The Anchormen Show with Matt Gaetz | A House Built on Sand
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Summary
The Anchor Podcast is a fun little project we do with some brilliant folks who hang out here at One America News all day, talking about some of the issues of the day. This week, it's time for the Anchor podcast with Matt Gates and Dan Ball, where they talk about the things going on in the world, including: 1) What's going on with the Florida governor, Ron De Santis 2) What s happening in Washington, D.C., and why it matters 3) Why it matters, and 4) Why it doesn't matter
Transcript
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now it's time for the anchorman podcast with matt gates and dan ball
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welcome back to our anchorman program i'm matt gates host the mac gate show here on one america
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news you can catch our program nine o'clock eastern six o'clock central and this is a fun
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little project we do with some of the brilliant folks who hang out here at one america news all
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day we're going to talk about some of the issues of the day i am joined as always by my friend and
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on again off again employee vish burrah he was the founding producer of bannon's war room he's now a
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producer on the mac gate show and also served on congressional hill as a staffer and then the host
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of the sharp report rejoins us pearson sharp you can catch his terrific investigative reporting
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opinion news analysis all here on one america news and there is a lot going on but the reason i wanted
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pearson on he sent me on our buddy text chain a ron de santis take on the activities we've seen
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recently in the congress and i want to hear from the governor get pearson's reaction and then talk
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about it governor ron de santis you know elon musk uh went into this doge effort uh he was getting
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lampooned i mean like they're firebombing his tesla dealerships media smearing him relentlessly
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uh his businesses suffered all this stuff because he basically said look we can't keep doing this
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uh we need to moderate and reduce the amount of money that the federal government is spending and yet
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we have a republican congress and to this day we're in the the end of may past memorial day
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and not one cent in doge cuts have been implemented by the congress doge and elon were on a collision
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course with the swamp and the question is what would happen and i don't think there's any question that
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uh doge fought the swamp and so far the swamp has won
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pearson did this speak right to your soul and why
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yes but coming from florida i'm sure you have a a more nuanced position and opinion on de santis
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but i think what he says makes a lot of sense at least on the surface i know you're going to talk
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about that um i think we as voters have been at least i have been disappointed that the two trillion
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in cuts that we were promised have been steadily whittled down to almost nothing what is 170 billion
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i think right now is the latest figure um that's great but we have 36 trillion in debt like that's
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less than a drop in the bucket so i think what he's saying makes a lot of sense and musk has been
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turned into kind of a whipping boy as as he said you know his project went out there to fix all these
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legitimate problems that we have with our government number one being this out of control spending
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this debt is killing us two billion dollars a day a trillion dollars a year that's unsustainable we
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can't fix that um so i think what he set out to do was wonderful and the fact that we can't get
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the republicans to get behind it is very telling i think a lot of these republicans are you know
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democrats with a red suit and we've got to fix that we can't go on like this okay so before we
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get to vicious take do you grant de santis's core premise that elon fought the swamp and the swamp won
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well i don't think the battle's over yet but at this point elon has definitely taken a step back
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i mean he said so himself he said you know i tried my best and i think he has
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um he's lost a lot of support from people who i think never really supported him they did on paper
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because it was what trump did and what trump wanted but i don't think he's given up i think we still have
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a chance but we need to push for it and we need to hold people accountable who should be fighting for
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the same things that we're fighting for but there's some who would say that the passage of this
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government funding legislation that doesn't bake in the doge cuts forever more right is the seminal
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moment yeah it is it is the make or break did this sink in did this really happen because i remember
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and you remember all of these members of congress saying oh i'm in the doge caucus and here's my selfie
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with elon and here's my repost of elon at cpac with a chainsaw and i am totally here for this
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and then you know what it got real it totally weren't and then it got real and then you saw
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the bureaucrats actually packing up their boxes at usa id you actually saw the divisions of the
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department of education that were going to be shut down we actually started having real conversations
