The Ben Shapiro Show - March 16, 2017


Ep. 269 - Myths And Facts About Trumpcare


Episode Stats

Length

20 minutes

Words per Minute

209.90431

Word Count

4,387

Sentence Count

298

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary

Ben Shapiro explains the ten ways you can actively reject your white privilege, including: 1. Take up minimal space during anti-racism dialogues and protests. 2. Stop contributing to gentrification and calling it urban development. 3. Never invite people of color to the table for the sake of claiming diversity. 4. Stop using non-white friends as your urban dictionary. 5. Refrain from using your non-whites as your Urban Dictionary. 6. Call your friends, family, and co-workers out on racism even if a person of color isn t in the room. 7. Stop lifting up non-confrontational people of Color as examples of what people of colour should be. 8. Stop talking about Martin Luther King Jr. and Malcolm X. 9. Understand that all anti-racist work doesn t look the same and advocate accordingly. 10. Recognize that all discussions about race aren t for you, and be okay with it. You see, if you're called racist, or if we're discussing racism, you should shut up. That's not racism. It's your privilege to speak, so we have to reject that privilege no matter what. You're not racist, you're just white, right? Ben Shapiro is a writer, comedian, podcaster, and podcaster. His work can be found at Podulters.org. His music is available on SoundCloud at Soundcloud at . and he's on YouTube at and . His music video is is also available on at , and on , . He's also on Soundtracks at ! also on . You can also be found on Insta if you search for him on Soundcloud or , or , he's s in , the Podcasts podcast ? Music: "The Good, the Bad, the Good, The Bad, The Ugly, The Evil, The Good, and the Ugly " and , "The Bad, & ( ) and "The Great, the Great, The Beautiful, the Beautiful, The Right, The Great, and The Good Good, and The Great Good, And The Beautiful - The Good Bad, and so much more! He also Thank you for listening to The Ben Shapiro Podcast! -


