Justin Amash's exit from the Democratic primary is a big deal, but Joe Biden's continued slide in the polls raises questions about who's actually in second place. Plus, a look at why Joe Biden is a problem in modern politics, and why he's not really a problem at all. Ben Shapiro is back from vacation, and we're here to break down it all down! Guests: Justin Amash (R-VA) Joe Biden (D-DE) Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Kamala Harris Elizabeth Shaheen Corey Booker Joe Donnelly Julian Zelizer Tim Kaine Chris Murphy Rick Perry Tulsi Gabbard Angus King John McAfee Paul Ryan Mike Bloomberg And much, much more! If Joe Biden were a bad presidential candidate, he wouldn't be in so much trouble, but if he had a good one, he'd be much better than Joe Biden, wouldn't he be in trouble? What's the real problem with Joe Biden? What are the real problems Joe Biden has? Why Biden is not a problem Why Joe Biden isn't a problem for modern politics Should Joe Biden be a good presidential candidate How Biden's gaffes get him into trouble Who's going to beat Hillary Clinton Is Joe Biden a problem? Can Joe Biden run against Hillary Clinton a good Democratic candidate? or not? Should he be a bad Democratic candidate have a serious shot at winning in 2020? Is he be better than Hillary Clinton running against Joe Biden running for president in 2020 or is he running for a primary? And why he should be a better than he's better than she's not running for President than she is a good candidate than he s a bad one? How much money should he have a chance to win in 2020 than he needs to raise more money to run for re-election and what s Joe Biden really have a shot at it? If he's a problem, then he s going to have a good chance of winning the primary I don t know, but he s not going to be much of a problem is he s just not that bad, is he? -- Can he run for president, right? I ll tell you what I think of Joe Biden s problem is not that?
00:00:35.000Joe Biden is dropping like a stone in the polls.
00:00:37.000Now, the polls are all over the place a little bit with regard to who is currently In second place.
00:00:43.000Basically, it is Joe Biden still at the top.
00:00:45.000And then there is a bunching of Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris, all of whom are within basically a percentage point, according to the Real Clear Politics average.
00:00:56.000But Biden has dropped precipitously from a month ago.
00:00:59.000A month ago, he was up in the mid 30s, close to 40 percent, according to most of the polls.
00:01:05.000And in every single poll now, he is dropping below 30 percent, except for a Hill poll about a week old.
00:01:10.000So here are the last several polls for Joe Biden.
00:01:28.000He's probably in the mid-20s somewhere by these polls.
00:01:30.000According to the RealClearPolitics average, he is currently at 26%.
00:01:32.000Where it gets interesting is who's in second place.
00:01:36.000So there are a bevy of polls that are all mixed up as to who is in second place.
00:01:39.000So according to CNN, Kamala Harris has jumped into second place with 17% of the vote.
00:01:45.000That poll was taken pretty much directly after the last debate.
00:01:48.000She may have receded a little bit since then.
00:01:50.000The latest poll is coming courtesy of The Economist and YouGov, and that came maybe three days ago.
00:01:56.000That showed that Joe Biden was at 23%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 19%, which would be a massive jump for Elizabeth Warren.
00:02:02.000And that's a big difference between that and the Hill poll, which has her at 9%, so a 10-point spread there.
00:02:07.000Followed by Kamala Harris at 15, followed by Bernie Sanders at 9, which would be a precipitous drop off for Bernie Sanders, and put him basically in Pete Buttigieg territory.
00:02:15.000Buttigieg's big boost still has not come.
00:02:17.000So Buttigieg, for all the talk about he's raised an enormous amount of money, and he's super talented in debate and all of this, he's cracked 10% in approximately one poll in the last two months.
00:02:28.000So he is not anywhere close to the top of that field.
00:02:34.000But it's really a question as to who is second.
00:02:36.000So according to The Economist, Elizabeth Warren is in second.
00:02:39.000According to ABC, Bernie Sanders is still in second with 19%.
00:02:43.000And according to Quinnipiac, Kamala Harris is in second with 20%.
00:02:47.000So we really have no idea how the second kind of tier of the field is doing.
00:02:52.000What we do know is that Joe Biden has been sliding.
00:02:54.000And Joe Biden has been sliding because, as I have been predicting, Since weeks before Joe Biden jumped into the race, his first day was going to be his best day.
00:03:31.000He says things on a routine basis where he sticks his foot so far down his own throat that it ends up lodged in his esophagus and he has to have a minor surgery in order to remove it each and every time.
00:03:41.000And with every minor surgery, he loses a fair amount of political blood.
00:03:45.000That is problem number one for Joe Biden.
00:03:47.000Problem number two for Joe Biden is not really a Joe Biden problem.
00:03:50.000It is a modern American politics problem.
00:03:52.000And that is Joe Biden has been in politics for a very long time.
00:03:55.000We live in an era where the best thing to be is a cypher.
00:03:58.000The best thing to be in American politics is somebody that nobody knows where you stand.
00:04:14.000But nobody knew where he was politically.
00:04:16.000He had taken every position on the map.
