In this episode, we look at why Joe Biden is so dependent on the crazies in his own party, and why he has never been able to govern as a third-way candidate in order to achieve the goals he set out to achieve as a presidential candidate in 2016. And why he s now looking much more seriously at President Donald Trump as a potential successor. Joe Biden has always been a third way candidate, and now that he s running for president, he s looking more and more like a candidate who s going to have to work with Trump to win re-election. And that s a problem for him, because Trump is much more likely to be re-elected than Biden is to win the 2020 election, and that s why Biden s approval ratings have never recovered from their low point after 9/11 and the Afghanistan pullout from Afghanistan, and they veered back to the low 40 s ever since. In other words, Joe Biden never really had the opportunity to be a full-on left-wing presidential candidate, because he was running against a crazier person, Bernie Sanders. And that's why he didn t do what he really wanted to do, which is to become a Third Way candidate and govern as an FDR-like figure like his old man, a third party candidate like Hillary Clinton. We ll talk about why that s not a good thing and why it s now a disaster for him and why Biden is now looking more like Trump, not less likely to win in 2020 and what that means for him in 2020. It s an amazing story, and it s a story about how a president who could have been a second term, but chose to go full on left wing, not right wing, and how he s not going to get a second chance at it, and what he s actually got knocked out of the running for the White House by Donald Trump in 2016, not by a primary challenge from a guy who s more moderate than he actually got a chance to run for president in 2016 and how that s actually not a shot at it at all, but by how he did it, not how much he actually did it. and why that matters more than he should have a second time, and the impact on his chances of winning the election, not what he could have done in 2020 not how he could be a transformative president, and why he should veered away from being a third Way candidate, not a third Party candidate.
00:00:00.000Well, the Michigan primaries were last night, and there's some interesting stories on both sides of the aisle.
00:00:05.000The bigger story, of course, is on the Democratic side of the aisle, where the incumbent president of the United States only won about 80% of the vote.
00:00:13.000Now, that sounds like a lot, except for the fact that a huge number of people in Michigan voted uncommitted.
00:00:18.000That was a concerted attempt by crazies in the Democratic Party in Michigan, particularly crazies who support Hamas, many of them in Dearborn, Michigan, who decided that they were going to show Joe Biden that unless he swivels his support from Israel to Hamas, he is somehow going to lose Michigan to Donald Trump.
00:00:37.000Why is Joe Biden so dependent on the crazies in his own party?
00:00:41.000After all, Joe Biden came into office running against the crazies in his own party.
00:00:46.000You'll recall, if you go all the way back to the 2020 primaries, that he was running against a crazy person, Bernie Sanders, who's a nutjob old socialist, And then Joe Biden made a signal error.
00:00:54.000He decided that he was going to be LBJ.
00:00:55.000because Jim Clyburn in South Carolina endorsed Joe Biden and the entire Democratic Party unified
00:01:01.000to stop Bernie Sanders, the crazy guy, that Joe Biden ended up winning the nomination
00:01:05.000and then defeating Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
00:01:08.000And then Joe Biden made a signal error.
00:01:09.000He decided that he was going to be LBJ.
00:01:11.000He was going to be FDR, not a placeholder for the next generation of Democrats,
00:01:17.000but he was going to be a transformative president.
00:01:20.000And if you're on the left, being a transformative president means spending more money than God or man has ever seen.
00:01:26.000If you're on the left, then being a transformative president means embracing all of the most woke versions of politics ranging from diversity, equity, and inclusion to trans politics.
00:01:36.000You have to embrace the most radical possible position.
00:01:39.000...and drag the American public along with you.
00:01:42.000It also means on the foreign policy front, the realities of foreign policy exist for every president, which is why virtually every president talks one way when they're on the campaign trail, and then they get into office and they realize the way the world actually works, and they swivel how they actually govern.
00:01:55.000George W. Bush came into office pledging to be an isolationist and then 9-11 happened.
00:01:59.000Barack Obama came into office pledging to be an isolationist and then he involved us in a bunch of Middle Eastern conflict.
00:02:05.000Donald Trump came into office pledging to be an isolationist and then he brokered the Abraham Accords and took pretty harsh stances against Russia and China.
00:02:12.000Joe Biden came into office pledging that he was going to get out of Afghanistan and make America less involved in the world.
00:02:17.000And now there are two major ongoing wars in the world in which the United States has indirect involvement.
