The Ben Shapiro Show - Is The Blue Tide a Mirage? | Ep. 1573

00:00:00.000 New polling suggests that blue tide may be a mirage.

00:00:03.000 The New York Times issues a long scathing attack on Hasidic Jewish schools in New York.

00:00:07.000 And Russia is on the run.

00:00:08.000 But what if Vladimir Putin uses a nuke?

00:00:10.000 This is the Bench Bureau Show.

00:00:10.000 I'm Ben Shapiro.

00:00:17.000 Today's show is sponsored by ExpressVPN.

00:00:19.000 Thousands of my listeners have already secured their network data.

00:00:21.000 Join them at expressvpn.com slash Ben.

00:00:24.000 Well, the brand new inflation data is out and it's really, really bad.

00:00:28.000 The inflation data from Joe Biden's administration continues to just buck all expectations that the Fed was going to bring this thing Under control.

00:00:36.000 You're talking about 8.3% inflation out today.

00:00:39.000 Well, you know, one of the things you can do to hedge against things like the government in control of the currency is invest at least a little bit into precious metals.

00:00:45.000 Birch Gold Group can help you hold gold and silver in a tax-sheltered retirement account to protect you from big government tyranny.

00:00:50.000 Throughout history, gold has always been your best hedge against inflation.

00:00:53.000 A diversified savings can protect you from downturns in the market.

00:00:56.000 If you have a 401k or IRA that's underperforming, just text Ben to 989898.

00:01:00.000 You can convert that IRA in precious metals right now.

00:01:03.000 Birch Gold Group has an A-plus rating with the Better Business Bureau, countless five-star reviews, thousands of satisfied customers.

00:01:08.000 Text Ben to 989898.

00:01:10.000 Birch Gold will send you a free information kit on diversifying into gold tax-free.

00:01:14.000 Take the necessary steps to hedge against inflation today.

00:01:16.000 Protect your hard-earned money.

00:01:18.000 Get your free information kit by texting Ben to 989898 right now.

00:01:22.000 Again, get that free information kit right now.

00:01:24.000 Text Ben to 989898.

00:01:29.000 Well, for a while here, the polls have been suggesting that this congressional election is going to be a lot closer than originally thought.

00:01:43.000 The suggestion was that Republicans, six months ago, were going to run away with this thing.

00:01:48.000 Now, it looks as though it's a lot more even.

00:01:50.000 The latest polls show, the last five polls show NPR Has the Democrats up in the generic congressional poll 4 points.

00:01:57.000 Insider Advantage has the Democrats up 1.

00:01:59.000 Economist YouGov has the Democrats up 6.

00:02:01.000 Rasmussen has Republicans up 4.

00:02:03.000 And Trafalgar has Republicans up 6.

00:02:05.000 And that sort of gap suggests that there may be a polling sample problem here.

00:02:10.000 This is a point that is made by Nate Cohen over at the New York Times.

00:02:13.000 He's pointing out that the polling data seems to be skewed toward Democrats in a very similar way to how it was skewed toward Democrats in 2020.

00:02:20.000 Now, here's the reality.

00:02:22.000 Even The Economist, which is polling at Democrats plus four.

00:02:26.000 Even The Economist is suggesting that Republicans have about a 75% shot at taking the House.

00:02:31.000 They're suggesting about a 75% shot that Democrats take the Senate.

00:02:34.000 I'm going to suggest that it's like a 50-50 shot that Republicans take the Senate and about a 98% shot that Republicans take the House.

00:02:41.000 Now again, those numbers are just coming directly from nowhere, but if I were to just put money on it, I would say that the Republicans have a decent shot of taking the Senate and I would say they have an overwhelming shot.

00:02:50.000 of taking the House at this point.

00:02:51.000 Nate Cohen points out that there seems to be a trend of polling errors over the course of the last several years.

00:02:56.000 He says, ahead of the last presidential election, we created a website tracking the latest polls.

00:03:00.000 Internally, we called it a polling diary.

00:03:02.000 Despite a tough polling cycle, one feature proved to be particularly helpful, a table showing what would happen if the 2020 polls were as wrong as they were in 2016, when pollsters systematically underestimated Donald Trump's strength against Hillary Clinton.

00:03:13.000 The table proves eerily prescient.

00:03:14.000 Here's what it looked like on Election Day in 2020, plus a new column with the final result.

00:03:18.000 As you can see, the final results were a lot like the poll estimates, with 2016-like poll error.

00:03:23.000 We created this poll error table for a reason.

00:03:25.000 Early in the 2020 cycle, we noticed Joe Biden seemed to be outperforming Mrs. Clinton in the same places where the polls overestimated her four years earlier.

00:03:32.000 That pattern didn't necessarily mean that the polls would be wrong.

00:03:34.000 It could have just reflected Biden's promised strength among white working-class voters, for instance, but it was a warning sign.

00:03:39.000 That warning sign is flashing again.

00:03:41.000 Democratic Senate candidates are outrunning expectations in the same places where the polls overestimated Biden in 2020 and Clinton in 2016.

00:03:47.000 Wisconsin is a good example, says Nate Cohn.

00:03:50.000 On paper, the Republican Senator Ron Johnson ought to be favored to win re-election.

00:03:53.000 The 538 Fundamentals Index, for instance, makes him a two-point favorite.

00:03:56.000 Instead, the polls have exceeded the wildest expectations of Democrats.

00:03:59.000 The state's gold standard Marquette Law School survey even showed Democrat Mandela Barnes leading Johnson.

00:04:04.000 By 7 percentage points.

00:04:05.000 But in this case, good for Wisconsin Democrats might be too good to be true.

00:04:08.000 The state was ground zero for survey error in 2020, when pre-election polls proved too good to be true for Mr. Biden.

00:04:13.000 In the end, the polls overestimated Biden by about 8 percentage points.

00:04:17.000 Nearly enough, Barnes is faring better than expected by a similar margin.

00:04:20.000 The Wisconsin data is just one example of a broader pattern across the battlegrounds.

00:04:23.000 The more the polls overestimated Biden last time, the better Democrats seem to be doing relative to expectations.

00:04:28.000 So in other words, where the polls were wrong about Biden, it seems like the polls are doing the same thing with Democrats in the 2022 cycle.

00:04:33.000 Conversely, Democrats are posting less impressive numbers in some of the states where the polls were fairly accurate two years ago, like in Georgia.

00:04:39.000 If you put this relationship on a chart, you see a consistent link between Democratic strength today and polling error two years ago, which raises the possibility that the apparent Democratic strength in Wisconsin and elsewhere is a mirage, an artifact of persistent and unaddressed biases in survey research.

00:04:53.000 If the polls are wrong yet again, it won't be hard to explain.

00:04:55.000 Most pollsters haven't made significant methodological changes since the last election, says Nate Cohn.

00:04:59.000 The major polling community post-mortem declared it was impossible to definitively ascertain what went wrong in the 2020 election.