00:04:18.000He had suggested he was for Canadian-style universal healthcare, but he was against Obamacare.
00:04:22.000He had suggested that he was both for gun control and against gun control.
00:04:26.000He had suggested for a while that he was pro-choice, and then he became pro-life.
00:04:28.000So he was all over the place, and nobody really knew where he stood, including me, which is why I estimated that he would probably be more to the left Then he ended up being.
00:04:36.000He's been a very conservative president.
00:04:40.000Well, the best thing to be in American politics is a person with no record, because if you have a record, if you've said things before, that means that people can attack you on those things.
00:04:50.000Now, it is also that record that means that Americans are comfortable with him.
00:04:54.000So the strongest point for Joe Biden is also his weakest point.
00:04:57.000The fact that Joe Biden was vice president for eight years, the fact that Joe Biden has been in the Senate since 1732, since before the Senate existed, since Cato, Right.
00:05:07.000That is both his benefit because we are all comfortable with Joe Biden.
00:05:12.000It is also his detriment because it means that he has voted for things and that he has said things and that he has debated things.
00:05:18.000He's actually had to take positions on policy.
00:05:20.000The best thing to be is somebody who's never had to take a position.
00:05:23.000Barack Obama never had to vote on the Iraq war because he didn't enter the United States Senate until 2006.
00:05:29.000There are just too many members of the Democratic Party race right now who don't have a record.
00:05:35.000They've actually had to vote on things.
00:05:37.000They've gotten to vote against things, which is a nice, convenient place to be.
00:05:40.000But if you're in the Senate for a long period of time, that means your name is on legislation.
00:05:43.000It means that you may have backed things that were necessary in 1994, a.k.a.
00:05:47.000the criminal reform bill, the crime bill.
00:05:51.000And then those become unpopular over time.
00:05:54.000Maybe it means that you've had to work with senators who are really nasty people, as Joe Biden did 30 years ago.
00:05:59.000All of that can be dredged up against you, whereas if you are Kamala Harris and you joined the United States Senate in the last five minutes, and you joined the United States Senate at a time where you didn't have to vote on any major policy proposals except to say no to Donald Trump, well, that means that things are pretty convenient for you.
00:06:15.000The American people feel comfortable with him.
00:06:17.000It's why he, in general, in sort of the general polling, The general election polling, Joe Biden is far and away the strongest candidate against Donald Trump because he has that record, because people are comfortable with him.
00:06:29.000In those polls, Joe Biden is consistently running above 50%.
00:06:31.000There is not another Democrat in the field who's running above 50%.
00:06:36.000Every other Democrat is basically running dead even with Donald Trump.
00:06:39.000Joe Biden is running like 10 points ahead.
00:06:41.000And then every other Democrat is running within spitting distance of Donald Trump, including Kamala Harris, who's running basically an even race with Donald Trump at this point, which you would assume means that Trump wins.
00:06:51.000Because this will be the point where people are most positive about Kamala Harris, not the point at which they're most negative about Kamala Harris.
00:06:57.000So the best candidate for Democrats in a general election is precisely the candidate who is also most vulnerable in a primary.
00:07:03.000And we're going to get to Joe Biden's bifurcated candidacy and why in a general election he'd look good right now, but in a primary he looks really bad right now.
00:07:12.000Why you'd want to sell Joe Biden if you were in the Joe Biden stock market, if you're in the presidential stock market.
00:09:03.000It would actually encourage people to cross the border illegally, not at ports of entry.
00:09:07.000It is not illegal to cross the American border at a port of entry and claim asylum.
00:09:11.000You do not have to be an illegal immigrant.
00:09:13.000It is illegal to claim asylum falsely, but if you walk across a border port of entry and then you claim asylum, not only is that not illegal, it is purely legal and you could be given citizenship on the basis of your asylum claim.
00:09:24.000What is illegal is to try and swim the Rio Grande.
00:09:27.000We don't want people doing that because it's very dangerous.
00:09:29.000We don't want people doing that because we do not have proper policing along our 2,000 mile border with Mexico.
00:09:36.000But every Democrat, except for Joe Biden now, has basically come out and said they want to decriminalize border crossing.
00:09:45.000Instead of you being able to detain them for illegally crossing the border, you'd be forced to catch and release them pretty much immediately.
00:09:52.000You'd pretty much be forced to allow them to be released into the general population, into the United States, instead of being deported for the simple crime of crossing the border illegally.
00:10:02.000They would make it the same as crossing a border points of entry.
00:10:04.000Now, if you want more dead people floating down the Rio Grande, makes perfect sense.
00:10:09.000You want more people crossing that desert and trying to cross through an area that is unguarded because if they are ever caught in the United States, they can say, listen, I didn't, my entry wasn't illegal, so now I'm claiming asylum and I can live here for years and years and years.
00:10:45.000I think people should have to get in line, but if people are coming because they're actually seeking asylum, they should have a chance to make their case.
00:10:53.000I would be surging, as we did and Barack and I did, surging folks to the border to make those concrete decisions.
00:11:01.000OK, this is the correct answer in a general election.
