Republicans barely hold on to a deep red district in Ohio, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has herself a rough day, and fallout continues from the Alex Jones ban. Today's episode is a special edition of The Ben Shapiro Show, where I talk about all of that and much more. I also talk about the close election in Washington, D.C. and why it's good to be a conservative in the 21st century. Subscribe today using our podcast s promo code POWER10 for 10% off your first pack! Subscribe to my new podcast, POWER10, wherever you get your stuff, and don't forget to rate, review, and subscribe to my other podcast, The Narcissistic Mindset. If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and tell a friend about what you're listening to. I'll be looking out for your comments and suggestions in the comments section below. Tweet Me! if you have any suggestions for future episodes or topics you'd like me to cover. Timestamps: 0:00 - What's up? 6:30 - How do you feel about the election night in Ohio? 7:15 - How did you vote? 8:20 - What do you think about the results? 9:40 - Is it a red or blue district? 11:00 What are you looking forward to in the midterms in 2020? 12:15 15: What's your biggest takeaway from this election night? 16:30 17: What are your biggest takeaways from the day? 18: What would you look forward to from this episode? 19: What kind of election night for you're watching? 21: What s your favorite part of the political landscape? 22:00 | What s going to be the most important thing? 23:00 + 17:00 What s the biggest thing for you? 25:00 Do you think you're going to vote for the next election in the next one? 26:00 Is there any chance you're most likely to win the next mid-term election? 27: Which one would you vote for me in 2020 or do you like to see me win it in 2020 and what do you have a chance to win it next week? & so much more? 29:00 Can you see me vote for my next one in the 2020 primary election in a primary?
00:00:00.000Republicans barely hold on to a deep red district in Ohio, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has herself a rough day, and fallout continues from the Alex Jones ban.
00:00:16.000Last night was a big election in Ohio.
00:00:19.000There was also an election in Washington that turned out to be too close for Republicans.
00:00:23.000None of this is great news for Republicans.
00:00:25.000I want to talk about what exactly is going on in those elections.
00:00:28.000But first, let me remind you that our national debt is $21 trillion in counting.
00:00:31.000That is money we owe other countries, or at least owe back to funds that we have withdrawn money from.
00:00:36.000It is greater than the entire economic output of the United States.
00:00:38.000If your entire life savings is tied to the U.S.
00:00:40.000dollar, you should be asking yourself, what's your plan for inflation?
00:00:43.000If the stilts fall out from under the economy,
00:00:45.000Higher wages can increase minimum wage across the country.
00:00:48.000Import prices are going to skyrocket with trade wars.
00:00:50.000Raw materials prices are increasing with tariffs, rising housing prices.
00:00:53.000That's certainly happening here in California.
00:00:55.000And the government's solution to a lot of this stuff very often is printing more money, which means demeaning your assets, degrading your assets.
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00:01:57.000Okay, so last night, the left was prepared for their big moment in the sun.
00:02:02.000Last night was going to be the moment when they finally won a deep red district.
00:02:05.000Now the last time they won an actual red seat was when they won the Alabama Senate seat because Roy Moore had been the Republican nominee and it turns out that he liked frequenting the food court back in the 1970s to look for 14-year-old girls, allegedly.
00:02:17.000Well, he lost that election to a Democrat, but that was seen as largely an outlier.
00:02:22.000This Ohio election was seen as more of an indicator as to how the elections of 2018 are going to go.
00:02:28.000This district is heavily, heavily, heavily Republican.
00:02:32.000This is a very heavy Republican district.
00:02:34.000When I say it's a heavy Republican district, I mean that this district went for President Trump by something like 11 points.
00:02:41.000It means that if you look at the counties that are surveyed in the Ohio 12th District, the vast majority of them are R plus 15.
00:02:49.000Overall, if you look at how this district has voted, it voted Republican in the last several election cycles.
00:02:55.000There was a Republican congressperson who decided to resign, and that's why you had this special election happening in Ohio's 12th District.
00:03:02.000The Democrat in the county was the Franklin County recorder named Danny O'Connor, and the Republicans chose a 50-something veteran of state politics, a guy named Troy Balderson.
00:03:14.000It should have been a Republican district plus 14.
00:03:17.000It is 14 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole.
00:03:20.000There's something like 114 Republican seats that are less Republican than this particular district is.
00:03:26.000None of this looks good for Republicans, even though Troy Balderson picks up the seat and wins the seat.
00:03:31.000They're going to have to do this again in like three months because the special election is only to fill out the term that's currently happening.
00:03:38.000The political geography in this district is really interesting, because there's a lot of suburban districts, and those suburban districts, Balderson dramatically underperformed.
00:03:46.000He overperformed, actually, in districts... Let me reverse that.
00:03:51.000He overperformed in some of the suburban districts, specifically because John Kasich came out and endorsed him.
00:07:21.000This is not a seat that should have been competitive.
