Investors begin dumping stocks as the Federal Reserve announces a rate hike, Joe Biden plans cryptocurrency regulations, and the media tries to pretend that Joe Biden s Black female Supreme Court pick isn t about race or sex. Ben Shapiro's new book, "Hot Off The Press: The Authoritarian Moment," is out now! Subscribe to my new podcast, The Ben Shapiro Show, wherever you get your podcasts. It's time to stand up against big tech. Protect your data. Subscribe today using our podcast s promo code: "SPYPE" to receive 20% off your first month with discount code: PODCAST at checkout. You'll get access to all my latest podcasts, including "The Dark Side Of," "The Daily", "Short" and "Long" versions of my most popular podcasts, as well as "The Weekly Standard" and the "New York Times" bestseller "Outro" by John Singleton. If you like what you hear here, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and become a supporter of the show! It'll help us spread the word about what we're talking about! Subscribe, rate and review the show on Apple Podcasts and other podcasting platforms! We'll be looking out for your comments and tips on how we can make sure you get the most out of this podcast wherever you listen! the best listening to the most valuable podcast on all things financial and investing opportunities are available. The best podcast on the web! Links mentioned in the show include: This episode is sponsored by ExpressVPN. This podcast is produced and promoted by Express VPN.co/TheBen Shapiro's newest book: "Hot off the Press" is out there! The authoritarian moment" is a book written by Ben Shapiro, Hot Off the Press, "The authoritarian moment." is available in paperback and is available on Amazon Prime Video, Kindle $99.99, Audible, and Audible $99, and is also available on Audible Freebie $19.95, and a limited edition hardcover edition is available for pre-order only $24.99.00, shipping nationwide, and shipping worldwide. and will be available in hardcover only in limited quantities, so make sure to your local address is available at $2499 europes, $99 and $99 in the UK, US$99, USA, and IRL, and AUS $99 & IRL.
00:00:25.000Slash Ben, we'll get to all the news in just one moment.
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00:01:32.000Alrighty, so the Biden economy is now hitting the skids.
00:01:35.000It is hitting the skids because we had a superheated economy in which we were pouring Trillions of dollars on top of an economy that really didn't need it.
00:01:42.000And the fact is that when the pandemic first started and the government told everybody to go home from work, there was a case to be made that the government had essentially driven a Ford F-150 into your business.
00:01:51.000And now they had to pay recompense for that.
00:01:54.000But as it became quickly clear, what the government really needed to do was first take the Ford F-150 out of the front of your business and allow you to reopen your business.
00:02:02.000It became just as clear that what the government shouldn't do is, after rectifying the expense, continue to pay you just so that they could leave the Ford 150 directly in the middle of your business.
00:02:11.000Once it was clear that businesses ought to be reopened and that young, healthy people were going to be generally fine from COVID, the government ought to have gotten out of the business of, quote-unquote, stimulating the economy.
00:02:20.000Instead, the Federal Reserve bought up every asset it could find and started injecting trillions of dollars into the economy.
00:02:26.000Many people finished the pandemic with more in savings than they had at the beginning.
00:02:30.000Which is amazing since a huge number of people went completely unemployed during that time.
00:02:34.000But again, the government was literally paying people to stay home for large periods of time.
00:02:38.000This led to overheated inflation, dramatic lack of supply, and tremendous price squeezes.
00:02:44.000Well, now the Federal Reserve is about to end America's era of easy money, according to the Wall Street Journal.
00:02:49.000That is prompting investors to reverse course on two years of investing strategies kicking off this month's broad market route, the worst sell-off since the early days of the pandemic.
00:02:58.000stock indices have dropped between 6% and 15% in January through Thursday, with some investor favorites during the pandemic, like Moderna, Peloton, and Netflix, falling around two or three times as much.
00:03:08.000Wall Street's fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index, of expected market swings has almost doubled this year.
00:03:14.000Some well-known hedge funds are down 10% or more, said people familiar with the results.
00:03:18.000Driving the tumult are expectations the Fed will raise interest rates for the first time since 2018, likely setting off a series of increases over the next couple of years.
00:03:26.000On Wednesday, Fed officials gave their clearest indication they could boost rates in March and beyond.
00:03:30.000At the same time, government policies to put money in the pockets of consumers are waning.
00:03:35.000In response, investors are changing strategies.
00:03:37.000They've ridden hard for almost two years, rattling stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies, all of which soared during the age of pandemic stimulus.
00:03:47.000If you left your money in the bank, this was a complete waste of time.
00:03:49.000So people started buying stocks like crazy.
00:03:51.000They started putting their money in bonds to a lesser extent, and they started putting their money in crypto to hedge against that inflation.
00:03:57.000Girding themselves against the impact of tighter money, investors are shifting to investments that feel safer, such as dividend stocks and gold exchange traded funds.
00:04:04.000Indeed, some high dividend funds have outperformed this year, including the Invesco High Yield Equity Dividend Achievers ETF, which is flat so far in January.
