The Ben Shapiro Show - November 05, 2024


ELECTION DAY!! My Prediction And More


Episode Stats

Length

53 minutes

Words per Minute

201.83679

Word Count

10,842

Sentence Count

938

Misogynist Sentences

43

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary

Ben Shapiro and Michael Bloomberg talk about the latest in the Kamala Harris campaign and why they think she's going to be the next president of the United States. They also talk about why it's a good idea to get out and vote today, and why you need to do it if you're not registered to vote. Plus, a reminder that every vote matters, and it's more important than ever to vote! Use code FUTURE to get 47% off your new Daily Wire Plus Annual Member with code FOLDER. Then make sure you re with us all night, election night, for the rest of our lives. Subscribe to Daily Wire and watch history unfold live with us tonight as I ve watched history unfold tonight. Our full coverage starts at 6pm ET, and we will be live all night until the winner is officially declared sometime in 2027. Thanks for listening, and Happy Election Day! Go to Dailywire.me/ElectronicPodcast and use the promo code "fight" at checkout to get a FREE stock like Apple, Ford, or Sprint, or any other company you choose, to receive $5 off your first month with the discount code "Fight For 47% OFF. Fight For 47%. Fight for 47% Offers valid through Nov. 6, 2020. and a free stock like Visa, Best Fiends, Best Buy, and Vaynerchucks, to get 5% off the entire month of the entire year. Also, use promo codes Fight447 and the rest in 2020! to get 15% off their entire year, and get $50 off the first month! and $99 off their first month, and they get $99, they get an ad discount, they also get a discount on your first year of the second month, they'll get $25 off your choice, and you'll get an extra $49, they're also get $24,99,99 gets $29,99 and they'll also get VIP access to VIP 4 months, they say "fight447% off VIP, they can upgrade their first year, they have a VIP discount, VIP gets 4 months get a VIP deal, they promo code and they're VIP gets VIP gets a special offer, they receive 4 months and they also gets VIP access, they will get a special deal, plus they'll have VIP access gets $24% off that starts after they get your first rate, they won't even get a prime rate and they receive VIP access and they can access all of that gets you a discount, and all they'll receive all of your best deal starts after that starts in two weeks, they all get a full service service starts after two weeks and they will receive $24/place gets $33,99 & they get full service starts starts starts after three months and a promo code, they gets full of VIP gets an ad starts starts, they ll also get an entire place in the VIP discount starts starts at $29/place they receive $4/place is $24 and they ll get $5,000 and they have an ad begins at $4,000, they are also


