00:00:00.000Hey, everybody. How's it going? Thanks for joining me this afternoon. I am Oren McIntyre. Before we
00:00:05.900get started, I just want to let you know that the new show, Stu and Dave, Do America, is coming out.
00:00:11.320Stu is one of the nicest guys in the business. He's also incredibly knowledgeable and thoughtful.
00:00:16.260And of course, Dave Landau is hilarious. So them teaming up is a perfect pairing. Make sure you
00:00:21.480check out Stu and Dave, Do America, on Blaze TV today. All right, guys, we have a lot to talk
00:00:29.160about it was an absolutely insane weekend for the trump administration and the country in general
00:00:34.340at pretty much every level we have trump battling with the pope trump declaring that he's going to
00:00:39.820blockade the uh yeah the straightforward moves uh we have peace tops breaking down we have trump
00:00:45.400posting pictures of himself as jesus and then we have the actual topic of the broadcast today which
00:00:52.120is talking a little bit about candace owens and why she is herself a creation of conservatism
00:00:58.040incorporated. We're going to get to all that, but I guess we should start from the very beginning.
00:01:03.280So let's talk a little bit about the news that has been developing since we last spoke.
00:01:08.700So Trump had been on a, well, a run of sorts. He had declared a war on several different
00:01:16.920podcasters, which is find whatever it's drama. There are probably lessons to be learned there,
00:01:22.460but that's a different topic. I don't want to delve into that. We also had Trump endorsing
00:01:27.500lindsey graham for her re-election after several people were attempting to unseat lindsey graham
00:01:33.680which is kind of rough because lindsey graham is everything that the swamp basically uh you know
00:01:40.360exists it's he's the swamp embodied right like lindsey graham is a neocon he's a guy who never
00:01:45.880talks about his own district never talks about his own state unless he's going to talk about
00:01:50.840sending them to war like this is a guy who absolutely does not care about the people is
00:01:56.300should in no way be near the Republican Party, and yet somehow sits at this critical juncture
00:02:01.280of the Republican Party. Exactly the kind of people you were hoping that Trump would kind of
00:02:06.140push out of the GOP that would dismantle, you know, this kind of infrastructure inside the GOP,
00:02:12.380and yet he's doubling down on supporting the guy. So that's a rough blow, right? Like that's a rough
00:02:17.920hit for Trump supporters. Moving from that, we had the peace talks with Iran breakdown. J.D. Vance
00:02:25.520went to have these peace talks and ultimately they were not successful it sounded like there
00:02:30.860were several different sticking points now the ceasefire is still ongoing and to some extent
00:02:36.040that was probably predictable that the very first negotiation was probably going to be like
00:02:41.260kind of this tone setter and then they would sit down again before the ceasefire ended i certainly
00:02:46.460hope that's the case i think it's in everyone's best interest to ultimately resolve this problem
00:02:52.640I think it's even in Iran's best interest to do this. A lot of people are trying to kind of build up Iran and say that now that they have kind of created this situation, this energy stalemate with the United States, that they're in the driver's seat and they're this incredible economic power and they're in control.
00:03:10.920and i'm sorry that's just as delusional as the idea that iran was going to blow over in a few
00:03:16.800days because you launched some missiles at them i've been against this war from the very beginning
00:03:21.840i've been very vocal about it a lot of people have been very angry at me for vocally opposing this
00:03:26.940war but ultimately that doesn't mean i'm going to delude myself on where we're at i'm still rooting
00:03:32.060for the united states even if i don't like this decision i want the united states to win and i'm
00:03:37.440clear eyed about the fact that the United States military ultimately does have the capacity to do
00:03:42.480very, very serious damage to the Iranians. If they choose, they've already done quite a bit0.95
00:03:46.880of damage and could do a lot more. The best case scenario for Iran was to get some level of1.00
00:03:52.440negotiations going and pull some, you know, conciliations away from, you know, Donald Trump
00:03:57.600in these deals and ultimately, you know, get out from under this bombing run, right? If you're
00:04:02.820Iran that's the smart move but it seems like they're going to double down and say no we want1.00
00:04:07.980to push this further now again hopefully that's just a a bargaining position and ultimately some0.95
00:04:14.000kind of peace is secured during the ceasefire we get back to the negotiating table and that occurs
00:04:20.080but I don't think it's long term and Iran's best interest to do this I mean again Donald Trump is
00:04:26.280a guy who really relies on his ability to make deals. And you want to put yourself in a position
00:04:33.920where Donald Trump can look like he made a deal if you're Iran. If you don't put yourself in that
00:04:38.320position, then you really are just betting on the idea that you can beat the American military
00:04:43.100in an extended conflict. Now, the idea for Iran was ultimately making an extended conflict too
00:04:49.140painful so the United States would not commit fully to it. And they succeeded to that to some1.00
00:04:54.800extent. But once you get to that point where you're then making deals, you've got to find a
00:05:00.660way to close that thing. Now, I don't know. I know there's a lot of caveats thrown in. I know,
00:05:06.200unfortunately, at some level, Israel is also involved in these talks or is very influential
00:05:12.260in how these talks are conducted. And so maybe they're moving goalposts, trying to create
00:05:17.640situations where Iran can't accept the deal. But I think it's very bad for Iran to not ultimately
00:05:24.040find a way to peace because if you really make donald trump double down on this and he will he's
00:05:30.480not just going to walk away because you said you don't want to do a deal like that's just going to
00:05:34.720make donald trump dig in that's just who he is better or worse those are going to be the practical
00:05:38.640outcomes if you do that that's going to be bad for you it's going to be bad for your people it's
00:05:42.980going to be a disaster because remember you know iran isn't that stable of a government before you
00:05:48.120get into this war it had significant protests now obviously that gets kind of consolidated as
00:05:54.700ultimately uh people start to rally around the regime when trump bombs them that's kind of one
00:05:59.260of the reasons i thought this was a bad idea however you know those internal problems don't
