The Ben Shapiro Show - November 04, 2026


So, What the Hell Happened Last Night?

Why You Need to Vote Today

Episode Stats


Length

22 minutes

Words per minute

187.51

Word count

4,272

Sentence count

342


Transcript

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00:00:00.000 So, what actually happened here, right?
00:00:02.000 I can say that, you know, this is a referendum on Trump and it was, but what happened?
00:00:06.000 And the answer is we need to actually think how voters vote.
00:00:09.000 So, I understand.
00:00:10.000 Listen, I'm into politics at a granular level that pretty much no one else in America cares about.
00:00:15.000 And a huge percentage of our listeners are very into granular level politics.
00:00:19.000 And so we look for sort of the chicken entrails.
00:00:22.000 Which is the policy that did it?
00:00:23.000 What was it the way that he articulated this particular thing?
00:00:26.000 Was it if he had just done this differently?
00:00:28.000 That is not typically how people vote.
00:00:30.000 People vote based on the gestalt, meaning like the whole ball of wax, the generalized sense that they have of President Trump.
00:00:37.000 In this election, the gestalt of President Trump fell apart.
00:00:41.000 Again, in the aftermath of an election, the pointy heads and big brains, people like me, will attempt to find the one Jenga piece that if we just moved it here or replaced it there, it would fix everything.
00:00:52.000 But that's not how people vote.
00:00:54.000 They based on a generalized feeling they have about everything.
00:00:57.000 So, was it the execution of the Iran war?
00:00:59.000 Yes.
00:01:00.000 Was it tariffs?
00:01:01.000 Was it the reflecting pool?
00:01:01.000 Yes.
00:01:02.000 Yes.
00:01:03.000 Was it truth social statements and threats against the Fed chair and well publicized ICE controversies and dumb memes?
00:01:08.000 Yes.
00:01:09.000 And also, yes.
00:01:09.000 And yes.
00:01:10.000 And also, yes.
00:01:11.000 It was all the things because that's how people vote and that's how people think.
00:01:15.000 That is how people act.
00:01:16.000 But we can break it down further.
00:01:19.000 So let's break it down into what the three big things that happened here.
00:01:22.000 Three big things have happened since President Trump 2.0 took office.
00:01:27.000 Unaffordability, chaos, corruption.
00:01:32.000 Now, by every metric, unaffordability was the top issue in this election with a bullet by a long shot.
00:01:38.000 There was no close second.
00:01:40.000 If people believe that their lives are unaffordable, you're going to lose.
00:01:43.000 Your party is going to perform poorly.
00:01:44.000 And by the way, again, this is sort of the generic way that things work in a midterm election.
00:01:49.000 People believe that all their problems will be solved by an election.
00:01:52.000 They don't get solved.
00:01:53.000 Then they're mad about it.
00:01:54.000 And then they revert to the other party during a midterm.
00:01:57.000 That's normal.
00:01:57.000 And that's particularly true in the second term of a president's midterm, like 2014 for Barack Obama or 2006 for George W. Bush.
00:02:06.000 If people feel that their lives are unaffordable, your party is going to get hit.
00:02:10.000 And in a second, we're going to get into the policies that made things more unaffordable.
00:02:13.000 But mere unaffordability doesn't mean what we saw last night.
00:02:17.000 There's a difference between an L and a wipeout.
00:02:21.000 If you're talking about electoral catastrophe, a wipeout like we saw last night, you need more ingredients.
00:02:28.000 And here are the other ingredients chaos and corruption.
00:02:31.000 So if you have a generalized sense things are not going well, and then on top of that, you layer in a feeling of chaos.
00:02:38.000 A feeling the person just doesn't care about your issues and is distracted.
00:02:42.000 And then layer on top of that, corruption, you're looking at electoral doom.
00:02:46.000 And that's what happened last night.
00:02:49.000 And again, here's the thing it's all the gestalt of all of these things all at once, right?
00:02:54.000 It's all the things all at once, everything everywhere all at once.
00:02:56.000 It's not just, for example, the tariffs, right?
00:02:59.000 Which I think are bad policy.
00:03:00.000 It's how they were rolled out.
00:03:01.000 It's about how President Trump talked about them.