00:05:06.000 The pattern of Democratic strength isn't the only sign the polls might still be off in similar ways.

00:05:10.000 Since the Supreme Court's Dobbs decision on abortion Some pollsters have said they're seeing the familiar signs of non-response bias when people who don't respond to a poll are meaningfully different from those who participate creeping back into their surveys.

00:05:20.000 In other words, people who are very motivated about abortion are the ones who stay online for the polling surveys.

00:05:24.000 And people who just don't like Joe Biden very much are the ones who are saying, no, I don't feel like talking to you.

00:05:28.000 I have a job.

00:05:29.000 Brian Stryker, a partner at Impact Research, Biden is a client, told me his polling firm was getting a ton of Democratic responses in recent surveys, especially in the familiar places where the polls have aired in recent cycles.

00:05:39.000 So it's possible that what we are watching here is a bit of a mirage.

00:05:42.000 So if this were the case, right, if what we are looking at is Senate polling with the 2020 poll, like poll error, what you would see is Democrats probably winning in Colorado, probably winning in Pennsylvania, although by less, winning in Arizona.

00:05:59.000 Basically, Nevada would be dead even.

00:06:00.000 Georgia would be dead even. 0.99

00:06:02.000 Wisconsin would be plus four Republican.

00:06:04.000 North Carolina would be Republican.

00:06:05.000 Ohio and Florida would be Republican by large margins.

00:06:07.000 So that means that the race for Senate control would be extremely competitive, right?

00:06:10.000 So what I'm saying, it's like a 50-50 shot.

00:06:12.000 It sounds a lot more like that.

00:06:14.000 And by the way, I think that some of those races are going to get a lot closer.

00:06:17.000 I've been saying for a while, the race between Mehmet Oz and John Fetterman is going to get a lot closer because Fetterman is a horror show of a candidate.

00:06:24.000 The race in Arizona seems like that one is growing out of reach for Republicans.

00:06:28.000 That one could get closer as well.

00:06:29.000 Pennsylvania, I think, is almost certain to get closer.

00:06:32.000 I'd be shocked, actually, if Adam Laxalt doesn't win in his race against Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democratic Party senator from Nevada, who is up in a very tight election race right now.

00:06:41.000 So what we could have been talking about here, you know, this giant Democratic surge, it could be that there's been a surge.

00:06:46.000 It could be that the polling is moving in Democrats' favor.

00:06:48.000 It could also be That there is a significant polling error that has yet to be taken account of.

00:06:53.000 And there's some data to back this, especially if Republicans do what they've been doing the last couple of weeks, and they stop focusing in on, for example, Donald Trump and the FBI.

00:07:01.000 I've been suggesting for a couple of weeks now, as the Democrats were drawing closer in the generic ballot, as they're drawing ahead by many polls, that the Republicans were making a large-scale mistake by focusing in on the FBI and Donald Trump.

00:07:12.000 That is not a referendum on whether the FBI did the right thing in raiding Donald Trump's house.

00:07:16.000 That's not a referendum on whether the DOJ is correct to be pursuing an indictment of Donald Trump.

00:07:21.000 All I'm saying is that as a political matter, it is a major mistake for Republicans to focus in on an issue where Republicans are largely motivated and so are Democrats, but Democrats way more than Republicans.

00:07:32.000 Like if Trump is on the ballot in 2022, that does not bode well for Republicans.

00:07:36.000 There's some new polling out today, actually, from an organization called WPA Intelligence.

00:07:43.000 And what this poll shows is exactly what I'm talking about.

00:07:45.000 Overall, they have Democrats plus two in the generic ballot, Democrats plus three with likely voters.

00:07:51.000 But what we are seeing is that on the issues Republicans win.

00:07:55.000 When it comes to Trump and the FBI, Republicans get themselves in trouble.

00:07:58.000 So Trump's favorables among independents, for example, he's at minus 32 among independent voters.

00:08:04.000 Biden's favorable among independents.

00:08:06.000 You know, a lot of people say, well, yeah, but Biden's the president.

00:08:07.000 Yeah, Biden's favorable among independents.

00:08:09.000 Minus 22.

00:08:11.000 So what that shows is, again, Biden is actually more favorable among independents than Trump is among moderates, so-called moderates in the voting base.

00:08:20.000 Trump's favorables are minus 42.

00:08:22.000 Biden is at underwater by just five points.

00:08:24.000 So if Trump is made the point of comparison in 2022 for Republicans, they're going to be in serious trouble in the Senate and it's going to hurt them pretty badly in the House.

00:08:32.000 Same thing is true by the FBI, by the way.

00:08:34.000 Overall, the FBI still has a plus 22 favorability rating.

00:08:37.000 So making that the top of your issue pile is a big mistake.

00:08:40.000 For Republicans.

00:08:41.000 Now, on the fundamentals of the election, the Republicans are still way ahead.

00:08:45.000 By a 61 and 39 margin, voters say they would rather live in Florida than California if they were given a choice, for example.

00:08:52.000 Even almost 50% of pro-choice voters in this poll say that they would limit abortions to 15 weeks or earlier.

00:08:56.000 So on a lot of the issues, Republicans actually have the advantage.

00:09:01.000 By the way, a lot of Democrats are just misinformed. 0.93

00:09:03.000 This poll shows that 52% of Democrats believe that the Supreme Court outlawed abortions, which, of course, is incredibly silly.

00:09:07.000 So a majority of Democrats, according to that poll, actually believe something that is overtly false, that the Supreme Court outlawed abortions.

00:09:13.000 Nearly half of Democrats, by the way, believe that Russia stole the 2016 election, which demonstrates that election denial is a bipartisan phenomenon.

00:09:22.000 74% in this poll of college-educated Democratic women believe that Florida banned the word gay in all schools, which, of course, is not true.

00:09:29.000 So, you know, what this polling data shows is, again, that what we could be seeing here, especially if Republicans reorient, which is something that it seems like they've been doing for the past couple of weeks, if Republicans reorient, Democrats could still have a world of hurt on their hands come the election cycle.

00:09:45.000 And some of these races, I mentioned the Fetterman race because again, that one seems to me like a really low hanging fruit for Republicans.

00:09:52.000 All Mehmet Oz has to do is just put the focus squarely back on John Fetterman.

00:09:55.000 The simple fact that John Fetterman is an extraordinarily radical candidate who also happens to resemble Uncle Fester and happens to have had a stroke that seems to have prevented his ability to speak publicly.

00:10:10.000 Plus, he's just a bad candidate overall.

00:10:12.000 I mean, these are all factors militating against making a man who's been a career useless person but does wear Carhartt sweatshirts.

