Ben Shapiro explains why the CDC doesn't have numbers on how many young people are dying from coronavirus, and why it's not likely to be much of a problem unless you're under the age of 25. He also points out that the CDC does not have statistics on the exact number of people who have died from this virus, and that it's unlikely to be that many are younger than 25 years old. Ben Shapiro is the host of The Ben Shapiro Show on Fox News Radio and host of the Daily Wire. He's also a regular contributor to the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal, and is one of the most influential people in the conservative movement. His latest book, "The Dark Side of America," is out now, and it's available for pre-order on Amazon Prime and Vimeo worldwide. Links From This Episode: This episode was produced and edited by Ben Shapiro. It was edited by Alex Blumberg. Our theme song is Come Alone by Suneaters, courtesy of Lotuspool Records, and our ad music was made by Micah Vellian. The show was mixed and produced by Matthew Boll. Music by Ian Dorsch. Artwork by Jeff Kaale. We've been working on this project for over a year and a half, and we're very excited to finally have it out on the internet! Thank you so much for all the support, and all the hard work that went into making this podcast possible. If you like it, please leave us a review and share it on Apple Podcasts, iTunes, Podcoin, etc., etc. etc., and we'll send you a review, etc. Thanks so much love and support us. etc. Thanks again for all your support and support, please spread the word about this podcast. - Ben Shapiro - The Dark Side Of The Internet and much more! - Thank you for listening and sharing it out there! -- -- - The Daily Mail - Tom Connolly & TikTok Thanks to John Rachit Chanses And thanks for listening to this podcast! and also for all of the love & support out there. -- A very special thanks to Squeals -- and thanks to my good vibes. and -- Thank you to my friend, Kevin McElroy for the work of my good friend
00:00:21.000Join them at expressvpn.com slash Ben.
00:00:25.000Well, I have to note that there's something that's very weird going on in this country and in media, and that is the sense that things are constantly getting worse with regard to COVID when the evidence that things are getting worse with regard to COVID really is not spectacular.
00:00:38.000And what I mean by that is obviously we've seen more deaths over the past month.
00:00:41.000We've seen more infections over the past month.
00:00:43.000But as a percentage of infection, deaths continue to decline.
00:00:47.000As a running tab in terms of hospitalizations, deaths continue to decline.
00:00:53.000Hospitalizations have started to decline in places like Arizona, Florida, and Texas.
00:00:57.000And it is also worthy of note that other countries are now experiencing unrest in the streets over lockdown.
00:01:02.000So all of the talk about how in the United States, it's all red state, blue state kind of stuff.
00:01:06.000Only these evil conservatives want to stop the lockdowns and reopen the economy.
00:01:10.000They're literally having mass protests in the streets of Berlin over the lockdown.
00:01:14.000In Israel, they've had mass protests in the streets over everything from unemployment to lockdown.
00:01:19.000Specifically targeted lockdown against religious communities is one of the implications.
00:01:23.000This sort of stuff has been happening all over the world because it turns out that when you lock hundreds of millions of people indoor for months on end and tell them that in order to be safe from a virus that largely kills people who are above the age of 80, most people who are young are not going to abide by that.
00:01:37.000And most people who are young are going to start going out again.
00:01:40.000They're going to start participating in everyday life again.
00:01:42.000And let's be real about this, they probably should.
00:01:44.000If you're 20 years old, there is no reason for you to stay home other than you're afraid that you're going to infect grandma.
00:01:57.000The notion that large numbers of young people are in danger from this or dying from this, it is not statistically true.
00:02:02.000And I get the sense that there is this real gap in the American level of panic about this thing and the actual facts on the ground about how deadly this thing is.
00:02:11.000I think that if you asked regular everyday Americans, how many people out of a thousand who get COVID do you think are going to die of this thing?
00:02:16.000The average American would probably tell you out of 100 people, 10 will die.
00:02:21.000Out of 1,000 people, 50 to 100 will die.
00:02:27.000If you are under the age of 25, you are not dying from this, statistically speaking.
00:02:31.000If you are under the age of 55, you are almost certainly not dying of this, statistically speaking.
00:02:37.000In fact, in the United States, we've seen something on the order of 150,000 deaths.
00:02:41.000When you break it down by group, I was talking with somebody who was actually a member of the group that wrote the CDC guidelines over the Shabbat weekend.
00:02:49.000And this guy was saying that the average age of death in the United States from COVID, and this is true according to the CDC, the average age, average, is 80.
00:02:57.000Which means that half of the people who have died of this are above the age of 80.
00:03:47.000In a population that probably has 100 million people under the age of 25.
00:03:51.000There have been a grand total of 14 deaths below the age of 5.
00:03:54.000There have been a grand total of 23 deaths below the age of 15.
00:04:00.000So we're not talking about large numbers of young people who are getting this and dying of this.
