The Ben Shapiro Show - August 25, 2023


Mugshot Of The Century

Topics
mugshot of Trump Fulton County Jail conditions Donald Trump arrest Happy and Ruff Greens debate viewership DeSantis debate performance Sam Harris political performance migrant crisis
Hosted by
Ben Shapiro
Mentioned
Donald Trump Joe Biden Sam Harris Hunter Biden Adam SpaceX Hillary Clinton Vladimir Putin Ron DeSantis Ruff Greens Elon Musk Yevgeny Prigozhin Rachel Maddow Doug Burgum Tim Scott Turnout Martin Luther King Don Trump Jr. Innovation Refunds Brett Kavanaugh and 27 more
WHO WON FIGHT NIGHT #1? Will Bernie Run?

Episode Stats


Length

56 minutes

Words per minute

207.73

Word count

11,692

Sentence count

851

Harmful content

Misogyny

30

sentences flagged

Toxicity

48

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Donald J. Trump's mug shot is out, and it's destined to be the most famous mug shot in the history of humanity. It's a win for Trump, because it's a giant imagistic win for him. And it's an even bigger win for the left because it was supposed to be some sort of big win for them, and they finally got him. They finally, finally, the frog marching in the ha- the mug shot of Trump is out and it will be a giant, giant, massive victory for the far-left, because Trump has been on camera since he was about 20 years old, and he knows how to take a picture. And that's what this mugshot does: it gives Trump the appearance of somebody who is bravely standing up to forces that are going after him, and the goal here is to look as though he is the face of doom coming for his enemies. And that s what it looks like in this mug shot, because that's exactly what it's going to convey: I'm coming for my enemies and your enemies are my enemies, and that's why he's already trotting it out on t-shirts with the slogan "I'm Coming For My Enemies" on them. And when it comes to the Georgia indictment, as we've discussed in this episode, Fannie Willis is spinning up a theory that doesn't make a whole hell of a lot of sense. She could have charged Donald Trump for conspiracy to commit a crime, but she couldn't identify the crime, because she can't actually identify the conspiracy involved. And so she's not even charge him with a crime. She can't even be charged with a RICO, which is an RICO charge, right? What are we're talking about? And she's just not dedicated to actually committing a crime? she's dedicated to a variety of crimes, is she dedicated to running a racketeering organization dedicated to protecting money? And then you wrap it up in between a big ball and then wrap it in between the crimes? And so there's no evidence that she doesn't have any actual crimes that she's stuck in between like that level of crime, and then she does something that doesn t have a big enough to prosecute everybody else in between? And there are no evidence of what she's committed a crime that she does that? What were they were dedicated to? And so, what are you gonna do with all the crimes they were committed?