00:10:20.000 a senator. This guy is, he's unbelievably bad at this. And the fact that he's been treated by the media as somehow good at this is astonishing to me. I mean, yesterday, for example, John Fetterman, actually it was over the weekend, on September 11th, he did an abortion rally basically on September 11th, which is what you do on September 11th, apparently, if you're a Democrat in Pennsylvania. And he was wearing his fabled Carhartt hoodie, because he's one of you. 0.94

00:10:44.000 He's one of the people, a person whose parents have basically supported him through his mid-40s, and who is the mayor of a town of 1,800 people with a salary of under $2,000 per year, living in an apartment that he bought for $1 from his sister. And John Fetterman declared himself John Fetterwoman on the campaign trail over the weekend, which, ladies, you can have him.

00:11:05.000 My name is John Fetterwoman.

00:11:14.000 That's part of that clip.

00:11:15.000 If you can't see it, John Fetterman looks down, he's holding a pink shirt that says John Fetterwoman, like an adult.

00:11:22.000 And he looks down at the shirt to remind himself that it says Fetterwoman.

00:11:27.000 Now, this is not a hard joke to remember.

00:11:29.000 His literal name is Fetterman.

00:11:32.000 All he has to do is add a woe in front of the man to get John Fetter Woman. 1.00

00:11:36.000 But he has to literally look down physically at the shirt.

00:11:39.000 He's not in great shape here.

00:11:40.000 He has to look physically down at the shirt to remind himself that he is supposed to say, Fetter Woman.

00:11:47.000 This is the person you want in the United States Senate if you are the people of Pennsylvania?

00:11:51.000 This person?

00:11:51.000 Really?

00:11:52.000 And again, listen, health problems are sad and difficult.

00:11:57.000 Also, they can absolutely be disqualifying for higher office, obviously.

00:12:02.000 You didn't have a doctor in your life making fun of it, making light of it, or telling you that you're not fit to be served.

00:12:21.000 Can you describe a stroke and what's happened?

00:12:27.000 So it's such the most important race for the Senate here for 22.

00:12:34.000 We have to replace Pat Toomey.

00:12:38.000 Senator Toomey was not very nice to me.

00:12:43.000 Pat Toomey is a miracle.

00:12:46.000 He had a chance.

00:12:48.000 He had a chance.

00:12:51.000 To match me up again, abortion is the ballot now in November.

00:12:59.000 What?

00:13:01.000 My goodness.

00:13:03.000 That is hard to watch.

00:13:04.000 Well, it may be important in Pennsylvania to have a Senate candidate who actually is capable of being a Senate candidate, but in business, I'll tell you what's important.

00:13:11.000 That is having a business capable of running efficiently.

00:13:14.000 And I'll tell you what you can't afford.

00:13:15.000 It's to spend a lot of time and money on going to the post office. 0.99

00:13:18.000 That's a dumb thing to do.

00:13:19.000 If you're a small business owner, you know how important it is to be ready for the insane holiday season that is about to begin. 0.98

00:13:24.000 If you haven't already started preparing for the chaos of holiday mailing and shipping, you're already falling behind.

00:13:28.000 Luckily, Stamps.com has everything you need to make your life a whole lot easier.

00:13:32.000 It's the 24-7 post office you can access from anywhere.

00:13:34.000 No lines, no traffic, no hassle.

00:13:36.000 Here at DailyWire, we've been using Stamps.com since 2017.

00:13:39.000 We are not here to waste our time.

00:13:41.000 Stamps.com is your one-stop shop for all your shipping and mailing needs.

00:13:44.000 For more than 20 years, Stamps.com has been indispensable for over 1 million businesses.

00:13:48.000 Get access to the USPS and UPS services you need to run your business right from your computer.

00:13:52.000 With inflation on the rise, every dollar counts.

00:13:54.000 Protect your margins with major discounts on USPS and UPS rates up to 86% off.

00:13:59.000 It's a stress-free solution for every single business.

00:14:01.000 Use stamps.com to print postage wherever you do business.

00:14:04.000 All you need is a computer and printer.

00:14:05.000 Get ahead of that holiday cast this year.

00:14:07.000 Get started with stamps.com today.

00:14:09.000 Sign up with promo code Shapiro for a special offer that includes a four-week trial, plus free postage, plus digital scale.

00:14:14.000 No long-term commitments, no contracts.

00:14:15.000 Head on over to stamps.com, click the microphone at the top of the page, enter code Shapiro.

00:14:20.000 Even the Washington Post is like, this guy might not be able to be a senator.

00:14:24.000 The Washington Post editorial board put out a full-scale piece today talking about how John Fetterman needs to debate more than once for the Senate to demonstrate that he's actually fit for the office.

00:14:34.000 Quote, The race might well determine which party controls the Senate.

00:14:37.000 Voters would benefit from seeing the two candidates exchange ideas and test each other.

00:14:40.000 Mr. Fetterman has seemingly been reluctant to commit to firm debate dates.

00:14:43.000 That troubling stance has raised questions about whether he's still recovering from a serious stroke, is fit to serve in the Senate.

00:14:48.000 After suffering a stroke in May, Fetterman was off the campaign trail for three months and has campaigned little since then.

00:14:53.000 He held a rally on Sunday.

00:14:54.000 Oz has pressed for five debates.

00:14:55.000 Fetterman, Dodge, and Duck before tentatively agreeing last week to one, but not until sometime until the middle to end of October.

00:15:01.000 That is well after September 19th, when voters can start casting mail-in ballots.

00:15:05.000 It's short of the two debates that have been the standard during recent competitive Senate contests in Pennsylvania.

00:15:09.000 So what he's trying to do is run out the clock.

00:15:10.000 He's saying, I'll do a debate like the day before the polls open permanently.

00:15:15.000 You know, the actual live polls open.

00:15:17.000 We'll do the debate then.

00:15:19.000 But not when the early ballots are coming in, which is what Democrats are counting on.

00:15:23.000 This is the Washington Post editorial board, okay?

00:15:26.000 Not Daily Wire editorial board.

00:15:28.000 Since returning to the campaign trail, Mr. Fetterman has been halting in his performances.

00:15:31.000 He stammers, appears confused, keeps his remarks short.

00:15:34.000 He's held no news conferences.

00:15:35.000 Fetterman acknowledges his difficulties with auditory processing, which make it hard for him to respond quickly to what he's hearing.

00:15:40.000 He receives speech therapy, and we wish him a speedy, full recovery, but the lingering unanswered questions about his health, underscored by his hesitation to debate, are unsettling.

00:15:48.000 Well, yeah.

00:15:50.000 Apparently, he had been diagnosed in 2017 with cardiomyopathy.

00:15:54.000 He had a pacemaker with a defibrillator implanted after the stroke.

00:15:57.000 The campaign's response to questions about Fetterman's health is to point to a doctor's note released more than 14 weeks ago which said he should be able to campaign and serve in the United States Senate without a problem if he takes his medications and exercises.

00:16:07.000 But that's not good enough because, again, he is on the campaign trail and we can see that he is not functioning the way that you need a senator to function.

00:16:15.000 The fact that he is avoiding a debate is pretty obvious.

00:16:18.000 By the way, he's not the only one avoiding a debate.

