After a relatively slow week, President Trump's nightmares come to life via Michael Cohen, Paul Manus heads for prison, and an illegal immigrant murders a college girl. All the news happened at exactly the same time yesterday, and we will sift through all of it for you because some big things happened yesterday with serious ramifications for the Trump presidency. But first, let s talk about your underwear, and Tommy John, the revolutionary clothing brand that is redefining comfort for Americans everywhere, including folks like me. Get 20% off your first order when you go to TommyJohn.com/ShoesOffShoes and use discount code: SHOPSHOP for 20% OFF. Shout out to our sponsor, TommyJohn, for sponsoring the show today! Ben Shapiro is the host of The Ben Shapiro Show on The FiveThirtyEight Radio Network and host of the Daily Wire. He is a regular contributor to The Weekly Standard, and is a frequent contributor to the New York Times, The Daily Wire, and the Wall Street Journal. His articles have been syndicated in The Hollywood Reporter, USA Today, and he is one of the most influential men in the conservative press in the world. If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and tell a friend about Ben Shapiro on social media by using the hashtag on Insta: and . if you like the show, tag BenShapiro on Instapod, and we'll send him a message! and he'll send you a tweet about it! ! Thanks, Ben Shapiro Thank you Ben Shapiro! Thanks to Ben Shapiro for all the love and support! - your continued support is so much Ben Shapiro, you're rockin' with Ben Shapiro's work, Ben's words are so much love, you'll get a chance to be featured on the next episode of The Daily Mail, The Five ThirtyEight Podcast, and I'll be back next week on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday, July 20th, July 25th, and Saturday, July 27th, August 9th, September 7th, 2020, and so on and so much so... Thanks Ben's back again, next week, next Tuesday, next Wednesday, November 21st, thank you, next Monday, etc., etc. - the next day, etc. Ben - Thank you so much, bye!
00:00:00.000President Trump's nightmares come to life via Michael Cohen, Paul Manafort heads for prison, and an illegal immigrant murders a college girl.
00:00:14.000Yesterday was basically drinking from a fire hose of news.
00:00:17.000So after a couple of relatively slow weeks, I say relatively because during the Trump presidency there is no such thing as an actual slow week.
00:00:23.000Relatively slow just means sort of by Trump standards.
00:00:26.000It turns out that all the news happened at exactly the same time yesterday and we will sift through all of it.
00:00:31.000We will analyze all of it for you because some big things happened yesterday with serious ramifications for the Trump presidency.
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00:01:41.000Okay, so, yesterday was a day, and today is another day, and things are happening at breakneck speed.
00:01:47.000So, as I mentioned, after the sort of summer lull which lasted approximately 37 seconds, every piece of news in the world hit at exactly the same time.
00:01:56.000Literally within minutes, we got verdicts coming in on the Paul Manafort indictment.
00:02:00.000Paul Manafort was found guilty on eight separate charges.
00:02:05.000And we had the Michael Cohen indictment that came down.
00:02:07.000He pled guilty to a variety of crimes, including, most importantly, crimes regarding campaign finance.
00:02:13.000Let's start with the Cohen stuff, because it's easy to talk about the Manafort stuff.
00:02:16.000The Manafort stuff basically has nothing to do with the president.
00:02:18.000There's some ramifications for the president, theoretically, but those are theoretical.
00:02:22.000Michael Cohen stuff is a lot more damaging to President Trump.
00:02:25.000Here is the direct section from the actual Michael Cohen indictment.
00:02:28.000It says, the United States attorney further charges
00:02:32.000The Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971, as amended, Title 52, U.S.
00:02:36.000Code Section 30101, regulates the influence of money on politics.
00:02:40.000At all times relevant to the information, the Election Act set forth the following limitations, prohibitions, and reporting requirements which were applicable to Michael Cohen, the defendant, Individual 1, and his campaign.
00:02:50.000Individual 1, in this case, would be President Trump, who was, of course, the guy who hired Michael Cohen
00:03:17.000$3,000 to Donald Trump, and he is not allowed to accept $3,000 from me.
00:03:22.000Corporations were prohibited from making contributions directly to presidential candidates.
00:03:25.000So if I start an LLC, and I give money directly to President Trump from that LLC, that's a problem, including expenditures coordinated with candidates or their committees, and candidates were prohibited from accepting corporate contributions.
00:03:36.000On or about June 16, 2015, Individual One began his presidential campaign.
00:03:41.000While Michael Cohen, the defendant, continued to work at the company and did not have a formal title with the campaign, he had a campaign email address and at various times advised the campaign, including on matters of interest to the press, and made televised and media appearances on behalf of the campaign.
00:03:55.000At all times relevant to this information, Corporation One was a media company that owns, among other things, a popular tabloid magazine, Magazine One.
00:04:02.000This magazine would be, presumably, the National Enquirer.
00:04:06.000In or about August 2015, the chairman and chief executive of Corporation One, this would be Chairman One, this would be David Pecker, who's the head of National Enquirer, in coordination with Michael Cohen, the defendant, and one or more members of the campaign, offered to help deal with negative stories about individual one's relationship with women by, among other things, assisting the campaign in identifying such stories so they could be purchased and their publication avoided.