00:03:03.000 It's the tacoing, it's the vacillation, the confusion, the insanity, the unwillingness to back off of them, even while he was.
00:03:11.000 The special carve outs.
00:03:13.000 Even where President Trump's policy is correct, in my view, the rollout has been pretty bad pretty much every time from the Epstein files to the execution of the Iran war to tariff policy.
00:03:23.000 And as a result, I tend to agree large scale with 80% of President Trump's policies.
00:03:30.000 But I also tend to disagree with 90% of the way he actually does it.
00:03:33.000 And I think that's true for a lot of people.
00:03:35.000 I think that's true for independents.
00:03:37.000 I think it's true for some Democrats.
00:03:39.000 Again, the rule in politics, and this is true for an enormous number of politics, pretty much all.
00:03:43.000 Is that your strength is also your weakness?
00:03:45.000 It's true just in life.
00:03:46.000 Very often, a person's greatest strength is also their weakness.
00:03:49.000 It's sort of the basis for Greek tragedy.
00:03:52.000 So, President Trump's allure, what makes him a unique personality, is the fact that he is totally impervious to criticism, totally impervious to it.
00:03:59.000 You can go after him with a hatchet in 2015, 2016, he will survive.
00:04:02.000 You can try to prosecute him in 2023, he will survive.
00:04:07.000 He can lose, he can come back, he can survive.
00:04:10.000 He is totally impervious.
00:04:12.000 But there is a thin line between being impervious to bad criticism and being totally out of touch.
00:04:18.000 Because if the way that you react to criticism is by building yourself a bunker and then by having all your friends around you basically trying to enable you to do all the things, you end up even more out of touch.
00:04:30.000 And that's why when President Trump speaks about policies that are unpopular and he says, Listen, everyone I know is telling me they're great.
00:04:36.000 Or he says that he's just going to keep doubling down on policies that he doesn't particularly like.
00:04:40.000 Or when he tries those policies in the first place and there was no one there to tell him it was not a great idea, you end up with a lot of putting your hand in the fire, pulling the hand out, but insisting that none of that ever happen.
00:04:51.000 And turns out Americans don't like that feeling of chaos.
00:04:54.000 And that being out of touch, that is the definition of what is going on right now.
00:04:58.000 Regardless of how you like his policies, as I mostly do, or if you hate his policies.
00:05:05.000 The data here are very clear.
00:05:09.000 The exit poll from NBC asked, which one of these six issues is the most important issue facing the country?
00:05:15.000 By far, 39%, the economy.
00:05:17.000 39%.
00:05:18.000 Now, of course, the economy covers a wide variety of things, ranging from tariffs to the impact of the Iran war.
00:05:23.000 That's obviously true.
00:05:24.000 32% said the state of democracy.
00:05:26.000 This is tied to issues of corruption and chaos.
00:05:30.000 14% said immigration, almost all Republicans.
00:05:33.000 8% said health care.
00:05:34.000 4% foreign policy.
00:05:35.000 3% said crime.
00:05:38.000 So, it is very clear what Americans were concerned about.
00:05:40.000 Again, unaffordability, chaos, corruption.
00:05:42.000 That's what they are concerned about.
00:05:45.000 Very clearly.
00:05:47.000 And when it comes to the economy, according to those CNN exit polls, 65% of voters said that President Trump's policies worsened economic conditions.
00:05:56.000 Overall, 75% of voters, three quarters, were dissatisfied or angry with how things were going in the U.S.
00:06:05.000 And in what has always been kind of the litmus test for successful candidates, Does the president fight for people like you?
00:06:13.000 Ask that question.
00:06:14.000 And this has always been Trump's strength is that Trump had a connection with people where people felt like he was fighting on their behalf, right?
00:06:19.000 He would say, the attacks on me are not an attack on me, they're an attack on you.
00:06:23.000 Asked if Trump fights for people like you. 62% of voters last night said no.
00:06:28.000 And it's all the things.
00:06:29.000 Yes, it's policies that are in some cases wrongheaded or poorly pursued, but it's also the feeling of chaos, a feeling of disconnect.