00:02:22.000So in other words, Joe Biden never really had the opportunity to be full on left wing when it came to foreign policy, because being the president of the United States basically forestalls that.
00:02:30.000His one attempt at doing that, which was the disastrous pullout from Afghanistan, cratered his presidency.
00:02:36.000If you look at his approval ratings throughout his presidency, Joe Biden's approval ratings dramatically sank in the aftermath of the Afghanistan pullout, and they have never recovered.
00:02:43.000They've remained in the low 40s ever since.
00:02:46.000All of which means that if Joe Biden had come into office and then governed as he pledged he was going to govern, as a left-wing moderate, a liberal moderate, Somebody who sought consensus.
00:02:56.000Somebody who is just going to restore a sense of normalcy and moderation to American politics.
00:03:01.000He would not now be in the dire straits that he is.
00:03:03.000Moderates have fallen off the bandwagon.
00:03:05.000Independents are now looking at Trump.
00:03:07.000And by the polling data, a plurality of independents favor Donald Trump over Joe Biden right now, which is why Donald Trump is up in the polling against Joe Biden.
00:03:16.000How Joe Biden loses independence to Donald Trump is an amazing story.
00:03:19.000Because again, independents are very off-put by Donald Trump on a personal level.
00:03:25.000Late-breaking independent voters in 2016 voted 2-1 for Donald Trump.
00:03:28.000In 2020, late-breaking independent voters voted 2-1 for Joe Biden, and now they're shifting back to Trump.
00:03:33.000There's only one reason for that, and that is that Joe Biden allowed his ambitions to be a historic president that they would make statues of to overcome his good political sense.
00:03:42.000He didn't want to be a Clintonian third-way president.
00:04:44.000But for Joe Biden, a lot of people showed up.
00:04:47.000618,000 people showed up to vote for Joe Biden.
00:04:49.000But the bigger story, of course, is that 101,000 people showed up and voted uncommitted.
00:04:54.000And there was an overt attempt, again, by the crazies in Michigan, led by people like Rashida Tlaib.
00:04:59.000To jack up the number of people who voted uncommitted.
00:05:03.000Another 23,000 voted for Marianne Williamson.
00:05:05.000Another 20,000 voted for Dean Phillips.
00:05:08.000So Joe Biden ends up winning about 81% of the vote total in Michigan.
00:05:12.000But again, that big story is going to be the uncommitted voters because the idea is that if those uncommitted voters decide not to vote for Joe Biden in the actual election in November, then you could very well lose the state.
00:05:21.000Now he won that state by about 150,000 votes last time.
00:05:30.000But say half of those people decide that they are not going to show up to the polls for Joe Biden because they're unhappy with Joe Biden.
00:05:35.000Well, that means that he's in real trouble in Michigan.
00:05:38.000Which means again, when you steer away from middle, that means you are more reliant on your remaining voting base.
00:05:43.000And his remaining voting base is full of crazy people.
00:05:46.000And that is why you are seeing Joe Biden constantly embracing crazy unpopular positions.
00:05:53.000I mean, the reality is that the polling data suggests that when it comes to, for example, the Israel-Hamas conflict, the American people are broadly supportive of Israel.
00:06:01.000The latest Harvard-Harris poll shows that 82% of Americans say they support Israel more than Hamas.
00:06:09.000All the Hamas voters are in the Democratic Party.
00:06:13.00068% of Americans say that Israel is trying to avoid civilian casualties in fighting its war with Hamas.
00:06:21.000So in other words, there's pretty heavy support.
00:06:23.000America remains a very pro-Israel country, but not inside the crazy wing of the Democratic Party.
00:06:28.000And that's the part that Joe Biden has made himself totally dependent upon.
00:06:32.000And we should understand that that Democratic Party, the crazies in the Democratic Party, they don't even know they're crazy.
00:06:38.000That is the thing to understand about crazy people in general.
00:06:41.000Crazy people in general do not know that they are crazy.
00:06:42.000They think that they are perfectly sane and you are crazy.
00:07:05.000We'll get to more on this in just one second.
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00:08:06.000According to the Wall Street Journal, Uncommitted blew past their original target of 10,000 voters and clocked in at a figure substantially higher on Tuesday than it has been in recent Michigan primaries.
00:08:15.000And they have now tallied about 13% of the entire tally.
