Kevin Dolan of the Exit Group joins me on the show to talk about his new report on why parents are having trouble having kids, and how we can fix it. He also talks about why it s a problem, and what we can do about it.
00:00:44.780One that I think is amazingly refreshing in the American context.
00:00:49.560He was just talking about how you have this situation where so many people get angry at guys like Bukele or Trump for putting criminals in jail.
00:00:59.080But jailing criminals is actually liberating for the population.
00:01:03.680Without law and order, without the application of law, without knowing that the government is there, the state is there to step in on your behalf and stop those that deserve to be stopped.
00:01:13.740You can't really be free in a meaningful sense.
00:01:17.560And as we look at a court system and Democrats that are trying to bring back an illegal immigrant who's allegedly a member of MS-13, as we watch an alleged killer who, again, allegedly stabbed a young man in Texas,
00:01:32.500collect a large amount of money, move into a new home, get a new car, get rewarded in many ways, it seems, for the actions it took.
00:01:39.820It's really striking the level of just a lack of rule of law and a lack of real freedom that our citizens get to experience.
00:01:48.340It's almost as if the things that we have to do to control the criminals that have been allowed to roam the United States have turned it in many ways into an open air prison.
00:01:56.900Joining me today to talk about that is my buddy, Kevin Dolan.
00:02:19.540So we had about twice as many people as last year.
00:02:22.140Last year, we had a lot of mainstream academics talk about, you know, the contours of the issue in a way that, you know, last year we were focused on, hey, this is a problem.
00:02:35.700Like, everybody, like, pay attention to this.
00:02:37.380Pay attention to the consequences of this that are very easy to quantify.
00:02:41.020And this year we were talking about, like, all right, what is actually causing this and what can we do about it, which is substantially trickier.
00:02:48.540You know, if you sort of ask people naively, you know, why aren't you having kids, why didn't you have kids, the answers they give are not particularly, like, useful from a policy perspective.
00:02:58.740So drilling down to, like, what is the fundamental reason that people are rejecting or unable to fulfill this, like, basic natural imperative is a deep question.
00:03:12.480So we had a lot of really, really good perspectives on that.
00:03:16.380And, yeah, we had media beating down our door, which was crazy.
00:03:22.560And, you know, CNN covered it in a way that I thought was actually, like, fairly objective and sympathetic.
00:03:33.780But, yeah, it was a really, really good time.
00:03:38.480And I think it brought – I was sort of willing to hazard people being a little bit nasty about this thing that I was doing to get the word out.
00:03:48.560And I think so far it seems like it's succeeding.
00:03:53.980So I think there are a lot of new organizations, conferences, people on our side getting together to solve big issues in a way that was just not acceptable a few years ago.
00:04:04.900And you guys are touching on an issue that is weirdly polarizing despite being something you would assume everyone would want to get on board with.
00:04:16.860We should probably figure out how we can let these people have families that should be pretty much the most politically neutral, pro-general American policy or conference one could have.
00:04:28.560And so the fact that – and I think in some ways it does appeal across the aisle in this way.
00:04:33.020But the fact that maybe you're getting some slightly more favorable coverage might mean that the needle could be moving a little bit on that.
00:04:39.400I think that that's what's causing some people to be more favorable to it and it's what's causing some people to bristle at it because it is kind of an unanswerable critique of the whole architecture of Western liberalism.
00:04:55.700It's basically saying, like, it doesn't matter that you've solved these other problems or feel like you've solved these other problems because you're failing to solve the fundamental problem, which is how do people raise families?
00:05:07.780And how do you make sure that young people like each other and want to be around each other and want to build together and trust each other?
00:05:17.480And in failing to do that, all the other stuff collapses anyway.
00:05:23.440And so I think there are some people who are temperamentally and politically liberal who look at that and go, like, oh, maybe we should actually reexamine some things.
00:05:37.980And there are some who basically say, like, you know, threat detected, like their HUD goes red and they panic because they see it as a threat to, like, everything that they think was achieved and every battle they think was won since, like, 1950.
00:05:59.220So, yeah, it's been really interesting to watch the variety of the media response.
