00:03:13.540Of course, Barnes and I have both been big Trump supporters.
00:03:15.560Barnes worked for him in 2020 as a lawyer in Georgia and other states investigating fraud.
00:03:21.160And so we've been critical of Trump because he has really gone sideways.
00:03:26.240And some of these latest clips just illustrated, folks, like Trump bragging on how he, if he murdered someone right in front of them, MAGA would still support him.0.59
00:03:36.500Beating up a fat lady, his supporters defend that.0.99
00:03:39.240Drag her out, just don't punch her in the face a bunch.0.99
00:03:41.900He says, I travel with doctors, they won't help you if you collapse your collateral damage, they take care of me.
00:03:47.220I mean, this sounds like once the man, twice the child, to quote William Shakespeare stuff.
00:03:53.260But I don't want to just spend the whole time on a Trump bashing fest.
00:04:05.100The White House has confirmed it was Trump killed the Starlink.
00:04:07.880Within hours of him turning Starlink back on, Zelensky started attacking refineries again.
00:04:12.680So will Trump turn off Starlink again?
00:04:15.380We'll cover it all with Robert Barnes.
00:04:17.680Robert, great to have you here with us.
00:04:19.400Let's jump right into it because you're one of the most accurate people ever predicting elections.
00:04:23.800What do you see in the tea leaves 17 days out?0.76
00:04:27.080Yeah, I mean, basically what we forecast, you know, last year was that if Trump went into Iran again,0.73
00:04:34.360then and never did fully disclose the Epstein files and didn't embrace the Maha agenda,0.70
00:04:40.060didn't do mass deportation by targeting big corporations that profit from it.
00:04:44.060You know, some of those quartet of issues key to the populist part of Trump's base, that those voters would feel disillusioned and disappointed and would be unlikely to turn out.
00:04:53.640And many of the new voters that have been added to the Republican coalition under Trump, working class voters in the working class north and the industrial north and the anti-war segments and sections of the country amongst the Hispanic populations from South Florida to South Texas to Southwest Arizona, Nevada, that a lot of the young people, young black men.
00:05:13.100And, you know, if you looked at an overlap of the Alex Jones core audience, you would find a direct overlap with the core new voters that Trump added to the coalition beginning in 2016 and culminating in 2024.
00:05:24.620But the key to that was keeping, you know, deep-sixing the deep state, draining the swamp, ending all the new wars, getting rapprochement with Russia, refocusing on America first, Main Street over Wall Street, you know, the mass deportations and closing the border, returning to normal cultural values.
00:05:43.660And the problem is on almost all of those things, Trump has not only disappointed voters, he's often, they feel, betrayed them.
00:05:49.800The effect of that is we are in a very unique electoral environment, a betrayal environment.
00:05:56.020There's only two other examples of it historically in the United States.
00:05:59.680Both of them were presidential election cycles.
00:06:02.140And that was 1920 after Woodrow Wilson promised to keep us out of World War I and then dragged us into World War I.
00:06:08.180And then 2008, when George W. Bush's combination of bailing out Wall Street and the global financial crisis and the Iraq war being proven to be a lie, as you said at the time, about weapons of mass destruction, you had voters who were not only disappointed and disillusioned that stayed home, but those that came out and participated were out to punish the candidate they thought betrayed them.
00:06:29.280Not because they love Barack Hussein Obama, not because they necessarily love the Republican brand in 1920, but because they were out to punish the party and the candidate they think lied to them.
00:06:39.400And so in that betrayal environment, we're seeing massive, we're going to see the biggest Democratic generic ballot victory in the modern history of America.
00:06:49.620we're looking at if Trump actually makes the mistake of going back into Iran or letting
00:06:54.980Israel dog walk them back into Iran before the midterm election date, then it will even be a
00:07:01.800bloodier bloodbath on November 3rd. What we're looking at currently is my estimate is that the0.97
00:07:08.020Democrats will not only win the Senate, but that they will win at least 53 Senate seats up to 58
00:07:14.700Senate seats. In the House, they will win at least 230 House seats, maybe up to 260 House seats.
00:07:23.320Right now, I would put the median at 55 Democratic Senate seats and the median at 250-plus Democratic
00:07:30.460House seats, that half of the governorships are going to flip, that there's going to be a half
00:07:34.680dozen states whose state legislatures flip to a Democratic trifecta of control, including,
00:07:40.240shockingly likely as it appears right now in arizona the uh democratic governor a republican
00:07:46.280governor in nevada may lose the uh they're likely to lose the ohio and iowa governorships
00:07:52.760and you're in your home state right there governor abbott is in a uh it is in a dead heat according
00:07:58.340to his own internal polls and that trump is so radioactive every time people see trump on the
00:08:03.920voter path aside from all of his dementia donald comments that he makes every single stop now
00:08:08.340The other factor is that people are so angry and feel betrayed by him that every time they see him on the campaign trail, it motivates them to get out and vote against the Republicans on the ballot to punish Trump for, in their view, betraying him.
00:08:22.000I mean, nothing better signifies it than a woman wears a Release Epstein Files t-shirt to, as you just mentioned, to a Trump rally, and she gets beaten up and thrown out.
00:08:32.760This is literally just the opposite.0.70
00:08:34.840They're playing into this sort of MAGA-tard, Trump-tard.0.67
00:08:37.320And what's crazy is I came out, you came out, I follow your page.0.62
00:08:41.520You know, I read everything you put out.
00:09:39.320I mean, the reality is you couldn't lose the kind of audience that you and Tucker Carlson represent and expect to do well in the midterms.
00:09:47.100But Trump keeps doubling down on dump.0.62
00:09:49.200You know, the swampy Susie is doing what she's doing, getting the CDC to continue to mandate the mRNA vaccine as a recommendation for even pregnant women.0.97
00:18:01.340of the populist message that he believes in0.77
00:18:03.060If he has any self-interest in being able to preserve his political future, he needs to stand up more aggressively, more publicly to Trump on issues like food freedom and medical freedom in Maha, on issues like anti-war, on issues like corruption, and on the direction of where so many parts of the Trump administration are right now doubling down on dumb.0.90
00:18:22.760And then you've got all the grifters are out to knife each other.0.77
00:18:25.880So Swampy Susie's out to knife the new press secretary because she was approved by Trump.
00:18:30.360By the way, that was my next question.0.99
00:18:32.120Power struggle erupts in Trump's White House
00:18:56.160that have been parasitically attached.
00:18:58.720That's where the Kushner stories are coming out of the, all of them are the corruption stories are just going to culminate and people are going to be shocked at the scale and scope of it.
00:19:07.500So everybody's nervous and they're figuring out who to knife next.
00:19:10.240And we warned the president getting into bed with these people was going to be deeply problematic.
00:19:15.840Again, we told him day one, there was almost no insider trading corruption or Trump.