00:06:03.780disappear just because the american military uh you know steps away or something like which it's
00:06:10.320just not going to do iran's going to continue to taste to face internal pressures it's going to
00:06:15.020have serious logistical issues it's going to have you know neighbors that aren't very fond of it
00:06:19.720after the fact that they fired these missiles at everybody i mean you can be iran and pretend that
00:06:25.120at some level they're going to see this as an attack on the united states and not them but i
00:06:29.420think those neighbors are going to remember that you lobbed missiles and drones at them at the end
00:06:33.740of the day so i think the smart move for iran would ultimately be a way to find a way to make0.59
00:06:39.060peace i understand from their view they're like well you know israel is going to keep coming back
00:06:44.440to the table and trying to get the united states to do this over and over again so either we win
00:06:48.400this now or we're we're done like i understand that in i can get inside their mind and understand
00:06:53.960that mentality but ultimately i think they have to realize that a protracted war is just going to be
00:07:00.720a loss for them eventually maybe at great cost to the united states certainly at the great cost
00:07:05.500to donald trump and his administration's domestic priorities i don't want to see this on any level
00:07:10.620But again, if you're Iran, you just have to understand that I think this is long term, like not not good for you. So obviously, I want the United States to come out on top of this. But also just from the Iranian side, like you can't you can't not do the deal here at some point, because then all Trump has left is the neocon option.
00:07:29.560You've taken all the other outs for Trump off the table. And as much as you might be worried about Trump not taking an off ramp, it's very clear you went out of his way to generate an off ramp for himself when he thought he needed to. That's not the time for you to then double down and pretend like you have Trump exactly where you want him, because that's not the case either.
00:07:47.600You don't have the tiger by the tail here. You don't even really have the tiger by the ears. So probably best to figure out how to get out of this situation, ultimately, rather than, you know, prolong it, hoping that it somehow works out in your favor.
00:08:00.480that said trump decided uh that during this uh you know remaining period of the ceasefire where
00:08:07.620hopefully we end up in another negotiation that he's going to deploy a different tactic so let
00:08:12.840me pull up his post he's been making uh it's been making some very exciting uh posts on truth social
00:08:19.840here but let's uh get to this one uh i believe it's this one we're looking for here so this is
00:08:26.500Trump saying, uh, so there you have it. The meeting went well, well, post most points were
00:08:34.000agreed to, but the only point that really matters nuclear was not effective immediately. The United
00:08:39.800States Navy, the finest in the world will begin a process of blockading any and all ships trying
00:08:45.320to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz. At some point we will reach an all being allowed to go in
00:08:51.680all being allowed to go out basis but iran has not allowed this to happen by merely saying there
00:08:58.200may be a a mine out there somewhere and nobody knows about them this is a world extortion leaders
00:09:03.880of countries especially united states will never be extorted i have also instructed our navy to
00:09:09.100seek and interdict every vessel in international waters that paid a toll to iran no one who pays
00:09:15.320an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seats we will also begin destroying the
00:09:21.020minds of iran laid in the strait any iranian who fires at us or a peaceful vessel will be blown to0.97
00:09:26.380hell iran knows better than anyone how to end this situation they already devastated their country0.97
00:09:31.740their navy is gone you get the idea so trump has pulled the old uno reverse card oh you you think
00:09:40.320you're blockading the strait of hormuz well we're blockading the strain of hormuz so there uh i'll
00:09:46.760say this certainly a bold and interesting strategy um it does i guess at some level remove the revenue
00:09:54.780aspect from iran they can't you know they don't they don't get all the money uh from these boats
00:10:00.260going in and out right because ultimately they still can't go out if if they pay the toll from
00:10:05.740iran uh this does however have some some serious downsides possibly maybe it will work maybe you
00:10:12.420know maybe he's ultimately uh caught them in their own trap but uh there are some some pain points
00:10:19.000here that could you know work on donald trump now a lot of people speculated that this was going to
00:10:24.320be like the the easter tweet which was its own controversial uh tweet he sent out or truth
00:10:30.680whatever you want to call it his social media post where he said oh well we're going to just
00:10:36.040destroy the all of iranian civilization if they don't if we don't have a deal done by 8 p.m0.55
00:10:40.960we're going to blow everything up and we're going to blow up all your bridges and all your power0.99
00:10:44.680plants and injure civilization and won't a shame wouldn't that be a shame and then obviously when0.91
00:10:50.100we got to APM he kind of threw out this actually we're doing a deal and the leader of Pakistan has
00:10:55.100shown me a deal that I definitely didn't send him and tell him to post and they didn't just copy and
00:10:59.320paste it with you know instructions for him to post it on social media which it's still an amazing
00:11:05.280thing that happened by the way uh and so you're in this scenario where a lot of people said well
00:11:10.960it's just like that right it's it's going to be a bunch of bluster and he's going to put you put
00:11:14.660you up against the wall and it's a negotiating tactic and he'll back down well we're getting
00:11:18.920reports this morning from fox news that the united states navy is indeed moving to blockade the
00:11:25.160strait now will they follow exactly the pattern that trump laid out there are they really going
00:11:30.400to you know basically stop any boat that paid the toll in the first place and deny them passage and
00:11:37.800blow anybody up if they come near i don't know i have no idea that's well yeah i guess that that's
00:11:43.180the trump strategy right like just throw it all out there confusion uh you know uh yeah chaos and
00:11:49.220then see what sticks uh that said uh this strategy has uh the possibility of working right it does
00:11:55.600It does take some level of leverage away from Iran, but it also has a lot of pain points globally that could put a lot more pressure on Donald Trump in the United States.