00:07:37.000And there's a lot of money that was poured into this district in support of Balderson.
00:07:40.000The Republicans did outspend the Democrats, and then they barely won the seat.
00:07:43.000Again, if you look at these district numbers, they don't look good.
00:07:47.000If even half of the 68 Republicans who represent a district less friendly than Ohio's 12th lose this November, Democrats retake the House with 11 seats to spare.
00:07:55.000If only one in three lose, Democrats stand at a net gain of 22 seats.
00:08:00.000None of this is particularly encouraging for Republicans.
00:08:03.000So when President Trump says that this is just evidence that Republicans are on the upswing and everything is hunky-dory, that
00:08:10.000The evidence is just not there for that.
00:08:11.000Meanwhile, the Democrats continue, the radical wing of the Democratic Party continues to gain in its ascendancy, and this is part of the problem with the Democrats, and this is why they could actually blow this.
00:08:20.000So, the Democrats have what you might term reverse Tea Party problems.
00:08:24.000There was a lot of talk in 2008, 2010, 2012 about Republicans nominating unpalatable candidates because they were the most anti-establishment candidates.
00:08:32.000The latest example of that was Roy Moore in Alabama.
00:08:35.000But you remember, we nominated Christine O'Donnell in Delaware instead of Mike Castle, and she ended up losing that Senate seat.
00:08:43.000They ran a candidate in 2010, I believe, who was unpalatable, and she ended up losing the seat.
00:08:50.000This is the sort of thing that can happen when the base of the party starts thinking less pragmatically and more passionately.
00:08:57.000You're seeing the Democrats sort of do the same thing.
00:08:59.000The reality is that in this Ohio 12th District, the Democratic candidate was a longtime Democratic politician with establishment ties, and they did better in that district.
00:09:06.000The same thing is true in Pennsylvania.
00:09:08.000But the Democratic base is embracing radicalism full scale.
00:09:11.000Indicated by the amount of conspiratorial nonsense pressed by some of their more radical members.
00:09:17.000Alyssa Milano, the actress, she tweeted this out last night.
00:09:20.000She tweeted out, Why else would anyone cast a protest vote in Ohio when there's so much at stake?
00:09:32.000If you actually think that the Democrat in Ohio 12 lost because of the Russians, let me suggest that you have now been completely taken over by Trump derangement syndrome.
00:09:41.000So the Democrats are having to fight an internal battle between electing candidates who can actually win general election seats and electing candidates who are most likely to vent their spleen and their ire at the world.
00:09:53.000And I'm not sure that's going to end well for them in 2020, because in primaries, in presidential primaries, what 2016 shows is that passion actually matters.
00:10:01.000What 2016 demonstrated is that when you've got an angry base, when you've got an enraged base, that base can make serious trouble for you.
00:10:08.000You saw with Bernie Sanders in the Democratic Party and Donald Trump in the Republican Party.
00:10:12.000It seems likely to me that the Democrats in 2020 do not elect somebody to run on their ballot who is going to be a moderate voice of reason.
00:10:21.000It seems more likely to me that they elect somebody along the lines of a Bernie Sanders or an Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which is why most of the major 2020 candidates showed up at Netroots, this radical convention for the Democrats, over the last week and a half.
00:10:33.000All the names that have been mentioned are wildly out of the mainstream.
00:10:36.000Elizabeth Warren is out of the mainstream.
00:10:39.000Kamala Harris is out of the mainstream.
00:10:42.000Certainly, Alexander Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders are out of the mainstream, but those are the people that Democrats seem like they want to push.
00:10:49.000So if they are practical, then they will go and they will find moderates to run in a lot of these districts and in the presidential seat in 2020.
00:10:56.000But if not, then they are going to end up, I think, undercutting their own momentum here, which is what Republicans are counting on.
00:11:03.000Basically, Republicans are counting on President Trump to troll Democrats into insanity and force them to run candidates who are wildly
00:11:11.000Wildly radical, and the American people cannot stand.
00:11:14.000That is the best hope that the Republicans have here, because the Republicans are doing a piss-poor job of actually representing their victories in these particular election cycles.
00:11:34.000Right now, if you're at the office and you're wearing a suit, you probably got it off the rack, and it's probably ugly.
00:11:38.000The reason that you need to get a better suit is because custom-tailored suits make you look like a million bucks, but you don't have to spend a million bucks.
00:11:44.000Instead, you should head over to Indochino.
00:11:45.000It's the world's largest made-to-measure menswear company.
00:11:48.000They've been featured in major publications, including GQ, Forbes, and Fast Company.
00:11:52.000They make suits and shirts made to your exact measurements for its horrific fit.
00:11:55.000Guys love the wide selection of high-quality fabrics, the option to personalize all the details, including your lapel, lining, and monogram.
00:12:02.000You visit a showroom or you shop online at Indochino.com.