00:04:29.000Chairman One, that's Pecker, agreed to keep Cohen apprised of any such negative stories.
00:04:32.000Consistent with the agreement described above,
00:04:36.000National Enquirer advised Michael Cohen, the defendant, of negative stories during the course of the campaign, and Cohen, with the assistance of the National Enquirer, was able to arrange for the purchase of two stories so as to suppress them and prevent them from influencing the election.
00:04:47.000First, in or about June 2016, a model and actress began attempting to sell her story of her alleged extramarital affair with individual one, that's Trump, that had taken place in 2006 and 2007, knowing the story would be of considerable value because of the election.
00:04:59.000She then retained an attorney, this is Stormy Daniels, who in turn contacted the editor-in-chief of the magazine and offered to sell Stormy Daniels' story to the magazine.
00:05:08.000At that point, David Pecker and the editor informed Michael Cohen, the defendant, of the story.
00:05:14.000At Cohen's urging and subject to Cohen's promise that the National Enquirer would be reimbursed, the editor of the National Enquirer ultimately began negotiating for the purchase of the story.
00:05:23.000On or about August 5th, 2016, the National Enquirer entered into an agreement with Stormy Daniels to acquire her limited life rights to the story of her relationship with any then-married man, which would mean Trump, in exchange for $150,000 and a commitment to feature her on two magazine covers and publish over 100 magazine articles authored by her.
00:05:39.000Despite the cover and article features to the agreement, its principal purpose, as understood by those involved, including Michael Cohen, the defendant, was to suppress Stormy Daniels' story so as to prevent it from influencing the election.
00:05:49.000Between in or about late August 2016 and September 2016, Michael Cohen agreed with the National Enquirer to assign the rights to the non-disclosure portion of that corporation agreement with Stormy Daniels to Cohen for $125,000.
00:06:00.000Cohen then incorporated a shell entity called Resolution Consultants LLC for use in the transaction.
00:06:07.000Both David Pecker and Cohen ultimately signed the agreement and a consultant for the National Enquirer using his own shell entity provided Cohen with an invoice for the payment of $125,000.
00:06:16.000However, in or about October 2016, after the assignment agreement was signed, but before Cohen had paid the $125,000, the National Enquirer contacted Cohen and told him, in substance, the deal was off and Cohen should tear up the assignment agreement.
00:06:29.000Cohen did not tear up the agreement, which was later found during a judicially authorized search of his office.
00:06:34.000Second, so I guess I'm sorry, that was with regard to Karen McDougal, not Stormy Daniels.
00:06:37.000Then we've got the Stormy Daniels story.
00:06:39.000Second, on or about October 8th, 2016, an agent for an adult film actress, that'd be Stormy Daniels, informed Editor One that she was willing to make public statements and confirm on the record her alleged past affair with Trump.
00:06:51.000The chairman and editor-in-chief of the National Enquirer then contacted Cohen and put him in touch with the attorney for Stormy Daniels.
00:06:57.000Over the course of the next few days, Cohen negotiated a $130,000 agreement with that attorney to himself purchase Stormy Daniels' asylum and received a signed confidential settlement agreement and a separate side letter from that attorney.
00:07:09.000Michael Cohen did not immediately execute the agreement, nor did he pay Stormy Daniels.
00:07:13.000On the evening of October 25th, 2016, with no deal with Stormy Daniels finalized, the attorney told the National Enquirer that Stormy Daniels was close to completing a deal with another outlet to make the story public.
00:07:23.000The National Enquirer texted Cohen that, quote,
00:07:31.000The National Enquirer then called Cohen through an encrypted telephone application.
00:07:34.000Cohen agreed to make the payment and then called the attorney to finalize the deal.
00:07:37.000The next day, Michael Cohen, the defendant, emailed an incorporating service to obtain the corporate formation and documents for another shell corporation, Essential Consultants LLC, which Cohen had incorporated a few days prior.
00:07:48.000Later that afternoon, Cohen drew down $130,000 from a fraudulently obtained home equity loan.
00:07:55.000Which he had obtained because he lied basically about his income.
00:07:58.000The next morning, Cohen went to the bank and wired approximately $130,000 from essential consultants to that attorney on the bank form to complete the wire.
00:08:05.000Cohen falsely indicated the purpose of the wire was a retainer.
00:08:08.000On or about November 1, 2016, Cohen received from the attorney copies of the final signed confidential agreement and side letter agreement.
00:08:15.000Michael Cohen, the defendant, caused and made the payments described herein in order to influence the 2016 presidential election.
00:08:20.000So all of this basically only matters if this was an attempt to influence the election, in which case it is considered a campaign expenditure.
00:08:27.000Now, this part of the indictment is the controversial part because there are folks who say, a former chair of the FEC has said this, as we discussed a little bit yesterday, a former chair of the FEC has stated that this is not actually a campaign contribution because it's more of a personal contribution.
