Zelenskyy Thrown Out of White House, Media Goes Insane | Guest: Mark Hemingway | 3⧸3⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 16 minutes
Words per Minute
192.99255
Summary
Mark Hemingway joins me to discuss the aftermath of President Trump's meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Oval Office, and the media's reaction to it. He also talks about why the meeting was so controversial, and how it was handled by the mainstream media.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
We hope you're enjoying your Air Canada flight.
00:00:10.720
Fast-free Wi-Fi means I can make dinner reservations before we land.
00:00:25.260
Wi-Fi available to Airplane members on Equipped Flight.
00:00:33.680
I've got a great stream with a great guest that I think you're really going to enjoy.
00:00:38.120
A lot of people have mixed feelings about the war in Ukraine.
00:00:41.880
Obviously, no one wants to see another nation invaded in a hostile fashion,
00:00:46.940
but there were many things that led up to this geopolitical situation.
00:00:52.080
And however you feel about who started it or who's in the right,
00:00:55.540
the one thing that's clear is that the war has more or less proceeded
00:00:59.460
only because the United States and the larger Western world have been funding it.
00:01:08.380
Many people were excited about Trump bringing this conflict to an end,
00:01:14.260
and he sat down with Vladimir Zelensky in the hopes that ultimately the two nations could figure out how to move forward together.
00:01:22.040
Ultimately, that negotiation broke down and Zelensky was more or less escorted out of the White House
00:01:28.300
before anything could finally be drawn together.
00:01:32.100
Joining me to talk about this and the reaction to it is Mark Hemingway.
00:01:36.020
He's written for basically everyone in Washington, D.C.,
00:01:53.280
You had the rules-based international order is over.
00:01:57.960
It's now the alliance of the dictator against the United States and Russia against the rest of the world.
00:02:04.060
All of these different Commonwealth countries doubling, tripling down on their commitment to Ukraine.
00:02:12.640
can you give people an idea of kind of what the context of the meeting was,
00:02:20.300
Well, I think everybody was kind of surprised by the result,
00:02:23.160
but we can get to sort of why that is to begin with.
00:02:26.620
I mean, look, obviously, we have to go back quite a ways to sort of understand the context of this.
00:02:34.140
I mean, you really have to go back 30 years since the end of the Cold War
00:02:39.880
There's a lot involving just basic geography in terms of how many countries surrounding the Black Sea
00:02:47.320
That number has changed significantly since the fall of the Cold War
00:02:52.040
And obviously, they're very paranoid about what may or may not be happening to Ukraine.
00:02:56.060
But, you know, obviously, there's this, you know, liberal internationalist.
00:03:00.840
I don't like the word neocon for lots of reasons.
00:03:05.340
Maybe I'm going to have something to do with the fact that I'm a Weekly Standard alumnus.
00:03:08.800
But, you know, there are certainly things within that realm that there was kind of a hive mind attitude
00:03:13.300
toward Ukraine and our posture toward anything resembling Russian aggression
00:03:21.620
But what is interesting is that, you know, how much of that has the calculus has just sort of, you know,
00:03:31.300
My friend Dave Reboy has this, you know, basically made the observation that at least, you know,
00:03:36.140
liberal Democrats in America don't have any foreign enemies.
00:03:39.780
They have domestic enemies that they project on the foreigners in terms of, you know,
00:03:44.060
whatever that impact, you know, taking a position on a foreign policy issue is going to have
00:03:53.140
Obviously, you know, Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014 under Barack Obama.
00:03:59.980
You know, Barack Obama was, you know, prior to that was trying to, like, you remember,
00:04:04.580
Hillary Clinton was there with the Russian ambassador and the famous reset button trying
00:04:08.800
to cozy up to Russia prior to that and make nice with them.
00:04:12.520
You know, Obama refused to give Ukraine lethal aid, you know, because he didn't want to
00:04:20.300
Trump, again, inherited that mess following Obama.
00:04:23.880
And despite what anyone says about Trump's, you know, talk about Putin, you know, where he tried to,
00:04:29.160
you know, not entirely antagonize Putin on the world stage, he was actually aggressively
00:04:40.300
He flooded Europe with liquid natural gas exports to hurt, you know, the Russian energy
00:04:47.900
You know, he did lots of very direct things behind the scenes.
00:04:51.200
I mean, there was actual action toward, you know, containing Russia under Trump, whereas the
00:04:57.040
rhetoric was softer, whereas, you know, everything else we saw under Obama and then what we saw
00:05:00.940
under Biden in a lot of ways was the inverse, where you have really tough talk about, you
00:05:06.740
know, Russian aggression and then they don't back it up.
00:05:09.040
Even after Russia invaded the Ukraine under Biden, you know, Biden, what did Biden do?
00:05:16.260
He stopped liquid natural gas exports to Europe for, you know, stupid domestic environmental
00:05:21.020
He told Ukraine not to attack Russian oil refineries because he was worried about the price of gas
00:05:27.340
At every turn, they have not been nearly as, you know, committed to this as their talk would
00:05:34.840
Whereas, you know, Trump campaigned on getting a peace deal and everybody was, you know, wondering
00:05:41.000
And that was, you know, what it was like, you know, coming into that meeting.
00:05:44.260
I mean, as it turns out, Trump is very serious about getting a peace deal.
00:05:48.600
And it seems like Zelensky is very serious about trying to find ways to get America to
00:05:54.580
commit deeper into this war than we already have.
00:05:58.740
And those two tensions are fundamentally at odds.
00:06:01.440
And it's a real acid test right now to look at that situation and blame Trump.
00:06:10.000
Again, it goes back to what I was saying about, you know, projecting your domestic political
00:06:15.120
But, you know, I know, talk to a lot of pro-Ukraine types, mostly on the right, of which there
00:06:23.200
And I was sort of pleasantly surprised near universal agreement that Zelensky was the one
00:06:30.020
And everyone's tearing their hair out about it.
00:06:32.520
But, you know, but it's just something that we have got to sort of, you know, wrap our head
00:06:38.420
And at the end of the day, look, there have been over a million casualties in a war involving
00:06:44.120
Europe is very ill-equipped to deal with this militarily.
00:06:47.420
And they're, you know, depending on American power projection for their own safety.
00:06:52.660
Now, in that situation, is the answer to find ways to get the U.S. more mired in this?
00:06:59.480
Or should we be trying to find ways to end this conflict?
00:07:02.160
And I think, you know, Americans and even Europeans agree we need to end this conflict sooner
00:07:09.100
It's just that there's this European leaders and there's this internationalist, globalist,
00:07:13.620
you know, influence out there that seems to think that, you know, war and perpetuity with
00:07:21.740
Like you said, you may not be a big fan of the neocon label.
00:07:25.300
And at this point, it's been through so many iterations that it's difficult to nail down
00:07:29.320
what people mean, even when they're throwing it around.
00:07:31.680
But I guess we could just say kind of the idea of the global international order is one that
00:07:38.100
has cemented itself in permanent Washington and pretty much every other elite class in
00:07:46.640
No matter how you feel about these facts, the United States more or less conquer the world
00:07:51.740
after World War Two and a large amount of Europe, whether due to pressure from the United States
00:07:58.080
or their own industrial, military and economic scenarios, really gave all of their power and
00:08:06.560
most of their imperial outposts and these things to the United States.
00:08:09.700
And in a lot of ways, the torch of Western civilization was handed off to the U.S.
00:08:14.960
And that has meant that for a very long time, you were setting up this Cold War scenario.
00:08:20.500
You were referencing the way in which these different blocks have had to interact with
00:08:25.080
You were in NATO or you were in the Warsaw Pact.
00:08:28.920
These two things only existed more or less to get rid of each other.
00:08:33.060
And so ultimately, you have the victorious NATO.
00:08:39.140
I'm, of course, very glad that the Soviet Union fell.
00:08:42.000
It was one of the most evil things to ever exist in human history.
00:08:46.120
However, the assumption after this was kind of the end of history narrative, right?
00:08:51.580
The Fukuyama narrative that the United States and the wider Western liberal democracy coalition
00:09:02.920
But, you know, ultimately, no other nation would have any sphere of influence.
00:09:06.780
There are no legitimate political concerns outside of kind of the rule based international
00:09:13.840
And so even in this scenario, as you're discussing, where Zelensky is very obviously entirely dependent
00:09:20.340
on the United States and the West for his military involvement, he walks in and kind of
00:09:26.960
expects to be able to dictate or at the very least to have a strong hand of kind of if I get
00:09:31.600
in front of the media, I can more or less lobby Trump into what I want him to do.
00:09:36.880
Definitely kind of that kind of feel to the meaning.
00:09:40.140
And it just seems very delusional that no one has kind of updated this understanding that,
00:09:51.100
There's going to be different international paradigms.
00:09:56.420
And ultimately, you have to deal with the fact that you're not going to be able to sustain
00:10:03.100
There are only so many Ukrainian men you can send into the Russian meat grinder.
00:10:07.520
And while I don't think this war has been, you know, the giant win for Russia that some
00:10:12.680
people would like to pretend that it has, ultimately, it's pretty clear who would win this one if
00:10:21.040
And that's a really key point and one I think that people are missing.
00:10:23.020
The issue here is not a matter of weaponry or, you know, aid that can be given to Ukraine.
00:10:31.700
If this is a war of attrition, Russia is a much larger country and it's simply just going
00:10:36.200
You know, historically, if you know anything about Russia, they do not care about throwing
00:10:40.820
In fact, that's how they've won, you know, most of their conflicts.