Transcript

00:00:00.000 There's a graphic now going around on social media.
00:00:02.000 Ten ways you can actively reject your white privilege.
00:00:06.000 The people pushing this are serious.
00:00:08.000 And then they suggest that we must all abide by the strictures recommended in this post if we wish for a better country.
00:00:12.000 So let's deconstruct this nonsense.
00:00:15.000 Okay, number one says, take up minimal space during anti-racism dialogues and protests.
00:00:20.000 Minimal space?
00:00:21.000 I don't even know what that's supposed to mean.
00:00:22.000 Should white people who don't like themselves put themselves in, like, mime boxes?
00:00:25.000 Should they take Alice in Wonderland potion and shrink down?
00:00:28.000 Or better yet, should they simply stop showing up?
00:00:30.000 What's the big worry here?
00:00:31.000 Manspreading?
00:00:32.000 Intimidation of the people who happen not to share a skin color, but who share the same ideas regarding politics?
00:00:37.000 I'd recommend that leftists lighten up, but they'd probably think that was racist.
00:00:41.000 They then say, second, stop contributing to gentrification and calling it urban development.
00:00:46.000 Stop investing in downtrodden areas and building nice homes and shops, people.
00:00:49.000 Keep those downtrodden areas racially segregated.
00:00:51.000 At least they're historic.
00:00:52.000 The last thing we would want is people in those historic areas to have jobs in safer neighborhoods and nice restaurants.
00:00:58.000 They must be relegated to poverty for the sake of the character of the place.
00:01:02.000 3.
00:01:02.000 Listen when people call you on your microaggressions.
00:01:04.000 I suppose this means not jumping from the nearest window, which is actually kind of a sacrifice.
00:01:09.000 Never invite people of color to the table for the sake of claiming diversity.
00:01:13.000 I actually agree with this one.
00:01:14.000 How about we just invite people to the table who are interesting and have knowledge, rather than judging them by their skin color.
00:01:19.000 Bet you know who doesn't agree?
00:01:20.000 Hillary Clinton.
00:01:21.000 She actually suggested having a black person to be named later in her cabinet, for the sake of claiming diversity. 5.
00:01:28.000 Refrain from using your non-white friends as your urban dictionary.
00:01:31.000 Not sure who does this.
00:01:32.000 Who turns to their black friend and asks them to decode rap songs?
00:01:34.000 Anybody?
00:01:35.000 Then again, if you actually talk about black cultural hallmarks, and you're not black, then you're white-splaining, or you're engaging in cultural appropriation, so it's a little bit of a catch-22.
00:01:43.000 Six, stop lifting up non-confrontational people of color as example of what people of color activism should be.
00:01:50.000 Stop talking about Martin Luther King Jr.
00:01:52.000 Instead, let's pretend that the Black Panthers and early Malcolm X were better examples of black liberation, even if they actually resulted in, you know, counterproductive backlashes that hurt their causes.
00:02:01.000 It's not like nonviolent resistance has actually succeeded in America or anything.
00:02:04.000 Seven, call your friends, family, and co-workers out on racism, even if a person of color isn't in the room.
00:02:10.000 This actually seems like a good idea.
00:02:12.000 Like this post that we're discussing right now.
00:02:14.000 It's racist.
00:02:15.000 8.
00:02:16.000 Understand that all anti-racism work doesn't look the same and advocate accordingly.
00:02:20.000 This means that you should let everybody do what they please up to and including riots in Ferguson, presumably.
00:02:25.000 Realize that all discussions about race aren't for you and be okay with it.
00:02:29.000 You see, if you're called racist, or if we're discussing racism, you should shut up.
00:02:33.000 Because you're white.
00:02:34.000 It's not for you.
00:02:35.000 Yeah, it's about you, and yeah, you're the problem, and yeah, you suck, but shut up!
00:02:40.000 That's not racism, you know, to tell white people to shut up when discussing how much they suck.
00:02:44.000 That's rejecting white privilege.
00:02:46.000 It's your privilege to speak, so we have to reject that privilege.
00:02:50.000 Recognize that you're still racist no matter what.
00:02:52.000 Well, I mean, to be honest, this sort of defeats the purpose of points one through nine.
00:02:56.000 We could just skip to this one and then do whatever we want anyway, since we'll never actually be able to escape our white privilege.
00:03:01.000 So thanks, leftists, for ensuring that racism lives on and forcing people to shut up based on skin color.
00:03:06.000 You've done us all a real service, at least in exposing your own moral benightedness.
00:03:10.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.
00:03:11.000 This is The Ben Shapiro Show.