00:11:08.000Here's Joe Biden talking about keeping your health insurance.
00:11:11.000So in a general election, this is obviously necessary.
00:11:14.000Suggesting to 177 million Americans they're going to lose their private health insurance as Kamala Harris has now done and then undone and then done and then undone and then done.
00:11:22.000She switched her position on this no less than five times in the past three weeks.
00:11:55.000But if they like their employer-based insurance, which a lot of unions broke their neck to get, a lot of people like their, they shouldn't have to give it up.
00:12:01.000The flip of that is, if you don't go my way, and you go their way, you have to give up all that.
00:12:07.000And what's going to happen when you have 300 million people landing on a health care plan?
00:13:28.000Eva Peron was a Nazi sympathizer who seized Jewish property in exchange for Nazis being able to settle in Argentina and help destroy the Argentine economy.
00:13:36.000But sure, I mean, I guess that's AOC if AOC wants it.
00:13:55.000When I love an advertiser's product so much that I actually go out and I buy one myself as a gift for one of my relatives, that means that I really love it.
00:14:00.000That is the case with Helix Sleep mattresses.
00:14:24.000They will match you to a customized mattress that will give you the best sleep of your life.
00:14:27.000And for couples, Helix can even split that mattress down the middle, providing individual support needs and feel preferences for each side.
00:15:01.000OK, so Biden goes after AOC and he suggests that AOC is too radical for the party and basically she won a primary, which, of course, is exactly right.
00:15:10.000How do you convince the party that these more advanced ideas, all in on Medicare for all, that matter to them?
00:15:53.000But Biden knows that he's not allowed to just say the truth, which is she's embarrassing to every Democrat who has two brain cells to rub together.
00:17:09.000He's got a record and that's what he's pointing out.
00:17:11.000He says, listen, I wasn't prepared for the debate attack, which is inexcusable.
00:17:14.000It's inexcusable that he wasn't prepared for that attack, considering that Senator Cory Booker had been attacking him on basically the same stuff the week before.
00:17:21.000But I think Biden really was unprepared for the attack.
00:17:23.000I think that Biden thought that this was going to be everybody treating each other decently.
00:17:27.000Everybody was going to be nice to him.
00:18:02.000And again, that is the, the bad news for Joe Biden and the good news for Joe Biden, because Joe Biden is going to be forced to back away and back away and back away.
00:18:11.000That record means he's going to have to keep backing away.
00:18:13.000So for example, over the weekend, he apologized for his remarks on segregationists.
00:18:19.000It's a mistake because his remarks on segregationists were not pro-segregation.
00:18:23.000He said these people were mean and they were nasty, but sometimes you have to make deals with mean, nasty people in the Senate.
00:18:29.000Everybody understood that, except for people who cynically took him out of context.
00:18:32.000Joe Biden instead decided to apologize for all of this, which just opened up a new line of attack from Democrats who said, well, you know, he should have apologized for this before, except secret.
00:18:43.000This is the routine now, is that Joe Biden, who was Barack Obama's VP for eight years, and the media never discovered that he was a secret Ku Klux Klan member.
00:18:53.000He apologized for his remarks on segregationists over the weekend.
00:18:57.000Was I wrong a few weeks ago to somehow give the impression to people that I was praising those men who I successfully opposed time and again?
00:20:04.000Because more important for Michelle and Barack Obama to keep their credentials in order with the far left than it is for them to defend somebody that they know and supposedly love.
00:20:15.000So here's Michelle Obama absolutely undercutting Joe Biden when asked about this stuff.
00:20:19.000If anything, would you like to say about the Kamala Biden dust-up?
00:20:56.000The Obamas are happy to see Joe Biden go down.
00:20:59.000And this is the problem for Joe Biden.
00:21:01.000Now, meanwhile, the attacks on Joe Biden are incredibly cynical.
00:21:04.000Now, I pointed this out after the debate between what was effectively Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.
00:21:09.000Nothing else that happened in that debate has any lasting impact or anything that matters.
00:21:13.000Kamala Harris attacked Joe Biden on his stance on federally mandated force busing, which is one of the great policy fails in modern American history.
00:21:38.000They're pointing directly at that guy.
00:21:40.000I was right about this because Kamala Harris was being incredibly cynical.
00:21:43.000And I'm going to get to that in just a second.
00:21:45.000So first of all, Kamala Harris is trying to run as the as the most Effective candidate for black Americans in this race.
00:21:54.000Very early on, it was clear that this is what her candidacy had to be.
00:21:56.000Cory Booker is also trying to wrest this title from her.
00:21:59.000Joe Biden is running basically even with folks like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren among white voters, but he is running way ahead of them among black voters.
00:22:07.000Kamala Harris is trying to carve into that lead among black voters.
00:22:11.000And what she is finding is that she has a fairly large problem here because Joe Biden's black vote share is still extraordinarily high.
00:22:20.000So in the latest YouGov poll, for example, black voters were split 36 to 13 between Biden and Harris.
00:22:26.000But those polls are all over the place.