Transcript

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00:00:00.000 Well, it will be the most trafficked photo in the history of planet Earth because social media is so ubiquitous.
00:00:06.000 President Donald J. Trump yesterday, he went to the Fulton County Jailhouse where he was arrested.
00:00:11.000 He was fingerprinted.
00:00:13.000 They took his picture.
00:00:14.000 The mugshot is now out.
00:00:15.000 It's destined to be the most famous mugshot certainly in the history of humanity.
00:00:19.000 It's a, um, I will say that it is a win for Trump to have his mugshot taken.
00:00:24.000 I know it was supposed to be some sort of big win for the left.
00:00:27.000 They finally got him.
00:00:28.000 They finally, the frog marching in the ha- So here's the thing about Trump and imagistics.
00:00:34.000 Trump is a meme.
00:00:35.000 He is a walking, living, breathing meme. 0.70
00:00:37.000 Everything he does is memeable.
00:00:39.000 He is made for TV.
00:00:40.000 He is made for the internet.
00:00:42.000 He has changed our age because of that.
00:00:44.000 And so Donald Trump also happens to be a person who's been consistently on camera since the time he was about 20 years old.
00:00:49.000 He is currently almost 80.
00:00:51.000 So 60 long years of being in the public eye and of having your picture took means that dude knows how to take a picture.
00:00:57.000 And the mugshot of Trump, again, it is such a big, I have to say, it's a giant imagistic win for him because we know that he was going to be arrested.
00:01:04.000 It's not as though no one knew he was arrested.
00:01:06.000 It's not as though it was a shock dawning on the American people that Donald Trump is under indictment in four separate jurisdictions.
00:01:11.000 We've known about all of this for months.
00:01:13.000 What the mugshot does, especially this particular mugshot, is it gives Trump the appearance of somebody who is bravely standing up to forces that are going after him.
00:01:23.000 And again, his image here actually conveys all of that because Donald Trump is phenomenal on camera.
00:01:30.000 And whatever else you can say about the guy, the dude was a TV star for decades.
00:01:34.000 And I promise you, he knows what he looks like on camera.
00:01:37.000 There is zero chance that before he did this mugshot, he didn't sit with his team and say, OK, what expression should I use in the mugshot since it's going to be the most trafficked photo of me ever?
00:01:46.000 What expression should I use?
00:01:47.000 Because this is a pitch perfect thing.
00:01:49.000 I mean, just from a theatrical perspective, the mugshot of Donald Trump for Trump's purposes is pitch perfect.
00:01:55.000 He doesn't look as though he's afraid or concerned or anxious.
00:02:00.000 He doesn't even look, I would say, angry.
00:02:04.000 He looks determined, right?
00:02:05.000 I mean, that is the goal here, is to look as though he is the face of doom coming for his enemies.
00:02:10.000 And that's what it looks like.
00:02:11.000 I mean, if you flash that back up there, that is exactly what Donald Trump looks like in this mugshot.
00:02:16.000 And this is what he is going to convey for the rest of the campaign, is I'm coming for my enemies and your enemies are my enemies.
00:02:23.000 There's a reason why he's already trotting it out on the mugs.
00:02:26.000 There's a reason why he's already trotting it out on the t-shirts.
00:02:30.000 The cash machines at the Trump headquarters are going to just be going nonstop today.
00:02:36.000 And when it comes to the Georgia indictment, as we've discussed, Fannie Willis is actually spinning up something that doesn't make a whole hell of a lot of legal sense.
00:02:44.000 She could have charged Donald Trump for conspiracy to commit some sort of crime, right?
00:02:48.000 That's an actual crime in Georgia.
00:02:49.000 If you have a conspiracy to go rob a bank, a conspiracy to rob the bank is an actual crime.
00:02:55.000 The problem is she can't actually identify the crime that the conspiracy involved.
00:03:00.000 A conspiracy to challenge election results is not a conspiracy to commit a crime because you're allowed to challenge election results.
00:03:06.000 So she couldn't charge him with that.
00:03:08.000 So she decided instead that she was going to go for a RICO charge.
00:03:10.000 Now, a RICO charge means an ongoing criminal organization dedicated to a variety of criminal activities.
00:03:17.000 The problem is, what are the variety of criminal activities that the organization was dedicated to?
00:03:21.000 Normally, when you have some sort of mafia organization, they're dedicated to things like prostitution or like prohibition era Alcohol running or drugs or, you know, any other variety of protection money, right?
00:03:34.000 That is what the criminal organization is dedicated to.
00:03:36.000 And then you wrap everybody up in a big ball and then you prosecute everybody together because you want to make sure that the leaders are held responsible for what their lower downs are doing.
00:03:43.000 But in this particular case, was there an actual criminal organization surrounding Trump dedicated to criming?
00:03:48.000 What were, what criming?
00:03:50.000 Like, what are the crimes they were dedicated to?
00:03:53.000 And so she's stuck in the in between.
00:03:54.000 She doesn't like what Trump did.
00:03:56.000 There are people on low level who may have committed actual crimes, but there's no clear evidence that Trump actually told them to do those things.
00:04:04.000 And there's no evidence that Trump himself committed a crime.
00:04:07.000 And so what you have here is her basically living in the space between conspiracy.
00:04:11.000 And Rico.
00:04:12.000 And she's trying to basically bridge that gap with ire about January 6th.
00:04:17.000 That's essentially what this indictment comes down to.
00:04:19.000 So let's talk about how this whole thing went down yesterday.
00:04:22.000 So Trump, again, he's very good at drama.
00:04:24.000 This is why he was the president.
00:04:26.000 It's why he may be the president again.
00:04:28.000 He released a personal note just before he showed up in Georgia for the arrest.
00:04:33.000 And it said this, today I will be going to the notoriously violent jail in Fulton County, Georgia where I will be arrested despite having committed no crime.
00:04:40.000 Isn't it interesting that I went my entire life without ever getting arrested?
00:04:43.000 But suddenly out of nowhere, once I decided to run for president as a political outsider and fight for the forgotten citizens of our country, I get arrested four times within the span of five months.
00:04:50.000 Not only that, a judge has ruled that today's spectacle may be televised for the entire world to see.
00:04:54.000 The American people know what's going on.
00:04:56.000 There's a punishment handed down from the deep state for daring to challenge the status quo and give a voice to the silent majority.
00:05:02.000 The left wants to intimidate you out of voting for a political outsider who puts the American people first.
00:05:06.000 But today, I'm walking into the lion's den with one simple message on behalf of our entire movement.
00:05:10.000 I will never surrender our mission to save America.
00:05:13.000 When I walk into the jail to get wrongfully arrested, I will not cower, I will not sulk, I will stand tall and remain resolute in our mission to save America.
00:05:18.000 And that's, again, Dude is great at pictures.
00:05:21.000 That picture is the resolute face for Trump, right?
00:05:24.000 And if you see me on TV during my sham arrest, just remember, you are the source of my courage, my hope, and my resolve to save our country.
00:05:29.000 If you're doing poorly due to the sinister people in control of our country right now, don't even think about donating, but if you can, please make a contribution to save America during this dark chapter in our nation's history.
00:05:38.000 That is brilliant marketing.
00:05:39.000 It's really, really smart.
00:05:41.000 Okay, it is, it is, again, It is emotive.
00:05:46.000 It is empathetic.
00:05:47.000 I mean, even at the very end where he drops like, if you can't afford it because you're suffering under Joe Biden, don't give it to my campaign.
00:05:52.000 But if you can, then give it to my campaign.
00:05:55.000 And there is something to the baseline idea, obviously, that dude wasn't arrested for his entire career.
00:06:02.000 And then the minute he walks out of the office and just before the election, suddenly have four indictments ring down on him as though he's in the middle of a summer storm in South Florida.
00:06:12.000 So that is a very strong pitch from President Trump.
00:06:15.000 And ironically, that pitch was actually exacerbated by Joe Biden.
00:06:20.000 So everybody knew that Donald Trump was supposed to show up for the arrest at 7.30 p.m.
00:06:24.000 last night, Eastern Time.
00:06:25.000 He was supposed to show up in Fulton County Courthouse to be arrested at exactly that time.
00:06:29.000 So at exactly that time, at exactly that time, 7.30 p.m.
00:06:33.000 last night, Joe Biden tweeted out, apropos of nothing, I think today's a great day to give to my campaign.
00:06:41.000 Those are real bad optics.
00:06:43.000 Those are truly bad optics.
00:06:45.000 The entire case here is that the Democratic Party infrastructure is going after Donald Trump to make Joe Biden president.
00:06:51.000 So at the exact time that Trump is showing up to be arrested, you tweet out, come support my campaign.
00:06:58.000 You want to say this isn't a political prosecution, and then you're tweeting out as the arrest is happening, not, this is a sad day for our country, the rule of law must be upheld.
00:07:07.000 You're not tweeting that out, you're tweeting out a campaign link.
00:07:09.000 I mean, guys, you're saying the quiet part out loud here, and you're saying it really, really, really loudly.
00:07:14.000 Now, there's another side to that, which is that Joe Biden pretty clearly wants Donald Trump to be the nominee because he thinks he can beat Donald Trump because he beat Donald Trump in 2020.