00:03:16.000 You know, every time you think that you've actually parodied the left sufficiently, they parody themselves and it all goes out the window.
00:03:23.000 I want to talk a lot about Trumpcare today because the new Congressional Budget Office report is out and it basically sucks.
00:03:29.000 There's a bunch in it that is not true or there's a bunch in it that is based on faulty premises.
00:03:34.000 And the entire left is going totally insane over it.
00:03:37.000 And clearly there is a division of opinion about the CBO report from the right as well.
00:03:41.000 You have some people like Paul Ryan who are touting the CBO report because he hit his head on something hard when he was a child.
00:03:46.000 And you have some people in the Trump administration saying the CBO report doesn't mean anything even though they used to cite the CBO report about Obama.
00:03:52.000 We'll get to all of that in just a second.
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00:05:55.000 Alrighty, so, let's jump right in here.
00:05:58.000 So, the CBO comes out with its new report on the Obamacare replacement bill.
00:06:04.000 And it is not a flattering report.
00:06:06.000 It is not a good report.
00:06:07.000 And you wouldn't expect it to be a good report because the bill is actually really not a good bill.
00:06:11.000 As I've stated before, there are a bunch of problems with the bill, so it's not a shock that the CBO didn't like the bill.
00:06:17.000 But let's go through some of the things that are in the bill.
00:06:19.000 So, Robert Krajcik over at Daily Wire has a pretty good breakdown on what's in this thing.
00:06:24.000 The stuff that Republicans like is that the deficit is supposed to go down.
00:06:27.000 So right now that's important because there are certain bills in place that say that if the CBO estimates that costs will go up, then it's very hard to pass a bill.
00:06:36.000 If the CBO says the costs will go down, then it's easier to pass a bill.
00:06:40.000 One of the reasons this is stupid is because the CBO is wrong about
00:06:44.000 Pretty much everything.
00:06:45.000 The CBO report on Obamacare is just incorrect.
00:06:48.000 When they estimate that a lot of coverage is going to happen through Medicaid, they're assuming a bunch of states are going to expand their Medicaid in accordance with Obamacare.
00:06:55.000 They're not doing that.
00:06:56.000 So they're assuming states that haven't joined Medicaid will join Medicaid or expand their Medicaid.
00:07:00.000 Rather, and that's not happening.
00:07:01.000 So the CBO reports are very, very flawed, but the CBO here estimates the budget deficit will be $559 billion in fiscal year 2017, but they say that the American Healthcare Act, this is Trumpcare, would reduce federal deficits $337 billion over nine years.
00:07:13.000 Now,
00:07:16.000 The real number is like over a trillion dollars over the next nine years, but then we give a bunch of tax cuts.
00:07:22.000 They say that this takes away from the government, so it actually is only going to reduce the deficit by about 400 billion, 337 billion.
00:07:28.000 Now, there's a problem with this too, which is that it's assuming that everything is going to stay the same.
00:07:32.000 The level of subsidy is going to stay the same.
00:07:34.000 Congress is not going to come along and try and fill in coverage gaps by providing bigger subsidies or bigger tax credits.
00:07:40.000 So I don't actually believe that the deficit is going to really drop under this bill because there has never yet been a government subsidized program where the deficit decreases.
00:07:48.000 It just doesn't happen that way.
00:07:50.000 The bill, the CBO also says
00:07:53.000 That the number of uninsured is going to rise.
00:07:56.000 So by 2018 they say 14 million more people would be uninsured than under current law according to the CBO's estimate and they say that most of this 14 million person increase would be people who are currently purchasing health insurance because they are forced to do so by the government and then they would just stop doing it because they don't want to pay the penalty.
00:08:12.000 So the left is jumping on this to suggest that people are being thrown off their health insurance.
00:08:16.000 No, most people just don't want to buy the stupid stuff because it's too expensive and it's crap.
00:08:20.000 And once they're not forced to buy it, they will stop buying it.
00:08:23.000 And we'll talk about this in a little while because the left keeps saying now that this means people are going to die.
00:08:28.000 People are going to die because of Trumpcare.
00:08:31.000 No.
00:08:32.000 They say that by 2026, 52 million people would be uninsured, according to their estimate, and they estimate that there would only be 28 million people if the status quo of the Obamacare administration was maintained.
00:08:44.000 There is a problem with this, however.