00:10:45.200
As much as we Americans want to take pride in D-Day and all the other wonderful things our
00:10:48.720
soldiers did, the reality was, is that the Russians just kept throwing bodies at the
00:10:52.600
Eastern Front until they overwhelmed the Nazis in a particularly horrific fashion, I might
00:10:58.100
And the Russian philosophy toward this hasn't exactly changed a lot, even though the USSR is
00:11:09.720
So the only real way you're going to win this war if you're Ukraine is if you, you know, use,
00:11:16.880
you know, Western military technology in such an overwhelming way that you, you know, attack
00:11:22.920
Russia on such a level that it's going, that you could trigger World War Three and all of
00:11:28.080
a sudden Russia's deploying tactical nukes in Kiev.
00:11:31.220
Or you come to some sort of negotiated settlement.
00:11:34.200
And I don't know why for, I mean, and I get the psychological and physical toll that this war has
00:11:43.180
I mean, it's truly horrific, you know, Russia's kidnapped children, all these things that have
00:11:47.760
But the reality is that there have been over a million casualties in this war and it's got
00:11:53.500
to end sooner rather than later, simply because Ukraine does not have the men.
00:11:59.220
I mean, J.D. Vance, you know, referenced that in the meeting where he talked about, you know,
00:12:04.180
how, you know, they conscript people for the Ukrainian army by going and kidnapping people
00:12:10.200
You know, this is a political reality that I think the rest of us see clearly.
00:12:14.060
And Zelensky himself is not really in, is so invested in this, he can't see the forest
00:12:20.300
And it's, you know, on some level, it's admirable.
00:12:25.040
On the other hand, you know, history is, you know, littered with examples of the
00:12:29.220
true blue patriots, you know, going to extremes, going to suicidal extremes.
00:12:33.760
And I do worry that that's what we're dealing with here.
00:12:36.880
Like one thing, again, you know, we're so inundated with this narrative that Trump is
00:12:40.940
this complete and total pro-Putin madman that people just don't understand who Zelensky
00:12:46.160
I mean, he has a history of blowing up meetings and problems and creating problems with
00:12:52.360
In 2023, he blew up at a NATO conference and like caused all kinds of problems that he had
00:12:57.540
to like walk back or whatever, basically because he can't control his emotions doing this stuff.
00:13:01.540
There was a big report a year or two ago where on a phone call with Biden, he was so ungrateful
00:13:08.640
and awful that Biden started reading him the riot act, you know, for being way too demanding
00:13:13.660
Biden, you know, I, you know, it really is an issue here where I think that people are
00:13:20.840
unable to see clearly, you know, just looking at the strategic incentives, just looking at
00:13:26.060
what was said in the meeting, just read a freaking transcript.
00:13:29.800
And, you know, coming to the conclusion that, you know, what Zelensky did was, was, was wrong
00:13:36.160
and it was not in the best interest of his nation.
00:13:38.460
I mean, you know, Trump is still trying to give Zelensky outs, you know, he's still,
00:13:43.540
you know, been issuing statements about, you know, we want peace, you know, we, you know,
00:13:46.860
that he, you know, it's on some level, everybody still wants to see this mineral deal go through.
00:13:52.500
And, and that in and of itself should be something of a security guarantee.
00:13:55.920
Like, like, you know, Trump is trying to find a way to end this conflict without that,
00:14:00.640
and, and, and the way that they're trying to end it is by the way, getting the U.S.
00:14:04.360
economically invested in the country, um, in a way that is going to hold us to account
00:14:13.380
Now, uh, that may not be enough of a security guarantee of, say, having boots on the ground
00:14:17.920
or whatever Zelensky wants, but, you know, Trump is trying to compromise with him and
00:14:23.880
It just, as, you know, as, as Trump said, you know, Zelensky's not holding any cards and
00:14:28.160
Um, and it's just so frustrating that we have such a brain dead foreign policy class
00:14:33.980
in this, you know, country that, uh, nobody is just seeing clearly and thinking clearly
00:14:39.420
about, you know, the incentives and, and, and what, you know, their respective motives are
00:14:44.820
How much of this do you think, or at least how much of Zelensky's attitude is a product
00:14:50.720
of, you know, him, at least to some extent, being a comedian and a comedic actor who's
00:14:57.440
installed by, by a CIA color revolution, right?
00:15:01.320
Like this is, I mean, this guy is, you know, maybe he cares.
00:15:07.440
I don't know how deeply he cares about his country.
00:15:10.360
Like, I, I'm not going to speculate on how, how sincere all of this is, but I will say
00:15:16.420
that the fact that he was, he, he has had kind of this Hollywood backing, right?
00:15:22.700
He making speeches to award conferences and, you know, he's been brought around like some
00:15:30.160
kind of mascot and, you know, has, has been shaking hands with all these actors and everything.
00:15:35.540
He has had the support of the global international order.
00:15:39.440
It's been assumed that the elites behind it completely backed him.
00:15:42.620
And all of a sudden the key actor in that seems to have switched, you know, uh, approaches,
00:15:48.880
Trump is not, no longer negotiating on behalf of that order.
00:15:52.900
He seems to be negotiating on a half of the United States.
00:15:55.360
And there's a lot of signal lag, I think for Zelensky on what level of support he really
00:15:59.980
has once the United States decides that it's not playing with that toy anymore.
00:16:04.080
So yeah, you're, you're really getting at something.
00:16:06.020
I think it's really important in really defining this conflict and, and, uh, in good and bad
00:16:10.060
ways, um, what I don't think Zelensky and European, European leaders have grasped is
00:16:16.260
that after, you know, you know, gosh, 10 years of really divisive, controversial politics
00:16:23.060
in this country, Trump finally did something in the last election that it was a long time
00:16:27.900
in the making, which is he completely broke America's sort of, you know, elite media.
00:16:34.200
Um, and the New York times and the Washington post and all the rest have literally no ability
00:16:41.020
to, to make any sort of political consensus in America right now.
00:16:43.840
They just don't, you know, nobody in the Trump administration cares one whit what the New
00:16:50.000
That was not true in the first Trump administration.
00:16:52.220
The Bush administration was certainly leaking like a sieve whenever they could in the New
00:16:56.140
I mean, people used to really care about this sort of thing.
00:16:58.500
Um, that is not true in Europe, um, in addition to a sort of, you know, rabidly internationalist
00:17:05.580
continental press, you know, Lamont, um, you know, their Spiegel, you know, all the, you
00:17:10.060
know, all the other, you know, big European publications, um, being susceptible to sort of
00:17:15.020
elite opinion, the European leaders and Zelensky of course are reading, you know, America's elite
00:17:20.500
media in the New York times, trying to understand what, uh, our policymakers are thinking and what
00:17:25.620
motivates them and they're getting a completely bizarre and inaccurate picture of what's going
00:17:30.460
And I think that that is causing a lot of problems when it comes to sort of negotiations,
00:17:35.080
you know, that Zelensky might be believing his own press about how, you know, you know,
00:17:39.200
he's, you know, we had Adam Schiff calling him the real leader of the free world, not
00:17:47.400
I mean, if you, I hope you like America first foreign policy, cause that's how you get
00:17:50.160
America first foreign policy saying things like that, you know, Vogue is still doing photo
00:17:59.080
Um, you know, whereas Trump is simply looking at polls and there's a CNN poll that came out
00:18:03.240
today, basically, you know, you know, vindicating that I think, you know, it's, it's not, you
00:18:07.180
know, huge advantage for Trump, something like Trump has a plus two approval rating on how
00:18:11.420
he's handling Ukraine, but you compare that to a minus 22 approval rating that Joe Biden
00:18:16.540
had, um, and you know, when he left office and you can see that the switch there is
00:18:28.440
And yet every time you open the pages of the New York times, it's Brett Steven with another,
00:18:33.280
you know, world war two analogy that's stretched beyond the pale, um, trying to tell us why
00:18:38.340
we need to, you know, throw, you know, hundreds of billions of dollars more at Ukraine.
00:18:42.300
Um, and, you know, prolong a conflict that is, you know, again, I'm going to say this again
00:18:52.620
Um, and why this is not like a five alarm fire in terms of, you know, people, you know,
00:18:58.000
looking at what that portends, if this conflict were to widen, I do not know, but the reality
00:19:03.300
is the priority needs to be ending the conflict.
00:19:06.220
And yet we're still in this place and it drives me crazy.
00:19:08.820
Like I heard you do this at the beginning of the podcast and I'm not singling you out.
00:19:13.900
You were like, and obviously it's bad because Russia did in fact, invade Ukraine.
00:19:18.700
Like we're all still doing this ritual malediction nonsense where every time we talk about Ukraine,
00:19:23.120
we're like, well, obviously Putin's bad and I'm not a Putin lover, but you know, before
00:19:27.720
we go on to make the case that this, you know, conflict should end, like, why can't it just
00:19:31.020
be a value that like, we should all agree that coming to a peace sooner rather than later
00:19:35.660
in a conflict with a nuclear power that's, you know, has a million casualties is the value
00:19:42.220
We don't need to like make excuses for wanting that.
00:19:47.960
And the only reason to go through, uh, you know, the, the, the preamble before even launching
00:19:52.980
into this is of course we have this really horrific addiction to political, uh, influence
00:20:03.120
Every person has to have the correct political opinion as if you, you know, any political conflict
00:20:09.840
could be, uh, resolved or decided by picking one of 350 million people out of a pile.