00:08:21.000By comparison, uncommitted drew about 11% of the vote in the 2012 Michigan Democratic primary won by President Barack Obama.
00:08:27.000But again, the numbers were way lower in 2012.
00:08:30.000David Axelrod, who's a former senior advisor to Obama, said Michigan is going to be a marginal state this fall.
00:08:34.000If the voters who registered their protest walk away this fall, it could be decisive.
00:08:40.000In the fall, it will be a choice of much greater consequence.
00:08:42.000In other words, if you don't vote or if you vote uncommitted in the actual election, then all those voters in Dearborn, what, are they going to vote for Trump, the most pro-Israel president in American history?
00:08:51.000But again, this goes to the broader point.
00:08:53.000Joe Biden has put himself in thrall to the radicals, and the radicals have him by the short hairs, which is why the New York Times has an entire piece today titled, Young Voters Say Their Discontent Goes Deeper Than Israel and Gaza.
00:09:04.000The energy on Michigan college campuses ahead of the 2022 midterms, students said, was electric.
00:09:08.000Armed with promises to protect abortion rights, Democratic candidates held large campus rallies, drawing crowds who came prepared to cheer rather than to protest.
00:09:15.000On Election Day, students showed up in droves, but before, The Democratic presidential primary on Tuesday, the energy seems to have morphed into apathy or anger.
00:09:22.000Young activists have been at the forefront of sustained backlash to President Biden's staunch support of Israel and its military campaign in Gaza.
00:09:29.000Interviews with more than two dozen students across the state indicated a deeper well of dissatisfaction, not just with the incumbent president, but the prospect of once again having to choose between Biden and Trump, people decades older than they are.
00:09:41.000Voters under 30 who backed Biden by more than 20 points in 2020 are unenthusiastic about a rematch.
00:09:47.000Voters under 30 overwhelmingly voiced their opposition to the conflict in a New York Times Siena College poll saying Israel had not done enough to prevent civilian casualties in Gaza and the military campaign should stop.
00:09:56.000Again, when you make your entire campaign dependent on the low propensity voters in the youth vote, When you make your entire campaign dependent on people who are not only low propensity but radical, that of course is going to shape the rest of your campaign.
00:10:10.000And you have only one choice at that point, and that is to steer into the radicalism.
00:10:14.000Joe Biden is so dependent on the crazies in his base that he has to steer in that direction.
00:10:19.000It explains everything that he is doing right now.
00:10:22.000And the radicals know it, which is why you have pieces like the one in Politico today about the Michigan lawmaker, the Democratic floor leader of the Michigan House of Representatives, a man named Abraham Ayesh, who is denouncing Joe Biden.
00:10:38.000He said he stood with no spine and did not demand peace for Palestinians, did not demand peace for Israelis, and instead continues to fund a genocide.
00:10:44.000He is now 30, and he is the first Arab-American House Majority Leader in the history of the state of Michigan.
00:10:50.000Which, again, kudos to the Michigan State Republican Party for being completely incompetent at their jobs.
00:11:26.000Things where Americans were 80% pro the position and then you do that.
00:11:30.000But instead, we have now decided to abandon those in favor of 43% propositions and then hope that there are enough people in that 43% who are gonna vote to outweigh the people on the other side who presumably are unenthusiastic or not going to vote.
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00:14:34.000So James Carville, this is the part that's amazing.
00:14:35.000The Moderates in the Democratic Party have decided they need to cave to the Radicals.
00:14:39.000So James Carville is one of the more moderate members of the Democratic Party, right?
00:14:43.000He is the designer of the Clintonian Third Way.
00:14:46.000He and Dick Morris were the people who basically designed triangulation.
00:14:50.000James Carville has been the person who's been on the ramparts in the Democratic Party saying you need to stop talking about men in women's bathrooms and you need to start talking about, say, economic issues.
00:15:00.000But here he is basically acknowledging that the crazies now run the party.
00:15:04.000He says that if we get to Chicago, the Democratic Convention, which is going to happen in Chicago this year, again, I gotta say, just amazing writing this year of Trump, where you have the Democrats going back to Chicago for the convention, the same place that the 1968 convention took place, in which you had a hotly contested Democratic primary fight, the assassination of a major political figure in RFK, in which you had massive riots over the Vietnam War,
00:15:33.000That's where they chose to have their convention this year.
00:17:11.000I noticed that Israel has another asset and it's called the very powerful military.