00:08:46.000 Okay, so I will explain this problem with this chart.
00:08:49.000 Here is 18.
00:08:52.000 This is what the CBO estimated would be the enrollment in Obamacare over time.
00:08:58.000 And so what you can see here, if you're watching, is you can see several different lines.
00:09:03.000 You can see that there's the CBO's estimate as of 2010, the CBO's estimate as of 2012, the CBO's estimate as of 2014, and then you have here the CBO's estimate of 2016, and finally you have the actual.
00:09:15.000 Then you have the actual.
00:09:16.000 So as you can see, the actual is much, much, much lower than what the CBO estimated.
00:09:21.000 They estimated that by this time, they estimated that by 2018, 18 million people would suddenly jump into the Obamacare pool.
00:09:28.000 From 12 million that they estimate now, and really it's only 10 million now.
00:09:31.000 Originally, in 2010 when Obamacare passed, they estimated that 22 million people would already have enrolled in Obamacare.
00:09:37.000 Okay, right now it's 10 million people.
00:09:39.000 So clearly the CBO doesn't know what it's talking about because you can't forecast these things.
00:09:43.000 They were including, the way the CBO estimates these things is they take
00:09:47.000 Sort of the projections of the administration at issue, and they carry out their assumptions.
00:09:52.000 But if the assumptions are bad, the assumptions are bad.
00:09:54.000 You can see how bad these assumptions are.
00:09:56.000 If you want to know how bad the CBO is at this, look at that blue line.
00:10:01.000 Look at that blue line and the black line, because those are the CBO estimates.
00:10:04.000 And then, look at that green line.
00:10:05.000 Do you see the giant disparity between the green line and the blue and black line up top?
00:10:10.000 That's how badly the CBO got this wrong on Obamacare, and now they're saying that there's going to be this great discrepancy between Trumpcare and Obamacare.
00:10:18.000 One of the ways that you drive up the gap between what they estimate Trumpcare will be and what Obamacare will be is by following the red line.
00:10:25.000 But look, the red line still isn't the green line.
00:10:27.000 See, there's this giant gap, 7-8 million people.
00:10:30.000 Between what is more likely to happen with the Obamacare exchanges and what the CBO estimates.
00:10:36.000 So what the CBO is doing is they're using that red line and then they're contrasting it with what Trumpcare would do, when really they should be using the green line and contrasting it with what Trumpcare would do.
00:10:44.000 And that is a much, much smaller gap.
00:10:47.000 The CBO also says that health insurance companies are not going to survive.
00:10:51.000 So despite all of the talk from Trump and team about how this is going to free up the market, it doesn't actually free up the market.
00:10:56.000 They say that the market for non-group coverage insurance purchased individually would be unstable if the people who wanted to buy coverage at any offered price would have average health care expenditures so high that offering the insurance would be unprofitable.
00:11:07.000 In other words, without a mandate, and this was the reason there was an Obamacare mandate, without a mandate you don't have healthy people buying in because healthy people don't buy health insurance.
00:11:14.000 Sure, sure.
00:11:37.000 After 2020, because a bunch of people will basically be covered by Medicaid expansion up to 2020, and also because they think that competition at that point will kick in, and finally you'll see the premiums decrease.
00:11:48.000 The problem is 2020 is four years off from now, three years off from now, and there's no guarantee that that happens.
00:11:55.000 And then finally, the CBO says, by the way, we don't know what we're talking about.
00:11:57.000 Here's what the actual report says.
00:11:59.000 It says, the ways in which federal agencies, states, insurers, employers, individuals, doctors, hospitals, and other affected parties would respond to the changes made by the legislation are all difficult to predict.
00:12:08.000 So the estimates in the report are uncertain.
00:12:10.000 But everybody's taking it as gospel.
00:12:11.000 So, number one, you shouldn't take it as gospel.
00:12:14.000 That's just
00:12:15.000 Let's be frank about this.
00:12:16.000 The CBO, as we show in this chart, the CBO really is not correct here and they don't know always what they are talking about.
00:12:23.000 It is perfectly fair to question the CBO's forecast based on their history of bad forecasts.
00:12:28.000 That's not stopping Democrats from going out there and pointing out that a bunch of people are quote-unquote going to lose their health insurance.
00:12:34.000 Now, I want to start with this premise for one second and pause.
