The Anchormen Show with Matt Gaetz | US-Israeli Friendship, Regulating AI, & NYC Mayoral Primary
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Summary
The Anchor Podcast with Dan Ball and Matt Gates on the New York City Mayoral race and the brilliant strategy behind it. Plus, a look at the halal cart crisis in New York and why it's time to ban halal in the city.
Transcript
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now it's time for the anchorman podcast with matt gates and dan ball
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every superhero gets the sidekick they deserve batman had ramen the lone ranger had tonto and
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i have vish burrah vish thanks for joining me as always i was looking forward to getting the hot
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takes on this new york mayoral race i mean we've had a number of your buddies from the mean political
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streets of new york on the matt gates show recently talking about this guy as a rising figure
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i i see i was kind of looking at the messaging and on conservative media it's very curated it focuses
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on uh his desire for universal basic income kind of an open borders energy uh i get the sense but
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there was a populist message in there well packaged this ad i saw it impressed me
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new york is suffering from a crisis and it's called halal flation
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how much does a plate of halal cost right now from this truck ten dollars ten dollars
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when you're a street vendor you have to pay for the food the plates how much do you have to pay for
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your permit before it was 22k twenty seventeen thousand how much does a license cost if you get
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it from the city i think uh four hundred who are you paying the permit owner you're not paying the
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city no no no you pay the permit owner twenty two thousand dollars just so you can sell this food yes
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and who is this random guy have you ever applied for a permit yeah i applied and no come anything
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it's long wait i'm number three thousand eight hundred something after two years you're number three
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thousand eight hundred yes these are the four bills that are sitting in the city council right now
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which would give these vendors their own permits and make your halal more affordable
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is that a winner is that the next mayor of new york totally brilliant ad he knew he understood exactly
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what demographic he was speaking to exactly what generation he was speaking to i remember even to
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this day uh you know i'll go out at you know when the bars are open at 4 a.m and you know everything
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shuts down but there's only one lone soldier who's willing to feed you at 4 a.m in new york city and
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that's the halal cart guy and so everyone in new york of a certain age knows that guy knows how much
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that plate cost when we were young it cost about five dollars a plate six dollars a plate now it's 10
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it's just a brilliant way to show that he understands new york new yorkers a certain generation and
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might i also add he managed to sell deregulation as taking on the establishment exactly you know that
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is the actual magic in his messaging uh in that ad and i just think that it was just a brilliant
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strategy and a brilliant tactic there was a real zoomer energy to it i mean there was a there was a
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real uh sense that you know it was an authentic interaction he was having among new yorkers as one
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of them and i'm looking at this thinking about all of the slick 30 second spots that the consultants in
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new york and washington put together of like somebody riding a bull or on a tank or on a
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construction site pointing at things and it it kind of seems like this is the wave of the future
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especially it's not it's not just anything to knock down the cuomo dynasty in new york like these are
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people who don't lose elections in new york and he did it did he have like a considerably fewer
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resources how did he fund this well i i think a lot of it was small dollar donations but i mean
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there's obviously there's talk of him coming from a very a wealthy family and all that but
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really a lot the money kind of didn't matter here i think that you and you could see just through the
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campaign how it all ended up in front of us right like for example um one of the things that he did
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you know there were these policies that he's talking about uh state-run grocery stores you know
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freezing the rent uh you know things like this uh and then on the the his opponents like a cuomo
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or you know brad lander everyone else talked about trump and talked about how they were going to fight
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trump so there's there's kind of when you talk to about cuomo and and mom danny okay mom danny is you
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know proposing freezing rents and stuff he might be a psychopath but he wants to govern the city as
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opposed to like cuomo who might have been capable of governing but he wanted to run for president
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right and that's why he's bringing up trump and all this stuff and i think that kind of showed where
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the priorities are and a lot of people were just like at least he's talking about me and and or like
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the problems that concern me and not talking about trump and so i think that there is a certain angle to
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that and uh i just think that that there was an authenticity to his campaign talk about the big
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long walk oh man this is the i thought you know a lot of people there's many people can pick their
