The Ben Shapiro Show - Democrats ABANDON Barack Obama?!

00:00:00.000 Alrighty, folks, a ton coming up on today's show.

00:00:02.000 We're going to pay tribute to Reverend John MacArthur, who passed away yesterday.

00:00:06.000 Plus, Barack Obama is lecturing the left about why they are losing.

00:00:09.000 And in New York City, Zarin Mamdani continues to maintain a lead.

00:00:13.000 We'll get to all of that.

00:00:14.000 Plus, the new CPI report, President Trump's shift on Ukraine.

00:00:18.000 There's just tons happening in the news.

00:00:19.000 First, everyone is still talking about our latest addition to the Daily Wire, Isabel Brown.

00:00:23.000 Her brand new show premieres this fall exclusively on Daily Wire Plus.

00:00:26.000 But don't worry.

00:00:27.000 There's plenty more on the way as we celebrate a decade of the Daily Wire.

00:00:30.000 Yes, we are celebrating our victories because who doesn't love winning?

00:00:33.000 But we're also fighting harder than ever.

00:00:35.000 The left wants to silence your voice.

00:00:36.000 We make it louder.

00:00:37.000 They want open borders.

00:00:38.000 We demand law and order.

00:00:40.000 They want drag shows for kids. 1.00

00:00:41.000 We make documentaries that expose the truth.

00:00:43.000 They cancel.

00:00:44.000 We create.

00:00:45.000 This is the time to be part of a community that fights back and wins.

00:00:48.000 Go to dailywireplus.com and join the fight today.

00:00:51.000 I want to start today by offering condolences to the family and all of the followers of John MacArthur, the Southern California preacher.

00:01:00.000 And someone who I'd venture to say was a friend of mine.

00:01:03.000 John MacArthur was on the show twice at length, an amazing human being.

00:01:08.000 Of course, he had millions and millions of followers in the Christian community.

00:01:12.000 Christianity Today has a lengthy obituary for John MacArthur, who passed away yesterday afternoon.

00:01:20.000 They say expository preacher John MacArthur, who taught scripture to millions through tape sermons, radio broadcasts, Bible commentaries, and a best-selling study Bible, died Monday at the age of 86.

00:01:29.000 MacArthur said the most important mark of his ministry was that he explained the Bible with the Bible, not cluttering up sermons with personal stories, commentary on current events, or appeals to emotion, but teaching timeless truth.

00:01:39.000 The longtime pastor of Grace Community Church said a good sermon should still be good 50 years after it is preached.

00:01:44.000 He said, it isn't time stamped by any kind of cultural events or personal events.

00:01:48.000 It's not about me, and it transcends not only time, but it transcends culture.

00:01:52.000 He published the MacArthur Study Bible in 1997.

00:01:54.000 It has 20,000 notes on specific verses, as well as an index of important doctrines, introductions to each book of the Bible, and suggested Bible reading plans.

00:02:02.000 It sold 2 million copies over the course of a couple of decades.

00:02:04.000 He also has a New Testament commentary, which sold more than 1 million copies as well.

00:02:10.000 MacArthur, of all the people that I know in this sphere, I know quite a few, was absolutely staunch in his defense of the Bible.

00:02:19.000 He is somebody who certainly never shied away from the messages of the New Testament and somebody who made himself controversial because of that, which I think is quite a good thing.

00:02:29.000 In the first interview that I did with him, a lengthy interview, he spent fully 30 minutes of the interview talking to me about why I ought to convert to Christianity.

00:02:37.000 And as a Jew, I will say that not only do I not find that insulting, I find that absolutely useful.

00:02:44.000 Why?

00:02:44.000 Because he is saying the thing that he believed.

00:02:48.000 And I think that that is a good thing.

00:02:50.000 And the reason I considered him a friend is because he's somebody who cared about my eternal soul.

00:02:54.000 We could have disagreements on what would happen with regard to heaven or hell or whether the New Testament was truth or not truth, depending on whether you're a Christian or a Jew.

00:03:04.000 But I was never upset by the fact that he believed that I ought to convert to Christianity, because of course many Christians believe that I ought to convert to Christianity.

00:03:11.000 It's not an insult.

00:03:12.000 That's because somebody cares for my spiritual welfare and we disagree about how best to attain that spiritual welfare.

00:03:18.000 But it's because he was able to say hard truths as he saw them to people like me that he was also able to say hard truths to everybody about biblical values.

00:03:28.000 And that meant he was never shy about biblical values, which is absolutely useful in a time when moral relativism runs rampant.

00:03:36.000 Last year, he was on the show, and here is what John MacArthur had to say about the Bible.

00:03:41.000 I would just say this in a general sense.

00:03:45.000 Read the Bible.

00:03:46.000 Just read the Bible.

00:03:48.000 It has the ring of truth.

00:03:49.000 It defends itself.

00:03:50.000 It's like a lion.

00:03:51.000 You don't defend it.

00:03:52.000 You don't defend a lion.

00:03:53.000 You open the cage and let it out.

00:03:55.000 It'll be okay.

00:03:57.000 And the scripture is like that.

00:03:59.000 It's like that even morally.

00:04:01.000 There's something in the heart of people that resonates with biblical morality.

00:04:06.000 Obviously, their sinfulness fights it, but the law of God is written in every human heart.

00:04:13.000 That's part of being created in the image of God.

00:04:16.000 And you can fight that law.

00:04:18.000 You can resist that law.

00:04:19.000 You can violate that law.

00:04:21.000 But that law is there.

00:04:23.000 That is part of being created in God's image.

00:04:26.000 And I think if your heart is open to the truth, you go to the word of God, and I've seen this now for all these years I've been in ministry.

00:04:36.000 The ring of biblical truth is so powerful to a person who honestly reads the scripture.

00:04:47.000 And again, I think that message is deeply necessary in a time when so many have fallen into moral relativism, have fallen down a bunch of rabbit holes looking to fill the God-shaped hole in their heart.

00:04:58.000 And Megan Basham, who writes for us here at Daily Wire, she had a wonderful statement about the passing of John MacArthur, in which she spelled out exactly why it was that John MacArthur was such a special person to so many people.

00:05:14.000 She said that John MacArthur has consistently refused to join the latest relevance chasing fads.

00:05:19.000 It is this very refusal that has given his ministry enduring relevance for new generations.

00:05:24.000 And again, I think that is true.

00:05:26.000 I think that his work is going to be read for generations.

00:05:29.000 And the nice thing about the sort of Jewish view of the afterlife is that in Judaism, if you are not Jewish and you fulfill seven basic rules, the Noahide laws, which are things like no blasphemy, no adultery, no murder, and things like this, then you do indeed have a spot in heaven. 0.82

00:05:47.000 So it doesn't conflict with my faith to say that John MacArthur is with God right now, and that is something that he always longed for.

00:05:55.000 Again, his uncompromising fealty to biblical values as he saw them meant that he was also able to walk into political phrase without fear.

00:06:04.000 Here he was, this is way back when, just show lacking a young Gavin Newsom over same-sex marriage on CNN, when Gavin Newsom was trying to play at being a pastor, essentially.

00:06:15.000 I'm a practicing Catholic.

00:06:17.000 I got married in the church two-plus years.

00:06:19.000 I don't see what we're doing in terms of advancing the bond of love and monogamy and extending that to families, families of same-sex, in any way, shape, or form, takes away anything from the church Or the sanctity of the union that my wife and I have.

00:06:34.000 I would just like to ask the mayor as a practicing Catholic, do you believe the Bible is the Word of God?

00:06:40.000 Look, Pastor, I'm not going to get in a theological debate with you that.

00:06:43.000 No, that's not a theological debate.

00:06:44.000 That's just a straight question.

00:06:46.000 Do you believe the Bible is the authoritative Word of God?

00:06:48.000 Yeah, with respect, I guess I do.

00:06:51.000 Now the response.

00:06:52.000 Well, then the Bible says when God created man, he said, one man, one woman cleave together for life. 0.95

00:06:58.000 That's a family.

00:07:02.000 I mean, it was that.

00:07:03.000 It was that sort of clarity.

00:07:05.000 You can see Gavin Newsom smirking and trying to walk this back.

00:07:09.000 There are a bunch of problems with Gavin Newsom is doing right there.

00:07:11.000 First of all, it is funny when he says, I'm a practicing Catholic and I've been married for two years to lead off that particular clip.

00:07:18.000 He was at that point married to Kimberly Guilfoyle, who he would then cheat on.