00:04:12.000Individuals who are big purchasers of hot stocks and bullish call options, which gave holders the right but not the obligation to buy shares at a certain price, are also reversing their approach.
00:04:20.000Some are dabbling in broad market index funds, As well as bearish put options, which confer the right to sell shares at a stated price by a specified date.
00:04:27.000So people are banking on the idea that the stock market is now going to correct and stabilize or go down over the course of the next few months.
00:04:34.000While higher interest rates as the Wall Street Journal aren't likely to seriously crimp economic growth, at least over the next few months, a turnaround in investor attitudes is already being felt and is likely to continue to ripple through markets in unpredictable ways.
00:04:49.000Rising rates are likely, said Rob Arnott, founding chairman of Research Affiliates, an asset management firm based in Newport Beach, California.
00:04:56.000This week, hedge fund investor William Ackman said his firm had acquired 3.1 million shares of Netflix after the stock's recent tumble.
00:05:03.000Mr. Arnott and others urged caution, said sell the surges, don't buy the dips.
00:05:15.000Never sell when the market is going down is, you know, the first rule of investing.
00:05:19.000But with that said, the S&P 500 and the Dow are now on track for their fourth weekly loss.
00:05:23.000According to the Wall Street Journal, futures for the S&P 500 wavered, falling 0.5%.
00:05:28.000The benchmark gauge of large-cap stocks has fallen 1.6% for the week, putting it on course for its longest losing streak since September of 2020.
00:05:36.000Futures for the technology-focused NASDAQ 100 slipped 0.1%.
00:05:40.000Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6%.
00:05:44.000Chevron reported its most profitable year since 2014, said it would raise capital expenditures by 20% to $15 billion this year.
00:05:50.000Shares fell 1.6% in pre-market trading anyway.
00:05:54.000Caterpillar edged down after the company reported a surge in costs, offsetting a jump in revenue.
00:05:59.000Apple shares did rise 4.1% ahead of the bell after the biggest U.S.
00:06:02.000company by market cap posted record revenue and profits.
00:06:05.000Shares of Robinhood Markets, which reported a quarterly loss of $423 million, dropped 14% in pre-market trading.
00:06:12.000And of course, Chairman Jerome Powell added to expectations the central bank will start a series of interest rate increases in March.
00:06:21.000economy is experiencing very strong growth.
00:06:24.000However, that growth is paired with extraordinary inflation.
00:06:27.000And that, again, is because of government policy.
00:06:30.000Inflation, as Milton Friedman once said, is anywhere and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.
00:06:35.000According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S.
00:06:36.000economy grew rapidly in the fourth quarter of last year, advancing to a 6.9% annual rate.
00:06:42.000A growth has run into obstacles that could lead to more modest growth this year, say economists.
00:06:46.000So you're looking for a slowing economy this year.
00:06:47.000GDP, the broadest measures of goods and services in the fourth quarter, accelerated from the third quarter's growth of 2.3% adjusted for inflation.
00:06:55.000The gain reflected solid spending by households, much of it occurring early in the quarter.
00:07:18.000Economist at the Research Firm Capital Economics says the headline 6.9% figure is probably a bit overly optimistic in terms of the underlying strength of demand.
00:07:26.000We do think it's increasingly clear that the case that the economy is essentially at or rapidly approaching that capacity constrained potential level, the speed limit is lower now than it was before the pandemic.
00:07:36.000Two factors that helped drive last year's expansion, the torrents of cash sent from Congress to households, and the ultra-low borrowing costs stoked by the Fed are fading.
00:07:44.000Households have spent down some of their stimulus money.
00:07:46.000And again, it's the underlying economic activity that matters.
00:07:48.000Because when you decide that the economy is basically about how the Federal Reserve is going to take in money and then Gush out money.
00:07:55.000That is not about underlying economic activity.
00:07:57.000The underlying economic activity has to be based on innovation.
00:08:01.000It has to be based on people creating new services and products and selling those and competing.
00:08:07.000They don't grow just because the Federal Reserve takes in money and then breathes it back out again in a sort of reverse osmosis osmosis process with regard to the monetary supply.
00:08:17.000It happens to be the case, according again to the Wall Street Journal, that the cost of hiring new employees and retaining existing ones in the nation's tight labor market is now growing at nearly its fastest pace in a generation.
00:08:28.000That's helping to fuel inflation as employers pass labor costs to customers.
00:08:32.000Employment Cost Index, a quarterly measure of wages and benefits paid by employers is expected to show that costs continue to rise at the highest rate in two decades of available records.
00:08:41.000So it could be even more, because this only goes back a couple of decades.
00:08:44.000Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal expect a seasonally adjusted increase of 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021 over the prior three months, which experienced a similar increase.
00:08:53.000The third quarter gain, when compared with the same quarter from a year earlier, rose 3.7 percent.