00:07:21.000 He thinks that Donald Trump, his performance in 2020, plus four indictments means he loses.
00:07:27.000 Now, Biden may be wrong about that.
00:07:29.000 He certainly could be.
00:07:31.000 But it's pretty obvious that Biden would both like Donald Trump to be indicted multiple times in order to degrade his candidacy.
00:07:37.000 And also, he certainly doesn't mind if Donald Trump is the nominee, because the polls show that Donald Trump is not running amazingly well against a deeply unpopular president of the United States.
00:07:48.000 Right now, Donald Trump's own approval ratings are lower than Joe Biden's approval ratings.
00:07:52.000 So Biden both wants Trump indicted and also wants him elevated in the Republican primaries.
00:07:56.000 But that tweet is so Gross. 0.90
00:07:59.000 I mean, that's a disgusting tweet, really. 0.91
00:08:01.000 Your political opponent's getting arrested by people who are of your political party, on charges that are basically spurious, and you are tweeting out, apropos of nothing, I think today's a great day to give to my campaign, and sort of blithe, oh yeah, by the way, this is all political.
00:08:18.000 Unreal stuff.
00:08:19.000 We'll get to more on this in just one second.
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00:09:24.000 Okay, fine.
00:09:24.000 So, the folks at CNN, They were pretty giddy over yesterday because the spectacle of a person they absolutely despise showing up at the Fulton County Jailhouse to turn himself in is one of their favorites.
00:09:37.000 Fulton County Jail is not a pleasant place to be.
00:09:39.000 You do not want to be there.
00:09:40.000 It is not a courthouse.
00:09:42.000 We've been informed by one of our own producers, whose name rhymes with savvy, that she spent some time at the Fulton County Jailhouse at one point.
00:09:52.000 Because of her deep and abiding criminal history, we here at The Daily Wire, we tried to reach out to the underprivileged who have had arrest records, which is why Savvy works here.
00:09:59.000 But Savvy had to spend some time at the Fulton County Jail.
00:10:04.000 And for the record, guys, she was there basically by mistake.
00:10:08.000 She ended up having her arrest expunged.
00:10:10.000 She was also in a spot. 0.93
00:10:12.000 But she described the place and apparently it is just a garbage heap.
00:10:15.000 CNN described the place also. 0.99
00:10:16.000 They also say that it is a garbage heap, but they're real excited because that means that Donald Trump has to walk into a garbage heap. 0.92
00:10:22.000 Mr. Trump will be booked at the Fulton County Jail. 0.97
00:10:25.000 It's a jail known for rather deplorable conditions including inmate deaths and excessive force and a prison population that is more than double the amount it was designed to hold.
00:10:38.000 Four people have lost their lives there in just the past few weeks.
00:10:42.000 Anybody connected to the criminal justice system in the Atlanta area knows that if you're ever told you gotta go down to Rice Street, brace yourself because it's gonna be horrible.
00:10:51.000 We can give you some details on this place now.
00:10:53.000 Fulton County Jail is the formal name.
00:10:55.000 It is known as Rice Street because of its address.
00:10:58.000 It opened in 1989, but almost immediately after it opened, it was overcrowded, had deplorable conditions, and was just, you know, just a horrible place to be.
00:11:07.000 Just last month, I've never seen someone so excited about terrible jailhouses.
00:11:18.000 Somebody get that dude a paper bag, because he is really, really excited.
00:11:22.000 He's like, you know how many people died at Fulton County Jailhouse?
00:11:25.000 And Trump's showing up there next?
00:11:29.000 Now, the media, again, I don't think that this is going to go for them exactly as they wish it to go.
00:11:35.000 Rachel Maddow also covered the arrest and, again, tried to be more in sorrow than an anger routine, but it did not succeed.
00:11:44.000 Officially, as of now, Donald Trump is under arrest in the state of Georgia.
00:11:49.000 We had confirmation earlier that he had entered the jail, and as of right now, former President Trump is in custody.
00:11:55.000 He has been arrested.
00:11:57.000 landmark moment and as I said before, for all the worst reasons.
00:12:01.000 Oh, it's just, oh, I don't believe you, Rachel. I just don't.
00:12:08.000 You seem very upset.
00:12:09.000 You seem super, super, super upset.
00:12:10.000 So he was booked on 13 counts, stemming from the efforts to reverse the Georgia 2020 election certification.
00:12:17.000 He was wearing a dark blue suit and a red tie.
00:12:19.000 He arrived at the Fulton County Jail around 7.30 p.m.
00:12:23.000 And jail records listed him, this part, there were actual betting markets on what he was going to be listed at for his weight, but that was assuming he was actually going to be weighed.
00:12:29.000 Here's one thing that is not true.
00:12:30.000 He was listed at six foot three inches tall and weighing 215 pounds.
00:12:35.000 Donald Trump is not 215 pounds.
00:12:37.000 Donald Trump, during his last physical in office, clocked in at 240.
00:12:40.000 He is significantly heavier than he was when he left office.
00:12:44.000 6'3", 215, he should be playing tight end for the Baltimore Ravens.
00:12:48.000 Like, that's not... But, bottom line is, he was released on $200,000 bail, and then he strolled out to the cameras and did what he does best.
00:12:57.000 The dude is great on camera.
00:12:58.000 He really is, and he knows how to play it.
00:13:00.000 Here we go.
00:13:01.000 I really believe this is a very sad day for America.
00:13:04.000 This should never happen.
00:13:05.000 If you challenge an election, you should be able to challenge an election.
00:13:09.000 I thought the election was a rigged election, a stolen election.
00:13:13.000 And I should have every right to do that.
00:13:14.000 As you know, you have many people that you've been watching over the years do the same thing, whether it's Hillary Clinton or Stacey Abrams or many others.
00:13:22.000 When you have that great freedom to challenge, you have to be able to.
00:13:27.000 Otherwise, you're going to have very dishonest elections.
00:13:29.000 What has taken place here is a travesty of justice.
00:13:32.000 We did nothing wrong.
00:13:33.000 I did nothing wrong.
00:13:34.000 And everybody knows it.
00:13:35.000 I've never had such support.
00:13:40.000 And he went on along these lines for another 20 seconds, then he walked away.
00:13:44.000 Again, for Donald Trump, this may be the best day of his campaign.
00:13:48.000 Honest to God, yesterday, today, these are going to be the best days of his campaign because it is so obviously political in Georgia, and it's so obviously political to mugshot the guy in the first place.
00:13:56.000 Again, Georgia state law does not require a mugshot if you are a well-known figure who has taken a recent photo.
00:14:03.000 Georgia state law requires everybody to get a mugshot unless we have a, you know, recent photo of you.
00:14:07.000 Well, I mean, I feel like we have some recent photos of Donald J. Trump.
00:14:10.000 I feel like that's the case.
00:14:11.000 So they were being vindictive in going after him with the mugshot, and he completely reversed it on them with what is going to be an iconic photo of him.
00:14:20.000 I mean, it is an iconic photo.
00:14:23.000 There are a few iconic sort of mugshots in American history.
00:14:26.000 You got the very famous Frank Sinatra mugshot.
00:14:30.000 You have in sort of political terms, you have the Martin Luther King mugshot.
00:14:34.000 In Hollywood terms, you have multiple Lindsay Lohan mugshots, and then you have, obviously, Donald Trump's mugshot.
00:14:40.000 And as I say, just on a pure theatrical level, that mugshot is great for him.
00:14:46.000 It is a great image for him.
00:14:47.000 In just one second, we're going to get to what this means for, you know, the Republican nomination process.
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00:15:55.000 Okay, so what does all of this mean?
00:15:57.000 Well, first of all, it means that Donald Trump is going to be spending, like, the next year and a half in various courthouses.
00:16:04.000 Right now, his proposed trial on Georgia election interference is supposed to begin October 23rd.
00:16:10.000 They want to start it, like, forthwith.
00:16:12.000 One of his other co-defendants has already been charged and will start his trial on October 23rd.
00:16:17.000 Presumably, Trump will try to push that into the middle of next year, at the very least.
00:16:22.000 When it comes to the Mar-a-Lago classified documents case, that is already slated to start May 20th of next year, just before the conventions at the tail end of the primaries.
00:16:32.000 His Manhattan D.A.
00:16:34.000 case, the one about Stormy Daniels, that one is slated to begin March 25th, which is literally the day before Super Tuesday.
00:16:40.000 So all of this is pretty obviously, when he says it's election interference, I mean, yeah, it pretty clearly is.
00:16:46.000 And when it comes to the January 6th case that was filed in Washington, D.C., we are still awaiting Some more information as to when that case is actually going to begin.
00:16:56.000 As far as the 13 charges that Donald Trump is facing, he's facing one charge violation of Georgia RICO, three charges of solicitation of violation of oath by a public officer, which would presumably be him asking people to put their names on some sort of alternative elector slate, which I'm not sure why that's illegal, actually.
00:17:13.000 He has one charge of conspiracy to impersonate a public officer, which is a very weird charge.
00:17:17.000 Two charges of conspiracy to commit forgery in the first degree.
00:17:21.000 Two charges of conspiracy to commit false statements and writings.
00:17:23.000 One charge of conspiracy to commit filing false documents.
00:17:26.000 And a couple of charges on false statements and writings and filing false documents.
00:17:30.000 So that is where the Georgia case stands.
00:17:33.000 Okay, so what does this mean for the election?