00:06:06.760Well, it's, again, one of those scenarios where the true test of any civilization is its ability to replicate itself, right?
00:06:13.100Like, dead societies have no principles.
00:06:15.640And so you have this moment where people have to look at that.
00:06:18.760And, you know, I've had this discussion with people who are, like, kind of pro-feminism and they'll say, oh, well, you know, we've resolved this issue and that issue.
00:06:26.220And generations of women will not have this problem in these Western countries anymore.
00:06:31.160It's like, first, which generations of women?
00:07:05.840I was actually having a conversation with Mother Jones about this.
00:07:09.740And they were asking me if I was the eugenicist because I talked about the fact that these systems that don't replicate themselves will be replaced.
00:07:18.960And what I said to them was, like, and this is what I believe, I actually don't want to see the libs eradicated.
00:07:27.140I think libs do really interesting creative work.
00:07:30.040Like, I miss when libs, like, made movies and music and it was good.
00:07:33.880And I'd like for them to, like, stop destroying society and, like, get back to that stuff.
00:07:40.760And so, yeah, it's – if you care about anything, if you care about art or civilization or science or the survival of human species or going to other planets or going to Mars, like, that's what Elon cares about.
00:07:58.060And, like, it's sort of a backdoor to caring about this because he's smart enough to think about it from first principles and go, like, oh, well, if we don't have the people who do this, then it's not going to happen.
00:08:27.240This episode of the Oren McIntyre Show is proudly sponsored by Consumers Research.
00:08:32.500You've heard about Larry Fink and BlackRock and ESG and all the ways that they're ruining your life, making grocery stores more expensive, making video games more woke.
00:08:42.660Well, Consumers Research has spent the last five years making Larry's life hell, and they're just getting started.
00:08:49.500Their work and its consequences have been profiled in The Washington Post, The New York Times, and most recently, Fox Business reporter Charlie Gasparono wrote a whole chapter in his book, Go Woke, Go Broke, on how effective they've been at dismantling BlackRock's ESG patronage scheme.
00:09:07.700He's making Larry Fink lose that last bit of hair on his balding head, and you should follow Will's work on X so you can laugh along with him.
00:09:15.740His handle is at W-I-L-L-H-I-L-D, so give him a follow.
00:09:21.860Again, that's at W-I-L-L-H-I-L-D on X.
00:09:29.260All right, Kevin, I just wanted to play this really quickly so people have an understanding of the context here.
00:09:36.680Bukele, despite being the most dangerous dictator in the world, is very soft-spoken most of the time, but I think you can probably make it out.
00:09:43.420We're very happy, and we're very eager to help.
00:09:47.640We know that you have a crime problem, a terrorism problem that you need help with.
00:09:55.820And we're a small country, but if we can help, we can do it.
00:09:58.760And we actually turned the murder capital of the world, that was the Journalist College, right?
00:10:04.840Murder capital of the world to the safest country in the Western Hemisphere.
00:10:07.460And, you know, sometimes they say that we are increasing thousands.
00:10:14.040I like to say that we actually deliberated millions.
00:10:47.680Yeah, so I'm listening to this, and, you know, I'm just thinking to myself, what an amazing moment that we've come to, where we need a lesson on basic things like, if you don't stop crime, you're actually victimizing the rest of the population.
00:11:06.700By imprisoning people who deserve to be in prison, you are liberating the rest of the population from the effects of rampant crime.
00:11:15.180And that should be a pretty obvious thing, but as we watch the Democrats battle to bring back alleged gangbangers, as we watch alleged murderers get rewarded by GoFundMe, and, you know, they get to buy new houses and new cars and these kind of things, it seems kind of wild that we live in this moment.
00:11:35.660Even after Donald Trump's election, ultimately, we're still looking at a reality where law and order still seems to be very hard for many people to obtain across the United States.
00:11:47.440I mean, Trump, you know, I'm glad he's there, but he actually doesn't determine, you know, Carmelo Anthony's bail.
00:11:57.180And he doesn't determine, like, there's some, there's this deep layers of bureaucracy that have been established over decades, and personnel is policy.