00:20:16.620
And the, you know, if you had the correct, uh, solution, we would have solved it, but because
00:20:21.220
you didn't lose faith, you know, Tinkerbell died, right?
00:20:23.820
Like that's actually the way we treat politics in the United States.
00:20:27.420
So people, you know, Israel and Palestine and Russia and, and, and Ukraine, it's not enough
00:20:34.560
It's not enough to seek the end of these conflicts or more importantly, in my perspective, the
00:20:38.840
removal of the United States, the withdrawal of it to the extent that's even possible,
00:20:42.820
uh, from these conflicts, uh, primarily before anything else, peace would be nice, but more
00:20:48.840
than anything, I just like to not to be involved.
00:20:51.260
Uh, I, I have this understanding that conflicts are going to occur that actually it's not the
00:20:56.480
United States's job to be the world police and ensure world peace at every moment and
00:21:01.540
to financially entangle itself or militarily entangle itself with foreign nations in the
00:21:06.260
hopes that ultimately that creates some kind of human shield of our own troops between them
00:21:12.740
But ultimately the reason that we do again, like you said, this whole preamble is that if
00:21:18.420
you don't do that, then of course, the minute you point out that maybe peace is preferable
00:21:23.580
to thermonuclear war, the answer is, oh, well then you're, you love Putin, you love
00:21:28.140
Palestine, you're, you must be pro, you know, uh, genocide of one type or another.
00:21:35.860
There is no, you know, we get the label of isolationist, but of course it has nothing to
00:21:40.760
do with isolation and it has everything to do with just rational foreign policy.
00:21:48.300
You know, the one that is supposed to be operating in the interests of my people.
00:21:52.640
A lot of people screaming, Donald Trump isn't acting like the leader of the free world.
00:21:57.200
Well, I didn't elect Donald Trump to be leader of the free world.
00:22:00.400
It's nice when other countries see when the United States is doing something good and want
00:22:05.320
But I elected Donald Trump to be the president of the United States and work for the good
00:22:11.400
And what's probably best for everyone, including the United States is a peace deal in which we
00:22:16.480
don't go to full on knock down, drag out war with people who can annihilate the population
00:22:22.520
But as you said, that is an offensive statement to many.
00:22:25.660
Something that's, you know, you're just Chamberlain.
00:22:33.280
Look, I am not, you know, I hate the term isolationist.
00:22:43.700
We share a lot of historic and cultural ties with them.
00:22:47.080
And it would be, you know, foolish to go in and, you know, cause all these problems.
00:22:51.140
But, you know, related to what you were saying, there's this thing that's been driving me
00:22:55.660
crazy, which is just this hypersensitivity to what foreign leaders are supposed to think
00:23:00.660
You know, you know, Keir Starmer or whatever has harsh words.
00:23:04.280
The chancellor of Germany doesn't like what's going on.
00:23:08.700
And the reason why is not because I don't care in the long run about what Germany thinks
00:23:15.020
of us or what the UK thinks of us or, you know, about, you know, the fact that we should
00:23:20.360
But the reason why I don't care is because they have not committed to the cause themselves.
00:23:27.480
Europe has, you know, collectively thrown a significant amount of money to Ukraine.
00:23:31.480
What's also true is since the war started, Europe has still spent more money on Russian
00:23:39.100
Right now, there are serious forces in Germany in domestic politics that want Germany to resume,
00:23:44.420
you know, taking Russian energy just like they used to because their economy is in bad
00:23:50.760
And it would be a lot cheaper for them to go back to taking, you know, Russian energy.
00:23:56.620
You know, there have been something like over $200 billion that the EU has seized in Russian
00:24:03.680
sanctions and frozen funds as a result of this conflict.
00:24:07.220
And yet they don't, they lack the will to seize those funds and give the money to Ukraine
00:24:17.560
They talk the talk and they, you know, it's easy.
00:24:20.480
They go out and they'll, you know, tut tut about Donald Trump and, and, you know, you
00:24:24.520
know, and do all this tough talking about, you know, Putin because they're not the one
00:24:28.940
that's ultimately going to have to broker the deal with him because that falls to Donald
00:24:34.040
So obviously if Donald Trump or one of his surrogates, like Tulsi Gabbard, you know, goes
00:24:38.980
on television and doesn't immediately call Vladimir Putin a thug and a war criminal when
00:24:44.300
they're asked about them, it's because they're trying to reach a peace agreement, right?
00:24:48.640
Not because they don't think that Putin isn't a thug and a war criminal.
00:24:52.680
Um, but you know what, sometimes, you know, you have to, you know, make peace with unpleasant
00:25:00.100
people in order to solve a larger conflict and stop more death.
00:25:04.040
I mean, last I checked, there's a memorial to FDR on the national mall and that guy gave
00:25:15.740
And I'm supposed to sit here and, you know, be told that Trump is some Putin appeaser because
00:25:21.220
he wants a negotiated settlement that might involve some ceding of territory to Russia.
00:25:26.160
Nevermind that this whole conflict is about control of the black sea in a warm water port
00:25:38.480
This is, you know, coming to an agreement to stop a war where there's been a million casualties.
00:25:43.860
And, you know, it's really great that the European leaders, you know, are able to, you know,
00:25:53.020
There's, you know, as much as they talk about, oh, well, we're going to have to like arm ourselves
00:25:56.800
and we're going to have to not no longer count on the U.S.
00:26:01.640
I mean, you know, look at NATO spending over the last 20 years.
00:26:04.660
You tell me how serious they are about defending themselves.
00:26:06.820
It's not like, you know, Putin became a thug overnight.
00:26:14.800
Well, there's a lot to get into there, but I guess let's start with the reaction to the meeting.
00:26:21.120
As you pointed out, everyone's drawing these World War II analogies, pretending, yeah,
00:26:25.800
forgetting the fact that part of the World War II story is ultimately that you brokered a peace
00:26:31.840
with Russia to create or a treaty with Russia to resolve a larger conflict.
00:26:36.960
But I guess that that's inconvenient to the current narrative.
00:26:40.600
You had a lot of people screaming the minute that Zelensky left the White House.
00:26:44.900
Oh, you know, Trump is just siding with Hitler or he's Chamberlain or he's both.
00:26:49.680
He's, you know, he's he's he's he exists simultaneously as both Hitler and Chamberlain.
00:26:55.480
They only have that, you know, two periods of history.
00:26:58.720
So Trump gets to be all of these people simultaneously.
00:27:00.840
A lot of the media and European leaders were attacking the character of Donald Trump and
00:27:09.160
J.D. Vance, particularly a lot of very revealing, you know, gross attacks on Vance, hoping he
00:27:15.920
died, hoping his mom that I have an overdose and like all these horrific things that, you
00:27:22.540
It's the hillbillies that are keeping us from winning this war somehow in Russia.
00:27:27.240
You know, you and your wife actually engaging in some pretty intense knife fights with some
00:27:36.300
I guess the the takeaway here is all of these events are supposed to be scripted, right?
00:27:48.460
We're already capitulating before anyone gets in the room.
00:27:51.820
Most people didn't expect an actual live fire exercise, right?
00:27:55.900
Like, oh, we're in a negotiation where negotiations are taking place.
00:28:00.860
And this triggered just an insane blowback from the media and from the wider global elite.
00:28:07.560
Yeah, I mean, part of what's going on here is that I think the Americans don't know.
00:28:13.760
Again, we don't know what to think about what's going on, particularly because Alinsky has
00:28:18.820
I mean, they offered them multiple chances to sign this agreement before.
00:28:27.120
And then Alinsky goes on to, like, try and, like, renegotiate the terms of a deal that
00:28:33.020
everyone thought was, you know, already agreed to in front of television cameras.
00:28:37.320
Like, I don't know, again, like I said, whether he was believing his own press in terms of,
00:28:41.080
like, he thought he had this, you know, this moral high ground over Trump or something
00:28:45.440
like that, or he could get, you know, Trump to blow up in front of the cameras or something
00:28:49.880
But, I mean, it just really, really just destroyed things.
00:28:55.640
And, you know, to be perfectly honest, I mean, it was a really interesting thing from the
00:29:00.060
perspective of, say, a political journalist or a historian or whatever, you know, you almost
00:29:05.220
never see, like, I'm sure world leaders yell at each other and get testy behind the scenes
00:29:12.820
It just rarely happens between in front of cameras.
00:29:15.700
And I think, honestly, the Trump people never wanted this to happen in front of the camera.
00:29:24.960
And he, you know, did a remarkable job keeping his cool and handling the situation, I thought,
00:29:29.660
you know, for a guy that supposedly does nothing but, you know, you know, watch the guerrilla
00:29:33.920
channel and be, you know, you know, angry all the time or whatever, you know, Trump is supposed
00:29:40.960
And I just think that we should have drawn a lot of really good lessons from this.
00:29:47.500
You know, again, just step back and look at, you know, who has what incentive here, who said
00:29:54.840
And we're again, we're just stuck in this, you know, loop where partisan politics and
00:30:00.540
everything else is just such a destructive force in terms of like, you know, coming to
00:30:05.620
And that's because, like I said, I keep coming back to this thing, like the highest value
00:30:10.380
here should be, you know, coming to some sort of peace deal that we think can last or that
00:30:20.900
And this, this has been, you know, going on for, for three years now, and it's been absolutely
00:30:26.460
Um, and you know, there are, and it's been horrific in ways that I don't even think we're
00:30:31.140
sort of, you know, beginning to wrap our heads around.