00:17:34.000 Well...
00:17:36.000 Obviously, Republicans, me included, anybody who is conservative who looks at this and looks at what's happening in Georgia or looks at what's happening on the January 6th case in D.C., looks at what's happening in Manhattan, a little bit less so on the case in Florida, where it's pretty obvious that Donald Trump violated the law.
00:17:50.000 The best case that you can make right there is that so did Hillary Clinton.
00:17:53.000 And this is a political prosecution because of the double standard, which, again, I sort of agree with.
00:17:57.000 It is pretty obvious to everyone that there's a lot of sympathy for Trump on this, and there should be a lot of sympathy for Trump on this, that he is being politically targeted.
00:18:04.000 Now, he could have made it a lot harder for his political opponents to target him, in the classified documents case particularly, but that wouldn't have stopped the other three cases, which are all ginned up.
00:18:13.000 Okay, so that being the case, there's gonna be a lot of sympathy for the idea that if you nominate him, there has to be a groundswell because you feel it, right?
00:18:20.000 I feel it.
00:18:20.000 Everybody who watches this on the right side of the eye feels the sympathy for Trump.
00:18:24.000 They feel like, well, this can't stand.
00:18:26.000 Somebody has to be punished, right?
00:18:27.000 As Trump himself says, this is his entire campaign now.
00:18:30.000 I am your vengeance, right?
00:18:31.000 I am your revenge.
00:18:32.000 This is going to be my vengeance campaign against the deep state. 0.75
00:18:35.000 I'm gonna take them out.
00:18:37.000 This is what Trump himself is saying in his statement.
00:18:40.000 The problem is that because we live in various silos and echo chambers, it's easy to forget that there are other voting populations that don't agree with you and don't feel the same things that you do.
00:18:49.000 Democrats get caught up in this regularly.
00:18:51.000 This is why Democrats, they'll say things like, well, you know, where I live, everybody feels the same way.
00:18:56.000 How could anyone else feel differently?
00:18:57.000 And it turns out a vast majority of the country feels differently than they do.
00:19:01.000 Well, this is why it's important to look at the actual data on how Americans feel about Trump and how they feel about the indictments and how they feel about voting for Trump.
00:19:09.000 Because I understand that people want to... Every time there's a poll, confirmation bias is a very strong drug.
00:19:14.000 Whenever there's a poll that confirms your suspicions, you are likely to cite it.
00:19:17.000 Whenever there's a poll that does not confirm your suspicions, you are unlikely to cite it.
00:19:21.000 So, one of the things I try to do here on the show is give you polls that both confirm my suspicions and also do not confirm my suspicions.
00:19:27.000 I'm gonna give you all the data.
00:19:29.000 I don't think that zero data is a substitute for some data, even if that some data is not perfect data, because there's no such thing as perfect data.
00:19:36.000 So in a second, I'm gonna get into what the polls actually say about whether additional Trump indictments, whether mugshots, whether any of this actually is going to lead Trump to victory in a general election against Joe Biden, which is the thing that I care about.
00:19:50.000 I can do two things at once.
00:19:51.000 Sympathize with Donald Trump's legal plight, promote the legal funds of people who are being charged as co-conspirators, like Jenna Ellis, which we've done on the show and online.
00:20:00.000 We can do all that, and also recognize that is he the best guy to beat Joe Biden come next fall?
00:20:07.000 We'll get to that momentarily.
00:20:08.000 First, we have a dog.
00:20:09.000 His name is Happy.
00:20:11.000 And Happy is very cute having his dog.
00:20:13.000 Very sweet to my kids.
00:20:14.000 Also, it turns out, he's a protector of the virtuous.
00:20:17.000 So the other day, Happy woke me up at like 6.20 and he was barking.
00:20:20.000 I said, what the hell?
00:20:22.000 Why is this dog waking me up at 6.20 and barking?
00:20:24.000 And it turns out that he was staring out our back window and he saw an entire road gang of raccoons in the backyard.
00:20:33.000 They're all tatted up, wearing leather jackets, ready to go.
00:20:36.000 And Happy was like, I will take all of them.
00:20:37.000 I will take all four of these giant Florida raccoons. 1.00
00:20:41.000 Well, that is our Happy.
00:20:42.000 And Happy must be protected, which is why we use Rough Greens for him.
00:20:44.000 Rough Greens boost Happy's food back to life.
00:20:46.000 It can do the same for your dog as well.
00:20:48.000 You don't have to go out and buy new dog food.
00:20:49.000 You just sprinkle some Ruff Greens on their food every single day.
00:20:51.000 It contains the necessary vitamins and minerals your dog is not getting from their regular dog food.
00:20:55.000 Ruff Greens is the only supplement your dog will ask for by name.
00:20:58.000 Ruff Greens, get it? 0.94
00:20:59.000 It's a pun!
00:21:00.000 Naturopathic doctor, Dennis Black, founder of Ruff Greens.
00:21:02.000 He's so confident this product will improve your dog's health.
00:21:04.000 He's offering my listeners a free jumpstart trial bag.
00:21:06.000 Go to ruffgreens.com slash Ben.
00:21:08.000 Let Ruff Greens bring your dog's food back to life. 0.99
00:21:09.000 That's R-U-F-F greens.com slash Ben today.
00:21:12.000 Or call 833-MY-DOG-33.
00:21:13.000 That's 833-MY-DOG-33.
00:21:13.000 Okay, so let's look at the actual data.
00:21:17.000 With regard to President Trump's favorability, unfavorability ratings.
00:21:21.000 So according to the latest YouGov polling available, which was like three or four days ago, his current favorable ratings are, he's underwater by 17 points.
00:21:30.000 And according to the Ipsos poll, about the same time, ABC News Ipsos, unfavorable ratings, 24 points underwater, 31% favorable rating.
00:21:37.000 In fact, there are zero polls that I can identify that have Donald Trump anywhere close to even parity with regard to his favorability or unfavorability rating.
00:21:48.000 Now, you compare that to Joe Biden, who's the person he would be running against, and Joe Biden also has terrible, favorable, unfavorable ratings, for sure.
00:21:55.000 They are very similar, actually.
00:21:57.000 Joe Biden's favorability ratings are in the 42% to 44% range.
00:21:59.000 Sometimes he may reach 45%.
00:22:04.000 Trump's average right now, right now, the 538 average for favorability ratings on Biden, he's about 12.3 points underwater.
00:22:13.000 Donald Trump's favorability ratings are about 17 points underwater.
00:22:17.000 Okay, so he's more unpopular, just on average, than Joe Biden is.
00:22:22.000 But what's more important is who's gonna come home, right?
00:22:25.000 So one of the big questions in this election, there are really two questions.
00:22:28.000 Turnout for your side, well, three. 0.54
00:22:30.000 Turnout for your side, turnout for the other side, and what do people in the middle do?
00:22:33.000 So, Joe Biden believes that turnout for Joe Biden is driven almost entirely by the presence of Donald Trump on the ticket.
00:22:41.000 Democrats don't care about Joe Biden.
00:22:42.000 They don't like Joe Biden. 0.97
00:22:43.000 They think he stinks. 0.99
00:22:44.000 At best, he's a mediocrity. 0.97
00:22:46.000 He's a person who's just kind of standing there, if he can even stand. 0.92
00:22:49.000 But they really hate Donald Trump.
00:22:52.000 Now, in order to understand this, you have to have lived in both a blue area and a red area.
00:22:55.000 So, during the 2016 and 2020 elections, I lived In California.
00:23:00.000 And let me explain to people who have never lived in a blue area.
00:23:03.000 The level of hatred for Donald Trump in places like California is deeper than the level of hatred that people in California have for like ISIS.
00:23:13.000 It is deep and it is visceral.
00:23:16.000 They despise Donald Trump.
00:23:18.000 Despise him.
00:23:19.000 Which means that they will walk across broken glass to vote against Donald Trump.
00:23:23.000 I mean, that really is the reality.
00:23:25.000 And that is particularly true after 2016, when he was definitely not supposed to win.
00:23:28.000 So they weren't willing to walk across broken glass to vote against Donald Trump in 2016, because he was kind of an unknown.
00:23:33.000 They didn't know quite what he was.
00:23:34.000 And there was a widespread assumption that Hillary Clinton was going to win.
00:23:36.000 And so they're like, I don't know, maybe, you know, do I really have to get out of bed?
00:23:40.000 I mean, Hillary's clearly going to win. 1.00
00:23:41.000 And then Trump won.
00:23:42.000 And their level of panic went so high that every single one of them voted.
00:23:46.000 They changed the voting rules, obviously, with the mail-in ballots and everything else.
00:23:50.000 Joe Biden's presupposition, and this has been shown, by the way, by pretty much every subsequent election, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, right?
00:23:58.000 All the subsequent elections show that when Trump is perceived, even, to be on the ballot, every single person who is a Democrat shows up to vote against him, not because they love the Democrat, but because they hate Donald Trump, hate him, with the fiery passion of a thousand burning suns.
00:24:12.000 And meanwhile, in the Republican areas, people really, really love Trump, and so they show up, and they vote for Trump in really high numbers.
00:24:18.000 However, There is a core of people, you know, they tend to be ignored, but the never Trump folks who say they will not vote for Trump under any circumstances is not a minority.
00:24:28.000 It's not a tiny position.
00:24:29.000 It's not a huge position, but it's not a tiny position either.
00:24:32.000 The number of people in the Democratic Party who say they 100% will not show up for Joe Biden is essentially non-existent.
00:24:38.000 There is no never Biden crew among the Joe Bidens.
