00:06:11.460Yeah, the stakes are really high now, and he wields ubiquitous or unilateral ability to do foreign policy stuff.
00:06:18.520So, yeah, like we could totally see that.
00:06:20.300I wouldn't put it past him because we know that some of his biggest supporters and financial backers absolutely want to see that.
00:06:26.080I just want to step back and say, though, like the problem with right wing discourse that we have to get over here.
00:06:30.780First, there was no acknowledgement of the fact that 40 percent of Trump's electorate was crossover Democrats and independents and a disparate group of people who are not traditional Republican voters.
00:06:38.780It was 40 percent last time. Next time they have to win, it will be 45 percent.
00:06:43.120And the time after that, it will be 50 percent.
00:06:45.220So the era of traditional Republican politics is absolutely over.
00:06:49.080Then I also want to point out that of the entire people in the polling industry, only about 20% of them really saw a double-digit Democrat lead here, and even fewer saw this lead way far out.
00:06:59.380Now, I had a situation going on with Rasmussen, but my first poll in August had Democrats up 11.
00:07:03.020And let me stop you because you're going to go a little bit in the next hour because it isn't about tooting your horn, but like any really classy, smart guy, you won't talk about yourself.
00:07:44.920you know run onto the rocks here so just kind of recap and how did it feel
00:07:49.340to be totally vindicated here and then the insane predictions of the israel first gaggle
00:07:56.860yeah that are now scurrying around even throwing trump under the bus on affordability when yeah0.99
00:08:03.020it's your stupid war that helped do that i mean it's just incredible sorry go ahead0.95
00:08:06.220no i i would like to use this time to call out the traitors to america that are the mag influencers0.99
00:08:13.160Because that's really the problem here. So what I was saying is like, I predicted this early, the Democrat wave, but Rich Barris predicted it even before me because he was able to poll freely and had a double digit lead going back to April.
00:08:25.900And even a year before that, out of the entire polling industry and all of right wing like tacos fear, like you obviously knew this was coming instinctually.
00:08:35.220But out of all the people who study public opinion, nobody was really out there saying, like, hey, the American people supported Trump's agenda.
00:08:42.940He's screwing it up and they're going off the track right now.
00:09:31.380This is exactly right, and it's so sad because of how quick it happened, right?
00:09:35.400So he had a 2024 election that was built on moral and intellectual authority.
00:09:40.480Donald Trump's agenda was smart, objectively correct, like it was the right thing for America, and because of that, it was authentic, and the podcasters picked it up, and he had support for like Theo Vaughn and Joe Rogan.
00:09:53.900And everybody on Twitter. Finally, we had a free marketplace of ideas. And it's that this Western logos, this like desire to save America, this latent patriotism, this nationalism. That's what got Trump a win in 2024. And then all of these people and all of this money said, look at this. Look at how influential the podcasters are. This is the first time the Internet is real life and not necessarily Fox News and MSNBC. Right.
00:10:19.720And so what did they do? Like plantation owners, they hire a bunch of plantation overseers with big leather whips and they say, welcome to the plantation. You're part of our plantation now. And if you get out of line, we're going to whip you and you got to stay on this plantation because if you escape, it's really scary out there. And, you know, freedom isn't all it's cracked up to be anyways.
00:10:39.380And then as we got like a little more desperate, the plantation overseers like were changing their tactics.
00:10:44.680It's like, hey, if you stay on this plantation, maybe we won't whip you as hard.
00:10:48.420You know, maybe we'll go easy and you won't have to pick as much cotton.0.87
00:10:51.260And then all the people that escaped, they got to send the dogs over after those people.0.71
00:10:55.380You can't have those people getting up to Boston and owning a business or something and all the people on the plantation seeing what's happening.
00:11:01.960So what you basically had over the last year and a half was a slave revolt where everybody fled the plantation and it is living a free life now.
00:11:10.540They are not going to suffer the whips of the Republican Party.
00:11:14.700And what we saw was a massive repudiation among independents specifically.
00:11:18.720These are the people that do not like the Republican or Democrat Party and saw Trump as something different and said, you know what, we're going to like try this guy out.
00:11:27.040And it was an F minus like delivering for the economic populism was just a complete and utter failure. Donald Trump went from promising a golden age to being literally the face of the corporate oligarchy. And it's going to blow up in his face big time. They're going to make him the face of the Epstein class and uncover all of these people enriching themselves. And like, I think it's going to be an utter debacle.
00:11:47.900Now, you were talking about J.D. Vance. Again, I still think he's the only one on the playing field that has a chance of rebuilding this fractured coalition. But the problem is, is that I don't know if this fractured coalition even wants to be built because there's so much money in the corporate and foreign interests that I'm sure they're thinking about this is like, hey, you know, obviously we know that J.D. Vance is going to do better in the Rust Belt and that he's an economic populist.
00:12:13.880And Marco has ties to the Bush administration and his neocon, but Marco Rubio can raise
00:12:19.580a lot more money and, you know, maybe it'll work.
00:12:59.280Like I've seen I think we've seen enough capture that the chance of taking over the Republican Party from within is just absolutely crazy.
00:13:06.800These people are OK with winning as long as they can pad their pockets.
00:13:09.880And the one guy like J.D. Vance again, only one I said on the field, he's doing way better than Trump is from an approval perspective. He's the only economic populist. And to be honest with you, he's the only one that has exercised even a modicum of bravery out there and breaking with Donald Trump, not with his own opinions.
00:13:27.200But all he did in that tweet was reflect what Fabrizio told him was Americans' opinions.
00:13:32.280And, of course, the neoconservatives will all attack that because, again, they acknowledge that their interests are diametrically opposed to the interests of the American people.
