Joe Biden believes that Donald Trump is a "sick f#ck" and that he is going to win the 2024 election based on one simple idea: Donald Trump thinks that too. This is literally what he says behind closed doors, according to a report from Politico. Joe Biden has a reputation for salty language, but it nearly slipped out in public during a speech at Valley Forge last month to mark the 3rd anniversary of the January 6th insurrection, where he derided Donald Trump and his supporters for drawing glee from political violence. But in private, he does not actually stop short. The president has described Trump to longtime friends and close aides as a sick fck who delights in others' misfortunes, say three people who have heard the president use the profane description. Not only that, Joe Biden is failing as a mental force, and he has begun to buy into the lies that he s been telling for years, to the point where he just repeats the mad-unadulterated nonsense that s been told over and over again. And because of that, he may believe it at this point, even though the polling data is pointing to Donald Trump being on his way to victory in the election in in 2024, and Donald Trump actually has a lead over Joe Biden in the race to be the next president of the USA in 2024. and Joe Biden doesn t even seem to be in control of his own mind anymore. And that s not only of his mind anymore, but of his body, which is in a constant state of shock and disbelief that he can t seem to remember that he's actually won the election in 2016, and that it s going to be his last chance to win it in 2020. And that's not even close to being able to remember his son Beau Biden s name in the first place. and that s why he s telling the truth about his son, Beau Biden died in Iraq. And why it s so important that he doesn t tell the truth, and why he should be honored posthumously even though it s not even mention it in his phone call to the family of his late daughter, who died in honor of his daughter, a woman who lost her in a helicopter crash in Iraq in 2015. . He s not the only one who has been lied to, you know? And he s not just lying to them about Beau, he s lying about it.
00:00:15.000According to Politico, President Biden has a reputation for salty language behind closed doors, but it nearly slipped out in public during his speech at Valley Forge last month to mark the third anniversary of the January 6th insurrection.
00:00:25.000Animated and angry, he derided Donald Trump and his followers for drawing glee from political violence.
00:00:31.000He apparently came very close to saying, what a sick bleep.
00:00:34.000But in private, he does not actually stop short.
00:00:36.000The president has described Trump to longtime friends and close aides as a sick f*** who delights in others' misfortunes, according to three people who have heard the president use the profane description.
00:00:45.000According to one of the people who has spoken with the president, Biden recently said of Trump that he was a So this apparently is the way that Joe Biden thinks of Donald Trump.
00:00:55.000And because of that, Joe Biden simply cannot believe that Donald Trump is actually poised to win the 2024 election.
00:02:16.000So, for example, two days ago, He called up the family of an army specialist who had just been killed by Iranian proxy forces in Jordan.
00:02:27.000And in the middle of this call to the parents, he attempted to do this routine that he's been doing for a long time where he demonstrates sympathy, not by actually sympathizing, but by talking about his own experiences, which, by the way, is actually not how you do sympathy.
00:02:41.000Typically speaking, I mean, unfortunately, I've been to a lot of Shiva households, right?
00:02:44.000People have died and you go and you visit the grieving family members.
00:02:48.000And when people are grieving, the last thing they want to hear is about your grief experience.
00:02:52.000It's not something they particularly want to hear about because they're in their own grief experience.
00:02:55.000In any case, Joe Biden does that routinely, but he doesn't just do that.
00:02:59.000He also, when he is talking to the families of service members who've been killed, he lies to them.
00:03:05.000He's been doing this for years at this point, to the point where it's no longer excusable.
00:03:09.000In this particular phone call, which was taped by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, he suggests that his son Beau died in Iraq, which of course is not true.
00:03:16.000Beau Biden tragically died of brain cancer years after returning from Iraq.
00:03:21.000But Joe Biden has been telling this fib for so long that he may believe it at this point.
00:05:08.000He's a 35 percent approval rating among people who are 18 to 34.
00:05:12.000Among white voters, he's at 34 percent approval rating.
00:05:16.000Even among people of color, 45% approval rating.
00:05:20.000These are terrible numbers for Joe Biden.
00:05:22.000So his conundrum is, how can he possibly win this election?