00:07:24.000 So, yeah, I mean, a few things, Gavin Newsom.

00:07:28.000 We'll get to more of Gavin Newsom a little bit later on in the program.

00:07:31.000 But again, I think that speaks to the fact that when you have a moral grounding in biblical values, the way John MacArthur did, it gave you the courage to walk in like a lion, which is something that John MacArthur did his entire life.

00:07:42.000 All righty, coming up, President Trump, very upset with Democrats, but does he have anything valuable to say?

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00:09:54.000 Meanwhile, in other news, President Obama is disappointed again, very disappointed in you, the Democrats.

00:10:02.000 He's upset.

00:10:03.000 And the reason that Barack Obama is upset with the Democrats is he said that you're whining and you're navel-gazing and you're sitting around doing nothing.

00:10:10.000 And the thing about Barack Obama is that he's always apart from the movement he supposedly leads.

00:10:14.000 Barack Obama is always sort of a spectator to his own party, to his own country, right?

00:10:19.000 He's somebody who gets to sit there on high and cast his judgment at the Democratic Party.

00:10:23.000 Now, you'll remember it was Barack Obama who originally told Joe Biden that he might pick Kamala Harris for VP.

00:10:30.000 And then it was Barack Obama who was trying to shovel Joe Biden through the primaries and literally guiding him physically on stage.

00:10:36.000 And then it was Barack Obama who intervened to get rid of Joe Biden and put Kamala Harris in his place.

00:10:42.000 So every move that Barack Obama has made, essentially since his second reelect, since his reelect in 2012, has been the wrong move.

00:10:51.000 That's just been the reality of the situation.

00:10:53.000 But he still feels like he can sit there and lecture everybody else, particularly in the Democratic Party, about what they are doing wrong.

00:10:58.000 So apparently, the 44th president spoke Friday evening at a fundraising event hosted by New Jersey governor Phil Murphy and his wife, Tammy Murphy, at their Red Bank, New Jersey home, according to a report from CNN's Arlette Sains.

00:11:10.000 The fundraiser was described as an intimate dinner.

00:11:12.000 It raised $2.5 million.

00:11:15.000 And apparently he said that it's time for Democrats to stand up for the things that you think are right.

00:11:20.000 Well, that is some shocking advice from Barack Obama.

00:11:24.000 I mean, really, with that sort of specificity, how can they lose?

00:11:26.000 He said, I think it's going to require a little bit less navel gazing and a little less whining and being in fetal positions.

00:11:32.000 And it's going to require Democrats to just toughen up. 0.99

00:11:35.000 You know, don't tell me you're a Democrat, but you're kind of disappointed right now, so you're not doing anything.

00:11:39.000 No, now is exactly the time that you get in there and do something.

00:11:42.000 Wow, listen to those inspiring words from Barack Obama.

00:11:45.000 Now's not the time to do nothing.

00:11:46.000 Now's the time to do something.

00:11:49.000 With this sort of guidance, how can the Democratic Party go wrong?

00:11:51.000 He says, don't say that you care deeply about free speech and then you're quiet.

00:11:54.000 No, you stand up for free speech when it's hard.

00:11:56.000 When somebody says something that you don't like, but you still say, you know what, that person has the right to speak.

00:12:00.000 What's needed now is courage.

00:12:03.000 I mean, wow, that just amazing, amazing, specific paths forward for Barack Obama.

00:12:10.000 How this guy was ever considered a sort of genius light in the Democratic Party is beyond me.

00:12:15.000 Terrific politician, great at what he did, also utterly empty, just a completely empty vessel for radical ideologies.

00:12:22.000 He said, stop looking for the quick fix.

00:12:24.000 Stop looking for the Messiah, meaning Barack Obama.

00:12:27.000 You have great candidates running races right now.

00:12:30.000 Support those candidates.

00:12:31.000 Make sure that the DNC has what it needs to compete in what will be a more data-driven, more social media-driven cycle, which will cost some money and expertise and time.

00:12:40.000 He said, the most important thing you can do right now is help the team, our candidate, to win.

00:12:43.000 We've got to start building up our coffers at the DNC.

00:12:46.000 And then he said, there's been, I gather, some argument between the left of the party and people who are promoting the quote unquote abundance agenda.

00:12:52.000 Listen, those things are not contradictory.

00:12:54.000 You want to deliver for people and make their lives better.

00:12:56.000 You got to figure out how to do it.

00:12:58.000 I don't care how much you love working people.

00:13:00.000 They can't afford a house because all the rules in your state make it prohibitive to build, and zoning prevents multifamily structures because of NIMBY, meaning not in my backyard.

00:13:07.000 I don't want to know your ideology because you can't build anything.

00:13:10.000 It does not matter.

00:13:11.000 So, this is the part that's fascinating.

00:13:13.000 So, in the end, Barack Obama, while he was a radical leftist for his time, there is never a left that is left enough for the Democratic Party.

00:13:21.000 And so, if you talk about Barack Obama with young people today, they barely remember him.

00:13:27.000 I mean, again, I'm now part of the middle age.

00:13:30.000 I'm 41 years old.

00:13:31.000 So I remember all the way back to the beginnings of the Bush administration, really, in my political life.

00:13:35.000 But most people who are young were not even born until George W. Bush was on his way out of office.

00:13:43.000 Most people who are voting for their first or second time in the next election cycle are people who grew up with Barack Obama as kind of the grand old man.

00:13:51.000 But think about how you think of the first president that you remember of your lifetime.

00:13:55.000 I remember Bill Clinton because I was approximately 16 when Bill Clinton left office, but I don't remember Bill Clinton like super duper well because I was 16 when he left office.

00:14:06.000 So think about you're a young person and Barack Obama left office when you were really young.

00:14:12.000 Like the first real president that you might remember, actually, might be Donald Trump because Donald Trump has been on the political scene for the last decade or so.

00:14:22.000 And the last Democrats you remember are all old people, right? 0.88

00:14:25.000 It was Hillary Clinton running and she was old already. 1.00

00:14:27.000 And it was Joe Biden who was dead.

00:14:29.000 And so when you think back to Barack Obama, Barack Obama has been out of politics at a very top level since 2015, 2016, realistically speaking.

00:14:40.000 And so what you're talking about here is a full decade of no Barack Obama.

00:14:43.000 So when he says maybe you should embrace the abundance agenda, you know how people think of Barack Obama now and the Democratic Party?

00:14:48.000 They think of him as a sort of technocratic figure, right?

00:14:54.000 Somebody who was there for the cult of expertise.

00:14:57.000 Well, we are now living in what Alana Newhouse at Tableau has called a brokenist era, meaning that everybody on both sides thinks all the institutions are broken.

00:15:05.000 On the left, they think the institutions are fundamentally broken and need to be torn down.

00:15:08.000 And so you need to move toward the radical left.

00:15:10.000 On the right, Donald Trump was sort of a representative of the brokenists, believing that the institutions of the country were already fundamentally broken.

00:15:18.000 He's trying to break down some of them more, and he's trying to recapitulate the strength of others.

00:15:24.000 But we live in a society that basically has no trust in the institutions.

00:15:28.000 Barack Obama was anti-institutionalist in some ways, but overall, Barack Obama was a believer that the institutions could be wielded for power by him.

00:15:37.000 That was sort of the chief mechanism of his technocratic rule.

00:15:40.000 And so when people of the Barack Obama era speak to young Democrats, I don't think there's a connect there.

00:15:45.000 Rahm Emanuel, who is his chief of staff, he's lecturing Democrats on not being popular enough because he wants to run for president.

00:15:51.000 Do you think Rahm Emanuel has a shot at the presidency?

00:15:56.000 Just to give you a sense of how bad we are, Democratic Party is less popular than Elon Musk right now.

00:16:03.000 That should be like a wake-up call, how bad.

00:16:05.000 And the Republican parties stab you in the back.

00:16:10.000 The Democratic Party, we disappoint you.

00:16:13.000 So he says the Democratic Party disappoints people.

00:16:16.000 But here's the problem.

00:16:17.000 If you're a Democrat and you're disappointed with the Democratic Party, that is the Democratic Party of Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden and Barack Obama and the old guard.

00:16:25.000 So the Democratic Party is abandoning the abundance agenda of people like Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, and they're moving instead toward the radicals because that's where the energy in the party is.

00:16:35.000 The Mamdonification of the Democratic Party continues apace. 0.98

00:16:39.000 So in that New York City mayoral race, Andrew Cuomo has now announced that he's going to run as an independent in New York City.