00:06:38.000 I mean, the president spent the day before the election. At the reflecting pool, talking about the reflecting pool, which again, the symbolism of the reflecting pool of narcissists being the thing that you are standing at right before an electoral blue wave, blue tsunami.
00:06:54.000 Why is it like, why?
00:06:55.000 Just why?
00:06:57.000 For Republicans, for anyone who's looking at their life on a daily basis, like no one cares about the reflecting pool.
00:07:02.000 Can I explain?
00:07:03.000 No one cares.
00:07:04.000 No one.
00:07:05.000 The fact is, a major issue in American life, this is a problem for President Trump, whether you like what he's doing at the reflecting pool or you don't like the paint on the bottom of the reflecting pool.
00:07:14.000 This is not a top 500 issue for Americans.
00:07:17.000 The president spent the day before the election at the reflecting pool talking about the grout.
00:07:24.000 The pool is now better and more beautiful than it's ever been before.
00:07:29.000 And we're very proud of it.
00:07:30.000 We went through a lot with vandalism.
00:07:32.000 The vandalism was unprecedented.
00:07:34.000 People don't like talking about it.
00:07:37.000 But built more than a century ago in 1922, this is the largest reflecting pool in the world.
00:07:42.000 It's almost as tall as two Empire State Buildings laid on its side.
00:07:48.000 And it's really amazing.
00:07:51.000 Again, it's this feeling of disconnect and this feeling of chaos that is a problem.
00:07:54.000 You know, learn this lesson early on with Elon Musk, right?
00:07:56.000 So, even again, things that I like were pursued in a chaotic way and Americans rejected them.
00:08:01.000 So, for example, Elon Musk came in and he did the Department of Governmental Efficiency.
00:08:05.000 And the idea was use tech methodologies in government, move fast and break things.
00:08:10.000 But here's the problem our government is designed to move very slowly and with consensus.
00:08:15.000 It is a tangle of a thicket of complications and checks and balances.
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00:09:22.000 You don't get to run roughshod into the government and just start smashing things and not cause chaos on the other side.
00:09:27.000 Elon learned this, right?
00:09:28.000 Here was Elon acknowledging why Doge didn't work the way he wanted it to.
00:09:34.000 Well, actually, the thing is, I came to the conclusion that there was no way we were going to solve the deficit from within the government.
00:09:43.000 Impossible.
00:09:44.000 You know, maybe if the president made that his primary goal, we could do that.
00:09:51.000 But the problem is, if you try to solve the deficit and stop wasteful spending, you make a lot of enemies in that situation.
00:10:01.000 And President Trump is not, you know, He likes to be liked.
00:10:05.000 He's not, you know, he doesn't like people, you know, calling him being upset about what some funding being stopped, type of thing.
00:10:14.000 Okay.
00:10:14.000 So, again, the kind of vacillation.
00:10:16.000 But also, the fact is that, again, if you go into these programs and you start breaking things apart, even the stuff that's good ends up presenting poorly.
00:10:23.000 And then layer on top of the chaos, again, unaffordability, chaos, corruption.
00:10:27.000 Layer on top of that the corruption, and you got a massive problem because the American people don't just feel like you're disconnected, they feel like you are getting rich while they are getting poor.
00:10:35.000 I've been calling this out since literally January of 2025 with all of the content surrounding the World Liberty Financial of it.
00:10:44.000 I mean, it's not a great look when the president has to condemn his ex lawyer, Alina Haba, over an alleged $50 million deal to broker pardons.
00:10:54.000 What did you make of Alina Haba's $50 million deal?
00:10:56.000 We thought it was terrible.
00:10:58.000 I told her and I said, I don't want her paid.
00:11:00.000 I thought we had somebody speak to the people that did it, and she used her relationship to do that.
00:11:09.000 And it was far too much.
00:11:10.000 You know, it's one thing for a person to get paid legal fees or whatever.
00:11:13.000 She's a lawyer.
00:11:14.000 I thought it was totally obnoxious and outrageous.
00:11:17.000 And it's not acceptable.
00:11:19.000 Not acceptable at all.
00:11:21.000 You didn't expect her to make a donation to the library?
00:11:24.000 No, not her.