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favorite brilliant spots of this campaign my favorite one is where he did this walk in manhattan
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from the very top tippy top of manhattan in inwood heights all the way down to battery park that is not
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a short walk and he filmed the whole thing throughout the whole day just shaking hands on his way down
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there and you know what that does a lot of things first of all he showed that he did the walk too it
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shows that he's young and energetic and vigorous right and three he went and shook hands and showed
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that all those different demographics and sections and areas of the city it's very diverse as you get
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from the north to the south and and he went shook hands with all of them that i mean i'm just this is
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the way of the future and again the authenticity is what really breaks through with this guy the
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finance bros are in total freak out meltdown mode right now the finance bros see this as a real
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reshaping of the economic image of new york city the business image the ability they're going to have to
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be able to accumulate wealth to be able to spend money and you've you've got some of these strong
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democrat voices really wondering where they're going to put their support so so here's the
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question did they ultimately co-opt this guy i mean we've seen so many of these figures like aoc are you
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telling me aoc isn't co-opted aoc was was kind of the the mandami of her time yeah because she was
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going to come from the streets of new york be authentic fight for socialism take on the establishment
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aoc didn't even have the ink dry on her election certificate before she was voting for nancy
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pelosi for speaker of the house and just in a straight washington power deal where she got to
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be on the oversight committee and got to be on the financial services committee so she had a price
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pelosi paid it and the thing is aoc has never actually recovered from that like what what's the
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big battle where aoc took on the democrat establishment i mean that there was a full woke topian
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ballast in the biden white house that was running things there it's only she shaped the nature of of
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what biden was doing during his presidency and so it does this guy go down a similar path or is he able
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to maintain some distance from those forces i think that first of all he will be because i don't think
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this is a one-to-one comparison in that regard yeah maybe they're similar in ideology or uh tactics but
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their field and environment is actually way different and the seat that they get to sit in
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is way different aoc is one of 435 careful you know listen you know the problems that that that
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arise around having to get a get along with the people that are around you in order to get anything
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done whereas mamdani is going for an executive level position where and it's and he's got a lot of
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unilateral power as the mayor of new york city right and so that it's just there is this kind
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of like he there so can they beat him i mean we we we were doing the math on the show this week with
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different okay if you take eric adams and a substantial portion of the black vote and if
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maybe some republicans really are scared of uh of mandami and and go with adams can that build something
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there there was a very uh quickly discussed re-emergence of cuomo in the general election as a
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possibility that seems to have been snuffed out or you're saying this guy has got the riz he has got
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the message he uh shocked the establishment in this primary and he's going to do what every other winner
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of the democratic primary does in you know pretty recent memory and that is to go on to become the
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mayor of of our oh yeah i mean listen as things stand right now if whatever is in play as it is
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continues this guy will win he has the voter intensity new york is a new york city's low
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turnout elections so it all depends it's low turnout in general so it all depends on energized
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people going out and getting other voters to okay okay and so he's got that in the bag so once he does
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that is his face on every male piece in the midterms do the republicans seize on this and say
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this is the new face of the democratic party someone who is an avowed socialist someone who
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believes in like freezing rent and having communist uh government-run grocery stores or or does that not
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work in like a swing district in des moines it's just not gonna work anymore it's just not gonna work
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you're talking about new york city in a certain way people will be like i mean using it more broadly
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yeah but i i mean i don't i don't think that it's gonna work instead of you you have to it's better that
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we try to crack how we why he won as opposed to just kind of using him because yeah we can use him
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that whatever i say doesn't matter he's gonna be used in that way as sort of this you know scare
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figure in the off years in the run-up to the midterm right like they did to marjorie in 2021
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right that i think they'll they'll use that but i i don't think it's it's not going to be as effective
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as anyone's going to hope all right so there has to be that person that's the archetype right we saw