00:09:28.000Neither Woman 1 or Woman 2, that'd be Karen McDougal or Stormy Daniels, spoke to the press prior to the election.
00:09:32.000In or about January 2017, Michael Cohen, in seeking reimbursement for election-related expenses, presented executives of the Trump company with a copy of a bank statement from the Essential Consultants bank account, which reflected the $130,000 payment Cohen had made to the bank account of Stormy Daniels in advance of the election.
00:09:49.000That's Cohen's kind of transaction fee.
00:10:04.000So he sent an executive of the Trump company those monthly invoices.
00:10:06.000It started listing off $35,000 for two months.
00:10:27.000Throughout 2017, according to the indictment, Michael Cohen sent to one or more representatives of the company monthly invoices which stated, During 2017, pursuant to the invoices described above, Michael Cohen, the defendant,
00:11:18.000So Andy McCarthy sums up at National Review, he says,
00:11:46.000What it looks like is that Donald Trump basically used Michael Cohen as a go-between in order to avoid campaign finance reporting, and then the question is going to be intent.
00:11:54.000Cohen has testified that Trump had full intent to violate campaign finance law.
00:11:59.000Now we'll talk about the consequences of that in just one second, what it means for President Trump, what it means for the possibility of impeachment, how this fits into past issues with regard to campaign finance law.
00:12:09.000But first, let's talk about your watches.
00:13:28.000And the essence of what this case is about is justice, and that is an equal playing field for all persons in the eyes of the law.
00:13:38.000And that is a lesson that Mr. Cohen learned today, and it is a very harsh one for him.
00:13:44.000So there's not actually a signed deal between Cohen to help the government in the Mueller investigation or with the Southern District of New York, for example.
00:13:53.000None of this has anything to do with Russia, obviously.
00:13:55.000And there are a lot of people today saying, well, the Democrats have been talking about Russia, Russia, Russia, Russia.
00:14:02.000So we'll talk about the level of the alleged crime here and what it actually means in just a second.
00:14:08.000But first, it's important to note that the credibility of this entire allegation is based on Michael Cohen.
00:14:12.000Is Michael Cohen a liar or is Michael Cohen not a liar?
00:14:15.000It's not helping his case that his lawyer, Lanny Davis, is out there basically trying to whore Michael Cohen to Robert Mueller.
00:14:21.000And making allegations that Michael Cohen has not testified to.
00:14:23.000So Michael Cohen has testified to the fact that President Trump instructed him to violate campaign finance law, but now Lanny Davis is out there trying to basically sell the story that Michael Cohen has information on Russia too.
00:14:35.000So now it looks like Michael Cohen is just spilling every bean he can find in an attempt to avoid further jail time.
00:14:41.000That does go to kind of public credibility with regards to this particular witness, who is not known as the most honest guy in the first place, which is probably why Trump hired him.
00:14:48.000Here's Lanny Davis, Michael Cohen's attorney.
00:14:51.000On just the crime of directing somebody to commit a crime, as you pointed out in your opening, it was a crime for President Trump to direct Michael Cohen to the crime of a campaign finance donation that exceeded the legal limitations.
00:15:09.000Why didn't President Trump do this himself?
00:15:12.000Why didn't he write or sign the check himself?
00:15:15.000Was he covering up because he knew that there was something wrong in what he was doing, so he directed his lawyer to do something that he didn't want anybody to know that he did.
00:15:26.000Okay, all of that is the dicey stuff, but then Lanny Davis goes on to suggest that maybe Michael Cohen will reverse his testimony and suggest that President Trump knew in advance about the Trump Tower meeting between members of his campaign and the Russian government to solicit information about Hillary Clinton.
00:15:39.000Well, Michael Cohen has already testified before members of Congress that Trump didn't know about any of that.
00:15:44.000So, was he lying then or is he lying now?
00:15:46.000This is one of the problems for this particular case against President Trump.
00:15:50.000The second problem is, of course, the question of whether this actually amounts to a campaign expenditure, which, as I mentioned before, is slightly dicey.
00:15:56.000And then the final problem is, if President Trump is in the habit of signing checks to women to shut them up,
00:16:03.000It's possible he's been doing it for years and years and years and years.
00:16:06.000If that's actually the case, and there's been this pipeline of him shutting down stories via the National Enquirer for years, it could easily not be a campaign expenditure.
00:16:13.000It could just be Trump likes to shut up women, and this is just the latest example of him attempting to shut up women.
00:16:18.000We're going to get to the Trump team's response to all of this in just a second.
00:16:22.000So here is how President Trump has responded to all of this.
00:16:25.000He had a series of tweets about Michael Cohen, as well as Paul Manafort.
00:18:26.000Okay, it's not a witch hunt when the guy was convicted of eight crimes.
00:18:29.000Now, you might say that the Mueller investigation on Russian collusion is in totality a witch hunt.
00:18:33.000I think there's an argument to be made on that score.
00:18:36.000I don't think there's an argument to be made that the prosecution of Paul Manafort is a witch hunt when he was actually convicted of eight crimes yesterday and will spend a plentiful amount of time in jail.