00:12:04.000You pick your fabric, you choose your customizations, you submit your measurements and then you wait for that custom suit to arrive in just a few weeks.
00:12:11.000I've been to their showroom here in Beverly Hills and it is just a lot of fun.
00:12:44.000The best hope for the Republicans, considering this wave of Democratic turnout, which really is pushed by the president's unpopularity.
00:12:51.000I understand among Republicans, President Trump is very popular.
00:12:55.000President Trump also has a bad habit of pissing off the left to the point that they actually want to go to the polls.
00:13:00.000And when you're the president, your job is to enervate the other side.
00:13:03.000Your job is to take the wind out of their sails.
00:13:05.000President Trump is constantly blowing wind into the sails of the left by making statements on a routine basis that just get them jazzed up to throw fellow Republicans out of office.
00:13:14.000As I say, I'm not sure that that has a major impact on Trump's re-election prospects, but I do think it has a serious impact on these congressional races.
00:13:22.000The corollary of that is that Democrats, because they are so jazzed up, could move radically to the left.
00:13:26.000And that means that their future is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
00:13:30.000Now, yesterday I said that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is not the brightest bulb in the basket.
00:13:34.000And I stand by that statement because she is not, in fact, the brightest bulb in the basket.
00:13:38.000She was on Pod Save America yesterday and she made a series of ridiculous, silly statements.
00:13:44.000She, again, is considered the future of the Democratic Party because she's an intersectional candidate.
00:13:49.000She's a person of great intersectional capacity.
00:13:55.000And that means that she has valuable things to say, even if she is just saying
00:14:00.000Random stuff all the time that doesn't make any sense.
00:14:02.000By the way, I've received a lot of emails.
00:14:03.000I would pay money to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's campaign to debate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
00:14:20.000I would pay her money to come on the Sunday special.
00:14:23.000I would give money to her campaign if it meant that she would actually come on the Sunday special and answer some serious questions from somebody on the other side of the aisle.
00:14:30.000But there's a reason that she's only existing in the safe space of Pod Save America, where they're just going to ask her questions like, Alexandra, where do you get that lipstick?
00:14:38.000Alexandra, how do you do your hair in the mornings?
00:14:41.000Alexandra, can you talk to us about how Republicans are mean and cruel?
00:14:46.000This morning, she tweeted out, because there's a lot of blowback,
00:14:49.000After her various interviews, she tweeted out a bunch of things about how the reason people are coming after her is because they're trying to distract from this burgeoning Republican scandal.
00:15:01.000There's a Republican representative who's now been arrested for some sort of bank fraud.
00:15:05.000He's a big early backer of President Trump's.
00:15:08.000And she says, the reason people are coming after me is specifically because they're trying to distract.
00:15:12.000She says, whenever the right is being particularly feisty towards me, the first thing I do is check
00:15:22.000The reason we focus on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is because the media have fallen in love with the lady who won 17,000 votes in a Democratic primary in New York, and we're all supposed to believe that she's the wave of the future.
00:15:38.000Also, because it's a lot of fun to pay attention to the dumb stuff she says, because if this is the future of the Democratic Party, the future is stupid.
00:16:14.000It is moving away from families altogether.
00:16:16.000If you have to pick the person who you are appealing to, if you have one person who sort of sums up the base of your party,
00:16:23.000The Democrats would say that person is probably a minority woman who's either a single mom or who doesn't have kids and has a career.
00:16:30.000That is the person the Democratic Party is looking to appeal to.
00:16:33.000Whenever you make a TV show in Hollywood, you have to think, who is the member of the audience who is most indicative of the base for this particular show?
00:16:39.000I think that politicians do the same thing.
00:16:41.000For President Trump, it was clearly blue-collar white males.
00:16:44.000That may not work out the way that he wants in 2020.
00:16:46.000For Democrats, however, it seems to be that it is minority females who, this is Hillary Clinton's entire base, right?
00:16:52.000Minority females who either are single moms or who don't have kids and have a career.
00:16:57.000Those are the people she is most attempting to appeal to.
00:16:59.000And then you sort of backtrack to the more mainstream audiences, but those are the people you're trying to get out in massive numbers.
00:17:04.000Now, the people that both sides seem to be ignoring are white women in the suburbs who vote an extraordinarily high rate, who are in fact mothers,
00:17:11.000Who do care about safety and economic prosperity.
00:17:14.000George W. Bush in 2004 won because that was his target audience.
00:17:17.000His target audience was not white blue collar males in 2004.
00:17:19.000His target audience were the so-called security moms.
00:17:23.000Those were the people that Bush went after in 2004.
00:17:25.000Both parties seem to have neglected that.
00:17:32.000I'm really bewildered as to why both parties are neglecting mothers.
00:17:37.000Mothers who are married, who actually take care of their kids and or have a job.
00:17:41.000Why is that a group of people who you're trying to ignore?