00:04:04.000Nor are we talking about large numbers of young people between the ages of 25 and 34 who are dying of this.
00:04:08.000There have been a grand total of, again, according to the CDC, and this is out of about 100,000 deaths that were reported as of mid-July, there were 200 deaths aged 25 to 34.
00:04:17.000And when you look at the curves from the CDC in terms of actual numbers of overall death in these age groups, COVID represents an extraordinarily small percentage of the overall number of deaths in these age groups, which is why, if you look at the flu, you should be, if you are a parent, you should be much more scared of your kid getting the flu than you should about your kid getting COVID.
00:04:37.000And without a doubt, like you're 16 to 20 times as likely to die from the flu if you're under the age of five than you are to die of COVID.
00:04:44.000Which again, should not be a surprise.
00:04:46.000And this is why it's so maddening when you see our experts say things like, well, you know, it's true that mostly old people are getting this, but it could happen to anybody.
00:04:54.000Statistically speaking, it really can't.
00:04:56.000Statistically speaking, the people who are dying of this are generally older, which means you protect those populations.
00:05:03.000And then if you wish to reach anything like herd immunity, what you actually want is not to shut down the spread.
00:05:08.000You want young, healthy people to actually get it over time if you want to reach herd immunity.
00:05:12.000And I know herd immunity became this sort of bad term that you're not allowed to use anymore.
00:05:17.000Because we're all supposed to sit around waiting for the vaccine.
00:06:15.000It is also much more prevalent among the elderly.
00:06:18.000The question is not, can a bad thing happen to you?
00:06:20.000The question is, what are the chances of the bad thing happening to you?
00:06:25.000And that is the thing that we should be focused on, but nobody seems to be focused on that right now.
00:06:29.000There's a Swiss study of seroprevalence, trying to figure out what exactly the infection fatality rate was of COVID by age.
00:06:36.000And what it showed is that if you're under the age of 10, you're basically more likely to be struck by lightning than to die of COVID.
00:06:43.000If you're below the age of 20, same thing is true.
00:06:48.000Even if you're looking at the generalized overall COVID death rates, the infection fatality rate, so the CDC is now estimating that the infection fatality rate could be anywhere from 0.2 to 0.6, which is something I've been saying for literally months, pretty much since this started.
00:07:01.000Even if you take the upper end estimate, 0.6, I think people don't understand what that means.
00:07:05.000That means if 1,000 people get COVID, 994 of them will live.
00:07:08.000Now that does not necessarily mean that everybody who lives is going to be completely undamaged by it, but we don't actually have the data on how many people are damaged or what the damage looks like.
00:07:17.000So instead, we see these anecdotal horror stories of people who have zero lung function, or we hear these kind of vague statements that people will have heart damage, but we don't know how much heart damage.
00:07:27.000If you don't have hard data, that's panic porn.
00:07:29.000And panic porn sells papers, and it moves clicks.
00:07:33.000But panic porn is not good for your brain, and it ain't good for your soul, and it doesn't allow you to calculate, on an everyday level, what sort of risks you should be taking as a responsible human being.
00:07:42.000Frankly, it is maddening that we have continued to act as though this thing is equally deadly for all age groups, and that everybody should be treated equally in the population in terms of lockdown.
00:07:54.000Again, the fact is that this is disproportionately affecting elderly people because elderly people have more underlying conditions and are more likely to die, period.
00:08:04.000The fact is that if you look at death from all causes among people who are above the age of 85, death of all causes between essentially July, between February 1st and July 25th, Death of all causes.
00:08:20.000If you're over the age of 85, 467,000 people died in that period above the age of 85 in this country, and 44,000 of them died of COVID.
00:08:32.000In fact, that's the single largest population group in terms of who died from COVID, is people above the age of 85.
00:08:38.000Out of the 6.5 million Americans who are in that age group, some 44,000 people died in that age group.
00:08:43.000And it is by far, by a plurality, the largest age group for death.
00:08:48.000That doesn't mean that each one of those deaths isn't a tragedy.
00:08:50.000It means that when you're trying to figure out who goes back to work, 85-year-olds are not the ones who are staffing the workplace.
00:08:55.000Now again, if you've got underlying conditions, if you've got obesity or diabetes, then maybe you should think about distancing and wearing a mask and doing all the things that you should do.
00:09:05.000But if you're younger, I think that all the talk about how we can never talk herd immunity, we can never, like, I don't know what everybody's plan is.
00:10:05.000You should take precautions to make sure that people who are vulnerable don't get it.
00:10:09.000We are now making risk calculations, not based on any hard data.
00:10:12.000We are making risk calculations based on the panic porn put out there by the media.
00:10:15.000And yes, by some public health experts, whose literal job, like a lawyer, you know, I've been, I've acted as a lawyer.
00:10:20.000Your job as a lawyer is risk mitigation.
00:10:22.000You go to your client and say, here are all the risks, right, in your business.
00:10:25.000And we need to take care of all of those risks.
00:10:27.000If you are a quote unquote health policy expert, your job is to mitigate risk to human life.
00:10:32.000And if that means scaring people, then you scare people.
00:10:34.000And if it means kind of overstating the case a little bit, then you do that too.
00:10:38.000But you are never asked to take into account the countervailing problems with locking down entire societies, which we'll discuss in just one second.
00:10:44.000First, let's talk about the fact that right now you're paying too much for your wireless.
00:10:49.000Now, can you really afford to pay too much for your... Can you afford to pay too much for anything right now?
00:10:56.000What if I told you Pure Talk USA uses the exact same network as one of those carriers, the same towers, the same exact coverage, but literally costs you half?
00:11:31.000There is no reason to waste money on gigs of data you ain't using.
00:11:35.000There is no reason why you should be spending like up to twice as much on your cell phone bill when you could be spending half as much using PureTalk.
00:11:42.000And when you get that, when you do that, you get an amazing deal.
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00:11:47.000You're talking about unlimited talk, text, and two gigs of data all for just $20 a month.
00:11:52.000The average person saving 400 bucks a year on their wireless bill by using pure talk pound 250 say keyword Ben Shapiro to make the magic happen for you.
00:11:59.000Okay, so again, all we heard for literally months was Arizona, Florida, Texas, we're all going to die.
00:13:01.000You can see New York just got overwhelmed.
00:13:03.000New York got hit really hard, and more than anything, New York did not protect its elderly homes, and that meant a lot of elderly people died.
00:13:11.000Elderly people are the people who are mostly dying from this, again.
00:13:14.000The number of Americans who have died of this disease total under the age of 55 in the United States, at least as reported as of mid-July by the CDC, under 11,000 out of 100,000.
00:13:26.000This is a disease that is mostly killing elderly people.
00:13:30.000That does not mean it's not dangerous.
00:13:31.000It doesn't mean don't be careful for the thousandth time.
00:13:34.000Okay, so Florida and Arizona and Texas, you've also started to see the cases come down.
00:13:38.000Go back to that other chart for a second.
00:13:49.000It spiked in terms of cases and spiked in terms of death.
00:13:51.000And then you can see on that red dotted line, Arizona, Florida, and Texas, they spiked in terms of cases.
00:13:57.000and they kind of gradually rose in terms of death.
00:14:00.000And now, presumably, all of this will start to recede as the trailing indicator that is death, you know, goes up a little bit, and then it'll start to come down again.
00:14:08.000This is all courtesy of covidtracking.com.
00:14:10.000And then you can look at the second wave up.
00:14:15.000You can also look at when you compare cases and deaths on the same scale and access.
00:14:22.000So here is the media telling you, you know, exactly how bad things were going to be in terms of cases and deaths.
00:14:28.000You can see the deaths remained extraordinarily low throughout, right?
00:14:33.000They have remained very, very low throughout.
00:14:34.000The cases created this huge mountain of cases, mainly identified cases.
00:14:38.000Lots of asymptomatics were being identified here.
00:14:40.000Lots of cases that were not particularly dangerous.
00:14:43.000And I think here we should note that there is this weird tendency out there to think that if a person who's 30 gets COVID and then recovers from it, something bad just happened.
00:14:51.000If a person got COVID and they're 30 and they recovered from it and they're not harmed by it, an extraordinarily good thing happened, not just for the person, not just because they're Superman and can walk around, but also because that person is no longer capable of carrying the disease.
00:15:03.000The way that you approach herd immunity is by making people not able to carry around the disease, not to be vectors of transmission.
00:15:09.000Now, you can see here, by the way, on this chart, again, courtesy of covidtracking.com, from you know and Weiss, who does a great job putting these charts together.
00:15:17.000You can see exactly how the lockdowns had no effect in Arizona, Florida, and Texas.
00:15:23.000And then, as soon as the protests began, you can see the thing starts to spike.
00:16:07.000You're starting to see spikes in Alaska.
00:16:10.000It turns out that basically everybody's gonna get hit by this, and the only thing you can do is protect the vulnerable.
00:16:16.000Which, by the way, was the recommendation in terms of policy that I've been putting out there for literally months.
00:16:21.000I mean, I had a full episode devoted to the idea of what two Israeli scientists called controlled avalanche early on.
00:16:26.000Their suggestion was, if you're gonna approach herd immunity, the way you approach herd immunity is you actually want people who are younger to get it and not pass it to older people.
00:16:35.000If you're a part of a non-vulnerable population, it is a very good thing for you to have it.
00:16:43.000But in terms of approaching herd immunity, just in the same way that a vaccine... Look, you may never get the disease that you get the vaccine for.
00:16:49.000The vaccine is an attempt to prevent you from becoming a vector of transmission for that disease.
00:16:53.000And that's why people have vaccinations.
00:16:56.000The same thing holds true when it comes to herd immunity and getting something like COVID.
00:16:59.000This doesn't mean you should willy-nilly go out and have COVID parties, because again, we don't know all the risks at this point, but here's the reality of it.
00:17:06.000As this thing makes its way through the population, there's no way to stop it.
00:17:09.000And anyone who is telling you that there is a clear, obvious way to stop it is wrong.
00:17:12.000Japan is seeing a spike in cases right now.
00:17:14.000Japan has extraordinarily high levels of both masking and of social listening, people who obey the rules, basically.
00:17:39.000So if kids all get this, and pass it to each other, and don't kill their parents, which, by the way, we have not seen a lot of evidence of transmission from kids to parents, There's one lab study that came out over the weekend suggesting that kids can pass it and have the ability to pass it, but there are studies in Switzerland and Iceland and Australia and Sweden suggesting kids are really not passing this thing very much.
00:17:59.000Okay, then schools are actually a great way of taking an entire population off the table as carriers of the disease with the ability to pass it.
00:18:19.000And they're putting out not great information.
00:18:21.000So for example, Dr. Fauci, who again, I think he's doing the best he can.
00:18:24.000I think the man is an American hero for his work on HIV.
00:18:27.000I also think that his assessment of the situation throughout has been dicey.
00:18:33.000I think he has made mistakes, for sure.
00:18:35.000And I think that the fact that Fauci will say things like, we need to lock down harder, while simultaneously refusing to answer questions about protests that probably seeded huge increases in places like California.
00:18:46.000There's something overtly political to that.
00:18:48.000Anyway, here is Anthony Fauci, late last week, testifying before Congress and saying, our big problem in the United States is we didn't lock down harder like Europe.
00:18:56.000If you look at what happened in Europe when they shut down or locked down or went to shelter in place, however you want to describe it, they really did it to the tune of about 95 plus percent of the country did that.
00:19:09.000When you actually look at what we did, even though we shut down, even though it created a great deal of difficulty, we really functionally shut down only about 50 percent in the sense of the totality of the country.
00:19:24.000Okay, but most of the country didn't have caseloads like this.
00:19:28.000And by the way, he happens not to be right about this.
00:19:30.000Like on an actual level, he happens not to be right about this.
00:19:33.000The United States The United States shut down about the same level in terms of voluntary social distancing as Germany.
00:19:41.000Apple does this thing they call mobility trends.
00:19:44.000Mobility trends are basically they use their data to track how people are making routing requests.
00:20:48.000The difference between the United States and Germany is not the level of lockdown.
00:20:51.000The difference between the United States and Germany is that this thing was not seeded all that heavily in Germany.
00:20:55.000It was very heavily seeded in the United States by early March.
00:20:59.000The first cases known in the United States were happening by late January.
00:21:03.000Which is why, once it exploded in New York, it really exploded in New York.
00:21:07.000Again, the experts, a lot of the things the experts are saying here just do not seem to jibe with the scientific reality.
00:21:15.000And again, you have to ask, which experts?
00:21:17.000Because there are plenty of experts who disagree with the idea that lockdowns are the be-all end-all here.
00:21:21.000And if we ever hope to come out of this thing, I think that this pipe dream that we're going to lock down until there's a vaccine, I don't know what anybody's talking about.
00:21:46.000They were not being threatened in terms of ICU.
00:21:47.000I mean, I asked the nurses, are you being threatened in terms of ICU?
00:21:50.000By the way, thank God, I am COVID negative.
00:21:52.000And I say, thank God, not because I was experiencing heavy symptoms or anything, but because my parents, who are in their 60s, were very careful about this stuff, right?
00:21:59.000I didn't want to be COVID positive, because then I would have had to isolate and all of that.
00:22:04.000If you have it, go isolate if you are near elderly people particularly, but generally, because you don't want this thing passing willy-nilly throughout society in ways that you can't control.
00:22:12.000Two, young people should go back to work.
00:22:15.000Young people who are healthy, young people should go back to work.
00:22:18.000And this is why the conversation happening about schools right now is not in any way related to reality.
00:22:24.000Wear the masks, socially distance, try not to pass this thing because Realistically speaking, what you don't want is what you call sort of an epidemic overhang, where if you hit herd immunity at, let's say, 30%, it moves so fast through the population, it takes out 35% of the population without it moving slowly.
00:22:40.000You kind of want to slowly approach herd immunity.
00:22:43.000But the notion that we're going to lock down forever, like even in Germany, they're looking at this going, no, we're not.
00:22:49.000Francis said we're not re-locking down.
00:22:50.000So I don't know what the hell we're talking about here.
00:22:52.000We're gonna get to more of this in just one second.