00:12:07.980The guy who was standing next to Carmelo Anthony, talking about, you know, he's home in their $900,000 house they just got with the funds.
00:12:17.760And that guy, I found out, had shaken a baby so that its brain and eyeballs bled, and he did eight days in jail because of a, I believe it was a Denton County judge, which that's actually coincidentally the county I was born in.
00:12:35.500And so it's remarkable to see what justice looks like there now.
00:12:43.060And, and yeah, it's, it's, if you don't know, if you don't know that you'll be safe walking down the street, and, and, you know, obviously, like, I think people like you and I would prefer that the state was not wholly responsible for our personal security.
00:13:00.560But, given that, given the consequences for exercising your right to self-defense in a lot of these jurisdictions, it's like, you know, not, not only is the state not going to protect you, they're also not going to let you protect yourself, which, you know, your audience would be very familiar with, with the concept of anarcho-tyranny.
00:13:18.520The idea that the people who are easiest to control and easiest to coerce are the law-abiding, and so they get it, they get the coercion.
00:13:31.300And, and, and yeah, you, you, you, you look around at like a CVS or a, or a, a target in the Bay Area, and like everything's under like plastic and bulletproof glass and all this stuff.
00:13:44.480And it's like, it's like walking into a prison commissary, because they've had to make the entire world around them robust to the continual presence of, of criminals who won't be punished.
00:13:57.300Yeah, and, and that really is something that I think is just weighing on everybody.
00:14:03.020More and more, you know, we talk about the loss of a high-trust society, and a large amount of it is we have introduced multiculturalism.
00:14:10.600We no longer have a shared understanding of traditions or folkways or customs, religion, the things that would inform our data interactions and allow us to cooperate in a way that we can trust each other,
00:14:22.420or we can participate in society without having a large degree of barriers between us and the consequences of what other people do.
00:14:29.160But another big aspect of that is the criminal element, as you're pointing out.
00:14:33.160Democrats in general, the left, but even some on the right, have really resigned themselves to the idea that the population is just going to do what it's going to do, right?
00:14:43.260That, well, maybe we've shifted things demographically, maybe we've broken down social fabric, maybe we've made it so it's almost impossible to incarcerate anyone for any lengthy amount of time on serious issues,
00:14:54.560even though we pretend like we have an over-incarceration problem.
00:14:57.700You know, we, we, we talk about this stuff as if it's just unsolvable.
00:15:01.620There's just, there's no way we've lost the technology to have a society in which you don't have to put everything behind glass.
00:15:09.120You don't have to lock down or zip tie or padlock every freezer at a convenience store.
00:15:17.520I spent my entire life, you know, there, when I was a kid, you know, what area was really, really bad if they had to put the, uh, the soda machine in the cage, right?
00:15:26.980Like if you have to put it in soda jail, like that's how you knew that, that, that things were bad and you were in a bad part of the neighborhood.
00:15:33.980Now everything in, you know, you can't walk into, you know, even chains that were specifically designed like target to kind of be upscale, to be above a certain element, to create a scenario in which you're going to drive the prices and the venues are going to drive out.
00:15:50.460Uh, some of the people who are going to create crime, create a lack of safety and create intimidation that are going to keep shoppers from interacting.
00:15:57.460You now find them dealing with this issue, them having to lock all of their products behind things.
00:16:02.580It's harder and harder for the average person to find a neighborhood where they don't have to worry about soda jail.
00:16:09.080And I think, I mean, you have to understand that I think, I think the impression that a lot of people get is that this is like, uh, and I think you've had this conversation with like putting the woke away, but like, I think a lot of people get the impression.
00:16:24.080This is like an ideological fever and that it's just the result of a lot of people having, uh, having some bad ideas and those ideas are a fad.
00:16:34.800And, and, and, and eventually they'll realize how broken it is.
00:16:37.320It'll pass, but actually the mechanisms that generate these incentives that incentivize people to, to, to, to release criminals and incentivize people to, to, to lock things up rather than securing space.
00:16:54.960I mean, like these are, these are things that, uh, essentially the, the constitution was overridden and replaced in 1964.