00:16:21.000 In terms of gubernatorial races, right now, Katie Hobbs, who is the Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Arizona trying to replace Doug Ducey, she's running against Carrie Lake. 1.00

00:16:31.000 Carrie Lake is running dead even with her. 1.00

00:16:33.000 And Katie Hobbs, who has no excuse at all, is now denying debates with Carrie Lake, specifically because Carrie Lake is really good on TV. 0.87

00:16:38.000 She's a newscaster. 0.65

00:16:40.000 According to TheCentralSquare.com, Katie Hobbs will be the first candidate for Arizona governor in decades to refuse an invitation to debate her opponent in a state commission organized event. 0.92

00:16:49.000 Hobbs, the current Democratic Secretary of State, announced on Sunday she would respectfully decline the Arizona Citizens Clean Elections Commission invitation to reach terms on debating her Republican opponent, former Fox 10 anchor Carrie Lake.

00:16:59.000 No other candidate running for office in November had declined an invitation, nor has any candidate for governor done so since the commission began holding debates in 2002.

00:17:08.000 She's obviously avoiding a debate because Carrie Lake is going to clock her. 1.00

00:17:12.000 Carrie Lake, again, is very good on TV and Katie Hobbs is going to get shown up. 1.00

00:17:16.000 Meanwhile, in some of the races that Democrats are considering competitive, these are not competitive races.

00:17:21.000 So for example, in the gubernatorial race in Florida, Ron DeSantis is running away with that race.

00:17:26.000 Anybody who tells you differently is lying to you.

00:17:28.000 Ron DeSantis is way ahead.

00:17:30.000 Any polls that suggest that Charlie Crist is running within three, two, one points of Ron DeSantis has never visited the state of Florida.

00:17:36.000 This is not a reality.

00:17:38.000 And one of the reasons for that is because, aside from the fact that Charlie Crist has literally run on the ballot of every party in the United States, there are parties that have yet to be invented where Charlie Crist is preparing to run.

00:17:49.000 But Charlie Crist is a terrible candidate.

00:17:52.000 And Ron DeSantis is a very popular governor.

00:17:54.000 I mean, how bad is Charlie Crist as a candidate?

00:17:57.000 He's out there saying things like this on the campaign trail.

00:18:01.000 We got a divider on the other side and a uniter over here.

00:18:04.000 You know, some people call him DeSatan.

00:18:08.000 Have you heard that?

00:18:09.000 That's one of the nicer ones.

00:18:11.000 Indeed it is.

00:18:12.000 I'm trying to be nice.

00:18:15.000 DeSatan versus that.

00:18:18.000 Oh, think about it.

00:18:19.000 Boom! 0.99

00:18:22.000 the Satan versus Christ.

00:18:23.000 That's the joke that he's making because he's like a he's like a Jesus like figure.

00:18:26.000 Charlie Christ.

00:18:27.000 Mm hmm.

00:18:28.000 And Rhonda sense is Rhonda Satan. 0.98

00:18:30.000 He's so bad at this.

00:18:31.000 Anybody who tells the AARP is suggesting that this race is within three points.

00:18:35.000 This race is not within three points.

00:18:37.000 I'm sorry.

00:18:38.000 Not even.

00:18:39.000 No, the answer is no.

00:18:40.000 That you want to talk polling error.

00:18:41.000 That is a massive polling error.

00:18:43.000 Meanwhile, as I mentioned over in Nevada, people are sleeping on the Republican threat to take Cortez Masto's seat in Nevada.

00:18:53.000 Even NBC News is catching on to this.

00:18:54.000 Say, in a volatile midterm election where Democrats have unexpectedly taken the lead in crucial battleground states, Republicans have found a glimmer of hope in their quest to seize control of the Senate.

00:19:01.000 Eight weeks before election day, they're within striking distance of capturing the seat long held by late Democratic titan Harry Reid before Senator Catherine Cortez Masto won it in 2016.

00:19:09.000 Cortez Masto may be the most endangered Democratic incumbent in this cycle, even though her party hasn't lost a Senate race here in a decade. 1.00

00:19:15.000 While Democrats are still projecting confidence, polls show a dead heat despite massive spending by Cortez Masto and an early assault of negative ads designed to tarnish rival Adam Laxalt.

00:19:24.000 This is definitely our best opportunity at any point in the last 14 years, said Jeremy Hughes, Republican consultant who's worked on many Nevada races.

00:19:30.000 Hughes cited GOP gains in voter registration, a trend of Hispanic voters drifting away from Democrats, rising gas prices and food as the key forces propelling Republicans.

00:19:38.000 In an interview, Cortez Masto, who eked out her first Senate victory here by 2.4 points in 2016, acknowledged she had her work cut out for her if she wants to keep her seat.

00:19:46.000 She said Nevada's races are always competitive.

00:19:48.000 I'm not going to take anything for granted, and you can't either.

00:19:51.000 Okay, well, again, she should not take that seat for granted, considering the fact that Adam Laxalt is a very good candidate.

00:19:57.000 He is running a strong race against her.

00:19:59.000 There are some other races, by the way, that seem a lot more competitive than people are sleeping on.

00:20:03.000 I mean, the Colorado Senate race right now.

00:20:06.000 That is a possible win for the Republicans, despite the fact that Colorado has turned pretty significantly blue.

00:20:13.000 Republican Joe O'Day is running very competitively against Michael Bennett right now.

00:20:18.000 According to the latest polls, Bennett has the lead.

00:20:22.000 But again, these polls are within the margin of error.

00:20:29.000 I mean, there's one poll showing Bennett at 48 and O'Day at 47 with 5% undecided, according to the Washington Examiner.

00:20:35.000 There are a lot of close races out there, so this is why I'm saying.

00:20:37.000 And I think that a lot of the pessimism is starting to wane as, again, the focus moves off of Trump and back onto the key issues.

00:20:45.000 Which, by the way, is one of the reasons why you're seeing so many leaks from the DOJ.

00:20:49.000 Anybody who believes the DOJ and the FBI are apolitical, why are all the leaks always in one direction?

00:20:54.000 Why?

00:20:55.000 So apparently the Justice Department is subpoenaing Trump administration officials.

00:20:58.000 Well, how are you going to know if somebody arrives at your door to deliver a subpoena to you?

00:21:02.000 I mean, I don't know how you voted, but there's a decent shot that might happen under Merrick Garland's DOJ.

00:21:06.000 Well, here's the thing.

00:21:08.000 If you want to protect your home the way I protect my home, you need Ring Alarm.

00:21:11.000 Now, I know what you're thinking.

00:21:12.000 Ring is the video doorbell company.

00:21:13.000 They also have an alarm?

00:21:14.000 Yes, they do.

00:21:14.000 Yes.

00:21:15.000 Ring makes an alarm.

00:21:16.000 It's an award-winning home security system with available professional monitoring.

00:21:19.000 When you subscribe, best of all, you can easily install it yourself.

00:21:21.000 And Ring didn't stop there.