00:22:28.000The Quinnipiac poll, which had Biden narrowly leading Harris overall, also had him narrowly leading Harris among black voters 31 to 27 percent.
00:22:34.000CNN had a 25 to 19 percent split among non-white respondents.
00:22:41.000Reuters and Ipsos found that Biden's black support had been cut in half.
00:22:44.000So Kamala Harris is trying to carve into that by claiming, alternatively, that Joe Biden is actually a secret racist.
00:22:50.000And also, she says, I'm not saying that.
00:22:56.000I'm not saying Joe Biden is a racist, but...
00:23:00.000As your grandmother always told you, whatever happens in a sentence before but doesn't matter.
00:23:04.000When she says Joe Biden isn't a racist, but he keeps complimenting segregationists, and he didn't support forced busing, what she's really saying is that secretly, down deep, he's got racial animus for black folks.
00:23:16.000Simultaneously, Kamala Harris is trying to pose as some sort of civil rights warrior, despite the fact that Kamala Harris is not old enough to be a civil rights warrior.
00:23:23.000Kamala Harris is now citing her record as being a school child who was in an already integrating district in Berkeley, by the way.
00:23:30.000It was already being well integrated before Kamala Harris was really around in Berkeley.
00:23:35.000But when you were seven, you didn't have all that much impact on local policy, as it turns out.
00:23:39.000Well, Kamala Harris is now likening herself to Rosa Parks.
00:24:59.000This is why Bernie Sanders thinks there are too many deodorant options.
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00:27:06.000Here's Harris saying that she'd consider but not mandate busing.
00:27:09.000Now, I asked this question after the debate, and people got uptight with me, and I said it.
00:27:14.000As the debate was happening, I tweeted out, Kamala Harris does not support forced busing.
00:27:17.000She is ripping Joe Biden for not supporting a policy that no one supports in the United States.
00:27:22.000Nobody in the United States, black or white, is seriously in favor of taking children and busing them across county lines to encourage the quote unquote proper racial mix of children in particular schools.
00:27:34.000No one is in favor of that policy because it was an enormous fail when it was tried in the 1970s as well as the 1980s.
00:27:39.000Federally mandated force busing was one of the most divisive and terrible pieces of federal policy devised in the last half century.
00:27:46.000It was a very, very bad piece of policy, which is why it wasn't supported by something like 80 percent of Americans.
00:27:53.000It led to tremendous unintended consequences like vast amounts of white flight outside of major integrated cities.
00:28:01.000It led to the devastation of tax bases.
00:28:03.000It led to the starting of charter schools and private schools.
00:28:06.000It led to a less integrated public school system overall.
00:28:10.000That's what forced busing did, which is why I said, if Kamala Harris supports forced busing, let's hear her plan.
00:28:17.000I said, why doesn't anyone in the media ask her about this?
00:28:19.000Because it's obvious what she's going to say.
00:28:21.000Now, her spokesperson, Ian Sams, originally said that she did support federally mandated forced busing.
00:28:28.000And then Kamala Harris reversed herself.
00:28:30.000She said, yeah, I'd consider, but I wouldn't mandate busing, which is exactly what Joe Biden had said.
00:28:37.000Busing is a tool among many that should be considered when we address the issue, which is a very current issue as well as a past issue, of desegregation in American schools.
00:28:48.000So I think of busing as being in the toolbox of what is available and what can be used for the goal of desegregating American schools.
00:28:59.000When people say things like, I think that deserves a conversation, what a politician is really saying is, no, I don't think it deserves a conversation.
00:29:23.000Hey, on July 4th, tweeted out, Okay, except for the fact that if you actually look at the racial segregation statistics, de facto, not de jure, not enforced by law, but de facto, racial segregation in America's schools today is as bad as it was during the 1980s.
00:29:32.000Okay, except for the fact that if you actually look at the racial segregation statistics, de facto, not de jure, not enforced by law, but de facto, racial segregation in America's schools today is as bad as it was during the 1980s.
00:29:46.000It's in fact worse than it was during the late 1980s.
00:29:49.000So what he's saying just doesn't hold.
00:29:53.000So Kamala Harris has the exact same position as Joe Biden.
00:29:58.000But that didn't stop Kamala Harris from attacking Joe Biden over federally mandated busing and suggesting that Biden is in closet fashion a racist for not having supported the exact same policies she currently opposes back in the 1970s.
00:30:13.000I've asked him and have yet to hear him agree that busing that was court-ordered and mandated in most places and in that era in which I was bused was necessary.
00:30:28.000And he has yet to agree that his position on this, which was to work with segregationists and oppose busing, was wrong.
00:30:38.000Okay, so I guess her new case is that if you have the same position in 1975 that she has today, then that means that you were a racist in 75, but today she is not a racist, because apparently things have progressed so far, except for the fact that if you look at the actual integration statistics in America's public schools, they look about the same as they did 35 years ago.
00:30:56.000So what she's saying right now makes no sense.
00:30:59.000I mean, it makes no sense, but it is cynical.
00:31:04.000Her attacks on Biden are really cynical, but they're going to work because the media refused to drill down on this.