00:17:03.140Uh, by this, by this massively egalitarian, uh, uh, system of, of, of rule, uh, whereby, uh, anything that might reveal distinction, anything that might land differently on one group than on another group is unacceptable.
00:17:24.440And of course, uh, every law and every standard you can apply, uh, uh, lands differently on different groups.
00:17:31.120And so you basically can't have standards at all.
00:17:33.540And, uh, and that's, that's the world we're living in.
00:17:36.540And I think it is appropriate to, uh, it is appropriate to, to, to make noise and get mad at the politicians about this.
00:17:46.980Um, but I think we, as individuals, as families, as communities, uh, need to start building for this situation, building for, uh, things as they are.
00:18:04.240And that's, I mean, that's, that's what I'm about at exit.
00:18:06.980Yeah, I, I saw you just came out with a piece.
00:18:09.780I didn't have time to read it all before we went, uh, live, but talking about how the Brazilian vacation of America is, is, uh, is, uh, enshrined in the law that it's unavoidable due to the way that our law is structured.
00:18:22.320And, um, you know, that's, that's something, if you've listened to this show, you might have had hints of that.
00:18:27.500You may have grasped kind of that, that is part of the barrier that we're facing, but I think it's really critical for people to understand that even when someone like Donald Trump is in office, right.
00:18:37.600Which is still a positive, like, I am glad that Donald Trump is in office.
00:18:42.860We have a possibility to win victories in areas that I did not think we would be able to win them before.
00:18:47.700But ultimately the gradient of our system, the trajectory remains the same.
00:18:53.620And when I look at guys like Chris Ruffo, who I like and whose work I admire, but he continues to say things like, we're going to use the civil rights law to fix this problem, right?
00:19:03.680Like we're just going to civil rights harder.
00:19:05.860Like this time we're really going to actually apply the civil rights law and we're not going to have this carve out, uh, you know, for white people where they don't get protected, that kind of thing.
00:19:14.500And it's just hard to see because even when I had a discussion with Chris on the show about this topic, it was difficult.
00:19:21.560You know, he's like, well, you know, if there's differences between communities, then they, you know, one will just have to do better.
00:19:26.780Like, and it was like, dude, that is, um, that's, that's some powerful 1990s talk radio conservatism there, but that is not civil rights law.
00:19:34.480That, that is just not how civil rights law works.
00:19:36.880And, and also Chris, I need you to put, like, I need you to sit in a room with a representative of these minority communities that you are talking about.
00:19:45.980I need you to look them in the eye and tell them you're failing, do better.
00:19:52.280Like, like, cause that's the political, that's the political situation that you're telling me is going to occur.
00:19:58.140Is that you're going to like, look like the representative, you know, the collective representative of these communities in the eye and be like, don't suck.
00:20:04.980And then go back to like running a meritocratic society.
00:20:08.260And they just won't notice if all the people of color disappear from Harvard and the New York times and all these institutions where they've been installed by the civil rights act.
00:20:17.400And I'm just not buying that outcome, man.
00:20:22.840I'm the type of radical, uh, insane, immoral monster who thinks that most people are.
00:20:28.140They're just crying their best and, uh, and that's not going to fly.
00:20:31.840Um, I think, I think you, but, but I think you can characterize the sort of right approach to this situation and the wrong approach to the situation in terms of like good Rufo and evil Rufo.
00:20:42.740So, uh, uh, uh, yeah, evil Rufo is like, let's, let's civil rights harder and let's, um, let's tell, let's tell the public school teachers who are overwhelmingly, uh, left wing by political affiliation.
00:20:55.840Let's tell them they're not allowed to do critical race theory.
00:20:58.720Let's tell them they're not allowed to say gay, uh, uh, during classroom instruction.
00:21:02.940And, and one of the things you notice is they'll be like, well, this placard is not a flag.
00:21:07.160And so I can have an LGBT placard if it's not a flag.
00:21:10.960Like these are postmodernists, like getting around, like the rules is what they dislike the water they swim in.
00:21:18.120They know exactly how to do that all day long.