00:16:47.000 He, of course, ran in a primary against Momdani.

00:16:49.000 He lost by 10 points in that primary.

00:16:51.000 The polls right now show that Momdani is leading the field, but not by leaps and bounds.

00:16:56.000 He's got about 35 to 40% of the vote in New York City.

00:16:59.000 And then the other 60% is split 20 different ways.

00:17:03.000 According to the latest poll from Data for Progress, Momdani is polling at 40%.

00:17:08.000 Former Governor Andrew Cuomo is polling at 24%.

00:17:12.000 Mayor Eric Adams, who's running as an independent, is polling at 15%.

00:17:16.000 And Curtis Sleewa is polling at 14%, which means that if you add up Cuomo, Adams, and Sliwa, which makes sense because there are not a lot of Adams voters who are going to bleed over to Momdani.

00:17:30.000 They're mostly going to bleed over to Cuomo if Cuomo were to stay in.

00:17:32.000 And if Sliwa were to drop out, that would all bleed over to Cuomo as well.

00:17:36.000 Then what you're really talking about at that point is 53% to 40% against Mom Dani.

00:17:43.000 This is why, you know, Andrew Cuomo jumping in.

00:17:46.000 I know a lot of people are ribbing on Andrew Cuomo today for jumping in after he got shellacked by Mom Dani in the primary. 0.51

00:17:51.000 But I got to say, I don't blame Andrew Cuomo for jumping in.

00:17:54.000 I think that Andrew Cuomo is a terrible candidate.

00:17:56.000 I think that many of the constituents he needed to win the mayoralty are not living right now because of his COVID old age home policies.

00:18:04.000 But given the demographics of the city of New York and the fact there are still Republicans and Independents in the city of New York, I think there's a good shot that Andrew Cuomo ends up as the mayor of New York if people drop out.

00:18:13.000 Eric Adams needs to drop out.

00:18:14.000 Chris Lewin needs to drop out.

00:18:15.000 There needs to be a sort of coming together around a candidate as terrible as Andrew Cuomo in order to stop the worst alternative of having a socialist with jihadist sympathies as the mayor of New York.

00:18:27.000 Here's Andrew Cuomo announcing his independent run in New York City.

00:18:32.000 Hello, I'm Andrew Cuomo.

00:18:34.000 And unless you've been living under a rock, you probably know that the Democratic primary did not go the way I had hoped.

00:18:42.000 To the 440,000 New Yorkers who voted for me, a sincere thank you.

00:18:47.000 Thank you for believing in me, in my agenda, and in my experience.

00:18:52.000 And I am truly sorry that I let you down.

00:18:55.000 But as my grandfather used to say, when you get knocked down, learn the lesson and pick yourself back up and get in the game.

00:19:02.000 And that is what I'm going to do.

00:19:04.000 The fight to save our city isn't over.

00:19:07.000 Only 13% of New Yorkers voted in the June primary.

00:19:11.000 The general election is in November, and I am in it to win it.

00:19:18.000 So, again, I think that he's an awful candidate, but he may be the best alternative at this point because the other candidate is an open socialist.

00:19:26.000 And the Democratic Party is rallying around the open socialist.

00:19:29.000 You know, the guy who says that we ought to nationalize grocery stores and the guy who refuses, once again, to condemn globalize the intifada, which is a call for international violence on behalf of jihadist causes.

00:19:39.000 I mean, that's what globalizing the intifada is.

00:19:41.000 Here's Mom Donnie just a couple of days ago dodging on globalizing the intifada. 0.94

00:19:47.000 Is there something that you regret about how you answered that question in the Bulwark podcast that kind of maybe left open this idea that this was a slogan, that not only that it wasn't so much that you defended it, but that you yourself would use it?

00:20:04.000 I can't speak to the media coverage of it.

00:20:09.000 I can tell you that I'm looking forward to that meeting with Congressman Jeffries.

00:20:14.000 And in the conversations that I've had with him, they have come back to the very urgent issue of affordability.

00:20:25.000 So just again, dodging and dodging and dodging and going back to affordability, but understand, there's so many people who are misreading Momdani's signal here.

00:20:33.000 He is not avoiding the question because he doesn't want to answer whether globalized the intifada is bad.

00:20:38.000 He's avoiding the question because he understands the signal is that globalized the intifada is good.

00:20:42.000 And that is what the Democratic Party base wants from him right now in places like New York. 0.94

00:20:46.000 It's sad and pathetic, but that is what it is. 0.92

00:20:48.000 He's also blaming President Trump for a decline in tourism in New York City, which is pretty wild considering that the city has been governed by horrifically bad Democrats for a decade or so. 0.96

00:21:01.000 We know that his policies, they are not just disappearing our neighbors, detaining our friends.

00:21:09.000 They are also turning the world away from our city.

00:21:13.000 The rapid decline of tourists coming to this city is an issue not simply for us living up to our word as a city that welcomes the world, but it's one that has very real economic impacts for artists that are with me here today and those beyond.

00:21:33.000 So again, it's all about the Trump administration killing tourism.

00:21:37.000 It's not about New York City being poorly run.

00:21:39.000 Already coming up, the future of the Democratic Party is a battle between the Zorin Mamdani Democrats and the Gavin Newsom Democrats.

00:21:45.000 I know that's an actual thing.

00:21:46.000 First, feeling overwhelmed by back taxes, you're not alone.

00:21:48.000 Maybe you missed that April deadline or your financial records are all over the place.

00:21:52.000 Whatever the situation, don't put it off any longer.

00:21:54.000 The IRS isn't getting any friendlier and those penalties, they pile up fast.

00:21:57.000 We're talking 5% every month you don't file, maxing out at 25%.

00:22:02.000 That adds up quickly.

00:22:02.000 Here's the thing.

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00:24:01.000 So what are the Democrats doing with Zoran Mamzani?

00:24:03.000 What are they doing?

00:24:04.000 Well, they're meeting with him.

00:24:05.000 So Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader, he says that despite the fact that Eric Adams was a Democrat, now an independent, Andrew Cuomo was a Democrat, now an independent, both of them running, he's only going to meet with Mamzani.

00:24:18.000 I'm scheduled to meet with the Democratic nominee at the end of the week back home in Brooklyn.

00:24:25.000 Haven't had a conversation with Eric Adams or Andrew Cuomo since the primary and have no current plans to do so at this moment.

00:24:37.000 Well, there's a shock.

00:24:38.000 There's a shock.

00:24:39.000 Will he have any words for Zoran Mamdani and the fact that he is essentially an open communist?

00:24:43.000 Of course, he will not, because this is the modern Democratic Party.

00:24:46.000 It is a bunch of old garters who are making room for the actual radicals in their midst.

00:24:52.000 And this is going to be the new formula for the Democratic Party, at least until they get shellacked at some point, which you would imagine is something that is going to happen.

00:25:01.000 There is a Zara Mamdani type who's now running for the mayor of Minneapolis. 1.00

00:25:04.000 His name is Omar Fateh.

00:25:06.000 Here he is announcing his run for Minneapolis mayor.

00:25:10.000 Everyone keeps asking me, Omar, why aren't you doing more videos?

00:25:13.000 As a state senator with a second full-time job and a kid on the way, I just haven't been able to find the time.

00:25:19.000 I've also been fighting for you, passing things like tuition-free college for working-class families, rideshare protections for our Uber and Lyft drivers, and the legalization of fentanyl testing strips.

00:25:29.000 To make an affordable Minneapolis that works for everyone, we need a mayor that works as hard as you do.

00:25:34.000 I'm ready to work hard to, one, build a Minneapolis that working people can afford to call home.

00:25:40.000 Two, protect our city from a hostile White House.

00:25:43.000 And three, diversify our city's public safety response.

00:25:46.000 By increasing the minimum wage to $20 by 2028 and passing rent stabilization to stop price gouging and incentivizing new construction, we can protect workers.

00:25:56.000 Protecting all of our communities from Donald Trump means not letting NPD interact with ICE, whether it's for an immigration raid or not.

00:26:03.000 Our residents deserve a mayor that will stand up to Donald Trump and say, no, not in our community.

00:26:09.000 So notice the pattern.

00:26:10.000 The pattern here is take the most radical positions in the Democratic Party, put a diverse face on them, and then run that for a mayor of a major American city.

00:26:18.000 That's what Zoran Mamdani is.