00:21:22.000 They've changed the home security game entirely with Ring Alarm Pro.

00:21:25.000 That's why I've decided to team up with Ring.

00:21:27.000 When it comes to protecting my own home, I've gone pro with Ring Alarm Pro.

00:21:30.000 Ring Alarm Pro is whole home security with available professional monitoring when you subscribe to Ring Protect Pro.

00:21:35.000 Ring Alarm Pro combines a security system with a fast Eero Wi-Fi 6 router for home security and network security all in one device.

00:21:41.000 Plus, with a Ring Protect Pro subscription, which is an amazing deal by the way, I get professional monitoring for the ultimate peace of mind.

00:21:47.000 If anything happens, professional monitoring will call me and can request emergency services.

00:21:50.000 So this summer, whether I'm across the country or across town or out of the country entirely, I know everything at home is protected and connected and that it will stay that way this busy summer season to protect my own home, I've gone pro with Ring Alarm Pro.

00:22:01.000 You can do the same.

00:22:01.000 Learn more at Ring.com forward slash Ben.

00:22:04.000 That is Ring.com forward slash Ben.

00:22:06.000 Protect your home the way that I do.

00:22:07.000 Ring.com forward slash Ben to get started.

00:22:11.000 Speaking of which, another leak again today.

00:22:14.000 This one about the DOJ going after officials surrounding Donald Trump.

00:22:19.000 According to DNYU's Justice Department officials have seized the phones of two top advisors to former President Trump and blanketed his aides with about 40 subpoenas in a substantial escalation of the investigation into his efforts to subvert the 2020 election, people familiar with the inquiry said on Monday.

00:22:34.000 And how many anonymous sources can leak information about this investigation before you start to doubt the political non-partisanship of these agencies?

00:22:43.000 The leaks are the story in many of these cases.

00:22:46.000 The content of the leaks doesn't actually forward this.

00:22:47.000 Like, okay, so you subpoenaed people.

00:22:49.000 Does that mean that they're guilty?

00:22:51.000 Or does that mean you're gathering information?

00:22:53.000 We've had leak after leak after leak in the Donald Trump documents.

00:22:56.000 We had the pictures of the documents on the floor.

00:22:59.000 We had the accusations that were nuclear documents.

00:23:02.000 We had leaks of the back and forth between Trump and the DOJ and all the rest of this.

00:23:07.000 The leaks themselves demonstrate how partisan these law enforcement agencies really are.

00:23:14.000 And now you have this leak as well.

00:23:15.000 The kind of slow drip leading up to the election, I have very little doubt that's an attempt by members of the DOJ and the FBI to shift the midterm elections away from the Republicans.

00:23:24.000 The seizure of the phones coupled with a widening effort to obtain information from those around Mr. Trump after the 2020 election represents some of the most aggressive steps the department has thus far taken in its criminal investigation into the actions that led to the January 6th, 2021 assault on the Capitol by a pro-Trump mob.

00:23:38.000 The extent of the investigation, according to DNYU's has come into focus in recent days, even though it has often been overshadowed by the government's legal clash with Trump and his lawyers over a separate inquiry into the handling of presidential records.

00:23:49.000 Federal agents with court-authorized search warrants took phones last week from at least two people, Boris Epstein, an in-house counsel who helps coordinate Trump's legal efforts, and Mike Roman, a campaign strategist who was the director of Election Day operations for the Trump campaign in 2020.

00:24:03.000 The names of those receiving the latest rounds of subpoenas in the investigation have dribbled out gradually.

00:24:07.000 Oh, have they?

00:24:09.000 I mean, almost as though it is a public relations campaign.

00:24:14.000 The New York Times, by the way, first reported this.

00:24:16.000 So, yeah, I mean, it seems as though pretty obviously there is an attempt being made to redirect the conversation back toward Donald Trump.

00:24:24.000 There's a reason for that, and that's because if the conversation is not about Donald Trump, Democrats are in real trouble.

00:24:29.000 And Joe Biden out on the campaign trail is not a boon for Democrats.

00:24:33.000 Joe Biden is out there on the campaign trail, for example, talking about how inflation eased.

00:24:36.000 You feeling that easing in inflation?

00:24:38.000 Are you?

00:24:39.000 You feel like you're spending less at the grocery store?

00:24:41.000 It turns out that gas prices have eased, but food prices are still up.

00:24:45.000 When gas prices go down fairly dramatically, as they have over the past couple of months, some of that is due to lack of demand.

00:24:51.000 Some of that is due to the Interest rate increases that have taken money out of people's pockets.

00:24:58.000 And there are a lot of reasons for the decline in gas prices.

00:25:01.000 Very little of it has to do with, for example, Joe Biden releasing from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves, which are now at an all-time low.

00:25:07.000 When Joe Biden is out there bragging about inflation decreases, you're certainly not feeling that at the supermarket.

00:25:12.000 When the gas prices go down but inflation remains high, that's because the other items in that basket of goods that define inflation have gone up in price.

00:25:18.000 Here is Joe Biden trying to brag about his inflation record.

00:25:20.000 Good luck with this one.

00:25:22.000 We're seeing hopeful signs of progress on inflation as well.

00:25:26.000 The price of gas, when we said what I was doing wouldn't make any difference, guess what?

00:25:31.000 It's down $1.30 since the start of the summer and continues to go down.

00:25:36.000 Inflation eased in July.

00:25:40.000 That is not, that is, it is not his policies.

00:25:44.000 I mean, I'm going to need to see a relationship between the stuff Joe Biden has done and the easing of gas prices, because those are not related.

00:25:50.000 He did not get additional gas out of OPEC.

00:25:53.000 He did not increase the amount of supply in the United States.

00:25:56.000 He has not relieved regulations.

00:25:58.000 He released some from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

00:26:00.000 Some of that actually went to China.

00:26:02.000 Again, lack of demand is largely what explains the decline in oil prices.

00:26:06.000 So, the Federal Reserve is responsible for that.

00:26:08.000 Meanwhile, Joe Biden is still out there pretending that he can cure cancer.

00:26:11.000 I mean, the guy can't even talk and he's saying he can cure cancer.

00:26:13.000 It's amazing.

00:26:16.000 Cancer does not discriminate.

00:26:18.000 Red and blue.

00:26:20.000 It doesn't care if you're a Republican or a Democrat.

00:26:24.000 Beating cancer is something we can do together.

00:26:27.000 And that's why I'm here today.

00:26:31.000 He's been talking about this cancer moonshot thing.

00:26:33.000 It's one of the great bugaboos of my political life is when politicians get up there and they say, this problem that no one is able to solve because it is one of the deepest and most difficult problems in science.

00:26:43.000 We could all solve it if we only had the sufficient will and poured enough money into it.

00:26:45.000 It's like, dude, that's not how science works.

00:26:47.000 At all, at all, at all.

00:26:48.000 But again, this is the person the Democrats have chosen to make the face of their party.

00:26:53.000 And they're going to have to deal with that.