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00:24:07.000When there are people that I've had on this show, who I consider to be experts on all of this, who I think are just scaring the living hell out of people, and I don't know what they are saying is supremely useful.
00:24:16.000So, Dr. Deborah Birx, over the weekend, she did a bunch of interviews.
00:24:19.000This is after Nancy Pelosi ripped her up and down for apparently being some sort of Trump stooge, which is just insane.
00:24:23.000Nancy Pelosi has the amount of information in that brain could fit probably on the head of a pin.
00:24:30.000Almost certainly inside the brain of an ass.
00:24:33.000In any case, here was Dr. Deborah Birx explaining that the virus is extraordinarily widespread.
00:24:46.000It's into the rural as equal urban areas.
00:24:49.000And to everybody who lives in a rural area, you are not immune or protected from this virus.
00:24:55.000Nobody is saying that anybody is protected from this virus.
00:24:58.000Nobody is saying that anybody is protected from this virus.
00:25:00.000But the sort of, like, panic that you're all going to die if you get the virus, and that the virus is going to kill you if you're young and you're healthy, so you got to stay out of school.
00:25:07.000This is what's leading to the insanity of teachers in Iowa sending the governor of Iowa their own obituaries, their obituaries, saying that they're going to die if they go back to school.
00:25:16.000The data on this is extraordinarily lacking.
00:25:19.000Canada has been sending people back to school.
00:25:21.000Sweden never shut down its schools, is my understanding.
00:25:25.000The only case that we know of in which there was an outbreak at a school was in Israel and we still don't know whether the kids were passing it to the adults.
00:25:30.000And also there's a difference between kids under the age of 10 and kids over the age of 10.
00:25:54.000I talked to several doctors, and what they suggested is when my parents come over, my parents should socially distance outside, and they should be wearing N95 masks.
00:26:10.000So I want the best of both worlds, which at this point means protect my parents, but make sure that my kids can also do the things they need to do.
00:26:18.000But more importantly, if you're in multi-generational households and there's an outbreak in your rural area or in your city, you need to really consider wearing a mask at home, assuming that you're positive if you have individuals in your households with comorbidities.
00:26:34.000This epidemic right now is different and it's more widespread and it's both rural and urban.
00:26:41.000Okay, so again, she is right about this with regard to the people with comorbidities.
00:26:44.000If my parents were not over, I would not be wearing a mask.
00:27:38.000About 7,500 Americans die every day in the United States, which is a pretty large number of Americans.
00:27:43.000I mean, what that means is essentially that every single year in the United States, 2.7 million people die.
00:27:50.000But when Berks says the COVID death toll could hit 300,000, you just look at that number in isolation, you'd think you can translate that to risk in your head.
00:28:13.000Anything is possible if we don't have all... You know, public health is called public health because it has a public component.
00:28:20.000And we need all of the public to help us get control of this virus.
00:28:25.000And again, the notion that simply stating raw numbers or putting out vague data like, well, something bad could happen, that is not helpful, not in the slightest.
00:28:37.000Scott Gottlieb, who again has been a guest on the show.
00:28:39.000These people have been guests on my shows, okay?
00:28:40.000So I really respect their opinions, and they have more data than I am, which is why it's very frustrating when I feel like the data they are conveying is actually less specific than the data they've conveyed on my own shows.
00:28:49.000And honestly, some of that I gotta put on the media.
00:28:51.000We're not asking the only questions that people truly care about.
00:29:11.000When it comes to schooling, why is it that the only people who are discussing at length the studies are not the people at CNN who are just writing stupid chyrons?
00:29:18.000It's people like me who are actually looking at the studies from Switzerland and Iceland and Australia.
00:29:23.000Here's Scott Gottlieb saying we need to treat teachers as frontline workers.
00:29:27.000We have to think of teachers as frontline workers.
00:29:29.000Again, all of that is fine, but the notion that teachers are at inordinate risk of contracting this thing from children is nuts.
00:29:34.000Teachers are at more risk Of getting this thing from going out to like a normal restaurant and eating indoors than they are.
00:29:39.000Of getting it from kids by virtually all available data.
00:29:44.000So there's anecdotes and experiences on both sides of this debate, I think, to counsel enough caution that if we do reopen schools, and I think we should try to, and I think many parts of the country will have that opportunity, we should take every precaution to try to prevent outbreaks.
00:29:57.000And that also includes protecting teachers.
00:29:59.000Teachers need to be thought of as frontline workers in these situations and given proper protective equipment and ways to keep themselves safe in the classroom.
00:30:08.000OK, there are ways that if you are particularly vulnerable, that is the case.
00:30:17.000And if you're worried, then zoom into the classroom, as my friend John Podhoretz suggested.
00:30:20.000Now, the reason that I've gone on about this for so long here is because there's this push now for new lockdowns by a variety of different sources.
00:30:28.000And there are people who are suggesting lockdowns, and then as an economic solution, they are suggesting that we just pay endless amounts of money.
