that for the iranians this is
00:05:09.860 not a typical war this is not an economic war this is not a war of resistance this is a jihad
00:05:15.300 okay so war against the great satan to avenge their leader they will fight to the death all
00:05:20.660 right that's number one number two is this also that morning when um the atollah was killed 0.80
00:05:28.900 there's really struck a school in the south of toran killing about 150 school children
00:05:34.980 107 miles in primary school and again there's not debate and argument as to what happened
00:05:41.220 this really said that first of all the school was next to a military base we're targeting the
00:05:45.460 military base and second of all it wasn't us which struck the school it was a air defense
00:05:51.300 missile that went off course okay and the irradiance insisted no the israelis purposefully
00:05:58.180 attacked the school to kill the school children and then you're like why would this really do that
00:06:04.740 within these few years what we've seen what they've done in gaza they love killing kids this is what 0.97
00:06:10.020 they are this is who they are this is what they do they love to kill children it's their favorite
00:06:14.340 activity palestine to the palestinians and it's pretty embarrassed i did not see mecca footage 0.92
00:06:18.740 mashallah assistant what the israelis have been doing all right so this action against the israelis
00:06:24.740 it's meant to show to themselves in the world that we are now all in okay we've made the sacrifice
00:06:31.540 we are now committed to this war to winning this war at all costs and this action has also
00:06:38.420 provoked the iranian people to resist with their full might okay so i want you to keep this in 0.96
00:06:42.900 mind and again we don't have complete evidence that it's the israelis who did this but given
00:06:48.900 past actions from the israelis this is fairly consistent with what they've done killing kids
00:06:54.340 okay so we can assume that this is something that's really do did why they did this what the
00:06:59.380 purpose is something we will discuss as we move on okay it's very complicated is professional jang
00:07:03.460 saying that yids kill kids jang next i want to show you this this is dubai and dubai is considered
00:07:12.660 one of the wealthiest safest cities in the world there are thousands tens of thousands of westerners
00:07:19.780 who move to dubai because it's clean you don't pay taxes you make a lot of money and you there
00:07:25.780 There are great restaurants.
00:07:27.160 And this is really the economic model of Dubai.
00:07:30.100 It's one of the Gulf, the GCC countries,
00:07:32.920 the Gulf coastal countries.
00:07:36.820 And for the longest time, Dubai had a really good deal
00:07:41.500 because they were under the protection
00:07:43.760 of the American military.
00:07:45.360 So they didn't have to pay for defense.
00:07:48.280 And then they were in the Middle East, which 0.76
00:07:50.700 is the oil producing center of the world.
00:07:53.040 And so they focused on aviation.
00:07:54.660 They focused on logistics, they focused on finance,
00:07:56.980 on tourism, and they were extremely wealthy, right?
00:07:59.040 I'm not sure if you've taken Emirates,
00:08:00.280 one of the best airlines in the world.
00:08:01.660 So their airport, Dubai airport, is the busiest in the world.
00:08:05.940 And Dubai, for the longest time,
00:08:08.560 was flourishing under American protection.
00:08:11.960 And Dubai said to the world, listen,
00:08:14.600 we're like Switzerland, we're neutral.
00:08:16.180 We don't want any involvement in any wars.
00:08:18.360 We're here just to take care of our citizens,
00:08:20.280 to make sure everyone has a good time, to make money.
00:08:23.280 And then right after the war started, the Iranians attacked the GCC, okay? 0.98
00:08:30.100 Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Buran, Qatar, Kuwait, they attacked these places. 0.81
00:08:37.820 And these were like, what's going on?
00:08:39.180 We're neutral, man.
00:08:40.020 We're not involved in this war.
00:08:43.780 And the airport was shut down in Dubai.
00:08:46.740 At one point, the rich people in Dubai were willing to pay about $25,000 US dollars.
00:08:52.600 just get on a plane and get out of there. Okay? So, um, the reality is this for the longest time,
00:09:00.500 Dubai had a reputation for being safe. And that's why people move their money there.
00:09:04.220 Guess what? I wrote that exactly before you even said it, Dubai, the reputation of being the safest
00:09:08.380 city in the world. And unfortunately I like Dubai. This is going to be a major, major downside
00:09:14.660 to its reputation. I don't think people can confidently say it's the safest city in the
00:09:18.400 world again and i'm wondering if jang is going to say it but so many influencers there this war
00:09:25.460 around cloud chasing they got a lot of the dubai influencers to do damage control and try to fix
00:09:31.980 that reputation and i saw a post i'm not sure if it's true saying that you are not allowed to film
00:09:39.620 the attacks don't film the attacks and you can understand why if it's a tourist economy and the
00:09:44.320 The airport's the busiest in the world.
00:09:46.220 How important it is for them to maintain their reputation
00:09:48.220 by not filming the destruction.
00:09:51.060 After what the Iranians did, it's dead. 1.00
00:09:53.240 Dubai is a city in the long term.
00:09:54.700 It is dead.
00:09:55.760 Because you're a wealthy Westerner,
00:09:56.920 you're not going to move to a place
00:09:57.900 where it could be attacked any time by the Iranians.
00:10:00.740 You might move to Singapore.
00:10:01.900 You might move to Hong Kong, Japan, South America,
00:10:04.960 but you're not moving to Dubai, okay?
00:10:06.880 So the big question for us is,
00:10:08.800 why do the Iranians do this? 1.00
00:10:10.980 It was the Israelis and Americans who attacked you. 1.00
00:10:12.700 why go after the GCC, all right, and not only that, but they're escalating the attacks against
00:10:18.440 the GCC, so this is something that we will look at very closely today. Well, the short answer is
00:10:23.840 because these places, even though they pretend to be neutral, they house the American military.
00:10:30.680 They allow the Israelis and the Americans to use their airspace to attack Iran from, all right, 0.98
00:10:35.900 so this is Bahrain. Now, Bahrain is interesting, okay, because I want you guys to remember this,
00:10:40.540 But Bahrain will probably be one of the major centers of this conflict because, first of all, this is the American Fifth Fleet, right?