00:31:09.000They refused to drill down and ask her specifically the question that I am currently asking.
00:31:13.000If you say things have radically changed since the 1970s, explain how, based on the integration statistics, the de facto integration statistics in America's public schools, explain.
00:31:23.000And then explain why federally mandated forced busing is bad policy today, but it wasn't bad policy in 1978.
00:31:37.000We'll get to more of Kamala Harris' pandering, and then we'll get to the other candidates who are desperately trying to gain attention in what is turning quickly into a two-person race.
00:31:45.000But first, I'm too busy to go to the post office.
00:31:47.000The last time I went, I got a giant parking ticket because in Los Angeles, nothing works.
00:31:51.000Los Angeles is a hellhole except for the area of the L.A.
00:31:55.000government that gives parking tickets.
00:31:57.000Those suckers, I mean, they are just so efficient.
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00:33:58.000Right now, we are the largest, fastest growing conservative podcast and radio show in the nation.
00:34:02.000So the new democratic plan from Kamala Harris to win her the primaries is a giveaway.
00:34:15.000So we basically have a giveaway competition.
00:34:18.000It's a used car salesman competition in the Democratic Party.
00:34:21.000The whole thing's a lemon, but they're going to sell it to you at a low, low price.
00:34:25.000There's a great old politically incorrect movie With Kurt Russell called used cars about a battle between two used car salesmen and their various lots.
00:34:35.000And that's what the Democratic Party has become.
00:34:37.000They're going to blow the bleep out of high prices.
00:34:41.000And so Kamala Harris is going to sell, sell, sell.
00:34:44.000You got Bernie Sanders selling you free college tuition and relieving your student debt.
00:34:49.000You have Elizabeth Warren declaring that everything will be free.
00:34:51.000And now you have Kamala Harris, who's specifically making a tailored pitch directly for black folks, saying that she wants to spend $100 billion to increase minority homeownership.
00:35:01.000She said, we must right the wrong after generations of discrimination give black families a real shot at homeownership.
00:35:07.000Historically, one of the most powerful drivers of wealth in our country.
00:35:11.000Her plan calls for $100 billion in housing and urban development grants to provide homeowners or homebuyers who rent or live in historically redlining communities where minority home and business owners were largely blocked from accessing capital for investment up to a $25,000 down payment in assistance and closing costs.
00:35:31.000Back in the late 1990s, there was something that we tried.
00:35:34.000It was a program in which the federal government decided that it would help sponsor what we called subprime mortgages.
00:35:40.000These were mortgages that went to people who did not have a borrowing history, a credit history, that would allow them to get a loan.
00:35:46.000And we made it very easy for those folks to get federally subsidized loans because we felt that we were trying to right the wrongs of redlining.
00:35:54.000It turns out that you still have to pay the mortgage on the home.
00:35:57.000So if you give somebody a loan at a variable interest rate, and over time the person is unable to pay the loan, They couldn't get the loan, supposedly because of redlining, but then they got the loan and then they defaulted.
00:36:09.000Over time, as more and more of those homes defaulted, it tended to provide a drag on the American real estate market.
00:36:16.000And all those loans were collateralized because everybody assumed that they were going to be picked up by the federal government in the end anyway.
00:36:47.000I think it is wonderful to own your own home.
00:36:49.000I do think that part of the American dream is being able to work hard enough to afford to own your own home.
00:36:54.000You also have to be able to pay off the loans.
00:36:56.000If the idea is that what is standing between home ownership and minority communities today is redlining, well, then you'd have federal lawsuits on your hands, wouldn't you?
00:37:07.000So, what exactly is Kamala Harris suggesting?
00:37:09.000Is she suggesting that redlining is still keeping black people from getting loans?
00:37:13.000If that's the case, then she should provide the proof.
00:37:15.000If that's not the case, then she should explain how the American taxpayer ought to be on the hook for a bunch of loans, many of which will probably go belly up, because a $25,000 down payment in assistance and closing costs is not going to cover a home loan.
00:37:28.000In most parts of the United States, that is not going to cover the difference between somebody making their loan and not making their loan.
00:37:35.000So she's proposing a cynical bill that is, again, going to put the onus on the back of the American taxpayer for loans that are not going to be paid off.
00:37:43.000Those loans will go belly up, and then the American taxpayer will have to foot the cost.
00:37:46.000Again, we know this because it just happened like five minutes ago.
00:37:50.000So we're going to go right back to that wall.
00:37:52.000But again, this is part of Kamala Harris's plan to steal away black support from Joe Biden in the Democratic primaries.
00:37:57.000OK, now there are a couple of other candidates who are still in this race.
00:38:01.000Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are still in this race.
00:38:04.000According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Harris has moved slightly ahead of Sanders.
00:38:10.000But basically, they are all at parity.
00:38:12.000And as I suggested, the polls have them at really weird variable leads.
00:38:16.000So according to the Economist poll, Elizabeth Warren is currently in second, just four points behind Joe Biden.