00:30:33.640
I mean, like all this footage of soldiers being killed by drones and there's just hundreds of
00:30:40.540
I mean, people talked about how awful it was that, you know, they had, you know, body bags
00:30:45.600
I mean, like we're, we're hyper drive on that stuff now.
00:30:49.140
Um, and I just, I feel like I'm taking crazy pills that, that the number one concern here
00:30:56.580
from all sides, whether you agree with what Trump is trying to do or not, isn't how can
00:31:02.080
Like I'm willing to have a conversation with someone that doesn't agree with me or someone
00:31:07.440
Well, if we give Ukraine more aid in this specific way, we can get to this point.
00:31:13.220
Maybe six months down the road where they'll be in a better position to negotiate and we
00:31:17.920
can get, you know, more from the Russians and, you know, the peace will be more lasting.
00:31:23.560
Like, I'm not like willing to say, Oh, we've got to get out of this now.
00:31:27.400
We've got to cut off all eight immediately, et cetera.
00:31:29.260
But in the absence of anyone doing anything other than just screaming Putin bad at the
00:31:36.460
top of their lungs, you know, and Trump bad at this, you know, um, it's, it's incredibly
00:31:44.120
Like, like, where are the serious people on the pro Ukraine side of this?
00:31:48.980
Um, I mean, I, there are some, like I said, I was pleasantly surprised all my, all my pro
00:31:54.920
Ukraine friends that are nominally on the right were very clear eyed about Zelensky screwing
00:31:59.420
up, you know, obviously, you know, people like Lindsey Graham, you know, to my much,
00:32:03.080
much, my delight have been very clear eyed about Zelensky being the problem here.
00:32:07.580
Um, but you still have a huge, huge number of people in the media and, and Democrats in
00:32:14.700
I mean, like you just, just stop like Chris Murphy's probably, you know, dreaming up another
00:32:18.980
insane conspiracy to blame Trump for all of this.
00:32:21.740
Um, but we, we've got to just, you know, get unified in this notion that, you know, ending
00:32:26.620
war is sooner rather than later is, is a good thing.
00:32:30.480
So you've always been picky about your produce, but now you find yourself checking every label
00:32:39.480
We always pick guaranteed fresh Canadian produce first.
00:32:48.380
The, uh, the approach here, uh, is particularly interesting when it comes to, uh, Lindsey Graham,
00:32:55.380
because when you've lost Lindsey Graham on this issue, you've lost, right?
00:33:01.580
But, but, but, but to be fair, you know, guys like he and McConnell have been pretty
00:33:06.520
upfront about what their wind condition is in Ukraine.
00:33:13.560
Like, like, you know, Mitch McConnell's like, it costs us pennies on the dollar to get Russians
00:33:20.800
And as long as it's pennies on the dollar to, to murder Russians and Ukrainians, we're going
00:33:26.200
Like, like he has not minced words on, on kind of this, that, that ultimately this is like
00:33:31.240
some kind of value proposition that as long as they're not shooting as explicitly at American
00:33:36.060
troops, we might as well burn every dollar we can to kind of, you know, wear down this
00:33:40.800
geopolitical enemies, but it's possible to be perfectly crass.
00:33:44.060
When this war launched the, you know, the straight up, you know, calculation, look, we're
00:33:51.160
We're going to destroy half of Russia's war machine.
00:33:53.800
And yeah, a lot of people die in the process, but that might be in the U S a strategic interest.
00:33:58.100
Like I, I, you know, it, like I said, it's crass.
00:34:01.200
I don't want to see any more death than necessary, et cetera.
00:34:03.500
But like, as, as a matter of real politic or whatever, and you think, or you think Russia
00:34:09.240
But that lasted about six months to a year, you know, and we're in year three of this
00:34:19.020
And I think what's going on here is the American people may realize they made a really big mistake
00:34:23.920
in Afghanistan, which is that we just trusted our leaders, you know you know, whatever you
00:34:31.940
want to say about the Iraq war sideshow and however bad that was the fact of the matter
00:34:36.760
is, is that Afghanistan was a staging ground, the Taliban are evil, and they did attack us
00:34:42.420
So we're just going to trust that our leaders are going to go over there and take care of
00:34:50.920
Um, you know, I think more, more American soldiers died in Afghanistan under Barack Obama
00:34:59.160
I mean, it was a complete ongoing goat rodeo where there was zero accountability.
00:35:05.940
I mean, you know, basically like, you know, you know what happened in the beginning of
00:35:09.740
I mean, um, you know, Marshall went around firing generals right and left until he got
00:35:14.440
to, you know, the, the guys that, that could win, you know, Patton, um, you know, uh, MacArthur,
00:35:20.980
um, you know, et cetera, until he, you know, you know, how many generals were fired in, in
00:35:26.400
What new McChrystal was relieved of command because he embarrassed Obama in the press, not
00:35:31.540
because he did a really crappy job of, you know, actually fighting the war.
00:35:34.660
You know, we, we won World War II with something like seven, four-star generals.
00:35:38.100
We had, you know, 44, you know, four-star generals currently.
00:35:43.660
Like the American people are looking at Ukraine and any potential involvement in that war and
00:35:49.560
are not going to say yes to anything at this point without having some sort of assurances.
00:35:57.380
Like Zelensky wants insurances and peace, you know, peace guarantees.
00:36:02.540
The American people want, you know, they want to know that their, their interests are taken
00:36:07.360
care of after what we, we've been subject to, um, you know, and the fact that Zelensky
00:36:16.860
And again, Trump is trying to find a way to give him a guarantee that he can take back to
00:36:22.120
the American people and, you know, and say, Hey, you know, yeah, I'm doing this thing for
00:36:27.220
Ukraine, but you know, don't worry, I got your back.
00:36:29.960
You know, we're not going to get mired in this.
00:36:31.820
We're going to, you know, we're going to get something out of this, but we're going
00:36:36.560
I, you know, he can sell that to the American people, but Zelensky doesn't want that.
00:36:40.560
He wants to find ways to trip up Trump, to find ways that he can set up trip wires to
00:36:47.440
get the U S more deeply involved in this conflict and, you know, prolong the war or whatever.
00:36:52.200
And, and how, you know, and, and whatever his, his goal is, I don't get it, but that's
00:36:58.360
And the American people aren't having any of it.
00:37:00.840
I mean, I just, you know, like I said, I mentioned the polling data and things like
00:37:03.660
I mean, people much favor, you know, Trump's approach.
00:37:08.640
I think, you know, it's, you know, there's a plus two approval rating in Ukraine.
00:37:11.600
It's not like he's got a huge mandate here, but they, they, they're, they still trust him
00:37:15.320
for being explicit about trying to end this conflict sooner rather than later, more than
00:37:19.360
the alternative, which is still, you know, the, the, the dominant voice in institutional
00:37:24.620
Washington, you know, fight this to the last man.
00:37:29.820
They're willing to help Ukraine, but they want to be told that there's a plan here and
00:37:34.020
no one on the, on the pro Ukraine side, hardly is making any effort to step up and be like,
00:37:38.980
Hey, here's what we can do, uh, with an eye toward ending this in six months, a year, whenever
00:37:45.940
Again, I feel like we're running on the fumes of the end of history narrative here.
00:37:50.820
You know, it's easy to sell the global American order when you're in the 1990s.
00:38:02.040
Uh, you can only really see everything going up from here.
00:38:04.760
You've got things like desert, desert storm, where you just like come in and bomb everything
00:38:11.080
Like it, you know, you just kind of, uh, get these amazing shock and awe victories.
00:38:14.840
That's what it feels like to have superior, uh, military technology.
00:38:18.700
But now we've hit several different limits simultaneously.
00:38:23.500
We're noticing that internally our politics is more divisive.
00:38:27.220
Uh, you know, wealth generation, uh, standard of living, uh, you know, uh, starting families
00:38:32.640
like all, uh, there's a lot of issues internally that we could really use the effort, the money,
00:38:37.560
all of these things, uh, to, to, to resolve simultaneously.
00:38:40.620
We're also finding that the kind of military force that can maintain this vast, uh, advantage
00:38:48.380
in military technology also has very specific weaknesses.
00:38:52.600
Uh, and, uh, you know, again, I, you know, grew up on military bases.
00:38:58.580
Lots of my friends are active in military, have nothing but the highest respect for the
00:39:05.140
But the structure, especially in its management, uh, is just not yielded victory.
00:39:09.960
It's very clear that we have, uh, an advantage when it comes to, uh, technology and logistics.
00:39:15.560
Uh, but, you know, particularly in, in our will to fight, uh, long-term, like we simply
00:39:22.040
And if you're going to maintain a global empire and a rules-based international order, you can't
00:39:26.780
shy away from these kinds of checks or these kinds of challenges to your power.
00:39:31.660
And I think ultimately, uh, the answer is that you probably just don't have the interest
00:39:36.880
in the United States projecting its will into every third world country that's willing
00:39:41.000
to pick up AK-47s or even fly some cheap drones into your troops.
00:39:46.020
And ultimately you have to start making decisions about whether you think that this is, uh, you
00:39:52.700
Is this really worth expending our blood and treasure for these kinds of things?