00:11:25.000 I expect maybe the people.
00:11:26.000 I don't know if anybody wants to make it.
00:11:29.000 But it's unacceptable what she did.
00:11:32.000 Unacceptable.
00:11:33.000 Now, again, the fact that even that conversation turned into something about, like, should people then give money to the Trump Library?
00:11:38.000 Like, It doesn't have to be illegal to look improper.
00:11:42.000 So when the vice president comes out and he's talking about corruption and he says DC is corrupt, but President Trump, no one around President Trump participates in that, like it does, this is from October 17th, it doesn't wash.
00:11:55.000 You're asking, has Donald Trump's decision making been influenced by his decision making?
00:12:00.000 No, I'm asking anything.
00:12:01.000 I've never seen anything like that from anybody inside the White House.
00:12:04.000 I've never seen anything like that from the president.
00:12:05.000 Certainly, I mean, look, in Washington, D.C., people are constantly trying to get an edge.
00:12:10.000 It's something that I've complained about in Washington, D.C. for a long time.
00:12:13.000 You see K Street lobbyists who have tried to get meetings with me to advocate for a particular issue, and I won't take the meeting, or the president won't take the meeting.
00:12:20.000 So, yeah, you certainly see evidence of corruption in Washington, D.C. Do I see evidence of corruption in Washington, D.C.?
00:12:25.000 From the president of the United States, from the administration.
00:12:28.000 The administration is taking.
00:12:30.000 No, Tony, I just don't.
00:12:32.000 Okay, but the whiff of impropriety that surrounds an enormous number of people in the administration, that's quite real and people can identify it.
00:12:38.000 Again, when it's widely reported that President Trump's net worth has increased $2.2 billion since he took office, people start to get a little suspicious.
00:12:46.000 Trump coin, Trump watches, World Liberty Financial, special access to Truth Social, special clubs in Washington, D.C., from people associated with the family and with the administration.
00:12:57.000 That are pretty clearly attempts to provide access to people with access to power.
00:13:04.000 Family linked mining ventures in places like Kazakhstan, right?
00:13:10.000 All of that.
00:13:11.000 Jets from Qatar, right?
00:13:12.000 All of that.
00:13:15.000 Put that patina on top of the chaos and put that on top of policy that makes people feel like things are unaffordable.
00:13:20.000 And what you have is the recipe for a wipeout.
00:13:22.000 So to go back to policy for a second.
00:13:25.000 And again, the reason I'm talking about this all together is because it is a gestalt.
00:13:25.000 Okay.
00:13:28.000 You need all of those things.
00:13:29.000 You need all those ingredients.
00:13:30.000 You need the chaos and the corruption.
00:13:31.000 And the unaffordability.
00:13:32.000 All of that is what leads to a tsunami.
00:13:34.000 Unaffordability alone would not do it.
00:13:37.000 So let's talk for a second about the policies that create unaffordability.
00:13:43.000 Again, according to the NBC exit poll, the number one factor in voting was cost of living.
00:13:52.000 49% of voters said that it was crucial, 40% of voters said it was a major factor.
00:13:58.000 That was far and away the highest number.
00:14:01.000 So, what are a couple of things that President Trump Has done that have made things more unaffordable.
00:14:06.000 One, of course, is the tariffs.
00:14:08.000 According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the pass through costs on tariffs, meaning like the United States government charges people to bring goods into the country, that's then cost that that cost is passed on to the consumer as part of the cost of the good.
00:14:23.000 According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the average 2025 tariff rate was about 27%.
00:14:29.000 In practice, importers paid only 14% due to shipping delays, exemptions, and weak enforcement.
00:14:35.000 But whichever tariffs were actually collected were passed on almost completely to the American importers and buyers.
00:14:43.000 And again, if you look at the polling data, people did not like the tariffs.
00:14:46.000 They did not.
00:14:47.000 According to that NBC exit poll, 65% of voters said that Trump's tariff policies hurt the national economy.
00:14:57.000 Man, that's not going to be kind.