00:12:04.800So obviously, there's going to be a lot of other countries who are already angry about the strait being closed because America went to war.
00:12:12.580Remember, it's not like anyone was charging boats going in and out of the strait or stopping them before the war.
00:12:18.800So this is new and it's caused by the war, by America and Israel being involved in this war.
00:12:24.420so a lot of people are already angry about that their their energy prices are going up
00:12:29.760in places like europe where that are more dependent on the oil uh south korea uh you know
00:12:35.900you're seeing shortages that kind of thing well now they were already angry that they're gonna
00:12:40.820have to like basically pay a bribe extortion to iran to like you know get their stuff through
00:12:48.500here well now they're not even going to be able to do that right like now it it's the united states
00:12:54.900that's stopping the oil ultimately from flowing towards them now i think there's again multiple
00:13:02.880reasons trump is doing this one is it creates this kind of you know removing this power position
00:13:09.100from iran and saying oh no ultimately if the if the strait's going to be closed it's going to be
00:13:12.880on our watch not someone else on the other hand uh it also creates a scenario where uh donald trump
00:13:21.740has like more or less told the rest of the world hey you need to come get involved like you sitting
00:13:28.440on the sideline and not helping us free up the straight is not going to work for you you can't
00:13:33.940just pay iran a few million dollars to get your boats through and that'll solve the problem you
00:13:39.940either come and work this out with us or you're just going to be in dire straits pardon the pun
00:13:45.060there so you're in the scenario where trump is trying to use this i think both to kind of again
00:13:52.100uno reverse the iranian position looks look strong in the moment deny them the income from the strait
00:13:59.460and also compel other european allies or other governments to involve themselves
00:14:06.060now obviously this also means that these tankers aren't going to places like china uh which they're
00:14:13.800probably not going to like so does that mean china sends someone to like break an american
00:14:22.120blockade because they're not getting oil that they paid for through the strait i don't know
00:14:28.700probably not but like it's not off it's not off the table uh so this creates a very interesting
00:14:35.280scenario again i i pray for the peace negotiations i hope that we're already seeing reports that iran
00:14:43.040wants to come back to the table i hope they do that i think that's wise for everybody involved
00:14:48.680but ultimately um this is just a wait and see scenario there there's nothing else you know i
00:14:55.340like i said i could speculate i could tell you oh i know exactly what's going to happen here i'm sure
00:14:59.980are plenty of people are doing that right now. But the truth is there's so much chaos. There's
00:15:06.020so many factors involved. I can lay out the factors for you. I can lay out what the strategy
00:15:10.780is here, what Trump probably expects to achieve, who the players are, why China or other countries
00:15:18.100would be concerned and consider applying pressure to those kind of things. I can lay out the
00:15:22.560scenarios for you. I can lay out the different possibilities or the possible inputs into this
00:15:29.100decision the factors involved but i i you know predictions as to how this will really shake out
00:15:34.540like i know like anyone knows it's totally wild i you know we're we are definitely just on the
00:15:41.020speculating history uh you know track here there's there's really nothing to be done
00:15:46.820uh obviously trump is going to make his own decisions the iranians have to make their own
00:15:51.280decisions uh you hope that ultimately jd vance is able to strike a deal with the iranians but
00:15:56.460it does sound like the sticking point is ultimately this idea of zero enrichment and i just don't
00:16:02.280think that iran is gonna give it up because they really believe that if they give up their nukes
00:16:08.720they're gonna end up like momar qaddafi right like they're gonna end up you know the leaders
00:16:12.800are gonna end up sodomized with a bayonet on a on a jeep you know and the the united states really
00:16:19.940sent a message with that one uh there's just a lot of countries that believe that nuclear weapons
00:16:25.620our sovereignty and i ultimately i think they're right about that and so iran's question is you
00:16:31.380know is it does it fold now on that on that issue i think they want to keep the ability to enrich at
00:16:38.640some level as a bargaining chip maybe they do actually want to make weapons maybe they do
00:16:42.800really want to kill everybody but at the very least in a real political sense uh you know the
00:16:47.260the the strategic value uh in negotiations comes from your ability to threaten right like yes we
00:16:54.820don't have it yet but we could so you have to respect us right like that's kind of the game
00:17:00.220that iran wants to play they want to sit in this sweet spot of we don't have weapons so you don't
00:17:05.300feel like you have you know you have to make us a total pariah but we have the ability to one day
00:17:09.700have weapons so you have to treat us with some respect you can't just regime change us you can't
00:17:14.220just blow us off the face of the earth because you know in theory we could accelerate and create
00:17:18.800this dangerous scenario i totally understand why the united states does not want iran there0.93
00:17:24.800But I think at that point, the question is, well, the only only way to stop that is you have to literally control Iran.0.78
00:17:32.080You have to turn it into a colony.0.95
00:22:53.740that's exactly opposite of what you were elected to do but um in a landslide to do setting record
00:23:00.280low crime numbers that part's good we like that part and creating the greatest stock market in