00:39:55.900
And I think those are the calculations that people are ultimately making in this scenario.
00:40:00.380
Well, look, and again, this speaks to one reason why we need peace or, you know, sooner
00:40:07.240
And the reason why is like, look, even if you accept the fact that you don't trust that
00:40:11.060
Russia may not invade Ukraine again, and you know, five years or two years or whatever,
00:40:16.620
the reality is, is that this conflict has been extremely draining on everybody's resources.
00:40:22.300
Um, you know, and we need time to rearm and rebuild.
00:40:26.180
Um, and you know, Europe keeps talking about it.
00:40:29.860
Well, gosh, this threat has been so bad and it's right on our doorstep.
00:40:33.980
And, and we, you know, America has shown that, uh, um, they're not going to have our back.
00:40:38.360
Well, then if they really believe that they should want peace because that will buy them
00:40:42.460
some time to spend some money and get their armies up to snuff if they can't count on us.
00:40:47.140
But right now, if Western Europe wants to go to war in Ukraine, they can't do it without us.
00:40:53.740
Um, so everybody needs time, you know, a lot of what we're doing right now is we're trying to,
00:40:59.120
you know, um, fix our sclerotic military or whatever.
00:41:04.680
We have to reorient, you know, toward the Pacific with all the threat that China poses.
00:41:08.660
You know, our shipbuilding capacity compared to China is horrific.
00:41:12.240
You know, we've got to deal with all these things or whatever.
00:41:14.660
So we need some time to catch a breath and rearm.
00:41:17.900
You're betting that you're going to do a better job rearming than Russia is in the next,
00:41:20.920
you know, however many, you know, years before the next time we have to confront Russia,
00:41:26.080
But I'd say that's a good bet at this point in time.
00:41:29.400
Um, you know, so again, even if you think that you can't count on the U S you know,
00:41:34.220
from a strategic standpoint, you should want to, you know, rearm.
00:41:38.420
And as for the other question of whether or not Western Europe can rely on us and all this talk
00:41:43.040
about it, I, I mean, this is again, just incredibly frustrating.
00:41:47.640
Um, I mean, aside from the fact that I have my own issues with, um, Western Europe right
00:41:55.140
now, like there's someone, someone, you know, joke that, you know, if we don't protect, uh,
00:41:59.840
um, Europe from Russia, it'll become a totalitarian state where they arrest people for social medias
00:42:06.180
I mean, um, part of the reason, part of the problem, you know, Western Europe, you're having
00:42:10.960
trouble arming itself and maintaining standing armies is like the governments of their own
00:42:15.480
societies don't, don't have faith in their own people in their own civilization and feel
00:42:22.060
Um, so, uh, and, and then finally, just as a matter of real politic, um, you really think
00:42:29.980
that, you know, you're going to sever military ties, you know, with, with America and you're
00:42:38.840
You think that's, what's going to happen after all our history, nevermind our economic incentives
00:42:42.900
and everything else to be the security guarantor of Europe.
00:42:45.460
Maybe it won't be that at the same level it had been, maybe we'll have to make some realignments
00:42:50.020
because we've got to fight China, which is another issue, which is a security guarantee
00:42:54.000
You know, if, if, you know, if you're not, if the U S isn't leading a global international
00:42:57.940
order, does Europe really want China being the one to do that in the absence of our
00:43:02.760
submarines patrolling the, the, the fjords in Norway, do they want Russian submarines
00:43:08.260
I mean, really, that's, you're going to tell me like Donald Trump is handling the things
00:43:12.060
is so scary and so bad that you're going to roll the dice on creating a power vacuum
00:43:17.660
and not having, uh, um, the U S there as your guarantor.
00:43:21.500
Um, you know, I, it's, it's, it's preposterous at the end of the day.
00:43:25.580
Um, look, I, I, I, I understand that tempers are hot and people, you know, you know, we
00:43:31.060
got to, I don't know, maybe have smooth over and have some diplomacy here that, uh, you
00:43:37.420
And I think that will come over time, but the, the irresponsible rhetoric in the meantime
00:43:43.120
Um, and I'm going to say what you want about Trump.
00:43:45.540
I mean, I don't think he's been nearly as bad as some of these European leaders in terms
00:43:52.300
No, the, yeah, I was just in, uh, uh, London for, uh, this arc conference and the mood from
00:44:00.860
pretty much everyone that I spoke to from, you know, UK, Germany, uh, you know, a number
00:44:06.140
of these, uh, countries was, yeah, we, who would ever die for the, who would ever fight and
00:44:12.580
die for the politicians that are currently arresting our, uh, fathers and sons for trying to protect
00:44:22.020
Are you going to go, you're going to go fight in Ukraine for a government that won't currently
00:44:30.840
Like you're, you know, I know, uh, people I was talking to in Germany.
00:44:34.200
Oh, well, we oppose some of this stuff, but we're terrified to say a word because we think
00:44:38.440
the government's literally going to come for our children.
00:44:40.740
Like there are a lot of right-wing people who just won't say anything because they're
00:44:44.440
very terrified that the state is going to come for them.
00:44:50.380
So, you know, the, the idea of, you know, the, as they lecture you about our shared values,
00:44:55.080
our shared values, which value would that be, uh, the, the enabling of industrial scale
00:45:00.360
rape of, you know, uh, uh, women in your country, uh, the jailing of men who try to stop it, uh,
00:45:06.400
the intimidation and jailing of people who complain about that policy on social media.
00:45:11.060
I mean, which shared value are we ultimately protecting against the evil Vladimir Putin?
00:45:17.180
I I'm running out of ones where you and he don't seem to overlap on pretty much everything,
00:45:21.700
but who should be patrolling a particular straight that said, you know, you mentioned
00:45:29.520
A lot of people have speculated that ultimately Trump is attempting to retriangulate and bring,
00:45:34.600
uh, some kind of pressure with Russia against China that ultimately that's his goals to
00:45:38.860
redirect focus there and, and, uh, you know, use that, uh, shared interest to beat back,
00:45:44.100
uh, that, that advancing, uh, geopolitical power.
00:45:50.040
Or ultimately, are you just trading one problem for another?
00:45:54.140
That's a, that's a, that's a really good question.
00:45:56.220
I mean, obviously, I mean, it was a cold war masterstroke, you know, that Nixon was able
00:46:04.760
And now we're kind of trying to do that in reverse.
00:46:07.060
Um, you know, Russia has lots of natural reasons to be, um, suspect of China.
00:46:14.380
Um, you know, they share some borders and China's made a lot of incursions in their territories
00:46:20.700
Um, China certainly has eyes on, you know, the vast resources that Russia has.
00:46:26.200
Um, and I don't think the Russian people are natural allies of China, but the way that
00:46:33.900
we've, we've, we've handled this war, we pushed Russia and China closer together.
00:46:39.300
So, you know, if we ever got to a point where Russia was just, you know, giving China free,
00:46:46.760
you know, rain at its resources and profiting off of that, it would be very, very, very,
00:46:52.460
And that is probably a much bigger threat than whatever happens to Ukraine, um, in the grand
00:47:00.500
Um, it's not to say that Ukraine isn't important.
00:47:04.520
And, you know, we, I think we can walk and chew gum at the same time in terms of, you
00:47:08.160
know, protecting more than one interest at once.
00:47:10.340
But that, that has to be a consideration, you know, you'd be an idiot, you know, if you
00:47:15.080
didn't look at this situation and say, you know, not only do we, you know, have to find
00:47:19.060
a way to end this war, we also need to be thinking long-term about, you know, finding
00:47:23.560
ways to, you know, leverage Russia against China.
00:47:26.740
I mean, like I said, this is what the Obama administration was trying to do.
00:47:33.800
Remember the 1980s called, they want their foreign policy back.
00:47:36.520
I mean, the, you know, the Obama thought they were, the Obama people thought they were being
00:47:43.820
Um, on some level they were, um, they were always way too Pollyanna-ish about their approach
00:47:50.780
And they, the pendulum has swung so far the other way that they treat Putin like this,
00:47:54.940
you know, complete maniac who doesn't have, you know, who will never behave rationally,
00:47:59.160
which is, I don't think, you know, the, the way to, to view Putin.
00:48:04.480
Yes, he's a bad guy and a thug, but he will respond to rational incentives diplomatically
00:48:09.480
and otherwise, and he should be treated as such.
00:48:11.880
So, yeah, I mean, that is a huge, huge problem that we have to deal with.
00:48:15.940
And it's a side effect of the ongoing conflict.
00:48:18.860
Um, and everybody needs to be a hundred percent, 10% clear that the biggest threat right now
00:48:28.580
It's just that, you know, when we, you know, nobody, if you actually care about the safety
00:48:32.580
and security of your children, you should, you know, be concerned about China, uh, as
00:48:40.040
Well, Mark, we've started to stack up a number of questions from the audience here.
00:48:47.160
Well, before we head over there, is there anything that we didn't touch on or anything
00:48:57.100
I, for a variety of ways, a variety of reasons I won't go into right now, but I've been a
00:49:00.480
bit of a cave for the last month or two, some international travel and helping my wife
00:49:06.360
So, um, no, as a matter of fact, just, you know, realclearpolitics.com and thefederalist.com.
00:49:14.520
All right, guys, let's head over to the questions of the people real quick.
00:49:18.240
Uh, Bram Zwingel says it's always 1938 to these sorts.