00:15:00.000 Not only that, remember, it's not just the unaffordability, it's also the chaos and the corruption.
00:15:04.000 So the rollout.
00:15:06.000 Think in terms of images, which is really how most people kind of walk through life.
00:15:10.000 I have images in our head.
00:15:11.000 If I say to you, Trump tariffs, what is the first image that comes to mind?
00:15:16.000 For me, and I think for most people, it is this image of President Trump holding up that giant poster board that said reciprocal tariffs that had nothing to do with reciprocality and that taxed the penguins on the Solomon Islands.
00:15:27.000 It was a chaotic rollout, it was a mess.
00:15:29.000 He had to walk part of it back.
00:15:31.000 And then add on top, that's the chaos.
00:15:32.000 And then add on top of that, the whiff of corruption, right?
00:15:35.000 Certain firms that are getting special treatment or government investment.
00:15:40.000 The fact that if you visit the White House and you make nice with the president, maybe you get better treatment.
00:15:45.000 All of that, wrap that into a ball and it pisses Americans off.
00:15:49.000 Take the Iran war.
00:15:50.000 Okay, so obviously, the conduct of the Iran war, the execution of the Iran war has raised gas prices.
00:15:57.000 Obviously, duh.
00:16:00.000 Here's the president of the United States saying this yesterday.
00:16:04.000 I think a part of it was Iran, but at the same time, people understood the importance of what I've done with Iran.
00:16:10.000 I think historically it's going to be much more important than this evening because you can't let the number one state sponsor of terror have a nuclear weapon.
00:16:19.000 You know, it's the most dangerous country in the world, and we wiped them out practically.
00:16:24.000 Now, obviously, I agree with the president's take on the importance of taking action against a nuclear armed, ballistic missile armed enemy of the United States.
00:16:33.000 Obviously, I agree with that.
00:16:35.000 The execution of the war, however, combined with lack and discombobulation of rollout, leads to unpopularity, of course.
00:16:44.000 So, if you look at the polling in the exit data, 34% of people said that the war in Iran was important to their vote.
00:16:53.000 It's not 49% as it was with cost of living, but 34% is a significant percentage, obviously.
00:16:58.000 And yes, of course, the fallout from the execution of the war in Iran contributed to oil prices.
00:17:02.000 And you notice I'm distinguishing between, quote unquote, the war in Iran as sort of why it was initiated and the execution of said war.
00:17:09.000 Right?
00:17:10.000 And the execution contributed to oil price increases.
00:17:12.000 And that, of course, damaged Republicans because, of course, higher oil prices always damage the party in power.
00:17:18.000 But war is always economically damaging to you.
00:17:20.000 That is how war works.
00:17:22.000 Again, the problem with the war in Iran was not the rationale for the war.
00:17:25.000 Iran cannot have a nuke, should not have a nuke.
00:17:27.000 We, as the American people, have a right to be protected from that eventuality.
00:17:30.000 We have a right to be protected.
00:17:32.000 From an Iran in total control of major chokeholds in the world economy.
00:17:37.000 The president's totally right about all of that.
00:17:38.000 Iran is a threat to our neighbors.
00:17:40.000 They are a threat to our allies.
00:17:41.000 They are a threat to us.
00:17:42.000 They've been a threat to us for 50 years.
00:17:44.000 But when it comes to the execution of the policy, when you claim over and over there's going to be no cost, that's over promising.
00:17:51.000 And when you stop for no apparent reason, as you might recall, back in April, the president of the United States, with the help of the vice president, negotiated what I thought at the time was a terrible memorandum of understanding that basically delayed the end of the war by.
00:18:06.000 Now, seven months and counting.
00:18:09.000 I was working under the impression that the president was going to pursue war in the same way that he had pursued war in his first administration and also in Operation Midnight Hammer, meaning go fast, go hard, finish it fast, and achieve your ends.
00:18:20.000 That is a way to actually win a war.