00:12:37.000 When they say that people are going to lose their health insurance, people are going to die because they lose their health insurance.
00:12:42.000 If your only metric of healthcare success is how many people are covered by any health insurance program, whether it's Sucks, whether it's Medicaid, then what that means is that in the end, the only way you're actually going to get to the number you want is through nationalized healthcare.
00:12:55.000 If your only measure of success is how many people are quote-unquote covered, and it doesn't matter what the type of coverage is, and it doesn't matter what the quality of coverage is, it doesn't matter whether you can actually get a doctor through the coverage, if that's all that matters to you, then nationalized healthcare is the only solution.
00:13:08.000 Because nationalized healthcare means that everyone's covered.
00:13:11.000 Sure, the healthcare coverage is crappy.
00:13:13.000 Sure, you can't actually benefit from the healthcare coverage, but everybody is covered.
00:13:17.000 And you see the left jumping into this.
00:13:18.000 They say that Obamacare is better than Trumpcare because Obamacare, quote-unquote, covers more people.
00:13:24.000 But there's no evidence that that coverage is actually making healthcare outcomes better, and there's a reason for that.
00:13:29.000 First of all, when you don't have health insurance in America, it's not like you die on the street.
00:13:34.000 Virtually everybody who has a health care problem in the United States walks into an emergency room.
00:13:38.000 That's what illegal immigrants do in the state of California, overburdening the system.
00:13:42.000 So the idea that the alternatives are you either have some sort of government-provided health insurance or you die in the waiting room, it's just not true.
00:13:48.000 It's just not true.
00:13:50.000 Beyond that, the vast majority of doctors actually don't accept Medicaid because Medicaid doesn't reimburse at proper rates.
00:13:56.000 There are studies that actually examine whether Medicaid increases life expectancy and what they find is basically no.
00:14:02.000 So there's something called the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment that actually looked at this in Oregon.
00:14:06.000 And it found that it did not decrease ER visits.
00:14:08.000 So one of the purposes of having Medicaid is the idea, okay, you're covered now, so you don't have to show up in the ER.
00:14:12.000 It actually doubled the number of ER visits, because people thought that Medicaid just meant they were supposed to use the ER more, apparently.
00:14:18.000 And when Medicaid users received more diagnostic care, which is true, it also had no statistically significant effect on several measures of physical health, including blood pressure, cholesterol, or cardiovascular risk.
00:14:29.000 So the idea that being on Medicaid is a lifesaver, and if you're not on Medicaid, you die, it's just not true.
00:14:34.000 Jim Garrity at National Review.
00:14:35.000 He notes that as of 2015, only two-thirds of doctors took Medicaid.
00:14:38.000 Only 45% of doctors took new patients on Medicaid.
00:14:41.000 So a lot of people have been grandfathered in.
00:14:43.000 The Manhattan Institute says, quote,
00:14:46.000 The best statistical estimate for the number of lives saved each year by the Affordable Care Act, Obamacare, is zero.
00:14:52.000 Certainly there are individuals who have benefited from various of its provisions, but attempts to claim broader effects on public health and thousands of lives saved rely upon extrapolation from past studies that focus on the value of private health insurance.
00:15:03.000 But the ACA has expanded coverage through Medicaid, not private health insurance,
00:15:07.000 In fact, public health trends since the implementation of Obamacare have worsened because people have lost their private health insurance, they've been forced onto Medicaid, with 80,000 more deaths in 2015 than had mortality continued declining during the 2014-2015 rate achieved during 2000-2013.
00:15:20.000 In other words,
00:15:24.000 The life expectancy in the United States in 2015 under Obamacare actually decreased for the first time in two decades.
00:15:30.000 So since 1990, life expectancy has been increasing in the United States.
00:15:34.000 It actually dropped last year under Obamacare.
00:15:36.000 So suggesting that getting rid of Obamacare will actually kill people, no evidence to suggest that's the case at all.
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00:17:02.000 Okay, so, when you hear Democrats claiming that everybody is going to die because of Trumpcare, just recognize that that's a wild exaggeration, and it's not actually true.
00:17:11.000 And also, the reason that they are saying this is because they are conflating health insurance with healthcare.
00:17:17.000 And by doing so, they're basically pushing for nationalized healthcare.