00:24:40.000 So if you're looking at who's going to come home in the Democratic Party, the likely answer is virtually everybody.
00:24:45.000 In the Republican Party, the answer is likely like 92%.
00:24:48.000 That 8% makes a difference in a very, very tight election.
00:24:53.000 And then you look at and beyond that, there are going to be some Republicans who are just like not enthused with the idea of a Trump-Biden election again.
00:25:00.000 And then maybe like, well, I like Trump and I want to be president, but it is raining today.
00:25:05.000 And Joe Biden is like, meh.
00:25:08.000 Joe Biden doesn't get anyone animated.
00:25:09.000 Trump gets people on the right animated and he gets people on the left animated.
00:25:12.000 So Donald Trump turns out votes for his side and he turns out votes for the other side.
00:25:15.000 But the third factor is the people in the middle.
00:25:18.000 The people in the middle, by polling data, they break for Biden.
00:25:21.000 They broke for Biden in 2020.
00:25:23.000 There's very little evidence they're going to switch back to Trump.
00:25:25.000 Now, the case for Trump is very easy, actually.
00:25:27.000 The case for Trump is it was better when Trump was president than when Biden is president.
00:25:31.000 The problem is that if all you're going to get next year is not Trump prosecuting the case against Joe Biden and his economy and his incompetence and how bad a president he is, the case you're going to get is it's really unjust that I'm being jailed by Fannie Willis or by The Manhattan DA, Alvin Bragg, or by Jack Smith.
00:25:50.000 That's a bank shot because you basically have to say that all of these people are working for Joe Biden and therefore it's unfair that Joe Biden is musing all of these people to go after me and it's not quite the easiest argument actually for Trump to make.
00:26:03.000 Which presumably is why what the polls show, according to the most recent polling data asking the question, There's a poll from AP NORC.
00:26:13.000 This is circa about a week ago, week and a half ago.
00:26:17.000 More than half of Americans say there is zero chance of them voting for Donald Trump to return to the White House in 2024.
00:26:23.000 53% of Americans told the AP NORC censor survey they would definitely not support him next November.
00:26:29.000 Another 11% say they would probably not pull the lever for the 45th president, which means only 36% say they would probably or definitely support Trump in his third consecutive bid for the White House.
00:26:40.000 So it is this disconnect between Republican voters who think that everybody thinks like them and the rest of the country that is leading to Trump's increase in the polls.
00:26:50.000 Now, do I think that this is going to wear well for Trump?
00:26:54.000 Over time, it tends not to.
00:26:55.000 Over time, what tends to happen, there's an opening here.
00:26:58.000 There's an opening for another candidate in the Republican Party to make the very simple and convincing case.
00:27:03.000 Donald Trump should have all of our sympathy for the legal travails he is undergoing.
00:27:07.000 And also, he's very unlikely to beat Joe Biden.
00:27:09.000 That's actually the case.
00:27:11.000 That's the only case that you can make if you're a Republican at this point and hope to win primaries against Donald Trump.
00:27:18.000 Which raises the question of, how'd that debate go?
00:27:20.000 So we now have some data on the debate fallout.
00:27:23.000 So I gave you my take yesterday.
00:27:25.000 And my take, as I suggested, is different from the take of some of the lanes inside the Republican Party.
00:27:30.000 And it's also, you know, count it for what it's worth, which is one person's opinion.
00:27:34.000 I'm going to give you the data that we now have from some of the polls.
00:27:38.000 First of all, important to note, a lot of people watched the debate.
00:27:41.000 Not 2016 numbers, but 12.8 million total viewers watched the debates according to the Nielsen ratings.
00:27:49.000 The first debates in 2015 did like twice that because Trump was on the stage, but 13 million people is not bad.
00:27:55.000 There were another 1.7 million people or so who watched it on Fox Business, so it actually looked like 14 million people probably who watched the debates.
00:28:01.000 That's leaving aside everybody who watched it on Rumble or watched it in other places.
00:28:06.000 That is a fairly solid number.
00:28:08.000 And that's going to be a large percentage, not an insignificant percentage of people who actually vote in the Republican primaries.
00:28:14.000 So it turns out that that debate may indeed have mattered a little bit.
00:28:18.000 And when people say, well, you know, Trump's interview with Tucker Carlson did 230 million video views and all the rest of it, that, again, the metrics for a video view on Twitter are not the same as the metric for a video view on Nielsen.
00:28:32.000 Not even remotely the same.
00:28:34.000 Nielsen ratings require you to watch several minutes of the thing in order for you to be counted a viewer.
00:28:37.000 A Twitter view counts as the post is in your screen more than 50% in your screen for more than two seconds.
00:28:46.000 For two seconds or more.
00:28:46.000 So you can be scrolling and you just start looking at the tweet below it and it's playing above and that counts as a view.
00:28:51.000 Also if you reload because your connection went away Which I did, right?
00:28:55.000 I was watching the Trump-Tucker thing. 0.95
00:28:58.000 I had to reload that sucker because I was on a plane. 0.99
00:29:00.000 I had to reload that sucker probably 15, 20 times. 0.94
00:29:03.000 And so that each one of those is a view. 0.77
00:29:06.000 The actual percentage of people who actually watched a significant portion of the Trump-Tucker interview is not even remotely 230 million.
00:29:15.000 It is, by some metrics, as low as a couple of million.
00:29:19.000 Because, again, it wasn't broadcast anywhere, it wasn't particularly illuminating, that interview.
00:29:28.000 You really have to really love Trump in order to really find that stuff illuminating, as I talked about yesterday on the show.
00:29:32.000 Like the Trump-Tucker interview, he was asked no serious questions and he gave no serious answers.
00:29:36.000 And it was entertaining, but it really didn't illuminate anything.
00:29:38.000 Okay, so, that means that maybe the debate mattered a little bit.
00:29:41.000 So, we now have some polling data with regard to who won and who lost the debate.
00:29:47.000 So the Washington Post, FiveThirtyEight, and Ipsos all conducted a poll before and after last night's debate, according to the Washington Post, with potential Republican primary and caucus voters, including those who watched the debate.
00:29:57.000 According to those voters, not according to me, according to the voters, the 29% who watched said that DeSantis had the best night.
00:30:07.000 Vig Ramaswamy came in at 26%.
00:30:08.000 Now again, my generalized take is that everybody basically accomplished what they wanted to accomplish in the debate.
00:30:13.000 DeSantis wanted to escape fire and look presidential.
00:30:15.000 Vig Ramaswamy wanted attention, which he got in spades.
00:30:19.000 Nikki Haley wanted to lock down that traditional GOP lane, get some momentum there. 1.00
00:30:24.000 Pence wanted to shore up his legacy.
00:30:26.000 Christie wanted to throw a couple of punches and shore up the Never Trump vote.
00:30:28.000 So pretty much everybody got what they wanted from the debate.
00:30:30.000 But what the stats actually show is that DeSantis, according to this poll, 29% say that he performed best, which is a far cry from a lot of the people who are big Trump fans saying that he was terrible, he was awful, he was ugh.
00:30:41.000 That's really not what people who watched the debate said.
00:30:44.000 26% said that Vake performed the best.
00:30:48.000 What's more important, actually, is what percentage of people say they are considering voting for each of the candidates.
00:30:56.000 So again, this is just for GOP debate watchers, for the people who actually watched the GOP debate, which, you know, again, is 12, 14 million people.
00:31:03.000 It is not the 40 or 50 million people who presumably will vote in a Republican primary.
00:31:08.000 But among the debate watchers, 67% of people say they are considering Ron DeSantis for President of the United States.
00:31:13.000 That is an uptick of about four or five percentage points from where it was.
00:31:18.000 That actually is the number one in the field.
00:31:21.000 Number two in the field is Trump.
00:31:23.000 61% say they are considering voting for him.
00:31:26.000 Nikki Haley had by far the biggest bump. 0.98
00:31:27.000 She went from 29% of people in the GOP debate watchers saying they were considering voting for her to 46% saying they were voting for her or would consider voting for her.
00:31:36.000 Vivek moved from 40 to 46 percent, so he picked up some ground, but not a ton.
00:31:42.000 He's now tied with Nikki Haley in terms of people who would consider voting for him in a primary.
00:31:46.000 That's followed by Tim Scott at 43 percent, Mike Pence at 23, Chris Christie at 22, and the inimitable and electric Doug Burgum at 12 percent.
00:31:55.000 Now, when you take a look at GOP primary voters, just overall GOP primary voters, not just people who watch the debate, what you find is that 51% say they are considering DeSantis, 64% say they are considering Trump, and nobody else is even within remote spitting distance.
00:32:08.000 Nikki Haley's at 24, Vivek is at 23, Tim Scott is at 25, 26 are at Pence, 14 Kristi, 4% the inimitable and electric Doug Burgum.
00:32:17.000 So, What does that mean?
00:32:20.000 Well, it means that actually DeSantis got a little bit of a bump from this.
00:32:25.000 Actually.
00:32:26.000 What's actually even more interesting is how the favorables and unfavorables went for everybody in the field.
00:32:33.000 So, the favorable rating for DeSantis basically increased slightly and his unfavorables went down slightly.
00:32:42.000 72% favorable, 25% unfavorable, which makes him the highest in the Republican field.