00:17:14.000If Jews were waiting for acceptance for all of human history, that was a strategy that failed pretty dramatically until Israel actually arose and had, you know, an air force.
00:17:24.000I noticed that Thomas Friedman seems to like the Jews having the goodwill of the world up until the point where they defend themselves and start killing terrorists.
00:17:33.000He says, quote, I've spent the past few days traveling from New Delhi to Dubai and Amman.
00:17:36.000I have an urgent message to deliver to President Biden and the Israeli people.
00:17:39.000I'm seeing the increasingly rapid erosion of Israel's standing among friendly nations, a level of acceptance and legitimacy that was painstakingly built up over decades.
00:17:46.000And if Biden is not careful, America's global standing will plummet right along with Israel's.
00:17:52.000So where exactly is he feeling the legitimacy that you drain away?
00:17:57.000He says the legitimacy is draining away in the Arab world.
00:18:06.000The reason that he is doing that, Thomas Friedman, is not only because he happens to be wrong on foreign policy literally all the time, but because he knows, and everyone else knows, Joe Biden abandoned the thing that got him to office in the first place.
00:18:18.000And now he's in serious trouble, which means that now he's putting pressure on Israel in the middle of a war against a terrorist enemy.
00:18:24.000Israel has now reduced Hamas's serious control over the Gaza Strip to the city of Rafah.
00:18:32.000Everyone knows it is a final climactic battle in the Gaza Strip.
00:18:35.000And what is Joe Biden doing as Israel is prepared to go in and kill, presumably, Yahya Sinwar, who is the leader of Hamas, the mastermind of the October 7th attacks?
00:18:42.000He's telling Israel effectively to back off.
00:18:45.000According to Axios, the Biden administration gave Israel until mid-March to sign a letter provided by the U.S.
00:18:50.000on Tuesday that gives assurances it will abide by international law while using U.S.
00:18:53.000weapons and allow humanitarian aid into Gaza.
00:18:56.000and Israeli officials told Axios, The assurances are now a requirement under a memo issued earlier this month by President Biden.
00:19:03.000While it doesn't single out Israel, the new policy came after some Democratic senators expressed concern over the Israeli military campaign in Gaza.
00:19:09.000If the assurances aren't provided by the deadline, U.S.
00:19:11.000weapons transfers to the country will be paused.
00:19:13.000Now, here is the problem with that idiotic notion.
00:19:19.000International law is largely designed by people who do not abide by it under any circumstances and only apply it to people they seek to hamstring.
00:19:27.000International law, in other words, is a joke.
00:19:28.000That is never how foreign policy has run.
00:19:30.000The Wilsonian notion that there is some sort of great congress of powers that gets together and decides the morality of the world and that international law now applies is silliness.
00:19:55.000officials told Axios that Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer told the White House that he was concerned an amendment would divide the Democratic caucus in the Senate.
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00:21:08.000So over at UC Berkeley, there was, as per our usual arrangement, a massive protest that turned into a riot.
00:21:15.000It was a private event, and Jewish students were threatened, assaulted, and prevented from attending the speech by a Jewish speaker on campus.
00:21:24.000Students were called derogatory names like Dirty Jew or You Jew.
00:21:27.000Here is some tape of what was going on at Berkeley.
00:21:29.000they'd cancel the event and evacuate the hall.
00:22:00.000Those are the people that Joe Biden is very, very hot on getting.
00:22:04.000And what's amazing about all this, again, is that by and large, Americans support Israel against Hamas.
00:22:09.000If Joe Biden had shown one iota of actual credible leadership, rather than trying to have the baby to placate the nuts, Then he would be more popular on this issue.
00:23:09.000And the reason Hamas said no is because they know that they can jack Joe Biden around.
00:23:14.000The more intransigent Hamas is, the more they make demands that are not fulfilled, the more pressure Biden will exert on Israel, not on Hamas.
00:23:22.000And no point does Joe Biden ever say to Hamas, OK, guys, you know what?
00:23:28.000At no point did Joe Biden say that, because he's afraid that if he does that under any circumstances, he loses Michigan.
00:23:33.000So he has now handed the baton to the terrorist group in a variety of ways.
00:23:38.000As we've discussed over the last couple of days, for example, the Palestinian government, not the head of the government, Mahmoud Abbas, the dictator, but the rest of the Palestinian elected government, I say elected because they're not elected, government resigned to make way for a Hamas-led government.