00:13:40.280And so how do you force those people out of the party?0.98
00:13:43.300As far as I can tell, Elon Musk is the biggest sucker here.0.96
00:13:47.160He spent hundreds of millions of dollars.0.99
00:16:36.400They piss the money away. And then they like go into the next cycle with absolutely no introspection and they're losing the country. This is not going to go well. They are literally going to be completely like losers for generations. It's already going to be like 10, 15 years till we probably get the Senate back after this horrifying loss.
00:16:54.120And no, at all, no appreciation of any feedback whatsoever.
00:16:59.040It was all attacked because as far as I can tell, like the purpose of a system is what
00:17:09.760And I would say this is really the last chance.
00:17:11.680I feel bad for J.D. Vance again, because he is the polling front runner.
00:17:14.940He's the only economic populace as far as I know in Washington, D.C.
00:17:19.320Nationalism and populism is an imperative, and it's the solution to all this stuff.
00:17:23.660He could be the next Teddy Roosevelt, but the problem is that we're asking him to do too tough a job.
00:17:29.240It's not just to run when he has the stink of the failed MAGA agenda on him, right?
00:17:34.920We're also asking him to go up against an entire corrupt organization that will attack him, that will use all of their influencers to come at him.
00:19:06.800Absolutely on target, Mark Mitchell.0.99
00:19:08.520Instead, we stood by and let Israel come in and take it over and run the damn thing into the ground.0.94
00:19:12.320All right, I could talk to Mark Mitchell for days because he's got a great background running all sorts of companies, big major companies as CEO.0.99
00:26:11.900which we know they're going to do through super PACs.
00:26:13.180But the fact that they're actually playing possum shows in their calculus, how did they suddenly wake up that this totally turned against them?0.51
00:26:21.920Yeah, well, I mean, they could have listened to me over a year and a half ago when for the first time we showed Palestinians had more support than Israel.
00:26:29.660That should have been an eye opener as well as the massive age difference.0.75
00:26:33.060like i i just to emphasize like how bad this is one of the things i often look at as a pollster
00:26:38.300is google trends because you can see what people uh are organically searching for on the internet
00:26:43.520and how it varies over the time over time uh i'm not being glib here if you look up the word
00:26:49.160noticing on google search trends you're seeing a hockey stick graph like where we are going is
00:26:56.040not necessarily that people don't support israel anymore it's that people think that this
00:27:01.020administration is controlled by israel five to one they think israel has too much influence over
00:27:05.620the trump administration and it's become going to become an albatross a national pariah something
00:27:10.560that prevents republicans because they have most obviously made themselves the party of israel
00:27:15.660through this war of choice through bragging over and over again about how great miriam
00:27:21.340adelson's funding is well i was about to say i was about to say you got to come back next week
00:27:26.120for a full hour when i would war game this listeners would think i was advising israel
00:27:57.500I mean, we saw America turn on Biden and he became he became the target of all of the memes and all of the remember FJB being chanted in stadiums.
00:28:08.560I did that getting posted on all the gas stations.
00:28:11.480America realized that they were done with Joe Biden.
00:28:14.060And in our polling, only six months after he had been inaugurated, we had Donald Trump winning a matchup against Biden by 13 points.
00:28:21.500Now, obviously, some of that was a response bias, but American public opinion can turn very fast.
00:28:26.300And Donald Trump no longer, in my opinion, has a floor. I think we're going to see another leg down in an approval rating. Right now I have him at 38. If he gets to like the 33 vicinity in my numbers, that's kind of putting him in like George W. Bush territory after the great financial crisis.
00:28:42.000People were very ready to be done with George W. Bush, and it ushered in Obama.
00:28:47.740And, like, I think we're in a totally different situation with the Internet now.
00:28:51.820We are going to see him become, like, the target of memes and of cultural backlash in a way that he is not prepared to handle because he's always had this core of support.
00:29:20.480I think the clock on populism was ticking on Trump.
00:29:23.860I think it's accelerated now, even for them.
00:29:26.660And if the Republicans actually reform themselves and actually repudiate Trump, I think that could catapult them in 2028 because of this fourth turning, everything is accelerated.
00:29:36.140I don't see a path towards establishment Republican parties like like changing and introspectively arriving at the fact that it needs a nationalistic America first economic populist platform.
00:29:49.720Don't think that's going to happen because they're paid not to that have that to happen.
00:29:53.640Right now, we are going to be in an interesting gridlock stalemate where unfortunately for Trump, he's the executive and he's going to be held accountable for all this financial stress.0.66
00:30:04.160Government shutdowns, you name it, riots, Black Lives Matter 2.0.
00:30:08.800Yeah, I don't even think the Democrats need to push this stuff.0.83
00:30:12.340In fact, this sort of like color revolution narrative I'm hearing I think is inorganic and is coming from paid Fed posters and stuff like that.0.67
00:30:18.880I think what they're trying to do is gin back up this whole Q resistance so they have some kind of online narrative in order to – what they're going to do is they're going to say the Democrats are coming for Trump and he's standing between you and the Democrats and you've got to donate for Donald Trump's legal defenses.0.58
00:30:32.520They're going to use the fear of the communist instead of reforming.0.94
00:30:36.940They're just going to use the threat they opened the door for.
00:30:40.160Again, I think the best thing for America, because they are desperate economically, is to reach across party aisles and come up with some kind of bipartisan economic populism thing.
00:30:49.040Like let's get like wages up and offshoring down and like maybe raise taxes on the corporations or whatever, something to give people relief.
00:30:56.600But unfortunately, I think that that can't happen because the Democrat Party has been poisoned by people who absolutely despise Trump.