00:26:55.000 And then secondarily, the other face of their party is Kamala Harris, who's also terrible at this. 0.98

00:26:59.000 She's been spending the last week out there talking about how people who oppose her are extremists who trumpet quote-unquote so-called freedom.

00:27:05.000 When people use the phrase so-called freedom to describe actual freedom, you should start to get a little bit frightened.

00:27:13.000 The stakes could not be higher.

00:27:17.000 You know, right now, extremist so-called leaders are trumpeting the rhetoric of freedom while they restrict and systematically attempt to take away freedoms.

00:27:33.000 This is what you're going to run on?

00:27:35.000 Okay, good luck.

00:27:36.000 The people who didn't want to mask up the children and wanted all the kids to go back to school, those are the people who are the true threat to your freedom.

00:27:42.000 Meanwhile, again, his economic policy is going to be the one that is going to be front and center in the 2022 elections.

00:27:49.000 According to the Wall Street Journal, Stocks are riding a tentative recovery with the S&P 500 up 1.1% on Monday, but whether they can keep their momentum hinges in part on how earnings season plays out next month.

00:27:58.000 Analysts have now cut their estimates for third quarter earnings growth by 5.5 percentage points since June 30th.

00:28:04.000 According to John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet, that is more than usual.

00:28:07.000 It marks the biggest cut since the second quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic and ensuing lockdowns brought economic activity to a standstill.

00:28:14.000 So they're saying that basically all of these companies are going to stop making money.

00:28:16.000 Companies have also been looking increasingly pessimistic lately.

00:28:20.000 A total of 240 companies in the S&P 500 mentioned recession on their post-earnings conference calls for the last quarter.

00:28:25.000 That is the most ever.

00:28:26.000 In fact, that's data going all the way back to 2010.

00:28:29.000 The markets have been resilient, hoping that this is going to be kind of a short and shallow recession.

00:28:35.000 But the simple fact is that if the earnings go down more than people expect, that could turn really quickly.

00:28:40.000 Investors say markets have been able to hold their ground lately, in part because companies are still expected to report modest earnings growth through the rest of the year.

00:28:47.000 Other data points, such as employment and consumer spending, have continued to show strength in the economy.

00:28:50.000 But many caution stocks' recent gains look vulnerable, should data take a turn for the worse in the coming months.

00:28:55.000 David Greshak, Managing Director and Investment Strategy and Research at Aspirant.

00:28:59.000 He says, you've got this really unpleasant combination of very high inflation, an economy that's already slowing down, and a central bank that's tightening policy rapidly.

00:29:06.000 Stock valuations also remain elevated, said Mr. Greshak.

00:29:09.000 This is one of the problems.

00:29:10.000 And the simple fact is that if the stock market has already taken a pretty significant hit over the first half of the year, based on inflationary policy, based on the fact that the earnings are not high enough, as the earnings reports start to lower, the stocks are going to readjust.

00:29:25.000 Remember, if the P.E.

00:29:27.000 ratios on these stocks remain stable, but the earnings go down, right?

00:29:31.000 The price earnings ratios, if the earnings go down and the price earnings ratio remains stable, the price of the stock is also going to go down.

00:29:37.000 So you will see a stock decline.

00:29:40.000 The S&P 500 trades at 17 times its next 12 months of expected earnings.

00:29:43.000 According to FATSAT, that is below its five-year average, but above where it was at the end of the second quarter due to the fact that stock prices have risen while earnings estimates have fallen.

00:29:52.000 Mr. Greshek said, all things considered, it doesn't really feel like a great time to be adding risk here.

00:29:55.000 The S&P 500 is already down 14% for the year.

00:30:00.000 Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs is cutting hundreds of jobs, which is a sign, obviously, that the markets are ready to boom.

00:30:06.000 I'm being sarcastic.

00:30:07.000 Goldman Sachs is preparing to lay off hundreds of staffers as soon as next week, according to the Wall Street Journal.

00:30:11.000 The job cuts are part of the bank's annual performance reviews that have been suspended during the pandemic, according to a person familiar with the matter.

00:30:16.000 Goldman reinstated those reviews earlier this year following a slump in Wall Street dealmaking activity.

00:30:21.000 Goldman had 47,000 employees on staff at the end of June, up from 41,000 a year earlier.

00:30:26.000 After a record-setting 2021, the industry-wide slump in mergers and new IPOs has hit Goldman's bottom line this year.

00:30:31.000 Second quarter investment banking revenue fell 41% from a year ago.

00:30:34.000 Goldman's profit fell by nearly half in that same period.

00:30:37.000 Well, yeah, as the inflation gets taken out of the economy, a lot of that speculation goes away as well.

00:30:41.000 And that means that Goldman gets hit.

00:30:44.000 So again, when Goldman Sachs is cutting jobs, that is not a wonderful sign for the economy.

00:30:50.000 Meanwhile, a U.S.

00:30:52.000 rail strike is looming.

00:30:53.000 So the Biden administration's preferred policy of boosting unions is actually going to turn around and clock it right in the face.

00:30:59.000 It turns out that when you give unions disproportionate power, they can hold up the United States economy.

00:31:03.000 It's one of the least covered stories.

00:31:05.000 In the media, the Washington Post has a good piece on it today for, I think, the biggest and best piece on this.

00:31:10.000 President Biden apparently made calls to union leaders and rail companies on Monday, pressing for a deal to avert a national railroad strike that is days away from shutting down much of the country's transportation infrastructure.

00:31:20.000 You like supply chain bottlenecks?

00:31:21.000 Get ready for the freight trains to stop running.

00:31:23.000 Biden administration officials have also started preparing for a potential shutdown, warning a strike could seriously damage the United States economy, as well as hurt Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections, according to two people familiar with the matter.

00:31:33.000 Oh, you mean that, um, the alligator that you were riding on turned around and started to eat you?

00:31:37.000 Biden administration?

00:31:39.000 Those unions who were your friends, it turns out that they want a chunk of you?

00:31:42.000 Shocker.

00:31:43.000 Biden's calls follow unsuccessful emergency meetings at the White House last week, which have been led by the White House National Economic Council and included Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, The most indispensable person in the administration, who just went absent for several months and no one noticed, is also involved in trying to broker the impasse, said the two people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak freely about internal deliberations.

00:32:04.000 The stalemate pits two of Biden's top priorities against each other.

00:32:07.000 The president has been an adamant defender of union workers, but does not want a breakdown in the nation's transportation infrastructure that would disrupt commuter and passenger services.

00:32:15.000 The administration has basically no time to act.

00:32:18.000 The nationwide rail shutdown is set to go into effect after midnight on Friday.

00:32:21.000 Labor and management have been at an impasse over difficult issues like sick time and penalties for missing work.

00:32:25.000 It would be the first such strike in about three decades.

00:32:27.000 Amtrak is already warning passengers interruptions will begin Tuesday on its national network.

00:32:32.000 The passenger railroad said it's pulling trains on three long-distance routes to avoid possible passenger disruptions while on the routes.