00:38:21.000According to ABC News, Bernie Sanders is in second, about 11 points behind Joe Biden.
00:38:26.000According to Quinnipiac, it is Kamala Harris who is in second, about two points behind Joe Biden.
00:38:32.000So it's all over the place, but it's pretty obvious that the second tier of candidates is Harris and Sanders and Warren.
00:38:38.000So Elizabeth Warren is trying to do the same thing.
00:38:40.000Elizabeth Warren is trying to carve into Joe Biden's black base of support.
00:38:44.000She's going to have way less success because she can't play the race card in the same way that Kamala Harris is playing the race card against Joe Biden.
00:38:50.000I have a housing plan to build 3.2 million new housing units in this country and to address the generational impact of redlining that our government used to discriminate against black citizens.
00:39:08.000I have a plan to deal with the maternal health crisis in this country.
00:39:15.000That black women are dying at three and four times the rate of white women.
00:39:20.000It's time for some accountability in this system.
00:39:24.000Okay, so Elizabeth Warren is not going to win the nomination.
00:39:50.000And then there is Bernie Sanders and Sanders at least knows where he stands.
00:39:53.000Bernie Sanders isn't trying to make a pitch for black voters basically at all.
00:39:57.000Bernie Sanders is just going to be a socialist as he wants to be and then hope that he has enough white support to outpace Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris.
00:40:05.000He basically hopes that they fight for black support and that he kind of soars over the top with his solid base of white support.
00:40:13.000He is fighting Elizabeth Warren for that base right now.
00:40:15.000Here's Bernie Sanders explaining that every teacher should earn at least $60,000 per year.
00:40:42.000But what makes you think that we can afford $60,000 a year for a teacher?
00:40:45.000Wouldn't the market decide what exactly that bears?
00:40:48.000The truth is that if we didn't have teachers unions in America's public schools that were creating terrible contracts for students in school districts, I'm sure there would be teachers paid $100,000 a year or $150,000 a year.
00:40:58.000In other words, performance would decide how you get paid in the public schools as opposed to tenure.
00:41:06.000You wouldn't be the oldest teacher at the school and therefore you get paid the most.
00:41:10.000You wouldn't be at the best school and therefore get paid the most.
00:41:13.000You'd presumably be at some of the worst schools and get paid more because it's a harder job.
00:41:19.000But I do love it when socialists like Bernie Sanders simply throw out prices as though he knows what the hell he's talking about.
00:41:25.000One of the great sort of vanities of the socialist project is saying that the supply-demand-profit system is a bad way of determining value, and then using the values created by that profit system, by that supply-and-demand system, and using it as the basis for your demands.
00:41:41.000So what I mean is, how does Bernie Sanders know what the price of a teacher should be?
00:41:44.000If I just said to you, in a vacuum, what's the price of a teacher?
00:41:47.000You can't look at any of the prices, you don't know what anyone has paid.
00:41:58.000But if I name a product, That does not exist.
00:42:01.000You can't tell me the price of it because you have no basis for comparison.
00:42:04.000When Bernie Sanders says a teacher should be paid $60,000 a year, the only reason he knows to say that is because teachers are getting paid somewhere in the neighborhood of $60,000 a year.
00:42:14.000The point is, that is part of a supply and demand system he completely rejects and a profit-based system he completely rejects.
00:42:20.000So he's just pulling numbers out of thin air and then saying it's not fair if the market doesn't meet his bizarre notion of what people should be paid, even though he's never run a taco stand.
00:42:31.000So right now, as Joe Biden fades, it's pretty obvious that his support is bleeding over to Kamala Harris, not to Elizabeth Warren, and not really to Bernie Sanders.
00:42:40.000So you have to put Kamala Harris as the odds-on favorite to win the nomination.
00:42:44.000As cynical and terrible as that is right now.
00:42:47.000As cynical, and it is really, really cynical.
00:43:06.000We've had him on the radio show before.
00:43:08.000I actually like a lot of what Justin Amash has to say, but he said he is leaving the Republican Party.
00:43:12.000Now, supposedly, originally he was leaving because he was just so disgusted with their treatment of President Trump.
00:43:18.000He did say over the weekend he would leave the GOP even if Trump weren't president, which is a bizarre statement for somebody who was elected as a Republican.
00:43:55.000It comes down from leadership to the bottom.
00:43:58.000And over the years it's gotten more rigid.
00:44:01.000Now what's hilarious about this is that Amash, leaving the Republican Party and declaring himself independent, Donald Trump is mad about this.
00:44:09.000If Amash does leave and he's left, if he decides to run for the Libertarian Party nomination, which is quite likely at this point, if he runs for the Libertarian Party nomination and runs as a Libertarian, the vast majority of votes he's going to draw are not going to be drawn from the Republican Party.
00:44:23.000Trump's level of popularity among Republicans is very high.
00:44:26.000In fact, Amash could be one of the best things that happens to Donald Trump in the 2020 election because Trump has the luck of the devil.
00:44:33.000And the fact is that Amash could draw more votes from Democrats in Michigan than he draws from Republicans in Michigan, leading President Trump to win Michigan again.