00:08:59.000Labor costs are a significant contributor to rising prices.
00:09:01.000The current tight labor market is encouraging many workers with bargaining power to switch jobs and demand more pay, raising the risk of a destabilizing inflation dynamic known as a wage-price spiral, in which the prices go up, so people need more money for their wages, and then the wages go up, so the producers have to charge more money for the product.
00:09:19.000And her as an executive director at IHS markets as quote, inflation has fundamentally picked up.
00:09:24.000I think it's fair to say price gains are feeding back into wage gains.
00:09:27.000There's a lot of pressure on the supply side on both commodities and labor.
00:09:31.000Investors and the Federal Reserve now consider the labor market to be at or near full employment, despite the fact that the economy has only recovered about 84% of the jobs it had before the pandemic.
00:09:40.000So, 16% of the jobs we had before the pandemic are still gone.
00:09:44.000The labor force has dramatically shrunk.
00:09:45.000With the unemployment rate now below 4%, the Fed is shifting gears from providing stimulus to the economy to fighting inflation while trying to maintain the labor market recovery.
00:09:55.000Jerome Powell says we are attentive to the risks that persistent real wage growth in excess of productivity could put upward pressure on inflation.
00:10:02.000So as the Wall Street Journal points out, none of this was necessary.
00:10:05.000We could have just had a normal economic recovery and everything would have been fine if Joe Biden and the Federal Reserve had left everything alone, but they didn't.
00:10:13.000As the Wall Street Journal editorial page points out, imagine if the Biden administration had focused primarily on the pandemic as it took power a year ago.
00:10:20.000Get the vaccines out, accelerate COVID therapies, let an economy poised to soar take off on its own.
00:10:24.000No $1.9 trillion relief bill in March, no threat of new tax increases and spending to quote-unquote transform American society.
00:10:30.000Would the economy now be healthier with much less inflation, fewer shortages, and more consumer and business confidence?
00:10:35.000We'll never know, but there's a strong case for thinking so.
00:10:39.000The Bureau of Economic Analysis says the GDP expanded 5.7% in 2021, which is the fastest annual growth since the 80s.
00:10:45.000But the recovery from the pandemic was always going to take off.
00:10:48.000Politicians shut the economy down for much of 2020 and poured cash into consumer pockets to compensate.
00:10:52.000And the Federal Reserve flooded the economy with more money.
00:10:55.000A boom for the ages was poised to happen in 2021.
00:10:58.000No doubt the Biden administration would take credit.
00:11:00.000In the event, the economy in 2021 did not grow nearly as fast or in as healthy a fashion as it should have.
00:11:05.000That is clear from the details of growth in the fourth quarter.
00:11:08.000Top-line growth of 6.9% was robust, accelerating from 2.3% in the third quarter.
00:11:13.000But, by far, the biggest contributor to GDP, 4.9 percentage points, was a buildup of inventories.
00:11:18.000This means retailers and other businesses were restocking empty shelves, not making sales.
00:11:24.000There's probably more inventory buildup to come due to shortages across the economy, but that fourth quarter increase is unsustainable.
00:11:29.000In other words, what happened is there was a backlog of products.
00:11:32.000And so everybody produced in order to put those products on the shelves, but that pace is not going to continue because now everybody's got their product, right?
00:11:39.000It's going to come off the shelves and people don't need the second product.
00:11:44.000So all that happened is there was a massive buildup of economic growth that happened to sort of materialize in the fourth quarter.
00:11:50.000According to the Wall Street Journal, editorial board consumer spending contributed 2.25% percentage points.
00:11:55.000Much of that came from spending down accumulated savings from the government largesse.
00:12:00.000The personal savings rate fell to 7.4% from 9.5% in the third quarter.
00:12:05.000Real disposable income after inflation fell 5.8% in the fourth quarter after falling 4.3% in the third.
00:12:12.000Real disposable income is down 5.8% in the fourth quarter after falling 4.3% in the third.
00:12:17.000Okay, that means that people are spending down all the money that they got from the government and they're going to run out soon.
00:12:21.000The White House hailed the GDP growth figure, but if times are so good, why do the polls give the economy low marks and Biden little credit?
00:12:28.000The best explanation is inflation running at 7% in the consumer price index.
00:12:33.000Even the Fed's preferred inflation measure, personal consumption expenditures, rose at an annual rate of 6.5% in the fourth quarter, accelerating from 5.3% in the third quarter.
00:12:42.000This is where focus on COVID's strategy would have helped.
00:12:45.000The March spending blowout caused a surge in demand that met with a historic supply shortage.
00:12:49.000And then the uncertainty from the proposed Build Back Better tax increases and vows to punish businesses with new regulation added to the supply problems.
00:12:55.000Because why would you invest into a market that was going to tax the living hell out of you?
00:13:09.000So, to understand what Bitcoin and crypto are, essentially, Bitcoin and crypto have a couple of main purposes.