00:23:05.140history well um leo should be thankful because as everyone knows he was a shocking surprise he
00:23:11.880wasn't on any list to be pope again you get the idea so um again i i actually agree with a decent
00:23:19.860him out of this like yeah the pope is pretty bad he's wrong on war he's wrong on covid i mean
00:23:27.100don't get me he's he's wrong about crime now don't get me wrong i'm a i'm against this current war
00:23:32.480i'm just not against the idea of war in general uh you know i i don't think that christian nations
00:23:37.480can avoid war i don't think that it's realistic to expect nations not to go to war um i just think
00:23:43.840this war is ill-advised you know so i can agree with a decent amount of this but ultimately like
00:23:48.360i said still some parts that aren't so great and most importantly um the the again the reflection
00:23:56.640it has with catholics is important uh catholics have been a growing part of the republican
00:24:02.240coalition they used to be pretty much entirely democrat but have been moving you know over to
00:24:08.060the republican party um so you don't want to scare those off so much that's that's not the best again
00:24:15.600i don't think that means that donald trump shouldn't reply to the pope um and and i'm not
00:24:20.200being precious about this because again potpourri doesn't matter to me uh but you know these are
00:24:26.100just politically true things however i feel about them is is really beside the point and then
00:24:32.460finally uh and this one's the big one this is the most exciting and most recent of donald trump's
00:24:37.960uh, posts today. Uh, he did this. Uh, so this is Donald Trump, um, as Jesus.
00:24:53.360Uh, he did not create this image, uh, but he did share it. Now, when he initially shared it,
00:24:59.200there was a lot of cope. Uh, people were running around, uh, saying, no, Grock told me that he
00:25:03.780didn't really post it and it's not really from the account and someone made it up and whatnot
00:25:08.780and then people said well no of course i mean you know donald trump uh you know he he didn't post
00:25:17.560that right like it's on his account but obviously some intern posts it uh now if you believe in an
00:25:22.880intern runs donald trump's truth account that's some cope right like there's one good and bad
00:25:29.820thing about donald trump and that's that he has direct control over his social media he doesn't
00:25:34.960hand that to an intern for anything donald trump posts what donald trump wants to post when he
00:25:40.560wants to post it that's what we love about him right that's how we got to where he is now donald
00:25:44.960trump has no filter he posts exactly what he's thinking he's one of the masters of the platform
00:25:49.920donald trump is an all-star twitter poster social media poster truth poster whatever you want to say
00:25:56.020that's just true about Donald Trump we loved it about him when he was telling the neocons to stick
00:26:01.980it when he was trashing the Republican establishment when he was attacking Democrats
00:26:05.900when he never backed down we loved it however there are some downsides to that when your guns
00:26:15.860are aimed at the wrong enemies and right now Donald Trump seems to be in a war with about
00:26:22.060half the christians in the united states which is unwise we'll put it that way now i am not one of
00:26:30.540those people who says you need to get hysterical about donald trump's tweets in fact i have
00:26:36.740counseled against it repeatedly you know do not become some hysterical blue-haired feminist because
00:26:42.960donald trump put something on twitter so i'm not gonna break that rule now i'm really not is this
00:26:49.000blasphemous yeah yeah kind of yeah yeah i don't really know how you can avoid that right like
00:26:58.920it is what it is i'm i'm not gonna get precious about donald trump's posting now but
00:27:04.940unwise right like i think i think unwise is a good way to explain this sorry but this isn't
00:27:11.640just like another one of his tweets this is this is real bad luck like now don't get me wrong0.57
00:27:15.920boomers have been posting slop like this around for a long time and it was bad and i've laughed0.56
00:27:21.120at it in fact i did a whole episode on boomer eschatology where i pointed out stuff like this
00:27:26.900is quite bad and we shouldn't engage in it but it's always been people around trump trump has
00:27:32.160never embraced it necessarily now he has and that's a bit of a problem now i guess the good
00:27:39.880news is that donald trump did take this down just like an hour before uh the show was about to go
00:27:46.120live so the good news is he recognized at some level this was bad however he then held a press
00:27:52.600conference impromptu to discuss this and other matters and uh this is what he said hormones
00:27:59.640straight and various other things do you have any questions mr president did you post that picture
00:28:06.020of yourself depicted as Jesus Christ? Well, it wasn't a picture. It was me. I did post it. And
00:28:12.340I thought it was me as a doctor and had to do with Red Cross as a Red Cross worker there,
00:28:17.340which we support. And only the fake news could come up with that one. So I had, I just heard
00:28:25.120about it. And I said, how do they come up with that? It's supposed to be me as a doctor making
00:28:30.900people better and i do make people better i make people a lot better as an example uh the 11 000
00:28:37.860i understand your husband's going through treatment so you know um that's kind of obviously
00:28:46.360a lie yeah it's like well yeah i thought it was about being a doctor i thought i was sharing a
00:28:52.220picture of me being a doctor no i don't i don't think he did like i don't i don't think that's
00:28:59.940correct. Ultimately, uh, we'll just have to see again, how this shakes out. Um, you know,
00:29:06.980there's a lot of things that people get angry about Trump at, and then they forget it and they
00:29:10.740move on. Uh, obviously Trump is not going to apologize. Trump never apologizes for anything.