00:26:19.000 Zoran Mamdani is just Democrat Socialist of America, but also he happens to have a diverse ethnic heritage.

00:26:26.000 And so that makes him sort of coded as fun to vote for for white progressive ladies living in New York. 0.67

00:26:33.000 And the same thing is happening here with Omar Fate, who's running for Minneapolis mayor.

00:26:38.000 There's been a lot of focus put on the fact that he's Somali in origin, that that's his ethnicity anyway.

00:26:44.000 And that actually is really only relevant insofar as he is a typical Democratic socialist of America type who is racially diverse, which is going to be the new model for Democratic candidates going forward.

00:26:56.000 It is the thing they're looking for.

00:26:57.000 It's Bernie Sanders, but black, right? 0.89

00:26:59.000 Bernie Sanders, but Somali. 0.99

00:27:00.000 Bernie Sanders, but Zoran Mamdani.

00:27:04.000 That's what they are looking for right now.

00:27:05.000 And his positions are unbelievably radical.

00:27:08.000 I mean, this is what the Democratic Party is looking for.

00:27:13.000 What they are attempting to do is that they had a choice, the Democratic Party.

00:27:16.000 They could take positions that are broadly popular with the American people, or what they could do is take positions that are popular with college-educated white single ladies. 1.00

00:27:26.000 And then they could hope that racial solidarity would carry them across the finish line.

00:27:30.000 And it appears as though they are doing the latter.

00:27:33.000 It appears that they're basically taking, if you go back to the Barack Obama sort of analysis, the Barack Obama pitch in 2008, the reason he won a broad victory is because if you go back to his campaign, he campaigned as a moderate on virtually every issue.

00:27:48.000 And also, because he was racially diverse, that meant that a lot of Americans felt very good about voting for him because by voting for him, you could show that America wanted to move past its terrible racial history.

00:27:58.000 And then by 2012, he was running as a very far-left candidate and hoping to cobble together a majority-minority coalition with enough college-educated white ladies to get over the finish line.

00:28:09.000 And the Democratic Party is still stuck in the Obama model.

00:28:12.000 But what's weird about the Obama model is that it abandons the Obama technocracy.

00:28:15.000 Instead, it's basically tear down all the systems and replace them, if at all, with a gigantically centralized government.

00:28:22.000 So if you look at the actual positions being taken by Omar Fateh in Minneapolis, he says that with Donald Trump back in the Oval Office, the progress toward equity and justice that our communities have worked so hard to create is in jeopardy.

00:28:35.000 Mayor Fry has said that our approach to fighting Trump is extreme.

00:28:38.000 He's wrong.

00:28:39.000 The only way to stand up to Trump and his posse of unelected billionaires is to create a city that is radically inclusive and stands up for those who are most at risk.

00:28:47.000 So what exactly does that mean?

00:28:48.000 It means that he wants the Minneapolis Police Department to be forced not to work with ICE, for example, as he says.

00:28:54.000 Ensure that events like the Trans Equity Summit are fully funded and prioritized.

00:28:58.000 Increase funding to services that support housing safety and economic justice, such as LGBTQ plus and BIPOC people are some of the highest at risk for losing their housing, being overcriminalized by MPD and being harassed by their employer.

00:29:12.000 He also wants the city to build a bunch of housing, right?

00:29:16.000 Because public housing has always been a massive boon.

00:29:20.000 It's always been totally successful.

00:29:21.000 I'm being sarcastic.

00:29:22.000 It's really been a giant fail.

00:29:24.000 He wants to reform public safety by essentially hampering the MPD's ability to police inside the city.

00:29:33.000 This is the New Democratic Party. 0.59

00:29:34.000 The New Democratic Party is not a technocratic party, a sort of Big Ten party.

00:29:38.000 It is a hard left party that attempts to win over more moderate, ethnically diverse voters by putting up candidates who look like them.

00:29:46.000 That is the idea here.

00:29:47.000 That is why the Democratic Party is doing what it's doing.

00:29:50.000 And this is also why, I believe in the end, Gavin Newsom's candidacy for the presidency is going to fail.

00:29:55.000 So Gavin Newsom is clearly running for president, obviously.

00:29:59.000 I don't know on what basis he's running for president.

00:30:01.000 It's not like California is in boom times.

00:30:03.000 It's not as though California is doing like an amazing, amazing job.

00:30:07.000 Again, I left California.

00:30:09.000 My family left California.

00:30:10.000 My business left California.

00:30:12.000 And I talk to people who still live in California all the time.

00:30:14.000 And they are thinking about moving because the cost of living is unbelievably high.

00:30:18.000 The taxes are awful.

00:30:19.000 The regulations are awful.

00:30:20.000 And the quality of life has gone down.

00:30:23.000 But because Gavin Newsom is trying to pose as the sort of anti-Trump fighter, he thinks that's enough to get him across the finish line in a Democratic primary.

00:30:30.000 I have my doubts.

00:30:31.000 I do not think that the model that Gavin Newsom is pursuing is likely to succeed in a presidential primary for the Democratic Party.

00:30:38.000 But he's out there, you know, pushing his agenda.

00:30:42.000 And that agenda, by the way, continues to be be all things to all people, which I do not think is going to work in the new era of radical Democratic Party politics.

00:30:50.000 So for example, he's dancing around still the transing of the children. 0.97

00:30:55.000 Here he was just yesterday doing that.

00:30:58.000 What about for your values?

00:31:00.000 I mean, is eight years old too young?

00:31:02.000 Yeah, I mean, look, now that I have a nine-year-old, just became nine.

00:31:09.000 Come on, man.

00:31:10.000 I get it.

00:31:11.000 So those are legit.

00:31:13.000 You know, it's interesting.

00:31:16.000 Just the issue of age, I haven't.

00:31:20.000 As I, and as someone that's been so focused on equality, broadly, LGBT rights, particularly gay marriage, the trans issue for me is also novel.

00:31:34.000 It's over the last few years.

00:31:36.000 I'm trying to understand as much as anyone else.

00:31:39.000 Whole pronoun thing, trying to understand all of that.

00:31:44.000 He's trying to understand it.

00:31:45.000 You see, he gets it like he's got a nine-year-old.

00:31:48.000 Like, what is he saying in that clip?

00:31:49.000 Do you have any idea what he's saying?

00:31:50.000 Like, seriously, any idea?

00:31:52.000 The answer is he's saying nothing.

00:31:54.000 When he gets to a controversial issue within the Democratic Party base, and he understands it's unpopular with the general American public, he tries to dance around it, but he has no actual, he has no actual answers.

00:32:04.000 He's doing the same thing, by the way, with regard to his California COVID policies.

00:32:07.000 Now, California had some of the most insane COVID policies in America.

00:32:10.000 I was living in California at the time.

00:32:12.000 It was nuts.

00:32:12.000 It's one of the major factors that drove my family away from California.

00:32:16.000 We were basically triple quarantined.

00:32:17.000 We were quarantined because of COVID.

00:32:19.000 Then we were quarantined again because there were riots outside.

00:32:22.000 And then we were quarantined again because there were wildfires.

00:32:24.000 It was like a triple quarantine.

00:32:25.000 It was nuts.

00:32:26.000 And Gavin Newsom was in charge of the state at that time, ensuring that nobody could go to the beach in the middle of COVID.

00:32:32.000 You couldn't go to a public park in the middle of COVID.

00:32:34.000 You couldn't take your kids to a playground.

00:32:36.000 Well, now he's telling Sean Ryan that he's directing an objective review of California's COVID policy.

00:32:40.000 Okay, well, again, what does this mean?

00:32:42.000 It means nothing.

00:32:44.000 What's interesting about this process is none of us have really reviewed in an objective way.

00:32:50.000 It's all through the lens of politics what we did right and what we did wrong.

00:32:55.000 And so I'll answer that question by telling you what I've just tasked.

00:32:59.000 I've asked our team to put together an objective review of everything we did right, everything we did wrong.

00:33:07.000 We're interviewing people that vehemently disagree with us, that oppose the mask mandates, that oppose the stay-at-home orders, people that are international experts.

00:33:17.000 We're stress testing our entire process.

00:33:20.000 Coulda, shoulda, woulda.

00:33:24.000 Yeah, well, I mean, what do you mean coulda, shoulda, woulda?

00:33:26.000 You were the governor.

00:33:27.000 You're inspecting your entire process.

00:33:29.000 Like, how about you just apologize for the stuff that you did?

00:33:31.000 But he's not going to do that.