00:49:23.340
Yeah, this is unfortunately one of the problems, uh, of only teaching basically two periods in
00:49:32.280
And so every, everybody has to fit into particular archetypes from exactly this one period.
00:49:38.760
Uh, I don't think like, as we've said, we'll do this one more time.
00:49:48.120
Vladimir Putin is close to, you know, the kind of bad guy that has run most large countries
00:49:54.620
Uh, and that's just a thing that I think most people kind of need to come to grips with.
00:49:58.600
And let me just say what I hate, particularly about the over-reliance on World War II analogies.
00:50:03.760
That is the last point in history that the American left will concede that America was
00:50:10.820
And even then they kind of regard it as an anomaly because, you know, Jim Crow, you know,
00:50:14.940
extended another, you know, 25, 25 plus years or whatever, um, 26 years.
00:50:26.480
I happen to believe that America has been a force for good.
00:50:30.180
Um, you know, it's done some, some very bad things too, but, but on the whole, I don't
00:50:35.300
think any other quote unquote country or empire or however you want to view it has been as
00:50:39.840
force a good for the overall world than America has since its inception.
00:50:44.340
And so the idea that we're just going to focus on this one point is true.
00:50:48.680
It might've been America's finest hour in a lot of ways, but there've been plenty of
00:50:55.280
You're not going to tell me that my dad didn't go over there.
00:50:57.980
And as badly as he botched that war and everything else, it doesn't change the fact that America
00:51:02.680
still fought, you know, bravely to maintain, you know, order against, you know, soul destroying
00:51:09.260
communists that had killed a hundred million people in the last century.
00:51:12.880
You know, even, even as a gray conflict as Vietnam, America was still on balance, good
00:51:20.140
And I hate that the only time that America can see the only, the only place that everyone
00:51:27.160
can agree that America was good was from 1941 to 1945.
00:51:32.200
I mean, it's just stupid and it's reductive and I'm tired of it.
00:51:35.640
I also get very confused with these analogies because it's always like, well, as you know,
00:51:39.340
as soon as he defeats Ukraine, he's just going for the rest of Western Europe.
00:51:43.860
And it's like, guys, can you explain to me, is Vladimir Putin losing a war against Ukraine
00:51:49.560
and he's only a few months away from defeat or is he going to be marching all the way to
00:52:02.560
He, he, he's, you know, what one more shipment of weapons away from complete annihilation
00:52:07.980
and also one more, uh, you know, uh, shipment of weapons away from just completely running
00:52:16.100
This goes back to what I was saying about treating Putin.
00:52:21.900
Look at a freaking map that Ukraine has a very specific strategic interest for Russia.
00:52:36.060
Nevermind the, the cost and the, all the problems associated with them going on to invade
00:52:42.840
Like, like it's insane to contemplate given the losses they've suffered just in Ukraine,
00:52:48.540
but Ukraine, they have a specific interest that everybody can understand why, but, but
00:52:54.180
And I think the larger problem is this, this, uh, complete rejection of the idea that international
00:53:04.160
Like they're either evil and want to conquer the world or they're on our side and there's
00:53:11.300
There's no understanding that there are spheres of influence, international relations, like Samuel
00:53:16.940
Huntington was just way more right than most people, though.
00:53:19.740
He did get the idea that they wouldn't go into Ukraine wrong in his predictions.
00:53:23.180
But the point being is ultimately that this understanding that you are going to have world
00:53:28.240
actors, they are going to try to project power is just thrown to the trash because everyone
00:53:35.780
If they, you know, if, uh, we, uh, one country doesn't join NATO, it's, it's just absolutely
00:53:41.820
But like you said, you know, no, no, no one's going to look at a map.
00:53:45.840
He's Hitler to, you know, gin up your, uh, necessary support.
00:53:51.960
Alexandra here says, I just wrote an open letter to my boss, calling him an idiot and demanding
00:54:01.360
Again, I just don't think that Zelensky understood.
00:54:04.520
He thought that the media was in charge in the room.
00:54:07.020
And in previous situations, he was probably right, but he just badly misunderstood that,
00:54:12.820
you know, what, what kind of scenario he was walking into the way in which, uh, the
00:54:19.140
I mean, I think there's something that very specifically understands the very specifically
00:54:30.640
You don't walk up to a guy from Queens and demand something from him.
00:54:34.840
Um, you know, that you are, that he's not getting anything returned for, just end of
00:54:41.500
Um, you know, nevermind that it was probably the, the correct calculus diplomatically and
00:54:45.640
otherwise, as much as we wish it hadn't transpired in front of cameras or whatever.
00:54:51.800
I mean, just the arrogance of it is, it's just absolutely, you know, crazy.
00:54:55.580
Um, I get that he's desperate and he's pleading and he's fighting for his country, but, you
00:55:00.740
know, uh, you know, fight, fight smarter, not, not, not, not louder.
00:55:07.740
Jeremy Kearns says no war is just that is waged for dominion and not for defense.
00:55:15.400
It seems we use Ukraine as a proxy for the PWC in the East.
00:55:23.900
Uh, we didn't get in, uh, we, we kind of discussed other things at length, so we didn't
00:55:27.920
get into the larger question of, um, kind of the global, uh, the global American empire
00:55:34.940
Uh, but I do think that ultimately the reason that this has been flagged as such a critical,
00:55:40.900
uh, conflict is kind of ultimately if one way or another, uh, this ends up, uh, you know,
00:55:47.180
a brokered peace deal and not just an unmitigated win for Ukraine and the larger NATO alliance,
00:55:53.000
uh, then there's some level of admission that there are other legitimate actors in the world.
00:55:58.540
And that's kind of not been our approach previously.
00:56:01.880
We have different opinions about the status of NATO, but ultimately I think there's just
00:56:06.740
a realization that has to come, uh, that you're just not going to infinitely project
00:56:12.220
Uh, and you know, you've got a bunch of countries like Europe and frankly, in many cases, Israel
00:56:17.500
that are writing checks that they just can't cash because they ultimately think that the
00:56:21.520
big brother is standing behind them, ready to pound the bully into the ground for them.
00:56:26.200
And that's just not going to be the case forever.
00:56:28.600
And these guys need to be able to adjust accordingly.
00:56:31.800
So I will say that like an immediate aftermath of the fall of the Soviet union.
00:56:35.940
I mean, obviously there was a whole scramble to establish sort of a new international
00:56:42.900
And I think immediately, uh, following that, uh, the George HW Bush Bush people were mostly
00:56:49.200
responsible, did a pretty good job, you know, given the cards that they, they were, they
00:56:53.760
were dealt, but beyond the immediate sort of reaction to it, um, we had a lot of like things
00:57:00.760
happen that had, we had a very intelligent and, you know, um, you know, um, American leadership
00:57:08.900
that the, you know, thought strategically, we could have, you know, secured global order
00:57:13.460
in a rational way for, you know, you know, a century or more.
00:57:20.220
Um, and Ukraine is obviously a casualty of that.
00:57:23.400
Like I said, you know, any idiot could have looked at a map and said, oh gosh, you know,
00:57:28.180
Russia's, you know, only warm water port, you know, is, you know, right there.
00:57:32.640
And, you know, it's, you know, it's, it's, you know, if, you know, and if, well, gosh,
00:57:37.660
if, you know, was we, we add, you know, Romania and the other countries or whatever, is it
00:57:42.480
That, that, that have access to the black sea, you know, to NATO, that's going to further
00:57:46.960
Like, like, no, it was just, it was just boiling a frog, you know, one decision after another
00:57:51.160
that, that, that, you know, I'm not saying that Russia's just in what they've done at
00:57:54.780
all, but, you know, certainly there were things where people weren't thinking strategically
00:57:58.140
about the consequences of it and we did not handle that well and, and consequently we
00:58:04.840
ended up with a war of, you know, territory and we should have thought more carefully about
00:58:12.140
I think ultimately there were several people in the state department that wanted this,
00:58:16.340
that, that they were hoping to provoke a reaction like this, ultimately thinking that
00:58:21.540
they could pull the, you know, Mitch McConnell, grind them out to the last guy scenario.
00:58:26.940
So, you know, some of it was miscalculation, but some of it was, I think was just malicious
00:58:33.160
calculation and saying ultimately that this, you know, we, we should be able to crush this
00:58:39.640
We want to go ahead and provoke one again, you know, we, we can debate whether or not the,
00:58:44.660
the natural borders of the Russian empire lie exactly where they're currently being negotiated.
00:58:50.760
But yeah, the, the failure once again, to recognize that other actors, whether you want to give
00:58:55.700
them moral validation or not, we'll have a militarily realistic sphere of influence outside
00:59:02.380
of, you know, the, the borders you have ascribed to them.
00:59:05.280
The failure to grasp that I think is just going to continually lead you into situations like
00:59:11.920
Uh, philosophical thirstworm says the ethnic component is undeniable here too.
00:59:16.560
Zelensky doesn't care about the Ukrainian lives because that's not his tribe.
00:59:20.340
Ultimately, there's no real sense of stewardship here.
00:59:24.020
Again, I don't know if I can stare into the soul of Vladimir Zelensky.
00:59:28.720
Um, I don't know if I'd want to sit down and have dinner with the guy, but ultimately I'm
00:59:32.840
not going to try to judge whether or not his leadership is authentic.
00:59:37.300
If his care is authentic, what's clear is that a good number of Ukrainians do feel that
00:59:43.460
this was unjustified and do feel like they needed to, you know, fight against this.