00:05:26.000Now, his strategy in 2020 was changed by one simple fact, and that is the change in the voting rules.
00:05:32.000As I've discussed ad nauseum, the fact is that voter turnout in 2020 was leagues higher, leagues higher than it had been any time in the recent past.
00:05:42.000The voter turnout in that election was extraordinary.
00:05:47.000You saw a jump in election turnout of at least almost 10%.
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00:08:38.000If you lose votes between your first election and your second election, typically you lose.
00:08:41.000And that is probably what's going to happen with Joe Biden given the trends.
00:08:46.000That is particularly true because Joe Biden has decided that he is basically going to abandon blue-collar white voters.
00:08:52.000The Democratic Party has been taken over since 2012 by this vision, and it's defined both parties, actually.
00:08:57.000We've talked about it a lot on the show.
00:08:59.000There's a vision that was promoted by the media and by the Obama campaign in 2012, and that vision was an everlasting Democratic majority forever, and it was going to be demographically based.
00:09:09.000The idea was there was a rising minority coalition that would eventually become a demographic majority in the United States, and they would never lose another election.
00:09:16.000You could abandon white voters increasingly, and you could build a coalition on the basis of minority voters and college-educated white ladies.
00:09:22.000That was the coalition that Barack Obama rode to victory in 2012 despite being a deeply unpopular president at the time.
00:09:29.000But that relies on really heavy turnout from groups that very often do not turn out at those rates.
00:09:35.000Everybody read 2012 as a new trend line year.
00:09:39.000Instead, it turns out that 2012 is exceptional in terms of voter turnout for a wide variety of groups because Barack Obama was a singular political character.
00:09:48.000But that can't be duplicated by Hillary Clinton.
00:09:53.000Again, the only reason Joe Biden won in 2020 is because all the rules of voting changed and people, marginal voters, low propensity voters, people who would not show up to the polling place if it were a normal election, simply filled out their ballots and were sending it in because of COVID.
00:10:09.000I'm just going to go through some of the stats here because it demonstrates what exactly Joe Biden is hoping for, why he's unlikely to achieve it, and also it explains his current political strategy, which is not to swivel back toward the middle to try and win those White voters in the suburbs to win white voters in rural areas.
00:10:26.000That was supposed to be Joe Biden's pitch, by the way, is that he was supposed to have a rural white appeal that other candidates in the Democratic Party simply did not have.
00:10:33.000And instead, he seems to be duplicating the 2012 Obama campaign.
00:10:37.000But he's not Barack Obama, and he's not going to get the changes in rules they got in 2020.
00:10:42.000So he seems to be increasingly trying to cater to, again, this new vision of what the Democratic Party base should be.
00:10:50.000Right now, the important thing to understand is that non-white voters represent about 40% of all Democratic voters.
00:11:01.000Okay, now, the only reason that matters is because if the priority for the Democratic Party is get that group of voters to turn out at very high rates, that means that you're going to have to pander, presumably, to that group of voters.
00:11:16.000And that group of voters tends to have views on many issues that are left of where Joe Biden traditionally has been.
00:11:23.000The same thing happens if you shoot the youth vote.
00:11:26.00049% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters are under the age of 50, compared with just 42% of Republicans.
00:11:32.000Furthermore, 19% of Democratic voters are under the age of 30, compared with 13% of Republicans.
00:11:39.000So the areas where Democrats really outpoll Republicans, minority voters, and young people.
00:11:44.000The problem for Democrats is that those two groups of voters, historically speaking, have incredibly variable rates of turnout.
00:11:51.000So the white turnout rate, in terms of voter turnout, tends not to vacillate all that much.
00:12:44.000Hillary Clinton probably lost the election because of that.
00:12:47.000And so, in 2020, there's a heavy effort to get out the black vote.
00:12:50.000But the good news was that it wasn't that much effort to get out votes in 2020.
00:12:54.000It was actually quite easy to get out votes in 2020.
00:12:57.000By the way, that also explains why the Democratic Party was pandering so hard to the Black Lives Matter movement.
00:13:02.000Because the idea was if you pander really hard to BLM, then they will act as a voter turnout machine in favor of Joe Biden.
