The Art of Manliness - August 02, 2016


#222: The Laws of Wealth


Episode Stats

Length

31 minutes

Words per Minute

190.71141

Word Count

5,920

Sentence Count

323

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

3


Summary

Daniel Crosby is a behavioral finance expert who has recently published a book crammed with practical advice to help investors from all walks of life have better investing behavior. His book is called The Laws of Wealth: Psychology and the Secret to Investing Success and is out now. In this episode, we discuss the psychological biases that cause people to make stupid investing mistakes, what we can do to overcome them, and why index funds aren t exactly passive investments. We also explore how behavioral finance principles can help us live a happier, more flourishing life.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Brett McKay here and welcome to another edition of the Art of Manliness podcast. Now to the
00:00:18.280 layman, financial investing can look extremely complicated. And while financial markets are
00:00:22.920 certainly complex, the rules governing sound investment are actually pretty simple. The
00:00:26.960 problem most people have is following those rules. It's all about behavior. Well, my guest
00:00:32.140 today is a behavioral finance expert that has recently published a book crammed with practical
00:00:36.620 advice to help investors from all walks of life have better investing behavior. His name is Daniel
00:00:41.420 Crosby and his book is The Laws of Wealth, Psychology and the Secret to Investing Success. And today on
00:00:46.160 the show, we discuss the psychological biases we have that causes to make stupid investing mistakes,
00:00:50.480 what we can do to overcome them, why index funds aren't exactly passive investments. We also explore
00:00:55.500 how behavioral finance principles can help us live a happier, more flourishing life. Talk about why
00:01:01.020 the self-esteem movement was terrible for you, what you can do to avoid resentment. And then we're
00:01:06.140 also going to talk about another book he wrote, what's called Everyone You Know Will Die. It's for
00:01:10.520 kids. It's kind of more, it sounds morbid, but had a good purpose. We'll talk about that. After the show,
00:01:15.340 make sure to check out the show notes at aom.is slash Crosby, search of the C and you'll find links
00:01:20.560 to resources mentioned throughout the show. So without further ado, Daniel Crosby and the Laws
00:01:25.340 of Wealth. Daniel Crosby, welcome to the show. Awesome to be here. So you're a behavioral finance
00:01:37.060 expert. What is that and how did you get involved with it? Yeah, so behavioral finance is just sort
00:01:44.340 of simply sits at the intersection of psychology and investment management. And so my path there is
00:01:51.260 pretty circuitous and that's pretty typical of the two handfuls of people who work in this field.
00:01:56.860 So I started school as a business major with an eye to going into investment management,
00:02:03.040 which is what my dad does. And then I went on a mission for my church for two years and spent two
00:02:08.440 years in the Philippines. And in that time, sort of got a bigger heart, enjoyed working with people.
00:02:14.340 And came back and said, you know what, I want to do something that matters. I want to be a
00:02:17.820 psychologist. Got about halfway through a PhD in psychology before I said, you know, this is
00:02:23.380 bringing me down. Talking to sad people all the time is making me sad. And I need to, I want to
00:02:30.780 think deeply about why people do the things that they do, but I can't do it in this context and still
00:02:36.420 lead the life that I want to live. So I was lucky to stumble onto this sort of unique business
00:02:43.220 application of psychology. And so that takes, that takes two forms, you know, part of it is helping
00:02:47.980 people make better decisions. And then part of it is, can we actually manage funds in a way
00:02:54.220 that takes advantage of the irrational behavior of other market participants?
00:03:00.040 So you've got a new book out about using insights from behavioral psychology to be a better investor,
00:03:04.740 investor. But before we get to that, I'd like to talk about your previous book,
00:03:07.640 You Are Not So Great, where you take insights from behavioral psychology to help folks live a good
00:03:12.220 life. So let's talk about the title of that book. You Are Not So Great. So my mom and elementary
00:03:16.820 school teachers were lying to me. Why are we aren't so great? How did this word greatness get spread too
00:03:22.700 thin?
00:03:23.620 Yeah. So you're not that great. It's kind of built on the paradox that your ability to be great,
00:03:28.800 which I want for myself and everyone else, but your ability to be great is predicated upon not
00:03:35.060 thinking that greatness is your birthright. Um, and so, uh, you know, I, I not sure quite how old
00:03:40.940 you are. I think we're roughly the same age, but you know, I grew up in the eighties, um, at sort of
00:03:45.620 the height of the self-esteem movement where the thought was that, uh, self-esteem was the, was the
00:03:52.100 cure for all ills and, and thought that self-esteem was, was given, um, and not earned. And, and that took
00:03:59.900 the form of, you know, lots of gold stars, everyone's a winner, participation trophies, things like that.
00:04:05.340 Um, and the, the science bears out that that's not the case at all. You know, I talk about a few
00:04:10.040 things, but you know, I'll focus on two in specific, uh, one, uh, you're not that great talks about how
00:04:15.260 special people are quitters. And I mean, make, make no mistake about it. I mean, I wrote this book.
00:04:20.040 It was a, it was a Ted talk that I turned into a book, but you know, I wrote this book for myself,
00:04:24.540 um, because I was a kid who grew up, um, many things, especially academically came easy for me.
00:04:31.440 I was praised for being, you know, special, intelligent, whatever. Um, and then I just
00:04:36.440 fell apart the first time I quit, uh, the first time I came upon any sort of bump in the road or
00:04:42.420 any sort of obstacle, I just fell apart. And so I cite the work of Carol Dweck, uh, quite a bit in,
00:04:49.420 in the book. And she just talks about working with kids, um, and even yourself to focus on,
00:04:55.600 uh, to focus on process over outcomes. You know, I think early in my educational life,
00:05:01.060 my outcomes were good because I was just, um, I was just bright and it came easy to me,
00:05:05.900 but you, you can only coast on that for, for so long and then you fall apart. So found pretty
00:05:11.440 consistently in the book cases where people who just, uh, are leaning back on being special don't,
00:05:17.220 don't get very far because they, they just quit. And then the second thing that I found at
00:05:21.580 citing the, uh, example of Bernie Madoff is that special people are cheaters.
00:05:26.320 You know, in the book, I talk about research done by Dr. Carol Dweck who worked in the New York
00:05:31.660 City public school systems. And she divided kids into two groups. One, she praised for being special
00:05:38.620 and gifted. And the other, she praised for being hardworking and following the rules. So then she
00:05:44.640 asked the kid to, uh, write a letter to what is, turns out to be a fictional pen pal. And then this
00:05:51.160 letter to this pen pal that she's, uh, they're supposed to, uh, tell a little bit about the
00:05:55.340 things they like to do, their hobbies, and then they're supposed to transcribe, uh, their report
00:06:00.080 card. Well, uh, of the group that were praised for being hardworking and following the rules,
00:06:05.560 nobody fudged the grades on the report card. Uh, but of the group praised for being special and gifted,
00:06:11.740 nearly half of the kids gave themselves better grades than, than they had actually received.
00:06:17.080 So they effectively lied, uh, when writing to their pen pal. And we see this also in the case
00:06:22.460 of Bernie Madoff, you know, a lot of people don't understand that Bernie Madoff was already
00:06:27.200 enormously wealthy and successful before he started defrauding Holocaust victims. You know,
00:06:33.380 he had already invented a market making technology, uh, that serves as a part of what we now know
00:06:39.000 as NASDAQ. So he had made all this money, tens of millions of dollars, but he said he never felt
00:06:45.320 special. He never felt special. He says, uh, in his deposition that he felt like a picked on
00:06:51.580 little Jewish kid from Brooklyn. So again, he needed to be special, never got there in his mind.
00:06:57.680 And you see that in both case, both cases, it led to cheating. So that's the second reason is that
00:07:03.040 special people are cheaters. Yeah. And I think that ties in with research I've, um, seen about
00:07:08.600 straight A students or kids who think of themselves as straight A students or gifted students is they're,
00:07:12.640 they're, they're the ones who are more likely to cheat. Um, and I even saw this like anecdotally
00:07:17.080 in my own life, the, the really, the friends I were with that had this pressure of being the smart
00:07:22.420 kid, like they cheated all the time, like on tests or they would, you know, look at someone's homework
00:07:28.240 so they, cause they didn't have time to do the homework the night before. So they would ask for
00:07:31.380 their friend, they would copy their answers very rampant. And it was because they had this pressure
00:07:35.540 to like maintain that image. Absolutely. I saw that in my own life. I mean, frankly,
00:07:40.680 everyone writes a book to themselves, I think is the case. And, uh, this was absolutely written
00:07:45.900 for me. You know, I was early on labeled gifted and a smart kid, uh, and didn't have to work very
00:07:51.980 hard for it. So I learned bad skills and I learned to sort of coast on my natural gifts and then ended
00:07:57.700 up being a pretty horrible student for a lot of years and a very lazy, uh, lazy cheater, frankly,
00:08:03.760 and had to sort of reteach myself later in life, how to function because I had been given bad
00:08:09.100 messages and hadn't taken personal responsibility. And I mean, what did you have to do? Like, how did
00:08:14.140 you reprogram yourself? Well, I, uh, it, I was a horrible student all through middle school and high
00:08:20.220 school, um, had to go to a junior college, um, had to go to a junior college because my grades were
00:08:26.000 so poor. Um, and it was at that point that it really sort of dawned on me that I was going to live
00:08:30.740 in a van down by the river if I didn't get things together. Um, and so at that point I really, uh,
00:08:36.440 started to work hard, got great, you know, great grades. My first year of junior college went on a
00:08:41.780 mission for my church where I grew up quite a bit. And then after that I was on a better path.
00:08:47.320 So you talk about contingent self-esteem and the two responses that humans take towards it.
00:08:53.420 What are the, what is contingent self-esteem and what are our typical responses towards it?
00:08:58.480 So contingent self-esteem is self-esteem. That's basically predicated on your self-esteem is
00:09:04.440 predicated on someone else's lack of self-esteem. So the, the two things that we tend to do are either
00:09:09.860 we build ourselves up, uh, to sort of this unrealistic, uh, unrealistic, unrealistic level
00:09:16.260 of overconfidence or else we feel like we have to put others down. And in study after study people,
00:09:22.160 uh, it's been shown that people would rather make, uh, less money if it means making more money
00:09:28.340 than their neighbors, right? So you'd met, you'd rather be, uh, poor in a neighborhood where you're
00:09:33.020 slightly richer than your neighbors than to be more objectively wealthy. So we really think about
00:09:38.140 wealth and success and all these things in relative terms and it's contingent on the people around us.
00:09:44.980 Gosh. And how do you overcome that?
00:09:47.180 You know, I think the, I think the, the answers that I give in the book are just really sort of
00:09:52.460 old fashioned and, and simple, but not easy. I mean, I think you have to learn to develop sort
00:09:58.660 of a personal benchmark for greatness to, to compare yourself today to the man you were yesterday
00:10:04.160 and not to your neighbor. And then the second thing that's just, uh, unequivocal in the research
00:10:09.880 on self-esteem is that there's no shortcut to self-esteem. And the only way that you can get genuine
00:10:15.400 self-esteem is by doing hard things and persisting in doing hard things until you've achieved something,
00:10:21.960 uh, noteworthy. So people have a really strong BS meter. And so if you're telling someone, Hey,
00:10:27.640 well, you know, I'm so proud of you did so great when they didn't really work for it,
00:10:30.900 it doesn't stick. It's only when we do hard stuff and, and learn to do it well,
00:10:35.260 that that gets internalized.
00:10:36.900 Gotcha. So let's talk about your latest book, the laws of wealth, uh, where you take a look at
00:10:41.900 the research coming out of behavioral psychology and how people can invest their money better.