00:10:48.380 This is their naval base in the Middle East, and as you can see, the Iranians are attacking it with missiles, and it's being blown up.
00:10:56.540 Bahrain is interesting because it has about 50% or even more, okay, Shia, which is the religion of the Iranians.
00:11:07.540 But the people in charge are the Sunnis. 0.97
00:11:10.540 And so what makes this strike really important from our perspective is,
00:11:15.540 first of all, not only are the Iranians attacking U.S. military assets,
00:11:20.540 not only are they destroying the economies of the GCC,
00:11:24.540 they're also trying to ignite a religious war, right?
00:11:28.540 Because if you're Shia, you're loyal to the Atatollah. 1.00
00:11:31.540 And if he's dead, then you must, as a religious obligation, now commit jihad against your enemies. 0.88
00:11:38.020 And it's no different in other religions where, listen, if you want to kill the Pope, 0.99
00:11:42.100 the Catholics would be really angry at you and they would want to kill you. 1.00
00:11:44.260 Yeah, I totally like the Pope. 0.72
00:11:45.240 So now you have the Shia who will probably eventually arise, creating a revolution in Buran. 1.00
00:11:52.420 So I think Buran will be the first to fall.
00:11:54.620 Dubai will probably go bankrupt.
00:11:56.480 But in the long term, we can expect the entire GCC area.
00:12:00.480 Dubai going bankrupt?
00:12:01.540 including Saudi Arabia, to eventually collapse, okay?
00:12:04.820 And this is something we'll use game theory to understand.
00:12:07.780 All right, let's continue.
00:12:09.740 So, we will know how this war develops
00:12:13.620 just based on geography, okay?
00:12:15.140 So this is a map.
00:12:16.200 And this map, even if you don't really know the war,
00:12:19.480 even if you don't know the participants,
00:12:21.120 even if you don't know the weaponry,
00:12:22.520 this map will tell you exactly how this war will progress.
00:12:26.700 All right, so some certain things
00:12:28.300 to keep in mind about this map.
00:12:29.980 This is what we call this area, okay?
00:12:31.720 Really small, but it's 33 kilometers wide, okay?
00:12:35.120 33.
00:12:36.260 It's really, really narrow, okay?
00:12:40.100 This small area, guys, it's called the Strait of Hormuz.
00:12:43.340 All right?
00:12:45.880 Hormuz is closed.
00:12:46.840 It's important because it's really the center of the world.
00:12:51.000 This one area is the nexus, the pivot of the world.
00:12:56.440 Let me explain why.
00:12:56.980 First of all, from the GCC, you have 20% of all the world's oil flowing through this narrow strait.
00:13:05.780 Where does it go, guys?
00:13:06.820 It goes to Asia, India, Pakistan, South Korea, China, Japan.
00:13:13.820 India depends on 60% of its oil from this area.
00:13:17.800 China depends on 40%.
00:13:19.660 Japan, 75%. 0.76
00:13:21.840 Prime Minister Takeichi of Japan has said that,
00:13:25.100 Listen, if the shortfall moves closes,
00:13:27.820 we'll run out of oil in about eight, nine months.
00:13:30.320 The entire Japanese economy would collapse 1.00
00:13:32.260 in eight, nine months,
00:13:33.640 if the shortfall moves were to close.
00:13:36.100 And guess what?
00:13:37.040 The ratings have closed the shortfall moves, okay?
00:13:40.000 So we can expect that the entire global economy
00:13:42.900 will suffer greatly over the next few months, all right?
00:13:47.020 So that's point number one.
00:13:48.020 Point number two is, okay,
00:13:49.940 so the GCC sends oil across the shortfall moves,
00:13:53.360 And what do they get back in return?
00:13:55.420 Food, guys.
00:13:57.800 All right, so, people don't appreciate the GCC,
00:14:02.660 but it is really the linchpin of the American empire.
00:14:05.800 Because what is the American empire?
00:14:06.960 The American empire is the petrodollar, all right?
00:14:09.920 The idea of the petrodollar is this.
00:14:11.160 The US dollar is worth nothing.
00:14:12.800 It's only valued when people want it.
00:14:15.200 But the GCC says that if you want oil from us,
00:14:17.280 you have to pay us in US dollars, okay?
00:14:19.280 Then that is the basis of the value of the US dollar.
00:14:22.700 So, if the GCC collapses, the American economy
00:14:26.600 and the American empire both collapse at the same time.
00:14:31.320 The problem though is that GCC is an artificial
00:14:34.480 construct of empire.
00:14:36.220 It does not exist naturally.
00:14:39.120 Why?
00:14:39.960 Because that's no food, that's no water.
00:14:43.760 Okay guys, no food, no water.
00:14:46.580 So these cities are able to grow in the millions
00:14:48.700 because all these petrol dollars flowing in.
00:14:50.940 If you close off the surface of a mousse,
00:14:52.860 there's no food coming in, right?
00:14:54.940 They're all gonna starve.
00:14:58.040 How much food does the GCC get from overseas?
00:15:01.040 80%.
00:15:03.480 80% of all the food it consumes comes from overseas.
00:15:07.980 That it imports.
00:15:08.820 It doesn't grow by itself, it imports.
00:15:12.440 All right?
00:15:13.880 So the surface of a mousse is really key.
00:15:16.440 And again, the Iranians will close it 1.00
00:15:18.460 in order to strangle the global economy
00:15:21.040 and therefore bankrupt the American empire, all right?
00:15:24.980 Second thing you will notice is these mountains.
00:15:27.900 These mountains is what we call Iran, all right?
00:15:30.280 This is Iran.
00:15:31.120 Mountainous region, they need to deploy troops.
00:15:32.440 This is GCC.
00:15:33.360 American empire will not know how to invade. 0.76
00:15:34.800 This is not a fair matchup, right?
00:15:36.140 Because these are mountains.
00:15:37.140 And what can you do in mountains?
00:15:38.060 We can hide rocket bases.
00:15:39.940 You can hide drone bases.
00:15:41.120 You can hide missiles.