00:23:52.000And then Joe Biden is going to tap that government on the head and call it the new Palestinian government.
00:23:56.000New boss, same as the old boss, except worse in the West Bank.
00:24:00.000And now, Hamas officials say on Tuesday there was no breakthrough in the mediated talks with Israel aimed at pausing the war and freeing the remaining hostages in the Gaza Strip that came one day after Joe Biden said that a ceasefire was imminent.
00:24:12.000Bassem Naim, a Hamas spokesperson, said in a text message the militant group had yet to formally receive any new proposals since senior Israeli officials met with Qatar, Egypt, and U.S.
00:24:21.000in Paris last week to advance a possible deal.
00:24:23.000Another Hamas official, Ahmad Abdel-Hadi, said the group was sticking to its demand that Israel agree to a long-term ceasefire and that leaks about the talks were designed to pressure Hamas to soften its position.
00:24:34.000By long-term ceasefire, they mean leaving Hamas in place, which is the only thing Hamas needs in order to declare victory.
00:24:39.000Understand that in a normal traditional war, when you degrade the enemy's military capacity the way that Israel has done Hamas, and Hamas does not have offensive projective capacity at this point, that would normally be considered a win.
00:24:49.000That's not the way that it works in the Middle East.
00:24:51.000In the Middle East, the way that it works is if you provoke a war and you get your ass absolutely kicked, but you survive and you wave your flag, you are somehow the victor.
00:25:00.000That is the way this idiotic regime works in the Middle East.
00:25:41.000He, uh, and he apparently graduated from the Savannah College of Art and Design with a Bachelor of Fine Arts degree and he, uh, studies poetry at Brooklyn College as well.
00:26:32.000And that tells the whole stories of the crazies that Joe Biden has turned his party over to.
00:26:36.000Not that Mohammed Al-Kurd is an American citizen who can vote, but his allies in the United States can.
00:26:42.000We'll get to more on this in just a moment.
00:26:44.000First, I've been talking about my Helix mattress for literally years.
00:26:47.000I've had it for as long as my children have been alive, actually, and it may be the thing that's keeping me alive because my kids wake me up at all times, but when I get back on that mattress, I can go back to sleep.
00:28:37.000By the way, things are gonna get worse before they get better because of all of this.
00:28:40.000The great lie in the Middle East is that when you broker these temporary hudnas, these temporary ceasefires, that this somehow calms the waters in the Middle East.
00:29:03.000And by the way, just to note the double standard here, it truly is amazing.
00:29:06.000According to the Wall Street Journal, the start of Ramadan looms as an informal but urgent deadline to strike an Israel-Hamas ceasefire, as the militant group called Wednesday for mass protests during Islamic holy month that Israel fears is part of a plan to spread the conflict outside of Gaza.
00:29:19.000Israeli leaders have said they would launch an offensive against Hamas' last stronghold in Gaza if a deal is not reached by Ramadan, set to start around March 10.
00:29:27.000The US, Egypt, and Qatar have warned Israel against a ground offensive in Rafah as it could endanger negotiations.
00:29:32.000Negotiations, by the way, Hamas is totally playing for all they are worth.
00:29:36.000On Wednesday, Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political bureau from his five-star hotel in Qatar, called on Palestinians outside Gaza to converge on Al-Aqsa Mosque.
00:29:45.000This is the routine that happens pretty much every year around Ramadan, in which Muslims are allowed to gather en masse at Al-Aqsa, and then they start hurling molotov cocktails and rocks at Israeli soldiers, and then when Israeli soldiers quash it, they suggest that it's some form of a brutal occupation and evil army action to stop them from worshiping on the Temple Mount.
00:30:03.000Which, as a multiple-time visitor to the Temple Mount, there are only restrictions on me as a Jew.
00:30:07.000There are no restrictions on Muslims who are worshiping at Al-Aqsa Mosque.
00:30:31.000The West has now allied itself for PR purposes with groups like Hamas or the Palestinian Authority.
00:30:37.000Because once you try to broker a deal and you legitimize one of the sides of the deal that is a terrorist group as a legitimate side of the deal, you now become their proponent.
00:30:44.000This is exactly what happened with Barack Obama in Iran.
00:30:47.000He signed a terrible Iran deal and then he had to spend the rest of his administration running cover for the Iranians.
