00:00:00.000If Republicans get too online, meaning they run bad candidates who don't focus on the issues Americans actually care about, the GOP could very well lose this November in the midterms.
00:00:08.000No number of attempted coups by the out of touch podcastistan crowd will be able to overcome the will of the American people's votes.
00:00:16.000From the Epstein files to the Iran war to Russian grocery stores, it turns out that the weirdos are just that conspiracy minded weirdos who don't actually resonate with the vast, vast majority of the American public.
00:00:27.000This is worth a bigger electoral analysis, so let's dive in.
00:00:30.000If the Republicans get two online, if they run bad candidates, and they have many times in the past, there should be, at a minimum, four additional Republican senators in the Senate right now two from Georgia, two from Arizona.
00:02:10.000Had been targeted by the Tucker Carlson wing of the Republican Party because Lindsey Graham is a hawkish interventionist on foreign policy.
00:02:16.000And this is unacceptable, unacceptable.
00:02:19.000And so the Tucker Carlson wing of the party had tried to launch a primary campaign against Lindsey Graham, and Graham just whomped his opposition, whomped him.
00:02:26.000I mean, 57% of the primary vote to Mark Lynch's 28.9% of the primary vote.
00:02:44.000Meanwhile, in the two online world, Nancy Mays, representative from South Carolina, who is very online, spends a lot of time online, does representative Mays, and decided that she was going to steer directly into the very online of the Epstein files last year.
00:03:00.000Well, it turns out that without Donald Trump's endorsement in her South Carolina gubernatorial nomination race, she completely flamed out.
00:03:07.000She won 12% of the vote overall, and she got destroyed in this race by a wide variety of candidates.
00:03:20.000And her tweet said, I know I put the likelihood of an endorsement on the line when I demanded transparency on the Epstein files.
00:03:26.000I demanded it because you deserve the truth, all of it.
00:03:28.000And as a survivor of a corrupt and broken court system, I will always pursue justice for those who deserve it.
00:03:33.000If sacrificing my values is the price of an endorsement, I will never pay it.
00:03:35.000Okay, let's be clear about what happened with the Epstein files and the release of the files.
00:03:40.000The reason the DOJ was hesitant to release the files is because the files had a bunch of references to people.
00:03:46.000Who had nothing to do with Jeffrey Epstein, and also were basically just unverified gossip from the FBI tip line.
00:03:52.000They contained an enormous amount of crap.
00:03:54.000And as you saw, when all that stuff got released into the public view, there were a bunch of people who got named publicly who were not guilty of anything.
00:04:01.000And there were also a bunch of allegations that were absurd that saw the light of day.
00:04:06.000And this is a warning for Republicans.
00:04:08.000If you follow the two online, you will end up in a bad place.
00:04:13.000This is particularly a warning for the 2028 race.
00:04:16.000The current frontrunner for the 2028 nomination for the Republican Party is obviously the vice president of the United States, JD Vance.
00:04:21.000And he happens to be extraordinarily online.
00:04:24.000I've urged him many times before to log off and touch grass.
00:04:28.000The reason I say this now is because there is an article in the New York Times talking about the White House freakout over the Epstein files.
00:04:35.000And JD Vance's name is all over this article, all over it.
00:04:40.000According to the article, July 17th, 2025, Vice President Vance took a seat at the head of a table in the John F. Kennedy conference room of the Situation Room Complex.
00:04:48.000This is a huge problem, he told the other people in the room.
00:04:51.000That'd be Susie Wiles, Caroline Lovett, Stephen Chung, Todd Blanch of the AG's office, Pam Bondi, Kash Patel.
00:04:58.000The vice president appeared panicked to others in the room about the way the subject of Epstein was already dividing the MAGA coalition.
00:05:05.000Now, again, some of that has to do with the people that the vice president is personally close with, including Tucker Carlson.
00:05:10.000Some senior officials had the impression that Vance had bought into the darkest theories about Epstein and a cabal of predators hidden within the country's ruling class.
00:05:17.000That, of course, would not be surprising since he was preaching that when he was not the vice president.
00:05:22.000Wiles would tell others the vice president had proved himself to be a major conspiracy theorist.
00:05:27.000Another top official said later that Vance had been pounding on the Epstein issue since the release of the memo.
00:05:32.000Who's privately pressing for the administration to release all Epstein files, everything in the DOJ possession, even encouraging a congressional investigation.
00:05:39.000Vance, Helen Line, is the vice president.
00:05:42.000He had floated to colleagues in an extraordinary PR gambit that the White House enlists, wait for it, Tucker Carlson to interview Epstein's longtime girlfriend and co-conspirator, Ghislaine Maxwell in prison.
00:05:54.000So the vice president trying to broker an interview for his friend Tucker Carlson and Ghislaine Maxwell, the Jeffrey Epstein's co-conspirator in prison.