00:13:08.000That's why everybody went soft on the riots in the middle of the summer in 2020 in the Democratic Party.
00:13:15.000And again, voter turnout did rise again.
00:13:17.00059% black voter turnout in 2020, which looks more like the Barack Obama 61% voter turnout for black Americans in 2008 than it does like the 2016 numbers for Hillary Clinton.
00:13:45.000And not only that, there's no personal allegiance in any way, shape or form from people of color in the United States toward old white man Joe Biden.
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00:15:44.000It was 51% in 2008, right, for Barack Obama, which was the year that every young person voted because man, oh man, it was transformative and all this stuff.
00:15:53.000That dropped to 45% in 2012, which is one of the reasons why Barack Obama won fewer absolute votes in 2012 than he did in 2008.
00:16:01.000In 2016, it went down even from there.
00:17:08.000But his team, instead of saying, okay, well, we need to like scrap the strategy, we need to blow up the strategy, we need to look at the numbers, and we need to instead focus on winning suburban white ladies, right, which is what they actually need to do, focus on winning suburban white women, blue-collar workers in Rust Belt states.
00:17:22.000That's where Joe Biden really should be putting his effort, right?
00:17:24.000He should right now stop looking at the Barack Obama 2012 model, and he should start looking at the Bill Clinton 1992-1996 model.
00:17:33.000Which is why you would imagine, if they're smart, later in the summer what you'll see from the Democratic Party is they're going to shift toward industrial policy, welfare policy, and abortion.
00:17:43.000And that'll be the mainstay of the campaign if they get wise.
00:17:47.000If they're not wise, then Joe Biden is going to continue to pander to the most left-wing parts of his base.
00:17:52.000Because he's looking at these numbers the same as you and I are looking at them right now.
00:17:55.000And he's seeing lower voter turnout among young minorities, lower Voter turnout among youth and minorities, rather.
00:18:09.000And that is why there's all of this heartburn over, for example, Israel's war against Hamas in Gaza.
00:18:13.000It's why the Democratic Party seems signaling unable to sound off on the on the southern border, despite the fact that that is a burgeoning, huge problem, not burgeoning, a real, real time, huge problem for the United States.
00:18:28.000Now the problem for Joe Biden, of course, is that if you pander to your left-wing base, you're also alienating that center that you need.
00:18:34.000So Joe Biden is really hoping that the only way that he can hold that coalition together is just to hate Trump.
00:18:38.000Trump's a jerk, Trump's a... This is why, as I've said, Donald Trump's election strategy is very simple.
00:18:43.000He should go to the basement and he should stay there.
00:18:45.000Joe Biden has an unwieldy coalition that is very unlikely to stick together.
00:18:49.000Joe Biden is not going to get the levels of voter turnout that he got in 2020, absent COVID, absent BLM, absent the ability to go after the sitting president, Donald Trump.
00:18:59.000Donald Trump should go to the basement and he should stay there.
00:19:03.000And he will win if he does those things.
00:19:05.000Because the only thing in the end that Joe Biden thinks he can win on really is not even the policy.
00:19:10.000He thinks we can hold together this coalition by hook or by crook with gum and sticky tape.
00:19:16.000If he can do that, And if he can just point at Trump and call him a sick f**k, then that'll win him the election.
00:20:01.000And again, as his presidency gets worse, and as the symptoms of that presidency become worse, he's gonna actually, weirdly enough, be forced more and more to the radical left in the hope, in the desperate hope that he can get the voter turnout on his side up, that he can get people Who are 40% propensity to vote to 50% propensity to vote by pandering to them.
00:20:20.000Which is why, again, we've been saying for a long time, where is the political genius in not closing the border?
00:22:54.000Who exactly is against deporting illegal immigrants who are not here legally and who are committing crimes?
00:23:00.000Here's Eric Adams, the mayor of New York.
00:23:03.000And those migrants who are here because they want to be part of the American dream, we say yes to that.
00:23:09.000But those who are breaking our laws, we need to re-examine the laws that don't allow us to deport them because they're doing violent acts.
00:23:19.000We cannot create an atmosphere where you're going to bring violence in our city.