00:10:46.260 Cause I think for a lot of just average Joes, like investing money in the stock market is just super
00:10:51.360 intimidating. Uh, I mean, I, I invest in like, I feel like I'm a pretty smart guy, but like,
00:10:56.180 even like I'll look at the stock market, like, I don't understand how this thing, this thing,
00:11:00.500 this crazy thing works. Um, but in the, in the, the book you make the case that most investing comes
00:11:06.380 down to behavioral management. Uh, it's not so much, you know, what you put in your portfolio. I mean,
00:11:12.400 that, that is important, but more importantly is how you just manage your behavior when you go,
00:11:16.540 when you invest. So what are the, the biggest behavioral or psychological ticks that get in
00:11:22.860 the way of us making wise investing decisions? Yeah. So, so the first thing you mentioned there
00:11:28.760 is one of the most powerful is just not realizing how empowered we are. Um, you know, Ben Graham,
00:11:35.080 who taught Warren Buffett, everything he knows, uh, Buffett would say, uh, says that the investor's
00:11:40.400 chief problem is, is himself. And that is absolutely, again, what the research bears out.
00:11:45.840 There's, uh, there's research by a company called Dalbar that talks about the gap between what the
00:11:51.980 market return has been and what the average mutual fund investor has gotten. Um, and like over the last
00:11:58.520 30 years, the market has given you about eight and a quarter percent. Uh, but the average investor in
00:12:04.240 the market has only kept about half of that, uh, because they get in and they get out at,
00:12:09.540 at the wrong times. And so the first law of wealth, if you will, is just realizing that your behavior
00:12:17.060 matters so much. And so financial professionals get this, you know, a recent, a recent study I read
00:12:23.020 said that 83, 83% of financial advisors said that the biggest thing that they do for their clients
00:12:29.480 is hold their hands and keep them from freaking out. Uh, but only 6% of the end clients thought that
00:12:36.260 was the case. So there's this real disconnect where clients are, are looking for, um, this sort of
00:12:42.480 expert investment management, which is, uh, uh, in a lot of cases, an effort and futility, whereas the
00:12:49.380 real value is delivered by just keeping you from making a handful of stupid decisions over your
00:12:54.280 lifetime. Gotcha. So they're more like a coach. Yeah. More of a coach and people don't want to see
00:12:59.440 them that way. People want them stock picking and doing the sexy stuff. And, and really, uh, they're
00:13:04.940 saving you from their, from yourself if they're doing it right. Gotcha. So, I mean, you list in
00:13:09.680 the book, several biases that we have that, um, that make us, that cause us to create, you know,
00:13:16.500 make poor decisions. Um, so you mentioned earlier, like the, we get out whenever things are tanking and
00:13:22.000 then we get in when things are awesome. What bias is going on there that causes us to, uh, I guess
00:13:28.300 it's sell high and or no, it's sell low by high. So I guess it's what people are doing. Right. I mean,
00:13:34.160 there's a, there's a number of things at play there, but one of the things that's at play is
00:13:38.200 something called the affect heuristic, which is just a fancy way of saying that your emotions color
00:13:43.340 your perceptions of risk. And so, um, there's been studies about emergency room admissions on days that
00:13:49.320 the market is down and emergency rooms, uh, uh, admissions dramatically, uh, skyrocket whenever
00:13:55.500 the market crashes. So we are just so immersed in this and it's such a big part of our lives,
00:14:01.140 um, that it has an impact on our mood. So if you're in a bad mood, you tend to see risk everywhere.
00:14:07.060 Uh, if you're in a great mood, you, you tend to not be very tuned into risk. And there's,
00:14:11.280 there's interesting, there's interesting research on this with respect to, um, the spread of sexually
00:14:16.480 transmitted diseases as well. It's like when people are in a cold emotional state, they know
00:14:21.560 exactly what they're supposed to do, um, to have safe sex. And then when people are feeling amorous,
00:14:26.920 it's like kind of all out the door. So, um, so yeah, it's just, uh, it's managing those emotions.
00:14:33.060 And this is why I wrote a book on what I call rule-based behavioral investing, just trying to
00:14:38.200 set forth a couple of simple rules so that you can kind of put this process on autopilot and really not
00:14:43.800 think about it, um, because your thinking is colored by your emotion.
00:14:47.940 Gotcha. Well, yeah, that's, that's really interesting. So, um, how, how do most people
00:14:52.320 invest their money? I mean, so like you, you promote this thing called goals-based investing.
00:14:58.960 Um, how's that different from the way most people go about investing their money?