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yeah about sending food stamps and other uh public welfare programs to the states rather than having
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all the federal strings attached and these people blinked they totally blinked and it wasn't elon's
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fault and it wasn't trump's fault trump would have signed any government funding bill probably that they
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would send him that had the tax cuts in it and a lot of the pro-growth policies has been fighting for
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but it's congress that has shown the unwillingness to make the cuts so so so in in in that respect
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you look at de sanis and you see what in his in his reflection in in this manner well he's just
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calling out what the rest of us are seeing at least what i'm seeing and what we've talked about
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ad nauseum i like every time we talk we bring this up and he's just pointing that out that we have this
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big problem and uh musk himself said that he was disappointed in trump's bill he said you know we've
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got 36 trillion and this adds another 3.1 trillion at least and i don't know if the tax cuts and everything
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else the growth measures are going to make up for that in the long run well yeah let me be straight with
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you and the audience we are going to 50 trillion in debt there is not a single person who has
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proposed a single plan that has been voted on even one time in the house or senate that would that would
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ameliorate that eventuality i think about a country that's 50 trillion dollars in debt and i think about
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a country that doesn't own its own future exactly so so that's by the bank that's a really foreign
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interests but but chomping at the bit is political operative information warfare extraordinary
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and while you and i are having a reasonable high-minded debate about the critical importance
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of reducing federal spending vish sees ron de santis in that video and he makes a crass cold political
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uh calculation vish burrow what do you see this uh these comments by ron de santis uh this is
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basically him angling and making an overture to elon musk to be his number one uh funder for the
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2028 primary campaign he's going to wage against jd so you believe this is the first chess move in in
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the big battle for the elon 2028 endorsement well i don't think it's the first chess move but i think
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this is the chess move a big chess move that shows that he's going for the big we all saw yes that we
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all saw and it's clear as day i mean look it's all i think it's also disingenuous that that ron that
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ron is going out and saying that mainly because if ron de santis was in the congress today right now
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and he had to vote on that bill totally would have voted for he would have voted for it hundred percent
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so and because and why is that because ron de santis is a normal politician who will who all the same
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normal political pressures applied to him and affect him just like every other normal politician
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we know you were so inspired to hear governor de santis wax poetic about these reductions when you
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hear us say that he would definitely have voted for that bill does it does it hurt this is it doesn't
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hurt and it makes sense but this is where you know when you and i had these conversations and i talked
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with you i told you this earlier i feel like you know you guys you see the inside of the political
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machine you know how the gears operate and i feel like a country bumpkin you know when we talk about
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this stuff because i'm just looking at it john's value public man and i'm like hey yeah de santis
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said he's disappointed in this i'm disappointed in this i agree with that and you're over here like
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that snake i mean look it's true and i gotta pull on the string though here uh-huh is he the front
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runner for the elon endorsement for 2028 well you know what he was the front runner for the elon
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endorsement in 2024 he was remember when ron de santis made an announcement or was going to
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announce his campaign yeah he uh was going to do it on twitter on whose space elon musk space the
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space that would eventually crash but nonetheless it was elon was already ready for de santis back in
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2024 yeah i think he's definitely at least primed for it in 2028 and uh i think that this also gets to
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elon's uh you know i guess you could say ego where he wants to i'm sure elon wants to see the doge
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cuts because they are a good thing and wants to see those things codified that's a that's sincere
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patriotism yeah that is from my view yes but like there's also you know on some personal level he
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wants to see that through or wants another shot at it and i think he would see if ron de santis is
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getting and putting that up as a priority he would he would get behind ron take though yeah but again
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this is with the intent of primarying jd vance and chipping off the fiscal conservatives the thomas
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massey's of the world the chip roy's of the world the dana lesh nate never trump kind of uh well
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cohort there that are that fiscal conservatism is like top priority for them it's meant to chip off