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democrats try to uh scare swing voters with uh the you know out of context statements by marjorie
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taylor green or that i i remember giving a speech and talking about the second amendment in silicon
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valley and then they spliced it together like i wanted to see people executed in silicon valley
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which was totally bogus and false but but if you're looking at our side obviously they're going
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to use trump yeah uh jasmine crockett is my nominee jasmine crockett is my nominee for the face of the
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democratic party she's been that uh oh you think she's achieved it i think she's already i think
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she's been she's been that in the in these last couple of months no no yeah i i think i think there's
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work to do for jasmine crockett to really be presented in these frontline swing districts
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as like the the idea center for their viewpoint and just the tone like the tone of uh that you get
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out of jasmine crockett is this is the weird stuff that you know we want to do with the government
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and if you don't like it like you know you're there's a combativeness to it well i think she's
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all when i say that i think she's already being brought like she's being primed for that and you
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know how these cycles go the money starts rolling around you know the end of the end of the year and
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the beginning of next year they're going to be putting her face all over uh all over america in
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these swing districts and i think they'll do the same with zeron uh you know clearly out of a literal
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self-described socialist you know so i mean that's not hard um but i do who do you think is the most
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valuable democrat surrogate in the midterms if those are the boogeymen who who do they look to and say
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you know this is who i want in my district campaigning for me in these in these frontline
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areas yeah you know that's that's actually a great question uh i don't i haven't seen anyone who's
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who's really been capable of doing that i mean that's why they're defaulting to the fighters yeah
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but they gotta you gotta you gotta do the exercise with me here obama was the chosen closer right in
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2024 in you know 2022 in 20 i mean he has been the perennial closer and it just didn't kick no the
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same way this last time if you really get into the math of where trump reshaped a lot of these
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precincts it's in these urban areas where people just weren't going to show up for kamala harris
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and obama was who they were sending yeah to detroit to philly so so i think that you know you got to
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think about does anyone today eclipse that does a gavin newsom eclipse that if you're in uh think
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about like the the mike lawler district uh that the democrats will definitely come for in new york
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yes does gavin newsom play to that crowd no why not gavin newsom doesn't play to that crowd because
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we're in a big you know state with its own rep like new york and gavin newsom the number one thing
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that he gets painted even amongst normies is like how did you mess up california that's the
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number one question anybody has like how do you screw up a perfect state and so i don't think
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he's going to be somebody who's useful to campaign in that you might actually get a better shot with
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aoc or bernie sanders really showing up in that really you're nominating them for potential uh top
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well because it's actually there's a heavy jewish population there in monseen orange county and that
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and so bernie's jewish you know so and then aoc and that that county that area is not that far from
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where aoc actually grew up which is yorktown heights you know so like there's there's there's
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an uh certainly an appeal there there's a sub suburban you know well well off what moneyed suburban
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uh populace there also you know the first person that's going to come in there and say i'm going to
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get you your salt deductions back that's that's also going to be a winner so i think trump campaigns
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real hard in these midterms and shows up in a lot of these swing districts because he doesn't want to
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see that house of representatives fall into the hands of hakeem jeffries and completely change how
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every day is lived out at the white house yeah well i mean honestly look as long as trump is not on
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the ballot it's really hard to turn out those voters it just is right we've seen this in 2018
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we've seen this in 2022 the red wave that we were supposed to have right so you're pessimistic about
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the midterms i i mean i don't see right now especially with you know this sort of kind of
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fracturing with the israel iran talk and and all that i don't see the energy there to like with these
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like normie low propensity trump voters to come out if trump is not on the on the table like what
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are they coming out well i i think that you can make a compelling case to low propensity voters
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that the fight isn't over and that if the congress swings to the democrats if their governor becomes a
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democrat that the very policies that they voted against in kamala harris the the sex changes for the
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illegal alien prisoners uh the demand for equity over merit the growth of government uh deeper into