00:32:47.000 Donald Trump is among the GOP debate watchers.
00:32:49.000 Among GOP debate watchers, 59% said that they are favorable to Trump, 35% unfavorable.
00:32:55.000 So he's plus 24.
00:32:56.000 DeSantis is, if my math is correct here, my mental math here, he is currently plus 47.
00:33:06.000 So those are big numbers.
00:33:07.000 Nikki Haley's favorables went up pretty dramatically.
00:33:10.000 She's up to 65% favorable, 27% unfavorable.
00:33:14.000 Weirdly, Vivek, because nobody had heard of him up until the last few weeks actually, Vivek's favorable ratings went from 50 to 60, but his unfavorable ratings went from 13 to 32.
00:33:27.000 So he actually, on net, lost favorability ratings over the course of the debate.
00:33:31.000 So there's more people who said they loved him, but there are a lot more people who said they didn't like him after watching that debate, which again makes sense.
00:33:36.000 It's a very polarizing performance.
00:33:37.000 Did I say for one crowd it was an A and for one crowd it was a D?
00:33:42.000 So, DeSantis at least gave himself a little bit of a boost from this, which is, again, kind of surprising.
00:33:48.000 And he maintained.
00:33:49.000 He maintained.
00:33:51.000 The biggest mover was Haley.
00:33:54.000 What does that mean for the primaries?
00:33:55.000 I mean, it may mean very little for the primaries, depending on whether anyone can capitalize off the back of that and move forward.
00:34:01.000 But the notion that DeSantis got his clock clean, the campaign is over, which is something that Don Trump Jr., for example, is trying to push, that obviously is not true.
00:34:10.000 Here's a Fox News focus group directly after the debate.
00:34:12.000 Here's what they had to say.
00:34:14.000 He went in last night open-minded, leaning a little bit DeSantis.
00:34:18.000 How did you feel?
00:34:18.000 Well, I think DeSantis definitely was solidified in my mind.
00:34:23.000 Thank goodness that the election isn't tomorrow because I still think we have a lot to learn and a lot to hear.
00:34:28.000 I was really impressed with Nikki Haley.
00:34:30.000 I liked how she came at the issue of abortion.
00:34:33.000 She talked about it in a way that I think can neutralize some of the negative talking points from the Democrats.
00:34:38.000 Okay, Kevin, next to you.
00:34:40.000 You came in liking DeSantis, and did you like what you heard?
00:34:44.000 Yeah, I think that something about DeSantis is that he's very much touting his background and what he's accomplished in Florida.
00:34:52.000 Yesterday, I kind of saw a lot of people talking about what they will do once they get into office.
00:34:58.000 DeSantis said, I've done it in Florida, and I'll do it on a national level.
00:35:01.000 So to me, someone who has the accomplishments there, it really resonates with me.
00:35:06.000 So that was a clip that involved a couple of people who were previously pro-DeSantis, but there were a bunch of people in that focus group who were actually more pro-Trump or more pro-Poveyk, and they also said they thought DeSantis did well.
00:35:17.000 Again, that's not standing for DeSantis.
00:35:19.000 He could turn into nothing, right?
00:35:20.000 It could be just another kind of moment in which it seems like he's going to burst onto the scene and then nothing happens.
00:35:26.000 Or it could be the beginning of a build of momentum.
00:35:28.000 What happens next is going to define, I said this yesterday, what happens next is going to define what the debate means for everybody else.
00:35:33.000 As always, you can only see inflection points in retrospect.
00:35:37.000 Some things look like they're going to be inflection points and they turn out to be nothing.
00:35:39.000 Some things look like they could be inflection points and they turn out to be something.
00:35:43.000 We're about to find out.
00:35:45.000 In just one second, we'll get to Joe Biden, who's just sitting there, waiting.
00:35:49.000 We'll get to that momentarily first.
00:35:51.000 We have some great employees here at the Ben Shapiro Show.
00:35:54.000 One of those employees is Adam.
00:35:57.000 Adam is the editor on the show.
00:35:59.000 He does all the clips.
00:36:00.000 He makes sure that everything sounds great in terms of being put together exactly right.
00:36:04.000 And I've been informed by my staff that Adam makes virtually no mistakes.
00:36:08.000 Adam is as perfect as perfect can be.
00:36:10.000 Which means his job is in danger.
00:36:12.000 Because, as I said earlier on the show, we here try to be diverse.
00:36:16.000 Adam is a white guy.
00:36:17.000 Who is really, really good at his job.
00:36:19.000 He doesn't make mistakes and he is not a former felon.
00:36:22.000 Unlike Savvy and Adam.
00:36:25.000 Adam, this means that if we are looking for, you know, a diverse hiring base, we need to check out ZipRecruiter.
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00:37:01.000 ZipRecruiter, the smartest way to hire and also to threaten All of your fellow employees.
00:37:05.000 It's not as though we had actually our other employees unionize against Adam and have me say all of that.
00:37:09.000 Also!
00:37:11.000 Are you sick of woke corporations dragging your values through the mud?
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00:38:00.000 Okay, meanwhile, Joe Biden, again, that dude is super weak. 0.98
00:38:03.000 He's really, really weak. 0.78
00:38:04.000 It is fun to hear people try to defend him.
00:38:06.000 So DNC chair, Jamie Harrison, he says that Joe Biden is one of the most successful presidents since LBJ, which is weird since LBJ was so unsuccessful, he had to drop out of his own 1968 reelect race because he was so unpopular.
00:38:18.000 I don't take much credence in terms of polls.
00:38:20.000 Because in the end of the day, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are going all across this country, Democrats are going across the country to talk about how this administration, which is probably one of the most successful since Lyndon Baines Johnson, has done so much to improve and put America back on track.
00:38:36.000 We are going to make sure that that message gets out to the American people.
00:38:42.000 Yes, they are so popular.
00:38:43.000 They're so popular that Politico is now trying a Kamala Harris relaunch.
00:38:46.000 This would be number 27.
00:38:47.000 It's super funny.
00:38:50.000 The Kamala Harris thing will never not be funny.
00:38:52.000 Kamala Harris is awful at this. 1.00
00:38:54.000 She's awful.
00:38:55.000 If you recall, Kamala Harris was a very bad senator in California, and people kept trying to make her a thing. 1.00
00:39:00.000 They kept trying to make Fetcher a thing, and it just wasn't.
00:39:03.000 It just wasn't a thing.
00:39:05.000 They tried it when she was going after Brett Kavanaugh, like, is this Kamala Harris's moment?
00:39:08.000 Turns out, no, it was not Kamala Harris's moment.
00:39:10.000 Then it was like, she's running for president.
00:39:12.000 She will be amazing.
00:39:13.000 She is a strong black woman and she will be incredible. 0.96
00:39:15.000 And then she went into a debate and she told a bunch of bullcrap lies about how Joe Biden didn't want her to go to school as a kid or something. 0.94
00:39:20.000 And everyone's like, oh my God, it's a moment.
00:39:22.000 And then like five seconds later, her campaign imploded.
00:39:24.000 She didn't even make it to California. 1.00
00:39:26.000 Like, oh man, she sucked. 1.00
00:39:27.000 That was terrible. 0.99
00:39:28.000 Then Joe Biden picked her for vice president, like, oh my God, you know who's incredible?
00:39:32.000 Eighth look at Kamala Harris. 1.00
00:39:34.000 And then it turns out that her campaign was terrible and awfully run and people kept getting fired and all this.
00:39:40.000 And then they're like, oh man, she's not.
00:39:41.000 And then the election happened and she won.
00:39:43.000 Then it was like, you know who could be incredible?
00:39:45.000 Wait for it.
00:39:46.000 Kamala Harris.
00:39:47.000 She could be unbelievable. 1.00
00:39:48.000 And then it turns out she's garbage at her job. 1.00
00:39:51.000 And they're like, oh man, she sucks. 1.00
00:39:52.000 She's really bad. 1.00
00:39:53.000 Like she can't speak English properly.
00:39:55.000 She can't string together sentences. 0.79
00:39:57.000 She sounds like a drunk schoolmarm who's trying to educate you on, like, what a duck is all the time. 1.00
00:40:03.000 It's bizarre.
00:40:04.000 She just, like, she just starts speaking in bizarre haiku-ish poetry about electric buses and Venn diagrams, like, what's happening?
00:40:14.000 And then they're like, but wait, wait, wait, Joe Biden's weak.
00:40:16.000 So you know who we should give a look at?
00:40:18.000 Wait for it, guys.
00:40:18.000 Wait for it.
00:40:19.000 We should give a look at Kamala Harris. 1.00
00:40:21.000 So this is take number 87 here, quote, I can't get into people's heads.
00:40:25.000 Kamala Harris tries to reshape her public image ahead of 2024. 1.00
00:40:27.000 In a political interview, the vice president addressed how she views the growing scrutiny she's under as Republicans use her as a bogeyman in 2024.
00:40:35.000 Oh, she's a victim again. 0.99
00:40:37.000 Oh, so she sucks at her job. 1.00
00:40:38.000 She's a victim again. 1.00
00:40:39.000 That's how all this crap works. 0.97
00:40:41.000 So they can pretend that she is the heir apparent to a to a I mean, honestly guys, Joe Biden is in such fragile health that some of the stuff that we do here at Daily Wire involves me cutting videos a couple of weeks in advance so that we can edit them properly. 0.60
00:40:56.000 And so we actively consider things like, if I make this video, what's the turnaround time on it?
00:41:01.000 If the turnaround time is like several months and it's about Joe Biden, I'm not sure we can do it.
00:41:06.000 It might not be relevant.
00:41:08.000 These are active considerations that people make in the political world based on Joe Biden's frailty and ailing health.
00:41:14.000 So of course they're trying to prop up Kamala Harris again backstage as she prepares for a not-so-intimate fireside chat about gun safety in front of hundreds of people.