00:17:43.000That group of people, mothers who stay home, has actually increased in the American demographic dramatically over the past 10 years.
00:17:50.000In the last census, that number, stay-at-home moms, rose by 13%.
00:17:54.00013% more women are opting to stay out of the workforce and take care of their kids at home.
00:17:58.000And that is still a huge burgeoning percentage of the population.
00:18:02.000I don't understand why both parties are ignoring it, but particularly the Democrats.
00:18:05.000You would think that would be the place they'd go, right?
00:18:07.000Donald Trump is very off-putting to college-educated women.
00:18:10.000He's very off-putting to suburban moms.
00:18:12.000Why would they not be targeting those folks?
00:18:14.000But they send out people like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a 29-year-old former bartender who is single, has no kids, and talks in disparaging terms about soccer moms.
00:18:24.000She sounds a lot like Hillary Clinton back in 1992, talking about how she's not a timely Ynet woman.
00:18:29.000She could have stayed home and baked cookies and had tea parties, but she decided to pursue her career.
00:18:32.000That's what Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez sounds like right here when she is talking about the supposed lack in the middle class.
00:19:14.000Clearly, this is a person of great intellectual firepowder.
00:19:18.000The reality is, again, that according to the census, 10.6 million children under 15 in two-parent homes were being raised by stay-at-home moms.
00:19:26.000And it's not that these moms don't exist anymore, it's that they're driving SUVs rather than minivans, which brings us to the second stupid point Ocasio-Cortez made.
00:19:35.000She was asked specifically about the breakdown in economics in the United States, what Democrats are missing, and she talked about the upper middle class, this is clip 11.
00:19:44.000She talked about the upper middle class, which she says does not exist anymore.
00:19:47.000They were really kind of connected most to an electorate when they were fighting for these seats, when they got these seats, when they're campaigning most, when we had more of an American middle class.
00:19:58.000And so I think that politically, this like upper middle class.
00:20:04.000Okay, she doesn't even know what the hell she is talking about.
00:20:10.000Not only does the upper middle class exist, it is the fastest growing segment of the American population and has been for 30 years.
00:20:16.000So she's just making things up right now.
00:20:18.000Between 1979 and 2014, the upper middle class in the United States increased by 16.4%.
00:20:24.000As opposed to the poor in the United States, that number actually decreased by 5%.
00:20:28.000The upper middle class constituted about 12% of the population in 1979.
00:20:54.000The Pew Research Center found that 203 metropolitan areas have seen their middle class shrink, but in 172 of those cities, the shrinkage was in part due to the growth in wealthier families.
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00:22:38.000The reason Republicans are talking about her is because the Democrats have propped her up as the supposed next wave of brainiacs inside the Democratic Party.
00:22:46.000And not only that, because it is good for us to talk about her, because I hope that she's the face of the Democratic Party.
00:22:51.000I hope that their new face is the Bernie Sanders, Alexander Ocasio-Cortez wing.
00:22:55.000The worst thing that could happen for Republicans is for them to run a candidate like Joe Biden.
00:23:00.000The worst thing that could happen for Republicans is for them to run somebody who can purport to be moderate,
00:23:05.000Just long enough to become president of the United States or become senator or congressperson.
00:23:10.000I'm hoping the Democrats make a big boo-boo here and they are so blasted out of their mind by Trump's presidency that they move to make Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez their darling.
00:23:18.000Okay, so she was asked yesterday again on Pod Save America, a podcast run by the Obama bros, right?
00:23:24.000I mean, it's a bunch of Obama people who are running that podcast.
00:23:28.000And they love her because secretly she represents their id.
00:23:31.000And she says all the dumb things they wish they could say, but then their super ego kicks in and they say, perhaps I should not say this out loud because it's a stupid thing.
00:23:39.000She doesn't have any brain to mouth filter when it comes to this stuff.
00:23:41.000So she was asked specifically about how she was going to pay for all of her plans.
00:24:04.000It just seems like their pockets are only empty when we're talking about education and investing in human capital in the United States, education, health care, housing.
00:24:12.000Okay, so I do love the fact, and the original question here was, how do you pay for things?
00:24:15.000And her answer is, nobody pays for things.
00:24:35.000Thank you, Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez, for that brilliant exposition on the debt and deficit in the United States.
00:24:41.000By the way, when she says things like, the only thing we invest in is tax cuts and wars.
00:25:18.000The answer is 16% of the federal budget goes to the American military.
00:25:22.000The remainder goes to all of these supposed priorities that we are supposedly ignoring according to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
00:25:28.00062% of the entire federal budget goes to mandatory spending under Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
00:25:34.000The vast majority goes to social welfare programs that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says we are spending too little money on.
00:25:40.000The fact is, the amount of money that we spend per capita in the United States on social welfare programs is actually almost on par with that of the European countries and actually surpasses some of the European countries.