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people's lives that that is going to be a concerning thing and i actually think that if you have trump
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out there as the principal messenger people are going to want to see him continue to be successful
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i i i get that but i think low propensity voters and normies their issues are generally
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closer to home and i think they want to see victories the web the way donald trump wins and
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gets people out is by delivering victories and they will point to the border and they'll and well
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the yes the border but i mean the border was like the 2016 issue being addressed now we want the
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deportation well sure and those are happening i mean we saw recently there was a this last week a large
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facility in north carolina where the ice raid occurred and the owners or the people who were
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involved in acquiring illegal immigrant labor were going to be charged with federal crimes yeah like
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you don't think that has a sweeping effect on a lot of these enterprises that have been utilizing
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illegal labor for a long time i mean yes for now but voters have short memories and they're gonna
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they're gonna go i mean by the a year from now you know unless like there's like 10 of those happening
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a day that we can point to you know you can there there are going to be people who are going to say
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that he's not you know he's not delivering the way either we expected him or you expected him right
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it's it's a way to to come at you and say oh trump is not holding well this is the historical challenge
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for presidents in the first midterm right because when you are at the beginning of electing someone
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anything is possible every dream of what they would accomplish with an executive order or a piece of
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legislation or a foreign engagement everything is rosy and people stare at the inkblot and see what they
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want to see yeah and the reality is washington has contours of power there uh it's not a town that does a lot
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of things simultaneously well no it's kind of one drawn focus and that focus has been on a lot of
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these foreign policy questions now i think that with uh the coming weeks you have to assume trump's
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going to get the big bite at his economic agenda with this with this big bill and uh and so i actually
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i i think there's still enough to engage those voters i do think they have to have a reason i think
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there are certain pitfalls you can't go into and we're going to talk about uh that in a little bit
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but there was this mouse of an issue this week that roared like a lion on on our show on our daily
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talk show and it's this issue of ai preemption in the one big beautiful bill legislation now so here's
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here's the state of play when the bill was passed out of the house of representatives a provision was put
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into the bill saying that states were banned from engaging in any ai regulation for some moratorium
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of years now oftentimes that occurs when you're also doing a degree of federal regulation because
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what you don't want is to be enacting simultaneously a federal regulatory structure and then 50 different
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state structures and then sometimes you just don't want the regulation to occur so you impose a
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moratorium and then do nothing well there's a concern that's what's happening here that people
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want who wanted to have uh no ai regulation tucked into the bill a moratorium on the states but with no
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framework for how the federal government would answer major questions about ai and marjorie taylor green
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came on our program she said that if that provision was not stripped out of the bill she would not vote
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for the bill that landed big time because it is going to draw a lot of focus into this question
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and i understand why you wouldn't want a patchwork system we don't have 50 different cell phone
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regulations we don't have 50 different internets where the louisiana internet is different than the
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florida internet but on ai she thought that some states would be very aggressive in limiting ai's ability
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to impact the workforce and she wanted to have them to have the ability to do that is this something
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that's going to break down on partisan lines republican democrat or are you going to see kind of a
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corporatized position on this and a more populist position vishborough i think that this is going to
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fracture actually multiple different ways right there's actually a bunch of questions that are rolled
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into that right marjorie brings up actually the kind of the the social cost question and the economic
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question right what do you do when you have x thousand amount of truck drivers or you know long
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shoremen that are out of a job overnight because ai has taken their jobs right how do we address that
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even if it's happening in my state how do i address that and if they're like you said if there's no
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framework there's that aspect then there's the ethics aspect of it too where it's like you know
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what are what what should we allow the uh the ai to be able to train on and what not to be able to train
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on right that's also a question um then there's the corporatized question or even actually the national