00:15:03.300 Yeah. So the, the traditional model of finance has, has talked about, uh, mean variance optimization,
00:15:10.000 which we totally won't get into, but it's basically trying to get the most return for every, uh, every
00:15:16.240 extra bit of risk you take on. And so in this paradigm, your goal is to try and beat the benchmark,
00:15:22.200 let's say. So you want to do, you want your portfolio to do better than whatever, uh, you're
00:15:27.380 measuring it against. So let's just say for stocks, you want your portfolio to beat the S and P 500.
00:15:32.840 Okay. So there's, that's intuitive enough. But what I'm saying is, uh, you want the best
00:15:38.480 anxiety adjusted returns, uh, because we're all different. We all have different goals. We all have
00:15:44.060 different wants and needs. We all have different meanings of wealth and expectations about how we
00:15:49.240 want to live. And so all you need is the returns. Uh, you want to maximize the probability that you
00:15:56.040 get the returns. You want to live the life that you want to live. And that looks very different for
00:16:01.640 different people. And that, uh, that requires a deep consideration of what matters to you, uh, from
00:16:07.640 sort of a meaning and purpose standpoint. And that requires a deep consideration of your personal
00:16:12.900 risk tolerance and, uh, traditional modes of finance have sort of, uh, kept that static across
00:16:19.020 all market participants and assumed sort of similar goals and similar risk appetites. And obviously
00:16:25.580 that's not the case. And so with goals-based investing, the goal isn't to beat the market.
00:16:30.440 So it's just, Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. So one, one of the studies on goals-based investing that I love
00:16:36.780 is they were, they were working with, um, low income savers, like people who are just barely
00:16:42.140 scraping by. Um, and they're, they're rightly having a hard time setting aside money. And so
00:16:48.760 they tried carrots and sticks, you know, rewards and punishments. And then finally they said, you know
00:16:54.020 what, we're going to try this. We're going to prime these people with a picture of their children,
00:16:58.120 um, before they make a financial decision. We're going to sort of flash up a picture of their
00:17:02.440 children before they make a decision to spend or save. And we'll see how that impacts it.
00:17:07.260 And with these low income folks, it helped them set aside more than 200% more money than they had
00:17:13.460 been before, just when they were thinking about that, that meaning and purpose before making a
00:17:18.860 financial decision. So goals-based investing simply tries to reconnect money with the life that it
00:17:25.100 serves. So this was interesting. You had a whole section about index fund investing. I'm a big
00:17:30.740 index fund guy. That's what I do. Um, but you, and it could, because like you, you highlight,
00:17:36.240 even highlight in the book, the reasons why index funds are so appealing is that actively managed
00:17:41.240 funds, right? Where there's a guy in charge, he's selling and, you know, rearranging the fund in order
00:17:47.000 to get the best return. Those don't do very well compared to the S and P 500. In fact, most people,
00:17:53.020 most of them don't even meet their benchmark, but you still make the case that actively managed
00:17:58.100 funds might be better than index funds. I'm curious. Why is that?
00:18:03.180 So, um, this is, I think a conversation that takes a lot of nuance. So I'm going to, I'm going to draw
00:18:07.880 on the words of a guy that I love his stuff, Nassim Taleb, who wrote the black Swan. And he says,
00:18:15.160 never ask a man in his opinion, only ask to see his portfolio. So I'll tell you that when I was
00:18:20.640 recently putting together my will, um, and, and putting together this, you know, for my wife who
00:18:27.100 doesn't, uh, isn't as interested in investing as I am, I said, if I get hit by a truck tomorrow,
00:18:34.360 here are the allocations and put it all in Vanguard. Because if you just want to not worry about it and
00:18:41.800 manage fees, which is a great way to go, um, there is, it's, it's hard to beat index investing.