00:33:33.000 But again, this is the guy who's trying to become the Democratic Party nominee.

00:33:36.000 And I would suggest that he is stuck in the in-between.

00:33:38.000 He wants to pose on the one hand as a technocratic Obama type who is interested in the abundance agenda.

00:33:43.000 And on the other hand, he still wants to cosplay as a political radical by spitting at Trump.

00:33:49.000 That's pretty much the Gavin Newsom pitch right here.

00:33:51.000 I just don't think that it's going to play.

00:33:54.000 I don't.

00:33:55.000 Because again, there's too many issues on which he's been found to be dishonest.

00:33:58.000 For example, he said yesterday on Sean Ryan that there was talk that when the president of China, Xi Jinping, the dictator of China, when he visited California, that they basically cleaned all the poop off the streets in San Francisco so it didn't look bad.

00:34:12.000 Well, here he was explaining that that story is not true.

00:34:14.000 That's not true.

00:34:15.000 There's only one problem.

00:34:16.000 Actually, he said in 2023, it was kind of true.

00:34:20.000 You know, we hear a lot about San Francisco and the homelessness and pooping on the road and all that kind of stuff.

00:34:28.000 And it seemed like all of that was cleaned up when she came to town.

00:34:35.000 Is that true?

00:34:36.000 Complete.

00:34:37.000 That's complete.

00:34:39.000 The city, which, by the way, I'm no longer mayor, was organizing for dozens and dozens of foreign leaders, not just she, to arrive for APEC.

00:34:52.000 And the city, over the course of last year, had finally started to step up its game to address what's happening on the streets and sidewalks.

00:35:00.000 And there was no question when you have a major international conference that there was investments made to prepare the city as any convention and any city would.

00:35:16.000 So anyone would have cleaned it up.

00:35:18.000 But then he admitted actually back in 2023 that, yeah, they kind of just cleaned up for Xi Jinping.

00:35:24.000 I know folks say, oh, they're just cleaning up this place because all those fancy leaders are coming into town.

00:35:30.000 That's true because it's true.

00:35:34.000 But in the end, Gavin Newsom has to come up with some defense of why he's done such a great job.

00:35:38.000 And his defense is effectively, there are a lot of rich people living in California.

00:35:42.000 That's what he means by this.

00:35:43.000 So he makes the case that he's tired of people trashing blue states.

00:35:46.000 We're creating 71% of the country's GDP.

00:35:49.000 All right, here we go.

00:35:51.000 And we're, by the way, a donor state.

00:35:52.000 We provided $83.1 billion more than we received from the federal government.

00:35:56.000 Texas took $71.1 billion.

00:35:59.000 I'm not saying that to bash Texas, but you know what?

00:36:03.000 Pretty proud of my state.

00:36:05.000 I saw it above our weight, man.

00:36:07.000 71% of the country's GDP comes from blue counties.

00:36:12.000 These same crackup counties with all these crazy liberals that can't get out of their own way and the world's come to an end.

00:36:18.000 It's 71% of the economy of the country, man.

00:36:23.000 Okay, so I'd like to point out at this point how dishonest this statistic is.

00:36:27.000 There's no such thing as a donor state.

00:36:28.000 There are individuals in those states who pay the taxes.

00:36:32.000 The California state government is not donating any money to the federal government.

00:36:36.000 People who live in California are paying taxes to the federal government.

00:36:39.000 And then the federal government is spending that money back in California on welfare cases.

00:36:46.000 What he really means, there are a lot of rich people live in California.

00:36:49.000 Well, duh.

00:36:50.000 And more and more rich people are leaving California.

00:36:52.000 Whenever you use a stat, like it's sort of like when people talk about the country's trade deficit.

00:36:57.000 Okay, if I as an individual make a trade with a foreign country, that is not the United States making a trade with a foreign country.

00:37:04.000 That is me as an individual making a trade with a foreign firm.

00:37:07.000 That is not the United States collectively spending money in China or in Japan.

00:37:12.000 In the same way, when he says that California is a donor state, California is not donating anything.

00:37:18.000 Residents of California are paying higher federal income tax rates because they are making more money because California is an incredibly stratified society.

00:37:27.000 But the statistic that actually matters is what percentage of American welfare dollars are spent in California?

00:37:34.000 Good news.

00:37:35.000 I asked our sponsors over at Perplexity this question, and here is the answer.

00:37:39.000 Approximately 14% of all American welfare dollars are spent in California.

00:37:43.000 Total U.S. welfare spending as of 2024 was $1.048 trillion.

00:37:47.000 California's welfare spending was about $151 billion annually.

00:37:54.000 Why is California's share so high?

00:37:56.000 Well, California is the most populous state.

00:37:58.000 It has about 12% of the U.S. population.

00:38:01.000 California spends about 81% more per capita on welfare than the average of other states.

00:38:06.000 The state has a higher proportion of residents living below the poverty line, which increases demand for welfare programs.

00:38:12.000 Now, the stats that I'm citing have to do with California state policy.

00:38:15.000 The stat that he's citing has nothing to do with California state policy.

00:38:18.000 It has to do with the fact that a bunch of gigantic industries were founded in California, particularly in the tech sector.

00:38:24.000 And that everyone who can get out is now getting out if they are wealthy.

00:38:29.000 So citing the idea that California is a donor state, again, misses the point.

00:38:33.000 California is not donating anything.

00:38:35.000 That is a false statistic.

00:38:37.000 And he's relying on that false statistic in order to make the claim that his state is well governed.

00:38:42.000 Okay, well, it also happens to be that when he says that blue counties are generating or blue cities are generating 71% of GDP, does he just mean cities?

00:38:51.000 It turns out that across all of human history, cities generate an outsized percentage of commerce because there are lots of people living close Together.

00:39:01.000 The real question, if you're talking about government policy, is not: do cities generate lots of commerce?

00:39:05.000 Because, of course, they do.

00:39:06.000 You have people who are living very, very close together.

00:39:09.000 And when you have lots of people living in close quarters, those people tend to congregate and then make businesses.

00:39:14.000 For example, this is why throughout the modern era, the post-industrialization era, people have moved from rural areas to cities.

00:39:21.000 In fact, 94.2% of California's population lives in urban areas.

00:39:26.000 The real question is, what percentage of welfare dollars go to blue cities?

00:39:32.000 Good news.

00:39:32.000 I asked our sponsors over at Perplexity AI this question.

00:39:35.000 Nearly 60% of all welfare cases are found in large urban counties, which are predominantly governed by Democratic blue administrations.

00:39:42.000 Specifically, 89 large urban counties, home to about one-third of the U.S. population, account for almost 60% of the nation's welfare caseload.

00:39:50.000 So again, it is predictable that when you have big cities where people congregate, there will be more commerce.

00:39:54.000 The question is, why are there so many poor people in the areas governed by Democrats?

00:39:59.000 In areas that are not poor because they're rural.

00:40:03.000 In areas that are poor because of bad policymaking.

00:40:08.000 What he really should be looking at is the raw number of people who are poor living below the poverty line in California, not making excuses based on the rich people he derides as the source of the problem.

00:40:19.000 Alrighty, coming up, President Trump is moving toward the practical position on Russia and fast.

00:40:24.000 First, facts always come first because facts don't lie.

00:40:26.000 How many times have you read a clickbait title only to end up with a half-truth?

00:40:30.000 I mean, every time you open up the New York Times, actually.

00:40:32.000 If you want reliable, unbiased government data, look no further than usafacts.org.

00:40:36.000 They organize and contextualize official public data on the economy, education, health, and more into clear, interactive articles and charts.

00:40:43.000 Want to compare your state's average lifespan to the national average?

00:40:45.000 There's a chart for that.

00:40:46.000 Curious how the federal minimum wage has changed over the last decade?

00:40:49.000 It's right there in an easy-to-read timeline.

00:40:51.000 Ever wonder where your tax dollars actually go?

00:40:53.000 The USA Facts Tax Portal is your personal tour guide.

00:40:56.000 This free tool aggregates official federal, state, and local budget data so you can see the trend lines behind the headlines.

00:41:02.000 With current updates under the Big Beautiful bill, it's more important than ever to stay knowledgeable about government spending.

00:41:06.000 You can explore tax topics like who pays the most income tax?

00:41:09.000 What does it cost the IRS to collect each dollar?

00:41:11.000 And which states contribute the most and the least to federal revenue.

00:41:15.000 No commentary, no agendas, just the numbers you need to make informed decisions or ground your discussions in the Fact Plus.