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security question as well if we're trying to compete with china right on their ai and they're training
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their models on data that you know nonce just binging on data and we're over here fretting
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about whether or not you're allowed to train it on on mickey mouse you know and disney's up in your
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grill about that right then that then you know you're it's being hampered or is is florida or disney
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anyone allowed to address that in the first place well let's do that let's get into that question because
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you know what i think it's really analogous to space in the 90s there was this belief
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that russia the united states would be in a space arms race and bill clinton really diminished the
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investment the united states made in space arms because he didn't want to ignite that type of
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escalatory environment well all that did was retard our growth in space weaponized innovation nobody else
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stopped it but but our advantage was uh was really collapsed in a in a short term of years now we're
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a lot smarter about that now we have offensive and defensive r&d in space we're not even sheepish or
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shy about it and i wonder if that's kind of like what it's going to be with ai where if we've got this
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advantage because companies like chat gpt or you know xai or andrel or united states based companies that
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that utilize a lot of ai meta um you know we we don't want to lose that and have a chinese weaponized
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system leapfrog us well i mean that's the thing right i we don't want to find out after we you know
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after the competitor's ai blows us out or does something nasty so you're for no regulation you're
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for you're for let the let let this puppy run this i mean it is this one is a very difficult one um
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it's very hard to find an issue where you and marjorie taylor green aren't aligned so this is
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this is a this is a rarity we really had to tweeze for this one yeah this is i mean this is where like
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the there i have a background in tech and i know that any sort of restriction like that is going to
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retard the development of the tech and just you know put it through crazy bureaucratic process
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and you won't be able to develop and develop it and if you really take the china ai threat
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seriously as i do i take everything china seriously right and so you know in that regard i want my ai to
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be better than theirs you know on a on that sort of national security basis so i need my guys working
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in that rnd department on untethered and and bring bringing about like cool stuff that we can
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keep china at bay with with that being on that but that's on that national security front on the
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economic front is where i'm like well wait a minute you can't just replace all my truck drivers
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and my longshoremen which those are the first one to be those are very vulnerable populations to
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replacement exactly so that's where you know so it's that's where i'm trying to trying to unwind
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some of these different lines where it's like on an economic front maybe there should be some
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kind of regulation but on a on an innovation front i'm i'm not a fan of that right and then on the
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ethical front as well as also that's also a great question that it's really hard you know like what
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are what are ai models allowed to be trained on and what not to be trained on right and i don't think
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that i don't think you're going to be able to regulate around that i think that they are going to become
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so proficient at devouring source information now and they're gonna they're gonna they're gonna learn
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ways to acquire source information that and then i'm back to my you know um the marjorie position
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where it's like ai is going to be a demon if that's the case they're already like i said but with the
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bear training that they have now they're already scamming they're already blackmailing they're ready
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to take over the entire crime market in the in america you know and so if that you know if the the more
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data they have and the more powerful and proficient they they become with those root qualities being
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you know in that system you're looking at something that's going to be a demon and so then yeah back to
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then back to the question would you ever vote for like an ai congressman i feel like some of them are
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just the worst they're like an ai that's 25 years behind that's been trained on like the worst stuff
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and are constrained by it i i not an ai congressman but i've always played around with a theory in my
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head that actually most if not all of the bureaucracy can be replaced by blockchain technology
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right and it's because you know what is really a bureaucrat doing besides taking a paper on one
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end and then passing it to the other and you you know with a smart contract yeah could ai like uh
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evaluate social security disability claims evaluate va claims yeah you're cool with that
00:26:21.280
i'm i i would rather i would rather uh for the bureaucrats yes because you got to remove the the whole
00:26:27.320
problem of the deep state is the human bias involved in it and so you remove removing the accusation that
00:26:34.380
there was some any particular person behind this right and with their own political agenda and just
00:26:40.840
a technical logical agenda defined by x equals you know y plus z that would be a much more uh i think