00:15:42.540 And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy, all right? 1.00
00:15:47.160 From here, they can hide missiles and drones
00:15:50.120 from which to attack the GCC.
00:15:52.840 And what are they attacking?
00:15:53.940 They're attacking three things, right?
00:15:58.100 They're attacking American military bases.
00:16:01.260 American military bases.
00:16:06.440 That's number one.
00:16:08.580 Is it possible for the Americans to defend against these attacks?
00:16:10.700 The answer is no.
00:16:12.900 No, it's not. 0.95
00:16:13.980 It's the silliest thing in the world. 0.86
00:16:15.180 You have all these bases in the Middle East, 0.98
00:16:16.720 but you cannot defend them against the Iranians.
00:16:18.820 That's kind of strange, okay, but that's number one.
00:16:21.160 Number two is oil and energy.
00:16:26.680 How hard is it to blow up an oil field with a drone?
00:16:30.020 Not hard at all.
00:16:30.900 Can you defend these oil fields?
00:16:32.560 No, you cannot, all right?
00:16:35.440 Number three, and it's most important, is water, okay?
00:16:39.380 You guys don't know this,
00:16:40.260 but the GCC has little access to fresh water.
00:16:47.380 So the only way that it can produce water
00:16:49.000 is what we call desalination plants, okay?
00:16:51.760 These factories that take salt water
00:16:54.500 and then through electrical chemical process
00:16:56.340 turn it into fresh water for the population to use.
00:17:00.080 60% of the water supply in the GCC
00:17:03.380 comes from desalination plants, okay, 60%.
00:17:07.780 Is it hard to blow up a desalination plant
00:17:09.940 a drone the answer is it's very easy you understand okay so you have this absurd situation where iran
00:17:16.020 is a mountain fortress where it can hide its offensive capacity and the gcc it's just this
00:17:23.860 desert this flat desert and it is exposed to attack and there's nothing it can do about it
00:17:29.380 okay oh my god so at any point in this war the iranians can choose to just destroy
00:17:36.020 the entire gcc and there's nothing that anyone can do about it okay but iran also has a weakness
00:17:45.780 okay and this is fundamental so iran also has a water problem okay so for the longest time
00:17:51.700 they saw they started a drought issue okay just climate change and so what the plan
00:17:59.140 of the Israelis and Americans is, is destroy the water supply of the Iranians. Because the fortress, 0.99
00:18:07.220 it is a mountain fortress, but it can also be a mountain prison as well, where people are trapped
00:18:12.980 inside with no access to water. So what we're going to see right now, we're already seeing
00:18:17.940 attacks on civilian infrastructure, hospitals. In the future, you'll see attacks on water supply,
00:18:24.660 on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants. The point, the idea is to make Iran so inhabitable 0.97
00:18:34.180 that the people will have to rebel against the people, or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran.
00:18:40.340 So as you can see from this map, this war, it is the end of the world. Both sides have the
00:18:48.100 to pretend to destroy each other it's really a question of how far do they want to go all right
00:18:54.820 we can also say this is almost a game of chicken okay
00:19:00.420 we can blow we can blow each other up how far do you want to go
00:19:06.500 and the problem is this the problem is that the iranians are shia here we go which believes in 0.87
00:19:14.260 martyrdom and you've killed the religious leader that khamenei so they're willing to go very very 0.99
00:19:19.460 far the disease the gcc countries are muslim but they're materialistic they love money and also 1.00
00:19:26.660 most of the population foreigners dubai are foreigners guess what's gonna happen if they 0.99
00:19:32.580 suffer they're gonna run away okay so this is not a fear matchup the big question that people have
00:19:42.420 is first of all are the americans going to use ground troops because the only way that you can
00:19:49.620 defeat iran is by using ground troops okay that's a big question we will look at in the next few
00:19:53.620 weeks will america send its army half million two million soldiers to topple the government okay 0.73
00:20:00.020 that's question number one question number two nuclear weapons
00:20:03.300 if you lose a war would you choose to use nuclear weapons okay that's another big question that i
00:20:13.940 don't think so i don't think the question that we have because of russia who gets involved
00:20:17.700 because this situation is so dire is that europe okay specifically germany france and the uk are
00:20:26.980 talking about entering this war yeah that's what uk has if that happens it is possible that russia
00:20:33.940 and china will retaliate and join into war on the side of the iranians look at all the key players
00:20:39.380 okay because of the importance of the certain moves because of the importance of the middle east
00:20:46.260 everyone has to get involved at some point and we're going to use scheme theory to really try
00:20:51.540 trying to understand what's happening on the ground
00:20:54.680 and where this could lead us, OK?
00:20:58.660 All right, you guys understand?
00:21:00.720 All right.
00:21:01.500 All right, let's continue.
00:21:03.780 So again, there are American bases all over the Middle East.
00:21:10.320 And originally, these bases were established
00:21:13.860 to protect them from basically their own people, OK? 0.77
00:21:17.700 These are monarchies that were imposed on these nations
00:21:21.840 by the Anglo-American empire, the British first,
00:21:24.480 and then Americans came to support these monarchies.
00:21:28.580 And so they provide defense.
00:21:31.260 But then you're like, wait a minute here.
00:21:33.420 I mean, didn't you just say that these American bases can't
00:21:35.380 actually defend these people, that they're exposed?
00:21:37.920 And the answer is, yes, that's true.
00:21:40.460 But remember that the American military was built
00:21:42.840 during the Cold War.
00:21:44.820 OK?
00:21:45.900 And the Cold War was a war between the Soviet Union
00:21:49.740 and America.
00:21:52.140 And so the Cold War was defined by something called MAD,
00:21:55.380 Mutually Assured Destruction, because both had
00:21:57.720 nuclear weapons.
00:21:58.620 So they didn't really go to war against each other.
00:22:00.580 And so in other words, these bases aren't really
00:22:02.820 meant to defend these nations from other enemies.
00:22:07.260 They're really meant to impose American authority 0.93
00:22:10.700 in the Middle East.
00:22:12.820 And it's the idea of this.
00:22:14.520 It's the idea that empire, it is really an image.