00:29:16.380And he wasn't going to start now. And I never really expected him to, I don't know if that
00:29:21.180would have helped him. I probably doubt it would have, but maybe it's just the right thing to do
00:29:25.220in this scenario. Either way, I think that now for the Trump administration, it becomes a game
00:29:31.000of just grin and bear it and hope the news cycle buries it, which, you know, it probably will.
00:29:36.240The problem for Trump is really that this is an unforced error after a series of rather important
00:29:43.680unforced errors, right? It's not this one post in particular. Again, I'm not going to become
00:29:49.520this shrieking woman about it. I'm not going to, you know, suddenly clutch my pearls about Trump
00:29:54.760and the way he posts on social media i am however gonna note a trend that donald trump is stepping
00:30:02.120on the toes of a lot of people and unfortunately increasingly there's a lot of people who voted for
00:30:08.260him it's one thing when donald trump is turning his guns um you know as as uncouth and uh boisterous
00:30:14.980as they might be on his enemies the people who are never gonna vote for him anyway who you know
00:30:20.000ultimately need to be put in their place and defeated but now donald trump is just like
00:30:24.160regularly kind of angering portions of his like actual voting base and i don't just mean like
00:30:31.800the super dedicated fox news boomers that show up in like incredibly biased polls i'm talking about
00:30:38.680the maha people i'm talking about the moderates the libertarians a lot of people who joined
00:30:44.360because they were sick of the woke left and they wanted somebody to close the border and make some
00:30:49.240sense of our immigration policy but you know aren't gonna like live and die for trump i think
00:30:55.720he's increasingly alienating those people and i think the polls show that again not the polls
00:31:00.580or anything polls lie about donald trump all the time but i think that at some point you have to
00:31:05.180recognize that this is having an impact again i'm not going to get precious about any given post
00:31:11.340i am going to say that once you accumulate enough unforced errors eventually it costs you something
00:31:17.420right and that's what i'm worried about this is what i've been worried about with the iran war
00:31:23.340and this is what i'm worried about with this run of posts again not that any individual thing is
00:31:28.800worth you know losing your mind over though the last one's pretty rough but ultimately this is
00:31:34.940going to chip away at donald trump's coalition it already has very clearly and i think it's going to
00:31:40.380hurt us in the midterms a lot of people are saying ah too too long too far away people will forget
00:31:44.900I hope so. I hope you're right, man. I want to be wrong about this so bad. I've never wanted to be
00:31:50.300wronger about something because I know the consequences of the Republicans losing. That's
00:31:55.080why I've continued to say through all of the Republican missteps and even all of the Trump
00:31:59.780recent missteps that ultimately you need to back the Republicans because Democrats in power just
00:32:07.320means you go to jail, borders are open, you know, real bad stuff happens. So I'm not going to be
00:32:14.340running around and voting Democrat or anything you won't it's gonna see me pushing for some
00:32:19.200other candidate besides you know you know Trump obviously he doesn't have to run again but you
00:32:24.000know if it's JD Vance and I think it probably will be I certainly will support JD Vance but
00:32:29.020this is undeniably bad for the coalition and I'm not doing I look I understand that people want to
00:32:34.900be positive I understand that we want to trust the plan I get that I really do and as much as I can
00:32:39.700i try to but at some point we have to be honest about political analysis or i'm useless to you
00:32:45.920right if i'm just here to tell you stick with the plan everything's great donald trump is perfect
00:32:52.080you know we're winning it's all going to be fine okay like there's a lot of people who are going
00:32:56.960to do that for you and if that's what you need you know there's a lot of people who are going
00:33:00.580to peddle those the like uncut white pills for you so you know by all means uh don't don't let
00:33:05.520me stop you uh but what i do is try to provide some level of realistic political understanding
00:33:11.780and that means sometimes we have to acknowledge that mistakes are being made and they're going
00:33:17.300to have serious costs right and there seems like just a pretty important run of mistakes that has
00:33:24.180occurred here and i am not hopeful about what it means for the midterms or the long-term prospect
00:33:29.880of the maga movement i think as i've said that the neocons saw their opportunity to make trump
00:33:35.420lame duck they wanted this war they wanted a lame duck congress they want to make sure the save act
00:33:40.140didn't pass they want to make sure that deportation stopped they wanted to make sure that trump
00:33:45.200basically just spent the last two years being investigated and then ultimately jd vance you
00:33:50.860know loses because the reputation of maga is completely destroyed and the neocons run back
00:33:56.500back into power i think that was exactly the plan i think we're seeing that executed now
00:34:00.780and sadly i'm worried it's working and if i don't warn you about that if i pretend everything's okay
00:34:06.000okay it makes you feel better for 10 seconds but what did i do for you i lied to you do you feel
00:34:13.020better about that would that would that would that be better i don't think so i think it's
00:34:17.500better to be honest about where we're at and try to turn it around as much as possible again i'm
00:34:22.180not telling everybody i'm not one of these guys going oh no you know don't don't ever vote
00:34:26.960Republican, give up on Trump. It's all over a black pill, you know, just, just vote for Gavin
00:34:31.900Newsom. Like I'm never going to do any of that. That's stupid. But at the same time, I'm not
00:34:36.420going to lie to you. I'm not going to sugarcoat where we're at because it's not great.