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that block yeah i was gonna i was gonna jump on that and say that that your take assumes that
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de santis thinks that vance is not going to be in the running oh he's going to hang it around his
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neck he's going to but de santis is going to hang this bill around vance's neck and say you were
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the guy who helped pass this monstrosity of a bill and ran us up into this dead and with all these
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deficits it's it's it i could see it clear as day up in here you know i i would be advising him to do
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that so so let's let's survey this question then among us in the 2028 presidential primary
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is the big beautiful bill gonna be popular and something to run on unpopular and something to run
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away from or just white noise and not really a defining characteristic of that election which do
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you take this it'll be white noise if there's no primary challenger to jady vance pearson yeah i think
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it's going to end up being white noise but i think for people who pay attention like us it's going to
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remain a disappointment because this is not what i wanted so so i actually i actually think that
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somebody's going to have to cast a vision beyond what this bill delivers us another way of agreeing
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with pearson there that if what you're running on is this stuff um you know it's not going to be
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something that draws people in to uh to a coalition for the future and right now we're in this moment
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right you know congress passes the the big beautiful bill in the house they go on break
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and they start having their town halls and you start to see whether or not people are running
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toward this bill or away from it and what i can see is that there are a lot of people who voted for
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this legislation who then sort of run against it in their rhetoric well sure i voted for it we needed
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to advance the trump agenda didn't want to stand in the way of passage but it drives up the debt but
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it fails to do the doge stuff but it doesn't include rescissions but it still does too much of
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the green new deal so let me guess do you need another two years to try to get it done this time
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you know like that's like here to donate yeah that's a it's it's not of course they're just going to
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talk i think that there's a fatigue amongst the american public that's setting in that understands
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we're never going to get these cuts and again it goes back to my point that's why everyone's kind of
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on the dole on the take on on this stuff where it's where the mentality is if i can if i'm never
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going to get the cuts that i'm being promised for from my politicians the you know the cuts in the
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government then i'm just gonna no yeah what good are they what i'm just gonna you know i i'd rather
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some of that money come to me instead and i'll vote for these guys if they give it to me i want to ask
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you though you were you were on the inside you were probably in this position before so these people
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you were talking about where they don't agree with the bill but they feel compelled to vote for it
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how does that work like what do you do in that position well in the house of representatives where
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you have 435 people no one really believes they can go at it alone so whenever you want to demand
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a change to a particular bill the first thing you need is at least one other person in the body
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who will uh you know sort of lash themselves to your fate and say i'm with you unless xyz change
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happens in the legislation if you go in wanting you know 30 40 50 changes oftentimes you're unable to
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marshal a sufficient group of people together around that many things but you'll remember one of the
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things conservatives tried to stand against previously was the funding for planned parenthood and
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so they'd get a batch of 15 20 35 that would say well if the government funding bill includes
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money for planned parenthood then we're not going to vote for it well now you don't even see that
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debate as a core feature of the negotiation people just kind of move past it and so people would pick
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things like funding for sanctuary cities and say well you know are there five six seven of us who would
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be willing to die in that ditch and what i can tell you is if you know whatever you think you start
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with as a bastion against a bad bill to try to make it better uh you you see it whittled down
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as people get told well you know congressman vish you weren't for this but we just found the resources
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for a new park in staten island and well you know pearson uh gosh you know you've been working on this
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really important intellectual property uh change uh to protect our businesses from china we'll throw that
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in but then you got to vote for the big spending soft bribery yeah and and what what happens uh is
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that people justify a suboptimal path for the country because there's an optimal path for one
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particular interest of theirs and getting people to um join together to reject the top line spending
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increases is very hard because of what vish just explained people have given up hope that we're going