00:30:52.000Because if he had acknowledged the Iranians were lying and sponsoring terror everywhere, then it would have looked like he was a sucker.
00:30:58.000He had sunk cost fallacy about his own Iran deal.
00:31:00.000And the same thing is happening here with regard to these negotiations.
00:31:03.000The United States is like, let's do negotiations with Hamas.
00:31:05.000And Hamas is like, all right, let's do it.
00:31:08.000And then they're doing whatever they want to do.
00:31:09.000And the US is like, well, we do want them part of the negotiations.
00:31:12.000Joe Biden's like, well, we do want them as part of the negotiation.
00:31:16.000And that means we have to treat their demands reasonably.
00:31:19.000Meanwhile, they're literally looking to weapon up for their holiday.
00:31:24.000Now I just have a question for all the Christians, Jews, non-Muslims in the audience, and moderate Muslims in the audience, by the way.
00:31:30.000Why would your holiday be the occasion of launching a vast terror attack slash war?
00:31:38.000It is amazing the double standard here.
00:31:39.000If you're a radical Muslim, not only can you use your own mosque as a shield for your weaponry, which routinely happens, Not only can you use your own holiday as a shield.
00:31:49.000Oh my God, you can't attack us on Ramadan.
00:32:18.000He wanted to be transformative, and he has been alright.
00:32:21.000And once you are dancing with the devil, that dance just gets faster and faster.
00:32:25.000And it's not just, by the way, with regard to Israel and Hamas, although that's the most clear-cut example because of what's happening in Michigan.
00:33:27.000We've spoken to executive actions, I've spoken to that many times.
00:33:31.000We think the bottom line is the way to have dealt with this border, the challenge that we see at the border, what we see with this immigration, a broken immigration system that has been broken for decades.
00:33:52.000They're not going to do anything about any of this.
00:33:55.000Meanwhile, by the way, the bodies are stacking up.
00:33:58.000Bill Malugan, who does an excellent job reporting on these issues, Over the past 24 hours, he's just been reporting crime after crime.
00:34:04.000So, for example, local media in Washington, D.C.
00:34:06.000reporting a Salvadoran illegal immigrant has been arrested in connection with the murder of a two-year-old child on February 8th.
00:34:13.000ICE says that he was released from custody after arrests multiple times in 2023 after the local jurisdiction ignored ICE detainers.
00:34:20.000The two-year-old was caught in the crossfire of a gang war.
00:34:24.000That was not the only illegal immigrant serious crime over the course of the last 48 hours to pop into the news.
00:34:31.000According to Fox 8 Live, a 19-year-old Honduran man has been arrested in Kenner, Louisiana, following a series of violent crimes, according to police.
00:34:38.000The Kenner Police Department says the investigation began Tuesday, February 20th, when it was notified of the rape of a 14-year-old girl at Knife Point.
00:34:46.000The suspect was then identified as an immigrant, a Honduran, in the United States illegally.
00:34:53.000Apparently, police say a man was getting out of his vehicle and was approached by this person and demanding his property.
00:34:59.000During the robbery, police say that the perpetrator stabbed the victim multiple times in the face and the back.
00:35:06.000Officers of the scene found this illegal immigrant covered in blood.
00:35:10.000The chief of police says undocumented immigrants are difficult to identify due to lack of documentation.
00:35:15.000This person had reportedly used aliases in the past, including Elvin Lockett.
00:35:22.000Then, according to Chief Jason Owens, who is the 26th Chief of U.S.
00:35:25.000U.S. Border Patrol, quote, in the last 72 hours, U.S.
00:35:28.000Border Patrol agents throughout the Southwest border region have apprehended 11 individuals
00:35:44.000There's only one reason for that, and that is because, again, once more, once you have a band in the middle, you have to attack to the extremes.
00:35:51.000Joe Biden has made that decision, and now we are all reaping the whirlwind from that.
00:35:56.000In just one second, we'll get to Democratic politicians who don't actually want to reap that whirlwind particularly.
00:36:01.000That day comes once every four years, so if you were born on Leap Day, congratulations, you're still much younger than the rest of us.
00:36:07.000Jeremy's Razors is offering an insane deal, and by that, we mean you would be crazy to miss it.
00:36:12.000Tomorrow only, you can get a Precision 5 trial set, a Toiletry Travel Bag, Leftist Cheers Tumbler, and Jeremy's Microaggression Chocolates all bundled together For 29 bucks.