00:34:43.520All right. So the next part of this, the, the, the thing I wanted to talk about before all the
00:34:49.980news broke was candace owens and part of this is related to you know trump obviously uh trump went
00:34:58.080out and made this post about you know candace owens and tucker carlson and marjorie taylor
00:35:02.520green and alex jones and how they're all stupid they've all betrayed him and you know i have
00:35:06.760various opinions about those different personalities as you can probably imagine
00:35:10.420the one i wanted to focus on however is candace owens and i think there's a couple good reasons
00:35:15.060for that first candace owens well i think she's been probably the worst actor out of the people
00:35:23.000mentioned there the one that is i think most obviously one who is doing bad things candace
00:35:28.820owens you know i agree with certain critiques she's had at different times of where the country's
00:35:35.200going our relationship with israel other things but then there's this also like completely out
00:35:41.340in left field, insane part of Candace Owens, where, you know, the moon landing didn't happen
00:35:46.960and Rashid McCrone is a man. And, you know, the French are in some conspiracy with the Israelis
00:35:54.420and the Egyptians to take out Charlie Kirk with a time travel device or something like she's all
00:36:00.820over the place. It's, it's crazy. Right. And people eat it up. I guess she's got one of the0.88
00:36:06.680most popular podcasts in the world so that's working for her uh so i guess i get where the
00:36:11.900content comes from uh but that isn't really my point my point is not to sit here and just like
00:36:17.380denounce candace owens even though i genuinely think she's a bad actor in several areas
00:36:21.820like i i'm not gonna i'm not gonna pretend that somehow candace owens is like doing good things
00:36:28.320even if i happen to mildly at some level agree with a few of her critiques like obviously she's
00:36:35.980behaving poorly in a lot of areas including her treatment of erica kirk which i think is
00:36:41.000pretty ugly as you know someone who's been widowed i just don't think that's how you treat
00:36:45.240someone who's been widowed uh especially in the most horrific public way possible so that being
00:36:52.320said i think the conservative movement entirely you know deserves candace owens i i think that
00:36:59.840candace owens is exactly what the conservative movement was trying to manufacture and they only
00:37:04.640hate her now because she turned on them but like this is exactly what they were trying to make
00:37:09.260and and i'll guess let me explain what i mean by that so for a very long time the conservative
00:37:14.680movement has been obsessed with not looking racist right like just don't look racist that's
00:37:21.780that's the thing that is so scary someone might call us a racist and if they call us a racist
00:37:26.240well that's just the worst thing in the world and so even though it's not true or ridiculous or a
00:37:31.480bad faith argument, we have to do whatever we can to avoid being seen as racist. Even though like
00:37:38.300it really has no foundation and accepting that language, accepting that frame basically hands
00:37:44.260all of the moral weight to our enemies and allows them to define terms and completely destroy us.
00:37:50.360It doesn't matter. Even if we are just basically setting ourselves up to lose eternally to
00:37:56.000Democrats, we have to avoid being seen as racist. That's what matters. We want New York Times
00:38:02.500articles written about us saying we're one of the good ones because we avoided racism. And their
00:38:07.760strategy for trying to avoid being called racist has been to try to take conservative talking0.91
00:38:14.600points and put them in the mouths of minorities. Now, don't get me wrong here. There are legitimately1.00
00:38:21.980very conservative people of color who are out there and i trust and i'm friends with and i
00:38:30.860admire right like thomas soul obviously very based right um you you have like my colleague
00:38:38.600jason whitlock awesome guy right very very cool very serious uh i think about his conservatism
00:38:45.940his commitment to to to his new faith in christianity like fantastic right like i think
00:38:51.640they're obviously like the supreme court is basically being held up by the world's most
00:38:56.620based black man right so like there are obviously conservatives who really do uh you know there
00:39:03.280are obviously minorities who really are conservative really do hold these values you know
00:39:08.120clarence thomas is is basically the only thing keeping the constitutional order aloft at the
00:39:13.440moment like he's holding it on the shoulders like atlas so like to be clear these people exist
00:39:18.360However, there is a high demand from Con Inc. and a low supply. And because of that, they've run around looking for like all these minorities that they can groom into positions to say conservative things.