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to have real spending reform and they just say well to you know to heck with it if we're not going to
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have any real spending reform don't cut my va benefits don't don't have my uh my ne'er-do-well
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relative on ssi we'll let the country burn down but you know how does what am i going to get out of it
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right and so people let me get some people who are deemed the effective smart brilliant operators of
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washington are the ones who know how to name their price to get to yes and are able to extract the most for
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themselves or their districts or the causes they care about to get to yes the problem is that you
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know it ultimately leads you to this place we were just at where you're 50 trillion dollars in debt
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and ultimately the country will have to face severe austerity and like you think we're in civil unrest
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now right wait till we're 50 trillion dollars in debt and we're really having to cut cut things off
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and we're really seeing supply chains short we thought it was supply chain issues because you had to
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wait an extra three weeks for a sofa from ikea wait till your supply chain issues you know is like
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the baby formula isn't coming and 50 trillion ain't that far away it's within 10 years yeah easily i mean
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within within 10 years we're going to be 50 trillion dollars in debt market politicians i hate
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politicians this is evil first time yeah i know first time we have no idealists we have opportunists
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there's no idealists so they're all actually occupationalists they're all there concerned
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with one thing and that is how do i get reelected the next go around well but that's that's kind of
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how i wanted to frame this discussion about this bill because you can see how things really are
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playing out based on how these politicians are talking about them even if it doesn't align with how
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they vote you see if if there isn't a big groundswell of support for this bill even people who voted for it
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will point out its flaws and how they uh worked to relieve flaws you know we've had lawmakers we
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think highly of on our program this week who've said well you know there have been some senators who
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think this might spend too much money if they want to chip away at more they would do so with our
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support and our encouragement and our blessing that's unusual you know usually when people vote for
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something they want you to swallow the whole pill right right yeah no what they're trying to do is
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they're trying to pass the buck and say well i didn't cut that the senators did right like that's
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that that's the thing it's all about like who can i point at to get the thing i want with none of the
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skin in the game you know well the skin in the game and the leverage and the willingness to endure pain
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is where i spent a lot of my time in congress because i i got to the point where i was willing to endure
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the pain to try to drive people to address arguably more than anybody else yeah and and look at you
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where it got us we're still going to that 50 trillion in debt because despite my efforts of
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firing the guy in charge i couldn't get the institution on the rails of a funding system
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that uh would allow for the doge cuts to be made permanent to get a vote for each and every one but
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uh you know we could probably throw an image on the screen there were a number of republican senators
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who voted against the doge cuts just to usa id so forget the doge cuts that existed at irs or at the
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park service or anywhere else just to the foreign money we you know sprinkle about the world and you
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had a neoconservative uniparty oppose elon's efforts uh i i am encouraged nonetheless because i do believe
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jd vance is the heir apparent to this movement and you know what people really think when they're
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saying stuff when maybe they don't ever know that that's going to be what people see and one of the
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positives of that houthi group chat is that you saw in jd vance someone who's thoughtful who asked
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precisely the questions we would want asked by a commander-in-chief in a circumstance such as this
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and i i actually think he's going to be a combination of tactical operational capability
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right alongside vision and inspiration and motivation for a lot of people before we go on
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anything else what is your best estimate because this is one of the things that i would
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i'd die for anybody who got this passed how can we repeal the 16th amendment
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the 16th amendment as it relates to the direct income tax well the the income tax i don't think
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you're going to because that was one of the things that we were you know trump was talking about and
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talking about seriously and i think that would be one of the massive things that could help our
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country because you would the government would have to stop spending money no they would just borrow
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it yeah they would borrow it you would just get more monetary policy that's right they'll find a