00:19:14.000If anyone is looking for a good lawyer, I would strongly suggest you don't retain the services of Michael Cohen, which is, indeed, the understatement of the year.
00:19:25.000Doesn't really explain why he employed him for a dozen years, but I think it is fair to say the president does not, in fact, hire the best people.
00:19:33.000Between Omarosa Manigault and Mike Flynn and Michael Cohen and Steve Bannon and Paul Manafort and pretty much everyone else who ever worked for the Trump administration or Team Trump, he does not hire the best people.
00:19:44.000Okay, so what does all of this mean in context?
00:19:48.000As I say, the defenses for President Trump in all of this are going to be kind of multifaceted.
00:19:54.000So defense number one is it's not a crime that I paid somebody off.
00:19:59.000So even if Michael Cohen pled guilty to a crime because he felt he had to plead guilty in order to mitigate the charges against him, that doesn't mean there's an actual crime here.
00:20:08.000There's no actual investigation into Trump doing this stuff at this time.
00:20:12.000So you can't get Trump on something that's not a crime.
00:20:14.000That is case number one being made by folks like Mark Levin.
00:20:16.000Case number two is that it's just a campaign finance violation.
00:20:20.000And in this context, people have been looking at past campaign finance violations and suggesting that none of this is a big deal when you compare it to past campaign finance violations.
00:20:29.000So John Fund over at National Review, for example, talks about the campaign finance violations that
00:22:33.000The consequences of other campaign finance violations have been relatively minimal.
00:22:38.000The Obama campaign was fined $375,000.
00:22:41.000John Edwards was tried in federal court but not convicted.
00:22:45.000The jury hung in that particular case.
00:22:47.000And then you have the Clinton-Chinagate situation in which multiple members of Team Clinton were actually convicted of crimes but it never elevated to the level of President Clinton.
00:22:56.000The difference between those cases and this is that in this case, Michael Cohen, the president's personal attorney, has testified under oath that the president of the United States ordered him, basically, to violate campaign finance law.
00:23:07.000Now, what does that mean for impeachment, for example?
00:23:32.000The president of the United States is probably impervious to federal indictment because he is the head of the executive branch.
00:23:37.000The Department of Justice exists under the executive branch.
00:23:40.000And it's very doubtful that the Department of Justice can try the president of the United States because the president can just fire whomever it is that is trying him.
00:23:48.000And the president may in fact have the power to pardon himself.
00:23:50.000It's a real hole in the Constitution, which is why impeachment was originally intended by the founders to be widely applied.
00:23:56.000The notion that impeachment was only going to be applied in the United States twice in American history.
00:24:03.000He resigned in advance of impeachment.
00:24:05.000It was only applied against Andrew Johnson after the Civil War, when radical Reconstructionist Republicans decided they didn't want him as president, basically.
00:24:12.000And then it was applied against Bill Clinton in 1998.
00:24:14.000Those are the only two times in American history a president has ever been impeached in the House of Representatives.
00:24:20.000Neither of them were convicted in the Senate.
00:24:22.000The idea of the founders was that impeachment was going to be broadly used.
00:24:27.000In the best of all possible worlds, we would use impeachment on a fairly regular basis, is the truth, because when presidents commit crimes, you would want Congress to check those crimes by impeaching the president or punishing him in some way.
00:24:37.000Unfortunately, the legislature in the United States has basically become a vestigial organ of government.
00:24:43.000They just toss all power over to the executive branch, and then they expect that maybe the president will be indicted or something.
00:24:48.000The president's not going to be indicted.
00:24:49.000The DOJ has rules in place that basically say the president is not to be indicted.
00:24:53.000Now, the president could still be subpoenaed.
00:24:55.000So, you could have a Southern District of New York
00:24:59.000investigation against President Trump, and they could subpoena him in order to get him to testify.
00:25:04.000That'd be a nightmare scenario for the president, because then he ends up in exactly the same position that Bill Clinton ended up in in the civil trial of Paula Jones, where he ends up committing perjury, and that is the basis for impeachment.
00:25:14.000Now, let's get to the impeachment question.
00:25:16.000So there are folks who are immediately saying that impeachment is on the table.
00:25:20.000Brett Stevens over at the New York Times, who of course is no fan of the president, he tweeted out that Trump should immediately be impeached based on these allegations.
00:25:27.000He says, I've been skeptical about the wisdom and merit of impeachment.
00:25:32.000The president is clearly guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors.
00:25:34.000He should resign his office or be impeached and removed from office.
00:25:38.000On the other side of the ledger, you have people like Andy McCarthy, and he says that this is really not an impeachable offense because it doesn't rise to the level of high crimes and misdemeanors.
00:25:57.000Here's Andy McCarthy's case at National Review.
00:25:59.000He says, this is with regard to the Clinton impeachment.
00:26:02.000He says, the further removed misconduct is from the core responsibilities of the president, the less political support there will be for the president's removal from office.
00:26:09.000This is critical because impeachment is a political remedy, not a legal one.