00:44:40.000So maybe this all ends up as a benefit for President Trump in the end anyway.
00:44:44.000Okay, time for some things I like and then some things that I hate.
00:45:05.000He has a new piece of pop history called "The Last Pirate of New York: A Ghost Ship, a Killer, and the Birth of a Gangster Nation." All about the last pirate hanged in the United States.
00:45:52.000It is one of the more irritating aspects of modern life that all the benefits of modern life that we enjoy, we now get to sit back and say, you know what?
00:46:00.000Maybe we don't need those benefits anymore.
00:46:02.000Let's go back to the old ways when we didn't have air conditioning.
00:46:06.000And tens of thousands of people died of heat stroke every year.
00:46:10.000I remember a few years back, it's like 2005, I believe there's a heat wave in France.
00:46:14.000And there wasn't enough air conditioning in France.
00:46:17.000And 10,000 elderly people died in France because of the heat wave in France.
00:46:19.000It turns out that the Earth is trying to kill you.
00:46:22.000And one of the ways that you defend yourself from the Earth is to build a shelter.
00:46:25.000And within that shelter, to have some climate control.
00:46:27.000In fact, one of the leading causes of the rise in productivity in the American South in the 20th century was the advent of air conditioning.
00:46:34.000Because it turned out it was very difficult to work in hot, humid, sticky conditions.
00:46:39.000And once air conditioning became prevalent in the American South, it allowed people to work for longer hours.
00:46:44.000It allowed people to work at their desks without falling apart.
00:46:47.000Climate has an impact on human behavior.
00:46:50.000There's a woman named Taylor Lawrence who tweeted out over the weekend that air conditioning was sexist and bigoted because men keep the thermostat too low and that she gets sick every time the AC is on.
00:47:10.000You don't get sick if it's too cold outside.
00:47:11.000You don't get sick if it's too warm outside.
00:47:13.000That's just people misattributing the nature of illness.
00:47:17.000Also, air conditioning has bettered the lives of hundreds of millions of people and saved tens of thousands of lives.
00:47:21.000Nonetheless, the New York Times, from its air-conditioned offices in New York, has a piece called Do Americans Need Air Conditioning?
00:47:28.000Summer's great indoor temperature debate rages on.
00:47:30.000"Modernity was born 116 years, 11 months, "two weeks and two days ago, at a printing plant "in the East Williamsburg section of Brooklyn, "when a junior engineer named Willis Carrier "devised a contraption that blew air "over water-filled pipes to dry out the humidity "that was gumming up the pages "of a humor magazine called Judge.
00:47:47.000"And in that moment, well, within a few decades, "entire industries and geographies were transformed, New technologies made possible, including, terribly, the internet.
00:47:55.000Without cooling, there would be no server farms.
00:47:57.000Nearly 90% of American households now have some form of air conditioning, more than any other country in the world except Japan.
00:48:03.000But that will change as global warming alters more temperate zones, and swelling populations and rising incomes in hot zones mean the folks there will clamor for A.C.
00:48:11.000On an overheated planet, air conditioning becomes more and more desirable, solving in the short term the problem it helped create.
00:48:17.000It is another paradox that even as architects and engineers are making ever more efficient buildings to meet energy standards set by cities like New York, where new law says that buildings over 25,000 square feet must reduce their carbon emissions by 80% by 2050, we are still freezing in our offices and fighting with our partners over whether to turn on the Friedrich.
00:49:03.000That is basic logic unless you want men stripping down to their underoos, which presumably you don't want in an office environment.
00:49:11.000Parts of Germany and France were recently steaming through record temperatures.
00:49:14.000During last week's heat wave, police officers in Paris used tear gas on climate change protesters, while I was southbound on Amtrak's Northeast Regional, shivering in the quiet car, rugged up in a scarf, jacket, long pants, and boots.
00:49:26.000So were my fellow travelers like Solange Singer, a 41-year-old fashion stylist muffled in similar gear with a red wool scarf laid out in her lap like a blanket.
00:49:34.000The conductor seemed puzzled when I asked him what temperature the thermostat was set to.
00:49:56.000Environmentalism and worries about the thermostat.
00:49:58.000These are luxuries of a first world nation.
00:50:00.000Mark Feeney, a culture critic at the Boston Globe, which is a hell of a hell of a career, He says, think about that term, air conditioning.
00:51:02.000There's a new secular religion of environmentalism where you are supposed to sacrifice to the great god of the climate by not having air conditioning in your home.
00:51:38.000But apparently the Betsy Ross flag became deeply controversial because a failed NFL quarterback and a person whose record on politics is worse than his record in the National Football League That guy says he has a problem with the Betsy Ross flag.
00:51:53.000And so it becomes a national controversy.
00:51:55.000So now we're going to have discussions over air conditioning.
00:52:11.000And the problem is that things are so good and we are so angry that we are now looking at stupid things to be angry about.
00:52:16.000Jonah Goldberg had a column over the weekend Well, he basically said America has autoimmune disease, that there are not enough pathogens in the body politic for us to attack.