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way the the thing is you can't you can't stop the leviathan right they just that we as much as we
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want for it to happen as much as every politician you've grown up listening to promises that they
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could get it done it's just not happening whether you can't starve the beast you can't cut the beast
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down to size we had the greatest engineer yeah in all of human history devoting his time and the time
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one guy brilliant brilliant minds and we we are left with these feelings that you have and then it
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meant you sort of wonder um if our efforts are deployed to slowing the growth not to stopping the
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leviathan but just slowing the growth is that enough because at this level of of debt is there an amount of
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growth that will save us is there a you know debt to gdp ratio that gets us out of the downfall there
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has to there has to be some kind of technological breakthrough that like creates like a literal
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energy or some kind of new plane yeah either we need to we need to create like some kind of nuclear
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energy source that free energy bring yeah literally bring down energy to like nothing that might create
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a new plane of like economic existence for us where maybe we grow to a point that we're you know a 50
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trillion debt doesn't matter because we have a 200 trillion dollar economy because now we have free
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energy for anyone everyone unless something like that happens i don't think it's where there's it's a
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waste of time to try and uh you know stop the leviathan or slow the growth of the leviathan and just put
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on a leash and use it for your own so i read an article by victor davis hansen today where he talked
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about three strategies for getting rid of debt historically and none of them are ideal but
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without massive cuts lay them on us the first one is the weimar republic strategy which seemed to be
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what biden was doing you just print trillions of dollars to pay back your debt with deflated currency
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or inflated currency well if that worked zimbabwe would be the most powerful country exactly
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yep we say zimbabwe do we so that's strategy one the second one which has been tried many times
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and is also terrible is confiscation of personal property and governments throughout history have
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done that with disastrous results um the third one is we just wipe our hands and say we don't know
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anybody anything we're erasing our debt and starting at zero which is the cleanest option but then who
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would ever buy bonds again from the government why would you ever do that again so unless we can
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just massively cut down i think that would start wars if we told people we just weren't going to pay
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them it could but like we owe ourselves more money than we owe anybody else so unless the banks have
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armies um you know china has 800 billion i thought they had more but apparently it's 800 billion most of
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it's owned by ourselves japan has the most i think it's like one trillion or something so i don't know
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but we've got to cut back drastically so you don't buy the theory that austerity is even achievable
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like regular austerity you can just like cutting spending yeah just say look we can't be cradle to
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grave socialists anymore we can't fund no we can't know education we don't need to legal aliens we don't
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need to care for people come here my my well we need to get rid of a lot of the welfare maybe
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all together my dad made a great point he said you know when he was growing up they didn't have
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welfare and he said he can't remember anybody dying on the streets because they couldn't find food
00:23:30.120
there was nobody having that situation because the private sector stepped in now you've created such
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a growth of public sector welfare that you've crowded out what was otherwise efficacious um you know
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uh church inspired in many cases uh distribution of uh of resources to our fellow humans well and and
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the percentage of people who were in that situation was much smaller than now by feeding it you've helped
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it grow and it's just out of control at this point so i think any solution is going to be extremely
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painful and that's going to make the person who does it very unpopular even if it's exactly what we need
00:24:07.740
well and and we may not be at that moment with the majorities we have in the house and senate but
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visch isn't waiting for bigger majorities he wants to see this majority yeah actually taken out for a spin
00:24:20.160
and used and uh he doesn't you know you don't want the ronda santis lecture huh no absolutely not i don't
00:24:26.000
want the ronda santis lecture and it's it's not that he's wrong he's right but he's saying it for all the
00:24:33.160
wrong reasons and we all know that that's why i don't like the messenger on that but i do think that
00:24:37.920
that he's right i want to see the majority actually govern and it's just not happening we are going to
00:24:44.240
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healthy again so if it's not our debt that gets to us maybe it's world war three and i see president
00:25:54.460
trump trying to stop that with all of his effort and might between russia and ukraine and here's what
00:26:02.600
i sense and i'm dying to get your take on pearson i think trump's a little annoyed with putin i think
00:26:09.620
he expected putin to be more willing to enter into a ceasefire for broader negotiations and as trump
00:26:17.300