00:25:50.000And we are spending a buttload of money on all these priorities that she says we are not spending money on.
00:25:55.000It's just a lie that we're spending it all on quote-unquote tax cuts.
00:25:58.000First of all, that's not an expenditure.
00:26:00.000And then when she says we're not investing in the middle class, understand that when she says that we're supposed to invest in the middle class, what she means is we're supposed to tax the living hell
00:26:07.000Out of everyone who makes more than 30 grand in the United States.
00:26:10.000And then we'll pass it back to the people at the lower end of the income spectrum for investment in garbage government programs that do not result in higher productivity, higher wages or higher employment.
00:26:46.000Or why does the Democratic Party think this is a good idea?
00:26:48.000By the way, when she says that we are, you know, we haven't worried about spending in the past, yes, that's a problem.
00:26:53.000I'm old enough to remember when Republicans thought it was a problem.
00:26:56.000I guess now we don't worry about that so much because President Trump's president, so we're supposed to ignore the fact there's a $21 trillion national debt.
00:27:04.000Social Security will be bankrupt in the next decade.
00:27:06.000Medicare will be bankrupt a decade after that.
00:27:09.000These programs are not going to be around.
00:27:11.000Or if they are around, they're going to require massive cuts or massive taxes.
00:27:16.000And even so, what I love most, I think, what I love most is that she says that, you know, we've never had to worry about spending this sort of money before.
00:27:26.000The kind of money that she's proposing spending is so insane that it makes what we have spent before absolutely obsolete.
00:27:32.000According to the Mercatus Center, a libertarian-leaning center at George Mason University, they estimated that Bernie Sanders' Medicare for All plan, we talked about this last week, would cost the government $32 trillion over the next decade.
00:27:44.000But we can actually do a budget exercise using nonpartisan and even left-leaning groups.
00:27:50.000Vox.com, you know, a left-wing source, they talk about what exactly we would have to pay for single-payer health care, a jobs guarantee, and free college.
00:28:00.000Well, it turns out that it would cost, according to the Tax Policy Center, according to the Tax Policy Center, it would cost legitimately trillions and trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars.
00:28:11.000$42.5 trillion in new proposals over the next decade, on top of the $12.4 trillion baseline deficit.
00:28:18.000To put this in perspective, according to Vox.com, Washington is currently projected to collect $44 trillion in taxes, in revenues, that's what they call it, over the next decade.
00:28:27.000Okay, the Republican tax cut, the fiscal Armageddon, will cost less than $2 trillion over the next decade.
00:28:33.000So we're gonna spend $44 trillion, but Alexander Ocasio-Cortez says the real problem is those tax cuts that quote-unquote cost $2 trillion.
00:28:40.000What is the 30-year projected tab for these programs that they're talking about?
00:28:44.000The 30-year projected tab is, I kid you not, $218 trillion.
00:28:51.000On top of an $84 trillion baseline deficit driven by Social Security, Medicare, and the resulting internet costs.
00:28:57.000Federal spending, which is typically between 18% and 22% of GDP in the United States, would soar past 40% of GDP on its way to 50% of GDP within three decades.
00:29:08.000And she says, oh, well, we've never had to worry about spending before.
00:29:11.000Well, it turns out if you quadruple the spending, you might have to worry about it a little bit more.
00:29:14.000You got a $10,000 credit card debt, and then you decide to rack up another $40,000 of credit card debt.
00:29:20.000Maybe you ought to think about whether the original debt was a good idea, but quadrupling it is an even better idea.
00:29:25.000Okay, we'd be at 60% of GDP by that point.
00:29:29.000Okay, within three decades, state and local government spending would push the total cost of government, according to Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez, all the way to 60% of GDP.
00:29:38.00060% of every buck made in the United States would be spent by the federal government, exceeding the current spending level of every single European country.
00:29:55.000I'm going to talk a little bit more about the radicalism of the Democrats, which is being obscured by the fact that we have to talk about the constant stream of scandals and stupid inside the Republican Party.
00:30:05.000If we talked about this every day, it would be very difficult for Democrats to win.
00:30:07.000We don't talk about it any day except on this show because we're too distracted with all the rest of the nonsense.
00:30:12.000First, I want to talk about your sleeve quality.
00:30:14.000I am not famous for being good at sleep, but one of the things that makes me better at sleep is my Helix Sleep mattress.
00:30:21.000Working with the world's leading sleep experts, Helix Sleep developed a mattress that is customized to your specific height, weight, and sleep preferences, so you can have the best sleep of your life at an unbeatable price.
00:32:14.000I'm gonna be on The Ben Shapiro Show this Sunday.
00:32:17.000He got me to talk about stuff that nobody's been able to get me to talk about.
00:32:20.000A little bit of religion, a little bit of politics.
00:32:22.000But we're gonna talk about entrepreneurialism, mentors, and what I learned from my 100-year-old grandma.