00:18:48.020 So that said, I think that people who care enough to give it a little time and attention
00:18:54.880 can do better than indexing over long periods of time, uh, for, for a couple of reasons. So
00:19:00.800 before I sort of go into that, I want to say that for the average investor who doesn't care about
00:19:06.300 these things and just wants to live their life and set aside a little money each month, index investing
00:19:11.960 and diversifying across many asset classes is absolutely the way to go. Um, so there are a
00:19:19.360 couple of psychological problems with, with indexing though, I think. And one of them is that most
00:19:25.760 indexing tends to concentrate you in the largest and most expensive stocks, uh, which have historically
00:19:32.860 not done that well. So the, the way that an index works is a stock takes up a bigger or smaller
00:19:39.360 percentage of an index, um, based on how well it's done recently and how, uh, the, the market cap of
00:19:45.820 that company. So how big it is. And so if you have an index like the S and P 500, you are overweight
00:19:52.680 companies that are large and expensive, which of course, um, you're in effect, um, buying high and
00:20:00.760 buying big. And over time, smaller stocks outperform larger stocks and cheap stocks outperform expensive
00:20:06.680 stocks. So with that in mind, I think there are some small tweaks that you can, uh, do to, to make
00:20:13.000 it a little better. Um, the other thing that I talked about in the book is how a lot of people think
00:20:18.620 of indexes as being sort of, um, mined from the earth or existing in a natural state. And what, what
00:20:26.020 we see is that the S and P 500 again is, uh, uh, nine, uh, a secret group of nine people decides which
00:20:34.400 stocks go in the S and P 500. So, uh, unfortunately these nine people are subject to the same errors
00:20:41.180 and bias thinking that you or I are. And so they've tended to do the wrong thing again. They've
00:20:46.940 tended, um, you know, at the turn of the century, the S and P 500 was loaded with tech stocks, uh, to
00:20:52.820 agree that was sort of, uh, not historically where they had been, but they loaded the boat with tech
00:20:57.600 stocks because of the, the mania going on in the tech world at the time. And they were, uh, grossly
00:21:03.260 overweight banking stocks, uh, in the 2000, 2007, 2008. And so because of this bias on their part,
00:21:12.000 uh, you, you, the investor gets screwed, um, by their bias entering the equation. So I'm talking
00:21:19.140 about, uh, what I call rules-based behavioral investing. If, if you put it on a continuum
00:21:24.700 between what's commonly referred to as passive investing is an active investing, it's probably
00:21:30.100 somewhere in the middle. Gotcha. I'm curious, what are your thoughts? Um, so as I was reading
00:21:34.980 that whole thing about index funds, like, Hmm, maybe I should switch strategies. Um, but there's
00:21:41.080 all these, but I'm, but at the same time, like, man, like, I don't know if I can have, I have the
00:21:45.320 time, but like twiddles my portfolio all the time. There are these companies coming out, uh, like
00:21:51.300 wealth front where they, I'm going to figure out what the other one is where they basically create
00:21:55.640 your portfolio via algorithm. Are they applying some of the, the research and behavioral science
00:22:01.680 and just that to help people create a portfolio that fits for them?
00:22:07.420 So, uh, there's a couple of things that wealth front and betterment, those is sort of the big
00:22:12.320 two. And they're, they're referred to in the industry as robo advisors. I think there's a couple
00:22:16.200 of things they do well. And I think there's a couple of things that are either a room for improvement
00:22:20.240 or we haven't, maybe they haven't been fully tested yet. So what they do exceptionally well,
00:22:26.060 uh, is they, they allocate you across a number of assets in a very scientific way. I mean, it's,
00:22:32.380 it's unbeatable. It's very, very good. Uh, the way that they diversify your portfolio and do so,
00:22:38.900 uh, with, with reasonable fees. So that, that aspect is, is hard to beat. Um, I think where the,
00:22:45.960 where the jury is still out, most of these companies are relatively new.
00:22:50.240 Um, and they haven't really seen periods of great market volatility. Most of these companies are
00:22:55.740 like five, six, seven years old. And I mean, it's been a great, it's been a great seven years.
00:23:00.180 So what we find in the research is that people who work with a financial professional
00:23:04.480 tend to outperform those who don't, uh, pretty dramatically by about two to 3% a year.