00:36:46.000The Democratic City Council is trying to oppose him.
00:36:48.000According to the New York Times, for years, New York City leaders have relished the status of being a so-called sanctuary city where local law enforcement cooperation with federal immigration officials is limited.
00:36:57.000On Tuesday, Mayor Eric Adams made it clear his views were different.
00:37:00.000If he had his way, he said he would permit law enforcement in New York City to work openly with immigration authorities to more readily deport migrants who are suspected of serious crimes.
00:37:08.000There's some people that feel they should be able to remain here, keep their actions, until they're eventually convicted, he said.
00:37:14.000A reporter asked Adams about due process.
00:37:16.000He said they didn't give due process to the person they shot or punched or killed.
00:37:18.000There's a philosophical disagreement here.
00:37:21.000The city council says there are no plans to revisit these laws.
00:37:24.000Again, that divide is the Democratic Party in a nutshell, which is why the Democratic Party is, in fact, in a process of shrinking away.
00:37:33.000Now, the Democratic Party has also yet to take advantage of positions on which the Republican Party is not in the 80%.
00:37:41.000So, take the situation with regard to Ukraine.
00:37:44.000So, the United States has a bunch of conflicting data on what Americans think of funding for Ukraine.
00:37:51.000According to a recent YouGov poll, in the United States, The 43% of Americans believe that the West should continue to support Ukraine in its efforts against Russia until such a time as Russia withdraws from the country, even if that means the war and its effects last longer.
00:38:08.000Some 23% of Americans say they want to encourage a negotiated peace to end the fighting, even if it means Russia still has control over some parts of Ukraine.
00:38:16.000So a plurality of Americans still believe that funding for Ukraine would be the proper way to do this.
00:38:22.000And when it comes to whether the West is doing enough to prevent the Russians from winning in Ukraine, the United States, 46% of Americans say that we're not doing enough.
00:38:33.00025% say that we are doing more than enough or enough.
00:38:36.000And this is a YouGov poll from January.
00:38:40.000As far as the level of aid being sent to Ukraine, 33% of the American public believes that we should maintain the same levels of support to Ukraine.
00:38:48.000Some 26% believe that we should reduce our level of support.
00:38:51.000Some 23% believe we should increase our levels of support.
00:38:56.000So one of the big questions when it comes to funding for Ukraine is whether the reduced position is read as status quo or whether the increased position is read as status quo.
00:39:06.000Because generally Americans kind of like status quo.
00:39:09.000We'll just keep spending what we've been spending.
00:39:10.000We don't want to see like a radical uptick in the amount of spending.
00:39:12.000But only 26% of Americans are expressing that they would actually like to reduce our levels of support according to this YouGov poll.
00:39:18.000So that is a minority proposition that Americans desperately want to reduce the commitment that has been made to Ukraine.
00:39:27.000With that said, there are swing state voters who do believe that we've given too much to Ukraine.
00:39:33.000So, a poll from the UK Telegraph, this is from January, early January, finds that in, for example, Michigan, 32% of Americans believe that America has given too much to Ukraine, 21% say too little, 29% say the right amount, 18% say they do not know.
00:39:51.000Okay, bottom line though is, the hard and fast opposition to more aid to Ukraine, so long as that aid is not, you know, wildly overdramatic, The vast majority of American voters, or at least the vast plurality, are still in favor of continued aid to Ukraine.
00:40:04.000They don't want to just cut off Ukraine at the knees right now.
00:40:09.000Which is why it is very strange that Republicans continue to not negotiate over the situation in Ukraine.
00:40:15.000Now the Democrats have failed here, signally, to convince the American public that they actually hold the middle ground.
00:40:20.000The question on Ukraine is who holds the middle ground.
00:40:21.000The middle ground on Ukraine is the one the Americans want.
00:40:23.000Most Americans want to provide enough aid to Ukraine to help them withstand the Russian barrage, but not enough aid that it is a serious cost to the United States or we don't want to shore up their bureaucracy or anything like that, which is why there are Republican backbenchers who are now proposing an alternative aid to Ukraine bill, which presumably is pretty popular with the American people.
00:40:45.000It's being proposed by actually a bipartisan coalition, including Representatives Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania and Jared Golden of Maine and Don Bacon of Nebraska.