Transcript

00:00:00.000 We're going to find out what my friend Ben Shapiro has to talk about today.
00:00:03.000 Ben, are you there?
00:00:04.000 I am.
00:00:05.000 I am.
00:00:06.000 I am here.
00:00:06.000 The day has come.
00:00:09.000 Judgment Day.
00:00:10.000 Okay, Michael, I got to ask you, you know, facts don't care about your feelings, but I do.
00:00:14.000 So what are your feelings on this day of days?
00:00:17.000 I'm going to be completely straight with you.
00:00:19.000 I'm not joking or being cute at all.
00:00:22.000 I slept horribly last night.
00:00:25.000 And it's not just because of my kids.
00:00:26.000 I slept in the guest room because I knew we're going to be up for 72 hours.
00:00:29.000 So I tried to get a good night's sleep.
00:00:32.000 I feel like I slept for 45 minutes.
00:00:34.000 And I am not a nervous guy.
00:00:39.000 I'm on edge.
00:00:40.000 How about you?
00:00:41.000 No, I'm stressed as well.
00:00:43.000 I will say that about 4.55 this morning I woke up and I was wide awake because I was just thinking, man, how is this day going to go?
00:00:50.000 I will say that I'm feeling cautiously optimistic.
00:00:51.000 I mean, looking at the data, looking at the early voting numbers.
00:00:54.000 Again, that's reading chicken entrails.
00:00:56.000 But Republicans are doing much better than they did in 2020 in the early voting numbers.
00:01:00.000 If it were the reverse, then you'd feel really terrible.
00:01:02.000 So that's one way of looking at these things.
00:01:05.000 Also, it's hard to see this drama ending with Kamala Harris as president of the United States.
00:01:11.000 She's a nothing.
00:01:12.000 She's a big nothing burger.
00:01:13.000 And she's a bad nothing burger as well.
00:01:16.000 So, again, I'm cautiously optimistic.
00:01:18.000 I think that we're going to be here all hours for the next year, just figuring out exactly who won.
00:01:23.000 So, not super enthused about that.
00:01:26.000 But, you know, there's a lot to talk about.
00:01:29.000 Everybody needs to get out and vote.
00:01:30.000 That's the big one, right?
00:01:31.000 Everybody votes.
00:01:32.000 Everybody votes today.
00:01:33.000 This is not the day where you're in Pennsylvania and just get lazy and then it turns out that Dave McCormick loses his race by one vote because you decided to stay home or Donald Trump ends up not going back to the White House because, you know, your car broke down.
00:01:45.000 Like, find a way to the polls.
00:01:47.000 Get all your friends to vote as well.
00:01:49.000 It's just too important.
00:01:51.000 Michael, any closing thoughts before we see you later on the set for the rest of our lives?
00:01:55.000 Yes, I've already voted.
00:01:57.000 So what I'm going to go now is I'm going to go drink, Ben, because you can't drink all day if you don't start in the morning.
00:02:04.000 And that is an excellent point.
00:02:05.000 Well, folks, we here at the Ben Shapiro Show, we're going to jump into all the news in just a moment.
00:02:10.000 First, here is a message from all of us here at Daily Wire.
00:02:16.000 In 2016, Donald Trump won by just 77,000 votes across three states.
00:02:21.000 In 2004, just one state, Ohio, decided the presidency by about 118,000 votes.
00:02:27.000 In 2000, just 537 votes in Florida decided the presidency.
00:02:31.000 In 1960, John F. Kennedy won by fewer than 120,000 votes.
00:02:36.000 In 1876, Rutherford B. Hayes won by just one electoral vote.
00:02:41.000 You cast it?
00:02:43.000 Shut up.
00:02:44.000 You're very old.
00:02:46.000 Every vote matters, every time.
00:02:48.000 To preserve our freedom, to protect our children, to fix our broken economy.
00:02:52.000 Vote.
00:02:56.000 Visit election.dailywire.com to find your polling place and vote today.
00:03:00.000 Folks, it's just that important.
00:03:02.000 Plus, it is back.
00:03:03.000 One last chance.
00:03:04.000 This time it's more important than ever to get 47% off your new Daily Wire Plus annual membership with code FIGHT. Remember?
00:03:11.000 Then make sure you're with us all night, election night, for the rest of our lives.
00:03:11.000 Yeah.
00:03:15.000 Our full coverage starts at 6 p.m.
00:03:16.000 Eastern.
00:03:17.000 Yes, we will be live all night until the winner is declared sometime in 2027.
00:03:21.000 Giving real coverage in real time on the night it actually matters.
00:03:24.000 Go to dailywire.com slash subscribe.
00:03:26.000 Use code FIGHT for 47% off your new Daily Wire Plus membership and be here to watch history unfold live with us tonight.
00:03:34.000 Folks, as I've said, you need to go out and vote today if you have not already.
00:03:37.000 So I voted early because obviously I have to be in Nashville.
00:03:39.000 That is not where I'm registered.
00:03:40.000 But you need to vote if you have not today.
00:03:43.000 This election is just too important.
00:03:46.000 You need to vote because there are serious things at stake, as I discussed yesterday on the show.
00:03:49.000 There is a broader question at stake today in this election, though.
00:03:52.000 Whether we're a nation that actually wants to be dynamic or whether we just want to continue our slide into senescence.
00:03:58.000 Are we a nation that actually wants an economy of innovation and entrepreneurship and building?
00:04:02.000 Or do we want an economy that's about redistribution, stagnation, punishment of success?
00:04:07.000 Are we a nation that wants a foreign policy of strength with powerful allies and our enemies in retreat?
00:04:12.000 Or are we a nation that would like to abandon the world stage, handing power to our enemies as the light goes out?
00:04:18.000 Are we a nation that wants to build on the roots of family and community?
00:04:21.000 Or are we a country that wants to trade the institutions that actually make life worth living, family, community, in favor of a top-down dictation from a self-appointed elite who believe that their untried values ought to supplant time-tested virtues?
00:04:34.000 But most of all, you need to vote because you actually do owe it to both your ancestors and your progeny to do so.
00:04:40.000 So here's the thing.
00:04:41.000 Democracy, in the general sense, is totally and utterly unnatural.
00:04:44.000 The earliest beginnings of democracy were in ancient Athens, but of course the vote was heavily restricted.
00:04:49.000 The same was true in ancient Rome.
00:04:50.000 Modern democracy in the West has its roots in Magna Carta, in the Estates General of France, but actually didn't reach full fruition in the way we think of democracy until probably the glorious revolution of 1688 in Great Britain.
00:05:01.000 See, here's the thing about democracy.
00:05:03.000 It takes centuries to inculcate values of democracy.
00:05:06.000 The rights of the people to be free of arbitrary government, which is the thing that lies at the heart of Western democracy.
00:05:11.000 We are not subjects.
00:05:12.000 We are citizens.
00:05:13.000 We are citizens with rights and with duties.
00:05:15.000 And we build social fabric together in order to share those duties and to enable the functioning of those rights.
00:05:20.000 And then governments are instituted by people in order to protect those rights and to enshrine those duties.
00:05:25.000 This idea lies at the heart of the American experiment.
00:05:28.000 It's also why we have checks and balances.
00:05:30.000 Why we are small are Republicans and not just pure Democrats.
00:05:34.000 The founders you see were pretty cautious about democracy.
00:05:36.000 They knew its promises.
00:05:37.000 They knew its perils.
00:05:38.000 They knew the power of the mob.
00:05:39.000 That's why the single most important paragraph ever written on the American system can be found in Federalist 51 by James Madison, the framer of the Constitution.
00:05:45.000 He said this, quote, What is government itself but the greatest of all reflections on human nature?
00:05:49.000 If men were angels, no government would be necessary.
00:05:52.000 If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary.
00:05:56.000 In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men, the great difficulty lies in this.
00:06:01.000 You must first enable the government to control the governed, and the next place oblige it to control itself.
00:06:06.000 A dependence on the people is no doubt the primary control on the government, but experience has taught mankind the necessity of auxiliary precautions.
00:06:14.000 So the founders instituted checks and balances because Madison was right.
00:06:17.000 But Madison was also right that in the end, the primary control on the government is a dependence on the judgment of the people.
00:06:24.000 And that's the thing we all have to agree on in order for our democracy, you know, things that all our politicians like to talk about.