00:32:38.000 The freight industry warns the strike would shut down 30% of the country's freight and halt most passenger and commuter rail services.

00:32:46.000 A freight railroad shutdown could devastate Amtrak operations, according to the Association of American Railroads.

00:32:51.000 Oh, I'm shocked.

00:32:52.000 You mean that when you empowered all of these unions and they decided that they wanted more from you, that that's bad?

00:32:58.000 No.

00:32:59.000 No!

00:33:00.000 It's just shocking.

00:33:01.000 By the way, biggest news of the day, biggest expectations of the news for the day, is a worse-than-expected inflation report less than two months away from the midterms.

00:33:10.000 The consumer price index was expected to rise 8.1% Instead, CPI rose 8.3% year-over-year for August.

00:33:20.000 So, all that talk that Joe Biden was saying about how he had stabilized inflation, what that means is that the Federal Reserve has been attempting to raise those interest rates and cut down on inflation, and they were trying to get to this sort of lukewarm state where they could gradually increase the inflation rates and prevent the economy from falling into recession.

00:33:35.000 They're gonna have to slam on the brakes.

00:33:38.000 Grocery prices keep going up, according to Neil Irwin.

00:33:41.000 It was the chief economic correspondent at Axios.

00:33:44.000 Another 0.7% rise in food at home, up 13.5% over the last year.

00:33:49.000 13.5% increase in the price of food over the course of one year.

00:33:54.000 These are bad, bad numbers for the Democrats.

00:33:57.000 And what you're going to see right now is the stock market take a serious dive.

00:34:01.000 Because the stock market basically priced in the idea that the inflation was going to be brought under control.

00:34:05.000 All items right now, 8.3%.

00:34:06.000 Food, 11.4%.

00:34:06.000 8.3% food 11.4% 11.4% year over year inflation.

00:34:12.000 Why it's almost as though when you fire hose money into the economy the way the divide administration has and you regulate and you are on the verge of a railroad strike and maybe all this bad policy has consequences.

00:34:25.000 Who would have thought?

00:34:26.000 So who's who, by the way, is going to be?

00:34:28.000 All Republicans have to do is point.

00:34:29.000 OK, as I've been saying for a very long time, the entire Republican campaign, this is true in 2016.

00:34:33.000 It's true in 2020.

00:34:34.000 It's true forever.

00:34:35.000 All Republicans have to do when Democrats are in charge and govern this badly is point.

00:34:40.000 Like Donald Sutherland at the end of Invasion of the Body Snatchers.

00:34:46.000 That's all they have to do.

00:34:47.000 That's all they have to do.

00:34:48.000 Because my goodness, there's only one party that's in control right here. 0.50

00:34:48.000 Just point at the Democrats. 0.50

00:34:52.000 There's one party that's in control.

00:34:55.000 Again, the inflation rate was supposed to... It quote-unquote slightly slowed because last month it was like 8.5%.

00:35:02.000 But the expectation is that it was going to seriously slow to 8.1%.

00:35:04.000 8.3% is a bad number.

00:35:07.000 Let's not make any bones about this.

00:35:09.000 That's why everyone was awaiting the CPI coming out today.

00:35:13.000 And that CPI, it ain't good for the Democrats.

00:35:16.000 Democrats are going to have a lot to contend with going into the election.

00:35:19.000 Well, when you look at these economic statistics from the Biden administration, you think, man, people who say they're experts aren't always experts.

00:35:24.000 You know where else that's true?

00:35:24.000 At the auto parts store.

00:35:26.000 Every time you go to that auto parts store, you get up to the front of the line and the person at the front is like, I can tell you what you're missing.

00:35:31.000 And then he looks it up online and then he orders it and then upcharges you.

00:35:34.000 Or you could just skip all of that, go directly to the experts over at Rock Auto.

00:35:37.000 You know, some states now have laws that say that as early as the 2030 model year, new vehicles will have to be electric in order to be registered, which means your internal combustion engine car is going to be more expensive over time because the supply is going to decrease.

00:35:48.000 You need to preserve that car.

00:35:50.000 This is why you need RockAuto.com.

00:35:52.000 RockAuto.com has been in the auto parts business for 20 years.

00:35:54.000 Family owned.

00:35:55.000 Our goal is to make auto parts available and affordable and keep you safe on the road.

00:35:59.000 RockAuto.com's online parts catalog is incredibly easy to use.

00:36:01.000 You can search all the parts available for your specific car, SUV, or truck with photos, specs, and installation tips.

00:36:06.000 Not only will they have the part you need, they'll usually give you several trusted brands to choose from.

00:36:10.000 RockAuto's kits are also popular because they bundle together all the parts you need for a successful repair.

00:36:14.000 You don't get halfway through installing a timing belt only to discover you need another pulley.

00:36:17.000 Professional mechanics and do-it-yourselfers always pay the same, reliably low prices, Head on over to rockauto.com.

00:36:22.000 Get brakes, shocks, carpet, wipers, headlights, mirrors, mufflers, lug nuts, or any other part you need.

00:36:26.000 That's rockauto.com.

00:36:28.000 Be sure to write Shapiro in there.

00:36:29.000 How did you hear about us, Fox?

00:36:30.000 So they know that I sent you.

00:36:31.000 Also, many of you know Candace Owens was out on maternity leave.

00:36:35.000 Her eight-week-old already has a successful lemonade stand and is planning a successful run for a class president as well.

00:36:40.000 Well, now, we here at The Daily Wire, we are unleashing the power of Candace Owens five days a week in her new Daily Wire Plus show. 0.93

00:36:45.000 Wait for the name of it.

00:36:47.000 It's called Candace Owens.

00:36:48.000 I know.

00:36:49.000 I know.

00:36:49.000 It's more Candace Owens.

00:36:50.000 So, if you love Candace, you're going to get more of her.

00:36:52.000 You're not going to want to miss her explosive first episode.

00:36:54.000 It premiered yesterday.

00:36:56.000 New episodes are available every day, 3 p.m.

00:36:57.000 Eastern, Daily Wire+.

00:36:59.000 Trust me when I say this is big news.

00:37:01.000 Watch Candace Owens' show on Daily Wire+, or listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or Wherever you listen to podcasts.

00:37:07.000 Okay, so as I've been saying, the fundamentals of this election are very, very bad for the Democrats.

00:37:12.000 And so you've seen a narrowing because Republicans got distracted by the shiny Trump object over here.

00:37:16.000 But as the fundamentals return to center stage, things like inflation, things like immigration, Democrats are in real trouble.

00:37:21.000 The border continues to be a massive issue.

00:37:23.000 How big is the border issue?

00:37:24.000 The border issue is so big that the Washington Post is now having to issue editorials telling Democratic mayors that if you're going to be a sanctuary city fanatic, then you got to own it.

00:37:33.000 Because there is a crisis on the border, according to the Washington Post.