00:32:27.000Okay, so it's pretty great, so go check that out this Sunday.
00:32:31.000And make sure you subscribe, again, to YouTube and iTunes.
00:32:32.000We are the largest, fastest-growing conservative podcast in the nation.
00:32:40.000To conclude our analysis of the stupidity of the program now being pressed by Democrats as the future, this Democratic Socialist program, according to Vox.com, again, Vox.com, a wild left-wing source, they say that single payers does not just involve a straightforward shift from private payment to taxes.
00:32:54.000So one of the great lies that's being told is, well, if we spend $32 trillion over the next 10 years, we'll save money on health care.
00:33:09.000People buy supplemental insurance even if they are on Medicare because Medicare coverage kind of sucks.
00:33:14.000Okay, here's the dirty truth about Medicare.
00:33:16.000The health outcomes for people who have Medicare is not dramatically better than the health outcomes for people who do not have insurance at all.
00:33:32.000Because doctors don't accept Medicare in many cases.
00:33:34.000Sometimes emergency medicine is better.
00:33:35.000Sometimes paying cash out of pocket is better.
00:33:38.000People buy supplemental insurance because Medicare does not do the job.
00:33:41.000It makes people feel comfortable, but it is not always the best system.
00:33:45.000Not only that, Medicare is based on a certain level of collective bargaining with the doctors.
00:33:50.000If you had everybody ensconced in the single-payer system, the demand for services goes up, Medicare would have to collectively bargain differently, and you'd actually have an increase in prices or a shortage of doctors or both.
00:34:02.000You'd have to basically, you always have a choice in these nationalized healthcare systems.
00:34:05.000You either have to abolish the private sector or you have to allow the private sector to upcharge.
00:34:10.000And this was a serious battle in Canada.
00:34:12.000There was an attempt to actually abolish private practice in Canada because there were too many people who were opting out of the system and paying private doctors and they had a shortage of doctors who they wanted to leverage into the public system.
00:34:40.000Second, single-payer proponents claim that $32 trillion in single-payer costs should be considered differently from other expenditures since money spent privately on health insurance and other health care costs would now be spent by the government.
00:34:50.000So you just shift the money from the private to the public sector.
00:34:53.000The $4 trillion saved by state and local governments on programs like Medicare and CHIP over 10 years and the $22 trillion saved by families and businesses on premiums and out-of-pocket expenses cannot be converted into a $26 trillion single-payer tax without serious economic and redistributive side effects.
00:35:09.000Designing a politically acceptable $26 trillion tax hike is nearly impossible.
00:35:14.000Medicaid recipients who currently pay no health insurance premiums would not receive any insurance premium windfall to help for their steep new taxes.
00:35:22.000So actually, this is completely unrealistic, even according to folks on the left.
00:35:31.000Well, we're talking about scandals involving Chris Collins.
00:35:34.000Federal prosecutors in New York on Wednesday charged New York Republican Representative Chris Collins, his son, and another man with 13 counts of securities fraud.
00:35:42.000I remember back in 2006, Republicans looked like they might do okay in the midterms, and then they just got blown out because of the Mark Foley scandal, a situation in which a gay Republican congressman was hitting on the interns, basically.
00:35:59.000So, you could see something similar happen.
00:36:01.000If Republicans are perceived as corrupt, it depresses the turnout.
00:36:13.000He actually used insider trading to trade on the stock of a pharmaceutical company, Innate Immunotherapeutics Limited, of which Collins is a board member, to avoid more than $768,000 in losses that would have incurred if they had traded the stock after certain drug trial results became public.
00:36:30.000Or we're talking about President Trump's latest tweets about Robert Mueller.
00:36:33.000Or we're talking about President Trump's latest tweets about LeBron James.
00:36:36.000Imagine if Republicans actually talked incessantly about the fact that Democrats have crazy spending plans, want to nationalize nearly everything, and are propping up people like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Keith Ellison as the leaders of the party.
00:36:48.000Imagine if that were the program, as opposed to these constant day-to-day battles over the fake news.
00:36:54.000Imagine if Democrats were depressed enough that they weren't able to actually go out to vote because it turns out that their own candidates are radical nutjobs.
00:37:02.000Instead, we have to discuss the headline of the day.
00:37:06.000It's a serious problem that our lodestar in politics, the black hole around which all of politics revolves, are these high-level Twitter battles between the President of the United States and whomever is in his grill that day.
00:37:22.000Hitting Democrats hard is easy to do and fun.
00:37:25.000It can be enjoyable as well as worthwhile.
00:37:28.000But you actually have to hit them on their agenda and the foolish things they are embracing and saying.
00:37:32.000You really think that Cory Booker is a tough target?
00:37:34.000You really think Alexander Ocasio-Cortez is a tough target?
00:37:37.000I'll tell you, Robert Mueller is a lot tougher target than any of those folks.