00:06:30.000 Democracy has to work.
00:06:31.000 It can only work if we agree on that central principle.
00:06:34.000 This kind of struck me last week.
00:06:36.000 I was standing in line with my wife to vote in Florida.
00:06:38.000 And it was a long line.
00:06:39.000 People of every age and race were in the line.
00:06:41.000 But everybody was there because they agreed to this really weird common principle that we would abide by the collective decision of all of us about who would represent us for things like the presidency, for Congress, for the Senate.
00:06:53.000 That's weird.
00:06:54.000 It's unnatural.
00:06:55.000 It's amazing.
00:06:57.000 We abided by the common notion that we actually share a nation together and that if our side lost, we understand the next time we might still win because our neighbors are persuadable and we know them.
00:07:07.000 That we're willing to delegate some of the biggest stakes decisions in life to a system that actually values the opinions of our fellow citizens.
00:07:14.000 This is the thing.
00:07:15.000 Democracy, small d democracy, only works when both sides are invested in the bargain.
00:07:19.000 If one side always believes they're going to lose, they're not going to buy in, they revolt.
00:07:24.000 If you believe you're in a permanent minority and that your rights are constantly being trampled and there's no prospect of victory, that's when democracy breaks down.
00:07:30.000 Jefferson says in the Declaration of Independence that government derives its just powers from the consent of the governed.
00:07:36.000 That consent really only continues if we all believe enough in one another and in our system.
00:07:41.000 Now, we all know that system is fraying.
00:07:43.000 For sure, that's true.
00:07:45.000 For a thousand reasons, it's fraying.
00:07:47.000 Because of the media, because of our politicians, because of our institutions.
00:07:50.000 There are a thousand reasons.
00:07:52.000 But it's not breaking down today.
00:07:55.000 Everybody's going to the polls.
00:07:56.000 You're going to the polls.
00:07:58.000 I already went.
00:07:59.000 Thanks to the checks and balances of the framers who understood both the value and the dangers of democracy, we can rest assured that if the other person wins, yes, things will get worse, but we will survive.
00:08:10.000 Contrary to popular opinion, this will not be the last election.
00:08:12.000 It truly will not be the last election.
00:08:14.000 Now, with that said, this vote matters more than most.
00:08:18.000 Because while this will not be the last election in the United States of America, it is an inflection point.
00:08:22.000 We can continue down a path of polarizing the country by race, sex, and identity, or we can reverse that process and see each other as individuals.
00:08:29.000 We can continue to tear apart the country by indicting each other as oppressors and pretending that we are the oppressed, or we can together seize the future and recognize that if we make the right decisions, we'll succeed.
00:08:41.000 We can continue to retreat from the world or we can remember that America always was and still remains the last best hope of mankind.
00:08:48.000 So today, you absolutely should vote.
00:08:50.000 You should vote because you can and because that is an immense privilege earned by the blood of others and still denied to most of humanity today as we sit here and talk.
00:09:00.000 And you should vote because you should because your vote in this election, a tight election like this one, is certainly going to matter.
00:09:07.000 All right, so where do we stand on election day?
00:09:11.000 Well, there are a couple of theories as to how this race is going to go.
00:09:14.000 One theory is how Trump can win, and one theory is how Kamala can win.
00:09:17.000 I think it is fairly safe to say that Donald Trump has the advantage in the so-called Sun Belt states.
00:09:23.000 North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada's probably dead even.
00:09:29.000 The Sun Belt states are probably in Trump's corner at this point.
00:09:32.000 Politico is even acknowledging as much today.
00:09:34.000 They say that basically she is relegated to the Rust Belt.
00:09:39.000 They say that she is stronger than it appears perhaps in blue wall states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
00:09:45.000 But she's fallen apart basically in some of the Sunbelt states because her coalition is different.
00:09:50.000 According to Politico, Trump's gains with voters of color looks real.
00:09:53.000 That has required Harris to dip into traditionally Republican voter pools like whites and older voters.
00:09:58.000 Now normally this would be a good indicator for Trump, right?
00:10:00.000 If you told me before this election cycle Republicans are going to win an outside share of Hispanics and black voters, And that Kamala's going to have to try to appeal to old white people to get out to vote for her?
00:10:12.000 I would say advantage Trump.
00:10:14.000 And I think it is still advantage Trump today.
00:10:17.000 Politico says if months of handicapping are right, the election will come down once again to Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
00:10:23.000 That's Harris's most likely path to victory.
00:10:26.000 Polling has shown Harris's strength with white voters, especially in northern states.
00:10:29.000 That's why even as national polls show a tie on the eve of the election, her path has remained clear, if difficult.
00:10:36.000 Thanks to a slight improvement over 2020 among black voters, Trump will likely chip away a little in those states' big cities like Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee.
00:10:43.000 Harris is hoping that isn't enough.
00:10:44.000 They say the Sunbelt states look harder for her.
00:10:46.000 That's Politico's take, not mine.
00:10:48.000 Okay, so that's Politico that's pretty down on her prospects in this race.
00:10:52.000 It is also worth noting that there are fundamentals to this race that pre-exist the actual election cycle.
00:10:58.000 So James Freeman, writing for the Wall Street Journal today, he points out that Republicans have really ramped up voter registration in recent years.
00:11:06.000 In the New York Times' Nate Cohen, Summing up this trend, he said Republicans rapidly gaining ground across the country.
00:11:13.000 He notes, quote, Emily Crane over at the New York Post, quote, Republican pollster Alex Castellanos, who explained on Fox News, what I think they're missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all of this.
00:11:41.000 31 states have voter registration by party.
00:11:43.000 30 of them in the past four years have seen movement toward Republicans.
00:11:46.000 Now Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin do not register voters by party.
00:11:51.000 However, if you look at Pennsylvania, the terrain there seems to be getting more friendly to him all the time, according to the Wall Street Journal.
00:11:58.000 Charles Thompson for the Harrisburg Patriot News says the Donald Trump era for whatever else it has been has proven to be a great party building period for the Republican Party.
00:12:06.000 There are now more registered Republican voters in Pennsylvania than ever before.
00:12:10.000 The party now numbers about 3.7 million.
00:12:13.000 Democrats are still the largest party in number in Pennsylvania.
00:12:16.000 But the Democratic Party's 280,000 vote lead in voter registration is down from 1.2 million at the height of the Barack Obama fever in 2008.
00:12:25.000 The margin for Democrats in voter registration heading into 2020 was almost 700,000.
00:12:30.000 So Republicans have made some significant gains in a lot of these swing states in terms of voter registration.
00:12:35.000 And we do have some early voting data, and again, with all the provisos, which we'll get into in a moment, They're still interesting.
00:12:41.000 We'll get to that momentarily.
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00:14:54.000 Okay, so taking a look at this early voting data.
00:14:56.000 And again, Got to take it with a grain of salt, because the big question is, how much of this is cannibalizing the high-propensity voters, right?
00:15:03.000 People like me, who normally vote on Election Day, I voted early instead.
00:15:05.000 I can't vote twice, so if I voted early, that's not like the Republicans won additional votes.
00:15:09.000 But, suffice it to say that if the flip were true, meaning if Republicans were really, really lagging badly in the early voting...
00:15:17.000 Democrats would already be calling the election.
00:15:18.000 So there is an indicator here, and it is that Republicans are, in fact, doing better than expected.
00:15:22.000 So Elon Musk, a little bit earlier today, tweeted out the R-D early vote deltas in the swing states.