00:22:21.440 It is a hallucination.
00:22:22.560 It's just an idea.
00:22:23.860 Empire is an aura of invisibility and inviability, OK?
00:22:28.360 If you fear it, then you obey it.
00:22:31.080 But it's not really designed to fight a war, OK?
00:22:33.880 And so that's why we have this absurd situation.
00:22:36.860 And because there are so many bases in the GCC,
00:22:39.240 that gives the Iranians the perfect pretext to attack them 1.00
00:22:42.020 in order to destroy the GCC economy, which 0.94
00:22:44.460 will destroy the American empire, right?
00:22:46.960 All right, so this is how the war should bring up, OK?
00:22:49.520 So the red is the Israelis and the Americans. 0.92
00:22:52.560 The yellow are the Iranians. 1.00
00:22:56.240 And as you can see, the Iranians are attacking everywhere, 1.00
00:22:59.900 primarily Israel, OK? 0.61
00:23:03.100 But also, as you can see, a lot of focus on Bahrain and Qatar.
00:23:07.260 And again, the intention is to destabilize the economy
00:23:12.600 and the government.
00:23:13.760 It's to try to get as much instability as possible.
00:23:21.000 And as you can see, the Americans and the Israelis
00:23:23.700 are focused on Tehran.
00:23:28.300 And so the Americans and the Israelis 0.87
00:23:30.400 use something we call shock and awe. 0.60
00:23:32.500 and the very idea of shock and awe is you decapitate the enemy you cut off the head
00:23:42.260 the body will fall down okay what did you say shock and awe was last time it was the strategy
00:23:47.320 used it was developed around the war on terror right shock and awe he said last time yeah 2003
00:23:53.360 u.s changed military action to shock and awe no longer following the old principles using air
00:23:58.420 supremacy intelligence agencies and with hubris and arrogance and American 0.87
00:24:04.120 military so I would say just really brutal warfare the problem though is
00:24:12.580 again the Iranians see this as a religious war and so the Iranians have 0.77
00:24:16.660 announced total war okay and so what this means is that right now command and
00:24:24.820 control in Iran is decentralized.
00:24:28.820 There's no one person telling everyone what to do.
00:24:31.180 Every region has its own orders, has its own strategy.
00:24:35.260 And so if you knock out Iran, everyone else keeps on going. 1.00
00:24:39.160 So if you take off the head, it doesn't change anything.
00:24:43.200 But unfortunately, the Israelis and Americans
00:24:47.740 use this as a military doctrine.
00:24:49.960 Military doctrine just means how to design your military
00:24:53.920 what purpose and so the even though the americans seem like an invincible army they are not equipped
00:25:00.400 to fight a 21st century war against drones against civilization against religious fanatics
00:25:05.600 they're just not but unfortunately because of military doctrine they're going to keep on
00:25:11.760 attacking torrent now the great irony of all this is that the iranians who will be most supportive
00:25:18.000 of you of regime change actually in the if you assassinate khameini so all it does is strengthen
00:25:22.960 the people cities because they were educated they're progressive the people who are most
00:25:27.800 fundamentally against you will fight you to the death are religious fanatics the shia militants 0.98
00:25:32.180 living in the rural areas okay updates on the war have happened today also everyone read what
00:25:39.300 updates on the war i've just been doing it what a six-hour stream on it what do you mean what
00:25:43.440 updates on the war you came in now and you want me to stop everything and explain it to you watch
00:25:46.560 the bot a really silly thing where you are actually destroying those who will most likely
00:25:52.440 support you and you're leaving alone those who are most likely to commit jihad against you all right
00:25:59.640 any questions so far guys are you clear all right so another idea that i want you guys to understand
00:26:05.800 is the idea of asymmetry asymmetry all right so what is asymmetry asymmetry means that the two
00:26:14.400 sides are choosing to fight different wars using different techniques because one is much stronger
00:26:21.080 than the other okay america has a great empire it has unlimited resources it has a usd it has
00:26:26.520 it controls the world right iran uh iran is a country that has been under economic sanctions
00:26:31.560 for the past 45 years it's poor its technology is very limited okay but as we learn in this class
00:26:39.160 actually those nations that are poor actually have more energy they're more open and they're
00:26:44.440 more cohesive all right so let me give an example this is what we call the shahad drones shahad drones
00:26:49.800 Each of these drones cost $50,000 at most, okay?
00:26:53.800 At most.
00:26:54.800 It can go as cheap as $35,000 US dollars.
00:26:56.800 But one of them is $50,000.
00:26:58.800 As you can see, you can fit a lot of these drones to a truck that can go anywhere in
00:27:04.800 Iran.
00:27:05.800 And they can hide anywhere.
00:27:06.800 Alright?
00:27:07.800 So the thing to understand is, first of all, these drones are cheap.
00:27:11.800 They're easy to make.
00:27:13.800 They make about $500 a day.
00:27:16.800 okay and that's about there's 80 000 um right now that the iranians have so they've gone for a long
00:27:23.040 long time okay and one of these drones again can knock out a desalination plant it can knock out
00:27:27.760 an oil field it can knock out a hotel it can do a lot of damage okay and it's easily transportable
00:27:35.600 you can hide it anywhere you can you can use it from anywhere okay and that's what the iranians
00:27:40.880 are using as an offensive weapon and how do americans defend against this they use something
00:27:45.600 It's something called a FAD, right?
00:27:49.340 Right guys, this is what they use, FAD.
00:27:52.960 FAD stands for Thermal High Altitude Ear Defense.
00:27:56.480 And they also have like Patriot Systems,
00:27:58.160 there's a lot, okay?
00:27:59.260 The thing that you need to know about the system is,
00:28:02.480 it's really expensive.
00:28:04.180 This missile guys cost one million dollars.
00:28:11.520 One million dollars.
00:28:12.880 So, there's this $50,000 drone coming your way and you throw a million dollar missile
00:28:17.720 at it, okay?
00:28:18.720 And often these missiles miss, so you have to throw two or three missiles at it, okay?