00:23:10.660 And it's not because financial advisors are good stock pickers. It's because they're holding your hand
00:23:15.580 and they're keeping you invested, uh, when times are tough, they're, they're a coach again. And so I,
00:23:21.640 I think where the jury is still out for me with, with robo advisors is how did their participants
00:23:28.240 react, um, in a very, in a, you know, a 30, 40, 50% drawdown. And interestingly this week, you know,
00:23:35.140 we're talking the week of, uh, the week after the Brexit vote. And, uh, I believe it was Monday of this
00:23:40.880 week, Betterment actually shut down, um, they, they made their funds illiquid. Like you couldn't
00:23:46.660 get to your account. So they basically said, Hey, um, you know, we feel like people are going to make
00:23:52.160 dumb decisions today, which they were to be fair, probably right about. They said, you know, we think
00:23:56.900 people are going to make dumb decisions today. So we're just going to lock up your money. Well, um,
00:24:02.980 you know, maybe that's well-meaning, but it's also sort of not what their investors signed up for.
00:24:07.360 So, uh, it'll be interesting for me to see how they try and manage the behavioral side of this
00:24:11.960 over time, but their, uh, their, their credentials in diversifying your portfolio are, are unassailable.
00:24:18.860 Um, so we've talked about some of the rules, um, kind of tangentially, uh, and I know we can't get
00:24:25.360 the specifics of all of them, but what are some of the rules in your rule-based investing, uh, idea
00:24:31.100 that people can follow to start being a better investor?
00:24:34.800 Yeah. So one, one of the things that I talk about, uh, is consistency. So just having rules,
00:24:41.200 I mean, and you know, uh, whether it's as simple as setting aside X amount of dollars each month,
00:24:46.780 or just making a hard and fast rule to, you know, buy every dip of 10% or more, just,
00:24:52.660 just so you don't have to think about it. I mean, there's just an increasing literature
00:24:56.800 on how really exceptional people just try and, uh, streamline their decision-making process.
00:25:03.200 And I think this is, this sort of checklist manifesto mentality is more applicable to
00:25:08.200 investing than just about anywhere else. I mean, you see people like Obama who wear the same,
00:25:12.740 you know, the same two types of suits day in and day out, you know, people like Nick Saban who eat
00:25:17.780 the same thing for breakfast and lunch every day. You just want to free up that headspace for the
00:25:22.940 stuff that matters. And I mean, investing, you know, it frankly doesn't matter very much
00:25:28.340 in terms of living, in terms of living a great life. So consistency is one of the things that I
00:25:33.400 advocate. Um, the other thing that I talk about is conviction, which, you know, it's, uh, back to
00:25:40.520 the active versus passive debate. It's a, it's a dirty little secret in the, in the investing world
00:25:45.420 that most, most funds that are marketed as being active don't differ meaningfully from their benchmark.
00:25:52.100 And so what you get is expensive index funds basically. Um, and so you're eroding your
00:25:58.460 performance and a recent study found that basically three quarters of funds that were marketed as
00:26:04.500 active didn't really have an opinion. They were just basically what we call closet indexes. And so
00:26:11.180 that's, that's another principle is, is be in one camp or be in another camp, either, either index like
00:26:18.040 you do, which is sensible and a great approach and, and just save your fees or, or seek out a fund
00:26:24.060 that's truly differentiated and has an opinion, but never, never be in the middle. All right. So
00:26:29.540 consistency, consistency and conviction. Yeah. It's one of those, those two, I guess there are two C's.