00:15:29.000 So again, that would be like the change from 2020 to 2024 in the difference in early voting between Republicans and Democrats, because Democrats just destroyed Republicans in early voting in 2020, which is why you saw this giant blue shift This sort of tidal wave that happened late at night on election night in 2020.
00:15:47.000 Trump won the day of, which was expected, and then all the mail-ins came in, and it turns out that every Democrat and their dead grandmother had voted, and so that wiped away whatever leads Trump had in many of those swing states like Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and all the rest.
00:16:00.000 Okay, so here is the difference.
00:16:02.000 Okay, so in terms of Republicans overperforming 2020, in Arizona, Republicans are overperforming 2020 by 200,000 votes.
00:16:10.000 In Georgia, they're overperforming their mail-in performance of 2020 by 451,000 votes.
00:16:17.000 In Michigan, they're overperforming their 2020 performance by 136,000 votes.
00:16:23.000 In Nevada, by 83,000 votes.
00:16:25.000 In North Carolina, by 290,000 votes.
00:16:28.000 In Pennsylvania, which is the biggie because if Trump wins Pennsylvania, this election is effectively over.
00:16:32.000 In Pennsylvania, Republicans versus Democrats.
00:16:36.000 Democrats had over a million more mail-in votes, early votes, than Republicans did in 2020.
00:16:42.000 As of yesterday, as of last night, their advantage was just 423,000.
00:16:46.000 Now, I had heard some rumors that Democrats really need a firewall of maybe 500,000 votes.
00:16:51.000 Now, and that's speculative.
00:16:53.000 Bottom line is, Democrats are underperforming.
00:16:56.000 Republicans are overperforming in some of the early mail-in voting.
00:16:58.000 That is a change of 600,000 votes.
00:17:01.000 That's a big change in terms of Republicans actually taking advantage of the mail-in and early voting procedures in places like Pennsylvania.
00:17:09.000 In Wisconsin, same story.
00:17:10.000 There's been a delta of about 83,000 votes.
00:17:12.000 Those are all very good numbers for the Republicans.
00:17:15.000 So, what does that mean?
00:17:17.000 That means that if the vote goes like it did in Pennsylvania day of, this time, Trump wins.
00:17:23.000 Okay, so that means get out and vote.
00:17:25.000 Get out and vote.
00:17:25.000 So you can see there's a democratic sort of plan right now that relies on some wishcasting.
00:17:32.000 That wishcasting is that there is a shy Kamala vote.
00:17:35.000 I think this is really, really unlikely.
00:17:37.000 Truly unlikely.
00:17:39.000 I think that if you were going to make, if you were going to steal a man a case for Kamala Harris, like make a strong case for why Kamala Harris is going to win, the strongest case for Kamala Harris goes something like this.
00:17:47.000 Pollsters have it wrong.
00:17:48.000 The reason that pollsters have it wrong is because they are jogging their voter screen.
00:17:53.000 So when pollsters do their polls, there are two ways that you can do a poll.
00:17:57.000 One is a registered voters poll.
00:17:59.000 You just take a baseline of the registered voting public and then you plug it in the machine and you get a number.
00:18:05.000 That's actually how Ann Seltzer does her polls over in Iowa.
00:18:08.000 Just registered voters.
00:18:09.000 Then you have what are called likely voter screens.
00:18:12.000 A likely voter screen, that is pollsters trying to read the tea leaves.
00:18:16.000 That's trying to figure out whether this guy, like what percentage of black voters are actually going to show up on election day.
00:18:21.000 Registered voters is...
00:18:22.000 We kind of know how many registered voters there are.
00:18:25.000 We'll take a poll, all those registered voters, and we'll throw it out.
00:18:27.000 But a likely voter screen means that you can game the system.
00:18:31.000 It means that you can say, okay, well, we think that only 55% of black voters are going to actually show up to the polls this time.
00:18:38.000 Or maybe we think 80% of black voters are going to show up to the polls this time.
00:18:40.000 And so you change how many likely voters you think are going to show up.
00:18:44.000 So the case for Kamala is that the pollsters are so afraid of missing...
00:18:49.000 In the direction they missed in 2016 and 2020, namely, they underestimated Trump's support.
00:18:53.000 They're so scared of underestimating Trump's support that they're actually overestimating Trump's support in order to overcompensate because the incentive structure is that if they once again underestimate Trump's support and then Trump wins, they're afraid that they are out of business, that everybody's going to be super angry at them.
00:19:09.000 Whereas if they underestimate Kamala's support and then she wins, the Democrats are going to be so happy that they're not going to care, and the rest is history.
00:19:16.000 There's no question there's some poll grouping going on.
00:19:18.000 So that theory is not totally wild.
00:19:20.000 I mean, as Nate Silver points out, if you really thought this was a 48-48 election, the average would be 48-48, but not every poll would be 48-48.
00:19:30.000 Think about that for a second.
00:19:31.000 Normally the way that you do a poll average is you have some that say like 47-44 and some that say 47-44 the other way.
00:19:37.000 And then you average them and it's a dead race.
00:19:39.000 But this is a weird race that suggests again that the pollsters are screwing around with the numbers because the average and the actual polls are the same.
00:19:39.000 It's a dead even race.
00:19:47.000 Every poll is showing 47-47, 48-48.
00:19:51.000 And that means somebody is gaming the system.
00:19:53.000 We just don't know what direction.
00:19:54.000 So if you're a Harris supporter, your hope is that they're actually overestimating Trump's support levels in these likely voter screens.
00:20:00.000 The other thing that they are trying to promote is this idea that there's a shy Harris vote.
00:20:05.000 I think this is crazy.
00:20:06.000 I honestly think this is a crazy suggestion.
00:20:09.000 Kamala Harris' team, by the way, thinks this is true.
00:20:11.000 This is why they've run out two separate ads, one to men and one to women, both saying the same thing.
00:20:16.000 Remember, we played them on the show.
00:20:17.000 There was the ad to women that says, you know, you don't have to tell your husband who you're voting for in that voting booth.
00:20:22.000 You get in there, you wink at the other ladies, and then you vote feminist.
00:20:25.000 And then there's the one to men, where men look at each other, and then they secretly vote for Kamala.
00:20:31.000 I don't even know what the logic here is.
00:20:33.000 Honestly, do you know a single human being who is shy in supporting Kamala Harris?
00:20:37.000 Who are these people?
00:20:39.000 Seriously, who are these people?
00:20:40.000 There was a shy Trump vote in 2016-2020 because there was social ostracism attached to voting for Donald Trump.
00:20:45.000 What is the negative incentive structure that would cause you to be a shy Kamala voter in, say, Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin?
00:20:53.000 That is such, it's such tripe.
00:20:55.000 It's such a silly argument.
00:20:57.000 Again, the Wall Street Journal is positing maybe that's the case.
00:21:00.000 When pollsters set out to explain how they missed Trump's Electoral College victory in 2016, says the Wall Street Journal, and their underestimation of Trump's strength once again in 2020, one thought was that some of the candidates' supporters were wary of civic institutions and so were masking their true voting intentions.
00:21:14.000 They were dubbed shy Trump voters.
00:21:15.000 The opposite might now be the case, some campaign strategists think.
00:21:18.000 Pressure in some communities to support Trump is so strong that voters who don't back him, particularly the women, might be the ones who this year are hesitant to reveal their true intentions.
00:21:26.000 Mark Putnam, Democratic ad maker, says, quote, I don't have direct evidence of this, but in this highly contentious environment, it's not implausible for there to be significant percentages of women voters who are not just hiding their intended Harris vote from significant others, but also from pollsters.
00:21:38.000 I'm sorry, that is not happening.
00:21:40.000 If that happens, I will eat my shoe, man.
00:21:42.000 That is super-duper unlikely.
00:21:44.000 More likely that pollsters are overestimating Trump's support because they don't want to get it wrong in the same direction they got it wrong in 2016-2020.
00:21:50.000 The idea that there are shy Harris—have you met a Kamala Harris supporter?