00:26:12.000So in other words, if the president of the United States uses the IRS to target political opponents,
00:26:16.000That is much more indicative of a president who deserves to be impeached than a president who committed a campaign finance violation, especially given the fact that campaign finance laws, I think on their face, are basically unconstitutional.
00:26:29.000McCarthy says, This is critical because impeachment is a political remedy, not a legal one.
00:26:33.000The way the framers designed the process, which requires just a simple House majority to file articles of impeachment but a two-third Senate supermajority for removal,
00:26:40.000No president will ever be removed from office absent misconduct egregious enough to spur a consensus for removal that cuts across partisan lines.
00:26:47.000Such misconduct would surely have to involve either A, an abuse of power involving core presidential powers or B, an extremely serious crime.
00:26:54.000And McCarthy says the conduct here is not of an egregious nature that rises to high crimes and misdemeanors.
00:26:59.000It is an infraction committed by many political candidates and often not even prosecuted.
00:27:04.000More to the point, it is remote from the core responsibilities of the presidency, implicating pre-election actions to conceal alleged indiscretions that occurred a decade earlier.
00:27:12.000And while the president has denied the indiscretions, it is not like the allegations come as any surprise to the public, who, while well aware of his flaws, elected Donald Trump nevertheless.
00:27:20.000That said, if the Democrats take the House, there's no question that this will be the basis for some sort of impeachment claim against the President of the United States.
00:27:27.000So we do have to ask the question, what distinguishes Bill Clinton's perjury charges from this particular case?
00:27:32.000What distinguishes a campaign finance violation from perjury?
00:27:35.000Well, you can make the argument that the perjurer is committed, well,
00:27:38.000Clinton was president, and all of this activity took place before Trump was president.
00:27:42.000That he basically committed the campaign violation before he was president, now he's president, he hasn't actually misused the powers of the presidency in order to do any of this stuff.
00:27:54.000There's also the case to be made that committing a campaign finance violation is not the same thing as lying under oath, which Trump has not done at this point.
00:28:00.000Which is one of the reasons why you could see a situation where Trump is subpoenaed
00:28:05.000is caught in a perjury trap, and then you have exactly the same situation as Bill Clinton, which is why this is sort of a nightmare scenario for Trump.
00:28:11.000All the people who voted for Bill Clinton's impeachment would then be forced to explain why Trumpian perjury is different from Clintonian perjury.
00:28:18.000Maybe they say that there's less underlying crime here, that it's not really a crime, whereas Clinton was trying to cover up for crime, but he committed perjury with regard to Monica Lewinsky.
00:28:27.000Remember, every single Democrat in the Senate voted not to convict President Clinton in 1998 because their case was, everybody lies about sex.
00:28:36.000Well, if your case is everybody lies about sex, what exactly do you think Trump was doing here?
00:28:40.000The entire case is that Donald Trump was basically lying about sex.
00:28:44.000So what we've seen is almost a platonic inversion of the natural consequences of actions.
00:28:50.000If this had happened to a Democrat, Republicans would be crying impeachment.
00:28:54.000If this happens to a Republican, Democrats will cry for impeachment.
00:28:58.000The truth is we have to come up with some sort of objective standard as to when impeachment is appropriate.
00:29:03.000I am not sure that we have reached that standard yet, given the fact that Michael Cohen is not the most reliable witness, given the fact that we are not sure whether or not this is a crime in totality, and most of all, given the fact that even if this was a crime, we're not sure whether it rises to the level of high crimes and misdemeanors at this point.
00:29:19.000That's not stopping the Democrats from celebrating inordinately.
00:29:22.000Kathy Griffin was out there celebrating in the most bizarre possible fashion.
00:29:25.000She released a video of herself dancing topless in front of a window.
00:29:30.000Honestly, when I first saw this, Kathy Griffin blocked me long ago on Twitter to my great fortune.
00:30:05.000And then, we get to find out whether an impeachment trial actually hurts an incumbent president in 2020, for example.
00:30:11.000It's also possible that the Trump base is so driven nuts by all of this talk that they show up en masse in 2018.
00:30:18.000It's also possible that this sort of takes the heart out of the Republican base because there's a feeling of incipient doom that sort of keeps people home in 2018 and 2020.
00:30:31.000My guess is that as allegations of corruption mount, people are starting to get tired.
00:30:36.000And the president is not doing a very good job of calming that sort of speculation.
00:30:41.000And also, there's a feeling that, okay, if the House Democrats get control and they impeach him, nothing's going to happen anyway because the Senate's not going to do anything about it.
00:30:48.000I'm going to talk a little bit more about what this means for 2018, plus another case that is really damaging to Republicans.
00:30:54.000It was a very bad day for Republicans yesterday.
00:30:56.000We'll talk about why in just a second.
00:30:58.000First, you're going to have to go over to dailywire.com.
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00:31:27.000This week we have on Clay Travis, the sports host who's become very controversial for his statements that he likes the First Amendment as well as breasts.
00:31:34.000Indeed, Clay Travis on the Sunday special.
00:31:37.000I'm Clay Travis, Fox Sports Radio and Outkick the Coverage.