00:23:23.000But the overwhelming number of migrants and asylum seekers are waiting to have work authorization or their determination, and we need to be clear on that.
00:23:32.000Okay, so even Democrats are starting to say this is too much.
00:23:36.000Okay, but the Democratic Party as a whole cannot abandon what they think is the minority voting base and the youth voting base, which presumably is why there was a vote yesterday in Congress to deport illegal immigrants who commit DUI.
00:24:09.000In fact, that represents a majority of the Democratic caucus.
00:24:11.000Only 59 Democrats joined Republicans in voting to deport illegal immigrants who were caught DUI.
00:24:19.000The bill would make people charged with the DUI and are in the U.S.
00:24:22.000illegally automatically eligible for deportation and permanently inadmissible.
00:24:26.000As Fox News reports, just last month, an undocumented migrant from El Salvador who had been deported four separate times was accused of killing a mom and a son in a car crash that police said involved alcohol.
00:24:37.000So what exactly is the democratic logic here?
00:24:39.000Why exactly wouldn't They vote to deport people who commit DUIs and are here illegally?
00:24:46.000Why don't we let the chair of the Progressive Democratic Caucus, Progressive Congressional Caucus in the Democratic Caucus, Pramila Jayapal, why don't we let her explain?
00:24:56.000But my colleagues on the other side of the aisle have made it clear that they're not interested in sensible solutions, just in sensationalism.
00:25:49.000By the way, this is also the reason why Republicans are having trouble getting on board with any bill that allows more executive discretion with regard to the border.
00:25:57.000They don't want to be held responsible for Joe Biden interpreting that bill in the most absurd possible way to keep that border open.
00:26:04.000There's a lot of infighting in the Republican caucus right now about a border bill that's going to be brought up for a test vote apparently today.
00:26:11.000It's unclear what exactly is in the bill, and we keep hearing from different Republicans in Congress that you can't rip on the bill until you know what's in it.
00:26:18.000Well, how about you can't ask me to support the bill until I know what's in it?
00:26:21.000Because it seems to me that the status quo, which is that Joe Biden should close the border given the authority he currently has, is perfectly sufficient for Joe Biden to close the border.
00:26:29.000The executive branch refusing to do its job is not going to be cured by the legislative branch.
00:26:34.000Passing more authority for the president so that he cannot do his job.
00:26:40.000So unless the legislative branch is forcing the executive branch to actually enforce the law, a new bill is not necessarily going to change anything.
00:26:46.000So we'll have to see what exactly is in that bill.
00:26:49.000But the bottom line here is that Joe Biden is pandering because Joe Biden feels he needs to pander in order to win reelection.
00:26:54.000And the same thing is happening with regard to the Middle East.
00:26:57.000So two separate stories yesterday that are both insane.
00:27:01.000So one story is that Joe Biden desperately, desperately wants to make sure that there is not a broader war in the Middle East while he is running.
00:27:09.000Joe Biden is willing to appease Iran up to the neck so long as Iran doesn't escalate into something resembling more full-scale war.
00:27:17.000He's basically now playing the same game that Barack Obama, in serious re-elect trouble in 2012, played with Dmitry Medvedev, who was then the stand-in president for Vladimir Putin in Russia.
00:27:26.000You'll recall that Barack Obama sat with Medvedev, and he said, I'll have much more flexibility after the election, which was basically him begging Medvedev, tell Putin not to do anything aggressive until after the election.
00:27:36.000And after the election, if he does something aggressive, I'll probably cave to him.
00:27:39.000Which, by the way, is precisely what happened.
00:27:40.000You'll recall that Barack Obama was reelected in 2012, he was inaugurated in 2013, and in 2014, Russia invaded Crimea and the Donbass.
00:27:51.000And Barack Obama did basically nothing.
00:27:54.000And you'll remember that in 2015, Barack Obama drew a red line in Syria and then promptly backed off the red line and handed Syria as essentially a protectorate of Russia.
00:28:02.000So it worked out beautifully for everyone.
00:28:04.000Barack Obama wins re-election, Russia gets exactly what it wants.
00:28:06.000Well, the same thing is now happening with Iran.