00:37:40.000And we're spending all of our effort right now on defending the myriad sillinesses that are emanating from Republicans who feel the necessity to assuage President Trump's ego.
00:37:49.000If President Trump wants a Republican Congress, how about this?
00:38:36.000In just a second, I want to talk in a little bit about the Alex Jones fallout.
00:38:42.000So Democrats continue to claim, people on the left continue to claim, that the ban on Alex Jones is actually a good thing, that Twitter mobbing and social media mobbing is actually a positive, useful thing.
00:38:54.000You know, Twitter itself did something I thought was actually good yesterday.
00:39:23.000If you're going to ban him from social services, from social media, you actually have to come up with a rationale to ban him, and it can't just be we don't like what he says.
00:39:29.000So Jack Dorsey, who's the head of Twitter, he tweeted this out yesterday.
00:39:32.000He's getting all sorts of flack for it, but he's correct.
00:40:09.000Right now, we in the country are worried so deeply about incivility that there are a lot of us who just want to ban the opposing view in order so that we can get to civility.
00:40:16.000The truth is that that actually is a form of incivility.
00:40:19.000There are two poles when it comes to civility, and both of them are bad.
00:40:23.000One is, ban everything I don't like for the sake of civility, and the other is,
00:40:27.000Yell at each other for the sake of social media mobbing for the sake of civility.
00:40:32.000And then on the other side, you have shut down all of the all the things I don't like for the sake of civility.
00:40:38.000So we'll yell at each other for the sake of civility because you're not civil enough.
00:40:40.000So I'll yell at you for the sake of civility.
00:40:42.000And then there is we want to ban you for the sake of civility.
00:40:45.000The answer is that we should be somewhere in between, which is rational discussion in which we can dismiss fools like Alex Jones as part of the conversation, right?
00:40:53.000He can be part of the conversation long enough for us to dismiss the stupidities that he spouts on a daily basis.
00:40:59.000But that involves actually not banning people.
00:41:01.000And yet, the prevailing opinion on the left is that some online mobs are good.
00:41:05.000There's a piece by Amanda Hess over at the New York Times that is just an awful stupid piece over at the New York Times, suggesting that social media mobs on the left are good, social media mobs on the right are bad.
00:41:38.000Online commentators noted that Gill appeared to live as what we would now call a transgendered man, not a woman cross-dressing to get ahead.
00:41:44.000By the time Daniela Greenbaum, a conservative writer at Business Insider, defended Johansson for just doing her job, the wrath she met was so forceful that her editor scrubbed the column from the web.
00:41:53.000Twelve days into the controversy, Johansson announced her decision to respectfully withdraw from the project.
00:41:58.000And then this this columnist goes on to talk about Hollywood mobbings, the Mark Duplass situation we talked about a couple of weeks ago, the director who was basically mobbed into apologizing for saying that folks might want to follow me on Twitter, the mobbing of James Gunn.
00:42:10.000And what this columnist for The New York Times says is that these mobs are not all alike, that the mob that targeted Scarlett Johansson and Daniella Greenbaum is a good mob.
00:42:19.000The mob that targeted James Gunn is a bad mob.
00:42:22.000How do we know which mobs are good and which ones are bad?
00:43:33.000If you feel that that is a terrifying thing, then you are part of the problem.
00:43:36.000And someone pays this moron to write words.
00:43:39.000It's just, it's an incredible, incredible thing.
00:43:41.000If you actually want a civil America where we can have conversations with each other, you're going to need to accept that there will be differing points of view and that they shouldn't be social media mobbed.
00:43:48.000Okay, time for a couple of things that I like and then a couple of things that I hate.
00:43:58.000And yesterday, for whatever reason, I was in kind of a grumpy mood.
00:44:01.000I think it's because I've been on this diet and diets are terrible.
00:44:03.000But that said, one of the things that put me back in a good mood was listening to some Mozart.
00:44:09.000This is one of my favorite pieces of Mozart.
00:44:11.000It's the Flute and Harp Concerto in C. And it's just a superlative piece of work, of course, because Mozart was one of the great geniuses in human history.
00:44:18.000Paralleled only, I have been told, by Jay-Z.
00:44:20.000So here is Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart, the Flute and Harp Concerto in C.
00:44:54.000So when people say I'm an elitist about music, yes.
00:45:04.000If this doesn't speak to your soul in a different way than the random pop music that you are smashing your head into your steering wheel over, then I would suggest that you think a little bit more deeply about the kind of music you listen to.
00:45:16.000Listen, at some point I should do sort of an introduction to classical music course.
00:45:19.000Not really based on music theory, because I'm not an expert in that, but at least introducing people to kind of user-friendly classical music.
00:45:25.000Because most people think, oh, classical music, it goes on so long, and it's so boring.
00:45:29.000Why can't we just have a three-bar chorus that we sing over and over for eight minutes?