00:59:47.920
Obviously now Ukraine is scraping the bottom of the barrel when it comes to recruitment,
00:59:53.640
So there are plenty of Ukrainians who felt like they did need to fight to protect a certain
00:59:58.980
Uh, you know, even though there are ethnic Russians ultimately in regions of the Ukraine who wish
01:00:04.320
to move over, uh, you know, and be under Russian rule.
01:00:08.040
Uh, so this is just, I think a classic conflict of interests.
01:00:13.000
You know, you, you have multiple people who ultimately see that they, uh, a part of a land
01:00:19.240
is in some way ancestral or, you know, they feel some tie to it and it comes down to who
01:00:24.060
can end up fighting over it and be victorious in the way that almost all war is when you actually
01:00:34.940
Um, but yeah, I mean, a big factor, a big factor in this conflict, it has been the fact
01:00:39.540
that there's a significant portion of ethnic Russians in Ukraine.
01:00:44.140
Um, and you know, that has, you know, scrambled a lot of the things that have happened and
01:00:48.400
been used as a justification in good and bad ways.
01:00:52.140
Um, uh, but, uh, yeah, I mean, this is just another reason though, why we need to be very
01:00:58.240
wary and very careful about getting involved in, you know, things like ethnic entanglements
01:01:03.740
Um, you know, that is like the biggest mess you can get in diplomatically and, and, uh,
01:01:09.900
militarily is to get in the middle of an ethnic conflict.
01:01:12.620
And, uh, I have no desire to, to, to do that unless strictly necessary.
01:01:18.300
There are actual neo-Nazis knocking around this country.
01:01:21.840
So, you know, you might want to consider that as you decide which, you know, again, it could
01:01:30.220
That's an option like that is a, that is actually the correct assumption for almost all conflicts.
01:01:35.700
Uh, that's, that's why you're supposed to be loyal to your nation, uh, and not, you
01:01:39.800
know, try to, try to guess which one in a foreign country happens to be the moral, uh, superior.
01:01:46.560
Alexandra says, uh, Europe is peddling two narratives.
01:01:49.500
Ukraine is a heroic nation, uh, resisting an invasion and nation, uh, the nation state is
01:01:54.740
fascist relic of a bygone era and resist at his, uh, resistant invasion is the worst thing
01:02:01.040
Once again, uh, blood and soil nationalism, just, man, it pops right up on the left.
01:02:05.140
The minute you get into the right conflict, it's amazing how that works.
01:02:08.600
Yeah, that, that, that's, that's, that's very true, but it goes back to what we were
01:02:12.020
saying also about like the reason why, you know, European countries don't have large standing
01:02:16.200
militaries is because they don't feel like their own country is worth fighting for in a lot
01:02:20.820
of ways. Um, a good measure of whether or not the health of your country is how many
01:02:25.400
young men are volunteering to serve in the military, like, like just going out of their
01:02:29.180
way to do it. Um, and, uh, clearly Europe values its welfare state more than having a standing
01:02:35.360
military. And, and I get that. I mean, I get that how that skews incentives and makes, you
01:02:40.840
know, things difficult politically once you've established that, but, uh, uh, it's, uh, it's
01:02:47.680
a real thing. I mean, you're, you know, Europe doesn't grasp that America still views its
01:02:52.520
itself, um, in, in much more sort of overtly patriotic, um, ways, uh, than, than they themselves
01:03:00.720
do. I mean, they, they see their own, you know, state as a, as a guarantee of their, you
01:03:07.080
know, health benefits or something, you know, whereas we see it as a, as a land of opportunity.
01:03:11.980
Yeah. And, you know, I, I made this point, uh, Elon Musk retweeted it and that got a lot
01:03:18.040
of Europeans very angry at me. And they were screaming, uh, uh, at me for making the same
01:03:22.520
point you did here. And a lot of them said, oh, well, ultimately the United States is the
01:03:26.960
one that created this, uh, scenario. They, they ensured that Western Europe didn't re, uh,
01:03:32.980
uh, uh, remilitarize and, uh, that we diverted ourselves into these welfare states and that we
01:03:38.800
opened our borders. And, you know, I, I think that's a over, uh, simplification in the interest
01:03:44.360
of trying to outsource a lot of your problems there. But ultimately, even if that's true,
01:03:48.060
you kind of have to go ahead and make a decision on, you know, whether you're going to do that or
01:03:53.880
not. At some point, it can't be the fault of foreign nations. Either you're going to recruit
01:03:58.140
and build a military of your own or you're not. Uh, and if you're not even willing to do that,
01:04:02.740
to be some level of contributor to NATO, the idea that you're going to do that so that you can turn
01:04:06.800
around and fight a war, uh, in, in Ukraine, uh, you know, fight a massive power like Russia. It
01:04:12.180
just, it seems like a joke. Yeah, no, I, I, I, yeah, I get that argument or whatever,
01:04:18.320
but it's also true that to the extent that we did defend Europe is because they had twice in the span
01:04:23.520
of, you know, 25 years or whatever, turned the entire continent into an abattoir. I mean, like
01:04:29.120
you guys kind of earned that and I'm sorry that, you know, the custodianship, you know, uh,
01:04:35.460
maybe isn't as, as good in working out in all the ways that you want, but that's your fault,
01:04:39.620
not ours. That's the Britney Spears. You know, you sign things over, you think you want them back.
01:04:44.620
Then all of a sudden you're, you know, posting nudes on Instagram and, uh, you know, dancing with
01:04:48.880
knives, you know? So, uh, I don't know, man, we've got to watch out. The French get weird. Uh,
01:04:53.860
Robert Weinsfeld says, uh, the only analogies allowed are world war II analogies and, uh, not what
01:05:00.560
actually happens in the 1930s or forties, just the 30 minute boomer, uh, history channel version
01:05:06.480
of world war II. Yeah. I mean, obviously we, we saw that from just kind of the response to Tucker
01:05:11.120
and, and Daryl and their discussion. Again, you can feel however you want about historical
01:05:15.440
revisionism, but the fact that that nerve is still so incredibly raw, uh, is so incredibly raw
01:05:20.900
shows the, the load bearing nature of those discussions and how important it is to kind of
01:05:25.180
make sure that there's a, even though we're referencing that historical period all the time,
01:05:28.560
we don't investigate it too closely. Look, it's, it's not even like a function of, of
01:05:32.980
historical revisionism. It's just, I mean, I mean, America has this problem and Europe has this
01:05:40.120
problem and everyone else, you know, we tend to believe the myths that make us feel good about
01:05:45.040
ourselves. And that is a good thing. In fact, I, I think that we should be imbibing, you know,
01:05:51.200
things that make us feel good about our national character. You know, um, you know, I'm very proud of
01:05:55.980
the fact that my, my grandfather survived world war two. In fact, my dad was, my dad was five
01:06:00.840
years old and living in Pearl Harbor when his mom. Um, and, uh, you know, my grandfather survived
01:06:05.460
Guadalcanal and all of that. But, uh, you know, I thought I knew about this stuff and I'll be honest.
01:06:10.400
I mean, I think it was, it was like 40 years old and I listened to Dan Carlin's podcast on a world
01:06:15.540
war two in the Eastern front. And it was the first time I ever really like, you know, innately grasped,
01:06:20.680
oh my gosh, this is how the war was actually won. You know, it was, you know, Russians literally
01:06:25.760
sending millions of people, you know, you know, literally sending waves of people without guns
01:06:30.480
into the German army. I mean, just, you know, our, our conceptions of things are, are very wrong
01:06:36.340
sometimes or, or very much require some sort of balance. And, uh, I think that's very true of
01:06:42.460
Americans and how they view world war two in key ways. Look, we're still heroes. D days was still
01:06:47.340
awesome. You're, you're not wrong for loving band of brothers. Just know that that's not the full
01:06:51.620
story. Well, and even Dan Carlin, knowing the full story is still a cartoon. Uh, sadly enough,
01:06:57.300
every time he opens his mouth on anything political, I'm just like, wow, what color is the sky on your
01:07:02.840
planet, dude? Yeah. The same thing happened, uh, with, um, Mike Duncan in the history of Rome,
01:07:07.540
these history podcasters who I love put together these excellent, you know, series just ended up being
01:07:12.120
like horrible shit libs. It's so sad. Like, uh, you know, Daryl is really my last hope.
01:07:17.020
But I mean, he'll be on Wednesday. So we'll, we'll probably discuss that more, but yeah,
01:07:21.360
all these other ones, it's just amazing. They, they have all this knowledge. They can bring forth
01:07:26.280
all of the counter examples, you know, to flesh out the problems. And yet somehow they still fall
01:07:31.100
into this hive thing when it comes to approaching these issues. Yeah. No, it's, it's really something
01:07:35.660
philosophical thirst worm says, uh, the euros, uh, could use some gorilla channel, uh, to calm them down.
01:07:42.360
Surely it would be better for the brain than the state media. I gotta say, uh, I never watch like
01:07:47.980
live television anymore in general. Uh, so the only time I ever get it is when I'm in a hotel rooms,
01:07:53.360
but man, European television is somehow even worse. And that's impressive. Like, uh, like,
01:07:58.680
I don't know how British television managed to be even more horrific than American television.