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00:32:09.000So what are the electoral consequences of all of this?
00:32:12.000Well, every additional scandal from the Republican side just drives down the enthusiasm on the Republican side for getting out there to vote, and drives up the enthusiasm on the Democratic side.
00:32:23.000The proof in the pudding is 2006, when Republicans were running behind Democrats, fairly generically for a while, and then there was a scandal involving Mark Foley, who was a Republican congressperson from Florida, who it turns out had been getting it on with the pages.
00:32:37.000And that completely blew up and Democrats won like 60 seats.
00:32:40.000Well, now it turns out that Duncan Hunter, another Republican, has been caught up in a campaign finance violation.
00:32:46.000These ones are actually, I think, worse than the allegations about President Trump.
00:32:50.000According to Amber Phillips over at the Washington Post, federal prosecutors allege that Duncan Hunter and his wife stole $250,000 in campaign funds to do things like take their family to Italy and buy a three-piece luggage set for it, buy their kids school lunches, treat family and friends to hotel rooms and wine and golf,
00:33:11.000Apparently, when Hunter and his wife chatted with each other about how they were able to get cash from the campaign to spend on daily life, they allegedly said, quote,
00:33:27.000When Hunter told his wife he needed to buy my Hawaii shorts but he was out of money, she allegedly told him to buy them from a golf pro shop so he could claim they were actually golf balls for wounded warriors.
00:33:37.000When the water utility company threatened to turn off their water, Margaret Hunter allegedly spent $300 in campaign funds to pay the bill.
00:33:43.000And then she allegedly spent $152 on makeup at Nordstrom and told the campaign it was a gift basket item for the Boys and Girls Clubs of San Diego.
00:33:54.000And Duncan Hunter, of course, is one of the first Congress people to endorse President Trump for the presidency.
00:33:58.000None of this is going to benefit Republicans going into the election.
00:34:01.000Now, the overwhelming feeling of corruption and dirt that this is the swamp, it's not going to be good for the president of the United States.
00:34:08.000Now, is this really going to move President Trump's approval ratings one way or another?
00:34:28.000It's not just about the approval rating for a president who's basically set in stone.
00:34:32.000It is also about whether people go out and vote in 2018 in order to save President Trump.
00:34:37.000You know, these approval ratings polls do not measure public enthusiasm.
00:34:40.000There's a sort of crisis mentality that I think people are trying to drive into Republicans, that if they don't stand up with Trump right now, then Trump will be impeached.
00:34:48.000But it's hard to make that case at the same time that a lot of the Republican Congress people are being swept up in corruption allegations.
00:34:55.000I don't know how motivated Republicans are to get out to vote.
00:34:57.000There are a lot of folks who love President Trump who are motivated, but I think the folks in the middle are not.
00:35:00.000Now, it's important to remember, folks,
00:35:02.000And this is why Republicans should still go out to vote.
00:35:05.000That all of politics does not, in fact, revolve around President Trump.
00:35:08.000That if Democrats take the House of Representatives, they're going to pass a bunch of horrible, horrible legislation.
00:35:12.000They're going to launch investigations, not only into President Trump, but into a lot of causes you hold dear.
00:35:17.000They're going to attempt to crack down on religious freedom.
00:35:19.000They're going to attempt to blow out the spending.
00:35:22.000They're going to attempt to reverse all of the anti-regulatory policies of the Trump administration.
00:35:28.000Losing the House to the Democrats on the basis of these allegations with regard to President Trump has ramifications that far exceed the impact on President Trump, which is why Republicans should still go out to vote.
00:35:39.000But there's no question that all of this is depressing for Republicans, and we'll have to see how all of it plays out.
00:35:44.000It's also possible that Mueller drops his full report before the election in November.
00:35:49.000There were reports that were coming out today that he was going to drop his full report in October.
00:35:53.000And depending on what's in there, that could depress turnouts still further.
00:35:56.000And there are wages to a president who surrounds himself with people who are not good.
00:36:32.000Does Michael Cohen try to spill the beans on other stuff or make stuff up?
00:36:36.000But suffice it to say, this is going to lead to at least a year-long news cycle that is not beneficial to the president, completely separate from the Russia stuff.
00:36:43.000I was talking to some folks who work with the White House yesterday, and the attitude at the White House is not one of confidence.
00:36:50.000It is one of, they can't, they don't know where the next shoe is gonna drop.
00:36:53.000Now, there are a lot of folks on the right who are saying, witch hunt, witch hunt, everything is a witch hunt.
00:36:58.000Some of this may indeed be a witch hunt.
00:36:59.000Some of this may indeed be an overstepping of boundaries by the Mueller investigation.
00:37:03.000It is also true that if you schtup a, if you schtup a porn star and then you pay her $130,000 through an election by funneling it through your corrupt fixer,
00:37:23.000The Democrats, this just shows why elections have consequences and why Republicans should still get out to vote.
00:37:29.000The most horrible story of the day yesterday actually had nothing to do with the President of the United States or Michael Cohen or Paul Manafort.