00:46:01.000Jason Reilly has a great piece over at the Wall Street Journal.
00:46:03.000Jason Reilly is a black columnist for the Wall Street Journal, which means that the left can't attack him as a racist for writing this.
00:46:08.000He says, liberal racism is not a horse of a different color.
00:46:12.000He says, bigotry is bigotry, whether systemic, as at Harvard, or idiosyncratic, like Sarah Zhang's Twitter feed.
00:46:18.000As to paraphrase a well-known political figure, Ms.
00:46:20.000Xiong could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot a white person without losing the support of liberals.
00:46:24.000It's a safe bet she was tapped by the Times because of these racial prejudices, not to spite them.
00:46:28.000Editorial board members are hired to help formulate and express the official position of a newspaper Ms.
00:46:33.000Xiong is being hired to speak for the Times, and they like where she's coming from.
00:46:36.000The Grey Lady attacks President Trump as a racist and a sexist on a near-daily basis, and columnists like Charles Blow write about little else.
00:46:43.000So it is hypocritical for the paper to hire and defend a new editorial board member who has made no secret of her own biases?
00:46:53.000He goes on, he talks about this particular double standard.
00:46:55.000There's a great piece also by Raihan Salam over at The Atlantic about this tendency of people on the left
00:47:02.000Particularly white folks on the left, to try and enter into the elitist stratosphere by suggesting that racism by certain people, this sort of paternalistic racism attitude, that that's okay.
00:47:13.000Racism by certain people is okay because they've been historically victimized.
00:47:16.000This gains you access to the highest levels of leftist thought.
00:47:51.000So she tweeted out, And this was apparently the response from Ken Jennings.
00:48:10.000Yes, clearly she's awful because she liked Alf.
00:48:12.000If only she'd liked Transparent, and then they'd had a transgender person engraved onto the person's headstone, then this person would be a social justice warrior hero.
00:48:21.000But the son happened to like Alf, and that means this is a terrible, terrible MAGA grandmother.
00:49:13.000Considering the discrimination trans people face on a daily basis, it comes as no surprise that trans people are overlooked when it comes to dating.
00:49:20.000Two Canadian researchers recently asked almost a thousand cisgender folks, that's people whose sex matches their gender, right?
00:49:26.000In other words, you're a man who thinks you're a man.
00:49:28.000If they would date a trans person, a new study published in the Journal of Social and Personal Relationships is the first ever study to attempt to quantify the extent of trans discrimination when it comes to romantic and sexual relationships.
00:49:40.000Okay, let me just point something out.
00:49:42.000I thought that it was my prerogative as a free human being to decide with whom I would like to have sex.
00:49:56.000Or you get to choose whom you have sex with because it's a free country.
00:49:59.000The left has now decided that it is both a biological drive, but if you don't want to have sex with the people they want you to have sex with, it's because you're discriminating.
00:50:07.000This is where the two definitions of the word discrimination cross over and things get real weird.
00:50:11.000So discrimination can be me discriminating between two types of drink that I want to drink or two types of people.
00:50:17.000One of whom I want to have sex with and one of whom I don't.
00:50:29.000Bad discrimination is saying that all members of a particular group are biologically inferior or I wouldn't hire a member of a particular group or something like that.
00:50:38.000But the left has now conflated these two things.
00:50:40.000Any sort of decision in which you like one thing more than another, you like hamburgers more than you like tacos, if that is your thing, that is now bad discrimination according to the left.
00:50:52.000958 participants, all but seven cisgender, ranging in age from 18 to 81, with an average age of 26, were asked to indicate which genders they would consider dating.
00:51:01.000The options included cisgender man, cisgender woman, trans man, trans woman, or gender queer.
00:51:05.000And participants could select as many genders as they wanted.
00:51:07.000Only 12 participants, only 12% of all participants, selected trans woman and or trans man.
00:51:14.000Right, because it turns out that most people would like to date a member of the sex to which they are attracted.
00:51:19.000Why is this even remotely controversial?
00:51:21.000Those who would consider dating a trans person didn't differ in race or ethnicity, but were somewhat older, more likely to hold a university degree, and unsurprisingly, less likely to be religious than those who would not date a trans person.
00:51:32.000But some of the most striking differences were in regards to participants' gender and sexual orientation.
00:52:03.000Okay, and if you're a straight woman, I assume that you don't want to date a person with a vagina or date a person with a penis who believes that he is a woman.
00:52:32.000Only 11.5% of gay men and 29% of lesbians being trans-inclusive in their dating preferences.
00:52:38.000Bisexual, queer, non-binary participants were most open to having a trans partner, but even among them, almost half did not select either trans man or trans woman.
00:52:46.000Because it turns out you're attracted to certain types of people, and those people typically have to have the set of genitals that you prefer, and also believe that they are a member of the sex that has that particular set of genitals.
00:52:56.000Why in the- But it's all controversial.