00:41:21.000 There's no paywall, so you can get the data you deserve at usafact.org.

00:41:25.000 Meanwhile, in other news, the president of the United States is shifting his angle with regard to Vladimir Putin.

00:41:32.000 This, of course, is because, as I've said one million times, he lives in the world of reality.

00:41:35.000 The president yesterday announced that he would be increasing economic pressure on Moscow if there's no peace deal with Ukraine in 50 days.

00:41:41.000 He says the United States will impose very severe tariffs if we don't have a deal in 50 days.

00:41:46.000 So either Trump could choose to impose tariffs and sanctions or sanctions on countries that actually do business with Russia.

00:41:52.000 So it's not just direct trade with Russia, which of course the United States does not have a ton of direct trade with Russia, but we could theoretically attempt to impose secondary sanctions on countries that are looking at doing business with Russia.

00:42:02.000 Again, that is not the tool in our arsenal that is likely to have the most effective outcome.

00:42:07.000 We've been trying commerce-related tools against Putin for a while.

00:42:11.000 Instead, what he has done is basically shipped oil to places like China and India in order to get around all of that.

00:42:16.000 It doesn't mean his economy is booming.

00:42:18.000 It absolutely is not.

00:42:18.000 It's done economic damage to Russia, but it's enough for them to carry on the war.

00:42:22.000 The bigger issue here is that President Trump has now said that the United States has reached a deal with NATO that will send weapons and air defenses to Ukraine within days.

00:42:32.000 So President Trump announced this yesterday first.

00:42:34.000 He ripped into Vladimir Putin saying, you know, you keep misleading me and you keep jabbering and nothing is coming of it.

00:42:41.000 I speak to him a lot about getting this thing done.

00:42:45.000 And I always hang up and say, well, that was a nice phone call.

00:42:48.000 And then missiles are launched into Kiev or some other city.

00:42:51.000 And I said, strange.

00:42:53.000 And after that happens, three or four times you say, the talk doesn't mean anything.

00:42:58.000 He's fooled a lot of people.

00:43:00.000 He fooled Bush.

00:43:01.000 He fooled a lot of people.

00:43:02.000 He fooled Clinton, Bush, Obama.

00:43:05.000 Biden needed it for me.

00:43:06.000 But what I do say is that at a certain point, you know, ultimately talk doesn't talk.

00:43:13.000 It's got to be action.

00:43:14.000 It's got to be results.

00:43:19.000 So, again, that is the exact right position for President Trump to take.

00:43:23.000 And again, he went through every other iteration before coming to this conclusion.

00:43:27.000 He was never an isolationist.

00:43:29.000 He was never an America small power guy.

00:43:32.000 That was never who President Trump was.

00:43:34.000 And he came to the proper conclusion here because he doesn't want Vladimir Putin winning the war in Ukraine, period.

00:43:39.000 He said, listen, I am very unhappy with Russia.

00:43:43.000 One of the reasons that you're here today is to hear that we are very unhappy, I am, with Russia. 0.61

00:43:51.000 But we'll discuss that maybe a different day.

00:43:54.000 But we're very, very unhappy with them, and we're going to be doing very severe tariffs if we don't have a deal in 50 days.

00:44:05.000 So, again, the tariffs are one thing, and President Trump thinks of that as a major blow against Russia because he loves tariffs and he loves the use of tariffs as a weapon of power.

00:44:13.000 But the bigger thing that he's doing is he's saying we're sending weapons and NATO is paying for it, which is the proper solution.

00:44:18.000 That, of course, is the proper solution.

00:44:19.000 The biggest issue with regard to the military support for Ukraine is that if you cut off the weapons completely, well, Europe gets attacked together.

00:44:29.000 Well, the weapons that Ukraine is currently using in the field are American-made.

00:44:33.000 And so you don't have actual weaponry in the field.

00:44:37.000 There's a transitional period.

00:44:38.000 President Trump is saying, listen, they can continue to use American weapons.

00:44:41.000 NATO just has to pay a bigger share.

00:44:43.000 This is America-first policy. 0.91

00:44:45.000 This is good policy.

00:44:46.000 Here's the president.

00:44:48.000 Just, you know, they're paying for everything.

00:44:50.000 We're not paying anymore.

00:44:52.000 We have an ocean separating us.

00:44:53.000 I said, we have a problem.

00:44:55.000 We make the best stuff, but we can't keep doing this.

00:44:58.000 And Biden should have done this years ago.

00:45:00.000 He should have done it from the beginning, but he didn't.

00:45:03.000 He didn't know he was there.

00:45:07.000 So, you know, again, he is right about this.

00:45:09.000 The NATO chief, Mark Rudy, he says this is a totally responsible decision by President Trump.

00:45:14.000 You called me on Thursday that you had taken a decision.

00:45:19.000 And the decision is that you want Ukraine what it needs to have to maintain, to be able to defend itself against Russia, but you don't want Europeans to pay for it, which is totally logical.

00:45:32.000 And this is building on the tremendous success of the NATO summit.

00:45:38.000 That, of course, is exactly, exactly right.

00:45:41.000 Admiral James Stavrides, who's certainly been a very outspoken critic of the president, even he is admitting that this is the right move by President Trump.

00:45:48.000 What I would like to see is a provision for the United States to send more harpoon missiles to go after the Black Sea Fleet, more high Mars surface-to-surface weapons that can reach deep behind Russian lines, more offensive cyber capability, and Kate, maybe some more F-16 aircraft, all of which are very capable offensively.

00:46:12.000 I think that is what could move Putin to the negotiating table, which is what we want on our side.

00:46:22.000 So, again, President Trump living in the world of reality and responding to what is happening in the world.

00:46:27.000 Okay, meanwhile, it seems that the tariffs, President Trump's tariffs, have started to have some actual impact on the inflation rate, which of course was predictable.

00:46:37.000 Again, the laws of economics are not easily bucked.

00:46:40.000 We were told for years that if Democrats just spent endlessly, that they could continue to do that and inflation would never catch up.

00:46:45.000 This was modern monetary theory, which was promoted by Senator Elizabeth Warren, for example, and it wasn't true.

00:46:51.000 It just had no basis in reality.

00:46:53.000 And then we got hit with 40-year highs in inflation.

00:46:55.000 Well, we've also been told that because the inflation rate right now is not spiking because of the tariffs, that means that maybe tariffs don't actually increase inflation.

00:47:05.000 No, they do.

00:47:06.000 It's just there are countervailing factors.

00:47:07.000 The final inflation rate on prices is the confluence of a bunch of things.

00:47:11.000 So you can have price inflation from the tariffs, but you can also have a bunch of housing that gets unstuck and the prices go down.

00:47:18.000 And when you aggregate all that together, it doesn't look like a tremendous increase in inflation.

00:47:22.000 However, inflation did heat up to 2.7% in June, according to the Labor Department.

00:47:29.000 That is faster than May's increase of 2.4%.

00:47:31.000 And in line with expectations for economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal, core inflation, that excludes food and energy, was 2.9%.

00:47:39.000 Prices of household furnishings and supplies rose by 1% in June, according to the Wall Street Journal, compared with May.

00:47:44.000 Prices of video and audio products rose 1.1%.

00:47:47.000 Apparel prices rose 0.4%.

00:47:50.000 Prices of new cars fell 0.3%, and that is because people are just buying fewer cars.

00:47:55.000 When people buy fewer things, the price goes down.

00:47:58.000 Month over month, consumer prices rose 0.3% in June compared with May, as economists had expected.

00:48:04.000 So this would be the reason why Jay Powell over at the Federal Reserve has not been decreasing the interest rates, because he's been afraid that if he does, he is going to fuel another inflation-based cycle.

00:48:15.000 Now, a lot of those costs are being passed on directly to consumers.

00:48:17.000 Obviously, it's what tariffs do. 1.00

00:48:19.000 Prices go up.

00:48:20.000 You pay more for the product.

00:48:22.000 Goldman Sachs economists estimate U.S. consumers will end up paying 70% of tariffs' direct costs.

00:48:27.000 Walmart said in May that it would be forced to raise prices.

00:48:29.000 Ralph Loren has said it was considering raising price increases as well.

00:48:34.000 Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsby said on Friday, continued tariff threats make it harder to figure out where inflation is headed.

00:48:40.000 He said the more we keep adding things to the mix, they make it harder to figure out, like, are prices going to be rising or not, the more it's just throwing more dirt back into the air.