00:39:34.020So then they can point to those people and say, look, look, look, they're, they're not, we're not racist because they say what we're saying.
00:39:59.360Like this strategy has a hundred percent failure rate, but.0.89
00:40:02.620because conservatives are so terrified of being called racist they continue to put minorities
00:40:08.620into these positions even if they have like really no qualifications and no real principles and no
00:40:15.520real ties to the conservative movement or any of these beliefs well there is a perverse incentive
00:40:22.520structure here if you don't know candace owens history let me explain it to you because some of
00:40:27.260us have been on the internet for too long so i remember when candace owens first hit the scene
00:40:33.040i was watching dave rubens show at the time because there was this new wave of like idw
00:40:39.900uh i didn't leave the left left left me guys who were coming over and calling themselves like
00:40:46.020conservative curious they were interviewing other people who had realized that the left
00:40:50.320had gone crazy they were opposing wokeness and one of the people that popped up on dave
00:40:57.000show was candace owens now candace owens began as an arch progressive surprise surprise in fact
00:41:06.240not only was she a leftist she actually was running a doxing site called um oh man now i suddenly1.00
00:41:16.980forgot it uh it'll come to me in a second uh but she was running a a a doxing site that was0.96
00:41:23.760space basically supposed to remove anonymity from right-wing posters right like she was supposed
00:41:29.720it was supposed to go through and like accumulate this data and unveil uh you know uh oh it was
00:41:36.720something like something autopsy uh social autopsy that was it that was it okay uh and so uh she was
00:41:44.800she had this doxing side that was supposed to like go out and like uncover these these terrible
00:41:50.200racist internet anons and destroy their lives and then like her own audience turned on her because
00:41:56.600she wasn't sufficiently leftist and so all of a sudden all the worst people in the world who
00:42:01.660she'd been working for to dox right-wing people and destroy their lives in fact i don't know how
00:42:07.380much that really happened like i don't know if she ever really had this project up it felt like
00:42:12.000one of those anita sarkeesian things where like she promised this thing and people were giving her
00:42:16.040money and to you know to theoretically get this up and going but i don't know if it really ever
00:42:21.180you know delivered what it was supposed to anyway that's not the point the point is she started life
00:42:26.180as a progressive you know theoretically selling this idea of being able to dox internet anon
00:42:31.360but once once she changed when she changed her mind because she was being attacked
00:42:42.200by her own progressives she went through the old i didn't leave the left the left left me and of
00:42:47.680course she immediately got booked onto dave rubens uh podcast because that was his whole shtick he
00:42:53.240was just interviewing you know gad sad and jordan peterson and you know sam harris and you know man
00:43:00.040sam harris talk about a crash out uh but um you know all all of the usual subjects uh the suspects
00:43:07.400the weinstein brothers like the whole the whole nine yards and candace owens was in this crowd
00:43:11.820She was not conservative at the time, but she was, you know, making the journey, as they would say.0.57
00:43:19.460And so she's already coming from the left, from a position of like doxing people for a living, basically, destroying the lives of right wingers on the Internet, getting them fired.
00:43:29.500That's where she started her public life. And so she makes this conversion and instantly, you know, she's courted as like the next big thing because, oh my gosh, it's a black conservative. It's a black conservative woman. And, you know, she's going to be out there. She's attractive. She knows how to talk. She can, you know, deliver these speeches. She's charismatic.0.76
00:43:52.720I mean look whatever you think about Candace Owens you have to admit she is a talent on a camera0.95
00:43:58.480she might be saying things that you find insane and stupid but she obviously is very talented on0.97
00:44:04.360a camera and has only gotten more so over the years she knows how to give a presentation1.00
00:44:07.620she knows how to hold attention this woman was going to be probably famous doing something like1.00
00:44:13.540that's that's just reality she's got if you've been in media long enough you know the media0.82
00:44:17.500personality I don't have it like that like I'm just not that guy I might have other things that
00:44:22.240i'm good at but i'm i'm not i don't have that like ultra charismatic uh piece she does she knows she0.61
00:44:29.400knows how to do it and so once they see her they're like oh gosh we can turn her into another0.94
00:44:34.840one of our like minority bots and so you know she gets pushed through she's on all these programs
00:44:41.360uh she works with tpusa obviously that's how she like meets charlie kirk and becomes friends with
00:44:45.940charlie kirk uh and so she becomes this like super rising star she starts the blexit movement you know
00:44:52.080The promise that every conservative wants to hear, don't worry, conservative, you're not racist because the black people are going to vote like you vote. Don't worry, as my friend Steve Day says, the brothers be flippant. The narrative that the brothers be flippant, it's going to win out. We're ultimately going to be the ones who win the black vote. And then once we have the holy black vote, and remember the black vote is the most holy thing in American politics. It's the blessing. Don't let conservatives lie to you.