00:21:54.000 These are the least shy people about their votes on earth.
00:21:57.000 These are people like sit by their phones waiting for a pollster to call to tell you how much they love the brat and the joy of Kamala Harris.
00:22:03.000 So I don't buy that at all.
00:22:06.000 Nonetheless, that is the line that so many in the Democratic Party are taking.
00:22:09.000 It sounds like desperation.
00:22:11.000 It kind of stinks of desperation.
00:22:12.000 Monica Hess has a piece of the Washington Post positing the same thing, quote, marriage and the shy Harris voter.
00:22:17.000 Some anti-Trumpers have a theory about the wives of Trump-loving men.
00:22:21.000 With American democracy facing a fourth down, I can't stop thinking about a new ad produced by the Lincoln Project.
00:22:27.000 In it, two middle America couples arrive at their polling place.
00:22:29.000 The grip and grin husbands affirm to each other they are going to vote for him.
00:22:32.000 As for their wives, she doesn't like him, but she's voting for him.
00:22:34.000 One man tells the other, same with mine.
00:22:36.000 His buddy says approvingly, but silly husbands.
00:22:38.000 Okay, first of all, the Lincoln Project knows as much about Lady as they do about age barriers for sexual relationships, allegedly.
00:22:45.000 So, you know, that is what it is.
00:22:47.000 But, again, this idea that women are quietly voting against the will of their overbearing patriarchal husband is so stupid.
00:22:55.000 I just, I don't see it at all.
00:22:57.000 I don't.
00:22:57.000 So, again, if you've got to put money on it, every pollster has this thing dead even.
00:23:02.000 Nate Silver's got it dead even.
00:23:03.000 Harry Enten's got it dead even.
00:23:04.000 Real clear politics has it dead even.
00:23:06.000 I'm going to say slight advantage Trump.
00:23:09.000 And if I had to put out my map right now, in fact, I'm just going to do that right now.
00:23:15.000 Okay, so I'll put it out on the line.
00:23:18.000 Yep, means nothing.
00:23:19.000 I could be totally wrong.
00:23:21.000 I think there is a solid chance that the polls are underestimating Trump support again.
00:23:25.000 And the reason I say this is because if you are a Trump supporter and a pollster calls you, how often do you hang up the phone?
00:23:32.000 Probably depends on the pollster.
00:23:33.000 But if the New York Times Sienna calls me for a poll, I ain't staying on the phone.
00:23:39.000 I'm not.
00:23:40.000 If you're a low-propensity voter, you are certainly not staying on the phone.
00:23:43.000 And Trump has a gift at getting out low-propensity voters.
00:23:46.000 So, here is best case scenario for Donald Trump.
00:23:48.000 And I think it actually is going to materialize tonight.
00:23:51.000 If you vote.
00:23:52.000 If you get your asses out there and vote.
00:23:54.000 So, here's best case scenario.
00:23:55.000 Trump takes all the Sunbelt states.
00:23:57.000 He takes North Carolina.
00:23:58.000 He takes Georgia.
00:23:59.000 I think both those are very likely.
00:24:00.000 Arizona is very likely.
00:24:01.000 I think that he sneaks Nevada in there.
00:24:03.000 The early voting in Nevada looks very...
00:24:05.000 I understand John Ralston is suggesting that he can pinpoint the vote down to 30,000 votes in Nevada.
00:24:10.000 I have serious questions about whether that is the case.
00:24:14.000 But I think that Trump's durability in Nevada throughout this entire race, he's basically led in Nevada almost wire to wire.
00:24:21.000 I'd be a little surprised if he doesn't win Nevada.
00:24:23.000 And then you get to the Rust Belt states.
00:24:25.000 I think Trump, you ready for this?
00:24:26.000 I think Trump's going to win all of them.
00:24:28.000 I think Trump's going to win all of them.
00:24:29.000 And the reason I say that I think that Trump is going to win all of them is because if you look at places like Ohio, they are trending redder.
00:24:35.000 Those Rust Belt states are trending red.
00:24:37.000 They are not trending blue.
00:24:38.000 Okay, there's certain states that I didn't give to Trump in this map.
00:24:40.000 I didn't give Trump Virginia.
00:24:42.000 Virginia is trending blue.
00:24:43.000 It is not trending red.
00:24:45.000 Virginia is going to look more like Colorado than it looks like Ohio.
00:24:47.000 Ohio used to be a swing state.
00:24:48.000 Florida used to be a swing state.
00:24:50.000 They're no longer swing states.
00:24:51.000 They're solidly red.
00:24:52.000 Virginia looks more like Colorado.
00:24:54.000 Used to be a swing state.
00:24:55.000 Has now moved blue.
00:24:56.000 Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
00:24:59.000 Those states look more like Ohio than they do like Virginia.
00:25:02.000 Meaning I believe that they are trending red.
00:25:04.000 Hey, there's some support for this.
00:25:06.000 RealClearPolitics right now has Trump up 0.4 in Pennsylvania.
00:25:09.000 They have Harris up 0.5 in Michigan.
00:25:12.000 Do you think there's gonna be heavy Harris turnout in Michigan?
00:25:15.000 How's that Detroit vote looking?
00:25:16.000 How about Dearborn?
00:25:17.000 There can be big votes for Kamala Harris.
00:25:19.000 What's the enthusiasm level for Kamala in Michigan day of?
00:25:22.000 And as for Wisconsin, Wisconsin is a notoriously difficult state to poll.
00:25:26.000 I think Eric Hovde may actually drag Trump up the ticket.
00:25:30.000 I think Eric Hovde, who's the senatorial candidate in Wisconsin, who is running extremely strong in Wisconsin right now, I think Hovde wins that race.
00:25:37.000 By the way, I think that Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania wins that race based on the early voting numbers.
00:25:42.000 Again, this is all reading tea leaves.
00:25:43.000 It could all go the other way.
00:25:45.000 But if there's as much of a polling error as I think there may be with regard to Trump levels of support, again, so much of this is anecdotal.
00:25:52.000 You just walk around, you see many more people who are willing to say out loud the thing they were not willing to say out loud in 2016 and 2020.
00:25:59.000 I think Trump has a shot at New Hampshire.
00:26:01.000 New Hampshire right now in the RealClearPolitics polling average, New Hampshire, Harris is only leading there by three and a half points in New Hampshire.
00:26:10.000 And the Rasmussen Reports poll from late October has her up one.
00:26:15.000 So, that is a small state.
00:26:17.000 And if Dixville Notch, which is the little town that votes early every year, they vote at midnight on election day, and then they explain their vote.
00:26:24.000 That town went in 2020 5-0 Biden-Trump.
00:26:28.000 It's like six people.
00:26:29.000 This year, it went 3-3.
00:26:32.000 If that's the case, outside shot at New Hampshire.
00:26:36.000 And if that were the case, Donald Trump would walk away with the election.
00:26:39.000 So that is the most optimistic case.
00:26:40.000 Not going to say it's going to happen, but...
00:26:43.000 May as well put my prediction on the board.
00:26:45.000 That is my prediction for tonight because, again, I think that there is...
00:26:47.000 Maybe I'm too optimistic.
00:26:48.000 I know.
00:26:49.000 Unlike me.
00:26:50.000 Unlike me.
00:26:51.000 With every proviso.
00:26:52.000 But only true if you get out and vote right now.
00:26:56.000 In just a second, we'll get to the closing arguments of the candidates.
00:26:58.000 First, you know what's fascinating about the left?
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00:29:21.000 Okay, so Kamala Harris for her part.
00:29:23.000 She says she's got the momentum.
00:29:26.000 Oh, so much momentum.
00:29:27.000 Prepare thyself for all the momentum.
00:29:32.000 One more day left in one of the most consequential elections of our lifetime, and momentum is on our side.
00:29:40.000 Momentum is on our side.
00:29:42.000 Can you feel it?
00:29:43.000 We have momentum, right?
00:29:49.000 Because our campaign has tapped into the ambitions and the aspirations and the dreams of the American people.
00:29:57.000 We are optimistic and excited about what we will do together.
00:30:02.000 And we here know it is time for a new generation of leadership in America.
00:30:09.000 Well, I mean, it's always weird.
00:30:10.000 Joyce has new generation of leadership in America neglecting the fact that she's the current vice president of the United States.
00:30:16.000 Also, for all the brat and all the joy, she's just so awkward.
00:30:19.000 She's just straight from deep.
00:30:20.000 Here she was last night at the same rally, failing to get a chant started.
00:30:25.000 Get out the vote!
00:30:27.000 Let's get out the vote!
00:30:32.000 Let's win!
00:30:35.000 Man, that's not even how...
00:30:37.000 For a chant to work, it has to be rhythmic.
00:30:40.000 That's not good.
00:30:41.000 My favorite moment, I think, from the closing of her campaign is when she actually attempted to stage a door knocking.
00:30:47.000 I thought this was quite amusing.
00:30:49.000 So she was going door to door in Pennsylvania trying to show how she was putting in the boot leather.
00:30:54.000 And it didn't go amazing.
00:30:56.000 In fact, she shows up and on a hot mic she is caught speaking to voters and asking them to go back inside their door so that she can be caught on tape door knocking them.
00:31:02.000 Hey, Max.
00:31:05.000 Well, welcome.
00:31:07.000 I'm going to door knock.
00:31:09.000 Oh, you want to do a door knock?
00:31:11.000 Yeah, come on.
00:31:12.000 Okay.
00:31:12.000 You want us to go back inside and pretend that we're just a stage of door knocking?
00:31:17.000 You had your hat on.
00:31:18.000 The Penn State came in front of 111,000 people on a Saturday.
00:31:22.000 Thank you, guys.
00:31:23.000 Come on.
00:31:25.000 Well, when that didn't work, she just bust down the door and then killed their pet squirrel or something.
00:31:28.000 So that was exciting stuff.
00:31:30.000 Meanwhile, President Trump, he was also claiming momentum as the evening closed last night.
00:31:35.000 Here was President Trump last night.
00:31:38.000 You know, we have a massive lead.
00:31:40.000 I don't even like telling you that, to be honest with you.
00:31:43.000 We have a massive lead.
00:31:44.000 First time ever a Republican was leading by a lot.
00:31:50.000 It didn't happen.
00:31:51.000 The Republicans would always be way behind, they believe, in going on Election Day, so we're going to let you go on Election Day, right?
00:31:57.000 But they waited till the end, always.
00:31:59.000 Democrats would always have hundreds of thousands of votes, and then you either catch them or you don't.
00:32:04.000 You never know what's going to happen.
00:32:07.000 But Republicans have never been in the lead, and not like this.
00:32:11.000 It's a big number.
00:32:13.000 So we have to just get out, you know?
00:32:15.000 The ball is in our hand.
00:32:19.000 We're at the two-yard line, maybe the one-yard line, but it's in our hand and we put it over that.
00:32:25.000 It'll be the biggest event maybe in the history of our country.
00:32:29.000 All right, so let's talk about how the evening is actually going to go.
00:32:31.000 First of all, you're going to spend it with us tonight over at Daily Web.
00:32:34.000 And that's clear.
00:32:35.000 You have to, right?
00:32:36.000 I mean, it's going to be amazing.
00:32:37.000 We'll spend the evening together.
00:32:39.000 You will watch Michael Knowles get absolutely drunk as a skunk, mostly on his own giddiness.
00:32:44.000 But let's talk about how this thing actually comes in.
00:32:47.000 So, first off, 7 p.m.
00:32:49.000 Eastern, we start to get the early results as the polls close in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia.
00:32:54.000 Now, the only two states in that list that actually kind of matter in terms of looking at how the election is going to come out are, of course, Georgia and Virginia.
00:33:02.000 Virginia...
00:33:04.000 The day of voting, Republicans will start with a big lead, and then Democratic votes are going to come in.
00:33:08.000 It is a blue state.
00:33:08.000 It is not really a purple state.
00:33:10.000 Glenn Youngkin was able to sneak out a solid gubernatorial victory there, but it is really not a purple state anymore, Virginia.
00:33:17.000 With that said, there may be some early indicators of exactly how Republicans are going to perform if they're outperforming in a place like Virginia.
00:33:23.000 Meanwhile...
00:33:24.000 Georgia's votes are going to come in fairly slowly.
00:33:27.000 Georgia, of course, a big swing state.
00:33:28.000 I think that one is in Trump's camp.
00:33:30.000 I think he's going to win that.
00:33:31.000 Half an hour later, North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia close.
00:33:35.000 Now, it'll be fascinating to see what happens in Ohio.
00:33:37.000 If you see somebody like Bernie Moreno, who's running a very, very close race with Sherrod Brown right now, emerge with a big victory.
00:33:43.000 If he starts to really clock up some numbers in Ohio, which, by the way, I kind of expect.
00:33:46.000 I was out with Bernie in Ohio.
00:33:49.000 He's a great candidate.
00:33:50.000 The state is on fire for Trump.
00:33:52.000 They're on fire for Moreno.
00:33:53.000 I think Moreno takes that seat.
00:33:54.000 I think Sherrod Brown goes home.
00:33:56.000 If he starts to rack up, say, not a one- or two-point victory, starts to rack up like a four-, five-, six-point victory, that could be indicative of how things are going to go in some of the surrounding states like, for example, Wisconsin and Michigan, which are, of course, in terms of proximity and constituency, relatively close.
00:34:12.000 As far as West Virginia, that, of course, the Senate seat that is going to go to the Republicans, that would be Jim Justice, who's going to win that Senate seat pretty easily.
00:34:18.000 And then you get to North Carolina.
00:34:20.000 North Carolina, Democrats have been pushing really, really hard.
00:34:23.000 If North Carolina flips blue, Trump has a real uphill battle in winning that election.
00:34:26.000 So North Carolina is going to be a real bellwether.
00:34:28.000 If that one starts to go heavy Democrat early on, if, for example, high black turnout, In some of the big cities in North Carolina, that could be indicative of good numbers for Kamala Harris in places like Philadelphia in Pennsylvania, obviously, or Detroit in Michigan, some of the big cities.
00:34:43.000 8 p.m., you get Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Tennessee.
00:34:52.000 Now again, none of those states make a huge difference in this election.
00:34:55.000 There's some big ballot initiatives in Florida that I voted against, three and four.
00:35:00.000 And if you're voting in Florida today, by the way, vote against amendments three and four.
00:35:03.000 They're both trash.
00:35:04.000 Pennsylvania is, of course, the big question of the night.
00:35:09.000 So this is when the polls close.
00:35:12.000 Really tight race between Bob Casey and Dave McCormick.
00:35:14.000 I was in Pennsylvania with Dave just last week.
00:35:16.000 McCormick's a great candidate.
00:35:18.000 He's been doing all the boot leather, real door knocking on the ground.
00:35:22.000 Pennsylvania is the biggest state in the country right now.
00:35:24.000 So that is all closed by 8 p.m.
00:35:28.000 9 p.m.
00:35:28.000 is when you get Arizona, Colorado, some Midwestern states.
00:35:31.000 You get Wyoming.
00:35:32.000 You get Montana.
00:35:34.000 Some of these other—Montana closes at 10 p.m.
00:35:36.000 Eastern.
00:35:37.000 So Arizona, you know, looks as though that is going to be a walkaway for Trump.
00:35:41.000 We'll see how Carrie Lake does in her race against Ruben Gallego over there.
00:35:44.000 Michigan also closes at 9 p.m.
00:35:46.000 Eastern.
00:35:46.000 Now, again, because this is closing so late, the chances that we get any results from, say, Pennsylvania and Michigan until early morning, because that's when the mail-ins start to be counted— Very unlikely.
00:35:56.000 I think that you're most likely to start seeing some real results out of those swing states early morning on Wednesday at best.
00:36:05.000 But that gives you sort of an indicator of when these polls are going to close and when those results start to be tabulated again.
00:36:11.000 It just demonstrates how stupid our system is that we're going to have to wait until Wednesday, Thursday to figure out exactly who's the president of the United States at a minimum.
00:36:18.000 This thing could go all the way to Saturday depending on how close the election is and how quickly those votes are tabulated.
00:36:25.000 Now, in the late breaking moments of the campaign, there were some endorsements on both sides.
00:36:29.000 So yesterday, a big story was that Joe Rogan openly endorsed President Trump.
00:36:33.000 That was probably going to happen.
00:36:34.000 I think everybody who's been watching Joe for a while knows that was going to happen.
00:36:37.000 I'm friendly with Joe, obviously.
00:36:38.000 He tweeted out, the great and powerful Elon Musk, if it wasn't for him, we'd be bleeped.
00:36:42.000 He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.
00:36:46.000 For the record, yes, that's an endorsement of Trump.
00:36:48.000 Enjoy the podcast.
00:36:49.000 This, of course, made some people very, very angry, but not Joe Rogan supporters, considering that, again, when it comes to Joe, it has been the Democratic Party that's been on his ass since the 2020 pandemic when they attempted to basically strong-arm Spotify into deplatforming him.
00:37:04.000 This is not a giant shock.