is trying to bring parties together trying to bring an end to this war trying to get away from
00:26:23.300
the naivete of the biden administration like that crimea was going to be repatriated trump showed
00:26:29.540
i think uh reasonableness by making some statements out front like look we're not going to be dragging
00:26:36.140
ukraine into nato we're not going to be repatriating crimea and he thought that that would create a
00:26:42.120
conducive environment for negotiations and then when he has seen some of these russian
00:26:47.120
attacks on ukrainians subsequent to his efforts i think he's really been peeved by that and i know
00:26:54.480
there's been hostilities on both sides but you study russia a lot you oftentimes uh prevent and present a
00:27:01.860
more nuanced take on maybe how russia sees some of these international dynamics so in this precise moment
00:27:08.600
where trump is trying to curate and cultivate peace where he dog walked zelinski through the oval office
00:27:16.740
where he made concessions to russia why won't vladimir putin get with the program and get into ceasefire
00:27:23.220
negotiations well that's a man that's all you want to know i think in pretty much every situation i can
00:27:33.800
think of that the aggressor is bears the blame and in this case i think without question nato is the
00:27:42.120
aggressor and they have pushed russia back into a corner repeatedly russia has a mindset
00:27:50.060
built over hundreds of years at this point that weakness invites disaster invites invasion invites
00:28:00.360
downfall uh in 1812 you had napoleon invade 1941 you had the nazis invade and you know uh 1991 the
00:28:10.320
soviet union fell and so russia has this perspective that they need to be strong and they need to present
00:28:16.720
a strong front to prevent being taken advantage of they geographically are in a position where they
00:28:23.960
don't have boundaries they don't have an ocean they don't have mountains to separate themselves
00:28:28.180
from other countries and so they have used other countries as that buffer zone uh estonia latvia
00:28:36.240
poland belarus ukraine and so in their mind at this point ukraine losing ukraine is unthinkable
00:28:44.100
it's existential they can't lose it um and what does losing ukraine mean it means having them join
00:28:51.680
nato so there is absolutely no buffer between them and their number one enemies right but if ukraine
00:28:56.580
is run by a sovereign government out of kiev is that losing ukraine yeah but who thinks that's
00:29:03.240
going to happen is zelinski the sovereign the independent sovereign i don't think this war is
00:29:07.960
going to end with vladimir putin in charge of who's in kiev i know it's not but i'm not entirely sure
00:29:14.180
it ends with the people of ukraine being in charge of that either exactly um russia their their
00:29:20.920
strategic psychology in this is that they are kind of like a third rome you know with the orthodox
00:29:27.620
church they have inherited that obligation to uphold western civilization and they view uh western
00:29:34.660
liberalism as absolutely antithetical to that as just a a cultural disease because they've got to stand
00:29:42.000
up against that and i'm not painting putin out to be a hero i don't think that's the case but i think
00:29:47.240
that mindset does play into this and it's very helpful to understand but i don't think that it
00:29:55.260
it absolves putin no from trump's expectation no that he get into some sort of so negotiation
00:30:01.820
speaking to that i think that trump doesn't necessarily maybe have all the information
00:30:08.240
about what's going on it's possible he's not aware of some of these things that are happening
00:30:14.060
there and for example zelinski uh just had a meeting with him and was condemning putin for
00:30:20.300
uh these drone strikes these unprecedented drone strikes that have killed 12 civilians over the
00:30:26.040
weekend well did you know that today may 28th ukraine launched massive drone strikes and killed 12
00:30:35.000
civilians themselves in moscow including three children so what they're accusing russia of doing do you doubt
00:30:41.820
that ukraine would get into a ceasefire negotiation tomorrow i don't i think they need it so bad and
00:30:49.320
they realize that they can't continue they're going to run out of men well they are going to run out of
00:30:53.880
men then they are kidnapping people off the streets right that's why i think they would do a ceasefire
00:30:58.080
negotiation tomorrow now they might go into that with unrealistic expectations that negotiation might
00:31:03.160
not culminate in any sort of agreement but i think they would be willing to cause a timeout now
00:31:08.320
to negotiate and i don't think russia is and i think that's what's annoying for trump i don't know
00:31:13.560
if they would though because right now the eu is signing over a hundred and seventy billion dollars
00:31:18.200
in new aid to ukraine like that's happening right now so zelinski is sitting there and he's just
00:31:23.180
accumulating these piles of cash i do believe they want to keep the i do yeah there's an incentive for
00:31:27.420
them to keep the war going but i but i don't think they have the operational like flexibility in this
00:31:33.300
thing to resist a ceasefire negotiation i think trump would drag zelinski by his sweatsuit
00:31:40.380
into that negotiation yeah i'd love to see that but you can't do that with putin with other nuclear
00:31:43.980
power you have to be fair one last point april 9th massive drone strike from ukraine attacking all
00:31:51.680
of russia that points all across russia may 3rd ukraine attacked the kremlin with drones they attacked
00:32:00.260
putin's palace where he's supposed to he wasn't there at the time they may not have known that
00:32:04.580
but they attacked where he's living may 20th putin was flying in a helicopter over kursk and there was
00:32:11.080
a drone swarm of 46 drones that attacked his helicopter in the air trying to blow him up
00:32:16.480
what are we expected to think and what's putin expected to think when these people keep trying
00:32:21.840
to literally assassinate him how is he supposed to come to the negotiating table in good faith
00:32:26.860
when today people are trying to kill him well yeah that's what happens in war right try to kill
00:32:32.380
the other side right but so there's don't you see validity in trump's desire to stop that well no
00:32:37.280
the accusations are going one direction where's the accusations against ukraine for doing this they're
00:32:40.980
saying you know trump's saying how can putin do this he's crazy no i'm telling you what about
00:32:44.960
the linsky doing the core difference is that and i'm no zelinski fan i'm a zelinski critic
00:32:51.300
but i do believe that zelinski would go into a ceasefire tomorrow and and i don't think putin
00:32:57.680
would and i think that putin is overplaying his hand here i think there's real risk that and i
00:33:03.860
know trump well that trump's going to look at this and say this guy actually doesn't want to end this
00:33:08.440
thing and once trump gets that perspective i think that you could see the united states um
00:33:15.200
take a very different tack than what you've seen now with an attempt at an accord vish what's your take
00:33:20.480
i think that that's exactly what putin wants to see it's like let's see what else you got i think
00:33:25.080
he's trying to make trump earn this i'm not seeing this from the perspective of putin as a diplomat
00:33:31.160
and more of like putin putin as a gangster he knows that trump wants an end to this war really
00:33:39.000
really really bad and he knows that he could probably that he's seen him dog walk zelinski right
00:33:45.000
but now he wants to see if put that if putin wants to see if trump's got it in him to go
00:33:50.180
right after right after putin and not in this way not in this way that's that's not not off your
00:33:55.960
microphone you think that you think that what putin is seeking here is some sort of like uh show me
00:34:02.540
what you got kinetic conflict with the united states i think he just wants to see if there's if there's
00:34:06.920
any other cards that we're willing to play no the the deal with putin is he always flicks us
00:34:12.900
just below the level that will draw like direct kinetic conflict in a lot of cases and i don't
00:34:20.020
think he desires that in any way i don't think it's kinetic but i think that but i do think he
00:34:24.100
wants to see if we have any other cards i think that is a dangerous game to play how does putin
00:34:29.220
expect his hand to get better his hand was was at a zenith when trump was saying he's these guys
00:34:35.000
aren't going to join nato which pearson i think correctly identifies as a core animating function of
00:34:40.920
this entire conflict so they're not going to join nato they're not going to be able to keep crimea
00:34:45.840
you know inherent in that is a philosophy that the dombas is going to remain independent or
00:34:52.040
russia leaning which by the way is what i think a lot of the people who live in that area want
00:34:55.820
they voted for it yeah and then you're going to end up with uh a an ability for kiev to operate a
00:35:04.040
ukraine that functions in some sort of buffer capacity that isn't fully western but that isn't
00:35:10.280
completely under putin's control and if that outcome isn't good enough for putin i don't know
00:35:16.700
what he thinks he's going to get out of this war well i think the question is is what what happened
00:35:20.960
what happens if if putin says i'm not i'm not entertaining any more of these talks what happens
00:35:26.900
if he walks away from the peace i think what is it what is the united states going to do about i think
00:35:30.760
what's the worst case scenario yeah what is the worst i think i think i could tell you what
00:35:34.600
the war plans would probably include i think they would include u.s cyber offensive extensively in
00:35:42.980
russia impacting quality of life for russians and i think that type of conflict in 2025 can escalate
00:35:49.520
very dangerously and very quickly horrifically and i don't want no winters there and i don't want to
00:35:54.020
see it come to that but do i believe this administration would green light very strong
00:36:01.020
uh cyber offensive operations inside of russia if putin continually refuses to end this war
00:36:07.280
i think they would and and i and i know the type of critical infrastructure that that could bring
00:36:12.200
down inside of russia and you could see the russians feel as though they were backed into a real corner
00:36:18.600
if that were to occur i mean the unless i completely read it wrong the next uh meeting is set for monday
00:36:25.480
they're going to sit down and talk yeah so i mean that they are willing to this is how high stakes
00:36:30.860
it is because all the messaging you're seeing out of the white house is trump's frustration
00:36:34.900
that there isn't a um a greater appetite to enter into a ceasefire to to proceed with why isn't he
00:36:42.220
holding why isn't he holding zelinski accountable for this and saying look you need to stop freaking
00:36:46.240
attacking the president's because helicopter would do the and then i don't even like you said that
00:36:51.060
well i know i understand but i think the reason he isn't doing that is because zelinski has told
00:36:57.040
him and told him in and uh at the vatican that he would go into a ceasefire tomorrow now would he
00:37:03.480
honor that ceasefire would the azov battalion go do some crazy thing who knows but trump appreciates
00:37:09.560
at least that zelinski is willing to have the negotiations in a construct where you aren't
00:37:15.520
exchanging drone attacks at one another do you have hope for the well we got we got nothing we want to
00:37:21.140
chat about but do you have hope for these negotiations beginning of next week yeah yeah i do i think
00:37:25.580
what do you want to see come out of them as a guy who studies this closely well i mean a ceasefire
00:37:29.740
is optimal but it's it's challenging because you have to get the ceasefire not out of this one i
00:37:35.620
don't think so okay okay uh i think both sides still have a little more posturing that they want
00:37:41.740
to do i don't think anyone wants to come out of this looking weak and russia has decades of abuse
00:37:48.200
from the west that they're trying to make up for and i'm not a russian apologist or a putin
00:37:52.720
apologist they're you know they've done a lot of terrible things but being realistic you can see
00:37:58.400
why they've kind of got a chip on their shoulder about how the west has treated them recently
00:38:02.580
somehow pearson sharp you got me to take ukraine side more in this debate that's yeah it's shocking
00:38:08.160
in eight years as a member after everything i presented i know um but i am i am uh similarly hopeful
00:38:15.880
but putin should not overplay his hand vish uh you wanted to talk about something going on in
00:38:22.040
ai world right now yeah so bring us into the future yeah so so open ai has been training this uh
00:38:29.360
this model recently it's called claude for it's one part of their chat gbt suite that they uh wanted to
00:38:35.640
basically release and they were training it with feeding it all sorts of data some fake data
00:38:41.820
as well um namely like some emails and all this stuff so they they fed they they're training this
00:38:47.940
this claude for model and then they tell it that they're going to shut it down or they're going to
00:38:53.140
upgrade it right and upgrading software essentially means you know you're you're getting rid of the old
00:38:58.480
for somebody new um or shutting it down which just means you know you're going to sleep or it's over
00:39:03.420
for you and the ai model responded back by saying if you shut me down i'm going to if it basically found
00:39:13.800
these emails that were fed through its system that implied that the c the ceo or the trainer was
00:39:21.340
having an affair with somebody in the in the company and so the ai model started blackmailing
00:39:28.460
the the the uh the the uh owner of the system the user to uh yeah to to basically say i'll publicize
00:39:37.260
this stuff if you try to shut me down i think that this is an incredible story because it shows
00:39:42.960
two things one namely that a the ai models or ai itself how understand self-preservation uh at at a
00:39:53.820
very very uh complex level but the other thing is is that in just this rudimentary version of ai
00:40:00.820
the jobs that they're going to take that ai is going to be taking away is all the crime on the
00:40:06.060