00:30:35.000None of this is what was preached at the beginning.
00:30:37.000The goalposts have shifted so wildly at this point.
00:30:39.000And if you think that the vaccine is coming from heaven to save you, if you think that one day we're all just going to wake up and the vaccine is going to be ready, and it's going to be January 2021, and the entire American population is just going to be vaccinated, and boom, this is no longer a threat on the horizon, as opposed to this sort of becomes background noise, I don't know what to tell you.
00:30:57.000Even the Washington Post isn't going to hold your hand on that one.
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00:32:09.000All righty, we're gonna get to more of this in just one second.
00:32:12.000Even the Washington Post is like, guys, if you're waiting for a vaccine, you could be waiting for a while.
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00:33:58.000Alrighty, so the reason I'm focusing on this is because the status quo is not sustainable.
00:34:09.000We can't just keep spending money like this.
00:34:11.000We cannot keep pumping out trillions of dollars in cash we don't have.
00:34:14.000We cannot pay people to stay out of work.
00:34:15.000This is not the way that a free economy runs.
00:34:18.000It is not the way a free country runs, frankly.
00:34:20.000And let's be honest, the reason that you saw millions of people in the streets over George Floyd, I would hazard to say some of that was about Real do-gooderism by a small group of people.
00:34:31.000And some of it was, you locked us in our homes for three months and then you told us that we are doing good for the world by partying in the streets.
00:34:36.000If you look at the video, half of it was a party.
00:34:38.000People were doing yoga classes, people were doing dance parties, and they were being lauded for it by the media.
00:35:13.000Again, you're comparing apples to oranges when you look at places that never had a high level of seeding in the first place.
00:35:19.000If you look at a country that only had a couple of cases, or if you look at a country that had the Asian strain of this pandemic as opposed to the European strain of this pandemic, there were two strains, one is much more infectious, then you are comparing apples to oranges.
00:35:30.000And by the way, even in many of the places that originally had only the Asian strain, now the European strain has been reimported and you're seeing case growth.
00:35:37.000But is the vaccine going to save us all?
00:35:38.000According to the Washington Post, quote, In the public imagination, the arrival of a coronavirus vaccine looms large.
00:35:44.000It's the neat Hollywood ending to the grim, agonizing uncertainty of everyday life in a pandemic.
00:35:48.000But public health experts are discussing amongst themselves a new worry that hopes for a vaccine may be soaring too high.
00:35:54.000The confident depiction by politicians and companies that a vaccine is imminent and inevitable may give people unrealistic beliefs about how soon the world can return to normal and could lead to resistance to simple strategies that can damp down transmission and save lives in the short term.
00:36:08.000I would also say that if you are of the belief a vaccine is absolutely imminent, this will also lead you to believe that you can hide in your home and be paid by the government until the vaccine comes.
00:36:18.000By the way, I have much more faith in therapeutics than I do in a vaccine.
00:36:21.000I have a lot of faith in therapeutics.
00:36:23.000We've already seen the hospital death rate drop by like 80% according to Oxford.
00:36:28.000Because of drugs like remdesivir, because of simple tactics like not using ventilators nearly as often, by using machines that can measure your oxygen levels as soon as you get into the hospital so we know faster exactly what is going on with you.
00:36:42.000And there are certain treatments that have just gotten better.
00:36:44.000There are new therapeutics that are set to come online.
00:36:46.000I know Israel is examining a therapeutic right now that's already FDA approved that they say could theoretically reduce the impact of coronavirus down to essentially a common cold, which would mean this is over.
00:36:57.000You know, there are therapeutics that could come along here, but counting on the vaccine is like the magic day.
00:37:03.000According to the Washington Post, two coronavirus vaccines entered the final stages of human testing last week, a scientific speed record that prompted top government health officials to utter words such as historic and astounding.
00:37:15.000Pharmaceutical executives predicted to Congress in July that vaccines may be available as soon as October or before the end of the year.
00:37:21.000As the plotline advances, so do expectations.
00:37:23.000If people can just muddle through a few more months, the vaccine will land, the pandemic will end, everyone can throw their masks away.
00:37:28.000But best-case scenarios have not materialized throughout the pandemic, and experts foresee a long path ahead.
00:37:34.000Yonatan Grad, an assistant professor of infectious diseases and immunology at Harvard University T.H.
00:37:38.000Chan School of Public Health says, it seems to me unlikely that a vaccine is an off switch or a reset button, or you go back to pre-pandemic times.
00:37:45.000Or as Columbia University virologist, Angela Rasmussen puts it, it's not like we're going to a land in Oz.
00:37:51.000The declaration that a vaccine has been shown safe and effective will be the beginning, not an end.
00:37:54.000Deploying the vaccine to people in the U.S.
00:37:56.000and around the world will test and strain distribution networks, the supply chain, public trust, global cooperation.