00:48:47.000 And this is why the Federal Reserve is being quite cautious at this point.

00:48:50.000 And again, a lot of this stuff is in the air.

00:48:52.000 The EU right now is threatening retaliatory tariffs if no deal is met with the United States.

00:48:58.000 Now, again, I think that the administration, particularly Treasury Secretary Scott Besson, is going to be negotiating a bevy of deals over the course of coming weeks to avoid an August 1st actual snap into place of large-scale tariffs on many of our major trade partners.

00:49:13.000 I don't think that's something that the Treasury Secretary wants.

00:49:15.000 And I think that if the inflation rates increase and if the markets start to roil, President Trump will respond to that incentive structure as he historically has.

00:49:25.000 The negative take on President Trump's trade policy is the supposed taco of it, right?

00:49:29.000 The Trump always chickens out.

00:49:30.000 But the actual way to read that is President Trump responds to incentives in the real world.

00:49:35.000 That's not chickening out.

00:49:36.000 That's called finding new data and then responding to it.

00:49:40.000 However, the EU is threatening retaliation.

00:49:42.000 According to Politico, the European Union is looking at targeting 72 billion euros in U.S. goods in a second round of trade countermeasures, including aircraft, cars, and car parts, according to a list seen by Politico on Monday.

00:49:53.000 The bulk of those exports targeted are industrial goods, totaling 65.7 billion euros.

00:49:58.000 6.4 billion euros in agricultural products would also be hit if EU countries back the new retaliatory tariffs.

00:50:04.000 And that includes bourbon whiskey, despite intense lobbying from France and Ireland to shield the drinks sector from President Trump's reprisals.

00:50:11.000 The biggest line item is aircraft and aircraft parts, with tariffs set to target almost 11 billion euros of U.S. exports, which, of course, would mostly strike Boeing.

00:50:21.000 So, again, everybody is ready to go weapons up.

00:50:25.000 And so it's not as though things couldn't go wrong here.

00:50:29.000 They could.

00:50:29.000 I mean, this is why we need to come to some trade deals and write fast.

00:50:32.000 The goal here should be freer trade with our allies, and it should be to box in places like China. 0.98

00:50:39.000 And this is also why it's a mistake right now to target Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

00:50:43.000 You can agree that he's always late, but the reality is that he should not be lowering the interest rates while the inflation rate ticked up this month.

00:50:50.000 That would be a mistake.

00:50:51.000 But according to Axios, President Trump's war on the Federal Reserve is taking a more concrete, legally actionable form, putting the central bank's independence in the crosshairs.

00:50:59.000 For months, President Trump's exasperation with Fed Chair Jerome Powell over not cutting interest rates has taken the form of increasingly angry comments and social media posts.

00:51:07.000 Now, Trump appointees are trying to lay out legal predicates to fire Powell for cause, specifically that the Fed's $2.5 billion headquarters renovation project has included changes not approved by a federal planning authority or that Powell lied to Congress about the project.

00:51:20.000 That was the subtext of a memo from the Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vogt.

00:51:25.000 Powell denied to Congress last month the project contains several luxury features.

00:51:30.000 Vogt's letter suggested the Fed had changed plans that had already been blessed by the National Capital Planning Commission in 2021.

00:51:38.000 Some members of the NCPC, the National Capital Planning Commission, have been quick to toe the White House's line on the Fed project.

00:51:44.000 The new NCPC chair, Will Scharf, said at an NCPC meeting last week, the Fed project includes serious deviations from plans the NCPC had approved.

00:51:53.000 It looks like a Taj Mahal near the national wall, said fellow Trump-appointed commissioner Michael Blair.

00:51:57.000 Now, again, I think that this is A gigantic mistake in the markets.

00:52:02.000 This would be a big mistake in the markets.

00:52:04.000 Firing Jerome Powell over a construction project at the Federal Reserve, as though what Jerome Powell's chief goal is, is to build Mar-a-Lago at the Federal Reserve.

00:52:15.000 What?

00:52:16.000 To what end?

00:52:17.000 Why would he do that in order to enrich the building?

00:52:20.000 I mean, unless he's connected with the contractors in some way, which I have no evidence of.

00:52:25.000 And I'm not going to speculate that that's what he's doing because, again, I don't like to speculate in the absence of evidence.

00:52:31.000 What would the motivation be here?

00:52:32.000 I'm making a big, beautiful federal building that I'm not going to be occupying in a year because Jerome Powell's term expires.

00:52:37.000 That makes no sense.

00:52:39.000 If the president were to fire Jerome Powell, that would be a mistake.

00:52:42.000 Not because I think Jerome Powell's great at his job, I don't, but because that would send a signal to markets that President Trump is intervening in the interest rate discussion directly in order to facilitate certain numbers, certain things he wants to do that are not necessarily in consonance with the Federal Reserve's actual mission at this point.

00:53:03.000 So again, things could go wrong.

00:53:05.000 I've said for a long time, the biggest threat to the Trump administration is not his immigration policy or his foreign policy or his domestic policy other than these things called tariffs that could theoretically really, really harm his economic policy.

00:53:17.000 It's all about the economy.

00:53:18.000 If the economy stays good, Trump will be popular.

00:53:21.000 If the economy goes wrong, Trump will not be popular.

00:53:24.000 It is, in fact, that simple.

00:53:25.000 And he's doing a lot of great things with regards to cutting the size and scope of government.

00:53:29.000 So yesterday, the Supreme Court cleared the way for President Trump to shrink the Education Department.

00:53:33.000 Of course, this is how they should have ruled.

00:53:35.000 They ruled six to three that the Trump administration can start mass layoffs at the Education Department, halting a lower court ruling that had blocked the White House's plans.

00:53:42.000 And again, the President of the United States is the head of the federal executive branch.

00:53:48.000 The education department is underneath him.

00:53:49.000 He, of course, should be able to fire who he wants inside the executive branch.

00:53:53.000 The order, according to the Wall Street Journal, clears the way for Education Secretary Linda McMahon to weaken the department from within.

00:53:59.000 She has said she is leading the agency's final mission while acknowledging that eliminating it altogether would require the approval of Congress, something that political observers say is unlikely.

00:54:08.000 Justice Sonia Sotomayor wrote in dissent that the court's decision, quote, hands the executive the power to repeal statutes by firing all those necessary to carry them out.

00:54:15.000 That's ridiculous. 0.88

00:54:16.000 I'm sorry, that's just ridiculous. 0.89

00:54:19.000 The Congress does not have the ability to run the executive branch in terms of how the law is actually implemented.

00:54:26.000 That is a struggle between Congress and the executive branch.

00:54:28.000 And the executive branch can fire whomever they please.

00:54:32.000 The notion that Sonia Sotomayor gets to sit there and tell the executive branch that it must rehire X number of people in order to effectuate this law is like that.

00:54:42.000 No, the answer is no.

00:54:43.000 That's not how this works.

00:54:45.000 The Supreme Court majority said differently.

00:54:48.000 It was an unsigned order.

00:54:50.000 Again, the three liberal justices were the ones who dissented, not a shock.

00:54:55.000 The lower court rulings had forced the education department to pause its plans to scale back.

00:55:00.000 And so there's been a lot of back and forth with these particular employees, but this is the right decision by the Supreme Court.

00:55:06.000 And by the way, when you talk about the brokenists, right, who I mentioned a little bit early, people who think the institutions are broken, our education system is completely broken, totally broken.

00:55:15.000 It needs to be revamped on a dramatic scale.

00:55:19.000 I mean, just an indicator of how broken our education system is.

00:55:21.000 So the National Education Association is so far to the left.

00:55:26.000 I mean, so incredible.

00:55:27.000 And they hold so many American students as hostages to their bizarre agenda.

00:55:34.000 Believe it or not, the Anti-Defamation League, of which I am no fan, I think the ADL does a lot of terrible work.

00:55:40.000 I think some of the things they do are good.

00:55:42.000 And I think a lot of the things they do are politically motivated by leftist principles.

00:55:46.000 However, the NEA is so far to the left, it will not even use the ADL, the left-wing ADL's material on anti-Semitism and Holocaust education.

00:55:54.000 That's how far to the radical left the NEA is.

00:55:56.000 The ADL isn't far enough to the radical left for the NEA.

00:56:00.000 There's a member-backed measure to stop the NEA from using the ADL's Holocaust education.

00:56:05.000 Now, listen, I can argue with the ADL's standards for Holocaust education and what they're actually teaching.