00:26:50.500
safer system um i'm cool starting with it delivering the mail like if ai can deliver the mail better
00:26:57.580
you know let's start with that before you get to like the va claims and and and the irs um the big
00:27:04.180
foreign policy news of the week was not china it was this war with iran and israel i'm not gonna
00:27:10.020
pretend that we're privy to all the information who are like still working on congressional staffs and in
00:27:15.460
congress are privy too but now it does seem like we can take a moment to note the changing state of
00:27:21.540
play around how politicians in both parties are thinking about and talking about israel when i first
00:27:28.820
got to congress uh you know a pack was obviously a very very strong influence organization and there
00:27:36.200
just wasn't a political incentive or an incentive otherwise to speak an ill word of israel and it was
00:27:43.640
very bipartisan and there were always trips to israel that republicans and democrats would go on
00:27:49.800
together deepen their connection to their own faith to their own sense of history and then the woke left
00:27:57.980
took took off right in a very ugly and dark direction with almost calls to genocide which we oppose and find
00:28:06.860
repugnant and you saw a resentment i think among a lot of young men on the right that israel had been
00:28:15.440
an animating or motivating factor in the united states's excessive entanglement in the middle east
00:28:21.060
which the younger generation resents and i think fairly and rightly true and uh then you've got the
00:28:27.700
boomer coalition the fox news watching boomer coalition and we have some of these people in our
00:28:34.280
friend groups and even in our families and uh the the uh that crowd uh kind of i think still really
00:28:42.540
is responsive to the siren song that this is some sort of uh crusade whenever we are led by
00:28:50.340
netanyahu or some of the more radical elements within his government into these bloody sands of the desert
00:28:58.380
and you know i i i really think this 12-day war is going to go down as a significant moment in that
00:29:07.760
shifting rubik's cube of of israel analysis because president trump created a permission structure
00:29:14.300
to be critical yeah you know when he dropped an f-bomb on israel and iran simultaneously now when he
00:29:23.000
directly criticized netanyahu and israel when he talked about the the offense that israel had committed
00:29:30.380
launching a massive ordinance system as trump was trying to hold this this peace deal together
00:29:36.600
trying to really form it out of clay at the banks of the jordan river right and you know that i think
00:29:43.720
is going to allow more republicans in particular to be honest with our friend and it's not friendship
00:29:52.500
when you can never be honest with the other side it's not friendship when you cannot be critical
00:29:58.880
the the opportunity here i think is to have a stronger more durable more productive relationship
00:30:06.460
with israel by injecting a little more truth into it and that is only made possible because of i think
00:30:12.740
the the wisdom and the great political bravery of donald trump yeah i look this is going to be a
00:30:18.160
historical moment i think it exposed a lot of you know those sentiments that have you know have
00:30:26.480
developed over you know over these last 20 30 years and that's just naturally going to happen and it's
00:30:32.640
all labeled as anti-semitism that's that well that's and some of it is by the way okay i mean
00:30:37.320
you know some of it is explicitly anti-semitic but but like that is that is a component of criticism
00:30:44.160
of netanyahu or or israel it is not the whole pie and there's plenty of just policy disagreement
00:30:51.060
yeah that unfairly gets kind of you know conflated with anti-semitism and by the way that's also part
00:30:57.660
of what's kind of and if you overuse that term you cry wolf too much it starts losing its power
00:31:04.800
when and and you're not able to use it when it actually applies and that's like really the driving
00:31:10.380
force and so right now more than anything what you're seeing is the generational divide show
00:31:17.660
itself right there was a a a sound clip of uh adl head jonathan greenblatt that had gone viral where
00:31:25.460
he explicitly says you know this is not a left or right problem this is a generation problem this is
00:31:32.440
a tiktok problem the young people don't really sympathize or empathize with israel the way previous
00:31:39.920
generations have namely the boomers and you know when you see it on the left it's i believe mainly
00:31:46.200
driven by resent uh because they're colonial they're anti they're white right and so that's
00:31:53.600
yeah just kind of become it becomes a new vestige of the white supremacy yes exactly so that's that so
00:31:59.620
the left is done with with israel on that front right a white colonial project and then on the right
00:32:06.020
i think it's more apathy than it is any kind of resent yeah you know what like i think that there's
00:32:13.180
a real politic like yeah they're our ally they'll lie with the they'll lie to us sometimes we'll lie to
00:32:18.280
them okay right i don't mind that relationship in a certain sense but what i don't want to is like to
00:32:26.720
like deal with it anymore right to like how many how much more of our blood and treasure are we going to
00:32:33.520
have you know spilled and just fill in the the country in the middle east here i don't care what
00:32:39.460
you know whether it's israel or iran or what can we focus on us is that possible right that's why
00:32:45.760
issues like freezing rent and and uh you know state-run grocery stores in the new york city primary play
00:32:54.280
better than trying to accuse zaron mamdani of being anti-israel right in a heavily jewish city like new
00:33:01.040
york well they did try that and it failed well he led into it with moments like this in the debate when
00:33:06.520
he or in an interview where he said he would arrest netanyahu no as mayor new york city would arrest
00:33:13.180
benjamin netanyahu this is a city that our values are in line with international law it's time that
00:33:18.200
our actions are also even though the u.s is not a signature of the icc no it's time that we actually
00:33:22.400
step up and make clear what we are willing to do to showcase the leadership that is sorely missing
00:33:26.580
in the federal administration so vish how does a guy like that get votes from the jewish community
00:33:32.980
in in uh new york well because there's a there's a young jewish community that doesn't like netanyahu
00:33:39.380
that doesn't like that doesn't conflate the the the government of israel correct with their affinity
00:33:44.240
for jewish people or right to them netanyahu is a right-wing kook right and they're against a lot
00:33:52.880
of right-wing you know in his government he's the right-wing guy right or at least the moderate i'm
00:33:57.860
sure there's more to the right of him but that's that's their view of him and you know there's a
00:34:03.020
split down the orthodox jews versus the reform jews and all that it's a diverse religion too and so
00:34:09.180
there's there's different people different sections of this voting for different interests but
00:34:13.420
yes even that split right and so when you split up the jewish vote in new york city
00:34:18.780
right then the the that's where even this block is not able to kind of stop this guy
00:34:24.960