00:28:10.000So according to Politico, intelligence officials have calculated that Tehran does not have full control over its proxy groups in the Middle East, including those responsible for attacking and killing U.S.
00:28:18.000troops in recent weeks, according to two U.S.
00:28:22.000We know that Iran is giving the weaponry and the advisory council and members of the IRGC are working hand-in-glove with Hezbollah, Hamas, various groups like the Quds Force, In Iraq and Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, the Iranians are coordinating with all of them.
00:28:39.000The Iranians are giving them their weaponry.
00:28:41.000The Iranians are giving them their money.
00:28:43.000But the intelligence officials are trying to create, they're trying to tunnel a way out of this terrible bind that Biden has put himself in, where his appeasement-oriented Middle Eastern policy has emboldened the Iranians to push on every single front.
00:28:55.000So Joe Biden doesn't actually want to take harsh action against the Iranians that would shut them up because he's afraid That then that will maybe spin into something broader or he's afraid mostly that his own base is going to get mad at him.
00:29:08.000Joe Biden is not afraid of a full scale war with Iran because Iran is not going to go to full scale war with the United States unless they wish to live underground.
00:29:13.000And I mean by that, not live underground, be dead.
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00:30:30.000There are a lot of Muslim voters in Michigan.
00:30:33.000Muslim voters in Michigan are very unified in their hatred for Israel by polling data.
00:30:39.000Muslims in Michigan are very much in favor of an appeasement-oriented, by polling data, an appeasement-oriented policy towards states like Iran in the Middle East.
00:30:48.000And therefore, Joe Biden is trying to find a way to appease.
00:30:52.000So now, he's basically weaponizing his intel officials to say that Iran is not responsible for things that Iran is clearly responsible for.
00:30:59.000Basically, Joe Biden's White House is now a PR agency for Iran.
00:31:07.000After he signed the Iran nuclear deal, then it became incumbent on the United States to pretend that that was actually a good deal.
00:31:12.000And so the Obama administration started to make noise about how Iran was now moderate.
00:31:17.000Iran was now good, even as they pursued spreading terror all over the region.
00:31:21.000Well, now Joe Biden is in the same bind.
00:31:23.000Well, Iran spreads terror over the region.
00:31:26.000Well, Iran is shutting down shipping in the Red Sea.
00:31:28.000Well, Iran is incentivizing Houthi attacks on shipping, and Hezbollah attacks on the north of Israel, and Hamas rocket attacks, attacks on American troops in Jordan.
00:31:45.000Yeah, probably they're not in control.
00:31:47.000That is a way for Joe Biden to escape having to take the harsh action that would be necessary to protect American lives.
00:31:53.000If you don't want forward operating bases for American troops in Jordan, make the case.
00:31:56.000But if you're going to leave them there and then American soldiers die, you do not get to claim that the power behind the killing was not actually the power behind the killing as a way of cowarding out, which is what Joe Biden is doing right now.
00:32:09.000According to Politico, the Quds Force, an elite branch of the IRGC, is responsible for sending weapons and military advisors, as well as intelligence, to support militias in Iraq and Syria, as well as the Houthis in Yemen.
00:32:18.000The groups have varying ambitions and agendas, which sometimes overlap, but Tehran does not appear to have complete authority over their operational decision making.
00:32:27.000While the disclosure means it might be particularly hard to predict what actions the groups will take, it could lower the chances of the U.S.
00:32:31.000getting pulled into a direct confrontation with Iran.
00:32:36.000So we're just going to pretend that the thing isn't happening.
00:32:38.000We're going to pretend that Iran isn't responsible for all of this so as to avoid escalation with Iran because Joe Biden does not want to alienate Muslim voters in Michigan.
00:32:59.000Top Michigan Democrats have pressed Biden for months to spend more time campaigning in their state, according to the Washington Post, but officials have been worried about his visit being overshadowed or interrupted by demonstrators.
00:33:10.000He went to Michigan, he met with the UAW.
00:33:11.000He did not meet with Arab-American voters, but don't worry, he's gonna be sending his surrogates to say the quiet part out loud.