00:13:16.000One is financial security that does not require verifiability from a financial institution.
00:13:21.000Normally, when you use your credit card, there are like seven or eight actual layers, intermediaries, between the person to whom you are giving the money and you.
00:13:29.000There are a bunch of verifiability companies.
00:13:32.000Companies that verify that your credit card transaction is correct.
00:13:34.000The credit card company having to deal with your bank in order to actually convey the money, right?
00:13:39.000The credit card company doesn't just have all of your money on hand.
00:13:42.000The bank has to pay the credit card company.
00:13:43.000The credit card company then pays the person to whom you're paying, etc.
00:13:46.000Okay, there are like seven or eight intermediaries.
00:13:49.000What the financial innovation part of Bitcoin is, what cryptocurrencies do, is they cut that out.
00:14:02.000There's a bunch of people who are sitting in rooms cracking codes.
00:14:05.000The reason that they are cracking the codes is when they crack a code they have verified that your exchange is proper.
00:14:09.000So they can trace every dollar that is being sent via cryptocurrency from one place to another place and verify that it's not just fake money that's being made up and transferred.
00:14:43.000Just like gold or silver, just like any other hard asset, cryptocurrency cannot be manipulated by outside forces who just blow up the amount of cryptocurrency in circulation and therefore devalue the cryptocurrency that you have in your pocket.
00:14:56.000Now the catch with cryptocurrency is that the value of cryptocurrency is largely dependent on how many people are into it.
00:15:04.000It depends on how many people want it at any given time.
00:15:07.000So when the dollar seems more solid, fewer people are going to invest in cryptocurrency, which is what you've been seeing over the last couple of months as cryptocurrencies have seen a bunch of people sell off.
00:15:15.000And you've seen it go from a high of 65,000 down to the mid 30s.
00:15:18.000There's a lot of volatility in the crypto market because there are not enough players in the crypto market as of yet.
00:15:24.000So what this means that basically cryptocurrency is good for two purposes one as a repository of value and second as a as an actual currency that can be used in exchange the problem with using it as a currency is in exchange is that when the value of cryptocurrency varies that widely would you as a as a Say car dealership owner wants to take crypto in payment for your car when that crypto could be worth half of what it is today, tomorrow.
00:15:48.000As crypto gains broader and broader market acceptance, however, that could change.
00:15:52.000And as blockchain technology gains broader and broader usage, that's going to cut out a bunch of those intermediaries that we've been talking about.
00:15:58.000The biggest victims of cryptocurrency are centralized government bureaucracies.
00:16:02.000The Federal Reserve hates cryptocurrencies.
00:16:04.000The reason that the Federal Reserve hates cryptocurrencies is because they provide a hedge against the federal government being able to inflate and deflate your savings.
00:16:12.000Because again, unlike the Federal Reserve, there is no centralized power that is in control of the amount of cryptocurrency in circulation.
00:16:18.000When the Federal Reserve wants to decrease the value of the dollar, all they have to do is buy up a bunch of assets from the market and inject money into the circulation flow of the economy.
00:16:29.000And when they want there to be less money in circulation, they attempt to sell off as much as they possibly can, which is what you are seeing right now.
00:16:35.000They can also monkey around with the overnight interest rates that banks charge to other banks when they have to fill in their ledgers.
00:16:42.000None of that happens with cryptocurrency.
00:16:43.000So what this means is that if you're Joe Biden and you are heavily reliant on government manipulation of the currency markets in order for you to be able to pursue your agenda, if you want the government to have complete control over everybody's savings, what you really want to do is centralize more of that control.
00:16:59.000And this is why the Biden administration, in the middle of economic turmoil, is now talking about heavy regulations on crypto.
00:17:04.000Because what they don't want is a parallel shadow economy arising that they cannot control.
00:17:09.000So this is why today the White House announced that they want crypto rules as a matter of national security.
00:17:13.000They're calling it a national security issue.
00:17:15.000The claim being that because they're usually banks that are intermediaries between payments, this allows them to, for example, monitor terrorist transactions.
00:17:23.000And if you get rid of all the intermediaries, then terrorists can transfer money across borders without having to worry about any of those institutions verifying the transaction.
00:17:31.000But that's not all they're trying to regulate here.
00:17:33.000This really is not about national security.
00:17:35.000Again, one of the things about cryptocurrencies that's kind of amazing is you can actually trace every single dollar because the blockchain is accessible.
00:17:42.000You can see how these transactions work.
00:17:45.000According to Behrens, the Biden administration is preparing to release an executive action that will task federal agencies with regulating digital assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a matter of national security.
00:17:55.000A person familiar with the White House's plan tells Behrens.
00:17:58.000Only the federal government can send pallets of cash to Iran.
00:18:01.000You, however, cannot conduct a cross-border transaction in crypto to buy a product from, say, Mexico.