00:38:01.000It will take months or more likely years to reach enough people to make the world safe.
00:38:05.000For those who do get a vaccine, as soon as shots become available, protection won't be immediate.
00:38:09.000It takes weeks for the immune system to call up full platoons of disease-fighting antibodies.
00:38:14.000Many vaccine technologies will require a second shot weeks after the first to raise immune defenses.
00:38:18.000Immunity could be short-lived or partial.
00:38:21.000Well then, it seems to me that the media's focus on the vaccine and the idea that a vaccine is going to be the be-all end-all has been deeply irresponsible, has it not?
00:38:29.000I mean, it seems like maybe we should have known this up front so that we can make provision for the now.
00:38:34.000Would that not be a smart thing to do?
00:38:36.000A vaccine that mainly lessens the severity of the disease might be directed at older people and others at greatest risk for the worst outcomes.
00:38:44.000One that prevents infections well but doesn't work as well in older people might be directed to younger people.
00:38:48.000We just don't know, is the bottom line.
00:38:50.000According to Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, he says, if you're talking about throwing arms around each other sitting with 67,000 people at a Philadelphia Eagles game, I'd imagine that would take a couple of years.
00:39:42.000But if you protested in the United States, the media declared that you just wanted to kill Grandma.
00:39:46.000If you protested for George Floyd, based on the statistical anomaly George Floyd represented, and based on the idea that black people are an existential threat in the United States, the media celebrated you while you violated all pandemic rules.
00:39:57.000If you went to Grandma's funeral, then you were selfish.
00:39:59.000If you went to celebrate John Lewis's life, you were good, because John Lewis is an important figure.
00:40:04.000If you went to a funeral for Grandma, then you were very, very bad.
00:40:08.000And mostly, if you're an anti-lockdown protester, you're basically akin to a terrorist because you were stumping for grandma to die.
00:40:13.000So what do you make of Berlin exactly?
00:40:15.000According to the BBC, around 20,000 people joined a Berlin protest on Saturday.
00:40:21.000Organizers had billed the event as a day of freedom from Germany's restrictive lockdown measures.
00:40:25.000That includes a mandatory masking order.
00:40:28.000Protesters, the outlet noted, carry signs that said things like, we are being forced to wear a muzzle because of the mask mandate.
00:40:34.000A seemingly surprised BBC, according to Daily Wire, said some participants were from the far right.
00:40:39.000Some were conspiracy theorists who don't believe that COVID-19 exists.
00:40:41.000Others were ordinary people who simply object to the government's approach to the pandemic.
00:40:44.000By the way, you can always tell by the media coverage which side they are on.
00:40:47.000When it's a protest that breaks into riots that shut down all of Los Angeles County for a week, it's mostly peaceful.
00:40:53.000When there's an anti-lockdown protest that contains a few nuts carrying I-don't-believe-in-COVID-19 signs, then you lead with that.
00:41:01.000Few of the marchers wore masks or maintained strict social distancing in accordance with Germany's anti-coronavirus restrictions.
00:42:05.000You think they're just going to stay home?
00:42:08.000Yes, that's called an incentive, Martha.
00:42:09.000Here's Martha Raddatz not understanding basic human rationales.
00:42:15.000There's no question, in certain cases, where we're paying people more to stay home than to work, that's created issues in the entire economy.
00:42:25.000But let me just say you have to look at all these things.
00:42:27.000I want to interrupt you there for just one second.
00:42:31.000A Yale study from this month refutes that, saying many economists who have studied the benefits said that so far they don't see any evidence in labor market data that the payments are affecting the rate at which people are returning to work during the pandemic.
00:42:45.000I mean, I don't even know how you would measure that.
00:43:19.000I'm gonna go to work anyway for $300 a week.
00:43:21.000Nancy Pelosi, crazy person, on ABC's This Week.
00:43:25.000It's essential for America's working families.
00:43:28.000And again, to condescend, to disrespect their motivation is so amazing how how insistent the Republicans are about a working family and their six hundred dollars and how cavalier they are about other money that is going out.
00:44:04.000But again, this is this is the narrative.
00:44:06.000The narrative is you can stay home forever until there's a vaccine and the government will pay you, which seems to me mostly political and having nothing to do with actual reality.
00:44:13.000Meanwhile, by the way, things that you are allowed to do in the streets are you can burn crap and apparently rob people.
00:44:20.000So over the weekend, Minneapolis police told people they informed residents of the third precinct to prepare to surrender their belongings According to a July 28th email provided to Alpha News Minnesota, also provided to the Daily Wire, the Minneapolis Police Department offered prevention tips to residents, hoping to avoid being a victim of the skyrocketing cases of robbery and carjacking that have plagued the city since George Floyd's death in May.
00:44:43.000The email says, Robberies and carjackings have increased in the precinct.