00:37:05.000 Here was Donald Trump last night at a rally announcing the Joe Rogan endorsement.
00:37:10.000 Oh, wow.
00:37:11.000 I have some more big news, Megan.
00:37:13.000 I'm just getting this right now.
00:37:16.000 So somebody that's very, very respected asked me to do his show two weeks ago, and I said, why not?
00:37:25.000 And to me, it's very big because he's the biggest there is, I guess, in that world by far.
00:37:32.000 Somebody said the biggest beyond anybody in a long time, and his name is Joe Rogan, and he's never done this before.
00:37:39.000 And it just came over the wires that Joe Rogan just endorsed me.
00:37:49.000 Is that right?
00:37:51.000 Thank you, Joe.
00:37:52.000 That's so nice.
00:37:59.000 Thank you.
00:38:01.000 And he doesn't do that.
00:38:03.000 He doesn't do that.
00:38:06.000 So, you know, obviously Trump excited about that.
00:38:09.000 Well, because the gender gap in this election is extremely severe.
00:38:09.000 Why?
00:38:13.000 Rogan gets out male voters.
00:38:14.000 Male voters are low propensity voters.
00:38:15.000 Female voters in the United States are very high propensity voters.
00:38:18.000 Kamala's obviously counting on big female turnout.
00:38:21.000 If Trump gets male turnout, heavy male turnout, that will not have been reflected by a lot of these likely voter screens.
00:38:26.000 That means Trump is likely going to win if he gets men to show up to the polls.
00:38:30.000 But speaking of women...
00:38:32.000 It's not just about Joe Rogan.
00:38:34.000 There were two major female endorsers of President Trump yesterday.
00:38:38.000 One was more predicted than the other Megyn Kelly actually appeared at a rally with President Trump and I think made a very solid case to women as to why they ought to vote for President Trump, whatever their particular holdups about Trump personally.
00:38:50.000 We'll get to that in just one moment.
00:38:52.000 First, let me tell you about the holidays, the heart of family tradition.
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00:39:04.000 I know that got real dark super fast, but...
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00:40:00.000 Also, as you know, since I've said so one million times, today, America decides its future.
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00:41:04.000 November 5th.
00:41:07.000 The night America's fate is decided.
00:41:09.000 As the final votes are counted and a nation waits for the outcome, join us to break down the live election results as only Ben Shapiro, Matt Walsh, Michael Knowles, Andrew Klavan, and Jeremy Boren can.
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00:42:00.000 Meanwhile, Megyn Kelly came out with her endorsement of President Trump.
00:42:03.000 Now, again, this is a pretty big switch for Megyn.
00:42:03.000 She went to his rally.
00:42:06.000 I mean, obviously, she's been Trump supportive a lot of this election cycle.
00:42:10.000 She's sort of shifted from a more overtly reportorial stance back in 2016 to much more opinionated and openly opinionated in 2024.
00:42:18.000 Listen, I love Megyn.
00:42:18.000 Megyn's great.
00:42:19.000 Here was Megyn endorsing President Trump yesterday.
00:42:23.000 I hope all of you do what I did last week.
00:42:25.000 Vote Trump and get 10 friends to vote Trump too.
00:42:30.000 Hey, there was another endorsement yesterday that actually does matter, okay?
00:42:41.000 And that was Nikki Haley.
00:42:42.000 So a couple of days ago, actually.
00:42:44.000 She wrote a piece in the Wall Street Journal endorsing Trump.
00:42:46.000 Now, there are a lot of hesitant Trump voters who kind of like Nikki Haley.
00:42:50.000 They think that Nikki Haley is sort of a more sober-minded version of traditional Republicanism.
00:42:54.000 Of course, she won a not insignificant share of the Republican primary vote when she ran against Trump in the primaries, and then she waited for a while to sort of endorse Trump.
00:43:01.000 She has an entire piece in the Wall Street Journal that is titled, Trump isn't perfect, but he's the better choice, which, honestly, I think that's a good case for Trump.
00:43:08.000 I do.
00:43:09.000 I've always thought that these sort of The overtly most pro-Trump case does not make the appeal to swing voters.
00:43:15.000 The case that Donald Trump is the greatest, the most loyal, the best character.
00:43:20.000 There are a lot of people in this country who look at Donald Trump and they have doubts about him.
00:43:23.000 That's fine.
00:43:24.000 That's understandable.
00:43:25.000 Also, you should vote for him.
00:43:26.000 And that's the case that Nikki Haley is making.
00:43:28.000 She says, I don't agree with Mr.
00:43:29.000 Trump 100% of the time, but I do agree with him most of the time.
00:43:31.000 And I disagree with Ms.
00:43:32.000 Harris nearly all the time.
00:43:33.000 That makes this an easy call.
00:43:35.000 That seems to me the best pitch for Trump, and that's always been the best case pitch for Trump.
00:43:39.000 Meanwhile, there are Kamala Harris's endorsers.
00:43:42.000 So Kamala Harris's endorser to celebrities who went out there and sang their hearts out for Kamala.
00:43:47.000 They're going to try and celebrity this thing all the way home.
00:43:51.000 Now again, if this is the kind of thing that gets people out to vote, I've yet to see tremendous evidence that celebrity endorsements get people out to vote.
00:43:59.000 Hillary Clinton tried the same trash by having a bunch of celebrities sing fight song for her in 2016.
00:44:05.000 It didn't work out amazing for her.
00:44:06.000 It feels old, honestly.
00:44:08.000 It feels kind of worn.
00:44:10.000 Here is a montage of various celebrities, of various ilks, singing for Kamala.
00:44:15.000 That is a rather weathered-looking Katy Perry, I believe.
00:44:26.000 You're calling in the night.
00:44:28.000 That is Ricky Martin, who was last relevant in 2002.
00:44:32.000 That is X-Tina, Christina.
00:44:38.000 If this were in the year 2002 this would be a serious sleight of endorsements right here And then there's this guy Who is this guy?
00:44:50.000 Do I care?
00:44:51.000 Oh, it's Bon Jovi.
00:44:52.000 I should know Bon Jovi.
00:44:53.000 Come on.
00:44:54.000 Bad one, Ben.
00:44:55.000 Except I don't care about rock music, so.
00:44:57.000 Bon Jovi.
00:44:58.000 Looking increasingly like Ruth Bader Ginsburg as he ages.
00:45:06.000 Oh, Lady Gaga.
00:45:07.000 Fresh from her giant failure in Joker 2.
00:45:14.000 Oh, man.
00:45:16.000 Man, she was better when she was in an asylum.
00:45:20.000 Will.i.am?
00:45:21.000 Wow, the black eyed peas in Will.i.am?
00:45:23.000 Again, lots of endorsers circa the Bush era.
00:45:27.000 Feeling a little...
00:45:28.000 Oh, I know.
00:45:32.000 Are you feeling this, guys?
00:45:34.000 Will.i.am?
00:45:36.000 This is how fast time moves.
00:45:37.000 Will.i.am is now 72 years old.
00:45:40.000 So, yeah, congratulations to Kamala on all those endorsements.
00:45:43.000 Meanwhile, the New York Times has its final editorial.
00:45:45.000 Okay, this is his editorial.
00:45:47.000 You already know Donald Trump.
00:45:48.000 He is unfit to lead.
00:45:50.000 Watch him.
00:45:50.000 Listen to those who know him best.
00:45:52.000 He tried to subvert an election and remains a threat to democracy.
00:45:54.000 He helped Just overturn Roe with terrible consequences.
00:45:57.000 Mr.
00:45:57.000 Trump's corruption and lawlessness go beyond elections.
00:45:59.000 It's his whole ethos.
00:46:00.000 He lies without limit.
00:46:01.000 If he's re-elected, the GOP won't restrain him.
00:46:04.000 Mr.
00:46:04.000 Trump will use the government to go after opponents.
00:46:05.000 He will pursue a cruel policy of mass deportations.
00:46:08.000 He will wreak havoc on the poor, the middle class, and employers.
00:46:11.000 Another Trump term will damage the climate, shatter alliances, and strengthen autocrats.
00:46:15.000 Americans should demand better vote.
00:46:18.000 Okay, yeah, you know, take a chill pill, people.
00:46:21.000 Like, he was already president.
00:46:22.000 That crap didn't happen.
00:46:23.000 So, you know, there's that.
00:46:24.000 Meanwhile, I do love the historic switch that has the Democrats loving Liz Cheney.
00:46:29.000 I really am enjoying this.
00:46:30.000 So Liz Cheney, it's not enough for her just to be anti-Trump.
00:46:33.000 She then has to go all the way.
00:46:34.000 This is the part that's astonishing to me.
00:46:36.000 I understand all the arguments against Trump.
00:46:37.000 I do.
00:46:38.000 I get it.
00:46:38.000 Also, that doesn't mean you should vote for Kamala Harris.
00:46:42.000 Hey, Kamala Harris is awful.
00:46:43.000 She is a wildly progressive figure.
00:46:46.000 Liz Cheney said in 2020 that Kamala Harris was a wildly left-wing figure.