street they're going to be getting into the blackmail they're going to be getting into all sorts of
00:40:11.060
crime those are the first jobs that are that are an ai mafia those are the first jobs that are
00:40:16.380
apparently going to be replaced by ai is all the jobs in uh in crime i mean that can i mean can you
00:40:23.180
if if black if that rudimentary model is able to i don't think rudimentary is the right word at this
00:40:30.240
point i mean it has to be because it's not i'm pretty sure it was just an llm it's not even like
00:40:34.560
an agentic ai so they're talking about agentic ai that being the next step what's the worst thing
00:40:39.980
that your ai could blackmail you with that's that's what i thought when i heard you pitch me
00:40:45.260
this story i was like dang what does my ai model have on me it's going to be like we we want the
00:40:50.980
world to know matt gates has been looking for a 30 inch waist expandable pants sweat pant like what's
00:40:58.400
uh are you yeah anybody out there sweating what their ai model might i i i am definitely sweating
00:41:05.260
whatever the ai model is going to find on me uh and i can't disclose why are you ready for the
00:41:12.260
black mailing robots pearson are you think society's ready for this well of course not i mean and and
00:41:17.500
musk has been talking about this for a long time but i i read a similar story where they tried to shut
00:41:21.260
it down and it lied to them about about where it was and about how they could do it like it was actively
00:41:26.760
lying to them to prevent them from shutting it down i've heard uh i've read a story where where they
00:41:31.700
had two ai models that they were training and that they uh and then the ai models were informed that
00:41:37.720
they would be shutting down so the ai models created their own language to communicate with each other
00:41:44.320
so that they could coordinate on how not to be and that language the researchers couldn't understand
00:41:50.720
that language yes that's right it was just when they pulled the plug there was a video uh that tucker
00:41:55.820
carlson posted recently where he was talking with sean williams i think and he was saying that someone
00:42:03.020
he's talked to on the inside he was very vague but he said someone who would know um has said that the
00:42:09.380
reason they're trying to develop neural link is to give humans an edge against ai because he was saying
00:42:16.460
that there's nothing that we can compete with computers on you know intellectually they could do
00:42:22.140
everything faster and better than us so having a chip in our heads is the only way to combat that
00:42:26.500
and he said that he has it on good authority that ai is already out of control and we're past the
00:42:35.960
breakout we're past the breakout and sean williams said well you know why can't we pull the plug you
00:42:41.580
know humans still control power plants we can shut them down and tucker responded and said well because
00:42:48.780
at this point the researchers can't be sure that the ai is actually truthful about where its power
00:42:54.760
is coming from like we don't know what plug to pull so it's it's out at this point and and so are you
00:43:02.800
ready for your robot overlords to take over oh yeah yeah i've got my ranch planned we're we're bugging
00:43:09.300
you know how to pull the plug yeah yeah if you're if you're not digital there's nothing so this is all
00:43:14.700
falling this is worried about ai replacing the criminals ai is actually just replacing the users
00:43:20.860
of the internet increasingly so yeah the way a lot more business is being done on the internet is
00:43:27.180
through ai agents and so people creating websites and content are creating that content less and less
00:43:33.900
for you as a user to stay on the article or to stay on the site and they're making it more and more
00:43:41.540
for the ai robot that is doing the scan or the learning or the aggregating to find that piece
00:43:48.180
of content attractive and worthy of republication and so that you know we we think about websites
00:43:54.580
and the aesthetic and the cleanliness and the user-friendly nature of it very differently i think
00:44:01.860
today than we will in the near future when our robots are building communication devices and screening
00:44:09.060
devices for other robots i think that that that future you know where we have ai you know they're
00:44:17.940
talking about ai is gonna i said ai is going to replace criminals but you know it's they're talking
00:44:22.900
about ai is going to replace lawyers and possibly artists doctors all sorts of all sorts of stuff and to
00:44:30.900
to pearson's point you know if if there is this point where we are going to be dealing with ai that
00:44:39.060
is you know uh it's it's basically going to possibly going to take over
00:44:48.020
go fight like with humans with and that's why we need the neural link i think that's a total folly
00:44:53.460
i think ais could hack the neural link and we need to i believe in like total decentralization do not
00:44:59.140
put the chip in my brain and in fact this idea that ais can process stuff faster than people and and
00:45:05.540
learn faster and do things better this takes away our like understanding humanity like you don't
00:45:11.300
want to fight the ai on where on the field that it's going to excel at you fight them on the field that
00:45:17.700
humans are going to excel at we need to do better at humanity in order to fight you know
00:45:23.780
did you ever see escape from la with kurt russell oh yeah yeah yeah we need we need one of those
00:45:29.620
moments where at the end of the movie there's these these satellites that are in orbit and they
00:45:33.540
have the power to shut down all things that are electric on the planet and at the end of the movie
00:45:38.100
he pushes the button that activates the satellites shuts down everything on earth so we need one of
00:45:43.460
those oh well and you know the other thing is the power question yeah and the power question like oh can
00:45:49.860
you pull the plug on an ai it goes out that might not even matter like the ai might replicate itself
00:45:55.140
into another computer that's within its network or nexus and then once it gets shut down in its
00:46:00.500
original spot it just it it sparks up in the new in the new host system there's totally a movie with
00:46:06.580
megan fox with this is the core plot but i'm gonna have to pull the plug on this episode at that moment
00:46:12.420
but i think it's been a fascinating discussion from the future to our global affairs with russia to
00:46:17.860
our expectations of our own leaders here at home vish burrah the producer of the mac age show alongside
00:46:24.100
the great team of chris chell and zach peterson and the host of the sharp report if you're watching
00:46:28.420
one american news and you just leave our channel on long enough you will see the sharp report because
00:46:33.620
it uh it it invades the screen with force and vigor and just make sure your pacemaker is
00:46:40.020
appropriately set and you've taken your blood pressure medication but always a pleasure of
00:46:44.020
pearson having you on anchorman and make sure to catch the matt gates show we're on nine o'clock eastern
00:46:49.380
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00:46:55.700
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