00:56:10.000 I would do so from a right-wing perspective.

00:56:13.000 The reason the NEA is trying to stop that is because they actually just don't like Jews in a general way.

00:56:19.000 The NEA is so far to the radical left that they've signed on to the Zorin Mamdani radicalization of the Democratic Party.

00:56:25.000 In a letter signed by 378 Jewish organizations, the group said the NEA measure would effectively boycott ADL's widely respected anti-bias and Holocaust education curricula.

00:56:34.000 Again, this is not a defense of the ADL.

00:56:36.000 It's pointing out how insane the NEA is.

00:56:38.000 Why?

00:56:39.000 Well, because the NEA is saying that you can't have this sort of education because of Gaza.

00:56:44.000 So when the Trump administration announces that it is going to break apart the education system that is essentially just federal and state subsidies to unions like the NEA, all I can do is cheer.

00:56:55.000 And meanwhile, the administration continues to find new ways of effectuating its immigration agenda.

00:57:01.000 According to the Washington Post, the Trump administration has declared that immigrants who arrived in the United States illegally are no longer eligible for a bond hearing as they fight deportation proceedings in court.

00:57:10.000 In a July 8th memo, Todd Lyons, acting director of ICE, told officers such immigrants should be detained for the duration of their removal proceedings, which could take months or years, which of course makes sense. 1.00

00:57:20.000 Typically, illegal immigrants have been allowed to request a bond hearing before an immigration judge.

00:57:25.000 But Lyons said, no, because what we're going to do is there will be a bond hearing.

00:57:29.000 If anybody's released, they just disappear, obviously.

00:57:33.000 In rare exceptions, immigrants may be released on parole, but that decision will be up to an immigration officer, not a judge, he wrote.

00:57:40.000 The provision is based on a section of immigration law that says unauthorized immigrants shall be detained after their arrest.

00:57:46.000 Lyons wrote that the policy is expected to face legal challenges.

00:57:50.000 Of course, of course.

00:57:51.000 The sweeping new detention policy comes days after Congress passed a spending package that will allocate $45 billion over the next four years to lock up illegal immigrants for civil deportation proceedings.

00:58:03.000 Now, again, the goal here is to make it harder to be an illegal immigrant in the United States absconding from American law, right, to stop people from being arrested.

00:58:13.000 Then they go for a bond hearing.

00:58:14.000 Then a friendly judge just decides to jailbreak everybody.

00:58:17.000 And then they end up back in Chicago hiding from ICE again.

00:58:21.000 That is the idea.

00:58:22.000 Mark Krokorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, says detention is absolutely the best way to approach this. 1.00

00:58:28.000 If you can do it, you're pretty much guaranteed To be able to remove the person if there's a negative finding, if he's in detention.

00:58:36.000 Now, of course, the left is going nuts over all of this.

00:58:40.000 Gavin Newsom.

00:58:42.000 Again, it is amazing to me that Gavin Newsom thinks he's a presidential candidate, but apparently he does.

00:58:47.000 Gavin Newsom, he's trying to make the case that illegal immigration on a wide scale is necessary to the American economy.

00:58:55.000 So it's not insignificant.

00:58:57.000 Backbone, I mean, it's half of our agricultural workers.

00:59:00.000 You care about farmers and ranchers?

00:59:02.000 If that's what you're like your number one go-to commitment, then you sure as hell should care about their workers.

00:59:09.000 41% of our construction workers, Texas and California, have the highest percentage of their construction workers that would fill into that category.

00:59:17.000 How the hell do we rebuild Altadena and Palisades?

00:59:20.000 We're going to need a peak next year.

00:59:22.000 We estimate about 70,000 workers without that workforce.

00:59:26.000 Ain't going to happen.

00:59:26.000 You're struggling here.

00:59:27.000 You imagine a peak there.

00:59:31.000 Again, why is he bragging about the number of illegal immigrants who have jobs in his state?

00:59:36.000 That is such a bizarre brag.

00:59:39.000 Again, if the basic idea here is that illegal immigration is good for the country because it undercuts the wage base, I'd love for Democrats to make that explicit. 0.82

00:59:48.000 Bill Maher, who again has become maybe the last reasonable man on the left, he had to explain borders to actor John Leguizamo.

00:59:57.000 Part of this is a backlash to how badly Biden handled the immigration situation.

01:00:03.000 It can't just be like, come one, come all, which it was.

01:00:07.000 There's plenty of room here, and we need room.

01:00:10.000 Letit, there's plenty of room in America.

01:00:12.000 Come on, there's no lack of room in America.

01:00:14.000 But it's never about room.

01:00:15.000 It's about resources and about like having a countries have to have a border.

01:00:23.000 Again, the fact that this is a commonsensical statement that somehow is being bucked by so many people on the left is one of the reasons why President Trump remains successful on this issue.

01:00:32.000 Representative Kevin Kiley, Republican congressman from California, is pointing out that California is so radical that Karen Bass, mayor of California, is handing out cash cards to illegal immigrants.

01:00:42.000 And now Bass is giving out these free cash cards.

01:00:45.000 And apparently one of the ways you can get one is if you're too afraid to go into work.

01:00:50.000 Well, number one, this fear, to the extent that it exists, is largely driven by Karen Bass and Gavin Newsome, who have purposely incited fear and driven these rioters into a state of frenzy.

01:01:00.000 But number two, if we say that if you're too afraid to go to work, you get free cash payments, I think that all of a sudden we're going to find there are a lot more people who are suddenly too afraid to go into work.

01:01:10.000 But the real kicker in all this is that Karen Bass has chosen, of all groups, Cherla, to distribute the cards.

01:01:16.000 Now, remember, this is the group that got $34 million in funding and then played a central role in organizing the riot.

01:01:24.000 Well, I mean, again, not wrong.

01:01:26.000 And the fact that the Democrats have embraced that radical agenda explains why they are so unpopular.

01:01:31.000 It'll be fascinating to see.

01:01:32.000 There's a debate inside the Democratic Party.

01:01:34.000 The debate is, are they unpopular because they are old school technocrats who didn't solve any of the problems?

01:01:40.000 Or are they unpopular because actually they're way too radical?

01:01:44.000 The radicals always have the better of that particular argument because it's easy to point to the thing that is as opposed to the thing that they think in their head might be.

01:01:53.000 It is a much easier presentation to somebody to sell a vision of an alternative future where the rules don't apply than it is to defend a status quo.

01:02:02.000 And so it's likely the Radicals will succeed. 0.98

01:02:04.000 But if they succeed in the Democratic Party, it is hard to see how they succeed with the American people who remain a non-radical people.

01:02:11.000 The success of President Trump, I've said this the entire campaign, the success of President Trump is that shockingly, Donald Trump is the most moderate voice in American politics at this point.

01:02:21.000 Donald Trump has a commonsensical approach to the issues.

01:02:24.000 I don't necessarily agree with everything that Donald Trump does, of course, because I don't agree with what every president does all the time.

01:02:31.000 But President Trump, he responds to incentive structures and he has occupied the center on pretty much every issue.

01:02:38.000 Americans, for example, just to take an issue where I disagree with them, Americans do not want major cuts to social services.

01:02:44.000 President Trump does not want major cuts to social services.

01:02:46.000 Americans don't want high taxes. 0.99

01:02:48.000 President Trump doesn't want high taxes.

01:02:50.000 Americans want a strong foreign policy that's not surrender to America's enemies.

01:02:54.000 Same thing President Trump wants.

01:02:55.000 Americans don't want a vast influx of illegal immigrants. 0.99

01:02:58.000 Guess what?

01:02:58.000 What is President Trump's position?

01:03:00.000 Meanwhile, the Democrats are abandoning every 80-20 issue in favor of the 20%, and then they don't understand why they're unpopular.

01:03:08.000 And the way back for Democrats is not going to be in somehow lecturing from on high the way that Barack Obama is attempting to do.

01:03:16.000 The only way back for Democrats is for them to abandon Obama 2012 and get back to Obama 2008, which is to say, embrace in policy the moderation that Barack Obama tried to promote in 2008 in rhetoric.

01:03:28.000 All righty, folks, coming up, I have a couple of updates on the Epstein case.

01:03:31.000 Dan Bongino is back at work, which is definitely a good development.

01:03:35.000 Remember, in order to watch, you have to be a member.

01:03:37.000 If you're not a member, become a member.

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The Ben Shapiro Show - July 15, 2025

Democrats ABANDON Barack Obama?!

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