00:28:21.940 So you're spending two to three million dollars on each $50,000 that the Iranians spent. 0.83
00:28:27.820 That's kind of silly.
00:28:28.820 Second thing you'll notice is that this thing is really big and really slow.
00:28:35.940 And therefore, you can't really move it around.
00:28:38.880 Therefore, it's pretty easy for the Iranians to spot where this is and attack it. 1.00
00:28:43.680 And when these things blow up, that's a lot of money, guys.
00:28:46.880 Okay?
00:28:47.880 Then you're like, but this makes no sense.
00:28:51.880 You know the Iranians have drones. 1.00
00:28:53.880 They've had drones for like 10 years.
00:28:55.880 You've also seen drones used in the Russia-Ukraine war to devastating effect.
00:29:00.880 Why don't the Americans know this?
00:29:03.880 Why did they prepare?
00:29:04.880 And again, it has to do with military doctrine.
00:29:07.880 Because military doctrine determines how you fight a war, it determines on your bureaucracy,
00:29:13.200 and it determines how you spend your resources, okay?
00:29:16.200 And unfortunately, the Americans are used to fighting something called the Cold War, right?
00:29:21.800 And the Cold War, you can actually fight the war.
00:29:24.440 You can actually kill each other because then people use nuclear weapons.
00:29:28.740 The Cold War was about flexing.
00:29:33.480 Flexing, okay?
00:29:34.580 You see how big and powerful I am? 0.98
00:29:36.940 okay that's all it was these weapon systems are designed to scare the crap
00:29:43.700 out of you they were designed to impress you and as a result they cost a lot of
00:29:48.400 money and they don't do anything all right so that's the entire American
00:29:52.420 military it costs a lot and it doesn't really do anything and it's not resilient
00:29:57.280 it's not innovative it's not open all right also the other thing I have to say
00:30:02.260 this okay is if you look at the military it's corrupt so this is really about
00:30:08.080 corruption so the Americans don't really care about winning a war what they care
00:30:13.320 about is spending as much money as possible because then they get it cut it
00:30:17.260 doesn't make sense right and that's why the Americans are in situation as they
00:30:20.760 are all right let's continue all right so um something that people don't really
00:30:26.260 talk about but you need to understand it's a water issue in the GCC in the
00:30:31.720 the Middle East, in Iraq, all right?
00:30:33.440 So this is a map of the world.
00:30:38.120 And if you are light blue, Brazil, Canada,
00:30:41.300 you have nothing to worry about because you have a lot of water,
00:30:43.620 a lot of fresh water, very little population, all right?
00:30:46.780 There's a lot of people in Brazil.
00:30:48.960 100% water stress just means that you drink as much water
00:30:56.840 as the environment produces, OK?
00:30:59.780 So you want to be below 100% to be sustainable.
00:31:02.960 Ideally, you want to be at 10%, OK?
00:31:06.080 If it goes above 100%, it means that you
00:31:08.600 are drinking more water, using more water,
00:31:10.600 than the environment actually produces.
00:31:12.740 So you're putting stress on the environment.
00:31:16.180 So 200% is really bad, because you're
00:31:20.180 using twice as much water as the environment produces.
00:31:24.220 Guess what, guys?
00:31:25.300 Look at the Middle East, Egypt. 0.81
00:31:28.500 6,420 percent.
00:31:32.160 Saudi Arabia, 883 percent.
00:31:38.880 All right, Bahrain, almost 4,000 percent. 0.88
00:31:42.340 Dubai, 17,000 percent.
00:31:44.840 What?
00:31:47.040 All right, please.
00:31:50.360 So what is a huge issue?
00:31:52.020 Again, it doesn't matter if Iran kills American soldiers, 0.67
00:31:57.180 destroys American military.
00:31:58.080 doesn't have to do that all has to do is destroy the desalination plants and then the gcc is
00:32:02.680 destroyed okay but it's also true that iran imagine the people who have all this dubai real
00:32:09.080 estate how they're feeling right now that makes sense the war is going to be over in 24 hours
00:32:14.500 top core saying 40 it's just a clout chase yeah if you have a bunch of property there i can
00:32:20.400 understand but this is i did not know this about the water supply has water issues 72 percent is
00:32:28.000 pretty bad okay so even though the iranians could destroy maybe my tech
00:32:34.720 teams in israel will save my water supply the gcc much faster than the
00:32:41.140 americans could destroy iran iran is still in trouble okay so so let me give 1.00
00:32:45.340 you an example of this this is like i'm sorry sorry so this is another map that
00:32:50.400 shows you uh the issue of water scarcity okay it's just basically the middle east
00:32:54.640 okay their biggest issue in the future is water shia regime are directly responsible for death 0.99
00:33:00.880 of millions of muslims they only betray us okay what do you want me to okay what's what's going 1.00
00:33:06.680 on right now what's going on right now let's focus on this huh their biggest issue in the future is 0.91
00:33:13.020 water okay and that's where the geopolitical tensions will arise in the future over water
00:33:18.540 a lot of people are saying cap you know there could be yeah it's just a separate conversation
00:33:23.980 India is also affected as well, okay?
00:33:26.740 Alright, so let's look at the map, guys.
00:33:31.480 This is called Lake Ermia in northern Iran.
00:33:33.780 It's the sixth largest saltwater lake in the world,
00:33:37.260 or it used to be, okay?
00:33:38.940 This is what it was in 1984.
00:33:41.160 This is the shallow, this is the deep, okay?
00:33:43.760 You guys see that?
00:33:44.680 It's really big, right?
00:33:45.900 20 years later, guys, this is what it looks like.
00:33:51.040 There's no more water here.
00:33:52.340 You can walk from here over to there, okay?
00:33:54.380 There's some water over here, but it's shallow now.
00:33:56.740 That's how serious the water issue is in Iran.
00:33:59.900 And that's the weak point that the Americans 0.98
00:34:02.460 and the Israelis will attack, all right? 0.99
00:34:04.740 They want to make sure that Iran has no access 1.00
00:34:07.380 to fresh water, which will cause devastation
00:34:10.420 in their nation, okay?