from who would arrest bb and trump seems to have come out of the 12-day war i think with a lot of
00:34:32.440
respect from the you know the foreign policy realism community that this strike didn't draw us in
00:34:40.760
to an extended entanglement in the middle east and at the same time i think you know maybe not mark
00:34:46.280
levin who's breathing in and out of a paper bag heavily but but for a lot of people who consider
00:34:52.220
themselves pro-israel they would say well you know here trump did something good for israel i i don't i
00:34:58.120
don't think he lost really anything from either side there are a few voices uh that are more uh opposed
00:35:04.940
to a strong u.s israel relationship who are a little burned but at the end of the day if trump has four
00:35:11.820
years where we don't get involved or entangled in a foreign war he'll still be able to make the claim
00:35:17.320
he made following his first presidency when he killed solemani trump art of the deal master class
00:35:24.040
yet again he manages to uh get both sides of the conversation to go home feeling like they won
00:35:32.200
something the pro israel side still gets to go home and say you know fordo yeah fordo we blew it up we got
00:35:39.600
at them we set their nuclear capabilities back whatever and then the apathy like i don't want
00:35:45.280
to get involved in the middle east stuff anymore saying hey as long as we're not going to war as
00:35:49.440
long as we're not deploying boots on the ground as long as we're not doing shock and awe airstrikes
00:35:53.620
every day i'm fine with that i think that's what you know he's not getting us into a hot war you know
00:35:59.520
and i think he did it again and just kept both sides happy and both both sides get to go home and
00:36:05.500
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enjoy if you had to compare trump's middle east policy to one recent president it's not all that
00:37:04.000
dissimilar to bill clinton's like bill clinton had a policy in the middle east that was a lot like
00:37:10.160
mowing the grass like we weren't going to move in and become your landscape designer but if the weeds got
00:37:16.900
too tall here or there i think he i think he bombed afghanistan after the as the lewinski thing was going on
00:37:23.100
but they were getting a little feisty so he dropped some bombs but we never really stayed we we would
00:37:27.300
drop some bombs we would fly home everything was kind of over the horizon we didn't get too involved
00:37:32.580
we didn't get too nosy we didn't get too judgy with anybody in their cultures or their human rights
00:37:37.760
and we saw it as an economic transaction which it was a very different day economically because in
00:37:44.060
those clinton years we were so much more reliant on oil that was coming out of the gulf than we are now
00:37:48.260
that now that trump increased production but uh there are similarities that i see with the trump
00:37:54.140
middle east policy and the clinton middle east policy and in between we had these epic failures
00:37:59.920
of bush obama biden where biden was enriching them obama was doubling down on the afghanistan war
00:38:07.080
bush was trying to create a jefferson jeffersonian democracy out of every sand dude um i i look and
00:38:14.260
i think obviously trump is still you know when you want to call him a republican or democrat or
00:38:21.200
whatever he's still like a like a new york guy you know close with the clintons even you know at the
00:38:26.460
time coming up there there in 90s we all remember the 90s as being like a great prosperous time for
00:38:32.900
america people still yearn for it to this day in nostalgia um yeah i think that that there is a
00:38:39.380
similarity because i think that that's a policy that's probably palatable for most of the american
00:38:44.920
electorate well it's it's normative and it is realistic yeah and like clinton for all of his
00:38:50.400
flaws was not fanciful yeah he was not unrealistic he was not trying to like exceed the bounds of the
00:38:57.660
possible that's how he was able to do the deals that that he did with newt gingrich on a policy run i
00:39:03.220
know i know what the comments are going to be on this pod everyone's going to be like matt gates is
00:39:06.720
defending bill clinton they're both the worst people on the planet earth but just on policy
00:39:10.820
grounds on on the middle east you know i i think that you would not compare trump more to any other
00:39:18.880
recent president i mean even george hw bush had us boots on the ground involved in repelling saddam from
00:39:27.960
kuwait that's right and so i think that i like like you said normative realistic i this is what the
00:39:36.460
american people want anyway and there's so much of our generation does it play out again in the
00:39:40.960
republican primary in for president like this fight isn't over oh no no no no no okay no this is i mean
00:39:48.520
definitely okay i get the same sense oh no no but they'll be like a nicky haley john bolton
00:39:54.500
liz cheney this is foreign policy this is going to be a blistering question right because there's
00:40:02.400
going to be a full court press on everything that was said over the the 12-day war is not just between
00:40:10.940
israel and iran here there there there's a couple of factions that went at it and they both of which
00:40:17.600
you were one of course i was yes and i'm i'm proud to have stood where i stood and everyone's gathered
00:40:24.780
there's gathering screenshots making lists of each other and you know who said what because those
00:40:31.500
things are going to be deployed in a primary i don't know on for who i don't know for what for
00:40:36.840
which side right but this is something where people it's going to be about who do we listen to oh do you
00:40:44.120
want that guy in power next to the guy who's running this is what he said during the 12-day war right
00:40:50.000
this is that this is everything in politics is a time bomb it's not about what what happens
00:40:55.900
immediately sure there's some effect there but it's about how it comes back and haunts you over
00:41:01.000
time and so that is where it's this is all going to come rear its ugly head during the 28 primary
00:41:07.840
we know vice president vance is a listener of the podcast we appreciate him a great deal for that and
00:41:14.800
we think very highly of him i actually think jd vance comes out of the 12-day war even stronger oh but
00:41:22.360
you know who's noticed that vance tried to come out of the 12-day war stronger mark levin yes mark
00:41:29.900
levin took a shot didn't he took a little shot when the when the story came out that vance you know had
00:41:36.060
tried to convince trump last second not to do it levin goes and points it out hey vance what's up with
00:41:42.300
this signal not look not noise and what's the signal the signal is they're going to the neocon side
00:41:49.640
is going to try to paint vance uh you know as some uh opposite you know figure within the trump
00:41:58.600
administration they will call him an anti-semite they are gonna die bro do not they will do it
00:42:05.080
they will do and it's so far from the truth don't they're but that's so far from the truth right but
00:42:10.380
remember how this how the 12-day war played out what criticisms were levied what actions were taken
00:42:15.380
and what they were labeled right and so this turning a mountain mountain out of a molehill
00:42:21.520
they're gonna take that that little thing where he and what they're gonna say is he leaked that
00:42:26.660