00:06:06.000If Maxwell was willing to state that Trump had not been part of any wrongdoing with Epstein, Vance told the group he believed all the files should be released as soon as possible.
00:06:16.000Donald Trump Jr., JD Vance, Charlie Kirk, all of them who spent enormous amounts of time on social media were very worried, according to the New York Times.
00:06:25.000Vance made clear to colleagues he feared losing some of the so called low propensity voters, the young men who are not traditional Republicans, but who had voted for the Trump Vance ticket in 2024.
00:06:34.000This was an audience tuned into the Manosphere podcasters like Joe Rogan.
00:06:38.000And it was worrisome that the podcast hosts themselves were now rebelling.
00:06:42.000Vance's recommendation, by the way, is that he book himself on Rogan to talk about it.
00:06:45.000Because Rogan, again, Joe loves conspiracy theories.
00:06:51.000And Joe was not willing to have on Todd Blanch, the assistant to AG who would actually know about the documents.
00:06:56.000So Vance was trying to book himself on that.
00:06:57.000The reason I say this is a problem if the Republican Party programs into, if JD Vance programs into the two online area, he will lose the 2028 election.
00:07:09.000If he decides that the priorities of the American people are whatever X thinks the priorities are, he is going to lose because that is not where the American people are.
00:07:16.000It is not where the American people were.
00:07:19.000Small businesses help hold the American economy together.
00:07:22.000These are people taking real risks, opening restaurants, running construction companies, starting logistics firms, building software companies out of garages.
00:07:29.000Here's the reality more than 70% of small businesses need additional capital at least once a year.
00:07:34.000Meanwhile, big banks are approving fewer loans and creating more hoops to jump through than ever before.
00:07:39.000So, even businesses that are profitable end up stuck waiting weeks or months buried under paperwork just trying to access funding, which is totally, totally crazy.
00:07:47.000Bureaucracy makes it really rough to operate a normal business.
00:08:19.000Big banks may not want to approve your business loans, but Cardiff does.
00:08:22.000If you've been in business for at least a year and you're pulling in 20 grand a month in revenue, apply now for up to $500,000 in same day business funding at cardiff.co slash Shapiro.
00:08:37.000And by the way, if you think that the Republican Party after President Trump is going to be nearly as it that you can just pick up the Trump coalition and carry it forward, the reason that Donald Trump got a lot of young men to vote for him is twofold.
00:08:51.000One, Trump has a unique capacity to break through.
00:08:53.000In a way, no other politician does, none.
00:08:55.000And two, he was running against a party that decided to trans the children.
00:09:01.000You can't just pick up the last guy's coalition and try to run to daylight.
00:09:06.000If the vice president decides to program into the two online world, what he is going to end up doing, instead of maximizing the best parts of himself, and again, this is stuff I've said directly to the vice president's team, the vice president, instead of trying to maximize the most sympathetic, most interesting parts of himself, if he decides to program to The online world, he is going to minimize every part of Trump's coalition.
00:09:31.000If you look at President Trump's coalition, President Trump won an outsized number of blue collar white voters.
00:09:36.000He won an outsized number of blacks, Hispanics, Asians, whites, and married women.
00:09:42.000JD Vance will win fewer voters in every single one of those categories.
00:09:46.000He will not even pick up votes to compensate in the college educated parts of the category if he continues to program into this.
00:09:51.000There's a world where he forms his own new coalition based on his particular skill set, but if he continues to follow the primrose path, if you end up Let's put it this way.
00:09:59.000If you end up as a high ranking member of the United States government recommending that your solution to a PR crisis is to get Tucker Carlson, who believes that Iran is good in the Middle East, who goes to Russia to sniff the bread, who humors every insane conspiracy theory, who thinks he was scratched by demons, if you're the vice president, if you're suggesting that he must interview Ghislaine Maxwell as a defensive play, you might be too online.
00:10:35.000And Candace Owens is a great example of this.
00:10:37.000It remains absolutely incredible who refuses to see the reality about the Candace Owens wing, which again is not Republican.
00:10:45.000I mean, she has openly stated that Republicans should not vote for Republicans in 2026.
00:10:50.000Now she's going so far as to suggest that viewers go to Russia to see the grocery stores for ourselves because we don't have grocery stores here in the United States.
00:13:29.000She should go to Russia and say precisely the same kinds of things about Putin that she has said about Trump here in the United States and see how long she lasts as like a human.
00:13:44.000There are people who are constantly talking about the dangers of podcasts to stand and what happens, all the podcasters attacking each other.
00:13:50.000Here's my view voting in America should not be reliant on podcasters who disagree with one another.
00:13:55.000Podcasters are just people who are talking on your phone or on your computer.
00:14:00.000We live in actually very serious times.
00:14:03.000It is a sign of how frivolously Americans treat politics that they have the capacity to treat the kind of trash that is being spewed by people like Meghan Kelly or Candace Owens or Tucker Carlson as a form of political seriousness.