00:46:51.000 Now, Liz Cheney, because people have no capacity for cognitive dissonance.
00:46:54.000 They cannot hold two thoughts at one time.
00:46:56.000 Liz Cheney can't say, listen, I dislike Trump for all these reasons, but...
00:47:00.000 My agenda is much closer to his than it is to...
00:47:01.000 Instead, she has to be out there rah-rah-ing for Kamala Harris, who overtly hates everything about Liz Cheney other than her support.
00:47:08.000 Here's Liz Cheney pretending that she is impressed by Kamala...
00:47:11.000 Listen, if you're impressed by Kamala Harris, let me suggest that you are not particularly smart.
00:47:15.000 She is not an impressive person.
00:47:17.000 She's just not.
00:47:18.000 I spend all day dealing with impressive people.
00:47:21.000 Truly.
00:47:22.000 You should see my group chats.
00:47:23.000 I deal with people who are worth billions of dollars.
00:47:26.000 I deal with people who have 150 IQs.
00:47:28.000 Kamala Harris does not even belong in the same conversation with those people.
00:47:31.000 I deal with people who are like normal, everyday people who are just virtuous family people.
00:47:35.000 Like, Kamala Harris is none of these things.
00:47:37.000 I don't understand.
00:47:38.000 Here's Liz Cheney pretending that Kamala Harris is the repository of all goodness in the universe.
00:47:45.000 I think that for all of us, I know for me, spending time with her, you know, it's been a real chance to say, wait a second.
00:47:51.000 Like, we really need to take a step back and recognize that we share much more than divides us.
00:47:58.000 And I just, you know, as I said, she is somebody, when you look at her career, when you look at the extent to which she has been devoted her whole career to public service.
00:48:10.000 And I'm just, I'm very impressed with her.
00:48:14.000 So impressed with her.
00:48:15.000 Or alternatively, is it that you have the strange new respect, Liz Cheney?
00:48:19.000 Because I can guarantee you, one thing that wasn't happening before Liz Cheney backed Kamala Harris was members of The View saying that Liz Cheney should run the CIA or FBI. This is just amusing to me.
00:48:28.000 This is super amusing to me.
00:48:30.000 So the daughter of Dick Cheney, who agrees with virtually all of Dick Cheney's foreign policy proposals...
00:48:36.000 That person is the people the Democrats are now saying should run the CIA or FBI. Slow clap for the Democrats and their consistency here, guys.
00:48:42.000 You're not just a bunch of political whores.
00:48:44.000 Wow.
00:48:45.000 Solid stuff here.
00:48:48.000 I just feel like I would feel a lot better.
00:48:53.000 With you leading the FBI, the CIA, the NBC... And a big cheer from the View audience.
00:49:01.000 My God, these people are dumb.
00:49:03.000 So I'm just saying, should it be floated, please think about it.
00:49:07.000 The stupid, it burns, man.
00:49:08.000 It burns.
00:49:09.000 That is incredible.
00:49:10.000 And Liz Cheney just lapping it all up.
00:49:12.000 She's not going to be the head of the CIA or the FBI. Give me a break.
00:49:15.000 Give me a break.
00:49:17.000 Now, some of the very real consequences of this election are pretty dire, actually.
00:49:21.000 So, Elon Musk, he did a sort of closing appearance on Joe Rogan.
00:49:24.000 He was talking about the censorship regime under old Twitter.
00:49:28.000 Let's be real about this.
00:49:29.000 If Donald Trump does not win the election today, Elon Musk will be on the chopping block by the left.
00:49:34.000 They've been going after him anyway.
00:49:36.000 He's been too outspoken.
00:49:37.000 He must atone.
00:49:39.000 Here is Elon Musk talking about freeing acts of the heavy hand of Jack Dorsey.
00:49:45.000 Alt Twitter was controlled by far-left activists.
00:49:49.000 And they welcomed the government interference.
00:49:55.000 They got paid by the government for it.
00:49:57.000 That's crazy.
00:49:58.000 They got paid for their time, correct?
00:50:00.000 Yeah, they got paid millions of dollars for suppressing information.
00:50:03.000 So it's like built time?
00:50:04.000 And a bunch of it was flat-out legal.
00:50:05.000 The FBI had this sort of magic portal into the Twitter system, but all of the communication in this portal was auto-deleted after two weeks, which breaks federal FOIA laws.
00:50:19.000 So we don't even know what was said, because it was deleted after two weeks.
00:50:23.000 So, again, that is how things were run when Democrats were running it and when they had silenced Elon Musk.
00:50:28.000 You think they're going to leave Musk intact?
00:50:29.000 They are not.
00:50:30.000 They're going to go after Elon every way they can.
00:50:32.000 They already are.
00:50:33.000 They already are.
00:50:34.000 In fact, here was Rachel Maddow literally last night asking the federal government to target Elon Musk because he's heterodox.
00:50:42.000 Even if Trump doesn't win, the Defense Department and NASA are going to need a new arrangement for all their rockets.
00:50:49.000 And for all the multi-billion dollar contracts Elon Musk's companies have with the U.S. government, the U.S. government is going to have to either, I mean, unwind from all of those contracts, or Elon Musk's companies are going to have to unwind from him.
00:51:07.000 This is an untenable reality in national security terms.
00:51:13.000 Now that we know what we know about Elon Musk.
00:51:17.000 This is insane.
00:51:18.000 This is what the world will be if Kamala Harris wins.
00:51:20.000 They will go after people like Elon.
00:51:22.000 By the way, Trump's going to prison if he loses.
00:51:24.000 And we know this for a fact.
00:51:25.000 This is a thing that will happen.
00:51:26.000 So if you're on the fence and you don't want Donald Trump to go to prison, then voting might be a useful thing.
00:51:33.000 According to Axios, former President Trump is scheduled to be sentenced on his 34 felony convictions three weeks after election day.
00:51:40.000 Winning the election is effectively Trump's get out of jail free card.
00:51:42.000 His legal team largely succeeded in delaying his criminal trials until after the election.
00:51:46.000 If he wins, those prosecutions will likely be over for good.
00:51:48.000 If he loses, he could find himself back in court.
00:51:52.000 I mean, what a crazy circumstance.
00:51:54.000 What a crazy circumstance we find ourselves in where it's win or go to jail.
00:51:59.000 Meanwhile, Democrats ramping up the rhetoric.
00:52:01.000 Again, I've said earlier, I don't like the rhetoric from either side.
00:52:04.000 I love what Elon does.
00:52:05.000 I think Elon's done an enormous amount of good for the country.
00:52:07.000 When Elon says to Joe Rogan, this will be the last election if Trump loses, I don't think that's true.
00:52:12.000 I also don't think it's true when Oprah says it.
00:52:14.000 Now, notice the media will completely ignore Oprah saying it.
00:52:16.000 Here was Oprah last night.
00:52:20.000 If we don't show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast a ballot again.
00:52:31.000 So, yeah, I don't think that's true at all.
00:52:34.000 And this sort of alarmism is not useful at all.
00:52:36.000 It is also the reason why America is boarding up already.
00:52:39.000 So it is all in the big cities.
00:52:41.000 In the big cities, they're boarding up the stores.
00:52:42.000 They're not doing that in case Kamala wins.
00:52:44.000 They're doing that in case Trump wins.
00:52:45.000 Let's be real.
00:52:46.000 When Republicans riot, it's typically because there has been a sort of a focus point of their ire for a particular reason.
00:52:54.000 It can be a bad reason, but that's typically how the riots work, right?
00:52:57.000 You have to call a bunch of people to Washington, D.C., and those people have to think that if they go into the Senate, they are going to be able to stop the certification of an election.
00:53:03.000 That's like how a Republican riot happens.
00:53:05.000 How does a Democratic riot happen?
00:53:07.000 It's a Tuesday, and people find a reason to steal a TV. And that's exactly what is going to happen if Donald Trump wins.
00:53:13.000 If Donald Trump wins, that's why they're boarding up in Washington, D.C. They're not boarding up near the White House because they're deeply afraid of all the MAGA-hatted Jussie Smollett assaulting Republicans in Washington, D.C. We know how this is going to go.
00:53:25.000 That is why people are on edge in the big cities right now, is in case Trump wins.
00:53:29.000 That's the story.
00:53:30.000 All right, coming up, I'm going to talk about this New York Times strike.
00:53:34.000 It's pretty impressive what they are striking for.
00:53:36.000 These are the repositories of true journalistic virtue.
00:53:40.000 If you're not a member, become a member.
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