00:34:11.940 That's strategy number one.
00:34:12.940 Strategy number two is this.
00:34:15.820 This is a map of the different ethnic minorities
00:34:20.700 in Iran. As you can see, it's a very diverse place. In the center are the Persians, but you also have
00:34:29.200 10 other groups as well. And in the borderlands, it's basically a different country, right?
00:34:35.420 These are basically different countries. And so these places have more common areas with their
00:34:42.400 neighbors than they do with... Oh my God, dude. Okay, well, cry about... I mean, look, if that's true,
00:34:49.040 that's bad but like oh my what do you want me to do you want me to join israel and attack around
00:34:53.280 like what are you talking about iran okay so the second weakness of iran the first of water
00:34:59.440 the second is the ethnic makeup of the country so the strategy of the americans and as you
00:35:04.320 moving forward is destroying iran as a coherent nation state divided into ethnic 0.57
00:35:10.480 enclaves fight over water that is the grand plan of the israelis and americans okay
00:35:17.760 all right this is this is this is the vision where persia is limited and then all these other places
00:35:24.080 are sponsored by the americans and the israelis they're giving money they're giving weapons
00:35:28.560 they're giving political support and then this war will wage over water forever okay and this
00:35:35.840 And this is how you destroy Iran 1.00
00:35:37.200 and make sure Iran is no longer a viable threat to you.
00:35:40.020 That is the plan of the Americans, okay? 0.78
00:35:43.520 As you can see, it's a pretty evil plan.
00:35:46.440 And that's why they have not announced it, right?
00:35:48.820 Because if you announce it, you're like,
00:35:50.600 why are you doing this?
00:35:51.520 What did the Persians, what did they ever do to you 1.00
00:35:53.980 to warrant you coming and destroying the civilization?
00:35:56.080 And the answer is nothing, right?
00:35:58.440 So the Americans, Israelis will never admit 1.00
00:36:00.120 they're doing this, but if you look at the map
00:36:02.920 of water supply of ethnic tensions,
00:36:06.160 this is the optimal game theory strategy
00:36:08.000 for them to use against Iran.
00:36:09.640 Does that make sense?
00:36:10.480 This is a long-term plan that they have in place.
00:36:13.220 And it's all moving towards this plan.
00:36:15.600 But now the question then is,
00:36:17.660 how can the Iranians respond to this?
00:36:20.060 And the answer is this.
00:36:23.040 This is a map of the Muslim world, okay? 0.99
00:36:27.700 So, the light green are the Sunni people, okay? 1.00
00:36:34.160 That's 90% of the entire Muslim population,
00:36:36.700 about two billion people, okay?
00:36:38.340 Then you have, in dark green, the Shia. 1.00
00:36:42.160 So, as you can see, the main place of the Shia is Iran, okay? 0.97
00:36:47.380 Iran is one of the few Shia nations in the world.
00:36:50.640 But you can also see from this map
00:36:52.320 that Shia are spread throughout the world, okay? 0.99
00:36:57.060 and so the first thing that the iranians want to do is create a jihad to unite all the shia against
00:37:04.020 american empire right how many allowed the attack to happen let's see so what they want to do is
00:37:10.020 create an uprising it's already happening guys um the shia in pakistan stormed the american embassy
00:37:20.260 in pakistan and the americans killed a lot of people okay the shia have attacked the american 0.96
00:37:27.220 embassy in iraq the american embassy uh are being attacked in a lot of places right so the first
00:37:36.340 strategy is to create a international global jihad of the shia against the american empire
00:37:42.980 and it's already happening it will continue for a long long term a long time because the americans
00:37:48.100 have killed the other um okay and that requires vengeance the other thing though is that it can
00:37:57.780 unify the muslim world and it has and we need to get there see people like oh there's sunni she 0.95
00:38:04.420 ain't like bro shut up shut up shut up israel or the great satan they want you to be divided right 0.84
00:38:13.380 now look at the way pakistan has responded even indian muslims have responded people in yemen 0.97
00:38:18.420 people in afghanistan these people unification right now is crucial crucial ignore the differences
00:38:28.980 what is israel doing what's their greater plan focus on the great satan this map most of the 0.89
00:38:38.400 is actually run by dictatorships that are not popular at all, okay?
00:38:43.400 And they're allowed to exist because of the American empire, right?
00:38:46.400 You go to Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Algeria, these places,
00:38:53.400 they're all run by clients of the American empire.
00:38:56.400 Al-Qaeda.
00:38:57.400 Right? So if you run the people who hate their governments
00:39:01.400 and you overthrow them, then that makes Iran the leader of...
00:39:07.400 of you can unite the islamic world that's just life and call her a they don't okay 0.99
00:39:12.920 you know these autistic schizos you're not going to do anything just 1.00
00:39:17.640 you're okay just like then go join the go join the jewish supremacist bro have fun world but 0.97
00:39:24.520 these the leader of the islamic world that's just shia world but the islamic world let's 0.98
00:39:30.680 and let's create something called Pax Isanaka.
00:39:35.160 That is the end goal, guys, okay?
00:39:38.380 If you do that, then you don't have to worry
00:39:41.120 about the Americans and the Israelis anymore, all right?
00:39:43.940 So the Israeli game plan, the American game plan, 0.69
00:39:46.500 is to fracture Iran into the ethnic class, 0.94
00:39:49.540 and they'll fight over water for the rest of their lives, 0.99
00:39:51.240 and they'll all die. 0.70
00:39:52.860 The Iranian game plan is to create a religious war, 1.00
00:39:56.180 a crusade, that unifies the Shia people
00:39:59.320 that overfroze the broken empire and establishes something called the Pax Isamnaqa, all right?
00:40:04.160 All right, establishes something called the Pax Isamnaqa, all right?
00:40:11.800 Jang!
00:40:13.260 Jang the goat!
00:40:15.360 So again, the key is the GCC, all right?
00:40:23.420 So the game plan is this, you have to destroy the GCC.
00:40:26.080 Why?
00:40:27.080 is the linchpin of the American empire.