he leaked that to give himself cover for a time like this to say oh yeah i was against the war the whole
00:42:34.320
time right and so then they're gonna be like yeah he did that because he still wants to keep the
00:42:39.600
anti-semite vote on his side right the woke right vote i'm telling you they're gonna do it
00:42:45.880
they're gonna do it so when you say they i want to think for a moment who will be like the neocon
00:42:52.480
champion rising in in 2028 not even hard this is i i know the answer this is not even going to be
00:42:58.940
the answer crossover it's the answer is one two three ron de santis right the crossover between
00:43:05.960
the people who showed their themselves during the 12-day war and who showed themselves through the
00:43:12.760
great influencer battles of 2023 2024 if you laid the lists on top of each other they are practically
00:43:20.700
identical so that it's going to be ron de santis who's going to be deploying these attacks so we
00:43:27.400
could imagine a 2028 presidential contest where you've got like the forum policy realism folks jd vance
00:43:34.340
who we like a great deal marco rubio who we like a great deal and then there's going to be the neocon
00:43:39.740
kind of nicky haley lane right and you think that that de santis goes right into that that will be a
00:43:44.800
very well resourced lane oh yeah there will be a lot of of money for those who are willing to repeat
00:43:51.680
the talking points uh that you know peace through strength means invade everywhere and invite everyone
00:43:59.100
yes no that's it that's exactly what's gonna that's gonna be the lane like you said it's well
00:44:03.280
funded and you know that's where and it would be very interesting who else if if if for whatever
00:44:09.740
reason de santis doesn't run what figures in the republican party do you think are like yearning to
00:44:14.540
occupy that lane uh i mean i don't think nikki haley has a shot anymore but she might be the top pick
00:44:21.820
after that um i think she does run again you think she does run again oh yeah i think running for
00:44:28.440
president is is an itch that doesn't go away with one scratch oh well especially for a gal like nikki
00:44:33.420
and nikki nikki would be the top one on that okay um i think that that there is uh some tom cotton
00:44:43.380
oh my god tom cotton wants to be president oh he'll do it in a heartbeat and he he i i think would
00:44:49.660
be a strong presenter from a debate standpoint for that viewpoint yeah but he's not likable so i mean
00:44:58.000
i'm you know yes you've never met tom cotton you don't know how likable he is perfectly likable
00:45:02.180
guy listen i get what i get through the screen and i and he doesn't give you want to have a beer
00:45:08.400
together vibes the way jd vance no no way no way he's just not likable so i'm not i'm not too worried
00:45:14.100
about him in that regard um and i just don't think he's put in the work to try to appeal to the new
00:45:20.720
media environment either so he's not practiced in that and so i don't think he'll be able to
00:45:26.080
go toe to toe with advance or even even desantis is a little better on with his media game on in that
00:45:33.680
regard you know you hate to see him you hate to see it but like he went viral for all the wrong
00:45:39.080
reasons in 23 and 24 like the high heels and the white boots and whatever you know and all that but
00:45:44.900
um he still tries you see him putting out messaging cotton doesn't really do that so and then vance
00:45:50.360
will blow out both of them so on that on that front so i'm not worried about that president's
00:45:56.200
going to get his bill in the coming weeks we've had senators on our program this week talking about
00:46:01.620
their concerns the fact that they haven't gotten there yet but we're going to be doing this podcast
00:46:06.200
in the coming weeks breaking down what out of this bill is going to emerge to deliver those wins you
00:46:12.700
were talking about at the beginning of this discussion you say look look if you're going
00:46:16.400
to motivate these low propensity voters you have to you have to show them the money you have to show
00:46:20.280
them the policy wins uh what in here do you really think people are going to pull out and be able to
00:46:28.920
cut through the noise with with the electorate because it's a lot of border stuff i think the no tax on
00:46:36.000
tips is real and i think that could actually be an interesting little little diamond
00:46:42.220
for people to come out and say you feel that you feel that right you know a lot of this stuff man
00:46:47.120
infrastructure five years down the road uh a project in somebody's district they want to run on that
00:46:53.760
you know they're at a they're at a ribbon cutting but nothing's really happening no tax on tips
00:46:58.320
republicans will be able to run on let me say they did it let me ask you this do you think no
00:47:03.760
tackling overtime makes it yeah okay you got a real winner there yes tips there's a certain part of the
00:47:10.540
economy obviously very populated very a lot of normies that's going to be huge and yes that's
00:47:16.700
something you run on the no tax on overtimes that is going to be critical critical for those young
00:47:23.460
working class white men that we've been pining for in the midwest when the blue call out of the blue
00:47:29.580
color yes of hispanic men black men all everybody everybody i mean everybody yes but like there's there
00:47:35.820
is a certain like you know there's the especially it's the young men with no families who can work
00:47:40.660
overtime yeah if you're if you're in your 40s or 50s and you got a wife and kid at home because your
00:47:46.300
generation could like afford those things yeah that's what you're doing but if you're some you
00:47:51.920
know 26 year old who hasn't been able to get a down payment and have a house you haven't met your
00:47:57.540
person yet to start a family well then maybe you're actually picking up those over time yes exactly so
00:48:02.540
the and and so i think that that's going to be critical uh the the i would be running all over
00:48:09.460
the country with the no tax on overtimes no tax on tips but the number one thing we should never lose
00:48:16.240
sight this is actually a great mass deportations bill and i think that that gets lost throughout
00:48:21.420
everything the funding for ice uh and then also i think that i'm the so you you actually think you can
00:48:28.940
you can point to an increased frequency in the deportations yes and say this bill is why you're
00:48:36.160
seeing this number like the you know like the covid counter yeah during during 2020 we should have
00:48:42.080
something like that and the faster those numbers go up i'm telling you that is going to that's going
00:48:47.440
to push the vote oh yeah that and that's just an easy illustrative way the way thomas massey walks around
00:48:52.940
with the debt clock counter uh on his on his chest if we had something like that where it's going up
00:49:00.160
non-stop that is the kind of thing that that's going to get that's going to get uh low propensity
00:49:05.240
voters uh out we shall see uh thank you as always for joining me and make sure to always tune into the
00:49:11.920
matt gates show nine o'clock eastern six pacific here on one american news you can follow me on x
00:49:16.860
at matt gates tune in next week we'll have more anchorman for you want to see more great videos
00:49:22.980
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00:49:33.040
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