00:26:34.960 Yeah. Um, so before we go, I mean, we've talked about living a good life finances. We've got to talk
00:26:41.460 about this other book you wrote because when you, I remember I got in the mail, I was like, what in the
00:26:45.320 world is this? It's, it's a book for kids and it's a child's book about how people die. And I think it's
00:26:53.120 called everyone, you know, will die, right? Everyone you love will die. It's a little more morbid than
00:26:57.500 you thought. Right. Everyone you love will die. Uh, I'm curious, what was the impetus behind writing
00:27:02.980 this book and why, why did you do it? So, um, to, to scare the children of America. No, um, I wrote this
00:27:10.240 book. So I have two children and next week I'll have three children. So I have, you know, soon,
00:27:16.040 soon to be three children and, uh, you know, they're the loves of my life. And one of, uh,
00:27:21.880 one of the great struggles for me is finding ways to talk about the, uh, talk with them about sort of
00:27:29.120 the tough realities that we all have to confront. Um, and so I found that I, I do this well and that
00:27:37.440 it's, it gives me a window to talk to them if I, if I write it out as a poem first. So it's almost
00:27:42.740 like I get my thoughts straight with writing a children's poem, read this to them. And then we
00:27:47.640 kind of bond over this and then we can have a meaningful discussion over it. So I've written,
00:27:51.720 I've written poems about everything from, uh, you know, gay marriage to being a, being an individual to,
00:27:59.140 uh, everyone you love will die. And so everyone you love will die was the first one I wrote. And I wrote
00:28:04.780 this poem when I was, um, talking to my daughter, I believe after her fish died. And, uh, so I was
00:28:12.140 talking to my, my oldest child about this and I put it on Facebook. I put it on Facebook and I said,
00:28:18.100 Hey, this is just kind of a funny thing I did. And it is ultimately hopeful and hopefully endearing
00:28:23.340 and encourages you to spend time and make the most of every moment with the people that you love.
00:28:29.120 So I throw this thing on Facebook. The next day, a friend of mine sends me a file that she's
00:28:34.860 illustrated this poem. So long story short, we put it on Kickstarter. Kickstarter made it their
00:28:40.680 pick of the day. It was funded in like five hours and, uh, you know, we got enough money to print off
00:28:45.940 a couple hundred books. That's awesome. So memento mori for your toddler. Yeah. Memento mori for your
00:28:51.420 toddler. Yeah. I love that. I love that concept. Yeah. I think they need that. And it is true. Like,
00:28:56.880 I think particularly in our modern world, I mean, even adults, like we're so hidden,
00:29:02.280 like we're so, um, shielded from death. Right. I mean, I can, I can count on like maybe,
00:29:07.560 you know, one hand, probably more than that, but like the number of people I've known that have died
00:29:12.620 and, um, experienced that. So yeah, I mean, in the kids, even more so we shield them from that
00:29:17.180 stuff, but like, that's a natural part of life. Well, yeah. And for me, uh, the reality of death is
00:29:23.120 one of the things that most effectively animates me to try and live a meaningful life. And I think
00:29:27.940 that that we, we leave that value on the table when we, when we hide from it. And the, the, the
00:29:33.580 weird paradox is in a, in a day and age where you turn on the TV on any given Tuesday and there's been,
00:29:40.280 uh, you know, a suicide bombing or a mass shooting, it's almost like death has become so ubiquitous
00:29:45.780 that we're almost even that much more detached from it. So, um, I, I think there's an appropriate
00:29:51.580 and a meaningful way to reflect on the inevitability of, of loss as a way to animate a better life.
00:29:57.480 That's awesome. Well, Daniel, this has been a great conversation. Where can people learn more
00:30:01.260 about, uh, your different books you've got out there?
00:30:04.100 Yeah. So, uh, go check out the laws of wealth on Amazon. You can go to everyone you love will die.com.
00:30:10.180 If you're, uh, so, so moved, you can follow me on Twitter at Daniel Crosby and my, uh,
00:30:15.200 wealth management firm is Nocturne Capital.
00:30:17.560 Awesome. Daniel Crosby, thank you so much time. It's been a pleasure.
00:30:20.400 Thanks so much.
00:30:21.980 My guest today was Daniel Crosby. He's the author of the book, The Laws of Wealth. It's
00:30:25.700 available on amazon.com and bookstores everywhere. Also check out the show notes at aom.is
00:30:30.740 slash Crosby for links to resources mentioned throughout the show.
00:30:44.060 Well, that wraps up another edition of the Art of Manliness podcast. For more manly tips and advice,
00:30:48.400 make sure to check out the Art of Manliness website at artofmanliness.com. And if you enjoy
00:30:52.280 the show and have gotten something out of it, I'd appreciate it if you give us a review on iTunes or
00:30:55.760 Stitcher. Helps us out a lot. As always, thank you for your continued support. And until next time,
00:30:59.800 this is Brett McKay telling you to stay manly.