00:18:07.000The National Security Memorandum, expected to come in the next few weeks, would task parts of the government with analyzing digital assets and assembling a regulatory framework that covers cryptos, stablecoins, and NFTs, or non-fungible tokens, this person said.
00:18:19.000The person said this is designed to look holistically at digital assets and develop a set of policies that give coherency to what the federal government is trying to do in this space.
00:18:26.000The State Department, Treasury Department, National Economic Council, and Council of Economic Advisors would be involved in this initiative.
00:18:33.000The White House National Security Council would also be involved, the person said, since crypto has economic implications for national security.
00:18:38.000Along these lines, the administration would instruct agencies to work on harmonizing regulations of digital assets between countries.
00:18:45.000So they're looking for an international regime of cryptocurrency control.
00:18:48.000If you think that these governments are deeply concerned about the passage of money for terrorist purposes, you got another thing coming.
00:18:55.000First of all, the number one asset that people actually use to conduct black market transactions is cold, hard cash.
00:19:02.000They actually use just American dollars, for example.
00:19:05.000Which is why in every crime movie you've ever seen, somebody shows up with a briefcase full of actual cash.
00:19:10.000So maybe they should crack down on American dollars and the usage of cash.
00:19:12.000By the way, they are attempting to do this because they actually want to trace all your transactions as well.
00:19:16.000The White House wouldn't issue recommendations.
00:19:18.000Agencies would be given three to six months to come up with proposals.
00:19:20.000As the White House would act as a policy coordinator, the White House declined to comment.
00:19:25.000The White House aims to bring order to the haphazard approach that the government is now using to regulate crypto, the person said.
00:19:30.000Various agencies oversee the industry, including the SEC, the Commodities Future Trading Commission.
00:19:35.000There's no consensus on matters such as whether some tokens should be registered as securities or how to oversee exchanges, stable coins and high yield lending products.
00:19:44.000The Biden administration wants Congress to draft rules.
00:19:47.000The White House released a report on stable coins in November, recommending that Congress act promptly to regulate the industry.
00:19:52.000The Federal Reserve is also weighing in on digital currencies.
00:19:55.000The Fed released a report on a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, earlier in January that laid out the pros and cons of digitizing the dollar.
00:20:02.000The report said the Fed could start working on the project with support from the White House and Congress.
00:20:06.000Once the Fed digitizes the dollar, they can inflate or deflate the currency with literally the push of a button.
00:20:11.000They can just push a button, and they can make money appear or disappear.
00:20:14.000And if you start to have the Federal Reserve acting as your banker, and you're going to store your digital money with the Federal Reserve, do you really want Jerome Powell and control that directly of your assets?
00:20:25.000And you want them regulating crypto so that you are forced into the Federal Reserve currency?
00:20:29.000They get rid of things like Bitcoin and instead they choke it off and instead they say, if you want to be involved in a digital currency without the market transactional cost of using a credit card, then what you really need to do is you need to head on over to the Federal Reserve so they're in complete control of your savings.
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00:21:34.000All righty, so Paul Krugman is coming out strong against cryptocurrencies, which is not a shocker.
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00:21:57.000Alrighty, so Paul Krugman is coming out strong against cryptocurrencies, which is not a shocker.
00:22:01.000Paul Krugman suggests that it's just like a subprime mortgage.
00:22:04.000It's not just like a subprime mortgage.
00:22:06.000Subprime mortgages were subsidized by the federal government.
00:22:09.000The subprime mortgage industry arose because the federal government essentially said they were going to backstop a bunch of mortgages they knew were going to go broke.
00:22:17.000And then they were hoping that the market just kept increasing so that people could sell off their houses if they did go broke.
00:22:23.000The subprime mortgage crisis was created by government policy designed to make sure that people who could not pay their mortgages got mortgages.
00:22:30.000This was the explicit goal of the subprime mortgage market.
00:22:33.000And then the market started playing with those and packaging the subprime mortgages with other mortgages and mixing in toxic assets with non-toxic assets.
00:22:41.000And creating all sorts of derivative arrangements.
00:22:44.000And those derivative arrangements then had infectious effects throughout the economy in 2007-2008.
00:22:49.000But the key problem with subprime is that there were a bunch of people who could not afford houses, who were being granted subprime mortgages on the basis of zero or no credit history because the federal government was subsidizing that.
00:23:00.000Paul Krugman, however, is trying to compare crypto to subprime, which again makes no sense.
00:23:04.000Crypto is based on you literally taking your money and buying a product.
00:23:18.000Because anything that he can use as an excuse to crack down on a particular practice, he will.
00:23:24.000So never mind that Paul Krugman had nothing to say about the real estate bubble that was being created by the Federal Reserve and the federal government, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, during the 2000s, so far as I'm aware.
00:23:35.000And it doesn't matter that he's very much in line with the idea that the federal government should be subsidizing low-rate mortgages to people of minority backgrounds who can't actually pay those mortgages.
00:23:47.000He says this is just like crypto, because if subprime is bad and crypto is bad, this means they're the same.
00:23:52.000So Paul Krugman, who is just, it's insane this guy won a Nobel Prize.
00:23:55.000I mean, he won a Nobel Prize for trade policy, and then he proceeded to just blabber about everything else that he has no idea what he's talking about.
00:24:05.000The ultra crepedarianism, the speaking out of turn by Paul Krugman on these issues is pretty astonishing.
00:24:10.000He says, if the stock market isn't the economy, which it isn't really, then cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin really, really aren't the economy.
00:24:15.000Still, crypto has become a pretty big asset class and yielded huge capital gains to many buyers.
00:24:20.000By last fall, the combined market value of crypto had reached almost $3 trillion.
00:24:24.000Since then, however, prices have crashed, wiping out around $1.3 trillion in market capitalization.
00:24:30.000As of Thursday morning, Bitcoin's price was almost halfway down from its November peak.
00:24:33.000So who's being hurt by this crash and what might it do to the economy?
00:24:36.000Well, first of all, anytime the economy goes down, the people who are at the margins of the economy do the worst.
00:24:42.000The stock market has taken a dump over the last month.
00:24:45.000The people who are hurt the worst are the people in pension funds, the people who have taken their little bit of savings and put it in the stock market.
00:24:53.000If people have a lot of money in the stock market, they're fine.
00:25:02.000I won't sell it right now because I'm not an idiot.
00:25:04.000I basically bought it around where it is right now.
00:25:07.000So I'll just wait for it to go back up again.
00:25:09.000But according to Paul Krugman, crypto innately targets the most vulnerable, which he's going to have to explain.
00:25:15.000He says, I'm seeing uncomfortable parallels with the subprime crisis of the 2000s.
00:25:19.000No, crypto doesn't threaten the financial system.
00:25:21.000The numbers aren't big enough to do that.
00:25:23.000But there's growing evidence the risks of crypto are falling disproportionately on people who don't know what they are getting into and are poorly positioned to handle the downside.
00:25:30.000My favorite thing about Paul Krugman is that he thinks that if the government tells you what to do with your money, you will do better.
00:25:34.000And then after the government tells you what to do with your money and sponsors financial products like subprime mortgages and everything goes south, the solution is the government needs to step in and do something about it.
00:25:44.000There is no falsifiability to any of Paul Krugman's theses about exactly how the government's involvement in the economy is good.
00:25:51.000He says, what's this crypto thing about?
00:25:52.000There are many ways to make digital payments from Apple Pay and Google Pay to Venmo.
00:25:56.000Mainstream payment schemes, however, rely on a third party, usually your bank, to verify you actually own the assets you're transferring.
00:26:01.000Cryptocurrencies use complex codings to supposedly do away with the need for these third parties.
00:26:06.000I mean, the cryptocurrencies have been used all over the world.
00:26:11.000Skeptics wonder why this is necessary and argue that crypto ends up being an awkward, expensive way to do things you could have done more easily in other ways, which is why cryptocurrencies still have few legal applications 13 years after Bitcoin was introduced.
00:26:21.000Well, no, the real reason that they have few legal applications is because the government actively discourages people from investing in Bitcoin.
00:26:27.000And until Bitcoin reaches critical mass or a huge number of people own it.
00:26:32.000It's going to be very difficult to use it as an actual asset that is tradable on markets.
00:26:37.000There are certain countries like El Salvador, which has started using crypto as a medium of exchange.
00:27:09.000A hit that's an order of magnitude smaller than the effects of falling home prices when the housing bubble bursts.
00:27:14.000And activities like Bitcoin mining, while environmentally destructive, are economically trivial compared with home building, whose plunge played a large role in causing the Great Recession.
00:27:38.000Because there are a bunch of people who can't actually open bank accounts because they don't have enough assets.
00:27:42.000So instead, they take their money, they put it in crypto, and then they can actually transfer money between themselves using crypto wallets.
00:28:07.000The cryptocurrencies are opening up investing opportunities for more diverse investors.
00:28:10.000But I remember the days when subprime mortgage lending was similarly celebrated and when it was hailed as a way to open up the benefits of home ownership to previously excluded groups.
00:28:17.000Yeah, the difference is, again, the federal government was subsidizing the subprime mortgages.
00:28:21.000It was the federal government and people like Paul Krugman pushing it.
00:28:58.000People invest in products when they think that they will make money from those products.
00:29:02.000And Paul Krugman's assessment that people don't have enough information about crypto, and so crypto is bad, really is because Paul Krugman has trust in government officials to control the currency.
00:29:12.000He says, maybe those of us who still can't see what crypto cryptocurrencies are good for other than money laundering and tax evasion are just missing the picture.
00:29:20.000Does maybe the rising valuation of Bitcoin and its rivals represent something more than a bubble in which people buy an asset simply because other people have made money off that asset in the past?
00:29:28.000It's OK for investors to bet against skeptics, but these investors should be people who are both well equipped to make that judgment and financially secure enough to bear the losses.
00:29:35.000If it turns out the skeptics are right.
00:29:37.000He says, regulators have made the same mistake they made on Subprime.
00:29:40.000They failed to protect the public against financial products nobody understood.
00:29:44.000They just didn't think that the market was going to go down.
00:29:47.000And I love the innate racism of Paul Krugman here.
00:29:50.000He's like, you know that there are a bunch of minority people who have this crypto thing and they shouldn't be allowed to have those crypto things now that the government getting involved because they're stupid and they don't know things.
00:29:59.000I mean, he literally says 44% of crypto investors are non-whites.
00:30:03.000And then he's like, also, we need to regulate crypto because stupid people are getting involved in crypto.
00:30:11.000But again, what this comes down to when it comes to crypto, when it comes to economic control, If the Biden administration gave up economic control, if they got over their build back better nonsense, if they got over the idea that the Federal Reserve is supposed to be the economic fixer of first option, then the economy would do a lot better.
00:30:29.000If the Federal Reserve was just there to provide essentially a 2% monetary increase every year, which by the way, I'm opposed to as a general matter, because it means that over the course of 25 years, half of your savings is gone.
00:30:40.000But with that said, the basic Notion that the Federal Reserve is there to serve as sort of a backstop in case of a run on the banks is not a bad idea, but that's not what the Federal Reserve is anymore.
00:30:52.000There's a point that the head of Allianz, Mohamed El-Erian, has made over and over and over.
00:30:57.000He says that basically the Federal Reserve and centralized apparatuses, apparati, like the Federal Reserve control too much of our markets, and this is a bad thing.
00:31:10.000And when you don't trust the market, the market doesn't trust you.
00:31:12.000And this is why you have an economy that is performing at less than stellar.
00:31:16.000Alrighty, in just one second, we'll get to Joe Biden's Supreme Court pick, because Justice Breyer did announce his retirement yesterday.
00:31:23.000Basically, they had one of those shepherd's crooks, and Justice Breyer was just sitting there at the Supreme Court, and they went, and they just kind of pulled him directly off of the Supreme Court.
00:31:32.000He went along with it because he understands the Democrats are about to be wiped out in the Senate.
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00:33:09.000DailyWire.com slash watch right now to check out Adam Carolla's great new comedy series, Truth Yeller.
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00:33:22.000Also, if there's anybody in the Biden administration, mainstream media, Big Pharma, don't want you to hear, it is the voice of Dr. Robert Malone.
00:33:28.000He was the guy who was on Joe Rogan, and you will remember that they basically banned him from social media, even though he's an American virologist, immunologist, and pioneer of mRNA vaccines.
00:33:37.000That is because of his public skepticism of the total efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine.
00:33:43.000In any sane society, his background would qualify him as an expert whose opinions should at least be heard, but we are not living in a sane society, and so he is being censored.
00:33:51.000Which is why our very own Candace Owens sat down for a three and a half hour interview with Dr. Malone, does not leave any stone unturned.
00:33:57.000Together, they touch on some of the most alarming stats, questions, and trends mainstream media and big tech do not want to acknowledge.
00:34:03.000It's an incredibly important interview.
00:34:04.000It'll be available exclusively at dailywire.com this Tuesday, February 1st.
00:34:08.000If you don't already have a Daily Wire membership, join now to catch the newest episode of Candace, premiering this Tuesday, 9 p.m.
00:34:15.000Also, tune in this Sunday for a brand new episode of the Sunday Special featuring my interview with First Amendment Attorney Harmeet Dhillon.
00:34:22.000Harmeet represented us at the Supreme Court with regard to the COVID vaccine mandate pushed by the Biden administration, and she fights with conservative lawfare all of the predations of the left on a daily basis.
00:36:01.000So Joe Biden continued to reiterate that he will pick a black woman, which again is kind of insane.
00:36:05.000The reason it's insane is because in any other context, that would just be racist.
00:36:09.000If you said I need a white male, that would be racist.
00:36:11.000If you said I need an Asian transgender little person, that would also be sort of strange.
00:36:18.000Labeling people not by their belief system about the Constitution, but by their race and sex seems kind of counterintuitive when your entire schtick is that you're supposedly an anti-racist.
00:36:27.000But of course, we know that the Ibram X. Kendi anti-racist folks are the most racist people in America today.
00:36:52.000I made that commitment during the campaign for president, and I will keep that commitment.
00:36:56.000Now, I'm just going to point out right here that Joe Biden did vote against Clarence Thomas's nomination to the Supreme Court on the basis of the ridiculous Sidney DeHill accusations.
00:37:04.000Also, his party filibustered the woman who certainly would have been the first black woman on the Supreme Court, Janice Rogers Brown, when George W. Bush wanted to nominate her for the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals.
00:37:13.000It was the Democrats who attempted to filibuster Janice Rogers Brown.
00:37:16.000They did the same thing with Hispanic American Miguel Estrada when it came to the D.C.
00:37:21.000So all of their affirmative action nonsense to the side, the reality is that what they mean is a person who believes like we believe, but also is going to fulfill certain intersectional checkboxes so I can go back to my constituents and I can pretend that I care deeply about them.
00:37:37.000Now, the amazing thing is that the media immediately went into full spin mode, and you could see that this was going to happen because as soon as Joe Biden had said, I need a black woman, everybody on the right went, OK, that's affirmative action and a violation of basic equal protection standards.
00:39:22.000And meanwhile, Jen Psaki is suggesting that the GOP is obliterating their own credibility by criticizing Biden's pick.
00:39:27.000Well, no, we are criticizing him for saying that he will only look at the race and sex of a person as a as a predominant characteristic.
00:39:35.000And also, we think that you're just going to select a Democratic apparatchik who's going to do whatever you want, because that's what you guys do.
00:39:40.000Again, Democrats never miss on this stuff because they just find somebody who agrees with them politically and then appoint that person to the Supreme Court knowing they don't care about the Constitution.
00:39:51.000The president made very clear he has not made a selection.
00:39:55.000If anyone is saying they plan to characterize whoever he nominates after consideration with both parties as radical before they know literally anything about who she is, they just obliterated their own credibility.
00:40:07.000Oh man, talk about obliterating your own credibility.
00:40:09.000Jen Psaki, every single, that should be the title of her autobiography, Obliterating My Credibility, Jen Psaki Story.
00:40:32.000He said, quote, Objectively, best pick for Biden is Sri Srinivasan, who is a solid progressive and very smart, even has identity politics benefit of being the first Asian slash Indian American.
00:40:42.000But alas, doesn't fit into the latest intersectional hierarchy.
00:40:59.000They're trying to basically oust him from his position over at Georgetown anyway.
00:41:03.000So you have a guy named Mark Joseph Stern, who's tweeting out, he says that Georgetown law has hired him, so I feel an obligation to condemn him as a staff writer at Slate trying to get Ilya Shapiro canceled from his job because he is making clear that the Biden administration is picking somebody who's less qualified, at least, than the person that he described there.
00:41:26.000Again, affirmative action for Democrats.
00:41:29.000It's not affirmative action when they do it, even if they say it's affirmative action.
00:41:31.000Meanwhile, we all know the real reason, by the way, that they somehow convinced Justice Breyer to step down.
00:41:36.000The real reason they convinced him to step down is because they're about to get walloped.
00:41:39.000There's a brand new poll out of Georgia today from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution and the University of Georgia, and it finds Governor Brian Kemp right now up on Stacey Abrams by seven points, despite all the controversy surrounding Kemp.
00:41:52.000Even Senator Perdue, the ex-Senator, he beats Stacey Abrams by four.
00:41:56.000Meanwhile, in the Senate, Herschel Walker is up three on Senator Raphael Warnock, 47 to 44.
00:42:02.000And according to polling data, actually, only 21% of Georgians say that an endorsement from Trump would make a candidate more attractive to them.
00:42:11.000Only 21%, 49% say that it would make a candidate less attractive to them.
00:42:16.000Now you assume that that includes, you know, all the Democrats, but here's the bottom line.
00:42:20.000If you look at the approved versus disapproved ratings for various members of the Georgia delegation, they're not great for the Democrats.
00:42:28.000Ossoff is at 43, Warnock is at 44, Biden is at 34.
00:42:33.000So things are likely to get extremely ugly for Raphael Warnock in Georgia before things are over.
00:42:37.000Meanwhile, in Nevada, it looks like things are really ugly.
00:42:40.000By the way, it is also true that the Democrats have now engaged in precisely the same strategy that Donald Trump engaged in the Georgia election earlier this year.
00:42:49.000So you remember, Donald Trump, after he did not win Georgia, after that happened, he came out and he said that was because of voter fraud and your vote really doesn't count in Georgia.
00:42:57.000And a bunch of Republicans stayed home for the Senate elections, which is why you have now two blue senators from a red state.
00:43:03.000And that was because Donald Trump intervened and people from the rural areas did not vote in that senatorial election, which is a foolish move.
00:43:09.000Now Democrats are like, hey, let's do it too.
00:43:11.000Apparently, according to a new Quinnipiac poll, 45% of black voters in Georgia think it will be somewhat or very difficult to vote.
00:43:20.000Hey, now, how many believe that in 2020?
00:43:22.0007% of black Democrats, sorry, not black Democrats, 7% of black voters in Georgia total Said that they thought it was very difficult to vote in 2020.
00:43:35.000Now 45% say it is very difficult to vote.
00:43:37.000How many of those people are going to stay home just because they believe it's difficult to vote?
00:43:40.000So brilliant strategies here from the Biden administration.