00:37:36.000The most horrible story of the day had to do with Mollie Tibbetts.
00:37:38.000So Mollie Tibbetts was a young woman who was missing, I guess, in Iowa.
00:37:46.000She was abducted in around the 1900 block of 385th Avenue over in Iowa.
00:37:53.000And it turns out the person who abducted her and murdered her was apparently an illegal immigrant.
00:37:58.000Here's the story from the Des Moines Register.
00:38:00.000They say, an undocumented immigrant is in custody charged with first-degree murder in the Molly Tibbetts investigation.
00:38:05.000Christian Bejina-Rivera, 24, has been in the area for four to seven years.
00:38:09.000Charges were filed in the Peweshik County Court.
00:38:10.000He's being held on a $1 million cash bond.
00:38:13.000Tibbetts was reported missing July 19th, according to a criminal complaint.
00:38:16.000Shortly after her disappearance, investigators collected video footage from the east side of Brooklyn from the evening of July 18th.
00:38:22.000The video showed Tibbetts running around Boundary and Middle Streets outside of Brooklyn when a black Chevy Malibu drove in the area around 7.45 p.m.
00:38:30.000The footage shows the vehicle, driven by Rivera, going back and forth in the area, according to the criminal complaint.
00:38:34.000Officers pulled this illegal immigrant in for questioning Monday when he admitted to making contact with a female running in Brooklyn and that he pursued her to an area east of town in Poitiac County, according to the criminal complaint.
00:38:45.000Rivera told officials he exited his vehicle and started running behind her and alongside her.
00:38:49.000Tibbetts then grabbed her phone and told him she was going to call the police.
00:38:52.000He then told officials he got mad, panicked, and blocked his memory, which happens when he gets very upset, according to the criminal complaint.
00:38:58.000He then abducted her and apparently murdered her.
00:39:00.000He told officials he made a U-turn, drove to the entrance of a field, pulled into a driveway, drove into a cornfield.
00:39:05.000He then realized he had earpieces in his lap, which made him realize Tibbetts was in the trunk.
00:39:10.000Uh, they would not confirm whether the woman was alive or dead when she was inside the trunk.
00:39:15.000Rivera told officials he pulled her out of the trunk, found blood on the side of her head.
00:39:18.000He then dragged Tibbetts to a secluded location in the cornfield.
00:39:21.000He told officials he put her over his shoulder, took her 20 meters into the cornfield, and covered her with some cornstalks, and then left her.
00:39:28.000All of this is deeply, deeply horrifying stuff.
00:39:31.000She was 20 years old, murdered while jogging.
00:39:34.000And this, of course, has become a national news story because the person who did it was an illegal immigrant who apparently passed an E-Verify check, because you can pass E-Verify by using a fake social security number.
00:39:44.000President Trump was speaking at a rally last night.
00:39:46.000This is why he still has loyalty of a lot of his base, because when it comes to issues like illegal immigration, the president takes that stuff seriously where Democrats do not.
00:39:54.000And you saw what happened to that incredible, beautiful young woman.
00:40:17.000Okay, Mollie Ivins, who is the, sorry, not Mollie Ivins, rather, Elizabeth Warren was talking about Mollie Tibbetts.
00:40:26.000And Elizabeth Warren responded to the Mollie Tibbetts situation basically by saying that we need more rights for undocumented immigrants and then this stuff never would have happened.
00:40:34.000I'm so sorry for the family here, and I know this is hard, not only for the family, but for the people in her community, the people throughout Iowa.
00:40:44.000But one of the things we have to remember is we need an immigration system that is effective, that focuses on where real problems are.
00:40:52.000I think we need immigration laws that focus on people who pose a real threat, and I don't think mamas and babies
00:41:05.000Okay, what this has to do with anything is beyond me, but this is why people take President Trump seriously on illegal immigration.
00:41:13.000They do not take Democrats seriously on illegal immigration.
00:41:15.000And when Democrats express a lot of sympathy for victims of illegal immigrants, it's a rarity.
00:41:22.000There was an MSNBC guest yesterday talking about Fox News will only pay attention to this case because it's an illegal immigrant.
00:41:29.000Well Fox News is talking about, you know, a girl in Iowa and not this, right?
00:41:34.000And tomorrow morning we know who will wake up and tweet and sort of, you know, besmirch the reputation of Michael Cohen and all the people around him and really go back to Mueller.
00:41:41.000And this is obviously going to boil down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
00:42:26.000I just started watching the show, Billions, and it's on Showtime.
00:42:31.000I guess they just completed season three.
00:42:33.000I've only seen the first couple of episodes, but it's really juicy, and it's really purple, and it's really great.
00:42:38.000So it's Paul Giamatti and Damian Lewis, and basically them trying to outact one another.
00:42:43.000Basically, Paul Giamatti plays a sort of Elliot Spitzer figure, a go-getter attorney, district attorney in New York, who's attempting to get an insider trader, Damian Lewis, a charismatic inside trader.
00:43:21.000When did it become a crime to succeed in this country?
00:43:24.000Everyone has access to the information, we just know how to analyze it better.