00:18:23.000 But if you decide that you're not going to win it because you want to slow down, because you're worried about oil prices, and then it turns out the oil prices just bite you right in the ass again, and you exacerbate the domestic pain with no strategic explanation, it's chaos, it's discombobulation.
00:18:35.000 And so, again, think in terms of images.
00:18:37.000 If the image Of Liberation Day is Trump with a poster board.
00:18:40.000 The image that people have of the war in Iran is just gas prices, which are everywhere.
00:18:45.000 Literally, the most posted price that you will see in your daily life is a gas price.
00:18:50.000 You will drive past it seven times today.
00:18:53.000 There's no other product in your life that you will look at the price of as often as the gas price, even if you're not filling up your tank.
00:18:58.000 And people know that.
00:19:00.000 So, layer on top of, again, a policy that does drive up prices.
00:19:05.000 I think there are other good reasons to do it, but bringing down prices is not the reason to do it.
00:19:08.000 There are other good reasons.
00:19:09.000 And conflating that.
00:19:11.000 Pretending that the Iran war was done, for example, with the intent of bringing down oil prices as opposed to with the intent of defenestrating a longtime enemy of the United States.
00:19:20.000 That's a category error that people are doing.
00:19:22.000 But fine.
00:19:24.000 When half your administration is doing business with the other countries in the Middle East, including places like Qatar, you're taking an airliner from Qatar, or when your negotiators and their families are clearing sacks of cash in Dubai or Saudi or Qatar or Kazakhstan for that reason, people start to think, what is this really about?
00:19:41.000 Again, the disconnect, the disconnect.
00:19:44.000 And it's true with regard to interest rates, where the president has been railing publicly against the Federal Reserve himself or pushing bigger government spending while claiming that you're cutting around the edges.
00:19:55.000 And when you combine all of that with billionaires who are largely disliked by the American people showing up at the White House, what you get is dyspepsia.
00:20:05.000 I warned at the time of the inauguration that the picture of the president alongside Jeff Bezos and Elon and Mark Zuckerberg.
00:20:13.000 That would not end particularly well for the president or for any of those people.
00:20:16.000 Because again, if that's your image, if your image of President Trump's economy is Trump with a bunch of tech billionaires, you're going to come away with the feeling that he cares about those people.
00:20:25.000 He doesn't necessarily care about me.
00:20:29.000 And as I say, I can even agree with the policy and disagree with the rollout and understand why people are upset with it.
00:20:36.000 This is true of immigration.
00:20:39.000 According to that CNN exit poll, again, Trump's immigration policy has always been the most popular part of his platform.
00:20:45.000 And he's been totally consistent on it.
00:20:47.000 For legitimately decades.
00:20:49.000 But according to CNN, 57% of voters said that Trump's immigration policy had gone too far.
00:20:53.000 Again, what's the image that most Americans have of the immigration policy?
00:20:57.000 It is not some MS 13 guy being arrested by ICE.
00:21:01.000 It's Liam Ramos in his blue hat while his dad was being detained by ICE.
00:21:04.000 And sure, you can explain what's happening here.
00:21:06.000 You can explain his dad is an illegal criminal immigrant, apparently, and that he was with the kid and they're trying to take care of it.
00:21:12.000 You can explain all of that, but images are images.
00:21:15.000 And when you trot out Greg Bavino for a while in Minneapolis as your guy rather than, say, Tom Homan, that has an impact.
00:21:22.000 57% of people in the NBC exit poll said the Trump administration's actions on immigration enforcement have gone too far.
00:21:28.000 Okay, so again, this is why we are where we are.
00:21:31.000 That combo, unaffordability, chaos, corruption.
00:21:36.000 That combo.
00:21:36.000 What an amazing video you just watched.
00:21:38.000 Wasn't that amazing?
00:21:39.000 Well, you know, if you think so, head on over to dailywire.comslash subscribe to watch the full show ad free or check out this crazy story here.
00:22:20.000 Professor, you sit there and shake because you're dependent on a drink. You're sick as all over you.
00:22:40.000 Have you ever seen a child starve to death, Professor?
00:22:45.000 No. I have.