00:40:55.000It's called the Defending Borders, Defending Democracies Act.
00:40:58.000It includes border control measures, including that migrants coming over the southern border have to remain in Mexico, which would be the biggest single policy prescription that was reversed by Joe Biden.
00:41:07.000So that in and of itself would be a huge win.
00:41:08.000Remain in Mexico being enshrined in law would be a major win for the United States if this bill were to pass the House and the Senate.
00:41:15.000And the bill includes $47 billion for Ukraine priorities that is down $13 billion from the proposal approved by the Senate.
00:41:21.000The House lawmakers excluded the Senate's $7.8 billion in government budgetary aid to Kiev.
00:41:27.000Saying, why are we paying their government expenditures?
00:41:29.000We just want to pay for the weaponry so that they can stop the Russians from invading.
00:42:26.000The job is I pass bills that I think are going to help the Republican party win, say, the next congressional election and help Donald Trump win the presidency.
00:42:39.000For example, yesterday, here was Joe Biden saying that the consequences of an action in Ukraine are dire.
00:42:44.000That's a hard case to make if Republicans were passing, say, a $47 billion aid package that includes serious border provisions, as opposed to passing nothing.
00:42:52.000He's counting on Republican inaction to help carry him over the finish line.
00:42:55.000Again, this is the only place where he can even attempt to grab what he believes to be a moderate middle position, is on Ukraine.
00:43:02.000And that's only being made possible because Republicans have not made clear exactly what the hell they want.
00:43:10.000We've got to figure out how we're going to keep funding the government, which is an important problem, an important solution we need to find, and I think we can do that.
00:43:20.000And in Ukraine, I think the need is urgent.
00:43:23.000I hope we get to speak to that a little bit.
00:43:26.000And I think the consequences of inaction every day in Ukraine are dire.
00:43:32.000Bottom line here is that at some point the Republican leadership is going to have to stand up for the majority of its actual constituents and take positions that may alienate the more radical parts of the base.
00:43:43.000Again, even inside the Republican Party, it is a minority proposition, it still is, to completely cut off aid to Ukraine.
00:43:50.000That is still not a, just by polling data, that is not a majority position inside even the Republican Party.
00:43:55.000And if Russia were to overrun Kiev, it would look even worse for Republicans, as Joe Biden found out when he let the Taliban overrun Kabul.
00:44:02.000So are Republicans going to allow by, again, whoever acts not crazy wins.
00:44:07.000Whoever seizes the middle ground in this election cycle wins.
00:44:11.000That is presumably why Republicans are also discussing the possibility of averting a government shutdown.
00:44:16.000The Speaker Johnson, he said that he's optimistic that we would avert a government shutdown this weekend.
00:44:21.000And this is, in fact, the correct political position.
00:44:24.000I know that there are a lot of people who like government shutdowns because they believe they achieve something.
00:44:28.000I'm only in favor of a shutdown if you get a win out of it.
00:44:30.000But it turns out that this shutdown is not likely to achieve anything like the substantive win you need in order to offset the PR catastrophe that would be Joe Biden running against a Congress that is completely dysfunctional.
00:44:44.000The other big priority for our country, of course, is the funding of our government.
00:44:49.000And we have been working in good faith around the clock, every single day, for months and weeks, and over the last several days, quite literally around the clock, to get that job done.
00:45:10.000Okay, again, it looks as though Johnson will avert the problem when it comes to the government shutdown, because again, why hand Democrats a political victory for minimal gain?
00:45:18.000But when it comes to Ukraine, again, that's where Biden is going to run on that.
00:45:22.000Republicans have the advantage right now on the border.
00:45:24.000They have the advantage on Middle Eastern policy.
00:45:26.000They could also have the advantage on Ukraine, if they would simply articulate a policy that makes any sort of sense.
00:45:31.000But again, it's too fragmentary in the House, and Biden's own vagueness on policy, and on what he actually seeks there, Is not going to make up for Republican failures when it comes to even passing a thing.
00:45:44.000Like, figure out what you want and pass the thing in the House.
00:46:11.000A little bit of smart politics here would go a long way.
00:46:14.000Because again, Joe Biden is incredibly vulnerable.
00:46:16.000In just one second, we're going to get to the Republican side of the aisle, what it means that Donald Trump was able to win almost 70% of the vote in the Michigan primary against Nikki Haley.
00:46:25.000If you're not a member, become a member.