00:33:16.000According to Corinne Jean-Pierre, the White House Press Secretary, she told reporters on Thursday, senior Biden officials will travel to Michigan this month, quote, to hear directly from community leaders on a range of issues that are important to them and their families, including the conflict of Israel and Gaza.
00:33:29.000Last week, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Biden's campaign manager, traveled to Michigan, where she planned to meet with Arab-American elected officials and community leaders.
00:33:38.000Again, Biden is trying to reach out specifically to Michigan Democrats because he is worried that he is going to lose Michigan and then lose the election.
00:33:50.000Entire article in Politico about this.
00:33:53.000President Joe Biden's attempt to lock down many of the young climate-minded voters who supported him in the last election is running aground over the war between Israel and Hamas.
00:34:00.000Biden promised to be the climate president when he won the White House four years ago, but that message is in danger of being drowned out as many of those youthful environmentalists voice their frustration with Biden's refusal to demand an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.
00:34:11.000So again, this all comes... So you would say, as a normal person watching politics, okay, who cares?
00:34:17.000Young people don't turn out to vote all that much anyway.
00:34:18.000Why don't you just redirect your campaign energy toward more fertile grounds?
00:34:36.000Not only that, He and his team have been fairly overtly reaching out to various groups in Michigan that are connected directly with pro-Hamas forces.
00:34:54.000According to the Washington Free Beacon, Chuck Ross reporting, the Biden campaign, in a bid to shore up the president's waning support among the Arab Muslim voters, dispatched campaign manager, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, last week to meet with an Arab American activist who has praised Hamas and refers to the president as, quote, genocide Joe.
00:35:10.000Rodriguez met Friday with Arab-American news publisher Osama Siblani in Dearborn, Michigan.
00:35:15.000Siblani, who carries significant influence in Michigan's Arab community, has an extensive history of praising terrorist groups.
00:35:20.000In 2022, he urged Arabs at a rally with Rashida Tlaib to fight Israel with, quote, stones and guns and praise the fedayeen.
00:35:28.000He has referred to Hamas and Hezbollah as freedom fighters.
00:35:31.000The outreach comes as Siblani and other activists have called to boycott the Biden-Harris ticket over the administration's opposition to a ceasefire in the Hamas war.
00:35:39.000Sablani told the AP his meeting with Rodriguez went very well.
00:35:43.000And not a big shock right there because again, Joe Biden is trying now to cater specifically to this radical voting base, which by catering to the radical voting base, by the way, you're making conflict and death in the Middle East significantly more likely.
00:35:55.000If you shape American foreign policy based on the needs of radical Muslim voters in Michigan who don't like you because you won't stop Israel from defending itself?
00:36:05.000That's likely to make for some pretty bad policy.
00:36:07.000One of those bad policies we'll discuss in just one second.
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00:36:51.000Alrighty, well as we've been talking about Joe Biden's policy across the Middle East, absolute garbage.
00:36:55.000It's what's facilitated all of this from October 7th and beyond.
00:36:59.000Well now, in an attempt to demonstrate that he is a both sides kind of guy, he's unleashed an executive order that is supposedly targeting violent settler extremists.
00:37:10.000If you commit a criminal act against Palestinians in the West Bank, say you beat up a Palestinian in the West Bank, you will be arrested by the Israeli military.
00:37:16.000That is under Israeli military governance.
00:37:18.000If you burn down places in the West Bank, and you're a Jew, you will be arrested by the Israeli military governance.
00:37:24.000There is, in fact, a legal structure for you in that particular area.
00:37:28.000But what the Biden administration has been trying to do ever since October 7th is try to establish a false moral equivalence between Israeli settlers, meaning people who live east of the so-called Green Line in Judea and Samaria, the historic heartland of what used to be the Kingdom of Israel.
00:37:43.000And they're trying to establish a basic equivalence between those people and terrorists in the West Bank and terrorists in the Gaza Strip.
00:37:50.000Many of the statistics that you are seeing about supposed settler violence are falsified or not true.
00:37:55.000Not only that, what the Biden administration is doing right here is making sure, in an executive order, that there is a very fuzzy line between actual criminal activity, which everyone should oppose, and Israeli state policy, which includes allowing people to, for example, build an additional bathroom in a frat.