00:52:26.000So we are creating pathogens out of healthy organs just to attack.
00:52:31.000So we're going to attack air conditioning or we're going to attack the Betsy Ross flag.
00:52:36.000And that was what happened while I was gone.
00:52:38.000Now, listen, Nike can do whatever it wants.
00:53:15.000They decided to get woke because they wanted to make money.
00:53:18.000This is why corporations do this sort of stuff.
00:53:21.000During Gay Pride Month, they decide they're all going to Virtue Signal because they understand that the people who are attracted to their brand by the Virtue Signaling outnumber the people who are alienated from their brand by the Virtue Signaling, and they figure that there's no other place to go.
00:53:32.000What, are you going to stop going to Target because they have a couple of displays for Gay Pride Month or something?
00:53:37.000But if you're gay, or if you're very sympathetic to Gay Pride Month, then you're more likely to feel good about shopping at Target because they're Virtue Signaling to you.
00:53:52.000And speaking of that, they decided over the weekend that they were going to make controversial having like a tank at a July 4th parade in Washington, D.C.
00:54:17.000There are lots of things more powerful than a tank if you had to face the two up against each other and you were just showing powerful military weaponry.
00:54:23.000We show those military weapons on a fairly routine basis.
00:54:26.000We weren't marching nuclear missiles through the streets of Washington, D.C.
00:54:30.000Nonetheless, we decided to make this controversial, too.
00:54:32.000Here's a CNN anchor worrying that Trump's July 4th speech was too militaristic because he had the temerity to talk about how great the American military was.
00:54:40.000It sounded very, very different from the typical Trump rallies that are often broadcast on cable news.
00:54:48.000But that showcase of the military hardware that we're showing pictures of here, some would say it overemphasized America's military might.
00:54:56.000And it underplayed the American values that have been used to justify the use of force.
00:55:02.000And so that is something that the president will be criticized on.
00:55:06.000Oh, is that something he will be criticized on, or is that something you're criticizing him on right now, like this very instant?
00:55:11.000Everything becomes controversial in a nation where a bunch of stuff shouldn't be controversial.
00:55:16.000Another example, apparently in the week that I was gone, people decided that, apparently there's a vast swath of Americans who are deeply, profoundly upset that Disney has cast a black actress to play Ariel in the new live-action Disney remake of The Little Mermaid.
00:55:30.000First of all, this is better evidence to me, this whole story is better evidence to me that Disney has no new ideas, that they keep remaking all of their old movies scene for scene.
00:55:43.000Everyone in the media decided it was a massive issue that Americans were out in the streets protesting because Ariel, who is white and red-headed in the animated film, will now be black and red-headed in the non-animated film.
00:55:56.000There was not a single blue checkmark person on Twitter who commented about this, because no one actually cares about this stuff.
00:56:02.000No one seriously cares about this stuff.
00:56:04.000There may be a species of fan person, fangirls really, because that's really who likes The Little Mermaid, who want The Little Mermaid to look like she looked in the animated flick, which is not racist, by the way.
00:56:15.000That is just, I grew up with a particular image of The Little Mermaid, and all the other animated films reflect that image, right?
00:56:20.000The new Mulan live-action film has a person who looks like Mulan in the animated film, It's not racist to say, what if the person in the live film looked like the person in the animated film, no matter how they look, right?
00:56:30.000They're not going to cast Tiana as white, presumably, when they remake The Princess and the Frog.
00:56:35.000But, apparently, there was like, there were two people on Twitter who were like, we cannot have a black Ariel.
00:56:46.000OK, nut picking is what you do online when you try to find somebody with a crazy opinion specifically so that you can make them the sort of advocate for the entire other side of the aisle.
00:57:09.000The Betsy Ross flag which flew at Barack Obama's inauguration is apparently now controversial and symbolizes slavery even though it was Union troops fighting slavery who carried that into battle?
00:57:32.000How about we all recognize that half the stuff we think is controversial, no one cares about?
00:57:36.000I don't think that's going to happen, though.
00:57:38.000And that's why I think Joe Biden is in trouble in this race, because Joe Biden It's running a back to normalcy campaign in a time where his party does not want to return to normalcy and where it's unclear that the American people want to return to normalcy.
00:57:50.000For all the talk about the American people being deeply dispossessed by Donald Trump's oddities, The truth is that the American people might just be pissed off for a variety of reasons, including, I think, a sort of spiritual emptying out of all the things that used to unify us.
00:58:07.000And so now we're just creating random controversies to attack each other over.
00:58:11.000That was the story of the last week as I see it from afar anyway.
00:58:52.000Hey everyone, it's Andrew Klavan, host of The Andrew Klavan Show.
00:58:55.000You know, that Donald Trump, he may not be the nicest guy in the world, but through his belligerence and his indifference to the brutal slanders of the Democrat media complex, he has made a place for his followers, the deplorables, to reinvent American patriotism.
00:59:10.000It's a beautiful thing to see, and the left's reaction is as ugly as you can imagine.
00:59:15.000We'll talk about it on The Andrew Klavan Show.