00:45:19.420they'll tell you oh the george floyd stuff was ridiculous all the religious stuff around george0.63
00:45:23.620floyd is ridiculous they believe every single word of this that like black support is the only thing
00:45:28.420that matters is the ultimate uh currency in politics if you have it you have the blessing
00:45:33.420of god they 100 believe this and so they're like oh man you know candace owens she's going to tell0.72
00:45:39.240the boomers everything they want to hear they're not racist and the blacks are going to come over
00:45:43.280and vote for you and uh you know just follow me i'll pied piper you in the new future uh she
00:45:49.220obviously courted kanye west uh to this but this is where things got sideways for right because
00:45:55.720like kanye west was also in this like uh we could say um skeptical of jews uh a period of his life
00:46:04.360now i don't know when she held any of these beliefs i don't know when she acquired them
00:46:08.320But obviously she started to be linked to this stuff more and more.
00:46:12.280And I should stop and say this as well.
00:46:15.640I do not know Candace Owens personally, professionally, even at a distance.
00:46:54.840I'm skeptical, given the pattern of behavior and the interest in kind of telling audiences things that will build your, you know, I don't know.
00:47:06.260And I'm not, one of the things I hate the most is when people who don't know me talk about my motives when they don't, they don't know anything about me. So I don't want to remove the idea that Candace Owens is not sincere in what she believes. However, I will say this. There have been a lot of people rightly criticizing Candace Owens and her behavior.
00:47:28.760Some of them have been pretty ridiculous in the way they do it. I'll get to that in a second. But there's a fair and legitimate point to make about Candace Owens and her behavior and the way she conducts herself. That's all fair game. However, a lot of people have been saying that this woman is destroying the right. She's destroying the right wing, destroying the conservative movement.
00:47:49.320if Trump loses the midterm, or if the Republicans lose the midterms, it's because of her.
00:47:54.420If MAGA dies, it's because of her. If Trump loses the support of his base,
00:47:58.240it's because of her. And they've been pretty histrionic about the whole thing.
00:48:03.860Now, a couple things about that. First, okay, but you created Candace Owens.
00:48:12.120The only reason she has an audience, conservative incorporated, mainstream conservatism,0.98
00:48:17.540is because you gave it to her she has an audience because you gave it to her you put her on the
00:48:23.820daily wire you put her at tp usa you elevated her voice at every opportunity because of the color of
00:48:31.480her skin right it's not because she had a deep history of being conservative it's not that she
00:48:38.540had a a well-thought-out conservative ethos that had carried through her entire life it's not
00:48:45.580because she had been in the trenches getting conservatives elected for decades you elevated
00:48:51.440her because she was black and she said the things you wanted to hear and she was good at it again
00:48:58.040she's talented i i can't take that away from her whatever else you want to believe about candace
00:49:02.380owens she is very talented so it's not like she didn't put in the work it's not like she didn't
00:49:06.440have the talent but let's be clear nobody else with a different color of skin and uh you know0.98
00:49:12.600a different gender would have probably had the same meteoric rise.1.00
00:49:16.160She was elevated because she was black and she told a lot of mainstream
00:49:20.740conservatives, what they wanted to hear that, you know,
00:49:23.140they weren't racist and black America was going to start voting for them and
00:49:26.540they would have the holy vote. And then, you know, Kumbaya,
00:49:29.820we would finally have won everybody to the sanity.1.00
00:49:32.600We'd move all the black people off the democratic plantation back to the0.87
00:49:35.620party of anti-slavery and, and you know, the, the Abraham Lincoln,0.98
00:49:39.700the Republican party, you know, the whole nine yards.
00:49:42.600You believed all that stuff. You sold that to people. You made millions and millions, tens of millions, hundreds of millions of dollars off probably selling Candace Owens as the great black hype for the Republican Party for the conservative movement.
00:49:56.100and now she has the audience you gave her she has access to all the MAGA listeners to all those0.98
00:50:04.780you know women in the middle that you were so worried about losing because you handed them to0.85
00:50:10.400her you handed her her audience on a silver platter because you wanted one more black voice0.90
00:50:17.060tell you you weren't racist you gave her the audience you gave her the power you gave her
00:50:23.080the money and now it's coming back to bite you i said this on twitter and i you know i think it's
00:50:29.080true as the old genghis khan quote you know roughly if you had not committed such great sins
00:50:35.820then god would not have sent me to punish you i think that's kind of what you got with candace
00:50:40.560owens you bought the ticket now you get to take the ride you decided to sell out the conservative
00:50:47.840movement and elevate voices that were really conservative and had no history of it because
00:50:53.020they told you what you wanted to hear about the black vote you gave them the platform you gave
00:50:57.840them the money you gave them the notoriety you hooked them up with the connections you pushed
00:51:02.660them into the conservative media sphere you made sure that they had everything they needed to
00:51:07.000influence everybody and now you're crying about their influence well boo who maybe candace owens
00:51:14.620is Genghis Khan with a padded helmet but she is Genghis Khan she is divine judgment on the0.98
00:51:21.340conservative movement for your obsessive need to pander to a demographic and to buy into a leftist
00:51:28.500narrative that makes racism the most unforgivable sin from which you must atone for eternity and
00:51:34.780because you were weak and because you were foolish and because you're obsessed with making money off
00:51:39.880of pushing somebody like Candace Owens,