00:40:31.720 So what the G.C. does is it sells oil,
00:40:36.260 sells oil, and then for U.S. dollars.
00:40:39.700 Where does it put U.S. dollars?
00:40:40.940 It puts U.S. dollars into the American stock market.
00:40:43.900 All right, so this is investments of the UAE, okay?
00:40:47.060 Saudi Arabia and Kuwait into the U.S. financial markets.
00:40:52.060 can see from 2012 up to today it's been exploding oh my all right so this goes against the theory
00:41:01.580 the gcc keeps saying oh we're neutral we're neutral we're neutral we're neutral but if the
00:41:07.500 entire economy is benefiting what people in iran think is the great satan you can completely
00:41:13.340 understand why they think that they're traitors not only traders are not neutral but siding with
00:41:17.340 the enemy and working for them because the u.s finance market is one of the safest places
00:41:22.940 where you can put your money the intention is this the intention is hey if i cut off oil
00:41:29.660 and these countries no longer have access to u.s dollars they're forced to spend whatever
00:41:34.060 resources they have on protecting themselves okay and then guess what happens the stock market
00:41:38.780 collapses the summer collapses the stock market is the real growth engine of the u.s economy
00:41:44.300 the entire u.s economy collapses with it all right there are about maybe seven companies in
00:41:52.380 uh america that counts for about a quarter of stock market growth okay these seven countries
00:41:56.940 these seven uh companies of course are all ai companies nvidia um um others microsoft google
00:42:06.780 apple okay these are the companies but and then these companies are heavily invested in by the
00:42:10.460 GCC nations. So if these nations are longer able to invest in the stock market, these companies
00:42:16.940 will collapse in value. And with that, that would lead to economic depression in America.
00:42:24.220 Does that make sense? All right, so that is the situation for today. Today was just an overview,
00:42:29.020 guys, okay? I know we covered a lot. I know there's a lot to take in. But over the next few weeks,
00:42:34.220 we will explore each issue um in depth and really understand what's really going on okay
00:42:41.420 all right so any questions guys come on did you think how many allowed this to happen
00:42:49.180 any questions about what we've just learned what are the questions amber ask a question
00:42:53.500 we miss you amber okay bro we got the collab in uh six days italy france china or russia they have
00:43:02.380 have also joined this war like what's the cost of they joined the war because of oil or those
00:43:09.420 resources okay a lot of it's about empire right u.s using nukes will establish them as the big
00:43:19.740 daddy of the world like it did after world war ii russia does not want that china does not want 0.99
00:43:24.380 that they want expensive okay so i don't spend too much time on this question because we will
00:43:30.620 explore this question as we move along okay so the question is what brings the world into this
00:43:36.220 conflict and the easy answer is um just oil access energy access okay they need to protect their
00:43:43.260 energy supplies because remember uh it's a very complicated situation because europe is not
00:43:48.060 fighting russia so so europe is not buying any oil resources energy resources from russia therefore
00:43:52.700 depends a lot on the on the gcc so the gcc is not providing them energy then europe will go bankrupt
00:43:58.220 okay so europe needs to enter this war on behalf of americans okay and then you have russia which
00:44:04.220 cannot allow iran to fall because if iran falls then they'll come after russia next 0.99
00:44:10.140 right china is actually neutral china's okay with either scenario but that's just the way
00:44:15.500 that the chinese system is set up okay so we're going to explore this question as move along
00:44:19.100 it seems like china's leaning towards iran it seems like china's leaning towards iran but
00:44:24.060 But they probably partially want U.S. to war with Iran so that they both lose power.
00:44:32.060 But it's a very complicated issue.
00:44:36.220 And each nation will have its own different strategic interests to consider.
00:44:42.140 And what we need to know, what we need to figure out is that this war in the Middle East is actually connected to the Ukraine war.
00:44:49.560 And as we move along, I'll show you how these two things connect together.
00:44:53.280 Okay.
00:44:54.820 Any other questions, guys?
00:44:56.240 Amber.
00:44:57.700 Amber, speak up.
00:44:58.600 So, we'll continue this discussion on Thursday, okay?
00:45:02.900 Great video.
00:45:04.560 I think the major lights, let's quickly go over the notes.
00:45:08.120 I'm going to post them in the Twitter community.
00:45:10.940 Join Love Speech Now.
00:45:12.420 The U.S. Iran War.
00:45:13.400 I will format this for...
00:45:16.400 professor jane game three iranian state media first denied then admitted khamenei dead
00:45:29.360 he died along with his family did not hide in moscow he died like a martyr
00:45:34.000 i don't need to put that well bb hiding germany
00:45:47.440 god doesn't fit
00:45:51.360 shia minority of muslim has always been persecuted jihad sacrificing yourself for your religion 0.94
00:45:59.520 for iranians this is a war against the great satan this is a fight to death israelis struck
00:46:04.200 a girl's school and killed 150 i have seen it's been up to 170 that's why the parentheses
00:46:08.880 israel's claim was a misfire but no they love killing kids i'll put that 1.00
00:46:14.160 according to jang he's saying yids kill kids israelis were showing the world that they are all 0.86
00:46:23.040 in by bombing that school dubai reputation being the safest city in the world the gcc countries
00:46:30.240 the gulf coastal countries under protection of american military the tourist economy focused on
00:46:36.240 aviation i'll say gcc run by tourist economy uh tourist economy aviation like emirates emirates
00:46:51.360 is a great airline uh it has the busiest airport in the world hopefully dubai
00:47:00.080 bus busiest airport in the world flourish under u.s protection gcc claims neutrality but heavily
00:47:07.880 allied with u.s iran attacks gcc kuwait bahrain ua qatar airport shut down in dubai after attacks
00:47:16.760 rich people spending 250 000 to escape dubai john claims dubai is dead and will not contain
00:47:21.540 rich immigrants again gcc will collapse and dubai will go bankrupt 20 of world's oil comes from the 1.00
00:47:27.460 strait of hormuz india gets 60 of its oil from hormuz iranians close the strait of hormuz
00:47:33.880 entire world economy will suffer from strait closing that's why again my theory and it seemed
00:47:41.780 like i was vindicated was that venezuela regime change was done to get the oil to supplement the
00:47:45.640 loss from the oil in the trade of Hormuz. American empire is based on the petrodollar.