01:08:03.840
Uh, but yeah, it's all just like, uh, you know, uh, reality television shows about overweight porn
01:08:10.040
stars and stuff. Like, I, I don't know how they managed to do it, but they, they seem to, uh,
01:08:14.160
eclipse the American trash. It really is something how in the, the, the, uh, international imagination
01:08:20.660
that, um, the notion of the American redneck or hick or whatever is like so dominant because
01:08:27.840
Euro trash is like so real. I mean, Europe, Europe has no shortage of just horribly uneducated,
01:08:35.660
you know, um, you know, people with reactionary opinions, um, uh, themselves. So I don't know
01:08:43.980
where they get off being judgmental about America. And at least, you know, at the end of the day,
01:08:48.520
you know, our rednecks can, you know, I don't know, change a tire and, you know, have maybe had
01:08:53.260
military service or something. I mean, I'll be honest, if anyone's going to save the Europeans,
01:08:58.140
it'll probably be the backwards, uh, you know, people with reactionary opinions.
01:09:03.500
That's true. But I'm referring more toward, you know, more like just a straight up sort of useless
01:09:08.540
white trash, Euro trash kind of, kind of person. Um, I'm just saying they have an underclass that is
01:09:14.320
not enviable. Uh, Thuggo says the same people who want to trans kids and open borders support
01:09:20.980
Ukraine. Why is this? Yeah. Many such cases. I think it goes back to what I was saying earlier
01:09:26.300
about how, you know, in America, at least, um, you know, there is no, the left doesn't have a
01:09:31.960
foreign policy. They have domestic enemies and they project the motives of the domestic enemies on the,
01:09:37.860
you know, whatever, whatever's convenient for destroying Donald Trump in the next election. So
01:09:42.020
Donald Trump wants peace in Ukraine. So therefore they want war in Ukraine. And that's really as
01:09:46.580
simple as it really is as, as dumb as that seems as uncomplicated ultimately, as you think it would
01:09:52.180
be, uh, that, that does actually seem to be the case. He also says, uh, we said no, uh, uh, we said
01:09:57.300
no too many wars before, and then elites did enough narrative building until they proceeded. I was really
01:10:03.900
always shocked that this followed right after the COVID thing, like after the absolute expending of
01:10:08.720
credibility that pretty much all of our Western institutions in global order, uh, burned during COVID,
01:10:14.580
the fact that they immediately turned around and just tried to go to this next, uh, was absolutely
01:10:18.900
stunning. Yeah. Well, and the other crazy thing was, is like, we talked about this happening for
01:10:23.780
months in advance. I mean, Russians amassing on the Ukraine border or whatever, inevitable conflict.
01:10:29.680
I mean, it's not like this was some blitzkrieg thing. Uh, it really seemed like everyone just
01:10:34.520
didn't know what to do or they wanted to let it happen or something. I don't know. I just, uh, and then
01:10:39.400
there, of course, there were the reports that, you know, early on there were attempts to scuttle a deal
01:10:43.500
because, you know, for, for whatever reason, you know, Boris Johnson parachuting in there and
01:10:47.580
screwing things up. Uh, I don't know. Um, but it really does seem like there was just a confluence
01:10:54.120
of perverse incentives there to let this happen. Uh, uh, Mr. Oswald said, uh, World War II, uh, analogies
01:11:03.500
today are as obsolete as civil war analogies during World War II. 80 years apart, crying appeasement
01:11:09.480
is like worrying about the Ottomans. Uh, that is of course true in many ways, but actually we're,
01:11:15.820
uh, you know, the civil war is probably the other most mythologized, you know, period, uh, and
01:11:20.660
reference period in the United States history. So, uh, unfortunately I think we're probably going
01:11:25.620
to continue to get, uh, pretty sloppy analogies from both of those conflicts as that's pretty
01:11:30.140
much the only thing that anyone, uh, learns about when it comes to history. I know, cause I taught
01:11:34.660
it, but the way liberals talk about the South to this day, it's just astonishing to me.
01:11:40.120
Like, like there is nothing that you can say about, uh, the incentives of white Southerners
01:11:46.940
that's too far, right? Everything is some vestigial, um, result of slavery. Um, you know, and it's,
01:11:55.100
it's really, yeah. I mean, as bad as the World War II analogies are, the, the civil war ones
01:12:00.680
can often be, you know, much more personal and much more awful. Well, Mark, that's why
01:12:05.660
when we reconstruct the North, we're going to make you a governor of some kind, you know,
01:12:09.620
you, you, you pick a state, you know, we'll, we'll hand it to you. It's okay. Right. Uh,
01:12:13.620
let's see here. Jacob Zindel says, uh, an end to the war should have been negotiated in
01:12:18.540
the first year of the war before the trench warfare, artillery duels, and the war of attrition
01:12:23.500
began. I mean, yeah. I mean, I think everyone looking at this conflict would have could
01:12:29.860
have predicted that, you know, if things went bad and I think it's safe to say that
01:12:33.260
things have gone worse than, than, um, they had hoped initially, this would turn into a war of
01:12:38.320
attrition in a meat grinder. I mean, and that's where we're at. And I, and again, I just don't
01:12:42.920
understand why people aren't horrified enough by that to, to actually go and deal with the problem.
01:12:48.180
It's amazing that, you know, if you go on, uh, Instagram or not Instagram, um, uh, telegram or one
01:12:54.640
of these, uh, you, you can see a lot of this war footage, but it's amazing how little of this
01:12:58.840
has actually gotten to the public actually. And I don't think that's a, the, that that's an
01:13:03.460
accident. Uh, if most people don't see the majority of the horrific footage, uh, and I, you know,
01:13:09.320
and this is after pretty much every other war has been so thoroughly televised, uh, you know,
01:13:14.700
I don't think that's a mistake. I think they particularly didn't want people to get sick of
01:13:18.780
that meat grinder aspect. Cause that's what they were hoping for. Well, yeah. And there are specific
01:13:22.740
aspects of this war. I mean, like, like drone warfare was absolutely horrifying and I don't think
01:13:28.100
people have any sense of what's coming. Um, um, and, uh, you know, the, the, what's going on in
01:13:35.180
this war should, should really be a warning to us all. Um, and, and, and I don't think enough people
01:13:38.860
are heeding that warning. Yeah. The, the fact that you can just 3d print charges that, and you know,
01:13:44.040
something will just drop out of the sky that you never saw and explode. You really just, you don't,
01:13:48.400
you don't get it. You don't understand until you've seen some of this. Uh, Enrico Palazzo says,
01:13:53.340
Ukraine is a country in Europe. It exists, uh, is this next to another country called Russia?
01:13:58.320
Russia is a bigger country. That was the amazing explanation that we received from the democratic
01:14:03.060
candidate or president of the United States. Uh, I'm sure she would have been doing much better.
01:14:07.780
I had totally forgotten about that, but, uh, but yeah, yeah, that's, that, that's a very Kamala
01:14:13.520
Harris moment. My favorite was the one where, uh, she was talking to kids about, uh, NASA and it's like
01:14:18.500
stars, you're going to see stars and there'll be, you'll, you'll look up and there'll be stars.
01:14:22.900
Just, uh, it's the fact that they even tried with her is just absolutely insane. Uh, Matt
01:14:30.100
Gredier says, so glad Elon saw your tweet. Uh, yeah, no, like I said, uh, it was a while with
01:14:35.940
that retweet. It blew up quite a bit. Uh, got, got some interesting feedback from our European
01:14:40.140
friends. Yeah. I remember when you were just a guy on Twitter and you know, here I am, uh,
01:14:44.000
here you are now that the richest man in the world and white house confidant is, uh,
01:14:48.340
retweeting you and taking your advice. Well, some, some people were kind enough to retweet
01:14:54.320
me before that. Uh, so I, I, I certainly appreciate it. Uh, you, uh, definitely did not do any of
01:15:00.400
that on my own. It was all me. It was actually, it might've been, uh, like unironically, uh, to
01:15:06.720
a decent level between you and Michael Malice, uh, and, uh, and, and hilariously, Braun James
01:15:11.500
pervert. You guys probably were the three people retweeting me the most. So, uh, made some
01:15:15.920
interesting friends and allies there in, uh, in trying to grow things a bit, but I know a lot
01:15:20.560
more about Carl Schmidt now. That's all I'll say. That's good to hear. Though it's, it's funny that
01:15:27.140
that has now become the infamous, uh, point. You know, I spent a lot more time on like Bertrand
01:15:31.060
de Juvenal, but like, he just doesn't have the excitement, I guess that Schmidt does, or at least
01:15:35.500
it's easier. It's harder to vilify me if you're pointing out that I'm pointing to a classically
01:15:40.280
liberal philosopher who's drawing a lot of Aristotle. That's not as spicy, but all right,
01:15:46.700
guys, well, we're going to go ahead and wrap this up. Make sure of course that you are following
01:15:50.600
Mark Hemingway on Twitter. If it's your first time on this channel, of course, please go ahead
01:15:56.120
and subscribe, click the bell notifications, all of that. So, you know, when these streams
01:16:00.400
go live, if you'd like to get these broadcasts as podcasts, you can subscribe to the Oren McIntyre
01:16:05.620
show on your favorite podcast platform. When you do leave a rating or review, it helps
01:16:10.180
with the algorithm. And of course, if you would like to support the show, you can head over to
01:16:14.660
blazemedia.com or shopblazemedia.com. Click on the Oren McIntyre collection and there is merch there
01:16:20.880
for you to pick up. Thank you everybody for watching. And as always, I will talk to you next time.