00:41:21.000 Hundreds of people?
00:41:23.000 The Vice President?
00:41:23.000 Hundreds of people?
00:41:25.000 Let me explain something.
00:41:27.000 I can draw hundreds of people.
00:41:29.000 She's the vice president.
00:41:30.000 Anyway, Kamala Harris is unscripted and seemingly at ease. 1.00
00:41:33.000 No notes or teleprompter in sight.
00:41:34.000 Well, slow clap for the lady who doesn't need a teleprompter for talking to a reporter backstage. 1.00
00:41:39.000 Wow!
00:41:41.000 No notes even?
00:41:41.000 Woo!
00:41:43.000 Ugh, the IQ points just flow out of her like water from Moses's rock. 0.69
00:41:48.000 She's comfortable offering condolences and counsel to those who have lost loved ones to gun violence.
00:41:52.000 That one probably looks around like, what's she, why is she whispering? 0.87
00:41:54.000 demand action, her students demand action, she holds their hands and looks into their
00:41:57.000 eyes.
00:41:58.000 We speak their names, she whispers to one woman.
00:42:02.000 That one probably looks around like, what's she, why is she whispering? 0.87
00:42:05.000 She gently reassures a man clearly anxious about where to stand in the photo line.
00:42:08.000 All eyes are on her.
00:42:09.000 But that's been true of Harris for a while now, and the view has not often been kind.
00:42:13.000 Yes, yes, she is a victim.
00:42:15.000 She is a victim of the fact that she is such a dramatic failure throughout her entire political career that she keeps failing up. 0.81
00:42:20.000 If she keeps being as bad at her job now as she has been throughout her career, eventually she'll become empress. 1.00
00:42:26.000 Just every time she fails, they're like, you know what?
00:42:28.000 What if we give her a higher slot? 1.00
00:42:29.000 Maybe she'll be better even- She's like the Michael Moulse of politics.
00:42:32.000 The worse she does at her job, the more we're like, what if we just promote her more? 1.00
00:42:36.000 Her tenure as Joe Biden's number two has not been known for relaxing warm moments like those in Chicago.
00:42:40.000 Instead, Harris's term has largely been marked by stilted performances at public events, at odds with the uninhibited interrogator she was known as in the Senate. 0.84
00:42:47.000 They've fueled whispers about whether she'll be a drag on the reelect ticket as 2024 heats up. 0.98
00:42:52.000 Now her political future and quite possibly the success of the Democratic ticket hinges on a simple question.
00:42:56.000 Is it possible for Kamala Harris to make a second impression? 0.84
00:42:59.000 By second, do you mean 2000th impression?
00:43:03.000 For Harris, it's a question that fundamentally misunderstands the point.
00:43:06.000 In her mind, she's the same person she was, when the prevailing narrative of her was that of star prosecutor, ascendant political talent, even the future of the Democratic Party.
00:43:13.000 You could have followed me around in Iowa ahead of 2020, Harris said.
00:43:16.000 You would have seen the same thing four years ago.
00:43:17.000 It's always who I've been.
00:43:19.000 I can't get into other people's heads about why they characterize things as being one way or another.
00:43:22.000 It's not as though I've just found myself.
00:43:24.000 I've always been here.
00:43:25.000 I never went away.
00:43:27.000 And then the entire article is about how that's not true and how, really, it's others around her who have failed the great leader.
00:43:33.000 But really, she's actually empathetic and sympathetic and wondrous.
00:43:37.000 Guys, if this is the best you got, you better pray that Republicans jog Democratic turnout because Kamala Harris is a disaster area.
00:43:45.000 And when I say that Joe Biden is being a bad president, I mean, he's really a quite terrible president.
00:43:49.000 So the migrant crisis continues to mount.
00:43:50.000 I mean, I know that we all forget about it intermittently, but it is still a problem.
00:43:54.000 According to CBS News, officials in New York are assembling tent cities for those who can't be placed in a shelter system of more than 200 hotels and other facilities already housing 60,000 migrants.
00:44:04.000 And more than 50,000 homeless residents.
00:44:06.000 In Chicago, housing over 7,000 migrants, police stations and parks have been converted into makeshift shelters.
00:44:11.000 Plans to house asylum seekers in vacant schools have generated fervent local backlash.
00:44:15.000 In cities like Sacramento and Denver, some migrants have found themselves on the brink of homelessness.
00:44:19.000 In Boston, the arrival of thousands of families and pregnant women seeking asylum prompted the state's governor to declare an emergency.
00:44:24.000 A perfect storm, again this is CBS News reporting, has brought the historic migration crisis along the US-Mexico border to some of America's largest cities.
00:44:32.000 The city struggles to house tens of thousands of destitute migrants and their growing calls for federal action have also placed mounting pressure on the Biden administration to intervene.
00:44:40.000 Local leaders have implored the administration for funds and to allow migrants to work legally so they can be self-sufficient.
00:44:45.000 Cities have spent hundreds of millions of bucks serving migrants, housing them in hotels, churches, schools, parks, police stations, even a National Guard base.
00:44:52.000 The Biden administration has set aside $770 million for New York, Chicago, Denver, Boston, and other cities.
00:44:57.000 The administration recently asked Congress for another $600 million, but the administration has refrained from taking other actions requested by local leaders, such as granting migrants temporary legal status so they can apply for work permits more quickly.
00:45:08.000 Now, what's hilarious is that nobody at these cities will say, you know, what we might do is, you know, close the border.
00:45:13.000 We could do that.
00:45:15.000 They won't do that, obviously.
00:45:16.000 That'd be super bad.
00:45:18.000 Can't do that.
00:45:19.000 So instead, they're stuck in the unenviable position of allowing the border to remain wide open and migrants to be shipped by the tens of thousands to their cities, and then complaining they don't have enough money to deal with it.
00:45:29.000 Here's Cathy Hochul, the failing governor of New York. 0.77
00:45:33.000 But New York has shouldered this burden for far too long.
00:45:38.000 Since the first migrants began arriving at the Port Authority bus terminal last year, city and state have poured tremendous funds, billions of dollars, and energy into helping them.
00:45:49.000 The city has been helping by the state to manage this in partnership with our state legislature, and in our budget we allocated over $1 billion, now upwards of $1.5 billion, for providing shelter.
00:46:03.000 National Guard, public health, transit, case management, and legal services to asylum seekers, especially the housing.
00:46:12.000 That's in addition to the over 200 shelters and hotels that are stood up by the City of New York with the financial support from the state.
00:46:22.000 Well, they're doing an amazing job, but now they have to beg the federal government for more money. 0.99
00:46:26.000 Or they could actually, you know, talk about the fact that their stupid policies have generated this problem in the first place. 0.99
00:46:31.000 Okay, meanwhile, speaking of Joe Biden's failures, his DOJ is such a mess. 1.00
00:46:35.000 It is such a mess.
00:46:36.000 I mean, between trying to cut sweetheart deals with Hunter Biden, and then getting exposed for it, and that blowing up in their face, and going after Donald Trump on non-criming, between those two things, Now they've added to that that they are filing a lawsuit against SpaceX, you know, the only truly successful space company in America.
00:46:58.000 The lawsuit alleges that from at least September 2018 to May 2022, SpaceX routinely discouraged asylees and refugees from applying and refused to hire or consider them because of their citizenship status in violation of the Immigration Nationality Act.
00:47:11.000 SpaceX apparently wrongly claimed that under federal regulations known as export control laws, SpaceX could only hire U.S.
00:47:17.000 citizens and lawful permanent residents.
00:47:19.000 You know, green card holders.
00:47:20.000 But, asylees and refugees' permission to live and work in the United States does not expire.
00:47:25.000 They stand on equal footing with U.S.
00:47:26.000 citizens and lawful permanent residents under export control laws.
00:47:29.000 So, they're now suing.
00:47:31.000 They are now suing SpaceX for the great crime of discouraging people who have claimed asylum and refuge from applying for open position because they haven't actually been given a green card.
00:47:40.000 So, don't worry, guys.
00:47:42.000 They're not encouraging people to falsely claim asylum and refuge by suing companies like SpaceX, which, by the way, has national security contracts.
00:47:49.000 So what the federal government is now doing is they want people who have claimed asylum or refuge and whose cases are, it sounds like, either pending or being adjudicated They want those people hired by companies that do national security business.
00:48:02.000 This is like a nutty, nutty lawsuit.
00:48:06.000 But it's designed for a purpose.
00:48:09.000 It's like, you must, you must hire more refugees if you are SpaceX, apparently. 1.00
00:48:16.000 This is, that's wild.
00:48:18.000 That is a wild, Lawsuit.
00:48:21.000 And of course, the real reason they're doing that is because Elon Musk is a political enemy and you're not allowed to beat Elon Musk.
00:48:25.000 That's bad.
00:48:26.000 You know how many companies are going out of their way to hire people who don't have green cards?
00:48:30.000 Because you know what's really hard to check?
00:48:32.000 Whether somebody has legit refuge or asylum status.
00:48:34.000 A lot harder to check than a green card or a citizenship status.
00:48:39.000 But apparently, you know, there are a lot of companies, I'm sure, that do this.