00:47:49.840 You have to buy oil based on the petrodollar. GCC and American empire
00:47:53.140 based on this oil and petrol. The GCC gets 80% of its food from
00:47:57.560 overseas. No food is developed in the region. Trade of Hormuz strangles global
00:48:01.480 economy. Iran can hide 1.00
00:48:04.580 missile bases in its mountainous region. U.S. cannot defend against attacks on U.S.
00:48:09.600 military bases. Drones can easily attack oil fields. So they can easily
00:48:13.640 get rid of, they could easily destroy the U.S. economy, and U.S. can't do nothing about it. 0.67
00:48:19.300 60% of the GCC water supply comes from plants. It does not develop any natural water at all.
00:48:26.260 It's easy for Iran to attack their water supply. GCC cannot do anything about these attacks. They 0.72
00:48:30.240 can't actually defend themselves. U.S. slash Israel plan to destroy Iran's water supply. This
00:48:35.000 is the other game theory. They plan to get Iranians to starve and have them rebel against 1.00
00:48:38.960 their own government, or against
00:48:40.860 people, because, well,
00:48:42.980 I'll say government. This war could be the end of the world.
00:48:45.900 GCC is a material
00:48:46.920 society compared to jihad Shias 1.00
00:48:48.780 in Iran.
00:48:54.120 The only way
00:48:55.020 U.S. Israel could destroy Iran is
00:48:56.960 with troops
00:48:58.540 on the ground.
00:49:01.900 Russia, China
00:49:03.160 will get involved if the U.S.
00:49:05.140 Israel uses nukes.
00:49:07.300 So there's a lot of key players right now.
00:49:08.960 Also remind yourself that the U.K., France, Germany, all getting involved as well, saying that they're going to join U.S.-Israel.
00:49:15.140 U.S. bases were established in the G.C. to protect the people against monarchy.
00:49:18.760 American military was built during the Cold War, M.A.D.
00:49:21.080 I don't remember what this stands for.
00:49:21.980 What does M.A.D. stand for again?
00:49:24.460 What does M.A.D. stand for?
00:49:27.380 Empire is an illusion, an idea, not designed to fight a war.
00:49:30.820 uh militia uh mutually assured destruction is that i don't believe you
00:49:43.540 oh yeah you're right mutually assured destruction
00:49:48.980 oh it's just not gonna fit
00:49:55.540 military was built
00:50:02.520 during Cold War
00:50:03.860 Empire solution idea not to sign a fight of war
00:50:15.180 US slash Israel focused on Tehran
00:50:16.580 shock and awe
00:50:17.300 developed after Iraq
00:50:21.300 also war on terror
00:50:23.640 versus Iranian total war.
00:50:27.540 Shock and awe, 0.68
00:50:28.100 take off the head of the enemy. 0.94
00:50:32.020 The enemy being Tehran slash Khomeini. 0.94
00:50:38.420 Capital, the top.
00:50:39.600 But the problem is
00:50:40.360 U.S. military action
00:50:42.100 will make them focus on Tehran.
00:50:43.280 Attacking Tehran inspires the rest of Iran. 1.00
00:50:45.580 Taking off the head
00:50:46.100 does not actually help you win.
00:50:48.480 The idea of asymmetry,
00:50:49.660 both sides choosing to fight
00:50:50.640 in different ways.
00:50:51.400 Iran been under American sanctions
00:50:52.660 for 40 years.
00:50:53.640 poor countries are more cohesive compared to materialistic countries uh drones are cheap to
00:50:58.520 make 50k iran has 80 000 currently thad is uh thermal air force systems really expensive
00:51:05.720 um used by us israel
00:51:12.360 thad missiles cost one million dollars each iran uses drones much more cost effective
00:51:15.960 thad much harder to transfer around uh compared to cheap drones
00:51:20.360 They're very heavy
00:51:23.920 Cold War was against
00:51:28.640 Cold War was 0.62
00:51:31.400 The Soviets against the U.S. 0.69
00:51:40.140 The war was flexing power
00:51:41.640 War was flexing their power
00:51:43.780 Expensive weapons are designed to scare the women 1.00
00:51:45.860 Expensive weapons are designed to scare the enemy
00:51:48.240 not to be effective in actual warfare.
00:51:57.300 Wasting money on expensive equipment and boy beams. 0.75
00:51:59.900 Corruption.
00:52:00.420 Americans don't care about winning. 0.89
00:52:07.600 Ideally, you consume 10% of your water supply.
00:52:09.680 Middle East is consuming 800 to 17,000% of their water supply.
00:52:13.480 Lake Ermia, North Iran, depleted of water since the 80s.
00:52:17.240 This weak point of Lake Ermia will be attacked by U.S.-Israel. 0.99
00:52:26.300 Iran is separated by many ethnic groups and regions.
00:52:28.520 Different groups of Iran will fight each other over water.
00:52:32.020 U.S.-Israel strategy.
00:52:37.460 Please fit. There we go.
00:52:38.800 U.S.-Israel long-term game plan is to destroy the water to get Iran to fight each other. 0.65
00:52:42.320 They won't admit this.
00:52:43.460 won't admit this because it's reprehensible
00:52:48.480 iran strategy to establish global jihad against the great state in most of the muslim world run 0.99
00:52:54.840 by unpopular dictatorships installed by u.s um iran goal is to unify the muslim world against 0.85
00:53:04.520 u.s regime through jihad pax islamica united under iran gcc sells oil through the u.s
00:53:11.940 dollars to benefit wall street well i said wall street said um u.s stock market
00:53:20.120 well wall street's another way to say that i'll just say wall street sure
00:53:25.620 stock market collapses uh stock market collapsing would destroy u.s economy
00:53:30.940 gcc heavily invests in stock market dominated by ai microsoft apple
00:53:36.320 perfect i'm going to post these notes right now great video look forward to our collab real soon