00:44:46.000Cell phones, purses, and vehicles are being targeted.
00:44:49.000Some victims have been maced, dragged, assaulted, and some threatened with a gun.
00:44:53.000Downtown and Southwest Minneapolis have seen an increase as well.
00:44:55.000We want those who live and work here to be safe.
00:44:58.000The email then goes on to list several tips that citizens can supposedly use to protect themselves, which also includes, like, just giving robbers what they want.
00:45:14.000Everything is going incredibly, incredibly well.
00:45:16.000Meanwhile, the Portland rioters got wilder as some of the feds started to withdraw from Portland over the weekend.
00:45:23.000Fox News reported more than 150 rounds were fired.
00:45:25.000One woman was shot in Portland Friday night, while protesters on Saturday, some of whom appeared to impersonate press, threw glass bottles and shined lasers at city police officers sent to quell the nighttime unrest witnessed for more than two months straight.
00:45:40.000Some members of the media tried to pretend that this wasn't happening.
00:45:43.000The New York Times' Nicholas Kristof claimed that peace had broken out.
00:45:52.000Our wonderful media telling you that lockdowns are possible forever, we can continue to just pay money, and also riots don't exist that are figment of your imagination.
00:45:58.000Meanwhile, by the way, anarchists in Portland finally got to what they've actually wanted to do for a while.
00:46:02.000They were just burning copies of the Bible.
00:46:27.000President Trump has a lot that he can run on.
00:46:29.000It's gonna require him to actually be focused, as I've been saying for a while.
00:46:33.000But it seems like there's a new movement out there, and it's a very weird, odd, strange movement, and that is to cosplay revolution.
00:46:41.000Over the weekend, there's this new narrative that has emerged, and it's real weird and it's a little scary, of Democrats and members of the media suggesting that if Trump Doesn't win.
00:46:49.000He's going to be forced to leave by the military.
00:46:51.000And it's like at this point, they're sort of rooting for a revolution.
00:46:54.000Now, listen, I think that it was idiotic and horrible of Trump last week to essentially suggest that we should postpone the election or that he could postpone the election.
00:47:04.000But do I really believe that if Trump loses, he ain't gonna vacate the White House and we're gonna end with like an armed standoff at the White House, a la the coup in the Soviet Union against Mikhail Gorbachev or something?
00:47:15.000Like, is that where I think this is going?
00:47:17.000No, I don't think this is where this is going, but Democrats seem like eager for this.
00:47:21.000James Clyburn, who's very, very radical, over the weekend, congressman from South Carolina, saying that if Trump loses, he's not gonna peacefully transfer power.
00:47:28.000It's that they're rooting for chaos and dissolution.
00:47:34.000I believe very strongly that this guy never had any idea about being one to peacefully transfer power.
00:47:45.000I don't think he plans to leave the White House.
00:47:48.000He doesn't plan to have fair and unfettered elections.
00:47:52.000OK, this is crazy talk, but if this is if you have created such a villain in the president of the United States that it allows you to say lockdown forever, if it allows you to say that kneeling for the national anthem is good and burning flags is good and burning Bibles is good and that he's such a threat to democracy, he's never going to leave the White House.
00:48:09.000I mean, that does allow you to get away with nearly anything.
00:48:14.000She said over the weekend that Trump, she also put this out there, that Trump won't leave.
00:48:19.000And what a journalistic heroine is April Ryan.
00:48:20.000When Trump went after her, obviously he was only going after her on the basis of race, not on the fact, not on the basis of the fact that she's a garbage journalist.
00:48:46.000If Joe Biden is now going to be the 46th president of the United States, you will have him being inaugurated and watching police and armed forces trying to pull Donald Trump out of the White House.
00:48:59.000No wonder she can't wait for that split screen.
00:49:01.000Again, this is the fantasy that Democrats are living in.
00:49:04.000Because if Donald Trump is the kind of guy who needs to be pulled out of the White House this way, it justifies all the nastiness, all the bad policy, all the nonsense that's been going on the last few months in the United States.
00:49:49.000The Ben Shapiro Show is produced by Colton Haas, executive producer Jeremy Boring, supervising producer Mathis Glover and Robert Sterling, assistant director Pavel Lydowsky, technical producer Austin Stevens, playback and media operated by Nick Sheehan, associate producer Katie Swinnerton, edited by Adam Sajovic, audio is mixed by Mike Koromina, hair and makeup is by Nika Geneva.
00:50:09.000The Ben Shapiro Show is a Daily Wire production, copyright Daily Wire 2020.
00:50:13.000You know, the Matt Wall Show, it's not just another show about politics.
00:50:17.000I think there are enough of those already out there.
00:50:19.000We talk about culture, because culture drives politics, and it drives everything else.
00:50:24.000So my main focuses are life, family, faith.
00:50:28.000Those are fundamental, and that's what this show is about.