00:38:10.000Now, the Biden administration has not taken a formal position on what exactly Israel should legally be allowed to build on in areas that Israel currently has military presence in.
00:38:23.000There's never been any sort of agreement between Israel and the Palestinians on which parts of the territory in Judea and Samaria are supposed to be left for a Palestinian state that has never been finalized.
00:38:32.000It was separated under the Oslo Accords into areas A, B, and C. Areas A were given over to the Palestinian Authority to govern.
00:38:38.000That would be like Jenin, Nablus, many of the big Arab cities.
00:38:41.000Area B was supposed to be mixed security control and Area C was supposed to be sort of for further discussion.
00:38:47.000But larger parts of Area C, because there were for further discussion, have been areas of major Jewish settlement.
00:38:52.000About 600,000 Jews who live in Judea and Samaria.
00:38:55.000Well, Joe Biden is attempting to now effectively suggest moral equivalence between settlers writ large.
00:39:01.000That's what he is doing with this executive order.
00:39:04.000And he is opening the door to the most radical members of his coalition to essentially set up a boycott of Israel over disputed territories.
00:39:12.000Historically speaking, many centers of Jewish settlement have been in these areas prior to the existence of the state of Israel.
00:39:19.000The entire Gush Etzion region, for example, would be a good example.
00:39:22.000And then it was obliterated during the 48 war by the Arab armies.
00:39:26.000And then post 67, again, a lot of those areas have been built back up by Jewish areas.
00:39:32.000In any case, Biden signed an executive order on Thursday declaring a national emergency.
00:39:36.000Not sure why it's a national emergency, exactly.
00:39:39.000Allowing him to implement new measures to combat settler violence, including sanctions concurrently announced against four Israeli extremists who carried out acts of violence in the West Bank.
00:39:47.000This is according to the Times of Israel.
00:39:49.000Biden said in the order of the situation in the West Bank, in particular, high levels of extremist settler violence, forced displacement of people in villages and property destruction has reached intolerable levels and constitutes a serious threat to peace, security and stability.
00:40:00.000So basically, this is Joe Biden saying that when terrorists attack Jews, it's because there are some crazy settlers.
00:40:04.000And we're talking about like a small number of people who commit crimes and are then arrested and go to Israeli jail.
00:40:12.000Again, it is important to note here that an extraordinary level of violence exists against settlers in this area by Palestinians.
00:40:18.000A huge number of killings have happened over the past three years in these areas.
00:40:23.000People driving on highways and Palestinian Arab terrorists just shooting them, just murdering them.
00:40:28.000That sort of thing happens, unfortunately, fairly regularly.
00:40:31.000In fact, there are signs off the highway.
00:40:33.000If you go to Judea and Samaria, there are signs off the highway, big red signs, and they say, if you are a Jew, or if you hold an Israeli passport, and you drive into these areas, we cannot protect you.
00:40:54.000But that, of course, is not the view of Joe Biden, who again brings everything back to the centrality of Israeli policy.
00:40:59.000This is one of the great lies that you see on both the far left and on the far right when it comes to foreign policy for any Western state, and that is no one has agency except for the Western state.
00:41:29.000Or, alternatively, Palestinians, 75% of Palestinians, in the West Bank, believe that Israel should be obliterated.
00:41:35.00080% approve of the October 7th attacks.
00:41:40.000And so what Joe Biden is doing here, again, is the predicate to the possibility of much larger action against Israeli ability to live in historic Jewish land.
00:41:48.000And that is, in fact, historic Jewish land.
00:41:50.000Trying to pretend that areas mentioned in the Bible are somehow historic Palestinian land is very, very weird.
00:41:56.000In any case, the sort of message here is pretty clear.
00:42:05.000Israeli officials had already told the Times of Israel last month the security echelon had taken a number of steps to clamp down on the phenomenon of individual settlers committing violence.
00:42:12.000One of the things that you've also seen is the Israeli army will clear what is effectively like a tent village.
00:42:19.000And then that will be declared settler violence.
00:42:22.000The Ten Village doesn't have a legal right to be there.
00:42:25.000And so much of this could be dispelled by simply one drive on Route 60 through Israel, but nobody bothers to do that if you're in the media, so you literally don't know what the hell you're talking about.