00:43:28.000Okay, so it's great, it's fast-paced, it's really well-written, and it's a lot of fun to watch.
00:43:32.000It's really over-the-top, so if that's your sort of thing, go for it.
00:43:44.000Pay attention, really, to the first 30 seconds of the show.
00:43:46.000Like, the opening of the show is basically an S&M scene, and I have to say, it does remind you that people are super weird.
00:43:52.000Basically, the show opens with a pee tape, and you wonder why any... I just have... Like, I understand, you know, whatever floats your boat, but I just wonder why some things float people's boat.
00:44:06.000In any case, you can check out that show.
00:44:08.000It's fun to watch and well worth watching.
00:44:09.000Okay, time for a couple of things that I hate.
00:44:14.000There's a church in California that is now being promoted by, I think, NowThis.
00:44:19.000And NowThis will basically promote any fringe phenomenon they can find.
00:44:23.000There's a church that apparently combines Sunday worship with beers on tap, talks about how Jesus was apparently a person of color, which is real weird, and also talks about why they're going to donate proceeds to Planned Parenthood.
00:44:35.000So it's not really a church, it's more of just
00:44:39.000A bunch of atheists getting together and pretending that they care about their own version of Jesus who didn't exist historically and does not exist in the Bible.
00:44:46.000But now this celebrates this because this is the diversity of religion or some such.
00:44:52.000We are feminist, and I believe Jesus was too.
00:44:55.000We are environmentalist, which I believe that's the original mandate of the children of God to take care of the planet that we all know and enjoy.
00:45:03.000We are anti-war, which I believe Jesus was too.
00:45:06.000We are all for racial justice, which Jesus was a Palestinian Jewish rabbi.
00:45:13.000That was killed by white supremacy, so we're usually making every effort to be on the front lines for racial justice.
00:45:20.000So that's what sets us apart from many American churches.
00:45:24.000We found an awesome spot, consequently happened to be right below Planned Parenthood in Santa Cruz, which we adore and support their efforts for giving health care to women.
00:45:34.000I love that now this always plays this kind of meaningful guitar music under people saying the stupidest possible nonsense they can possibly find.
00:47:07.000He's a transgender woman, which is to say, a biological male, and cut a video in defense of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who requires white knighting, apparently, because I challenged Ocasio-Cortez to a debate.
00:47:22.000They keep coming back to the idea that I did something deeply wrong in offering a discussion on the Sunday special or debate to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
00:47:29.000As I've said many times, all she had to say was, nah, not interested.
00:47:31.000That would have been the end of it, pretty much.
00:47:33.000Instead, she decided to call me a sexist.
00:47:35.000Riley Dentist... Riley Dennis, who is... I think it's fair to say that it might be more sexist to adopt all of the stereotypically feminine attributes and call yourself a woman than to say to a woman, can we have a discussion about politics?
00:47:48.000Riley Dennis says that it was me engaging in sexism, and he would know as a woman.
00:47:54.000The reason we're talking about this is because recently some conservative a**hole on the internet demanded that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez debate him.
00:48:02.000Apparently I'm allowed to just demand that politicians debate me now.
00:48:05.000I guess that's how this works all of a sudden.
00:48:17.000Okay, so let's continue with this volitionist.
00:48:19.000If you ever see anyone disagree with you, even if they're incredibly busy public figures or politicians, you are entitled to a debate with them.
00:48:26.000If they ignore your request for a debate, they're a coward.
00:48:28.000Do you see how ridiculous that sounds?
00:48:30.000Imagine if I now went on a Twitter tirade and published a sh**ton of articles demanding that someone debate me.
00:48:50.000It is amazing the lengths to which the left will go to suggest that even asking for... So if I don't ask for a conversation, it's because I'm dismissive.
00:48:57.000If I do ask for a conversation, it's because I'm sexist.
00:48:59.000And the person telling me I'm a sexist is a biological man who believes he is a woman.
00:50:00.000The part of this that's interesting is the idea that you have to demonstrate vulnerability before God.
00:50:05.000So it's very difficult for people who tend to be prideful, and I'm one of them, to demonstrate vulnerability before God, to ask things of God.
00:50:13.000And when you do ask things of God, what you're basically doing is you're accepting His authority.
00:50:16.000You're accepting that you are not in charge of the world and that God is in charge of the world.
00:50:20.000And so pouring out your pain before Him isn't self-indulgent.
00:50:22.000It's actually a recognition that God is the source of all things.
00:50:27.000And so to recognize that is the first step toward making yourself better.
00:50:31.000I think that much of prayer is not even dedicated toward, you know, quote unquote, changing God's mind.
00:50:36.000It's much more dedicated toward changing you and your attitude toward God.
00:50:40.000Demonstrating vulnerability toward God is the same as demonstrating vulnerability toward anyone else.
00:50:45.000In doing so, you're opening yourself up to being hurt.
00:50:48.000But if you do that with God, then you're demonstrating a fulsome trust in Him that is well worthwhile and warranted.
00:50:53.000Okay, we'll be back here tomorrow with all the latest.