00:48:43.000 SpaceX is the one, of course, that comes up.
00:48:47.000 Musk said, I think people are very confused about this during a 2016 speech.
00:48:50.000 He said, Unfortunately, this is not up to us if you're working on rocket technology that's considered an advanced weapons technology.
00:48:56.000 Even a normal work visa isn't sufficient unless you get special permission from the Secretary of Defense.
00:49:00.000 This isn't out of some desire of SpaceX to just hire people with green cards.
00:49:03.000 It's because we're not allowed to do anything else.
00:49:05.000 I think this is not a wise policy for the US.
00:49:07.000 There are so many talented people all around the world.
00:49:08.000 We'd love to have work at the company.
00:49:10.000 Unless they can somehow get a green card, we're legally prevented from hiring someone.
00:49:14.000 Musk added the export laws do not apply to Tesla and that about 25 to 30 percent of the engineering staff of Tesla was from outside the country.
00:49:23.000 So, um, Jonathan Grode, immigration attorney, he says that SpaceX is not barred from hiring foreign nationals at all, but companies do have to seek certain visas for foreign nationals or obtain government approval when it comes to ITAR restrictions.
00:49:34.000 SpaceX is within its rights to not pursue that path.
00:49:37.000 But he said that refugees should not be affected by ITAR restrictions.
00:49:41.000 So what if they just got it wrong?
00:49:44.000 I mean, what if they just got it wrong?
00:49:46.000 But they have a business incentive to avoid an accidental ITAR violation and be conservative.
00:49:50.000 But apparently, they've now been disincentivized.
00:49:53.000 So, if they make a mistake, then you remove their government contracts and destroy their security clearance.
00:49:57.000 And if they don't hire enough of the migrants that you want them to hire, then you sue them in federal court. 0.95
00:50:03.000 Amazing stuff from the Biden DOJ.
00:50:05.000 Okay, meanwhile, we should comment on the fact that there are many grave mistakes made with regard to Russia.
00:50:10.000 First on the list is, of course, invading Russia during the wintertime. 0.91
00:50:14.000 Second on the list is leading a coup against the Russian leader, failing, and then flying a private jet near Russian airspace.
00:50:20.000 That is a very, very bad mistake.
00:50:22.000 So, as predicted, the Wagner mercenary group chief Yevgeny Progozhin.
00:50:29.000 He's dead.
00:50:31.000 According to the Wall Street Journal, shortly after 6 p.m.
00:50:33.000 Moscow time on Wednesday, an Embraer jet carrying Wagner paramilitary group owner Yevgeny Progozhin, who led a short-lived June uprising challenging Putin, abruptly disappeared from flight-tracking radar screens northwest of Moscow.
00:50:44.000 Videos posted by bystanders showed the plane missing a wing, spiraling to the ground.
00:50:48.000 Missing a wing.
00:50:49.000 Okay, that is not a normal mechanical failure, gang.
00:50:52.000 Missing a wing.
00:50:52.000 About an hour later, Vladimir Putin stepped up to a lectern in Kursk, about 500 miles away.
00:50:57.000 He made no reference to the crash.
00:50:59.000 Instead, he launched into a speech talking about how Russia defeated the Nazis in World War II and talked about Ukraine.
00:51:05.000 Russian civil aviation authorities said Prigozhin and two other top Wagner commanders were killed when his plane went down.
00:51:10.000 The government says, don't worry, we're investigating the cause of the crash.
00:51:12.000 It will turn out to be suicide.
00:51:14.000 Probably he committed suicide on the plane.
00:51:17.000 That's probably what happened.
00:51:19.000 I mean, it's very weird always when a plane jumps out of a fourth story window.
00:51:23.000 There's so many people who commit suicide who are enemies of Vladimir Putin, you know, by shooting themselves twice in the back of the head and then throwing themselves from a fourth story window.
00:51:30.000 So yeah, it's a shock, guys.
00:51:32.000 It's a super giant shock. 0.98
00:51:34.000 But let me just point out, dumb move by Purgosian. 0.76
00:51:38.000 What if I fly my private plane, you know, like halfway between St. 0.92
00:51:42.000 Petersburg and Moscow?
00:51:44.000 How is that going to go wrong?
00:51:47.000 Well, that was somewhat predictable.
00:51:50.000 Joe Biden, of course, was asked about it, and he had no comment because he has been working out.
00:51:54.000 Doing what?
00:51:55.000 I mean, honestly, my question here is not that Joe Biden has no comment on it.
00:51:58.000 My question is, he says that he works out?
00:52:00.000 Like, how?
00:52:02.000 He walks up a stair?
00:52:03.000 Mr. President, do you have a reaction to the plane crash in Russia?
00:52:10.000 Aye.
00:52:11.000 My goodness, that cop is supporting him.
00:52:22.000 May I recall, I was asked about this by you.
00:52:30.000 There's not much that happens when the aggression is not behind, but I don't know enough to know the answer.
00:52:36.000 I am not surprised.
00:52:38.000 Do you think people are evil?
00:52:40.000 There's not much that happens when you're brushing Putin off your mind.
00:52:44.000 I don't know enough to know the answer.
00:52:46.000 I've been working out for the last hour and a half.
00:52:48.000 He's been working out for the last hour and a half, guys.
00:52:53.000 You can see it.
00:52:55.000 And he wears it well.
00:52:56.000 But that dude is ripped.
00:52:58.000 And by ripped, I mean there's not a tendon in his body that has not been ripped.
00:53:02.000 Apparently.
00:53:03.000 So things are going great.
00:53:05.000 They're just going spectacularly.
00:53:06.000 Okay, time for some things I like and then some things that I hate.
00:53:09.000 So things that I like. 0.99
00:53:10.000 So Disney is just getting its ass kicked. 0.99
00:53:12.000 I mean, just in the stock market, they're getting destroyed. 0.99
00:53:14.000 Their stock price closed at $82.47 on Thursday.
00:53:16.000 That's the worst showing in nearly nine years.
00:53:18.000 Since like 2014.
00:53:21.000 So, the Disney Syndicate's stock took a serious dive of 3.9% over the course of the day.
00:53:27.000 Since March of 2021, about two and a half years ago, the stock has lost nearly 60% of its value.
00:53:33.000 Uh, well, maybe that's because they decided to woke every single thing in sight.
00:53:37.000 Maybe it's that.
00:53:38.000 As I've said before, it actually is kind of gut-churning to me that I can't take my kids to Disney World.
00:53:43.000 Like, I grew up with Disneyland.
00:53:44.000 I loved Disneyland.
00:53:45.000 It was great.
00:53:46.000 My wife and I were annual pass holders when we were in California, and then we fully intended on being annual pass holders of Disney World when we came here to Florida.
00:53:54.000 And we have not done so.
00:53:55.000 And we have not done so for a very specific reason, and it is because of the politics they've decided to inject in every- Like, I'm not gonna walk into Disney World with my kids and see some dude dressed up as a lady waving my three-year-old into Bibbidi-Bobbidi Boutique.
00:54:06.000 I'm not gonna do it.
00:54:07.000 And I'm not the only one who feels that way.
00:54:09.000 There are tons of people who feel that way.
00:54:11.000 All Disney would have to do is stop.
00:54:13.000 That's all they would have to do.
00:54:14.000 How about, like, if you're gonna make Snow White, how about you make it not?
00:54:17.000 About how a woke princess is going to stop seeking her prince charming.
00:54:23.000 And she's going to learn to fight on her own.
00:54:26.000 What if you actually, you know, made a children's movie that did not include a non-binary character?
00:54:32.000 How about that?
00:54:33.000 It's really not that difficult, guys.
00:54:34.000 It really is not that tough.
00:54:36.000 But for you guys, apparently it's tough because you're held hostage by your own politics.
00:54:40.000 So if you wish to destroy the most valuable IP in the history of humanity, I suppose you can do it, but it really is quite terrible.
00:54:47.000 Okay, time for some things that I hate.
00:54:52.000 We are now learning that in Maui, Where did this horrifying fire happen in Lahaina?
00:54:58.000 The Hawaii Power Utility, believed to have started the deadly Lahaina fire, removed damaged power poles and other equipment from a key fire scene, potentially affecting evidence that is part of an official investigation into how that blaze ignited, is according to the Washington Post.
00:55:10.000 Hawaiian Electric hauled away fallen poles, power lines, transformers, conductors, and other equipment from near a Lahaina substation starting around August 12th, before investigators from the ATF could even get there.
00:55:20.000 Those actions may have violated national guidelines on how utilities should handle and preserve evidence after a wildfire and deprives investigators the opportunity to view any poles or downed lines in an undisturbed condition before or after the fire started.
00:55:32.000 According to Michael Wera, he says if a lot of equipment has already moved or gone by the time investigators show up, that's problematic.
00:55:37.000 You want to observe where the equipment was relative to the ignition site.
00:55:40.000 Maybe there's a homeless encampment or kids or a power line down on the ground where the ignition occurred.
00:55:43.000 Once you move it, it's kind of hard to figure out exactly what happened.
00:55:47.000 Hawaii Electric is pretending that they didn't move all of this stuff.
00:55:51.000 One of the claims is that the utility did not shut off power in advance of high winds, though it said it took some other preemptive measures and is now facing at least nine lawsuits.
00:55:59.000 So, is that all an accident?
00:56:01.000 Hmm, when evidence disappears like that, sometimes it is not quite an accident.
00:56:06.000 Alrighty folks, we are going to jump into the mailbag.
00:56:09.000 We'll be doing that right now, but you can only have your question answered if you are a Dailyware Plus member.
00:56:13.000 So if you're not a member, become a member, use code Shapiro, check out for two months free on all annual plans.