00:42:33.000But that's effectively what is happening right here.
00:42:35.000Joe Biden, this is all a ploy to win votes in Michigan.
00:43:00.000Nonfarm payrolls expanded by $353,000 for the month.
00:43:04.000That is about double what the Dow Jones estimate was going to be.
00:43:06.000The unemployment rate remains at 3.7%, which is near historic lows.
00:43:11.000Job growth was widespread in January, led by professional and business services with 74,000.
00:43:15.000Again, that is based on perception of inflation basically being curbed at this point.
00:43:22.000According to George Matteo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank, he says, make no mistake, it was a blowout jobs report.
00:43:27.000It will vindicate the recent posturing by the Fed, which effectively ruled out an interest rate cut in March.
00:43:31.000Moreover, strong job gains combined with faster than expected wage gains may suggest an additional delay in rate cuts for 2024.
00:43:37.000So if the economy holds up, Then, presumably, the Federal Reserve is not going to rush to cut rates, which might reinvigorate inflation.
00:43:46.000The question for the Fed is going to be, when do they start cutting rates again?
00:43:51.000So a lot of the speculation has been that they're going to cut rates directly before the election.
00:43:55.000In an attempt to jog the economy, to boost Biden's re-elect, they're going to do that.
00:43:59.000Obviously, if job growth continues to move at this pace, then they're not going to have to do any of that.
00:44:06.000And I am still skeptical of the state of the American economy.
00:44:09.000I still think that there's another shoe that's going to have to drop here.
00:44:13.000You might just argue that basically prices and wages have now readjusted to the new normal.
00:44:18.000That inflation meant there was more money in the economy.
00:44:21.000The inflation boosted the prices, but people were still spending, and so that boosts the wage growth eventually, and eventually it reaches a new equilibrium.
00:44:32.000There's still massive unsustainable debt packages that are going to come due for the United States.
00:44:36.000So as I've said before, I've been saying this actually for several years, I don't actually think that what you're going to see in the United States is like a deep, long-lasting depression.
00:44:42.000I think what you're going to see is a long-lasting economic stagnation into the future as we sort of reach that new normal of wages and prices.
00:44:51.000Instead, the regulatory impact of what Joe Biden has been doing in a wide variety of industries is going to come home.
00:44:57.000And what you're going to see is lower growth rates, basically Obama-level growth rates, probably for the foreseeable future.
00:45:06.000Meanwhile, the federal government continues to just spend money out the wazoo.
00:45:10.000So there was a bipartisan bill that got passed over the course of the last week that most people are ignoring.
00:45:15.000It's just, you know, like another $78 billion.
00:46:12.000I mean, the fact is that the child tax credit, if you send money to people, people have more money.
00:46:16.000On the other hand, if you disincentivize work, you are not actually allowing people to rise from poverty because what you actually require to rise from poverty in a permanent way is not dependency on government.
00:46:26.000What you actually require is an income trajectory.
00:46:30.000There have been a bunch of studies about the child tax credit.
00:46:32.000Many of them conflict with one another.
00:46:34.000There is one estimate from the University of Chicago, reported by the Cato Institute, that takes behavioral effects into account, meaning people dropping out of the workforce because the child tax credit is available or working fewer hours or whatever.
00:46:45.000What they found is that a larger child tax credit without income requirements would lead 1.5 million workers to stop working.
00:46:52.00083% of those would be the sole owner in the household.
00:46:54.000Which again, those would be single moms.
00:46:55.000And that effect of expanding the CTC would reduce overall child poverty by 22% and would not reduce deep poverty 50% of the poverty line.
00:47:04.000That same study estimated that any reductions in poverty from a larger child tax credit targeted at families without market income would come at a fiscal cost almost double that of other stamps like food stamps.
00:47:13.000So again, one of those things that looks good on paper but isn't particularly useful in practice.
00:47:18.000Alrighty folks, coming up, we are going to be talking about an attempt to censure Representative Ilhan Omar, who, I mean, I gotta say, she's been saying a lot of stuff recently about how she wants to serve Somalia, which is a strange thing.