00:37:36.000 The Washington Post says, and I quote, the White House has scarcely taken notice of the hundreds of eastbound buses that have arrived in the district since April, and twice the Pentagon brushed off the mayor of DC's request for National Guard troops to help handle logistics arising from the arrival of what is rapidly approaching 10,000 migrants. The caper by Republican governors on the border to send illegal immigrants to Washington, DC.

00:37:59.000 has been politically effective to the extent that it has posed a growing dilemma for Democratic officials provoking their peak.

00:38:05.000 Muriel Bowser, the mayor of D.C., said mayors do a lot of things, but we're not responsible for a broken immigration system.

00:38:09.000 Says the Washington Post, that's not really right.

00:38:11.000 In fact, state and local officials nationwide must accommodate a flow of migrants in schools, shelters, streets, impelled to seek refuge in the United States by terrible conditions in their countries and the relative scarcity and availability of jobs in this one.

00:38:23.000 Bowser's emergency declaration enabling her to tap $10 million in city funds will help fund an Office of Migrant Services to oversee meals, medical care and temporary housing for the new arrivals.

00:38:23.000 Ms.

00:38:33.000 Now she needs to formulate a long-term plan that reflects the reality of migrants' increasing numbers, whether or not the federal government reimburses the city as she hopes and as it should do.

00:38:41.000 Ms.

00:38:41.000 Bowser didn't directly ask for this problem.

00:38:43.000 Nonetheless, it is hers to solve.

00:38:45.000 Well, good luck to the Democrats.

00:38:47.000 Seriously.

00:38:47.000 Meanwhile, Kamala Harris is just, I love this, because the people who are now paying the price for this are Democratic mayors who are receiving incoming illegal immigrants.

00:38:54.000 Kamala Harris, the Vice President of the United States, spent her Sunday explaining that the border is secure in many, many words.

00:39:01.000 Lots of words are spoken here.

00:39:03.000 I will say that when it comes to lots of words spoken to provide very little of substance, Kamala Harris is just, she is the master, the mistress of it. 0.57

00:39:14.000 She's just unbelievable at this. 0.98

00:39:16.000 Here we go.

00:39:18.000 Two million people crossed this border for the first time ever.

00:39:20.000 You're confident this border is secure?

00:39:24.000 We have a secure border and that that is a priority for any nation including ours in our administration.

00:39:33.000 But there are still a lot of problems that we are trying to fix given the deterioration that happened over the last four years.

00:39:42.000 We also have to put in place a law and a plan for a pathway for citizenship.

00:39:52.000 For the millions of people who are here and are prepared to do what is legally required to gain citizenship.

00:40:04.000 Slay queen? 0.98

00:40:06.000 What?

00:40:08.000 My favorite part of this, whoever suggested that Kamala Harris is the human incarnation of a predictive text mechanism, that's exactly right.

00:40:15.000 She's a bad algorithm. 1.00

00:40:17.000 She types in three words, and then she waits for the next three words to pop up in the Google search bar.

00:40:21.000 And then she says those three words, and then she waits like several seconds.

00:40:23.000 She even speaks like that.

00:40:24.000 She stops, and then she adds a few words.

00:40:28.000 And then she waits to see what happens next.

00:40:30.000 And she doesn't know which way she's going.

00:40:31.000 It's really suspenseful to watch her.

00:40:33.000 It's very different than watching Joe Biden.

00:40:35.000 The suspense in watching Joe Biden speak is whether he's going to emerge alive at the end of his speeches.

00:40:39.000 That's the suspense.

00:40:40.000 It's really high stakes.

00:40:41.000 Kamala Harris, the suspense is, does she know what's going to come out of her mouth next?

00:40:46.000 I really enjoy the parts of that particular statement where she says, the border is secure and that is a priority for any nation to have a secure border.

00:40:53.000 That doesn't mean anything.

00:40:54.000 What does that mean?

00:40:56.000 That's like saying the nation is prosperous in the sense that it is in the interest of any nation to be prosperous.

00:41:01.000 No, no, no.

00:41:01.000 We're not asking you whether the border is a priority for you.

00:41:04.000 We're asking you whether the border is secure.

00:41:06.000 You're saying yes, but then you provide no evidence that it is because it isn't.

00:41:09.000 And then you say it's about a pathway to citizenship, which, of course, encourages more illegal immigration.

00:41:13.000 Because if you get across the border, then you are subject to the pathway to citizenship.

00:41:17.000 So excellent job here, guys.

00:41:19.000 I mean, I can't see why you are going to get just clocked in the house.

00:41:22.000 The Republicans have an incredible ability.

00:41:26.000 to somehow steal defeat from the draws of victory, but even they are going to have a tough time blowing this one.

00:41:32.000 Because again, the economic data is going to continue to be bad.

00:41:34.000 My faith in Joe Biden's ability to blow this thing is pure and unalloyed.

00:41:39.000 It's like my faith in God.

00:41:43.000 My faith in Joe Biden's ability to ruin things is as strong as it is possible for it to be.

00:41:48.000 I came in a doubter.

00:41:49.000 I came in doubting the faith.

00:41:51.000 When Joe Biden entered, I was like, how could anyone blow this?

00:41:53.000 He's got a working vaccine.

00:41:55.000 The economy's been in an artificial coma.

00:41:57.000 So that means expectations are low. 0.97

00:41:58.000 All he has to do is just stand there and be dead. 0.83

00:42:00.000 And that's the thing he is best at. 0.98

00:42:02.000 There's no way he can blow this.

00:42:03.000 I'll say this.

00:42:04.000 Joe Biden made a religious man out of me.

00:42:07.000 I'm now a religious believer that this administration is capable of screwing up literally anything. 0.98

00:42:12.000 And what that means for the election is that as much faith as I have in Republicans sucking at their jobs, I have even more faith that Democrats are going to suck at their jobs.

00:42:20.000 So the continuing bleep show will, I think, spiral into Democratic defeat in 2022 in the election cycle. 0.79

00:42:27.000 I think Democrats know this, by the way.

00:42:29.000 I think panic is going to break out any second here.

00:42:32.000 I keep coming back to the CPI report today.

00:42:35.000 It is very, very bad.

00:42:37.000 They are going to have to slam on.

00:42:40.000 They're going to have to slam on the brakes, the Federal Reserve.

00:42:42.000 They're going to raise another 75 basis points.

00:42:44.000 It is going to crater the economy.

00:42:47.000 Again, it's not something you should be rooting for as an American.

00:42:49.000 It just happens to be a reality.

00:42:50.000 When bad economic policy meets the road, this is what happens.

00:42:54.000 All right, you guys.

00:42:55.000 The rest of the show is continuing now.

00:42:56.000 You're not going to want to miss it.

00:42:57.000 We're going to be getting into the New York Times, pretty obviously targeting anybody who sends their kids to a school that doesn't promote left-wing values.

The Ben Shapiro Show - September 13, 2022

Is The Blue Tide a Mirage? | Ep. 1573

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript