The Ben Shapiro Show - November 08, 2023


The Cry-Terrorist Strategy of Hamas Supporters


Episode Stats

Length

51 minutes

Words per Minute

202.24588

Word Count

10,446

Sentence Count

734

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

41


Summary

Rashida Tlaib is a cry bully. She supports the most egregious atrocities known to man, but hides behind her religion to claim victimhood and then weeps about her supposed "victimhood." Here she was yesterday, claiming that she was being silenced, and then, of course, crying about it. And this is precisely why she is now being treated as a victim by legacy media: because she is a member of the oppressed class, and this means she can spout blood-libels. And then, when called on her lies and her Jew hatred, she can shed crocodile tears. That is precisely what happened yesterday when a resolution sponsored by Rep. Rich McCormick (D-GA) called for her censure for "promoting false narratives regarding the October 7th, 2323 Hamas attack on Israel and for calling for the destruction of the State of Israel." The resolution passed, with 22 Democrats voting in favor, but only 22 of them were actually in favor of censuring her. It's okay, it's okay. We are strong, we are human beings. We deserve a chance to be a victim, and we are stronger than we think we are, but we are strong enough to fight for ourselves, and to speak truth to power even if it means we have to go through hell and high water. and that means we are more than strong enough, and that we are not weak, but that we can be brave enough to stand up for ourselves and speak truth and stand up to the truth and speak our truths and stand for what s good and speak out against lies and speak the truth. And we believe in the truth, even when it s not good enough, no matter what the media say. And that s okay, because it s okay? It s not okay, we re not a victim. We re human beings, it s just like anyone else, and no one else can be a bully, right or wrong, but it s okay or not to say what s right or bad, right, and it s OKAY? or not to do what s wrong? and it s ok, right? And it s fine, right and okay, let s right, right ? in fact, it is not okay and she s not a bad or , right, ? in the words of her own words that s


Transcript

00:00:00.000 On Sunday, an elderly Jewish man attending a pro-Israel rally in Thousand Oaks, California was killed after being allegedly hit in the head with a megaphone wielded by a pro-Hamas protester.
00:00:09.000 That attack represents only the latest and most damaging anti-Semitic attack in the West.
00:00:13.000 In Sydney, Australia, journalist Sherry Markson reports that a Jewish man was nearly beaten to death by a pro-Hamas mob and ended up in the hospital for four days with a concussion and four spinal fractures.
00:00:23.000 In France, a Jewish woman was stabbed twice in the stomach and a swastika daubed on her door.
00:00:27.000 In Indiana, a A pro-Hamas woman tried to drive a car into what she thought was a Jewish school.
00:00:31.000 Normally, such events might spur nationwide conversations about anti-Semitism and the cost of radical rhetoric.
00:00:37.000 After all, according to the White House, a national conversation regarding Islamophobia has been made necessary by the murder of a six-year-old Palestinian Arab child in Michigan.
00:00:46.000 But no, there's been no such conversation about any climate of hate.
00:00:50.000 That's for one reason and one reason alone.
00:00:52.000 The people doing the hating and the people hated.
00:00:55.000 Those doing the hating are fans of Hamas, both radical Muslims and fellow travelers on the left.
00:01:00.000 Those being hated are Jews.
00:01:02.000 And, as everyone of sophisticated moral bent knows, Muslims, being disproportionately brown and disproportionately poor, and the majority in dozens of materially underperforming countries globally, are victims.
00:01:12.000 And Jews, being highly educated and high earning, and the majority in precisely one materially successful state, are victimizers.
00:01:18.000 That's always the math.
00:01:20.000 Brown or poor equals oppressed.
00:01:22.000 White or successful equals oppressor.
00:01:24.000 Being a member of the oppressed means you are a victim, no matter how evil you are.
00:01:29.000 That is precisely why Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib, a raging Jew-hater, is now being treated as a victim by many in the legacy media.
00:01:36.000 Tlaib is a sitting Congresswoman, which means that by any standard, she is successful.
00:01:39.000 But she is also brown and also hates the West, which means that she is a member of the oppressed class.
00:01:44.000 And this means she can spout blood libels.
00:01:46.000 She still maintains that Israel bombed a hospital in Gaza, despite all evidence to the contrary.
00:01:50.000 It means she can call for the utter destruction of the state of Israel, pushing the slogan from the river to the sea and the genocide that inevitably entails.
00:01:58.000 It means she can blame Israel for Hamas' attack on Israeli civilians while claiming moral equivalence between a group that burns babies alive and a group that attempts to avoid civilian casualties.
00:02:07.000 It means she can spend her career hobnobbing with open terror supporters, and it means she can claim falsely that Israel is engaged in genocide and threaten President Biden over that false claim.
00:02:17.000 And then, when called on her lies and her Jew hatred, she can shed crocodile tears.
00:02:22.000 That's precisely what happened yesterday when a resolution sponsored by Representative Rich McCormick of Georgia called for her censure.
00:02:28.000 McCormick's resolution censured Tlaib for, quote, promoting false narratives regarding the October 7th, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel, and for calling for the destruction of the State of Israel.
00:02:37.000 The resolution passed 234 to 188, with 22 Democrats voting in favor.
00:02:42.000 This resolution, according to Tlaib and her allies, is oppression.
00:02:45.000 Rashida Tlaib is the victim.
00:02:48.000 Tlaib is a cry bully.
00:02:49.000 To be more specific, she is a cry hamasnik.
00:02:52.000 She supports the most egregious atrocities known to man, but hides behind her religion to claim immunity, and then weeps about her supposed victimhood.
00:02:59.000 Here she was yesterday, claiming that she was being silenced, and then, of course, crying about it.
00:03:04.000 I will not be silenced, and I will not let you distort my words.
00:03:09.000 Folks forget I'm from the city of Detroit, the most beautiful blackest city in the country, where I learned to speak truth to power even if my voice shakes.
00:03:17.000 Trying to bully or censor me won't work, because this movement for a ceasefire is much bigger than one person.
00:03:25.000 Mr. Chair, do you know what it's like to fear rising hate crimes, to know how Islamophobia and anti-Semitism makes us all less safe, and worry that your own child might suffer the horrors that six-year-old Wadiyat did in Illinois?
00:03:38.000 I can't believe I have to say this, but Palestinian people are not disposable.
00:03:43.000 There are the dears.
00:03:53.000 And she's comforted by Ilhan Omar, fellow Hamasnik.
00:03:56.000 It's okay, Rashida.
00:03:57.000 It's okay.
00:03:59.000 You're strong, Rashida.
00:04:00.000 We are human beings.
00:04:01.000 It's okay.
00:04:04.000 Just like anyone else.
00:04:08.000 No one said that Palestinians are not human beings just like anyone else.
00:04:12.000 They just said that Hamas is evil and should be destroyed, and she disagrees with that and believes that Israel is evil and ought to be destroyed.
00:04:18.000 The take that she is a victim is weird, given that pretty much every major member of the Democratic Party rushed to her defense.
00:04:24.000 Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic minority leader, blamed extreme MAGA pushback for blowback against the terrorists supporting Tlaib.
00:04:32.000 Are you concerned about her abuse of that phrase from a Republican speech?
00:04:36.000 I've expressed concern about that and will continue to.
00:04:39.000 The Kremlin Republican agenda has nothing to do with the American people.
00:04:45.000 They want to default on our debt, shut down the government, crash the economy, censure Democrats, and avoid holding their own members accountable.
00:04:56.000 This is who they are.
00:04:59.000 It's extreme MAGA agenda to say that, you know, from the river to the sea is bad.
00:05:03.000 Representative Debbie Dingell of Michigan tried to claim that from the river to the sea is actually just open to interpretation, like a piece of abstract poetry, a piece of genocidal abstract poetry, but abstract poetry nonetheless.
00:05:15.000 Who knows what from the river to the sea means, despite the reference to, you know, an actual river and an actual sea.
00:05:21.000 I spent all weekend in Michigan this last week and talking to all the communities about the meaning of this phrase.
00:05:28.000 And there are very strong feelings on all sides.
00:05:32.000 And it's very clear that people interpret words in different ways.
00:05:37.000 Personally, I choose not to use a phrase that is offensive to some, and that many perceive as a threat.
00:05:43.000 But I also take seriously living in a country that does not restrict, forbid, or censor free speech.
00:05:53.000 What could it mean?
00:05:54.000 Who knows?
00:05:55.000 It's just, it's so vague from the river to the sea.
00:05:57.000 And she spent so much time exploring it that she still doesn't know.
00:06:00.000 Tlaib's anti-Semitic fellow Hamas squad members joined in on the fun and games, claiming victimhood on Tlaib's behalf.
00:06:05.000 Fellow Jew hater Ilhan Omar screamed about the unfairness supposedly suffered by Tlaib.
00:06:12.000 What is true here is that every single one of them has not acknowledged the fact that Palestinians are dying in the tens of thousands, but will continue to say it is us who are not acknowledging humanity.
00:06:27.000 Rashida will stand strong and the Palestinian movement will continue for liberation until every single Palestinian has the right to live in liberty.
00:06:42.000 If you really think that Ilhan Omar cares about Palestinians living in liberty, then why exactly is she standing up for Hamas, which keeps them under the thumb of a terrorist tyranny?
00:06:50.000 Also, imagine having to wake up to that at 4 o'clock in the morning if you're her brother.
00:06:53.000 Cori Bush, the BLM congresswoman from Missouri, joined the club too, ranting in typically unhinged fashion about the horrors of supposed Islamophobia against Tlaib.
00:07:01.000 Here's the BLM congresswoman.
00:07:04.000 It's outrageous that my colleagues are blatantly, blatantly attempting to silence the only Palestinian-American representative right here.
00:07:12.000 It's outrageous, but it's not surprising.
00:07:14.000 And let me tell you, it's not surprising because this place is where 1,700 members of Congress, this elected body, enslaved black people.
00:07:22.000 It's not surprising because they thought it was right.
00:07:25.000 It's not surprising because this is a place where members continue to claim that the insurrection on the Capitol just appeared to look Like a normal tourist visit.
00:07:33.000 It's not surprising, because this is the place where our black and brown staff members repeatedly speak of experiencing racism and sexism, Islamophobia, get pushed off of elevators, xenophobia, and more, right here in this workplace.
00:07:46.000 This is the place.
00:07:47.000 And let me say this, she mourns for the 1,400 Israelis that lost their lives.
00:07:51.000 She mourns for the 10,000.
00:07:53.000 And she will not stop.
00:07:55.000 No more.
00:07:56.000 No more.
00:07:56.000 I cease fire now.
00:07:58.000 And she takes the death threats that you all send.
00:08:01.000 The gentlelady is no longer recognized.
00:08:03.000 The gentleman from Maryland... The gentleman from Maryland is recognized.
00:08:14.000 Well, she definitely makes a very strong case that democracy is not the best system of selecting leadership.
00:08:18.000 Tlaib's tactic is Hamas' tactic, writ small.
00:08:21.000 Hamas started this conflict by murdering 1,400 Jews, including babies, children, women, and men.
00:08:26.000 They still have 240 people kept in bondage in Gaza as their hostages.
00:08:29.000 They openly brag about hiding rockets and terrorists beneath civilian centers.
00:08:33.000 They are so open about it that even CNN anchors like Jake Tapper noticed.
00:08:36.000 Here was Jake last night.
00:08:38.000 So, Hamas, which is the government of Gaza, Based on their own words.
00:08:45.000 A. They think the loss of Palestinian civilian lives is just the cost of liberation.
00:08:51.000 B. They think that even though they're the government of Gaza, it's not their responsibility to protect Palestinian civilians.
00:08:57.000 The tunnels are for themselves.
00:08:59.000 For fighting.
00:09:00.000 Not for civilians.
00:09:01.000 And C. They're determined to continue attacking Israel the same way they did on October 7th.
00:09:07.000 Over and over and over.
00:09:09.000 Based on what they say.
00:09:12.000 So for these reasons, Israel says we can't have a ceasefire.
00:09:20.000 When even Jake Tapper is noticing, that means that it's pretty obvious.
00:09:23.000 By the way, Hamas just says this stuff out loud.
00:09:25.000 There's an article in the New York Times today quoting a top member of Hamas saying, quote, Hamas' goal is not to run Gaza and to bring it water and electricity and such.
00:09:34.000 Hamas, the Qasem, and the resistance woke the world up from its deep sleep and showed that this issue must remain on the table.
00:09:39.000 This battle was not because we wanted fuel or laborers.
00:09:41.000 It did not seek to improve the situation in Gaza.
00:09:43.000 This battle is to completely overthrow the situation.
00:09:47.000 So, Hamas commits a terrorist atrocity, not caring about its own civilians, and then hides its own civilians in front of rockets.
00:09:53.000 But when Israel inevitably has to kill civilians in the process of targeting terrorists, Hamas then sheds the falsest of tears.
00:10:00.000 They put out tape showing people mourning their dead, caused by Hamas.
00:10:04.000 And the world largely falls for it.
00:10:06.000 That's because the oppressor-oppressed narrative is all-consuming.
00:10:09.000 It is all-powerful.
00:10:11.000 This narrative outweighs decency.
00:10:12.000 It outweighs truth.
00:10:13.000 For those who believe the narrative, truth is of no consequence whatsoever.
00:10:16.000 It's not even a tertiary value.
00:10:18.000 So, there will be no conversations about tone, or hate speech, or the obvious Jew-hatred evident on the streets of America's major cities, at least not with regard to Tlaib.
00:10:27.000 There will be serious-minded conversations about how the evil MAGA movement is spreading Islamophobia for criticizing Tlaib.
00:10:33.000 And stepping out of line will not be tolerated.
00:10:35.000 That presumably is why after Senator Elizabeth Warren issued a tweet decrying anti-Semitism, she was then forced to rush out another tweet decrying Islamophobia.
00:10:43.000 That is why the media are so studiously avoiding any language that might blame the killing of that Jewish man in Los Angeles, on Hamasniks, who allegedly slammed elderly men in the head with a bullhorn.
00:10:52.000 Here was the headline from the New York Times, quote, Jewish man dies after altercation at dueling protests in California.
00:10:59.000 Weird.
00:10:59.000 I actually don't know how he died or why.
00:11:01.000 Here's the headline from ABC News.
00:11:03.000 Elderly Jewish man dies after confrontation with pro-Palestinian protesters in Westlake Village.
00:11:07.000 That's weird because a lot of people are confronting each other but nobody's dying.
00:11:10.000 So what happened?
00:11:11.000 Here's BBC News' headline.
00:11:12.000 Jewish man dies after dispute at dueling Israel-Palestinian protests.
00:11:16.000 These are all the same outlets that claim that January 6th rioters had killed a police officer by slamming him in the head with a fire extinguisher.
00:11:24.000 The narrative must be protected at all costs.
00:11:27.000 The victimizers are the victims.
00:11:29.000 The oppressors are the oppressed.
00:11:31.000 And as we all know, the victims and the oppressed must be excused for all of their myriad evils.
00:11:36.000 In just one second, we'll get to the latest from the Middle East.
00:11:39.000 Where there are now arguments between the Biden administration and the Israeli government over what happens with Gaza when all of this is done.
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00:13:48.000 Okay, so the Biden administration is, on the one hand saying many of the right things with regard
00:13:55.000 to Hamas.
00:13:55.000 So John Kirby, the spokesperson for the National Security Advisor, he says that a ceasefire at this time is not appropriate, which of course is true.
00:14:02.000 The Prime Minister has also said definitively no ceasefire unless there is a return of all hostages.
00:14:12.000 Is that a reasonable position that he's taken?
00:14:14.000 You'll have to talk to the Prime Minister again.
00:14:16.000 We're not going to characterize or Armchair quarterback, everything he's saying.
00:14:20.000 We still believe that a general ceasefire is not appropriate at this time.
00:14:24.000 And by general ceasefire, we're talking about everybody laying down their arms for an indefinite period of time in the anticipation of peace talks and some sort of negotiated settlement.
00:14:34.000 And we just don't believe that it's the right time for that right now.
00:14:36.000 We do think it is the time to continue to pursue pauses in the fighting of a temporary nature for specific purposes.
00:14:44.000 Okay, so he is right about that, although when he says temporary pauses for humanitarian- Israel is already doing that.
00:14:49.000 They've opened humanitarian corridors that Hamas then attempts to close by shooting people who are guarding the humanitarian corridors.
00:14:55.000 John Kirby also was having none of the Israel is genocidal nonsense yesterday.
00:14:58.000 Again, this is good stuff from the Biden administration, a rarity to hear from people like me.
00:15:01.000 Here was John Kirby yesterday.
00:15:04.000 I heard this word genocide tossed around.
00:15:06.000 Hamas actually does have genocidal intentions against the people of Israel.
00:15:10.000 They'd like to see it wiped off the map.
00:15:12.000 They said so on purpose.
00:15:14.000 So that's what's at stake here and we're going to keep making sure that Israel has that ability to do that.
00:15:19.000 As for the voices, of course we respect all different voices and perspectives on this and we know that there's a lot of high emotion here when it comes to what's going on.
00:15:29.000 We have never shied away from criticizing our friends and partners when we believe it's warranted, and we'll continue to do that.
00:15:34.000 We also believe that the best diplomacy, the best progress in diplomatic pursuits, is to do it privately and outside the public eye, and we'll continue to do that as well.
00:15:48.000 And meanwhile, an Al Arabiya reporter went after John Kirby and Kirby shut them down.
00:15:53.000 So again, there's a lot of positive stuff here from John Kirby.
00:15:57.000 And criticize Israel when actually it is in violation of international humanitarian law and the Geneva Convention.
00:16:05.000 With due respect, John, some people think that you repeat what the Israeli army spokesman is saying.
00:16:11.000 It's exactly what they're saying you're repeating here.
00:16:14.000 So how can you, why not, these distinct voices, not just understanding them and we have a channel because we're a democracy, why not What's wrong with them?
00:16:22.000 What's wrong with standing here and saying, when Israel does something wrong, because you're the best friend, you have leverage on them, why not criticizing them?
00:16:29.000 Your question presupposes that we've made some determination that the law of armed conflict has been violated, and I don't think we're not at that point.
00:16:36.000 You disagree with the UN.
00:16:38.000 I would just tell you that we're not going to react in near real time to every event.
00:16:43.000 Israel has a right and a responsibility to defend itself.
00:16:46.000 And we're going to make sure they have the tools and capabilities to do that.
00:16:49.000 Again, we're one month after this.
00:16:51.000 And we ought not forget what happened one month ago.
00:16:54.000 1,400 people slaughtered in their homes at a music festival.
00:16:58.000 And when Hamas decided to conduct operations, it was with the intent of killing people.
00:17:06.000 Okay, he's right about all of that.
00:17:08.000 Now, the problem is that the Biden administration then goes completely unrealistic on what comes next.
00:17:13.000 And they're unrealistic about, again, what is happening in the streets of the United States.
00:17:16.000 So yesterday, Corine Jean-Pierre was asked from that same podium about people ripping down posters of kidnap victims, the hostages that are currently being held in Gaza.
00:17:25.000 And apparently she had nothing to say about it.
00:17:27.000 She's just awful at her job, as always.
00:17:30.000 A lot of videos of individuals who have been tearing down signs, many of these taking place in New York City, of Israelis presently being held hostage in Gaza.
00:17:41.000 There have been some tense confrontations that have taken place there.
00:17:45.000 Is the White House's view that these actions should be condemned, the pulling down of them, or that that's a form of peaceful protest?
00:17:56.000 I've sort of kind of seen the reporting here and there.
00:17:58.000 I think it was from last week, right?
00:17:59.000 There's been like 30 million videos that have gone around.
00:18:02.000 No, I hear you.
00:18:02.000 I hear you.
00:18:03.000 I'm just not going to... I'm not going to... Is that peaceful protest to pull that down or should you not be doing it?
00:18:09.000 I'm just not going to go into specifics on that particular thing.
00:18:14.000 What I can say, there are real violent protests and threats that are happening right now.
00:18:21.000 And senior administration officials are aware of these reports, which are deeply concerning.
00:18:26.000 And that is something that we're focused on.
00:18:30.000 That is weak tea.
00:18:32.000 That is weak tea at best from Karine Jean-Pierre.
00:18:34.000 But again, no shock there.
00:18:35.000 Now, the problem is that if you do what the Biden administration seems to want to do, which is pretend that Hamas is like a tiny little group that no one likes in the Gaza Strip or in Judea and Samaria, the West Bank, when you pretend that, you end up at the wrong solution.
00:18:50.000 Again, you're pretending away the central problem here.
00:18:52.000 The central problem here, at root, is not just that Hamas is a genocidal terrorist group.
00:18:56.000 It's that a huge swath of Palestinians agree with Hamas.
00:19:00.000 By polling data, by electoral data, that is the reality.
00:19:03.000 That doesn't mean they should be treated as military targets.
00:19:06.000 Israel wasn't treating them as military targets anywhere during this conflict.
00:19:09.000 It is members of Hamas who are being treated as military targets, and it is many civilians who agree with Hamas, who Israel is attempting to now usher down to the south of the Gaza Strip.
00:19:18.000 The problem is if you fail to recognize that there's a broader ideological problem within the Palestinian population, the minute that this is over, the next reconstituted government in Gaza will look exactly like the last reconstituted government in Gaza, which will look exactly like the current Palestinian Authority, which, by the way, is so unpopular because the Palestinian Authority literally pays people to kill Jews.
00:19:39.000 They have a stipend that they pay to the families of terrorists who kill Jews.
00:19:43.000 The Hamas terrorists who killed Jews, their families will get money from the Palestinian Authority.
00:19:47.000 Those are the people the Biden administration wants to put in charge of the Gaza Strip.
00:19:50.000 But the Palestinian Authority is too moderate for a huge number of people living in both Judea and Samaria and the Gaza Strip, which presumably is why there was an assassination attempt on Mahmoud Abbas.
00:20:01.000 According to TheExpress.com, there's horrifying footage capturing what appears to be an attempted assassination against the Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas.
00:20:09.000 His convoy came under a hail of gunfire after he disregarded a menacing ultimatum from renegade Palestinian security forces urging him to declare war on Israel.
00:20:18.000 Again, the biggest problem is that the Palestinian Authority, which is already extreme and hates Israel and Abbas is a genocide... I mean, he actively says the Holocaust didn't happen.
00:20:26.000 Abbas is too moderate for a huge percentage of the Palestinian population.
00:20:30.000 That is the abiding problem.
00:20:31.000 And until the West acknowledges that, there's not going to be anything remotely looking like even security in the Middle East.
00:20:37.000 We'll get to that momentarily.
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00:21:41.000 Okay, so again, the bottom line is that what happens next in the Gaza Strip, which has become an area of contention between the Israelis and the Americans, That relies on what you think the Gaza Strip is.
00:21:55.000 Meaning, who do you think is going to pick up the pieces over there?
00:21:59.000 Now, Israel has tried to hand it to Egypt.
00:22:00.000 Egypt doesn't want any piece of it.
00:22:02.000 Why do you think Egypt doesn't want control of the Gaza Strip and neither does Israel?
00:22:04.000 Why do you think that is?
00:22:06.000 Is it because they all hate that six miles of beachfront territory on the Mediterranean?
00:22:09.000 It's actually pretty nice territory right on the Mediterranean.
00:22:11.000 It's like a coastline, same coastline as Tel Aviv.
00:22:13.000 Why exactly does no one want this?
00:22:15.000 The answer is, you have two million people living there who are so radicalized that Egypt is deeply afraid that if it takes in that group of people, That they're going to have a terror threat on their northern border since ISIS is already occupying large portions of the Sinai Desert, which is Egyptian territory.
00:22:30.000 It's the same reason why Israel has tried to hand over control of Palestinian Arab territories, of Palestinian Arab populated areas in Judea and Samaria to Jordan.
00:22:39.000 And Jordan's like, no, no way, man.
00:22:41.000 We have no interest in three million Palestinian Arabs living in this area because they're afraid that it's going to overthrow the Hashemite dynasty.
00:22:48.000 That's the irony of watching Queen Rania of Jordan, who is Palestinian-Arab by extraction, talking about how much solidarity she has with Palestinians.
00:22:57.000 If you did, you would resign your position and the Hashemite dynasty would be overthrown.
00:23:01.000 But you're enjoying your five-star hotels and your extremely luxurious lifestyle while people in your country are living on $4,100 a year.
00:23:08.000 And the reason you're not leaving is because your population in Jordan is a pretty extreme population.
00:23:13.000 And it'll get more extreme if you were to take in, even including territory, 3 million Palestinian Arabs who hate Jews with a burning passion.
00:23:21.000 By polling data, that's what the polls suggest.
00:23:24.000 There's no evidence, I'm still awaiting the evidence, that Palestinian Arabs in Judea and Samaria, Palestinian Arabs in the Gaza Strip, overwhelmingly, in the absence of their current leadership, are Jew-loving, peace-loving people.
00:23:37.000 That doesn't mean, again, that there are legitimate military targets.
00:23:40.000 Nobody's talking about that.
00:23:41.000 What we're talking about is who gets to govern in these areas.
00:23:44.000 One of the assumptions in 2005, when Israel pulled out of the Gaza Strip, is that there would then be elections.
00:23:48.000 Those elections were overseen and greenlit by the United States.
00:23:51.000 Condoleezza Rice said, she was then the Secretary of State, that the election that was held in the Gaza Strip was legitimate.
00:23:58.000 Who got elected?
00:23:59.000 Hamas.
00:24:00.000 Hamas then proceeded to kill everybody in the Palestinian Authority.
00:24:02.000 But if there were an election held today, the reason Mahmoud Abbas has not held an election in Judea and Samaria is that he's afraid.
00:24:08.000 He hasn't held an election since 2008, by the way.
00:24:10.000 He's afraid that if an election were held today, the Palestinian Authority would lose.
00:24:14.000 They don't actually have all that much power.
00:24:17.000 That's how extreme the population is in these areas, which is why the problem is supremely intractable.
00:24:22.000 With that said, this is why Israel is saying that they're going to have a continuing security role in Gaza after Hamas is ousted.
00:24:30.000 According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel said it intends to retain security control of Gaza for an indefinite period once the war with Hamas ends, prompting U.S.
00:24:36.000 officials to stress their opposition to a reoccupation of the enclave.
00:24:40.000 Now again, Israel did not want to reoccupy at all.
00:24:42.000 Israel literally pulled out everyone.
00:24:44.000 They took 8,000 Jews out of that area in Gush Katif and they moved them.
00:24:48.000 They physically had Jews remove other Jews and take them away from the area.
00:24:52.000 You've never seen, by the way, anyone in Palestinian government do anything remotely like that.
00:24:56.000 Take Arabs out of one area and move them to another area purposefully in order to hand a concession to the Jews.
00:25:01.000 This has never happened, ever.
00:25:03.000 Israel took 8,000 Jews and moved them out of the north of the Gaza Strip, the Gush Katif area.
00:25:07.000 They handed over their houses, their greenhouses, all of the infrastructure.
00:25:10.000 The Palestinians promptly burned it.
00:25:12.000 And elected Hamas and created the greatest terror state.
00:25:15.000 It's like it's a giant terror territory over the course of last 20 years.
00:25:19.000 So when Israel says we have to maintain a security presence in the gut, well, duh.
00:25:23.000 Duh.
00:25:24.000 It's the equivalent of you have the highest crime area in a city and then you say defund the police.
00:25:28.000 So you defund the police and the murder rate goes up and then the murders spread outside that area and the police say, well, now we got to go back in.
00:25:34.000 Is that because the police are desperate to be in that area?
00:25:36.000 Or is it because the crime needs to go away, and the only way that the crime goes away is if you put law enforcement in the area?
00:25:43.000 That's what Israel is talking about.
00:25:45.000 Here is Benjamin Netanyahu talking about an indefinite period of control over Gaza.
00:25:48.000 Again, if there's any thought that Israelis are, like, desperate to spend blood and treasure to maintain security control over the Gaza Strip, you're out of your mind.
00:25:58.000 Remember, in Israel, everyone is eligible for the draft.
00:26:01.000 Every 18-year-old kid, they turn 18, they gotta go to the military.
00:26:03.000 You think moms and dads in Israel are desperate to send their kids into the Gaza Strip?
00:26:08.000 They were so desperate not to send their kids into the Gaza Strip, they handed the damn place over to Hamas.
00:26:14.000 So that's not what Netanyahu's saying.
00:26:16.000 But the Biden administration is like, well, maybe it's a land grab.
00:26:18.000 A land grab of what?
00:26:19.000 Two million Palestinian Arabs?
00:26:21.000 The vast majority of whom despise the Jews and wish to see Israel destroyed?
00:26:25.000 By the data?
00:26:27.000 In any case, here is Netanyahu talking about what's gonna have to come next.
00:26:31.000 President Biden has said that it would be a mistake for Israel to occupy Gaza.
00:26:36.000 Who should govern Gaza when this is over?
00:26:39.000 Those who don't want to continue the way of Hamas.
00:26:42.000 It certainly is not... I think Israel will...
00:26:47.000 An indefinite period will have the overall security responsibility because we've seen what happens when we don't have it.
00:26:54.000 When we don't have that security responsibility what we have is the eruption of Hamas terror on a scale that we couldn't imagine.
00:27:01.000 Do you have a warning to Iran, to Hezbollah?
00:27:06.000 I think they've understood that if they enter the war in a significant way, the response will be very, very powerful, and I hope they don't make that mistake.
00:27:17.000 Okay, so again, the fact that the United States is taking that as we have to warn the Jews off of reoccupying Gaza, again, no one, except for a very select few people, actually want to have a complete Civilian control of the Gaza Strip, including pretty much everybody who is in Israeli government at this point in time.
00:27:37.000 Why?
00:27:37.000 Because again, the Gaza Strip and Judea and Samaria are honeycombed with people who hate Jews.
00:27:42.000 And by the way, half of them work for the UN, the UN Refugee Agency, which was set up solely for the Palestinians.
00:27:48.000 It's the only agency of the United Nations that's been set up for one group of people and one group of people alone.
00:27:53.000 It's the bizarre reason why cities that have been built in the Gaza Strip and have been there for 75 years are still being called refugee camps, despite the fact, like Jabalia, that they are complete and full cities.
00:28:03.000 Some of the UNRWA employees, by the way, again, these are people who literally work for the United Nations.
00:28:09.000 Many of these people support terror.
00:28:12.000 These people work for the UN, celebrate the Hamas massacre.
00:28:15.000 For example, UNRWA teacher, Asma Rafiq Kuhail, he celebrated the Hamas attack with exclamation marks and a heart emoji.
00:28:24.000 UNRWA employee, Mohammed Alsheikh Ali, on October 10th, he posted, quote, anyone who tries to flee to the south should be treated the way we ought to treat traitors.
00:28:33.000 And the only acceptable direction to move is east or north, which would be, by the way, into Israel.
00:28:37.000 That's a Hamas invasion of Israel.
00:28:39.000 Or how about the UNRWA Gaza school administrator, Hamada Ahmed?
00:28:42.000 On October 7th, he posted, quote, we welcome the great October.
00:28:46.000 And then he called for ethnic cleansing of all Jews in Israel.
00:28:48.000 These are people who work for the UN.
00:28:49.000 So again, the idea that Israel is going to give up control of the Gaza Strip in security terms to the United Nations is absolutely absurd.
00:28:57.000 So, what exactly is going to come next?
00:29:00.000 Again, I think in the end, what's going to come is an Israeli military control of the Gaza Strip while they search for some local leader who will do the work of actually attempting to administer the Gaza Strip.
00:29:11.000 Finding that person is not going to be easy.
00:29:13.000 Again, I'm not sure the Palestinian Authority wants it.
00:29:15.000 They can barely control Judea and Samaria.
00:29:17.000 The Egyptians don't want it.
00:29:18.000 The Jordanians don't want it.
00:29:19.000 The UAE doesn't want it.
00:29:20.000 The Saudis don't want it.
00:29:21.000 The Europeans don't want it.
00:29:22.000 The Americans don't want it.
00:29:24.000 Nobody wants it.
00:29:26.000 Why don't they want it?
00:29:26.000 Again, it comes down to there's going to have to be a decades long shift in the opinion structures
00:29:33.000 and incentive structures of people living in the Gaza Strip so that they recognize that if they were to build their
00:29:37.000 lives around say material prosperity
00:29:40.000 and some level of religious tolerance that their lives might be better
00:29:45.000 than if they direct their lives and their children's lives toward the murder of every Jew in the region.
00:29:50.000 That's the only way that anything better is gonna happen.
00:29:52.000 That is why when people talk about a two state solution in the current context, it's absolutely nonsensical.
00:29:56.000 It's absolutely ridiculous.
00:29:57.000 With whom?
00:29:58.000 With whom?
00:29:59.000 You wanna talk two state solution, you're gonna need a peace partner.
00:30:02.000 Who exactly would that be?
00:30:03.000 No one can answer that question because the question doesn't have an answer, unfortunately.
00:30:08.000 Israel wishes it did, considering that they have now offered very generous peace deals in 1993, 2000, 2001, and 2008, and gave the entire Gaza Strip over to the Palestinians in 2005.
00:30:19.000 Okay, coming up, we're going to get to a series of disastrous elections for Republicans.
00:30:25.000 In Ohio, in Kentucky, in Virginia, what the hell is going on?
00:30:30.000 Joe Biden is wildly unpopular.
00:30:31.000 Democrats are not good at governing.
00:30:32.000 So why are Democrats winning every off-year election?
00:30:35.000 We'll get to that momentarily.
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00:32:38.000 So, meanwhile, last night, a series of disastrous elections for Republicans across the country.
00:32:43.000 So, Democrats have won control of the Virginia legislature.
00:32:46.000 This was seen in large part as a referendum on Glenn Youngkin, who is the Virginia governor.
00:32:51.000 There, for some odd reason, seemed to be a lot of notion that Youngkin was going to throw his hat into the presidential race or something.
00:32:57.000 If the Virginia state legislature had been taken by Republicans, I think that was always a fool's errand.
00:33:02.000 There was really no groundswell for Glenn Youngkin to get into the presidential race.
00:33:05.000 It didn't really matter because Virginia Democrats did really, really well last night.
00:33:10.000 They did really, really well because they won based on running on abortion.
00:33:13.000 That was the issue that they ran on.
00:33:14.000 Now, Here is the thing about political issues and messaging.
00:33:20.000 There is no such thing as a winning issue.
00:33:22.000 There is only such a thing as a winning message.
00:33:24.000 This is something that Republicans and Democrats should keep in mind as they run for office in the future.
00:33:28.000 When it comes to running, it's not that an issue just defaults to you.
00:33:32.000 So if there's a poll that says, Joe Biden, really unpopular on the economy, that's not a Republican issue.
00:33:38.000 You have to then craft that into a message that wins.
00:33:42.000 This is true for virtually every issue.
00:33:43.000 Any issue could theoretically be a winning issue so long as it is messaged properly.
00:33:47.000 So, for example, when Glenn Youngkin became governor of Virginia and upset Terry McAuliffe, the former governor of Virginia, when that happened, one of the reasons he won is because there was a parents' rights movement that really sprang up around a case that was reported by our own Luke Grosiak here at Daily Wire in Loudoun County.
00:34:03.000 Were schools a winning issue in Virginia, or was it a winning message that parents ought to have control over their own kids and their education?
00:34:11.000 And their safety.
00:34:12.000 And those kids should not be put in danger by foolish school administrators.
00:34:15.000 And then Terry McAuliffe picked the wrong message, which is, you should not be in control of your kids.
00:34:20.000 The administrator should be in control of your kids.
00:34:22.000 So, you have to have a winning message, and your opponent has to have a losing message.
00:34:26.000 That is the way that you actually win elections.
00:34:28.000 Well, Republicans since 2016 have not had any winning messages.
00:34:31.000 Let's just be real about this.
00:34:32.000 Ronald Romney McDaniel should not be the head of the RNC.
00:34:35.000 I don't know how you can lose this many times in a row and still retain your job.
00:34:39.000 It's truly amazing.
00:34:40.000 The only person who has failed up as much as Ronald Romney McDaniel at this point is Kamala Harris.
00:34:44.000 Republicans have now lost elections in 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023.
00:34:46.000 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023.
00:34:51.000 The last election they won was 2016.
00:34:53.000 They've underperformed every single election since then.
00:34:56.000 And yet people retain their jobs and continue to draw paychecks.
00:34:59.000 And that is unacceptable.
00:35:00.000 So what exactly happened in Virginia?
00:35:03.000 Well, one of the things that happened in Virginia is, again, there's a lot of talk about abortion by Democrats.
00:35:08.000 So, according to the Washington Post, Democrats flipped control of the Virginia House of Delegates, securing victories in at least 51 seats, giving them a majority in both chambers of the General Assembly.
00:35:17.000 Republicans were defending a slim 52-48 majority, but Democrats saw an opportunity to make gains under newly drawn maps following a court-ordered redistricting process.
00:35:25.000 So Democrats definitely got a hand from the local courts in drawing districts that benefited them.
00:35:31.000 Shortly after 11pm, before any independent news organizations called the race, Virginia House Minority Leader Delegate Don L. Scott declared Democrats would assume control of the House and the Senate following Tuesday's election.
00:35:43.000 So again, this was a race that was largely run on the basis of abortion.
00:35:48.000 Glenn Youngkin was running around the state attempting to drum up support for his own side.
00:35:52.000 The problem is that right now, again, things are not going like... Youngkin is personally very popular in Virginia.
00:35:57.000 That doesn't necessarily translate over into Republican control if Republicans have a bad image across the country.
00:36:02.000 And right now Republicans have a bad image across the country.
00:36:05.000 They're seen as largely incompetent.
00:36:08.000 Again, partially or largely earned.
00:36:11.000 They are seen as extreme by brand, and that is largely tied to January 6th and Donald Trump in particular, as we will see in discussing some of these other elections.
00:36:20.000 And when it comes to the abortion issue, Republicans have not yet gotten their heads around an actual winning message on the issue.
00:36:27.000 Now, the truth is that winning message on abortion is not the same across the country.
00:36:31.000 Politics is a pragmatic business, and the full pro-life message in Virginia is not going to go the same way as the full pro-life message in, say, Georgia or Florida.
00:36:41.000 In Florida, you can pass a six-week abortion ban because Republicans are very popular here.
00:36:45.000 In Georgia, you can do the same.
00:36:47.000 You can't do that in Virginia.
00:36:48.000 Glenn Youngkin was not running on that.
00:36:50.000 He was running on a 15-week abortion ban.
00:36:53.000 The problem was that Democrats were saying that's the first step toward Republicans going for the full abortion ban in Virginia and local ladies got very upset and they all came out and they voted in favor of the Democrats.
00:37:04.000 And the same thing happened in Ohio as well.
00:37:06.000 In the wake of Roe vs. Wade, Republicans have not come up with a state-by-state strategy or a messaging strategy.
00:37:13.000 And here is what the actual strategy needs to be on a state-by-state basis.
00:37:18.000 Where there is consensus, you pass a thing.
00:37:20.000 Where there is not consensus, you don't pass a thing.
00:37:23.000 Now, there is no one in America as pro-life as I am.
00:37:25.000 I've spoken in the March for Life.
00:37:26.000 I am fully pro-life.
00:37:27.000 I don't even, in my own personal idea of what good legislation would look like, I would not tolerate abortion, even in cases that are very controversial, like rape or incest.
00:37:36.000 I am as pro-life as it is possible to be.
00:37:37.000 I've been extremely clear about this.
00:37:39.000 However, if you wish to see fewer abortions in the United States, if you wish to see durable law in the United States, you have to win.
00:37:46.000 And if you want to win, that's going to mean they're going to have to come face to face with some tough realities.
00:37:51.000 And the reality is that running on my platform, running on what I would like to see, is not going to win you office in Virginia.
00:37:58.000 It's not.
00:37:59.000 And the more threatening you appear in Virginia, the worse it's going to go for you.
00:38:03.000 The same thing happened in Ohio.
00:38:05.000 So in Ohio, the Democrats in pretty wide fashion, won a referendum on abortion, what they call abortion rights.
00:38:18.000 What it really was, was enshrining Roe versus Wade in law in the state of Ohio.
00:38:24.000 So in Ohio, there was an attempt to enshrine the right to abortion in the state constitution.
00:38:30.000 It's a ballot initiative.
00:38:31.000 It establishes, quote, an individual right to one's own reproductive medical treatment, including, but not limited to, abortion.
00:38:37.000 And it creates legal protections for anyone who assists a person with receiving reproductive medical treatment according to the Washington Post.
00:38:43.000 The amendment grants the treating physician the authority to determine on a case-by-case basis whether an unborn child is viable and grants exceptions for abortions at any stage of pregnancy to protect the health or life of the mother.
00:38:55.000 So, why did this happen?
00:38:56.000 Well, the reason this happened is because there was another election that was held in August.
00:39:00.000 That was a referendum that would have made it more difficult to amend the state constitution through future ballot initiatives.
00:39:07.000 The reason for that is because there was a snapback law in place in Ohio that had effectively banned abortion almost across the board in Ohio in the aftermath of Roe vs. Wade being overturned.
00:39:21.000 So they tried to pass a law, the Republicans, that basically enshrined in the Constitution what that law was.
00:39:26.000 It's going to be very difficult for you to overturn that.
00:39:28.000 And that was rejected.
00:39:30.000 And then a right to abortion was enshrined in the state constitution.
00:39:33.000 Now let's say that the Republicans, instead of allowing that snapback law to go into place, let's say that they said, listen, we know that in Ohio, that the law before this was 22 weeks.
00:39:42.000 22 weeks is way too late.
00:39:43.000 But we need to incrementally introduce the people of Ohio to what good abortion law looks like.
00:39:48.000 They're not going to go to six weeks and stay there.
00:39:50.000 And if you want to preserve lives in the long term, you're gonna have to do this incrementally, because that's how politics often works.
00:39:54.000 The message is, lives must be preserved, but we also have to go a little slower than even we would want, for sure than we would want, because people have to get used to ideas, they have to be unindoctrinated about what life is and what abortion is.
00:40:07.000 And so we're gonna go to a 15 week.
00:40:09.000 In Ohio?
00:40:10.000 Hard to see how that would have failed.
00:40:11.000 For example, Ohio's a very red state.
00:40:13.000 Donald Trump won that state by 8-10 points in the last couple election cycles.
00:40:17.000 They didn't do that.
00:40:17.000 And so instead, you get the snapback in Ohio, which now has enshrined basically Roe vs. Wade.
00:40:24.000 Again, that's the same thing that happened in Virginia.
00:40:26.000 Republicans, a lot of Republicans are saying abortion is not a winning issue.
00:40:30.000 It's not about it being a winning issue.
00:40:31.000 It's about do you have a winning message and can you wrong-foot your opponents?
00:40:34.000 The nice thing about arguing for an incremental approach is that Democrats are then forced to argue in favor of 20-week abortions and 22-week abortions.
00:40:42.000 And that's not something that they like arguing over.
00:40:44.000 They like arguing over rape and incest exceptions because those are the most outlying and least common forms of abortion.
00:40:55.000 Both sides like arguing at the extremes of this particular argument.
00:40:58.000 The right is very comfortable arguing partial birth abortion for obvious reasons.
00:41:01.000 The left is very comfortable arguing rape and incest.
00:41:03.000 The question is, where is that line where the median voter tips over from one side to the other?
00:41:08.000 And again, winning elections is the precondition to changing the law.
00:41:11.000 Republicans should keep that in mind.
00:41:13.000 Meanwhile, over in Kentucky, by the way, the polling in Ohio was pretty clear about this.
00:41:18.000 Every single demographic supported the enshrinement of Roe vs. Wade into law.
00:41:23.000 It was split 50-50 with white men, but white women supported the initiative 57-43.
00:41:28.000 Black men supported the initiative 87-13.
00:41:31.000 Black women supported the initiative 81-19.
00:41:34.000 In fact, the only demographic that voted against this initiative to enshrine Roe vs. Wade were people who were 65 or older.
00:41:42.000 Literally the only one.
00:41:44.000 So that means the Republicans messaged it wrong.
00:41:46.000 I mean, that's clearly the message here.
00:41:47.000 That doesn't mean you got to run away from the abortion issue.
00:41:49.000 You can make a very strong and excellent abortion argument.
00:41:52.000 But what is happening right now is that all this is getting hashed out at the state level, which is why Roe v. Wade, by the way, this is what should have happened.
00:41:59.000 Roe v. Wade being overturned kicked it back to the state level.
00:42:00.000 States now get to decide on their own, legally speaking, how to approach the issue of abortion.
00:42:05.000 Republicans in each state have to take stock of exactly how they wish to run on those particular issues.
00:42:11.000 And until Republicans start to realize that a nationalized strategy across all issues is not going to work, they're going to continue to lose state elections.
00:42:18.000 Over in Kentucky, meanwhile, Andy Beshear won his re-elect effort, which is amazing because, again, that state won 22 points in favor of Donald Trump.
00:42:26.000 Now, he did outspend his opponent, Daniel Cameron, by a very large margin.
00:42:32.000 Beshear and his Democratic allies apparently swamped Republicans, spending $47 million on ads after the May primary.
00:42:37.000 Republicans were only able to spend $29 million.
00:42:40.000 Beshear's campaign spent around $24 million on ads.
00:42:43.000 That's more than five times what Cameron's campaign actually spent on all this.
00:42:47.000 And again, Kentucky was run on abortion.
00:42:51.000 Bashir's campaign featured a young woman whose stepfather raped her when she was 12 and suggested that she needed to be able to have an abortion.
00:42:56.000 So again, Democrats are going to run on abortion on the state level across the country.
00:42:59.000 Republicans are going to have to figure out on a state-by-state level how to address this issue because that is the realm of practical politics.
00:43:05.000 Overturning Roe vs. Wade, you can make a full pro-life case for overturning Roe vs. Wade.
00:43:09.000 You can certainly make an easy legal case that Roe vs. Wade should be overturned.
00:43:12.000 But to pretend this is not a thorny issue for Republicans is to ignore the realities of the facts on the ground on the state level.
00:43:19.000 To pretend that the same message works in Georgia as works in Ohio, as works in Kentucky, as works anywhere else, is a mistake.
00:43:26.000 And Republicans had better get their heads around that, or they're going to continue losing.
00:43:30.000 It also doesn't help when, again, you're running candidates who add to the pile things like January 6th, or can be labeled quote-unquote MAGA.
00:43:39.000 People on the right are annoyed that the left keeps saying MAGA over and over.
00:43:42.000 Obviously the left finds this fruitful, otherwise they wouldn't do it.
00:43:45.000 As an electoral strategy, it has borne fruit for them, which means they'll continue to do it until Republicans come up with a better counter than nanny nanny boo boo.
00:43:53.000 In just one second, we'll talk about the vulnerabilities of Joe Biden because there's a big Republican debate tonight.
00:43:58.000 We'll get to that momentarily.
00:43:59.000 First, The Ben Shapiro Show is supported by Grand Canyon University, an affordable, private Christian university with a vibrant campus in beautiful Phoenix, Arizona.
00:44:07.000 Ranked top 20 in the country by Niche.com, GCU is a missional, Christ-centered university that strives to foster a culture of community, giving, and impact.
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00:44:34.000 Well, all of this.
00:44:35.000 You know, the fact that messaging matters, that there's no such thing as a winning issue, there's just a winning message.
00:44:39.000 This is the reason why Joe Biden's vulnerabilities are not, in and of themselves, going to defeat Joe Biden.
00:44:44.000 Somebody has to defeat Joe Biden.
00:44:45.000 There has to be a winning message.
00:44:47.000 As much as we talk in 2020 about Joe Biden hiding in the basement, and that's true, the winning message for Joe Biden was, Trump is crazy, he shouldn't be president.
00:44:54.000 That was the winning message for him.
00:44:55.000 And it did win.
00:44:56.000 That's why the basement strategy works.
00:44:58.000 Now, Donald Trump could win an election against Joe Biden by saying, that guy's awful at this job.
00:45:02.000 He is awful and terrible at this job.
00:45:04.000 But that means he has to run on that.
00:45:06.000 The election can't be about anything else.
00:45:09.000 Well, the good news is that's pretty fertile ground.
00:45:11.000 Democrats are busily attempting to convince people that everybody is doing great in America.
00:45:15.000 Paul Krugman has an entire piece titled, Why Does the Right Hate America?
00:45:18.000 in the New York Times today.
00:45:19.000 Why is he saying that the right hates America?
00:45:21.000 Because the right is pointing out that crime has spiked in the last couple of years because of Democrats and their pro-crime policies.
00:45:28.000 That Republicans are sort of upset about the state of the economy, even though he says that the economy is just glowing and doing amazing.
00:45:34.000 Really, try to convince the American people that their feelings are wrong on these issues.
00:45:38.000 Really, go for it.
00:45:39.000 Even many Democrats and popular Hollywood entertainers are starting to figure out that Joe Biden is a very, very bad candidate.
00:45:46.000 Now, again, Republicans could take that for granted and just assume he's going to lose.
00:45:49.000 That would be a huge, widespread mistake.
00:45:51.000 But here was Sarah Silverman last night, and this is pretty biting stuff against Joe Biden.
00:45:57.000 To kick things off with the reason most of the people in this audience could not sleep well last night, a new poll shows Joe Biden getting trounced by Donald Trump in almost every single swing state.
00:46:07.000 Don't panic, it's still too early to say Biden will definitely lose, he could absolutely die in his sleep instead.
00:46:15.000 I'm just saying, this is really scary for liberals, and I mean actually scary, not like they took Hamilton off Disney Plus scary.
00:46:24.000 Well, yes, Democrats are in a state of full-scale panic over Joe Biden.
00:46:28.000 And again, they should be, because there's going to be more that drops about him and Hunter.
00:46:31.000 There's going to be more that drops in terms of the economy before the election.
00:46:34.000 Now, tonight is a big Republican debate.
00:46:36.000 Now, when I say big, I mean kind of big.
00:46:38.000 The reason I say kind of big is because Donald Trump is running away in the polling data right now, just running away.
00:46:44.000 The national GOP polling data has Donald Trump up near 60%.
00:46:47.000 That's as high as he has been this entire election cycle.
00:46:50.000 He is up in the RealClearPolitics average at 58%.
00:46:53.000 Ron DeSantis is at 14, Nikki Haley is at 9, Vivek Ramaswamy is at 4, Christie is at 3, and everybody else is an also-ran.
00:47:01.000 I do love that in the RealClearPolitics polling average, Tim Scott is running below Mike Pence, who's no longer in the race.
00:47:05.000 Doug Burgum, for some reason, is still in the race.
00:47:07.000 No one understands why, but okay.
00:47:09.000 In any case, Trump has this extremely large lead.
00:47:11.000 Now, in Iowa, the lead isn't quite as large, but it's still very large.
00:47:14.000 So, the current polling suggests That he is up on the field by somewhere in the neighborhood of 25 to 27 points.
00:47:23.000 That's where, which is a big lead.
00:47:24.000 It is a big lead, but he does not have a majority of voters clearly moving in his direction.
00:47:28.000 Yesterday, Kim Reynolds, who's the governor of Iowa, very popular governor of Iowa, endorsed Ron DeSantis.
00:47:32.000 Here's what that sounded like.
00:47:35.000 We need to make sure that we choose wisely, that we make the right decision, that we elect somebody who can actually win and beat Joe Biden.
00:47:45.000 And we need a president who has the skills and the resolve.
00:47:50.000 To reverse the madness that we see on a daily basis.
00:47:55.000 We need a president that is focused on the future and not the past.
00:48:01.000 And we need a president who puts Americans and America first.
00:48:07.000 And I'm here to tell you that that man is Ron DeSantis!
00:48:13.000 Okay, so there she is endorsing.
00:48:15.000 Now, is she wildly popular in Iowa?
00:48:17.000 She's kind of, like, even in Iowa.
00:48:20.000 The latest Emerson College poll showed her approval rating at 32% approved, 39% disapproved, 29% neutral.
00:48:24.000 So people are kind of like, eh, about Kim Reynolds in Iowa.
00:48:28.000 But she does have a very large political organization in Iowa.
00:48:30.000 And this effectively is going to foreclose the possibility that Nikki Haley comes from behind and overtakes at this point.
00:48:37.000 Ron DeSantis, because again, it's a caucus state.
00:48:39.000 So what that means is that DeSantis in Iowa is the truest threat to Trump.
00:48:44.000 Now, that's also the state where the polls are the closest.
00:48:46.000 So if nobody beats Trump in Iowa, it is clearly and overtly over.
00:48:50.000 It may be over even if somebody does beat Trump in Iowa.
00:48:52.000 Obviously, he lost Iowa the first time around against Ted Cruz, and then he proceeded to win the nomination.
00:48:57.000 If you look at the other states that are coming up in the Republican nominating process, Trump is well ahead in all of those states.
00:49:03.000 So in New Hampshire, he has 49% to Haley's 15% to DeSantis' 11% to Christie's 9%.
00:49:10.000 Now again, those numbers aren't 55%, 60% in the early states, but that's before you get down South.
00:49:16.000 And once you get down to, like, South Carolina, Trump's gonna clean up.
00:49:19.000 So, there needs to be a major showing of some level of momentum by another Republican candidate.
00:49:23.000 The thing that is prohibiting that is, in fact, Joe Biden's weak polling data.
00:49:27.000 Republicans are gonna have to think a little bit with their heads instead of just looking at the polling data.
00:49:31.000 Now, that's weird for me to say.
00:49:32.000 I think polling data is kind of the only data we have.
00:49:34.000 What other evidence do we have?
00:49:36.000 With that said, the polls are also showing there's a lot of malleability between Trump and Biden.
00:49:41.000 So, gotta take that into account.
00:49:43.000 Will Trump be able to deliver the knockout blow to Biden?
00:49:46.000 Will he be able to deliver the message that is going to get Joe Biden booted from office?
00:49:51.000 That's the question hovering in the background of tonight's Republican debate.
00:49:53.000 So what needs to happen in tonight's Republican debate?
00:49:55.000 Well, clearly at some point here, DeSantis and Haley are gonna go at each other.
00:49:59.000 Haley has to knock DeSantis out.
00:50:01.000 She has to not only knock DeSantis out, she has to somehow consolidate the rest of the field's support.
00:50:06.000 That's a very uphill road.
00:50:08.000 As I've said before, Ron DeSantis, if he bows out of the race right now, half his support will go to the non-Trump candidates and half his support will go to the Trump candidate, meaning Trump.
00:50:17.000 That means that if he's got 20% in these polls, 10% of that goes to Trump.
00:50:20.000 That puts Trump at 60 or 70%.
00:50:21.000 So that's over.
00:50:24.000 Haley, her entire support base is outside the Trump camp.
00:50:27.000 No one who loves Trump is supporting Haley.
00:50:29.000 This is not the crossover right now.
00:50:31.000 If she were to drop out, presumably that support gets split among Christie and Ramaswamy.
00:50:35.000 Probably not Ramaswamy.
00:50:36.000 Christie.
00:50:37.000 DeSantis.
00:50:39.000 And then as the field consolidated, it might turn into a two-man race.
00:50:42.000 With that said, what is tonight's race good for?
00:50:44.000 It's gotta clear the field.
00:50:45.000 There has to be some dropouts after this race.
00:50:48.000 Tim Scott needs to go away for whatever his 3% are worth.
00:50:51.000 Chris Christie has no shot at the nomination.
00:50:53.000 He knows it.
00:50:53.000 It's a spite campaign.
00:50:55.000 That's the only thing that drives the round, mound, or rebound over here.
00:50:58.000 It's just pure spite.
00:50:59.000 That's the only reason he's still in the race.
00:51:01.000 He needs to go away.
00:51:03.000 He's doing nothing that Mike Pence didn't already try.
00:51:06.000 This is a two-person race for the second-place finish.
00:51:09.000 And until that part of the field consolidates, there's certainly no shot at defeating Donald Trump.
00:51:13.000 Even if they consolidate, Donald Trump has, just by the numbers, a wild advantage.
00:51:18.000 And Republicans are going to have to decide before the election cycle if they believe that Donald Trump is the best person to take on Joe Biden, just assuming that Biden himself is the winning issue and there doesn't need to be a winning message.
00:51:29.000 Alrighty guys, the rest of the show continues right now.
00:51:30.000 You're not going to want to miss it.
00:51:31.000 We'll be joined by Dan Signori, former White House foreign policy advisor and author of The Genius of Israel.
00:51:36.000 If you're not a member, become a member.
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