00:17:20.000 Because if you say that the only way that America has a good healthcare system is if quote-unquote every single person is covered, you're going to end up in a position where you have to cover everybody through the government.
00:17:29.000 That's just the way that this works.
00:17:31.000 The truth is what you actually want is better health care outcomes on average through choice.
00:17:35.000 And there are a lot of ways to do that that don't involve the government.
00:17:38.000 One of the reasons that the United States still has high life expectancy is because we develop new products and services.
00:17:44.000 One of the reasons we do is because we have a private market.
00:17:46.000 Understand that what socialism and what redistributionism do is they destroy innovation.
00:17:50.000 They destroy the capacity of insurance companies to compete with one another for your services, and they destroy the capacity for pharmaceutical companies to do research and development, for hospitals to do research and development, for new drugs to be used, for new surgeons to discover new surgeries.
00:18:04.000 What socialism does is it freezes things in place and passes it around.
00:18:08.000 And what capitalism does is it doesn't freeze things in place and pass it around, so there's more inequality under capitalism than socialism.
00:18:14.000 But it allows innovation, it allows prices to drop, and that allows more people to have access.
00:18:19.000 And that is the important thing.
00:18:20.000 Now, the problem is that the Trump administration has a real divide.
00:18:25.000 There's a real divide when it comes to how they understand what Trumpcare ought to be.
00:18:29.000 And you can see that in how they are dealing with the CBO report, which is really quite fascinating.
00:18:33.000 So, Donald Trump is basically on the verge of suggesting that we ought to just let Trumpcare go and let Obamacare implode, which, as I said yesterday, is not a solution because entitlement programs don't implode, they just get bigger.
00:18:45.000 Here is Donald Trump talking about Obamacare.
00:18:49.000 And it's imploding.
00:18:51.000 And 17 will be the worst year.
00:18:53.000 And I said it once, I'll say it again, because Obama's gone.
00:18:56.000 You know, things are going to be very bad this year for the people with Obamacare.
00:19:01.000 They're going to have tremendous increases.
00:19:04.000 And the Republicans, frankly, are putting themselves in a very bad position.
00:19:07.000 I tell this to Tom Price all the time, by repealing Obamacare.
00:19:11.000 Because people aren't going to see the truly devastating
00:19:16.000 They're not going to see the devastation in 17 and 18 and 19.
00:19:22.000 It'll be gone by then.
00:19:24.000 Whether we do it or not, it'll be imploded off the map.
00:19:28.000 So the press is making it look so wonderful, so that if we end it, everyone's going to say, oh, remember how great Obamacare used to be.
00:19:35.000 Remember how wonderful it used to be.
00:19:37.000 It was so great.
00:19:41.000 It's a little bit like President Obama.
00:19:44.000 When he left, people liked him.
00:19:47.000 When he was here, people— There's actual truth to what Trump is saying here.
00:19:49.000 The press is propping up Obamacare, talking about how wonderful it's going to be.
00:19:53.000 But the idea that Obamacare is going to implode—yes, the prices are going to skyrocket at a certain point here, because people are dropping off the rolls, because people are—they'd rather pay the fines than pay for these high premiums.
00:20:03.000 They're dropping onto Medicaid, and so they're not really paying into the system.
00:20:06.000 All of that's true, but that doesn't mean Obamacare is going to implode.
00:20:09.000 It just means that the media is going to say more people are covered because they're dropping from private insurance on to Medicaid.
00:20:14.000 So that's number one.
00:20:14.000 But I think the important gap that you're seeing here is in between Trump and the so-called conservatives, you know, like Paul Ryan, who really is not super conservative when it comes to this particular bill.
00:20:25.000 The gap that you are seeing is that Donald Trump is using the left's metric for what is a successful health insurance and health care program.
00:20:34.000 And we'll talk more about that, but you have to go over to dailywire.com for that.
00:20:37.000 So go over to dailywire.com right now, become a subscriber.
00:20:39.000 We're going to deconstruct some culture a little bit later.
00:20:41.000 We're going to talk about that.
00:20:42.000 We're going to talk about Michael Brown and this new tape that is broken of him.
00:20:45.000 Does it change everything?
00:20:46.000 Dailywire.com to check that out.
00:20:48.000 $8 a month.
00:20:49.000 We'll buy a subscription today.
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00:20:53.000 We're good to go.